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2002 Armenian Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Pyunik

59 points · 5th Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Spartak Yereman

10.57 points above expected

49 points · 38.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zvartnots-AAC FC

9.48 points below expected

32 points · 41.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Pyunik Champion 22 19 2 1 59 82 14 +68 52.18 +6.82
2 Shirak 22 16 3 3 51 49 15 +34 47.99 +3.01
3 Urartu 22 16 2 4 50 43 15 +28 40.55 +9.45
4 Spartak Yereman 22 15 4 3 49 58 16 +42 38.43 +10.57
5 Ararat 22 9 6 7 33 39 19 +20 33.61 -0.61
6 Mika 22 9 6 7 33 35 28 +7 40.12 -7.12
7 Zvartnots-AAC FC 22 10 2 10 32 57 29 +28 41.48 -9.48
8 Lernagorts Kapan 22 6 5 11 23 21 43 -22 22.16 +0.84
9 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 22 5 2 15 17 21 52 -31 16.97 +0.03
10 Ulisses 22 3 3 16 12 19 63 -44 17.27 -5.27
11 Kotayk 22 2 5 15 11 17 62 -45 14.71 -3.71
12 Lori 22 1 2 19 5 15 100 -85 9.77 -4.77

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Spartak Yereman 49 38.43 +10.57
2 Urartu 50 40.55 +9.45
3 Pyunik 59 52.18 +6.82
4 Shirak 51 47.99 +3.01
5 Lernagorts Kapan 23 22.16 +0.84

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zvartnots-AAC FC 32 41.48 -9.48
2 Mika 33 40.12 -7.12
3 Ulisses 12 17.27 -5.27
4 Lori 5 9.77 -4.77
5 Kotayk 11 14.71 -3.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pyunik 14 Apr 13 – Sep 24 1 in 132
2 Urartu 8 Sep 13 – Nov 3 1 in 21
3 Spartak Yereman 4 Apr 14 – Jun 9 1 in 12
4 Lori 1 Jun 21 – Jun 21 1 in 6
5 Ulisses 2 Jul 5 – Jul 12 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zvartnots-AAC FC 2 Jul 4 – Jul 11 1 in 21
2 Shirak 2 Oct 21 – Oct 26 1 in 16
3 Lernagorts Kapan 3 Jun 9 – Jun 21 1 in 11
4 Ulisses 6 May 4 – Jun 28 1 in 9
5 Lori 9 Jul 23 – Oct 20 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lernagorts Kapan 4 Sep 2 – Sep 25 1 in 53
2 Urartu 9 Jun 2 – Jul 28 1 in 39
3 Spartak Yereman 9 Sep 18 – Nov 15 1 in 19
4 Mika 6 Sep 25 – Nov 4 1 in 17
5 Pyunik 16 Apr 13 – Oct 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kotayk 19 Apr 14 – Oct 26 1 in 50
2 Mika 5 Sep 2 – Sep 29 1 in 38
3 Ulisses 13 Jul 23 – Nov 15 1 in 26
4 Zvartnots-AAC FC 3 Jun 20 – Jul 11 1 in 18
5 Lernagorts Kapan 6 Apr 13 – Jun 21 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Pyunik 1534 56 +6 13 13.0 -0.0
Shirak 1324 51 +12 10 9.0 +1.0
Urartu 1300 50 +16 12 10.4 +1.6
Spartak Yereman 1365 49 +85 13 11.2 +1.8
Mika 1084 33 -52 8 7.8 +0.2
Ararat 1206 33 +62 5 5.0 -0.0
Zvartnots-AAC FC 1102 32 -83 4 8.7 -4.7
Lernagorts Kapan 898 23 -57 4 5.6 -1.6
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 786 17 +92 6 4.1 +1.9
Ulisses 651 12 -103 1 4.8 -3.8
Kotayk 725 11 +99 7 2.8 +4.2
Lori 478 5 -77 1 2.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARA KOT LK LAY LOR MIK PYU SHI SY ULI URA ZVA
Ararat —
1-1-0
4.89
0-2-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.92
1-1-0
2.30
0-0-2
0.93
0-1-1
1.36
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
4.34
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
1.82
Kotayk
0-1-1
0.80
—
0-1-1
1.61
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
3.52
0-0-2
0.56
0-0-2
0.33
0-0-2
0.34
0-0-2
0.68
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
0.54
1-0-1
0.54
Lernagorts Kapan
0-2-0
1.66
1-1-0
4.06
—
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.52
0-1-1
1.10
0-0-2
0.49
0-0-2
0.58
0-0-2
0.89
2-0-0
3.76
0-0-2
0.96
1-0-1
0.73
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan
0-0-2
1.05
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.37
—
2-0-0
3.89
0-1-1
0.66
0-0-2
0.36
0-0-2
0.40
0-0-2
0.87
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
0.68
Lori
0-0-2
0.76
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.15
0-0-2
1.78
—
0-0-2
0.44
0-0-2
0.35
0-0-2
0.35
0-0-2
0.49
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
0.39
Mika
0-1-1
3.36
2-0-0
5.14
1-1-0
4.57
1-1-0
5.03
2-0-0
5.27
—
0-1-1
1.43
0-0-2
2.04
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
4.96
0-0-2
3.39
1-0-1
2.81
Pyunik
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
5.40
2-0-0
5.22
2-0-0
5.36
2-0-0
5.37
1-1-0
4.25
—
1-0-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.00
Shirak
1-1-0
4.31
2-0-0
5.39
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
5.32
2-0-0
5.38
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
1.88
—
0-1-1
3.82
2-0-0
5.27
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.92
Spartak Yereman
2-0-0
2.94
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
5.22
0-1-1
3.36
0-1-1
1.42
1-1-0
1.85
—
2-0-0
5.07
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
1.98
Ulisses
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.88
0-1-1
0.73
0-0-2
0.58
0-0-2
0.44
0-0-2
0.64
—
0-0-2
0.65
0-0-2
0.71
Urartu
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
5.17
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
5.02
2-0-0
5.23
2-0-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
5.03
—
2-0-0
3.05
Zvartnots-AAC FC
0-1-1
3.84
1-0-1
5.16
1-0-1
4.96
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
5.32
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
4.98
0-0-2
2.62
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +7.7
Allowed 0.83 -6.1
Differential 0.91 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%7.58%6.06%3.41%2.27%7.58%30.68%
17.58%7.58%4.17%4.17%0.76%2.27%26.52%
26.06%4.17%3.79%1.89%—0.76%16.67%
33.41%4.17%1.89%0.76%0.38%0.38%10.98%
42.27%0.76%—0.38%——3.41%
5+7.58%2.27%0.76%0.38%—0.76%11.74%
Total30.68%26.52%16.67%10.98%3.41%11.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.72 +0.00
SD 1.96 1.96 3.19
CV 1.14 1.14 —
Max 13 13 +11
Min -1 -1 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+9.09%9.09%———4.55%22.73%
Total31.82%40.91%22.73%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.82 +0.91
SD 1.93 0.85 2.09
CV 1.12 1.04 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%—18.18%40.91%
1—18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total—36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.82 -2.05
SD 0.81 1.92 2.36
CV 1.05 0.68 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%—13.64%40.91%
19.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%18.18%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.95 -1.00
SD 1.21 1.84 2.62
CV 1.27 0.94 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%50.00%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.36 -1.41
SD 1.25 1.87 2.70
CV 1.31 0.79 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%50.00%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%31.82%
2—4.55%—4.55%—9.09%18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%9.09%13.64%9.09%50.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 4.55 -3.86
SD 0.78 3.11 3.15
CV 1.14 0.68 —
Max 2 13 +1
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.27 +0.32
SD 1.33 0.94 1.84
CV 0.84 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%—————9.09%
213.64%—4.55%———18.18%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
Total59.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.68 0.59 +3.09
SD 3.08 1.05 2.93
CV 0.84 1.78 —
Max 13 3 +11
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
122.73%4.55%—4.55%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%4.55%————18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total63.64%22.73%4.55%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.68 +1.55
SD 1.90 1.25 2.58
CV 0.85 1.83 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%—9.09%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total54.55%22.73%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 0.73 +1.91
SD 1.94 0.94 2.41
CV 0.74 1.29 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%18.18%13.64%59.09%
1—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
2———9.09%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%18.18%22.73%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.86 -2.00
SD 1.21 1.67 2.39
CV 1.40 0.58 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
122.73%4.55%—4.55%——31.82%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total50.00%36.36%9.09%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.68 +1.27
SD 2.13 0.84 2.41
CV 1.09 1.23 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
2—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
3—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+22.73%—4.55%———27.27%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.32 +1.27
SD 2.34 1.43 3.04
CV 0.90 1.08 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Pyunik 1534 59 52.18 +6.82 95.0% 43 45 49 51 56 59 62
Spartak Yereman 1365 49 38.43 +10.57 99.0% 19 28 34 39 42 47 56
Shirak 1324 51 47.99 +3.01 78.0% 35 39 44 48 51 57 61
Urartu 1300 50 40.55 +9.45 97.0% 29 32 37 41 44 49 54
Ararat 1206 33 33.61 -0.61 47.0% 21 24 30 34 38 42 48
Zvartnots-AAC FC 1102 32 41.48 -9.48 5.0% 30 32 37 42 45 49 53
Mika 1084 33 40.12 -7.12 11.0% 24 30 37 40 44 50 54
Lernagorts Kapan 898 23 22.16 +0.84 66.0% 12 14 19 22 25 31 38
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 786 17 16.97 +0.03 52.0% 4 7 14 17 20 25 27
Kotayk 725 11 14.71 -3.71 24.0% 6 7 12 15 18 22 25
Ulisses 651 12 17.27 -5.27 18.0% 8 10 13 17 21 24 29
Lori 478 5 9.77 -4.77 15.0% 2 2 7 9 12 19 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+0.76%
No Edge
42.42%15.91%41.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 0.00 Elo pts.
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.00+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
75%
Pyunik, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.06 * Some Luck: 4.06 to 6.09 * Lucky: 6.09 to 8.12 * Wild Swing: 8.12 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.8 * Close: 0.8 to 1.2 * Off: 1.2 to 1.6 * Way Off: 1.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.21 points
Lucky
05.0813
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.002.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Spartak Yereman
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Zvartnots-AAC FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.20.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 327.75
2.77
Strong Separation
12.252.553.5
Interquartile Edge
96%
Wide Edge
50%72.5%85%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%35%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Very Frequent
0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.42
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.80
Near-Lock
00.370.630.771
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
8%
Solid Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.071
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Pyunik75.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%————————
Shirak20.00%43.00%24.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Urartu2.00%9.00%17.00%21.00%23.00%20.00%8.00%—————
Spartak Yereman1.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%21.00%21.00%17.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Ararat—1.00%4.00%7.00%14.00%21.00%46.00%5.00%2.00%———
Mika—11.00%13.00%18.00%27.00%21.00%7.00%3.00%————
Zvartnots-AAC FC2.00%10.00%25.00%29.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%—————
Lernagorts Kapan—————1.00%9.00%49.00%24.00%10.00%7.00%—
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan——————2.00%16.00%28.00%32.00%14.00%8.00%
Ulisses——————1.00%19.00%26.00%23.00%25.00%6.00%
Kotayk———————3.00%17.00%29.00%35.00%16.00%
Lori———————3.00%3.00%5.00%19.00%70.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ararat 100% —
Lernagorts Kapan 100% —
Mika 100% —
Pyunik 100% —
Shirak 100% —
Spartak Yereman 100% —
Urartu 100% —
Zvartnots-AAC FC 100% —
Ulisses 94.00% 6.00%
Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 92.00% 8.00%
Kotayk 84.00% 16.00%
Lori 30.00% 70.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-04-13 Lernagorts Kapan D 1-154.2 843 884 36.07% 16.99% 46.93%-0.27 +1.7 1
2002-04-13 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 1-154.2 884 843 46.93% 16.99% 36.07%+0.27 -1.7 1
2002-04-13 Mika L 0-141.8 1281 1314 37.19% 17.00% 45.81%-0.21 -27.3 0
2002-04-13 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC W 1-041.8 1314 1281 45.81% 17.00% 37.19%+0.21 +27.4 3
2002-04-13 Urartu W 3-140.6 1217 1105 56.63% 16.90% 26.46%+0.72 +33.3 3
2002-04-13 @ Pyunik L 1-340.6 1105 1217 26.46% 16.90% 56.63%-0.72 -33.3 0
2002-04-14 Ararat W 2-042.5 1031 1078 35.33% 16.99% 47.68%-0.30 +63.6 3
2002-04-14 @ Spartak Yereman L 0-242.5 1078 1031 47.68% 16.99% 35.33%+0.30 -63.6 0
2002-04-14 Shirak L 0-425.5 686 1336 1.70% 14.11% 84.19%-4.18 -5.0 0
2002-04-14 @ Lori W 4-025.5 1336 686 84.19% 14.11% 1.70%+4.18 +5.0 3
2002-04-14 Ulisses L 1-347.7 870 808 50.50% 16.97% 32.53%+0.40 -58.0 0
2002-04-14 @ Kotayk W 3-147.7 808 870 32.53% 16.97% 50.50%-0.40 +58.0 3
2002-05-04 Lernagorts Kapan W 3-134.5 1254 882 76.62% 15.96% 7.42%+2.39 +10.2 3
2002-05-04 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC L 1-334.5 882 1254 7.42% 15.96% 76.62%-2.39 -10.2 1
2002-05-04 Pyunik L 0-427.6 866 1250 7.14% 15.92% 76.94%-2.47 -21.5 3
2002-05-04 @ Ulisses W 4-027.6 1250 866 76.94% 15.92% 7.14%+2.47 +21.5 6
2002-05-04 Spartak Yereman L 0-141.3 1071 1095 38.49% 17.00% 44.51%-0.15 -28.1 0
2002-05-04 @ Urartu W 1-041.3 1095 1071 44.51% 17.00% 38.49%+0.15 +28.1 6
2002-05-05 Kotayk W 2-039.2 844 812 46.38% 17.00% 36.62%+0.21 +50.9 4
2002-05-05 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-239.2 812 844 36.62% 17.00% 46.38%-0.21 -50.9 0
2002-05-05 Lori W 2-030.7 1015 681 74.80% 16.15% 9.04%+2.15 +14.2 3
2002-05-05 @ Ararat L 0-230.7 681 1015 9.04% 16.15% 74.80%-2.15 -14.2 0
2002-05-05 Mika W 2-042.2 1341 1342 41.84% 17.01% 41.15%+0.00 +56.1 6
2002-05-05 @ Shirak L 0-242.2 1342 1341 41.15% 17.01% 41.84%+0.00 -56.1 3
2002-06-01 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 6-026.8 1264 895 76.49% 15.97% 7.53%+2.37 +33.1 6
2002-06-01 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-626.8 895 1264 7.53% 15.97% 76.49%-2.37 -33.1 4
2002-06-01 Pyunik L 0-724.6 667 1272 2.18% 14.46% 83.36%-3.89 -11.0 0
2002-06-01 @ Lori W 7-024.6 1272 667 83.36% 14.46% 2.18%+3.89 +11.0 9
2002-06-01 Spartak Yereman L 0-131.8 761 1123 8.04% 16.04% 75.93%-2.33 -6.7 0
2002-06-01 @ Kotayk W 1-031.8 1123 761 75.93% 16.04% 8.04%+2.33 +6.7 9
2002-06-02 Ararat D 1-154.3 872 1029 22.22% 16.82% 60.96%-1.01 +6.5 2
2002-06-02 @ Lernagorts Kapan D 1-154.3 1029 872 60.96% 16.82% 22.22%+1.01 -6.4 4
2002-06-02 Mika W 2-048.8 1043 1286 14.78% 16.56% 68.66%-1.56 +90.3 3
2002-06-02 @ Urartu L 0-248.8 1286 1043 68.66% 16.56% 14.78%+1.56 -90.3 3
2002-06-02 Ulisses W 5-130.0 1398 844 82.39% 14.81% 2.80%+3.56 +7.0 9
2002-06-02 @ Shirak L 1-530.0 844 1398 2.80% 14.81% 82.39%-3.56 -7.0 3
2002-06-08 Ulisses W 3-138.2 1022 837 64.25% 16.73% 19.01%+1.19 +24.8 7
2002-06-08 @ Ararat L 1-338.2 837 1022 19.01% 16.73% 64.25%-1.19 -24.8 3
2002-06-09 Lernagorts Kapan W 2-030.9 1195 878 73.89% 16.23% 9.88%+2.04 +15.5 6
2002-06-09 @ Mika L 0-230.9 878 1195 9.88% 16.23% 73.89%-2.04 -15.5 2
2002-06-09 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-031.8 1130 862 70.88% 16.45% 12.68%+1.72 +19.7 12
2002-06-09 @ Spartak Yereman L 0-231.8 862 1130 12.68% 16.45% 70.88%-1.72 -19.7 4
2002-06-09 Urartu L 0-130.5 656 1133 4.33% 15.36% 80.31%-3.07 -3.7 0
2002-06-09 @ Lori W 1-030.5 1133 656 80.31% 15.36% 4.33%+3.07 +3.6 6
2002-06-15 Ararat D 2-258.8 755 1047 11.50% 16.37% 72.13%-1.88 +7.9 1
2002-06-15 @ Kotayk D 2-258.8 1047 755 72.13% 16.37% 11.50%+1.88 -7.9 8
2002-06-15 Lori W 6-231.9 1297 652 84.19% 14.11% 1.70%+4.15 +3.6 9
2002-06-15 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC L 2-631.9 652 1297 1.70% 14.11% 84.19%-4.15 -3.5 0
2002-06-15 Spartak Yereman W 3-140.0 1283 1150 58.98% 16.86% 24.16%+0.85 +30.8 12
2002-06-15 @ Pyunik L 1-340.0 1150 1283 24.16% 16.86% 58.98%-0.85 -30.8 12
2002-06-16 Lernagorts Kapan W 3-136.1 1137 863 71.30% 16.42% 12.28%+1.76 +16.5 9
2002-06-16 @ Urartu L 1-336.1 863 1137 12.28% 16.42% 71.30%-1.76 -16.5 2
2002-06-16 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-132.7 1405 842 82.59% 14.74% 2.67%+3.62 +3.7 12
2002-06-16 @ Shirak L 1-332.7 842 1405 2.67% 14.74% 82.59%-3.62 -3.6 4
2002-06-16 Mika L 0-427.5 813 1211 6.63% 15.84% 77.52%-2.56 -20.0 3
2002-06-16 @ Ulisses W 4-027.5 1211 813 77.52% 15.84% 6.63%+2.56 +20.0 9
2002-06-20 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-243.2 1039 839 65.65% 16.69% 17.66%+1.29 +12.7 11
2002-06-20 @ Ararat L 2-343.2 839 1039 17.66% 16.69% 65.65%-1.29 -12.7 4
2002-06-20 Zvartnots-AAC FC D 1-154.6 1119 1301 19.80% 16.76% 63.45%-1.17 +7.3 13
2002-06-20 @ Spartak Yereman D 1-154.6 1301 1119 63.45% 16.76% 19.80%+1.17 -7.3 10
2002-06-21 Kotayk W 2-134.5 1231 763 80.17% 15.39% 4.44%+3.01 +3.5 12
2002-06-21 @ Mika L 1-234.5 763 1231 4.44% 15.39% 80.17%-3.01 -3.5 1
2002-06-21 Lori L 1-253.2 846 648 65.44% 16.69% 17.87%+1.27 -43.0 2
2002-06-21 @ Lernagorts Kapan W 2-153.2 648 846 17.87% 16.69% 65.44%-1.27 +43.0 3
2002-06-21 Ulisses W 2-030.3 1154 793 76.14% 16.01% 7.85%+2.32 +12.4 12
2002-06-21 @ Urartu L 0-230.3 793 1154 7.85% 16.01% 76.14%-2.32 -12.4 3
2002-06-27 Ararat FW49.4 1313 1052 70.42% 16.47% 13.10%+1.68 +0.0 15
2002-06-27 @ Pyunik FL49.4 1052 1313 13.10% 16.47% 70.42%-1.68 +0.0 11
2002-06-27 Mika D 2-259.0 826 1234 6.29% 15.79% 77.92%-2.62 +9.5 5
2002-06-27 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan D 2-259.0 1234 826 77.92% 15.79% 6.29%+2.62 -9.5 13
2002-06-27 Spartak Yereman L 1-629.7 691 1126 5.46% 15.63% 78.91%-2.80 -16.8 3
2002-06-27 @ Lori W 6-129.7 1126 691 78.91% 15.63% 5.46%+2.80 +16.8 16
2002-06-28 Lernagorts Kapan L 2-349.6 780 803 38.57% 17.00% 44.43%-0.15 -25.2 3
2002-06-28 @ Ulisses W 3-249.6 803 780 44.43% 17.00% 38.57%+0.15 +25.2 5
2002-06-28 Urartu D 1-154.6 759 1166 6.33% 15.79% 77.87%-2.62 +12.7 2
2002-06-28 @ Kotayk D 1-154.6 1166 759 77.87% 15.79% 6.33%+2.62 -12.7 13
2002-07-04 Pyunik L 0-237.8 1225 1313 29.91% 16.95% 53.14%-0.57 -42.8 13
2002-07-04 @ Mika W 2-037.8 1313 1225 53.14% 16.95% 29.91%+0.57 +42.8 18
2002-07-04 Shirak D 2-259.4 1143 1408 13.20% 16.48% 70.32%-1.71 +7.4 17
2002-07-04 @ Spartak Yereman D 2-259.4 1408 1143 70.32% 16.48% 13.20%+1.71 -7.4 13
2002-07-04 Zvartnots-AAC FC W 1-050.3 1052 1293 14.86% 16.57% 68.57%-1.55 +47.8 14
2002-07-04 @ Ararat L 0-150.3 1293 1052 68.57% 16.57% 14.86%+1.55 -47.8 10
2002-07-05 Kotayk W 1-039.7 829 772 49.75% 16.98% 33.27%+0.37 +24.9 8
2002-07-05 @ Lernagorts Kapan L 0-139.7 772 829 33.27% 16.98% 49.75%-0.37 -24.9 2
2002-07-05 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-029.6 1153 836 73.94% 16.23% 9.83%+2.04 +22.4 16
2002-07-05 @ Urartu L 0-329.6 836 1153 9.83% 16.23% 73.94%-2.04 -22.4 5
2002-07-05 Ulisses L 2-347.2 675 755 30.92% 16.96% 52.12%-0.52 -20.9 3
2002-07-05 @ Lori W 3-247.2 755 675 52.12% 16.96% 30.92%+0.52 +20.9 6
2002-07-10 Pyunik L 0-525.8 854 1356 3.79% 15.20% 81.01%-3.23 -14.1 8
2002-07-10 @ Lernagorts Kapan W 5-025.8 1356 854 81.01% 15.20% 3.79%+3.23 +14.1 21
2002-07-11 Mika L 1-245.0 1150 1182 37.41% 17.00% 45.59%-0.20 -25.9 17
2002-07-11 @ Spartak Yereman W 2-145.0 1182 1150 45.59% 17.00% 37.41%+0.20 +25.9 16
2002-07-11 Urartu L 1-249.3 1245 1176 51.44% 16.96% 31.60%+0.45 -34.1 10
2002-07-11 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC W 2-149.3 1176 1245 31.60% 16.96% 51.44%-0.45 +34.1 19
2002-07-12 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-040.7 776 813 36.62% 17.00% 46.38%-0.24 +90.2 9
2002-07-12 @ Ulisses L 0-340.7 813 776 46.38% 17.00% 36.62%+0.24 -90.2 5
2002-07-12 Lori D 1-154.3 747 654 54.39% 16.93% 28.68%+0.60 -4.2 3
2002-07-12 @ Kotayk D 1-154.3 654 747 28.68% 16.93% 54.39%-0.60 +4.2 4
2002-07-12 Shirak L 0-133.3 1100 1401 11.01% 16.33% 72.66%-1.94 -9.1 14
2002-07-12 @ Ararat W 1-033.3 1401 1100 72.66% 16.33% 11.01%+1.94 +9.1 16
2002-07-18 Kotayk W 3-026.4 1410 743 84.56% 13.94% 1.51%+4.29 +3.4 19
2002-07-18 @ Shirak L 0-326.4 743 1410 1.51% 13.94% 84.56%-4.29 -3.4 3
2002-07-22 Shirak D 0-052.1 1210 1413 17.85% 16.69% 65.45%-1.31 +9.0 20
2002-07-22 @ Urartu D 0-052.1 1413 1210 65.45% 16.69% 17.85%+1.31 -9.0 20
2002-07-22 Spartak Yereman L 0-231.6 839 1124 11.94% 16.40% 71.66%-1.83 -18.6 8
2002-07-22 @ Lernagorts Kapan W 2-031.6 1124 839 71.66% 16.40% 11.94%+1.83 +18.6 20
2002-07-23 Ararat D 2-258.7 1208 1091 57.21% 16.89% 25.90%+0.75 -3.8 17
2002-07-23 @ Mika D 2-258.7 1091 1208 25.90% 16.89% 57.21%-0.75 +3.8 15
2002-07-23 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 1-243.5 658 723 32.89% 16.97% 50.14%-0.42 -23.2 4
2002-07-23 @ Lori W 2-143.5 723 658 50.14% 16.97% 32.89%+0.42 +23.2 8
2002-07-23 Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-627.2 866 1211 8.76% 16.12% 75.12%-2.22 -38.3 9
2002-07-23 @ Ulisses W 6-027.2 1211 866 75.12% 16.12% 8.76%+2.22 +38.3 13
2002-07-27 Lernagorts Kapan W 3-026.9 1404 821 83.04% 14.59% 2.38%+3.75 +5.4 23
2002-07-27 @ Shirak L 0-326.9 821 1404 2.38% 14.59% 83.04%-3.75 -5.4 8
2002-07-27 Ulisses W 3-240.7 1143 828 73.81% 16.24% 9.95%+2.03 +7.4 23
2002-07-27 @ Spartak Yereman L 2-340.7 828 1143 9.95% 16.24% 73.81%-2.03 -7.4 9
2002-07-27 Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-525.7 739 1250 3.64% 15.14% 81.22%-3.28 -13.5 3
2002-07-27 @ Kotayk W 5-025.7 1250 739 81.22% 15.14% 3.64%+3.28 +13.5 16
2002-07-28 Lori W 4-131.2 1204 635 82.74% 14.69% 2.57%+3.66 +5.0 20
2002-07-28 @ Mika L 1-431.2 635 1204 2.57% 14.69% 82.74%-3.66 -5.0 4
2002-07-28 Urartu L 1-241.4 1095 1219 25.69% 16.89% 57.42%-0.80 -18.8 15
2002-07-28 @ Ararat W 2-141.4 1219 1095 57.42% 16.89% 25.69%+0.80 +18.8 23
2002-08-04 Kotayk W 7-024.4 1370 726 84.17% 14.12% 1.71%+4.14 +8.6 24
2002-08-04 @ Pyunik L 0-724.4 726 1370 1.71% 14.12% 84.17%-4.14 -8.6 3
2002-08-16 Pyunik L 0-129.5 746 1379 1.87% 14.25% 83.87%-4.07 -1.6 8
2002-08-16 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 1-029.5 1379 746 83.87% 14.25% 1.87%+4.07 +1.6 27
2002-08-25 Zvartnots-AAC FC W 4-350.3 1380 1263 57.20% 16.89% 25.90%+0.75 +17.5 30
2002-08-25 @ Pyunik L 3-450.3 1263 1380 25.90% 16.89% 57.20%-0.75 -17.5 16
2002-09-01 Pyunik L 0-235.9 1238 1398 21.87% 16.81% 61.32%-1.03 -32.5 23
2002-09-01 @ Urartu W 2-035.9 1398 1238 61.32% 16.81% 21.87%+1.03 +32.5 33
2002-09-02 Kotayk D 1-154.3 820 717 55.57% 16.92% 27.52%+0.66 -4.6 10
2002-09-02 @ Ulisses D 1-154.3 717 820 27.52% 16.92% 55.57%-0.66 +4.6 4
2002-09-02 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-037.6 815 745 51.57% 16.96% 31.47%+0.46 +44.7 11
2002-09-02 @ Lernagorts Kapan L 0-237.6 745 815 31.47% 16.96% 51.57%-0.46 -44.7 8
2002-09-02 Lori W 7-023.8 1410 630 86.19% 13.00% 0.81%+5.02 +4.0 26
2002-09-02 @ Shirak L 0-723.8 630 1410 0.81% 13.00% 86.19%-5.02 -4.0 4
2002-09-02 Spartak Yereman L 0-139.2 1076 1150 31.65% 16.96% 51.38%-0.48 -23.8 15
2002-09-02 @ Ararat W 1-039.2 1150 1076 51.38% 16.96% 31.65%+0.48 +23.8 26
2002-09-02 Zvartnots-AAC FC L 1-245.0 1209 1246 36.69% 17.00% 46.32%-0.24 -25.5 20
2002-09-02 @ Mika W 2-145.0 1246 1209 46.32% 17.00% 36.69%+0.24 +25.5 19
2002-09-12 Ararat L 1-531.1 626 1052 5.71% 15.68% 78.61%-2.74 -14.3 4
2002-09-12 @ Lori W 5-131.1 1052 626 78.61% 15.68% 5.71%+2.74 +14.3 18
2002-09-12 Shirak L 0-135.2 1183 1414 15.69% 16.61% 67.70%-1.48 -12.7 20
2002-09-12 @ Mika W 1-035.2 1414 1183 67.70% 16.61% 15.69%+1.48 +12.7 29
2002-09-12 Ulisses W 5-025.0 1430 816 83.64% 14.35% 2.01%+3.95 +7.4 36
2002-09-12 @ Pyunik L 0-525.0 816 1430 2.01% 14.35% 83.64%-3.95 -7.4 10
2002-09-13 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-241.7 722 700 45.00% 17.00% 38.00%+0.14 -60.5 4
2002-09-13 @ Kotayk W 2-041.7 700 722 38.00% 17.00% 45.00%-0.14 +60.5 11
2002-09-13 Urartu L 0-141.1 1174 1205 37.53% 17.00% 45.47%-0.20 -27.6 26
2002-09-13 @ Spartak Yereman W 1-041.1 1205 1174 45.47% 17.00% 37.53%+0.20 +27.5 26
2002-09-13 Zvartnots-AAC FC W 2-156.7 860 1271 6.19% 15.77% 78.04%-2.64 +51.6 14
2002-09-13 @ Lernagorts Kapan L 1-256.7 1271 860 78.04% 15.77% 6.19%+2.64 -51.6 19
2002-09-17 Lori W 13-224.4 1438 611 86.77% 12.60% 0.63%+5.31 +3.1 39
2002-09-17 @ Pyunik L 2-1324.4 611 1438 0.63% 12.60% 86.77%-5.31 -3.1 4
2002-09-17 Shirak L 0-228.1 808 1426 2.03% 14.36% 83.61%-3.98 -3.2 10
2002-09-17 @ Ulisses W 2-028.1 1426 808 83.61% 14.36% 2.03%+3.98 +3.2 32
2002-09-17 Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-725.7 760 1220 4.79% 15.48% 79.73%-2.95 -24.5 11
2002-09-17 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 7-025.7 1220 760 79.73% 15.48% 4.79%+2.95 +24.5 22
2002-09-18 Kotayk W 5-025.9 1147 661 80.68% 15.28% 4.04%+3.12 +15.0 29
2002-09-18 @ Spartak Yereman L 0-525.9 661 1147 4.04% 15.28% 80.68%-3.12 -15.0 4
2002-09-18 Lernagorts Kapan D 0-051.0 1066 912 61.28% 16.81% 21.91%+0.99 -7.3 19
2002-09-18 @ Ararat D 0-051.0 912 1066 21.91% 16.81% 61.28%-0.99 +7.3 15
2002-09-18 Urartu L 1-243.9 1171 1233 33.32% 16.98% 49.71%-0.40 -23.5 20
2002-09-18 @ Mika W 2-143.9 1233 1171 49.71% 16.98% 33.32%+0.40 +23.5 29
2002-09-24 Lori W 10-024.5 1256 608 84.24% 14.09% 1.67%+4.17 +11.8 32
2002-09-24 @ Urartu L 0-1024.5 608 1256 1.67% 14.09% 84.24%-4.17 -11.8 4
2002-09-24 Pyunik L 3-546.2 1244 1441 18.45% 16.72% 64.83%-1.26 -20.4 22
2002-09-24 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC W 5-346.2 1441 1244 64.83% 16.72% 18.45%+1.26 +20.4 42
2002-09-24 Spartak Yereman L 0-427.1 736 1162 5.73% 15.68% 78.59%-2.74 -17.3 11
2002-09-24 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 4-027.1 1162 736 78.59% 15.68% 5.73%+2.74 +17.3 32
2002-09-25 Ararat L 0-529.2 805 1059 13.98% 16.52% 69.50%-1.63 -50.4 10
2002-09-25 @ Ulisses W 5-029.2 1059 805 69.50% 16.52% 13.98%+1.63 +50.4 22
2002-09-25 Mika D 1-154.4 919 1147 15.85% 16.62% 67.53%-1.47 +8.8 16
2002-09-25 @ Lernagorts Kapan D 1-154.4 1147 919 67.53% 16.62% 15.85%+1.47 -8.8 21
2002-09-25 Shirak L 0-623.9 646 1430 0.82% 13.02% 86.16%-5.04 -3.5 4
2002-09-25 @ Kotayk W 6-023.9 1430 646 86.16% 13.02% 0.82%+5.04 +3.5 35
2002-09-29 Kotayk W 5-130.6 1109 643 80.12% 15.40% 4.48%+3.00 +11.2 25
2002-09-29 @ Ararat L 1-530.6 643 1109 4.48% 15.40% 80.12%-3.00 -11.2 4
2002-09-29 Ulisses D 3-362.9 1138 755 77.14% 15.89% 6.97%+2.47 -7.7 22
2002-09-29 @ Mika D 3-362.9 755 1138 6.97% 15.89% 77.14%-2.47 +7.7 11
2002-09-29 Urartu L 0-132.2 928 1268 9.00% 16.15% 74.85%-2.19 -7.5 16
2002-09-29 @ Lernagorts Kapan W 1-032.2 1268 928 74.85% 16.15% 9.00%+2.19 +7.5 35
2002-09-30 Pyunik D 2-260.0 1179 1461 12.12% 16.41% 71.47%-1.81 +7.7 33
2002-09-30 @ Spartak Yereman D 2-260.0 1461 1179 71.47% 16.41% 12.12%+1.81 -7.7 43
2002-09-30 Shirak L 1-233.0 719 1433 1.20% 13.60% 85.21%-4.60 -0.9 11
2002-09-30 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-133.0 1433 719 85.21% 13.60% 1.20%+4.60 +0.9 38
2002-09-30 Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-524.9 596 1224 1.93% 14.29% 83.78%-4.03 -7.1 4
2002-09-30 @ Lori W 5-024.9 1224 596 83.78% 14.29% 1.93%+4.03 +7.1 25
2002-10-04 Mika L 1-333.2 632 1131 3.87% 15.22% 80.91%-3.21 -5.3 4
2002-10-04 @ Kotayk W 3-133.2 1131 632 80.91% 15.22% 3.87%+3.21 +5.3 25
2002-10-04 Shirak W 5-042.7 1453 1434 44.64% 17.00% 38.36%+0.13 +123.8 46
2002-10-04 @ Pyunik L 0-542.7 1434 1453 38.36% 17.00% 44.64%-0.13 -123.8 38
2002-10-04 Spartak Yereman L 0-341.5 1231 1187 48.04% 16.99% 34.97%+0.28 -93.0 25
2002-10-04 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC W 3-041.5 1187 1231 34.97% 16.99% 48.04%-0.28 +93.0 36
2002-10-05 Ararat L 0-526.7 718 1121 6.47% 15.82% 77.71%-2.59 -24.0 11
2002-10-05 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 5-026.7 1121 718 77.71% 15.82% 6.47%+2.59 +24.0 28
2002-10-05 Lernagorts Kapan L 0-527.7 589 920 9.43% 16.19% 74.38%-2.13 -34.7 4
2002-10-05 @ Lori W 5-027.7 920 589 74.38% 16.19% 9.43%+2.13 +34.7 19
2002-10-05 Urartu L 0-327.4 763 1275 3.59% 15.13% 81.28%-3.30 -8.3 11
2002-10-05 @ Ulisses W 3-027.4 1275 763 81.28% 15.13% 3.59%+3.30 +8.3 38
2002-10-09 Pyunik W 1-056.7 1310 1577 13.08% 16.47% 70.45%-1.72 +49.2 41
2002-10-09 @ Shirak L 0-156.7 1577 1310 70.45% 16.47% 13.08%+1.72 -49.2 46
2002-10-20 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 3-133.6 1136 694 79.35% 15.55% 5.10%+2.84 +7.0 28
2002-10-20 @ Mika L 1-333.6 694 1136 5.10% 15.55% 79.35%-2.84 -7.0 11
2002-10-20 Lori W 7-024.0 1280 555 85.44% 13.46% 1.10%+4.66 +5.4 39
2002-10-20 @ Spartak Yereman L 0-724.0 555 1280 1.10% 13.46% 85.44%-4.66 -5.4 4
2002-10-20 Pyunik L 0-133.1 1145 1528 7.17% 15.92% 76.91%-2.47 -6.0 28
2002-10-20 @ Ararat W 1-033.1 1528 1145 76.91% 15.92% 7.17%+2.47 +6.0 49
2002-10-21 Kotayk W 4-130.7 1284 626 84.40% 14.02% 1.59%+4.23 +3.0 41
2002-10-21 @ Urartu L 1-430.7 626 1284 1.59% 14.02% 84.40%-4.23 -3.0 4
2002-10-21 Shirak W 1-050.1 1138 1359 16.35% 16.64% 67.01%-1.43 +46.7 28
2002-10-21 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-150.1 1359 1138 67.01% 16.64% 16.35%+1.43 -46.7 41
2002-10-23 Urartu L 0-129.6 687 1287 2.24% 14.50% 83.26%-3.86 -1.9 11
2002-10-23 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 1-029.6 1287 687 83.26% 14.50% 2.24%+3.86 +1.9 44
2002-10-26 Ararat D 0-051.1 1184 1139 48.28% 16.99% 34.73%+0.29 -2.4 29
2002-10-26 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC D 0-051.1 1139 1184 34.73% 16.99% 48.28%-0.29 +2.4 29
2002-10-26 Lernagorts Kapan D 1-154.5 623 955 9.39% 16.19% 74.42%-2.13 +11.4 5
2002-10-26 @ Kotayk D 1-154.5 955 623 74.42% 16.19% 9.39%+2.13 -11.4 20
2002-10-26 Lori D 0-051.0 754 549 66.05% 16.67% 17.28%+1.32 -9.3 12
2002-10-26 @ Ulisses D 0-051.0 549 754 17.28% 16.67% 66.05%-1.32 +9.3 5
2002-10-26 Mika D 0-052.9 1534 1143 77.45% 15.85% 6.70%+2.52 -14.0 50
2002-10-26 @ Pyunik D 0-052.9 1143 1534 6.70% 15.85% 77.45%-2.52 +14.0 29
2002-10-26 Spartak Yereman L 1-347.2 1313 1285 45.78% 17.00% 37.22%+0.18 -53.2 41
2002-10-26 @ Shirak W 3-147.2 1285 1313 37.22% 17.00% 45.78%-0.18 +53.2 42
2002-10-30 Zvartnots-AAC FC W 1-039.2 1260 1182 52.43% 16.96% 30.62%+0.50 +23.2 44
2002-10-30 @ Shirak L 0-139.2 1182 1260 30.62% 16.96% 52.43%-0.50 -23.2 29
2002-11-03 Ararat D 1-154.6 1283 1141 59.94% 16.84% 23.22%+0.91 -6.1 45
2002-11-03 @ Shirak D 1-154.6 1141 1283 23.22% 16.84% 59.94%-0.91 +6.1 30
2002-11-03 Kotayk L 1-342.0 559 635 31.46% 16.96% 51.58%-0.49 -38.7 5
2002-11-03 @ Lori W 3-142.0 635 559 51.58% 16.96% 31.46%+0.49 +38.7 8
2002-11-03 Lernagorts Kapan W 6-025.2 1520 944 82.89% 14.64% 2.47%+3.71 +10.8 53
2002-11-03 @ Pyunik L 0-625.2 944 1520 2.47% 14.64% 82.89%-3.71 -10.8 20
2002-11-03 Ulisses W 2-043.0 685 745 33.54% 16.98% 49.48%-0.39 +65.8 14
2002-11-03 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 0-243.0 745 685 49.48% 16.98% 33.54%+0.39 -65.8 12
2002-11-03 Zvartnots-AAC FC W 3-245.6 1289 1159 58.63% 16.87% 24.50%+0.83 +17.1 47
2002-11-03 @ Urartu L 2-345.6 1159 1289 24.50% 16.87% 58.63%-0.83 -17.1 29
2002-11-04 Spartak Yereman D 1-154.8 1157 1338 19.84% 16.76% 63.40%-1.17 +7.3 30
2002-11-04 @ Mika D 1-154.8 1338 1157 63.40% 16.76% 19.84%+1.17 -7.3 43
2002-11-07 Ulisses W 1-033.6 933 679 69.88% 16.50% 13.61%+1.63 +11.2 23
2002-11-07 @ Lernagorts Kapan L 0-133.6 679 933 13.61% 16.50% 69.88%-1.63 -11.2 12
2002-11-11 Lernagorts Kapan W 6-026.6 1331 944 77.29% 15.87% 6.84%+2.49 +30.1 46
2002-11-11 @ Spartak Yereman L 0-626.6 944 1331 6.84% 15.87% 77.29%-2.49 -30.1 23
2002-11-11 Lori W 5-134.2 751 520 68.18% 16.59% 15.24%+1.48 +37.0 17
2002-11-11 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan L 1-534.2 520 751 15.24% 16.59% 68.18%-1.48 -36.9 5
2002-11-11 Mika W 3-040.0 1147 1164 39.41% 17.00% 43.59%-0.11 +85.5 33
2002-11-11 @ Ararat L 0-340.0 1164 1147 43.59% 17.00% 39.41%+0.11 -85.5 30
2002-11-11 Pyunik L 1-528.6 673 1531 0.55% 12.38% 87.08%-5.51 -1.3 8
2002-11-11 @ Kotayk W 5-128.6 1531 673 87.08% 12.38% 0.55%+5.51 +1.3 56
2002-11-11 Ulisses W 4-026.6 1142 668 80.34% 15.35% 4.31%+3.05 +13.0 32
2002-11-11 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC L 0-426.6 668 1142 4.31% 15.35% 80.34%-3.05 -13.0 12
2002-11-11 Urartu W 1-044.1 1277 1306 37.77% 17.00% 45.23%-0.19 +32.2 48
2002-11-11 @ Shirak L 0-144.1 1306 1277 45.23% 17.00% 37.77%+0.19 -32.2 47
2002-11-15 Ararat W 1-040.8 1273 1233 47.59% 16.99% 35.42%+0.26 +26.2 50
2002-11-15 @ Urartu L 0-140.8 1233 1273 35.42% 16.99% 47.59%-0.26 -26.2 33
2002-11-15 Kotayk L 1-257.3 1155 672 80.60% 15.29% 4.10%+3.10 -53.3 32
2002-11-15 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC W 2-157.3 672 1155 4.10% 15.29% 80.60%-3.10 +53.2 11
2002-11-15 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan W 2-027.5 1532 788 85.71% 13.30% 0.99%+4.79 +1.5 59
2002-11-15 @ Pyunik L 0-227.5 788 1532 0.99% 13.30% 85.71%-4.79 -1.5 17
2002-11-15 Mika L 0-326.8 483 1079 2.29% 14.53% 83.18%-3.83 -5.2 5
2002-11-15 @ Lori W 3-026.8 1079 483 83.18% 14.53% 2.29%+3.83 +5.2 33
2002-11-15 Shirak L 0-328.6 914 1309 6.75% 15.86% 77.39%-2.54 -15.5 23
2002-11-15 @ Lernagorts Kapan W 3-028.6 1309 914 77.39% 15.86% 6.75%+2.54 +15.5 51
2002-11-15 Spartak Yereman L 0-425.2 655 1361 1.25% 13.67% 85.08%-4.54 -3.7 12
2002-11-15 @ Ulisses W 4-025.2 1361 655 85.08% 13.67% 1.25%+4.54 +3.7 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-11-15 4.10% Kotayk 672 2 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1155 1
2 2002-09-13 6.19% @ Lernagorts Kapan 860 2 Zvartnots-AAC FC 1271 1
3 2002-10-09 13.08% @ Shirak 1310 1 Pyunik 1577 0
4 2002-06-02 14.78% @ Urartu 1043 2 Mika 1286 0
5 2002-07-04 14.86% @ Ararat 1052 1 Zvartnots-AAC FC 1293 0
6 2002-10-21 16.35% @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1138 1 Shirak 1359 0
7 2002-06-21 17.87% Lori 648 2 @ Lernagorts Kapan 846 1
8 2002-07-11 31.60% Urartu 1176 2 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1245 1
9 2002-04-14 32.53% Ulisses 808 3 @ Kotayk 870 1
10 2002-11-03 33.54% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 685 2 Ulisses 745 0
11 2002-10-04 34.97% Spartak Yereman 1187 3 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1231 0
12 2002-04-14 35.33% @ Spartak Yereman 1031 2 Ararat 1078 0
13 2002-07-12 36.62% @ Ulisses 776 3 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 813 0
14 2002-10-26 37.22% Spartak Yereman 1285 3 @ Shirak 1313 1
15 2002-11-11 37.77% @ Shirak 1277 1 Urartu 1306 0
16 2002-09-13 38.00% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 700 2 @ Kotayk 722 0
17 2002-11-11 39.41% @ Ararat 1147 3 Mika 1164 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-10-04 123.76 @ Pyunik 5 1453 44.64% Shirak 0 1434 38.36% 17.00%
2 2002-10-04 93.05 Spartak Yereman 3 1187 34.97% @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 0 1231 48.04% 16.99%
3 2002-06-02 90.31 @ Urartu 2 1043 14.78% Mika 0 1286 68.66% 16.56%
4 2002-07-12 90.23 @ Ulisses 3 776 36.62% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 813 46.38% 17.00%
5 2002-11-11 85.53 @ Ararat 3 1147 39.41% Mika 0 1164 43.59% 17.00%
6 2002-11-03 65.78 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 2 685 33.54% Ulisses 0 745 49.48% 16.98%
7 2002-04-14 63.65 @ Spartak Yereman 2 1031 35.33% Ararat 0 1078 47.68% 16.99%
8 2002-09-13 60.51 Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 2 700 38.00% @ Kotayk 0 722 45.00% 17.00%
9 2002-04-14 58.03 Ulisses 3 808 32.53% @ Kotayk 1 870 50.50% 16.97%
10 2002-05-05 56.12 @ Shirak 2 1341 41.84% Mika 0 1342 41.15% 17.01%
11 2002-11-15 53.26 Kotayk 2 672 4.10% @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1155 80.60% 15.29%
12 2002-10-26 53.19 Spartak Yereman 3 1285 37.22% @ Shirak 1 1313 45.78% 17.00%
13 2002-09-13 51.60 @ Lernagorts Kapan 2 860 6.19% Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1271 78.04% 15.77%
14 2002-05-05 50.90 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 2 844 46.38% Kotayk 0 812 36.62% 17.00%
15 2002-09-25 50.43 Ararat 5 1059 69.50% @ Ulisses 0 805 13.98% 16.52%
16 2002-10-09 49.20 @ Shirak 1 1310 13.08% Pyunik 0 1577 70.45% 16.47%
17 2002-07-04 47.83 @ Ararat 1 1052 14.86% Zvartnots-AAC FC 0 1293 68.57% 16.57%
18 2002-10-21 46.71 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1138 16.35% Shirak 0 1359 67.01% 16.64%
19 2002-09-02 44.73 @ Lernagorts Kapan 2 815 51.57% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 745 31.47% 16.96%
20 2002-06-21 42.98 Lori 2 648 17.87% @ Lernagorts Kapan 1 846 65.44% 16.69%
21 2002-07-04 42.83 Pyunik 2 1313 53.14% @ Mika 0 1225 29.91% 16.95%
22 2002-11-03 38.74 Kotayk 3 635 51.58% @ Lori 1 559 31.46% 16.96%
23 2002-07-23 38.34 Zvartnots-AAC FC 6 1211 75.12% @ Ulisses 0 866 8.76% 16.12%
24 2002-11-11 36.95 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 5 751 68.18% Lori 1 520 15.24% 16.59%
25 2002-10-05 34.68 Lernagorts Kapan 5 920 74.38% @ Lori 0 589 9.43% 16.19%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-29 62.9 @ Mika 3 1138 77.14% Ulisses 3 755 6.97% 15.89%
2 2002-09-30 60.0 @ Spartak Yereman 2 1179 12.12% Pyunik 2 1461 71.47% 16.41%
3 2002-07-04 59.4 @ Spartak Yereman 2 1143 13.20% Shirak 2 1408 70.32% 16.48%
4 2002-06-27 59.0 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 2 826 6.29% Mika 2 1234 77.92% 15.79%
5 2002-06-15 58.8 @ Kotayk 2 755 11.50% Ararat 2 1047 72.13% 16.37%
6 2002-07-23 58.7 @ Mika 2 1208 57.21% Ararat 2 1091 25.90% 16.89%
7 2002-11-15 57.3 Kotayk 2 672 4.10% @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1155 80.60% 15.29%
8 2002-09-13 56.7 @ Lernagorts Kapan 2 860 6.19% Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1271 78.04% 15.77%
9 2002-10-09 56.7 @ Shirak 1 1310 13.08% Pyunik 0 1577 70.45% 16.47%
10 2002-11-04 54.8 @ Mika 1 1157 19.84% Spartak Yereman 1 1338 63.40% 16.76%
11 2002-06-20 54.6 @ Spartak Yereman 1 1119 19.80% Zvartnots-AAC FC 1 1301 63.45% 16.76%
12 2002-06-28 54.6 @ Kotayk 1 759 6.33% Urartu 1 1166 77.87% 15.79%
13 2002-11-03 54.6 @ Shirak 1 1283 59.94% Ararat 1 1141 23.22% 16.84%
14 2002-10-26 54.5 @ Kotayk 1 623 9.39% Lernagorts Kapan 1 955 74.42% 16.19%
15 2002-09-25 54.4 @ Lernagorts Kapan 1 919 15.85% Mika 1 1147 67.53% 16.62%
16 2002-06-02 54.3 @ Lernagorts Kapan 1 872 22.22% Ararat 1 1029 60.96% 16.82%
17 2002-07-12 54.3 @ Kotayk 1 747 54.39% Lori 1 654 28.68% 16.93%
18 2002-09-02 54.3 @ Ulisses 1 820 55.57% Kotayk 1 717 27.52% 16.92%
19 2002-04-13 54.2 @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 1 843 36.07% Lernagorts Kapan 1 884 46.93% 16.99%
20 2002-06-21 53.2 Lori 2 648 17.87% @ Lernagorts Kapan 1 846 65.44% 16.69%
21 2002-10-26 52.9 @ Pyunik 0 1534 77.45% Mika 0 1143 6.70% 15.85%
22 2002-07-22 52.1 @ Urartu 0 1210 17.85% Shirak 0 1413 65.45% 16.69%
23 2002-10-26 51.1 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 0 1184 48.28% Ararat 0 1139 34.73% 16.99%
24 2002-09-18 51.0 @ Ararat 0 1066 61.28% Lernagorts Kapan 0 912 21.91% 16.81%
25 2002-10-26 51.0 @ Ulisses 0 754 66.05% Lori 0 549 17.28% 16.67%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-02 23.8 @ Shirak 7 1410 86.19% Lori 0 630 0.81% 13.00%
2 2002-09-25 23.9 Shirak 6 1430 86.16% @ Kotayk 0 646 0.82% 13.02%
3 2002-10-20 24.0 @ Spartak Yereman 7 1280 85.44% Lori 0 555 1.10% 13.46%
4 2002-08-04 24.4 @ Pyunik 7 1370 84.17% Kotayk 0 726 1.71% 14.12%
5 2002-09-17 24.4 @ Pyunik 13 1438 86.77% Lori 2 611 0.63% 12.60%
6 2002-09-24 24.5 @ Urartu 10 1256 84.24% Lori 0 608 1.67% 14.09%
7 2002-06-01 24.6 Pyunik 7 1272 83.36% @ Lori 0 667 2.18% 14.46%
8 2002-09-30 24.9 Zvartnots-AAC FC 5 1224 83.78% @ Lori 0 596 1.93% 14.29%
9 2002-09-12 25.0 @ Pyunik 5 1430 83.64% Ulisses 0 816 2.01% 14.35%
10 2002-11-03 25.2 @ Pyunik 6 1520 82.89% Lernagorts Kapan 0 944 2.47% 14.64%
11 2002-11-15 25.2 Spartak Yereman 4 1361 85.08% @ Ulisses 0 655 1.25% 13.67%
12 2002-04-14 25.5 Shirak 4 1336 84.19% @ Lori 0 686 1.70% 14.11%
13 2002-07-27 25.7 Zvartnots-AAC FC 5 1250 81.22% @ Kotayk 0 739 3.64% 15.14%
14 2002-09-17 25.7 Zvartnots-AAC FC 7 1220 79.73% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 760 4.79% 15.48%
15 2002-07-10 25.8 Pyunik 5 1356 81.01% @ Lernagorts Kapan 0 854 3.79% 15.20%
16 2002-09-18 25.9 @ Spartak Yereman 5 1147 80.68% Kotayk 0 661 4.04% 15.28%
17 2002-07-18 26.4 @ Shirak 3 1410 84.56% Kotayk 0 743 1.51% 13.94%
18 2002-11-11 26.6 @ Spartak Yereman 6 1331 77.29% Lernagorts Kapan 0 944 6.84% 15.87%
19 2002-11-11 26.6 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 4 1142 80.34% Ulisses 0 668 4.31% 15.35%
20 2002-10-05 26.7 Ararat 5 1121 77.71% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 718 6.47% 15.82%
21 2002-06-01 26.8 @ Zvartnots-AAC FC 6 1264 76.49% Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 895 7.53% 15.97%
22 2002-11-15 26.8 Mika 3 1079 83.18% @ Lori 0 483 2.29% 14.53%
23 2002-07-27 26.9 @ Shirak 3 1404 83.04% Lernagorts Kapan 0 821 2.38% 14.59%
24 2002-09-24 27.1 Spartak Yereman 4 1162 78.59% @ Lernayin Artsakh Yerevan 0 736 5.73% 15.68%
25 2002-07-23 27.2 Zvartnots-AAC FC 6 1211 75.12% @ Ulisses 0 866 8.76% 16.12%