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2021-22 Armenian Premier League Season

144 games

Final

Champion

Pyunik

75 points · 15th Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pyunik

19.95 points above expected

75 points · 55.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ararat

6.66 points below expected

46 points · 52.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Pyunik Champion 32 23 6 3 75 52 25 +27 55.05 +19.95
2 Ararat-Armenia 32 23 5 4 74 56 20 +36 65.30 +8.70
3 Alashkert 32 14 9 9 51 38 30 +8 47.36 +3.64
4 Ararat 32 13 7 12 46 47 36 +11 52.66 -6.66
5 Urartu 32 9 13 10 40 37 32 +5 45.39 -5.39
6 Noah 32 9 12 11 39 38 43 -5 43.81 -4.81
7 Noravank 32 7 7 18 28 36 55 -19 32.77 -4.77
8 Van 32 6 7 19 25 19 47 -28 31.40 -6.40
9 BKMA Yerevan 32 4 6 22 18 25 60 -35 23.18 -5.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pyunik 75 55.05 +19.95
2 Ararat-Armenia 74 65.30 +8.70
3 Alashkert 51 47.36 +3.64
4 Noravank 28 32.77 -4.77
5 Noah 39 43.81 -4.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ararat 46 52.66 -6.66
2 Van 25 31.40 -6.40
3 Urartu 40 45.39 -5.39
4 BKMA Yerevan 18 23.18 -5.18
5 Noah 39 43.81 -4.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat-Armenia 10 Aug 1 – Oct 27 1 in 432
2 Pyunik 6 Oct 21 – Nov 28 1 in 122
3 Alashkert 5 Oct 31 – Dec 12 1 in 54
4 Ararat 6 Aug 2 – Sep 21 1 in 54
5 Noravank 3 Apr 12 – Apr 20 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 4 Mar 19 – Apr 15 1 in 153
2 Van 6 Oct 26 – Dec 5 1 in 73
3 BKMA Yerevan 7 Jul 30 – Sep 27 1 in 62
4 Noravank 4 Oct 17 – Nov 6 1 in 22
5 Noah 3 Mar 10 – Mar 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pyunik 17 Feb 21 – May 28 1 in 62
2 Van 4 Mar 11 – Apr 7 1 in 33
3 Urartu 7 Dec 3 – Mar 16 1 in 31
4 BKMA Yerevan 3 Mar 2 – Mar 11 1 in 24
5 Noah 6 Sep 11 – Oct 31 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 6 Mar 19 – Apr 23 1 in 58
2 Van 11 Aug 24 – Dec 5 1 in 54
3 Noah 7 Dec 10 – Mar 19 1 in 39
4 Noravank 13 Oct 17 – Mar 15 1 in 31
5 Ararat-Armenia 2 Mar 2 – Mar 6 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Pyunik 1518 75 +11 11 10.5 +0.5
Ararat-Armenia 1529 74 +3 12 10.8 +1.2
Alashkert 1372 51 +29 9 7.5 +1.5
Ararat 1349 46 -24 3 7.4 -4.4
Urartu 1333 40 +9 6 6.2 -0.2
Noah 1311 39 -7 5 6.7 -1.7
Noravank 1196 28 -28 5 5.9 -0.9
Van 1126 25 +17 6 3.2 +2.8
BKMA Yerevan 1089 18 -8 4 4.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALA ARA ARA BY NOA NOR PYU URA VAN
Alashkert —
3-0-1
4.28
0-1-3
3.56
4-0-0
8.47
1-1-2
6.07
2-2-0
7.58
0-2-2
4.28
1-3-0
6.06
3-0-1
7.13
Ararat
1-0-3
6.69
—
0-0-4
3.78
2-0-2
9.06
1-3-0
6.34
3-1-0
8.31
1-0-3
4.89
2-2-0
6.63
3-1-0
7.98
Ararat-Armenia
3-1-0
7.46
4-0-0
7.20
—
3-1-0
9.50
3-0-1
8.10
4-0-0
9.00
1-1-2
6.82
2-2-0
8.13
3-0-1
9.12
BKMA Yerevan
0-0-4
2.59
2-0-2
2.07
0-1-3
1.72
—
0-2-2
3.02
1-1-2
4.10
0-0-4
2.72
0-0-4
2.94
1-2-1
4.39
Noah
2-1-1
4.88
0-3-1
4.61
1-0-3
2.93
2-2-0
8.01
—
1-2-1
7.28
0-0-4
4.27
1-3-0
5.44
2-1-1
7.09
Noravank
0-2-2
3.42
0-1-3
2.73
0-0-4
2.14
2-1-1
6.86
1-2-1
3.70
—
1-0-3
2.89
1-1-2
3.87
2-0-2
5.42
Pyunik
2-2-0
6.69
3-0-1
6.09
2-1-1
4.15
4-0-0
8.40
4-0-0
6.71
3-0-1
8.16
—
3-1-0
6.81
2-2-0
8.19
Urartu
0-3-1
4.88
0-2-2
4.33
0-2-2
2.90
4-0-0
8.09
0-3-1
5.51
2-1-1
7.10
0-1-3
4.18
—
3-1-0
7.29
Van
1-0-3
3.86
0-1-3
3.06
1-0-3
2.06
1-2-1
6.57
1-1-2
3.90
2-0-2
5.52
0-2-2
2.91
0-1-3
3.71
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +15.3
Allowed 0.85 -13.7
Differential 0.93 +8.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%11.81%6.60%3.82%1.04%0.69%30.21%
111.81%16.67%7.64%1.04%0.69%0.69%38.54%
26.60%7.64%1.39%2.78%—0.69%19.10%
33.82%1.04%2.78%0.69%——8.33%
41.04%0.69%————1.74%
5+0.69%0.69%0.69%———2.08%
Total30.21%38.54%19.10%8.33%1.74%2.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.80
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 144

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%——31.25%
112.50%15.62%3.12%—3.12%—34.38%
29.38%9.38%—3.12%——21.88%
36.25%3.12%————9.38%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total43.75%34.38%9.38%9.38%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.94 +0.25
SD 1.09 1.11 1.74
CV 0.92 1.18 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%18.75%—3.12%——28.12%
112.50%12.50%9.38%3.12%——37.50%
26.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
3——6.25%———6.25%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
Total28.12%40.62%21.88%9.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.12 +0.34
SD 1.67 0.94 1.82
CV 1.13 0.84 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%————12.50%
118.75%9.38%6.25%———34.38%
212.50%12.50%————25.00%
315.62%3.12%6.25%———25.00%
4———————
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total53.12%31.25%15.62%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.62 +1.12
SD 1.16 0.75 1.26
CV 0.67 1.20 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%21.88%6.25%3.12%3.12%6.25%43.75%
13.12%15.62%12.50%3.12%3.12%—37.50%
23.12%3.12%—9.38%——15.62%
3——3.12%———3.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.38%40.62%21.88%15.62%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.88 -1.09
SD 0.83 1.34 1.59
CV 1.07 0.71 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%15.62%—3.12%——28.12%
19.38%18.75%6.25%3.12%—3.12%40.62%
23.12%9.38%6.25%——3.12%21.88%
33.12%——3.12%——6.25%
4———————
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total28.12%43.75%12.50%9.38%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.34 -0.16
SD 1.12 1.54 1.87
CV 0.94 1.14 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%6.25%21.88%6.25%3.12%—40.62%
16.25%15.62%12.50%———34.38%
2—3.12%—6.25%——9.38%
3—3.12%6.25%3.12%——12.50%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total9.38%31.25%40.62%15.62%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.72 -0.59
SD 1.48 0.96 1.83
CV 1.31 0.56 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.12%——3.12%
128.12%18.75%3.12%———50.00%
215.62%15.62%———3.12%34.38%
33.12%—3.12%———6.25%
43.12%3.12%————6.25%
5+———————
Total50.00%37.50%6.25%3.12%—3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.78 +0.84
SD 0.91 1.21 1.53
CV 0.56 1.55 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%9.38%3.12%——31.25%
19.38%25.00%9.38%———43.75%
23.12%3.12%3.12%3.12%——12.50%
36.25%—————6.25%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total34.38%37.50%21.88%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.00 +0.16
SD 1.22 0.92 1.67
CV 1.06 0.92 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%25.00%15.62%6.25%3.12%—53.12%
16.25%18.75%6.25%——3.12%34.38%
26.25%6.25%————12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.62%50.00%21.88%6.25%3.12%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 1.47 -0.88
SD 0.71 1.37 1.68
CV 1.20 0.93 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ararat-Armenia 1529 74 65.30 +8.70 87.0% 49 54 60 65 70 77 80
Pyunik 1518 75 55.05 +19.95 100.0% 33 42 51 56 59 65 72
Alashkert 1372 51 47.36 +3.64 72.0% 22 34 43 47 52 60 71
Ararat 1349 46 52.66 -6.66 19.0% 32 40 48 52 57 64 69
Urartu 1333 40 45.39 -5.39 24.0% 31 34 41 46 49 58 66
Noah 1311 39 43.81 -4.81 29.0% 25 32 38 44 49 56 60
Noravank 1196 28 32.77 -4.77 25.0% 20 24 28 32 36 41 49
Van 1126 25 31.40 -6.40 18.0% 17 21 27 31 35 41 54
BKMA Yerevan 1089 18 23.18 -5.18 25.0% 10 13 18 23 28 33 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.56%
Slight Edge
40.28%25.00%34.72%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.
244 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
12349
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
Pyunik, 2nd of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.49 * Some Luck: 5.49 to 8.24 * Lucky: 8.24 to 10.99 * Wild Swing: 10.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.72 * Close: 0.72 to 1.08 * Off: 1.08 to 1.44 * Way Off: 1.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.65 points
Lucky
06.8717
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.44
Pinpoint
00.902
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
100.00%
Pyunik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
18.00%
Van
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Even
00.20.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 155.31
2.70
Strong Separation
12.252.553.5
Interquartile Edge
73%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%85%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.56
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.370.630.771
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.123
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Pyunik12.00%34.00%31.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%——
Ararat-Armenia75.00%19.00%4.00%2.00%—————
Alashkert1.00%8.00%19.00%25.00%24.00%16.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Ararat8.00%27.00%25.00%22.00%14.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Urartu2.00%5.00%11.00%23.00%23.00%23.00%9.00%4.00%—
Noah2.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%28.00%27.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%
Noravank——1.00%1.00%3.00%16.00%35.00%38.00%6.00%
Van—1.00%1.00%—1.00%12.00%34.00%32.00%19.00%
BKMA Yerevan—————2.00%6.00%20.00%72.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Alashkert 99.00% 1.00%
Ararat 100% —
Ararat-Armenia 100% —
BKMA Yerevan 28.00% 72.00%
Noah 98.00% 2.00%
Noravank 94.00% 6.00%
Pyunik 100% —
Urartu 100% —
Van 81.00% 19.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-07-30 Pyunik L 0-434.9 1228 1301 29.47% 26.32% 44.21%-0.22 -40.1 0
2021-07-30 @ BKMA Yerevan W 4-034.9 1301 1228 44.21% 26.32% 29.47%+0.22 +40.1 3
2021-08-01 Ararat-Armenia L 0-339.6 1356 1362 38.65% 26.50% 34.85%+0.05 -37.7 0
2021-08-01 @ Alashkert W 3-039.6 1362 1356 34.85% 26.50% 38.65%-0.05 +37.7 3
2021-08-01 Noravank W 3-034.2 1334 1264 48.74% 25.98% 25.28%+0.37 +27.2 3
2021-08-01 @ Urartu L 0-334.2 1264 1334 25.28% 25.98% 48.74%-0.37 -27.2 0
2021-08-02 Noah W 7-141.0 1336 1358 36.44% 26.51% 37.06%-0.01 +57.6 3
2021-08-02 @ Ararat L 1-741.0 1358 1336 37.06% 26.51% 36.44%+0.01 -57.6 0
2021-08-06 BKMA Yerevan W 3-245.3 1400 1188 63.58% 23.23% 13.19%+0.95 +4.9 6
2021-08-06 @ Ararat-Armenia L 2-345.3 1188 1400 13.19% 23.23% 63.58%-0.95 -4.9 0
2021-08-06 Pyunik W 2-151.8 1237 1341 25.71% 26.03% 48.26%-0.35 +15.5 3
2021-08-06 @ Noravank L 1-251.8 1341 1237 48.26% 26.03% 25.71%+0.35 -15.5 3
2021-08-08 Ararat L 0-139.6 1283 1394 25.03% 25.96% 49.01%-0.37 -9.8 0
2021-08-08 @ Van W 1-039.6 1394 1283 49.01% 25.96% 25.03%+0.37 +9.8 6
2021-08-13 Noah L 1-244.1 1183 1300 24.27% 25.87% 49.86%-0.40 -9.0 0
2021-08-13 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-144.1 1300 1183 49.86% 25.87% 24.27%+0.40 +9.1 3
2021-08-15 Ararat-Armenia L 0-336.7 1326 1405 28.70% 26.27% 45.03%-0.25 -30.1 3
2021-08-15 @ Pyunik W 3-036.7 1405 1326 45.03% 26.27% 28.70%+0.25 +30.1 9
2021-08-15 Urartu W 2-038.9 1404 1361 45.37% 26.25% 28.38%+0.26 +20.5 9
2021-08-15 @ Ararat L 0-238.9 1361 1404 28.38% 26.25% 45.37%-0.26 -20.5 3
2021-08-15 Van L 0-242.0 1319 1274 45.60% 26.23% 28.17%+0.26 -29.6 0
2021-08-15 @ Alashkert W 2-042.0 1274 1319 28.17% 26.23% 45.60%-0.26 +29.6 3
2021-08-19 BKMA Yerevan W 1-036.4 1303 1174 55.61% 25.08% 19.31%+0.61 +7.9 6
2021-08-19 @ Van L 0-136.4 1174 1303 19.31% 25.08% 55.61%-0.61 -7.9 0
2021-08-20 Ararat-Armenia L 0-234.2 1252 1435 18.04% 24.80% 57.16%-0.67 -14.0 3
2021-08-20 @ Noravank W 2-034.2 1435 1252 57.16% 24.80% 18.04%+0.67 +14.0 12
2021-08-20 Pyunik L 1-250.0 1309 1296 41.43% 26.43% 32.13%+0.14 -13.7 3
2021-08-20 @ Noah W 2-150.0 1296 1309 32.13% 26.43% 41.43%-0.14 +13.7 6
2021-08-23 Urartu L 1-242.3 1166 1340 18.77% 24.97% 56.27%-0.63 -7.3 0
2021-08-23 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-142.3 1340 1166 56.27% 24.97% 18.77%+0.63 +7.3 6
2021-08-24 Noravank W 3-246.6 1424 1238 61.27% 23.87% 14.86%+0.84 +5.5 12
2021-08-24 @ Ararat L 2-346.6 1238 1424 14.86% 23.87% 61.27%-0.84 -5.5 3
2021-08-24 Van D 1-154.1 1309 1311 39.23% 26.49% 34.29%+0.07 -0.3 7
2021-08-24 @ Pyunik D 1-154.1 1311 1309 34.29% 26.49% 39.23%-0.07 +0.3 7
2021-08-25 Noah W 5-240.1 1449 1296 58.07% 24.61% 17.31%+0.71 +14.3 15
2021-08-25 @ Ararat-Armenia L 2-540.1 1296 1449 17.31% 24.61% 58.07%-0.71 -14.3 3
2021-09-11 Alashkert W 3-248.7 1430 1289 56.81% 24.86% 18.32%+0.66 +6.7 15
2021-09-11 @ Ararat L 2-348.7 1289 1430 18.32% 24.86% 56.81%-0.66 -6.7 0
2021-09-11 Noah D 1-153.6 1232 1281 32.62% 26.45% 40.93%-0.12 +0.6 4
2021-09-11 @ Noravank D 1-153.6 1281 1232 40.93% 26.45% 32.62%+0.12 -0.6 4
2021-09-12 Ararat-Armenia L 1-245.6 1311 1463 20.79% 25.37% 53.84%-0.54 -8.0 7
2021-09-12 @ Van W 2-145.6 1463 1311 53.84% 25.37% 20.79%+0.54 +8.0 18
2021-09-13 Pyunik L 0-242.3 1347 1309 44.76% 26.29% 28.96%+0.24 -29.1 6
2021-09-13 @ Urartu W 2-042.3 1309 1347 28.96% 26.29% 44.76%-0.24 +29.1 10
2021-09-20 Noravank D 0-048.5 1282 1233 46.15% 26.20% 27.65%+0.28 -1.5 1
2021-09-20 @ Alashkert D 0-048.5 1233 1282 27.65% 26.20% 46.15%-0.28 +1.5 5
2021-09-21 Ararat L 0-230.7 1159 1437 11.64% 22.49% 65.87%-1.06 -9.2 0
2021-09-21 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-030.7 1437 1159 65.87% 22.49% 11.64%+1.06 +9.2 18
2021-09-22 Noah L 1-250.2 1303 1281 42.63% 26.39% 30.98%+0.17 -14.0 7
2021-09-22 @ Van W 2-150.2 1281 1303 30.98% 26.39% 42.63%-0.17 +14.0 7
2021-09-22 Urartu W 3-033.9 1471 1318 58.04% 24.62% 17.34%+0.71 +19.6 21
2021-09-22 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-333.9 1318 1471 17.34% 24.62% 58.04%-0.71 -19.6 6
2021-09-27 BKMA Yerevan W 2-142.2 1281 1149 55.82% 25.05% 19.13%+0.62 +7.4 4
2021-09-27 @ Alashkert L 1-242.2 1149 1281 19.13% 25.05% 55.82%-0.62 -7.4 0
2021-09-27 Pyunik L 0-149.6 1446 1338 53.25% 25.45% 21.29%+0.52 -17.9 18
2021-09-27 @ Ararat W 1-049.6 1338 1446 21.29% 25.45% 53.25%-0.52 +17.9 13
2021-09-28 Van W 1-043.7 1235 1290 31.82% 26.42% 41.76%-0.15 +14.6 8
2021-09-28 @ Noravank L 0-143.7 1290 1235 41.76% 26.42% 31.82%+0.15 -14.6 7
2021-09-29 Noah L 0-143.5 1299 1295 40.03% 26.47% 33.49%+0.09 -14.1 6
2021-09-29 @ Urartu W 1-043.5 1295 1299 33.49% 26.47% 40.03%-0.09 +14.1 10
2021-10-15 Alashkert D 1-154.5 1356 1288 48.47% 26.01% 25.52%+0.36 -1.7 14
2021-10-15 @ Pyunik D 1-154.5 1288 1356 25.52% 26.01% 48.47%-0.36 +1.7 5
2021-10-16 Urartu D 1-153.7 1275 1285 38.13% 26.50% 35.37%+0.04 -0.2 8
2021-10-16 @ Van D 1-153.7 1285 1275 35.37% 26.50% 38.13%-0.04 +0.2 7
2021-10-17 Ararat W 3-040.5 1491 1428 47.88% 26.06% 26.06%+0.34 +27.9 24
2021-10-17 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-340.5 1428 1491 26.06% 26.06% 47.88%-0.34 -27.9 18
2021-10-17 Noravank W 2-042.2 1142 1249 25.42% 26.00% 48.58%-0.36 +31.2 3
2021-10-17 @ BKMA Yerevan L 0-242.2 1249 1142 48.58% 26.00% 25.42%+0.36 -31.2 8
2021-10-21 Pyunik L 0-136.2 1173 1354 18.20% 24.84% 56.96%-0.66 -7.5 3
2021-10-21 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-036.2 1354 1173 56.96% 24.84% 18.20%+0.66 +7.5 17
2021-10-21 Urartu L 0-140.1 1218 1285 30.28% 26.36% 43.36%-0.19 -11.5 8
2021-10-21 @ Noravank W 1-040.1 1285 1218 43.36% 26.36% 30.28%+0.19 +11.5 10
2021-10-22 Ararat D 2-261.0 1309 1400 27.26% 26.17% 46.58%-0.29 +1.0 11
2021-10-22 @ Noah D 2-261.0 1400 1309 46.58% 26.17% 27.26%+0.29 -1.0 19
2021-10-24 Alashkert W 2-143.0 1519 1290 64.99% 22.79% 12.22%+1.02 +4.8 27
2021-10-24 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-243.0 1290 1519 12.22% 22.79% 64.99%-1.02 -4.8 5
2021-10-26 Van W 1-037.8 1399 1275 55.07% 25.17% 19.76%+0.59 +8.1 22
2021-10-26 @ Ararat L 0-137.8 1275 1399 19.76% 25.17% 55.07%-0.59 -8.1 8
2021-10-27 Ararat-Armenia L 2-343.8 1166 1524 8.07% 20.12% 71.81%-1.39 -3.0 3
2021-10-27 @ BKMA Yerevan W 3-243.8 1524 1166 71.81% 20.12% 8.07%+1.39 +3.0 30
2021-10-27 Noah D 0-048.8 1285 1310 35.95% 26.51% 37.55%-0.02 +0.1 6
2021-10-27 @ Alashkert D 0-048.8 1310 1285 37.55% 26.51% 35.95%+0.02 -0.1 12
2021-10-27 Noravank W 2-032.9 1362 1207 58.26% 24.57% 17.16%+0.71 +13.4 20
2021-10-27 @ Pyunik L 0-232.9 1207 1362 17.16% 24.57% 58.26%-0.71 -13.4 8
2021-10-30 Ararat D 1-155.1 1296 1407 24.99% 25.95% 49.06%-0.38 +1.8 11
2021-10-30 @ Urartu D 1-155.1 1407 1296 49.06% 25.95% 24.99%+0.38 -1.8 23
2021-10-31 Alashkert L 0-437.3 1267 1285 36.85% 26.51% 36.64%+0.00 -47.5 8
2021-10-31 @ Van W 4-037.3 1285 1267 36.64% 26.51% 36.85%+0.00 +47.5 9
2021-10-31 BKMA Yerevan W 5-031.3 1310 1163 57.46% 24.74% 17.80%+0.68 +32.4 15
2021-10-31 @ Noah L 0-531.3 1163 1310 17.80% 24.74% 57.46%-0.68 -32.4 3
2021-11-01 Pyunik L 1-259.9 1527 1375 57.89% 24.65% 17.46%+0.70 -18.2 30
2021-11-01 @ Ararat-Armenia W 2-159.9 1375 1527 17.46% 24.65% 57.89%-0.70 +18.2 23
2021-11-04 Van W 1-044.6 1130 1219 27.54% 26.19% 46.27%-0.28 +15.9 6
2021-11-04 @ BKMA Yerevan L 0-144.6 1219 1130 46.27% 26.19% 27.54%+0.28 -15.9 8
2021-11-05 Noah W 1-041.2 1393 1342 46.37% 26.18% 27.45%+0.29 +10.6 26
2021-11-05 @ Pyunik L 0-141.2 1342 1393 27.45% 26.18% 46.37%-0.29 -10.6 15
2021-11-06 Noravank W 2-139.1 1508 1193 71.53% 20.24% 8.22%+1.37 +3.2 33
2021-11-06 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-239.1 1193 1508 8.22% 20.24% 71.53%-1.37 -3.2 8
2021-11-08 Urartu W 2-146.6 1333 1298 44.25% 26.31% 29.43%+0.22 +10.6 12
2021-11-08 @ Alashkert L 1-246.6 1298 1333 29.43% 26.31% 44.25%-0.22 -10.6 11
2021-11-17 BKMA Yerevan W 5-031.3 1287 1146 56.84% 24.86% 18.30%+0.66 +33.2 14
2021-11-17 @ Urartu L 0-531.3 1146 1287 18.30% 24.86% 56.84%-0.66 -33.2 6
2021-11-18 Ararat D 1-154.7 1190 1405 15.53% 24.10% 60.37%-0.80 +3.5 9
2021-11-18 @ Noravank D 1-154.7 1405 1190 60.37% 24.10% 15.53%+0.80 -3.5 24
2021-11-19 Ararat-Armenia L 0-140.3 1332 1512 18.30% 24.86% 56.85%-0.66 -7.5 15
2021-11-19 @ Noah W 1-040.3 1512 1332 56.85% 24.86% 18.30%+0.66 +7.5 36
2021-11-19 Pyunik L 0-232.9 1203 1404 16.64% 24.43% 58.94%-0.74 -13.0 8
2021-11-19 @ Van W 2-032.9 1404 1203 58.94% 24.43% 16.64%+0.74 +13.0 29
2021-11-28 Urartu W 2-036.5 1417 1321 51.91% 25.64% 22.45%+0.47 +17.0 32
2021-11-28 @ Pyunik L 0-236.5 1321 1417 22.45% 25.64% 51.91%-0.47 -17.0 14
2021-11-28 Van W 2-029.9 1519 1190 72.46% 19.82% 7.73%+1.43 +5.9 39
2021-11-28 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-229.9 1190 1519 7.73% 19.82% 72.46%-1.43 -5.9 8
2021-11-30 Ararat W 1-045.9 1343 1402 31.33% 26.40% 42.27%-0.16 +14.7 15
2021-11-30 @ Alashkert L 0-145.9 1402 1343 42.27% 26.40% 31.33%+0.16 -14.8 24
2021-12-01 Noravank W 2-142.5 1324 1193 55.74% 25.06% 19.20%+0.61 +7.4 18
2021-12-01 @ Noah L 1-242.5 1193 1324 19.20% 25.06% 55.74%-0.61 -7.4 9
2021-12-03 Ararat-Armenia D 0-053.0 1304 1525 15.12% 23.96% 60.93%-0.83 +4.0 15
2021-12-03 @ Urartu D 0-053.0 1525 1304 60.93% 23.96% 15.12%+0.83 -4.0 40
2021-12-04 Alashkert L 0-233.4 1186 1358 18.97% 25.01% 56.02%-0.63 -14.7 9
2021-12-04 @ Noravank W 2-033.4 1358 1186 56.02% 25.01% 18.97%+0.63 +14.7 18
2021-12-04 BKMA Yerevan W 2-138.5 1387 1113 68.58% 21.49% 9.92%+1.20 +3.9 27
2021-12-04 @ Ararat L 1-238.5 1113 1387 9.92% 21.49% 68.58%-1.20 -3.9 6
2021-12-05 Van W 3-031.1 1332 1184 57.46% 24.74% 17.80%+0.68 +20.1 21
2021-12-05 @ Noah L 0-331.1 1184 1332 17.80% 24.74% 57.46%-0.68 -20.1 8
2021-12-10 Noravank W 2-038.2 1164 1171 38.48% 26.50% 35.02%+0.05 +24.1 11
2021-12-10 @ Van L 0-238.2 1171 1164 35.02% 26.50% 38.48%-0.05 -24.1 9
2021-12-10 Urartu D 1-154.6 1352 1308 45.47% 26.24% 28.29%+0.26 -1.2 22
2021-12-10 @ Noah D 1-154.6 1308 1352 28.29% 26.24% 45.47%-0.26 +1.2 16
2021-12-11 Ararat L 2-648.1 1434 1391 45.30% 26.25% 28.45%+0.25 -39.4 32
2021-12-11 @ Pyunik W 6-248.1 1391 1434 28.45% 26.25% 45.30%-0.25 +39.5 30
2021-12-12 Alashkert L 0-230.6 1109 1373 12.44% 22.89% 64.67%-1.00 -9.8 6
2021-12-12 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-030.6 1373 1109 64.67% 22.89% 12.44%+1.00 +9.8 21
2022-02-19 Ararat-Armenia L 0-146.9 1431 1521 27.35% 26.17% 46.48%-0.29 -10.6 30
2022-02-19 @ Ararat W 1-046.9 1521 1431 46.48% 26.17% 27.35%+0.29 +10.6 43
2022-02-20 BKMA Yerevan D 1-153.2 1147 1099 45.99% 26.21% 27.81%+0.28 -1.3 10
2022-02-20 @ Noravank D 1-153.2 1099 1147 27.81% 26.21% 45.99%-0.28 +1.3 7
2022-02-20 Van W 1-036.7 1309 1188 54.64% 25.24% 20.11%+0.57 +8.2 19
2022-02-20 @ Urartu L 0-136.7 1188 1309 20.11% 25.24% 54.64%-0.57 -8.2 11
2022-02-21 Pyunik L 1-445.2 1383 1394 37.81% 26.50% 35.68%+0.03 -31.3 21
2022-02-21 @ Alashkert W 4-145.2 1394 1383 35.68% 26.50% 37.81%-0.03 +31.3 35
2022-02-24 Noah D 1-156.2 1420 1350 48.71% 25.99% 25.30%+0.36 -1.7 31
2022-02-24 @ Ararat D 1-156.2 1350 1420 25.30% 25.99% 48.71%-0.36 +1.7 23
2022-02-24 Noravank D 1-154.1 1317 1146 59.82% 24.23% 15.95%+0.78 -3.4 20
2022-02-24 @ Urartu D 1-154.1 1146 1317 15.95% 24.23% 59.82%-0.78 +3.4 11
2022-02-25 Ararat-Armenia L 0-141.5 1351 1532 18.26% 24.85% 56.89%-0.66 -7.5 21
2022-02-25 @ Alashkert W 1-041.5 1532 1351 56.89% 24.85% 18.26%+0.66 +7.5 46
2022-02-26 BKMA Yerevan W 1-031.6 1426 1101 72.20% 19.93% 7.86%+1.41 +3.2 38
2022-02-26 @ Pyunik L 0-131.6 1101 1426 7.86% 19.93% 72.20%-1.41 -3.2 7
2022-03-01 Alashkert L 0-144.7 1352 1344 40.67% 26.46% 32.88%+0.11 -14.3 23
2022-03-01 @ Noah W 1-044.7 1344 1352 32.88% 26.46% 40.67%-0.11 +14.3 24
2022-03-01 Ararat L 0-134.9 1180 1418 13.99% 23.55% 62.46%-0.90 -5.9 11
2022-03-01 @ Van W 1-034.9 1418 1180 62.46% 23.55% 13.99%+0.90 +5.8 34
2022-03-02 BKMA Yerevan D 0-052.3 1539 1097 79.23% 16.18% 4.59%+1.89 -6.6 47
2022-03-02 @ Ararat-Armenia D 0-052.3 1097 1539 4.59% 16.18% 79.23%-1.89 +6.7 8
2022-03-02 Pyunik L 1-239.7 1149 1429 11.57% 22.46% 65.98%-1.07 -4.6 11
2022-03-02 @ Noravank W 2-139.7 1429 1149 65.98% 22.46% 11.57%+1.07 +4.6 41
2022-03-05 Urartu D 0-050.7 1424 1314 53.53% 25.41% 21.06%+0.53 -2.7 35
2022-03-05 @ Ararat D 0-050.7 1314 1424 21.06% 25.41% 53.53%-0.53 +2.7 21
2022-03-05 Van W 2-031.9 1358 1174 61.02% 23.93% 15.04%+0.83 +11.8 27
2022-03-05 @ Alashkert L 0-231.9 1174 1358 15.04% 23.93% 61.02%-0.83 -11.8 11
2022-03-06 Ararat-Armenia W 1-053.5 1433 1532 26.34% 26.09% 47.57%-0.33 +16.2 44
2022-03-06 @ Pyunik L 0-153.5 1532 1433 47.57% 26.09% 26.34%+0.33 -16.2 47
2022-03-06 Noah D 1-154.2 1104 1338 14.27% 23.66% 62.07%-0.88 +3.8 9
2022-03-06 @ BKMA Yerevan D 1-154.2 1338 1104 62.07% 23.66% 14.27%+0.88 -3.8 24
2022-03-09 Alashkert D 0-049.7 1316 1370 32.00% 26.43% 41.57%-0.14 +0.8 22
2022-03-09 @ Urartu D 0-049.7 1370 1316 41.57% 26.43% 32.00%+0.14 -0.8 28
2022-03-10 Ararat-Armenia L 0-229.2 1145 1516 7.59% 19.69% 72.72%-1.44 -5.8 11
2022-03-10 @ Noravank W 2-029.2 1516 1145 72.72% 19.69% 7.59%+1.44 +5.8 50
2022-03-10 Pyunik L 0-141.1 1334 1450 24.49% 25.90% 49.62%-0.39 -9.7 24
2022-03-10 @ Noah W 1-041.1 1450 1334 49.62% 25.90% 24.49%+0.39 +9.7 47
2022-03-11 BKMA Yerevan D 1-153.2 1162 1108 46.84% 26.15% 27.01%+0.30 -1.4 12
2022-03-11 @ Van D 1-153.2 1108 1162 27.01% 26.15% 46.84%-0.30 +1.4 10
2022-03-14 Ararat-Armenia L 0-335.1 1324 1522 16.86% 24.49% 58.64%-0.73 -19.1 24
2022-03-14 @ Noah W 3-035.1 1522 1324 58.64% 24.49% 16.86%+0.73 +19.1 53
2022-03-15 Ararat L 0-133.5 1139 1421 11.41% 22.37% 66.21%-1.08 -4.8 11
2022-03-15 @ Noravank W 1-033.5 1421 1139 66.21% 22.37% 11.41%+1.08 +4.8 38
2022-03-16 Pyunik D 1-155.5 1161 1459 10.61% 21.92% 67.47%-1.14 +4.6 13
2022-03-16 @ Van D 1-155.5 1459 1161 67.47% 21.92% 10.61%+1.14 -4.6 48
2022-03-16 Urartu L 1-435.1 1109 1317 16.08% 24.27% 59.65%-0.77 -15.4 10
2022-03-16 @ BKMA Yerevan W 4-135.1 1317 1109 59.65% 24.27% 16.08%+0.77 +15.5 25
2022-03-19 Alashkert L 0-148.2 1426 1369 47.14% 26.12% 26.74%+0.31 -16.1 38
2022-03-19 @ Ararat W 1-048.2 1369 1426 26.74% 26.12% 47.14%-0.31 +16.1 31
2022-03-19 Noah W 3-150.0 1134 1305 19.05% 25.03% 55.92%-0.62 +30.5 14
2022-03-19 @ Noravank L 1-350.0 1305 1134 55.92% 25.03% 19.05%+0.62 -30.5 24
2022-03-20 Ararat-Armenia W 2-158.4 1166 1541 7.44% 19.56% 73.00%-1.46 +22.1 16
2022-03-20 @ Van L 1-258.4 1541 1166 73.00% 19.56% 7.44%+1.46 -22.1 53
2022-03-20 Pyunik L 0-140.9 1333 1455 23.77% 25.81% 50.41%-0.42 -9.4 25
2022-03-20 @ Urartu W 1-040.9 1455 1333 50.41% 25.81% 23.77%+0.42 +9.4 51
2022-04-02 Alashkert W 1-046.6 1275 1385 25.04% 25.96% 49.00%-0.37 +16.7 27
2022-04-02 @ Noah L 0-146.6 1385 1275 49.00% 25.96% 25.04%+0.37 -16.7 31
2022-04-06 Ararat W 3-261.1 1094 1410 9.77% 21.39% 68.84%-1.22 +20.1 13
2022-04-06 @ BKMA Yerevan L 2-361.1 1410 1094 68.84% 21.39% 9.77%+1.22 -20.1 38
2022-04-06 Noravank W 3-029.6 1369 1165 62.85% 23.44% 13.71%+0.91 +15.7 34
2022-04-06 @ Alashkert L 0-329.6 1165 1369 13.71% 23.44% 62.85%-0.91 -15.7 14
2022-04-07 Van D 0-048.6 1291 1188 52.76% 25.52% 21.71%+0.50 -2.6 28
2022-04-07 @ Noah D 0-048.6 1188 1291 21.71% 25.52% 52.76%-0.50 +2.6 17
2022-04-08 Urartu D 1-158.6 1519 1323 62.13% 23.64% 14.23%+0.88 -3.8 54
2022-04-08 @ Ararat-Armenia D 1-158.6 1323 1519 14.23% 23.64% 62.13%-0.88 +3.8 26
2022-04-11 BKMA Yerevan W 3-135.4 1384 1114 68.30% 21.60% 10.09%+1.19 +6.9 37
2022-04-11 @ Alashkert L 1-335.4 1114 1384 10.09% 21.60% 68.30%-1.19 -6.9 13
2022-04-11 Pyunik L 1-250.4 1390 1464 29.33% 26.31% 44.36%-0.22 -10.5 38
2022-04-11 @ Ararat W 2-150.4 1464 1390 44.36% 26.31% 29.33%+0.22 +10.5 54
2022-04-12 Noah D 2-260.0 1327 1289 44.69% 26.29% 29.02%+0.24 -0.8 27
2022-04-12 @ Urartu D 2-260.0 1289 1327 29.02% 26.29% 44.69%-0.24 +0.8 29
2022-04-12 Van W 7-140.1 1149 1190 33.66% 26.48% 39.87%-0.09 +60.9 17
2022-04-12 @ Noravank L 1-740.1 1190 1149 39.87% 26.48% 33.66%+0.09 -60.9 17
2022-04-15 Alashkert W 3-038.1 1475 1391 50.41% 25.81% 23.78%+0.42 +25.8 57
2022-04-15 @ Pyunik L 0-338.1 1391 1475 23.78% 25.81% 50.41%-0.42 -25.9 37
2022-04-15 Ararat W 3-144.8 1515 1379 56.28% 24.96% 18.76%+0.64 +12.6 57
2022-04-15 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-344.8 1379 1515 18.76% 24.96% 56.28%-0.64 -12.6 38
2022-04-16 Noravank L 0-138.4 1107 1210 25.90% 26.05% 48.06%-0.34 -10.1 13
2022-04-16 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-038.4 1210 1107 48.06% 26.05% 25.90%+0.34 +10.1 20
2022-04-16 Urartu L 0-330.6 1129 1326 16.94% 24.51% 58.55%-0.73 -19.2 17
2022-04-16 @ Van W 3-030.6 1326 1129 58.55% 24.51% 16.94%+0.73 +19.2 30
2022-04-19 Alashkert D 1-159.9 1528 1365 58.99% 24.42% 16.60%+0.74 -3.3 58
2022-04-19 @ Ararat-Armenia D 1-159.9 1365 1528 16.60% 24.42% 58.99%-0.74 +3.3 38
2022-04-19 Ararat D 0-049.4 1290 1367 28.95% 26.28% 44.76%-0.24 +1.3 30
2022-04-19 @ Noah D 0-049.4 1367 1290 44.76% 26.28% 28.95%+0.24 -1.3 39
2022-04-20 BKMA Yerevan W 1-030.5 1501 1097 77.12% 17.41% 5.47%+1.73 +2.1 60
2022-04-20 @ Pyunik L 0-130.5 1097 1501 5.47% 17.41% 77.12%-1.73 -2.1 13
2022-04-20 Urartu W 3-257.2 1220 1345 23.45% 25.77% 50.78%-0.43 +15.4 23
2022-04-20 @ Noravank L 2-357.2 1345 1220 50.78% 25.77% 23.45%+0.43 -15.4 30
2022-04-23 Noah L 0-243.7 1369 1291 49.72% 25.89% 24.40%+0.40 -31.8 38
2022-04-23 @ Alashkert W 2-043.7 1291 1369 24.40% 25.89% 49.72%-0.40 +31.8 33
2022-04-23 Van D 1-154.8 1366 1110 67.14% 22.04% 10.82%+1.13 -4.5 40
2022-04-23 @ Ararat D 1-154.8 1110 1366 10.82% 22.04% 67.14%-1.13 +4.5 18
2022-04-25 Ararat-Armenia L 0-130.9 1095 1525 5.80% 17.81% 76.39%-1.68 -2.3 13
2022-04-25 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-030.9 1525 1095 76.39% 17.81% 5.80%+1.68 +2.3 61
2022-04-25 Noravank W 3-245.6 1503 1235 68.06% 21.70% 10.24%+1.17 +3.8 63
2022-04-25 @ Pyunik L 2-345.6 1235 1503 10.24% 21.70% 68.06%-1.17 -3.8 23
2022-04-28 Alashkert L 0-134.7 1115 1337 15.06% 23.94% 61.00%-0.83 -6.3 18
2022-04-28 @ Van W 1-034.7 1337 1115 61.00% 23.94% 15.06%+0.83 +6.3 41
2022-04-28 Ararat L 1-248.9 1330 1361 35.06% 26.50% 38.44%-0.05 -12.1 30
2022-04-28 @ Urartu W 2-148.9 1361 1330 38.44% 26.50% 35.06%+0.05 +12.1 43
2022-04-29 Pyunik D 1-164.3 1527 1507 42.30% 26.40% 31.29%+0.16 -0.8 62
2022-04-29 @ Ararat-Armenia D 1-164.3 1507 1527 31.29% 26.40% 42.30%-0.16 +0.8 64
2022-04-30 BKMA Yerevan D 1-154.4 1323 1092 65.11% 22.75% 12.15%+1.02 -4.2 34
2022-04-30 @ Noah D 1-154.4 1092 1323 12.15% 22.75% 65.11%-1.02 +4.2 14
2022-05-03 Noravank W 2-031.4 1526 1232 70.07% 20.88% 9.04%+1.29 +7.0 65
2022-05-03 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-231.4 1232 1526 9.04% 20.88% 70.07%-1.29 -7.0 23
2022-05-03 Urartu D 1-154.5 1343 1318 42.98% 26.38% 30.64%+0.18 -0.9 42
2022-05-03 @ Alashkert D 1-154.5 1318 1343 30.64% 26.38% 42.98%-0.18 +0.9 31
2022-05-05 Noah W 2-144.5 1507 1318 61.49% 23.81% 14.70%+0.85 +5.8 67
2022-05-05 @ Pyunik L 1-244.5 1318 1507 14.70% 23.81% 61.49%-0.85 -5.8 34
2022-05-05 Van D 1-153.1 1097 1108 37.82% 26.50% 35.67%+0.03 -0.1 15
2022-05-05 @ BKMA Yerevan D 1-153.1 1108 1097 35.67% 26.50% 37.82%-0.03 +0.1 19
2022-05-09 Noah L 0-153.7 1533 1313 64.28% 23.01% 12.71%+0.98 -21.2 65
2022-05-09 @ Ararat-Armenia W 1-053.7 1313 1533 12.71% 23.01% 64.28%-0.98 +21.2 37
2022-05-09 Van W 2-027.5 1513 1109 77.17% 17.38% 5.45%+1.74 +4.0 70
2022-05-09 @ Pyunik L 0-227.5 1109 1513 5.45% 17.38% 77.17%-1.74 -4.0 19
2022-05-11 BKMA Yerevan W 1-033.6 1319 1096 64.44% 22.96% 12.60%+0.99 +5.3 34
2022-05-11 @ Urartu L 0-133.6 1096 1319 12.60% 22.96% 64.44%-0.99 -5.3 15
2022-05-11 Noravank W 4-031.3 1373 1224 57.61% 24.71% 17.68%+0.69 +26.1 46
2022-05-11 @ Ararat L 0-431.3 1224 1373 17.68% 24.71% 57.61%-0.69 -26.1 23
2022-05-14 Van W 1-030.6 1512 1105 77.33% 17.29% 5.38%+1.75 +2.1 68
2022-05-14 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-130.6 1105 1512 5.38% 17.29% 77.33%-1.75 -2.1 19
2022-05-15 Ararat W 2-151.7 1342 1399 31.54% 26.41% 42.04%-0.15 +13.8 45
2022-05-15 @ Alashkert L 1-251.7 1399 1342 42.04% 26.41% 31.54%+0.15 -13.8 46
2022-05-15 Urartu D 1-158.5 1517 1324 61.88% 23.71% 14.41%+0.87 -3.7 71
2022-05-15 @ Pyunik D 1-158.5 1324 1517 14.41% 23.71% 61.88%-0.87 +3.7 35
2022-05-16 Noravank D 3-363.5 1334 1198 56.24% 24.97% 18.79%+0.63 -1.8 38
2022-05-16 @ Noah D 3-363.5 1198 1334 18.79% 24.97% 56.24%-0.63 +1.8 24
2022-05-18 Alashkert D 0-049.6 1328 1356 35.46% 26.50% 38.04%-0.04 +0.2 36
2022-05-18 @ Urartu D 0-049.6 1356 1328 38.04% 26.50% 35.46%+0.04 -0.2 46
2022-05-20 BKMA Yerevan L 1-256.3 1385 1091 70.05% 20.89% 9.06%+1.28 -21.5 46
2022-05-20 @ Ararat W 2-156.3 1091 1385 9.06% 20.89% 70.05%-1.28 +21.5 18
2022-05-21 Noah W 1-048.6 1102 1332 14.55% 23.76% 61.68%-0.86 +20.4 22
2022-05-21 @ Van L 0-148.6 1332 1102 61.68% 23.76% 14.55%+0.86 -20.4 38
2022-05-22 Alashkert D 1-154.1 1200 1356 20.43% 25.30% 54.27%-0.56 +2.6 25
2022-05-22 @ Noravank D 1-154.1 1356 1200 54.27% 25.30% 20.43%+0.56 -2.6 47
2022-05-22 Ararat-Armenia L 1-246.1 1328 1514 17.78% 24.73% 57.48%-0.68 -6.9 36
2022-05-22 @ Urartu W 2-146.1 1514 1328 57.48% 24.73% 17.78%+0.68 +6.9 71
2022-05-24 Ararat W 1-041.1 1513 1364 57.68% 24.69% 17.62%+0.69 +7.3 74
2022-05-24 @ Pyunik L 0-141.1 1364 1513 17.62% 24.69% 57.68%-0.69 -7.3 46
2022-05-25 Alashkert L 0-329.4 1113 1353 13.83% 23.49% 62.68%-0.91 -15.9 18
2022-05-25 @ BKMA Yerevan W 3-029.4 1353 1113 62.68% 23.49% 13.83%+0.91 +15.9 50
2022-05-25 Noravank W 2-150.2 1123 1203 28.64% 26.26% 45.10%-0.25 +14.7 25
2022-05-25 @ Van L 1-250.2 1203 1123 45.10% 26.26% 28.64%+0.25 -14.7 25
2022-05-25 Urartu D 1-154.2 1312 1321 38.17% 26.50% 35.33%+0.04 -0.2 39
2022-05-25 @ Noah D 1-154.2 1321 1312 35.33% 26.50% 38.17%-0.04 +0.2 37
2022-05-28 Ararat-Armenia L 0-141.8 1357 1521 19.66% 25.15% 55.19%-0.59 -8.0 46
2022-05-28 @ Ararat W 1-041.8 1521 1357 55.19% 25.15% 19.66%+0.59 +8.0 74
2022-05-28 BKMA Yerevan W 3-248.2 1188 1097 51.32% 25.71% 22.97%+0.45 +8.2 28
2022-05-28 @ Noravank L 2-348.2 1097 1188 22.97% 25.71% 51.32%-0.45 -8.2 18
2022-05-28 Pyunik D 1-159.5 1369 1521 20.83% 25.38% 53.79%-0.54 +2.5 51
2022-05-28 @ Alashkert D 1-159.5 1521 1369 53.79% 25.38% 20.83%+0.54 -2.5 75
2022-05-28 Van W 2-031.6 1321 1138 61.01% 23.94% 15.05%+0.83 +11.8 40
2022-05-28 @ Urartu L 0-231.6 1138 1321 15.05% 23.94% 61.01%-0.83 -11.8 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-03-20 7.44% @ Van 1166 2 Ararat-Armenia 1541 1
2 2022-05-20 9.06% BKMA Yerevan 1091 2 @ Ararat 1385 1
3 2022-04-06 9.77% @ BKMA Yerevan 1094 3 Ararat 1410 2
4 2022-05-09 12.71% Noah 1313 1 @ Ararat-Armenia 1533 0
5 2022-05-21 14.55% @ Van 1102 1 Noah 1332 0
6 2021-11-01 17.46% Pyunik 1375 2 @ Ararat-Armenia 1527 1
7 2022-03-19 19.05% @ Noravank 1134 3 Noah 1305 1
8 2021-09-27 21.29% Pyunik 1338 1 @ Ararat 1446 0
9 2022-04-20 23.45% @ Noravank 1220 3 Urartu 1345 2
10 2022-04-23 24.40% Noah 1291 2 @ Alashkert 1369 0
11 2022-04-02 25.04% @ Noah 1275 1 Alashkert 1385 0
12 2021-10-17 25.42% @ BKMA Yerevan 1142 2 Noravank 1249 0
13 2021-08-06 25.71% @ Noravank 1237 2 Pyunik 1341 1
14 2022-03-06 26.34% @ Pyunik 1433 1 Ararat-Armenia 1532 0
15 2022-03-19 26.74% Alashkert 1369 1 @ Ararat 1426 0
16 2021-11-04 27.54% @ BKMA Yerevan 1130 1 Van 1219 0
17 2021-08-15 28.17% Van 1274 2 @ Alashkert 1319 0
18 2021-12-11 28.45% Ararat 1391 6 @ Pyunik 1434 2
19 2022-05-25 28.64% @ Van 1123 2 Noravank 1203 1
20 2021-09-13 28.96% Pyunik 1309 2 @ Urartu 1347 0
21 2021-09-22 30.98% Noah 1281 2 @ Van 1303 1
22 2021-11-30 31.33% @ Alashkert 1343 1 Ararat 1402 0
23 2022-05-15 31.54% @ Alashkert 1342 2 Ararat 1399 1
24 2021-09-28 31.82% @ Noravank 1235 1 Van 1290 0
25 2021-08-20 32.13% Pyunik 1296 2 @ Noah 1309 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-04-12 60.87 @ Noravank 7 1149 33.66% Van 1 1190 39.87% 26.48%
2 2021-08-02 57.62 @ Ararat 7 1336 36.44% Noah 1 1358 37.06% 26.51%
3 2021-10-31 47.51 Alashkert 4 1285 36.64% @ Van 0 1267 36.85% 26.51%
4 2021-07-30 40.13 Pyunik 4 1301 44.21% @ BKMA Yerevan 0 1228 29.47% 26.32%
5 2021-12-11 39.45 Ararat 6 1391 28.45% @ Pyunik 2 1434 45.30% 26.25%
6 2021-08-01 37.69 Ararat-Armenia 3 1362 34.85% @ Alashkert 0 1356 38.65% 26.50%
7 2021-11-17 33.21 @ Urartu 5 1287 56.84% BKMA Yerevan 0 1146 18.30% 24.86%
8 2021-10-31 32.39 @ Noah 5 1310 57.46% BKMA Yerevan 0 1163 17.80% 24.74%
9 2022-04-23 31.80 Noah 2 1291 24.40% @ Alashkert 0 1369 49.72% 25.89%
10 2022-02-21 31.27 Pyunik 4 1394 35.68% @ Alashkert 1 1383 37.81% 26.50%
11 2021-10-17 31.18 @ BKMA Yerevan 2 1142 25.42% Noravank 0 1249 48.58% 26.00%
12 2022-03-19 30.54 @ Noravank 3 1134 19.05% Noah 1 1305 55.92% 25.03%
13 2021-08-15 30.08 Ararat-Armenia 3 1405 45.03% @ Pyunik 0 1326 28.70% 26.27%
14 2021-08-15 29.57 Van 2 1274 28.17% @ Alashkert 0 1319 45.60% 26.23%
15 2021-09-13 29.11 Pyunik 2 1309 28.96% @ Urartu 0 1347 44.76% 26.29%
16 2021-10-17 27.87 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1491 47.88% Ararat 0 1428 26.06% 26.06%
17 2021-08-01 27.19 @ Urartu 3 1334 48.74% Noravank 0 1264 25.28% 25.98%
18 2022-05-11 26.12 @ Ararat 4 1373 57.61% Noravank 0 1224 17.68% 24.71%
19 2022-04-15 25.85 @ Pyunik 3 1475 50.41% Alashkert 0 1391 23.78% 25.81%
20 2021-12-10 24.12 @ Van 2 1164 38.48% Noravank 0 1171 35.02% 26.50%
21 2022-03-20 22.14 @ Van 2 1166 7.44% Ararat-Armenia 1 1541 73.00% 19.56%
22 2022-05-20 21.46 BKMA Yerevan 2 1091 9.06% @ Ararat 1 1385 70.05% 20.89%
23 2022-05-09 21.18 Noah 1 1313 12.71% @ Ararat-Armenia 0 1533 64.28% 23.01%
24 2021-08-15 20.54 @ Ararat 2 1404 45.37% Urartu 0 1361 28.38% 26.25%
25 2022-05-21 20.42 @ Van 1 1102 14.55% Noah 0 1332 61.68% 23.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-04-29 64.3 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1527 42.30% Pyunik 1 1507 31.29% 26.40%
2 2022-05-16 63.5 @ Noah 3 1334 56.24% Noravank 3 1198 18.79% 24.97%
3 2022-04-06 61.1 @ BKMA Yerevan 3 1094 9.77% Ararat 2 1410 68.84% 21.39%
4 2021-10-22 61.0 @ Noah 2 1309 27.26% Ararat 2 1400 46.58% 26.17%
5 2022-04-12 60.0 @ Urartu 2 1327 44.69% Noah 2 1289 29.02% 26.29%
6 2021-11-01 59.9 Pyunik 2 1375 17.46% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1527 57.89% 24.65%
7 2022-04-19 59.9 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1528 58.99% Alashkert 1 1365 16.60% 24.42%
8 2022-05-28 59.5 @ Alashkert 1 1369 20.83% Pyunik 1 1521 53.79% 25.38%
9 2022-04-08 58.6 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1519 62.13% Urartu 1 1323 14.23% 23.64%
10 2022-05-15 58.5 @ Pyunik 1 1517 61.88% Urartu 1 1324 14.41% 23.71%
11 2022-03-20 58.4 @ Van 2 1166 7.44% Ararat-Armenia 1 1541 73.00% 19.56%
12 2022-04-20 57.2 @ Noravank 3 1220 23.45% Urartu 2 1345 50.78% 25.77%
13 2022-05-20 56.3 BKMA Yerevan 2 1091 9.06% @ Ararat 1 1385 70.05% 20.89%
14 2022-02-24 56.2 @ Ararat 1 1420 48.71% Noah 1 1350 25.30% 25.99%
15 2022-03-16 55.5 @ Van 1 1161 10.61% Pyunik 1 1459 67.47% 21.92%
16 2021-10-30 55.1 @ Urartu 1 1296 24.99% Ararat 1 1407 49.06% 25.95%
17 2022-04-23 54.8 @ Ararat 1 1366 67.14% Van 1 1110 10.82% 22.04%
18 2021-11-18 54.7 @ Noravank 1 1190 15.53% Ararat 1 1405 60.37% 24.10%
19 2021-12-10 54.6 @ Noah 1 1352 45.47% Urartu 1 1308 28.29% 26.24%
20 2021-10-15 54.5 @ Pyunik 1 1356 48.47% Alashkert 1 1288 25.52% 26.01%
21 2022-05-03 54.5 @ Alashkert 1 1343 42.98% Urartu 1 1318 30.64% 26.38%
22 2022-04-30 54.4 @ Noah 1 1323 65.11% BKMA Yerevan 1 1092 12.15% 22.75%
23 2022-03-06 54.2 @ BKMA Yerevan 1 1104 14.27% Noah 1 1338 62.07% 23.66%
24 2022-05-25 54.2 @ Noah 1 1312 38.17% Urartu 1 1321 35.33% 26.50%
25 2021-08-24 54.1 @ Pyunik 1 1309 39.23% Van 1 1311 34.29% 26.49%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-09 27.5 @ Pyunik 2 1513 77.17% Van 0 1109 5.45% 17.38%
2 2022-03-10 29.2 Ararat-Armenia 2 1516 72.72% @ Noravank 0 1145 7.59% 19.69%
3 2022-05-25 29.4 Alashkert 3 1353 62.68% @ BKMA Yerevan 0 1113 13.83% 23.49%
4 2022-04-06 29.6 @ Alashkert 3 1369 62.85% Noravank 0 1165 13.71% 23.44%
5 2021-11-28 29.9 @ Ararat-Armenia 2 1519 72.46% Van 0 1190 7.73% 19.82%
6 2022-04-20 30.5 @ Pyunik 1 1501 77.12% BKMA Yerevan 0 1097 5.47% 17.41%
7 2021-12-12 30.6 Alashkert 2 1373 64.67% @ BKMA Yerevan 0 1109 12.44% 22.89%
8 2022-04-16 30.6 Urartu 3 1326 58.55% @ Van 0 1129 16.94% 24.51%
9 2022-05-14 30.6 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1512 77.33% Van 0 1105 5.38% 17.29%
10 2021-09-21 30.7 Ararat 2 1437 65.87% @ BKMA Yerevan 0 1159 11.64% 22.49%
11 2022-04-25 30.9 Ararat-Armenia 1 1525 76.39% @ BKMA Yerevan 0 1095 5.80% 17.81%
12 2021-12-05 31.1 @ Noah 3 1332 57.46% Van 0 1184 17.80% 24.74%
13 2021-10-31 31.3 @ Noah 5 1310 57.46% BKMA Yerevan 0 1163 17.80% 24.74%
14 2021-11-17 31.3 @ Urartu 5 1287 56.84% BKMA Yerevan 0 1146 18.30% 24.86%
15 2022-05-11 31.3 @ Ararat 4 1373 57.61% Noravank 0 1224 17.68% 24.71%
16 2022-05-03 31.4 @ Ararat-Armenia 2 1526 70.07% Noravank 0 1232 9.04% 20.88%
17 2022-02-26 31.6 @ Pyunik 1 1426 72.20% BKMA Yerevan 0 1101 7.86% 19.93%
18 2022-05-28 31.6 @ Urartu 2 1321 61.01% Van 0 1138 15.05% 23.94%
19 2022-03-05 31.9 @ Alashkert 2 1358 61.02% Van 0 1174 15.04% 23.93%
20 2021-10-27 32.9 @ Pyunik 2 1362 58.26% Noravank 0 1207 17.16% 24.57%
21 2021-11-19 32.9 Pyunik 2 1404 58.94% @ Van 0 1203 16.64% 24.43%
22 2021-12-04 33.4 Alashkert 2 1358 56.02% @ Noravank 0 1186 18.97% 25.01%
23 2022-03-15 33.5 Ararat 1 1421 66.21% @ Noravank 0 1139 11.41% 22.37%
24 2022-05-11 33.6 @ Urartu 1 1319 64.44% BKMA Yerevan 0 1096 12.60% 22.96%
25 2021-09-22 33.9 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1471 58.04% Urartu 0 1318 17.34% 24.62%