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2021-22 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

KF Tirana

73 points · 26th Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KF Tirana

7.35 points above expected

73 points · 65.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Skenderbeu

10.69 points below expected

26 points · 36.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KF Tirana Champion 36 22 7 7 73 64 27 +37 65.65 +7.35
2 Laci 36 18 9 9 63 52 33 +19 58.98 +4.02
3 Partizani 36 15 13 8 58 52 30 +22 62.40 -4.40
4 Kukesi 36 15 10 11 55 50 44 +6 51.57 +3.43
5 Vllaznia 36 13 16 7 55 47 38 +9 56.96 -1.96
6 Teuta 36 13 11 12 50 39 44 -5 54.45 -4.45
7 Kastrioti 36 13 4 19 43 30 54 -24 35.68 +7.32
8 Egnatia 36 8 11 17 35 30 49 -19 35.30 -0.30
9 Dinamo Tirana 36 6 11 19 29 21 46 -25 33.21 -4.21
10 Skenderbeu 36 4 14 18 26 23 43 -20 36.69 -10.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KF Tirana 73 65.65 +7.35
2 Kastrioti 43 35.68 +7.32
3 Laci 63 58.98 +4.02
4 Kukesi 55 51.57 +3.43
5 Egnatia 35 35.30 -0.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 26 36.69 -10.69
2 Teuta 50 54.45 -4.45
3 Partizani 58 62.40 -4.40
4 Dinamo Tirana 29 33.21 -4.21
5 Vllaznia 55 56.96 -1.96

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kastrioti 7 Mar 13 – Apr 30 1 in 44,801
2 KF Tirana 5 Oct 3 – Nov 6 1 in 107
3 Laci 5 Dec 3 – Dec 22 1 in 45
4 Kukesi 3 Nov 22 – Dec 4 1 in 15
5 Teuta 3 May 9 – May 21 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Teuta 4 Dec 19 – Jan 22 1 in 246
2 Dinamo Tirana 7 Mar 13 – Apr 29 1 in 105
3 Vllaznia 3 Mar 12 – Apr 4 1 in 79
4 Egnatia 5 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 41
5 Skenderbeu 5 Jan 23 – Feb 19 1 in 39

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kastrioti 9 Mar 3 – Apr 30 1 in 569
2 Vllaznia 11 Nov 8 – Jan 30 1 in 32
3 Laci 11 Dec 3 – Feb 20 1 in 24
4 Teuta 8 Apr 17 – May 26 1 in 23
5 Dinamo Tirana 4 Sep 12 – Oct 1 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Laci 7 Feb 26 – Apr 9 1 in 131
2 Skenderbeu 17 Dec 22 – Apr 30 1 in 120
3 Partizani 7 Sep 10 – Oct 31 1 in 83
4 Vllaznia 7 Mar 7 – Apr 23 1 in 37
5 Kukesi 8 Mar 20 – May 9 1 in 31

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KF Tirana 1416 73 -7 7 9.5 -2.5
Laci 1367 63 +5 9 8.8 +0.2
Partizani 1406 58 +15 12 8.6 +3.4
Vllaznia 1319 55 +10 10 8.1 +1.9
Kukesi 1275 55 +6 9 6.6 +2.4
Teuta 1305 50 +17 11 7.2 +3.8
Kastrioti 1173 43 -38 0 4.8 -4.8
Egnatia 1164 35 -22 1 4.8 -3.8
Dinamo Tirana 1130 29 +8 6 4.5 +1.5
Skenderbeu 1162 26 +6 5 5.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DT EGN KT KAS KUK LAC PAR SKE TEU VLL
Dinamo Tirana —
0-3-1
5.13
1-0-3
2.44
2-0-2
5.26
1-0-3
3.66
0-1-3
3.10
0-2-2
2.73
2-2-0
4.84
0-1-3
3.31
0-2-2
3.08
Egnatia
1-3-0
5.64
 —
0-1-3
2.73
2-0-2
5.46
0-1-3
3.91
1-1-2
3.08
0-2-2
2.82
2-1-1
4.99
1-0-3
3.43
1-2-1
3.27
KF Tirana
3-0-1
8.73
3-1-0
8.35
 —
1-1-2
8.50
1-1-2
7.17
2-0-2
5.99
3-1-0
5.65
3-1-0
8.02
3-1-0
6.45
3-1-0
6.41
Kastrioti
2-0-2
5.50
2-0-2
5.31
2-1-1
2.62
 —
1-0-3
3.73
0-1-3
3.06
1-1-2
2.80
2-0-2
5.06
2-1-1
3.36
1-0-3
3.32
Kukesi
3-0-1
7.24
3-1-0
6.94
2-1-1
3.71
3-0-1
7.14
 —
0-2-2
4.59
1-1-2
4.09
2-1-1
6.95
0-2-2
4.99
1-2-1
4.57
Laci
3-1-0
7.91
2-1-1
7.92
2-0-2
4.78
3-1-0
7.95
2-2-0
6.20
 —
1-1-2
5.07
2-2-0
7.80
2-0-2
6.05
1-1-2
5.71
Partizani
2-2-0
8.36
2-2-0
8.24
0-1-3
5.11
2-1-1
8.27
2-1-1
6.74
2-1-1
5.71
 —
2-2-0
7.94
3-0-1
6.08
0-3-1
6.13
Skenderbeu
0-2-2
5.93
1-1-2
5.77
0-1-3
2.99
2-0-2
5.71
1-1-2
3.90
0-2-2
3.18
0-2-2
3.07
 —
0-3-1
3.63
0-2-2
3.48
Teuta
3-1-0
7.63
3-0-1
7.50
0-1-3
4.40
1-1-2
7.59
2-2-0
5.79
2-0-2
4.75
1-0-3
4.72
1-3-0
7.26
 —
0-3-1
5.21
Vllaznia
2-2-0
7.91
1-2-1
7.69
0-1-3
4.41
3-0-1
7.62
1-2-1
6.20
2-1-1
5.06
1-3-0
4.64
2-2-0
7.43
1-3-0
5.57
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +10.4
Allowed 0.56 -13.2
Differential 0.87 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.22%11.11%6.67%1.39%1.67%0.56%33.61%
111.11%15.00%7.50%2.50%0.83%0.28%37.22%
26.67%7.50%2.22%1.11%0.83%—18.33%
31.39%2.50%1.11%—0.28%0.56%5.83%
41.67%0.83%0.83%0.28%——3.61%
5+0.56%0.28%—0.56%——1.39%
Total33.61%37.22%18.33%5.83%3.61%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.62
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%25.00%8.33%—2.78%2.78%52.78%
111.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
3—————2.78%2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%44.44%16.67%2.78%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.28 -0.69
SD 0.73 1.39 1.41
CV 1.25 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%19.44%5.56%——38.89%
15.56%25.00%2.78%8.33%——41.67%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%44.44%25.00%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.36 -0.53
SD 0.81 0.93 1.46
CV 0.97 0.68 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%————19.44%
18.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
213.89%11.11%—2.78%——27.78%
35.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+———————
Total47.22%33.33%16.67%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.75 +1.03
SD 1.31 0.84 1.52
CV 0.74 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%11.11%2.78%5.56%—33.33%
119.44%8.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%50.00%
28.33%8.33%————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%19.44%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.50 -0.67
SD 0.70 1.48 1.82
CV 0.84 0.99 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%—2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
18.33%13.89%11.11%—2.78%—36.11%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%36.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.22 +0.17
SD 1.29 1.29 1.98
CV 0.93 1.06 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
116.67%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
213.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
32.78%———2.78%2.78%8.33%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total50.00%27.78%13.89%—5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.92 +0.53
SD 1.27 1.27 1.59
CV 0.88 1.39 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%————27.78%
15.56%19.44%8.33%———33.33%
22.78%13.89%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
45.56%——2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%52.78%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.83 +0.61
SD 1.36 0.74 1.52
CV 0.94 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%22.22%11.11%—2.78%—58.33%
1—11.11%8.33%———19.44%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%25.00%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.19 -0.56
SD 0.83 1.06 1.16
CV 1.30 0.89 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%8.33%—2.78%—25.00%
125.00%16.67%8.33%2.78%——52.78%
2—2.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%—13.89%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%27.78%22.22%5.56%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.22 -0.14
SD 0.94 1.24 1.40
CV 0.87 1.02 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%2.78%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
111.11%22.22%5.56%2.78%——41.67%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total33.33%38.89%16.67%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.06 +0.25
SD 1.45 0.98 1.32
CV 1.11 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KF Tirana 1416 73 65.65 +7.35 84.0% 45 51 60 65 71 78 91
Partizani 1406 58 62.40 -4.40 34.0% 44 50 57 61 68 76 82
Laci 1367 63 58.98 +4.02 69.0% 35 45 53 59 65 71 76
Vllaznia 1319 55 56.96 -1.96 39.0% 32 44 53 57 62 68 85
Teuta 1305 50 54.45 -4.45 29.0% 32 41 49 54 58 68 74
Kukesi 1275 55 51.57 +3.43 69.0% 33 39 46 53 57 63 65
Kastrioti 1173 43 35.68 +7.32 87.0% 18 25 31 35 40 48 53
Egnatia 1164 35 35.30 -0.30 59.0% 19 25 30 34 40 49 52
Skenderbeu 1162 26 36.69 -10.69 5.0% 19 25 32 37 42 49 52
Dinamo Tirana 1130 29 33.21 -4.21 24.0% 14 19 30 33 38 44 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.67%
No Edge
41.11%29.44%29.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 40.72 Elo pts.
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
KF Tirana, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Runaway
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.04 * Some Luck: 6.04 to 9.06 * Lucky: 9.06 to 12.08 * Wild Swing: 12.08 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.56 points
As Expected
07.5519
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
87.00%
Kastrioti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Skenderbeu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 107.98
1.98
Strong Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KF Tirana43.00%28.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%———
Laci16.00%19.00%18.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%——
Partizani25.00%25.00%23.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%———
Kukesi2.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%25.00%25.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%—
Vllaznia7.00%16.00%24.00%22.00%15.00%14.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Teuta7.00%6.00%12.00%24.00%19.00%24.00%6.00%1.00%—1.00%
Kastrioti————5.00%4.00%21.00%25.00%21.00%24.00%
Egnatia————3.00%8.00%19.00%18.00%30.00%22.00%
Dinamo Tirana—————3.00%13.00%27.00%24.00%33.00%
Skenderbeu————6.00%6.00%21.00%25.00%22.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
KF Tirana 100% — —
Laci 99.00% 1.00% —
Partizani 100% — —
Teuta 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Vllaznia 99.00% — 1.00%
Kukesi 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Skenderbeu 33.00% 25.00% 42.00%
Kastrioti 30.00% 25.00% 45.00%
Egnatia 30.00% 18.00% 52.00%
Dinamo Tirana 16.00% 27.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-09-10 Partizani W 1-043.3 1349 1365 37.80% 31.11% 31.09%+0.12 +5.5 3
2021-09-10 @ Teuta L 0-143.3 1365 1349 31.09% 31.11% 37.80%-0.12 -5.5 0
2021-09-11 Skenderbeu W 4-242.0 1330 1221 54.80% 26.63% 18.57%+0.78 +5.1 3
2021-09-11 @ KF Tirana L 2-442.0 1221 1330 18.57% 26.63% 54.80%-0.78 -5.1 0
2021-09-11 Vllaznia L 3-551.8 1325 1323 40.47% 30.83% 28.70%+0.22 -9.2 0
2021-09-11 @ Laci W 5-351.8 1323 1325 28.70% 30.83% 40.47%-0.22 +9.1 3
2021-09-12 Dinamo Tirana L 0-240.9 1189 1174 42.36% 30.53% 27.11%+0.29 -12.9 0
2021-09-12 @ Kastrioti W 2-040.9 1174 1189 27.11% 30.53% 42.36%-0.29 +12.9 3
2021-09-12 Kukesi L 1-343.2 1184 1255 30.18% 31.02% 38.80%-0.16 -8.8 0
2021-09-12 @ Egnatia W 3-143.2 1255 1184 38.80% 31.02% 30.18%+0.16 +8.8 3
2021-09-17 Laci D 1-153.1 1187 1316 23.67% 29.51% 46.82%-0.46 +0.8 4
2021-09-17 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-153.1 1316 1187 46.82% 29.51% 23.67%+0.46 -0.8 1
2021-09-18 Partizani D 1-153.6 1216 1360 22.32% 28.94% 48.74%-0.54 +0.9 1
2021-09-18 @ Skenderbeu D 1-153.6 1360 1216 48.74% 28.94% 22.32%+0.54 -0.9 1
2021-09-18 Teuta D 1-153.9 1332 1354 37.11% 31.16% 31.73%+0.10 -0.2 4
2021-09-18 @ Vllaznia D 1-153.9 1354 1332 31.73% 31.16% 37.11%-0.10 +0.2 4
2021-09-19 Egnatia D 1-154.9 1335 1175 61.12% 23.56% 15.33%+1.05 -1.6 4
2021-09-19 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.9 1175 1335 15.33% 23.56% 61.12%-1.05 +1.6 1
2021-09-19 Kastrioti W 3-139.2 1264 1176 52.10% 27.75% 20.15%+0.67 +6.2 6
2021-09-19 @ Kukesi L 1-339.2 1176 1264 20.15% 27.75% 52.10%-0.67 -6.2 0
2021-09-25 Dinamo Tirana D 0-050.0 1354 1187 61.87% 23.15% 14.98%+1.08 -1.8 5
2021-09-25 @ Teuta D 0-050.0 1187 1354 14.98% 23.15% 61.87%-1.08 +1.8 5
2021-09-25 KF Tirana D 1-153.5 1170 1334 20.59% 28.02% 51.39%-0.64 +1.0 1
2021-09-25 @ Kastrioti D 1-153.5 1334 1170 51.39% 28.02% 20.59%+0.64 -1.0 5
2021-09-26 Vllaznia D 1-154.2 1359 1332 43.94% 30.22% 25.84%+0.35 -0.6 2
2021-09-26 @ Partizani D 1-154.2 1332 1359 25.84% 30.22% 43.94%-0.35 +0.6 5
2021-09-27 Kukesi D 2-259.1 1315 1270 46.41% 29.62% 23.97%+0.45 -0.5 2
2021-09-27 @ Laci D 2-259.1 1270 1315 23.97% 29.62% 46.41%-0.45 +0.5 7
2021-09-27 Skenderbeu D 1-152.3 1176 1217 34.41% 31.24% 34.35%+0.00 +0.0 2
2021-09-27 @ Egnatia D 1-152.3 1217 1176 34.35% 31.24% 34.41%+0.00 +0.0 2
2021-10-01 Partizani D 1-153.8 1189 1358 20.16% 27.75% 52.09%-0.67 +1.1 6
2021-10-01 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-153.8 1358 1189 52.09% 27.75% 20.16%+0.67 -1.1 3
2021-10-02 Kastrioti W 2-146.2 1176 1171 40.97% 30.76% 28.27%+0.24 +4.8 5
2021-10-02 @ Egnatia L 1-246.2 1171 1176 28.27% 30.76% 40.97%-0.24 -4.8 1
2021-10-02 Vllaznia D 0-048.0 1217 1333 25.05% 29.99% 44.96%-0.39 +0.7 3
2021-10-02 @ Skenderbeu D 0-048.0 1333 1217 44.96% 29.99% 25.05%+0.39 -0.7 6
2021-10-03 Laci W 2-037.4 1333 1315 42.72% 30.46% 26.81%+0.31 +9.3 8
2021-10-03 @ KF Tirana L 0-237.4 1315 1333 26.81% 30.46% 42.72%-0.31 -9.3 2
2021-10-03 Teuta L 2-352.1 1271 1352 28.93% 30.86% 40.20%-0.21 -4.7 7
2021-10-03 @ Kukesi W 3-252.1 1352 1271 40.20% 30.86% 28.93%+0.21 +4.7 8
2021-10-16 Egnatia L 0-147.7 1305 1181 56.68% 25.78% 17.54%+0.86 -8.5 2
2021-10-16 @ Laci W 1-047.7 1181 1305 17.54% 25.78% 56.68%-0.86 +8.5 8
2021-10-16 Skenderbeu W 2-039.2 1166 1218 32.84% 31.21% 35.95%-0.06 +11.5 4
2021-10-16 @ Kastrioti L 0-239.2 1218 1166 35.95% 31.21% 32.84%+0.06 -11.5 3
2021-10-17 KF Tirana L 2-356.8 1357 1342 42.29% 30.54% 27.17%+0.29 -6.1 8
2021-10-17 @ Teuta W 3-256.8 1342 1357 27.17% 30.54% 42.29%-0.29 +6.1 11
2021-10-17 Kukesi D 1-154.3 1357 1266 52.51% 27.58% 19.90%+0.69 -1.1 4
2021-10-17 @ Partizani D 1-154.3 1266 1357 19.90% 27.58% 52.51%-0.69 +1.1 8
2021-10-18 Dinamo Tirana W 6-337.4 1332 1190 58.86% 24.72% 16.42%+0.95 +5.7 9
2021-10-18 @ Vllaznia L 3-637.4 1190 1332 16.42% 24.72% 58.86%-0.95 -5.7 6
2021-10-23 Laci L 0-139.3 1178 1297 24.68% 29.87% 45.44%-0.41 -4.6 4
2021-10-23 @ Kastrioti W 1-039.3 1297 1178 45.44% 29.87% 24.68%+0.41 +4.6 5
2021-10-23 Teuta L 0-137.8 1190 1351 20.83% 28.15% 51.02%-0.63 -3.9 8
2021-10-23 @ Egnatia W 1-037.8 1351 1190 51.02% 28.15% 20.83%+0.63 +3.9 11
2021-10-24 Dinamo Tirana L 0-144.8 1206 1185 43.22% 30.37% 26.41%+0.33 -7.0 3
2021-10-24 @ Skenderbeu W 1-044.8 1185 1206 26.41% 30.37% 43.22%-0.33 +7.0 9
2021-10-24 Vllaznia W 2-040.8 1267 1338 30.33% 31.04% 38.63%-0.15 +12.1 11
2021-10-24 @ Kukesi L 0-240.8 1338 1267 38.63% 31.04% 30.33%+0.15 -12.1 9
2021-10-25 Partizani W 1-042.8 1348 1356 39.05% 31.00% 29.95%+0.17 +5.3 14
2021-10-25 @ KF Tirana L 0-142.8 1356 1348 29.95% 31.00% 39.05%-0.17 -5.4 4
2021-10-29 Kukesi L 0-140.6 1192 1279 28.17% 30.74% 41.10%-0.25 -5.1 9
2021-10-29 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-040.6 1279 1192 41.10% 30.74% 28.17%+0.25 +5.1 14
2021-10-30 KF Tirana L 0-240.8 1326 1354 36.21% 31.20% 32.58%+0.07 -11.5 9
2021-10-30 @ Vllaznia W 2-040.8 1354 1326 32.58% 31.20% 36.21%-0.07 +11.6 17
2021-10-30 Skenderbeu W 2-033.2 1302 1199 53.93% 27.01% 19.06%+0.74 +6.8 8
2021-10-30 @ Laci L 0-233.2 1199 1302 19.06% 27.01% 53.93%-0.74 -6.8 3
2021-10-31 Egnatia D 1-155.1 1351 1186 61.65% 23.27% 15.08%+1.07 -1.6 5
2021-10-31 @ Partizani D 1-155.1 1186 1351 15.08% 23.27% 61.65%-1.07 +1.6 9
2021-10-31 Kastrioti D 1-155.4 1355 1173 63.62% 22.19% 14.18%+1.16 -1.7 12
2021-10-31 @ Teuta D 1-155.4 1173 1355 14.18% 22.19% 63.62%-1.16 +1.7 5
2021-11-06 Dinamo Tirana W 4-028.7 1365 1186 63.26% 22.40% 14.35%+1.14 +9.3 20
2021-11-06 @ KF Tirana L 0-428.7 1186 1365 14.35% 22.40% 63.26%-1.14 -9.3 9
2021-11-06 Kukesi W 2-150.5 1192 1285 27.68% 30.65% 41.68%-0.27 +6.4 6
2021-11-06 @ Skenderbeu L 1-250.5 1285 1192 41.68% 30.65% 27.68%+0.27 -6.4 14
2021-11-07 Partizani L 0-233.6 1175 1349 19.75% 27.49% 52.76%-0.70 -7.0 5
2021-11-07 @ Kastrioti W 2-033.6 1349 1175 52.76% 27.49% 19.75%+0.70 +7.0 8
2021-11-07 Teuta W 2-040.2 1308 1353 33.79% 31.24% 34.97%-0.02 +11.3 11
2021-11-07 @ Laci L 0-240.2 1353 1308 34.97% 31.24% 33.79%+0.02 -11.3 12
2021-11-08 Vllaznia D 1-153.0 1188 1314 23.96% 29.62% 46.43%-0.45 +0.7 10
2021-11-08 @ Egnatia D 1-153.0 1314 1188 46.43% 29.62% 23.96%+0.45 -0.7 10
2021-11-20 Kastrioti W 3-137.1 1313 1168 59.33% 24.49% 16.19%+0.97 +4.9 13
2021-11-20 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.1 1168 1313 16.19% 24.49% 59.33%-0.97 -4.9 5
2021-11-20 Laci D 1-154.1 1356 1320 45.29% 29.91% 24.80%+0.40 -0.7 9
2021-11-20 @ Partizani D 1-154.1 1320 1356 24.80% 29.91% 45.29%-0.40 +0.7 12
2021-11-21 Skenderbeu D 2-260.3 1342 1199 59.01% 24.65% 16.35%+0.96 -1.1 13
2021-11-21 @ Teuta D 2-260.3 1199 1342 16.35% 24.65% 59.01%-0.96 +1.1 7
2021-11-22 Egnatia D 1-152.3 1177 1188 38.61% 31.04% 30.35%+0.15 -0.3 10
2021-11-22 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.3 1188 1177 30.35% 31.04% 38.61%-0.15 +0.3 11
2021-11-22 KF Tirana W 2-151.6 1278 1374 27.18% 30.55% 42.28%-0.29 +6.5 17
2021-11-22 @ Kukesi L 1-251.6 1374 1278 42.28% 30.55% 27.18%+0.29 -6.5 20
2021-11-26 Teuta W 2-147.6 1356 1341 42.28% 30.55% 27.18%+0.29 +4.7 12
2021-11-26 @ Partizani L 1-247.6 1341 1356 27.18% 30.55% 42.28%-0.29 -4.7 13
2021-11-27 KF Tirana D 0-048.7 1200 1368 20.26% 27.82% 51.92%-0.66 +1.2 8
2021-11-27 @ Skenderbeu D 0-048.7 1368 1200 51.92% 27.82% 20.26%+0.66 -1.2 21
2021-11-27 Laci W 1-041.8 1318 1320 39.91% 30.90% 29.19%+0.20 +5.3 16
2021-11-27 @ Vllaznia L 0-141.8 1320 1318 29.19% 30.90% 39.91%-0.20 -5.2 12
2021-11-28 Egnatia W 2-033.3 1285 1189 53.14% 27.33% 19.53%+0.71 +7.0 20
2021-11-28 @ Kukesi L 0-233.3 1189 1285 19.53% 27.33% 53.14%-0.71 -7.0 11
2021-11-28 Kastrioti W 1-040.0 1177 1163 42.16% 30.57% 27.27%+0.29 +5.0 13
2021-11-28 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-140.0 1163 1177 27.27% 30.57% 42.16%-0.29 -5.0 5
2021-12-03 Dinamo Tirana W 5-030.8 1315 1182 57.81% 25.24% 16.95%+0.91 +14.0 15
2021-12-03 @ Laci L 0-530.8 1182 1315 16.95% 25.24% 57.81%-0.91 -14.0 13
2021-12-03 Vllaznia D 1-153.7 1336 1324 41.96% 30.60% 27.44%+0.28 -0.5 14
2021-12-03 @ Teuta D 1-153.7 1324 1336 27.44% 30.60% 41.96%-0.28 +0.5 17
2021-12-04 KF Tirana L 0-233.3 1182 1367 18.95% 26.92% 54.13%-0.75 -6.8 11
2021-12-04 @ Egnatia W 2-033.3 1367 1182 54.13% 26.92% 18.95%+0.75 +6.8 24
2021-12-04 Kukesi L 1-636.0 1158 1292 23.25% 29.35% 47.40%-0.48 -15.9 5
2021-12-04 @ Kastrioti W 6-136.0 1292 1158 47.40% 29.35% 23.25%+0.48 +15.9 23
2021-12-04 Skenderbeu W 2-140.8 1360 1201 60.96% 23.64% 15.40%+1.04 +2.7 15
2021-12-04 @ Partizani L 1-240.8 1201 1360 15.40% 23.64% 60.96%-1.04 -2.7 8
2021-12-07 Kastrioti W 3-026.8 1374 1142 69.20% 18.96% 11.83%+1.42 +5.6 27
2021-12-07 @ KF Tirana L 0-326.8 1142 1374 11.83% 18.96% 69.20%-1.42 -5.6 5
2021-12-07 Teuta L 0-137.4 1168 1336 20.28% 27.83% 51.89%-0.66 -3.8 13
2021-12-07 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-037.4 1336 1168 51.89% 27.83% 20.28%+0.66 +3.8 17
2021-12-08 Egnatia W 2-036.0 1198 1175 43.50% 30.31% 26.19%+0.34 +9.1 11
2021-12-08 @ Skenderbeu L 0-236.0 1175 1198 26.19% 30.31% 43.50%-0.34 -9.1 11
2021-12-08 Partizani W 1-043.9 1324 1363 34.62% 31.24% 34.14%+0.01 +5.9 20
2021-12-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-143.9 1363 1324 34.14% 31.24% 34.62%-0.01 -5.9 15
2021-12-09 Laci L 1-250.1 1307 1329 37.13% 31.16% 31.71%+0.10 -5.9 23
2021-12-09 @ Kukesi W 2-150.1 1329 1307 31.71% 31.16% 37.13%-0.10 +5.9 18
2021-12-12 Egnatia W 1-041.8 1136 1166 36.00% 31.21% 32.79%+0.06 +5.7 8
2021-12-12 @ Kastrioti L 0-141.8 1166 1136 32.79% 31.21% 36.00%-0.06 -5.7 11
2021-12-12 Skenderbeu W 2-032.6 1330 1208 56.45% 25.89% 17.66%+0.85 +6.3 23
2021-12-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-232.6 1208 1330 17.66% 25.89% 56.45%-0.85 -6.3 11
2021-12-13 Dinamo Tirana W 1-033.6 1357 1164 64.93% 21.46% 13.61%+1.22 +2.4 18
2021-12-13 @ Partizani L 0-133.6 1164 1357 13.61% 21.46% 64.93%-1.22 -2.4 13
2021-12-13 Kukesi D 0-048.6 1339 1302 45.44% 29.87% 24.68%+0.41 -0.8 18
2021-12-13 @ Teuta D 0-048.6 1302 1339 24.68% 29.87% 45.44%-0.41 +0.8 24
2021-12-14 KF Tirana W 1-044.5 1335 1379 33.88% 31.24% 34.89%-0.02 +6.0 21
2021-12-14 @ Laci L 0-144.5 1379 1335 34.89% 31.24% 33.88%+0.02 -6.0 27
2021-12-17 Vllaznia D 0-048.5 1162 1336 19.75% 27.48% 52.77%-0.70 +1.2 14
2021-12-17 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.5 1336 1162 52.77% 27.48% 19.75%+0.70 -1.2 24
2021-12-18 Kastrioti W 2-144.0 1201 1142 48.34% 29.06% 22.60%+0.52 +4.0 14
2021-12-18 @ Skenderbeu L 1-244.0 1142 1201 22.60% 29.06% 48.34%-0.52 -4.0 8
2021-12-19 Laci L 0-233.3 1160 1341 19.27% 27.15% 53.57%-0.73 -6.9 11
2021-12-19 @ Egnatia W 2-033.3 1341 1160 53.57% 27.15% 19.27%+0.73 +6.9 24
2021-12-19 Partizani W 2-150.2 1302 1360 32.07% 31.18% 36.75%-0.09 +5.8 27
2021-12-19 @ Kukesi L 1-250.2 1360 1302 36.75% 31.18% 32.07%+0.09 -5.8 18
2021-12-19 Teuta W 2-147.0 1373 1339 44.98% 29.99% 25.03%+0.39 +4.4 30
2021-12-19 @ KF Tirana L 1-247.0 1339 1373 25.03% 29.99% 44.98%-0.39 -4.4 18
2021-12-22 Kastrioti W 2-029.3 1348 1138 66.80% 20.38% 12.82%+1.31 +4.3 27
2021-12-22 @ Laci L 0-229.3 1138 1348 12.82% 20.38% 66.80%-1.31 -4.3 8
2021-12-22 Skenderbeu D 0-047.1 1163 1205 34.12% 31.24% 34.64%-0.01 +0.0 15
2021-12-22 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-047.1 1205 1163 34.64% 31.24% 34.12%+0.01 -0.0 15
2021-12-23 Egnatia L 1-254.5 1334 1153 63.55% 22.24% 14.22%+1.16 -8.7 18
2021-12-23 @ Teuta W 2-154.5 1153 1334 14.22% 22.24% 63.55%-1.16 +8.7 14
2021-12-23 KF Tirana L 1-251.1 1354 1378 36.81% 31.18% 32.01%+0.09 -5.8 18
2021-12-23 @ Partizani W 2-151.1 1378 1354 32.01% 31.18% 36.81%-0.09 +5.8 33
2021-12-23 Kukesi D 1-153.7 1335 1308 43.91% 30.23% 25.86%+0.35 -0.6 25
2021-12-23 @ Vllaznia D 1-153.7 1308 1335 25.86% 30.23% 43.91%-0.35 +0.6 28
2022-01-15 Laci D 0-048.4 1205 1352 22.06% 28.81% 49.13%-0.55 +1.0 16
2022-01-15 @ Skenderbeu D 0-048.4 1352 1205 49.13% 28.81% 22.06%+0.55 -1.0 28
2022-01-15 Vllaznia D 0-049.6 1383 1334 46.97% 29.47% 23.56%+0.47 -0.9 34
2022-01-15 @ KF Tirana D 0-049.6 1334 1383 23.56% 29.47% 46.97%-0.47 +0.9 26
2022-01-16 Partizani L 0-331.3 1162 1348 18.89% 26.87% 54.24%-0.76 -9.8 14
2022-01-16 @ Egnatia W 3-031.3 1348 1162 54.24% 26.87% 18.89%+0.76 +9.8 21
2022-01-16 Teuta W 2-043.7 1134 1326 18.47% 26.56% 54.97%-0.79 +15.7 11
2022-01-16 @ Kastrioti L 0-243.7 1326 1134 54.97% 26.56% 18.47%+0.79 -15.7 18
2022-01-19 Dinamo Tirana L 0-148.0 1309 1163 59.37% 24.46% 16.17%+0.97 -8.8 28
2022-01-19 @ Kukesi W 1-048.0 1163 1309 16.17% 24.46% 59.37%-0.97 +8.8 18
2022-01-21 Egnatia D 1-155.3 1335 1152 63.77% 22.11% 14.12%+1.17 -1.7 27
2022-01-21 @ Vllaznia D 1-155.3 1152 1335 14.12% 22.11% 63.77%-1.17 +1.7 15
2022-01-22 Kastrioti D 0-050.6 1358 1149 66.63% 20.48% 12.89%+1.30 -2.1 22
2022-01-22 @ Partizani D 0-050.6 1149 1358 12.89% 20.48% 66.63%-1.30 +2.1 12
2022-01-22 Laci L 2-448.9 1310 1351 34.33% 31.24% 34.43%+0.00 -8.6 18
2022-01-22 @ Teuta W 4-248.9 1351 1310 34.43% 31.24% 34.33%+0.00 +8.6 31
2022-01-23 Skenderbeu W 1-037.2 1300 1206 52.83% 27.46% 19.71%+0.70 +3.7 31
2022-01-23 @ Kukesi L 0-137.2 1206 1300 19.71% 27.46% 52.83%-0.70 -3.7 16
2022-01-24 KF Tirana L 0-136.0 1172 1383 17.19% 25.46% 57.35%-0.89 -3.2 18
2022-01-24 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-036.0 1383 1172 57.35% 25.46% 17.19%+0.89 +3.2 37
2022-01-30 Kukesi W 4-033.4 1386 1304 51.33% 28.04% 20.63%+0.64 +14.0 40
2022-01-30 @ KF Tirana L 0-433.4 1304 1386 20.63% 28.04% 51.33%-0.64 -14.0 31
2022-01-30 Vllaznia L 0-136.8 1152 1333 19.20% 27.10% 53.70%-0.74 -3.6 12
2022-01-30 @ Kastrioti W 1-036.8 1333 1152 53.70% 27.10% 19.20%+0.74 +3.6 30
2022-01-31 Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.3 1154 1168 38.12% 31.09% 30.79%+0.14 -0.2 16
2022-01-31 @ Egnatia D 1-152.3 1168 1154 30.79% 31.09% 38.12%-0.14 +0.2 19
2022-01-31 Partizani W 1-042.4 1360 1356 40.76% 30.79% 28.46%+0.23 +5.2 34
2022-01-31 @ Laci L 0-142.4 1356 1360 28.46% 30.79% 40.76%-0.23 -5.1 22
2022-01-31 Teuta L 0-140.2 1203 1301 26.91% 30.49% 42.60%-0.30 -4.9 16
2022-01-31 @ Skenderbeu W 1-040.2 1301 1203 42.60% 30.49% 26.91%+0.30 +4.9 21
2022-02-05 Dinamo Tirana W 2-037.8 1148 1169 37.25% 31.15% 31.60%+0.10 +10.5 15
2022-02-05 @ Kastrioti L 0-237.8 1169 1148 31.60% 31.15% 37.25%-0.10 -10.5 19
2022-02-05 Partizani L 0-438.0 1306 1350 33.88% 31.24% 34.89%-0.02 -20.9 21
2022-02-05 @ Teuta W 4-038.0 1350 1306 34.89% 31.24% 33.88%+0.02 +20.9 25
2022-02-05 Skenderbeu W 3-244.2 1400 1198 65.93% 20.88% 13.18%+1.26 +2.1 43
2022-02-05 @ KF Tirana L 2-344.2 1198 1400 13.18% 20.88% 65.93%-1.26 -2.1 16
2022-02-06 Kukesi L 0-234.9 1154 1290 23.02% 29.25% 47.73%-0.50 -8.2 16
2022-02-06 @ Egnatia W 2-034.9 1290 1154 47.73% 29.25% 23.02%+0.50 +8.2 34
2022-02-06 Vllaznia W 1-041.2 1365 1337 44.06% 30.20% 25.75%+0.36 +4.8 37
2022-02-06 @ Laci L 0-141.2 1337 1365 25.75% 30.20% 44.06%-0.36 -4.8 30
2022-02-13 Kastrioti W 4-029.8 1298 1158 58.58% 24.86% 16.56%+0.94 +11.1 37
2022-02-13 @ Kukesi L 0-429.8 1158 1298 16.56% 24.86% 58.58%-0.94 -11.1 15
2022-02-13 Teuta W 4-244.9 1332 1285 46.68% 29.55% 23.77%+0.46 +6.5 33
2022-02-13 @ Vllaznia L 2-444.9 1285 1332 23.77% 29.55% 46.68%-0.46 -6.5 21
2022-02-14 Egnatia W 2-028.0 1402 1145 71.81% 17.39% 10.80%+1.55 +3.4 46
2022-02-14 @ KF Tirana L 0-228.0 1145 1402 10.80% 17.39% 71.81%-1.55 -3.4 16
2022-02-14 Laci L 0-135.9 1158 1370 17.16% 25.43% 57.41%-0.89 -3.2 19
2022-02-14 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-035.9 1370 1158 57.41% 25.43% 17.16%+0.89 +3.2 40
2022-02-14 Partizani L 1-243.3 1196 1371 19.65% 27.42% 52.93%-0.70 -3.5 16
2022-02-14 @ Skenderbeu W 2-143.3 1371 1196 52.93% 27.42% 19.65%+0.70 +3.5 28
2022-02-19 Skenderbeu W 2-039.1 1142 1192 33.05% 31.22% 35.73%-0.05 +11.4 19
2022-02-19 @ Egnatia L 0-239.1 1192 1142 35.73% 31.22% 33.05%+0.05 -11.4 16
2022-02-19 Vllaznia D 1-154.6 1375 1339 45.20% 29.93% 24.86%+0.40 -0.7 29
2022-02-19 @ Partizani D 1-154.6 1339 1375 24.86% 29.93% 45.20%-0.40 +0.7 34
2022-02-20 Dinamo Tirana W 1-035.8 1279 1155 56.66% 25.79% 17.55%+0.86 +3.3 24
2022-02-20 @ Teuta L 0-135.8 1155 1279 17.55% 25.79% 56.66%-0.86 -3.3 19
2022-02-20 KF Tirana W 2-154.7 1147 1405 14.46% 22.54% 62.99%-1.13 +8.7 18
2022-02-20 @ Kastrioti L 1-254.7 1405 1147 62.99% 22.54% 14.46%+1.13 -8.7 46
2022-02-20 Kukesi W 3-034.1 1373 1309 48.93% 28.88% 22.19%+0.54 +11.5 43
2022-02-20 @ Laci L 0-334.1 1309 1373 22.19% 28.88% 48.93%-0.54 -11.5 37
2022-02-25 Partizani D 0-049.4 1152 1374 16.46% 24.76% 58.79%-0.95 +1.6 20
2022-02-25 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-049.4 1374 1152 58.79% 24.76% 16.46%+0.95 -1.6 30
2022-02-25 Vllaznia D 2-259.2 1181 1339 21.01% 28.26% 50.72%-0.62 +0.7 17
2022-02-25 @ Skenderbeu D 2-259.2 1339 1181 50.72% 28.26% 21.01%+0.62 -0.8 35
2022-02-26 Kastrioti W 2-146.6 1153 1156 39.83% 30.91% 29.26%+0.20 +5.0 22
2022-02-26 @ Egnatia L 1-246.6 1156 1153 29.26% 30.91% 39.83%-0.20 -5.0 18
2022-02-26 Laci W 4-142.3 1397 1384 41.93% 30.61% 27.47%+0.28 +11.6 49
2022-02-26 @ KF Tirana L 1-442.3 1384 1397 27.47% 30.61% 41.93%-0.28 -11.6 43
2022-02-26 Teuta D 1-153.1 1298 1282 42.35% 30.53% 27.12%+0.29 -0.5 38
2022-02-26 @ Kukesi D 1-153.1 1282 1298 27.12% 30.53% 42.35%-0.29 +0.5 25
2022-03-02 KF Tirana L 0-236.8 1283 1408 24.05% 29.65% 46.30%-0.44 -8.5 25
2022-03-02 @ Teuta W 2-036.8 1408 1283 46.30% 29.65% 24.05%+0.44 +8.5 52
2022-03-02 Kukesi W 5-034.1 1373 1297 50.49% 28.35% 21.17%+0.61 +17.7 33
2022-03-02 @ Partizani L 0-534.1 1297 1373 21.17% 28.35% 50.49%-0.61 -17.7 38
2022-03-03 Dinamo Tirana W 2-139.6 1339 1153 64.04% 21.96% 14.00%+1.18 +2.4 38
2022-03-03 @ Vllaznia L 1-239.6 1153 1339 14.00% 21.96% 64.04%-1.18 -2.4 20
2022-03-03 Egnatia D 0-050.9 1373 1158 67.29% 20.09% 12.61%+1.33 -2.1 44
2022-03-03 @ Laci D 0-050.9 1158 1373 12.61% 20.09% 67.29%-1.33 +2.1 23
2022-03-03 Skenderbeu W 1-041.9 1151 1181 35.87% 31.22% 32.91%+0.05 +5.7 21
2022-03-03 @ Kastrioti L 0-141.9 1181 1151 32.91% 31.22% 35.87%-0.05 -5.7 17
2022-03-05 Partizani D 0-051.0 1417 1390 43.87% 30.23% 25.89%+0.35 -0.6 53
2022-03-05 @ KF Tirana D 0-051.0 1390 1417 25.89% 30.23% 43.87%-0.35 +0.6 34
2022-03-07 Laci D 1-154.4 1157 1370 17.01% 25.30% 57.70%-0.90 +1.4 22
2022-03-07 @ Kastrioti D 1-154.4 1370 1157 57.70% 25.30% 17.01%+0.90 -1.4 45
2022-03-07 Teuta L 0-139.4 1161 1274 25.28% 30.06% 44.66%-0.38 -4.7 23
2022-03-07 @ Egnatia W 1-039.4 1274 1161 44.66% 30.06% 25.28%+0.38 +4.7 28
2022-03-07 Vllaznia D 0-048.1 1279 1341 31.47% 31.14% 37.39%-0.11 +0.2 39
2022-03-07 @ Kukesi D 0-048.1 1341 1279 37.39% 31.14% 31.47%+0.11 -0.2 39
2022-03-08 Dinamo Tirana L 0-144.8 1176 1151 43.65% 30.28% 26.07%+0.34 -7.0 17
2022-03-08 @ Skenderbeu W 1-044.8 1151 1176 26.07% 30.28% 43.65%-0.34 +7.0 23
2022-03-12 Egnatia D 2-262.1 1391 1156 69.56% 18.75% 11.69%+1.44 -1.5 35
2022-03-12 @ Partizani D 2-262.1 1156 1391 11.69% 18.75% 69.56%-1.44 +1.5 24
2022-03-12 KF Tirana L 1-249.4 1341 1416 29.73% 30.97% 39.29%-0.18 -5.0 39
2022-03-12 @ Vllaznia W 2-149.4 1416 1341 39.29% 30.97% 29.73%+0.18 +5.0 56
2022-03-13 Kastrioti L 0-147.5 1279 1158 56.25% 25.98% 17.77%+0.84 -8.5 28
2022-03-13 @ Teuta W 1-047.5 1158 1279 17.77% 25.98% 56.25%-0.84 +8.5 25
2022-03-13 Kukesi L 0-235.4 1158 1280 24.44% 29.79% 45.77%-0.42 -8.6 23
2022-03-13 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-035.4 1280 1158 45.77% 29.79% 24.44%+0.42 +8.6 42
2022-03-13 Skenderbeu D 0-050.6 1369 1169 65.75% 20.99% 13.26%+1.26 -2.0 46
2022-03-13 @ Laci D 0-050.6 1169 1369 13.26% 20.99% 65.75%-1.26 +2.1 18
2022-03-19 Dinamo Tirana W 1-031.3 1421 1149 73.36% 16.45% 10.19%+1.63 +1.7 59
2022-03-19 @ KF Tirana L 0-131.3 1149 1421 10.19% 16.45% 73.36%-1.63 -1.7 23
2022-03-19 Partizani W 1-048.3 1167 1389 16.45% 24.75% 58.80%-0.95 +8.8 28
2022-03-19 @ Kastrioti L 0-148.3 1389 1167 58.80% 24.75% 16.45%+0.95 -8.8 35
2022-03-19 Vllaznia W 3-041.7 1157 1336 19.45% 27.28% 53.27%-0.72 +22.3 27
2022-03-19 @ Egnatia L 0-341.7 1336 1157 53.27% 27.28% 19.45%+0.72 -22.3 39
2022-03-20 Kukesi D 1-152.8 1171 1288 24.87% 29.93% 45.20%-0.40 +0.7 19
2022-03-20 @ Skenderbeu D 1-152.8 1288 1171 45.20% 29.93% 24.87%+0.40 -0.7 43
2022-03-20 Teuta L 0-147.9 1367 1270 53.23% 27.30% 19.47%+0.72 -8.1 46
2022-03-20 @ Laci W 1-047.9 1270 1367 19.47% 27.30% 53.23%-0.72 +8.1 31
2022-04-02 Egnatia L 0-239.1 1148 1180 35.63% 31.22% 33.15%+0.05 -11.4 23
2022-04-02 @ Dinamo Tirana W 2-039.1 1180 1148 33.15% 31.22% 35.63%-0.05 +11.4 30
2022-04-02 KF Tirana D 0-049.6 1287 1423 23.12% 29.29% 47.59%-0.49 +0.9 44
2022-04-02 @ Kukesi D 0-049.6 1423 1287 47.59% 29.29% 23.12%+0.49 -0.9 60
2022-04-03 Skenderbeu D 0-048.6 1278 1171 54.55% 26.74% 18.71%+0.77 -1.4 32
2022-04-03 @ Teuta D 0-048.6 1171 1278 18.71% 26.74% 54.55%-0.77 +1.4 20
2022-04-04 Kastrioti L 1-253.8 1314 1175 58.42% 24.94% 16.64%+0.93 -8.2 39
2022-04-04 @ Vllaznia W 2-153.8 1175 1314 16.64% 24.94% 58.42%-0.93 +8.2 31
2022-04-04 Laci W 2-147.9 1381 1359 43.23% 30.37% 26.41%+0.33 +4.6 38
2022-04-04 @ Partizani L 1-247.9 1359 1381 26.41% 30.37% 43.23%-0.33 -4.6 46
2022-04-09 Egnatia D 1-153.7 1288 1191 53.31% 27.26% 19.43%+0.72 -1.2 45
2022-04-09 @ Kukesi D 1-153.7 1191 1288 19.43% 27.26% 53.31%-0.72 +1.2 31
2022-04-09 Laci D 0-048.4 1305 1354 33.21% 31.23% 35.57%-0.04 +0.1 40
2022-04-09 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.4 1354 1305 35.57% 31.23% 33.21%+0.04 -0.1 47
2022-04-09 Teuta W 3-139.6 1385 1277 54.68% 26.68% 18.64%+0.78 +5.8 41
2022-04-09 @ Partizani L 1-339.6 1277 1385 18.64% 26.68% 54.68%-0.78 -5.8 32
2022-04-10 KF Tirana L 0-429.3 1173 1422 14.94% 23.11% 61.96%-1.09 -9.8 20
2022-04-10 @ Skenderbeu W 4-029.3 1422 1173 61.96% 23.11% 14.94%+1.09 +9.8 63
2022-04-11 Kastrioti L 0-142.0 1136 1184 33.42% 31.23% 35.35%-0.04 -5.8 23
2022-04-11 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-042.0 1184 1136 35.35% 31.23% 33.42%+0.04 +5.8 34
2022-04-16 KF Tirana L 0-329.9 1192 1432 15.47% 23.72% 60.81%-1.03 -7.8 31
2022-04-16 @ Egnatia W 3-029.9 1432 1192 60.81% 23.72% 15.47%+1.03 +7.8 66
2022-04-16 Kukesi W 1-044.8 1189 1287 27.00% 30.51% 42.49%-0.30 +6.9 37
2022-04-16 @ Kastrioti L 0-144.8 1287 1189 42.49% 30.51% 27.00%+0.30 -6.9 45
2022-04-17 Dinamo Tirana W 2-138.3 1354 1130 68.35% 19.47% 12.18%+1.38 +2.0 50
2022-04-17 @ Laci L 1-238.3 1130 1354 12.18% 19.47% 68.35%-1.38 -2.0 23
2022-04-17 Skenderbeu D 0-051.2 1391 1163 68.81% 19.20% 11.99%+1.40 -2.2 42
2022-04-17 @ Partizani D 0-051.2 1163 1391 11.99% 19.20% 68.81%-1.40 +2.2 21
2022-04-17 Vllaznia D 1-152.9 1271 1305 35.33% 31.23% 33.44%+0.03 -0.1 33
2022-04-17 @ Teuta D 1-152.9 1305 1271 33.44% 31.23% 35.33%-0.03 +0.1 41
2022-04-23 Laci D 0-048.2 1280 1356 29.64% 30.96% 39.40%-0.18 +0.4 46
2022-04-23 @ Kukesi D 0-048.2 1356 1280 39.40% 30.96% 29.64%+0.18 -0.3 51
2022-04-23 Partizani D 0-048.9 1305 1389 28.72% 30.83% 40.45%-0.22 +0.4 42
2022-04-23 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.9 1389 1305 40.45% 30.83% 28.72%+0.22 -0.4 43
2022-04-24 Egnatia L 0-143.3 1165 1184 37.46% 31.14% 31.41%+0.11 -6.3 21
2022-04-24 @ Skenderbeu W 1-043.3 1184 1165 31.41% 31.14% 37.46%-0.11 +6.3 34
2022-04-24 Kastrioti L 0-150.3 1439 1196 70.42% 18.23% 11.35%+1.48 -9.9 66
2022-04-24 @ KF Tirana W 1-050.3 1196 1439 11.35% 18.23% 70.42%-1.48 +9.9 40
2022-04-24 Teuta L 0-138.2 1128 1271 22.40% 28.97% 48.62%-0.53 -4.2 23
2022-04-24 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-038.2 1271 1128 48.62% 28.97% 22.40%+0.53 +4.2 36
2022-04-29 Dinamo Tirana W 3-133.2 1388 1124 72.60% 16.91% 10.49%+1.59 +2.9 46
2022-04-29 @ Partizani L 1-333.2 1124 1388 10.49% 16.91% 72.60%-1.59 -2.8 23
2022-04-29 KF Tirana W 1-046.9 1356 1429 29.92% 31.00% 39.08%-0.17 +6.5 54
2022-04-29 @ Laci L 0-146.9 1429 1356 39.08% 31.00% 29.92%+0.17 -6.5 66
2022-04-29 Kukesi W 4-140.5 1275 1281 39.45% 30.95% 29.59%+0.18 +12.3 39
2022-04-29 @ Teuta L 1-440.5 1281 1275 29.59% 30.95% 39.45%-0.18 -12.3 46
2022-04-30 Egnatia W 2-145.9 1206 1191 42.36% 30.53% 27.11%+0.29 +4.7 43
2022-04-30 @ Kastrioti L 1-245.9 1191 1206 27.11% 30.53% 42.36%-0.29 -4.7 34
2022-04-30 Skenderbeu W 1-035.0 1306 1159 59.50% 24.40% 16.10%+0.98 +3.0 45
2022-04-30 @ Vllaznia L 0-135.0 1159 1306 16.10% 24.40% 59.50%-0.98 -3.0 21
2022-05-03 Partizani L 1-246.1 1268 1391 24.34% 29.76% 45.91%-0.43 -4.3 46
2022-05-03 @ Kukesi W 2-146.1 1391 1268 45.91% 29.76% 24.34%+0.43 +4.3 49
2022-05-04 Kastrioti W 2-039.3 1156 1211 32.38% 31.19% 36.43%-0.07 +11.6 24
2022-05-04 @ Skenderbeu L 0-239.3 1211 1156 36.43% 31.19% 32.38%+0.07 -11.6 43
2022-05-04 Laci L 0-233.6 1186 1362 19.61% 27.39% 53.00%-0.71 -7.0 34
2022-05-04 @ Egnatia W 2-033.6 1362 1186 53.00% 27.39% 19.61%+0.71 +7.0 57
2022-05-04 Teuta D 1-156.0 1423 1288 58.06% 25.12% 16.82%+0.92 -1.4 67
2022-05-04 @ KF Tirana D 1-156.0 1288 1423 16.82% 25.12% 58.06%-0.92 +1.4 40
2022-05-05 Vllaznia D 0-048.5 1121 1309 18.78% 26.79% 54.43%-0.77 +1.4 24
2022-05-05 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.5 1309 1121 54.43% 26.79% 18.78%+0.77 -1.4 46
2022-05-07 KF Tirana L 1-252.7 1395 1422 36.47% 31.19% 32.33%+0.08 -5.8 49
2022-05-07 @ Partizani W 2-152.7 1422 1395 32.33% 31.19% 36.47%-0.08 +5.8 70
2022-05-08 Kastrioti W 4-133.8 1369 1199 62.25% 22.95% 14.80%+1.10 +6.2 60
2022-05-08 @ Laci L 1-433.8 1199 1369 14.80% 22.95% 62.25%-1.10 -6.2 43
2022-05-09 Egnatia W 3-138.4 1289 1179 54.94% 26.57% 18.49%+0.79 +5.7 43
2022-05-09 @ Teuta L 1-338.4 1179 1289 18.49% 26.57% 54.94%-0.79 -5.7 34
2022-05-09 Kukesi W 2-145.3 1308 1264 46.19% 29.68% 24.13%+0.44 +4.2 49
2022-05-09 @ Vllaznia L 1-245.3 1264 1308 24.13% 29.68% 46.19%-0.44 -4.2 46
2022-05-09 Skenderbeu D 1-152.2 1123 1167 33.80% 31.24% 34.96%-0.02 +0.0 25
2022-05-09 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.2 1167 1123 34.96% 31.24% 33.80%+0.02 -0.0 25
2022-05-14 Dinamo Tirana W 2-141.1 1260 1123 58.30% 25.00% 16.70%+0.93 +2.9 49
2022-05-14 @ Kukesi L 1-241.1 1123 1260 16.70% 25.00% 58.30%-0.93 -3.0 25
2022-05-14 Laci L 1-241.9 1167 1376 17.37% 25.62% 57.01%-0.87 -3.1 25
2022-05-14 @ Skenderbeu W 2-141.9 1376 1167 57.01% 25.62% 17.37%+0.87 +3.1 63
2022-05-14 Partizani L 0-135.8 1173 1390 16.84% 25.14% 58.02%-0.92 -3.2 34
2022-05-14 @ Egnatia W 1-035.8 1390 1173 58.02% 25.14% 16.84%+0.92 +3.2 52
2022-05-14 Teuta L 0-140.0 1193 1295 26.55% 30.40% 43.05%-0.32 -4.9 43
2022-05-14 @ Kastrioti W 1-040.0 1295 1193 43.05% 30.40% 26.55%+0.32 +4.9 46
2022-05-14 Vllaznia W 3-140.3 1427 1312 55.62% 26.27% 18.11%+0.81 +5.6 73
2022-05-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-340.3 1312 1427 18.11% 26.27% 55.62%-0.81 -5.6 49
2022-05-21 Egnatia W 3-137.5 1306 1170 58.16% 25.07% 16.77%+0.92 +5.1 52
2022-05-21 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.5 1170 1306 16.77% 25.07% 58.16%-0.92 -5.1 34
2022-05-21 Kastrioti W 4-028.0 1393 1188 66.23% 20.71% 13.06%+1.28 +8.3 55
2022-05-21 @ Partizani L 0-428.0 1188 1393 13.06% 20.71% 66.23%-1.28 -8.3 43
2022-05-21 KF Tirana W 2-155.5 1120 1433 11.83% 18.96% 69.21%-1.42 +9.2 28
2022-05-21 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-255.5 1433 1120 69.21% 18.96% 11.83%+1.42 -9.2 73
2022-05-21 Laci W 2-151.3 1300 1379 29.25% 30.91% 39.84%-0.20 +6.2 49
2022-05-21 @ Teuta L 1-251.3 1379 1300 39.84% 30.91% 29.25%+0.20 -6.2 63
2022-05-21 Skenderbeu W 1-036.8 1263 1164 53.46% 27.20% 19.34%+0.73 +3.7 52
2022-05-21 @ Kukesi L 0-136.8 1164 1263 19.34% 27.20% 53.46%-0.73 -3.7 25
2022-05-26 Dinamo Tirana D 1-152.6 1165 1129 45.19% 29.93% 24.87%+0.40 -0.7 35
2022-05-26 @ Egnatia D 1-152.6 1129 1165 24.87% 29.93% 45.19%-0.40 +0.7 29
2022-05-26 Kukesi L 2-360.1 1424 1267 60.72% 23.77% 15.51%+1.03 -8.0 73
2022-05-26 @ KF Tirana W 3-260.1 1267 1424 15.51% 23.77% 60.72%-1.03 +8.0 55
2022-05-26 Partizani L 3-458.4 1372 1401 36.12% 31.21% 32.67%+0.06 -5.3 63
2022-05-26 @ Laci W 4-358.4 1401 1372 32.67% 31.21% 36.12%-0.06 +5.3 58
2022-05-26 Teuta D 0-048.0 1161 1306 22.19% 28.87% 48.94%-0.54 +1.0 26
2022-05-26 @ Skenderbeu D 0-048.0 1306 1161 48.94% 28.87% 22.19%+0.54 -1.0 50
2022-05-26 Vllaznia L 1-340.8 1180 1311 23.47% 29.43% 47.10%-0.47 -7.2 43
2022-05-26 @ Kastrioti W 3-140.8 1311 1180 47.10% 29.43% 23.47%+0.47 +7.2 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-04-24 11.35% Kastrioti 1196 1 @ KF Tirana 1439 0
2 2022-05-21 11.83% @ Dinamo Tirana 1120 2 KF Tirana 1433 1
3 2021-12-23 14.22% Egnatia 1153 2 @ Teuta 1334 1
4 2022-02-20 14.46% @ Kastrioti 1147 2 KF Tirana 1405 1
5 2022-05-26 15.51% Kukesi 1267 3 @ KF Tirana 1424 2
6 2022-01-19 16.17% Dinamo Tirana 1163 1 @ Kukesi 1309 0
7 2022-03-19 16.45% @ Kastrioti 1167 1 Partizani 1389 0
8 2022-04-04 16.64% Kastrioti 1175 2 @ Vllaznia 1314 1
9 2021-10-16 17.54% Egnatia 1181 1 @ Laci 1305 0
10 2022-03-13 17.77% Kastrioti 1158 1 @ Teuta 1279 0
11 2022-01-16 18.47% @ Kastrioti 1134 2 Teuta 1326 0
12 2022-03-19 19.45% @ Egnatia 1157 3 Vllaznia 1336 0
13 2022-03-20 19.47% Teuta 1270 1 @ Laci 1367 0
14 2022-03-08 26.07% Dinamo Tirana 1151 1 @ Skenderbeu 1176 0
15 2021-10-24 26.41% Dinamo Tirana 1185 1 @ Skenderbeu 1206 0
16 2022-04-16 27.00% @ Kastrioti 1189 1 Kukesi 1287 0
17 2021-09-12 27.11% Dinamo Tirana 1174 2 @ Kastrioti 1189 0
18 2021-10-17 27.17% KF Tirana 1342 3 @ Teuta 1357 2
19 2021-11-22 27.18% @ Kukesi 1278 2 KF Tirana 1374 1
20 2021-11-06 27.68% @ Skenderbeu 1192 2 Kukesi 1285 1
21 2021-09-11 28.70% Vllaznia 1323 5 @ Laci 1325 3
22 2022-05-21 29.25% @ Teuta 1300 2 Laci 1379 1
23 2022-04-29 29.92% @ Laci 1356 1 KF Tirana 1429 0
24 2021-10-24 30.33% @ Kukesi 1267 2 Vllaznia 1338 0
25 2022-04-24 31.41% Egnatia 1184 1 @ Skenderbeu 1165 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-03-19 22.29 @ Egnatia 3 1157 19.45% Vllaznia 0 1336 53.27% 27.28%
2 2022-02-05 20.93 Partizani 4 1350 34.89% @ Teuta 0 1306 33.88% 31.24%
3 2022-03-02 17.65 @ Partizani 5 1373 50.49% Kukesi 0 1297 21.17% 28.35%
4 2021-12-04 15.93 Kukesi 6 1292 47.40% @ Kastrioti 1 1158 23.25% 29.35%
5 2022-01-16 15.71 @ Kastrioti 2 1134 18.47% Teuta 0 1326 54.97% 26.56%
6 2021-12-03 14.01 @ Laci 5 1315 57.81% Dinamo Tirana 0 1182 16.95% 25.24%
7 2022-01-30 13.97 @ KF Tirana 4 1386 51.33% Kukesi 0 1304 20.63% 28.04%
8 2021-09-12 12.93 Dinamo Tirana 2 1174 27.11% @ Kastrioti 0 1189 42.36% 30.53%
9 2022-04-29 12.26 @ Teuta 4 1275 39.45% Kukesi 1 1281 29.59% 30.95%
10 2021-10-24 12.10 @ Kukesi 2 1267 30.33% Vllaznia 0 1338 38.63% 31.04%
11 2022-05-04 11.60 @ Skenderbeu 2 1156 32.38% Kastrioti 0 1211 36.43% 31.19%
12 2022-02-26 11.58 @ KF Tirana 4 1397 41.93% Laci 1 1384 27.47% 30.61%
13 2021-10-30 11.56 KF Tirana 2 1354 32.58% @ Vllaznia 0 1326 36.21% 31.20%
14 2021-10-16 11.50 @ Kastrioti 2 1166 32.84% Skenderbeu 0 1218 35.95% 31.21%
15 2022-02-20 11.46 @ Laci 3 1373 48.93% Kukesi 0 1309 22.19% 28.88%
16 2022-02-19 11.44 @ Egnatia 2 1142 33.05% Skenderbeu 0 1192 35.73% 31.22%
17 2022-04-02 11.43 Egnatia 2 1180 33.15% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1148 35.63% 31.22%
18 2021-11-07 11.28 @ Laci 2 1308 33.79% Teuta 0 1353 34.97% 31.24%
19 2022-02-13 11.06 @ Kukesi 4 1298 58.58% Kastrioti 0 1158 16.56% 24.86%
20 2022-02-05 10.50 @ Kastrioti 2 1148 37.25% Dinamo Tirana 0 1169 31.60% 31.15%
21 2022-04-24 9.89 Kastrioti 1 1196 11.35% @ KF Tirana 0 1439 70.42% 18.23%
22 2022-01-16 9.79 Partizani 3 1348 54.24% @ Egnatia 0 1162 18.89% 26.87%
23 2022-04-10 9.79 KF Tirana 4 1422 61.96% @ Skenderbeu 0 1173 14.94% 23.11%
24 2021-11-06 9.32 @ KF Tirana 4 1365 63.26% Dinamo Tirana 0 1186 14.35% 22.40%
25 2021-10-03 9.28 @ KF Tirana 2 1333 42.72% Laci 0 1315 26.81% 30.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-03-12 62.1 @ Partizani 2 1391 69.56% Egnatia 2 1156 11.69% 18.75%
2 2021-11-21 60.3 @ Teuta 2 1342 59.01% Skenderbeu 2 1199 16.35% 24.65%
3 2022-05-26 60.1 Kukesi 3 1267 15.51% @ KF Tirana 2 1424 60.72% 23.77%
4 2022-02-25 59.2 @ Skenderbeu 2 1181 21.01% Vllaznia 2 1339 50.72% 28.26%
5 2021-09-27 59.1 @ Laci 2 1315 46.41% Kukesi 2 1270 23.97% 29.62%
6 2022-05-26 58.4 Partizani 4 1401 32.67% @ Laci 3 1372 36.12% 31.21%
7 2021-10-17 56.8 KF Tirana 3 1342 27.17% @ Teuta 2 1357 42.29% 30.54%
8 2022-05-04 56.0 @ KF Tirana 1 1423 58.06% Teuta 1 1288 16.82% 25.12%
9 2022-05-21 55.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1120 11.83% KF Tirana 1 1433 69.21% 18.96%
10 2021-10-31 55.4 @ Teuta 1 1355 63.62% Kastrioti 1 1173 14.18% 22.19%
11 2022-01-21 55.3 @ Vllaznia 1 1335 63.77% Egnatia 1 1152 14.12% 22.11%
12 2021-10-31 55.1 @ Partizani 1 1351 61.65% Egnatia 1 1186 15.08% 23.27%
13 2021-09-19 54.9 @ KF Tirana 1 1335 61.12% Egnatia 1 1175 15.33% 23.56%
14 2022-02-20 54.7 @ Kastrioti 2 1147 14.46% KF Tirana 1 1405 62.99% 22.54%
15 2022-02-19 54.6 @ Partizani 1 1375 45.20% Vllaznia 1 1339 24.86% 29.93%
16 2021-12-23 54.5 Egnatia 2 1153 14.22% @ Teuta 1 1334 63.55% 22.24%
17 2022-03-07 54.4 @ Kastrioti 1 1157 17.01% Laci 1 1370 57.70% 25.30%
18 2021-10-17 54.3 @ Partizani 1 1357 52.51% Kukesi 1 1266 19.90% 27.58%
19 2021-09-26 54.2 @ Partizani 1 1359 43.94% Vllaznia 1 1332 25.84% 30.22%
20 2021-11-20 54.1 @ Partizani 1 1356 45.29% Laci 1 1320 24.80% 29.91%
21 2021-09-18 53.9 @ Vllaznia 1 1332 37.11% Teuta 1 1354 31.73% 31.16%
22 2021-10-01 53.8 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1189 20.16% Partizani 1 1358 52.09% 27.75%
23 2022-04-04 53.8 Kastrioti 2 1175 16.64% @ Vllaznia 1 1314 58.42% 24.94%
24 2021-12-03 53.7 @ Teuta 1 1336 41.96% Vllaznia 1 1324 27.44% 30.60%
25 2021-12-23 53.7 @ Vllaznia 1 1335 43.91% Kukesi 1 1308 25.86% 30.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-12-07 26.8 @ KF Tirana 3 1374 69.20% Kastrioti 0 1142 11.83% 18.96%
2 2022-02-14 28.0 @ KF Tirana 2 1402 71.81% Egnatia 0 1145 10.80% 17.39%
3 2022-05-21 28.0 @ Partizani 4 1393 66.23% Kastrioti 0 1188 13.06% 20.71%
4 2021-11-06 28.7 @ KF Tirana 4 1365 63.26% Dinamo Tirana 0 1186 14.35% 22.40%
5 2021-12-22 29.3 @ Laci 2 1348 66.80% Kastrioti 0 1138 12.82% 20.38%
6 2022-04-10 29.3 KF Tirana 4 1422 61.96% @ Skenderbeu 0 1173 14.94% 23.11%
7 2022-02-13 29.8 @ Kukesi 4 1298 58.58% Kastrioti 0 1158 16.56% 24.86%
8 2022-04-16 29.9 KF Tirana 3 1432 60.81% @ Egnatia 0 1192 15.47% 23.72%
9 2021-12-03 30.8 @ Laci 5 1315 57.81% Dinamo Tirana 0 1182 16.95% 25.24%
10 2022-01-16 31.3 Partizani 3 1348 54.24% @ Egnatia 0 1162 18.89% 26.87%
11 2022-03-19 31.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1421 73.36% Dinamo Tirana 0 1149 10.19% 16.45%
12 2021-12-12 32.6 @ Vllaznia 2 1330 56.45% Skenderbeu 0 1208 17.66% 25.89%
13 2021-10-30 33.2 @ Laci 2 1302 53.93% Skenderbeu 0 1199 19.06% 27.01%
14 2022-04-29 33.2 @ Partizani 3 1388 72.60% Dinamo Tirana 1 1124 10.49% 16.91%
15 2021-11-28 33.3 @ Kukesi 2 1285 53.14% Egnatia 0 1189 19.53% 27.33%
16 2021-12-04 33.3 KF Tirana 2 1367 54.13% @ Egnatia 0 1182 18.95% 26.92%
17 2021-12-19 33.3 Laci 2 1341 53.57% @ Egnatia 0 1160 19.27% 27.15%
18 2022-01-30 33.4 @ KF Tirana 4 1386 51.33% Kukesi 0 1304 20.63% 28.04%
19 2021-11-07 33.6 Partizani 2 1349 52.76% @ Kastrioti 0 1175 19.75% 27.49%
20 2021-12-13 33.6 @ Partizani 1 1357 64.93% Dinamo Tirana 0 1164 13.61% 21.46%
21 2022-05-04 33.6 Laci 2 1362 53.00% @ Egnatia 0 1186 19.61% 27.39%
22 2022-05-08 33.8 @ Laci 4 1369 62.25% Kastrioti 1 1199 14.80% 22.95%
23 2022-02-20 34.1 @ Laci 3 1373 48.93% Kukesi 0 1309 22.19% 28.88%
24 2022-03-02 34.1 @ Partizani 5 1373 50.49% Kukesi 0 1297 21.17% 28.35%
25 2022-02-06 34.9 Kukesi 2 1290 47.73% @ Egnatia 0 1154 23.02% 29.25%