2020-21 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Teuta

66 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1993-94

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vllaznia

11.87 points above expected

66 points · 54.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kastrioti

7.52 points below expected

35 points · 42.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Teuta Champion	36	17	15	4	66	42	16	+26	58.70	+7.30
2	Vllaznia	36	19	9	8	66	44	22	+22	54.13	+11.87
3	Partizani	36	17	14	5	65	53	23	+30	60.32	+4.68
4	Laci	36	16	13	7	61	41	26	+15	60.56	+0.44
5	KF Tirana	36	15	13	8	58	41	26	+15	57.58	+0.42
6	Kukesi	36	13	6	17	45	47	48	-1	52.37	-7.37
7	Skenderbeu	36	9	10	17	37	34	55	-21	35.73	+1.27
8	Kastrioti	36	8	11	17	35	26	44	-18	42.52	-7.52
9	Bylis	36	7	10	19	31	28	51	-23	37.61	-6.61
10	Apolonia	36	4	9	23	21	22	67	-45	26.58	-5.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vllaznia	66	54.13	+11.87
2	Teuta	66	58.70	+7.30
3	Partizani	65	60.32	+4.68
4	Skenderbeu	37	35.73	+1.27
5	Laci	61	60.56	+0.44

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kastrioti	35	42.52	-7.52
2	Kukesi	45	52.37	-7.37
3	Bylis	31	37.61	-6.61
4	Apolonia	21	26.58	-5.58
5	KF Tirana	58	57.58	+0.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Laci	5	Jan 25 – Feb 20	1 in 90
2	Kukesi	5	Nov 25 – Dec 13	1 in 80
3	Vllaznia	4	May 13 – May 26	1 in 57
4	Skenderbeu	2	Mar 21 – Apr 4	1 in 19
5	KF Tirana	3	Feb 27 – Mar 7	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kastrioti	5	Apr 28 – May 17	1 in 65
2	Bylis	6	Jan 15 – Feb 13	1 in 56
3	Kukesi	4	Dec 27 – Jan 15	1 in 45
4	Apolonia	5	Mar 21 – Apr 24	1 in 23
5	KF Tirana	2	Nov 8 – Nov 21	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Teuta	12	Nov 4 – Dec 30	1 in 112
2	Apolonia	4	Feb 27 – Mar 12	1 in 49
3	Skenderbeu	6	Apr 28 – May 21	1 in 39
4	KF Tirana	11	Nov 25 – Jan 16	1 in 31
5	Laci	10	Jan 20 – Mar 13	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kastrioti	13	Mar 7 – May 21	1 in 37
2	Kukesi	7	Feb 21 – Apr 4	1 in 37
3	Vllaznia	5	Feb 21 – Mar 12	1 in 22
4	Apolonia	15	Jan 20 – Apr 24	1 in 17
5	KF Tirana	5	Nov 8 – Dec 4	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Vllaznia	1387	66	+28	12	7.7	+4.3
Teuta	1422	66	+20	10	9.2	+0.8
Partizani	1451	65	-3	8	9.1	-1.1
Laci	1391	61	-13	8	8.6	-0.6
KF Tirana	1396	58	-1	8	8.9	-0.9
Kukesi	1276	45	+17	9	8.5	+0.5
Skenderbeu	1217	37	+23	8	4.9	+3.1
Kastrioti	1159	35	+2	4	4.0	+0.0
Bylis	1157	31	-37	1	4.2	-3.2
Apolonia	1045	21	-36	1	2.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	APO	BYL	KT	KAS	KUK	LAC	PAR	SKE	TEU	VLL
Apolonia	—	0-1-3 4.05	0-1-3 2.43	2-2-0 3.59	0-1-3 3.01	1-1-2 2.36	0-2-2 2.46	1-1-2 4.21	0-0-4 2.35	0-0-4 3.13
Bylis	3-1-0 6.70	—	0-3-1 3.33	1-2-1 5.05	1-0-3 3.78	0-1-3 3.31	0-1-3 2.86	1-0-3 5.91	0-2-2 3.34	1-0-3 3.58
KF Tirana	3-1-0 8.57	1-3-0 7.50	—	3-1-0 7.18	1-2-1 5.82	2-0-2 5.03	0-2-2 4.90	2-2-0 7.83	1-1-2 5.41	2-1-1 5.61
Kastrioti	0-2-2 7.20	1-2-1 5.66	0-1-3 3.64	—	3-0-1 3.84	1-2-1 3.43	1-0-3 3.87	2-1-1 5.94	0-2-2 3.48	0-1-3 3.91
Kukesi	3-1-0 7.86	3-0-1 6.99	1-2-1 4.89	1-0-3 6.93	—	1-0-3 4.17	0-0-4 4.85	2-0-2 7.15	0-2-2 4.68	2-1-1 4.63
Laci	2-1-1 8.66	3-1-0 7.52	2-0-2 5.68	1-2-1 7.38	3-0-1 6.57	—	1-3-0 5.12	1-3-0 7.94	1-2-1 5.53	2-1-1 5.82
Partizani	2-2-0 8.57	3-1-0 8.05	2-2-0 5.81	3-0-1 6.93	4-0-0 5.89	0-3-1 5.59	—	2-1-1 7.91	1-3-0 5.77	0-2-2 6.23
Skenderbeu	2-1-1 6.54	3-0-1 4.81	0-2-2 3.04	1-1-2 4.78	2-0-2 3.64	0-3-1 2.95	1-1-2 3.01	—	0-1-3 3.55	0-1-3 3.71
Teuta	4-0-0 8.69	2-2-0 7.51	2-1-1 5.31	2-2-0 7.36	2-2-0 6.04	1-2-1 5.18	0-3-1 4.94	3-1-0 7.29	—	1-2-1 5.78
Vllaznia	4-0-0 7.76	3-0-1 7.22	1-1-2 5.10	3-1-0 6.89	1-1-2 6.09	1-1-2 4.89	2-2-0 4.50	3-1-0 7.14	1-2-1 4.93	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+14.4
Allowed	0.93	-9.4
Differential	0.98	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.06%	5.56%	2.50%	1.11%	0.28%	36.39%
1	13.06%	13.89%	7.22%	1.94%	0.28%	0.83%	37.22%
2	5.56%	7.22%	2.78%	0.83%	0.56%	0.28%	17.22%
3	2.50%	1.94%	0.83%	—	0.28%	—	5.56%
4	1.11%	0.28%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	2.22%
5+	0.28%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	1.39%
Total	36.39%	37.22%	17.22%	5.56%	2.22%	1.39%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.05	+0.00
SD	1.12	1.12	1.60
CV	1.07	1.07	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	27.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	50.00%
1	5.56%	19.44%	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	52.78%	13.89%	13.89%	—	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.61	1.86	-1.25
SD	0.69	1.62	1.70
CV	1.13	0.87	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	47.22%
1	8.33%	11.11%	13.89%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	36.11%	27.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	1.42	-0.64
SD	0.90	1.16	1.31
CV	1.15	0.82	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	41.67%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	0.72	+0.42
SD	1.15	0.78	1.20
CV	1.01	1.08	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	16.67%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	25.00%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	1.22	-0.50
SD	0.66	0.96	1.18
CV	0.91	0.79	—
Max	2	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	5.56%	2.78%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	33.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.33	-0.03
SD	1.28	1.12	1.90
CV	0.98	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	19.44%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	41.67%	44.44%	13.89%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	0.72	+0.42
SD	1.20	0.70	1.23
CV	1.05	0.97	—
Max	6	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	38.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	0.64	+0.83
SD	1.34	0.76	1.42
CV	0.91	1.19	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	44.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.53	-0.58
SD	0.89	1.25	1.59
CV	0.95	0.82	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	22.22%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	61.11%	33.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.44	+0.72
SD	1.30	0.61	1.39
CV	1.11	1.37	—
Max	6	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	30.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	63.89%	19.44%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	0.61	+0.61
SD	1.33	0.99	1.57
CV	1.09	1.63	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Partizani	1451	65	60.32	+4.68	76.0%	44	47	55	60	65	73	76
Teuta	1422	66	58.70	+7.30	84.0%	43	45	53	59	64	69	77
KF Tirana	1396	58	57.58	+0.42	58.0%	41	46	53	57	63	69	75
Laci	1391	61	60.56	+0.44	50.0%	35	47	55	61	66	70	77
Vllaznia	1387	66	54.13	+11.87	97.0%	38	45	50	53	59	64	69
Kukesi	1276	45	52.37	-7.37	18.0%	38	40	48	52	57	62	66
Skenderbeu	1217	37	35.73	+1.27	60.0%	20	23	31	35	41	48	54
Kastrioti	1159	35	42.52	-7.52	18.0%	24	31	37	42	47	58	62
Bylis	1157	31	37.61	-6.61	20.0%	23	27	33	37	42	49	62
Apolonia	1045	21	26.58	-5.58	24.0%	12	16	22	27	31	37	45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.89%

No Edge

36.67%30.56%32.78%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 13.52 Elo pts.

188 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.09 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.8

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

20%

Teuta, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.5 * Lucky: 8.5 to 11.33 * Wild Swing: 11.33 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1 * Close: 1 to 1.5 * Off: 1.5 to 2 * Way Off: 2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.35 points

Some Luck

07.0818

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.253

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

97.00%

Vllaznia

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

18.00%

Kukesi

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.120.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 139.29

2.19

Wide Separation

0.91.351.82.153

Interquartile Edge

78%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

73%

Very Frequent

0%65%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Occasional

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.87

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.35

Weak Carryover

00.410.590.731

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Very Shaky

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.82

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.14

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Teuta	20.00%	21.00%	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Vllaznia	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	15.00%	28.00%	22.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—
Partizani	23.00%	26.00%	23.00%	12.00%	6.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Laci	28.00%	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—
KF Tirana	18.00%	13.00%	19.00%	20.00%	13.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—
Kukesi	2.00%	7.00%	8.00%	25.00%	20.00%	20.00%	14.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Skenderbeu	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	17.00%	30.00%	38.00%	11.00%
Kastrioti	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	35.00%	23.00%	15.00%	3.00%
Bylis	—	—	1.00%	—	—	8.00%	18.00%	38.00%	27.00%	8.00%
Apolonia	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	16.00%	78.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Partizani	100%	—	—
Teuta	99.00%	1.00%	—
KF Tirana	99.00%	—	1.00%
Kukesi	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Laci	99.00%	—	1.00%
Vllaznia	99.00%	—	1.00%
Kastrioti	59.00%	23.00%	18.00%
Bylis	27.00%	38.00%	35.00%
Skenderbeu	21.00%	30.00%	49.00%
Apolonia	1.00%	5.00%	94.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-11-04	Apolonia	W 2-0	37.3	1241	1205	40.72%	32.06%	27.22%	+0.26	+18.3	3
2020-11-04	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	37.3	1205	1241	27.22%	32.06%	40.72%	-0.26	-18.3	0
2020-11-04	Kukesi	W 2-0	39.9	1346	1341	36.53%	32.36%	31.11%	+0.10	+20.2	3
2020-11-04	@ KF Tirana	L 0-2	39.9	1341	1346	31.11%	32.36%	36.53%	-0.10	-20.2	0
2020-11-04	Laci	D 1-1	53.3	1272	1355	24.82%	31.72%	43.46%	-0.37	+1.2	1
2020-11-04	@ Bylis	D 1-1	53.3	1355	1272	43.46%	31.72%	24.82%	+0.37	-1.2	1
2020-11-04	Partizani	W 2-1	49.2	1271	1284	33.76%	32.41%	33.83%	+0.00	+10.7	3
2020-11-04	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	49.2	1284	1271	33.83%	32.41%	33.76%	+0.00	-10.7	0
2020-11-04	Skenderbeu	D 1-1	52.8	1297	1289	36.83%	32.34%	30.83%	+0.11	-0.4	1
2020-11-04	@ Teuta	D 1-1	52.8	1289	1297	30.83%	32.34%	36.83%	-0.11	+0.4	1
2020-11-08	Bylis	D 2-2	58.2	1187	1273	24.55%	31.67%	43.78%	-0.39	+0.9	1
2020-11-08	@ Apolonia	D 2-2	58.2	1273	1187	43.78%	31.67%	24.55%	+0.39	-0.9	2
2020-11-08	Kastrioti	D 1-1	53.5	1354	1281	45.58%	31.36%	23.06%	+0.46	-1.4	2
2020-11-08	@ Laci	D 1-1	53.5	1281	1354	23.06%	31.36%	45.58%	-0.46	+1.4	4
2020-11-08	Partizani	L 0-2	42.3	1321	1274	42.18%	31.89%	25.93%	+0.32	-25.0	0
2020-11-08	@ Kukesi	W 2-0	42.3	1274	1321	25.93%	31.89%	42.18%	-0.32	+25.0	3
2020-11-08	Teuta	L 0-1	47.0	1366	1297	45.17%	31.44%	23.39%	+0.44	-14.0	3
2020-11-08	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	47.0	1297	1366	23.39%	31.44%	45.17%	-0.44	+14.0	4
2020-11-08	Vllaznia	L 0-2	41.4	1290	1259	39.94%	32.14%	27.93%	+0.23	-24.0	1
2020-11-08	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-0	41.4	1259	1290	27.93%	32.14%	39.94%	-0.23	+24.0	6
2020-11-21	Apolonia	D 1-1	52.8	1283	1188	48.32%	30.78%	20.90%	+0.58	-1.8	5
2020-11-21	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	52.8	1188	1283	20.90%	30.78%	48.32%	-0.58	+1.8	2
2020-11-21	KF Tirana	W 3-2	56.4	1283	1352	26.49%	31.97%	41.54%	-0.30	+11.7	9
2020-11-21	@ Vllaznia	L 2-3	56.4	1352	1283	41.54%	31.97%	26.49%	+0.30	-11.7	3
2020-11-21	Kukesi	D 0-0	47.5	1311	1296	37.86%	32.29%	29.85%	+0.15	-0.5	5
2020-11-21	@ Teuta	D 0-0	47.5	1296	1311	29.85%	32.29%	37.86%	-0.15	+0.5	1
2020-11-21	Laci	D 0-0	47.9	1299	1353	28.32%	32.17%	39.51%	-0.22	+0.8	4
2020-11-21	@ Partizani	D 0-0	47.9	1353	1299	39.51%	32.17%	28.32%	+0.22	-0.8	3
2020-11-21	Skenderbeu	L 0-2	40.5	1272	1266	36.64%	32.35%	31.01%	+0.11	-22.5	2
2020-11-21	@ Bylis	W 2-0	40.5	1266	1272	31.01%	32.35%	36.64%	-0.11	+22.5	4
2020-11-25	Bylis	D 0-0	47.8	1341	1250	47.87%	30.89%	21.24%	+0.56	-1.9	4
2020-11-25	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	47.8	1250	1341	21.24%	30.89%	47.87%	-0.56	+1.9	3
2020-11-25	Kastrioti	L 1-2	50.2	1288	1281	36.75%	32.35%	30.90%	+0.11	-11.3	4
2020-11-25	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-1	50.2	1281	1288	30.90%	32.35%	36.75%	-0.11	+11.3	8
2020-11-25	Laci	W 1-0	45.4	1296	1352	28.08%	32.15%	39.77%	-0.23	+12.7	4
2020-11-25	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	45.4	1352	1296	39.77%	32.15%	28.08%	+0.23	-12.7	3
2020-11-25	Partizani	L 0-3	33.9	1190	1299	22.06%	31.12%	46.83%	-0.51	-22.6	2
2020-11-25	@ Apolonia	W 3-0	33.9	1299	1190	46.83%	31.12%	22.06%	+0.51	+22.6	7
2020-11-25	Vllaznia	D 0-0	47.4	1310	1295	37.84%	32.29%	29.87%	+0.15	-0.5	6
2020-11-25	@ Teuta	D 0-0	47.4	1295	1310	29.87%	32.29%	37.84%	-0.15	+0.5	10
2020-11-29	Apolonia	W 6-1	33.4	1339	1167	57.15%	27.93%	14.92%	+0.99	+21.1	6
2020-11-29	@ Laci	L 1-6	33.4	1167	1339	14.92%	27.93%	57.15%	-0.99	-21.1	2
2020-11-29	KF Tirana	D 1-1	53.2	1292	1339	29.27%	32.25%	38.48%	-0.18	+0.5	9
2020-11-29	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	53.2	1339	1292	38.48%	32.25%	29.27%	+0.18	-0.5	5
2020-11-29	Kukesi	L 2-4	48.8	1296	1309	33.87%	32.41%	33.73%	+0.00	-16.5	10
2020-11-29	@ Vllaznia	W 4-2	48.8	1309	1296	33.73%	32.41%	33.87%	+0.00	+16.5	7
2020-11-29	Skenderbeu	W 4-0	35.9	1322	1277	41.96%	31.92%	26.12%	+0.31	+33.7	10
2020-11-29	@ Partizani	L 0-4	35.9	1277	1322	26.12%	31.92%	41.96%	-0.31	-33.7	4
2020-11-29	Teuta	D 0-0	47.2	1251	1310	27.81%	32.12%	40.07%	-0.24	+0.8	4
2020-11-29	@ Bylis	D 0-0	47.2	1310	1251	40.07%	32.12%	27.81%	+0.24	-0.8	7
2020-12-04	Partizani	D 0-0	48.3	1338	1356	33.23%	32.41%	34.36%	-0.02	+0.1	6
2020-12-04	@ KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.3	1356	1338	34.36%	32.41%	33.23%	+0.02	-0.1	11
2020-12-05	Apolonia	W 1-0	35.5	1325	1146	57.90%	27.62%	14.48%	+1.03	+5.6	10
2020-12-05	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	35.5	1146	1325	14.48%	27.62%	57.90%	-1.03	-5.6	2
2020-12-05	Bylis	W 1-0	41.3	1279	1252	39.49%	32.18%	28.34%	+0.22	+10.0	13
2020-12-05	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	41.3	1252	1279	28.34%	32.18%	39.49%	-0.22	-10.0	4
2020-12-05	Kastrioti	D 1-1	52.9	1309	1293	37.97%	32.28%	29.74%	+0.16	-0.5	8
2020-12-05	@ Teuta	D 1-1	52.9	1293	1309	29.74%	32.28%	37.97%	-0.16	+0.5	10
2020-12-05	Laci	D 1-1	53.4	1243	1360	21.34%	30.92%	47.74%	-0.55	+1.7	5
2020-12-05	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	53.4	1360	1243	47.74%	30.92%	21.34%	+0.55	-1.7	7
2020-12-09	KF Tirana	L 0-1	45.6	1359	1338	38.59%	32.24%	29.17%	+0.18	-12.4	7
2020-12-09	@ Laci	W 1-0	45.6	1338	1359	29.17%	32.24%	38.59%	-0.18	+12.4	9
2020-12-09	Kukesi	L 0-3	35.1	1242	1331	24.27%	31.61%	44.12%	-0.40	-24.4	4
2020-12-09	@ Bylis	W 3-0	35.1	1331	1242	44.12%	31.61%	24.27%	+0.40	+24.4	13
2020-12-09	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	45.9	1140	1245	22.58%	31.25%	46.17%	-0.49	+14.2	5
2020-12-09	@ Apolonia	L 0-1	45.9	1245	1140	46.17%	31.25%	22.58%	+0.49	-14.2	5
2020-12-09	Teuta	D 0-0	48.1	1356	1308	42.26%	31.88%	25.86%	+0.32	-1.1	12
2020-12-09	@ Partizani	D 0-0	48.1	1308	1356	25.86%	31.88%	42.26%	-0.32	+1.1	9
2020-12-09	Vllaznia	L 0-3	39.0	1293	1289	36.32%	32.36%	31.32%	+0.09	-32.5	10
2020-12-09	@ Kastrioti	W 3-0	39.0	1289	1293	31.32%	32.36%	36.32%	-0.09	+32.5	16
2020-12-13	Apolonia	W 3-0	30.1	1351	1154	59.66%	26.85%	13.50%	+1.12	+14.3	12
2020-12-13	@ KF Tirana	L 0-3	30.1	1154	1351	13.50%	26.85%	59.66%	-1.12	-14.2	5
2020-12-13	Kastrioti	W 2-1	50.1	1218	1261	29.76%	32.29%	37.96%	-0.16	+11.6	7
2020-12-13	@ Bylis	L 1-2	50.1	1261	1218	37.96%	32.29%	29.76%	+0.16	-11.6	10
2020-12-13	Laci	D 1-1	53.4	1309	1346	30.54%	32.33%	37.13%	-0.12	+0.4	10
2020-12-13	@ Teuta	D 1-1	53.4	1346	1309	37.13%	32.33%	30.54%	+0.12	-0.4	8
2020-12-13	Partizani	W 1-0	44.8	1322	1355	31.09%	32.35%	36.55%	-0.10	+11.9	19
2020-12-13	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	44.8	1355	1322	36.55%	32.35%	31.09%	+0.10	-11.9	12
2020-12-13	Skenderbeu	W 3-1	40.2	1355	1231	51.85%	29.83%	18.33%	+0.74	+11.5	16
2020-12-13	@ Kukesi	L 1-3	40.2	1231	1355	18.33%	29.83%	51.85%	-0.74	-11.5	5
2020-12-19	Bylis	D 0-0	47.9	1343	1229	50.51%	30.22%	19.27%	+0.68	-2.3	13
2020-12-19	@ Partizani	D 0-0	47.9	1229	1343	19.27%	30.22%	50.51%	-0.68	+2.3	8
2020-12-19	KF Tirana	D 1-1	53.5	1219	1365	18.80%	30.03%	51.18%	-0.71	+2.1	6
2020-12-19	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	53.5	1365	1219	51.18%	30.03%	18.80%	+0.71	-2.1	13
2020-12-19	Kukesi	W 1-0	47.2	1249	1367	21.31%	30.91%	47.78%	-0.55	+14.6	13
2020-12-19	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	47.2	1367	1249	47.78%	30.91%	21.31%	+0.55	-14.6	16
2020-12-19	Teuta	L 0-1	36.7	1140	1310	16.95%	29.16%	53.89%	-0.83	-6.5	5
2020-12-19	@ Apolonia	W 1-0	36.7	1310	1140	53.89%	29.16%	16.95%	+0.83	+6.5	13
2020-12-19	Vllaznia	W 1-0	42.9	1346	1334	37.46%	32.31%	30.22%	+0.14	+10.5	11
2020-12-19	@ Laci	L 0-1	42.9	1334	1346	30.22%	32.31%	37.46%	-0.14	-10.5	19
2020-12-23	Bylis	W 2-0	34.5	1356	1232	51.86%	29.82%	18.32%	+0.74	+13.3	14
2020-12-23	@ Laci	L 0-2	34.5	1232	1356	18.32%	29.82%	51.86%	-0.74	-13.3	8
2020-12-23	Kastrioti	W 2-0	36.3	1340	1264	46.03%	31.28%	22.69%	+0.48	+15.9	16
2020-12-23	@ Partizani	L 0-2	36.3	1264	1340	22.69%	31.28%	46.03%	-0.48	-15.9	13
2020-12-23	KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.5	1352	1363	34.19%	32.41%	33.40%	+0.01	-0.1	17
2020-12-23	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	48.5	1363	1352	33.40%	32.41%	34.19%	-0.01	+0.0	14
2020-12-23	Teuta	L 1-3	42.0	1221	1316	23.58%	31.48%	44.94%	-0.43	-14.2	6
2020-12-23	@ Skenderbeu	W 3-1	42.0	1316	1221	44.94%	31.48%	23.58%	+0.43	+14.2	16
2020-12-23	Vllaznia	L 0-1	36.0	1134	1323	15.56%	28.36%	56.09%	-0.94	-6.0	5
2020-12-23	@ Apolonia	W 1-0	36.0	1323	1134	56.09%	28.36%	15.56%	+0.94	+6.0	22
2020-12-27	Apolonia	W 3-1	40.7	1218	1128	47.81%	30.90%	21.29%	+0.56	+13.1	11
2020-12-27	@ Bylis	L 1-3	40.7	1128	1218	21.29%	30.90%	47.81%	-0.56	-13.1	5
2020-12-27	KF Tirana	D 1-1	53.8	1331	1363	31.15%	32.36%	36.49%	-0.10	+0.3	17
2020-12-27	@ Teuta	D 1-1	53.8	1363	1331	36.49%	32.36%	31.15%	+0.10	-0.3	15
2020-12-27	Kukesi	W 4-1	43.2	1356	1352	36.32%	32.36%	31.32%	+0.09	+24.8	19
2020-12-27	@ Partizani	L 1-4	43.2	1352	1356	31.32%	32.36%	36.32%	-0.09	-24.8	17
2020-12-27	Laci	W 1-0	47.3	1248	1370	20.91%	30.79%	48.30%	-0.58	+14.7	16
2020-12-27	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	47.3	1370	1248	48.30%	30.79%	20.91%	+0.58	-14.7	14
2020-12-27	Skenderbeu	W 5-1	35.8	1329	1207	51.56%	29.91%	18.53%	+0.72	+21.2	25
2020-12-27	@ Vllaznia	L 1-5	35.8	1207	1329	18.53%	29.91%	51.56%	-0.72	-21.2	6
2020-12-30	Bylis	W 4-3	56.5	1186	1232	29.40%	32.26%	38.34%	-0.17	+10.8	9
2020-12-30	@ Skenderbeu	L 3-4	56.5	1232	1186	38.34%	32.26%	29.40%	+0.17	-10.8	11
2020-12-30	Kastrioti	W 2-1	53.3	1115	1263	18.62%	29.95%	51.43%	-0.72	+14.6	8
2020-12-30	@ Apolonia	L 1-2	53.3	1263	1115	51.43%	29.95%	18.62%	+0.72	-14.6	16
2020-12-30	Partizani	W 3-2	56.0	1355	1381	32.02%	32.39%	35.59%	-0.07	+10.5	17
2020-12-30	@ Laci	L 2-3	56.0	1381	1355	35.59%	32.39%	32.02%	+0.07	-10.5	19
2020-12-30	Teuta	L 0-3	39.3	1327	1331	35.22%	32.39%	32.38%	+0.05	-31.9	17
2020-12-30	@ Kukesi	W 3-0	39.3	1331	1327	32.38%	32.39%	35.22%	-0.05	+31.9	20
2020-12-30	Vllaznia	D 1-1	54.1	1363	1350	37.46%	32.31%	30.23%	+0.14	-0.4	16
2020-12-30	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	54.1	1350	1363	30.23%	32.31%	37.46%	-0.14	+0.4	26
2021-01-08	Teuta	W 1-0	44.4	1351	1363	34.03%	32.41%	33.56%	+0.01	+11.3	29
2021-01-08	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	44.4	1363	1351	33.56%	32.41%	34.03%	-0.01	-11.3	20
2021-01-09	Apolonia	D 1-1	54.7	1371	1129	64.13%	24.64%	11.23%	+1.36	-3.7	20
2021-01-09	@ Partizani	D 1-1	54.7	1129	1371	11.23%	24.64%	64.13%	-1.36	+3.6	9
2021-01-09	KF Tirana	D 0-0	47.9	1221	1362	19.16%	30.18%	50.66%	-0.68	+2.3	12
2021-01-09	@ Bylis	D 0-0	47.9	1362	1221	50.66%	30.18%	19.16%	+0.68	-2.3	17
2021-01-09	Kukesi	W 3-2	51.1	1365	1295	45.20%	31.43%	23.37%	+0.45	+7.7	20
2021-01-09	@ Laci	L 2-3	51.1	1295	1365	23.37%	31.43%	45.20%	-0.45	-7.7	17
2021-01-09	Skenderbeu	D 2-2	58.2	1248	1197	42.77%	31.81%	25.41%	+0.35	-0.8	17
2021-01-09	@ Kastrioti	D 2-2	58.2	1197	1248	25.41%	31.81%	42.77%	-0.35	+0.8	10
2021-01-15	Bylis	W 2-0	34.3	1351	1223	52.29%	29.69%	18.02%	+0.76	+13.1	23
2021-01-15	@ Teuta	L 0-2	34.3	1223	1351	18.02%	29.69%	52.29%	-0.76	-13.1	12
2021-01-15	Vllaznia	L 0-1	41.2	1288	1362	25.87%	31.88%	42.25%	-0.32	-9.4	17
2021-01-15	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	41.2	1362	1288	42.25%	31.88%	25.87%	+0.32	+9.4	32
2021-01-16	Kastrioti	W 2-1	44.5	1360	1247	50.46%	30.23%	19.31%	+0.67	+7.0	20
2021-01-16	@ KF Tirana	L 1-2	44.5	1247	1360	19.31%	30.23%	50.46%	-0.67	-7.0	17
2021-01-16	Laci	W 1-0	49.2	1133	1373	12.58%	26.04%	61.38%	-1.21	+17.8	12
2021-01-16	@ Apolonia	L 0-1	49.2	1373	1133	61.38%	26.04%	12.58%	+1.21	-17.8	20
2021-01-16	Partizani	L 1-2	43.3	1198	1367	16.96%	29.17%	53.87%	-0.83	-6.2	10
2021-01-16	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-1	43.3	1367	1198	53.87%	29.17%	16.96%	+0.83	+6.2	23
2021-01-20	Kukesi	L 1-3	40.5	1151	1278	20.37%	30.61%	49.02%	-0.61	-12.6	12
2021-01-20	@ Apolonia	W 3-1	40.5	1278	1151	49.02%	30.61%	20.37%	+0.61	+12.6	20
2021-01-20	Skenderbeu	D 1-1	53.8	1355	1191	56.26%	28.29%	15.45%	+0.95	-2.8	21
2021-01-20	@ Laci	D 1-1	53.8	1191	1355	15.45%	28.29%	56.26%	-0.95	+2.8	11
2021-01-20	Teuta	L 0-1	38.9	1240	1365	20.68%	30.72%	48.60%	-0.59	-7.8	17
2021-01-20	@ Kastrioti	W 1-0	38.9	1365	1240	48.60%	30.72%	20.68%	+0.59	+7.8	26
2021-01-20	Vllaznia	L 0-1	37.5	1210	1371	17.55%	29.47%	52.97%	-0.79	-6.8	12
2021-01-20	@ Bylis	W 1-0	37.5	1371	1210	52.97%	29.47%	17.55%	+0.79	+6.8	35
2021-01-21	KF Tirana	W 1-0	44.0	1373	1367	36.61%	32.35%	31.04%	+0.11	+10.7	26
2021-01-21	@ Partizani	L 0-1	44.0	1367	1373	31.04%	32.35%	36.61%	-0.11	-10.7	20
2021-01-24	Apolonia	D 1-1	52.3	1194	1138	43.40%	31.73%	24.88%	+0.37	-1.2	12
2021-01-24	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	52.3	1138	1194	24.88%	31.73%	43.40%	-0.37	+1.2	13
2021-01-24	Bylis	W 2-1	44.9	1291	1203	47.44%	30.99%	21.58%	+0.54	+7.6	23
2021-01-24	@ Kukesi	L 1-2	44.9	1203	1291	21.58%	30.99%	47.44%	-0.54	-7.6	12
2021-01-24	Kastrioti	D 0-0	48.5	1378	1232	54.25%	29.04%	16.71%	+0.85	-2.8	36
2021-01-24	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	48.5	1232	1378	16.71%	29.04%	54.25%	-0.85	+2.8	18
2021-01-25	Laci	L 0-1	45.1	1356	1353	36.24%	32.37%	31.40%	+0.09	-11.9	20
2021-01-25	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	45.1	1353	1356	31.40%	32.37%	36.24%	-0.09	+11.9	24
2021-01-25	Partizani	D 1-1	54.7	1372	1384	34.10%	32.41%	33.49%	+0.01	-0.0	27
2021-01-25	@ Teuta	D 1-1	54.7	1384	1372	33.49%	32.41%	34.10%	-0.01	+0.0	27
2021-01-30	Bylis	W 1-0	40.4	1235	1196	41.22%	32.01%	26.77%	+0.28	+9.6	21
2021-01-30	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	40.4	1196	1235	26.77%	32.01%	41.22%	-0.28	-9.6	12
2021-01-30	Kukesi	L 0-4	34.1	1193	1299	22.48%	31.22%	46.30%	-0.49	-30.0	12
2021-01-30	@ Skenderbeu	W 4-0	34.1	1299	1193	46.30%	31.22%	22.48%	+0.49	+30.0	26
2021-01-31	KF Tirana	L 0-1	35.6	1139	1344	14.56%	27.68%	57.76%	-1.02	-5.6	13
2021-01-31	@ Apolonia	W 1-0	35.6	1344	1139	57.76%	27.68%	14.56%	+1.02	+5.6	23
2021-01-31	Teuta	W 1-0	44.6	1364	1372	34.61%	32.40%	32.99%	+0.03	+11.1	27
2021-01-31	@ Laci	L 0-1	44.6	1372	1364	32.99%	32.40%	34.61%	-0.03	-11.1	27
2021-01-31	Vllaznia	D 0-0	49.3	1384	1375	36.92%	32.34%	30.74%	+0.12	-0.4	28
2021-01-31	@ Partizani	D 0-0	49.3	1375	1384	30.74%	32.34%	36.92%	-0.12	+0.4	37
2021-02-05	Laci	L 1-2	51.8	1376	1376	35.76%	32.38%	31.86%	+0.07	-11.1	37
2021-02-05	@ Vllaznia	W 2-1	51.8	1376	1376	31.86%	32.38%	35.76%	-0.07	+11.1	30
2021-02-06	Apolonia	W 1-0	34.1	1361	1134	62.80%	25.33%	11.87%	+1.29	+4.5	30
2021-02-06	@ Teuta	L 0-1	34.1	1134	1361	11.87%	25.33%	62.80%	-1.29	-4.5	13
2021-02-06	Partizani	L 1-2	42.4	1186	1383	15.04%	28.02%	56.94%	-0.98	-5.5	12
2021-02-06	@ Bylis	W 2-1	42.4	1383	1186	56.94%	28.02%	15.04%	+0.98	+5.5	31
2021-02-06	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	32.1	1350	1163	58.70%	27.28%	14.03%	+1.07	+10.2	26
2021-02-06	@ KF Tirana	L 0-2	32.1	1163	1350	14.03%	27.28%	58.70%	-1.07	-10.2	12
2021-02-07	Kastrioti	L 0-1	46.7	1329	1245	46.94%	31.09%	21.97%	+0.52	-14.4	26
2021-02-07	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	46.7	1245	1329	21.97%	31.09%	46.94%	-0.52	+14.4	24
2021-02-12	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	31.3	1366	1153	61.35%	26.05%	12.60%	+1.21	+9.1	33
2021-02-12	@ Teuta	L 0-2	31.3	1153	1366	12.60%	26.05%	61.35%	-1.21	-9.1	12
2021-02-13	Apolonia	W 1-0	33.9	1365	1129	63.58%	24.93%	11.49%	+1.33	+4.3	40
2021-02-13	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	33.9	1129	1365	11.49%	24.93%	63.58%	-1.33	-4.3	13
2021-02-13	Kukesi	L 0-2	43.0	1360	1314	42.07%	31.91%	26.02%	+0.32	-25.0	26
2021-02-13	@ KF Tirana	W 2-0	43.0	1314	1360	26.02%	31.91%	42.07%	-0.32	+24.9	29
2021-02-13	Laci	L 0-1	35.9	1180	1387	14.50%	27.63%	57.87%	-1.03	-5.6	12
2021-02-13	@ Bylis	W 1-0	35.9	1387	1180	57.87%	27.63%	14.50%	+1.03	+5.6	33
2021-02-13	Partizani	L 0-3	34.1	1259	1389	20.19%	30.55%	49.25%	-0.62	-21.0	24
2021-02-13	@ Kastrioti	W 3-0	34.1	1389	1259	49.25%	30.55%	20.19%	+0.62	+21.0	34
2021-02-20	Bylis	L 0-1	40.9	1125	1175	28.81%	32.22%	38.98%	-0.20	-10.1	13
2021-02-20	@ Apolonia	W 1-0	40.9	1175	1125	38.98%	32.22%	28.81%	+0.20	+10.1	15
2021-02-20	Kastrioti	W 1-0	37.2	1392	1238	55.17%	28.70%	16.12%	+0.89	+6.2	36
2021-02-20	@ Laci	L 0-1	37.2	1238	1392	16.12%	28.70%	55.17%	-0.89	-6.2	24
2021-02-20	Teuta	L 0-1	43.3	1335	1375	30.19%	32.31%	37.50%	-0.14	-10.5	26
2021-02-20	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	43.3	1375	1335	37.50%	32.31%	30.19%	+0.14	+10.5	36
2021-02-21	Partizani	L 1-2	48.8	1339	1410	26.29%	31.94%	41.76%	-0.30	-8.9	29
2021-02-21	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	48.8	1410	1339	41.76%	31.94%	26.29%	+0.30	+8.9	37
2021-02-21	Vllaznia	D 1-1	54.1	1144	1369	13.38%	26.75%	59.87%	-1.13	+3.2	13
2021-02-21	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	54.1	1369	1144	59.87%	26.75%	13.38%	+1.13	-3.2	41
2021-02-26	Kukesi	D 2-2	60.0	1385	1330	43.27%	31.74%	24.99%	+0.37	-0.8	37
2021-02-26	@ Teuta	D 2-2	60.0	1330	1385	24.99%	31.74%	43.27%	-0.37	+0.8	30
2021-02-27	Apolonia	D 0-0	47.3	1232	1115	51.02%	30.07%	18.91%	+0.70	-2.3	25
2021-02-27	@ Kastrioti	D 0-0	47.3	1115	1232	18.91%	30.07%	51.02%	-0.70	+2.4	14
2021-02-27	KF Tirana	L 1-2	52.5	1366	1325	41.42%	31.99%	26.60%	+0.29	-12.3	41
2021-02-27	@ Vllaznia	W 2-1	52.5	1325	1366	26.60%	31.99%	41.42%	-0.29	+12.3	29
2021-02-27	Laci	D 1-1	56.0	1419	1399	38.57%	32.25%	29.19%	+0.18	-0.6	38
2021-02-27	@ Partizani	D 1-1	56.0	1399	1419	29.19%	32.25%	38.57%	-0.18	+0.6	37
2021-02-27	Skenderbeu	W 1-0	40.3	1185	1147	41.03%	32.03%	26.95%	+0.28	+9.6	18
2021-02-27	@ Bylis	L 0-1	40.3	1147	1185	26.95%	32.03%	41.03%	-0.28	-9.6	13
2021-03-03	Bylis	W 2-0	33.6	1337	1195	53.89%	29.16%	16.95%	+0.83	+12.3	32
2021-03-03	@ KF Tirana	L 0-2	33.6	1195	1337	16.95%	29.16%	53.89%	-0.83	-12.4	18
2021-03-03	Kastrioti	L 0-1	39.3	1137	1230	23.85%	31.53%	44.62%	-0.42	-8.8	13
2021-03-03	@ Skenderbeu	W 1-0	39.3	1230	1137	44.62%	31.53%	23.85%	+0.42	+8.8	28
2021-03-03	Laci	L 1-2	48.6	1331	1399	26.61%	31.99%	41.40%	-0.29	-9.0	30
2021-03-03	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	48.6	1399	1331	41.40%	31.99%	26.61%	+0.29	+9.0	40
2021-03-03	Partizani	D 1-1	55.4	1117	1418	9.84%	22.95%	67.20%	-1.53	+4.0	15
2021-03-03	@ Apolonia	D 1-1	55.4	1418	1117	67.20%	22.95%	9.84%	+1.53	-4.0	39
2021-03-03	Vllaznia	W 1-0	43.0	1384	1354	40.03%	32.13%	27.84%	+0.24	+9.9	40
2021-03-03	@ Teuta	L 0-1	43.0	1354	1384	27.84%	32.13%	40.03%	-0.24	-9.9	41
2021-03-07	KF Tirana	L 1-2	45.5	1238	1349	21.94%	31.09%	46.97%	-0.52	-7.8	28
2021-03-07	@ Kastrioti	W 2-1	45.5	1349	1238	46.97%	31.09%	21.94%	+0.52	+7.8	35
2021-03-07	Skenderbeu	L 0-1	50.3	1414	1128	68.26%	22.35%	9.40%	+1.60	-19.2	39
2021-03-07	@ Partizani	W 1-0	50.3	1128	1414	9.40%	22.35%	68.26%	-1.60	+19.2	16
2021-03-07	Teuta	D 1-1	54.3	1182	1394	14.15%	27.37%	58.48%	-1.06	+3.0	19
2021-03-07	@ Bylis	D 1-1	54.3	1394	1182	58.48%	27.37%	14.15%	+1.06	-3.0	41
2021-03-08	Apolonia	D 1-1	55.6	1408	1121	68.38%	22.27%	9.35%	+1.60	-4.1	41
2021-03-08	@ Laci	D 1-1	55.6	1121	1408	9.35%	22.27%	68.38%	-1.60	+4.1	16
2021-03-08	Kukesi	D 0-0	48.0	1344	1322	38.76%	32.23%	29.01%	+0.19	-0.7	42
2021-03-08	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	48.0	1322	1344	29.01%	32.23%	38.76%	-0.19	+0.7	31
2021-03-12	Apolonia	D 1-1	53.9	1323	1125	59.81%	26.78%	13.41%	+1.13	-3.2	32
2021-03-12	@ Kukesi	D 1-1	53.9	1125	1323	13.41%	26.78%	59.81%	-1.13	+3.2	17
2021-03-12	Bylis	L 1-2	54.5	1343	1185	55.57%	28.55%	15.87%	+0.91	-15.5	42
2021-03-12	@ Vllaznia	W 2-1	54.5	1185	1343	15.87%	28.55%	55.57%	-0.91	+15.5	22
2021-03-13	Kastrioti	D 0-0	48.7	1391	1231	55.89%	28.43%	15.68%	+0.93	-3.0	42
2021-03-13	@ Teuta	D 0-0	48.7	1231	1391	15.68%	28.43%	55.89%	-0.93	+3.0	29
2021-03-13	Laci	L 0-2	30.9	1148	1404	11.79%	25.24%	62.97%	-1.30	-8.5	16
2021-03-13	@ Skenderbeu	W 2-0	30.9	1404	1148	62.97%	25.24%	11.79%	+1.30	+8.5	44
2021-03-13	Partizani	L 1-2	50.2	1357	1395	30.42%	32.32%	37.25%	-0.13	-9.9	35
2021-03-13	@ KF Tirana	W 2-1	50.2	1395	1357	37.25%	32.32%	30.42%	+0.13	+9.9	42
2021-03-21	KF Tirana	L 1-2	54.3	1412	1347	44.59%	31.54%	23.88%	+0.42	-13.0	44
2021-03-21	@ Laci	W 2-1	54.3	1347	1412	23.88%	31.54%	44.59%	-0.42	+13.0	38
2021-03-21	Kukesi	W 2-1	52.9	1201	1320	21.20%	30.88%	47.92%	-0.56	+13.8	25
2021-03-21	@ Bylis	L 1-2	52.9	1320	1201	47.92%	30.88%	21.20%	+0.56	-13.8	32
2021-03-21	Skenderbeu	L 1-2	48.7	1128	1139	34.16%	32.41%	33.43%	+0.01	-10.7	17
2021-03-21	@ Apolonia	W 2-1	48.7	1139	1128	33.43%	32.41%	34.16%	-0.01	+10.7	19
2021-03-21	Teuta	D 0-0	50.0	1405	1388	38.08%	32.28%	29.64%	+0.16	-0.6	43
2021-03-21	@ Partizani	D 0-0	50.0	1388	1405	29.64%	32.28%	38.08%	-0.16	+0.6	43
2021-03-21	Vllaznia	L 0-1	39.8	1234	1328	23.71%	31.50%	44.79%	-0.43	-8.7	29
2021-03-21	@ Kastrioti	W 1-0	39.8	1328	1234	44.79%	31.50%	23.71%	+0.43	+8.7	45
2021-04-03	Laci	W 1-0	45.7	1389	1399	34.22%	32.41%	33.38%	+0.02	+11.2	46
2021-04-03	@ Teuta	L 0-1	45.7	1399	1389	33.38%	32.41%	34.22%	-0.02	-11.2	44
2021-04-03	Partizani	D 0-0	49.1	1336	1404	26.60%	31.98%	41.42%	-0.29	+1.0	46
2021-04-03	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	49.1	1404	1336	41.42%	31.98%	26.60%	+0.29	-1.0	44
2021-04-04	Apolonia	W 5-2	35.0	1360	1117	64.28%	24.56%	11.16%	+1.37	+8.4	41
2021-04-04	@ KF Tirana	L 2-5	35.0	1117	1360	11.16%	24.56%	64.28%	-1.37	-8.4	17
2021-04-04	Kastrioti	D 1-1	52.2	1215	1225	34.26%	32.41%	33.34%	+0.02	-0.1	26
2021-04-04	@ Bylis	D 1-1	52.2	1225	1215	33.34%	32.41%	34.26%	-0.02	+0.0	30
2021-04-04	Skenderbeu	L 0-1	48.1	1306	1150	55.37%	28.63%	16.00%	+0.90	-16.4	32
2021-04-04	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	48.1	1150	1306	16.00%	28.63%	55.37%	-0.90	+16.4	22
2021-04-10	KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.4	1166	1369	14.73%	27.80%	57.48%	-1.01	+3.2	23
2021-04-10	@ Skenderbeu	D 0-0	48.4	1369	1166	57.48%	27.80%	14.73%	+1.01	-3.2	42
2021-04-10	Kukesi	L 0-3	35.8	1225	1289	27.06%	32.04%	40.90%	-0.27	-26.5	30
2021-04-10	@ Kastrioti	W 3-0	35.8	1289	1225	40.90%	32.04%	27.06%	+0.27	+26.5	35
2021-04-10	Teuta	L 0-2	29.8	1109	1400	10.26%	23.48%	66.26%	-1.48	-7.2	17
2021-04-10	@ Apolonia	W 2-0	29.8	1400	1109	66.26%	23.48%	10.26%	+1.48	+7.2	49
2021-04-10	Vllaznia	D 0-0	48.9	1388	1337	42.73%	31.82%	25.45%	+0.34	-1.2	45
2021-04-10	@ Laci	D 0-0	48.9	1337	1388	25.45%	31.82%	42.73%	-0.34	+1.2	47
2021-04-11	Bylis	W 3-0	31.0	1403	1215	58.88%	27.19%	13.92%	+1.08	+14.7	47
2021-04-11	@ Partizani	L 0-3	31.0	1215	1403	13.92%	27.19%	58.88%	-1.08	-14.7	26
2021-04-17	Kastrioti	W 3-1	37.4	1418	1199	62.00%	25.73%	12.27%	+1.24	+7.6	50
2021-04-17	@ Partizani	L 1-3	37.4	1199	1418	12.27%	25.73%	62.00%	-1.24	-7.6	30
2021-04-17	KF Tirana	D 2-2	59.4	1316	1366	28.87%	32.22%	38.90%	-0.19	+0.5	36
2021-04-17	@ Kukesi	D 2-2	59.4	1366	1316	38.90%	32.22%	28.87%	+0.19	-0.5	43
2021-04-18	Bylis	W 2-1	41.9	1387	1200	58.71%	27.27%	14.02%	+1.07	+5.1	48
2021-04-18	@ Laci	L 1-2	41.9	1200	1387	14.02%	27.27%	58.71%	-1.07	-5.1	26
2021-04-18	Teuta	L 0-1	35.0	1170	1407	12.72%	26.17%	61.11%	-1.20	-4.9	23
2021-04-18	@ Skenderbeu	W 1-0	35.0	1407	1170	61.11%	26.17%	12.72%	+1.20	+4.9	52
2021-04-18	Vllaznia	L 0-6	30.8	1102	1338	12.78%	26.22%	61.01%	-1.19	-25.7	17
2021-04-18	@ Apolonia	W 6-0	30.8	1338	1102	61.01%	26.22%	12.78%	+1.19	+25.7	50
2021-04-24	Apolonia	W 1-0	37.3	1195	1076	51.16%	30.03%	18.81%	+0.70	+7.2	29
2021-04-24	@ Bylis	L 0-1	37.3	1076	1195	18.81%	30.03%	51.16%	-0.70	-7.2	17
2021-04-24	KF Tirana	L 0-2	44.6	1412	1365	42.21%	31.89%	25.90%	+0.32	-25.0	52
2021-04-24	@ Teuta	W 2-0	44.6	1365	1412	25.90%	31.89%	42.21%	-0.32	+25.0	46
2021-04-24	Kukesi	W 4-0	35.1	1426	1316	50.08%	30.34%	19.58%	+0.66	+26.7	53
2021-04-24	@ Partizani	L 0-4	35.1	1316	1426	19.58%	30.34%	50.08%	-0.66	-26.7	36
2021-04-24	Laci	D 0-0	48.6	1191	1392	14.80%	27.85%	57.35%	-1.00	+3.2	31
2021-04-24	@ Kastrioti	D 0-0	48.6	1392	1191	57.35%	27.85%	14.80%	+1.00	-3.2	49
2021-04-24	Skenderbeu	W 2-1	41.3	1364	1165	59.98%	26.70%	13.32%	+1.14	+4.8	53
2021-04-24	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	41.3	1165	1364	13.32%	26.70%	59.98%	-1.14	-4.8	23
2021-04-28	Bylis	W 2-1	49.9	1160	1202	29.85%	32.29%	37.86%	-0.15	+11.5	26
2021-04-28	@ Skenderbeu	L 1-2	49.9	1202	1160	37.86%	32.29%	29.85%	+0.15	-11.5	29
2021-04-28	Kastrioti	W 2-1	52.6	1069	1194	20.60%	30.69%	48.71%	-0.60	+14.0	20
2021-04-28	@ Apolonia	L 1-2	52.6	1194	1069	48.71%	30.69%	20.60%	+0.60	-14.0	31
2021-04-28	Partizani	D 2-2	62.4	1389	1452	27.15%	32.05%	40.80%	-0.27	+0.6	50
2021-04-28	@ Laci	D 2-2	62.4	1452	1389	40.80%	32.05%	27.15%	+0.27	-0.6	54
2021-04-28	Teuta	L 0-2	37.2	1290	1387	23.31%	31.42%	45.27%	-0.45	-16.3	36
2021-04-28	@ Kukesi	W 2-0	37.2	1387	1290	45.27%	31.42%	23.31%	+0.45	+16.3	55
2021-04-28	Vllaznia	W 1-0	43.7	1390	1369	38.68%	32.24%	29.08%	+0.18	+10.2	49
2021-04-28	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	43.7	1369	1390	29.08%	32.24%	38.68%	-0.18	-10.2	53
2021-05-02	KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.8	1190	1400	14.28%	27.47%	58.26%	-1.05	+3.3	30
2021-05-02	@ Bylis	D 0-0	48.8	1400	1190	58.26%	27.47%	14.28%	+1.05	-3.3	50
2021-05-02	Skenderbeu	L 0-2	40.1	1180	1171	36.97%	32.34%	30.69%	+0.12	-22.7	31
2021-05-02	@ Kastrioti	W 2-0	40.1	1171	1180	30.69%	32.34%	36.97%	-0.12	+22.7	29
2021-05-03	Apolonia	W 1-0	30.5	1452	1083	75.24%	18.04%	6.72%	+2.04	+2.3	57
2021-05-03	@ Partizani	L 0-1	30.5	1083	1452	6.72%	18.04%	75.24%	-2.04	-2.2	20
2021-05-03	Kukesi	W 2-0	35.4	1390	1273	50.88%	30.11%	19.01%	+0.69	+13.7	53
2021-05-03	@ Laci	L 0-2	35.4	1273	1390	19.01%	30.11%	50.88%	-0.69	-13.7	36
2021-05-03	Teuta	D 0-0	49.3	1359	1403	29.54%	32.27%	38.19%	-0.17	+0.6	54
2021-05-03	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	49.3	1403	1359	38.19%	32.27%	29.54%	+0.17	-0.6	56
2021-05-07	Vllaznia	W 3-1	49.0	1260	1359	23.08%	31.37%	45.56%	-0.46	+23.0	39
2021-05-07	@ Kukesi	L 1-3	49.0	1359	1260	45.56%	31.37%	23.08%	+0.46	-23.0	54
2021-05-08	Bylis	W 4-0	30.2	1403	1194	60.95%	26.24%	12.81%	+1.19	+17.6	59
2021-05-08	@ Teuta	L 0-4	30.2	1194	1403	12.81%	26.24%	60.95%	-1.19	-17.6	30
2021-05-08	Kastrioti	W 1-0	34.0	1397	1157	63.94%	24.74%	11.32%	+1.35	+4.3	53
2021-05-08	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	34.0	1157	1397	11.32%	24.74%	63.94%	-1.35	-4.3	31
2021-05-08	Laci	L 0-1	32.2	1081	1403	9.04%	21.84%	69.12%	-1.65	-3.3	20
2021-05-08	@ Apolonia	W 1-0	32.2	1403	1081	69.12%	21.84%	9.04%	+1.65	+3.3	56
2021-05-08	Partizani	D 1-1	55.5	1194	1454	11.62%	25.06%	63.32%	-1.31	+3.6	30
2021-05-08	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	55.5	1454	1194	63.32%	25.06%	11.62%	+1.31	-3.6	58
2021-05-13	KF Tirana	D 0-0	51.5	1451	1401	42.52%	31.85%	25.63%	+0.34	-1.2	59
2021-05-13	@ Partizani	D 0-0	51.5	1401	1451	25.63%	31.85%	42.52%	-0.34	+1.2	54
2021-05-13	Kukesi	L 0-3	30.4	1077	1283	14.56%	27.68%	57.77%	-1.02	-15.4	20
2021-05-13	@ Apolonia	W 3-0	30.4	1283	1077	57.77%	27.68%	14.56%	+1.02	+15.4	42
2021-05-13	Skenderbeu	D 0-0	49.3	1407	1198	60.94%	26.25%	12.81%	+1.19	-3.7	57
2021-05-13	@ Laci	D 0-0	49.3	1198	1407	12.81%	26.25%	60.94%	-1.19	+3.7	31
2021-05-13	Teuta	L 1-2	40.3	1153	1420	11.28%	24.70%	64.01%	-1.35	-4.0	31
2021-05-13	@ Kastrioti	W 2-1	40.3	1420	1153	64.01%	24.70%	11.28%	+1.35	+4.0	62
2021-05-13	Vllaznia	L 0-1	37.2	1176	1336	17.65%	29.52%	52.84%	-0.78	-6.8	30
2021-05-13	@ Bylis	W 1-0	37.2	1336	1176	52.84%	29.52%	17.65%	+0.78	+6.8	57
2021-05-17	Apolonia	W 2-0	33.2	1201	1062	53.54%	29.28%	17.18%	+0.81	+12.5	34
2021-05-17	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	33.2	1062	1201	17.18%	29.28%	53.54%	-0.81	-12.5	20
2021-05-17	Bylis	W 2-1	43.3	1298	1169	52.31%	29.68%	18.00%	+0.76	+6.5	45
2021-05-17	@ Kukesi	L 1-2	43.3	1169	1298	18.00%	29.68%	52.31%	-0.76	-6.5	30
2021-05-17	Kastrioti	W 1-0	35.1	1343	1149	59.43%	26.95%	13.62%	+1.11	+5.2	60
2021-05-17	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	35.1	1149	1343	13.62%	26.95%	59.43%	-1.11	-5.2	31
2021-05-17	Laci	L 0-1	46.7	1402	1403	35.66%	32.38%	31.95%	+0.07	-11.7	54
2021-05-17	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	46.7	1403	1402	31.95%	32.38%	35.66%	-0.07	+11.7	60
2021-05-17	Partizani	L 0-1	47.5	1424	1449	32.17%	32.39%	35.44%	-0.06	-10.9	62
2021-05-17	@ Teuta	W 1-0	47.5	1449	1424	35.44%	32.39%	32.17%	+0.06	+10.9	62
2021-05-21	Bylis	D 1-1	52.1	1144	1163	33.02%	32.40%	34.58%	-0.03	+0.1	32
2021-05-21	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	52.1	1163	1144	34.58%	32.40%	33.02%	+0.03	-0.1	31
2021-05-21	KF Tirana	D 1-1	55.7	1049	1391	8.40%	20.86%	70.74%	-1.75	+4.3	21
2021-05-21	@ Apolonia	D 1-1	55.7	1391	1049	70.74%	20.86%	8.40%	+1.75	-4.3	55
2021-05-21	Kukesi	W 2-1	52.0	1214	1304	24.04%	31.57%	44.39%	-0.41	+13.0	37
2021-05-21	@ Skenderbeu	L 1-2	52.0	1304	1214	44.39%	31.57%	24.04%	+0.41	-13.0	45
2021-05-21	Teuta	D 0-0	50.8	1415	1413	35.89%	32.38%	31.74%	+0.08	-0.3	61
2021-05-21	@ Laci	D 0-0	50.8	1413	1415	31.74%	32.38%	35.89%	-0.08	+0.3	63
2021-05-21	Vllaznia	L 0-1	50.6	1460	1348	50.36%	30.26%	19.38%	+0.67	-15.2	62
2021-05-21	@ Partizani	W 1-0	50.6	1348	1460	19.38%	30.26%	50.36%	-0.67	+15.2	63
2021-05-26	Apolonia	W 6-1	28.1	1414	1054	74.53%	18.49%	6.98%	+1.99	+8.6	66
2021-05-26	@ Teuta	L 1-6	28.1	1054	1414	6.98%	18.49%	74.53%	-1.99	-8.6	21
2021-05-26	Kastrioti	L 1-2	54.0	1292	1144	54.45%	28.97%	16.58%	+0.86	-15.3	45
2021-05-26	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	54.0	1144	1292	16.58%	28.97%	54.45%	-0.86	+15.3	35
2021-05-26	Laci	W 2-0	43.7	1364	1414	28.76%	32.21%	39.03%	-0.20	+23.6	66
2021-05-26	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	43.7	1414	1364	39.03%	32.21%	28.76%	+0.20	-23.6	61
2021-05-26	Partizani	L 2-4	39.3	1163	1445	10.62%	23.93%	65.45%	-1.43	-5.8	31
2021-05-26	@ Bylis	W 4-2	39.3	1445	1163	65.45%	23.93%	10.62%	+1.43	+5.8	65
2021-05-26	Skenderbeu	W 3-1	39.2	1386	1227	55.77%	28.48%	15.75%	+0.92	+10.0	58
2021-05-26	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	39.2	1227	1386	15.75%	28.48%	55.77%	-0.92	-10.0	37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-03-07	9.40%	Skenderbeu	1128	1	@ Partizani	1414	0
2	2021-01-16	12.58%	@ Apolonia	1133	1	Laci	1373	0
3	2021-03-12	15.87%	Bylis	1185	2	@ Vllaznia	1343	1
4	2021-04-04	16.00%	Skenderbeu	1150	1	@ Kukesi	1306	0
5	2021-05-26	16.58%	Kastrioti	1144	2	@ Kukesi	1292	1
6	2020-12-30	18.62%	@ Apolonia	1115	2	Kastrioti	1263	1
7	2021-05-21	19.38%	Vllaznia	1348	1	@ Partizani	1460	0
8	2021-04-28	20.60%	@ Apolonia	1069	2	Kastrioti	1194	1
9	2020-12-27	20.91%	@ Kastrioti	1248	1	Laci	1370	0
10	2021-03-21	21.20%	@ Bylis	1201	2	Kukesi	1320	1
11	2020-12-19	21.31%	@ Kastrioti	1249	1	Kukesi	1367	0
12	2021-02-07	21.97%	Kastrioti	1245	1	@ Kukesi	1329	0
13	2020-12-09	22.58%	@ Apolonia	1140	1	Skenderbeu	1245	0
14	2021-05-07	23.08%	@ Kukesi	1260	3	Vllaznia	1359	1
15	2020-11-08	23.39%	Teuta	1297	1	@ KF Tirana	1366	0
16	2021-03-21	23.88%	KF Tirana	1347	2	@ Laci	1412	1
17	2021-05-21	24.04%	@ Skenderbeu	1214	2	Kukesi	1304	1
18	2021-04-24	25.90%	KF Tirana	1365	2	@ Teuta	1412	0
19	2020-11-08	25.93%	Partizani	1274	2	@ Kukesi	1321	0
20	2021-02-13	26.02%	Kukesi	1314	2	@ KF Tirana	1360	0
21	2020-11-21	26.49%	@ Vllaznia	1283	3	KF Tirana	1352	2
22	2021-02-27	26.60%	KF Tirana	1325	2	@ Vllaznia	1366	1
23	2020-11-08	27.93%	Vllaznia	1259	2	@ Skenderbeu	1290	0
24	2020-11-25	28.08%	@ Kukesi	1296	1	Laci	1352	0
25	2021-05-26	28.76%	@ Vllaznia	1364	2	Laci	1414	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-11-29	33.70	@ Partizani	4	1322	41.96%	Skenderbeu	0	1277	26.12%	31.92%
2	2020-12-09	32.55	Vllaznia	3	1289	31.32%	@ Kastrioti	0	1293	36.32%	32.36%
3	2020-12-30	31.87	Teuta	3	1331	32.38%	@ Kukesi	0	1327	35.22%	32.39%
4	2021-01-30	29.98	Kukesi	4	1299	46.30%	@ Skenderbeu	0	1193	22.48%	31.22%
5	2021-04-24	26.71	@ Partizani	4	1426	50.08%	Kukesi	0	1316	19.58%	30.34%
6	2021-04-10	26.48	Kukesi	3	1289	40.90%	@ Kastrioti	0	1225	27.06%	32.04%
7	2021-04-18	25.68	Vllaznia	6	1338	61.01%	@ Apolonia	0	1102	12.78%	26.22%
8	2021-04-24	25.01	KF Tirana	2	1365	25.90%	@ Teuta	0	1412	42.21%	31.89%
9	2020-11-08	24.99	Partizani	2	1274	25.93%	@ Kukesi	0	1321	42.18%	31.89%
10	2021-02-13	24.95	Kukesi	2	1314	26.02%	@ KF Tirana	0	1360	42.07%	31.91%
11	2020-12-27	24.79	@ Partizani	4	1356	36.32%	Kukesi	1	1352	31.32%	32.36%
12	2020-12-09	24.38	Kukesi	3	1331	44.12%	@ Bylis	0	1242	24.27%	31.61%
13	2020-11-08	23.99	Vllaznia	2	1259	27.93%	@ Skenderbeu	0	1290	39.94%	32.14%
14	2021-05-26	23.59	@ Vllaznia	2	1364	28.76%	Laci	0	1414	39.03%	32.21%
15	2021-05-07	22.96	@ Kukesi	3	1260	23.08%	Vllaznia	1	1359	45.56%	31.37%
16	2021-05-02	22.69	Skenderbeu	2	1171	30.69%	@ Kastrioti	0	1180	36.97%	32.34%
17	2020-11-25	22.60	Partizani	3	1299	46.83%	@ Apolonia	0	1190	22.06%	31.12%
18	2020-11-21	22.55	Skenderbeu	2	1266	31.01%	@ Bylis	0	1272	36.64%	32.35%
19	2020-12-27	21.19	@ Vllaznia	5	1329	51.56%	Skenderbeu	1	1207	18.53%	29.91%
20	2020-11-29	21.10	@ Laci	6	1339	57.15%	Apolonia	1	1167	14.92%	27.93%
21	2021-02-13	20.99	Partizani	3	1389	49.25%	@ Kastrioti	0	1259	20.19%	30.55%
22	2020-11-04	20.15	@ KF Tirana	2	1346	36.53%	Kukesi	0	1341	31.11%	32.36%
23	2021-03-07	19.20	Skenderbeu	1	1128	9.40%	@ Partizani	0	1414	68.26%	22.35%
24	2020-11-04	18.32	@ Vllaznia	2	1241	40.72%	Apolonia	0	1205	27.22%	32.06%
25	2021-01-16	17.80	@ Apolonia	1	1133	12.58%	Laci	0	1373	61.38%	26.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-04-28	62.4	@ Laci	2	1389	27.15%	Partizani	2	1452	40.80%	32.05%
2	2021-02-26	60.0	@ Teuta	2	1385	43.27%	Kukesi	2	1330	24.99%	31.74%
3	2021-04-17	59.4	@ Kukesi	2	1316	28.87%	KF Tirana	2	1366	38.90%	32.22%
4	2020-11-08	58.2	@ Apolonia	2	1187	24.55%	Bylis	2	1273	43.78%	31.67%
5	2021-01-09	58.2	@ Kastrioti	2	1248	42.77%	Skenderbeu	2	1197	25.41%	31.81%
6	2020-12-30	56.5	@ Skenderbeu	4	1186	29.40%	Bylis	3	1232	38.34%	32.26%
7	2020-11-21	56.4	@ Vllaznia	3	1283	26.49%	KF Tirana	2	1352	41.54%	31.97%
8	2020-12-30	56.0	@ Laci	3	1355	32.02%	Partizani	2	1381	35.59%	32.39%
9	2021-02-27	56.0	@ Partizani	1	1419	38.57%	Laci	1	1399	29.19%	32.25%
10	2021-05-21	55.7	@ Apolonia	1	1049	8.40%	KF Tirana	1	1391	70.74%	20.86%
11	2021-03-08	55.6	@ Laci	1	1408	68.38%	Apolonia	1	1121	9.35%	22.27%
12	2021-05-08	55.5	@ Skenderbeu	1	1194	11.62%	Partizani	1	1454	63.32%	25.06%
13	2021-03-03	55.4	@ Apolonia	1	1117	9.84%	Partizani	1	1418	67.20%	22.95%
14	2021-01-09	54.7	@ Partizani	1	1371	64.13%	Apolonia	1	1129	11.23%	24.64%
15	2021-01-25	54.7	@ Teuta	1	1372	34.10%	Partizani	1	1384	33.49%	32.41%
16	2021-03-12	54.5	Bylis	2	1185	15.87%	@ Vllaznia	1	1343	55.57%	28.55%
17	2021-03-07	54.3	@ Bylis	1	1182	14.15%	Teuta	1	1394	58.48%	27.37%
18	2021-03-21	54.3	KF Tirana	2	1347	23.88%	@ Laci	1	1412	44.59%	31.54%
19	2020-12-30	54.1	@ KF Tirana	1	1363	37.46%	Vllaznia	1	1350	30.23%	32.31%
20	2021-02-21	54.1	@ Skenderbeu	1	1144	13.38%	Vllaznia	1	1369	59.87%	26.75%
21	2021-05-26	54.0	Kastrioti	2	1144	16.58%	@ Kukesi	1	1292	54.45%	28.97%
22	2021-03-12	53.9	@ Kukesi	1	1323	59.81%	Apolonia	1	1125	13.41%	26.78%
23	2020-12-27	53.8	@ Teuta	1	1331	31.15%	KF Tirana	1	1363	36.49%	32.36%
24	2021-01-20	53.8	@ Laci	1	1355	56.26%	Skenderbeu	1	1191	15.45%	28.29%
25	2020-11-08	53.5	@ Laci	1	1354	45.58%	Kastrioti	1	1281	23.06%	31.36%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-26	28.1	@ Teuta	6	1414	74.53%	Apolonia	1	1054	6.98%	18.49%
2	2021-04-10	29.8	Teuta	2	1400	66.26%	@ Apolonia	0	1109	10.26%	23.48%
3	2020-12-13	30.1	@ KF Tirana	3	1351	59.66%	Apolonia	0	1154	13.50%	26.85%
4	2021-05-08	30.2	@ Teuta	4	1403	60.95%	Bylis	0	1194	12.81%	26.24%
5	2021-05-13	30.4	Kukesi	3	1283	57.77%	@ Apolonia	0	1077	14.56%	27.68%
6	2021-05-03	30.5	@ Partizani	1	1452	75.24%	Apolonia	0	1083	6.72%	18.04%
7	2021-04-18	30.8	Vllaznia	6	1338	61.01%	@ Apolonia	0	1102	12.78%	26.22%
8	2021-03-13	30.9	Laci	2	1404	62.97%	@ Skenderbeu	0	1148	11.79%	25.24%
9	2021-04-11	31.0	@ Partizani	3	1403	58.88%	Bylis	0	1215	13.92%	27.19%
10	2021-02-12	31.3	@ Teuta	2	1366	61.35%	Skenderbeu	0	1153	12.60%	26.05%
11	2021-02-06	32.1	@ KF Tirana	2	1350	58.70%	Skenderbeu	0	1163	14.03%	27.28%
12	2021-05-08	32.2	Laci	1	1403	69.12%	@ Apolonia	0	1081	9.04%	21.84%
13	2021-05-17	33.2	@ Skenderbeu	2	1201	53.54%	Apolonia	0	1062	17.18%	29.28%
14	2020-11-29	33.4	@ Laci	6	1339	57.15%	Apolonia	1	1167	14.92%	27.93%
15	2021-03-03	33.6	@ KF Tirana	2	1337	53.89%	Bylis	0	1195	16.95%	29.16%
16	2020-11-25	33.9	Partizani	3	1299	46.83%	@ Apolonia	0	1190	22.06%	31.12%
17	2021-02-13	33.9	@ Vllaznia	1	1365	63.58%	Apolonia	0	1129	11.49%	24.93%
18	2021-05-08	34.0	@ KF Tirana	1	1397	63.94%	Kastrioti	0	1157	11.32%	24.74%
19	2021-01-30	34.1	Kukesi	4	1299	46.30%	@ Skenderbeu	0	1193	22.48%	31.22%
20	2021-02-06	34.1	@ Teuta	1	1361	62.80%	Apolonia	0	1134	11.87%	25.33%
21	2021-02-13	34.1	Partizani	3	1389	49.25%	@ Kastrioti	0	1259	20.19%	30.55%
22	2021-01-15	34.3	@ Teuta	2	1351	52.29%	Bylis	0	1223	18.02%	29.69%
23	2020-12-23	34.5	@ Laci	2	1356	51.86%	Bylis	0	1232	18.32%	29.82%
24	2021-04-04	35.0	@ KF Tirana	5	1360	64.28%	Apolonia	2	1117	11.16%	24.56%
25	2021-04-18	35.0	Teuta	1	1407	61.11%	@ Skenderbeu	0	1170	12.72%	26.17%