2022-23 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

67 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 2018-19

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Egnatia

8.52 points above expected

52 points · 43.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Laci

6.14 points below expected

48 points · 54.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Partizani Champion	36	20	7	9	67	56	37	+19	60.50	+6.50
2	KF Tirana	36	20	7	9	67	56	33	+23	65.27	+1.73
3	Egnatia	36	14	10	12	52	46	32	+14	43.48	+8.52
4	Vllaznia	36	13	11	12	50	39	37	+2	52.82	-2.82
5	Laci	36	14	6	16	48	45	46	-1	54.14	-6.14
6	Teuta	36	12	12	12	48	33	40	-7	48.34	-0.34
7	Kukesi	36	12	9	15	45	31	35	-4	47.15	-2.15
8	Erzeni	36	8	16	12	40	36	48	-12	40.46	-0.46
9	Bylis	36	9	11	16	38	31	42	-11	39.17	-1.17
10	Kastrioti	36	8	11	17	35	26	49	-23	38.50	-3.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Egnatia	52	43.48	+8.52
2	Partizani	67	60.50	+6.50
3	KF Tirana	67	65.27	+1.73
4	Teuta	48	48.34	-0.34
5	Erzeni	40	40.46	-0.46

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Laci	48	54.14	-6.14
2	Kastrioti	35	38.50	-3.50
3	Vllaznia	50	52.82	-2.82
4	Kukesi	45	47.15	-2.15
5	Bylis	38	39.17	-1.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KF Tirana	5	Apr 2 – Apr 30	1 in 24
2	Vllaznia	3	Dec 22 – Jan 21	1 in 24
3	Kukesi	3	Oct 1 – Oct 17	1 in 23
4	Erzeni	2	Sep 11 – Sep 17	1 in 21
5	Egnatia	2	Sep 4 – Sep 10	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Laci	5	Aug 29 – Oct 1	1 in 874
2	Kukesi	3	Oct 22 – Nov 3	1 in 23
3	Bylis	4	Oct 8 – Oct 29	1 in 23
4	KF Tirana	2	Dec 16 – Dec 21	1 in 16
5	Vllaznia	2	Dec 12 – Dec 16	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Teuta	7	Feb 7 – Mar 19	1 in 21
2	Erzeni	5	Aug 20 – Sep 17	1 in 21
3	Egnatia	5	Sep 4 – Oct 7	1 in 16
4	Bylis	4	Mar 18 – Apr 19	1 in 13
5	Laci	5	Oct 7 – Nov 3	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Laci	7	Aug 29 – Oct 16	1 in 52
2	Erzeni	11	Mar 18 – May 29	1 in 33
3	Partizani	5	Jan 13 – Feb 6	1 in 29
4	Vllaznia	6	Feb 19 – Apr 1	1 in 29
5	Teuta	7	Aug 21 – Oct 8	1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Partizani	1303	67	+19	13	8.6	+4.4
KF Tirana	1304	67	+3	8	8.7	-0.7
Egnatia	1207	52	-6	6	8.1	-2.1
Vllaznia	1212	50	+4	8	7.1	+0.9
Teuta	1205	48	+2	9	6.5	+2.5
Laci	1223	48	-12	5	7.6	-2.6
Kukesi	1192	45	+13	8	6.4	+1.6
Erzeni	1126	40	-8	2	5.2	-3.2
Bylis	1124	38	-3	5	5.1	-0.1
Kastrioti	1101	35	-11	4	4.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BYL	EGN	ERZ	KT	KAS	KUK	LAC	PAR	TEU	VLL
Bylis	—	1-1-2 4.73	2-2-0 5.18	0-2-2 3.17	3-0-1 5.47	0-2-2 4.56	2-0-2 3.90	0-0-4 3.47	0-3-1 4.47	1-1-2 4.04
Egnatia	2-1-1 6.14	—	1-2-1 6.03	0-0-4 3.58	2-1-1 6.25	2-0-2 5.23	3-1-0 4.29	1-2-1 3.75	0-2-2 5.16	3-1-0 4.46
Erzeni	0-2-2 5.65	1-2-1 4.83	—	1-0-3 3.26	0-4-0 5.70	1-2-1 4.63	1-2-1 4.08	1-1-2 3.57	1-2-1 4.66	2-1-1 4.20
KF Tirana	2-2-0 7.87	4-0-0 7.37	3-0-1 7.75	—	3-1-0 7.88	2-1-1 7.04	3-1-0 6.52	1-1-2 5.72	1-0-3 7.02	1-1-2 6.55
Kastrioti	1-0-3 5.35	1-1-2 4.61	0-4-0 5.13	0-1-3 3.16	—	2-1-1 4.47	1-0-3 3.93	0-2-2 3.29	1-1-2 4.36	2-1-1 4.03
Kukesi	2-2-0 6.30	2-0-2 5.62	1-2-1 6.22	1-1-2 3.88	1-1-2 6.39	—	4-0-0 4.60	1-0-3 4.03	0-2-2 5.28	0-1-3 4.90
Laci	2-0-2 7.02	0-1-3 6.61	1-2-1 6.82	0-1-3 4.35	3-0-1 6.98	0-0-4 6.25	—	3-0-1 4.81	4-0-0 5.99	1-2-1 5.45
Partizani	4-0-0 7.50	1-2-1 7.19	2-1-1 7.39	2-1-1 5.12	2-2-0 7.72	3-0-1 6.87	1-0-3 6.03	—	3-0-1 6.73	2-1-1 6.33
Teuta	1-3-0 6.39	2-2-0 5.67	1-2-1 6.19	3-0-1 3.89	2-1-1 6.51	2-2-0 5.56	0-0-4 4.85	1-0-3 4.15	—	0-2-2 5.13
Vllaznia	2-1-1 6.85	0-1-3 6.39	1-1-2 6.68	2-1-1 4.31	1-1-2 6.87	3-1-0 5.93	1-2-1 5.38	1-1-2 4.53	2-2-0 5.70	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.86	+9.6
Allowed	0.47	-12.1
Differential	0.90	+7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.56%	12.78%	6.11%	1.94%	1.11%	—	32.50%
1	12.78%	13.33%	8.33%	1.39%	2.50%	—	38.33%
2	6.11%	8.33%	2.78%	1.67%	—	—	18.89%
3	1.94%	1.39%	1.67%	1.11%	0.28%	—	6.39%
4	1.11%	2.50%	—	0.28%	—	—	3.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	32.50%	38.33%	18.89%	6.39%	3.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.11	+0.00
SD	1.05	1.05	1.49
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	13.89%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	33.33%	27.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.17	-0.31
SD	0.90	1.03	1.35
CV	1.04	0.88	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	33.33%	27.78%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	0.89	+0.39
SD	1.21	0.82	1.48
CV	0.95	0.92	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	22.22%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	30.56%	25.00%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.33	-0.33
SD	0.83	1.12	1.20
CV	0.83	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	44.44%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	0.92	+0.64
SD	1.30	0.81	1.55
CV	0.83	0.88	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	50.00%
1	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	11.11%	—	30.56%
2	—	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	36.11%	13.89%	5.56%	13.89%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.72	1.36	-0.64
SD	0.85	1.36	1.53
CV	1.18	1.00	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
1	13.89%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	30.56%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	0.97	-0.11
SD	0.80	1.06	1.43
CV	0.93	1.09	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
1	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	47.22%	13.89%	13.89%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.28	-0.03
SD	1.16	1.06	1.48
CV	0.92	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	22.22%	—	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	55.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.03	+0.53
SD	1.16	0.84	1.48
CV	0.74	0.82	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	25.00%	16.67%	2.78%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.11	-0.19
SD	0.81	1.33	1.53
CV	0.88	1.19	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	47.22%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.03	+0.06
SD	1.13	0.97	1.51
CV	1.04	0.94	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KF Tirana	1304	67	65.27	+1.73	63.0%	49	52	60	65	71	77	83
Partizani	1303	67	60.50	+6.50	82.0%	44	47	55	61	66	71	76
Laci	1223	48	54.14	-6.14	25.0%	37	40	48	53	61	69	79
Vllaznia	1212	50	52.82	-2.82	35.0%	35	38	48	53	57	66	70
Egnatia	1207	52	43.48	+8.52	95.0%	22	31	40	44	47	52	57
Teuta	1205	48	48.34	-0.34	53.0%	29	37	43	48	53	61	68
Kukesi	1192	45	47.15	-2.15	44.0%	30	34	42	46	52	60	64
Erzeni	1126	40	40.46	-0.46	50.0%	19	27	34	40	45	56	65
Bylis	1124	38	39.17	-1.17	43.0%	12	27	35	39	43	51	55
Kastrioti	1101	35	38.50	-3.50	32.0%	21	28	34	39	42	49	55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

No Edge

40.00%27.78%32.22%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

212 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.25 goals

Neutral

-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

28%

Partizani, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.08 * Some Luck: 6.08 to 9.12 * Lucky: 9.12 to 12.16 * Wild Swing: 12.16 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.82 * Off: 1.82 to 2.42 * Way Off: 2.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.27 points

As Expected

07.6019

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.514

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

95.00%

Egnatia

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

25.00%

Laci

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.120.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 69.46

1.41

Moderate Separation

0.91.351.82.153

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63.5%72.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

76%

Even

50%79%100%

Close Games

Expected

74%

Very Frequent

0%68%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Occasional

0%9%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.642

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.36

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.67

Strong Carryover

00.410.590.731

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

32%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.08

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.68

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.095

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Partizani	28.00%	31.00%	19.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
KF Tirana	53.00%	28.00%	12.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Egnatia	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	21.00%	19.00%	19.00%	14.00%	6.00%
Vllaznia	6.00%	12.00%	18.00%	25.00%	15.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Laci	10.00%	18.00%	17.00%	20.00%	14.00%	3.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Teuta	2.00%	5.00%	16.00%	7.00%	19.00%	18.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Kukesi	—	2.00%	12.00%	19.00%	16.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Erzeni	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	15.00%	11.00%	15.00%	22.00%	24.00%
Bylis	—	—	—	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	22.00%	15.00%	27.00%
Kastrioti	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	14.00%	30.00%	29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
KF Tirana	100%	—	—
Partizani	99.00%	1.00%	—
Laci	91.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Vllaznia	89.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Kukesi	79.00%	10.00%	11.00%
Teuta	79.00%	10.00%	11.00%
Egnatia	61.00%	19.00%	20.00%
Bylis	36.00%	22.00%	42.00%
Erzeni	39.00%	15.00%	46.00%
Kastrioti	27.00%	14.00%	59.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-08-19	KF Tirana	D 1-1	53.7	1198	1279	28.43%	28.89%	42.68%	-0.26	+0.3	1
2022-08-19	@ Kukesi	D 1-1	53.7	1279	1198	42.68%	28.89%	28.43%	+0.26	-0.3	1
2022-08-20	Egnatia	W 2-1	41.1	1281	1136	58.68%	23.81%	17.52%	+0.81	+2.2	3
2022-08-20	@ Partizani	L 1-2	41.1	1136	1281	17.52%	23.81%	58.68%	-0.81	-2.2	0
2022-08-20	Vllaznia	W 1-0	43.8	1138	1224	27.91%	28.79%	43.31%	-0.28	+5.1	3
2022-08-20	@ Erzeni	L 0-1	43.8	1224	1138	43.31%	28.79%	27.91%	+0.28	-5.1	0
2022-08-21	Kastrioti	W 2-0	36.4	1134	1139	38.73%	29.34%	31.93%	+0.10	+7.8	3
2022-08-21	@ Bylis	L 0-2	36.4	1139	1134	31.93%	29.34%	38.73%	-0.10	-7.7	0
2022-08-21	Teuta	W 3-1	41.0	1251	1214	44.62%	28.54%	26.83%	+0.30	+5.9	3
2022-08-21	@ Laci	L 1-3	41.0	1214	1251	26.83%	28.54%	44.62%	-0.30	-5.9	0
2022-08-27	Bylis	D 1-1	53.8	1208	1142	48.64%	27.58%	23.78%	+0.44	-0.6	1
2022-08-27	@ Teuta	D 1-1	53.8	1142	1208	23.78%	27.58%	48.64%	-0.44	+0.6	4
2022-08-27	Erzeni	D 0-0	47.6	1132	1144	37.74%	29.40%	32.86%	+0.07	-0.1	1
2022-08-27	@ Kastrioti	D 0-0	47.6	1144	1132	32.86%	29.40%	37.74%	-0.07	+0.1	4
2022-08-28	KF Tirana	L 0-2	32.8	1134	1279	21.95%	26.76%	51.29%	-0.55	-5.7	0
2022-08-28	@ Egnatia	W 2-0	32.8	1279	1134	51.29%	26.76%	21.95%	+0.55	+5.6	4
2022-08-28	Kukesi	W 2-1	46.0	1219	1198	42.40%	28.93%	28.67%	+0.23	+3.6	3
2022-08-28	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	46.0	1198	1219	28.67%	28.93%	42.40%	-0.23	-3.6	1
2022-08-29	Laci	W 1-0	39.7	1283	1257	43.11%	28.82%	28.07%	+0.25	+3.7	6
2022-08-29	@ Partizani	L 0-1	39.7	1257	1283	28.07%	28.82%	43.11%	-0.25	-3.7	3
2022-09-02	Vllaznia	L 1-2	51.7	1284	1223	48.01%	27.75%	24.24%	+0.42	-5.2	4
2022-09-02	@ KF Tirana	W 2-1	51.7	1223	1284	24.24%	27.75%	48.01%	-0.42	+5.2	6
2022-09-03	Kastrioti	L 1-2	51.4	1195	1131	48.20%	27.70%	24.10%	+0.43	-5.2	1
2022-09-03	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	51.4	1131	1195	24.10%	27.70%	48.20%	-0.43	+5.2	4
2022-09-03	Teuta	D 0-0	47.8	1144	1208	30.52%	29.20%	40.27%	-0.17	+0.3	5
2022-09-03	@ Erzeni	D 0-0	47.8	1208	1144	40.27%	29.20%	30.52%	+0.17	-0.3	2
2022-09-04	Egnatia	L 0-1	46.5	1253	1128	56.25%	24.88%	18.87%	+0.72	-6.3	3
2022-09-04	@ Laci	W 1-0	46.5	1128	1253	18.87%	24.88%	56.25%	-0.72	+6.2	3
2022-09-04	Partizani	L 0-1	36.9	1143	1287	22.00%	26.79%	51.21%	-0.55	-3.0	4
2022-09-04	@ Bylis	W 1-0	36.9	1287	1143	51.21%	26.79%	22.00%	+0.55	+3.0	9
2022-09-09	Kukesi	D 0-0	47.9	1208	1189	42.03%	28.98%	28.99%	+0.21	-0.3	3
2022-09-09	@ Teuta	D 0-0	47.9	1189	1208	28.99%	28.98%	42.03%	-0.21	+0.3	2
2022-09-10	KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.6	1137	1279	22.15%	26.86%	50.99%	-0.54	+0.8	5
2022-09-10	@ Kastrioti	D 0-0	48.6	1279	1137	50.99%	26.86%	22.15%	+0.54	-0.8	5
2022-09-10	Vllaznia	W 3-0	38.5	1135	1228	27.05%	28.60%	44.35%	-0.31	+14.3	6
2022-09-10	@ Egnatia	L 0-3	38.5	1228	1135	44.35%	28.60%	27.05%	+0.31	-14.3	6
2022-09-11	Bylis	L 0-1	46.2	1247	1140	54.02%	25.78%	20.20%	+0.63	-6.1	3
2022-09-11	@ Laci	W 1-0	46.2	1140	1247	20.20%	25.78%	54.02%	-0.63	+6.1	7
2022-09-11	Erzeni	L 0-1	47.1	1290	1144	58.83%	23.74%	17.44%	+0.82	-6.5	9
2022-09-11	@ Partizani	W 1-0	47.1	1144	1290	17.44%	23.74%	58.83%	-0.82	+6.5	8
2022-09-16	Teuta	W 4-0	32.5	1278	1207	49.26%	27.40%	23.34%	+0.46	+11.4	8
2022-09-16	@ KF Tirana	L 0-4	32.5	1207	1278	23.34%	27.40%	49.26%	-0.46	-11.4	3
2022-09-17	Egnatia	D 0-0	47.7	1146	1149	39.00%	29.32%	31.68%	+0.11	-0.2	8
2022-09-17	@ Bylis	D 0-0	47.7	1149	1146	31.68%	29.32%	39.00%	-0.11	+0.2	7
2022-09-17	Laci	W 1-0	44.0	1150	1241	27.35%	28.66%	43.99%	-0.30	+5.2	11
2022-09-17	@ Erzeni	L 0-1	44.0	1241	1150	43.99%	28.66%	27.35%	+0.30	-5.2	3
2022-09-18	Kastrioti	W 1-0	37.2	1214	1137	49.92%	27.20%	22.87%	+0.49	+3.1	9
2022-09-18	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	37.2	1137	1214	22.87%	27.20%	49.92%	-0.49	-3.1	5
2022-09-19	Partizani	L 1-2	45.5	1190	1283	27.01%	28.59%	44.41%	-0.31	-3.4	2
2022-09-19	@ Kukesi	W 2-1	45.5	1283	1190	44.41%	28.59%	27.01%	+0.31	+3.4	12
2022-09-30	Erzeni	W 4-1	39.9	1145	1156	38.01%	29.39%	32.60%	+0.08	+9.6	11
2022-09-30	@ Bylis	L 1-4	39.9	1156	1145	32.60%	29.39%	38.01%	-0.08	-9.6	11
2022-09-30	Vllaznia	D 0-0	47.8	1196	1217	36.48%	29.45%	34.07%	+0.03	-0.1	4
2022-09-30	@ Teuta	D 0-0	47.8	1217	1196	34.07%	29.45%	36.48%	-0.03	+0.1	10
2022-10-01	Kastrioti	D 0-0	47.8	1149	1134	41.52%	29.05%	29.42%	+0.20	-0.3	8
2022-10-01	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	47.8	1134	1149	29.42%	29.05%	41.52%	-0.20	+0.3	6
2022-10-01	Kukesi	L 0-1	44.6	1236	1186	46.36%	28.17%	25.47%	+0.36	-5.4	3
2022-10-01	@ Laci	W 1-0	44.6	1186	1236	25.47%	28.17%	46.36%	-0.36	+5.4	5
2022-10-02	KF Tirana	L 0-2	39.3	1287	1290	39.03%	29.32%	31.65%	+0.11	-9.0	12
2022-10-02	@ Partizani	W 2-0	39.3	1290	1287	31.65%	29.32%	39.03%	-0.11	+9.0	11
2022-10-07	Egnatia	D 0-0	47.7	1146	1149	39.05%	29.31%	31.63%	+0.11	-0.2	12
2022-10-07	@ Erzeni	D 0-0	47.7	1149	1146	31.63%	29.31%	39.05%	-0.11	+0.2	9
2022-10-07	Laci	D 3-3	63.6	1299	1230	48.88%	27.51%	23.61%	+0.45	-0.4	12
2022-10-07	@ KF Tirana	D 3-3	63.6	1230	1299	23.61%	27.51%	48.88%	-0.45	+0.4	4
2022-10-07	Partizani	L 1-2	47.0	1217	1278	30.92%	29.25%	39.84%	-0.16	-3.8	10
2022-10-07	@ Vllaznia	W 2-1	47.0	1278	1217	39.84%	29.25%	30.92%	+0.16	+3.8	15
2022-10-08	Bylis	W 2-0	34.7	1192	1155	44.57%	28.55%	26.88%	+0.30	+6.8	8
2022-10-08	@ Kukesi	L 0-2	34.7	1155	1192	26.88%	28.55%	44.57%	-0.30	-6.8	11
2022-10-08	Teuta	W 2-1	49.3	1135	1196	30.91%	29.24%	39.84%	-0.16	+4.5	9
2022-10-08	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	49.3	1196	1135	39.84%	29.24%	30.91%	+0.16	-4.5	4
2022-10-15	Teuta	L 1-2	47.5	1149	1191	33.41%	29.43%	37.17%	-0.07	-4.0	9
2022-10-15	@ Egnatia	W 2-1	47.5	1191	1149	37.17%	29.43%	33.41%	+0.07	+4.0	7
2022-10-16	Kastrioti	D 0-0	49.5	1282	1139	58.39%	23.94%	17.67%	+0.80	-1.2	16
2022-10-16	@ Partizani	D 0-0	49.5	1139	1282	17.67%	23.94%	58.39%	-0.80	+1.2	10
2022-10-16	KF Tirana	L 0-1	36.7	1148	1298	21.51%	26.54%	51.96%	-0.58	-2.9	11
2022-10-16	@ Bylis	W 1-0	36.7	1298	1148	51.96%	26.54%	21.51%	+0.58	+2.9	15
2022-10-16	Vllaznia	D 1-1	53.6	1231	1213	41.98%	28.99%	29.03%	+0.21	-0.3	5
2022-10-16	@ Laci	D 1-1	53.6	1213	1231	29.03%	28.99%	41.98%	-0.21	+0.3	11
2022-10-17	Kukesi	L 0-2	36.5	1146	1198	32.01%	29.35%	38.64%	-0.12	-7.8	12
2022-10-17	@ Erzeni	W 2-0	36.5	1198	1146	38.64%	29.35%	32.01%	+0.12	+7.8	11
2022-10-21	Bylis	W 2-1	44.0	1213	1145	48.82%	27.53%	23.65%	+0.45	+3.0	14
2022-10-21	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	44.0	1145	1213	23.65%	27.53%	48.82%	-0.45	-3.0	11
2022-10-21	Partizani	L 1-4	38.6	1195	1280	27.98%	28.80%	43.22%	-0.27	-8.6	7
2022-10-21	@ Teuta	W 4-1	38.6	1280	1195	43.22%	28.80%	27.98%	+0.27	+8.6	19
2022-10-22	Egnatia	L 0-1	44.9	1206	1145	47.95%	27.77%	24.28%	+0.42	-5.5	11
2022-10-22	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	44.9	1145	1206	24.28%	27.77%	47.95%	-0.42	+5.5	12
2022-10-22	Erzeni	L 0-1	47.4	1301	1138	60.92%	22.74%	16.34%	+0.90	-6.6	15
2022-10-22	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	47.4	1138	1301	16.34%	22.74%	60.92%	-0.90	+6.6	15
2022-10-22	Laci	L 0-1	39.0	1140	1231	27.41%	28.68%	43.91%	-0.30	-3.6	10
2022-10-22	@ Kastrioti	W 1-0	39.0	1231	1140	43.91%	28.68%	27.41%	+0.30	+3.7	8
2022-10-29	Bylis	W 3-0	34.9	1137	1142	38.64%	29.35%	32.02%	+0.10	+11.3	13
2022-10-29	@ Kastrioti	L 0-3	34.9	1142	1137	32.02%	29.35%	38.64%	-0.10	-11.3	11
2022-10-29	Erzeni	D 2-2	60.0	1216	1145	49.34%	27.38%	23.28%	+0.47	-0.5	15
2022-10-29	@ Vllaznia	D 2-2	60.0	1145	1216	23.28%	27.38%	49.34%	-0.47	+0.5	16
2022-10-29	Laci	L 0-1	40.9	1187	1234	32.72%	29.39%	37.89%	-0.10	-4.2	7
2022-10-29	@ Teuta	W 1-0	40.9	1234	1187	37.89%	29.39%	32.72%	+0.10	+4.2	11
2022-10-30	Kukesi	W 4-1	36.0	1295	1201	52.27%	26.43%	21.31%	+0.57	+6.7	18
2022-10-30	@ KF Tirana	L 1-4	36.0	1201	1295	21.31%	26.43%	52.27%	-0.57	-6.7	11
2022-10-30	Partizani	W 3-0	40.0	1150	1289	22.50%	27.03%	50.47%	-0.53	+15.8	15
2022-10-30	@ Egnatia	L 0-3	40.0	1289	1150	50.47%	27.03%	22.50%	+0.53	-15.8	19
2022-11-02	Kastrioti	D 1-1	53.3	1145	1148	39.03%	29.32%	31.65%	+0.11	-0.2	17
2022-11-02	@ Erzeni	D 1-1	53.3	1148	1145	31.65%	29.32%	39.03%	-0.11	+0.2	14
2022-11-02	Teuta	D 0-0	47.7	1131	1183	32.19%	29.36%	38.46%	-0.11	+0.2	12
2022-11-02	@ Bylis	D 0-0	47.7	1183	1131	38.46%	29.36%	32.19%	+0.11	-0.2	8
2022-11-03	Egnatia	W 1-0	35.1	1301	1166	57.49%	24.34%	18.17%	+0.76	+2.5	21
2022-11-03	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	35.1	1166	1301	18.17%	24.34%	57.49%	-0.76	-2.5	15
2022-11-03	Partizani	W 1-0	42.2	1238	1273	34.46%	29.46%	36.09%	-0.04	+4.5	14
2022-11-03	@ Laci	L 0-1	42.2	1273	1238	36.09%	29.46%	34.46%	+0.04	-4.5	19
2022-11-03	Vllaznia	L 0-1	42.0	1194	1216	36.32%	29.45%	34.23%	+0.02	-4.5	11
2022-11-03	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	42.0	1216	1194	34.23%	29.45%	36.32%	-0.02	+4.5	18
2022-11-13	KF Tirana	D 0-0	48.3	1220	1304	28.18%	28.84%	42.98%	-0.27	+0.4	19
2022-11-13	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	48.3	1304	1220	42.98%	28.84%	28.18%	+0.27	-0.4	22
2022-11-13	Kukesi	D 1-1	53.3	1148	1189	33.57%	29.43%	37.00%	-0.07	+0.1	15
2022-11-13	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	53.3	1189	1148	37.00%	29.43%	33.57%	+0.07	-0.1	12
2022-11-13	Laci	W 2-0	39.6	1164	1243	28.69%	28.93%	42.38%	-0.25	+9.5	18
2022-11-13	@ Egnatia	L 0-2	39.6	1243	1164	42.38%	28.93%	28.69%	+0.25	-9.5	14
2022-11-14	Bylis	W 2-1	41.3	1269	1131	57.78%	24.21%	18.00%	+0.78	+2.3	22
2022-11-14	@ Partizani	L 1-2	41.3	1131	1269	18.00%	24.21%	57.78%	-0.78	-2.3	12
2022-11-14	Erzeni	L 1-2	50.6	1182	1145	44.70%	28.53%	26.77%	+0.30	-4.9	8
2022-11-14	@ Teuta	W 2-1	50.6	1145	1182	26.77%	28.53%	44.70%	-0.30	+4.9	20
2022-12-11	Laci	L 0-1	38.4	1129	1233	25.85%	28.28%	45.87%	-0.36	-3.5	12
2022-12-11	@ Bylis	W 1-0	38.4	1233	1129	45.87%	28.28%	25.85%	+0.36	+3.5	17
2022-12-11	Partizani	D 3-3	63.2	1150	1271	24.13%	27.71%	48.15%	-0.44	+0.4	21
2022-12-11	@ Erzeni	D 3-3	63.2	1271	1150	48.15%	27.71%	24.13%	+0.44	-0.4	23
2022-12-11	Teuta	L 0-1	43.3	1189	1177	41.13%	29.10%	29.76%	+0.18	-4.9	12
2022-12-11	@ Kukesi	W 1-0	43.3	1177	1189	29.76%	29.10%	41.13%	-0.18	+4.9	11
2022-12-12	Egnatia	L 0-1	44.5	1221	1173	46.07%	28.24%	25.69%	+0.35	-5.4	19
2022-12-12	@ Vllaznia	W 1-0	44.5	1173	1221	25.69%	28.24%	46.07%	-0.35	+5.4	21
2022-12-12	Kastrioti	W 4-0	29.2	1303	1148	59.94%	23.21%	16.85%	+0.86	+8.1	25
2022-12-12	@ KF Tirana	L 0-4	29.2	1148	1303	16.85%	23.21%	59.94%	-0.86	-8.1	15
2022-12-15	Erzeni	W 1-0	36.8	1237	1150	51.31%	26.76%	21.93%	+0.54	+3.0	20
2022-12-15	@ Laci	L 0-1	36.8	1150	1237	21.93%	26.76%	51.31%	-0.54	-3.0	21
2022-12-15	Kukesi	W 2-1	43.4	1271	1184	51.27%	26.77%	21.96%	+0.53	+2.8	26
2022-12-15	@ Partizani	L 1-2	43.4	1184	1271	21.96%	26.77%	51.27%	-0.53	-2.8	12
2022-12-16	Bylis	L 0-1	44.6	1179	1126	46.84%	28.05%	25.11%	+0.38	-5.4	21
2022-12-16	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	44.6	1126	1179	25.11%	28.05%	46.84%	-0.38	+5.4	15
2022-12-16	KF Tirana	W 1-0	45.4	1182	1311	23.37%	27.41%	49.22%	-0.48	+5.7	14
2022-12-16	@ Teuta	L 0-1	45.4	1311	1182	49.22%	27.41%	23.37%	+0.48	-5.7	25
2022-12-16	Vllaznia	W 1-0	43.4	1140	1215	29.16%	29.01%	41.83%	-0.23	+5.0	18
2022-12-16	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	43.4	1215	1140	41.83%	29.01%	29.16%	+0.23	-5.0	19
2022-12-21	Laci	W 1-0	42.9	1182	1240	31.29%	29.28%	39.43%	-0.15	+4.8	15
2022-12-21	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	42.9	1240	1182	39.43%	29.28%	31.29%	+0.15	-4.8	20
2022-12-21	Partizani	L 0-1	44.6	1306	1274	43.99%	28.66%	27.35%	+0.28	-5.2	25
2022-12-21	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	44.6	1274	1306	27.35%	28.66%	43.99%	-0.28	+5.2	29
2022-12-22	Bylis	D 1-1	53.4	1147	1131	41.75%	29.02%	29.23%	+0.20	-0.3	22
2022-12-22	@ Erzeni	D 1-1	53.4	1131	1147	29.23%	29.02%	41.75%	-0.20	+0.3	16
2022-12-22	Egnatia	L 2-3	52.8	1145	1173	35.43%	29.46%	35.11%	+0.00	-4.0	18
2022-12-22	@ Kastrioti	W 3-2	52.8	1173	1145	35.11%	29.46%	35.43%	+0.00	+4.0	24
2022-12-22	Teuta	W 4-0	34.3	1210	1188	42.59%	28.90%	28.50%	+0.23	+13.5	22
2022-12-22	@ Vllaznia	L 0-4	34.3	1188	1210	28.50%	28.90%	42.59%	-0.23	-13.5	14
2023-01-13	KF Tirana	L 1-2	46.9	1235	1301	30.34%	29.18%	40.48%	-0.18	-3.7	20
2023-01-13	@ Laci	W 2-1	46.9	1301	1235	40.48%	29.18%	30.34%	+0.18	+3.7	28
2023-01-13	Kukesi	D 0-0	47.7	1131	1186	31.70%	29.32%	38.98%	-0.13	+0.2	17
2023-01-13	@ Bylis	D 0-0	47.7	1186	1131	38.98%	29.32%	31.70%	+0.13	-0.2	16
2023-01-13	Vllaznia	L 1-2	51.5	1279	1224	47.08%	27.99%	24.92%	+0.39	-5.2	29
2023-01-13	@ Partizani	W 2-1	51.5	1224	1279	24.92%	27.99%	47.08%	-0.39	+5.2	25
2023-01-14	Erzeni	D 1-1	53.5	1177	1147	43.69%	28.72%	27.59%	+0.27	-0.4	25
2023-01-14	@ Egnatia	D 1-1	53.5	1147	1177	27.59%	28.72%	43.69%	-0.27	+0.4	23
2023-01-14	Kastrioti	W 2-0	34.8	1175	1141	44.13%	28.64%	27.23%	+0.28	+6.8	17
2023-01-14	@ Teuta	L 0-2	34.8	1141	1175	27.23%	28.64%	44.13%	-0.28	-6.8	18
2023-01-21	Bylis	W 4-1	32.9	1304	1131	62.07%	22.16%	15.76%	+0.94	+4.8	31
2023-01-21	@ KF Tirana	L 1-4	32.9	1131	1304	15.76%	22.16%	62.07%	-0.94	-4.9	17
2023-01-21	Laci	W 4-1	39.8	1229	1231	39.11%	29.31%	31.58%	+0.12	+9.4	28
2023-01-21	@ Vllaznia	L 1-4	39.8	1231	1229	31.58%	29.31%	39.11%	-0.12	-9.4	20
2023-01-21	Partizani	D 1-1	54.1	1134	1274	22.44%	27.00%	50.56%	-0.53	+0.7	19
2023-01-21	@ Kastrioti	D 1-1	54.1	1274	1134	50.56%	27.00%	22.44%	+0.53	-0.7	30
2023-01-22	Egnatia	D 1-1	53.4	1181	1177	40.10%	29.22%	30.68%	+0.15	-0.2	18
2023-01-22	@ Teuta	D 1-1	53.4	1177	1181	30.68%	29.22%	40.10%	-0.15	+0.2	26
2023-01-22	Erzeni	L 0-2	40.1	1186	1147	44.89%	28.49%	26.62%	+0.31	-9.9	16
2023-01-22	@ Kukesi	W 2-0	40.1	1147	1186	26.62%	28.49%	44.89%	-0.31	+9.9	26
2023-01-25	Kastrioti	W 4-1	35.9	1222	1135	51.35%	26.75%	21.91%	+0.54	+6.9	23
2023-01-25	@ Laci	L 1-4	35.9	1135	1222	21.91%	26.75%	51.35%	-0.54	-6.9	19
2023-01-25	Vllaznia	W 1-0	44.7	1127	1238	25.07%	28.04%	46.88%	-0.40	+5.5	20
2023-01-25	@ Bylis	L 0-1	44.7	1238	1127	46.88%	28.04%	25.07%	+0.40	-5.4	28
2023-01-26	KF Tirana	L 0-2	32.7	1157	1309	21.33%	26.44%	52.23%	-0.59	-5.5	26
2023-01-26	@ Erzeni	W 2-0	32.7	1309	1157	52.23%	26.44%	21.33%	+0.59	+5.5	34
2023-01-26	Kukesi	L 1-2	49.3	1177	1176	39.55%	29.27%	31.18%	+0.13	-4.5	26
2023-01-26	@ Egnatia	W 2-1	49.3	1176	1177	31.18%	29.27%	39.55%	-0.13	+4.5	19
2023-01-26	Teuta	L 0-2	41.8	1273	1181	51.98%	26.53%	21.49%	+0.56	-11.1	30
2023-01-26	@ Partizani	W 2-0	41.8	1181	1273	21.49%	26.53%	51.98%	-0.56	+11.1	21
2023-01-29	Kastrioti	W 1-0	40.1	1132	1128	40.00%	29.23%	30.77%	+0.15	+4.0	23
2023-01-29	@ Bylis	L 0-1	40.1	1128	1132	30.77%	29.23%	40.00%	-0.15	-4.0	19
2023-01-29	KF Tirana	W 2-0	41.5	1181	1315	22.92%	27.22%	49.86%	-0.50	+10.8	22
2023-01-29	@ Kukesi	L 0-2	41.5	1315	1181	49.86%	27.22%	22.92%	+0.50	-10.8	34
2023-01-30	Egnatia	D 1-1	54.3	1262	1172	51.66%	26.64%	21.70%	+0.55	-0.8	31
2023-01-30	@ Partizani	D 1-1	54.3	1172	1262	21.70%	26.64%	51.66%	-0.55	+0.8	27
2023-01-30	Teuta	W 4-3	52.0	1229	1192	44.57%	28.55%	26.88%	+0.30	+3.1	26
2023-01-30	@ Laci	L 3-4	52.0	1192	1229	26.88%	28.55%	44.57%	-0.30	-3.1	21
2023-01-30	Vllaznia	W 3-2	54.9	1152	1233	28.45%	28.89%	42.66%	-0.25	+4.5	29
2023-01-30	@ Erzeni	L 2-3	54.9	1233	1152	42.66%	28.89%	28.45%	+0.25	-4.5	28
2023-02-06	KF Tirana	L 1-2	44.0	1173	1304	23.21%	27.35%	49.44%	-0.49	-3.0	27
2023-02-06	@ Egnatia	W 2-1	44.0	1304	1173	49.44%	27.35%	23.21%	+0.49	+3.0	37
2023-02-06	Laci	L 1-2	50.6	1261	1232	43.53%	28.75%	27.72%	+0.26	-4.9	31
2023-02-06	@ Partizani	W 2-1	50.6	1232	1261	27.72%	28.75%	43.53%	-0.26	+4.8	29
2023-02-07	Bylis	W 1-0	38.1	1189	1136	46.84%	28.05%	25.11%	+0.38	+3.4	24
2023-02-07	@ Teuta	L 0-1	38.1	1136	1189	25.11%	28.05%	46.84%	-0.38	-3.4	23
2023-02-07	Erzeni	D 2-2	59.3	1124	1156	34.84%	29.46%	35.70%	-0.02	+0.0	20
2023-02-07	@ Kastrioti	D 2-2	59.3	1156	1124	35.70%	29.46%	34.84%	+0.02	-0.0	30
2023-02-07	Kukesi	W 2-0	34.8	1228	1192	44.62%	28.54%	26.84%	+0.30	+6.8	31
2023-02-07	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	34.8	1192	1228	26.84%	28.54%	44.62%	-0.30	-6.8	22
2023-02-11	Egnatia	L 0-1	45.1	1237	1170	48.66%	27.58%	23.77%	+0.44	-5.6	29
2023-02-11	@ Laci	W 1-0	45.1	1170	1237	23.77%	27.58%	48.66%	-0.44	+5.6	30
2023-02-11	Kastrioti	W 1-0	37.8	1185	1124	47.86%	27.79%	24.35%	+0.41	+3.3	25
2023-02-11	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	37.8	1124	1185	24.35%	27.79%	47.86%	-0.41	-3.3	20
2023-02-12	Teuta	D 1-1	53.3	1156	1193	34.26%	29.45%	36.28%	-0.04	+0.0	31
2023-02-12	@ Erzeni	D 1-1	53.3	1193	1156	36.28%	29.45%	34.26%	+0.04	-0.0	25
2023-02-12	Vllaznia	L 0-1	45.7	1307	1235	49.36%	27.37%	23.27%	+0.47	-5.7	37
2023-02-12	@ KF Tirana	W 1-0	45.7	1235	1307	23.27%	27.37%	49.36%	-0.47	+5.7	34
2023-02-13	Partizani	L 0-1	37.7	1133	1256	23.90%	27.63%	48.47%	-0.45	-3.2	23
2023-02-13	@ Bylis	W 1-0	37.7	1256	1133	48.47%	27.63%	23.90%	+0.45	+3.2	34
2023-02-18	Bylis	L 0-1	46.0	1231	1129	53.28%	26.06%	20.66%	+0.61	-6.0	29
2023-02-18	@ Laci	W 1-0	46.0	1129	1231	20.66%	26.06%	53.28%	-0.61	+6.0	26
2023-02-18	Erzeni	W 3-0	30.6	1259	1156	53.45%	26.00%	20.55%	+0.61	+7.7	37
2023-02-18	@ Partizani	L 0-3	30.6	1156	1259	20.55%	26.00%	53.45%	-0.61	-7.7	31
2023-02-18	Kukesi	W 1-0	40.2	1192	1188	40.07%	29.22%	30.70%	+0.15	+4.0	28
2023-02-18	@ Teuta	L 0-1	40.2	1188	1192	30.70%	29.22%	40.07%	-0.15	-4.0	25
2023-02-19	KF Tirana	L 0-1	35.5	1121	1301	19.09%	25.04%	55.87%	-0.72	-2.6	20
2023-02-19	@ Kastrioti	W 1-0	35.5	1301	1121	55.87%	25.04%	19.09%	+0.72	+2.6	40
2023-02-19	Vllaznia	D 0-0	47.9	1176	1241	30.43%	29.19%	40.38%	-0.18	+0.3	31
2023-02-19	@ Egnatia	D 0-0	47.9	1241	1176	40.38%	29.19%	30.43%	+0.18	-0.3	35
2023-02-24	Egnatia	L 2-3	52.3	1135	1176	33.64%	29.44%	36.92%	-0.06	-3.8	26
2023-02-24	@ Bylis	W 3-2	52.3	1176	1135	36.92%	29.44%	33.64%	+0.06	+3.8	34
2023-02-24	Laci	D 1-1	53.5	1149	1225	29.00%	28.99%	42.02%	-0.23	+0.3	32
2023-02-24	@ Erzeni	D 1-1	53.5	1225	1149	42.02%	28.99%	29.00%	+0.23	-0.3	30
2023-02-24	Partizani	W 1-0	43.9	1184	1267	28.23%	28.85%	42.92%	-0.26	+5.1	28
2023-02-24	@ Kukesi	L 0-1	43.9	1267	1184	42.92%	28.85%	28.23%	+0.26	-5.1	37
2023-02-25	Kastrioti	L 0-1	46.5	1241	1118	55.90%	25.03%	19.08%	+0.70	-6.2	35
2023-02-25	@ Vllaznia	W 1-0	46.5	1118	1241	19.08%	25.03%	55.90%	-0.70	+6.2	23
2023-02-25	Teuta	L 0-2	42.4	1304	1196	54.01%	25.79%	20.21%	+0.63	-11.4	40
2023-02-25	@ KF Tirana	W 2-0	42.4	1196	1304	20.21%	25.79%	54.01%	-0.63	+11.4	31
2023-03-05	Erzeni	D 1-1	53.2	1132	1149	36.97%	29.43%	33.60%	+0.05	-0.1	27
2023-03-05	@ Bylis	D 1-1	53.2	1149	1132	33.60%	29.43%	36.97%	-0.05	+0.1	33
2023-03-05	Kastrioti	W 4-1	37.2	1180	1124	47.16%	27.97%	24.87%	+0.39	+7.8	37
2023-03-05	@ Egnatia	L 1-4	37.2	1124	1180	24.87%	27.97%	47.16%	-0.39	-7.8	23
2023-03-06	KF Tirana	W 2-0	38.1	1262	1292	35.08%	29.46%	35.45%	-0.02	+8.4	40
2023-03-06	@ Partizani	L 0-2	38.1	1292	1262	35.45%	29.46%	35.08%	+0.02	-8.4	40
2023-03-06	Kukesi	L 1-2	50.6	1225	1189	44.46%	28.58%	26.97%	+0.30	-4.9	30
2023-03-06	@ Laci	W 2-1	50.6	1189	1225	26.97%	28.58%	44.46%	-0.30	+4.9	31
2023-03-06	Vllaznia	D 1-1	53.4	1208	1234	35.67%	29.46%	34.87%	+0.00	-0.0	32
2023-03-06	@ Teuta	D 1-1	53.4	1234	1208	34.87%	29.46%	35.67%	+0.00	+0.0	36
2023-03-10	Bylis	W 2-0	33.7	1194	1131	48.12%	27.72%	24.15%	+0.42	+6.2	34
2023-03-10	@ Kukesi	L 0-2	33.7	1131	1194	24.15%	27.72%	48.12%	-0.42	-6.2	27
2023-03-10	Egnatia	W 2-1	48.4	1149	1188	33.93%	29.44%	36.63%	-0.05	+4.3	36
2023-03-10	@ Erzeni	L 1-2	48.4	1188	1149	36.63%	29.44%	33.93%	+0.05	-4.3	37
2023-03-10	Teuta	D 0-0	47.9	1117	1208	27.29%	28.65%	44.06%	-0.30	+0.5	24
2023-03-10	@ Kastrioti	D 0-0	47.9	1208	1117	44.06%	28.65%	27.29%	+0.30	-0.5	33
2023-03-11	Laci	W 3-2	49.2	1284	1220	48.33%	27.67%	24.00%	+0.43	+2.9	43
2023-03-11	@ KF Tirana	L 2-3	49.2	1220	1284	24.00%	27.67%	48.33%	-0.43	-2.9	30
2023-03-11	Partizani	D 1-1	53.6	1234	1270	34.30%	29.45%	36.25%	-0.04	+0.0	37
2023-03-11	@ Vllaznia	D 1-1	53.6	1270	1234	36.25%	29.45%	34.30%	+0.04	-0.0	41
2023-03-18	KF Tirana	D 1-1	54.4	1125	1287	20.53%	25.99%	53.48%	-0.63	+0.8	28
2023-03-18	@ Bylis	D 1-1	54.4	1287	1125	53.48%	25.99%	20.53%	+0.63	-0.8	44
2023-03-18	Kukesi	D 1-1	53.3	1153	1200	32.78%	29.40%	37.82%	-0.09	+0.1	37
2023-03-18	@ Erzeni	D 1-1	53.3	1200	1153	37.82%	29.40%	32.78%	+0.09	-0.1	35
2023-03-19	Kastrioti	W 4-1	33.5	1270	1117	59.71%	23.33%	16.97%	+0.85	+5.3	44
2023-03-19	@ Partizani	L 1-4	33.5	1117	1270	16.97%	23.33%	59.71%	-0.85	-5.3	24
2023-03-19	Teuta	D 1-1	53.3	1183	1207	36.01%	29.46%	34.53%	+0.01	-0.0	38
2023-03-19	@ Egnatia	D 1-1	53.3	1207	1183	34.53%	29.46%	36.01%	-0.01	+0.0	34
2023-03-19	Vllaznia	W 2-0	37.2	1217	1234	36.97%	29.43%	33.60%	+0.05	+8.0	33
2023-03-19	@ Laci	L 0-2	37.2	1234	1217	33.60%	29.43%	36.97%	-0.05	-8.0	37
2023-04-01	Bylis	D 0-0	48.7	1226	1126	53.08%	26.14%	20.79%	+0.60	-0.9	38
2023-04-01	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	48.7	1126	1226	20.79%	26.14%	53.08%	-0.60	+0.9	29
2023-04-01	Egnatia	L 0-3	37.9	1200	1183	41.82%	29.01%	29.17%	+0.21	-13.7	35
2023-04-01	@ Kukesi	W 3-0	37.9	1183	1200	29.17%	29.01%	41.82%	-0.21	+13.7	41
2023-04-01	Partizani	L 0-2	36.1	1207	1276	30.03%	29.14%	40.83%	-0.19	-7.4	34
2023-04-01	@ Teuta	W 2-0	36.1	1276	1207	40.83%	29.14%	30.03%	+0.19	+7.4	47
2023-04-02	Erzeni	W 3-1	37.2	1286	1153	57.20%	24.47%	18.33%	+0.75	+4.1	47
2023-04-02	@ KF Tirana	L 1-3	37.2	1153	1286	18.33%	24.47%	57.20%	-0.75	-4.1	37
2023-04-02	Laci	W 2-1	51.1	1112	1225	24.93%	27.99%	47.08%	-0.41	+5.2	27
2023-04-02	@ Kastrioti	L 1-2	51.1	1225	1112	47.08%	27.99%	24.93%	+0.41	-5.1	33
2023-04-09	Erzeni	W 3-1	39.3	1225	1149	49.93%	27.20%	22.87%	+0.49	+5.1	41
2023-04-09	@ Vllaznia	L 1-3	39.3	1149	1225	22.87%	27.20%	49.93%	-0.49	-5.1	37
2023-04-09	Laci	L 1-2	48.5	1200	1220	36.61%	29.45%	33.95%	+0.03	-4.3	34
2023-04-09	@ Teuta	W 2-1	48.5	1220	1200	33.95%	29.45%	36.61%	-0.03	+4.3	36
2023-04-10	Kukesi	W 2-1	42.8	1290	1186	53.54%	25.96%	20.49%	+0.62	+2.6	50
2023-04-10	@ KF Tirana	L 1-2	42.8	1186	1290	20.49%	25.96%	53.54%	-0.62	-2.6	35
2023-04-10	Partizani	D 1-1	53.7	1197	1283	27.89%	28.78%	43.33%	-0.28	+0.4	42
2023-04-10	@ Egnatia	D 1-1	53.7	1283	1197	43.33%	28.78%	27.89%	+0.28	-0.4	48
2023-04-15	Kastrioti	D 0-0	47.8	1144	1117	43.28%	28.79%	27.93%	+0.26	-0.4	38
2023-04-15	@ Erzeni	D 0-0	47.8	1117	1144	27.93%	28.79%	43.28%	-0.26	+0.4	28
2023-04-15	Teuta	D 2-2	59.4	1127	1196	29.95%	29.13%	40.92%	-0.20	+0.2	30
2023-04-15	@ Bylis	D 2-2	59.4	1196	1127	40.92%	29.13%	29.95%	+0.20	-0.2	35
2023-04-16	Egnatia	W 2-1	43.1	1293	1197	52.47%	26.36%	21.17%	+0.58	+2.7	53
2023-04-16	@ KF Tirana	L 1-2	43.1	1197	1293	21.17%	26.36%	52.47%	-0.58	-2.7	42
2023-04-16	Partizani	W 3-2	54.3	1224	1283	31.26%	29.28%	39.45%	-0.15	+4.3	39
2023-04-16	@ Laci	L 2-3	54.3	1283	1224	39.45%	29.28%	31.26%	+0.15	-4.3	48
2023-04-16	Vllaznia	D 0-0	47.8	1184	1231	32.82%	29.40%	37.78%	-0.09	+0.1	36
2023-04-16	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	47.8	1231	1184	37.78%	29.40%	32.82%	+0.09	-0.1	42
2023-04-19	Bylis	L 0-2	38.3	1117	1127	38.04%	29.38%	32.57%	+0.08	-8.8	28
2023-04-19	@ Kastrioti	W 2-0	38.3	1127	1117	32.57%	29.38%	38.04%	-0.08	+8.8	33
2023-04-22	Erzeni	W 2-0	34.1	1196	1144	46.66%	28.10%	25.24%	+0.37	+6.4	38
2023-04-22	@ Teuta	L 0-2	34.1	1144	1196	25.24%	28.10%	46.66%	-0.37	-6.4	38
2023-04-22	KF Tirana	L 0-1	40.4	1230	1296	30.39%	29.19%	40.42%	-0.18	-4.0	42
2023-04-22	@ Vllaznia	W 1-0	40.4	1296	1230	40.42%	29.19%	30.39%	+0.18	+4.0	56
2023-04-22	Laci	D 1-1	53.4	1195	1228	34.61%	29.46%	35.93%	-0.03	+0.0	43
2023-04-22	@ Egnatia	D 1-1	53.4	1228	1195	35.93%	29.46%	34.61%	+0.03	-0.0	40
2023-04-23	Bylis	W 2-1	41.2	1278	1136	58.38%	23.94%	17.68%	+0.80	+2.3	51
2023-04-23	@ Partizani	L 1-2	41.2	1136	1278	17.68%	23.94%	58.38%	-0.80	-2.3	33
2023-04-23	Kukesi	W 1-0	43.4	1109	1184	29.15%	29.01%	41.84%	-0.23	+5.0	31
2023-04-23	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	43.4	1184	1109	41.84%	29.01%	29.15%	+0.23	-5.0	36
2023-04-29	Laci	L 0-2	34.8	1134	1228	26.90%	28.56%	44.54%	-0.32	-6.8	33
2023-04-29	@ Bylis	W 2-0	34.8	1228	1134	44.54%	28.56%	26.90%	+0.32	+6.8	43
2023-04-29	Partizani	L 1-2	43.4	1137	1281	22.09%	26.83%	51.08%	-0.55	-2.9	38
2023-04-29	@ Erzeni	W 2-1	43.4	1281	1137	51.08%	26.83%	22.09%	+0.55	+2.8	54
2023-04-30	Egnatia	L 0-4	38.9	1226	1195	43.90%	28.68%	27.42%	+0.28	-18.5	42
2023-04-30	@ Vllaznia	W 4-0	38.9	1195	1226	27.42%	28.68%	43.90%	-0.28	+18.5	46
2023-04-30	Kastrioti	W 1-0	33.2	1300	1114	63.60%	21.38%	15.02%	+1.00	+2.0	59
2023-04-30	@ KF Tirana	L 0-1	33.2	1114	1300	15.02%	21.38%	63.60%	-1.00	-2.0	31
2023-04-30	Teuta	D 0-0	47.7	1179	1202	36.15%	29.46%	34.40%	+0.02	-0.0	37
2023-04-30	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	47.7	1202	1179	34.40%	29.46%	36.15%	-0.02	+0.0	39
2023-05-06	Bylis	W 2-0	32.7	1213	1127	51.26%	26.77%	21.96%	+0.53	+5.7	49
2023-05-06	@ Egnatia	L 0-2	32.7	1127	1213	21.96%	26.77%	51.26%	-0.53	-5.7	33
2023-05-06	KF Tirana	W 2-1	51.0	1202	1302	26.37%	28.42%	45.21%	-0.34	+5.0	42
2023-05-06	@ Teuta	L 1-2	51.0	1302	1202	45.21%	28.42%	26.37%	+0.34	-5.0	59
2023-05-06	Kukesi	W 3-1	38.3	1283	1179	53.64%	25.93%	20.44%	+0.62	+4.6	57
2023-05-06	@ Partizani	L 1-3	38.3	1179	1283	20.44%	25.93%	53.64%	-0.62	-4.6	37
2023-05-06	Vllaznia	D 2-2	59.6	1112	1208	26.73%	28.52%	44.76%	-0.33	+0.3	32
2023-05-06	@ Kastrioti	D 2-2	59.6	1208	1112	44.76%	28.52%	26.73%	+0.33	-0.3	43
2023-05-07	Erzeni	D 1-1	54.3	1235	1135	53.14%	26.11%	20.75%	+0.60	-0.8	44
2023-05-07	@ Laci	D 1-1	54.3	1135	1235	20.75%	26.11%	53.14%	-0.60	+0.8	39
2023-05-17	Bylis	L 1-2	49.7	1135	1121	41.43%	29.07%	29.50%	+0.19	-4.7	39
2023-05-17	@ Erzeni	W 2-1	49.7	1121	1135	29.50%	29.07%	41.43%	-0.19	+4.7	36
2023-05-17	Egnatia	W 1-0	44.5	1112	1219	25.58%	28.20%	46.22%	-0.38	+5.4	35
2023-05-17	@ Kastrioti	L 0-1	44.5	1219	1112	46.22%	28.20%	25.58%	+0.38	-5.4	49
2023-05-17	Laci	W 3-0	37.4	1174	1234	31.05%	29.26%	39.69%	-0.16	+13.2	40
2023-05-17	@ Kukesi	L 0-3	37.4	1234	1174	39.69%	29.26%	31.05%	+0.16	-13.2	44
2023-05-17	Partizani	D 1-1	54.1	1297	1288	40.66%	29.16%	30.18%	+0.17	-0.2	60
2023-05-17	@ KF Tirana	D 1-1	54.1	1288	1297	30.18%	29.16%	40.66%	-0.17	+0.2	58
2023-05-17	Teuta	W 1-0	40.4	1208	1207	39.52%	29.28%	31.21%	+0.13	+4.0	46
2023-05-17	@ Vllaznia	L 0-1	40.4	1207	1208	31.21%	29.28%	39.52%	-0.13	-4.0	42
2023-05-21	Erzeni	W 3-2	48.1	1214	1131	50.81%	26.92%	22.27%	+0.52	+2.7	52
2023-05-21	@ Egnatia	L 2-3	48.1	1131	1214	22.27%	26.92%	50.81%	-0.52	-2.7	39
2023-05-21	Kastrioti	W 1-0	36.8	1203	1117	51.19%	26.80%	22.01%	+0.53	+3.0	45
2023-05-21	@ Teuta	L 0-1	36.8	1117	1203	22.01%	26.80%	51.19%	-0.53	-3.0	35
2023-05-21	KF Tirana	L 1-3	42.0	1221	1296	29.17%	29.01%	41.81%	-0.23	-6.3	44
2023-05-21	@ Laci	W 3-1	42.0	1296	1221	41.81%	29.01%	29.17%	+0.23	+6.3	63
2023-05-21	Kukesi	D 1-1	53.3	1126	1188	30.87%	29.24%	39.89%	-0.16	+0.2	37
2023-05-21	@ Bylis	D 1-1	53.3	1188	1126	39.89%	29.24%	30.87%	+0.16	-0.2	41
2023-05-21	Vllaznia	W 2-1	43.9	1288	1212	50.00%	27.18%	22.82%	+0.49	+2.9	61
2023-05-21	@ Partizani	L 1-2	43.9	1212	1288	22.82%	27.18%	50.00%	-0.49	-2.9	46
2023-05-25	Bylis	D 2-2	61.7	1303	1126	62.48%	21.96%	15.56%	+0.96	-0.9	64
2023-05-25	@ KF Tirana	D 2-2	61.7	1126	1303	15.56%	21.96%	62.48%	-0.96	+0.9	38
2023-05-25	Egnatia	W 1-0	40.9	1206	1216	37.99%	29.39%	32.62%	+0.08	+4.2	48
2023-05-25	@ Teuta	L 0-1	40.9	1216	1206	32.62%	29.39%	37.99%	-0.08	-4.2	52
2023-05-25	Erzeni	D 0-0	48.1	1187	1128	47.68%	27.84%	24.48%	+0.41	-0.6	42
2023-05-25	@ Kukesi	D 0-0	48.1	1128	1187	24.48%	27.84%	47.68%	-0.41	+0.6	40
2023-05-25	Laci	D 1-1	53.4	1209	1215	38.55%	29.35%	32.10%	+0.10	-0.2	47
2023-05-25	@ Vllaznia	D 1-1	53.4	1215	1209	32.10%	29.35%	38.55%	-0.10	+0.1	45
2023-05-25	Partizani	L 1-4	34.8	1114	1291	19.36%	25.23%	55.41%	-0.71	-6.1	35
2023-05-25	@ Kastrioti	W 4-1	34.8	1291	1114	55.41%	25.23%	19.36%	+0.71	+6.1	64
2023-05-29	Kastrioti	W 3-0	30.4	1215	1108	53.94%	25.81%	20.25%	+0.63	+7.6	48
2023-05-29	@ Laci	L 0-3	30.4	1108	1215	20.25%	25.81%	53.94%	-0.63	-7.6	35
2023-05-29	KF Tirana	L 1-2	42.3	1129	1302	19.64%	25.42%	54.94%	-0.69	-2.5	40
2023-05-29	@ Erzeni	W 2-1	42.3	1302	1129	54.94%	25.42%	19.64%	+0.69	+2.5	67
2023-05-29	Kukesi	L 0-1	43.8	1212	1187	43.02%	28.83%	28.14%	+0.25	-5.1	52
2023-05-29	@ Egnatia	W 1-0	43.8	1187	1212	28.14%	28.83%	43.02%	-0.25	+5.1	45
2023-05-29	Teuta	W 2-0	33.0	1297	1210	51.37%	26.74%	21.89%	+0.54	+5.6	67
2023-05-29	@ Partizani	L 0-2	33.0	1210	1297	21.89%	26.74%	51.37%	-0.54	-5.6	48
2023-05-29	Vllaznia	L 1-2	45.8	1127	1209	28.42%	28.89%	42.69%	-0.26	-3.5	38
2023-05-29	@ Bylis	W 2-1	45.8	1209	1127	42.69%	28.89%	28.42%	+0.26	+3.5	50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-10-22	16.34%	Erzeni	1138	1	@ KF Tirana	1301	0
2	2022-09-11	17.44%	Erzeni	1144	1	@ Partizani	1290	0
3	2022-09-04	18.87%	Egnatia	1128	1	@ Laci	1253	0
4	2023-02-25	19.08%	Kastrioti	1118	1	@ Vllaznia	1241	0
5	2022-09-11	20.20%	Bylis	1140	1	@ Laci	1247	0
6	2023-02-25	20.21%	Teuta	1196	2	@ KF Tirana	1304	0
7	2023-02-18	20.66%	Bylis	1129	1	@ Laci	1231	0
8	2023-01-26	21.49%	Teuta	1181	2	@ Partizani	1273	0
9	2022-10-30	22.50%	@ Egnatia	1150	3	Partizani	1289	0
10	2023-01-29	22.92%	@ Kukesi	1181	2	KF Tirana	1315	0
11	2023-02-12	23.27%	Vllaznia	1235	1	@ KF Tirana	1307	0
12	2022-12-16	23.37%	@ Teuta	1182	1	KF Tirana	1311	0
13	2023-02-11	23.77%	Egnatia	1170	1	@ Laci	1237	0
14	2022-09-03	24.10%	Kastrioti	1131	2	@ Kukesi	1195	1
15	2022-09-02	24.24%	Vllaznia	1223	2	@ KF Tirana	1284	1
16	2022-10-22	24.28%	Egnatia	1145	1	@ Kukesi	1206	0
17	2023-01-13	24.92%	Vllaznia	1224	2	@ Partizani	1279	1
18	2023-04-02	24.93%	@ Kastrioti	1112	2	Laci	1225	1
19	2023-01-25	25.07%	@ Bylis	1127	1	Vllaznia	1238	0
20	2022-12-16	25.11%	Bylis	1126	1	@ Egnatia	1179	0
21	2022-10-01	25.47%	Kukesi	1186	1	@ Laci	1236	0
22	2023-05-17	25.58%	@ Kastrioti	1112	1	Egnatia	1219	0
23	2022-12-12	25.69%	Egnatia	1173	1	@ Vllaznia	1221	0
24	2023-05-06	26.37%	@ Teuta	1202	2	KF Tirana	1302	1
25	2023-01-22	26.62%	Erzeni	1147	2	@ Kukesi	1186	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-30	18.54	Egnatia	4	1195	27.42%	@ Vllaznia	0	1226	43.90%	28.68%
2	2022-10-30	15.78	@ Egnatia	3	1150	22.50%	Partizani	0	1289	50.47%	27.03%
3	2022-09-10	14.30	@ Egnatia	3	1135	27.05%	Vllaznia	0	1228	44.35%	28.60%
4	2023-04-01	13.68	Egnatia	3	1183	29.17%	@ Kukesi	0	1200	41.82%	29.01%
5	2022-12-22	13.47	@ Vllaznia	4	1210	42.59%	Teuta	0	1188	28.50%	28.90%
6	2023-05-17	13.17	@ Kukesi	3	1174	31.05%	Laci	0	1234	39.69%	29.26%
7	2023-02-25	11.44	Teuta	2	1196	20.21%	@ KF Tirana	0	1304	54.01%	25.79%
8	2022-09-16	11.36	@ KF Tirana	4	1278	49.26%	Teuta	0	1207	23.34%	27.40%
9	2022-10-29	11.28	@ Kastrioti	3	1137	38.64%	Bylis	0	1142	32.02%	29.35%
10	2023-01-26	11.11	Teuta	2	1181	21.49%	@ Partizani	0	1273	51.98%	26.53%
11	2023-01-29	10.76	@ Kukesi	2	1181	22.92%	KF Tirana	0	1315	49.86%	27.22%
12	2023-01-22	9.93	Erzeni	2	1147	26.62%	@ Kukesi	0	1186	44.89%	28.49%
13	2022-09-30	9.64	@ Bylis	4	1145	38.01%	Erzeni	1	1156	32.60%	29.39%
14	2022-11-13	9.52	@ Egnatia	2	1164	28.69%	Laci	0	1243	42.38%	28.93%
15	2023-01-21	9.41	@ Vllaznia	4	1229	39.11%	Laci	1	1231	31.58%	29.31%
16	2022-10-02	8.95	KF Tirana	2	1290	31.65%	@ Partizani	0	1287	39.03%	29.32%
17	2023-04-19	8.79	Bylis	2	1127	32.57%	@ Kastrioti	0	1117	38.04%	29.38%
18	2022-10-21	8.57	Partizani	4	1280	43.22%	@ Teuta	1	1195	27.98%	28.80%
19	2023-03-06	8.36	@ Partizani	2	1262	35.08%	KF Tirana	0	1292	35.45%	29.46%
20	2022-12-12	8.13	@ KF Tirana	4	1303	59.94%	Kastrioti	0	1148	16.85%	23.21%
21	2023-03-19	8.04	@ Laci	2	1217	36.97%	Vllaznia	0	1234	33.60%	29.43%
22	2022-10-17	7.77	Kukesi	2	1198	38.64%	@ Erzeni	0	1146	32.01%	29.35%
23	2023-03-05	7.76	@ Egnatia	4	1180	47.16%	Kastrioti	1	1124	24.87%	27.97%
24	2022-08-21	7.75	@ Bylis	2	1134	38.73%	Kastrioti	0	1139	31.93%	29.34%
25	2023-02-18	7.70	@ Partizani	3	1259	53.45%	Erzeni	0	1156	20.55%	26.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-07	63.6	@ KF Tirana	3	1299	48.88%	Laci	3	1230	23.61%	27.51%
2	2022-12-11	63.2	@ Erzeni	3	1150	24.13%	Partizani	3	1271	48.15%	27.71%
3	2023-05-25	61.7	@ KF Tirana	2	1303	62.48%	Bylis	2	1126	15.56%	21.96%
4	2022-10-29	60.0	@ Vllaznia	2	1216	49.34%	Erzeni	2	1145	23.28%	27.38%
5	2023-05-06	59.6	@ Kastrioti	2	1112	26.73%	Vllaznia	2	1208	44.76%	28.52%
6	2023-04-15	59.4	@ Bylis	2	1127	29.95%	Teuta	2	1196	40.92%	29.13%
7	2023-02-07	59.3	@ Kastrioti	2	1124	34.84%	Erzeni	2	1156	35.70%	29.46%
8	2023-01-30	54.9	@ Erzeni	3	1152	28.45%	Vllaznia	2	1233	42.66%	28.89%
9	2023-03-18	54.4	@ Bylis	1	1125	20.53%	KF Tirana	1	1287	53.48%	25.99%
10	2023-01-30	54.3	@ Partizani	1	1262	51.66%	Egnatia	1	1172	21.70%	26.64%
11	2023-04-16	54.3	@ Laci	3	1224	31.26%	Partizani	2	1283	39.45%	29.28%
12	2023-05-07	54.3	@ Laci	1	1235	53.14%	Erzeni	1	1135	20.75%	26.11%
13	2023-01-21	54.1	@ Kastrioti	1	1134	22.44%	Partizani	1	1274	50.56%	27.00%
14	2023-05-17	54.1	@ KF Tirana	1	1297	40.66%	Partizani	1	1288	30.18%	29.16%
15	2022-08-27	53.8	@ Teuta	1	1208	48.64%	Bylis	1	1142	23.78%	27.58%
16	2022-08-19	53.7	@ Kukesi	1	1198	28.43%	KF Tirana	1	1279	42.68%	28.89%
17	2023-04-10	53.7	@ Egnatia	1	1197	27.89%	Partizani	1	1283	43.33%	28.78%
18	2022-10-16	53.6	@ Laci	1	1231	41.98%	Vllaznia	1	1213	29.03%	28.99%
19	2023-03-11	53.6	@ Vllaznia	1	1234	34.30%	Partizani	1	1270	36.25%	29.45%
20	2023-01-14	53.5	@ Egnatia	1	1177	43.69%	Erzeni	1	1147	27.59%	28.72%
21	2023-02-24	53.5	@ Erzeni	1	1149	29.00%	Laci	1	1225	42.02%	28.99%
22	2022-12-22	53.4	@ Erzeni	1	1147	41.75%	Bylis	1	1131	29.23%	29.02%
23	2023-01-22	53.4	@ Teuta	1	1181	40.10%	Egnatia	1	1177	30.68%	29.22%
24	2023-03-06	53.4	@ Teuta	1	1208	35.67%	Vllaznia	1	1234	34.87%	29.46%
25	2023-04-22	53.4	@ Egnatia	1	1195	34.61%	Laci	1	1228	35.93%	29.46%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-12-12	29.2	@ KF Tirana	4	1303	59.94%	Kastrioti	0	1148	16.85%	23.21%
2	2023-05-29	30.4	@ Laci	3	1215	53.94%	Kastrioti	0	1108	20.25%	25.81%
3	2023-02-18	30.6	@ Partizani	3	1259	53.45%	Erzeni	0	1156	20.55%	26.00%
4	2022-09-16	32.5	@ KF Tirana	4	1278	49.26%	Teuta	0	1207	23.34%	27.40%
5	2023-01-26	32.7	KF Tirana	2	1309	52.23%	@ Erzeni	0	1157	21.33%	26.44%
6	2023-05-06	32.7	@ Egnatia	2	1213	51.26%	Bylis	0	1127	21.96%	26.77%
7	2022-08-28	32.8	KF Tirana	2	1279	51.29%	@ Egnatia	0	1134	21.95%	26.76%
8	2023-01-21	32.9	@ KF Tirana	4	1304	62.07%	Bylis	1	1131	15.76%	22.16%
9	2023-05-29	33.0	@ Partizani	2	1297	51.37%	Teuta	0	1210	21.89%	26.74%
10	2023-04-30	33.2	@ KF Tirana	1	1300	63.60%	Kastrioti	0	1114	15.02%	21.38%
11	2023-03-19	33.5	@ Partizani	4	1270	59.71%	Kastrioti	1	1117	16.97%	23.33%
12	2023-03-10	33.7	@ Kukesi	2	1194	48.12%	Bylis	0	1131	24.15%	27.72%
13	2023-04-22	34.1	@ Teuta	2	1196	46.66%	Erzeni	0	1144	25.24%	28.10%
14	2022-12-22	34.3	@ Vllaznia	4	1210	42.59%	Teuta	0	1188	28.50%	28.90%
15	2022-10-08	34.7	@ Kukesi	2	1192	44.57%	Bylis	0	1155	26.88%	28.55%
16	2023-01-14	34.8	@ Teuta	2	1175	44.13%	Kastrioti	0	1141	27.23%	28.64%
17	2023-02-07	34.8	@ Vllaznia	2	1228	44.62%	Kukesi	0	1192	26.84%	28.54%
18	2023-04-29	34.8	Laci	2	1228	44.54%	@ Bylis	0	1134	26.90%	28.56%
19	2023-05-25	34.8	Partizani	4	1291	55.41%	@ Kastrioti	1	1114	19.36%	25.23%
20	2022-10-29	34.9	@ Kastrioti	3	1137	38.64%	Bylis	0	1142	32.02%	29.35%
21	2022-11-03	35.1	@ KF Tirana	1	1301	57.49%	Egnatia	0	1166	18.17%	24.34%
22	2023-02-19	35.5	KF Tirana	1	1301	55.87%	@ Kastrioti	0	1121	19.09%	25.04%
23	2023-01-25	35.9	@ Laci	4	1222	51.35%	Kastrioti	1	1135	21.91%	26.75%
24	2022-10-30	36.0	@ KF Tirana	4	1295	52.27%	Kukesi	1	1201	21.31%	26.43%
25	2023-04-01	36.1	Partizani	2	1276	40.83%	@ Teuta	0	1207	30.03%	29.14%