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2025-26 Kategoria Superiore Season

186 games

Final

Champion

Egnatia

57 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2024-25

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AF Elbasani

10.76 points above expected

62 points · 51.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vora

6.34 points below expected

42 points · 48.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vllaznia 36 18 9 9 63 42 27 +15 55.47 +7.53
2 AF Elbasani 36 17 11 8 62 48 37 +11 51.24 +10.76
3 Egnatia Champion 36 16 9 11 57 42 34 +8 57.56 -0.56
4 Dinamo City 36 12 13 11 49 43 33 +10 51.88 -2.88
5 Partizani 36 13 9 14 48 38 48 -10 51.48 -3.48
6 KF Tirana 36 11 11 14 44 36 46 -10 44.62 -0.62
7 Vora 36 10 12 14 42 39 40 -1 48.34 -6.34
8 Teuta 36 9 15 12 42 32 37 -5 45.43 -3.43
9 Bylis 36 10 11 15 41 38 50 -12 40.80 +0.20
10 Flamurtari 36 8 12 16 36 39 45 -6 38.57 -2.57
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Egnatia 3 3 0 0 9 8 1 +7 — —
2 AF Elbasani 3 2 0 1 6 5 5 0 — —
3 Dinamo City 3 1 0 2 3 2 5 -3 — —
4 Vllaznia 3 0 0 3 0 2 6 -4 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AF Elbasani 62 51.24 +10.76
2 Vllaznia 63 55.47 +7.53
3 Bylis 41 40.80 +0.20
4 Egnatia 57 57.56 -0.56
5 KF Tirana 44 44.62 -0.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vora 42 48.34 -6.34
2 Partizani 48 51.48 -3.48
3 Teuta 42 45.43 -3.43
4 Dinamo City 49 51.88 -2.88
5 Flamurtari 36 38.57 -2.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vllaznia 7 Dec 24 – Feb 15 1 in 476
2 Partizani 5 Feb 6 – Mar 9 1 in 164
3 KF Tirana 4 Apr 25 – May 10 1 in 144
4 Flamurtari 3 Apr 18 – May 2 1 in 119
5 Bylis 3 Apr 26 – May 6 1 in 61

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Egnatia 4 Apr 12 – May 2 1 in 317
2 Teuta 5 Apr 5 – May 2 1 in 147
3 Partizani 4 Sep 13 – Oct 3 1 in 133
4 KF Tirana 4 Oct 24 – Nov 8 1 in 118
5 Vllaznia 3 Apr 27 – May 6 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 9 Mar 14 – May 10 1 in 74
2 AF Elbasani 9 Oct 24 – Dec 13 1 in 38
3 Teuta 8 Aug 30 – Oct 25 1 in 31
4 Flamurtari 6 Apr 3 – May 6 1 in 30
5 Partizani 8 Jan 31 – Mar 21 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KF Tirana 12 Oct 18 – Dec 24 1 in 123
2 Vora 10 Jan 19 – Mar 22 1 in 80
3 Teuta 10 Dec 3 – Feb 6 1 in 73
4 Partizani 8 Mar 15 – May 6 1 in 41
5 Dinamo City 7 Jan 15 – Feb 20 1 in 36

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AF Elbasani 1240 68 -12 6 7.2 -1.2
Egnatia 1269 66 +26 12 7.4 +4.6
Vllaznia 1242 63 -16 3 7.5 -4.5
Dinamo City 1216 52 -14 4 6.6 -2.6
Partizani 1204 48 -19 4 7.4 -3.4
KF Tirana 1203 44 +21 13 5.7 +7.3
Vora 1213 42 +22 11 6.2 +4.8
Teuta 1181 42 -12 4 6.7 -2.7
Bylis 1156 41 +18 10 5.1 +4.9
Flamurtari 1149 36 +27 10 5.0 +5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AE BYL DC EGN FLA KT PAR TEU VLL VOR
AF Elbasani —
1-1-2
6.64
2-1-1
5.40
1-3-0
4.81
3-1-0
6.89
2-1-1
6.14
2-2-0
5.49
2-2-0
5.94
2-0-2
5.03
2-0-2
5.78
Bylis
2-1-1
4.16
—
0-4-0
4.23
0-1-3
3.78
1-1-2
5.84
1-1-2
4.90
1-1-2
4.33
1-1-2
4.67
2-1-1
3.84
2-0-2
4.58
Dinamo City
1-1-2
5.34
0-4-0
6.57
—
1-1-2
4.86
2-1-1
6.87
2-2-0
5.98
2-0-2
5.63
0-2-2
5.90
1-1-2
5.08
3-1-0
5.67
Egnatia
0-3-1
5.96
3-1-0
7.07
2-1-1
5.91
—
2-0-2
7.46
2-0-2
6.68
2-1-1
6.12
3-0-1
6.46
0-2-2
5.73
2-1-1
6.23
Flamurtari
0-1-3
3.93
2-1-1
4.92
1-1-2
3.95
2-0-2
3.45
—
0-3-1
4.54
1-0-3
4.07
0-3-1
4.43
2-0-2
3.58
0-3-1
4.16
KF Tirana
1-1-2
4.65
2-1-1
5.85
0-2-2
4.80
2-0-2
4.13
1-3-0
6.24
—
2-0-2
4.83
1-2-1
5.22
1-1-2
4.34
1-1-2
4.99
Partizani
0-2-2
5.27
2-1-1
6.46
2-0-2
5.11
1-1-2
4.65
3-0-1
6.75
2-0-2
5.93
—
2-2-0
5.80
0-1-3
5.02
1-2-1
5.62
Teuta
0-2-2
4.82
2-1-1
6.09
2-2-0
4.86
1-0-3
4.33
1-3-0
6.37
1-2-1
5.54
0-2-2
4.96
—
1-1-2
4.52
1-2-1
5.13
Vllaznia
2-0-2
5.73
1-1-2
7.00
2-1-1
5.69
2-2-0
5.02
2-0-2
7.28
2-1-1
6.45
3-1-0
5.73
2-1-1
6.26
—
2-2-0
6.07
Vora
2-0-2
4.96
2-0-2
6.19
0-1-3
5.09
1-1-2
4.55
1-3-0
6.66
2-1-1
5.77
1-2-1
5.13
1-2-1
5.61
0-2-2
4.69
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.51 +15.3
Allowed 0.48 -8.7
Differential 0.67 +7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.75%12.37%6.72%1.88%0.27%—31.99%
112.37%14.52%6.99%2.69%1.34%0.27%38.17%
26.72%6.99%4.30%1.34%0.54%0.54%20.43%
31.88%2.69%1.34%0.54%——6.45%
40.27%1.34%0.54%———2.15%
5+—0.27%0.54%———0.81%
Total31.99%38.17%20.43%6.45%2.15%0.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.45
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 186

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.26%2.56%——2.56%—15.38%
120.51%12.82%7.69%2.56%2.56%—46.15%
22.56%15.38%5.13%2.56%2.56%—28.21%
35.13%2.56%————7.69%
4—2.56%————2.56%
5+———————
Total38.46%35.90%12.82%5.13%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.08 +0.28
SD 0.93 1.20 1.49
CV 0.69 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 39

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%—5.56%——36.11%
12.78%13.89%8.33%—2.78%2.78%30.56%
28.33%11.11%2.78%——2.78%25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%47.22%13.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.39 -0.33
SD 0.98 1.32 1.51
CV 0.93 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.95%12.82%10.26%2.56%——43.59%
1—12.82%5.13%2.56%——20.51%
212.82%7.69%2.56%———23.08%
32.56%5.13%————7.69%
4—2.56%————2.56%
5+——2.56%———2.56%
Total33.33%41.03%20.51%5.13%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.97 +0.18
SD 1.37 0.87 1.62
CV 1.19 0.90 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 39

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.26%10.26%12.82%———33.33%
117.95%5.13%—2.56%——25.64%
210.26%10.26%7.69%2.56%——30.77%
32.56%—————2.56%
42.56%—2.56%———5.13%
5+—2.56%————2.56%
Total43.59%28.21%23.08%5.13%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.90 +0.38
SD 1.26 0.94 1.58
CV 0.98 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 39

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
111.11%25.00%13.89%———50.00%
22.78%—2.78%5.56%——11.11%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%47.22%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.25 -0.17
SD 1.00 0.91 1.30
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%13.89%———27.78%
116.67%25.00%2.78%8.33%2.78%—55.56%
2—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.28 -0.28
SD 0.89 1.30 1.61
CV 0.89 1.02 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
18.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%—30.56%
211.11%13.89%8.33%———33.33%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%25.00%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.33 -0.28
SD 0.89 1.20 1.54
CV 0.85 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%2.78%———36.11%
116.67%19.44%8.33%———44.44%
2—2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.03 -0.14
SD 0.85 0.97 0.87
CV 0.96 0.94 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.26%12.82%5.13%———28.21%
120.51%10.26%7.69%5.13%——43.59%
212.82%2.56%2.56%———17.95%
3—5.13%2.56%———7.69%
4—2.56%————2.56%
5+———————
Total43.59%33.33%17.95%5.13%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.85 +0.28
SD 1.00 0.90 1.34
CV 0.89 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 39

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%——38.89%
18.33%16.67%11.11%———36.11%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total25.00%41.67%30.56%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.11 -0.03
SD 1.27 0.82 1.40
CV 1.18 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Egnatia 1269 57 57.56 -0.56 49.0% 34 45 53 58 62 69 75
Vllaznia 1242 63 55.47 +7.53 83.0% 36 42 50 55 60 67 71
AF Elbasani 1240 62 51.24 +10.76 95.0% 31 40 45 51 57 62 68
Dinamo City 1216 49 51.88 -2.88 38.0% 36 40 47 53 56 62 72
Vora 1213 42 48.34 -6.34 28.0% 29 36 42 49 53 62 66
Partizani 1204 48 51.48 -3.48 41.0% 34 40 46 51 56 65 78
KF Tirana 1203 44 44.62 -0.62 47.0% 24 31 38 45 50 57 61
Teuta 1181 42 45.43 -3.43 38.0% 27 33 40 46 51 57 70
Bylis 1156 41 40.80 +0.20 55.0% 21 29 35 41 45 54 59
Flamurtari 1149 36 38.57 -2.57 37.0% 23 26 34 39 43 50 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.56%
No Edge
42.22%31.11%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 54.49 Elo pts.
281 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Egnatia, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.07 * Some Luck: 6.07 to 9.1 * Lucky: 9.1 to 12.13 * Wild Swing: 12.13 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.32 * Off: 2.32 to 3.1 * Way Off: 3.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.02 points
As Expected
07.5819
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
AF Elbasani
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
28.00%
Vora
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 36.73
1.22
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
65%
Even
50%67%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Frequent
0%71%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
9%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.42
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vllaznia26.00%18.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
AF Elbasani15.00%11.00%17.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%18.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Egnatia28.00%25.00%20.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
Dinamo City11.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%
Partizani12.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%
KF Tirana1.00%3.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%16.00%
Vora5.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%20.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%
Teuta2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%
Bylis—3.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%29.00%
Flamurtari——2.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%16.00%21.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo City — — —
Egnatia — — —
Vllaznia — — —
Partizani 38.00% 8.00% 7.00%
AF Elbasani 33.00% 6.00% 8.00%
Vora 37.00% 12.00% 15.00%
Teuta 42.00% 14.00% 24.00%
KF Tirana 33.00% 16.00% 32.00%
Bylis 25.00% 17.00% 48.00%
Flamurtari 23.00% 16.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-22 Egnatia W 2-036.4 1227 1255 37.83% 31.78% 30.39%+0.09 +7.0 3
2025-08-22 @ Vllaznia L 0-236.4 1255 1227 30.39% 31.78% 37.83%-0.09 -7.0 0
2025-08-23 Flamurtari W 1-036.6 1205 1137 50.89% 28.70% 20.41%+0.41 +2.7 3
2025-08-23 @ AF Elbasani L 0-136.6 1137 1205 20.41% 28.70% 50.89%-0.41 -2.7 0
2025-08-23 KF Tirana D 0-047.2 1163 1218 33.83% 31.94% 34.22%+0.00 +0.0 1
2025-08-23 @ Bylis D 0-047.2 1218 1163 34.22% 31.94% 33.83%+0.00 -0.0 1
2025-08-24 Vora W 1-038.9 1241 1225 43.96% 30.81% 25.22%+0.24 +3.2 3
2025-08-24 @ Partizani L 0-138.9 1225 1241 25.22% 30.81% 43.96%-0.24 -3.2 0
2025-08-30 AF Elbasani D 1-153.3 1248 1207 47.26% 29.94% 22.80%+0.32 -0.5 1
2025-08-30 @ Egnatia D 1-153.3 1207 1248 22.80% 29.94% 47.26%-0.32 +0.6 4
2025-08-30 Bylis D 3-361.6 1135 1163 37.84% 31.78% 30.39%+0.09 -0.1 1
2025-08-30 @ Flamurtari D 3-361.6 1163 1135 30.39% 31.78% 37.84%-0.09 +0.1 2
2025-08-30 Teuta D 0-048.0 1244 1192 48.94% 29.40% 21.66%+0.36 -0.7 4
2025-08-30 @ Partizani D 0-048.0 1192 1244 21.66% 29.40% 48.94%-0.36 +0.7 1
2025-08-31 Vllaznia W 3-141.9 1210 1234 38.41% 31.72% 29.87%+0.10 +6.0 3
2025-08-31 @ Dinamo City L 1-341.9 1234 1210 29.87% 31.72% 38.41%-0.10 -6.0 3
2025-08-31 KF Tirana W 3-140.8 1222 1218 42.28% 31.16% 26.56%+0.20 +5.5 3
2025-08-31 @ Vora L 1-340.8 1218 1222 26.56% 31.16% 42.28%-0.20 -5.5 1
2025-09-13 Egnatia L 0-140.4 1163 1247 29.95% 31.73% 38.32%-0.10 -3.7 2
2025-09-13 @ Bylis W 1-040.4 1247 1163 38.32% 31.73% 29.95%+0.10 +3.7 4
2025-09-13 Flamurtari D 1-153.7 1213 1135 52.29% 28.15% 19.56%+0.45 -0.8 2
2025-09-13 @ KF Tirana D 1-153.7 1135 1213 19.56% 28.15% 52.29%-0.45 +0.8 2
2025-09-13 Partizani W 4-139.0 1228 1244 39.54% 31.60% 28.87%+0.13 +8.2 6
2025-09-13 @ Vllaznia L 1-439.0 1244 1228 28.87% 31.60% 39.54%-0.13 -8.2 4
2025-09-14 Dinamo City W 1-039.8 1208 1216 40.69% 31.44% 27.87%+0.16 +3.5 7
2025-09-14 @ AF Elbasani L 0-139.8 1216 1208 27.87% 31.44% 40.69%-0.16 -3.5 3
2025-09-14 Vora D 1-152.7 1192 1227 36.79% 31.85% 31.35%+0.06 -0.1 2
2025-09-14 @ Teuta D 1-152.7 1227 1192 31.35% 31.85% 36.79%-0.06 +0.1 4
2025-09-17 Dinamo City W 1-040.3 1192 1212 38.94% 31.67% 29.39%+0.12 +3.6 5
2025-09-17 @ Teuta L 0-140.3 1212 1192 29.39% 31.67% 38.94%-0.12 -3.6 3
2025-09-20 KF Tirana W 2-033.5 1251 1212 47.06% 30.00% 22.94%+0.31 +5.6 7
2025-09-20 @ Egnatia L 0-233.5 1212 1251 22.94% 30.00% 47.06%-0.31 -5.6 2
2025-09-20 AF Elbasani L 0-144.7 1235 1212 45.06% 30.55% 24.39%+0.26 -4.9 4
2025-09-20 @ Partizani W 1-044.7 1212 1235 24.39% 30.55% 45.06%-0.26 +4.9 10
2025-09-21 Bylis D 0-047.9 1209 1159 48.54% 29.54% 21.93%+0.35 -0.7 4
2025-09-21 @ Dinamo City D 0-047.9 1159 1209 21.93% 29.54% 48.54%-0.35 +0.7 3
2025-09-21 Vllaznia D 1-152.7 1196 1236 36.09% 31.89% 32.02%+0.05 -0.1 6
2025-09-21 @ Teuta D 1-152.7 1236 1196 32.02% 31.89% 36.09%-0.05 +0.1 7
2025-09-21 Flamurtari W 1-035.7 1228 1135 54.07% 27.40% 18.53%+0.49 +2.4 7
2025-09-21 @ Vora L 0-135.7 1135 1228 18.53% 27.40% 54.07%-0.49 -2.4 2
2025-09-27 Teuta D 0-047.6 1216 1196 44.64% 30.66% 24.71%+0.25 -0.5 11
2025-09-27 @ AF Elbasani D 0-047.6 1196 1216 24.71% 30.66% 44.64%-0.25 +0.5 7
2025-09-27 Partizani W 3-143.8 1160 1230 31.75% 31.88% 36.37%-0.05 +6.9 6
2025-09-27 @ Bylis L 1-343.8 1230 1160 36.37% 31.88% 31.75%+0.05 -6.9 4
2025-09-27 Dinamo City L 1-250.0 1207 1208 41.58% 31.29% 27.13%+0.18 -4.4 2
2025-09-27 @ KF Tirana W 2-150.0 1208 1207 27.13% 31.29% 41.58%-0.18 +4.4 7
2025-09-28 Egnatia L 1-245.0 1133 1256 25.37% 30.86% 43.77%-0.23 -3.0 2
2025-09-28 @ Flamurtari W 2-145.0 1256 1133 43.77% 30.86% 25.37%+0.23 +3.0 10
2025-09-28 Vora W 2-034.9 1236 1230 42.60% 31.10% 26.30%+0.20 +6.3 10
2025-09-28 @ Vllaznia L 0-234.9 1230 1236 26.30% 31.10% 42.60%-0.20 -6.3 7
2025-10-03 KF Tirana L 0-338.7 1224 1202 44.72% 30.64% 24.64%+0.26 -13.3 4
2025-10-03 @ Partizani W 3-038.7 1202 1224 24.64% 30.64% 44.72%-0.26 +13.3 5
2025-10-04 Flamurtari W 2-031.6 1212 1130 52.82% 27.93% 19.25%+0.46 +4.7 10
2025-10-04 @ Dinamo City L 0-231.6 1130 1212 19.25% 27.93% 52.82%-0.46 -4.7 2
2025-10-04 AF Elbasani W 1-038.4 1242 1216 45.40% 30.46% 24.14%+0.27 +3.1 13
2025-10-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.4 1216 1242 24.14% 30.46% 45.40%-0.27 -3.1 11
2025-10-05 Bylis W 1-038.1 1196 1166 45.85% 30.34% 23.81%+0.28 +3.1 10
2025-10-05 @ Teuta L 0-138.1 1166 1196 23.81% 30.34% 45.85%-0.28 -3.1 6
2025-10-05 Egnatia L 0-142.7 1224 1259 36.74% 31.86% 31.40%+0.06 -4.2 7
2025-10-05 @ Vora W 1-042.7 1259 1224 31.40% 31.86% 36.74%-0.06 +4.2 13
2025-10-18 Vllaznia L 0-140.6 1163 1245 30.28% 31.77% 37.95%-0.09 -3.7 6
2025-10-18 @ Bylis W 1-040.6 1245 1163 37.95% 31.77% 30.28%+0.09 +3.7 16
2025-10-18 Dinamo City D 0-048.0 1264 1217 48.12% 29.67% 22.21%+0.34 -0.7 14
2025-10-18 @ Egnatia D 0-048.0 1217 1264 22.21% 29.67% 48.12%-0.34 +0.7 11
2025-10-18 Teuta D 0-047.6 1216 1199 44.03% 30.80% 25.17%+0.24 -0.5 6
2025-10-18 @ KF Tirana D 0-047.6 1199 1216 25.17% 30.80% 44.03%-0.24 +0.5 11
2025-10-19 Vora L 1-249.9 1213 1220 40.83% 31.41% 27.75%+0.16 -4.3 11
2025-10-19 @ AF Elbasani W 2-149.9 1220 1213 27.75% 31.41% 40.83%-0.16 +4.3 10
2025-10-19 Partizani L 0-140.3 1125 1210 29.86% 31.72% 38.41%-0.10 -3.7 2
2025-10-19 @ Flamurtari W 1-040.3 1210 1125 38.41% 31.72% 29.86%+0.10 +3.7 7
2025-10-24 Bylis W 2-143.5 1209 1160 48.42% 29.58% 22.01%+0.35 +2.7 14
2025-10-24 @ AF Elbasani L 1-243.5 1160 1209 22.01% 29.58% 48.42%-0.35 -2.7 6
2025-10-24 KF Tirana W 3-139.6 1249 1215 46.43% 30.18% 23.39%+0.30 +4.9 19
2025-10-24 @ Vllaznia L 1-339.6 1215 1249 23.39% 30.18% 46.43%-0.30 -4.9 6
2025-10-24 Dinamo City L 0-239.7 1224 1218 42.62% 31.10% 26.28%+0.20 -8.9 10
2025-10-24 @ Vora W 2-039.7 1218 1224 26.28% 31.10% 42.62%-0.20 +8.9 14
2025-10-25 Egnatia D 0-047.4 1214 1263 34.81% 31.93% 33.25%+0.02 -0.0 8
2025-10-25 @ Partizani D 0-047.4 1263 1214 33.25% 31.93% 34.81%-0.02 +0.0 15
2025-10-25 Flamurtari W 3-247.0 1200 1121 52.27% 28.16% 19.57%+0.45 +2.3 14
2025-10-25 @ Teuta L 2-347.0 1121 1200 19.57% 28.16% 52.27%-0.45 -2.3 2
2025-10-28 Vora W 2-148.0 1157 1215 33.54% 31.94% 34.52%-0.01 +3.8 9
2025-10-28 @ Bylis L 1-248.0 1215 1157 34.52% 31.94% 33.54%+0.01 -3.8 10
2025-10-28 Teuta W 1-037.1 1263 1202 50.03% 29.02% 20.95%+0.39 +2.7 18
2025-10-28 @ Egnatia L 0-137.1 1202 1263 20.95% 29.02% 50.03%-0.39 -2.7 14
2025-10-29 Partizani W 2-034.5 1227 1214 43.53% 30.91% 25.56%+0.23 +6.1 17
2025-10-29 @ Dinamo City L 0-234.5 1214 1227 25.56% 30.91% 43.53%-0.23 -6.1 8
2025-10-29 Vllaznia W 1-044.6 1119 1254 24.19% 30.48% 45.32%-0.27 +4.9 5
2025-10-29 @ Flamurtari L 0-144.6 1254 1119 45.32% 30.48% 24.19%+0.27 -4.9 19
2025-10-29 AF Elbasani L 1-442.6 1210 1211 41.63% 31.28% 27.09%+0.18 -10.7 6
2025-10-29 @ KF Tirana W 4-142.6 1211 1210 27.09% 31.28% 41.63%-0.18 +10.7 17
2025-11-02 Teuta D 0-047.8 1233 1199 46.37% 30.20% 23.43%+0.30 -0.6 18
2025-11-02 @ Dinamo City D 0-047.8 1199 1233 23.43% 30.20% 46.37%-0.30 +0.6 15
2025-11-02 AF Elbasani L 0-139.8 1124 1222 28.29% 31.51% 40.20%-0.15 -3.5 5
2025-11-02 @ Flamurtari W 1-039.8 1222 1124 40.20% 31.51% 28.29%+0.15 +3.5 20
2025-11-02 Bylis L 0-240.6 1199 1161 47.06% 30.00% 22.94%+0.31 -9.5 6
2025-11-02 @ KF Tirana W 2-040.6 1161 1199 22.94% 30.00% 47.06%-0.31 +9.5 12
2025-11-03 Vllaznia D 2-259.1 1266 1249 44.08% 30.79% 25.13%+0.24 -0.3 19
2025-11-03 @ Egnatia D 2-259.1 1249 1266 25.13% 30.79% 44.08%-0.24 +0.3 20
2025-11-03 Partizani D 0-047.5 1211 1208 42.24% 31.17% 26.58%+0.19 -0.4 11
2025-11-03 @ Vora D 0-047.5 1208 1211 26.58% 31.17% 42.24%-0.19 +0.4 9
2025-11-07 Flamurtari L 0-145.2 1170 1121 48.56% 29.53% 21.91%+0.35 -5.2 12
2025-11-07 @ Bylis W 1-045.2 1121 1170 21.91% 29.53% 48.56%-0.35 +5.2 8
2025-11-08 Vora L 0-238.7 1190 1211 38.85% 31.68% 29.48%+0.11 -8.3 6
2025-11-08 @ KF Tirana W 2-038.7 1211 1190 29.48% 31.68% 38.85%-0.11 +8.3 14
2025-11-08 Dinamo City W 1-038.9 1249 1232 44.15% 30.77% 25.08%+0.24 +3.2 23
2025-11-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-138.9 1232 1249 25.08% 30.77% 44.15%-0.24 -3.2 18
2025-11-09 Egnatia W 1-041.3 1225 1265 36.11% 31.89% 32.00%+0.05 +3.8 23
2025-11-09 @ AF Elbasani L 0-141.3 1265 1225 32.00% 31.89% 36.11%-0.05 -3.8 19
2025-11-09 Partizani L 2-354.4 1200 1208 40.61% 31.45% 27.94%+0.16 -4.1 15
2025-11-09 @ Teuta W 3-254.4 1208 1200 27.94% 31.45% 40.61%-0.16 +4.1 12
2025-11-22 AF Elbasani D 1-152.9 1229 1229 41.73% 31.27% 27.01%+0.18 -0.3 19
2025-11-22 @ Dinamo City D 1-152.9 1229 1229 27.01% 31.27% 41.73%-0.18 +0.3 24
2025-11-22 Bylis W 5-133.5 1262 1165 54.58% 27.17% 18.25%+0.51 +7.1 22
2025-11-22 @ Egnatia L 1-533.5 1165 1262 18.25% 27.17% 54.58%-0.51 -7.1 12
2025-11-22 Teuta L 0-144.6 1219 1196 44.99% 30.57% 24.44%+0.26 -4.9 14
2025-11-22 @ Vora W 1-044.6 1196 1219 24.44% 30.57% 44.99%-0.26 +4.9 18
2025-11-23 KF Tirana D 1-152.5 1126 1182 33.83% 31.94% 34.23%+0.00 +0.0 9
2025-11-23 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.5 1182 1126 34.23% 31.94% 33.83%+0.00 -0.0 7
2025-11-23 Vllaznia D 1-152.8 1212 1253 36.06% 31.89% 32.05%+0.05 -0.1 13
2025-11-23 @ Partizani D 1-152.8 1253 1212 32.05% 31.89% 36.06%-0.05 +0.1 24
2025-11-28 Partizani D 0-047.6 1230 1212 44.19% 30.76% 25.05%+0.24 -0.5 25
2025-11-28 @ AF Elbasani D 0-047.6 1212 1230 25.05% 30.76% 44.19%-0.24 +0.5 14
2025-11-28 Teuta L 0-145.5 1253 1201 48.84% 29.44% 21.72%+0.36 -5.2 24
2025-11-28 @ Vllaznia W 1-045.5 1201 1253 21.72% 29.44% 48.84%-0.36 +5.2 21
2025-11-29 Dinamo City D 0-047.2 1158 1229 31.80% 31.88% 36.32%-0.05 +0.1 13
2025-11-29 @ Bylis D 0-047.2 1229 1158 36.32% 31.88% 31.80%+0.05 -0.1 20
2025-11-29 Vora D 1-152.6 1126 1214 29.45% 31.67% 38.87%-0.11 +0.2 10
2025-11-29 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.6 1214 1126 38.87% 31.67% 29.45%+0.11 -0.2 15
2025-11-29 Egnatia L 0-140.4 1182 1269 29.63% 31.70% 38.67%-0.11 -3.6 7
2025-11-29 @ KF Tirana W 1-040.4 1269 1182 38.67% 31.70% 29.63%+0.11 +3.6 25
2025-12-03 KF Tirana W 6-236.4 1228 1178 48.64% 29.50% 21.85%+0.35 +7.2 23
2025-12-03 @ Dinamo City L 2-636.4 1178 1228 21.85% 29.50% 48.64%-0.35 -7.2 7
2025-12-03 Bylis W 1-037.1 1213 1158 49.15% 29.33% 21.52%+0.37 +2.8 17
2025-12-03 @ Partizani L 0-137.1 1158 1213 21.52% 29.33% 49.15%-0.37 -2.8 13
2025-12-03 AF Elbasani D 0-047.3 1206 1229 38.50% 31.71% 29.79%+0.11 -0.2 22
2025-12-03 @ Teuta D 0-047.3 1229 1206 29.79% 31.71% 38.50%-0.11 +0.2 26
2025-12-04 Flamurtari L 0-147.4 1272 1126 60.72% 24.12% 15.16%+0.68 -6.1 25
2025-12-04 @ Egnatia W 1-047.4 1126 1272 15.16% 24.12% 60.72%-0.68 +6.1 13
2025-12-04 Vllaznia D 0-047.3 1214 1247 37.04% 31.84% 31.12%+0.07 -0.1 16
2025-12-04 @ Vora D 0-047.3 1247 1214 31.12% 31.84% 37.04%-0.07 +0.1 25
2025-12-07 Teuta D 1-152.6 1155 1206 34.65% 31.94% 33.41%+0.01 -0.0 14
2025-12-07 @ Bylis D 1-152.6 1206 1155 33.41% 31.94% 34.65%-0.01 +0.0 23
2025-12-07 Partizani L 0-237.7 1171 1215 35.46% 31.92% 32.62%+0.03 -7.8 7
2025-12-07 @ KF Tirana W 2-037.7 1215 1171 32.62% 31.92% 35.46%-0.03 +7.8 20
2025-12-08 Vllaznia W 1-040.3 1229 1248 39.21% 31.64% 29.16%+0.12 +3.6 29
2025-12-08 @ AF Elbasani L 0-140.3 1248 1229 29.16% 31.64% 39.21%-0.12 -3.6 25
2025-12-08 Vora W 2-033.0 1266 1214 48.89% 29.42% 21.69%+0.36 +5.3 28
2025-12-08 @ Egnatia L 0-233.0 1214 1266 21.69% 29.42% 48.89%-0.36 -5.3 16
2025-12-08 Dinamo City L 0-333.7 1132 1236 27.60% 31.38% 41.02%-0.17 -9.4 13
2025-12-08 @ Flamurtari W 3-033.7 1236 1132 41.02% 31.38% 27.60%+0.17 +9.4 26
2025-12-13 Flamurtari W 2-141.5 1223 1123 55.11% 26.93% 17.96%+0.52 +2.2 23
2025-12-13 @ Partizani L 1-241.5 1123 1223 17.96% 26.93% 55.11%-0.52 -2.2 13
2025-12-13 KF Tirana D 1-153.2 1206 1163 47.59% 29.84% 22.57%+0.33 -0.6 24
2025-12-13 @ Teuta D 1-153.2 1163 1206 22.57% 29.84% 47.59%-0.33 +0.6 8
2025-12-13 AF Elbasani L 0-143.0 1208 1233 38.34% 31.73% 29.93%+0.10 -4.4 16
2025-12-13 @ Vora W 1-043.0 1233 1208 29.93% 31.73% 38.34%-0.10 +4.3 32
2025-12-14 Egnatia L 1-249.4 1245 1271 38.06% 31.76% 30.18%+0.09 -4.1 26
2025-12-14 @ Dinamo City W 2-149.4 1271 1245 30.18% 31.76% 38.06%-0.09 +4.1 31
2025-12-14 Bylis D 1-153.9 1244 1155 53.59% 27.61% 18.80%+0.48 -0.8 26
2025-12-14 @ Vllaznia D 1-153.9 1155 1244 18.80% 27.61% 53.59%-0.48 +0.8 15
2025-12-19 Vora W 2-144.2 1241 1204 46.83% 30.07% 23.10%+0.31 +2.8 29
2025-12-19 @ Dinamo City L 1-244.2 1204 1241 23.10% 30.07% 46.83%-0.31 -2.8 16
2025-12-19 Partizani W 2-143.8 1276 1225 48.61% 29.51% 21.88%+0.35 +2.7 34
2025-12-19 @ Egnatia L 1-243.8 1225 1276 21.88% 29.51% 48.61%-0.35 -2.7 23
2025-12-19 Teuta D 2-258.5 1120 1205 29.92% 31.73% 38.35%-0.10 +0.1 14
2025-12-19 @ Flamurtari D 2-258.5 1205 1120 38.35% 31.73% 29.92%+0.10 -0.1 25
2025-12-20 AF Elbasani W 3-253.6 1156 1237 30.40% 31.78% 37.83%-0.09 +3.9 18
2025-12-20 @ Bylis L 2-353.6 1237 1156 37.83% 31.78% 30.40%+0.09 -3.9 32
2025-12-20 Vllaznia D 1-152.7 1164 1243 30.59% 31.80% 37.62%-0.08 +0.2 9
2025-12-20 @ KF Tirana D 1-152.7 1243 1164 37.62% 31.80% 30.59%+0.08 -0.2 27
2025-12-23 Dinamo City L 1-344.7 1223 1244 38.79% 31.68% 29.52%+0.11 -7.2 23
2025-12-23 @ Partizani W 3-144.7 1244 1223 29.52% 31.68% 38.79%-0.11 +7.2 32
2025-12-23 Egnatia L 0-141.1 1205 1278 31.42% 31.86% 36.72%-0.06 -3.8 25
2025-12-23 @ Teuta W 1-041.1 1278 1205 36.72% 31.86% 31.42%+0.06 +3.8 37
2025-12-24 KF Tirana D 1-153.6 1233 1164 51.16% 28.60% 20.24%+0.42 -0.7 33
2025-12-24 @ AF Elbasani D 1-153.6 1164 1233 20.24% 28.60% 51.16%-0.42 +0.7 10
2025-12-24 Flamurtari W 3-245.4 1243 1121 57.83% 25.62% 16.54%+0.60 +1.9 30
2025-12-24 @ Vllaznia L 2-345.4 1121 1243 16.54% 25.62% 57.83%-0.60 -1.9 14
2025-12-24 Bylis W 4-136.4 1201 1160 47.41% 29.90% 22.70%+0.32 +6.8 19
2025-12-24 @ Vora L 1-436.4 1160 1201 22.70% 29.90% 47.41%-0.32 -6.8 18
2026-01-14 Flamurtari D 1-154.3 1233 1119 56.80% 26.14% 17.07%+0.57 -0.9 34
2026-01-14 @ AF Elbasani D 1-154.3 1119 1233 17.07% 26.14% 56.80%-0.57 +0.9 15
2026-01-14 KF Tirana L 0-143.3 1153 1164 40.21% 31.51% 28.28%+0.15 -4.5 18
2026-01-14 @ Bylis W 1-043.3 1164 1153 28.28% 31.51% 40.21%-0.15 +4.5 13
2026-01-14 Vora L 0-144.1 1215 1208 42.80% 31.06% 26.14%+0.21 -4.7 23
2026-01-14 @ Partizani W 1-044.1 1208 1215 26.14% 31.06% 42.80%-0.21 +4.7 22
2026-01-15 Dinamo City D 0-047.3 1201 1251 34.70% 31.94% 33.37%+0.02 -0.0 26
2026-01-15 @ Teuta D 0-047.3 1251 1201 33.37% 31.94% 34.70%-0.02 +0.0 33
2026-01-15 Egnatia W 1-041.3 1245 1282 36.52% 31.87% 31.61%+0.06 +3.8 33
2026-01-15 @ Vllaznia L 0-141.3 1282 1245 31.61% 31.87% 36.52%-0.06 -3.8 37
2026-01-18 AF Elbasani D 2-259.4 1278 1232 48.11% 29.68% 22.21%+0.34 -0.4 38
2026-01-18 @ Egnatia D 2-259.4 1232 1278 22.21% 29.68% 48.11%-0.34 +0.4 35
2026-01-18 Bylis W 3-034.6 1120 1149 37.65% 31.79% 30.56%+0.08 +10.2 18
2026-01-18 @ Flamurtari L 0-334.6 1149 1120 30.56% 31.79% 37.65%-0.08 -10.2 18
2026-01-19 Teuta W 2-145.2 1211 1201 43.11% 31.00% 25.89%+0.22 +3.1 26
2026-01-19 @ Partizani L 1-245.2 1201 1211 25.89% 31.00% 43.11%-0.22 -3.1 26
2026-01-19 KF Tirana D 1-153.2 1213 1169 47.76% 29.79% 22.45%+0.33 -0.6 23
2026-01-19 @ Vora D 1-153.2 1169 1213 22.45% 29.79% 47.76%-0.33 +0.6 14
2026-01-19 Vllaznia L 0-239.7 1251 1249 42.09% 31.20% 26.71%+0.19 -8.8 33
2026-01-19 @ Dinamo City W 2-039.7 1249 1251 26.71% 31.20% 42.09%-0.19 +8.8 36
2026-01-24 Egnatia D 2-259.0 1139 1278 23.76% 30.33% 45.92%-0.28 +0.4 19
2026-01-24 @ Bylis D 2-259.0 1278 1139 45.92% 30.33% 23.76%+0.28 -0.4 39
2026-01-24 Partizani W 1-037.8 1258 1214 47.73% 29.80% 22.47%+0.33 +2.9 39
2026-01-24 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.8 1214 1258 22.47% 29.80% 47.73%-0.33 -2.9 26
2026-01-25 Dinamo City W 2-035.6 1232 1242 40.36% 31.48% 28.15%+0.15 +6.6 38
2026-01-25 @ AF Elbasani L 0-235.6 1242 1232 28.15% 31.48% 40.36%-0.15 -6.6 33
2026-01-25 Vora D 1-152.8 1198 1212 39.78% 31.57% 28.66%+0.14 -0.2 27
2026-01-25 @ Teuta D 1-152.8 1212 1198 28.66% 31.57% 39.78%-0.14 +0.2 24
2026-01-25 Flamurtari W 1-037.7 1170 1130 47.21% 29.95% 22.83%+0.32 +2.9 17
2026-01-25 @ KF Tirana L 0-137.7 1130 1170 22.83% 29.95% 47.21%-0.32 -3.0 18
2026-01-31 Bylis D 0-048.6 1236 1139 54.62% 27.15% 18.23%+0.51 -1.0 34
2026-01-31 @ Dinamo City D 0-048.6 1139 1236 18.23% 27.15% 54.62%-0.51 +1.0 20
2026-01-31 AF Elbasani D 2-258.6 1211 1239 37.85% 31.78% 30.38%+0.09 -0.1 27
2026-01-31 @ Partizani D 2-258.6 1239 1211 30.38% 31.78% 37.85%-0.09 +0.1 39
2026-01-31 Flamurtari D 0-048.4 1212 1127 53.23% 27.76% 19.01%+0.47 -0.9 25
2026-01-31 @ Vora D 0-048.4 1127 1212 19.01% 27.76% 53.23%-0.47 +0.9 19
2026-02-01 KF Tirana L 0-146.7 1277 1172 55.66% 26.68% 17.66%+0.54 -5.7 39
2026-02-01 @ Egnatia W 1-046.7 1172 1277 17.66% 26.68% 55.66%-0.54 +5.7 20
2026-02-01 Vllaznia L 0-141.5 1198 1260 32.88% 31.93% 35.20%-0.03 -3.9 27
2026-02-01 @ Teuta W 1-041.5 1260 1198 35.20% 31.93% 32.88%+0.03 +3.9 42
2026-02-06 Teuta W 2-143.8 1239 1194 47.92% 29.74% 22.35%+0.33 +2.7 42
2026-02-06 @ AF Elbasani L 1-243.8 1194 1239 22.35% 29.74% 47.92%-0.33 -2.7 27
2026-02-06 Partizani L 1-247.1 1140 1211 31.74% 31.88% 36.38%-0.06 -3.6 20
2026-02-06 @ Bylis W 2-147.1 1211 1140 36.38% 31.88% 31.74%+0.06 +3.6 30
2026-02-06 Egnatia L 0-138.0 1128 1272 23.29% 30.14% 46.57%-0.30 -3.0 19
2026-02-06 @ Flamurtari W 1-038.0 1272 1128 46.57% 30.14% 23.29%+0.30 +3.0 42
2026-02-06 Vora W 1-037.4 1264 1212 48.94% 29.40% 21.66%+0.36 +2.8 45
2026-02-06 @ Vllaznia L 0-137.4 1212 1264 21.66% 29.40% 48.94%-0.36 -2.8 25
2026-02-07 Dinamo City D 1-152.7 1178 1235 33.75% 31.94% 34.31%-0.01 +0.0 21
2026-02-07 @ KF Tirana D 1-152.7 1235 1178 34.31% 31.94% 33.75%+0.01 -0.0 35
2026-02-14 Bylis W 2-143.3 1191 1136 49.21% 29.31% 21.48%+0.37 +2.6 30
2026-02-14 @ Teuta L 1-243.3 1136 1191 21.48% 29.31% 49.21%-0.37 -2.6 20
2026-02-14 Egnatia D 1-152.8 1209 1275 32.42% 31.91% 35.67%-0.04 +0.1 26
2026-02-14 @ Vora D 1-152.8 1275 1209 35.67% 31.91% 32.42%+0.04 -0.1 43
2026-02-15 Flamurtari D 1-154.2 1235 1125 56.29% 26.38% 17.33%+0.55 -0.9 36
2026-02-15 @ Dinamo City D 1-154.2 1125 1235 17.33% 26.38% 56.29%-0.55 +0.9 20
2026-02-15 KF Tirana W 2-033.5 1214 1178 46.73% 30.10% 23.17%+0.31 +5.6 33
2026-02-15 @ Partizani L 0-233.5 1178 1214 23.17% 30.10% 46.73%-0.31 -5.6 21
2026-02-15 AF Elbasani W 2-144.8 1267 1242 45.29% 30.49% 24.22%+0.27 +2.9 48
2026-02-15 @ Vllaznia L 1-244.8 1242 1267 24.22% 30.49% 45.29%-0.27 -2.9 42
2026-02-20 Dinamo City W 1-038.0 1275 1234 47.36% 29.91% 22.73%+0.32 +2.9 46
2026-02-20 @ Egnatia L 0-138.0 1234 1275 22.73% 29.91% 47.36%-0.32 -2.9 36
2026-02-21 Vora W 2-144.5 1239 1209 45.88% 30.34% 23.79%+0.28 +2.9 45
2026-02-21 @ AF Elbasani L 1-244.5 1209 1239 23.79% 30.34% 45.88%-0.28 -2.9 26
2026-02-21 Vllaznia W 2-150.9 1134 1270 24.04% 30.43% 45.54%-0.28 +4.7 23
2026-02-21 @ Bylis L 1-250.9 1270 1134 45.54% 30.43% 24.04%+0.28 -4.7 48
2026-02-22 Partizani L 1-246.1 1126 1220 28.70% 31.57% 39.73%-0.13 -3.4 20
2026-02-22 @ Flamurtari W 2-146.1 1220 1126 39.73% 31.57% 28.70%+0.13 +3.4 36
2026-02-22 Teuta L 0-143.0 1173 1194 38.79% 31.68% 29.52%+0.11 -4.4 21
2026-02-22 @ KF Tirana W 1-043.0 1194 1173 29.52% 31.68% 38.79%-0.11 +4.4 33
2026-02-27 KF Tirana W 3-137.0 1265 1168 54.69% 27.12% 18.19%+0.51 +3.9 51
2026-02-27 @ Vllaznia L 1-337.0 1168 1265 18.19% 27.12% 54.69%-0.51 -3.9 21
2026-02-28 Bylis D 1-154.1 1242 1138 55.45% 26.78% 17.78%+0.53 -0.9 46
2026-02-28 @ AF Elbasani D 1-154.1 1138 1242 17.78% 26.78% 55.45%-0.53 +0.9 24
2026-02-28 Egnatia W 2-037.5 1223 1278 34.08% 31.94% 33.98%+0.00 +7.5 39
2026-02-28 @ Partizani L 0-237.5 1278 1223 33.98% 31.94% 34.08%+0.00 -7.5 46
2026-02-28 Flamurtari D 1-153.6 1198 1122 51.97% 28.28% 19.75%+0.44 -0.7 34
2026-02-28 @ Teuta D 1-153.6 1122 1198 19.75% 28.28% 51.97%-0.44 +0.7 21
2026-02-28 Dinamo City L 1-249.2 1206 1231 38.27% 31.74% 29.99%+0.10 -4.1 26
2026-02-28 @ Vora W 2-149.2 1231 1206 29.99% 31.74% 38.27%-0.10 +4.1 39
2026-03-08 Vora W 1-042.0 1139 1202 32.88% 31.93% 35.20%-0.03 +4.1 27
2026-03-08 @ Bylis L 0-142.0 1202 1139 35.20% 31.93% 32.88%+0.03 -4.1 26
2026-03-08 Vllaznia W 1-045.0 1123 1269 23.07% 30.05% 46.88%-0.31 +5.0 24
2026-03-08 @ Flamurtari L 0-145.0 1269 1123 46.88% 30.05% 23.07%+0.31 -5.0 51
2026-03-08 AF Elbasani L 0-140.8 1164 1241 31.01% 31.83% 37.16%-0.07 -3.8 21
2026-03-08 @ KF Tirana W 1-040.8 1241 1164 37.16% 31.83% 31.01%+0.07 +3.8 49
2026-03-09 Partizani L 0-239.7 1235 1231 42.32% 31.16% 26.52%+0.20 -8.8 39
2026-03-09 @ Dinamo City W 2-039.7 1231 1235 26.52% 31.16% 42.32%-0.20 +8.8 42
2026-03-09 Teuta W 4-241.3 1270 1197 51.54% 28.45% 20.01%+0.43 +3.8 49
2026-03-09 @ Egnatia L 2-441.3 1197 1270 20.01% 28.45% 51.54%-0.43 -3.8 34
2026-03-13 Vllaznia D 0-047.9 1274 1264 43.10% 31.00% 25.90%+0.22 -0.4 50
2026-03-13 @ Egnatia D 0-047.9 1264 1274 25.90% 31.00% 43.10%-0.22 +0.4 52
2026-03-14 AF Elbasani L 1-245.2 1128 1244 26.14% 31.06% 42.80%-0.21 -3.1 24
2026-03-14 @ Flamurtari W 2-145.2 1244 1128 42.80% 31.06% 26.14%+0.21 +3.1 52
2026-03-14 Bylis W 1-038.6 1161 1143 44.15% 30.77% 25.07%+0.24 +3.2 24
2026-03-14 @ KF Tirana L 0-138.6 1143 1161 25.07% 30.77% 44.15%-0.24 -3.2 27
2026-03-15 Teuta L 0-144.9 1226 1194 46.23% 30.24% 23.53%+0.29 -5.0 39
2026-03-15 @ Dinamo City W 1-044.9 1194 1226 23.53% 30.24% 46.23%-0.29 +5.0 37
2026-03-15 Partizani D 2-258.6 1198 1240 35.82% 31.90% 32.28%+0.04 -0.1 27
2026-03-15 @ Vora D 2-258.6 1240 1198 32.28% 31.90% 35.82%-0.04 +0.0 43
2026-03-20 Egnatia D 0-047.6 1248 1273 38.14% 31.75% 30.11%+0.10 -0.2 53
2026-03-20 @ AF Elbasani D 0-047.6 1273 1248 30.11% 31.75% 38.14%-0.10 +0.2 51
2026-03-21 Flamurtari W 2-144.8 1140 1125 43.88% 30.83% 25.29%+0.23 +3.0 30
2026-03-21 @ Bylis L 1-244.8 1125 1140 25.29% 30.83% 43.88%-0.23 -3.0 24
2026-03-21 Partizani D 2-258.6 1199 1240 35.93% 31.90% 32.17%+0.04 -0.1 38
2026-03-21 @ Teuta D 2-258.6 1240 1199 32.17% 31.90% 35.93%-0.04 +0.1 44
2026-03-21 Dinamo City D 0-048.0 1265 1221 47.72% 29.80% 22.48%+0.33 -0.6 53
2026-03-21 @ Vllaznia D 0-048.0 1221 1265 22.48% 29.80% 47.72%-0.33 +0.6 40
2026-03-22 Vora W 3-034.9 1164 1198 36.98% 31.84% 31.18%+0.07 +10.3 27
2026-03-22 @ KF Tirana L 0-334.9 1198 1164 31.18% 31.84% 36.98%-0.07 -10.3 27
2026-04-03 KF Tirana D 1-152.5 1122 1174 34.36% 31.94% 33.70%+0.01 -0.0 25
2026-04-03 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.5 1174 1122 33.70% 31.94% 34.36%-0.01 +0.0 28
2026-04-04 AF Elbasani W 4-139.4 1222 1247 38.16% 31.75% 30.09%+0.10 +8.5 43
2026-04-04 @ Dinamo City L 1-439.4 1247 1222 30.09% 31.75% 38.16%-0.10 -8.5 53
2026-04-04 Bylis W 3-028.4 1274 1143 58.80% 25.13% 16.07%+0.62 +5.6 54
2026-04-04 @ Egnatia L 0-328.4 1143 1274 16.07% 25.13% 58.80%-0.62 -5.6 30
2026-04-04 Vllaznia L 0-238.8 1240 1264 38.38% 31.73% 29.89%+0.10 -8.2 44
2026-04-04 @ Partizani W 2-038.8 1264 1240 29.89% 31.73% 38.38%-0.10 +8.2 56
2026-04-05 Teuta W 1-039.8 1187 1199 40.20% 31.51% 28.29%+0.15 +3.5 30
2026-04-05 @ Vora L 0-139.8 1199 1187 28.29% 31.51% 40.20%-0.15 -3.5 38
2026-04-11 Vora D 1-152.5 1122 1191 32.00% 31.89% 36.11%-0.05 +0.1 26
2026-04-11 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.5 1191 1122 36.11% 31.89% 32.00%+0.05 -0.1 31
2026-04-12 Egnatia W 3-145.3 1174 1279 27.43% 31.35% 41.22%-0.17 +7.5 31
2026-04-12 @ KF Tirana L 1-345.3 1279 1174 41.22% 31.35% 27.43%+0.17 -7.5 54
2026-04-12 Teuta W 1-036.4 1272 1195 52.14% 28.21% 19.65%+0.44 +2.6 59
2026-04-12 @ Vllaznia L 0-136.4 1195 1272 19.65% 28.21% 52.14%-0.44 -2.6 38
2026-04-13 Partizani W 3-033.3 1239 1232 42.77% 31.07% 26.16%+0.21 +9.0 56
2026-04-13 @ AF Elbasani L 0-333.3 1232 1239 26.16% 31.07% 42.77%-0.21 -9.1 44
2026-04-13 Dinamo City D 1-152.7 1138 1230 28.91% 31.60% 39.48%-0.13 +0.2 31
2026-04-13 @ Bylis D 1-152.7 1230 1138 39.48% 31.60% 28.91%+0.13 -0.2 44
2026-04-18 KF Tirana D 1-153.4 1230 1182 48.36% 29.59% 22.04%+0.35 -0.6 45
2026-04-18 @ Dinamo City D 1-153.4 1182 1230 22.04% 29.59% 48.36%-0.35 +0.6 32
2026-04-18 Flamurtari L 0-243.0 1272 1122 61.13% 23.89% 14.97%+0.69 -11.6 54
2026-04-18 @ Egnatia W 2-043.0 1122 1272 14.97% 23.89% 61.13%-0.69 +11.5 29
2026-04-18 AF Elbasani L 1-247.9 1192 1248 33.89% 31.94% 34.17%+0.00 -3.8 38
2026-04-18 @ Teuta W 2-147.9 1248 1192 34.17% 31.94% 33.89%+0.00 +3.8 59
2026-04-18 Vllaznia D 0-047.4 1191 1275 30.01% 31.74% 38.25%-0.10 +0.2 32
2026-04-18 @ Vora D 0-047.4 1275 1191 38.25% 31.74% 30.01%+0.10 -0.2 60
2026-04-19 Bylis D 1-153.8 1223 1138 53.12% 27.81% 19.07%+0.47 -0.8 45
2026-04-19 @ Partizani D 1-153.8 1138 1223 19.07% 27.81% 53.12%-0.47 +0.8 32
2026-04-25 Partizani W 2-147.3 1182 1222 36.17% 31.89% 31.94%+0.05 +3.6 35
2026-04-25 @ KF Tirana L 1-247.3 1222 1182 31.94% 31.89% 36.17%-0.05 -3.6 45
2026-04-26 Teuta W 2-037.0 1139 1189 34.66% 31.94% 33.41%+0.01 +7.5 35
2026-04-26 @ Bylis L 0-237.0 1189 1139 33.41% 31.94% 34.66%-0.01 -7.5 38
2026-04-26 Vora L 0-241.5 1260 1191 51.09% 28.62% 20.28%+0.42 -10.1 54
2026-04-26 @ Egnatia W 2-041.5 1191 1260 20.28% 28.62% 51.09%-0.42 +10.2 35
2026-04-27 Vllaznia W 3-142.2 1252 1275 38.55% 31.71% 29.74%+0.11 +6.0 62
2026-04-27 @ AF Elbasani L 1-342.2 1275 1252 29.74% 31.71% 38.55%-0.11 -6.0 60
2026-04-27 Dinamo City W 3-144.8 1134 1229 28.52% 31.54% 39.93%-0.14 +7.3 32
2026-04-27 @ Flamurtari L 1-344.8 1229 1134 39.93% 31.54% 28.52%+0.14 -7.3 45
2026-05-02 Egnatia W 2-036.3 1222 1250 37.84% 31.78% 30.38%+0.09 +7.0 48
2026-05-02 @ Dinamo City L 0-236.3 1250 1222 30.38% 31.78% 37.84%-0.09 -7.0 54
2026-05-02 Flamurtari L 1-444.7 1218 1141 52.16% 28.21% 19.64%+0.44 -12.6 45
2026-05-02 @ Partizani W 4-144.7 1141 1218 19.64% 28.21% 52.16%-0.44 +12.6 35
2026-05-02 KF Tirana L 0-143.6 1181 1186 41.13% 31.37% 27.51%+0.17 -4.6 38
2026-05-02 @ Teuta W 1-043.6 1186 1181 27.51% 31.37% 41.13%-0.17 +4.6 38
2026-05-02 Bylis L 0-242.6 1269 1146 57.85% 25.61% 16.54%+0.60 -11.1 60
2026-05-02 @ Vllaznia W 2-042.6 1146 1269 16.54% 25.61% 57.85%-0.60 +11.1 38
2026-05-02 AF Elbasani W 4-246.6 1201 1258 33.74% 31.94% 34.32%-0.01 +5.9 38
2026-05-02 @ Vora L 2-446.6 1258 1201 34.32% 31.94% 33.74%+0.01 -5.9 62
2026-05-06 AF Elbasani W 2-149.5 1157 1252 28.68% 31.57% 39.75%-0.14 +4.2 41
2026-05-06 @ Bylis L 1-249.5 1252 1157 39.75% 31.57% 28.68%+0.14 -4.2 62
2026-05-06 Vora D 2-259.0 1229 1207 44.81% 30.61% 24.57%+0.26 -0.3 49
2026-05-06 @ Dinamo City D 2-259.0 1207 1229 24.57% 30.61% 44.81%-0.26 +0.3 39
2026-05-06 Partizani W 2-033.5 1243 1206 46.90% 30.05% 23.06%+0.31 +5.6 57
2026-05-06 @ Egnatia L 0-233.5 1206 1243 23.06% 30.05% 46.90%-0.31 -5.6 45
2026-05-06 Teuta D 1-152.6 1154 1177 38.51% 31.71% 29.78%+0.11 -0.2 36
2026-05-06 @ Flamurtari D 1-152.6 1177 1154 29.78% 31.71% 38.51%-0.11 +0.2 39
2026-05-06 Vllaznia W 1-042.3 1190 1258 32.26% 31.90% 35.84%-0.04 +4.2 41
2026-05-06 @ KF Tirana L 0-142.3 1258 1190 35.84% 31.90% 32.26%+0.04 -4.2 60
2026-05-10 KF Tirana L 1-347.0 1248 1195 48.97% 29.39% 21.64%+0.36 -8.5 62
2026-05-10 @ AF Elbasani W 3-147.0 1195 1248 21.64% 29.39% 48.97%-0.36 +8.5 44
2026-05-10 Dinamo City W 2-146.9 1200 1229 37.72% 31.79% 30.50%+0.09 +3.5 48
2026-05-10 @ Partizani L 1-246.9 1229 1200 30.50% 31.79% 37.72%-0.09 -3.5 49
2026-05-10 Egnatia W 3-253.3 1177 1249 31.62% 31.87% 36.51%-0.06 +3.8 42
2026-05-10 @ Teuta L 2-353.3 1249 1177 36.51% 31.87% 31.62%+0.06 -3.8 57
2026-05-10 Flamurtari W 2-031.0 1253 1153 55.05% 26.96% 17.99%+0.52 +4.4 63
2026-05-10 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.0 1153 1253 17.99% 26.96% 55.05%-0.52 -4.4 36
2026-05-10 Bylis W 5-238.2 1207 1161 48.05% 29.70% 22.26%+0.34 +5.8 42
2026-05-10 @ Vora L 2-538.2 1161 1207 22.26% 29.70% 48.05%-0.34 -5.8 41

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-05-16 Dinamo City L 0-238.8 1258 1225 38.68% 31.70% 29.62%+0.11 -8.3 0
2026-05-16 @ Vllaznia W 2-038.8 1225 1258 29.62% 31.70% 38.68%-0.11 +8.3 3
2026-05-17 Egnatia L 0-436.4 1239 1245 33.20% 31.93% 34.86%-0.02 -14.1 0
2026-05-17 @ AF Elbasani W 4-036.4 1245 1239 34.86% 31.93% 33.20%+0.02 +14.1 3
2026-05-23 Egnatia L 1-247.8 1250 1259 32.69% 31.92% 35.39%-0.03 -3.7 0
2026-05-23 @ Vllaznia W 2-147.8 1259 1250 35.39% 31.92% 32.69%+0.03 +3.7 6
2026-05-24 Dinamo City W 3-036.3 1225 1234 32.81% 31.92% 35.26%-0.03 +11.3 3
2026-05-24 @ AF Elbasani L 0-336.3 1234 1225 35.26% 31.92% 32.81%+0.03 -11.3 3
2026-05-31 Dinamo City W 2-035.8 1263 1222 39.79% 31.56% 28.65%+0.14 +6.7 9
2026-05-31 @ Egnatia L 0-235.8 1222 1263 28.65% 31.56% 39.79%-0.14 -6.7 3
2026-05-31 AF Elbasani L 1-248.5 1246 1236 35.41% 31.92% 32.67%+0.03 -3.9 0
2026-05-31 @ Vllaznia W 2-148.5 1236 1246 32.67% 31.92% 35.41%-0.03 +3.9 6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-04-18 14.97% Flamurtari 1122 2 @ Egnatia 1272 0
2 2025-12-04 15.16% Flamurtari 1126 1 @ Egnatia 1272 0
3 2026-05-02 16.54% Bylis 1146 2 @ Vllaznia 1269 0
4 2026-02-01 17.66% KF Tirana 1172 1 @ Egnatia 1277 0
5 2026-05-02 19.64% Flamurtari 1141 4 @ Partizani 1218 1
6 2026-04-26 20.28% Vora 1191 2 @ Egnatia 1260 0
7 2026-05-10 21.64% KF Tirana 1195 3 @ AF Elbasani 1248 1
8 2025-11-28 21.72% Teuta 1201 1 @ Vllaznia 1253 0
9 2025-11-07 21.91% Flamurtari 1121 1 @ Bylis 1170 0
10 2025-11-02 22.94% Bylis 1161 2 @ KF Tirana 1199 0
11 2026-03-08 23.07% @ Flamurtari 1123 1 Vllaznia 1269 0
12 2026-03-15 23.53% Teuta 1194 1 @ Dinamo City 1226 0
13 2026-02-21 24.04% @ Bylis 1134 2 Vllaznia 1270 1
14 2025-10-29 24.19% @ Flamurtari 1119 1 Vllaznia 1254 0
15 2025-09-20 24.39% AF Elbasani 1212 1 @ Partizani 1235 0
16 2025-11-22 24.44% Teuta 1196 1 @ Vora 1219 0
17 2025-10-03 24.64% KF Tirana 1202 3 @ Partizani 1224 0
18 2026-01-14 26.14% Vora 1208 1 @ Partizani 1215 0
19 2025-10-24 26.28% Dinamo City 1218 2 @ Vora 1224 0
20 2026-03-09 26.52% Partizani 1231 2 @ Dinamo City 1235 0
21 2026-01-19 26.71% Vllaznia 1249 2 @ Dinamo City 1251 0
22 2025-10-29 27.09% AF Elbasani 1211 4 @ KF Tirana 1210 1
23 2025-09-27 27.13% Dinamo City 1208 2 @ KF Tirana 1207 1
24 2026-04-12 27.43% @ KF Tirana 1174 3 Egnatia 1279 1
25 2026-05-02 27.51% KF Tirana 1186 1 @ Teuta 1181 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-05-17 14.12 Egnatia 4 1245 34.86% @ AF Elbasani 0 1239 33.20% 31.93%
2 2025-10-03 13.35 KF Tirana 3 1202 24.64% @ Partizani 0 1224 44.72% 30.64%
3 2026-05-02 12.62 Flamurtari 4 1141 19.64% @ Partizani 1 1218 52.16% 28.21%
4 2026-04-18 11.56 Flamurtari 2 1122 14.97% @ Egnatia 0 1272 61.13% 23.89%
5 2026-05-24 11.26 @ AF Elbasani 3 1225 32.81% Dinamo City 0 1234 35.26% 31.92%
6 2026-05-02 11.11 Bylis 2 1146 16.54% @ Vllaznia 0 1269 57.85% 25.61%
7 2025-10-29 10.68 AF Elbasani 4 1211 27.09% @ KF Tirana 1 1210 41.63% 31.28%
8 2026-03-22 10.33 @ KF Tirana 3 1164 36.98% Vora 0 1198 31.18% 31.84%
9 2026-01-18 10.19 @ Flamurtari 3 1120 37.65% Bylis 0 1149 30.56% 31.79%
10 2026-04-26 10.15 Vora 2 1191 20.28% @ Egnatia 0 1260 51.09% 28.62%
11 2025-11-02 9.55 Bylis 2 1161 22.94% @ KF Tirana 0 1199 47.06% 30.00%
12 2025-12-08 9.44 Dinamo City 3 1236 41.02% @ Flamurtari 0 1132 27.60% 31.38%
13 2026-04-13 9.06 @ AF Elbasani 3 1239 42.77% Partizani 0 1232 26.16% 31.07%
14 2025-10-24 8.87 Dinamo City 2 1218 26.28% @ Vora 0 1224 42.62% 31.10%
15 2026-03-09 8.83 Partizani 2 1231 26.52% @ Dinamo City 0 1235 42.32% 31.16%
16 2026-01-19 8.79 Vllaznia 2 1249 26.71% @ Dinamo City 0 1251 42.09% 31.20%
17 2026-05-10 8.51 KF Tirana 3 1195 21.64% @ AF Elbasani 1 1248 48.97% 29.39%
18 2026-04-04 8.50 @ Dinamo City 4 1222 38.16% AF Elbasani 1 1247 30.09% 31.75%
19 2025-11-08 8.30 Vora 2 1211 29.48% @ KF Tirana 0 1190 38.85% 31.68%
20 2026-05-16 8.27 Dinamo City 2 1225 29.62% @ Vllaznia 0 1258 38.68% 31.70%
21 2025-09-13 8.24 @ Vllaznia 4 1228 39.54% Partizani 1 1244 28.87% 31.60%
22 2026-04-04 8.23 Vllaznia 2 1264 29.89% @ Partizani 0 1240 38.38% 31.73%
23 2025-12-07 7.78 Partizani 2 1215 32.62% @ KF Tirana 0 1171 35.46% 31.92%
24 2026-02-28 7.55 @ Partizani 2 1223 34.08% Egnatia 0 1278 33.98% 31.94%
25 2026-04-12 7.50 @ KF Tirana 3 1174 27.43% Egnatia 1 1279 41.22% 31.35%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-08-30 61.6 @ Flamurtari 3 1135 37.84% Bylis 3 1163 30.39% 31.78%
2 2026-01-18 59.4 @ Egnatia 2 1278 48.11% AF Elbasani 2 1232 22.21% 29.68%
3 2025-11-03 59.1 @ Egnatia 2 1266 44.08% Vllaznia 2 1249 25.13% 30.79%
4 2026-01-24 59.0 @ Bylis 2 1139 23.76% Egnatia 2 1278 45.92% 30.33%
5 2026-05-06 59.0 @ Dinamo City 2 1229 44.81% Vora 2 1207 24.57% 30.61%
6 2026-01-31 58.6 @ Partizani 2 1211 37.85% AF Elbasani 2 1239 30.38% 31.78%
7 2026-03-15 58.6 @ Vora 2 1198 35.82% Partizani 2 1240 32.28% 31.90%
8 2026-03-21 58.6 @ Teuta 2 1199 35.93% Partizani 2 1240 32.17% 31.90%
9 2025-12-19 58.5 @ Flamurtari 2 1120 29.92% Teuta 2 1205 38.35% 31.73%
10 2025-11-09 54.4 Partizani 3 1208 27.94% @ Teuta 2 1200 40.61% 31.45%
11 2026-01-14 54.3 @ AF Elbasani 1 1233 56.80% Flamurtari 1 1119 17.07% 26.14%
12 2026-02-15 54.2 @ Dinamo City 1 1235 56.29% Flamurtari 1 1125 17.33% 26.38%
13 2026-02-28 54.1 @ AF Elbasani 1 1242 55.45% Bylis 1 1138 17.78% 26.78%
14 2025-12-14 53.9 @ Vllaznia 1 1244 53.59% Bylis 1 1155 18.80% 27.61%
15 2026-04-19 53.8 @ Partizani 1 1223 53.12% Bylis 1 1138 19.07% 27.81%
16 2025-09-13 53.7 @ KF Tirana 1 1213 52.29% Flamurtari 1 1135 19.56% 28.15%
17 2025-12-20 53.6 @ Bylis 3 1156 30.40% AF Elbasani 2 1237 37.83% 31.78%
18 2025-12-24 53.6 @ AF Elbasani 1 1233 51.16% KF Tirana 1 1164 20.24% 28.60%
19 2026-02-28 53.6 @ Teuta 1 1198 51.97% Flamurtari 1 1122 19.75% 28.28%
20 2026-04-18 53.4 @ Dinamo City 1 1230 48.36% KF Tirana 1 1182 22.04% 29.59%
21 2025-08-30 53.3 @ Egnatia 1 1248 47.26% AF Elbasani 1 1207 22.80% 29.94%
22 2026-05-10 53.3 @ Teuta 3 1177 31.62% Egnatia 2 1249 36.51% 31.87%
23 2025-12-13 53.2 @ Teuta 1 1206 47.59% KF Tirana 1 1163 22.57% 29.84%
24 2026-01-19 53.2 @ Vora 1 1213 47.76% KF Tirana 1 1169 22.45% 29.79%
25 2025-11-22 52.9 @ Dinamo City 1 1229 41.73% AF Elbasani 1 1229 27.01% 31.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-04 28.4 @ Egnatia 3 1274 58.80% Bylis 0 1143 16.07% 25.13%
2 2026-05-10 31.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1253 55.05% Flamurtari 0 1153 17.99% 26.96%
3 2025-10-04 31.6 @ Dinamo City 2 1212 52.82% Flamurtari 0 1130 19.25% 27.93%
4 2025-12-08 33.0 @ Egnatia 2 1266 48.89% Vora 0 1214 21.69% 29.42%
5 2026-04-13 33.3 @ AF Elbasani 3 1239 42.77% Partizani 0 1232 26.16% 31.07%
6 2025-09-20 33.5 @ Egnatia 2 1251 47.06% KF Tirana 0 1212 22.94% 30.00%
7 2025-11-22 33.5 @ Egnatia 5 1262 54.58% Bylis 1 1165 18.25% 27.17%
8 2026-02-15 33.5 @ Partizani 2 1214 46.73% KF Tirana 0 1178 23.17% 30.10%
9 2026-05-06 33.5 @ Egnatia 2 1243 46.90% Partizani 0 1206 23.06% 30.05%
10 2025-12-08 33.7 Dinamo City 3 1236 41.02% @ Flamurtari 0 1132 27.60% 31.38%
11 2025-10-29 34.5 @ Dinamo City 2 1227 43.53% Partizani 0 1214 25.56% 30.91%
12 2026-01-18 34.6 @ Flamurtari 3 1120 37.65% Bylis 0 1149 30.56% 31.79%
13 2025-09-28 34.9 @ Vllaznia 2 1236 42.60% Vora 0 1230 26.30% 31.10%
14 2026-03-22 34.9 @ KF Tirana 3 1164 36.98% Vora 0 1198 31.18% 31.84%
15 2026-01-25 35.6 @ AF Elbasani 2 1232 40.36% Dinamo City 0 1242 28.15% 31.48%
16 2025-09-21 35.7 @ Vora 1 1228 54.07% Flamurtari 0 1135 18.53% 27.40%
17 2026-05-31 35.8 @ Egnatia 2 1263 39.79% Dinamo City 0 1222 28.65% 31.56%
18 2026-05-02 36.3 @ Dinamo City 2 1222 37.84% Egnatia 0 1250 30.38% 31.78%
19 2026-05-24 36.3 @ AF Elbasani 3 1225 32.81% Dinamo City 0 1234 35.26% 31.92%
20 2025-08-22 36.4 @ Vllaznia 2 1227 37.83% Egnatia 0 1255 30.39% 31.78%
21 2025-12-03 36.4 @ Dinamo City 6 1228 48.64% KF Tirana 2 1178 21.85% 29.50%
22 2025-12-24 36.4 @ Vora 4 1201 47.41% Bylis 1 1160 22.70% 29.90%
23 2026-04-12 36.4 @ Vllaznia 1 1272 52.14% Teuta 0 1195 19.65% 28.21%
24 2026-05-17 36.4 Egnatia 4 1245 34.86% @ AF Elbasani 0 1239 33.20% 31.93%
25 2025-08-23 36.6 @ AF Elbasani 1 1205 50.89% Flamurtari 0 1137 20.41% 28.70%