‹ ›

2023-24 Kategoria Superiore Season

180 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Egnatia

63 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skenderbeu

8.30 points above expected

51 points · 42.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kukesi

14.20 points below expected

27 points · 41.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Egnatia Champion 36 18 9 9 63 51 38 +13 57.44 +5.56
2 Partizani 36 17 12 7 63 51 29 +22 62.26 +0.74
3 Vllaznia 36 16 11 9 59 41 34 +7 50.93 +8.07
4 Skenderbeu 36 15 6 15 51 37 39 -2 42.70 +8.30
5 KF Tirana 36 13 11 12 50 56 49 +7 56.79 -6.79
6 Teuta 36 13 11 12 50 36 35 +1 43.68 +6.32
7 Dinamo City 36 13 8 15 47 42 43 -1 43.17 +3.83
8 Laci 36 10 16 10 46 37 31 +6 51.70 -5.70
9 Erzeni Shijak 36 7 11 18 32 29 57 -28 37.79 -5.79
10 Kukesi 36 6 9 21 27 31 56 -25 41.20 -14.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skenderbeu 51 42.70 +8.30
2 Vllaznia 59 50.93 +8.07
3 Teuta 50 43.68 +6.32
4 Egnatia 63 57.44 +5.56
5 Dinamo City 47 43.17 +3.83

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kukesi 27 41.20 -14.20
2 KF Tirana 50 56.79 -6.79
3 Erzeni Shijak 32 37.79 -5.79
4 Laci 46 51.70 -5.70
5 Partizani 63 62.26 +0.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Partizani 6 Oct 8 – Nov 6 1 in 120
2 Vllaznia 5 Dec 10 – Jan 20 1 in 106
3 Teuta 4 Apr 28 – May 11 1 in 36
4 Dinamo City 3 Jan 29 – Feb 10 1 in 32
5 Erzeni Shijak 2 Sep 17 – Sep 22 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kukesi 8 Jan 14 – Mar 1 1 in 929
2 KF Tirana 2 Sep 22 – Oct 3 1 in 21
3 Skenderbeu 3 Sep 14 – Sep 23 1 in 20
4 Dinamo City 3 May 4 – May 11 1 in 14
5 Erzeni Shijak 3 Jan 20 – Feb 4 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 12 Dec 10 – Mar 11 1 in 83
2 Laci 10 Dec 10 – Feb 26 1 in 74
3 Dinamo City 6 Oct 28 – Dec 3 1 in 37
4 Partizani 12 Oct 8 – Dec 16 1 in 28
5 Egnatia 10 Oct 6 – Dec 16 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kukesi 16 Oct 31 – Mar 1 1 in 270
2 Partizani 7 Nov 23 – Dec 24 1 in 159
3 Laci 9 Jan 28 – Mar 30 1 in 89
4 Teuta 13 Oct 28 – Jan 28 1 in 52
5 Egnatia 7 Feb 3 – Mar 16 1 in 50

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizani 1354 63 +34 15 9.2 +5.8
Egnatia 1273 63 -24 6 7.3 -1.3
Vllaznia 1276 59 -15 8 7.5 +0.5
Skenderbeu 1242 51 +43 10 6.2 +3.8
Teuta 1269 50 +40 13 7.3 +5.7
KF Tirana 1311 50 +15 7 7.3 -0.3
Dinamo City 1227 47 -29 1 5.9 -4.9
Laci 1270 46 +9 8 7.2 +0.8
Erzeni Shijak 1091 32 -36 1 4.6 -3.6
Kukesi 1129 27 -37 1 5.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DC EGN ES KT KUK LAC PAR SKE TEU VLL
Dinamo City —
0-1-3
4.04
3-0-1
5.77
0-1-3
3.90
2-2-0
5.57
2-2-0
4.59
1-1-2
3.79
3-0-1
5.35
2-0-2
5.13
0-1-3
4.60
Egnatia
3-1-0
6.81
—
3-0-1
7.19
1-1-2
5.76
4-0-0
6.65
3-1-0
5.88
1-3-0
4.94
1-1-2
6.81
0-2-2
6.92
2-0-2
5.94
Erzeni Shijak
1-0-3
5.05
1-0-3
3.69
—
2-1-1
3.46
1-2-1
5.18
0-4-0
4.14
1-0-3
3.12
0-0-4
5.00
1-1-2
4.59
0-3-1
4.09
KF Tirana
3-1-0
6.95
2-1-1
5.03
1-1-2
7.45
—
4-0-0
7.16
0-2-2
6.10
0-1-3
4.97
1-2-1
6.95
1-2-1
6.76
1-1-2
5.68
Kukesi
0-2-2
5.22
0-0-4
4.20
1-2-1
5.61
0-0-4
3.71
—
2-1-1
3.96
0-1-3
3.32
1-1-2
5.17
0-2-2
4.98
2-0-2
4.29
Laci
0-2-2
6.22
0-1-3
4.91
0-4-0
6.69
2-2-0
4.70
1-1-2
6.89
—
1-1-2
4.42
2-1-1
6.25
2-2-0
6.11
2-2-0
5.35
Partizani
2-1-1
7.08
0-3-1
5.85
3-0-1
7.87
3-1-0
5.82
3-1-0
7.61
2-1-1
6.40
—
1-1-2
7.23
2-1-1
7.35
1-3-0
6.21
Skenderbeu
1-0-3
5.44
2-1-1
4.03
4-0-0
5.81
1-2-1
3.91
2-1-1
5.62
1-1-2
4.56
2-1-1
3.65
—
1-0-3
5.33
1-0-3
4.36
Teuta
2-0-2
5.65
2-2-0
3.94
2-1-1
6.23
1-2-1
4.07
2-2-0
5.82
0-2-2
4.70
1-1-2
3.55
3-0-1
5.45
—
0-1-3
4.54
Vllaznia
3-1-0
6.20
2-0-2
4.86
1-3-0
6.77
2-1-1
5.10
2-0-2
6.55
0-2-2
5.44
0-3-1
4.60
3-0-1
6.46
3-1-0
6.27
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.55 +9.9
Allowed 0.64 -9.6
Differential 0.88 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.89%4.44%2.50%1.11%0.56%32.50%
113.89%14.44%6.94%1.67%0.56%0.56%38.06%
24.44%6.94%3.33%2.50%——17.22%
32.50%1.67%2.50%1.11%0.83%—8.61%
41.11%0.56%—0.83%——2.50%
5+0.56%0.56%————1.11%
Total32.50%38.06%17.22%8.61%2.50%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.55
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
111.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%——36.11%
28.33%11.11%—11.11%——30.56%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%38.89%11.11%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.19 -0.03
SD 0.97 1.09 1.40
CV 0.83 0.91 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
111.11%16.67%2.78%———30.56%
25.56%13.89%2.78%———22.22%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%13.89%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.06 +0.36
SD 1.25 1.07 1.71
CV 0.88 1.01 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%5.56%8.33%8.33%—50.00%
111.11%8.33%8.33%———27.78%
2—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
3———5.56%2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%16.67%16.67%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.58 -0.78
SD 0.98 1.34 1.49
CV 1.22 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
15.56%16.67%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%13.89%—2.78%—22.22%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%33.33%33.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.36 +0.19
SD 1.21 1.02 1.47
CV 0.78 0.75 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
111.11%8.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%——16.67%
3———2.78%2.78%—5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%22.22%16.67%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.56 -0.69
SD 0.90 1.27 1.26
CV 1.04 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%5.56%———38.89%
18.33%22.22%5.56%———36.11%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%50.00%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.86 +0.17
SD 1.23 0.76 1.34
CV 1.20 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%————16.67%
116.67%25.00%11.11%———52.78%
22.78%11.11%————13.89%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+———————
Total36.11%50.00%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.81 +0.61
SD 1.18 0.75 1.34
CV 0.83 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%22.22%8.33%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
122.22%11.11%2.78%2.78%——38.89%
25.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%41.67%13.89%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.08 -0.06
SD 1.21 1.13 1.74
CV 1.17 1.04 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%———36.11%
119.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%8.33%———13.89%
38.33%—2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total44.44%27.78%22.22%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.97 +0.03
SD 0.99 1.23 1.56
CV 0.99 1.27 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
122.22%13.89%5.56%—2.78%2.78%47.22%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total44.44%33.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.94 +0.19
SD 1.10 1.19 1.69
CV 0.97 1.26 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizani 1349 63 62.26 +0.74 54.0% 41 50 58 63 67 73 77
KF Tirana 1311 50 56.79 -6.79 18.0% 45 46 52 57 60 68 72
Egnatia 1282 63 57.44 +5.56 77.0% 37 43 53 57 63 69 75
Vllaznia 1270 59 50.93 +8.07 87.0% 31 40 46 50 55 63 67
Laci 1270 46 51.70 -5.70 23.0% 35 38 47 51 57 66 73
Teuta 1269 50 43.68 +6.32 82.0% 27 33 39 43 48 56 60
Skenderbeu 1244 51 42.70 +8.30 88.0% 27 32 38 42 47 55 61
Dinamo City 1227 47 43.17 +3.83 70.0% 21 32 37 43 49 56 62
Kukesi 1129 27 41.20 -14.20 1.0% 25 29 35 41 46 52 59
Erzeni Shijak 1091 32 37.79 -5.79 30.0% 19 26 32 37 42 52 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.67%
No Edge
38.89%28.89%32.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.20 Elo pts.
214 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
19%
Egnatia, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.84 * Some Luck: 5.84 to 8.76 * Lucky: 8.76 to 11.67 * Wild Swing: 11.67 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.31 points
Some Luck
07.3018
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.00%
Skenderbeu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Kukesi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 79.35
1.55
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
77%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.06
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.50
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Partizani 1
Skenderbeu 0

Sim: 1.0%

Egnatia 0
Vllaznia 0

Finals

Skenderbeu 3
Vllaznia 2

Sim: 1.0%

Egnatia 1
Partizani 0

Sim: 5.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Egnatia19.00%25.00%22.00%14.00%5.00%10.00%1.00%3.00%—1.00%
Partizani54.00%22.00%14.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Vllaznia6.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%
Skenderbeu1.00%2.00%1.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%23.00%19.00%11.00%
KF Tirana11.00%29.00%27.00%13.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——
Teuta1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%18.00%25.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%
Dinamo City2.00%2.00%1.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%19.00%12.00%16.00%
Laci6.00%9.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Erzeni Shijak——1.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%14.00%23.00%39.00%
Kukesi——2.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%18.00%13.00%21.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Egnatia — — —
KF Tirana 19.00% 1.00% —
Partizani — — —
Skenderbeu — — —
Vllaznia — — —
Laci 38.00% 7.00% 5.00%
Teuta 55.00% 14.00% 22.00%
Dinamo City 39.00% 19.00% 28.00%
Kukesi 35.00% 13.00% 43.00%
Erzeni Shijak 18.00% 14.00% 62.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Dinamo CityEgnatiaErzeni ShijakKF TiranaKukesiLaciPartizaniSkenderbeuTeutaVllaznia
Dinamo City33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%
Egnatia66.7%3.00%33.3%21.00%66.7%3.00%60.0%15.00%28.6%21.00%40.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%28.6%7.00%
Erzeni Shijak66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%
KF Tirana100.0%3.00%66.7%21.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%48.1%27.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%42.9%14.00%
Kukesi33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Laci50.0%2.00%40.0%15.00%55.6%9.00%0.0%1.00%64.3%14.00%55.6%9.00%
Partizani0.0%2.00%71.4%21.00%33.3%3.00%51.9%27.00%75.0%4.00%35.7%14.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%70.6%17.00%
Skenderbeu60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%
Teuta33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Vllaznia71.4%7.00%57.1%14.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%29.4%17.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Dinamo CityEgnatiaErzeni ShijakKF TiranaKukesiLaciPartizaniSkenderbeuTeutaVllaznia
Dinamo City50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Egnatia36.4%11.00%66.7%3.00%45.5%11.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%
Erzeni Shijak0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
KF Tirana50.0%2.00%63.6%11.00%100.0%1.00%55.6%9.00%29.4%17.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Kukesi0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Laci100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
Partizani100.0%1.00%54.5%11.00%70.6%17.00%100.0%1.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%60.0%10.00%
Skenderbeu0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Teuta100.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Vllaznia50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Partizani 60.68% 37.25%
Egnatia 54.85% 24.42%
Vllaznia 39.32% 20.03%
Skenderbeu 45.15% 18.30%
Loser →
↓ Winner
EgnatiaPartizaniSkenderbeuVllaznia
Egnatia54.9%100.00%
Partizani60.7%100.00%
Skenderbeu45.1%100.00%
Vllaznia39.3%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
EgnatiaPartizaniSkenderbeuVllaznia
Egnatia39.9%33.50%51.8%21.35%
Partizani60.1%33.50%63.0%27.18%
Skenderbeu37.0%27.18%45.8%17.97%
Vllaznia48.2%21.35%54.2%17.97%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-08-26 Kukesi W 3-142.4 1247 1235 39.90% 30.30% 29.80%+0.16 +10.6 3
2023-08-26 @ Vllaznia L 1-342.4 1235 1247 29.80% 30.30% 39.90%-0.16 -10.6 0
2023-08-26 Skenderbeu L 0-144.0 1245 1217 42.21% 30.03% 27.76%+0.24 -8.3 0
2023-08-26 @ Egnatia W 1-044.0 1217 1245 27.76% 30.03% 42.21%-0.24 +8.3 3
2023-08-27 Erzeni Shijak D 3-361.8 1253 1197 45.95% 29.36% 24.69%+0.37 -0.5 1
2023-08-27 @ Laci D 3-361.8 1197 1253 24.69% 29.36% 45.95%-0.37 +0.5 1
2023-08-27 KF Tirana L 2-349.3 1199 1303 24.79% 29.39% 45.82%-0.38 -5.0 0
2023-08-27 @ Dinamo City W 3-249.3 1303 1199 45.82% 29.39% 24.79%+0.38 +5.0 3
2023-09-01 Dinamo City W 1-039.4 1225 1194 42.68% 29.96% 27.36%+0.26 +6.1 6
2023-09-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-139.4 1194 1225 27.36% 29.96% 42.68%-0.26 -6.1 0
2023-09-01 Vllaznia D 2-258.2 1198 1258 29.94% 30.32% 39.75%-0.17 +0.3 2
2023-09-01 @ Erzeni Shijak D 2-258.2 1258 1198 39.75% 30.32% 29.94%+0.17 -0.3 4
2023-09-02 KF Tirana D 2-258.5 1242 1308 29.18% 30.23% 40.59%-0.20 +0.3 1
2023-09-02 @ Teuta D 2-258.5 1308 1242 40.59% 30.23% 29.18%+0.20 -0.3 4
2023-09-03 Egnatia L 0-437.2 1225 1237 36.49% 30.52% 32.99%+0.05 -26.8 0
2023-09-03 @ Kukesi W 4-037.2 1237 1225 32.99% 30.52% 36.49%-0.05 +26.8 3
2023-09-03 Laci W 1-039.2 1301 1253 44.92% 29.57% 25.51%+0.33 +5.7 3
2023-09-03 @ Partizani L 0-139.2 1253 1301 25.51% 29.57% 44.92%-0.33 -5.7 1
2023-09-13 Erzeni Shijak W 4-350.9 1264 1198 47.24% 29.07% 23.69%+0.42 +4.7 6
2023-09-13 @ Egnatia L 3-450.9 1198 1264 23.69% 29.07% 47.24%-0.42 -4.7 2
2023-09-13 Kukesi W 2-147.1 1188 1198 36.74% 30.51% 32.75%+0.06 +6.5 3
2023-09-13 @ Dinamo City L 1-247.1 1198 1188 32.75% 30.51% 36.74%-0.06 -6.5 0
2023-09-14 Partizani D 0-047.6 1258 1307 31.30% 30.43% 38.27%-0.12 +0.3 5
2023-09-14 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.6 1307 1258 38.27% 30.43% 31.30%+0.12 -0.3 4
2023-09-14 Skenderbeu W 3-140.0 1308 1231 48.59% 28.73% 22.68%+0.46 +8.5 7
2023-09-14 @ KF Tirana L 1-340.0 1231 1308 22.68% 28.73% 48.59%-0.46 -8.5 6
2023-09-15 Teuta W 6-138.5 1247 1242 38.93% 30.39% 30.69%+0.13 +24.2 4
2023-09-15 @ Laci L 1-638.5 1242 1247 30.69% 30.39% 38.93%-0.13 -24.2 1
2023-09-17 Dinamo City W 2-146.7 1194 1194 38.16% 30.44% 31.40%+0.11 +6.3 5
2023-09-17 @ Erzeni Shijak L 1-246.7 1194 1194 31.40% 30.44% 38.16%-0.11 -6.4 3
2023-09-18 Egnatia D 1-153.1 1307 1269 43.52% 29.83% 26.65%+0.29 -0.7 5
2023-09-18 @ Partizani D 1-153.1 1269 1307 26.65% 29.83% 43.52%-0.29 +0.7 7
2023-09-18 KF Tirana L 1-243.9 1191 1316 22.75% 28.75% 48.49%-0.47 -4.9 0
2023-09-18 @ Kukesi W 2-143.9 1316 1191 48.49% 28.75% 22.75%+0.47 +4.9 10
2023-09-19 Skenderbeu W 1-041.0 1218 1223 37.55% 30.47% 31.98%+0.09 +6.8 4
2023-09-19 @ Teuta L 0-141.0 1223 1218 31.98% 30.47% 37.55%-0.09 -6.8 6
2023-09-19 Vllaznia W 2-146.4 1271 1258 40.14% 30.28% 29.58%+0.17 +6.1 7
2023-09-19 @ Laci L 1-246.4 1258 1271 29.58% 30.28% 40.14%-0.17 -6.1 5
2023-09-22 Erzeni Shijak L 0-146.8 1321 1200 54.25% 26.90% 18.85%+0.67 -10.1 10
2023-09-22 @ KF Tirana W 1-046.8 1200 1321 18.85% 26.90% 54.25%-0.67 +10.1 8
2023-09-22 Partizani L 1-340.1 1188 1306 23.36% 28.96% 47.68%-0.44 -8.7 3
2023-09-22 @ Dinamo City W 3-140.1 1306 1188 47.68% 28.96% 23.36%+0.44 +8.7 8
2023-09-23 Kukesi L 0-143.9 1216 1187 42.37% 30.00% 27.63%+0.25 -8.4 6
2023-09-23 @ Skenderbeu W 1-043.9 1187 1216 27.63% 30.00% 42.37%-0.25 +8.4 3
2023-09-23 Laci W 2-147.4 1269 1277 37.09% 30.50% 32.41%+0.07 +6.5 10
2023-09-23 @ Egnatia L 1-247.4 1277 1269 32.41% 30.50% 37.09%-0.07 -6.5 7
2023-09-23 Teuta W 2-036.0 1252 1225 42.00% 30.06% 27.95%+0.23 +11.6 8
2023-09-23 @ Vllaznia L 0-236.0 1225 1252 27.95% 30.06% 42.00%-0.23 -11.6 4
2023-09-27 Egnatia L 0-238.9 1263 1276 36.47% 30.52% 33.01%+0.05 -14.1 8
2023-09-27 @ Vllaznia W 2-038.9 1276 1263 33.01% 30.52% 36.47%-0.05 +14.1 13
2023-09-27 Kukesi D 0-047.2 1213 1195 40.82% 30.20% 28.98%+0.19 -0.5 5
2023-09-27 @ Teuta D 0-047.2 1195 1213 28.98% 30.20% 40.82%-0.19 +0.5 4
2023-09-27 Skenderbeu L 1-248.9 1210 1208 38.55% 30.41% 31.04%+0.12 -7.4 8
2023-09-27 @ Erzeni Shijak W 2-148.9 1208 1210 31.04% 30.41% 38.55%-0.12 +7.3 9
2023-09-28 Dinamo City L 0-145.9 1271 1179 50.62% 28.14% 21.24%+0.54 -9.6 7
2023-09-28 @ Laci W 1-045.9 1179 1271 21.24% 28.14% 50.62%-0.54 +9.6 6
2023-10-01 Partizani W 1-044.9 1215 1315 25.28% 29.52% 45.20%-0.36 +8.8 12
2023-10-01 @ Skenderbeu L 0-144.9 1315 1215 45.20% 29.52% 25.28%+0.36 -8.8 8
2023-10-01 Teuta L 0-145.7 1290 1213 48.74% 28.69% 22.58%+0.47 -9.3 13
2023-10-01 @ Egnatia W 1-045.7 1213 1290 22.58% 28.69% 48.74%-0.47 +9.3 8
2023-10-02 Erzeni Shijak W 2-147.0 1195 1203 37.22% 30.49% 32.29%+0.07 +6.5 7
2023-10-02 @ Kukesi L 1-247.0 1203 1195 32.29% 30.49% 37.22%-0.07 -6.5 8
2023-10-02 Vllaznia D 1-152.4 1189 1249 29.83% 30.30% 39.86%-0.18 +0.4 7
2023-10-02 @ Dinamo City D 1-152.4 1249 1189 39.86% 30.30% 29.83%+0.18 -0.4 9
2023-10-03 Laci L 0-339.8 1311 1261 45.08% 29.54% 25.38%+0.34 -24.0 10
2023-10-03 @ KF Tirana W 3-039.8 1261 1311 25.38% 29.54% 45.08%-0.34 +24.0 10
2023-10-06 Dinamo City W 3-031.8 1281 1189 50.59% 28.15% 21.25%+0.54 +13.4 16
2023-10-06 @ Egnatia L 0-331.8 1189 1281 21.25% 28.15% 50.59%-0.54 -13.4 7
2023-10-07 KF Tirana L 0-141.6 1249 1287 32.85% 30.51% 36.64%-0.07 -7.0 9
2023-10-07 @ Vllaznia W 1-041.6 1287 1249 36.64% 30.51% 32.85%+0.07 +7.0 13
2023-10-08 Erzeni Shijak L 0-143.8 1222 1196 41.87% 30.07% 28.06%+0.23 -8.3 8
2023-10-08 @ Teuta W 1-043.8 1196 1222 28.06% 30.07% 41.87%-0.23 +8.3 11
2023-10-08 Kukesi W 4-349.6 1306 1202 52.14% 27.65% 20.21%+0.59 +4.1 11
2023-10-08 @ Partizani L 3-449.6 1202 1306 20.21% 27.65% 52.14%-0.59 -4.1 7
2023-10-08 Skenderbeu W 2-034.7 1285 1224 46.67% 29.20% 24.13%+0.40 +10.3 13
2023-10-08 @ Laci L 0-234.7 1224 1285 24.13% 29.20% 46.67%-0.40 -10.3 12
2023-10-19 KF Tirana W 2-146.7 1310 1294 40.52% 30.24% 29.25%+0.18 +6.0 14
2023-10-19 @ Partizani L 1-246.7 1294 1310 29.25% 30.24% 40.52%-0.18 -6.0 13
2023-10-21 Vllaznia L 0-238.0 1214 1242 34.19% 30.54% 35.27%-0.02 -13.5 12
2023-10-21 @ Skenderbeu W 2-038.0 1242 1214 35.27% 30.54% 34.19%+0.02 +13.5 12
2023-10-22 Laci W 1-044.8 1198 1296 25.47% 29.57% 44.96%-0.35 +8.7 10
2023-10-22 @ Kukesi L 0-144.8 1296 1198 44.96% 29.57% 25.47%+0.35 -8.7 13
2023-10-22 Teuta L 2-351.8 1176 1214 32.81% 30.51% 36.68%-0.07 -6.2 7
2023-10-22 @ Dinamo City W 3-251.8 1214 1176 36.68% 30.51% 32.81%+0.07 +6.2 11
2023-10-23 Egnatia L 2-353.8 1288 1294 37.34% 30.48% 32.17%+0.08 -6.8 13
2023-10-23 @ KF Tirana W 3-253.8 1294 1288 32.17% 30.48% 37.34%-0.08 +6.8 19
2023-10-23 Partizani L 1-244.4 1204 1316 24.03% 29.17% 46.80%-0.41 -5.2 11
2023-10-23 @ Erzeni Shijak W 2-144.4 1316 1204 46.80% 29.17% 24.03%+0.41 +5.2 17
2023-10-27 Laci D 0-047.5 1199 1287 26.60% 29.82% 43.59%-0.30 +0.8 12
2023-10-27 @ Erzeni Shijak D 0-047.5 1287 1199 43.59% 29.82% 26.60%+0.30 -0.8 14
2023-10-27 Vllaznia W 1-042.9 1207 1255 31.37% 30.44% 38.19%-0.12 +7.8 13
2023-10-27 @ Kukesi L 0-142.9 1255 1207 38.19% 30.44% 31.37%+0.12 -7.8 12
2023-10-28 Dinamo City D 1-153.3 1281 1169 53.09% 27.32% 19.58%+0.63 -1.4 14
2023-10-28 @ KF Tirana D 1-153.3 1169 1281 19.58% 27.32% 53.09%-0.63 +1.4 8
2023-10-28 Egnatia D 1-152.8 1200 1301 25.15% 29.48% 45.37%-0.36 +0.8 13
2023-10-28 @ Skenderbeu D 1-152.8 1301 1200 45.37% 29.48% 25.15%+0.36 -0.8 20
2023-10-28 Partizani L 0-139.0 1220 1321 25.11% 29.48% 45.41%-0.36 -5.7 11
2023-10-28 @ Teuta W 1-039.0 1321 1220 45.41% 29.48% 25.11%+0.36 +5.7 20
2023-10-31 Kukesi W 2-143.5 1300 1214 49.84% 28.38% 21.78%+0.51 +4.7 23
2023-10-31 @ Egnatia L 1-243.5 1214 1300 21.78% 28.38% 49.84%-0.51 -4.7 13
2023-10-31 Skenderbeu W 2-147.9 1171 1201 33.93% 30.54% 35.53%-0.03 +6.9 11
2023-10-31 @ Dinamo City L 1-247.9 1201 1171 35.53% 30.54% 33.93%+0.03 -6.9 13
2023-11-01 Erzeni Shijak D 1-152.6 1248 1200 44.83% 29.59% 25.58%+0.33 -0.8 13
2023-11-01 @ Vllaznia D 1-152.6 1200 1248 25.58% 29.59% 44.83%-0.33 +0.8 13
2023-11-01 Partizani L 0-141.9 1286 1327 32.47% 30.50% 37.03%-0.08 -6.9 14
2023-11-01 @ Laci W 1-041.9 1327 1286 37.03% 30.50% 32.47%+0.08 +6.9 23
2023-11-01 Teuta W 2-034.5 1280 1214 47.17% 29.09% 23.74%+0.41 +10.2 17
2023-11-01 @ KF Tirana L 0-234.5 1214 1280 23.74% 29.09% 47.17%-0.41 -10.2 11
2023-11-04 Egnatia L 0-138.7 1201 1305 24.81% 29.40% 45.80%-0.38 -5.6 13
2023-11-04 @ Erzeni Shijak W 1-038.7 1305 1201 45.80% 29.40% 24.81%+0.38 +5.6 26
2023-11-05 Dinamo City D 0-047.2 1210 1178 42.70% 29.96% 27.34%+0.26 -0.7 14
2023-11-05 @ Kukesi D 0-047.2 1178 1210 27.34% 29.96% 42.70%-0.26 +0.7 12
2023-11-05 KF Tirana D 1-152.7 1194 1290 25.69% 29.62% 44.69%-0.34 +0.8 14
2023-11-05 @ Skenderbeu D 1-152.7 1290 1194 44.69% 29.62% 25.69%+0.34 -0.8 18
2023-11-05 Laci D 1-152.6 1204 1279 28.05% 30.07% 41.87%-0.24 +0.5 12
2023-11-05 @ Teuta D 1-152.6 1279 1204 41.87% 30.07% 28.05%+0.24 -0.5 15
2023-11-06 Vllaznia W 4-137.1 1334 1247 49.97% 28.34% 21.69%+0.51 +11.5 26
2023-11-06 @ Partizani L 1-437.1 1247 1334 21.69% 28.34% 49.97%-0.51 -11.5 13
2023-11-23 Erzeni Shijak W 1-041.4 1178 1195 35.84% 30.54% 33.63%+0.03 +7.1 15
2023-11-23 @ Dinamo City L 0-141.4 1195 1178 33.63% 30.54% 35.84%-0.03 -7.1 13
2023-11-23 Kukesi W 3-248.3 1289 1209 49.11% 28.59% 22.31%+0.48 +4.6 21
2023-11-23 @ KF Tirana L 2-348.3 1209 1289 22.31% 28.59% 49.11%-0.48 -4.6 14
2023-11-23 Partizani D 1-153.5 1310 1345 33.28% 30.53% 36.20%-0.05 +0.1 27
2023-11-23 @ Egnatia D 1-153.5 1345 1310 36.20% 30.53% 33.28%+0.05 -0.1 27
2023-11-24 Laci D 0-047.4 1235 1279 32.11% 30.48% 37.41%-0.09 +0.2 14
2023-11-24 @ Vllaznia D 0-047.4 1279 1235 37.41% 30.48% 32.11%+0.09 -0.2 16
2023-11-24 Teuta W 3-143.1 1195 1205 36.82% 30.51% 32.67%+0.06 +11.3 17
2023-11-24 @ Skenderbeu L 1-343.1 1205 1195 32.67% 30.51% 36.82%-0.06 -11.3 12
2023-11-27 Dinamo City D 0-049.1 1345 1185 58.85% 24.98% 16.17%+0.86 -2.0 28
2023-11-27 @ Partizani D 0-049.1 1185 1345 16.17% 24.98% 58.85%-0.86 +2.0 16
2023-11-27 KF Tirana W 1-045.0 1188 1294 24.66% 29.36% 45.99%-0.38 +8.9 16
2023-11-27 @ Erzeni Shijak L 0-145.0 1294 1188 45.99% 29.36% 24.66%+0.38 -8.9 21
2023-11-28 Egnatia L 0-238.4 1278 1311 33.67% 30.54% 35.80%-0.04 -13.3 16
2023-11-28 @ Laci W 2-038.4 1311 1278 35.80% 30.54% 33.67%+0.04 +13.4 30
2023-11-28 Skenderbeu D 2-258.0 1204 1206 38.00% 30.45% 31.55%+0.10 -0.2 15
2023-11-28 @ Kukesi D 2-258.0 1206 1204 31.55% 30.45% 38.00%-0.10 +0.2 18
2023-11-28 Vllaznia L 0-141.1 1193 1236 32.25% 30.49% 37.26%-0.09 -6.9 12
2023-11-28 @ Teuta W 1-041.1 1236 1193 37.26% 30.49% 32.25%+0.09 +6.9 17
2023-12-02 Erzeni Shijak W 1-040.3 1206 1197 39.54% 30.33% 30.13%+0.15 +6.5 21
2023-12-02 @ Skenderbeu L 0-140.3 1197 1206 30.13% 30.33% 39.54%-0.15 -6.5 16
2023-12-02 Vllaznia W 3-032.6 1324 1242 49.28% 28.54% 22.18%+0.49 +14.0 33
2023-12-02 @ Egnatia L 0-332.6 1242 1324 22.18% 28.54% 49.28%-0.49 -14.0 17
2023-12-03 Laci W 2-040.2 1187 1265 27.75% 30.03% 42.23%-0.26 +15.7 19
2023-12-03 @ Dinamo City L 0-240.2 1265 1187 42.23% 30.03% 27.75%+0.26 -15.7 16
2023-12-03 Partizani D 1-153.3 1285 1343 30.12% 30.33% 39.55%-0.16 +0.4 22
2023-12-03 @ KF Tirana D 1-153.3 1343 1285 39.55% 30.33% 30.12%+0.16 -0.4 29
2023-12-03 Teuta D 0-047.1 1204 1186 40.73% 30.21% 29.06%+0.19 -0.5 16
2023-12-03 @ Kukesi D 0-047.1 1186 1204 29.06% 30.21% 40.73%-0.19 +0.5 13
2023-12-07 Teuta D 1-154.2 1343 1187 58.39% 25.19% 16.42%+0.84 -1.8 30
2023-12-07 @ Partizani D 1-154.2 1187 1343 16.42% 25.19% 58.39%-0.84 +1.8 14
2023-12-10 Dinamo City W 3-141.7 1229 1203 41.79% 30.08% 28.12%+0.23 +10.1 20
2023-12-10 @ Vllaznia L 1-341.7 1203 1229 28.12% 30.08% 41.79%-0.23 -10.1 19
2023-12-10 KF Tirana D 2-258.4 1249 1285 33.17% 30.52% 36.31%-0.06 +0.1 17
2023-12-10 @ Laci D 2-258.4 1285 1249 36.31% 30.52% 33.17%+0.06 -0.1 23
2023-12-10 Kukesi D 0-047.1 1190 1204 36.36% 30.52% 33.12%+0.05 -0.1 17
2023-12-10 @ Erzeni Shijak D 0-047.1 1204 1190 33.12% 30.52% 36.36%-0.05 +0.1 17
2023-12-11 Egnatia D 2-259.2 1189 1338 20.55% 27.82% 51.63%-0.59 +1.0 15
2023-12-11 @ Teuta D 2-259.2 1338 1189 51.63% 27.82% 20.55%+0.59 -1.0 34
2023-12-11 Skenderbeu D 1-153.9 1341 1213 55.12% 26.56% 18.31%+0.71 -1.5 31
2023-12-11 @ Partizani D 1-153.9 1213 1341 18.31% 26.56% 55.12%-0.71 +1.5 22
2023-12-16 Egnatia L 1-243.2 1193 1337 20.99% 28.03% 50.97%-0.56 -4.6 19
2023-12-16 @ Dinamo City W 2-143.2 1337 1193 50.97% 28.03% 20.99%+0.56 +4.6 37
2023-12-16 Partizani D 1-153.3 1204 1339 21.72% 28.35% 49.93%-0.53 +1.2 18
2023-12-16 @ Kukesi D 1-153.3 1339 1204 49.93% 28.35% 21.72%+0.53 -1.2 32
2023-12-17 Laci L 0-141.4 1214 1250 33.22% 30.53% 36.25%-0.06 -7.0 22
2023-12-17 @ Skenderbeu W 1-041.4 1250 1214 36.25% 30.53% 33.22%+0.06 +7.0 20
2023-12-17 Teuta D 0-047.1 1190 1190 38.33% 30.43% 31.25%+0.11 -0.3 18
2023-12-17 @ Erzeni Shijak D 0-047.1 1190 1190 31.25% 30.43% 38.33%-0.11 +0.3 16
2023-12-17 Vllaznia L 0-144.8 1285 1239 44.65% 29.63% 25.73%+0.33 -8.7 23
2023-12-17 @ KF Tirana W 1-044.8 1239 1285 25.73% 29.63% 44.65%-0.33 +8.7 23
2023-12-22 Dinamo City L 1-248.8 1190 1188 38.46% 30.42% 31.12%+0.12 -7.3 16
2023-12-22 @ Teuta W 2-148.8 1188 1190 31.12% 30.42% 38.46%-0.12 +7.3 22
2023-12-22 Skenderbeu W 5-034.8 1247 1207 43.81% 29.78% 26.41%+0.30 +26.0 26
2023-12-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-534.8 1207 1247 26.41% 29.78% 43.81%-0.30 -26.0 22
2023-12-23 Kukesi D 1-152.7 1257 1205 45.36% 29.49% 25.16%+0.35 -0.8 21
2023-12-23 @ Laci D 1-152.7 1205 1257 25.16% 29.49% 45.36%-0.35 +0.8 19
2023-12-24 Erzeni Shijak L 1-253.4 1338 1190 57.51% 25.58% 16.91%+0.80 -10.0 32
2023-12-24 @ Partizani W 2-153.4 1190 1338 16.91% 25.58% 57.51%-0.80 +10.0 21
2023-12-24 KF Tirana L 0-541.6 1341 1276 47.17% 29.09% 23.74%+0.41 -40.0 37
2023-12-24 @ Egnatia W 5-041.6 1276 1341 23.74% 29.09% 47.17%-0.41 +40.0 26
2024-01-12 KF Tirana L 2-348.7 1196 1316 23.14% 28.89% 47.97%-0.46 -4.7 22
2024-01-12 @ Dinamo City W 3-248.7 1316 1196 47.97% 28.89% 23.14%+0.46 +4.7 29
2024-01-13 Skenderbeu W 1-036.1 1301 1181 54.15% 26.94% 18.91%+0.67 +4.4 40
2024-01-13 @ Egnatia L 0-136.1 1181 1301 18.91% 26.94% 54.15%-0.67 -4.4 22
2024-01-13 Teuta W 1-035.3 1328 1183 57.20% 25.71% 17.09%+0.79 +4.0 35
2024-01-13 @ Partizani L 0-135.3 1183 1328 17.09% 25.71% 57.20%-0.79 -4.0 16
2024-01-14 Erzeni Shijak D 0-047.5 1256 1200 45.91% 29.37% 24.71%+0.37 -1.0 22
2024-01-14 @ Laci D 0-047.5 1200 1256 24.71% 29.37% 45.91%-0.37 +1.0 22
2024-01-14 Kukesi W 1-038.1 1273 1206 47.49% 29.01% 23.50%+0.42 +5.4 29
2024-01-14 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.1 1206 1273 23.50% 29.01% 47.49%-0.42 -5.4 19
2024-01-19 Egnatia L 1-438.0 1200 1306 24.66% 29.36% 45.99%-0.38 -12.9 19
2024-01-19 @ Kukesi W 4-138.0 1306 1200 45.99% 29.36% 24.66%+0.38 +12.9 43
2024-01-19 KF Tirana D 2-259.0 1179 1321 21.13% 28.10% 50.77%-0.56 +0.9 17
2024-01-19 @ Teuta D 2-259.0 1321 1179 50.77% 28.10% 21.13%+0.56 -0.9 30
2024-01-20 Laci L 1-252.0 1332 1255 48.77% 28.68% 22.55%+0.47 -8.8 35
2024-01-20 @ Partizani W 2-152.0 1255 1332 22.55% 28.68% 48.77%-0.47 +8.8 25
2024-01-20 Vllaznia L 0-139.7 1201 1279 27.73% 30.02% 42.24%-0.26 -6.1 22
2024-01-20 @ Erzeni Shijak W 1-039.7 1279 1201 42.24% 30.02% 27.73%+0.26 +6.1 32
2024-01-28 Partizani D 1-153.1 1285 1323 32.76% 30.51% 36.73%-0.07 +0.1 33
2024-01-28 @ Vllaznia D 1-153.1 1323 1285 36.73% 30.51% 32.76%+0.07 -0.2 36
2024-01-28 Skenderbeu L 3-460.0 1320 1177 56.92% 25.83% 17.25%+0.78 -9.1 30
2024-01-28 @ KF Tirana W 4-360.0 1177 1320 17.25% 25.83% 56.92%-0.78 +9.2 25
2024-01-28 Teuta D 1-153.0 1264 1180 49.60% 28.45% 21.95%+0.50 -1.1 26
2024-01-28 @ Laci D 1-153.0 1180 1264 21.95% 28.45% 49.60%-0.50 +1.1 18
2024-01-29 Erzeni Shijak W 3-246.7 1319 1195 54.60% 26.76% 18.63%+0.69 +3.9 46
2024-01-29 @ Egnatia L 2-346.7 1195 1319 18.63% 26.76% 54.60%-0.69 -3.9 22
2024-01-29 Kukesi W 3-251.2 1191 1188 38.74% 30.40% 30.86%+0.13 +6.0 25
2024-01-29 @ Dinamo City L 2-351.2 1188 1191 30.86% 30.40% 38.74%-0.13 -6.0 19
2024-02-03 Egnatia D 1-153.4 1323 1323 38.34% 30.43% 31.23%+0.11 -0.3 37
2024-02-03 @ Partizani D 1-153.4 1323 1323 31.23% 30.43% 38.34%-0.11 +0.3 47
2024-02-03 KF Tirana L 2-348.3 1182 1311 22.30% 28.58% 49.12%-0.50 -4.6 19
2024-02-03 @ Kukesi W 3-248.3 1311 1182 49.12% 28.58% 22.30%+0.50 +4.6 33
2024-02-03 Skenderbeu W 3-035.5 1181 1186 37.50% 30.48% 32.02%+0.08 +18.7 21
2024-02-03 @ Teuta L 0-335.5 1186 1181 32.02% 30.48% 37.50%-0.08 -18.7 25
2024-02-04 Dinamo City L 0-437.3 1191 1197 37.38% 30.48% 32.14%+0.08 -27.3 22
2024-02-04 @ Erzeni Shijak W 4-037.3 1197 1191 32.14% 30.48% 37.38%-0.08 +27.3 28
2024-02-04 Vllaznia D 1-152.7 1262 1285 35.01% 30.55% 34.45%+0.00 -0.0 27
2024-02-04 @ Laci D 1-152.7 1285 1262 34.45% 30.55% 35.01%+0.00 +0.0 34
2024-02-10 Laci D 0-048.1 1323 1262 46.55% 29.23% 24.22%+0.39 -1.0 48
2024-02-10 @ Egnatia D 0-048.1 1262 1323 24.22% 29.23% 46.55%-0.39 +1.0 28
2024-02-10 Partizani W 2-151.0 1224 1323 25.37% 29.54% 45.09%-0.35 +8.3 31
2024-02-10 @ Dinamo City L 1-251.0 1323 1224 45.09% 29.54% 25.37%+0.35 -8.3 37
2024-02-10 Teuta W 2-143.4 1285 1199 49.81% 28.38% 21.80%+0.51 +4.7 37
2024-02-10 @ Vllaznia L 1-243.4 1199 1285 21.80% 28.38% 49.81%-0.51 -4.7 21
2024-02-11 Erzeni Shijak D 1-154.0 1315 1164 57.93% 25.39% 16.68%+0.82 -1.8 34
2024-02-11 @ KF Tirana D 1-154.0 1164 1315 16.68% 25.39% 57.93%-0.82 +1.8 23
2024-02-11 Kukesi W 1-041.0 1167 1177 36.86% 30.51% 32.63%+0.06 +6.9 28
2024-02-11 @ Skenderbeu L 0-141.0 1177 1167 32.63% 30.51% 36.86%-0.06 -6.9 19
2024-02-16 KF Tirana W 2-147.6 1315 1314 38.39% 30.42% 31.19%+0.11 +6.3 40
2024-02-16 @ Partizani L 1-247.6 1314 1315 31.19% 30.42% 38.39%-0.11 -6.3 34
2024-02-16 Kukesi W 1-039.6 1195 1170 41.70% 30.10% 28.20%+0.22 +6.2 24
2024-02-16 @ Teuta L 0-139.6 1170 1195 28.20% 30.10% 41.70%-0.22 -6.2 19
2024-02-17 Dinamo City D 1-152.7 1263 1233 42.55% 29.98% 27.47%+0.25 -0.6 29
2024-02-17 @ Laci D 1-152.7 1233 1263 27.47% 29.98% 42.55%-0.25 +0.6 32
2024-02-17 Egnatia W 2-148.8 1290 1322 33.66% 30.54% 35.80%-0.04 +7.0 40
2024-02-17 @ Vllaznia L 1-248.8 1322 1290 35.80% 30.54% 33.66%+0.04 -7.0 48
2024-02-17 Skenderbeu L 0-337.0 1165 1174 36.99% 30.50% 32.51%+0.07 -20.7 23
2024-02-17 @ Erzeni Shijak W 3-037.0 1174 1165 32.51% 30.50% 36.99%-0.07 +20.7 31
2024-02-21 Dinamo City L 0-141.2 1195 1233 32.81% 30.51% 36.68%-0.07 -7.0 31
2024-02-21 @ Skenderbeu W 1-041.2 1233 1195 36.68% 30.51% 32.81%+0.07 +7.0 35
2024-02-25 Erzeni Shijak L 1-249.4 1164 1145 40.93% 30.19% 28.88%+0.20 -7.7 19
2024-02-25 @ Kukesi W 2-149.4 1145 1164 28.88% 30.19% 40.93%-0.20 +7.7 26
2024-02-25 Partizani W 1-045.9 1188 1321 21.95% 28.44% 49.61%-0.51 +9.4 34
2024-02-25 @ Skenderbeu L 0-145.9 1321 1188 49.61% 28.44% 21.95%+0.51 -9.4 40
2024-02-25 Teuta D 0-048.4 1315 1201 53.38% 27.22% 19.40%+0.64 -1.6 49
2024-02-25 @ Egnatia D 0-048.4 1201 1315 19.40% 27.22% 53.38%-0.64 +1.6 25
2024-02-26 Laci D 1-153.1 1307 1263 44.42% 29.67% 25.91%+0.32 -0.7 35
2024-02-26 @ KF Tirana D 1-153.1 1263 1307 25.91% 29.67% 44.42%-0.32 +0.7 30
2024-02-26 Vllaznia L 0-140.8 1240 1297 30.35% 30.36% 39.30%-0.16 -6.6 35
2024-02-26 @ Dinamo City W 1-040.8 1297 1240 39.30% 30.36% 30.35%+0.16 +6.6 43
2024-03-01 Dinamo City D 1-153.3 1313 1234 49.07% 28.60% 22.33%+0.48 -1.1 50
2024-03-01 @ Egnatia D 1-153.3 1234 1313 22.33% 28.60% 49.07%-0.48 +1.1 36
2024-03-01 Kukesi W 3-029.4 1312 1156 58.36% 25.20% 16.44%+0.84 +10.4 43
2024-03-01 @ Partizani L 0-329.4 1156 1312 16.44% 25.20% 58.36%-0.84 -10.4 19
2024-03-01 Skenderbeu L 0-145.2 1264 1197 47.29% 29.06% 23.65%+0.42 -9.1 30
2024-03-01 @ Laci W 1-045.2 1197 1264 23.65% 29.06% 47.29%-0.42 +9.1 37
2024-03-02 Erzeni Shijak W 3-033.2 1203 1152 45.17% 29.52% 25.30%+0.34 +15.6 28
2024-03-02 @ Teuta L 0-333.2 1152 1203 25.30% 29.52% 45.17%-0.34 -15.6 26
2024-03-02 KF Tirana W 3-143.7 1303 1307 37.77% 30.46% 31.77%+0.09 +11.1 46
2024-03-02 @ Vllaznia L 1-343.7 1307 1303 31.77% 30.46% 37.77%-0.09 -11.1 35
2024-03-10 Egnatia D 1-153.1 1296 1312 35.87% 30.54% 33.60%+0.03 -0.1 36
2024-03-10 @ KF Tirana D 1-153.1 1312 1296 33.60% 30.54% 35.87%-0.03 +0.1 51
2024-03-10 Partizani L 0-430.3 1137 1322 17.74% 26.18% 56.07%-0.76 -14.7 26
2024-03-10 @ Erzeni Shijak W 4-030.3 1322 1137 56.07% 26.18% 17.74%+0.76 +14.7 46
2024-03-11 Laci W 1-044.9 1146 1254 24.32% 29.26% 46.41%-0.40 +9.0 22
2024-03-11 @ Kukesi L 0-144.9 1254 1146 46.41% 29.26% 24.32%+0.40 -9.0 30
2024-03-11 Vllaznia L 0-138.6 1206 1314 24.40% 29.28% 46.32%-0.40 -5.5 37
2024-03-11 @ Skenderbeu W 1-038.6 1314 1206 46.32% 29.28% 24.40%+0.40 +5.5 49
2024-03-16 Egnatia W 2-041.5 1201 1312 24.05% 29.18% 46.77%-0.41 +17.0 40
2024-03-16 @ Skenderbeu L 0-241.5 1312 1201 46.77% 29.18% 24.05%+0.41 -17.0 51
2024-03-16 Laci D 0-047.5 1122 1245 22.86% 28.79% 48.36%-0.47 +1.2 27
2024-03-16 @ Erzeni Shijak D 0-047.5 1245 1122 48.36% 28.79% 22.86%+0.47 -1.2 31
2024-03-16 Partizani W 1-045.6 1218 1337 23.33% 28.95% 47.72%-0.45 +9.1 31
2024-03-16 @ Teuta L 0-145.6 1337 1218 47.72% 28.95% 23.33%+0.45 -9.2 46
2024-03-17 Dinamo City W 3-249.2 1296 1235 46.60% 29.22% 24.18%+0.39 +4.9 39
2024-03-17 @ KF Tirana L 2-349.2 1235 1296 24.18% 29.22% 46.60%-0.39 -4.9 36
2024-03-17 Vllaznia W 2-042.8 1155 1320 19.23% 27.13% 53.64%-0.66 +18.9 25
2024-03-17 @ Kukesi L 0-242.8 1320 1155 53.64% 27.13% 19.23%+0.66 -18.9 49
2024-03-29 Erzeni Shijak D 1-154.3 1301 1123 60.93% 24.00% 15.07%+0.94 -2.0 50
2024-03-29 @ Vllaznia D 1-154.3 1123 1301 15.07% 24.00% 60.93%-0.94 +2.0 28
2024-03-29 Kukesi W 1-036.0 1295 1174 54.33% 26.87% 18.80%+0.68 +4.4 54
2024-03-29 @ Egnatia L 0-136.0 1174 1295 18.80% 26.87% 54.33%-0.68 -4.3 25
2024-03-29 Teuta L 1-251.6 1300 1227 48.20% 28.83% 22.97%+0.45 -8.7 39
2024-03-29 @ KF Tirana W 2-151.6 1227 1300 22.97% 28.83% 48.20%-0.45 +8.7 34
2024-03-30 Partizani D 1-153.0 1244 1328 27.10% 29.91% 42.99%-0.28 +0.6 32
2024-03-30 @ Laci D 1-153.0 1328 1244 42.99% 29.91% 27.10%+0.28 -0.6 47
2024-03-30 Skenderbeu W 2-036.6 1230 1218 39.90% 30.30% 29.80%+0.16 +12.2 39
2024-03-30 @ Dinamo City L 0-236.6 1218 1230 29.80% 30.30% 39.90%-0.16 -12.2 40
2024-04-03 Teuta W 1-040.6 1242 1236 39.07% 30.37% 30.55%+0.14 +6.6 42
2024-04-03 @ Dinamo City L 0-140.6 1236 1242 30.55% 30.37% 39.07%-0.14 -6.6 34
2024-04-07 Dinamo City D 1-152.5 1169 1249 27.56% 29.99% 42.44%-0.26 +0.6 26
2024-04-07 @ Kukesi D 1-152.5 1249 1169 42.44% 29.99% 27.56%+0.26 -0.6 43
2024-04-07 Laci L 0-142.3 1229 1245 36.03% 30.53% 33.44%+0.04 -7.4 34
2024-04-07 @ Teuta W 1-042.3 1245 1229 33.44% 30.53% 36.03%-0.04 +7.4 35
2024-04-07 Vllaznia D 0-048.1 1327 1299 42.14% 30.04% 27.83%+0.24 -0.6 48
2024-04-07 @ Partizani D 0-048.1 1299 1327 27.83% 30.04% 42.14%-0.24 +0.6 51
2024-04-08 Egnatia W 1-046.7 1125 1300 18.53% 26.70% 54.77%-0.71 +10.2 31
2024-04-08 @ Erzeni Shijak L 0-146.7 1300 1125 54.77% 26.70% 18.53%+0.71 -10.2 54
2024-04-08 KF Tirana D 0-047.5 1206 1292 26.78% 29.85% 43.37%-0.29 +0.7 41
2024-04-08 @ Skenderbeu D 0-047.5 1292 1206 43.37% 29.85% 26.78%+0.29 -0.7 40
2024-04-13 Kukesi W 1-036.0 1291 1170 54.26% 26.89% 18.84%+0.68 +4.4 43
2024-04-13 @ KF Tirana L 0-136.0 1170 1291 18.84% 26.89% 54.26%-0.68 -4.4 26
2024-04-13 Laci L 1-250.9 1300 1252 44.79% 29.60% 25.61%+0.33 -8.2 51
2024-04-13 @ Vllaznia W 2-150.9 1252 1300 25.61% 29.60% 44.79%-0.33 +8.2 38
2024-04-13 Teuta L 0-142.2 1206 1222 36.02% 30.53% 33.44%+0.04 -7.4 41
2024-04-13 @ Skenderbeu W 1-042.2 1222 1206 33.44% 30.53% 36.02%-0.04 +7.4 37
2024-04-14 Erzeni Shijak W 2-032.5 1248 1135 53.21% 27.28% 19.51%+0.64 +8.5 46
2024-04-14 @ Dinamo City L 0-232.5 1135 1248 19.51% 27.28% 53.21%-0.64 -8.5 31
2024-04-14 Partizani W 2-149.1 1290 1326 32.99% 30.52% 36.49%-0.06 +7.1 57
2024-04-14 @ Egnatia L 1-249.1 1326 1290 36.49% 30.52% 32.99%+0.06 -7.1 48
2024-04-19 KF Tirana L 0-232.3 1127 1295 18.98% 26.98% 54.04%-0.68 -8.3 31
2024-04-19 @ Erzeni Shijak W 2-032.3 1295 1127 54.04% 26.98% 18.98%+0.68 +8.3 46
2024-04-19 Skenderbeu L 0-237.6 1165 1199 33.46% 30.53% 36.01%-0.05 -13.3 26
2024-04-19 @ Kukesi W 2-037.6 1199 1165 36.01% 30.53% 33.46%+0.05 +13.3 44
2024-04-20 Dinamo City W 2-035.0 1319 1256 46.86% 29.16% 23.98%+0.40 +10.3 51
2024-04-20 @ Partizani L 0-235.0 1256 1319 23.98% 29.16% 46.86%-0.40 -10.3 46
2024-04-20 Egnatia L 1-247.7 1261 1297 33.12% 30.52% 36.36%-0.06 -6.6 38
2024-04-20 @ Laci W 2-147.7 1297 1261 36.36% 30.52% 33.12%+0.06 +6.6 60
2024-04-20 Vllaznia D 0-047.5 1229 1292 29.65% 30.29% 40.06%-0.18 +0.4 38
2024-04-20 @ Teuta D 0-047.5 1292 1229 40.06% 30.29% 29.65%+0.18 -0.5 52
2024-04-27 Erzeni Shijak W 1-036.8 1212 1119 50.86% 28.07% 21.07%+0.55 +4.9 47
2024-04-27 @ Skenderbeu L 0-136.8 1119 1212 21.07% 28.07% 50.86%-0.55 -4.9 31
2024-04-27 Laci D 0-047.3 1246 1254 37.13% 30.49% 32.38%+0.07 -0.2 47
2024-04-27 @ Dinamo City D 0-047.3 1254 1246 32.38% 30.49% 37.13%-0.07 +0.2 39
2024-04-28 Partizani L 1-248.6 1304 1330 34.53% 30.55% 34.92%-0.01 -6.8 46
2024-04-28 @ KF Tirana W 2-148.6 1330 1304 34.92% 30.55% 34.53%+0.01 +6.8 54
2024-04-28 Teuta L 0-235.8 1152 1230 27.75% 30.03% 42.22%-0.25 -11.6 26
2024-04-28 @ Kukesi W 2-035.8 1230 1152 42.22% 30.03% 27.75%+0.25 +11.6 41
2024-04-28 Vllaznia L 0-143.9 1303 1291 39.94% 30.30% 29.76%+0.17 -8.0 60
2024-04-28 @ Egnatia W 1-043.9 1291 1303 29.76% 30.30% 39.94%-0.17 +8.0 55
2024-05-04 Dinamo City W 1-038.9 1299 1246 45.56% 29.44% 24.99%+0.36 +5.7 58
2024-05-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.9 1246 1299 24.99% 29.44% 45.56%-0.36 -5.7 47
2024-05-04 Egnatia W 1-043.3 1241 1295 30.73% 30.39% 38.88%-0.14 +7.8 44
2024-05-04 @ Teuta L 0-143.3 1295 1241 38.88% 30.39% 30.73%+0.14 -7.9 60
2024-05-04 KF Tirana W 1-043.0 1254 1297 32.20% 30.49% 37.31%-0.09 +7.6 42
2024-05-04 @ Laci L 0-143.0 1297 1254 37.31% 30.49% 32.20%+0.09 -7.6 46
2024-05-04 Kukesi D 3-361.2 1114 1141 34.39% 30.55% 35.06%-0.02 +0.0 32
2024-05-04 @ Erzeni Shijak D 3-361.2 1141 1114 35.06% 30.55% 34.39%+0.02 -0.0 27
2024-05-04 Skenderbeu W 1-036.4 1336 1217 54.03% 26.98% 18.99%+0.67 +4.4 57
2024-05-04 @ Partizani L 0-136.4 1217 1336 18.99% 26.98% 54.03%-0.67 -4.4 47
2024-05-08 Egnatia L 0-141.1 1240 1287 31.62% 30.45% 37.93%-0.11 -6.8 47
2024-05-08 @ Dinamo City W 1-041.1 1287 1240 37.93% 30.45% 31.62%+0.11 +6.8 63
2024-05-08 Laci D 1-152.5 1213 1262 31.34% 30.44% 38.22%-0.12 +0.3 48
2024-05-08 @ Skenderbeu D 1-152.5 1262 1213 38.22% 30.44% 31.34%+0.12 -0.3 43
2024-05-08 Partizani L 0-135.0 1141 1341 16.73% 25.43% 57.84%-0.83 -3.9 27
2024-05-08 @ Kukesi W 1-035.0 1341 1141 57.84% 25.43% 16.73%+0.83 +3.9 60
2024-05-08 Teuta L 0-331.8 1114 1249 21.72% 28.35% 49.93%-0.53 -13.7 32
2024-05-08 @ Erzeni Shijak W 3-031.8 1249 1114 49.93% 28.35% 21.72%+0.53 +13.7 47
2024-05-08 Vllaznia D 0-047.8 1289 1305 36.03% 30.53% 33.43%+0.04 -0.1 47
2024-05-08 @ KF Tirana D 0-047.8 1305 1289 33.43% 30.53% 36.03%-0.04 +0.1 59
2024-05-11 Dinamo City W 1-039.7 1263 1234 42.35% 30.01% 27.64%+0.25 +6.1 50
2024-05-11 @ Teuta L 0-139.7 1234 1263 27.64% 30.01% 42.35%-0.25 -6.1 47
2024-05-11 Erzeni Shijak W 4-026.6 1345 1100 68.14% 20.18% 11.68%+1.25 +9.1 63
2024-05-11 @ Partizani L 0-426.6 1100 1345 11.68% 20.18% 68.14%-1.25 -9.1 32
2024-05-11 KF Tirana L 0-338.2 1294 1289 38.94% 30.38% 30.67%+0.13 -21.5 63
2024-05-11 @ Egnatia W 3-038.2 1289 1294 30.67% 30.38% 38.94%-0.13 +21.5 50
2024-05-11 Kukesi W 2-032.0 1262 1137 54.71% 26.72% 18.56%+0.69 +8.1 46
2024-05-11 @ Laci L 0-232.0 1137 1262 18.56% 26.72% 54.71%-0.69 -8.1 27
2024-05-11 Skenderbeu L 1-544.2 1305 1213 50.61% 28.15% 21.24%+0.54 -28.5 59
2024-05-11 @ Vllaznia W 5-144.2 1213 1305 21.24% 28.15% 50.61%-0.54 +28.5 51

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2024-05-17 Skenderbeu W 1-036.9 1354 1242 53.16% 27.30% 19.54%+0.63 +4.5 1-0
2024-05-17 @ Partizani L 0-136.9 1242 1354 19.54% 27.30% 53.16%-0.63 -4.5 0-1
2024-05-19 Vllaznia D 0-047.5 1273 1276 37.72% 30.47% 31.82%+0.09 -0.2 0-0-1
2024-05-19 @ Egnatia D 0-047.5 1276 1273 31.82% 30.47% 37.72%-0.09 +0.2 0-0-1
2024-05-24 Vllaznia W 3-253.3 1237 1277 32.63% 30.51% 36.86%-0.08 +6.8 1-1
2024-05-24 @ Skenderbeu L 2-353.3 1277 1237 36.86% 30.51% 32.63%+0.08 -6.8 0-1-1
2024-05-26 Egnatia L 0-146.6 1358 1272 49.86% 28.37% 21.77%+0.51 -9.5 1-1
2024-05-26 @ Partizani W 1-046.6 1272 1358 21.77% 28.37% 49.86%-0.51 +9.5 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-12-24 16.91% Erzeni Shijak 1190 2 @ Partizani 1338 1
2 2024-01-28 17.25% Skenderbeu 1177 4 @ KF Tirana 1320 3
3 2024-04-08 18.53% @ Erzeni Shijak 1125 1 Egnatia 1300 0
4 2023-09-22 18.85% Erzeni Shijak 1200 1 @ KF Tirana 1321 0
5 2024-03-17 19.23% @ Kukesi 1155 2 Vllaznia 1320 0
6 2023-09-28 21.24% Dinamo City 1179 1 @ Laci 1271 0
7 2024-05-11 21.24% Skenderbeu 1213 5 @ Vllaznia 1305 1
8 2024-05-26 * 21.77% Egnatia 1272 1 @ Partizani 1358 0
9 2024-02-25 21.95% @ Skenderbeu 1188 1 Partizani 1321 0
10 2024-01-20 22.55% Laci 1255 2 @ Partizani 1332 1
11 2023-10-01 22.58% Teuta 1213 1 @ Egnatia 1290 0
12 2024-03-29 22.97% Teuta 1227 2 @ KF Tirana 1300 1
13 2024-03-16 23.33% @ Teuta 1218 1 Partizani 1337 0
14 2024-03-01 23.65% Skenderbeu 1197 1 @ Laci 1264 0
15 2023-12-24 23.74% KF Tirana 1276 5 @ Egnatia 1341 0
16 2024-03-16 24.05% @ Skenderbeu 1201 2 Egnatia 1312 0
17 2024-03-11 24.32% @ Kukesi 1146 1 Laci 1254 0
18 2023-11-27 24.66% @ Erzeni Shijak 1188 1 KF Tirana 1294 0
19 2023-10-01 25.28% @ Skenderbeu 1215 1 Partizani 1315 0
20 2024-02-10 25.37% @ Dinamo City 1224 2 Partizani 1323 1
21 2023-10-03 25.38% Laci 1261 3 @ KF Tirana 1311 0
22 2023-10-22 25.47% @ Kukesi 1198 1 Laci 1296 0
23 2024-04-13 25.61% Laci 1252 2 @ Vllaznia 1300 1
24 2023-12-17 25.73% Vllaznia 1239 1 @ KF Tirana 1285 0
25 2023-09-23 27.63% Kukesi 1187 1 @ Skenderbeu 1216 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-12-24 39.99 KF Tirana 5 1276 23.74% @ Egnatia 0 1341 47.17% 29.09%
2 2024-05-11 28.55 Skenderbeu 5 1213 21.24% @ Vllaznia 1 1305 50.61% 28.15%
3 2024-02-04 27.28 Dinamo City 4 1197 32.14% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1191 37.38% 30.48%
4 2023-09-03 26.82 Egnatia 4 1237 32.99% @ Kukesi 0 1225 36.49% 30.52%
5 2023-12-22 26.05 @ Vllaznia 5 1247 43.81% Skenderbeu 0 1207 26.41% 29.78%
6 2023-09-15 24.20 @ Laci 6 1247 38.93% Teuta 1 1242 30.69% 30.39%
7 2023-10-03 23.99 Laci 3 1261 25.38% @ KF Tirana 0 1311 45.08% 29.54%
8 2024-05-11 21.51 KF Tirana 3 1289 30.67% @ Egnatia 0 1294 38.94% 30.38%
9 2024-02-17 20.73 Skenderbeu 3 1174 32.51% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1165 36.99% 30.50%
10 2024-03-17 18.89 @ Kukesi 2 1155 19.23% Vllaznia 0 1320 53.64% 27.13%
11 2024-02-03 18.72 @ Teuta 3 1181 37.50% Skenderbeu 0 1186 32.02% 30.48%
12 2024-03-16 16.99 @ Skenderbeu 2 1201 24.05% Egnatia 0 1312 46.77% 29.18%
13 2023-12-03 15.72 @ Dinamo City 2 1187 27.75% Laci 0 1265 42.23% 30.03%
14 2024-03-02 15.62 @ Teuta 3 1203 45.17% Erzeni Shijak 0 1152 25.30% 29.52%
15 2024-03-10 14.71 Partizani 4 1322 56.07% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1137 17.74% 26.18%
16 2023-09-27 14.13 Egnatia 2 1276 33.01% @ Vllaznia 0 1263 36.47% 30.52%
17 2023-12-02 13.96 @ Egnatia 3 1324 49.28% Vllaznia 0 1242 22.18% 28.54%
18 2024-05-08 13.70 Teuta 3 1249 49.93% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1114 21.72% 28.35%
19 2023-10-21 13.50 Vllaznia 2 1242 35.27% @ Skenderbeu 0 1214 34.19% 30.54%
20 2023-10-06 13.43 @ Egnatia 3 1281 50.59% Dinamo City 0 1189 21.25% 28.15%
21 2023-11-28 13.35 Egnatia 2 1311 35.80% @ Laci 0 1278 33.67% 30.54%
22 2024-04-19 13.30 Skenderbeu 2 1199 36.01% @ Kukesi 0 1165 33.46% 30.53%
23 2024-01-19 12.89 Egnatia 4 1306 45.99% @ Kukesi 1 1200 24.66% 29.36%
24 2024-03-30 12.22 @ Dinamo City 2 1230 39.90% Skenderbeu 0 1218 29.80% 30.30%
25 2023-09-23 11.64 @ Vllaznia 2 1252 42.00% Teuta 0 1225 27.95% 30.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-27 61.8 @ Laci 3 1253 45.95% Erzeni Shijak 3 1197 24.69% 29.36%
2 2024-05-04 61.2 @ Erzeni Shijak 3 1114 34.39% Kukesi 3 1141 35.06% 30.55%
3 2024-01-28 60.0 Skenderbeu 4 1177 17.25% @ KF Tirana 3 1320 56.92% 25.83%
4 2023-12-11 59.2 @ Teuta 2 1189 20.55% Egnatia 2 1338 51.63% 27.82%
5 2024-01-19 59.0 @ Teuta 2 1179 21.13% KF Tirana 2 1321 50.77% 28.10%
6 2023-09-02 58.5 @ Teuta 2 1242 29.18% KF Tirana 2 1308 40.59% 30.23%
7 2023-12-10 58.4 @ Laci 2 1249 33.17% KF Tirana 2 1285 36.31% 30.52%
8 2023-09-01 58.2 @ Erzeni Shijak 2 1198 29.94% Vllaznia 2 1258 39.75% 30.32%
9 2023-11-28 58.0 @ Kukesi 2 1204 38.00% Skenderbeu 2 1206 31.55% 30.45%
10 2024-03-29 54.3 @ Vllaznia 1 1301 60.93% Erzeni Shijak 1 1123 15.07% 24.00%
11 2023-12-07 54.2 @ Partizani 1 1343 58.39% Teuta 1 1187 16.42% 25.19%
12 2024-02-11 54.0 @ KF Tirana 1 1315 57.93% Erzeni Shijak 1 1164 16.68% 25.39%
13 2023-12-11 53.9 @ Partizani 1 1341 55.12% Skenderbeu 1 1213 18.31% 26.56%
14 2023-10-23 53.8 Egnatia 3 1294 32.17% @ KF Tirana 2 1288 37.34% 30.48%
15 2023-11-23 53.5 @ Egnatia 1 1310 33.28% Partizani 1 1345 36.20% 30.53%
16 2023-12-24 53.4 Erzeni Shijak 2 1190 16.91% @ Partizani 1 1338 57.51% 25.58%
17 2024-02-03 53.4 @ Partizani 1 1323 38.34% Egnatia 1 1323 31.23% 30.43%
18 2023-10-28 53.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1281 53.09% Dinamo City 1 1169 19.58% 27.32%
19 2023-12-03 53.3 @ KF Tirana 1 1285 30.12% Partizani 1 1343 39.55% 30.33%
20 2023-12-16 53.3 @ Kukesi 1 1204 21.72% Partizani 1 1339 49.93% 28.35%
21 2024-03-01 53.3 @ Egnatia 1 1313 49.07% Dinamo City 1 1234 22.33% 28.60%
22 2024-05-24 * 53.3 @ Skenderbeu 3 1237 32.63% Vllaznia 2 1277 36.86% 30.51%
23 2023-09-18 53.1 @ Partizani 1 1307 43.52% Egnatia 1 1269 26.65% 29.83%
24 2024-01-28 53.1 @ Vllaznia 1 1285 32.76% Partizani 1 1323 36.73% 30.51%
25 2024-02-26 53.1 @ KF Tirana 1 1307 44.42% Laci 1 1263 25.91% 29.67%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-11 26.6 @ Partizani 4 1345 68.14% Erzeni Shijak 0 1100 11.68% 20.18%
2 2024-03-01 29.4 @ Partizani 3 1312 58.36% Kukesi 0 1156 16.44% 25.20%
3 2024-03-10 30.3 Partizani 4 1322 56.07% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1137 17.74% 26.18%
4 2023-10-06 31.8 @ Egnatia 3 1281 50.59% Dinamo City 0 1189 21.25% 28.15%
5 2024-05-08 31.8 Teuta 3 1249 49.93% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1114 21.72% 28.35%
6 2024-05-11 32.0 @ Laci 2 1262 54.71% Kukesi 0 1137 18.56% 26.72%
7 2024-04-19 32.3 KF Tirana 2 1295 54.04% @ Erzeni Shijak 0 1127 18.98% 26.98%
8 2024-04-14 32.5 @ Dinamo City 2 1248 53.21% Erzeni Shijak 0 1135 19.51% 27.28%
9 2023-12-02 32.6 @ Egnatia 3 1324 49.28% Vllaznia 0 1242 22.18% 28.54%
10 2024-03-02 33.2 @ Teuta 3 1203 45.17% Erzeni Shijak 0 1152 25.30% 29.52%
11 2023-11-01 34.5 @ KF Tirana 2 1280 47.17% Teuta 0 1214 23.74% 29.09%
12 2023-10-08 34.7 @ Laci 2 1285 46.67% Skenderbeu 0 1224 24.13% 29.20%
13 2023-12-22 34.8 @ Vllaznia 5 1247 43.81% Skenderbeu 0 1207 26.41% 29.78%
14 2024-04-20 35.0 @ Partizani 2 1319 46.86% Dinamo City 0 1256 23.98% 29.16%
15 2024-05-08 35.0 Partizani 1 1341 57.84% @ Kukesi 0 1141 16.73% 25.43%
16 2024-01-13 35.3 @ Partizani 1 1328 57.20% Teuta 0 1183 17.09% 25.71%
17 2024-02-03 35.5 @ Teuta 3 1181 37.50% Skenderbeu 0 1186 32.02% 30.48%
18 2024-04-28 35.8 Teuta 2 1230 42.22% @ Kukesi 0 1152 27.75% 30.03%
19 2023-09-23 36.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1252 42.00% Teuta 0 1225 27.95% 30.06%
20 2024-03-29 36.0 @ Egnatia 1 1295 54.33% Kukesi 0 1174 18.80% 26.87%
21 2024-04-13 36.0 @ KF Tirana 1 1291 54.26% Kukesi 0 1170 18.84% 26.89%
22 2024-01-13 36.1 @ Egnatia 1 1301 54.15% Skenderbeu 0 1181 18.91% 26.94%
23 2024-05-04 36.4 @ Partizani 1 1336 54.03% Skenderbeu 0 1217 18.99% 26.98%
24 2024-03-30 36.6 @ Dinamo City 2 1230 39.90% Skenderbeu 0 1218 29.80% 30.30%
25 2024-04-27 36.8 @ Skenderbeu 1 1212 50.86% Erzeni Shijak 0 1119 21.07% 28.07%