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1997-98 Primera Divisió Season

110 games

Final

Champion

Principat

56 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1996-97

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC Santa Coloma

9.13 points above expected

55 points · 45.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Valira

8.04 points below expected

6 points · 14.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Principat Champion 20 18 2 0 56 89 9 +80 48.08 +7.92
2 FC Santa Coloma 20 18 1 1 55 99 11 +88 45.87 +9.13
3 Encamp 20 11 5 4 38 57 27 +30 41.00 -3.00
4 Inter Club d Escaldes 20 11 2 7 35 34 28 +6 35.15 -0.15
5 SC Engordany 20 7 4 9 25 37 63 -26 25.59 -0.59
6 Engolasters 20 7 3 10 24 30 45 -15 21.44 +2.56
7 Benito 20 7 2 11 23 30 52 -22 16.07 +6.93
8 Magatzems Lima 20 6 4 10 22 24 39 -15 27.75 -5.75
9 Sant Julia 20 6 2 12 20 35 54 -19 23.40 -3.40
10 Veterans Andorra 20 3 3 14 12 20 70 -50 16.83 -4.83
11 Valira 20 2 0 18 6 27 84 -57 14.04 -8.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Santa Coloma 55 45.87 +9.13
2 Principat 56 48.08 +7.92
3 Benito 23 16.07 +6.93
4 Engolasters 24 21.44 +2.56
5 Inter Club d Escaldes 35 35.15 -0.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valira 6 14.04 -8.04
2 Magatzems Lima 22 27.75 -5.75
3 Veterans Andorra 12 16.83 -4.83
4 Sant Julia 20 23.40 -3.40
5 Encamp 38 41.00 -3.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Benito 4 Apr 19 – May 10 1 in 44
2 Principat 8 Oct 7 – Nov 25 1 in 10
3 Magatzems Lima 3 Nov 4 – Nov 18 1 in 9
4 SC Engordany 3 Mar 1 – Mar 15 1 in 7
5 FC Santa Coloma 9 Dec 16 – Apr 26 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valira 15 Oct 21 – Apr 19 1 in 340
2 Magatzems Lima 4 Apr 19 – May 10 1 in 32
3 SC Engordany 4 Mar 22 – Apr 19 1 in 13
4 Sant Julia 4 Mar 29 – Apr 26 1 in 8
5 Benito 6 Oct 28 – Dec 9 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Benito 5 Apr 5 – May 10 1 in 41
2 FC Santa Coloma 18 Oct 7 – Apr 26 1 in 25
3 Principat 20 Oct 7 – May 10 1 in 13
4 Veterans Andorra 2 Mar 22 – Mar 29 1 in 8
5 SC Engordany 5 Dec 9 – Mar 15 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Veterans Andorra 11 Oct 7 – Feb 22 1 in 39
2 Magatzems Lima 5 Dec 16 – Mar 22 1 in 23
3 Valira 15 Oct 21 – Apr 19 1 in 22
4 Encamp 3 Feb 22 – Mar 8 1 in 19
5 Sant Julia 5 Dec 9 – Mar 8 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Principat 970 56 +71 13 11.7 +1.3
FC Santa Coloma 929 55 -4 12 12.3 -0.3
Encamp 528 38 -92 6 10.0 -4.0
Inter Club d Escaldes 482 35 -17 7 8.0 -1.0
SC Engordany 278 25 -140 4 4.3 -0.3
Engolasters 359 24 +144 10 8.6 +1.4
Benito 510 23 +395 13 6.5 +6.5
Magatzems Lima -41 22 -399 1 5.7 -4.7
Sant Julia 186 20 +17 3 3.0 +0.0
Veterans Andorra 169 12 -54 4 4.3 -0.3
Valira -28 6 +61 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEN ENC ENG FSC ICDE ML PRI SE SJ VAL VA
Benito —
0-0-2
0.77
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
0.71
1-0-1
1.20
0-1-1
1.31
0-0-2
0.79
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
1.21
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.49
Encamp
2-0-0
4.97
—
1-1-0
4.48
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
4.14
0-1-1
1.30
1-1-0
5.02
1-0-1
4.97
2-0-0
5.28
2-0-0
5.19
Engolasters
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
1.25
—
0-0-2
0.53
1-0-1
1.09
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
0.53
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
2.50
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.10
FC Santa Coloma
2-0-0
5.03
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
5.21
—
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.85
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
4.98
2-0-0
5.32
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
5.39
Inter Club d Escaldes
1-0-1
4.54
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
4.64
0-0-2
1.39
—
1-1-0
3.76
0-0-2
0.93
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
3.45
Magatzems Lima
1-1-0
4.42
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
1.97
—
0-0-2
0.57
0-1-1
3.38
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
4.98
1-0-1
4.47
Principat
2-0-0
4.96
1-1-0
4.43
2-0-0
5.21
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
5.19
—
2-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
5.48
2-0-0
5.37
SC Engordany
1-0-1
4.17
0-1-1
0.72
2-0-0
3.78
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
0.75
—
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
4.49
Sant Julia
1-0-1
4.53
1-0-1
0.77
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
0.43
0-0-2
1.17
0-0-2
2.94
0-0-2
0.80
1-1-0
2.28
—
2-0-0
4.44
1-0-1
3.39
Valira
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
0.68
1-0-1
0.76
0-0-2
0.29
0-0-2
2.90
0-0-2
1.29
—
1-0-1
2.71
Veterans Andorra
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
0.56
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
0.36
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.26
0-0-2
0.38
0-1-1
1.24
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.02
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +5.5
Allowed 0.89 -6.3
Differential 0.97 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.82%5.45%4.55%4.09%2.73%6.82%25.45%
15.45%8.18%4.55%1.82%0.91%4.55%25.45%
24.55%4.55%1.82%1.82%2.73%2.73%18.18%
34.09%1.82%1.82%0.91%—0.91%9.55%
42.73%0.91%2.73%———6.36%
5+6.82%4.55%2.73%0.91%——15.00%
Total25.45%25.45%18.18%9.55%6.36%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.19 +0.00
SD 2.41 2.41 3.92
CV 1.10 1.10 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 110

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%35.00%
110.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%—5.00%35.00%
2—5.00%——5.00%—10.00%
35.00%—————5.00%
4———————
5+5.00%—5.00%5.00%——15.00%
Total20.00%20.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.60 -1.10
SD 1.85 2.39 3.42
CV 1.23 0.92 —
Max 6 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.00%———5.00%
110.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%——30.00%
25.00%—10.00%——5.00%20.00%
310.00%——5.00%——15.00%
45.00%—5.00%———10.00%
5+5.00%10.00%5.00%———20.00%
Total35.00%20.00%30.00%10.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.85 1.35 +1.50
SD 2.18 1.35 2.74
CV 0.77 1.00 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%5.00%—5.00%30.00%
1—10.00%5.00%——10.00%25.00%
25.00%5.00%5.00%—5.00%—20.00%
35.00%10.00%5.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+5.00%—————5.00%
Total15.00%35.00%25.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.25 -0.75
SD 1.40 2.29 3.13
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%————10.00%
15.00%—————5.00%
2—10.00%————10.00%
315.00%—————15.00%
410.00%—————10.00%
5+25.00%10.00%15.00%———50.00%
Total60.00%25.00%15.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.95 0.55 +4.40
SD 3.49 0.76 3.55
CV 0.70 1.38 —
Max 12 2 +12
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%—5.00%——20.00%
115.00%—10.00%——10.00%35.00%
25.00%10.00%5.00%———20.00%
35.00%5.00%————10.00%
45.00%5.00%————10.00%
5+—5.00%————5.00%
Total35.00%35.00%15.00%5.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.40 +0.30
SD 1.45 1.82 2.58
CV 0.86 1.30 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%15.00%5.00%15.00%—5.00%45.00%
15.00%15.00%5.00%———25.00%
25.00%5.00%———5.00%15.00%
3——5.00%———5.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+5.00%—————5.00%
Total20.00%35.00%20.00%15.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.95 -0.75
SD 1.61 2.28 2.90
CV 1.34 1.17 —
Max 6 10 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—————5.00%
110.00%5.00%————15.00%
210.00%10.00%————20.00%
35.00%—————5.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+30.00%20.00%————50.00%
Total60.00%35.00%5.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.45 0.45 +4.00
SD 3.17 0.60 3.18
CV 0.71 1.34 —
Max 12 2 +12
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————15.00%15.00%
15.00%15.00%—5.00%—15.00%40.00%
2—5.00%——10.00%—15.00%
3——5.00%5.00%——10.00%
410.00%—5.00%———15.00%
5+—5.00%————5.00%
Total15.00%25.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 3.15 -1.30
SD 1.50 2.98 4.01
CV 0.81 0.95 —
Max 5 12 +4
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%15.00%5.00%——30.00%
1—10.00%——5.00%—15.00%
210.00%——5.00%5.00%10.00%30.00%
3—5.00%———5.00%10.00%
4——10.00%———10.00%
5+———5.00%——5.00%
Total10.00%25.00%25.00%15.00%10.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 2.70 -0.95
SD 1.65 2.41 2.68
CV 0.94 0.89 —
Max 6 10 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%—15.00%20.00%45.00%
1——20.00%——5.00%25.00%
2———5.00%5.00%10.00%20.00%
3———————
4—5.00%————5.00%
5+——5.00%———5.00%
Total—5.00%35.00%5.00%20.00%35.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 4.20 -2.85
SD 2.30 2.91 4.25
CV 1.70 0.69 —
Max 10 12 +8
Min 0 1 -12

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%—10.00%5.00%20.00%40.00%
1—15.00%—5.00%5.00%5.00%30.00%
210.00%——10.00%——20.00%
3——5.00%——5.00%10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%5.00%25.00%10.00%30.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 3.50 -2.50
SD 1.03 2.59 3.07
CV 1.03 0.74 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Principat 970 56 48.08 +7.92 98.0% 35 39 45 49 51 54 58
FC Santa Coloma 929 55 45.87 +9.13 99.0% 35 39 42 46 49 53 57
Encamp 528 38 41.00 -3.00 31.0% 27 33 38 41 44 49 51
Benito 510 23 16.07 +6.93 90.0% 6 10 13 15 18 25 30
Inter Club d Escaldes 482 35 35.15 -0.15 54.0% 23 28 31 35 39 42 48
Engolasters 359 24 21.44 +2.56 71.0% 12 14 18 21 25 29 32
SC Engordany 278 25 25.59 -0.59 51.0% 13 16 23 25 29 33 42
Sant Julia 186 20 23.40 -3.40 35.0% 12 15 19 24 27 32 34
Veterans Andorra 169 12 16.83 -4.83 16.0% 7 10 14 16 20 24 27
Valira -28 6 14.04 -8.04 4.0% 2 7 11 14 17 21 29
Magatzems Lima -41 22 27.75 -5.75 14.0% 18 19 24 28 31 35 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -2.5% * Slight Edge: -2.5% to 0% * Clear Edge: 0% to 6% * Strong Edge: 6% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-1.82%
Slight Edge
42.73%12.73%44.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -6.32 Elo pts.
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.27 goals
Road-Tilted
-2-0.04+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Principat, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.82 * Some Luck: 3.82 to 5.73 * Lucky: 5.73 to 7.63 * Wild Swing: 7.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.12 * Off: 1.12 to 1.5 * Way Off: 1.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.58 points
Some Luck
04.7712
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.09
Close
00.932
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
99.00%
FC Santa Coloma
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
4.00%
Valira
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.1 * Moderate Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Strong Separation: 2.35 to 2.5 * Wide Separation: 2.5 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 83.5% * Slight Edge: 83.5% to 89% * Clear Edge: 89% to 94% * Wide Edge: 94% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98.5% * Strong Edge: 98.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 40.5% * Some Drama: 40.5% to 45.5% * Frequent: 45.5% to 53% * Very Frequent: 53% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28% * Occasional: 28% to 33.5% * Frequent: 33.5% to 41.5% * Very Frequent: 41.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 336.58
2.53
Wide Separation
12.12.353.25
Interquartile Edge
88%
Slight Edge
50%83.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
36%
Few
0%30%100%
Blowouts
Expected
45%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.49 * Slight Separation: 0.49 to 0.54 * Notable Separation: 0.54 to 0.6 * Lopsided: 0.6 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.56 * Some Carryover: 0.56 to 0.76 * Strong Carryover: 0.76 to 0.86 * Near-Lock: 0.86 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15.5% * Very Shaky: 15.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.41
Highly Predictable
00.432
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.52
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.32
Weak Carryover
00.560.761
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Principat57.00%31.00%10.00%2.00%———————
FC Santa Coloma35.00%44.00%17.00%4.00%———————
Encamp8.00%23.00%49.00%18.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Inter Club d Escaldes—2.00%19.00%58.00%16.00%5.00%—————
SC Engordany——2.00%6.00%20.00%31.00%21.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%—
Engolasters————5.00%20.00%23.00%23.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%
Benito————1.00%3.00%4.00%15.00%25.00%28.00%24.00%
Magatzems Lima——3.00%7.00%40.00%19.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%——
Sant Julia———5.00%16.00%15.00%23.00%19.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%
Veterans Andorra————1.00%4.00%9.00%18.00%21.00%25.00%22.00%
Valira—————2.00%3.00%5.00%15.00%28.00%47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Benito 100%
Encamp 100%
Engolasters 100%
FC Santa Coloma 100%
Inter Club d Escaldes 100%
Magatzems Lima 100%
Principat 100%
SC Engordany 100%
Sant Julia 100%
Valira 100%
Veterans Andorra 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1997-10-07 Principat L 1-930.7 333 551 17.61% 13.36% 69.03%-1.56 -99.4 0
1997-10-07 @ Benito W 9-130.7 551 333 69.03% 13.36% 17.61%+1.56 +99.4 3
1997-10-07 Encamp L 1-635.5 333 466 25.93% 13.45% 60.62%-0.97 -91.7 0
1997-10-07 @ Engolasters W 6-135.5 466 333 60.62% 13.45% 25.93%+0.97 +91.7 3
1997-10-07 Veterans Andorra W 4-044.1 324 475 23.93% 13.43% 62.63%-1.10 +199.4 3
1997-10-07 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-444.1 475 324 62.63% 13.43% 23.93%+1.10 -199.4 0
1997-10-07 Sant Julia L 2-450.8 419 339 54.25% 13.48% 32.27%+0.51 -70.8 0
1997-10-07 @ SC Engordany W 4-250.8 339 419 32.27% 13.48% 54.25%-0.51 +70.9 3
1997-10-07 FC Santa Coloma L 0-435.1 333 411 32.49% 13.48% 54.02%-0.59 -110.1 0
1997-10-07 @ Valira W 4-035.1 411 333 54.02% 13.48% 32.49%+0.59 +110.1 3
1997-10-14 Sant Julia L 0-234.1 234 410 21.34% 13.41% 65.25%-1.27 -39.6 0
1997-10-14 @ Benito W 2-034.1 410 234 65.25% 13.41% 21.34%+1.27 +39.6 6
1997-10-14 Encamp W 2-146.5 521 558 38.15% 13.50% 48.35%-0.30 +41.1 6
1997-10-14 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-246.5 558 521 48.35% 13.50% 38.15%+0.30 -41.1 3
1997-10-14 SC Engordany D 1-154.6 357 349 44.47% 13.50% 42.03%+0.02 -0.5 1
1997-10-14 @ Magatzems Lima D 1-154.6 349 357 42.03% 13.50% 44.47%-0.02 +0.5 1
1997-10-14 Engolasters W 7-128.6 650 241 80.36% 13.02% 6.62%+2.80 +29.7 6
1997-10-14 @ Principat L 1-728.6 241 650 6.62% 13.02% 80.36%-2.80 -29.7 0
1997-10-14 Valira L 1-445.1 276 223 50.70% 13.49% 35.81%+0.33 -105.2 0
1997-10-14 @ Veterans Andorra W 4-145.1 223 276 35.81% 13.49% 50.70%-0.33 +105.2 3
1997-10-21 Magatzems Lima W 1-035.9 516 357 63.55% 13.43% 23.02%+1.07 +22.5 6
1997-10-21 @ Encamp L 0-135.9 357 516 23.02% 13.43% 63.55%-1.07 -22.5 1
1997-10-21 Engolasters L 1-254.6 524 212 75.79% 13.22% 11.00%+2.13 -64.0 3
1997-10-21 @ Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-154.6 212 524 11.00% 13.22% 75.79%-2.13 +64.0 3
1997-10-21 Principat L 0-133.9 450 680 16.59% 13.35% 70.06%-1.64 -16.6 6
1997-10-21 @ Sant Julia W 1-033.9 680 450 70.06% 13.35% 16.59%+1.64 +16.6 9
1997-10-21 Veterans Andorra D 1-154.6 349 171 65.41% 13.41% 21.19%+1.20 -9.6 2
1997-10-21 @ SC Engordany D 1-154.6 171 349 21.19% 13.41% 65.41%-1.20 +9.6 1
1997-10-21 Benito L 2-551.4 328 194 60.77% 13.45% 25.78%+0.89 -108.2 3
1997-10-21 @ Valira W 5-251.4 194 328 25.78% 13.45% 60.77%-0.89 +108.2 3
1997-10-28 FC Santa Coloma L 0-429.5 302 563 14.28% 13.30% 72.42%-1.86 -51.6 3
1997-10-28 @ Benito W 4-029.5 563 302 72.42% 13.30% 14.28%+1.86 +51.6 9
1997-10-28 SC Engordany L 2-444.8 276 339 34.39% 13.49% 52.12%-0.49 -47.2 3
1997-10-28 @ Engolasters W 4-244.8 339 276 52.12% 13.49% 34.39%+0.49 +47.2 5
1997-10-28 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-137.0 334 460 26.74% 13.45% 59.81%-0.92 -25.8 1
1997-10-28 @ Magatzems Lima W 1-037.0 460 334 59.81% 13.45% 26.74%+0.92 +25.8 6
1997-10-28 Valira W 4-239.9 433 220 68.65% 13.37% 17.98%+1.44 +26.2 9
1997-10-28 @ Sant Julia L 2-439.9 220 433 17.98% 13.37% 68.65%-1.44 -26.2 3
1997-10-28 Principat L 0-525.4 181 696 3.70% 12.74% 83.55%-3.63 -17.0 1
1997-10-28 @ Veterans Andorra W 5-025.4 696 181 83.55% 12.74% 3.70%+3.63 +17.0 12
1997-11-04 Benito W 6-027.6 539 250 74.33% 13.26% 12.41%+1.96 +66.1 9
1997-11-04 @ Encamp L 0-627.6 250 539 12.41% 13.26% 74.33%-1.96 -66.1 3
1997-11-04 Engolasters W 3-028.5 614 228 79.45% 13.07% 7.48%+2.64 +21.2 12
1997-11-04 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-328.5 228 614 7.48% 13.07% 79.45%-2.64 -21.2 3
1997-11-04 SC Engordany W 6-026.9 713 387 76.60% 13.19% 10.21%+2.23 +54.8 15
1997-11-04 @ Principat L 0-626.9 387 713 10.21% 13.19% 76.60%-2.23 -54.8 5
1997-11-04 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-235.5 194 486 12.20% 13.25% 74.55%-2.08 -11.7 3
1997-11-04 @ Valira W 2-135.5 486 194 74.55% 13.25% 12.20%+2.08 +11.7 9
1997-11-04 Magatzems Lima L 2-342.8 163 308 24.62% 13.44% 61.94%-1.05 -21.4 1
1997-11-04 @ Veterans Andorra W 3-242.8 308 163 61.94% 13.44% 24.62%+1.05 +21.4 4
1997-11-11 Veterans Andorra W 3-141.3 207 142 52.27% 13.49% 34.24%+0.41 +52.6 6
1997-11-11 @ Engolasters L 1-341.3 142 207 34.24% 13.49% 52.27%-0.41 -52.6 1
1997-11-11 Sant Julia W 1-047.0 330 459 26.30% 13.45% 60.25%-0.95 +53.6 7
1997-11-11 @ Magatzems Lima L 0-147.0 459 330 60.25% 13.45% 26.30%+0.95 -53.6 9
1997-11-11 Inter Club d Escaldes W 2-136.0 768 497 73.15% 13.29% 13.57%+1.84 +13.0 18
1997-11-11 @ Principat L 1-236.0 497 768 13.57% 13.29% 73.15%-1.84 -13.0 9
1997-11-11 FC Santa Coloma L 1-532.2 332 635 11.49% 13.23% 75.27%-2.16 -35.0 5
1997-11-11 @ SC Engordany W 5-132.2 635 332 75.27% 13.23% 11.49%+2.16 +35.0 15
1997-11-11 Encamp L 0-427.0 182 605 6.13% 12.99% 80.89%-2.99 -22.8 3
1997-11-11 @ Valira W 4-027.0 605 182 80.89% 12.99% 6.13%+2.99 +22.8 12
1997-11-18 Magatzems Lima L 0-629.6 184 383 19.23% 13.38% 67.38%-1.43 -100.0 3
1997-11-18 @ Benito W 6-029.6 383 184 67.38% 13.38% 19.23%+1.43 +100.0 10
1997-11-18 Principat L 0-234.8 628 781 23.71% 13.43% 62.86%-1.11 -43.7 12
1997-11-18 @ Encamp W 2-034.8 781 628 62.86% 13.43% 23.71%+1.11 +43.7 21
1997-11-18 Veterans Andorra W 7-024.1 670 89 84.87% 12.55% 2.58%+4.00 +16.3 18
1997-11-18 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-724.1 89 670 2.58% 12.55% 84.87%-4.00 -16.3 1
1997-11-18 SC Engordany W 5-134.9 484 297 66.31% 13.40% 20.29%+1.26 +59.8 12
1997-11-18 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-534.9 297 484 20.29% 13.40% 66.31%-1.26 -59.8 5
1997-11-18 Engolasters D 1-154.6 406 260 62.07% 13.44% 24.50%+0.97 -8.1 10
1997-11-18 @ Sant Julia D 1-154.6 260 406 24.50% 13.44% 62.07%-0.97 +8.1 7
1997-11-25 SC Engordany L 0-432.4 84 237 23.77% 13.43% 62.80%-1.11 -83.0 3
1997-11-25 @ Benito W 4-032.4 237 84 62.80% 13.43% 23.77%+1.11 +83.0 8
1997-11-25 Sant Julia W 3-033.7 544 397 62.15% 13.44% 24.41%+0.98 +65.1 15
1997-11-25 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-333.7 397 544 24.41% 13.44% 62.15%-0.98 -65.1 10
1997-11-25 FC Santa Coloma L 0-134.6 483 687 18.83% 13.38% 67.79%-1.46 -18.7 10
1997-11-25 @ Magatzems Lima W 1-034.6 687 483 67.79% 13.38% 18.83%+1.46 +18.7 21
1997-11-25 Valira W 6-024.0 825 159 86.12% 12.27% 1.61%+4.59 +8.8 24
1997-11-25 @ Principat L 0-624.0 159 825 1.61% 12.27% 86.12%-4.59 -8.8 3
1997-11-25 Encamp L 0-327.3 73 584 3.80% 12.76% 83.45%-3.60 -10.9 1
1997-11-25 @ Veterans Andorra W 3-027.3 584 73 83.45% 12.76% 3.80%+3.60 +10.9 15
1997-12-02 Benito W 3-135.1 268 1 72.84% 13.29% 13.86%+1.81 +22.9 10
1997-12-02 @ Engolasters L 1-335.1 1 268 13.86% 13.29% 72.84%-1.81 -22.9 3
1997-12-02 Inter Club d Escaldes W 3-035.5 705 609 56.27% 13.47% 30.26%+0.63 +79.1 24
1997-12-02 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-335.5 609 705 30.26% 13.47% 56.27%-0.63 -79.1 15
1997-12-02 Veterans Andorra W 6-339.6 332 62 73.10% 13.29% 13.61%+1.84 +25.5 13
1997-12-02 @ Sant Julia L 3-639.6 62 332 13.61% 13.29% 73.10%-1.84 -25.5 1
1997-12-02 Encamp L 2-438.4 320 595 13.28% 13.28% 73.44%-1.96 -19.7 8
1997-12-02 @ SC Engordany W 4-238.4 595 320 73.44% 13.28% 13.28%+1.96 +19.7 18
1997-12-02 Magatzems Lima L 1-235.1 150 465 10.89% 13.21% 75.90%-2.23 -10.5 3
1997-12-02 @ Valira W 2-135.1 465 150 75.90% 13.21% 10.89%+2.23 +10.5 13
1997-12-09 Sant Julia W 2-032.0 615 358 72.15% 13.31% 14.54%+1.74 +27.7 21
1997-12-09 @ Encamp L 0-232.0 358 615 14.54% 13.31% 72.15%-1.74 -27.7 13
1997-12-09 Principat D 0-052.1 784 834 36.38% 13.49% 50.13%-0.39 +3.2 25
1997-12-09 @ FC Santa Coloma D 0-052.1 834 784 50.13% 13.49% 36.38%+0.39 -3.2 25
1997-12-09 Benito W 1-029.6 530 -22 84.33% 12.64% 3.03%+3.80 +3.2 18
1997-12-09 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-129.6 -22 530 3.03% 12.64% 84.33%-3.80 -3.2 3
1997-12-09 Engolasters W 2-033.8 475 291 66.01% 13.40% 20.59%+1.24 +38.4 16
1997-12-09 @ Magatzems Lima L 0-233.8 291 475 20.59% 13.40% 66.01%-1.24 -38.3 10
1997-12-09 Valira W 5-135.7 300 140 63.62% 13.42% 22.96%+1.07 +67.0 11
1997-12-09 @ SC Engordany L 1-535.7 140 300 22.96% 13.42% 63.62%-1.07 -67.0 3
1997-12-16 Inter Club d Escaldes W 1-037.6 642 533 57.84% 13.47% 28.69%+0.71 +27.5 24
1997-12-16 @ Encamp L 0-137.6 533 642 28.69% 13.47% 57.84%-0.71 -27.5 18
1997-12-16 Valira W 3-241.8 252 73 65.54% 13.41% 21.06%+1.21 +18.6 13
1997-12-16 @ Engolasters L 2-341.8 73 252 21.06% 13.41% 65.54%-1.21 -18.6 3
1997-12-16 Magatzems Lima W 3-029.6 830 513 76.06% 13.21% 10.73%+2.16 +30.1 28
1997-12-16 @ Principat L 0-329.6 513 830 10.73% 13.21% 76.06%-2.16 -30.1 16
1997-12-16 FC Santa Coloma L 2-1027.9 330 788 5.09% 12.90% 82.01%-3.23 -24.5 13
1997-12-16 @ Sant Julia W 10-227.9 788 330 82.01% 12.90% 5.09%+3.23 +24.5 28
1997-12-16 Benito D 1-154.6 37 -25 51.80% 13.49% 34.71%+0.38 -3.6 2
1997-12-16 @ Veterans Andorra D 1-154.6 -25 37 34.71% 13.49% 51.80%-0.38 +3.6 4
1998-02-22 Engolasters D 2-258.1 670 271 79.99% 13.04% 6.97%+2.73 -12.4 25
1998-02-22 @ Encamp D 2-258.1 271 670 6.97% 13.04% 79.99%-2.73 +12.4 14
1998-02-22 Valira W 11-023.4 812 54 87.10% 11.94% 0.96%+5.23 +9.3 31
1998-02-22 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-1123.4 54 812 0.96% 11.94% 87.10%-5.23 -9.3 3
1998-02-22 Benito W 4-234.0 860 -21 88.08% 11.44% 0.48%+6.09 +0.7 31
1998-02-22 @ Principat L 2-434.0 -21 860 0.48% 11.44% 88.08%-6.09 -0.7 4
1998-02-22 SC Engordany D 1-154.6 306 367 34.68% 13.49% 51.83%-0.47 +3.6 14
1998-02-22 @ Sant Julia D 1-154.6 367 306 51.83% 13.49% 34.68%+0.47 -3.6 12
1998-02-22 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-130.2 33 506 4.68% 12.86% 82.46%-3.33 -4.9 2
1998-02-22 @ Veterans Andorra W 1-030.2 506 33 82.46% 12.86% 4.68%+3.33 +4.9 21
1998-03-01 FC Santa Coloma L 2-540.0 657 821 22.60% 13.42% 63.98%-1.19 -44.3 25
1998-03-01 @ Encamp W 5-240.0 821 657 63.98% 13.42% 22.60%+1.19 +44.3 34
1998-03-01 Principat L 1-232.5 283 861 2.63% 12.56% 84.81%-4.06 -2.6 14
1998-03-01 @ Engolasters W 2-132.5 861 283 84.81% 12.56% 2.63%+4.06 +2.6 34
1998-03-01 Benito L 3-658.6 309 -22 76.85% 13.18% 9.97%+2.26 -127.5 14
1998-03-01 @ Sant Julia W 6-358.6 -22 309 9.97% 13.18% 76.85%-2.26 +127.5 7
1998-03-01 Magatzems Lima W 2-149.7 364 483 27.46% 13.46% 59.08%-0.88 +49.6 15
1998-03-01 @ SC Engordany L 1-249.7 483 364 59.08% 13.46% 27.46%+0.88 -49.6 16
1998-03-01 Veterans Andorra L 0-241.4 45 28 45.65% 13.50% 40.85%+0.07 -78.2 3
1998-03-01 @ Valira W 2-041.4 28 45 40.85% 13.50% 45.65%-0.07 +78.2 5
1998-03-08 Valira W 2-139.5 106 -33 61.28% 13.44% 25.28%+0.92 +23.1 10
1998-03-08 @ Benito L 1-239.5 -33 106 25.28% 13.44% 61.28%-0.92 -23.1 3
1998-03-08 Inter Club d Escaldes L 0-232.6 281 511 16.59% 13.35% 70.06%-1.64 -31.4 14
1998-03-08 @ Engolasters W 2-032.6 511 281 70.06% 13.35% 16.59%+1.64 +31.3 24
1998-03-08 Encamp D 1-154.6 434 613 21.05% 13.41% 65.54%-1.29 +9.7 17
1998-03-08 @ Magatzems Lima D 1-154.6 613 434 65.54% 13.41% 21.05%+1.29 -9.7 26
1998-03-08 Sant Julia W 2-027.7 864 182 86.31% 12.21% 1.47%+4.70 +2.9 37
1998-03-08 @ Principat L 0-227.7 182 864 1.47% 12.21% 86.31%-4.70 -2.9 14
1998-03-08 SC Engordany L 2-338.8 106 413 11.29% 13.23% 75.48%-2.18 -10.3 5
1998-03-08 @ Veterans Andorra W 3-238.8 413 106 75.48% 13.23% 11.29%+2.18 +10.3 18
1998-03-15 Benito W 2-131.8 866 129 86.90% 12.01% 1.08%+5.09 +1.1 37
1998-03-15 @ FC Santa Coloma L 1-231.8 129 866 1.08% 12.01% 86.90%-5.09 -1.1 10
1998-03-15 Magatzems Lima D 0-052.1 542 443 56.58% 13.47% 29.94%+0.64 -6.3 25
1998-03-15 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 0-052.1 443 542 29.94% 13.47% 56.58%-0.64 +6.3 18
1998-03-15 Veterans Andorra W 7-023.4 867 96 87.22% 11.89% 0.90%+5.32 +5.6 40
1998-03-15 @ Principat L 0-723.4 96 867 0.90% 11.89% 87.22%-5.32 -5.6 5
1998-03-15 Engolasters W 1-035.4 424 249 65.02% 13.41% 21.56%+1.17 +21.2 21
1998-03-15 @ SC Engordany L 0-135.4 249 424 21.56% 13.41% 65.02%-1.17 -21.2 14
1998-03-15 Sant Julia L 0-232.5 -56 179 16.17% 13.34% 70.49%-1.68 -30.6 3
1998-03-15 @ Valira W 2-032.5 179 -56 70.49% 13.34% 16.17%+1.68 +30.6 17
1998-03-22 Encamp L 0-327.6 128 603 4.61% 12.85% 82.54%-3.36 -13.2 10
1998-03-22 @ Benito W 3-027.6 603 128 82.54% 12.85% 4.61%+3.36 +13.1 29
1998-03-22 FC Santa Coloma L 0-823.7 228 867 1.87% 12.36% 85.76%-4.49 -13.4 14
1998-03-22 @ Engolasters W 8-023.7 867 228 85.76% 12.36% 1.87%+4.49 +13.4 40
1998-03-22 Valira W 2-132.2 536 -87 85.54% 12.42% 2.05%+4.29 +2.0 28
1998-03-22 @ Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-232.2 -87 536 2.05% 12.42% 85.54%-4.29 -2.0 3
1998-03-22 Veterans Andorra L 0-251.0 450 90 78.26% 13.13% 8.61%+2.46 -132.4 18
1998-03-22 @ Magatzems Lima W 2-051.0 90 450 8.61% 13.13% 78.26%-2.46 +132.4 8
1998-03-22 Principat L 1-728.4 445 872 5.99% 12.98% 81.03%-3.02 -26.9 21
1998-03-22 @ SC Engordany W 7-128.4 872 445 81.03% 12.98% 5.99%+3.02 +26.9 43
1998-03-29 Valira W 6-231.7 617 -89 86.58% 12.13% 1.29%+4.87 +3.4 32
1998-03-29 @ Encamp L 2-631.7 -89 617 1.29% 12.13% 86.58%-4.87 -3.4 3
1998-03-29 SC Engordany W 12-025.0 880 418 82.15% 12.89% 4.96%+3.17 +52.5 43
1998-03-29 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-1225.0 418 880 4.96% 12.89% 82.15%-3.17 -52.5 21
1998-03-29 Principat L 1-729.2 538 899 8.51% 13.12% 78.36%-2.56 -37.9 28
1998-03-29 @ Inter Club d Escaldes W 7-129.2 899 538 78.36% 13.12% 8.51%+2.56 +37.9 46
1998-03-29 Magatzems Lima L 2-443.2 210 317 28.85% 13.47% 57.69%-0.79 -40.4 17
1998-03-29 @ Sant Julia W 4-243.2 317 210 57.69% 13.47% 28.85%+0.79 +40.4 21
1998-03-29 Engolasters D 1-154.6 223 215 44.41% 13.50% 42.09%+0.01 -0.5 9
1998-03-29 @ Veterans Andorra D 1-154.6 215 223 42.09% 13.50% 44.41%-0.01 +0.5 15
1998-04-05 Sant Julia W 2-038.7 215 169 49.73% 13.49% 36.78%+0.28 +64.7 18
1998-04-05 @ Engolasters L 0-238.7 169 215 36.78% 13.49% 49.73%-0.28 -64.7 17
1998-04-05 Benito D 1-154.6 358 115 71.12% 13.33% 15.56%+1.65 -12.3 22
1998-04-05 @ Magatzems Lima D 1-154.6 115 358 15.56% 13.33% 71.12%-1.65 +12.3 11
1998-04-05 Encamp D 1-154.7 937 620 76.07% 13.21% 10.73%+2.16 -14.7 47
1998-04-05 @ Principat D 1-154.7 620 937 10.73% 13.21% 76.07%-2.16 +14.8 33
1998-04-05 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-338.7 366 500 25.77% 13.45% 60.78%-0.98 -40.8 21
1998-04-05 @ SC Engordany W 3-138.7 500 366 60.78% 13.45% 25.77%+0.98 +40.8 31
1998-04-05 FC Santa Coloma L 0-823.4 222 933 1.25% 12.11% 86.63%-4.99 -9.0 9
1998-04-05 @ Veterans Andorra W 8-023.4 933 222 86.63% 12.11% 1.25%+4.99 +9.0 46
1998-04-19 Veterans Andorra W 8-127.7 635 213 80.83% 12.99% 6.19%+2.89 +32.1 36
1998-04-19 @ Encamp L 1-827.7 213 635 6.19% 12.99% 80.83%-2.89 -32.1 9
1998-04-19 Magatzems Lima W 3-026.8 942 345 85.13% 12.50% 2.37%+4.11 +6.8 49
1998-04-19 @ FC Santa Coloma L 0-326.8 345 942 2.37% 12.50% 85.13%-4.11 -6.8 22
1998-04-19 Inter Club d Escaldes L 1-431.5 104 541 5.71% 12.95% 81.34%-3.08 -13.7 17
1998-04-19 @ Sant Julia W 4-131.5 541 104 81.34% 12.95% 5.71%+3.08 +13.7 34
1998-04-19 Benito L 0-544.6 325 127 67.28% 13.39% 19.33%+1.33 -264.2 21
1998-04-19 @ SC Engordany W 5-044.6 127 325 19.33% 13.39% 67.28%-1.33 +264.1 14
1998-04-19 Principat L 0-1223.0 -92 922 0.23% 10.86% 88.91%-7.10 -2.3 3
1998-04-19 @ Valira W 12-023.0 922 -92 88.91% 10.86% 0.23%+7.10 +2.3 50
1998-04-26 Engolasters W 1-037.5 391 280 58.08% 13.46% 28.45%+0.73 +27.3 17
1998-04-26 @ Benito L 0-137.5 280 391 28.45% 13.46% 58.08%-0.73 -27.3 18
1998-04-26 SC Engordany D 3-361.7 667 61 85.29% 12.47% 2.24%+4.18 -11.9 37
1998-04-26 @ Encamp D 3-361.7 61 667 2.24% 12.47% 85.29%-4.18 +11.9 22
1998-04-26 FC Santa Coloma L 1-530.8 554 949 7.15% 13.05% 79.80%-2.79 -22.1 34
1998-04-26 @ Inter Club d Escaldes W 5-130.8 949 554 79.80% 13.05% 7.15%+2.79 +22.1 52
1998-04-26 Sant Julia W 3-244.7 181 91 55.58% 13.48% 30.94%+0.59 +26.3 12
1998-04-26 @ Veterans Andorra L 2-344.7 91 181 30.94% 13.48% 55.58%-0.59 -26.3 17
1998-04-29 Valira L 2-1050.8 339 -95 81.24% 12.96% 5.80%+2.97 -337.4 22
1998-04-29 @ Magatzems Lima W 10-250.8 -95 339 5.80% 12.96% 81.24%-2.97 +337.4 6
1998-05-03 Inter Club d Escaldes W 1-046.5 418 532 28.12% 13.46% 58.42%-0.84 +52.1 20
1998-05-03 @ Benito L 0-146.5 532 418 58.42% 13.46% 28.12%+0.84 -52.1 34
1998-05-03 Magatzems Lima W 3-030.8 253 1 71.75% 13.32% 14.93%+1.71 +41.2 21
1998-05-03 @ Engolasters L 0-330.8 1 253 14.93% 13.32% 71.75%-1.71 -41.2 22
1998-05-03 FC Santa Coloma W 1-043.9 925 971 36.79% 13.49% 49.72%-0.36 +44.7 53
1998-05-03 @ Principat L 0-143.9 971 925 49.72% 13.49% 36.79%+0.36 -44.8 52
1998-05-03 Encamp W 3-156.2 64 655 2.45% 12.52% 85.03%-4.15 +125.0 20
1998-05-03 @ Sant Julia L 1-356.2 655 64 85.03% 12.52% 2.45%+4.15 -125.0 37
1998-05-03 SC Engordany L 0-444.7 243 72 64.62% 13.42% 21.96%+1.14 -205.7 6
1998-05-03 @ Valira W 4-044.7 72 243 21.96% 13.42% 64.62%-1.14 +205.7 25
1998-05-10 Veterans Andorra W 3-030.6 470 208 72.58% 13.30% 14.12%+1.78 +39.1 23
1998-05-10 @ Benito L 0-330.6 208 470 14.12% 13.30% 72.58%-1.78 -39.1 12
1998-05-10 Sant Julia W 6-231.6 926 189 86.90% 12.02% 1.08%+5.08 +2.9 55
1998-05-10 @ FC Santa Coloma L 2-631.6 189 926 1.08% 12.02% 86.90%-5.08 -2.8 20
1998-05-10 Encamp D 2-257.9 480 530 36.28% 13.49% 50.23%-0.39 +2.2 35
1998-05-10 @ Inter Club d Escaldes D 2-257.9 530 480 50.23% 13.49% 36.28%+0.39 -2.2 38
1998-05-10 Principat L 0-523.8 -40 969 0.23% 10.89% 88.88%-7.07 -1.0 22
1998-05-10 @ Magatzems Lima W 5-023.8 969 -40 88.88% 10.89% 0.23%+7.07 +1.0 56
1998-05-10 Engolasters L 0-528.8 37 294 14.54% 13.31% 72.15%-1.83 -64.7 6
1998-05-10 @ Valira W 5-028.8 294 37 72.15% 13.31% 14.54%+1.83 +64.7 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-05-03 2.45% @ Sant Julia 64 3 Encamp 655 1
2 1998-04-29 5.80% Valira -95 10 @ Magatzems Lima 339 2
3 1998-03-22 8.61% Veterans Andorra 90 2 @ Magatzems Lima 450 0
4 1998-03-01 9.97% Benito -22 6 @ Sant Julia 309 3
5 1997-10-21 11.00% Engolasters 212 2 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 524 1
6 1998-04-19 19.33% Benito 127 5 @ SC Engordany 325 0
7 1998-05-03 21.96% SC Engordany 72 4 @ Valira 243 0
8 1997-10-07 23.93% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 324 4 Veterans Andorra 475 0
9 1997-10-21 25.78% Benito 194 5 @ Valira 328 2
10 1997-11-11 26.30% @ Magatzems Lima 330 1 Sant Julia 459 0
11 1998-03-01 27.46% @ SC Engordany 364 2 Magatzems Lima 483 1
12 1998-05-03 28.12% @ Benito 418 1 Inter Club d Escaldes 532 0
13 1997-10-07 32.27% Sant Julia 339 4 @ SC Engordany 419 2
14 1997-10-14 35.81% Valira 223 4 @ Veterans Andorra 276 1
15 1998-05-03 36.79% @ Principat 925 1 FC Santa Coloma 971 0
16 1997-10-14 38.15% @ FC Santa Coloma 521 2 Encamp 558 1
17 1998-03-01 40.85% Veterans Andorra 28 2 @ Valira 45 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-04-29 337.39 Valira 10 -95 5.80% @ Magatzems Lima 2 339 81.24% 12.96%
2 1998-04-19 264.15 Benito 5 127 19.33% @ SC Engordany 0 325 67.28% 13.39%
3 1998-05-03 205.74 SC Engordany 4 72 21.96% @ Valira 0 243 64.62% 13.42%
4 1997-10-07 199.40 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 4 324 23.93% Veterans Andorra 0 475 62.63% 13.43%
5 1998-03-22 132.38 Veterans Andorra 2 90 8.61% @ Magatzems Lima 0 450 78.26% 13.13%
6 1998-03-01 127.49 Benito 6 -22 9.97% @ Sant Julia 3 309 76.85% 13.18%
7 1998-05-03 124.97 @ Sant Julia 3 64 2.45% Encamp 1 655 85.03% 12.52%
8 1997-10-07 110.07 FC Santa Coloma 4 411 54.02% @ Valira 0 333 32.49% 13.48%
9 1997-10-21 108.19 Benito 5 194 25.78% @ Valira 2 328 60.77% 13.45%
10 1997-10-14 105.19 Valira 4 223 35.81% @ Veterans Andorra 1 276 50.70% 13.49%
11 1997-11-18 99.96 Magatzems Lima 6 383 67.38% @ Benito 0 184 19.23% 13.38%
12 1997-10-07 99.44 Principat 9 551 69.03% @ Benito 1 333 17.61% 13.36%
13 1997-10-07 91.71 Encamp 6 466 60.62% @ Engolasters 1 333 25.93% 13.45%
14 1997-11-25 83.01 SC Engordany 4 237 62.80% @ Benito 0 84 23.77% 13.43%
15 1997-12-02 79.06 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 705 56.27% Inter Club d Escaldes 0 609 30.26% 13.47%
16 1998-03-01 78.16 Veterans Andorra 2 28 40.85% @ Valira 0 45 45.65% 13.50%
17 1997-10-07 70.85 Sant Julia 4 339 32.27% @ SC Engordany 2 419 54.25% 13.48%
18 1997-12-09 67.01 @ SC Engordany 5 300 63.62% Valira 1 140 22.96% 13.42%
19 1997-11-04 66.13 @ Encamp 6 539 74.33% Benito 0 250 12.41% 13.26%
20 1997-11-25 65.12 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 3 544 62.15% Sant Julia 0 397 24.41% 13.44%
21 1998-05-10 64.74 Engolasters 5 294 72.15% @ Valira 0 37 14.54% 13.31%
22 1998-04-05 64.72 @ Engolasters 2 215 49.73% Sant Julia 0 169 36.78% 13.49%
23 1997-10-21 63.96 Engolasters 2 212 11.00% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 524 75.79% 13.22%
24 1997-11-18 59.80 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 5 484 66.31% SC Engordany 1 297 20.29% 13.40%
25 1997-11-04 54.82 @ Principat 6 713 76.60% SC Engordany 0 387 10.21% 13.19%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-04-26 61.7 @ Encamp 3 667 85.29% SC Engordany 3 61 2.24% 12.47%
2 1998-03-01 58.6 Benito 6 -22 9.97% @ Sant Julia 3 309 76.85% 13.18%
3 1998-02-22 58.1 @ Encamp 2 670 79.99% Engolasters 2 271 6.97% 13.04%
4 1998-05-10 57.9 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 2 480 36.28% Encamp 2 530 50.23% 13.49%
5 1998-05-03 56.2 @ Sant Julia 3 64 2.45% Encamp 1 655 85.03% 12.52%
6 1998-04-05 54.7 @ Principat 1 937 76.07% Encamp 1 620 10.73% 13.21%
7 1997-10-14 54.6 @ Magatzems Lima 1 357 44.47% SC Engordany 1 349 42.03% 13.50%
8 1997-10-21 54.6 Engolasters 2 212 11.00% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 524 75.79% 13.22%
9 1997-10-21 54.6 @ SC Engordany 1 349 65.41% Veterans Andorra 1 171 21.19% 13.41%
10 1997-11-18 54.6 @ Sant Julia 1 406 62.07% Engolasters 1 260 24.50% 13.44%
11 1997-12-16 54.6 @ Veterans Andorra 1 37 51.80% Benito 1 -25 34.71% 13.49%
12 1998-02-22 54.6 @ Sant Julia 1 306 34.68% SC Engordany 1 367 51.83% 13.49%
13 1998-03-08 54.6 @ Magatzems Lima 1 434 21.05% Encamp 1 613 65.54% 13.41%
14 1998-03-29 54.6 @ Veterans Andorra 1 223 44.41% Engolasters 1 215 42.09% 13.50%
15 1998-04-05 54.6 @ Magatzems Lima 1 358 71.12% Benito 1 115 15.56% 13.33%
16 1997-12-09 52.1 @ FC Santa Coloma 0 784 36.38% Principat 0 834 50.13% 13.49%
17 1998-03-15 52.1 @ Inter Club d Escaldes 0 542 56.58% Magatzems Lima 0 443 29.94% 13.47%
18 1997-10-21 51.4 Benito 5 194 25.78% @ Valira 2 328 60.77% 13.45%
19 1998-03-22 51.0 Veterans Andorra 2 90 8.61% @ Magatzems Lima 0 450 78.26% 13.13%
20 1997-10-07 50.8 Sant Julia 4 339 32.27% @ SC Engordany 2 419 54.25% 13.48%
21 1998-04-29 50.8 Valira 10 -95 5.80% @ Magatzems Lima 2 339 81.24% 12.96%
22 1998-03-01 49.7 @ SC Engordany 2 364 27.46% Magatzems Lima 1 483 59.08% 13.46%
23 1997-11-11 47.0 @ Magatzems Lima 1 330 26.30% Sant Julia 0 459 60.25% 13.45%
24 1997-10-14 46.5 @ FC Santa Coloma 2 521 38.15% Encamp 1 558 48.35% 13.50%
25 1998-05-03 46.5 @ Benito 1 418 28.12% Inter Club d Escaldes 0 532 58.42% 13.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-04-19 23.0 Principat 12 922 88.91% @ Valira 0 -92 0.23% 10.86%
2 1998-02-22 23.4 @ FC Santa Coloma 11 812 87.10% Valira 0 54 0.96% 11.94%
3 1998-03-15 23.4 @ Principat 7 867 87.22% Veterans Andorra 0 96 0.90% 11.89%
4 1998-04-05 23.4 FC Santa Coloma 8 933 86.63% @ Veterans Andorra 0 222 1.25% 12.11%
5 1998-03-22 23.7 FC Santa Coloma 8 867 85.76% @ Engolasters 0 228 1.87% 12.36%
6 1998-05-10 23.8 Principat 5 969 88.88% @ Magatzems Lima 0 -40 0.23% 10.89%
7 1997-11-25 24.0 @ Principat 6 825 86.12% Valira 0 159 1.61% 12.27%
8 1997-11-18 24.1 @ FC Santa Coloma 7 670 84.87% Veterans Andorra 0 89 2.58% 12.55%
9 1998-03-29 25.0 @ FC Santa Coloma 12 880 82.15% SC Engordany 0 418 4.96% 12.89%
10 1997-10-28 25.4 Principat 5 696 83.55% @ Veterans Andorra 0 181 3.70% 12.74%
11 1998-04-19 26.8 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 942 85.13% Magatzems Lima 0 345 2.37% 12.50%
12 1997-11-04 26.9 @ Principat 6 713 76.60% SC Engordany 0 387 10.21% 13.19%
13 1997-11-11 27.0 Encamp 4 605 80.89% @ Valira 0 182 6.13% 12.99%
14 1997-11-25 27.3 Encamp 3 584 83.45% @ Veterans Andorra 0 73 3.80% 12.76%
15 1997-11-04 27.6 @ Encamp 6 539 74.33% Benito 0 250 12.41% 13.26%
16 1998-03-22 27.6 Encamp 3 603 82.54% @ Benito 0 128 4.61% 12.85%
17 1998-03-08 27.7 @ Principat 2 864 86.31% Sant Julia 0 182 1.47% 12.21%
18 1998-04-19 27.7 @ Encamp 8 635 80.83% Veterans Andorra 1 213 6.19% 12.99%
19 1997-12-16 27.9 FC Santa Coloma 10 788 82.01% @ Sant Julia 2 330 5.09% 12.90%
20 1998-03-22 28.4 Principat 7 872 81.03% @ SC Engordany 1 445 5.99% 12.98%
21 1997-11-04 28.5 @ FC Santa Coloma 3 614 79.45% Engolasters 0 228 7.48% 13.07%
22 1997-10-14 28.6 @ Principat 7 650 80.36% Engolasters 1 241 6.62% 13.02%
23 1998-05-10 28.8 Engolasters 5 294 72.15% @ Valira 0 37 14.54% 13.31%
24 1998-03-29 29.2 Principat 7 899 78.36% @ Inter Club d Escaldes 1 538 8.51% 13.12%
25 1997-10-28 29.5 FC Santa Coloma 4 563 72.42% @ Benito 0 302 14.28% 13.30%