2022-23 Armenian Premier League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Urartu

83 points · 2nd Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Urartu

11.94 points above expected

83 points · 71.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lernayin Artsakh

11.29 points below expected

22 points · 33.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Urartu Champion	36	26	5	5	83	68	25	+43	71.06	+11.94
2	Pyunik	36	25	5	6	80	72	23	+49	73.26	+6.74
3	Ararat-Armenia	36	23	7	6	76	70	27	+43	77.88	-1.88
4	Alashkert	36	20	6	10	66	58	37	+21	61.35	+4.65
5	Van	36	11	7	18	40	38	59	-21	40.08	-0.08
6	Ararat	36	10	8	18	38	29	42	-13	46.47	-8.47
7	Shirak	36	10	6	20	36	25	55	-30	37.35	-1.35
8	BKMA Yerevan	36	7	11	18	32	36	53	-17	30.53	+1.47
9	Noah	36	8	8	20	32	34	66	-32	34.35	-2.35
10	Lernayin Artsakh	36	5	7	24	22	16	59	-43	33.29	-11.29

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Urartu	83	71.06	+11.94
2	Pyunik	80	73.26	+6.74
3	Alashkert	66	61.35	+4.65
4	BKMA Yerevan	32	30.53	+1.47
5	Van	40	40.08	-0.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lernayin Artsakh	22	33.29	-11.29
2	Ararat	38	46.47	-8.47
3	Noah	32	34.35	-2.35
4	Ararat-Armenia	76	77.88	-1.88
5	Shirak	36	37.35	-1.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pyunik	14	Feb 24 – May 21	1 in 341
2	Noah	3	May 27 – Jun 4	1 in 131
3	Urartu	8	Sep 19 – Nov 4	1 in 91
4	BKMA Yerevan	4	Apr 26 – May 16	1 in 86
5	Van	2	Aug 13 – Aug 21	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lernayin Artsakh	17	Nov 28 – May 25	1 in 4,603
2	Alashkert	4	Nov 13 – Dec 4	1 in 385
3	Ararat	4	Feb 27 – Mar 18	1 in 50
4	Van	4	Dec 3 – Mar 5	1 in 18
5	Shirak	4	May 17 – May 31	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Urartu	12	Sep 4 – Nov 22	1 in 27
2	BKMA Yerevan	5	Apr 20 – May 16	1 in 23
3	Ararat-Armenia	18	Oct 21 – Apr 22	1 in 16
4	Noah	3	Nov 20 – Dec 3	1 in 16
5	Van	5	Sep 8 – Oct 15	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Noah	17	Jul 30 – Nov 20	1 in 231
2	Lernayin Artsakh	23	Oct 29 – Jun 5	1 in 230
3	Alashkert	5	Nov 10 – Dec 4	1 in 38
4	Pyunik	3	Nov 6 – Nov 13	1 in 17
5	Van	6	Aug 27 – Oct 11	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Urartu	1577	83	+3	10	10.3	-0.3
Pyunik	1643	80	-15	10	11.5	-1.5
Ararat-Armenia	1560	76	-12	10	12.3	-2.3
Alashkert	1463	66	+1	9	8.2	+0.8
Van	1215	40	+46	6	5.0	+1.0
Ararat	1248	38	+9	8	7.2	+0.8
Shirak	1132	36	-80	3	5.7	-2.7
Noah	1221	32	+60	9	4.5	+4.5
BKMA Yerevan	1254	32	+16	5	3.5	+1.5
Lernayin Artsakh	976	22	-27	1	2.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALA	ARA	ARA	BY	LA	NOA	PYU	SHI	URA	VAN
Alashkert	—	3-0-1 7.10	1-2-1 3.76	2-1-1 8.78	4-0-0 8.64	3-0-1 8.17	0-0-4 4.12	4-0-0 8.45	1-2-1 4.24	2-1-1 8.39
Ararat	1-0-3 4.09	—	0-0-4 2.57	1-2-1 7.02	2-1-1 7.41	2-1-1 7.24	2-0-2 2.81	0-2-2 6.77	0-2-2 2.43	2-0-2 6.19
Ararat-Armenia	1-2-1 7.44	4-0-0 8.67	—	3-1-0 9.80	3-1-0 10.03	3-0-1 9.91	0-2-2 6.70	4-0-0 9.43	1-1-2 6.94	4-0-0 9.37
BKMA Yerevan	1-1-2 2.45	1-2-1 4.17	0-1-3 1.51	—	2-1-1 5.52	1-2-1 5.16	0-2-2 1.65	0-1-3 4.77	0-0-4 1.82	2-1-1 3.98
Lernayin Artsakh	0-0-4 2.60	1-1-2 3.79	0-1-3 1.33	1-1-2 5.67	—	1-1-2 5.47	0-1-3 1.84	1-1-2 5.02	1-0-3 1.79	0-1-3 5.12
Noah	1-0-3 3.04	1-1-2 3.95	1-0-3 1.42	1-2-1 6.02	2-1-1 5.72	—	0-0-4 1.83	1-1-2 5.51	0-0-4 2.25	1-3-0 4.41
Pyunik	4-0-0 7.07	2-0-2 8.41	2-2-0 4.48	2-2-0 9.64	3-1-0 9.48	4-0-0 9.46	—	4-0-0 9.14	1-0-3 6.07	3-0-1 8.98
Shirak	0-0-4 2.76	2-2-0 4.41	0-0-4 1.85	3-1-0 6.41	2-1-1 6.16	2-1-1 5.67	0-0-4 2.12	—	0-0-4 2.46	1-1-2 5.01
Urartu	1-2-1 6.95	2-2-0 8.81	2-1-1 4.25	4-0-0 9.45	3-0-1 9.51	4-0-0 9.02	3-0-1 5.11	4-0-0 8.78	—	3-0-1 8.85
Van	1-1-2 2.83	2-0-2 4.98	0-0-4 1.90	1-1-2 7.21	3-1-0 6.06	0-3-1 6.77	1-0-3 2.28	2-1-1 6.16	1-0-3 2.39	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+10.9
Allowed	0.87	-13.5
Differential	0.97	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	13.06%	5.83%	4.44%	1.67%	1.39%	34.17%
1	13.06%	7.78%	6.39%	3.33%	1.39%	0.56%	32.50%
2	5.83%	6.39%	3.33%	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	17.50%
3	4.44%	3.33%	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	—	9.72%
4	1.67%	1.39%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	3.89%
5+	1.39%	0.56%	0.28%	—	—	—	2.22%
Total	34.17%	32.50%	17.50%	9.72%	3.89%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.24	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.96
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
1	19.44%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	44.44%	27.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.03	+0.58
SD	1.36	1.25	1.75
CV	0.84	1.22	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	13.89%	—	—	—	36.11%
1	16.67%	5.56%	19.44%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	13.89%	33.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.17	-0.36
SD	0.75	1.16	1.36
CV	0.93	0.99	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	47.22%	36.11%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.94	0.75	+1.19
SD	1.43	0.91	1.75
CV	0.74	1.21	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	27.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	25.00%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	11.11%	58.33%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.47	-0.47
SD	1.12	1.16	1.52
CV	1.12	0.79	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	22.22%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	66.67%
1	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.11%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.44	1.64	-1.19
SD	0.73	1.31	1.58
CV	1.65	0.80	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	—	5.56%	44.44%
1	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	19.44%	27.78%	22.22%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.83	-0.89
SD	1.01	1.46	1.83
CV	1.07	0.80	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	44.44%	50.00%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.64	+1.36
SD	1.53	0.68	1.82
CV	0.77	1.07	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	50.00%
1	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	25.00%	16.67%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.69	1.53	-0.83
SD	0.86	1.40	1.73
CV	1.23	0.92	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
1	25.00%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	58.33%	25.00%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	0.69	+1.19
SD	1.37	1.01	1.77
CV	0.72	1.45	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	38.89%
1	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
2	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	33.33%	16.67%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.64	-0.58
SD	1.12	1.51	2.20
CV	1.06	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Pyunik	1643	80	73.26	+6.74	84.0%	54	59	69	73	77	87	89
Urartu	1577	83	71.06	+11.94	100.0%	50	59	66	71	77	81	82
Ararat-Armenia	1560	76	77.88	-1.88	41.0%	61	68	74	77	82	88	91
Alashkert	1463	66	61.35	+4.65	73.0%	46	49	55	61	67	73	79
BKMA Yerevan	1254	32	30.53	+1.47	66.0%	16	21	27	30	35	40	45
Ararat	1248	38	46.47	-8.47	16.0%	27	33	42	47	51	57	61
Noah	1221	32	34.35	-2.35	36.0%	17	22	29	34	38	48	56
Van	1215	40	40.08	-0.08	52.0%	24	28	34	40	45	51	58
Shirak	1132	36	37.35	-1.35	46.0%	18	25	33	37	42	49	59
Lernayin Artsakh	976	22	33.29	-11.29	6.0%	19	22	30	33	37	44	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-1.67%

No Edge

39.44%19.44%41.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -5.79 Elo pts.

213 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.04 goals

Neutral

-2-0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

20%

Urartu, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.08/gm

Tight Race

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.46 * Lucky: 8.46 to 11.28 * Wild Swing: 11.28 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.76 * Close: 0.76 to 1.14 * Off: 1.14 to 1.52 * Way Off: 1.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.49 points

Some Luck

07.0518

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

00.952

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Urartu

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

6.00%

Lernayin Artsakh

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Even

00.20.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 219.12

2.83

Wide Separation

12.252.553.5

Interquartile Edge

86%

Clear Edge

50%72.5%85%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.52

Highly Predictable

00.532

Matchup Imbalance

0.49

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.93

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.67

Strong Carryover

00.370.630.771

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Upset-Prone

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Shaky Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.29

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.071

Well Within Noise

00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Urartu	20.00%	30.00%	36.00%	14.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pyunik	28.00%	28.00%	35.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Ararat-Armenia	50.00%	35.00%	13.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Alashkert	2.00%	7.00%	16.00%	68.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Van	—	—	—	—	19.00%	33.00%	17.00%	14.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Ararat	—	—	—	5.00%	59.00%	19.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Shirak	—	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	24.00%	22.00%	20.00%	12.00%	13.00%
BKMA Yerevan	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	20.00%	23.00%	40.00%
Noah	—	—	—	—	4.00%	11.00%	21.00%	28.00%	16.00%	20.00%
Lernayin Artsakh	—	—	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	21.00%	13.00%	35.00%	19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Alashkert	100%	—	—
Ararat-Armenia	100%	—	—
Pyunik	100%	—	—
Urartu	100%	—	—
Ararat	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Van	83.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Shirak	75.00%	12.00%	13.00%
Lernayin Artsakh	46.00%	35.00%	19.00%
Noah	64.00%	16.00%	20.00%
BKMA Yerevan	37.00%	23.00%	40.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-07-29	Van	L 0-1	42.3	1229	1223	40.51%	20.63%	38.87%	+0.00	-17.1	0
2022-07-29	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	42.3	1223	1229	38.87%	20.63%	40.51%	+0.00	+17.1	3
2022-07-30	Alashkert	L 3-4	55.5	1342	1380	34.39%	20.59%	45.02%	-0.21	-13.1	0
2022-07-30	@ Noah	W 4-3	55.5	1380	1342	45.02%	20.59%	34.39%	+0.21	+13.1	3
2022-07-30	Ararat	L 0-1	50.0	1465	1366	52.89%	20.39%	26.72%	+0.44	-21.5	0
2022-07-30	@ Pyunik	W 1-0	50.0	1366	1465	26.72%	20.39%	52.89%	-0.44	+21.5	3
2022-07-31	Ararat-Armenia	W 1-0	51.0	1355	1479	23.93%	20.25%	55.82%	-0.61	+22.6	3
2022-07-31	@ Urartu	L 0-1	51.0	1479	1355	55.82%	20.25%	23.93%	+0.61	-22.6	0
2022-07-31	Shirak	L 0-1	40.7	1209	1241	35.15%	20.60%	44.25%	-0.18	-15.3	0
2022-07-31	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	40.7	1241	1209	44.25%	20.60%	35.15%	+0.18	+15.3	3
2022-08-06	Ararat	W 2-0	41.6	1393	1387	40.52%	20.63%	38.85%	+0.00	+31.2	6
2022-08-06	@ Alashkert	L 0-2	41.6	1387	1393	38.85%	20.63%	40.52%	+0.00	-31.2	3
2022-08-06	Lernayin Artsakh	L 0-1	46.9	1329	1212	55.04%	20.29%	24.67%	+0.52	-22.3	0
2022-08-06	@ Noah	W 1-0	46.9	1212	1329	24.67%	20.29%	55.04%	-0.52	+22.3	3
2022-08-07	BKMA Yerevan	D 2-2	61.6	1240	1194	46.16%	20.57%	33.27%	+0.19	-0.9	4
2022-08-07	@ Van	D 2-2	61.6	1194	1240	33.27%	20.57%	46.16%	-0.19	+0.9	1
2022-08-08	Urartu	L 0-2	35.1	1257	1378	24.25%	20.27%	55.49%	-0.60	-21.1	3
2022-08-08	@ Shirak	W 2-0	35.1	1378	1257	55.49%	20.27%	24.25%	+0.60	+21.1	6
2022-08-11	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-2	38.6	1356	1457	26.52%	20.38%	53.10%	-0.50	-22.8	3
2022-08-11	@ Ararat	W 2-0	38.6	1457	1356	53.10%	20.38%	26.52%	+0.50	+22.8	3
2022-08-12	Alashkert	L 0-1	36.3	1234	1424	17.65%	19.76%	62.60%	-0.92	-8.4	3
2022-08-12	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	36.3	1424	1234	62.60%	19.76%	17.65%	+0.92	+8.4	9
2022-08-12	Noah	D 2-2	61.8	1195	1307	25.25%	20.32%	54.42%	-0.55	+2.0	2
2022-08-12	@ BKMA Yerevan	D 2-2	61.8	1307	1195	54.42%	20.32%	25.25%	+0.55	-2.0	1
2022-08-13	Shirak	W 1-0	36.1	1443	1236	64.16%	19.59%	16.24%	+0.95	+7.8	3
2022-08-13	@ Pyunik	L 0-1	36.1	1236	1443	16.24%	19.59%	64.16%	-0.95	-7.8	3
2022-08-13	Van	L 0-1	48.8	1399	1239	59.62%	20.01%	20.37%	+0.72	-24.0	6
2022-08-13	@ Urartu	W 1-0	48.8	1239	1399	20.37%	20.01%	59.62%	-0.72	+24.0	7
2022-08-19	Ararat-Armenia	D 1-1	62.2	1433	1479	33.19%	20.57%	46.23%	-0.25	+1.2	10
2022-08-19	@ Alashkert	D 1-1	62.2	1479	1433	46.23%	20.57%	33.19%	+0.25	-1.2	4
2022-08-19	BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	55.6	1226	1197	43.77%	20.61%	35.63%	+0.11	-0.7	4
2022-08-19	@ Lernayin Artsakh	D 1-1	55.6	1197	1226	35.63%	20.61%	43.77%	-0.11	+0.7	3
2022-08-20	Ararat	D 0-0	51.2	1228	1333	25.98%	20.35%	53.67%	-0.52	+2.9	4
2022-08-20	@ Shirak	D 0-0	51.2	1333	1228	53.67%	20.35%	25.98%	+0.52	-2.9	4
2022-08-20	Urartu	L 0-6	35.7	1305	1375	30.18%	20.51%	49.31%	-0.36	-70.5	1
2022-08-20	@ Noah	W 6-0	35.7	1375	1305	49.31%	20.51%	30.18%	+0.36	+70.5	9
2022-08-21	Van	L 0-1	50.4	1451	1263	62.36%	19.78%	17.86%	+0.86	-25.1	3
2022-08-21	@ Pyunik	W 1-0	50.4	1263	1451	17.86%	19.78%	62.36%	-0.86	+25.1	10
2022-08-26	Alashkert	L 2-4	41.2	1197	1434	14.14%	19.30%	66.55%	-1.14	-10.0	3
2022-08-26	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 4-2	41.2	1434	1197	66.55%	19.30%	14.14%	+1.14	+10.0	13
2022-08-27	Van	W 1-0	41.1	1330	1288	45.56%	20.58%	33.85%	+0.17	+14.8	7
2022-08-27	@ Ararat	L 0-1	41.1	1288	1330	33.85%	20.58%	45.56%	-0.17	-14.8	10
2022-08-28	Lernayin Artsakh	L 2-3	61.5	1445	1225	65.26%	19.47%	15.27%	+1.01	-23.5	9
2022-08-28	@ Urartu	W 3-2	61.5	1225	1445	15.27%	19.47%	65.26%	-1.01	+23.5	7
2022-08-28	Shirak	W 3-0	30.4	1478	1231	67.44%	19.18%	13.38%	+1.14	+17.8	7
2022-08-28	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-3	30.4	1231	1478	13.38%	19.18%	67.44%	-1.14	-17.8	4
2022-08-29	Noah	W 3-0	31.2	1426	1234	62.75%	19.74%	17.51%	+0.87	+22.9	6
2022-08-29	@ Pyunik	L 0-3	31.2	1234	1426	17.51%	19.74%	62.75%	-0.87	-22.9	1
2022-09-02	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-4	31.4	1274	1496	15.12%	19.45%	65.43%	-1.07	-26.2	10
2022-09-02	@ Van	W 4-0	31.4	1496	1274	65.43%	19.45%	15.12%	+1.07	+26.2	10
2022-09-02	Shirak	W 3-0	30.1	1444	1213	66.13%	19.36%	14.51%	+1.06	+19.3	16
2022-09-02	@ Alashkert	L 0-3	30.1	1213	1444	14.51%	19.36%	66.13%	-1.06	-19.3	4
2022-09-03	Ararat	D 0-0	51.2	1211	1345	22.89%	20.19%	56.92%	-0.66	+3.6	2
2022-09-03	@ Noah	D 0-0	51.2	1345	1211	56.92%	20.19%	22.89%	+0.66	-3.6	8
2022-09-03	Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	36.5	1449	1248	63.53%	19.66%	16.80%	+0.92	+8.1	9
2022-09-03	@ Pyunik	L 0-1	36.5	1248	1449	16.80%	19.66%	63.53%	-0.92	-8.1	7
2022-09-04	Urartu	L 1-4	34.6	1187	1422	14.27%	19.32%	66.40%	-1.13	-16.0	3
2022-09-04	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 4-1	34.6	1422	1187	66.40%	19.32%	14.27%	+1.13	+16.0	12
2022-09-08	Van	D 1-1	55.7	1193	1247	32.26%	20.56%	47.18%	-0.28	+1.3	5
2022-09-08	@ Shirak	D 1-1	55.7	1247	1193	47.18%	20.56%	32.26%	+0.28	-1.3	11
2022-09-09	Ararat	W 2-1	52.5	1240	1342	26.45%	20.38%	53.18%	-0.50	+20.3	10
2022-09-09	@ Lernayin Artsakh	L 1-2	52.5	1342	1240	53.18%	20.38%	26.45%	+0.50	-20.3	8
2022-09-09	Noah	W 3-0	29.5	1522	1215	71.59%	18.45%	9.96%	+1.42	+13.4	13
2022-09-09	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-3	29.5	1215	1522	9.96%	18.45%	71.59%	-1.42	-13.4	2
2022-09-10	Alashkert	D 1-1	61.8	1438	1463	36.13%	20.61%	43.26%	-0.15	+0.6	13
2022-09-10	@ Urartu	D 1-1	61.8	1463	1438	43.26%	20.61%	36.13%	+0.15	-0.6	17
2022-09-12	BKMA Yerevan	W 3-1	36.6	1457	1171	70.15%	18.73%	11.11%	+1.32	+8.9	12
2022-09-12	@ Pyunik	L 1-3	36.6	1171	1457	11.11%	18.73%	70.15%	-1.32	-8.9	3
2022-09-16	Shirak	L 1-3	45.0	1201	1195	40.62%	20.63%	38.76%	+0.00	-28.0	2
2022-09-16	@ Noah	W 3-1	45.0	1195	1201	38.76%	20.63%	40.62%	+0.00	+28.0	8
2022-09-16	Van	D 0-0	52.7	1462	1246	64.91%	19.51%	15.58%	+0.99	-5.4	18
2022-09-16	@ Alashkert	D 0-0	52.7	1246	1462	15.58%	19.51%	64.91%	-0.99	+5.4	12
2022-09-17	Ararat	W 2-1	53.8	1162	1321	20.44%	20.02%	59.54%	-0.77	+22.6	6
2022-09-17	@ BKMA Yerevan	L 1-2	53.8	1321	1162	59.54%	20.02%	20.44%	+0.77	-22.6	8
2022-09-17	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-1	36.4	1261	1536	11.70%	18.86%	69.44%	-1.32	-5.7	10
2022-09-17	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	36.4	1536	1261	69.44%	18.86%	11.70%	+1.32	+5.7	16
2022-09-19	Pyunik	W 2-1	55.4	1438	1466	35.83%	20.61%	43.56%	-0.16	+17.1	16
2022-09-19	@ Urartu	L 1-2	55.4	1466	1438	43.56%	20.61%	35.83%	+0.16	-17.1	12
2022-09-30	BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	33.6	1541	1185	74.42%	17.77%	7.81%	+1.65	+3.8	19
2022-09-30	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-1	33.6	1185	1541	7.81%	17.77%	74.42%	-1.65	-3.8	6
2022-09-30	Urartu	L 0-2	35.5	1299	1456	20.61%	20.03%	59.36%	-0.77	-18.3	8
2022-09-30	@ Ararat	W 2-0	35.5	1456	1299	59.36%	20.03%	20.61%	+0.77	+18.3	19
2022-10-01	Alashkert	W 5-1	46.6	1449	1457	38.49%	20.63%	40.88%	-0.07	+51.3	15
2022-10-01	@ Pyunik	L 1-5	46.6	1457	1449	40.88%	20.63%	38.49%	+0.07	-51.3	18
2022-10-01	Lernayin Artsakh	L 1-2	46.7	1223	1255	35.19%	20.60%	44.21%	-0.18	-14.4	8
2022-10-01	@ Shirak	W 2-1	46.7	1255	1223	44.21%	20.60%	35.19%	+0.18	+14.4	13
2022-10-02	Noah	D 2-2	61.6	1251	1173	50.32%	20.48%	29.20%	+0.34	-1.4	13
2022-10-02	@ Van	D 2-2	61.6	1173	1251	29.20%	20.48%	50.32%	-0.34	+1.4	3
2022-10-09	Pyunik	W 1-0	52.3	1280	1500	15.33%	19.48%	65.20%	-1.06	+26.2	11
2022-10-09	@ Ararat	L 0-1	52.3	1500	1280	65.20%	19.48%	15.33%	+1.06	-26.2	15
2022-10-09	Urartu	L 0-1	55.4	1545	1474	49.46%	20.50%	30.03%	+0.31	-20.2	19
2022-10-09	@ Ararat-Armenia	W 1-0	55.4	1474	1545	30.03%	20.50%	49.46%	-0.31	+20.2	22
2022-10-10	Noah	W 5-0	29.3	1406	1175	66.12%	19.36%	14.52%	+1.06	+31.0	21
2022-10-10	@ Alashkert	L 0-5	29.3	1175	1406	14.52%	19.36%	66.12%	-1.06	-31.0	3
2022-10-11	BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	40.8	1208	1181	43.53%	20.61%	35.86%	+0.10	+15.5	11
2022-10-11	@ Shirak	L 0-1	40.8	1181	1208	35.86%	20.61%	43.53%	-0.10	-15.5	6
2022-10-11	Lernayin Artsakh	D 1-1	55.9	1250	1269	36.96%	20.62%	42.42%	-0.12	+0.5	14
2022-10-11	@ Van	D 1-1	55.9	1269	1250	42.42%	20.62%	36.96%	+0.12	-0.5	14
2022-10-14	Alashkert	L 0-1	39.3	1307	1437	23.28%	20.21%	56.50%	-0.64	-10.8	11
2022-10-14	@ Ararat	W 1-0	39.3	1437	1307	56.50%	20.21%	23.28%	+0.64	+10.8	24
2022-10-15	Noah	D 0-0	50.7	1269	1144	55.93%	20.25%	23.83%	+0.56	-3.3	15
2022-10-15	@ Lernayin Artsakh	D 0-0	50.7	1144	1269	23.83%	20.25%	55.93%	-0.56	+3.4	4
2022-10-15	Shirak	W 1-0	35.1	1494	1224	69.09%	18.92%	11.99%	+1.24	+5.9	25
2022-10-15	@ Urartu	L 0-1	35.1	1224	1494	11.99%	18.92%	69.09%	-1.24	-5.9	11
2022-10-15	Van	L 0-3	33.5	1166	1251	28.40%	20.45%	51.15%	-0.43	-35.0	6
2022-10-15	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 3-0	33.5	1251	1166	51.15%	20.45%	28.40%	+0.43	+35.0	17
2022-10-17	Ararat-Armenia	W 2-1	59.7	1474	1525	32.62%	20.56%	46.82%	-0.27	+18.2	18
2022-10-17	@ Pyunik	L 1-2	59.7	1525	1474	46.82%	20.56%	32.62%	+0.27	-18.2	19
2022-10-19	BKMA Yerevan	D 0-0	50.5	1147	1131	42.02%	20.62%	37.36%	+0.05	-0.5	5
2022-10-19	@ Noah	D 0-0	50.5	1131	1147	37.36%	20.62%	42.02%	-0.05	+0.5	7
2022-10-19	Urartu	L 0-1	37.6	1286	1500	15.73%	19.53%	64.74%	-1.04	-7.6	17
2022-10-19	@ Van	W 1-0	37.6	1500	1286	64.74%	19.53%	15.73%	+1.04	+7.6	28
2022-10-20	Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-1	43.1	1448	1265	61.84%	19.83%	18.33%	+0.83	+8.2	27
2022-10-20	@ Alashkert	L 1-2	43.1	1265	1448	18.33%	19.83%	61.84%	-0.83	-8.2	15
2022-10-21	Ararat	W 2-1	43.9	1507	1296	64.46%	19.56%	15.98%	+0.97	+7.3	22
2022-10-21	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 1-2	43.9	1296	1507	15.98%	19.56%	64.46%	-0.97	-7.2	11
2022-10-21	Pyunik	L 0-1	34.9	1218	1492	11.77%	18.87%	69.36%	-1.32	-5.8	11
2022-10-21	@ Shirak	W 1-0	34.9	1492	1218	69.36%	18.87%	11.77%	+1.32	+5.8	21
2022-10-23	Noah	W 3-1	35.4	1508	1147	74.66%	17.71%	7.63%	+1.67	+6.1	31
2022-10-23	@ Urartu	L 1-3	35.4	1147	1508	7.63%	17.71%	74.66%	-1.67	-6.1	5
2022-10-24	Lernayin Artsakh	L 0-1	37.1	1131	1257	23.73%	20.24%	56.03%	-0.62	-11.0	7
2022-10-24	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	37.1	1257	1131	56.03%	20.24%	23.73%	+0.62	+11.0	18
2022-10-25	Shirak	L 0-1	45.3	1288	1212	50.07%	20.48%	29.44%	+0.33	-20.5	11
2022-10-25	@ Ararat	W 1-0	45.3	1212	1288	29.44%	20.48%	50.07%	-0.33	+20.4	14
2022-10-26	Alashkert	W 4-1	48.1	1514	1456	47.76%	20.54%	31.69%	+0.25	+32.4	25
2022-10-26	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 1-4	48.1	1456	1514	31.69%	20.54%	47.76%	-0.25	-32.4	27
2022-10-29	Ararat	L 0-2	39.7	1278	1268	41.11%	20.63%	38.26%	+0.02	-32.6	17
2022-10-29	@ Van	W 2-0	39.7	1268	1278	38.26%	20.63%	41.11%	-0.02	+32.6	14
2022-10-29	Urartu	L 1-2	42.6	1268	1514	13.53%	19.20%	67.27%	-1.18	-6.2	18
2022-10-29	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-1	42.6	1514	1268	67.27%	19.20%	13.53%	+1.18	+6.2	34
2022-10-30	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-5	29.9	1233	1546	9.66%	18.37%	71.97%	-1.50	-20.9	14
2022-10-30	@ Shirak	W 5-0	29.9	1546	1233	71.97%	18.37%	9.66%	+1.50	+20.9	28
2022-10-30	BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	32.9	1423	1120	71.31%	18.51%	10.18%	+1.40	+5.0	30
2022-10-30	@ Alashkert	L 0-1	32.9	1120	1423	10.18%	18.51%	71.31%	-1.40	-5.0	7
2022-10-31	Pyunik	L 0-1	32.6	1141	1498	7.77%	17.76%	74.47%	-1.71	-3.8	5
2022-10-31	@ Noah	W 1-0	32.6	1498	1141	74.47%	17.76%	7.77%	+1.71	+3.8	24
2022-11-03	Alashkert	L 0-2	32.4	1212	1428	15.56%	19.51%	64.93%	-1.05	-14.2	14
2022-11-03	@ Shirak	W 2-0	32.4	1428	1212	64.93%	19.51%	15.56%	+1.05	+14.2	33
2022-11-03	Van	W 4-0	30.2	1567	1245	72.48%	18.26%	9.27%	+1.49	+16.3	31
2022-11-03	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-4	30.2	1245	1567	9.27%	18.26%	72.48%	-1.49	-16.3	17
2022-11-04	BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	31.8	1520	1115	76.83%	17.05%	6.12%	+1.88	+3.0	37
2022-11-04	@ Urartu	L 0-1	31.8	1115	1520	6.12%	17.05%	76.83%	-1.88	-3.0	7
2022-11-05	Noah	W 2-1	41.8	1301	1137	60.07%	19.98%	19.96%	+0.74	+8.9	17
2022-11-05	@ Ararat	L 1-2	41.8	1137	1301	19.96%	19.98%	60.07%	-0.74	-8.9	5
2022-11-06	Pyunik	D 1-1	58.7	1262	1502	13.92%	19.27%	66.81%	-1.15	+5.2	19
2022-11-06	@ Lernayin Artsakh	D 1-1	58.7	1502	1262	66.81%	19.27%	13.92%	+1.15	-5.2	25
2022-11-09	Shirak	W 2-1	46.6	1229	1198	44.13%	20.60%	35.27%	+0.12	+14.4	20
2022-11-09	@ Van	L 1-2	46.6	1198	1229	35.27%	20.60%	44.13%	-0.12	-14.4	14
2022-11-10	Pyunik	D 0-0	63.4	1584	1496	51.47%	20.44%	28.09%	+0.38	-2.4	32
2022-11-10	@ Ararat-Armenia	D 0-0	63.4	1496	1584	28.09%	20.44%	51.47%	-0.38	+2.4	26
2022-11-10	Urartu	D 0-0	59.1	1443	1523	28.94%	20.47%	50.59%	-0.40	+2.2	34
2022-11-10	@ Alashkert	D 0-0	59.1	1523	1443	50.59%	20.47%	28.94%	+0.40	-2.2	38
2022-11-12	Lernayin Artsakh	D 0-0	51.2	1310	1267	45.63%	20.58%	33.79%	+0.17	-1.2	18
2022-11-12	@ Ararat	D 0-0	51.2	1267	1310	33.79%	20.58%	45.63%	-0.17	+1.2	20
2022-11-13	Alashkert	W 1-0	50.4	1244	1445	16.75%	19.66%	63.60%	-0.97	+25.6	23
2022-11-13	@ Van	L 0-1	50.4	1445	1244	63.60%	19.66%	16.75%	+0.97	-25.6	34
2022-11-13	Ararat-Armenia	L 1-2	37.9	1128	1581	4.77%	16.26%	78.96%	-2.16	-2.2	5
2022-11-13	@ Noah	W 2-1	37.9	1581	1128	78.96%	16.26%	4.77%	+2.16	+2.2	35
2022-11-13	Pyunik	D 1-1	57.4	1112	1499	6.70%	17.33%	75.97%	-1.84	+7.0	8
2022-11-13	@ BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	57.4	1499	1112	75.97%	17.33%	6.70%	+1.84	-7.0	27
2022-11-20	Shirak	D 0-0	50.8	1268	1183	51.19%	20.45%	28.36%	+0.37	-2.3	21
2022-11-20	@ Lernayin Artsakh	D 0-0	50.8	1183	1268	28.36%	20.45%	51.19%	-0.37	+2.3	15
2022-11-20	Van	D 2-2	61.6	1126	1269	21.93%	20.13%	57.95%	-0.70	+2.5	6
2022-11-20	@ Noah	D 2-2	61.6	1269	1126	57.95%	20.13%	21.93%	+0.70	-2.5	24
2022-11-22	Ararat	W 2-1	44.5	1521	1308	64.56%	19.55%	15.89%	+0.97	+7.2	41
2022-11-22	@ Urartu	L 1-2	44.5	1308	1521	15.89%	19.55%	64.56%	-0.97	-7.2	18
2022-11-22	Ararat-Armenia	D 2-2	64.6	1119	1583	4.52%	16.09%	79.40%	-2.21	+5.6	9
2022-11-22	@ BKMA Yerevan	D 2-2	64.6	1583	1119	79.40%	16.09%	4.52%	+2.21	-5.6	36
2022-11-22	Pyunik	L 1-2	51.5	1419	1492	29.89%	20.50%	49.61%	-0.37	-12.6	34
2022-11-22	@ Alashkert	W 2-1	51.5	1492	1419	49.61%	20.50%	29.89%	+0.37	+12.6	30
2022-11-28	Van	L 0-2	39.2	1266	1267	39.60%	20.63%	39.77%	-0.03	-31.7	21
2022-11-28	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	39.2	1267	1266	39.77%	20.63%	39.60%	+0.03	+31.7	27
2022-11-29	Alashkert	W 3-2	61.6	1128	1407	11.51%	18.82%	69.67%	-1.34	+25.0	9
2022-11-29	@ Noah	L 2-3	61.6	1407	1128	69.67%	18.82%	11.51%	+1.34	-25.0	34
2022-11-29	Shirak	L 0-1	39.4	1125	1186	31.39%	20.54%	48.07%	-0.31	-13.9	9
2022-11-29	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	39.4	1186	1125	48.07%	20.54%	31.39%	+0.31	+13.9	18
2022-11-30	Ararat	W 2-0	35.2	1504	1301	63.77%	19.64%	16.59%	+0.93	+15.0	33
2022-11-30	@ Pyunik	L 0-2	35.2	1301	1504	16.59%	19.64%	63.77%	-0.93	-15.0	18
2022-11-30	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-3	48.3	1528	1578	32.78%	20.57%	46.66%	-0.26	-39.5	41
2022-11-30	@ Urartu	W 3-0	48.3	1578	1528	46.66%	20.57%	32.78%	+0.26	+39.5	39
2022-12-03	BKMA Yerevan	L 0-1	48.5	1298	1111	62.32%	19.78%	17.89%	+0.85	-25.1	27
2022-12-03	@ Van	W 1-0	48.5	1111	1298	17.89%	19.78%	62.32%	-0.85	+25.1	12
2022-12-03	Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	42.1	1153	1234	28.84%	20.47%	50.70%	-0.41	+39.0	12
2022-12-03	@ Noah	L 0-2	42.1	1234	1153	50.70%	20.47%	28.84%	+0.41	-39.0	21
2022-12-04	Ararat	L 0-1	47.0	1382	1286	52.46%	20.40%	27.14%	+0.42	-21.3	34
2022-12-04	@ Alashkert	W 1-0	47.0	1286	1382	27.14%	20.40%	52.46%	-0.42	+21.3	21
2022-12-04	Urartu	L 2-3	45.1	1199	1488	10.93%	18.69%	70.38%	-1.39	-4.8	18
2022-12-04	@ Shirak	W 3-2	45.1	1488	1199	70.38%	18.69%	10.93%	+1.39	+4.8	44
2022-12-05	Pyunik	D 1-1	70.2	1617	1519	52.77%	20.39%	26.84%	+0.43	-2.4	40
2022-12-05	@ Ararat-Armenia	D 1-1	70.2	1519	1617	26.84%	20.39%	52.77%	-0.43	+2.4	34
2022-12-08	BKMA Yerevan	D 0-0	50.9	1307	1136	60.80%	19.92%	19.28%	+0.78	-4.4	22
2022-12-08	@ Ararat	D 0-0	50.9	1136	1307	19.28%	19.92%	60.80%	-0.78	+4.4	13
2022-12-08	Noah	W 2-0	38.8	1195	1192	40.04%	20.63%	39.33%	-0.02	+31.5	21
2022-12-08	@ Shirak	L 0-2	38.8	1192	1195	39.33%	20.63%	40.04%	+0.02	-31.5	12
2022-12-09	Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	34.3	1615	1195	77.52%	16.81%	5.67%	+1.95	+2.8	43
2022-12-09	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-1	34.3	1195	1615	5.67%	16.81%	77.52%	-1.95	-2.8	21
2022-12-09	Urartu	L 0-3	48.4	1522	1493	43.73%	20.61%	35.66%	+0.11	-49.8	34
2022-12-09	@ Pyunik	W 3-0	48.4	1493	1522	35.66%	20.61%	43.73%	-0.11	+49.8	47
2023-02-24	Pyunik	L 0-3	32.1	1273	1472	16.94%	19.68%	63.38%	-0.96	-22.2	27
2023-02-24	@ Van	W 3-0	32.1	1472	1273	63.38%	19.68%	16.94%	+0.96	+22.2	37
2023-02-27	Ararat-Armenia	L 1-3	42.0	1303	1618	9.61%	18.36%	72.03%	-1.51	-7.7	22
2023-02-27	@ Ararat	W 3-1	42.0	1618	1303	72.03%	18.36%	9.61%	+1.51	+7.7	46
2023-02-27	Noah	L 0-1	41.0	1140	1161	36.82%	20.62%	42.56%	-0.12	-15.8	13
2023-02-27	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	41.0	1161	1140	42.56%	20.62%	36.82%	+0.12	+15.8	15
2023-02-28	Alashkert	L 1-3	39.0	1193	1360	19.62%	19.95%	60.43%	-0.82	-15.1	21
2023-02-28	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 3-1	39.0	1360	1193	60.43%	19.95%	19.62%	+0.82	+15.1	37
2023-03-01	Shirak	W 4-1	35.0	1494	1226	68.94%	18.94%	12.11%	+1.23	+13.7	40
2023-03-01	@ Pyunik	L 1-4	35.0	1226	1494	12.11%	18.94%	68.94%	-1.23	-13.7	21
2023-03-01	Van	W 2-0	32.9	1543	1251	70.59%	18.65%	10.76%	+1.35	+10.0	50
2023-03-01	@ Urartu	L 0-2	32.9	1251	1543	10.76%	18.65%	70.59%	-1.35	-10.0	27
2023-03-04	BKMA Yerevan	L 0-3	39.0	1177	1125	47.03%	20.56%	32.42%	+0.22	-53.0	21
2023-03-04	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 3-0	39.0	1125	1177	32.42%	20.56%	47.03%	-0.22	+53.0	16
2023-03-05	Ararat-Armenia	D 0-0	60.9	1375	1625	13.23%	19.15%	67.62%	-1.20	+6.0	38
2023-03-05	@ Alashkert	D 0-0	60.9	1625	1375	67.62%	19.15%	13.23%	+1.20	-6.0	47
2023-03-05	Pyunik	L 1-3	38.4	1241	1508	12.18%	18.96%	68.86%	-1.28	-9.7	27
2023-03-05	@ Van	W 3-1	38.4	1508	1241	68.86%	18.96%	12.18%	+1.28	+9.7	43
2023-03-06	Shirak	L 1-2	51.5	1295	1212	50.91%	20.46%	28.63%	+0.36	-19.6	22
2023-03-06	@ Ararat	W 2-1	51.5	1212	1295	28.63%	20.46%	50.91%	-0.36	+19.6	24
2023-03-06	Urartu	L 0-2	30.3	1177	1553	7.05%	17.48%	75.47%	-1.80	-6.5	15
2023-03-06	@ Noah	W 2-0	30.3	1553	1177	75.47%	17.48%	7.05%	+1.80	+6.5	53
2023-03-10	Alashkert	D 1-1	56.4	1178	1381	16.55%	19.63%	63.82%	-0.99	+4.6	17
2023-03-10	@ BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	56.4	1381	1178	63.82%	19.63%	16.55%	+0.99	-4.6	39
2023-03-10	Van	L 1-3	46.9	1276	1231	45.91%	20.58%	33.51%	+0.18	-31.0	22
2023-03-10	@ Ararat	W 3-1	46.9	1231	1276	33.51%	20.58%	45.91%	-0.18	+31.0	30
2023-03-11	Lernayin Artsakh	W 3-0	26.8	1559	1124	78.19%	16.57%	5.24%	+2.02	+7.0	56
2023-03-11	@ Urartu	L 0-3	26.8	1124	1559	5.24%	16.57%	78.19%	-2.02	-7.0	21
2023-03-11	Noah	W 2-0	30.1	1518	1170	73.94%	17.90%	8.16%	+1.61	+7.5	46
2023-03-11	@ Pyunik	L 0-2	30.1	1170	1518	8.16%	17.90%	73.94%	-1.61	-7.5	15
2023-03-12	Shirak	W 1-0	35.8	1619	1232	76.01%	17.31%	6.67%	+1.79	+3.3	50
2023-03-12	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-1	35.8	1232	1619	6.67%	17.31%	76.01%	-1.79	-3.3	24
2023-03-16	Pyunik	L 0-6	27.0	1117	1525	6.02%	17.00%	76.98%	-1.94	-15.4	21
2023-03-16	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 6-0	27.0	1525	1117	76.98%	17.00%	6.02%	+1.94	+15.4	49
2023-03-16	Urartu	L 0-2	30.5	1182	1566	6.78%	17.36%	75.86%	-1.83	-6.3	17
2023-03-16	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 2-0	30.5	1566	1182	75.86%	17.36%	6.78%	+1.83	+6.3	59
2023-03-17	Ararat-Armenia	L 1-2	43.1	1262	1623	7.64%	17.71%	74.64%	-1.72	-3.5	30
2023-03-17	@ Van	W 2-1	43.1	1623	1262	74.64%	17.71%	7.64%	+1.72	+3.5	53
2023-03-17	Shirak	W 3-0	32.0	1377	1229	58.43%	20.09%	21.48%	+0.67	+27.5	42
2023-03-17	@ Alashkert	L 0-3	32.0	1229	1377	21.48%	20.09%	58.43%	-0.67	-27.5	24
2023-03-18	Ararat	W 2-1	51.2	1162	1245	28.70%	20.46%	50.84%	-0.41	+19.5	18
2023-03-18	@ Noah	L 1-2	51.2	1245	1162	50.84%	20.46%	28.70%	+0.41	-19.5	22
2023-03-31	Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	34.0	1225	1102	55.71%	20.26%	24.03%	+0.55	+20.9	25
2023-03-31	@ Ararat	L 0-2	34.0	1102	1225	24.03%	20.26%	55.71%	-0.55	-20.9	21
2023-04-01	BKMA Yerevan	W 3-0	28.2	1540	1176	74.86%	17.65%	7.49%	+1.69	+10.1	52
2023-04-01	@ Pyunik	L 0-3	28.2	1176	1540	7.49%	17.65%	74.86%	-1.69	-10.1	17
2023-04-01	Van	W 1-0	44.5	1201	1259	31.81%	20.55%	47.64%	-0.30	+19.6	27
2023-04-01	@ Shirak	L 0-1	44.5	1259	1201	47.64%	20.55%	31.81%	+0.30	-19.6	30
2023-04-02	Alashkert	W 1-0	44.6	1573	1404	60.51%	19.94%	19.55%	+0.76	+9.2	62
2023-04-02	@ Urartu	L 0-1	44.6	1404	1573	19.55%	19.94%	60.51%	-0.76	-9.2	42
2023-04-02	Noah	W 3-0	28.8	1626	1182	78.58%	16.42%	5.00%	+2.06	+6.6	56
2023-04-02	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 0-3	28.8	1182	1626	5.00%	16.42%	78.58%	-2.06	-6.6	18
2023-04-09	Ararat	L 0-1	38.7	1166	1246	28.95%	20.47%	50.59%	-0.40	-13.0	17
2023-04-09	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	38.7	1246	1166	50.59%	20.47%	28.95%	+0.40	+13.0	28
2023-04-09	Van	W 3-1	39.9	1395	1239	59.26%	20.04%	20.71%	+0.71	+15.9	45
2023-04-09	@ Alashkert	L 1-3	39.9	1239	1395	20.71%	20.04%	59.26%	-0.71	-15.9	30
2023-04-10	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-2	27.9	1081	1633	2.89%	14.60%	82.51%	-2.62	-2.5	21
2023-04-10	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	27.9	1633	1081	82.51%	14.60%	2.89%	+2.62	+2.6	59
2023-04-11	Pyunik	L 1-3	60.5	1582	1551	44.12%	20.60%	35.28%	+0.12	-29.9	62
2023-04-11	@ Urartu	W 3-1	60.5	1551	1582	35.28%	20.60%	44.12%	-0.12	+29.9	55
2023-04-11	Shirak	D 3-3	65.1	1175	1221	33.39%	20.58%	46.04%	-0.24	+0.7	19
2023-04-11	@ Noah	D 3-3	65.1	1221	1175	46.04%	20.58%	33.39%	+0.24	-0.7	28
2023-04-15	BKMA Yerevan	W 2-1	38.9	1635	1153	80.10%	15.78%	4.12%	+2.24	+1.8	62
2023-04-15	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 1-2	38.9	1153	1635	4.12%	15.78%	80.10%	-2.24	-1.9	17
2023-04-16	Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	36.4	1220	1079	57.73%	20.14%	22.13%	+0.64	+10.3	31
2023-04-16	@ Shirak	L 0-1	36.4	1079	1220	22.13%	20.14%	57.73%	-0.64	-10.3	21
2023-04-16	Urartu	D 0-0	54.9	1259	1552	10.72%	18.64%	70.64%	-1.40	+6.7	29
2023-04-16	@ Ararat	D 0-0	54.9	1552	1259	70.64%	18.64%	10.72%	+1.40	-6.7	63
2023-04-17	Alashkert	W 1-0	45.2	1580	1411	60.62%	19.93%	19.45%	+0.77	+9.2	58
2023-04-17	@ Pyunik	L 0-1	45.2	1411	1580	19.45%	19.93%	60.62%	-0.77	-9.2	45
2023-04-17	Noah	D 1-1	55.6	1223	1176	46.26%	20.57%	33.17%	+0.19	-1.2	31
2023-04-17	@ Van	D 1-1	55.6	1176	1223	33.17%	20.57%	46.26%	-0.19	+1.2	20
2023-04-20	BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	55.6	1230	1151	50.48%	20.47%	29.05%	+0.35	-2.0	32
2023-04-20	@ Shirak	D 1-1	55.6	1151	1230	29.05%	20.47%	50.48%	-0.35	+2.0	18
2023-04-21	Lernayin Artsakh	W 4-0	30.4	1222	1068	59.02%	20.05%	20.93%	+0.70	+35.2	34
2023-04-21	@ Van	L 0-4	30.4	1068	1222	20.93%	20.05%	59.02%	-0.70	-35.2	21
2023-04-21	Noah	W 3-0	29.7	1402	1177	65.59%	19.43%	14.98%	+1.03	+19.8	48
2023-04-21	@ Alashkert	L 0-3	29.7	1177	1402	14.98%	19.43%	65.59%	-1.03	-19.8	20
2023-04-22	Pyunik	L 0-2	33.9	1266	1590	9.18%	18.23%	72.59%	-1.55	-8.5	29
2023-04-22	@ Ararat	W 2-0	33.9	1590	1266	72.59%	18.23%	9.18%	+1.55	+8.5	61
2023-04-22	Urartu	D 2-2	77.3	1637	1545	52.04%	20.42%	27.54%	+0.41	-1.7	63
2023-04-22	@ Ararat-Armenia	D 2-2	77.3	1545	1637	27.54%	20.42%	52.04%	-0.41	+1.7	64
2023-04-25	Noah	L 0-2	33.9	1033	1157	23.91%	20.25%	55.84%	-0.61	-20.8	21
2023-04-25	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	33.9	1157	1033	55.84%	20.25%	23.91%	+0.61	+20.8	23
2023-04-26	Alashkert	L 2-4	43.7	1257	1422	19.93%	19.97%	60.10%	-0.80	-13.7	29
2023-04-26	@ Ararat	W 4-2	43.7	1422	1257	60.10%	19.97%	19.93%	+0.80	+13.7	51
2023-04-26	Van	W 5-1	44.0	1153	1257	26.13%	20.36%	53.51%	-0.52	+64.7	21
2023-04-26	@ BKMA Yerevan	L 1-5	44.0	1257	1153	53.51%	20.36%	26.13%	+0.52	-64.7	34
2023-04-27	Ararat-Armenia	W 4-1	60.2	1598	1636	34.47%	20.59%	44.94%	-0.20	+43.0	64
2023-04-27	@ Pyunik	L 1-4	60.2	1636	1598	44.94%	20.59%	34.47%	+0.20	-43.0	63
2023-04-27	Shirak	W 3-1	37.9	1547	1228	72.26%	18.30%	9.43%	+1.47	+7.6	67
2023-04-27	@ Urartu	L 1-3	37.9	1228	1547	9.43%	18.30%	72.26%	-1.47	-7.6	32
2023-05-01	BKMA Yerevan	L 1-2	46.2	1178	1218	34.18%	20.59%	45.23%	-0.21	-14.1	23
2023-05-01	@ Noah	W 2-1	46.2	1218	1178	45.23%	20.59%	34.18%	+0.21	+14.1	24
2023-05-01	Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	30.7	1435	1012	77.67%	16.76%	5.57%	+1.96	+2.7	54
2023-05-01	@ Alashkert	L 0-1	30.7	1012	1435	5.57%	16.76%	77.67%	-1.96	-2.7	21
2023-05-02	Pyunik	L 0-4	30.0	1221	1641	5.65%	16.80%	77.55%	-2.00	-9.8	32
2023-05-02	@ Shirak	W 4-0	30.0	1641	1221	77.55%	16.80%	5.65%	+2.00	+9.8	67
2023-05-02	Urartu	L 0-5	28.5	1192	1555	7.58%	17.69%	74.73%	-1.73	-16.4	34
2023-05-02	@ Van	W 5-0	28.5	1555	1192	74.73%	17.69%	7.58%	+1.73	+16.4	70
2023-05-03	Ararat	W 2-1	41.9	1593	1244	74.02%	17.88%	8.10%	+1.61	+3.8	66
2023-05-03	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 1-2	41.9	1244	1593	8.10%	17.88%	74.02%	-1.61	-3.8	29
2023-05-07	Van	W 4-0	28.3	1651	1176	79.82%	15.91%	4.28%	+2.21	+7.3	70
2023-05-07	@ Pyunik	L 0-4	28.3	1176	1651	4.28%	15.91%	79.82%	-2.21	-7.3	34
2023-05-08	Ararat	D 0-0	50.7	1211	1240	35.64%	20.61%	43.75%	-0.16	+0.8	33
2023-05-08	@ Shirak	D 0-0	50.7	1240	1211	43.75%	20.61%	35.64%	+0.16	-0.8	30
2023-05-08	Noah	W 1-0	33.0	1571	1164	76.94%	17.01%	6.05%	+1.89	+3.0	73
2023-05-08	@ Urartu	L 0-1	33.0	1164	1571	6.05%	17.01%	76.94%	-1.89	-3.0	23
2023-05-09	Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-1	40.0	1232	1010	65.40%	19.45%	15.15%	+1.02	+6.9	27
2023-05-09	@ BKMA Yerevan	L 1-2	40.0	1010	1232	15.15%	19.45%	65.40%	-1.02	-6.9	21
2023-05-10	Alashkert	L 0-1	58.8	1596	1438	59.49%	20.02%	20.49%	+0.72	-24.0	66
2023-05-10	@ Ararat-Armenia	W 1-0	58.8	1438	1596	20.49%	20.02%	59.49%	-0.72	+24.0	57
2023-05-15	Ararat	W 3-1	47.6	1169	1239	30.17%	20.51%	49.32%	-0.36	+33.0	37
2023-05-15	@ Van	L 1-3	47.6	1239	1169	49.32%	20.51%	30.17%	+0.36	-32.9	30
2023-05-15	Pyunik	L 1-3	36.4	1161	1658	3.82%	15.54%	80.65%	-2.37	-3.0	23
2023-05-15	@ Noah	W 3-1	36.4	1658	1161	80.65%	15.54%	3.82%	+2.37	+3.0	73
2023-05-16	BKMA Yerevan	L 1-2	57.0	1462	1239	65.50%	19.44%	15.06%	+1.02	-24.8	57
2023-05-16	@ Alashkert	W 2-1	57.0	1239	1462	15.06%	19.44%	65.50%	-1.02	+24.8	30
2023-05-17	Ararat-Armenia	L 0-2	31.5	1212	1572	7.64%	17.71%	74.64%	-1.72	-7.1	33
2023-05-17	@ Shirak	W 2-0	31.5	1572	1212	74.64%	17.71%	7.64%	+1.72	+7.1	69
2023-05-17	Urartu	L 0-4	23.9	1003	1574	2.61%	14.26%	83.13%	-2.71	-4.3	21
2023-05-17	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 4-0	23.9	1574	1003	83.13%	14.26%	2.61%	+2.71	+4.3	76
2023-05-20	Noah	W 1-0	39.9	1206	1158	46.36%	20.57%	33.07%	+0.20	+14.5	33
2023-05-20	@ Ararat	L 0-1	39.9	1158	1206	33.07%	20.57%	46.36%	-0.20	-14.5	23
2023-05-21	Alashkert	L 0-1	35.1	1205	1437	14.42%	19.34%	66.24%	-1.12	-7.0	33
2023-05-21	@ Shirak	W 1-0	35.1	1437	1205	66.24%	19.34%	14.42%	+1.12	+7.0	60
2023-05-21	Lernayin Artsakh	W 2-0	26.3	1661	998	85.71%	12.67%	1.62%	+3.09	+1.4	76
2023-05-21	@ Pyunik	L 0-2	26.3	998	1661	1.62%	12.67%	85.71%	-3.09	-1.4	21
2023-05-22	BKMA Yerevan	W 1-0	36.7	1578	1264	72.03%	18.35%	9.61%	+1.45	+4.7	79
2023-05-22	@ Urartu	L 0-1	36.7	1264	1578	9.61%	18.35%	72.03%	-1.45	-4.7	30
2023-05-22	Van	W 4-1	34.1	1579	1202	75.54%	17.46%	7.01%	+1.75	+7.9	72
2023-05-22	@ Ararat-Armenia	L 1-4	34.1	1202	1579	7.01%	17.46%	75.54%	-1.75	-7.9	37
2023-05-25	Ararat	L 0-3	29.0	997	1221	15.05%	19.44%	65.52%	-1.08	-19.9	21
2023-05-25	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 3-0	29.0	1221	997	65.52%	19.44%	15.05%	+1.08	+19.9	36
2023-05-26	Pyunik	D 1-1	63.6	1259	1663	6.14%	17.06%	76.80%	-1.93	+7.1	31
2023-05-26	@ BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	63.6	1663	1259	76.80%	17.06%	6.14%	+1.93	-7.1	77
2023-05-26	Shirak	W 3-0	37.0	1194	1198	39.10%	20.63%	40.27%	-0.05	+46.6	40
2023-05-26	@ Van	L 0-3	37.0	1198	1194	40.27%	20.63%	39.10%	+0.05	-46.6	33
2023-05-27	Ararat-Armenia	W 2-1	60.4	1144	1587	5.02%	16.43%	78.55%	-2.11	+29.4	26
2023-05-27	@ Noah	L 1-2	60.4	1587	1144	78.55%	16.43%	5.02%	+2.11	-29.4	72
2023-05-27	Urartu	W 3-2	68.8	1444	1583	22.40%	20.16%	57.44%	-0.68	+20.7	63
2023-05-27	@ Alashkert	L 2-3	68.8	1583	1444	57.44%	20.16%	22.40%	+0.68	-20.8	79
2023-05-30	BKMA Yerevan	D 1-1	55.9	1241	1266	36.10%	20.61%	43.29%	-0.15	+0.6	37
2023-05-30	@ Ararat	D 1-1	55.9	1266	1241	43.29%	20.61%	36.10%	+0.15	-0.6	32
2023-05-31	Alashkert	L 0-1	36.0	1240	1465	14.97%	19.43%	65.61%	-1.08	-7.2	40
2023-05-31	@ Van	W 1-0	36.0	1465	1240	65.61%	19.43%	14.97%	+1.08	+7.2	66
2023-05-31	Noah	L 0-2	37.9	1151	1173	36.58%	20.62%	42.81%	-0.13	-29.7	33
2023-05-31	@ Shirak	W 2-0	37.9	1173	1151	42.81%	20.62%	36.58%	+0.13	+29.7	29
2023-06-01	Lernayin Artsakh	D 0-0	52.9	1558	977	83.42%	14.10%	2.48%	+2.70	-9.1	73
2023-06-01	@ Ararat-Armenia	D 0-0	52.9	977	1558	2.48%	14.10%	83.42%	-2.70	+9.0	22
2023-06-02	Urartu	L 0-1	62.2	1656	1562	52.21%	20.41%	27.38%	+0.41	-21.2	77
2023-06-02	@ Pyunik	W 1-0	62.2	1562	1656	27.38%	20.41%	52.21%	-0.41	+21.2	82
2023-06-04	Van	W 1-0	43.3	1203	1233	35.44%	20.61%	43.95%	-0.17	+18.3	32
2023-06-04	@ Noah	L 0-1	43.3	1233	1203	43.95%	20.61%	35.44%	+0.17	-18.3	40
2023-06-05	Ararat-Armenia	L 2-5	38.8	1265	1549	11.22%	18.76%	70.02%	-1.36	-11.0	32
2023-06-05	@ BKMA Yerevan	W 5-2	38.8	1549	1265	70.02%	18.76%	11.22%	+1.36	+11.0	76
2023-06-05	Shirak	L 0-1	36.6	986	1122	22.75%	20.18%	57.07%	-0.66	-10.6	22
2023-06-05	@ Lernayin Artsakh	W 1-0	36.6	1122	986	57.07%	20.18%	22.75%	+0.66	+10.6	36
2023-06-06	Ararat	D 1-1	60.4	1583	1241	73.65%	17.98%	8.37%	+1.58	-6.6	83
2023-06-06	@ Urartu	D 1-1	60.4	1241	1583	8.37%	17.98%	73.65%	-1.58	+6.6	38
2023-06-06	Pyunik	L 1-2	55.4	1472	1634	20.12%	19.99%	59.89%	-0.79	-9.0	66
2023-06-06	@ Alashkert	W 2-1	55.4	1634	1472	59.89%	19.99%	20.12%	+0.79	+8.9	80

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-05-27	5.02%	@ Noah	1144	2	Ararat-Armenia	1587	1
2	2022-11-29	11.51%	@ Noah	1128	3	Alashkert	1407	2
3	2023-05-16	15.06%	BKMA Yerevan	1239	2	@ Alashkert	1462	1
4	2022-08-28	15.27%	Lernayin Artsakh	1225	3	@ Urartu	1445	2
5	2022-10-09	15.33%	@ Ararat	1280	1	Pyunik	1500	0
6	2022-11-13	16.75%	@ Van	1244	1	Alashkert	1445	0
7	2022-08-21	17.86%	Van	1263	1	@ Pyunik	1451	0
8	2022-12-03	17.89%	BKMA Yerevan	1111	1	@ Van	1298	0
9	2022-08-13	20.37%	Van	1239	1	@ Urartu	1399	0
10	2022-09-17	20.44%	@ BKMA Yerevan	1162	2	Ararat	1321	1
11	2023-05-10	20.49%	Alashkert	1438	1	@ Ararat-Armenia	1596	0
12	2023-05-27	22.40%	@ Alashkert	1444	3	Urartu	1583	2
13	2022-07-31	23.93%	@ Urartu	1355	1	Ararat-Armenia	1479	0
14	2022-08-06	24.67%	Lernayin Artsakh	1212	1	@ Noah	1329	0
15	2023-04-26	26.13%	@ BKMA Yerevan	1153	5	Van	1257	1
16	2022-09-09	26.45%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	1240	2	Ararat	1342	1
17	2022-07-30	26.72%	Ararat	1366	1	@ Pyunik	1465	0
18	2022-12-04	27.14%	Ararat	1286	1	@ Alashkert	1382	0
19	2023-06-02	27.38%	Urartu	1562	1	@ Pyunik	1656	0
20	2023-03-06	28.63%	Shirak	1212	2	@ Ararat	1295	1
21	2023-03-18	28.70%	@ Noah	1162	2	Ararat	1245	1
22	2022-12-03	28.84%	@ Noah	1153	2	Lernayin Artsakh	1234	0
23	2022-10-25	29.44%	Shirak	1212	1	@ Ararat	1288	0
24	2022-10-09	30.03%	Urartu	1474	1	@ Ararat-Armenia	1545	0
25	2023-05-15	30.17%	@ Van	1169	3	Ararat	1239	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-08-20	70.50	Urartu	6	1375	49.31%	@ Noah	0	1305	30.18%	20.51%
2	2023-04-26	64.73	@ BKMA Yerevan	5	1153	26.13%	Van	1	1257	53.51%	20.36%
3	2023-03-04	53.00	BKMA Yerevan	3	1125	32.42%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	1177	47.03%	20.56%
4	2022-10-01	51.34	@ Pyunik	5	1449	38.49%	Alashkert	1	1457	40.88%	20.63%
5	2022-12-09	49.84	Urartu	3	1493	35.66%	@ Pyunik	0	1522	43.73%	20.61%
6	2023-05-26	46.60	@ Van	3	1194	39.10%	Shirak	0	1198	40.27%	20.63%
7	2023-04-27	43.00	@ Pyunik	4	1598	34.47%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1636	44.94%	20.59%
8	2022-11-30	39.47	Ararat-Armenia	3	1578	46.66%	@ Urartu	0	1528	32.78%	20.57%
9	2022-12-03	38.98	@ Noah	2	1153	28.84%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	1234	50.70%	20.47%
10	2023-04-21	35.16	@ Van	4	1222	59.02%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	1068	20.93%	20.05%
11	2022-10-15	35.03	Van	3	1251	51.15%	@ BKMA Yerevan	0	1166	28.40%	20.45%
12	2023-05-15	32.95	@ Van	3	1169	30.17%	Ararat	1	1239	49.32%	20.51%
13	2022-10-29	32.62	Ararat	2	1268	38.26%	@ Van	0	1278	41.11%	20.63%
14	2022-10-26	32.37	@ Ararat-Armenia	4	1514	47.76%	Alashkert	1	1456	31.69%	20.54%
15	2022-11-28	31.66	Van	2	1267	39.77%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	1266	39.60%	20.63%
16	2022-12-08	31.49	@ Shirak	2	1195	40.04%	Noah	0	1192	39.33%	20.63%
17	2022-08-06	31.18	@ Alashkert	2	1393	40.52%	Ararat	0	1387	38.85%	20.63%
18	2022-10-10	31.04	@ Alashkert	5	1406	66.12%	Noah	0	1175	14.52%	19.36%
19	2023-03-10	30.96	Van	3	1231	33.51%	@ Ararat	1	1276	45.91%	20.58%
20	2023-04-11	29.94	Pyunik	3	1551	35.28%	@ Urartu	1	1582	44.12%	20.60%
21	2023-05-31	29.70	Noah	2	1173	42.81%	@ Shirak	0	1151	36.58%	20.62%
22	2023-05-27	29.42	@ Noah	2	1144	5.02%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1587	78.55%	16.43%
23	2022-09-16	27.97	Shirak	3	1195	38.76%	@ Noah	1	1201	40.62%	20.63%
24	2023-03-17	27.54	@ Alashkert	3	1377	58.43%	Shirak	0	1229	21.48%	20.09%
25	2022-10-09	26.23	@ Ararat	1	1280	15.33%	Pyunik	0	1500	65.20%	19.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-22	77.3	@ Ararat-Armenia	2	1637	52.04%	Urartu	2	1545	27.54%	20.42%
2	2022-12-05	70.2	@ Ararat-Armenia	1	1617	52.77%	Pyunik	1	1519	26.84%	20.39%
3	2023-05-27	68.8	@ Alashkert	3	1444	22.40%	Urartu	2	1583	57.44%	20.16%
4	2023-04-11	65.1	@ Noah	3	1175	33.39%	Shirak	3	1221	46.04%	20.58%
5	2022-11-22	64.6	@ BKMA Yerevan	2	1119	4.52%	Ararat-Armenia	2	1583	79.40%	16.09%
6	2023-05-26	63.6	@ BKMA Yerevan	1	1259	6.14%	Pyunik	1	1663	76.80%	17.06%
7	2022-11-10	63.4	@ Ararat-Armenia	0	1584	51.47%	Pyunik	0	1496	28.09%	20.44%
8	2022-08-19	62.2	@ Alashkert	1	1433	33.19%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1479	46.23%	20.57%
9	2023-06-02	62.2	Urartu	1	1562	27.38%	@ Pyunik	0	1656	52.21%	20.41%
10	2022-08-12	61.8	@ BKMA Yerevan	2	1195	25.25%	Noah	2	1307	54.42%	20.32%
11	2022-09-10	61.8	@ Urartu	1	1438	36.13%	Alashkert	1	1463	43.26%	20.61%
12	2022-08-07	61.6	@ Van	2	1240	46.16%	BKMA Yerevan	2	1194	33.27%	20.57%
13	2022-10-02	61.6	@ Van	2	1251	50.32%	Noah	2	1173	29.20%	20.48%
14	2022-11-20	61.6	@ Noah	2	1126	21.93%	Van	2	1269	57.95%	20.13%
15	2022-11-29	61.6	@ Noah	3	1128	11.51%	Alashkert	2	1407	69.67%	18.82%
16	2022-08-28	61.5	Lernayin Artsakh	3	1225	15.27%	@ Urartu	2	1445	65.26%	19.47%
17	2023-03-05	60.9	@ Alashkert	0	1375	13.23%	Ararat-Armenia	0	1625	67.62%	19.15%
18	2023-04-11	60.5	Pyunik	3	1551	35.28%	@ Urartu	1	1582	44.12%	20.60%
19	2023-05-27	60.4	@ Noah	2	1144	5.02%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1587	78.55%	16.43%
20	2023-06-06	60.4	@ Urartu	1	1583	73.65%	Ararat	1	1241	8.37%	17.98%
21	2023-04-27	60.2	@ Pyunik	4	1598	34.47%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1636	44.94%	20.59%
22	2022-10-17	59.7	@ Pyunik	2	1474	32.62%	Ararat-Armenia	1	1525	46.82%	20.56%
23	2022-11-10	59.1	@ Alashkert	0	1443	28.94%	Urartu	0	1523	50.59%	20.47%
24	2023-05-10	58.8	Alashkert	1	1438	20.49%	@ Ararat-Armenia	0	1596	59.49%	20.02%
25	2022-11-06	58.7	@ Lernayin Artsakh	1	1262	13.92%	Pyunik	1	1502	66.81%	19.27%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-05-17	23.9	Urartu	4	1574	83.13%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	1003	2.61%	14.26%
2	2023-05-21	26.3	@ Pyunik	2	1661	85.71%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	998	1.62%	12.67%
3	2023-03-11	26.8	@ Urartu	3	1559	78.19%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	1124	5.24%	16.57%
4	2023-03-16	27.0	Pyunik	6	1525	76.98%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	1117	6.02%	17.00%
5	2023-04-10	27.9	Ararat-Armenia	2	1633	82.51%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	1081	2.89%	14.60%
6	2023-04-01	28.2	@ Pyunik	3	1540	74.86%	BKMA Yerevan	0	1176	7.49%	17.65%
7	2023-05-07	28.3	@ Pyunik	4	1651	79.82%	Van	0	1176	4.28%	15.91%
8	2023-05-02	28.5	Urartu	5	1555	74.73%	@ Van	0	1192	7.58%	17.69%
9	2023-04-02	28.8	@ Ararat-Armenia	3	1626	78.58%	Noah	0	1182	5.00%	16.42%
10	2023-05-25	29.0	Ararat	3	1221	65.52%	@ Lernayin Artsakh	0	997	15.05%	19.44%
11	2022-10-10	29.3	@ Alashkert	5	1406	66.12%	Noah	0	1175	14.52%	19.36%
12	2022-09-09	29.5	@ Ararat-Armenia	3	1522	71.59%	Noah	0	1215	9.96%	18.45%
13	2023-04-21	29.7	@ Alashkert	3	1402	65.59%	Noah	0	1177	14.98%	19.43%
14	2022-10-30	29.9	Ararat-Armenia	5	1546	71.97%	@ Shirak	0	1233	9.66%	18.37%
15	2023-05-02	30.0	Pyunik	4	1641	77.55%	@ Shirak	0	1221	5.65%	16.80%
16	2022-09-02	30.1	@ Alashkert	3	1444	66.13%	Shirak	0	1213	14.51%	19.36%
17	2023-03-11	30.1	@ Pyunik	2	1518	73.94%	Noah	0	1170	8.16%	17.90%
18	2022-11-03	30.2	@ Ararat-Armenia	4	1567	72.48%	Van	0	1245	9.27%	18.26%
19	2023-03-06	30.3	Urartu	2	1553	75.47%	@ Noah	0	1177	7.05%	17.48%
20	2022-08-28	30.4	@ Ararat-Armenia	3	1478	67.44%	Shirak	0	1231	13.38%	19.18%
21	2023-04-21	30.4	@ Van	4	1222	59.02%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	1068	20.93%	20.05%
22	2023-03-16	30.5	Urartu	2	1566	75.86%	@ BKMA Yerevan	0	1182	6.78%	17.36%
23	2023-05-01	30.7	@ Alashkert	1	1435	77.67%	Lernayin Artsakh	0	1012	5.57%	16.76%
24	2022-08-29	31.2	@ Pyunik	3	1426	62.75%	Noah	0	1234	17.51%	19.74%
25	2022-09-02	31.4	Ararat-Armenia	4	1496	65.43%	@ Van	0	1274	15.12%	19.45%