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1995-96 Armenian Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Pyunik

60 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pyunik

9.92 points above expected

60 points · 50.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aznavour

10.72 points below expected

2 points · 12.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Pyunik Champion 22 19 3 0 60 71 14 +57 50.08 +9.92
2 Shirak 22 16 3 3 51 67 23 +44 47.61 +3.39
3 Yerevan 22 13 5 4 44 43 24 +19 38.45 +5.55
4 Ararat 22 12 3 7 39 58 28 +30 43.18 -4.18
5 Araks Ararat 22 12 3 7 39 57 33 +24 36.31 +2.69
6 Kotayk 22 11 3 8 36 31 33 -2 31.55 +4.45
7 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 22 8 5 9 29 29 28 +1 31.42 -2.42
8 Van Yerevan 22 7 3 12 24 42 42 0 26.46 -2.46
9 Homenmen Yerevan FC 22 6 3 13 21 30 52 -22 20.97 +0.03
10 Zangezour 22 5 2 15 17 26 60 -34 16.62 +0.38
11 Aragats 22 4 3 15 15 35 89 -54 20.88 -5.88
12 Aznavour 22 0 2 20 2 19 82 -63 12.72 -10.72

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pyunik 60 50.08 +9.92
2 Yerevan 44 38.45 +5.55
3 Kotayk 36 31.55 +4.45
4 Shirak 51 47.61 +3.39
5 Araks Ararat 39 36.31 +2.69

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aznavour 2 12.72 -10.72
2 Aragats 15 20.88 -5.88
3 Ararat 39 43.18 -4.18
4 Van Yerevan 24 26.46 -2.46
5 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 29 31.42 -2.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pyunik 11 Sep 1 – Nov 23 1 in 153
2 Yerevan 7 Nov 23 – Feb 14 1 in 27
3 Araks Ararat 5 Nov 16 – Dec 14 1 in 17
4 Ararat 7 Sep 1 – Oct 19 1 in 13
5 Shirak 5 Oct 5 – Nov 9 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aznavour 12 Oct 5 – Jan 31 1 in 34
2 Aragats 8 Nov 16 – Jan 31 1 in 25
3 Yerevan 2 Feb 21 – Feb 28 1 in 20
4 Araks Ararat 3 Oct 5 – Oct 19 1 in 18
5 Ararat 2 Nov 16 – Nov 23 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pyunik 22 Sep 1 – Mar 21 1 in 38
2 Kotayk 5 Sep 22 – Oct 26 1 in 16
3 Homenmen Yerevan FC 3 Nov 9 – Nov 23 1 in 15
4 Zangezour 3 Nov 9 – Nov 23 1 in 10
5 Van Yerevan 4 Feb 14 – Mar 7 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 5 Oct 26 – Nov 30 1 in 42
2 Aznavour 22 Sep 1 – Mar 21 1 in 34
3 Aragats 14 Nov 9 – Mar 14 1 in 32
4 Yerevan 3 Oct 26 – Nov 16 1 in 25
5 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 6 Oct 19 – Nov 30 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Pyunik 1627 60 -13 11 13.0 -2.0
Shirak 1432 51 -70 7 9.6 -2.6
Yerevan 1301 44 -46 5 5.6 -0.6
Araks Ararat 1392 39 +102 10 7.1 +2.9
Ararat 1290 39 -38 9 10.4 -1.4
Kotayk 1205 36 -39 7 7.4 -0.4
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1207 29 -10 9 9.1 -0.1
Van Yerevan 1126 24 +93 10 7.0 +3.0
Homenmen Yerevan FC 1084 21 +25 6 6.2 -0.2
Zangezour 944 17 +1 6 4.4 +1.6
Aragats 765 15 -76 1 2.6 -1.6
Aznavour 717 2 -33 0 2.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARA AA ARA AZN HY KOT LAY PYU SHI VY YER ZAN
Aragats —
0-0-2
0.59
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
0.26
0-0-2
0.44
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.17
0-2-0
4.09
Araks Ararat
2-0-0
5.13
 —
2-0-0
1.75
2-0-0
4.56
1-0-1
4.54
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
1.25
0-0-2
1.59
1-1-0
4.34
1-0-1
1.86
2-0-0
4.63
Ararat
2-0-0
4.31
0-0-2
3.95
 —
2-0-0
5.35
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.97
0-1-1
4.41
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
4.40
0-0-2
3.51
2-0-0
5.00
Aznavour
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
0.39
 —
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-1
1.22
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
0.31
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.53
Homenmen Yerevan FC
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.16
0-0-2
1.21
2-0-0
4.21
 —
0-0-2
2.17
0-2-0
1.83
0-0-2
0.70
0-0-2
1.17
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
0.96
0-0-2
3.59
Kotayk
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.73
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.53
 —
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
3.88
0-1-1
1.35
2-0-0
4.23
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
1.30
2-0-0
5.09
0-2-0
3.86
0-0-2
2.62
 —
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.20
1-0-1
3.97
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.92
Pyunik
2-0-0
5.51
1-1-0
4.45
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.46
 —
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
4.53
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
5.33
Shirak
2-0-0
5.29
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
5.45
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
4.51
0-0-2
2.46
 —
1-1-0
4.68
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.87
Van Yerevan
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
1.31
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.96
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
1.02
 —
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
3.76
Yerevan
2-0-0
4.54
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
2.18
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
4.75
1-1-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.57
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.63
2-0-0
4.07
 —
2-0-0
4.23
Zangezour
0-2-0
1.61
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
0.71
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
2.11
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
0.41
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.47
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +8.4
Allowed 0.81 -6.2
Differential 0.93 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%6.44%2.27%2.65%2.65%5.30%23.86%
16.44%6.82%6.44%6.06%1.89%2.27%29.92%
22.27%6.44%2.27%1.52%2.27%0.38%15.15%
32.65%6.06%1.52%0.76%1.14%0.76%12.88%
42.65%1.89%2.27%1.14%—0.76%8.71%
5+5.30%2.27%0.38%0.76%0.76%—9.47%
Total23.86%29.92%15.15%12.88%8.71%9.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.92 +0.00
SD 1.91 1.91 3.01
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%——18.18%22.73%
1—4.55%—9.09%4.55%13.64%31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total4.55%9.09%13.64%27.27%4.55%40.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 4.05 -2.45
SD 1.33 2.54 3.20
CV 0.84 0.63 —
Max 4 11 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
2—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
313.64%4.55%———4.55%22.73%
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
Total31.82%31.82%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.50 +1.09
SD 1.74 1.54 2.33
CV 0.67 1.02 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—9.09%18.18%13.64%——40.91%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.27 +1.36
SD 2.22 0.98 2.92
CV 0.84 0.77 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%40.91%
1—9.09%13.64%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
2————9.09%—9.09%
3————9.09%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total—13.64%18.18%18.18%22.73%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 3.73 -2.86
SD 0.94 2.23 2.59
CV 1.09 0.60 —
Max 3 10 +0
Min 0 1 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%——4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%31.82%
24.55%———9.09%—13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%13.64%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.36 -1.00
SD 1.33 1.73 2.18
CV 0.97 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
122.73%9.09%4.55%——4.55%40.91%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.50 -0.09
SD 1.50 1.90 2.56
CV 1.07 1.26 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—36.36%
113.64%9.09%13.64%———36.36%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.27 +0.05
SD 1.64 1.28 1.96
CV 1.25 1.01 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
113.64%—————13.64%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
413.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
5+18.18%4.55%—4.55%——27.27%
Total59.09%22.73%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 0.64 +2.59
SD 1.90 0.90 1.99
CV 0.59 1.42 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
Total36.36%40.91%13.64%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.05 +2.00
SD 2.65 1.17 2.85
CV 0.87 1.12 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
1—4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%—31.82%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3———————
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%13.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.91 +0.00
SD 2.54 1.51 3.41
CV 1.33 0.79 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%——31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%54.55%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.09 +0.86
SD 1.53 0.87 2.01
CV 0.78 0.80 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%—9.09%13.64%45.45%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%22.73%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.73 -1.55
SD 1.37 1.96 2.50
CV 1.16 0.72 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Pyunik 1627 60 50.08 +9.92 98.0% 38 41 47 50 53 57 64
Shirak 1432 51 47.61 +3.39 76.0% 34 39 44 47 51 57 61
Araks Ararat 1392 39 36.31 +2.69 68.0% 22 27 32 37 41 44 48
Yerevan 1301 44 38.45 +5.55 83.0% 24 29 34 39 42 50 52
Ararat 1290 39 43.18 -4.18 31.0% 30 33 39 43 48 54 56
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1207 29 31.42 -2.42 38.0% 17 22 27 31 35 42 48
Kotayk 1205 36 31.55 +4.45 79.0% 16 19 27 32 36 41 46
Van Yerevan 1126 24 26.46 -2.46 39.0% 10 16 23 27 30 35 40
Homenmen Yerevan FC 1084 21 20.97 +0.03 55.0% 11 12 17 21 24 29 34
Zangezour 944 17 16.62 +0.38 60.0% 5 8 13 16 20 25 34
Aragats 765 15 20.88 -5.88 13.0% 9 12 18 21 24 27 34
Aznavour 717 2 12.72 -10.72 1.0% 2 5 9 12 16 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
49.24%14.39%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge
147 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
045.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Pyunik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.220.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.42 * Some Luck: 4.42 to 6.63 * Lucky: 6.63 to 8.85 * Wild Swing: 8.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.85 * Close: 0.85 to 1.27 * Off: 1.27 to 1.7 * Way Off: 1.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.38 points
Some Luck
05.5314
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.33
Pinpoint
01.062.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Pyunik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Aznavour
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.20.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 268.02
2.52
Moderate Separation
12.252.553.5
Interquartile Edge
83%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%85%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.43
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.88
Near-Lock
00.370.630.771
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.74
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.32
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.119
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Pyunik53.00%30.00%14.00%2.00%1.00%———————
Shirak29.00%39.00%24.00%5.00%3.00%———————
Yerevan3.00%9.00%21.00%21.00%21.00%16.00%6.00%3.00%————
Ararat15.00%15.00%21.00%32.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%————
Araks Ararat—3.00%14.00%24.00%27.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%—1.00%——
Kotayk—2.00%4.00%4.00%15.00%23.00%27.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan—2.00%1.00%7.00%14.00%33.00%18.00%17.00%5.00%3.00%——
Van Yerevan——1.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%24.00%25.00%16.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%
Homenmen Yerevan FC———1.00%—2.00%3.00%17.00%27.00%33.00%11.00%6.00%
Zangezour—————1.00%2.00%2.00%16.00%18.00%40.00%21.00%
Aragats—————1.00%4.00%15.00%25.00%27.00%22.00%6.00%
Aznavour————————5.00%10.00%21.00%64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Araks Ararat 100% — —
Ararat 100% — —
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 100% — —
Pyunik 100% — —
Shirak 100% — —
Yerevan 100% — —
Kotayk 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Van Yerevan 93.00% 5.00% 2.00%
Aragats 72.00% 22.00% 6.00%
Homenmen Yerevan FC 83.00% 11.00% 6.00%
Zangezour 39.00% 40.00% 21.00%
Aznavour 15.00% 21.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-09-01 Van Yerevan W 3-036.5 1117 1134 46.33% 15.26% 38.41%+0.19 +67.8 3
1995-09-01 @ Aragats L 0-336.5 1134 1117 38.41% 15.26% 46.33%-0.19 -67.9 0
1995-09-01 Kotayk W 2-138.6 1294 1160 64.47% 15.07% 20.46%+1.22 +13.4 3
1995-09-01 @ Ararat L 1-238.6 1160 1294 20.46% 15.07% 64.47%-1.22 -13.4 0
1995-09-01 Pyunik L 2-442.2 1102 1287 24.44% 15.15% 60.42%-0.95 -24.3 0
1995-09-01 @ Aznavour W 4-242.2 1287 1102 60.42% 15.15% 24.44%+0.95 +24.3 3
1995-09-01 Araks Ararat D 0-051.3 1181 1162 51.35% 15.24% 33.41%+0.44 -2.9 1
1995-09-01 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 0-051.3 1162 1181 33.41% 15.24% 51.35%-0.44 +2.9 1
1995-09-01 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 5-030.2 1253 1146 61.72% 15.12% 23.15%+1.03 +69.9 3
1995-09-01 @ Shirak L 0-530.2 1146 1253 23.15% 15.12% 61.72%-1.03 -69.9 0
1995-09-01 Yerevan L 2-346.5 1070 1181 33.25% 15.24% 51.51%-0.45 -19.6 0
1995-09-01 @ Zangezour W 3-246.5 1181 1070 51.51% 15.24% 33.25%+0.45 +19.6 3
1995-09-08 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 4-241.7 1185 1077 61.90% 15.12% 22.98%+1.04 +23.0 6
1995-09-08 @ Aragats L 2-441.7 1077 1185 22.98% 15.12% 61.90%-1.04 -23.0 0
1995-09-08 Ararat L 0-432.2 1147 1308 27.13% 15.18% 57.69%-0.79 -65.4 0
1995-09-08 @ Kotayk W 4-032.2 1308 1147 57.69% 15.18% 27.13%+0.79 +65.4 6
1995-09-08 Van Yerevan W 2-135.8 1311 1067 73.32% 14.75% 11.93%+1.97 +8.1 6
1995-09-08 @ Pyunik L 1-235.8 1067 1311 11.93% 14.75% 73.32%-1.97 -8.1 0
1995-09-08 Araks Ararat W 3-136.5 1323 1164 66.79% 15.01% 18.20%+1.39 +20.8 6
1995-09-08 @ Shirak L 1-336.5 1164 1323 18.20% 15.01% 66.79%-1.39 -20.8 1
1995-09-08 Aznavour W 5-134.2 1201 1078 63.40% 15.09% 21.51%+1.14 +44.2 6
1995-09-08 @ Yerevan L 1-534.2 1078 1201 21.51% 15.09% 63.40%-1.14 -44.2 0
1995-09-08 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 1-340.1 1051 1179 31.11% 15.22% 53.67%-0.56 -33.7 0
1995-09-08 @ Zangezour W 3-140.1 1179 1051 53.67% 15.22% 31.11%+0.56 +33.7 4
1995-09-15 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-143.4 1208 1212 48.13% 15.26% 36.62%+0.28 +22.4 9
1995-09-15 @ Aragats L 1-243.4 1212 1208 36.62% 15.26% 48.13%-0.28 -22.4 4
1995-09-15 Aznavour W 5-029.9 1144 1034 62.05% 15.12% 22.84%+1.05 +69.0 4
1995-09-15 @ Araks Ararat L 0-529.9 1034 1144 22.84% 15.12% 62.05%-1.05 -69.0 0
1995-09-15 Ararat L 1-334.7 1054 1373 12.89% 14.80% 72.30%-1.87 -15.0 0
1995-09-15 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC W 3-134.7 1373 1054 72.30% 14.80% 12.89%+1.87 +15.0 9
1995-09-15 Pyunik L 1-434.4 1058 1319 17.19% 14.98% 67.83%-1.47 -27.9 0
1995-09-15 @ Van Yerevan W 4-134.4 1319 1058 67.83% 14.98% 17.19%+1.47 +27.9 9
1995-09-15 Kotayk W 3-030.3 1245 1081 67.21% 15.00% 17.79%+1.42 +34.1 9
1995-09-15 @ Yerevan L 0-330.3 1081 1245 17.79% 15.00% 67.21%-1.42 -34.1 0
1995-09-15 Shirak L 0-132.3 1017 1344 12.40% 14.78% 72.82%-1.92 -8.9 0
1995-09-15 @ Zangezour W 1-032.3 1344 1017 72.82% 14.78% 12.40%+1.92 +8.9 9
1995-09-22 Ararat L 1-537.0 1231 1388 27.51% 15.19% 57.31%-0.77 -55.2 9
1995-09-22 @ Aragats W 5-137.0 1388 1231 57.31% 15.19% 27.51%+0.77 +55.2 12
1995-09-22 Zangezour W 4-028.0 1213 1008 70.52% 14.88% 14.59%+1.70 +37.0 7
1995-09-22 @ Araks Ararat L 0-428.0 1008 1213 14.59% 14.88% 70.52%-1.70 -37.0 0
1995-09-22 Aznavour D 1-154.2 1047 965 59.08% 15.17% 25.76%+0.87 -4.9 1
1995-09-22 @ Kotayk D 1-154.2 965 1047 25.76% 15.17% 59.08%-0.87 +4.9 1
1995-09-22 Yerevan L 1-243.4 1190 1279 36.13% 15.26% 48.62%-0.30 -22.2 4
1995-09-22 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-143.4 1279 1190 48.62% 15.26% 36.13%+0.30 +22.2 12
1995-09-22 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 4-026.3 1347 1039 76.90% 14.51% 8.59%+2.41 +22.3 12
1995-09-22 @ Pyunik L 0-426.3 1039 1347 8.59% 14.51% 76.90%-2.41 -22.3 0
1995-09-22 Van Yerevan D 2-258.7 1353 1031 77.56% 14.45% 7.99%+2.50 -8.1 10
1995-09-22 @ Shirak D 2-258.7 1031 1353 7.99% 14.45% 77.56%-2.50 +8.1 1
1995-10-05 Aznavour W 3-139.7 1016 969 54.80% 15.21% 29.99%+0.62 +32.6 3
1995-10-05 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC L 1-339.7 969 1016 29.99% 15.21% 54.80%-0.62 -32.6 1
1995-10-05 Yerevan D 1-154.4 1042 1301 17.35% 14.98% 67.67%-1.46 +7.6 2
1995-10-05 @ Kotayk D 1-154.4 1301 1042 67.67% 14.98% 17.35%+1.46 -7.6 13
1995-10-05 Araks Ararat W 2-139.8 1369 1250 63.06% 15.10% 21.84%+1.12 +14.2 15
1995-10-05 @ Pyunik L 1-239.8 1250 1369 21.84% 15.10% 63.06%-1.12 -14.2 7
1995-10-05 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 1-034.0 1345 1168 68.36% 14.96% 16.68%+1.51 +11.7 13
1995-10-05 @ Shirak L 0-134.0 1168 1345 16.68% 14.96% 68.36%-1.51 -11.7 4
1995-10-05 Ararat L 0-525.7 1039 1443 8.33% 14.48% 77.19%-2.45 -26.6 1
1995-10-05 @ Van Yerevan W 5-025.7 1443 1039 77.19% 14.48% 8.33%+2.45 +26.6 15
1995-10-05 Aragats D 3-362.3 971 1175 22.40% 15.11% 62.49%-1.08 +3.7 1
1995-10-05 @ Zangezour D 3-362.3 1175 971 62.49% 15.11% 22.40%+1.08 -3.7 10
1995-10-12 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 3-555.3 1235 1156 58.71% 15.17% 26.11%+0.85 -50.0 7
1995-10-12 @ Araks Ararat W 5-355.3 1156 1235 26.11% 15.17% 58.71%-0.85 +50.0 7
1995-10-12 Aragats W 3-240.2 1470 1172 76.38% 14.55% 9.07%+2.33 +5.9 18
1995-10-12 @ Ararat L 2-340.2 1172 1470 9.07% 14.55% 76.38%-2.33 -5.9 10
1995-10-12 Van Yerevan L 0-435.2 937 1012 38.09% 15.26% 46.65%-0.21 -88.0 1
1995-10-12 @ Aznavour W 4-035.2 1012 937 46.65% 15.26% 38.09%+0.21 +88.0 4
1995-10-12 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 4-245.5 1050 1049 48.85% 15.25% 35.90%+0.31 +34.1 5
1995-10-12 @ Kotayk L 2-445.5 1049 1050 35.90% 15.25% 48.85%-0.31 -34.1 3
1995-10-12 Yerevan W 1-037.6 1384 1294 59.87% 15.15% 24.98%+0.92 +17.0 18
1995-10-12 @ Pyunik L 0-137.6 1294 1384 24.98% 15.15% 59.87%-0.92 -17.0 13
1995-10-12 Zangezour W 4-025.3 1357 975 79.99% 14.18% 5.83%+2.90 +15.2 16
1995-10-12 @ Shirak L 0-425.3 975 1357 5.83% 14.18% 79.99%-2.90 -15.2 1
1995-10-19 Ararat L 1-331.0 849 1476 2.52% 13.33% 84.16%-3.96 -3.0 1
1995-10-19 @ Aznavour W 3-131.0 1476 849 84.16% 13.33% 2.52%+3.96 +3.0 21
1995-10-19 Zangezour L 1-248.9 1015 960 55.83% 15.20% 28.97%+0.68 -32.5 3
1995-10-19 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC W 2-148.9 960 1015 28.97% 15.20% 55.83%-0.68 +32.5 4
1995-10-19 Araks Ararat W 3-145.9 1084 1186 34.54% 15.25% 50.21%-0.38 +51.0 8
1995-10-19 @ Kotayk L 1-345.9 1186 1084 50.21% 15.25% 34.54%+0.38 -51.0 7
1995-10-19 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 4-029.2 1401 1206 69.78% 14.91% 15.31%+1.63 +38.7 21
1995-10-19 @ Pyunik L 0-429.2 1206 1401 15.31% 14.91% 69.78%-1.63 -38.7 7
1995-10-19 Shirak L 1-434.3 1100 1372 16.32% 14.95% 68.73%-1.54 -26.5 4
1995-10-19 @ Van Yerevan W 4-134.3 1372 1100 68.73% 14.95% 16.32%+1.54 +26.5 19
1995-10-19 Aragats W 6-030.0 1277 1166 62.16% 15.12% 22.72%+1.06 +81.6 16
1995-10-19 @ Yerevan L 0-630.0 1166 1277 22.72% 15.12% 62.16%-1.06 -81.6 10
1995-10-26 Aznavour W 4-343.4 1084 846 72.90% 14.77% 12.33%+1.93 +7.7 13
1995-10-26 @ Aragats L 3-443.4 846 1084 12.33% 14.77% 72.90%-1.93 -7.7 1
1995-10-26 Yerevan W 3-044.7 1134 1358 20.46% 15.07% 64.47%-1.22 +108.7 10
1995-10-26 @ Araks Ararat L 0-344.7 1358 1134 64.47% 15.07% 20.46%+1.22 -108.7 16
1995-10-26 Zangezour W 2-032.5 1135 992 65.35% 15.05% 19.61%+1.28 +25.7 11
1995-10-26 @ Kotayk L 0-232.5 992 1135 19.61% 15.05% 65.35%-1.28 -25.7 4
1995-10-26 Pyunik L 0-330.7 1167 1439 16.28% 14.95% 68.78%-1.55 -31.4 7
1995-10-26 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-030.7 1439 1167 68.78% 14.95% 16.28%+1.55 +31.4 24
1995-10-26 Ararat W 2-152.1 1398 1479 37.38% 15.26% 47.36%-0.24 +28.0 22
1995-10-26 @ Shirak L 1-252.1 1479 1398 47.36% 15.26% 37.38%+0.24 -28.0 21
1995-10-26 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 4-136.6 1074 982 60.03% 15.15% 24.81%+0.93 +39.0 7
1995-10-26 @ Van Yerevan L 1-436.6 982 1074 24.81% 15.15% 60.03%-0.93 -39.0 3
1995-11-09 Zangezour D 2-258.3 1092 966 63.63% 15.09% 21.28%+1.16 -4.7 14
1995-11-09 @ Aragats D 2-258.3 966 1092 21.28% 15.09% 63.63%-1.16 +4.7 5
1995-11-09 Shirak L 2-443.6 1243 1426 24.62% 15.15% 60.23%-0.94 -24.5 10
1995-11-09 @ Araks Ararat W 4-243.6 1426 1243 60.23% 15.15% 24.62%+0.94 +24.5 25
1995-11-09 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 1-155.3 1451 1136 77.21% 14.48% 8.31%+2.45 -10.8 22
1995-11-09 @ Ararat D 1-155.3 1136 1451 8.31% 14.48% 77.21%-2.45 +10.8 8
1995-11-09 Yerevan D 1-154.3 943 1250 13.75% 14.85% 71.40%-1.78 +8.9 4
1995-11-09 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC D 1-154.3 1250 943 71.40% 14.85% 13.75%+1.78 -8.9 17
1995-11-09 Kotayk W 5-341.1 1471 1161 76.96% 14.50% 8.54%+2.41 +8.5 27
1995-11-09 @ Pyunik L 3-541.1 1161 1471 8.54% 14.50% 76.96%-2.41 -8.5 11
1995-11-09 Aznavour W 6-025.8 1113 838 75.10% 14.64% 10.26%+2.17 +38.7 10
1995-11-09 @ Van Yerevan L 0-625.8 838 1113 10.26% 14.64% 75.10%-2.17 -38.7 1
1995-11-16 Kotayk L 0-238.6 1087 1152 39.48% 15.27% 45.26%-0.14 -47.8 14
1995-11-16 @ Aragats W 2-038.6 1152 1087 45.26% 15.27% 39.48%+0.14 +47.8 14
1995-11-16 Ararat W 2-152.8 1219 1440 20.73% 15.07% 64.20%-1.20 +37.3 13
1995-11-16 @ Araks Ararat L 1-252.8 1440 1219 64.20% 15.07% 20.73%+1.20 -37.3 22
1995-11-16 Van Yerevan W 4-253.3 952 1151 22.92% 15.12% 61.96%-1.05 +55.7 7
1995-11-16 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC L 2-453.3 1151 952 61.96% 15.12% 22.92%+1.05 -55.7 10
1995-11-16 Pyunik L 0-149.4 1451 1479 44.72% 15.27% 40.01%+0.11 -28.2 25
1995-11-16 @ Shirak W 1-049.4 1479 1451 40.01% 15.27% 44.72%-0.11 +28.2 30
1995-11-16 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 1-154.4 1241 1147 60.38% 15.15% 24.48%+0.95 -5.3 18
1995-11-16 @ Yerevan D 1-154.4 1147 1241 24.48% 15.15% 60.38%-0.95 +5.3 9
1995-11-16 Aznavour W 3-135.8 971 799 67.90% 14.98% 17.12%+1.47 +19.6 8
1995-11-16 @ Zangezour L 1-335.8 799 971 17.12% 14.98% 67.90%-1.47 -19.6 1
1995-11-23 Pyunik L 1-347.7 1403 1507 34.07% 15.25% 50.68%-0.41 -36.5 22
1995-11-23 @ Ararat W 3-147.7 1507 1403 50.68% 15.25% 34.07%+0.41 +36.5 33
1995-11-23 Araks Ararat L 2-436.1 780 1256 5.70% 14.16% 80.14%-2.93 -6.1 1
1995-11-23 @ Aznavour W 4-236.1 1256 780 80.14% 14.16% 5.70%+2.93 +6.1 16
1995-11-23 Aragats W 3-142.9 1008 1039 44.30% 15.27% 40.43%+0.09 +42.3 10
1995-11-23 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC L 1-342.9 1039 1008 40.43% 15.27% 44.30%-0.09 -42.3 14
1995-11-23 Shirak L 1-733.0 1200 1423 20.62% 15.07% 64.31%-1.21 -61.7 14
1995-11-23 @ Kotayk W 7-133.0 1423 1200 64.31% 15.07% 20.62%+1.21 +61.7 28
1995-11-23 Zangezour L 3-459.9 1152 991 66.98% 15.00% 18.02%+1.40 -36.0 9
1995-11-23 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 4-359.9 991 1152 18.02% 15.00% 66.98%-1.40 +36.0 11
1995-11-23 Yerevan L 1-339.7 1096 1236 29.58% 15.21% 55.20%-0.65 -32.2 10
1995-11-23 @ Van Yerevan W 3-139.7 1236 1096 55.20% 15.21% 29.58%+0.65 +32.2 21
1995-11-30 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 4-133.4 1262 1050 71.07% 14.86% 14.07%+1.75 +23.1 19
1995-11-30 @ Araks Ararat L 1-433.4 1050 1262 14.07% 14.86% 71.07%-1.75 -23.1 10
1995-11-30 Yerevan L 0-227.9 774 1268 5.18% 14.07% 80.76%-3.05 -7.1 1
1995-11-30 @ Aznavour W 2-027.9 1268 774 80.76% 14.07% 5.18%+3.05 +7.1 24
1995-11-30 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 1-038.5 1139 1116 51.73% 15.24% 33.03%+0.46 +21.7 17
1995-11-30 @ Kotayk L 0-138.5 1116 1139 33.03% 15.24% 51.73%-0.46 -21.7 9
1995-11-30 Ararat D 0-058.0 1544 1366 68.41% 14.96% 16.63%+1.52 -8.8 34
1995-11-30 @ Pyunik D 0-058.0 1366 1544 16.63% 14.96% 68.41%-1.52 +8.8 23
1995-11-30 Aragats W 6-231.4 1484 997 83.08% 13.62% 3.30%+3.62 +6.1 31
1995-11-30 @ Shirak L 2-631.4 997 1484 3.30% 13.62% 83.08%-3.62 -6.1 14
1995-11-30 Zangezour W 2-036.0 1063 1027 53.50% 15.23% 31.27%+0.55 +39.1 13
1995-11-30 @ Van Yerevan L 0-236.0 1027 1063 31.27% 15.23% 53.50%-0.55 -39.1 11
1995-12-07 Van Yerevan W 3-029.9 1285 1102 68.82% 14.95% 16.23%+1.55 +31.3 22
1995-12-07 @ Araks Ararat L 0-329.9 1102 1285 16.23% 14.95% 68.82%-1.55 -31.3 13
1995-12-07 Aznavour W 8-023.1 1375 767 85.42% 12.87% 1.70%+4.44 +8.4 26
1995-12-07 @ Ararat L 0-823.1 767 1375 1.70% 12.87% 85.42%-4.44 -8.4 1
1995-12-07 Shirak L 0-130.6 1027 1490 6.10% 14.22% 79.67%-2.84 -4.4 10
1995-12-07 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC W 1-030.6 1490 1027 79.67% 14.22% 6.10%+2.84 +4.4 34
1995-12-07 Aragats W 6-030.0 1094 991 61.32% 15.13% 23.55%+1.01 +84.3 12
1995-12-07 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-630.0 991 1094 23.55% 15.13% 61.32%-1.01 -84.3 14
1995-12-07 Pyunik L 0-624.2 988 1535 3.88% 13.79% 82.33%-3.42 -14.8 11
1995-12-07 @ Zangezour W 6-024.2 1535 988 82.33% 13.79% 3.88%+3.42 +14.8 37
1995-12-14 Shirak D 1-159.9 1383 1495 33.22% 15.24% 51.54%-0.45 +2.6 27
1995-12-14 @ Ararat D 1-159.9 1495 1383 51.54% 15.24% 33.22%+0.45 -2.6 35
1995-12-14 Aragats W 6-026.2 1160 907 73.88% 14.72% 11.40%+2.03 +42.9 20
1995-12-14 @ Kotayk L 0-626.2 907 1160 11.40% 14.72% 73.88%-2.03 -42.9 14
1995-12-14 Homenmen Yerevan FC D 0-051.3 1178 1023 66.51% 15.02% 18.47%+1.37 -8.1 13
1995-12-14 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 0-051.3 1023 1178 18.47% 15.02% 66.51%-1.37 +8.1 11
1995-12-14 Aznavour W 5-022.3 1550 758 87.79% 11.60% 0.62%+5.69 +1.9 40
1995-12-14 @ Pyunik L 0-522.3 758 1550 0.62% 11.60% 87.79%-5.69 -1.9 1
1995-12-14 Van Yerevan W 2-136.6 1275 1071 70.48% 14.89% 14.64%+1.69 +9.8 27
1995-12-14 @ Yerevan L 1-236.6 1071 1275 14.64% 14.89% 70.48%-1.69 -9.8 13
1995-12-14 Araks Ararat L 4-545.4 973 1316 11.41% 14.72% 73.87%-2.03 -7.0 11
1995-12-14 @ Zangezour W 5-445.4 1316 973 73.87% 14.72% 11.41%+2.03 +7.0 25
1996-01-17 Shirak L 4-736.2 864 1492 2.50% 13.32% 84.19%-3.97 -3.2 14
1996-01-17 @ Aragats W 7-436.2 1492 864 84.19% 13.32% 2.50%+3.97 +3.2 38
1996-01-17 Araks Ararat W 3-257.6 1031 1324 14.71% 14.89% 70.40%-1.69 +38.8 14
1996-01-17 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC L 2-357.6 1324 1031 70.40% 14.89% 14.71%+1.69 -38.8 25
1996-01-17 Van Yerevan W 1-035.5 1170 1061 61.95% 15.12% 22.93%+1.05 +15.7 16
1996-01-17 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-135.5 1061 1170 22.93% 15.12% 61.95%-1.05 -15.7 13
1996-01-17 Ararat W 2-148.8 1285 1386 34.55% 15.25% 50.21%-0.38 +29.5 30
1996-01-17 @ Yerevan L 1-248.8 1386 1285 50.21% 15.25% 34.55%+0.38 -29.5 27
1996-01-17 Kotayk L 0-134.3 966 1203 19.22% 15.04% 65.74%-1.31 -13.4 11
1996-01-17 @ Zangezour W 1-034.3 1203 966 65.74% 15.04% 19.22%+1.31 +13.4 23
1996-01-24 Yerevan L 1-332.4 861 1314 6.42% 14.27% 79.31%-2.78 -7.6 14
1996-01-24 @ Aragats W 3-132.4 1314 861 79.31% 14.27% 6.42%+2.78 +7.6 33
1996-01-24 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 0-051.2 1070 1186 32.55% 15.24% 52.21%-0.49 +3.2 15
1996-01-24 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC D 0-051.2 1186 1070 52.21% 15.24% 32.55%+0.49 -3.2 17
1996-01-24 Pyunik L 0-135.0 1217 1552 11.90% 14.75% 73.35%-1.97 -8.5 23
1996-01-24 @ Kotayk W 1-035.0 1552 1217 73.35% 14.75% 11.90%+1.97 +8.5 43
1996-01-24 Aznavour W 10-023.2 1495 756 87.19% 11.98% 0.83%+5.33 +5.0 41
1996-01-24 @ Shirak L 0-1023.2 756 1495 0.83% 11.98% 87.19%-5.33 -5.0 1
1996-01-24 Araks Ararat D 1-154.4 1046 1285 19.07% 15.03% 65.90%-1.32 +7.0 14
1996-01-24 @ Van Yerevan D 1-154.4 1285 1046 65.90% 15.03% 19.07%+1.32 -7.1 26
1996-01-24 Ararat L 1-234.6 952 1357 8.34% 14.49% 77.17%-2.44 -5.7 11
1996-01-24 @ Zangezour W 2-134.6 1357 952 77.17% 14.49% 8.34%+2.44 +5.7 30
1996-01-31 Araks Ararat L 1-431.2 853 1278 7.49% 14.40% 78.11%-2.58 -12.6 14
1996-01-31 @ Aragats W 4-131.2 1278 853 78.11% 14.40% 7.49%+2.58 +12.6 29
1996-01-31 Shirak L 0-324.6 751 1500 1.29% 12.54% 86.18%-4.79 -2.5 1
1996-01-31 @ Aznavour W 3-024.6 1500 751 86.18% 12.54% 1.29%+4.79 +2.5 44
1996-01-31 Pyunik L 1-629.0 1073 1560 5.36% 14.10% 80.54%-3.01 -14.3 15
1996-01-31 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC W 6-129.0 1560 1073 80.54% 14.10% 5.36%+3.01 +14.3 46
1996-01-31 Ararat W 2-150.8 1183 1362 25.02% 15.15% 59.82%-0.91 +34.8 20
1996-01-31 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 1-250.8 1362 1183 59.82% 15.15% 25.02%+0.91 -34.8 30
1996-01-31 Kotayk L 0-136.9 1053 1208 27.74% 15.19% 57.07%-0.75 -18.6 14
1996-01-31 @ Van Yerevan W 1-036.9 1208 1053 57.07% 15.19% 27.74%+0.75 +18.7 26
1996-01-31 Zangezour W 1-030.1 1322 947 79.74% 14.21% 6.04%+2.86 +4.4 36
1996-01-31 @ Yerevan L 0-130.1 947 1322 6.04% 14.21% 79.74%-2.86 -4.4 11
1996-02-14 Zangezour W 8-024.8 1328 942 80.11% 14.16% 5.73%+2.93 +28.8 33
1996-02-14 @ Ararat L 0-824.8 942 1328 5.73% 14.16% 80.11%-2.93 -28.8 11
1996-02-14 Aragats D 1-154.2 749 840 35.85% 15.25% 48.90%-0.32 +1.9 2
1996-02-14 @ Aznavour D 1-154.2 840 749 48.90% 15.25% 35.85%+0.32 -1.9 15
1996-02-14 Kotayk L 0-136.5 1058 1227 26.26% 15.17% 58.56%-0.84 -17.8 15
1996-02-14 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC W 1-036.5 1227 1058 58.56% 15.17% 26.26%+0.84 +17.8 29
1996-02-14 Shirak W 4-044.6 1575 1503 57.82% 15.18% 26.99%+0.79 +65.1 49
1996-02-14 @ Pyunik L 0-444.6 1503 1575 26.99% 15.18% 57.82%-0.79 -65.1 44
1996-02-14 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-150.3 1034 1218 24.56% 15.15% 60.29%-0.94 +35.0 17
1996-02-14 @ Van Yerevan L 1-250.3 1218 1034 60.29% 15.15% 24.56%+0.94 -35.0 20
1996-02-14 Araks Ararat W 1-039.0 1326 1290 53.45% 15.23% 31.32%+0.55 +20.8 39
1996-02-14 @ Yerevan L 0-139.0 1290 1326 31.32% 15.23% 53.45%-0.55 -20.8 29
1996-02-21 Pyunik D 0-058.1 1269 1640 9.94% 14.62% 75.43%-2.21 +11.4 30
1996-02-21 @ Araks Ararat D 0-058.1 1640 1269 75.43% 14.62% 9.94%+2.21 -11.4 50
1996-02-21 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-130.5 751 1183 7.21% 14.37% 78.43%-2.63 -5.2 2
1996-02-21 @ Aznavour W 1-030.5 1183 751 78.43% 14.37% 7.21%+2.63 +5.2 23
1996-02-21 Yerevan W 3-141.5 1438 1347 59.96% 15.15% 24.88%+0.92 +27.6 47
1996-02-21 @ Shirak L 1-341.5 1347 1438 24.88% 15.15% 59.96%-0.92 -27.6 39
1996-02-21 Aragats W 11-128.3 1069 839 72.38% 14.80% 12.82%+1.87 +64.0 20
1996-02-21 @ Van Yerevan L 1-1128.3 839 1069 12.82% 14.80% 72.38%-1.87 -64.0 15
1996-02-21 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 1-044.6 914 1041 31.20% 15.23% 53.58%-0.56 +33.2 14
1996-02-21 @ Zangezour L 0-144.6 1041 914 53.58% 15.23% 31.20%+0.56 -33.2 15
1996-02-28 Aragats W 6-126.9 1281 774 83.52% 13.51% 2.98%+3.75 +7.9 33
1996-02-28 @ Araks Ararat L 1-626.9 774 1281 2.98% 13.51% 83.52%-3.75 -7.9 15
1996-02-28 Van Yerevan D 0-051.4 1244 1133 62.20% 15.11% 22.68%+1.06 -6.6 30
1996-02-28 @ Kotayk D 0-051.4 1133 1244 22.68% 15.11% 62.20%-1.06 +6.6 21
1996-02-28 Aznavour W 2-133.1 1188 745 81.92% 13.87% 4.21%+3.32 +2.9 26
1996-02-28 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 1-233.1 745 1188 4.21% 13.87% 81.92%-3.32 -2.9 2
1996-02-28 Zangezour W 5-023.3 1628 947 86.48% 12.38% 1.14%+4.94 +3.6 53
1996-02-28 @ Pyunik L 0-523.3 947 1628 1.14% 12.38% 86.48%-4.94 -3.6 14
1996-02-28 Homenmen Yerevan FC L 0-249.7 1319 1008 77.06% 14.50% 8.44%+2.43 -90.0 39
1996-02-28 @ Yerevan W 2-049.7 1008 1319 8.44% 14.50% 77.06%-2.43 +90.0 18
1996-03-07 Araks Ararat L 1-349.2 1356 1289 57.31% 15.19% 27.50%+0.77 -57.8 33
1996-03-07 @ Ararat W 3-149.2 1289 1356 27.50% 15.19% 57.31%-0.77 +57.8 36
1996-03-07 Kotayk L 1-233.4 743 1238 5.14% 14.06% 80.80%-3.06 -3.5 2
1996-03-07 @ Aznavour W 2-133.4 1238 743 80.80% 14.06% 5.14%+3.06 +3.5 33
1996-03-07 Aragats W 6-022.0 1632 767 88.54% 11.05% 0.41%+6.19 +1.5 56
1996-03-07 @ Pyunik L 0-622.0 767 1632 0.41% 11.05% 88.54%-6.19 -1.5 15
1996-03-07 Shirak D 1-156.1 1229 1465 19.35% 15.04% 65.61%-1.30 +7.0 40
1996-03-07 @ Yerevan D 1-156.1 1465 1229 65.61% 15.04% 19.35%+1.30 -7.0 48
1996-03-07 Van Yerevan L 1-239.1 943 1140 23.21% 15.12% 61.67%-1.03 -15.0 14
1996-03-07 @ Zangezour W 2-139.1 1140 943 61.67% 15.12% 23.21%+1.03 +15.0 24
1996-03-14 Pyunik L 2-335.8 765 1633 0.67% 11.69% 87.64%-5.60 -0.4 15
1996-03-14 @ Aragats W 3-235.8 1633 765 87.64% 11.69% 0.67%+5.60 +0.4 59
1996-03-14 Yerevan L 1-348.3 1299 1236 56.68% 15.20% 28.13%+0.73 -57.1 33
1996-03-14 @ Ararat W 3-148.3 1236 1299 28.13% 15.20% 56.68%-0.73 +57.1 43
1996-03-14 Zangezour L 1-239.4 739 928 23.96% 15.14% 60.90%-0.98 -15.4 2
1996-03-14 @ Aznavour W 2-139.4 928 739 60.90% 15.14% 23.96%+0.98 +15.4 17
1996-03-14 Kotayk W 2-032.6 1458 1241 71.43% 14.84% 13.72%+1.78 +18.4 51
1996-03-14 @ Shirak L 0-232.6 1241 1458 13.72% 14.84% 71.43%-1.78 -18.4 33
1996-03-21 Van Yerevan W 3-138.5 1241 1155 59.54% 15.16% 25.30%+0.90 +28.0 36
1996-03-21 @ Ararat L 1-338.5 1155 1241 25.30% 15.16% 59.54%-0.90 -28.0 24
1996-03-21 Homenmen Yerevan FC L 3-442.6 724 1098 9.76% 14.61% 75.63%-2.24 -6.2 2
1996-03-21 @ Aznavour W 4-342.6 1098 724 75.63% 14.61% 9.76%+2.24 +6.2 21
1996-03-21 Kotayk L 0-142.1 1191 1223 44.18% 15.27% 40.55%+0.09 -27.9 26
1996-03-21 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 1-042.1 1223 1191 40.55% 15.27% 44.18%-0.09 +27.9 36
1996-03-21 Pyunik D 2-265.8 1293 1634 11.59% 14.73% 73.67%-2.01 +7.2 44
1996-03-21 @ Yerevan D 2-265.8 1634 1293 73.67% 14.73% 11.59%+2.01 -7.2 60
1996-03-28 Kotayk W 3-033.2 1346 1251 60.50% 15.14% 24.35%+0.96 +45.5 39
1996-03-28 @ Araks Ararat L 0-333.2 1251 1346 24.35% 15.14% 60.50%-0.96 -45.5 36
1996-03-28 Homenmen Yerevan FC W 3-136.1 1269 1104 67.39% 14.99% 17.62%+1.43 +20.1 39
1996-03-28 @ Ararat L 1-336.1 1104 1269 17.62% 14.99% 67.39%-1.43 -20.2 21
1996-03-28 Shirak W 1-051.3 1163 1477 13.25% 14.82% 71.93%-1.83 +44.4 29
1996-03-28 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-151.3 1477 1163 71.93% 14.82% 13.25%+1.83 -44.4 51

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-02-28 8.44% Homenmen Yerevan FC 1008 2 @ Yerevan 1319 0
2 1996-03-28 13.25% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1163 1 Shirak 1477 0
3 1996-01-17 14.71% @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 1031 3 Araks Ararat 1324 2
4 1995-11-23 18.02% Zangezour 991 4 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1152 3
5 1995-10-26 20.46% @ Araks Ararat 1134 3 Yerevan 1358 0
6 1995-11-16 20.73% @ Araks Ararat 1219 2 Ararat 1440 1
7 1995-11-16 22.92% @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 952 4 Van Yerevan 1151 2
8 1996-02-14 24.56% @ Van Yerevan 1034 2 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1218 1
9 1996-01-31 25.02% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1183 2 Ararat 1362 1
10 1995-10-12 26.11% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1156 5 @ Araks Ararat 1235 3
11 1996-03-07 27.50% Araks Ararat 1289 3 @ Ararat 1356 1
12 1996-03-14 28.13% Yerevan 1236 3 @ Ararat 1299 1
13 1995-10-19 28.97% Zangezour 960 2 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 1015 1
14 1996-02-21 31.20% @ Zangezour 914 1 Homenmen Yerevan FC 1041 0
15 1995-10-19 34.54% @ Kotayk 1084 3 Araks Ararat 1186 1
16 1996-01-17 34.55% @ Yerevan 1285 2 Ararat 1386 1
17 1995-10-26 37.38% @ Shirak 1398 2 Ararat 1479 1
18 1995-11-16 40.01% Pyunik 1479 1 @ Shirak 1451 0
19 1996-03-21 40.55% Kotayk 1223 1 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1191 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-10-26 108.72 @ Araks Ararat 3 1134 20.46% Yerevan 0 1358 64.47% 15.07%
2 1996-02-28 90.03 Homenmen Yerevan FC 2 1008 8.44% @ Yerevan 0 1319 77.06% 14.50%
3 1995-10-12 87.99 Van Yerevan 4 1012 46.65% @ Aznavour 0 937 38.09% 15.26%
4 1995-12-07 84.32 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 6 1094 61.32% Aragats 0 991 23.55% 15.13%
5 1995-10-19 81.64 @ Yerevan 6 1277 62.16% Aragats 0 1166 22.72% 15.12%
6 1995-09-01 69.91 @ Shirak 5 1253 61.72% Homenmen Yerevan FC 0 1146 23.15% 15.12%
7 1995-09-15 69.04 @ Araks Ararat 5 1144 62.05% Aznavour 0 1034 22.84% 15.12%
8 1995-09-01 67.85 @ Aragats 3 1117 46.33% Van Yerevan 0 1134 38.41% 15.26%
9 1995-09-08 65.40 Ararat 4 1308 57.69% @ Kotayk 0 1147 27.13% 15.18%
10 1996-02-14 65.11 @ Pyunik 4 1575 57.82% Shirak 0 1503 26.99% 15.18%
11 1996-02-21 64.02 @ Van Yerevan 11 1069 72.38% Aragats 1 839 12.82% 14.80%
12 1995-11-23 61.65 Shirak 7 1423 64.31% @ Kotayk 1 1200 20.62% 15.07%
13 1996-03-07 57.75 Araks Ararat 3 1289 27.50% @ Ararat 1 1356 57.31% 15.19%
14 1996-03-14 57.13 Yerevan 3 1236 28.13% @ Ararat 1 1299 56.68% 15.20%
15 1995-11-16 55.72 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 4 952 22.92% Van Yerevan 2 1151 61.96% 15.12%
16 1995-09-22 55.18 Ararat 5 1388 57.31% @ Aragats 1 1231 27.51% 15.19%
17 1995-10-19 51.05 @ Kotayk 3 1084 34.54% Araks Ararat 1 1186 50.21% 15.25%
18 1995-10-12 49.96 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 5 1156 26.11% @ Araks Ararat 3 1235 58.71% 15.17%
19 1995-11-16 47.82 Kotayk 2 1152 45.26% @ Aragats 0 1087 39.48% 15.27%
20 1996-03-28 45.45 @ Araks Ararat 3 1346 60.50% Kotayk 0 1251 24.35% 15.14%
21 1996-03-28 44.42 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1 1163 13.25% Shirak 0 1477 71.93% 14.82%
22 1995-09-08 44.22 @ Yerevan 5 1201 63.40% Aznavour 1 1078 21.51% 15.09%
23 1995-12-14 42.87 @ Kotayk 6 1160 73.88% Aragats 0 907 11.40% 14.72%
24 1995-11-23 42.27 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 3 1008 44.30% Aragats 1 1039 40.43% 15.27%
25 1995-11-30 39.09 @ Van Yerevan 2 1063 53.50% Zangezour 0 1027 31.27% 15.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-03-21 65.8 @ Yerevan 2 1293 11.59% Pyunik 2 1634 73.67% 14.73%
2 1995-10-05 62.3 @ Zangezour 3 971 22.40% Aragats 3 1175 62.49% 15.11%
3 1995-11-23 59.9 Zangezour 4 991 18.02% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 3 1152 66.98% 15.00%
4 1995-12-14 59.9 @ Ararat 1 1383 33.22% Shirak 1 1495 51.54% 15.24%
5 1995-09-22 58.7 @ Shirak 2 1353 77.56% Van Yerevan 2 1031 7.99% 14.45%
6 1995-11-09 58.3 @ Aragats 2 1092 63.63% Zangezour 2 966 21.28% 15.09%
7 1996-02-21 58.1 @ Araks Ararat 0 1269 9.94% Pyunik 0 1640 75.43% 14.62%
8 1995-11-30 58.0 @ Pyunik 0 1544 68.41% Ararat 0 1366 16.63% 14.96%
9 1996-01-17 57.6 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 3 1031 14.71% Araks Ararat 2 1324 70.40% 14.89%
10 1996-03-07 56.1 @ Yerevan 1 1229 19.35% Shirak 1 1465 65.61% 15.04%
11 1995-10-12 55.3 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 5 1156 26.11% @ Araks Ararat 3 1235 58.71% 15.17%
12 1995-11-09 55.3 @ Ararat 1 1451 77.21% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1 1136 8.31% 14.48%
13 1995-10-05 54.4 @ Kotayk 1 1042 17.35% Yerevan 1 1301 67.67% 14.98%
14 1995-11-16 54.4 @ Yerevan 1 1241 60.38% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1 1147 24.48% 15.15%
15 1996-01-24 54.4 @ Van Yerevan 1 1046 19.07% Araks Ararat 1 1285 65.90% 15.03%
16 1995-11-09 54.3 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 1 943 13.75% Yerevan 1 1250 71.40% 14.85%
17 1995-09-22 54.2 @ Kotayk 1 1047 59.08% Aznavour 1 965 25.76% 15.17%
18 1996-02-14 54.2 @ Aznavour 1 749 35.85% Aragats 1 840 48.90% 15.25%
19 1995-11-16 53.3 @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 4 952 22.92% Van Yerevan 2 1151 61.96% 15.12%
20 1995-11-16 52.8 @ Araks Ararat 2 1219 20.73% Ararat 1 1440 64.20% 15.07%
21 1995-10-26 52.1 @ Shirak 2 1398 37.38% Ararat 1 1479 47.36% 15.26%
22 1996-02-28 51.4 @ Kotayk 0 1244 62.20% Van Yerevan 0 1133 22.68% 15.11%
23 1995-09-01 51.3 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 1181 51.35% Araks Ararat 0 1162 33.41% 15.24%
24 1995-12-14 51.3 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 1178 66.51% Homenmen Yerevan FC 0 1023 18.47% 15.02%
25 1996-03-28 51.3 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1 1163 13.25% Shirak 0 1477 71.93% 14.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-03-07 22.0 @ Pyunik 6 1632 88.54% Aragats 0 767 0.41% 11.05%
2 1995-12-14 22.3 @ Pyunik 5 1550 87.79% Aznavour 0 758 0.62% 11.60%
3 1995-12-07 23.1 @ Ararat 8 1375 85.42% Aznavour 0 767 1.70% 12.87%
4 1996-01-24 23.2 @ Shirak 10 1495 87.19% Aznavour 0 756 0.83% 11.98%
5 1996-02-28 23.3 @ Pyunik 5 1628 86.48% Zangezour 0 947 1.14% 12.38%
6 1995-12-07 24.2 Pyunik 6 1535 82.33% @ Zangezour 0 988 3.88% 13.79%
7 1996-01-31 24.6 Shirak 3 1500 86.18% @ Aznavour 0 751 1.29% 12.54%
8 1996-02-14 24.8 @ Ararat 8 1328 80.11% Zangezour 0 942 5.73% 14.16%
9 1995-10-12 25.3 @ Shirak 4 1357 79.99% Zangezour 0 975 5.83% 14.18%
10 1995-10-05 25.7 Ararat 5 1443 77.19% @ Van Yerevan 0 1039 8.33% 14.48%
11 1995-11-09 25.8 @ Van Yerevan 6 1113 75.10% Aznavour 0 838 10.26% 14.64%
12 1995-12-14 26.2 @ Kotayk 6 1160 73.88% Aragats 0 907 11.40% 14.72%
13 1995-09-22 26.3 @ Pyunik 4 1347 76.90% Homenmen Yerevan FC 0 1039 8.59% 14.51%
14 1996-02-28 26.9 @ Araks Ararat 6 1281 83.52% Aragats 1 774 2.98% 13.51%
15 1995-11-30 27.9 Yerevan 2 1268 80.76% @ Aznavour 0 774 5.18% 14.07%
16 1995-09-22 28.0 @ Araks Ararat 4 1213 70.52% Zangezour 0 1008 14.59% 14.88%
17 1996-02-21 28.3 @ Van Yerevan 11 1069 72.38% Aragats 1 839 12.82% 14.80%
18 1996-01-31 29.0 Pyunik 6 1560 80.54% @ Homenmen Yerevan FC 1 1073 5.36% 14.10%
19 1995-10-19 29.2 @ Pyunik 4 1401 69.78% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 1206 15.31% 14.91%
20 1995-09-15 29.9 @ Araks Ararat 5 1144 62.05% Aznavour 0 1034 22.84% 15.12%
21 1995-12-07 29.9 @ Araks Ararat 3 1285 68.82% Van Yerevan 0 1102 16.23% 14.95%
22 1995-10-19 30.0 @ Yerevan 6 1277 62.16% Aragats 0 1166 22.72% 15.12%
23 1995-12-07 30.0 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 6 1094 61.32% Aragats 0 991 23.55% 15.13%
24 1996-01-31 30.1 @ Yerevan 1 1322 79.74% Zangezour 0 947 6.04% 14.21%
25 1995-09-01 30.2 @ Shirak 5 1253 61.72% Homenmen Yerevan FC 0 1146 23.15% 15.12%