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2019-20 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

70 points · 25th Title

Last Title: 2008-09

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skenderbeu

13.59 points above expected

58 points · 44.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Luftetari

15.28 points below expected

14 points · 29.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 36 21 7 8 70 67 35 +32 63.35 +6.65
2 Kukesi 36 19 9 8 66 59 31 +28 62.26 +3.74
3 Laci 36 19 7 10 64 61 34 +27 55.25 +8.75
4 Skenderbeu 36 17 7 12 58 42 43 -1 44.41 +13.59
5 Teuta 36 15 12 9 57 41 34 +7 51.48 +5.52
6 Partizani 36 15 8 13 53 51 40 +11 57.35 -4.35
7 Bylis 36 12 15 9 51 46 38 +8 54.34 -3.34
8 Vllaznia 36 12 10 14 46 36 41 -5 48.51 -2.51
9 Flamurtari 36 2 9 25 15 32 72 -40 28.14 -13.14
10 Luftetari 36 2 8 26 14 19 86 -67 29.28 -15.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 58 44.41 +13.59
2 Laci 64 55.25 +8.75
3 KF Tirana 70 63.35 +6.65
4 Teuta 57 51.48 +5.52
5 Kukesi 66 62.26 +3.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Luftetari 14 29.28 -15.28
2 Flamurtari 15 28.14 -13.14
3 Partizani 53 57.35 -4.35
4 Bylis 51 54.34 -3.34
5 Vllaznia 46 48.51 -2.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 6 Feb 22 – Jun 7 1 in 630
2 KF Tirana 7 Dec 13 – Feb 7 1 in 445
3 Teuta 4 Jun 15 – Jul 6 1 in 39
4 Kukesi 4 Nov 23 – Dec 18 1 in 36
5 Laci 5 Jul 5 – Jul 29 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 5 Feb 28 – Jun 7 1 in 263
2 Luftetari 10 Jun 3 – Jul 29 1 in 42
3 Skenderbeu 3 Dec 8 – Dec 18 1 in 18
4 Bylis 2 Nov 9 – Nov 23 1 in 17
5 Flamurtari 6 Dec 18 – Feb 8 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skenderbeu 9 Feb 8 – Jun 15 1 in 151
2 Bylis 10 Aug 28 – Nov 4 1 in 96
3 KF Tirana 14 Dec 13 – Jun 7 1 in 76
4 Partizani 9 Sep 21 – Nov 25 1 in 19
5 Laci 5 Sep 1 – Oct 6 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bylis 10 Jan 22 – Jun 3 1 in 219
2 Flamurtari 21 Aug 24 – Feb 8 1 in 124
3 Kukesi 5 Feb 16 – Mar 9 1 in 35
4 Partizani 6 Feb 22 – Jun 7 1 in 26
5 Luftetari 20 Dec 22 – Jul 29 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1427 70 -48 5 9.7 -4.7
Kukesi 1409 66 +26 10 9.2 +0.8
Laci 1440 64 +82 15 9.3 +5.7
Skenderbeu 1300 58 +45 10 6.9 +3.1
Teuta 1317 57 -29 7 8.0 -1.0
Partizani 1288 53 -4 6 6.4 -0.4
Bylis 1256 51 -25 8 7.9 +0.1
Vllaznia 1184 46 -10 7 6.7 +0.3
Flamurtari 1026 15 -15 1 2.7 -1.7
Luftetari 897 14 -24 0 2.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BYL FLA KT KUK LAC LUF PAR SKE TEU VLL
Bylis —
2-2-0
8.26
1-1-2
4.26
1-1-2
4.45
1-1-2
5.11
2-2-0
8.36
1-3-0
4.89
2-1-1
6.06
1-1-2
5.70
1-3-0
5.57
Flamurtari
0-2-2
2.77
—
0-1-3
2.20
0-0-4
2.79
0-1-3
2.95
2-1-1
5.30
0-1-3
2.59
0-1-3
3.55
0-1-3
2.71
0-1-3
3.02
KF Tirana
2-1-1
6.70
3-1-0
8.93
—
1-0-3
5.76
3-0-1
6.12
4-0-0
8.04
2-1-1
6.19
2-1-1
7.62
1-2-1
6.99
3-1-0
6.82
Kukesi
2-1-1
6.49
4-0-0
8.31
3-0-1
5.18
—
1-1-2
6.15
3-1-0
9.03
3-1-0
5.92
0-3-1
7.45
2-1-1
6.66
1-1-2
7.29
Laci
2-1-1
5.81
3-1-0
8.11
1-0-3
4.83
2-1-1
4.80
—
3-1-0
8.19
1-0-3
5.52
2-1-1
6.33
3-1-0
6.02
2-1-1
5.76
Luftetari
0-2-2
2.71
1-1-2
5.64
0-0-4
3.01
0-1-3
2.11
0-1-3
2.92
—
0-0-4
3.29
1-0-3
3.39
0-2-2
3.14
0-1-3
3.36
Partizani
0-3-1
6.04
3-1-0
8.45
1-1-2
4.76
0-1-3
5.01
3-0-1
5.40
4-0-0
7.73
—
1-0-3
6.81
0-2-2
6.03
3-0-1
6.13
Skenderbeu
1-1-2
4.91
3-1-0
7.42
1-1-2
3.36
1-3-0
3.55
1-1-2
4.62
3-0-1
7.61
3-0-1
4.14
—
2-0-2
4.46
2-0-2
5.20
Teuta
2-1-1
5.24
3-1-0
8.32
1-2-1
3.96
1-1-2
4.28
0-1-3
4.90
2-2-0
7.86
2-2-0
4.91
2-0-2
6.48
—
2-2-0
5.93
Vllaznia
0-3-1
5.36
3-1-0
7.99
0-1-3
4.15
2-1-1
3.68
1-1-2
5.17
3-1-0
7.63
1-0-3
4.81
2-0-2
5.74
0-2-2
5.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.9
Allowed 0.90 -10.2
Differential 0.93 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%11.39%3.89%3.61%1.11%0.56%30.00%
111.39%12.22%6.94%4.72%1.39%1.39%38.06%
23.89%6.94%3.33%1.67%—0.56%16.39%
33.61%4.72%1.67%0.56%——10.56%
41.11%1.39%————2.50%
5+0.56%1.39%0.56%———2.50%
Total30.00%38.06%16.39%10.56%2.50%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.85
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%—2.78%——22.22%
113.89%19.44%8.33%2.78%——44.44%
22.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%36.11%22.22%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.06 +0.22
SD 1.09 0.95 1.40
CV 0.85 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%13.89%5.56%—2.78%41.67%
12.78%13.89%8.33%11.11%5.56%—41.67%
2——5.56%5.56%——11.11%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total5.56%33.33%27.78%25.00%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.00 -1.11
SD 1.17 1.15 1.60
CV 1.31 0.57 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%————8.33%
15.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%——36.11%
211.11%19.44%2.78%———33.33%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total33.33%44.44%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.97 +0.89
SD 1.27 0.91 1.74
CV 0.68 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
111.11%8.33%11.11%———30.56%
2—13.89%2.78%———16.67%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
42.78%8.33%————11.11%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total33.33%47.22%19.44%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.86 +0.78
SD 1.44 0.72 1.51
CV 0.88 0.84 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%————19.44%
111.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%——36.11%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
311.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%41.67%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.94 +0.75
SD 1.35 0.92 1.63
CV 0.80 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%55.56%
1—13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%11.11%36.11%
22.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%30.56%19.44%13.89%8.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.39 -1.86
SD 0.65 1.90 1.90
CV 1.24 0.80 —
Max 2 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%————22.22%
113.89%13.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%44.44%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%47.22%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.11 +0.31
SD 1.48 1.17 1.92
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
116.67%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
25.56%13.89%————19.44%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%44.44%13.89%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.19 -0.03
SD 1.03 1.12 1.54
CV 0.88 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%—5.56%2.78%—33.33%
125.00%13.89%2.78%———41.67%
2——2.78%5.56%——8.33%
32.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total44.44%33.33%8.33%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.94 +0.19
SD 1.20 1.12 1.56
CV 1.05 1.19 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%11.11%2.78%11.11%——44.44%
113.89%2.78%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
25.56%2.78%5.56%——2.78%16.67%
3—5.56%————5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total44.44%22.22%13.89%16.67%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.14 -0.14
SD 1.17 1.31 1.82
CV 1.17 1.15 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Laci 1440 64 55.25 +8.75 91.0% 39 43 51 54 60 68 71
KF Tirana 1427 70 63.35 +6.65 81.0% 43 51 58 64 69 75 80
Kukesi 1409 66 62.26 +3.74 74.0% 43 51 58 62 67 74 80
Teuta 1317 57 51.48 +5.52 81.0% 34 41 47 52 56 61 69
Skenderbeu 1300 58 44.41 +13.59 97.0% 27 33 40 44 49 54 60
Partizani 1288 53 57.35 -4.35 28.0% 40 44 52 57 62 70 77
Bylis 1256 51 54.34 -3.34 31.0% 30 42 49 55 59 65 72
Vllaznia 1184 46 48.51 -2.51 41.0% 31 35 43 48 53 61 68
Flamurtari 1026 15 28.14 -13.14 3.0% 13 18 24 28 32 41 52
Luftetari 897 14 29.28 -15.28 0.0% 16 19 25 29 33 40 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.89%
No Edge
46.67%25.56%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
066.42500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
KF Tirana, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.68 * Some Luck: 5.68 to 8.52 * Lucky: 8.52 to 11.37 * Wild Swing: 11.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.03 * Way Off: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.90 points
Lucky
07.1018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Skenderbeu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Luftetari
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.54
2.51
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.78
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.78
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.059
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KF Tirana41.00%23.00%15.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%——
Kukesi27.00%24.00%22.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%——
Laci8.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%19.00%4.00%6.00%——
Skenderbeu1.00%—1.00%2.00%7.00%19.00%21.00%39.00%8.00%2.00%
Teuta2.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%17.00%23.00%24.00%6.00%2.00%—
Partizani10.00%22.00%14.00%16.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%——
Bylis8.00%9.00%17.00%16.00%18.00%9.00%16.00%6.00%—1.00%
Vllaznia3.00%1.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%23.00%20.00%5.00%1.00%
Flamurtari————1.00%—1.00%7.00%45.00%46.00%
Luftetari———————10.00%40.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
KF Tirana 99.00% 1.00% —
Kukesi 99.00% 1.00% —
Laci 94.00% 6.00% —
Partizani 96.00% 4.00% —
Bylis 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Teuta 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Vllaznia 74.00% 20.00% 6.00%
Skenderbeu 51.00% 39.00% 10.00%
Luftetari — 10.00% 90.00%
Flamurtari 2.00% 7.00% 91.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-08-23 Partizani W 1-040.9 1268 1293 42.28% 26.99% 30.72%+0.25 +13.4 3
2019-08-23 @ Kukesi L 0-140.9 1293 1268 30.72% 26.99% 42.28%-0.25 -13.4 0
2019-08-24 Bylis W 1-037.2 1260 1193 53.53% 26.03% 20.44%+0.78 +9.7 3
2019-08-24 @ Teuta L 0-137.2 1193 1260 20.44% 26.03% 53.53%-0.78 -9.7 0
2019-08-24 Flamurtari W 1-037.8 1283 1230 52.01% 26.23% 21.76%+0.70 +10.2 3
2019-08-24 @ Skenderbeu L 0-137.8 1230 1283 21.76% 26.23% 52.01%-0.70 -10.2 0
2019-08-24 Laci W 1-038.7 1262 1236 48.88% 26.57% 24.55%+0.55 +11.3 3
2019-08-24 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.7 1236 1262 24.55% 26.57% 48.88%-0.55 -11.3 0
2019-08-24 Luftetari W 3-033.9 1270 1250 48.03% 26.65% 25.33%+0.51 +31.6 3
2019-08-24 @ KF Tirana L 0-333.9 1250 1270 25.33% 26.65% 48.03%-0.51 -31.6 0
2019-08-27 Teuta D 0-048.9 1301 1270 49.48% 26.52% 24.00%+0.58 -2.4 4
2019-08-27 @ KF Tirana D 0-048.9 1270 1301 24.00% 26.52% 49.48%-0.58 +2.4 4
2019-08-28 Kukesi L 0-337.5 1220 1281 37.14% 27.10% 35.76%+0.03 -42.3 0
2019-08-28 @ Flamurtari W 3-037.5 1281 1220 35.76% 27.10% 37.14%-0.03 +42.3 6
2019-08-28 Partizani L 0-142.6 1218 1279 37.23% 27.10% 35.67%+0.03 -15.5 0
2019-08-28 @ Luftetari W 1-042.6 1279 1218 35.67% 27.10% 37.23%-0.03 +15.5 3
2019-08-28 Skenderbeu L 1-248.0 1224 1293 36.07% 27.10% 36.83%-0.02 -14.3 0
2019-08-28 @ Laci W 2-148.0 1293 1224 36.83% 27.10% 36.07%+0.02 +14.3 6
2019-08-28 Vllaznia D 0-048.3 1183 1273 33.14% 27.07% 39.79%-0.14 +0.6 1
2019-08-28 @ Bylis D 0-048.3 1273 1183 39.79% 27.07% 33.14%+0.14 -0.6 4
2019-08-31 KF Tirana L 0-241.2 1273 1299 42.12% 27.00% 30.88%+0.24 -32.1 4
2019-08-31 @ Vllaznia W 2-041.2 1299 1273 30.88% 27.00% 42.12%-0.24 +32.1 7
2019-08-31 Luftetari W 3-139.6 1272 1203 53.80% 25.99% 20.21%+0.80 +15.7 7
2019-08-31 @ Teuta L 1-339.6 1203 1272 20.21% 25.99% 53.80%-0.80 -15.6 0
2019-09-01 Bylis L 0-343.5 1308 1184 59.32% 24.98% 15.70%+1.12 -62.6 6
2019-09-01 @ Skenderbeu W 3-043.5 1184 1308 15.70% 24.98% 59.32%-1.12 +62.6 4
2019-09-01 Flamurtari W 1-035.6 1295 1177 58.72% 25.11% 16.16%+1.08 +7.9 6
2019-09-01 @ Partizani L 0-135.6 1177 1295 16.16% 25.11% 58.72%-1.08 -7.9 0
2019-09-01 Laci D 1-153.9 1324 1210 58.37% 25.19% 16.44%+1.06 -3.8 7
2019-09-01 @ Kukesi D 1-153.9 1210 1324 16.44% 25.19% 58.37%-1.06 +3.8 1
2019-09-14 Flamurtari W 2-144.4 1187 1170 47.77% 26.67% 25.56%+0.49 +11.0 3
2019-09-14 @ Luftetari L 1-244.4 1170 1187 25.56% 26.67% 47.77%-0.49 -11.0 0
2019-09-14 Skenderbeu W 3-139.5 1331 1245 55.56% 25.71% 18.72%+0.90 +14.7 10
2019-09-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-339.5 1245 1331 18.72% 25.71% 55.56%-0.90 -14.6 6
2019-09-14 Vllaznia D 0-048.7 1288 1241 51.29% 26.32% 22.39%+0.67 -2.8 8
2019-09-14 @ Teuta D 0-048.7 1241 1288 22.39% 26.32% 51.29%-0.67 +2.8 5
2019-09-15 Kukesi W 2-148.6 1247 1320 35.45% 27.10% 37.45%-0.04 +14.7 7
2019-09-15 @ Bylis L 1-248.6 1320 1247 37.45% 27.10% 35.45%+0.04 -14.7 7
2019-09-15 Partizani W 1-043.4 1214 1303 33.30% 27.07% 39.63%-0.13 +16.2 4
2019-09-15 @ Laci L 0-143.4 1303 1214 39.63% 27.07% 33.30%+0.13 -16.2 6
2019-09-21 Bylis D 1-153.6 1286 1261 48.70% 26.59% 24.71%+0.54 -2.0 7
2019-09-21 @ Partizani D 1-153.6 1261 1286 24.71% 26.59% 48.70%-0.54 +2.0 8
2019-09-21 KF Tirana W 2-147.8 1305 1346 40.16% 27.06% 32.78%+0.15 +13.3 10
2019-09-21 @ Kukesi L 1-247.8 1346 1305 32.78% 27.06% 40.16%-0.15 -13.3 10
2019-09-21 Teuta W 1-042.0 1230 1285 38.15% 27.09% 34.76%+0.07 +14.7 9
2019-09-21 @ Skenderbeu L 0-142.0 1285 1230 34.76% 27.09% 38.15%-0.07 -14.7 8
2019-09-22 Laci D 3-362.2 1159 1230 35.73% 27.10% 37.17%-0.03 +0.1 1
2019-09-22 @ Flamurtari D 3-362.2 1230 1159 37.17% 27.10% 35.73%+0.03 -0.1 5
2019-09-22 Luftetari D 0-048.5 1244 1198 51.11% 26.34% 22.55%+0.66 -2.7 6
2019-09-22 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.5 1198 1244 22.55% 26.34% 51.11%-0.66 +2.7 4
2019-09-28 Flamurtari W 5-030.8 1263 1159 57.48% 25.37% 17.15%+1.01 +36.6 11
2019-09-28 @ Bylis L 0-530.8 1159 1263 17.15% 25.37% 57.48%-1.01 -36.6 1
2019-09-28 Kukesi W 1-042.1 1270 1319 39.01% 27.08% 33.91%+0.11 +14.5 11
2019-09-28 @ Teuta L 0-142.1 1319 1270 33.91% 27.08% 39.01%-0.11 -14.5 10
2019-09-28 Laci D 1-153.1 1201 1230 41.69% 27.02% 31.30%+0.22 -0.8 5
2019-09-28 @ Luftetari D 1-153.1 1230 1201 31.30% 27.02% 41.69%-0.22 +0.8 6
2019-09-28 Skenderbeu W 4-034.3 1241 1245 44.98% 26.86% 28.15%+0.37 +44.9 9
2019-09-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-434.3 1245 1241 28.15% 26.86% 44.98%-0.37 -44.9 9
2019-09-29 Partizani L 1-252.9 1332 1284 51.39% 26.31% 22.30%+0.67 -19.0 10
2019-09-29 @ KF Tirana W 2-152.9 1284 1332 22.30% 26.31% 51.39%-0.67 +18.9 10
2019-10-05 KF Tirana D 2-259.0 1122 1313 21.25% 26.16% 52.59%-0.73 +2.0 2
2019-10-05 @ Flamurtari D 2-259.0 1313 1122 52.59% 26.16% 21.25%+0.73 -2.0 11
2019-10-05 Luftetari W 2-036.2 1200 1200 45.57% 26.83% 27.60%+0.39 +23.3 12
2019-10-05 @ Skenderbeu L 0-236.2 1200 1200 27.60% 26.83% 45.57%-0.39 -23.3 5
2019-10-05 Teuta D 1-153.8 1303 1285 47.91% 26.66% 25.43%+0.50 -1.9 11
2019-10-05 @ Partizani D 1-153.8 1285 1303 25.43% 26.66% 47.91%-0.50 +1.9 12
2019-10-06 Bylis D 0-048.5 1231 1300 36.06% 27.10% 36.83%-0.02 +0.1 7
2019-10-06 @ Laci D 0-048.5 1300 1231 36.83% 27.10% 36.06%+0.02 -0.1 12
2019-10-06 Vllaznia L 1-251.8 1304 1286 47.89% 26.66% 25.45%+0.50 -17.8 10
2019-10-06 @ Kukesi W 2-151.8 1286 1304 25.45% 26.66% 47.89%-0.50 +17.8 12
2019-10-18 Flamurtari W 1-034.3 1287 1124 62.81% 24.10% 13.09%+1.35 +6.4 15
2019-10-18 @ Teuta L 0-134.3 1124 1287 13.09% 24.10% 62.81%-1.35 -6.4 2
2019-10-19 Bylis D 1-153.2 1177 1300 28.81% 26.90% 44.29%-0.33 +1.3 6
2019-10-19 @ Luftetari D 1-153.2 1300 1177 44.29% 26.90% 28.81%+0.33 -1.3 13
2019-10-19 Kukesi D 0-048.4 1224 1286 36.97% 27.10% 35.93%+0.02 -0.1 13
2019-10-19 @ Skenderbeu D 0-048.4 1286 1224 35.93% 27.10% 36.97%-0.02 +0.1 11
2019-10-19 Laci W 2-142.7 1311 1231 54.99% 25.81% 19.20%+0.86 +8.6 14
2019-10-19 @ KF Tirana L 1-242.7 1231 1311 19.20% 25.81% 54.99%-0.86 -8.6 7
2019-10-19 Partizani L 1-348.1 1304 1301 45.82% 26.81% 27.37%+0.40 -29.8 12
2019-10-19 @ Vllaznia W 3-148.1 1301 1304 27.37% 26.81% 45.82%-0.40 +29.8 14
2019-10-23 KF Tirana W 3-143.6 1299 1320 42.74% 26.98% 30.28%+0.27 +21.7 16
2019-10-23 @ Bylis L 1-343.6 1320 1299 30.28% 26.98% 42.74%-0.27 -21.7 14
2019-10-23 Luftetari W 4-135.6 1286 1178 57.86% 25.29% 16.85%+1.03 +18.9 14
2019-10-23 @ Kukesi L 1-435.6 1178 1286 16.85% 25.29% 57.86%-1.03 -18.8 6
2019-10-23 Teuta W 3-037.5 1222 1293 35.83% 27.10% 37.07%-0.03 +42.3 10
2019-10-23 @ Laci L 0-337.5 1293 1222 37.07% 27.10% 35.83%+0.03 -42.3 15
2019-10-23 Vllaznia L 1-341.0 1118 1274 24.92% 26.61% 48.47%-0.53 -18.6 2
2019-10-23 @ Flamurtari W 3-141.0 1274 1118 48.47% 26.61% 24.92%+0.53 +18.6 15
2019-10-24 Skenderbeu W 3-138.7 1331 1223 57.79% 25.31% 16.90%+1.03 +13.4 17
2019-10-24 @ Partizani L 1-338.7 1223 1331 16.90% 25.31% 57.79%-1.03 -13.4 13
2019-10-27 KF Tirana L 0-334.2 1159 1298 26.87% 26.78% 46.35%-0.43 -33.2 6
2019-10-27 @ Luftetari W 3-034.2 1298 1159 46.35% 26.78% 26.87%+0.43 +33.2 17
2019-10-27 Teuta D 0-049.1 1320 1251 53.83% 25.99% 20.18%+0.80 -3.3 17
2019-10-27 @ Bylis D 0-049.1 1251 1320 20.18% 25.99% 53.83%-0.80 +3.3 16
2019-10-27 Vllaznia W 3-035.9 1265 1292 41.86% 27.01% 31.13%+0.23 +37.2 13
2019-10-27 @ Laci L 0-335.9 1292 1265 31.13% 27.01% 41.86%-0.23 -37.2 15
2019-10-28 Kukesi D 0-049.5 1345 1305 50.40% 26.42% 23.18%+0.62 -2.6 18
2019-10-28 @ Partizani D 0-049.5 1305 1345 23.18% 26.42% 50.40%-0.62 +2.6 15
2019-10-28 Skenderbeu D 1-152.9 1099 1210 30.35% 26.98% 42.67%-0.26 +1.0 3
2019-10-28 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.9 1210 1099 42.67% 26.98% 30.35%+0.26 -1.0 14
2019-11-02 KF Tirana D 1-153.6 1254 1331 34.89% 27.09% 38.02%-0.06 +0.2 17
2019-11-02 @ Teuta D 1-153.6 1331 1254 38.02% 27.09% 34.89%+0.06 -0.2 18
2019-11-02 Laci L 1-441.1 1209 1302 32.78% 27.06% 40.16%-0.15 -32.6 14
2019-11-02 @ Skenderbeu W 4-141.1 1302 1209 40.16% 27.06% 32.78%+0.15 +32.6 16
2019-11-03 Flamurtari W 1-033.2 1308 1100 66.48% 22.93% 10.60%+1.62 +5.2 18
2019-11-03 @ Kukesi L 0-133.2 1100 1308 10.60% 22.93% 66.48%-1.62 -5.2 3
2019-11-03 Luftetari W 2-029.9 1342 1126 67.09% 22.70% 10.20%+1.66 +9.5 21
2019-11-03 @ Partizani L 0-229.9 1126 1342 10.20% 22.70% 67.09%-1.66 -9.5 6
2019-11-04 Bylis L 0-142.9 1255 1317 37.12% 27.10% 35.78%+0.03 -15.5 15
2019-11-04 @ Vllaznia W 1-042.9 1317 1255 35.78% 27.10% 37.12%-0.03 +15.5 20
2019-11-08 Vllaznia D 0-049.2 1331 1240 56.14% 25.62% 18.25%+0.93 -3.8 19
2019-11-08 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.2 1240 1331 18.25% 25.62% 56.14%-0.93 +3.8 16
2019-11-09 Skenderbeu L 2-359.8 1332 1176 62.25% 24.25% 13.50%+1.31 -21.4 20
2019-11-09 @ Bylis W 3-259.8 1176 1332 13.50% 24.25% 62.25%-1.31 +21.3 17
2019-11-09 Teuta D 0-048.2 1117 1254 27.03% 26.79% 46.18%-0.42 +1.8 7
2019-11-09 @ Luftetari D 0-048.2 1254 1117 46.18% 26.79% 27.03%+0.42 -1.8 18
2019-11-10 Kukesi W 1-039.7 1334 1313 48.21% 26.63% 25.15%+0.52 +11.5 19
2019-11-10 @ Laci L 0-139.7 1313 1334 25.15% 26.63% 48.21%-0.52 -11.5 18
2019-11-10 Partizani D 1-153.7 1095 1351 15.69% 24.98% 59.33%-1.12 +3.9 4
2019-11-10 @ Flamurtari D 1-153.7 1351 1095 59.33% 24.98% 15.69%+1.12 -3.9 22
2019-11-23 Bylis W 2-146.3 1302 1311 44.32% 26.90% 28.78%+0.34 +12.0 21
2019-11-23 @ Kukesi L 1-246.3 1311 1302 28.78% 26.90% 44.32%-0.34 -12.0 20
2019-11-23 KF Tirana W 2-150.7 1198 1327 28.02% 26.86% 45.12%-0.37 +17.0 20
2019-11-23 @ Skenderbeu L 1-250.7 1327 1198 45.12% 26.86% 28.02%+0.37 -17.0 19
2019-11-23 Luftetari D 1-152.8 1099 1118 42.98% 26.97% 30.05%+0.28 -1.1 5
2019-11-23 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.8 1118 1099 30.05% 26.97% 42.98%-0.28 +1.0 8
2019-11-24 Teuta D 0-048.5 1244 1252 44.39% 26.90% 28.71%+0.34 -1.5 17
2019-11-24 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.5 1252 1244 28.71% 26.90% 44.39%-0.34 +1.5 19
2019-11-25 Laci W 1-041.0 1348 1346 45.77% 26.82% 27.41%+0.40 +12.3 25
2019-11-25 @ Partizani L 0-141.0 1346 1348 27.41% 26.82% 45.77%-0.40 -12.3 19
2019-12-07 Kukesi L 1-348.1 1310 1314 45.13% 26.86% 28.02%+0.37 -29.4 19
2019-12-07 @ KF Tirana W 3-148.1 1314 1310 28.02% 26.86% 45.13%-0.37 +29.4 24
2019-12-07 Partizani W 2-148.8 1299 1360 37.26% 27.10% 35.64%+0.03 +14.2 23
2019-12-07 @ Bylis L 1-248.8 1360 1299 35.64% 27.10% 37.26%-0.03 -14.1 25
2019-12-07 Vllaznia L 0-236.6 1119 1242 28.86% 26.91% 44.23%-0.33 -24.1 8
2019-12-07 @ Luftetari W 2-036.6 1242 1119 44.23% 26.91% 28.86%+0.33 +24.2 20
2019-12-08 Flamurtari W 3-027.5 1333 1098 68.54% 22.15% 9.31%+1.78 +12.5 22
2019-12-08 @ Laci L 0-327.5 1098 1333 9.31% 22.15% 68.54%-1.78 -12.5 5
2019-12-08 Skenderbeu W 1-038.1 1254 1215 50.37% 26.42% 23.20%+0.62 +10.8 22
2019-12-08 @ Teuta L 0-138.1 1215 1254 23.20% 26.42% 50.37%-0.62 -10.8 20
2019-12-13 KF Tirana L 1-253.5 1346 1281 53.29% 26.06% 20.65%+0.77 -19.6 25
2019-12-13 @ Partizani W 2-153.5 1281 1346 20.65% 26.06% 53.29%-0.77 +19.6 22
2019-12-14 Bylis D 2-259.1 1085 1313 17.93% 25.55% 56.53%-0.95 +2.5 6
2019-12-14 @ Flamurtari D 2-259.1 1313 1085 56.53% 25.55% 17.93%+0.95 -2.5 24
2019-12-14 Luftetari W 4-026.8 1346 1095 69.60% 21.71% 8.69%+1.87 +15.1 25
2019-12-14 @ Laci L 0-426.8 1095 1346 8.69% 21.71% 69.60%-1.87 -15.1 8
2019-12-14 Teuta W 4-031.9 1343 1265 54.78% 25.84% 19.37%+0.85 +33.1 27
2019-12-14 @ Kukesi L 0-431.9 1265 1343 19.37% 25.84% 54.78%-0.85 -33.1 22
2019-12-14 Vllaznia L 0-142.5 1204 1266 37.06% 27.10% 35.84%+0.02 -15.4 20
2019-12-14 @ Skenderbeu W 1-042.5 1266 1204 35.84% 27.10% 37.06%-0.02 +15.4 23
2019-12-18 Flamurtari W 2-029.8 1301 1088 66.85% 22.79% 10.36%+1.64 +9.6 25
2019-12-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-229.8 1088 1301 10.36% 22.79% 66.85%-1.64 -9.6 6
2019-12-18 Kukesi L 1-247.8 1282 1376 32.53% 27.05% 40.41%-0.17 -13.2 23
2019-12-18 @ Vllaznia W 2-147.8 1376 1282 40.41% 27.05% 32.53%+0.17 +13.2 30
2019-12-18 Laci W 1-042.8 1311 1361 38.73% 27.09% 34.19%+0.09 +14.5 27
2019-12-18 @ Bylis L 0-142.8 1361 1311 34.19% 27.09% 38.73%-0.09 -14.5 25
2019-12-18 Partizani W 1-043.8 1232 1326 32.53% 27.05% 40.42%-0.17 +16.5 25
2019-12-18 @ Teuta L 0-143.8 1326 1232 40.42% 27.05% 32.53%+0.17 -16.5 25
2019-12-18 Skenderbeu W 2-040.6 1080 1189 30.67% 26.99% 42.34%-0.25 +32.2 11
2019-12-18 @ Luftetari L 0-240.6 1189 1080 42.34% 26.99% 30.67%+0.25 -32.2 20
2019-12-22 KF Tirana L 1-252.9 1347 1310 50.05% 26.46% 23.49%+0.61 -18.5 25
2019-12-22 @ Laci W 2-152.9 1310 1347 23.49% 26.46% 50.05%-0.61 +18.5 28
2019-12-22 Luftetari W 1-033.1 1325 1112 66.86% 22.79% 10.35%+1.64 +5.1 30
2019-12-22 @ Bylis L 0-133.1 1112 1325 10.35% 22.79% 66.86%-1.64 -5.1 11
2019-12-22 Skenderbeu D 1-154.9 1389 1156 68.34% 22.23% 9.43%+1.76 -5.5 31
2019-12-22 @ Kukesi D 1-154.9 1156 1389 9.43% 22.23% 68.34%-1.76 +5.5 21
2019-12-22 Vllaznia W 1-038.5 1310 1268 50.62% 26.40% 22.98%+0.63 +10.7 28
2019-12-22 @ Partizani L 0-138.5 1268 1310 22.98% 26.40% 50.62%-0.63 -10.7 23
2019-12-23 Teuta L 1-340.4 1078 1248 23.42% 26.45% 50.14%-0.61 -17.7 6
2019-12-23 @ Flamurtari W 3-140.4 1248 1078 50.14% 26.45% 23.42%+0.61 +17.7 28
2020-01-21 Flamurtari W 2-030.1 1258 1060 65.66% 23.21% 11.13%+1.55 +10.3 26
2020-01-21 @ Vllaznia L 0-230.1 1060 1258 11.13% 23.21% 65.66%-1.55 -10.3 6
2020-01-21 Laci L 0-143.0 1266 1328 37.05% 27.10% 35.85%+0.02 -15.4 28
2020-01-21 @ Teuta W 1-043.0 1328 1266 35.85% 27.10% 37.05%-0.02 +15.4 28
2020-01-21 Partizani W 3-256.4 1162 1320 24.66% 26.58% 48.76%-0.54 +17.2 24
2020-01-21 @ Skenderbeu L 2-356.4 1320 1162 48.76% 26.58% 24.66%+0.54 -17.2 28
2020-01-22 Bylis W 2-146.4 1329 1330 45.34% 26.84% 27.81%+0.38 +11.7 31
2020-01-22 @ KF Tirana L 1-246.4 1330 1329 27.81% 26.84% 45.34%-0.38 -11.7 30
2020-01-22 Kukesi D 0-049.1 1107 1384 14.28% 24.54% 61.18%-1.24 +4.8 12
2020-01-22 @ Luftetari D 0-049.1 1384 1107 61.18% 24.54% 14.28%+1.24 -4.8 32
2020-01-25 Flamurtari W 1-035.0 1179 1050 59.82% 24.87% 15.31%+1.15 +7.5 27
2020-01-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-135.0 1050 1179 15.31% 24.87% 59.82%-1.15 -7.5 6
2020-01-25 Laci D 0-049.0 1268 1343 35.18% 27.10% 37.73%-0.05 +0.2 27
2020-01-25 @ Vllaznia D 0-049.0 1343 1268 37.73% 27.10% 35.18%+0.05 -0.2 29
2020-01-26 Bylis W 1-042.8 1250 1319 36.19% 27.10% 36.71%-0.01 +15.3 31
2020-01-26 @ Teuta L 0-142.8 1319 1250 36.71% 27.10% 36.19%+0.01 -15.3 30
2020-01-26 Luftetari W 5-130.9 1340 1112 68.02% 22.35% 9.63%+1.74 +14.1 34
2020-01-26 @ KF Tirana L 1-530.9 1112 1340 9.63% 22.35% 68.02%-1.74 -14.1 12
2020-01-26 Partizani W 1-038.2 1379 1303 54.52% 25.88% 19.59%+0.84 +9.3 35
2020-01-26 @ Kukesi L 0-138.2 1303 1379 19.59% 25.88% 54.52%-0.84 -9.3 28
2020-02-02 Kukesi L 1-432.8 1043 1388 10.35% 22.79% 66.86%-1.64 -11.8 6
2020-02-02 @ Flamurtari W 4-132.8 1388 1043 66.86% 22.79% 10.35%+1.64 +11.8 38
2020-02-02 Partizani L 0-332.0 1098 1294 20.80% 26.09% 53.11%-0.76 -26.9 12
2020-02-02 @ Luftetari W 3-032.0 1294 1098 53.11% 26.09% 20.80%+0.76 +26.9 31
2020-02-02 Teuta W 2-142.9 1355 1266 55.88% 25.66% 18.46%+0.91 +8.3 37
2020-02-02 @ KF Tirana L 1-242.9 1266 1355 18.46% 25.66% 55.88%-0.91 -8.4 31
2020-02-03 Skenderbeu W 1-034.8 1343 1187 62.31% 24.24% 13.45%+1.31 +6.6 32
2020-02-03 @ Laci L 0-134.8 1187 1343 13.45% 24.24% 62.31%-1.31 -6.6 27
2020-02-03 Vllaznia D 2-259.4 1303 1268 49.88% 26.48% 23.65%+0.60 -1.7 31
2020-02-03 @ Bylis D 2-259.4 1268 1303 23.65% 26.48% 49.88%-0.60 +1.7 28
2020-02-07 KF Tirana L 0-142.0 1270 1363 32.75% 27.06% 40.19%-0.16 -14.1 28
2020-02-07 @ Vllaznia W 1-042.0 1363 1270 40.19% 27.06% 32.75%+0.16 +14.1 40
2020-02-08 Bylis D 1-153.2 1180 1302 28.99% 26.91% 44.09%-0.33 +1.2 28
2020-02-08 @ Skenderbeu D 1-153.2 1302 1180 44.09% 26.91% 28.99%+0.33 -1.2 32
2020-02-08 Flamurtari W 2-028.2 1321 1031 72.21% 20.54% 7.25%+2.10 +6.5 34
2020-02-08 @ Partizani L 0-228.2 1031 1321 7.25% 20.54% 72.21%-2.10 -6.6 6
2020-02-08 Laci W 3-142.5 1400 1350 51.68% 26.27% 22.04%+0.69 +16.8 41
2020-02-08 @ Kukesi L 1-342.5 1350 1400 22.04% 26.27% 51.68%-0.69 -16.8 32
2020-02-08 Luftetari D 1-154.0 1257 1071 64.79% 23.50% 11.71%+1.49 -4.9 32
2020-02-08 @ Teuta D 1-154.0 1071 1257 11.71% 23.50% 64.79%-1.49 +4.9 13
2020-02-15 Skenderbeu D 1-154.6 1377 1181 65.54% 23.25% 11.21%+1.54 -5.0 41
2020-02-15 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.6 1181 1377 11.21% 23.25% 65.54%-1.54 +5.0 29
2020-02-16 Flamurtari L 0-146.3 1076 1024 51.82% 26.26% 21.92%+0.69 -20.2 13
2020-02-16 @ Luftetari W 1-046.3 1024 1076 21.92% 26.26% 51.82%-0.69 +20.2 9
2020-02-16 Kukesi D 1-154.9 1300 1417 29.62% 26.95% 43.43%-0.30 +1.1 33
2020-02-16 @ Bylis D 1-154.9 1417 1300 43.43% 26.95% 29.62%+0.30 -1.1 42
2020-02-16 Partizani L 1-348.7 1333 1327 46.29% 26.78% 26.93%+0.43 -30.0 32
2020-02-16 @ Laci W 3-148.7 1327 1333 26.93% 26.78% 46.29%-0.43 +30.0 37
2020-02-16 Vllaznia W 3-142.3 1252 1256 45.10% 26.86% 28.04%+0.37 +20.4 35
2020-02-16 @ Teuta L 1-342.3 1256 1252 28.04% 26.86% 45.10%-0.37 -20.4 28
2020-02-21 KF Tirana L 1-255.1 1416 1372 50.94% 26.36% 22.69%+0.65 -18.8 42
2020-02-21 @ Kukesi W 2-155.1 1372 1416 22.69% 26.36% 50.94%-0.65 +18.8 44
2020-02-22 Bylis D 2-260.1 1357 1301 52.30% 26.20% 21.50%+0.72 -2.0 38
2020-02-22 @ Partizani D 2-260.1 1301 1357 21.50% 26.20% 52.30%-0.72 +2.0 34
2020-02-22 Laci L 1-337.6 1045 1303 15.56% 24.94% 59.50%-1.13 -12.4 9
2020-02-22 @ Flamurtari W 3-137.6 1303 1045 59.50% 24.94% 15.56%+1.13 +12.4 35
2020-02-22 Luftetari W 4-028.2 1235 1056 64.26% 23.67% 12.08%+1.45 +21.3 31
2020-02-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-428.2 1056 1235 12.08% 23.67% 64.26%-1.45 -21.3 13
2020-02-22 Teuta W 3-253.6 1186 1273 33.59% 27.08% 39.33%-0.12 +14.4 32
2020-02-22 @ Skenderbeu L 2-353.6 1273 1186 39.33% 27.08% 33.59%+0.12 -14.4 35
2020-02-28 Partizani W 5-138.6 1391 1355 49.95% 26.47% 23.58%+0.60 +32.5 47
2020-02-28 @ KF Tirana L 1-538.6 1355 1391 23.58% 26.47% 49.95%-0.60 -32.5 38
2020-02-29 Flamurtari D 0-049.9 1303 1032 71.00% 21.10% 7.90%+1.99 -6.6 35
2020-02-29 @ Bylis D 0-049.9 1032 1303 7.90% 21.10% 71.00%-1.99 +6.6 10
2020-02-29 Kukesi D 2-259.9 1258 1397 26.92% 26.78% 46.29%-0.43 +1.2 36
2020-02-29 @ Teuta D 2-259.9 1397 1258 46.29% 26.78% 26.92%+0.43 -1.2 43
2020-02-29 Laci L 0-231.4 1034 1315 14.00% 24.44% 61.57%-1.26 -12.9 13
2020-02-29 @ Luftetari W 2-031.4 1315 1034 61.57% 24.44% 14.00%+1.26 +13.0 38
2020-02-29 Skenderbeu L 0-146.8 1257 1201 52.34% 26.19% 21.47%+0.72 -20.4 31
2020-02-29 @ Vllaznia W 1-046.8 1201 1257 21.47% 26.19% 52.34%-0.72 +20.4 35
2020-03-04 Bylis W 2-144.8 1328 1297 49.47% 26.52% 24.01%+0.58 +10.4 41
2020-03-04 @ Laci L 1-244.8 1297 1328 24.01% 26.52% 49.47%-0.58 -10.4 35
2020-03-04 KF Tirana L 0-229.1 1039 1423 8.65% 21.69% 69.66%-1.87 -8.0 10
2020-03-04 @ Flamurtari W 2-029.1 1423 1039 69.66% 21.69% 8.65%+1.87 +8.0 50
2020-03-04 Luftetari W 2-030.0 1221 1021 65.84% 23.15% 11.01%+1.57 +10.2 38
2020-03-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-230.0 1021 1221 11.01% 23.15% 65.84%-1.57 -10.2 13
2020-03-04 Teuta L 0-147.5 1323 1260 53.12% 26.09% 20.79%+0.76 -20.7 38
2020-03-04 @ Partizani W 1-047.5 1260 1323 20.79% 26.09% 53.12%-0.76 +20.7 39
2020-03-04 Vllaznia D 0-050.0 1396 1236 62.56% 24.17% 13.27%+1.33 -5.0 44
2020-03-04 @ Kukesi D 0-050.0 1236 1396 13.27% 24.17% 62.56%-1.33 +5.0 32
2020-03-08 Bylis D 1-153.6 1011 1286 14.38% 24.57% 61.05%-1.23 +4.2 14
2020-03-08 @ Luftetari D 1-153.6 1286 1011 61.05% 24.57% 14.38%+1.23 -4.2 36
2020-03-08 Flamurtari D 1-154.5 1280 1031 69.52% 21.75% 8.74%+1.86 -5.7 40
2020-03-08 @ Teuta D 1-154.5 1031 1280 8.74% 21.75% 69.52%-1.86 +5.7 11
2020-03-08 Laci W 1-039.0 1431 1339 56.25% 25.60% 18.15%+0.94 +8.7 53
2020-03-08 @ KF Tirana L 0-139.0 1339 1431 18.15% 25.60% 56.25%-0.94 -8.7 41
2020-03-09 Kukesi W 2-152.3 1231 1391 24.53% 26.57% 48.90%-0.55 +18.2 41
2020-03-09 @ Skenderbeu L 1-252.3 1391 1231 48.90% 26.57% 24.53%+0.55 -18.1 44
2020-03-09 Partizani W 1-042.3 1241 1302 37.27% 27.10% 35.63%+0.03 +15.0 35
2020-03-09 @ Vllaznia L 0-142.3 1302 1241 35.63% 27.10% 37.27%-0.03 -15.0 38
2020-06-03 KF Tirana L 1-342.9 1282 1440 24.73% 26.59% 48.68%-0.54 -18.5 36
2020-06-03 @ Bylis W 3-142.9 1440 1282 48.68% 26.59% 24.73%+0.54 +18.5 56
2020-06-03 Luftetari W 2-135.9 1373 1015 76.26% 18.44% 5.30%+2.50 +2.3 47
2020-06-03 @ Kukesi L 1-235.9 1015 1373 5.30% 18.44% 76.26%-2.50 -2.3 14
2020-06-03 Skenderbeu L 1-252.1 1287 1249 50.20% 26.44% 23.35%+0.61 -18.6 38
2020-06-03 @ Partizani W 2-152.1 1249 1287 23.35% 26.44% 50.20%-0.61 +18.6 44
2020-06-03 Teuta D 1-154.0 1330 1275 52.26% 26.20% 21.54%+0.72 -2.6 42
2020-06-03 @ Laci D 1-154.0 1275 1330 21.54% 26.20% 52.26%-0.72 +2.6 41
2020-06-03 Vllaznia L 1-338.7 1037 1256 18.62% 25.69% 55.69%-0.90 -14.6 11
2020-06-03 @ Flamurtari W 3-138.7 1256 1037 55.69% 25.69% 18.62%+0.90 +14.6 38
2020-06-07 KF Tirana L 0-526.1 1013 1458 6.53% 19.84% 73.63%-2.23 -13.6 14
2020-06-07 @ Luftetari W 5-026.1 1458 1013 73.63% 19.84% 6.53%+2.23 +13.6 59
2020-06-07 Kukesi L 1-344.0 1268 1375 30.93% 27.00% 42.07%-0.24 -22.0 38
2020-06-07 @ Partizani W 3-144.0 1375 1268 42.07% 27.00% 30.93%+0.24 +22.0 50
2020-06-07 Skenderbeu L 0-135.5 1022 1268 16.48% 25.20% 58.32%-1.06 -8.0 11
2020-06-07 @ Flamurtari W 1-035.5 1268 1022 58.32% 25.20% 16.48%+1.06 +8.0 47
2020-06-07 Teuta W 1-040.4 1264 1277 43.77% 26.93% 29.30%+0.31 +12.9 39
2020-06-07 @ Bylis L 0-140.4 1277 1264 29.30% 26.93% 43.77%-0.31 -13.0 41
2020-06-07 Vllaznia W 5-240.3 1327 1271 52.38% 26.19% 21.44%+0.72 +20.1 45
2020-06-07 @ Laci L 2-540.3 1271 1327 21.44% 26.19% 52.38%-0.72 -20.1 38
2020-06-14 Luftetari W 8-129.2 1246 999 69.34% 21.82% 8.84%+1.85 +21.5 41
2020-06-14 @ Partizani L 1-829.2 999 1246 8.84% 21.82% 69.34%-1.85 -21.5 14
2020-06-15 Bylis D 2-259.0 1251 1277 42.13% 27.00% 30.87%+0.24 -0.7 39
2020-06-15 @ Vllaznia D 2-259.0 1277 1251 30.87% 27.00% 42.13%-0.24 +0.7 40
2020-06-15 Flamurtari W 4-129.5 1397 1014 77.68% 17.62% 4.70%+2.65 +4.9 53
2020-06-15 @ Kukesi L 1-429.5 1014 1397 4.70% 17.62% 77.68%-2.65 -4.9 11
2020-06-15 KF Tirana W 1-049.4 1264 1472 19.69% 25.90% 54.41%-0.83 +21.1 44
2020-06-15 @ Teuta L 0-149.4 1472 1264 54.41% 25.90% 19.69%+0.83 -21.1 59
2020-06-15 Laci D 1-153.9 1276 1348 35.71% 27.10% 37.19%-0.03 +0.1 48
2020-06-15 @ Skenderbeu D 1-153.9 1348 1276 37.19% 27.10% 35.71%+0.03 -0.1 46
2020-06-19 Partizani L 1-240.8 1009 1268 15.52% 24.93% 59.55%-1.13 -7.1 11
2020-06-19 @ Flamurtari W 2-140.8 1268 1009 59.55% 24.93% 15.52%+1.13 +7.1 44
2020-06-19 Vllaznia W 3-029.9 1451 1250 65.94% 23.12% 10.95%+1.57 +14.8 62
2020-06-19 @ KF Tirana L 0-329.9 1250 1451 10.95% 23.12% 65.94%-1.57 -14.8 39
2020-06-20 Kukesi W 2-040.9 1347 1402 38.14% 27.09% 34.76%+0.07 +27.8 49
2020-06-20 @ Laci L 0-240.9 1402 1347 34.76% 27.09% 38.14%-0.07 -27.8 53
2020-06-20 Skenderbeu W 1-039.9 1277 1276 45.71% 26.82% 27.47%+0.40 +12.3 43
2020-06-20 @ Bylis L 0-139.9 1276 1277 27.47% 26.82% 45.71%-0.40 -12.3 48
2020-06-20 Teuta L 1-531.9 978 1285 12.37% 23.79% 63.84%-1.42 -18.2 14
2020-06-20 @ Luftetari W 5-131.9 1285 978 63.84% 23.79% 12.37%+1.42 +18.2 47
2020-06-27 Laci W 1-044.7 1275 1375 31.78% 27.03% 41.19%-0.20 +16.7 47
2020-06-27 @ Partizani L 0-144.7 1375 1275 41.19% 27.03% 31.78%+0.20 -16.7 49
2020-06-27 Luftetari W 6-135.0 1002 960 50.73% 26.38% 22.89%+0.64 +38.9 14
2020-06-27 @ Flamurtari L 1-635.0 960 1002 22.89% 26.38% 50.73%-0.64 -38.9 14
2020-06-28 Bylis W 1-037.7 1374 1290 55.44% 25.74% 18.83%+0.89 +9.0 56
2020-06-28 @ Kukesi L 0-137.7 1290 1374 18.83% 25.74% 55.44%-0.89 -9.0 43
2020-06-28 KF Tirana L 1-244.7 1264 1466 20.23% 25.99% 53.78%-0.80 -9.0 48
2020-06-28 @ Skenderbeu W 2-144.7 1466 1264 53.78% 25.99% 20.23%+0.80 +9.0 65
2020-06-28 Teuta L 0-337.4 1235 1304 36.18% 27.10% 36.72%-0.01 -41.5 39
2020-06-28 @ Vllaznia W 3-037.4 1304 1235 36.72% 27.10% 36.18%+0.01 +41.5 50
2020-07-05 Flamurtari W 2-136.6 1358 1041 73.95% 19.68% 6.37%+2.26 +2.8 52
2020-07-05 @ Laci L 1-236.6 1041 1358 6.37% 19.68% 73.95%-2.26 -2.8 14
2020-07-05 Vllaznia L 0-134.7 921 1194 14.54% 24.62% 60.84%-1.22 -7.1 14
2020-07-05 @ Luftetari W 1-034.7 1194 921 60.84% 24.62% 14.54%+1.22 +7.1 42
2020-07-06 Kukesi L 1-258.2 1475 1383 56.16% 25.61% 18.23%+0.93 -20.5 65
2020-07-06 @ KF Tirana W 2-158.2 1383 1475 18.23% 25.61% 56.16%-0.93 +20.5 59
2020-07-06 Partizani D 1-153.6 1281 1292 44.09% 26.91% 29.00%+0.33 -1.2 44
2020-07-06 @ Bylis D 1-153.6 1292 1281 29.00% 26.91% 44.09%-0.33 +1.2 48
2020-07-06 Skenderbeu W 1-037.0 1345 1255 56.05% 25.63% 18.32%+0.92 +8.8 53
2020-07-06 @ Teuta L 0-137.0 1255 1345 18.32% 25.63% 56.05%-0.92 -8.8 48
2020-07-10 Bylis L 2-346.1 1038 1279 16.83% 25.29% 57.88%-1.03 -7.3 14
2020-07-10 @ Flamurtari W 3-246.1 1279 1038 57.88% 25.29% 16.83%+1.03 +7.3 47
2020-07-10 KF Tirana D 1-155.5 1293 1454 24.36% 26.55% 49.09%-0.56 +2.1 49
2020-07-10 @ Partizani D 1-155.5 1454 1293 49.09% 26.55% 24.36%+0.56 -2.1 66
2020-07-11 Luftetari W 3-131.2 1361 914 80.92% 15.61% 3.47%+3.03 +2.5 55
2020-07-11 @ Laci L 1-331.2 914 1361 3.47% 15.61% 80.92%-3.03 -2.5 14
2020-07-11 Teuta W 3-035.1 1404 1354 51.61% 26.28% 22.11%+0.68 +28.3 62
2020-07-11 @ Kukesi L 0-335.1 1354 1404 22.11% 26.28% 51.61%-0.68 -28.3 53
2020-07-11 Vllaznia W 2-143.5 1246 1201 51.07% 26.35% 22.59%+0.66 +9.9 51
2020-07-11 @ Skenderbeu L 1-243.5 1201 1246 22.59% 26.35% 51.07%-0.66 -9.9 42
2020-07-18 Flamurtari W 2-026.2 1452 1031 79.66% 16.42% 3.92%+2.87 +3.3 69
2020-07-18 @ KF Tirana L 0-226.2 1031 1452 3.92% 16.42% 79.66%-2.87 -3.3 14
2020-07-18 Skenderbeu L 0-132.9 911 1256 10.41% 22.82% 66.77%-1.64 -5.1 14
2020-07-18 @ Luftetari W 1-032.9 1256 911 66.77% 22.82% 10.41%+1.64 +5.1 54
2020-07-19 Kukesi W 1-048.9 1191 1432 16.87% 25.30% 57.83%-1.03 +22.3 45
2020-07-19 @ Vllaznia L 0-148.9 1432 1191 57.83% 25.30% 16.87%+1.03 -22.3 62
2020-07-19 Laci L 0-337.7 1287 1364 34.93% 27.09% 37.98%-0.06 -40.5 47
2020-07-19 @ Bylis W 3-037.7 1364 1287 37.98% 27.09% 34.93%+0.06 +40.5 58
2020-07-19 Partizani D 0-049.2 1326 1295 49.36% 26.53% 24.12%+0.57 -2.4 54
2020-07-19 @ Teuta D 0-049.2 1295 1326 24.12% 26.53% 49.36%-0.57 +2.4 50
2020-07-24 KF Tirana W 3-148.9 1404 1455 38.63% 27.09% 34.29%+0.09 +23.8 61
2020-07-24 @ Laci L 1-348.9 1455 1404 34.29% 27.09% 38.63%-0.09 -23.8 69
2020-07-24 Luftetari W 2-027.1 1246 906 75.27% 18.98% 5.75%+2.39 +5.1 50
2020-07-24 @ Bylis L 0-227.1 906 1246 5.75% 18.98% 75.27%-2.39 -5.1 14
2020-07-24 Skenderbeu D 0-050.3 1410 1261 61.61% 24.42% 13.96%+1.27 -4.9 63
2020-07-24 @ Kukesi D 0-050.3 1261 1410 13.96% 24.42% 61.61%-1.27 +4.8 55
2020-07-24 Teuta L 2-344.7 1027 1323 13.05% 24.08% 62.87%-1.35 -5.7 14
2020-07-24 @ Flamurtari W 3-244.7 1323 1027 62.87% 24.08% 13.05%+1.35 +5.8 57
2020-07-24 Vllaznia W 3-031.6 1298 1213 55.40% 25.74% 18.86%+0.89 +24.7 53
2020-07-24 @ Partizani L 0-331.6 1213 1298 18.86% 25.74% 55.40%-0.89 -24.7 45
2020-07-29 Bylis D 1-155.5 1432 1251 64.31% 23.65% 12.04%+1.45 -4.8 70
2020-07-29 @ KF Tirana D 1-155.5 1251 1432 12.04% 23.65% 64.31%-1.45 +4.8 51
2020-07-29 Flamurtari D 1-153.7 1189 1022 63.20% 23.99% 12.82%+1.37 -4.6 46
2020-07-29 @ Vllaznia D 1-153.7 1022 1189 12.82% 23.99% 63.20%-1.37 +4.6 15
2020-07-29 Kukesi L 2-532.0 901 1405 4.98% 18.01% 77.01%-2.57 -4.6 14
2020-07-29 @ Luftetari W 5-232.0 1405 901 77.01% 18.01% 4.98%+2.57 +4.6 66
2020-07-29 Laci L 2-353.9 1329 1428 31.92% 27.04% 41.04%-0.19 -12.4 57
2020-07-29 @ Teuta W 3-253.9 1428 1329 41.04% 27.04% 31.92%+0.19 +12.4 64
2020-07-29 Partizani W 4-142.1 1266 1322 37.88% 27.10% 35.03%+0.06 +34.2 58
2020-07-29 @ Skenderbeu L 1-442.1 1322 1266 35.03% 27.10% 37.88%-0.06 -34.2 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-11-09 13.50% Skenderbeu 1176 3 @ Bylis 1332 2
2 2019-09-01 15.70% Bylis 1184 3 @ Skenderbeu 1308 0
3 2020-07-19 16.87% @ Vllaznia 1191 1 Kukesi 1432 0
4 2020-07-06 18.23% Kukesi 1383 2 @ KF Tirana 1475 1
5 2020-06-15 19.69% @ Teuta 1264 1 KF Tirana 1472 0
6 2019-12-13 20.65% KF Tirana 1281 2 @ Partizani 1346 1
7 2020-03-04 20.79% Teuta 1260 1 @ Partizani 1323 0
8 2020-02-29 21.47% Skenderbeu 1201 1 @ Vllaznia 1257 0
9 2020-02-16 21.92% Flamurtari 1024 1 @ Luftetari 1076 0
10 2019-09-29 22.30% Partizani 1284 2 @ KF Tirana 1332 1
11 2020-02-21 22.69% KF Tirana 1372 2 @ Kukesi 1416 1
12 2020-06-03 23.35% Skenderbeu 1249 2 @ Partizani 1287 1
13 2019-12-22 23.49% KF Tirana 1310 2 @ Laci 1347 1
14 2020-03-09 24.53% @ Skenderbeu 1231 2 Kukesi 1391 1
15 2020-01-21 24.66% @ Skenderbeu 1162 3 Partizani 1320 2
16 2019-10-06 25.45% Vllaznia 1286 2 @ Kukesi 1304 1
17 2020-02-16 26.93% Partizani 1327 3 @ Laci 1333 1
18 2019-10-19 27.37% Partizani 1301 3 @ Vllaznia 1304 1
19 2019-11-23 28.02% @ Skenderbeu 1198 2 KF Tirana 1327 1
20 2019-12-07 28.02% Kukesi 1314 3 @ KF Tirana 1310 1
21 2019-12-18 30.67% @ Luftetari 1080 2 Skenderbeu 1189 0
22 2019-08-31 30.88% KF Tirana 1299 2 @ Vllaznia 1273 0
23 2020-06-27 31.78% @ Partizani 1275 1 Laci 1375 0
24 2019-12-18 32.53% @ Teuta 1232 1 Partizani 1326 0
25 2019-09-15 33.30% @ Laci 1214 1 Partizani 1303 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-01 62.59 Bylis 3 1184 15.70% @ Skenderbeu 0 1308 59.32% 24.98%
2 2019-09-28 44.93 @ Vllaznia 4 1241 44.98% Skenderbeu 0 1245 28.15% 26.86%
3 2019-08-28 42.35 Kukesi 3 1281 35.76% @ Flamurtari 0 1220 37.14% 27.10%
4 2019-10-23 42.29 @ Laci 3 1222 35.83% Teuta 0 1293 37.07% 27.10%
5 2020-06-28 41.55 Teuta 3 1304 36.72% @ Vllaznia 0 1235 36.18% 27.10%
6 2020-07-19 40.49 Laci 3 1364 37.98% @ Bylis 0 1287 34.93% 27.09%
7 2020-06-27 38.85 @ Flamurtari 6 1002 50.73% Luftetari 1 960 22.89% 26.38%
8 2019-10-27 37.16 @ Laci 3 1265 41.86% Vllaznia 0 1292 31.13% 27.01%
9 2019-09-28 36.59 @ Bylis 5 1263 57.48% Flamurtari 0 1159 17.15% 25.37%
10 2020-07-29 34.22 @ Skenderbeu 4 1266 37.88% Partizani 1 1322 35.03% 27.10%
11 2019-10-27 33.17 KF Tirana 3 1298 46.35% @ Luftetari 0 1159 26.87% 26.78%
12 2019-12-14 33.06 @ Kukesi 4 1343 54.78% Teuta 0 1265 19.37% 25.84%
13 2019-11-02 32.58 Laci 4 1302 40.16% @ Skenderbeu 1 1209 32.78% 27.06%
14 2020-02-28 32.51 @ KF Tirana 5 1391 49.95% Partizani 1 1355 23.58% 26.47%
15 2019-12-18 32.23 @ Luftetari 2 1080 30.67% Skenderbeu 0 1189 42.34% 26.99%
16 2019-08-31 32.10 KF Tirana 2 1299 30.88% @ Vllaznia 0 1273 42.12% 27.00%
17 2019-08-24 31.64 @ KF Tirana 3 1270 48.03% Luftetari 0 1250 25.33% 26.65%
18 2020-02-16 30.02 Partizani 3 1327 26.93% @ Laci 1 1333 46.29% 26.78%
19 2019-10-19 29.76 Partizani 3 1301 27.37% @ Vllaznia 1 1304 45.82% 26.81%
20 2019-12-07 29.39 Kukesi 3 1314 28.02% @ KF Tirana 1 1310 45.13% 26.86%
21 2020-07-11 28.31 @ Kukesi 3 1404 51.61% Teuta 0 1354 22.11% 26.28%
22 2020-06-20 27.78 @ Laci 2 1347 38.14% Kukesi 0 1402 34.76% 27.09%
23 2020-02-02 26.89 Partizani 3 1294 53.11% @ Luftetari 0 1098 20.80% 26.09%
24 2020-07-24 24.72 @ Partizani 3 1298 55.40% Vllaznia 0 1213 18.86% 25.74%
25 2019-12-07 24.15 Vllaznia 2 1242 44.23% @ Luftetari 0 1119 28.86% 26.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-22 62.2 @ Flamurtari 3 1159 35.73% Laci 3 1230 37.17% 27.10%
2 2020-02-22 60.1 @ Partizani 2 1357 52.30% Bylis 2 1301 21.50% 26.20%
3 2020-02-29 59.9 @ Teuta 2 1258 26.92% Kukesi 2 1397 46.29% 26.78%
4 2019-11-09 59.8 Skenderbeu 3 1176 13.50% @ Bylis 2 1332 62.25% 24.25%
5 2020-02-03 59.4 @ Bylis 2 1303 49.88% Vllaznia 2 1268 23.65% 26.48%
6 2019-12-14 59.1 @ Flamurtari 2 1085 17.93% Bylis 2 1313 56.53% 25.55%
7 2019-10-05 59.0 @ Flamurtari 2 1122 21.25% KF Tirana 2 1313 52.59% 26.16%
8 2020-06-15 59.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1251 42.13% Bylis 2 1277 30.87% 27.00%
9 2020-07-06 58.2 Kukesi 2 1383 18.23% @ KF Tirana 1 1475 56.16% 25.61%
10 2020-01-21 56.4 @ Skenderbeu 3 1162 24.66% Partizani 2 1320 48.76% 26.58%
11 2020-07-10 55.5 @ Partizani 1 1293 24.36% KF Tirana 1 1454 49.09% 26.55%
12 2020-07-29 55.5 @ KF Tirana 1 1432 64.31% Bylis 1 1251 12.04% 23.65%
13 2020-02-21 55.1 KF Tirana 2 1372 22.69% @ Kukesi 1 1416 50.94% 26.36%
14 2019-12-22 54.9 @ Kukesi 1 1389 68.34% Skenderbeu 1 1156 9.43% 22.23%
15 2020-02-16 54.9 @ Bylis 1 1300 29.62% Kukesi 1 1417 43.43% 26.95%
16 2020-02-15 54.6 @ KF Tirana 1 1377 65.54% Skenderbeu 1 1181 11.21% 23.25%
17 2020-03-08 54.5 @ Teuta 1 1280 69.52% Flamurtari 1 1031 8.74% 21.75%
18 2020-02-08 54.0 @ Teuta 1 1257 64.79% Luftetari 1 1071 11.71% 23.50%
19 2020-06-03 54.0 @ Laci 1 1330 52.26% Teuta 1 1275 21.54% 26.20%
20 2019-09-01 53.9 @ Kukesi 1 1324 58.37% Laci 1 1210 16.44% 25.19%
21 2020-06-15 53.9 @ Skenderbeu 1 1276 35.71% Laci 1 1348 37.19% 27.10%
22 2020-07-29 53.9 Laci 3 1428 41.04% @ Teuta 2 1329 31.92% 27.04%
23 2019-10-05 53.8 @ Partizani 1 1303 47.91% Teuta 1 1285 25.43% 26.66%
24 2019-11-10 53.7 @ Flamurtari 1 1095 15.69% Partizani 1 1351 59.33% 24.98%
25 2020-07-29 53.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1189 63.20% Flamurtari 1 1022 12.82% 23.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-06-07 26.1 KF Tirana 5 1458 73.63% @ Luftetari 0 1013 6.53% 19.84%
2 2020-07-18 26.2 @ KF Tirana 2 1452 79.66% Flamurtari 0 1031 3.92% 16.42%
3 2019-12-14 26.8 @ Laci 4 1346 69.60% Luftetari 0 1095 8.69% 21.71%
4 2020-07-24 27.1 @ Bylis 2 1246 75.27% Luftetari 0 906 5.75% 18.98%
5 2019-12-08 27.5 @ Laci 3 1333 68.54% Flamurtari 0 1098 9.31% 22.15%
6 2020-02-08 28.2 @ Partizani 2 1321 72.21% Flamurtari 0 1031 7.25% 20.54%
7 2020-02-22 28.2 @ Vllaznia 4 1235 64.26% Luftetari 0 1056 12.08% 23.67%
8 2020-03-04 29.1 KF Tirana 2 1423 69.66% @ Flamurtari 0 1039 8.65% 21.69%
9 2020-06-14 29.2 @ Partizani 8 1246 69.34% Luftetari 1 999 8.84% 21.82%
10 2020-06-15 29.5 @ Kukesi 4 1397 77.68% Flamurtari 1 1014 4.70% 17.62%
11 2019-12-18 29.8 @ KF Tirana 2 1301 66.85% Flamurtari 0 1088 10.36% 22.79%
12 2019-11-03 29.9 @ Partizani 2 1342 67.09% Luftetari 0 1126 10.20% 22.70%
13 2020-06-19 29.9 @ KF Tirana 3 1451 65.94% Vllaznia 0 1250 10.95% 23.12%
14 2020-03-04 30.0 @ Skenderbeu 2 1221 65.84% Luftetari 0 1021 11.01% 23.15%
15 2020-01-21 30.1 @ Vllaznia 2 1258 65.66% Flamurtari 0 1060 11.13% 23.21%
16 2019-09-28 30.8 @ Bylis 5 1263 57.48% Flamurtari 0 1159 17.15% 25.37%
17 2020-01-26 30.9 @ KF Tirana 5 1340 68.02% Luftetari 1 1112 9.63% 22.35%
18 2020-07-11 31.2 @ Laci 3 1361 80.92% Luftetari 1 914 3.47% 15.61%
19 2020-02-29 31.4 Laci 2 1315 61.57% @ Luftetari 0 1034 14.00% 24.44%
20 2020-07-24 31.6 @ Partizani 3 1298 55.40% Vllaznia 0 1213 18.86% 25.74%
21 2019-12-14 31.9 @ Kukesi 4 1343 54.78% Teuta 0 1265 19.37% 25.84%
22 2020-06-20 31.9 Teuta 5 1285 63.84% @ Luftetari 1 978 12.37% 23.79%
23 2020-02-02 32.0 Partizani 3 1294 53.11% @ Luftetari 0 1098 20.80% 26.09%
24 2020-07-29 32.0 Kukesi 5 1405 77.01% @ Luftetari 2 901 4.98% 18.01%
25 2020-02-02 32.8 Kukesi 4 1388 66.86% @ Flamurtari 1 1043 10.35% 22.79%