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1994-95 Azerbaijan Top League Season

156 games

Final

Champion

Kapaz

42 points · 1st Title

Last Title: 2008-09

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kapaz

7.21 points above expected

42 points · 34.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Khazar Sumqayit

6.71 points below expected

7 points · 13.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kapaz Champion 24 19 4 1 42 62 19 +43 34.79 +7.21
2 Turan Tovuz 24 19 2 3 40 36 14 +22 35.14 +4.86
3 Neftchi Baku 24 17 4 3 38 60 14 +46 36.02 +1.98
4 Qarabag 24 13 6 5 32 36 21 +15 30.99 +1.01
5 Kur-Nur 24 14 2 8 30 35 23 +12 26.85 +3.15
6 Masalli 24 12 4 8 28 31 26 +5 25.58 +2.42
7 Khazri Buzovna 24 10 7 7 27 32 25 +7 24.12 +2.88
8 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 24 8 7 9 23 33 26 +7 26.35 -3.35
9 Pambiqci Neftcala 24 6 5 13 17 26 53 -27 18.73 -1.73
10 Pambygchi Barda 24 5 2 17 12 14 46 -32 16.10 -4.10
11 Inshaatchi Baku 24 4 3 17 11 17 40 -23 16.41 -5.41
12 Khazar Sumqayit 24 3 1 20 7 12 72 -60 13.71 -6.71
13 Khazar Lankaran 24 1 3 20 5 7 22 -15 7.21 -2.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kapaz 42 34.79 +7.21
2 Turan Tovuz 40 35.14 +4.86
3 Kur-Nur 30 26.85 +3.15
4 Khazri Buzovna 27 24.12 +2.88
5 Masalli 28 25.58 +2.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Khazar Sumqayit 7 13.71 -6.71
2 Inshaatchi Baku 11 16.41 -5.41
3 Pambygchi Barda 12 16.10 -4.10
4 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 23 26.35 -3.35
5 Khazar Lankaran 5 7.21 -2.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kapaz 10 Nov 27 – Apr 18 1 in 109
2 Neftchi Baku 10 Sep 18 – Nov 20 1 in 74
3 Khazar Sumqayit 1 Nov 27 – Nov 27 1 in 14
4 Turan Tovuz 7 Mar 12 – May 14 1 in 10
5 Qarabag 3 Oct 30 – Nov 19 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Khazar Lankaran 15 Nov 20 – May 14 1 in 47,865
2 Khazar Sumqayit 10 Aug 7 – Nov 23 1 in 214
3 Pambygchi Barda 6 Aug 21 – Oct 19 1 in 61
4 Inshaatchi Baku 4 Nov 9 – Dec 4 1 in 15
5 Pambiqci Neftcala 4 Oct 19 – Nov 6 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kapaz 20 Aug 28 – Apr 18 1 in 304
2 Qarabag 10 Oct 30 – Apr 2 1 in 26
3 Khazri Buzovna 5 Aug 7 – Oct 16 1 in 11
4 Neftchi Baku 14 Sep 18 – Feb 19 1 in 11
5 Turan Tovuz 10 Feb 25 – May 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Khazar Lankaran 18 Oct 23 – May 14 1 in 621
2 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 6 Apr 2 – May 21 1 in 58
3 Inshaatchi Baku 8 Oct 16 – Dec 4 1 in 37
4 Neftchi Baku 3 Nov 23 – Feb 12 1 in 22
5 Khazar Sumqayit 10 Aug 7 – Nov 23 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Neftchi Baku 1133 36 -9 8 8.2 -0.2
Kapaz 1163 36 -9 7 7.5 -0.5
Turan Tovuz 1142 32 +27 9 7.5 +1.5
Qarabag 954 28 -14 6 6.8 -0.8
Kur-Nur 941 26 +71 7 5.5 +1.5
Khazri Buzovna 920 25 +0 5 5.2 -0.2
Masalli 811 24 -69 5 4.8 +0.2
Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 811 21 -54 3 5.5 -2.5
Pambiqci Neftcala 598 15 -18 2 2.0 -0.0
Inshaatchi Baku 558 9 -50 2 2.9 -0.9
Pambygchi Barda 583 8 +35 2 2.0 -0.0
Khazar Lankaran 667 5 -71 3 3.8 -0.8
Khazar Sumqayit 470 3 +39 2 2.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BFM IB KAP KL KS KB KUR MAS NB PN PB QAR TT
Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga —
1-1-0
4.15
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
4.79
0-1-1
3.26
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.26
0-0-2
1.24
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.86
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.63
Inshaatchi Baku
0-1-1
1.46
—
0-0-2
1.28
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
0.82
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
3.74
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
1.08
Kapaz
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.36
—
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
5.09
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.50
1-1-0
2.49
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.77
Khazar Lankaran
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
1.13
—
0-0-2
3.92
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
0.77
Khazar Sumqayit
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
0.57
2-0-0
1.69
—
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
0.75
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
0.79
0-0-2
0.46
Khazri Buzovna
1-1-0
2.34
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
4.42
—
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.48
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
1.41
Kur-Nur
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
4.38
0-0-2
1.84
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
2.98
—
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.31
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.54
Masalli
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.15
0-1-1
1.12
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.52
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.69
—
1-0-1
1.11
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
4.62
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.59
Neftchi Baku
2-0-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.82
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.90
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
4.51
—
1-1-0
4.98
2-0-0
4.56
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
2.87
Pambiqci Neftcala
0-1-1
1.50
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
0.75
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
4.04
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
0.66
—
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
1.03
1-0-1
0.79
Pambygchi Barda
0-0-2
1.77
2-0-0
1.87
0-0-2
0.64
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
1.00
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
2.16
—
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
0.57
Qarabag
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
4.49
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
4.59
2-0-0
4.85
—
0-1-1
2.23
Turan Tovuz
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
4.86
2-0-0
5.20
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
4.83
2-0-0
5.07
1-1-0
3.38
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +7.0
Allowed 0.52 -5.3
Differential 0.82 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%8.01%4.81%3.53%2.24%2.56%28.85%
18.01%5.13%5.77%1.92%1.28%1.92%24.04%
24.81%5.77%1.92%0.96%0.96%0.64%15.06%
33.53%1.92%0.96%1.28%—0.32%8.01%
42.24%1.28%0.96%———4.49%
5+2.56%1.92%0.64%0.32%—14.10%19.55%
Total28.85%24.04%15.06%8.01%4.49%19.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.41
CV 1.56 1.56 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 156

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%16.67%4.17%4.17%4.17%—41.67%
1—8.33%4.17%4.17%——16.67%
28.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
34.17%——4.17%——8.33%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+8.33%————4.17%12.50%
Total37.50%29.17%12.50%12.50%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.04 +0.29
SD 1.79 1.27 2.39
CV 1.34 1.22 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%12.50%12.50%——8.33%37.50%
1—4.17%4.17%8.33%8.33%—25.00%
24.17%4.17%————8.33%
3———4.17%——4.17%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+—————20.83%20.83%
Total12.50%20.83%16.67%12.50%8.33%29.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.46 -0.96
SD 1.29 1.91 1.99
CV 2.57 1.31 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%————8.33%
14.17%8.33%————12.50%
212.50%12.50%4.17%———29.17%
34.17%4.17%————8.33%
4—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
5+—16.67%—4.17%—12.50%33.33%
Total25.00%50.00%8.33%4.17%—12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 0.67 +1.79
SD 2.55 0.96 2.13
CV 1.04 1.44 —
Max 10 3 +9
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—4.17%4.17%4.17%—16.67%
1—8.33%———4.17%12.50%
2—4.17%———4.17%8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+—————62.50%62.50%
Total4.17%12.50%4.17%4.17%4.17%70.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean -0.33 0.29 -0.62
SD 1.01 2.03 1.41
CV -3.02 6.97 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%12.50%12.50%8.33%12.50%54.17%
1——4.17%4.17%—8.33%16.67%
2————4.17%—4.17%
34.17%——4.17%——8.33%
4———————
5+—————16.67%16.67%
Total4.17%8.33%16.67%20.83%12.50%37.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.33 2.83 -2.50
SD 1.09 2.93 2.86
CV 3.27 1.03 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.17%—4.17%4.17%—29.17%
18.33%8.33%8.33%4.17%——29.17%
24.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
34.17%4.17%————8.33%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+4.17%————4.17%8.33%
Total41.67%25.00%12.50%12.50%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.00 +0.29
SD 1.43 1.29 2.01
CV 1.11 1.29 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%4.17%———16.67%
120.83%4.17%12.50%———37.50%
212.50%4.17%——4.17%—20.83%
38.33%————4.17%12.50%
4———————
5+—4.17%———8.33%12.50%
Total45.83%20.83%16.67%—4.17%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.88 +0.50
SD 1.64 1.57 1.96
CV 1.19 1.79 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%4.17%4.17%—41.67%
18.33%4.17%————12.50%
24.17%8.33%4.17%———16.67%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+4.17%—4.17%——8.33%16.67%
Total25.00%37.50%20.83%4.17%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.00 +0.21
SD 1.74 1.18 2.00
CV 1.44 1.18 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
112.50%—8.33%———20.83%
24.17%8.33%—4.17%——16.67%
38.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+12.50%—4.17%——4.17%20.83%
Total62.50%12.50%16.67%4.17%—4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 0.54 +1.92
SD 2.48 0.98 2.60
CV 1.01 1.80 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%8.33%4.17%—4.17%25.00%
112.50%8.33%12.50%—4.17%8.33%45.83%
24.17%—4.17%—4.17%4.17%16.67%
3———4.17%——4.17%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+—————4.17%4.17%
Total25.00%12.50%25.00%8.33%8.33%20.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.17 -1.12
SD 1.08 2.20 2.38
CV 1.04 1.02 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%—12.50%4.17%8.33%50.00%
14.17%8.33%8.33%4.17%—4.17%29.17%
2———————
34.17%—————4.17%
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+—————12.50%12.50%
Total8.33%33.33%12.50%16.67%4.17%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.46 1.79 -1.33
SD 1.14 1.91 2.12
CV 2.49 1.07 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%—8.33%———29.17%
18.33%—4.17%—4.17%—16.67%
28.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
38.33%4.17%————12.50%
4—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
5+—4.17%———8.33%12.50%
Total45.83%16.67%20.83%4.17%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.79 +0.62
SD 1.64 1.25 1.76
CV 1.16 1.58 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%————8.33%
125.00%4.17%8.33%———37.50%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
44.17%4.17%————8.33%
5+4.17%————16.67%20.83%
Total37.50%33.33%12.50%——16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.42 +0.92
SD 1.63 0.93 1.44
CV 1.22 2.23 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kapaz 1163 42 34.79 +7.21 98.0% 22 29 33 35 37 39 43
Turan Tovuz 1142 40 35.14 +4.86 94.0% 28 29 33 35 37 41 44
Neftchi Baku 1133 38 36.02 +1.98 76.0% 27 30 34 36 38 40 41
Qarabag 954 32 30.99 +1.01 61.0% 20 25 28 31 34 37 40
Kur-Nur 941 30 26.85 +3.15 87.0% 18 22 25 27 29 32 35
Khazri Buzovna 920 27 24.12 +2.88 85.0% 13 17 22 24 26 30 32
Masalli 811 28 25.58 +2.42 80.0% 16 19 23 26 28 31 34
Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 811 23 26.35 -3.35 20.0% 17 21 24 26 29 32 35
Khazar Lankaran 667 5 7.21 -2.21 23.0% 1 3 6 7 9 11 12
Pambiqci Neftcala 598 17 18.73 -1.73 34.0% 9 13 17 19 21 24 26
Pambygchi Barda 583 12 16.10 -4.10 17.0% 7 10 14 16 18 22 25
Inshaatchi Baku 558 11 16.41 -5.41 10.0% 7 10 14 17 19 22 24
Khazar Sumqayit 470 7 13.71 -6.71 3.0% 7 8 12 14 16 19 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.28%
Strong Edge
55.13%16.03%28.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge
204 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
088.74600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Kapaz, 2nd of 13
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.68 * Some Luck: 2.68 to 4.02 * Lucky: 4.02 to 5.36 * Wild Swing: 5.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.83 * Close: 0.83 to 1.24 * Off: 1.24 to 1.65 * Way Off: 1.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 13 * As Expected: 13 to 20.8 * Several Outliers: 20.8 to 28.6 * Many Outliers: 28.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.07 points
Lucky
03.358
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.77
Pinpoint
01.032.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.15%
98.00%
Kapaz
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.85%
3.00%
Khazar Sumqayit
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 13
Minimal Outliers
01.36

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 238.14
2.81
Wide Separation
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
89%
Wide Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.42
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.57
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.38
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213
Kapaz27.00%28.00%24.00%15.00%5.00%——1.00%—————
Turan Tovuz21.00%33.00%26.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Neftchi Baku47.00%27.00%17.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%———————
Qarabag5.00%9.00%22.00%35.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%—1.00%————
Kur-Nur——7.00%15.00%16.00%28.00%14.00%18.00%2.00%————
Masalli—1.00%1.00%6.00%24.00%22.00%17.00%19.00%9.00%—1.00%——
Khazri Buzovna——1.00%3.00%14.00%18.00%25.00%25.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%——
Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga—2.00%2.00%8.00%22.00%18.00%27.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%———
Pambiqci Neftcala—————1.00%7.00%10.00%39.00%22.00%12.00%8.00%1.00%
Pambygchi Barda—————1.00%1.00%5.00%13.00%32.00%30.00%14.00%4.00%
Inshaatchi Baku——————1.00%7.00%18.00%31.00%25.00%16.00%2.00%
Khazar Sumqayit————————6.00%8.00%30.00%51.00%5.00%
Khazar Lankaran——————————1.00%11.00%88.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 100% —
Kapaz 100% —
Kur-Nur 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Turan Tovuz 100% —
Khazri Buzovna 99.00% 1.00%
Masalli 99.00% 1.00%
Pambiqci Neftcala 79.00% 21.00%
Inshaatchi Baku 57.00% 43.00%
Pambygchi Barda 52.00% 48.00%
Khazar Sumqayit 14.00% 86.00%
Khazar Lankaran — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-08-07 Pambygchi Barda D 1-154.2 788 742 64.09% 19.62% 16.28%+0.66 -6.3 1
1994-08-07 @ Khazar Lankaran D 1-154.2 742 788 16.28% 19.62% 64.09%-0.66 +6.3 1
1994-08-07 Masalli D 0-050.4 792 804 58.76% 19.72% 21.51%+0.37 -5.4 1
1994-08-07 @ Khazri Buzovna D 0-050.4 804 792 21.51% 19.72% 58.76%-0.37 +5.4 1
1994-08-07 Khazar Sumqayit W 3-032.9 785 799 58.61% 19.73% 21.66%+0.37 +37.7 2
1994-08-07 @ Kur-Nur L 0-332.9 799 785 21.66% 19.73% 58.61%-0.37 -37.7 0
1994-08-07 Inshaatchi Baku W 1-037.7 705 745 55.78% 19.76% 24.47%+0.24 +15.3 2
1994-08-07 @ Pambiqci Neftcala L 0-137.7 745 705 24.47% 19.76% 55.78%-0.24 -15.3 0
1994-08-19 Pambiqci Neftcala W 4-131.8 1017 720 77.00% 18.67% 4.34%+1.89 +7.1 2
1994-08-19 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-431.8 720 1017 4.34% 18.67% 77.00%-1.89 -7.1 2
1994-08-21 Khazri Buzovna L 1-349.7 749 786 56.11% 19.75% 24.14%+0.25 -50.4 1
1994-08-21 @ Pambygchi Barda W 3-149.7 786 749 24.14% 19.75% 56.11%-0.25 +50.4 3
1994-08-28 Masalli W 2-035.3 777 810 56.63% 19.75% 23.62%+0.27 +27.9 2
1994-08-28 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-235.3 810 777 23.62% 19.75% 56.63%-0.27 -27.9 1
1994-08-28 Kapaz D 1-154.2 837 915 51.28% 19.78% 28.94%+0.05 -2.8 4
1994-08-28 @ Khazri Buzovna D 1-154.2 915 837 28.94% 19.78% 51.28%-0.05 +2.8 1
1994-08-28 Pambygchi Barda W 1-033.5 823 698 69.71% 19.41% 10.88%+1.05 +7.4 4
1994-08-28 @ Kur-Nur L 0-133.5 698 823 10.88% 19.41% 69.71%-1.05 -7.4 1
1994-08-28 Inshaatchi Baku W 2-030.3 927 730 73.43% 19.14% 7.43%+1.40 +9.7 2
1994-08-28 @ Qarabag L 0-230.3 730 927 7.43% 19.14% 73.43%-1.40 -9.7 0
1994-09-14 Khazar Lankaran W 5-131.9 918 781 70.43% 19.37% 10.20%+1.11 +20.8 3
1994-09-14 @ Kapaz L 1-531.9 781 918 10.20% 19.37% 70.43%-1.11 -20.8 1
1994-09-14 Kur-Nur W 2-142.3 782 830 54.87% 19.76% 25.37%+0.20 +14.8 3
1994-09-14 @ Masalli L 1-242.3 830 782 25.37% 19.76% 54.87%-0.20 -14.8 4
1994-09-18 Kapaz D 1-154.2 805 939 43.98% 19.78% 36.24%-0.22 -0.9 3
1994-09-18 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 1-154.2 939 805 36.24% 19.78% 43.98%+0.22 +0.9 4
1994-09-18 Turan Tovuz L 1-339.5 720 1024 22.33% 19.52% 58.16%-1.06 -23.0 0
1994-09-18 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 3-139.5 1024 720 58.16% 19.52% 22.33%+1.06 +23.0 4
1994-09-18 Khazar Lankaran W 2-032.8 815 760 64.88% 19.60% 15.52%+0.70 +19.3 6
1994-09-18 @ Kur-Nur L 0-232.8 760 815 15.52% 19.60% 64.88%-0.70 -19.3 1
1994-09-18 Masalli W 4-027.8 954 796 71.56% 19.29% 9.14%+1.21 +22.5 2
1994-09-18 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-427.8 796 954 9.14% 19.29% 71.56%-1.21 -22.5 3
1994-09-18 Pambygchi Barda W 1-035.8 713 691 62.11% 19.67% 18.22%+0.54 +11.8 4
1994-09-18 @ Pambiqci Neftcala L 0-135.8 691 713 18.22% 19.67% 62.11%-0.54 -11.8 1
1994-09-18 Khazar Sumqayit W 5-131.3 937 762 72.44% 19.23% 8.33%+1.30 +17.2 4
1994-09-18 @ Qarabag L 1-531.3 762 937 8.33% 19.23% 72.44%-1.30 -17.2 0
1994-09-25 Neftchi Baku L 0-137.1 679 977 22.95% 19.53% 57.52%-1.03 -14.4 1
1994-09-25 @ Pambygchi Barda W 1-037.1 977 679 57.52% 19.53% 22.95%+1.03 +14.4 4
1994-09-25 Pambiqci Neftcala W 5-130.8 940 725 74.19% 19.06% 6.75%+1.49 +14.0 6
1994-09-25 @ Kapaz L 1-530.8 725 940 6.75% 19.06% 74.19%-1.49 -14.1 4
1994-09-25 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 0-050.4 741 804 53.24% 19.77% 26.98%+0.13 -3.7 2
1994-09-25 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-050.4 804 741 26.98% 19.77% 53.24%-0.13 +3.7 4
1994-09-25 Inshaatchi Baku L 0-444.5 744 698 64.22% 19.62% 16.16%+0.67 -126.3 0
1994-09-25 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 4-044.5 698 744 16.16% 19.62% 64.22%-0.67 +126.3 2
1994-09-25 Kur-Nur W 1-036.4 834 835 59.93% 19.71% 20.36%+0.43 +13.0 6
1994-09-25 @ Khazri Buzovna L 0-136.4 835 834 20.36% 19.71% 59.93%-0.43 -13.0 6
1994-09-25 Qarabag D 0-050.4 774 954 37.48% 19.75% 42.77%-0.45 +0.7 4
1994-09-25 @ Masalli D 0-050.4 954 774 42.77% 19.75% 37.48%+0.45 -0.7 5
1994-09-28 Turan Tovuz W 2-142.6 991 1047 54.02% 19.77% 26.21%+0.16 +15.3 6
1994-09-28 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-242.6 1047 991 26.21% 19.77% 54.02%-0.16 -15.3 4
1994-09-28 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-032.0 711 618 67.68% 19.50% 12.81%+0.89 +16.2 6
1994-09-28 @ Pambiqci Neftcala L 0-232.0 618 711 12.81% 19.50% 67.68%-0.89 -16.2 0
1994-10-02 Turan Tovuz L 1-244.1 807 1032 31.52% 19.69% 48.79%-0.67 -17.8 4
1994-10-02 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 2-144.1 1032 807 48.79% 19.69% 31.52%+0.67 +17.8 6
1994-10-02 Qarabag W 3-243.7 1007 954 64.72% 19.61% 15.67%+0.70 +9.2 8
1994-10-02 @ Neftchi Baku L 2-343.7 954 1007 15.67% 19.61% 64.72%-0.70 -9.2 5
1994-10-16 Khazri Buzovna D 2-258.8 790 847 53.87% 19.77% 26.36%+0.15 -2.6 5
1994-10-16 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 2-258.8 847 790 26.36% 19.77% 53.87%-0.15 +2.6 7
1994-10-16 Masalli L 0-247.5 824 775 64.42% 19.61% 15.97%+0.68 -66.8 2
1994-10-16 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 2-047.5 775 824 15.97% 19.61% 64.42%-0.68 +66.8 6
1994-10-16 Khazar Lankaran W 4-031.6 727 737 58.99% 19.72% 21.28%+0.38 +48.5 8
1994-10-16 @ Pambiqci Neftcala L 0-431.6 737 727 21.28% 19.72% 58.99%-0.38 -48.5 2
1994-10-16 Pambygchi Barda W 3-027.5 944 665 76.48% 18.76% 4.76%+1.81 +9.2 7
1994-10-16 @ Qarabag L 0-327.5 665 944 4.76% 18.76% 76.48%-1.81 -9.2 1
1994-10-19 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-438.6 655 787 44.36% 19.78% 35.86%-0.21 -89.3 1
1994-10-19 @ Pambygchi Barda W 4-038.6 787 655 35.86% 19.78% 44.36%+0.21 +89.3 7
1994-10-19 Kur-Nur W 6-338.3 954 822 70.16% 19.38% 10.45%+1.08 +13.2 8
1994-10-19 @ Kapaz L 3-638.3 822 954 10.45% 19.38% 70.16%-1.08 -13.2 6
1994-10-19 Khazri Buzovna W 2-146.7 689 849 40.30% 19.77% 39.93%-0.35 +21.6 4
1994-10-19 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-246.7 849 689 39.93% 19.77% 40.30%+0.35 -21.6 7
1994-10-19 Pambiqci Neftcala W 2-139.1 841 776 65.72% 19.58% 14.70%+0.76 +9.2 8
1994-10-19 @ Masalli L 1-239.1 776 841 14.70% 19.58% 65.72%-0.76 -9.2 8
1994-10-19 Qarabag W 2-138.4 1050 953 67.92% 19.49% 12.59%+0.91 +8.0 8
1994-10-19 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-238.4 953 1050 12.59% 19.49% 67.92%-0.91 -8.0 7
1994-10-20 Neftchi Baku L 0-1029.2 602 1016 13.08% 19.14% 67.78%-1.60 -74.3 0
1994-10-20 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 10-029.2 1016 602 67.78% 19.14% 13.08%+1.60 +74.3 10
1994-10-23 Inshaatchi Baku FW48.2 566 757 36.02% 19.74% 44.25%-0.50 +0.0 3
1994-10-23 @ Pambygchi Barda FL48.2 757 566 44.25% 19.74% 36.02%+0.50 +0.0 2
1994-10-23 Qarabag W 4-136.3 967 945 62.06% 19.67% 18.27%+0.54 +27.4 10
1994-10-23 @ Kapaz L 1-436.3 945 967 18.27% 19.67% 62.06%-0.54 -27.4 7
1994-10-23 Neftchi Baku L 0-330.9 711 1090 15.55% 19.27% 65.18%-1.43 -27.9 4
1994-10-23 @ Khazar Lankaran W 3-030.9 1090 711 65.18% 19.27% 15.55%+1.43 +27.9 12
1994-10-23 Pambiqci Neftcala W 2-139.2 828 766 65.39% 19.59% 15.02%+0.74 +9.4 9
1994-10-23 @ Khazri Buzovna L 1-239.2 766 828 15.02% 19.59% 65.39%-0.74 -9.4 8
1994-10-23 Turan Tovuz L 0-140.5 851 1058 33.80% 19.72% 46.48%-0.58 -20.0 8
1994-10-23 @ Masalli W 1-040.5 1058 851 46.48% 19.72% 33.80%+0.58 +20.0 10
1994-10-23 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 1-038.6 808 876 52.61% 19.78% 27.61%+0.10 +16.9 8
1994-10-23 @ Kur-Nur L 0-138.6 876 808 27.61% 19.78% 52.61%-0.10 -16.9 7
1994-10-30 Qarabag FL48.3 683 918 30.14% 19.67% 50.19%-0.72 +0.0 4
1994-10-30 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.3 918 683 50.19% 19.67% 30.14%+0.72 +0.0 9
1994-10-30 Masalli FL48.3 527 831 22.39% 19.52% 58.09%-1.05 +0.0 0
1994-10-30 @ Khazar Sumqayit FW48.3 831 527 58.09% 19.52% 22.39%+1.05 +0.0 10
1994-10-30 Kapaz L 0-139.3 757 995 29.88% 19.67% 50.45%-0.73 -18.0 2
1994-10-30 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 1-039.3 995 757 50.45% 19.67% 29.88%+0.73 +18.0 12
1994-10-30 Khazri Buzovna W 3-027.5 1118 837 76.51% 18.75% 4.74%+1.81 +9.1 14
1994-10-30 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-327.5 837 1118 4.74% 18.75% 76.51%-1.81 -9.1 9
1994-10-30 Kur-Nur L 1-250.5 757 825 52.56% 19.78% 27.67%+0.10 -27.3 8
1994-10-30 @ Pambiqci Neftcala W 2-150.5 825 757 27.67% 19.78% 52.56%-0.10 +27.3 10
1994-10-30 Pambygchi Barda W 1-030.0 1078 566 81.37% 17.29% 1.34%+2.95 +0.9 12
1994-10-30 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-130.0 566 1078 1.34% 17.29% 81.37%-2.95 -0.9 3
1994-11-06 Khazar Sumqayit W 4-241.6 565 527 63.46% 19.64% 16.90%+0.62 +16.1 5
1994-11-06 @ Pambygchi Barda L 2-441.6 527 565 16.90% 19.64% 63.46%-0.62 -16.2 0
1994-11-06 Pambiqci Neftcala W 6-027.7 859 730 70.01% 19.39% 10.59%+1.07 +37.9 9
1994-11-06 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-627.7 730 859 10.59% 19.39% 70.01%-1.07 -37.9 8
1994-11-06 Turan Tovuz W 2-143.0 1013 1079 52.83% 19.78% 27.39%+0.11 +15.8 14
1994-11-06 @ Kapaz L 1-243.0 1079 1013 27.39% 19.78% 52.83%-0.11 -15.8 12
1994-11-06 Inshaatchi Baku D 1-154.2 683 739 53.97% 19.77% 26.26%+0.16 -3.5 5
1994-11-06 @ Khazar Lankaran D 1-154.2 739 683 26.26% 19.77% 53.97%-0.16 +3.5 3
1994-11-06 Qarabag L 1-347.8 828 918 49.88% 19.79% 30.33%-0.01 -45.1 9
1994-11-06 @ Khazri Buzovna W 3-147.8 918 828 30.33% 19.79% 49.88%+0.01 +45.1 11
1994-11-06 Neftchi Baku L 1-242.3 853 1127 25.49% 19.59% 54.91%-0.91 -14.9 10
1994-11-06 @ Kur-Nur W 2-142.3 1127 853 54.91% 19.59% 25.49%+0.91 +14.9 16
1994-11-09 Neftchi Baku L 0-528.8 743 1142 14.07% 19.19% 66.73%-1.52 -41.1 3
1994-11-09 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 5-028.8 1142 743 66.73% 19.19% 14.07%+1.52 +41.1 18
1994-11-09 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-232.6 511 897 15.06% 19.25% 65.69%-1.46 -18.7 0
1994-11-09 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 2-032.6 897 511 65.69% 19.25% 15.06%+1.46 +18.7 11
1994-11-19 Kur-Nur W 2-031.4 963 838 69.76% 19.41% 10.84%+1.05 +13.9 13
1994-11-19 @ Qarabag L 0-231.4 838 963 10.84% 19.41% 69.76%-1.05 -13.9 10
1994-11-20 Khazar Lankaran FW48.7 1063 679 79.13% 18.16% 2.70%+2.32 +0.0 14
1994-11-20 @ Turan Tovuz FL48.7 679 1063 2.70% 18.16% 79.13%-2.32 +0.0 5
1994-11-20 Khazri Buzovna L 1-250.0 701 783 50.94% 19.78% 29.28%+0.04 -26.6 3
1994-11-20 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 2-150.0 783 701 29.28% 19.78% 50.94%-0.04 +26.6 11
1994-11-20 Kapaz L 0-328.1 493 1028 6.94% 18.54% 74.52%-2.19 -13.1 0
1994-11-20 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-028.1 1028 493 74.52% 18.54% 6.94%+2.19 +13.1 16
1994-11-20 Pambygchi Barda W 5-026.2 831 581 75.48% 18.91% 5.61%+1.66 +17.4 12
1994-11-20 @ Masalli L 0-526.2 581 831 5.61% 18.91% 75.48%-1.66 -17.4 5
1994-11-20 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 2-029.5 1183 916 76.08% 18.82% 5.10%+1.75 +6.8 20
1994-11-20 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-229.5 916 1183 5.10% 18.82% 76.08%-1.75 -6.8 11
1994-11-23 Kapaz D 0-050.6 1190 1042 71.06% 19.33% 9.61%+1.16 -9.5 21
1994-11-23 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-050.6 1042 1190 9.61% 19.33% 71.06%-1.16 +9.5 17
1994-11-23 Khazar Sumqayit W 5-024.1 1063 480 82.35% 16.74% 0.91%+3.30 +2.7 16
1994-11-23 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-524.1 480 1063 0.91% 16.74% 82.35%-3.30 -2.7 0
1994-11-27 Khazar Sumqayit FL48.4 679 477 73.66% 19.12% 7.22%+1.43 +0.0 5
1994-11-27 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.4 477 679 7.22% 19.12% 73.66%-1.43 +0.0 2
1994-11-27 Inshaatchi Baku FW48.4 824 675 71.10% 19.33% 9.57%+1.17 +0.0 12
1994-11-27 @ Kur-Nur FL48.4 675 824 9.57% 19.33% 71.10%-1.17 +0.0 3
1994-11-27 Qarabag D 0-050.4 909 977 52.60% 19.78% 27.62%+0.10 -3.5 12
1994-11-27 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 0-050.4 977 909 27.62% 19.78% 52.60%-0.10 +3.5 14
1994-11-27 Masalli W 2-030.2 1051 848 73.69% 19.12% 7.20%+1.43 +9.5 19
1994-11-27 @ Kapaz L 0-230.2 848 1051 7.20% 19.12% 73.69%-1.43 -9.5 12
1994-11-27 Turan Tovuz L 0-433.5 810 1066 27.62% 19.63% 52.74%-0.82 -60.4 11
1994-11-27 @ Khazri Buzovna W 4-033.5 1066 810 52.74% 19.63% 27.62%+0.82 +60.4 18
1994-11-27 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.7 692 1180 8.91% 18.79% 72.30%-1.96 +9.8 9
1994-11-27 @ Pambiqci Neftcala D 0-050.7 1180 692 72.30% 18.79% 8.91%+1.96 -9.8 22
1994-12-03 Pambiqci Neftcala W 4-237.7 981 702 76.46% 18.76% 4.78%+1.80 +4.9 16
1994-12-03 @ Qarabag L 2-437.7 702 981 4.78% 18.76% 76.46%-1.80 -4.9 9
1994-12-04 Kapaz FL48.5 564 1060 8.55% 18.75% 72.70%-2.00 +0.0 5
1994-12-04 @ Pambygchi Barda FW48.5 1060 564 72.70% 18.75% 8.55%+2.00 +0.0 21
1994-12-04 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-533.9 675 906 30.72% 19.68% 49.60%-0.70 -81.4 3
1994-12-04 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 5-033.9 906 675 49.60% 19.68% 30.72%+0.70 +81.4 14
1994-12-04 Khazri Buzovna L 0-235.9 477 749 25.73% 19.60% 54.67%-0.90 -30.0 2
1994-12-04 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 2-035.9 749 477 54.67% 19.60% 25.73%+0.90 +30.0 13
1994-12-04 Khazar Lankaran W 5-236.3 839 679 71.64% 19.29% 9.07%+1.22 +12.5 14
1994-12-04 @ Masalli L 2-536.3 679 839 9.07% 19.29% 71.64%-1.22 -12.5 5
1994-12-04 Kur-Nur W 2-135.6 1126 824 77.14% 18.64% 4.22%+1.92 +2.8 20
1994-12-04 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-235.6 824 1126 4.22% 18.64% 77.14%-1.92 -2.8 12
1995-02-12 Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 564 667 48.25% 19.79% 31.96%-0.07 +0.0 7
1995-02-12 @ Pambygchi Barda FL48.2 667 564 31.96% 19.79% 48.25%+0.07 +0.0 5
1995-02-12 Pambiqci Neftcala W 2-037.8 593 697 48.17% 19.79% 32.04%-0.07 +36.1 5
1995-02-12 @ Inshaatchi Baku L 0-237.8 697 593 32.04% 19.79% 48.17%+0.07 -36.1 9
1995-02-12 Kur-Nur L 0-135.0 447 821 15.95% 19.29% 64.75%-1.40 -10.4 2
1995-02-12 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 1-035.0 821 447 64.75% 19.29% 15.95%+1.40 +10.5 14
1995-02-12 Khazri Buzovna D 1-154.2 851 779 66.19% 19.56% 14.25%+0.79 -7.0 15
1995-02-12 @ Masalli D 1-154.2 779 851 14.25% 19.56% 66.19%-0.79 +7.0 14
1995-02-12 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 986 1171 36.82% 19.75% 43.44%-0.47 +0.9 17
1995-02-12 @ Qarabag D 0-050.5 1171 986 43.44% 19.75% 36.82%+0.47 -0.9 23
1995-02-12 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 1-033.2 1129 987 70.70% 19.35% 9.95%+1.13 +6.8 22
1995-02-12 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-133.2 987 1129 9.95% 19.35% 70.70%-1.13 -6.8 14
1995-02-19 Kapaz FL48.4 667 1060 14.48% 19.22% 66.30%-1.50 +0.0 5
1995-02-19 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.4 1060 667 66.30% 19.22% 14.48%+1.50 +0.0 23
1995-02-19 Masalli FL48.2 667 844 37.88% 19.75% 42.36%-0.44 +0.0 5
1995-02-19 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 844 667 42.36% 19.75% 37.88%+0.44 +0.0 17
1995-02-19 Khazar Sumqayit W 3-025.9 980 436 81.83% 17.05% 1.12%+3.10 +2.1 16
1995-02-19 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 0-325.9 436 980 1.12% 17.05% 81.83%-3.10 -2.1 2
1995-02-19 Pambygchi Barda W 1-032.1 786 564 74.47% 19.03% 6.50%+1.52 +4.5 16
1995-02-19 @ Khazri Buzovna L 0-132.1 564 786 6.50% 19.03% 74.47%-1.52 -4.5 7
1995-02-19 Masalli W 1-036.8 832 844 58.76% 19.72% 21.51%+0.37 +13.7 16
1995-02-19 @ Kur-Nur L 0-136.8 844 832 21.51% 19.72% 58.76%-0.37 -13.7 17
1995-02-19 Inshaatchi Baku W 3-132.4 1170 630 81.78% 17.07% 1.15%+3.09 +1.3 25
1995-02-19 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-332.4 630 1170 1.15% 17.07% 81.78%-3.09 -1.3 5
1995-02-19 Turan Tovuz W 1-051.5 661 1136 9.56% 18.86% 71.58%-1.90 +39.4 11
1995-02-19 @ Pambiqci Neftcala L 0-151.5 1136 661 71.58% 18.86% 9.56%+1.90 -39.5 22
1995-02-25 Qarabag L 1-435.8 628 986 17.26% 19.35% 63.39%-1.32 -25.9 5
1995-02-25 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 4-135.8 986 628 63.39% 19.35% 17.26%+1.32 +25.9 19
1995-02-25 Neftchi Baku W 2-143.3 1096 1171 51.76% 19.78% 28.46%+0.07 +16.3 24
1995-02-25 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-243.3 1171 1096 28.46% 19.78% 51.76%-0.07 -16.3 25
1995-02-26 Kur-Nur L 0-333.6 559 845 24.24% 19.56% 56.20%-0.97 -41.4 7
1995-02-26 @ Pambygchi Barda W 3-033.6 845 559 56.20% 19.56% 24.24%+0.97 +41.4 18
1995-02-26 Khazri Buzovna W 2-135.9 1060 791 76.17% 18.81% 5.02%+1.76 +3.3 25
1995-02-26 @ Kapaz L 1-235.9 791 1060 5.02% 18.81% 76.17%-1.76 -3.3 16
1995-02-26 Pambiqci Neftcala D 3-362.6 434 700 26.48% 19.61% 53.90%-0.87 +2.1 3
1995-02-26 @ Khazar Sumqayit D 3-362.6 700 434 53.90% 19.61% 26.48%+0.87 -2.1 12
1995-02-26 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 1-042.0 830 982 41.51% 19.77% 38.72%-0.31 +22.3 19
1995-02-26 @ Masalli L 0-142.0 982 830 38.72% 19.77% 41.51%+0.31 -22.3 16
1995-03-05 Khazar Lankaran FW48.3 787 667 69.47% 19.42% 11.11%+1.03 +0.0 18
1995-03-05 @ Khazri Buzovna FL48.3 667 787 11.11% 19.42% 69.47%-1.03 +0.0 5
1995-03-05 Pambygchi Barda W 2-134.7 960 518 80.25% 17.78% 1.97%+2.60 +1.3 18
1995-03-05 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga L 1-234.7 518 960 1.97% 17.78% 80.25%-2.60 -1.3 7
1995-03-05 Kapaz L 2-448.0 887 1064 37.92% 19.75% 42.33%-0.43 -32.1 18
1995-03-05 @ Kur-Nur W 4-248.0 1064 887 42.33% 19.75% 37.92%+0.43 +32.0 27
1995-03-05 Khazar Sumqayit W 4-024.1 1155 436 83.94% 15.63% 0.43%+3.96 +1.0 27
1995-03-05 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-424.1 436 1155 0.43% 15.63% 83.94%-3.96 -1.0 3
1995-03-05 Masalli L 0-142.7 698 853 41.10% 19.77% 39.13%-0.32 -23.4 12
1995-03-05 @ Pambiqci Neftcala W 1-042.7 853 698 39.13% 19.77% 41.10%+0.32 +23.4 21
1995-03-05 Turan Tovuz D 0-050.4 1012 1113 48.57% 19.79% 31.64%-0.06 -2.3 20
1995-03-05 @ Qarabag D 0-050.4 1113 1012 31.64% 19.79% 48.57%+0.06 +2.3 25
1995-03-11 Khazar Lankaran FW48.9 1156 667 81.03% 17.45% 1.52%+2.83 +0.0 29
1995-03-11 @ Neftchi Baku FL48.9 667 1156 1.52% 17.45% 81.03%-2.83 +0.0 5
1995-03-11 Qarabag L 0-131.6 435 1010 5.65% 18.31% 76.04%-2.38 -3.9 3
1995-03-11 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 1-031.6 1010 435 76.04% 18.31% 5.65%+2.38 +3.9 22
1995-03-12 Kur-Nur FL48.2 667 855 36.43% 19.74% 43.83%-0.49 +0.0 5
1995-03-12 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 855 667 43.83% 19.74% 36.43%+0.49 +0.0 20
1995-03-12 Inshaatchi Baku FW49.0 1115 602 81.38% 17.28% 1.34%+2.95 +0.0 27
1995-03-12 @ Turan Tovuz FL49.0 602 1115 1.34% 17.28% 81.38%-2.95 +0.0 5
1995-03-12 Pambiqci Neftcala D 1-154.2 517 674 40.70% 19.77% 39.53%-0.34 -0.1 8
1995-03-12 @ Pambygchi Barda D 1-154.2 674 517 39.53% 19.77% 40.70%+0.34 +0.1 13
1995-03-12 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 3-135.8 1096 961 70.29% 19.38% 10.34%+1.09 +11.5 29
1995-03-12 @ Kapaz L 1-335.8 961 1096 10.34% 19.38% 70.29%-1.09 -11.5 18
1995-03-19 Khazar Lankaran FW48.5 950 667 76.59% 18.74% 4.67%+1.82 +0.0 20
1995-03-19 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga FL48.5 667 950 4.67% 18.74% 76.59%-1.82 +0.0 5
1995-03-19 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-137.1 602 431 72.22% 19.25% 8.53%+1.27 +5.6 7
1995-03-19 @ Inshaatchi Baku L 1-237.1 431 602 8.53% 19.25% 72.22%-1.27 -5.6 3
1995-03-19 Khazri Buzovna W 1-034.7 855 787 65.84% 19.57% 14.59%+0.77 +9.7 22
1995-03-19 @ Kur-Nur L 0-134.7 787 855 14.59% 19.57% 65.84%-0.77 -9.7 18
1995-04-02 Pambiqci Neftcala FL48.2 667 675 59.23% 19.72% 21.06%+0.40 +0.0 5
1995-04-02 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 675 667 21.06% 19.72% 59.23%-0.40 +0.0 15
1995-04-02 Turan Tovuz FL48.9 426 1115 3.05% 17.57% 79.39%-2.94 +0.0 3
1995-04-02 @ Khazar Sumqayit FW48.9 1115 426 79.39% 17.57% 3.05%+2.94 +0.0 29
1995-04-02 Qarabag L 1-237.0 517 1014 8.51% 18.75% 72.74%-2.00 -5.5 8
1995-04-02 @ Pambygchi Barda W 2-137.0 1014 517 72.74% 18.75% 8.51%+2.00 +5.5 24
1995-04-02 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 4-037.7 778 950 38.61% 19.76% 41.63%-0.41 +84.7 20
1995-04-02 @ Khazri Buzovna L 0-437.7 950 778 41.63% 19.76% 38.61%+0.41 -84.7 20
1995-04-02 Inshaatchi Baku W 4-132.0 876 608 76.12% 18.81% 5.07%+1.75 +8.2 23
1995-04-02 @ Masalli L 1-432.0 608 876 5.07% 18.81% 76.12%-1.75 -8.2 7
1995-04-08 Kapaz L 0-243.3 1019 1107 50.13% 19.79% 30.08%+0.00 -52.4 24
1995-04-08 @ Qarabag W 2-043.3 1107 1019 30.08% 19.79% 50.13%+0.00 +52.4 31
1995-04-08 Masalli W 1-032.0 1115 884 74.79% 19.00% 6.21%+1.57 +4.3 31
1995-04-08 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-132.0 884 1115 6.21% 19.00% 74.79%-1.57 -4.3 23
1995-04-09 Kur-Nur D 0-050.4 865 864 60.11% 19.70% 20.19%+0.44 -5.8 21
1995-04-09 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 0-050.4 864 865 20.19% 19.70% 60.11%-0.44 +5.8 23
1995-04-09 Pambygchi Barda L 0-150.5 600 511 67.38% 19.52% 13.10%+0.87 -37.1 7
1995-04-09 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 1-050.5 511 600 13.10% 19.52% 67.38%-0.87 +37.2 10
1995-04-09 Khazri Buzovna L 0-337.4 675 862 36.46% 19.74% 43.80%-0.49 -58.2 15
1995-04-09 @ Pambiqci Neftcala W 3-037.4 862 675 43.80% 19.74% 36.46%+0.49 +58.2 22
1995-04-12 Turan Tovuz L 0-131.6 548 1119 5.76% 18.34% 75.90%-2.37 -4.0 10
1995-04-12 @ Pambygchi Barda W 1-031.6 1119 548 75.90% 18.34% 5.76%+2.37 +4.0 33
1995-04-12 Neftchi Baku W 2-140.8 1160 1156 60.41% 19.70% 19.89%+0.46 +12.0 33
1995-04-12 @ Kapaz L 1-240.8 1156 1160 19.89% 19.70% 60.41%-0.46 -12.0 29
1995-04-12 Pambiqci Neftcala W 7-128.2 870 616 75.63% 18.89% 5.48%+1.68 +16.6 25
1995-04-12 @ Kur-Nur L 1-728.2 616 870 5.48% 18.89% 75.63%-1.68 -16.6 15
1995-04-12 Masalli W 1-034.2 967 880 67.27% 19.52% 13.21%+0.86 +8.9 26
1995-04-12 @ Qarabag L 0-134.2 880 967 13.21% 19.52% 67.27%-0.86 -8.9 23
1995-04-15 Inshaatchi Baku FW49.2 1172 563 82.68% 16.53% 0.79%+3.42 +0.0 35
1995-04-15 @ Kapaz FL49.2 563 1172 0.79% 16.53% 82.68%-3.42 +0.0 7
1995-04-15 Khazar Lankaran FW48.6 976 667 77.34% 18.60% 4.06%+1.95 +0.0 28
1995-04-15 @ Qarabag FL48.6 667 976 4.06% 18.60% 77.34%-1.95 +0.0 5
1995-04-15 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 920 1144 31.70% 19.69% 48.61%-0.66 +2.3 23
1995-04-15 @ Khazri Buzovna D 0-050.5 1144 920 48.61% 19.69% 31.70%+0.66 -2.3 30
1995-04-16 Khazar Sumqayit W 3-132.8 871 426 80.31% 17.76% 1.93%+2.62 +2.2 25
1995-04-16 @ Masalli L 1-332.8 426 871 1.93% 17.76% 80.31%-2.62 -2.2 3
1995-04-18 Pambygchi Barda W 6-024.0 1141 544 82.53% 16.63% 0.84%+3.36 +3.0 32
1995-04-18 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-624.0 544 1141 0.84% 16.63% 82.53%-3.36 -3.0 10
1995-04-18 Kapaz L 0-229.5 600 1172 5.73% 18.33% 75.94%-2.37 -7.5 15
1995-04-18 @ Pambiqci Neftcala W 2-029.5 1172 600 75.94% 18.33% 5.73%+2.37 +7.5 37
1995-04-30 Turan Tovuz FL48.5 667 1123 10.52% 18.95% 70.53%-1.80 +0.0 5
1995-04-30 @ Khazar Lankaran FW48.5 1123 667 70.53% 18.95% 10.52%+1.80 +0.0 35
1995-04-30 Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 563 667 48.06% 19.79% 32.15%-0.08 +0.0 9
1995-04-30 @ Inshaatchi Baku FL48.2 667 563 32.15% 19.79% 48.06%+0.08 +0.0 5
1995-04-30 Pambygchi Barda W 3-036.6 424 541 46.26% 19.79% 33.95%-0.14 +55.0 5
1995-04-30 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-336.6 541 424 33.95% 19.79% 46.26%+0.14 -55.0 10
1995-04-30 Kur-Nur W 1-031.7 1144 887 75.77% 18.87% 5.36%+1.70 +3.8 34
1995-04-30 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-131.7 887 1144 5.36% 18.87% 75.77%-1.70 -3.8 25
1995-04-30 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 1-154.2 592 859 26.33% 19.61% 54.06%-0.88 +3.5 16
1995-04-30 @ Pambiqci Neftcala D 1-154.2 859 592 54.06% 19.61% 26.33%+0.88 -3.5 22
1995-04-30 Khazri Buzovna D 0-050.5 976 923 64.73% 19.61% 15.66%+0.70 -7.3 29
1995-04-30 @ Qarabag D 0-050.5 923 976 15.66% 19.61% 64.73%-0.70 +7.3 24
1995-05-07 Masalli W 3-046.0 486 873 14.98% 19.24% 65.78%-1.46 +98.8 12
1995-05-07 @ Pambygchi Barda L 0-346.0 873 486 65.78% 19.24% 14.98%+1.46 -98.8 25
1995-05-07 Neftchi Baku L 0-137.3 856 1148 23.54% 19.55% 56.91%-1.00 -14.7 22
1995-05-07 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 1-037.3 1148 856 56.91% 19.55% 23.54%+1.00 +14.7 36
1995-05-07 Inshaatchi Baku D 0-050.9 930 563 78.78% 18.26% 2.95%+2.24 -12.1 25
1995-05-07 @ Khazri Buzovna D 0-050.9 563 930 2.95% 18.26% 78.78%-2.24 +12.1 10
1995-05-07 Qarabag W 2-037.2 883 969 50.42% 19.79% 29.80%+0.01 +34.0 27
1995-05-07 @ Kur-Nur L 0-237.2 969 883 29.80% 19.79% 50.42%-0.01 -34.0 29
1995-05-07 Kapaz W 1-038.3 1123 1179 54.01% 19.77% 26.22%+0.16 +16.2 37
1995-05-07 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-138.3 1179 1123 26.22% 19.77% 54.01%-0.16 -16.2 37
1995-05-10 Khazar Sumqayit W 10-125.0 1163 479 83.57% 15.91% 0.52%+3.79 +2.2 39
1995-05-10 @ Kapaz L 1-1025.0 479 1163 0.52% 15.91% 83.57%-3.79 -2.2 5
1995-05-10 Neftchi Baku W 3-258.7 775 1163 14.89% 19.24% 65.87%-1.47 +32.3 27
1995-05-10 @ Masalli L 2-358.7 1163 775 65.87% 19.24% 14.89%+1.47 -32.3 36
1995-05-14 Khazar Lankaran FW48.2 476 667 36.11% 19.74% 44.15%-0.50 +0.0 7
1995-05-14 @ Khazar Sumqayit FL48.2 667 476 44.15% 19.74% 36.11%+0.50 +0.0 5
1995-05-14 Kur-Nur L 0-233.7 575 917 18.64% 19.40% 61.96%-1.24 -22.6 10
1995-05-14 @ Inshaatchi Baku W 2-033.7 917 575 61.96% 19.40% 18.64%+1.24 +22.6 29
1995-05-14 Kapaz D 2-258.9 807 1165 17.25% 19.35% 63.40%-1.32 +4.5 28
1995-05-14 @ Masalli D 2-258.9 1165 807 63.40% 19.35% 17.25%+1.32 -4.5 40
1995-05-14 Pambiqci Neftcala W 6-230.7 1131 596 81.70% 17.12% 1.18%+3.06 +2.1 38
1995-05-14 @ Neftchi Baku L 2-630.7 596 1131 1.18% 17.12% 81.70%-3.06 -2.1 16
1995-05-14 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga W 3-030.2 935 841 67.72% 19.50% 12.78%+0.89 +23.5 31
1995-05-14 @ Qarabag L 0-330.2 841 935 12.78% 19.50% 67.72%-0.89 -23.5 22
1995-05-14 Khazri Buzovna W 3-240.8 1139 918 74.44% 19.04% 6.52%+1.52 +4.1 39
1995-05-14 @ Turan Tovuz L 2-340.8 918 1139 6.52% 19.04% 74.44%-1.52 -4.1 25
1995-05-21 Inshaatchi Baku D 3-362.8 818 552 76.03% 18.83% 5.14%+1.74 -6.2 23
1995-05-21 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga D 3-362.8 552 818 5.14% 18.83% 76.03%-1.74 +6.2 11
1995-05-21 Pambygchi Barda W 5-128.4 1161 585 82.25% 16.80% 0.95%+3.26 +1.9 42
1995-05-21 @ Kapaz L 1-528.4 585 1161 0.95% 16.80% 82.25%-3.26 -1.9 12
1995-05-21 Khazar Sumqayit W 5-024.7 914 476 80.17% 17.81% 2.02%+2.58 +6.2 27
1995-05-21 @ Khazri Buzovna L 0-524.7 476 914 2.02% 17.81% 80.17%-2.58 -6.2 7
1995-05-21 Turan Tovuz D 1-154.2 940 1143 34.24% 19.72% 46.04%-0.57 +1.4 30
1995-05-21 @ Kur-Nur D 1-154.2 1143 940 46.04% 19.72% 34.24%+0.57 -1.4 40
1995-05-21 Qarabag D 2-258.9 594 958 16.74% 19.33% 63.93%-1.35 +4.6 17
1995-05-21 @ Pambiqci Neftcala D 2-258.9 958 594 63.93% 19.33% 16.74%+1.35 -4.6 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-02-19 9.56% @ Pambiqci Neftcala 661 1 Turan Tovuz 1136 0
2 1995-04-09 13.10% Pambygchi Barda 511 1 @ Inshaatchi Baku 600 0
3 1995-05-10 14.89% @ Masalli 775 3 Neftchi Baku 1163 2
4 1995-05-07 14.98% @ Pambygchi Barda 486 3 Masalli 873 0
5 1994-10-16 15.97% Masalli 775 2 @ Inshaatchi Baku 824 0
6 1994-09-25 16.16% Inshaatchi Baku 698 4 @ Khazar Sumqayit 744 0
7 1994-08-21 24.14% Khazri Buzovna 786 3 @ Pambygchi Barda 749 1
8 1994-10-30 27.67% Kur-Nur 825 2 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 757 1
9 1994-11-20 29.28% Khazri Buzovna 783 2 @ Inshaatchi Baku 701 1
10 1995-04-08 30.08% Kapaz 1107 2 @ Qarabag 1019 0
11 1994-11-06 30.33% Qarabag 918 3 @ Khazri Buzovna 828 1
12 1994-10-19 35.86% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 787 4 @ Pambygchi Barda 655 0
13 1995-04-02 38.61% @ Khazri Buzovna 778 4 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 950 0
14 1995-03-05 39.13% Masalli 853 1 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 698 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-09-25 126.34 Inshaatchi Baku 4 698 16.16% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 744 64.22% 19.62%
2 1995-05-07 98.81 @ Pambygchi Barda 3 486 14.98% Masalli 0 873 65.78% 19.24%
3 1994-10-19 89.29 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 4 787 35.86% @ Pambygchi Barda 0 655 44.36% 19.78%
4 1995-04-02 84.67 @ Khazri Buzovna 4 778 38.61% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 0 950 41.63% 19.76%
5 1994-12-04 81.40 Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 5 906 49.60% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 675 30.72% 19.68%
6 1994-10-20 74.31 Neftchi Baku 10 1016 67.78% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 602 13.08% 19.14%
7 1994-10-16 66.80 Masalli 2 775 15.97% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 824 64.42% 19.61%
8 1994-11-27 60.41 Turan Tovuz 4 1066 52.74% @ Khazri Buzovna 0 810 27.62% 19.63%
9 1995-04-09 58.22 Khazri Buzovna 3 862 43.80% @ Pambiqci Neftcala 0 675 36.46% 19.74%
10 1995-04-30 54.96 @ Khazar Sumqayit 3 424 46.26% Pambygchi Barda 0 541 33.95% 19.79%
11 1995-04-08 52.38 Kapaz 2 1107 30.08% @ Qarabag 0 1019 50.13% 19.79%
12 1994-08-21 50.37 Khazri Buzovna 3 786 24.14% @ Pambygchi Barda 1 749 56.11% 19.75%
13 1994-10-16 48.47 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 4 727 58.99% Khazar Lankaran 0 737 21.28% 19.72%
14 1994-11-06 45.15 Qarabag 3 918 30.33% @ Khazri Buzovna 1 828 49.88% 19.79%
15 1995-02-26 41.36 Kur-Nur 3 845 56.20% @ Pambygchi Barda 0 559 24.24% 19.56%
16 1994-11-09 41.09 Neftchi Baku 5 1142 66.73% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 743 14.07% 19.19%
17 1995-02-19 39.45 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 1 661 9.56% Turan Tovuz 0 1136 71.58% 18.86%
18 1994-11-06 37.86 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 6 859 70.01% Pambiqci Neftcala 0 730 10.59% 19.39%
19 1994-08-07 37.67 @ Kur-Nur 3 785 58.61% Khazar Sumqayit 0 799 21.66% 19.73%
20 1995-04-09 37.15 Pambygchi Barda 1 511 13.10% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 600 67.38% 19.52%
21 1995-02-12 36.09 @ Inshaatchi Baku 2 593 48.17% Pambiqci Neftcala 0 697 32.04% 19.79%
22 1995-05-07 33.98 @ Kur-Nur 2 883 50.42% Qarabag 0 969 29.80% 19.79%
23 1995-05-10 32.32 @ Masalli 3 775 14.89% Neftchi Baku 2 1163 65.87% 19.24%
24 1995-03-05 32.06 Kapaz 4 1064 42.33% @ Kur-Nur 2 887 37.92% 19.75%
25 1994-12-04 29.98 Khazri Buzovna 2 749 54.67% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 477 25.73% 19.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-05-21 62.8 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 3 818 76.03% Inshaatchi Baku 3 552 5.14% 18.83%
2 1995-02-26 62.6 @ Khazar Sumqayit 3 434 26.48% Pambiqci Neftcala 3 700 53.90% 19.61%
3 1995-05-14 58.9 @ Masalli 2 807 17.25% Kapaz 2 1165 63.40% 19.35%
4 1995-05-21 58.9 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 2 594 16.74% Qarabag 2 958 63.93% 19.33%
5 1994-10-16 58.8 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 2 790 53.87% Khazri Buzovna 2 847 26.36% 19.77%
6 1995-05-10 58.7 @ Masalli 3 775 14.89% Neftchi Baku 2 1163 65.87% 19.24%
7 1994-08-07 54.2 @ Khazar Lankaran 1 788 64.09% Pambygchi Barda 1 742 16.28% 19.62%
8 1994-08-28 54.2 @ Khazri Buzovna 1 837 51.28% Kapaz 1 915 28.94% 19.78%
9 1994-09-18 54.2 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 1 805 43.98% Kapaz 1 939 36.24% 19.78%
10 1994-11-06 54.2 @ Khazar Lankaran 1 683 53.97% Inshaatchi Baku 1 739 26.26% 19.77%
11 1995-02-12 54.2 @ Masalli 1 851 66.19% Khazri Buzovna 1 779 14.25% 19.56%
12 1995-03-12 54.2 @ Pambygchi Barda 1 517 40.70% Pambiqci Neftcala 1 674 39.53% 19.77%
13 1995-04-30 54.2 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 1 592 26.33% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 1 859 54.06% 19.61%
14 1995-05-21 54.2 @ Kur-Nur 1 940 34.24% Turan Tovuz 1 1143 46.04% 19.72%
15 1995-02-19 51.5 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 1 661 9.56% Turan Tovuz 0 1136 71.58% 18.86%
16 1995-05-07 50.9 @ Khazri Buzovna 0 930 78.78% Inshaatchi Baku 0 563 2.95% 18.26%
17 1994-11-27 50.7 @ Pambiqci Neftcala 0 692 8.91% Neftchi Baku 0 1180 72.30% 18.79%
18 1994-11-23 50.6 @ Neftchi Baku 0 1190 71.06% Kapaz 0 1042 9.61% 19.33%
19 1994-10-30 50.5 Kur-Nur 2 825 27.67% @ Pambiqci Neftcala 1 757 52.56% 19.78%
20 1995-02-12 50.5 @ Qarabag 0 986 36.82% Neftchi Baku 0 1171 43.44% 19.75%
21 1995-04-09 50.5 Pambygchi Barda 1 511 13.10% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 600 67.38% 19.52%
22 1995-04-15 50.5 @ Khazri Buzovna 0 920 31.70% Neftchi Baku 0 1144 48.61% 19.69%
23 1995-04-30 50.5 @ Qarabag 0 976 64.73% Khazri Buzovna 0 923 15.66% 19.61%
24 1994-08-07 50.4 @ Khazri Buzovna 0 792 58.76% Masalli 0 804 21.51% 19.72%
25 1994-09-25 50.4 @ Khazar Lankaran 0 741 53.24% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 0 804 26.98% 19.77%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-04-18 24.0 @ Neftchi Baku 6 1141 82.53% Pambygchi Barda 0 544 0.84% 16.63%
2 1994-11-23 24.1 @ Turan Tovuz 5 1063 82.35% Khazar Sumqayit 0 480 0.91% 16.74%
3 1995-03-05 24.1 @ Neftchi Baku 4 1155 83.94% Khazar Sumqayit 0 436 0.43% 15.63%
4 1995-05-21 24.7 @ Khazri Buzovna 5 914 80.17% Khazar Sumqayit 0 476 2.02% 17.81%
5 1995-05-10 25.0 @ Kapaz 10 1163 83.57% Khazar Sumqayit 1 479 0.52% 15.91%
6 1995-02-19 25.9 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 3 980 81.83% Khazar Sumqayit 0 436 1.12% 17.05%
7 1994-11-20 26.2 @ Masalli 5 831 75.48% Pambygchi Barda 0 581 5.61% 18.91%
8 1994-10-16 27.5 @ Qarabag 3 944 76.48% Pambygchi Barda 0 665 4.76% 18.76%
9 1994-10-30 27.5 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1118 76.51% Khazri Buzovna 0 837 4.74% 18.75%
10 1994-11-06 27.7 @ Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 6 859 70.01% Pambiqci Neftcala 0 730 10.59% 19.39%
11 1994-09-18 27.8 @ Neftchi Baku 4 954 71.56% Masalli 0 796 9.14% 19.29%
12 1994-11-20 28.1 Kapaz 3 1028 74.52% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 493 6.94% 18.54%
13 1995-04-12 28.2 @ Kur-Nur 7 870 75.63% Pambiqci Neftcala 1 616 5.48% 18.89%
14 1995-05-21 28.4 @ Kapaz 5 1161 82.25% Pambygchi Barda 1 585 0.95% 16.80%
15 1994-11-09 28.8 Neftchi Baku 5 1142 66.73% @ Inshaatchi Baku 0 743 14.07% 19.19%
16 1994-10-20 29.2 Neftchi Baku 10 1016 67.78% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 602 13.08% 19.14%
17 1994-11-20 29.5 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1183 76.08% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 0 916 5.10% 18.82%
18 1995-04-18 29.5 Kapaz 2 1172 75.94% @ Pambiqci Neftcala 0 600 5.73% 18.33%
19 1994-10-30 30.0 @ Turan Tovuz 1 1078 81.37% Pambygchi Barda 0 566 1.34% 17.29%
20 1994-11-27 30.2 @ Kapaz 2 1051 73.69% Masalli 0 848 7.20% 19.12%
21 1995-05-14 30.2 @ Qarabag 3 935 67.72% Baku Fahlasi Mashtaga 0 841 12.78% 19.50%
22 1994-08-28 30.3 @ Qarabag 2 927 73.43% Inshaatchi Baku 0 730 7.43% 19.14%
23 1995-05-14 30.7 @ Neftchi Baku 6 1131 81.70% Pambiqci Neftcala 2 596 1.18% 17.12%
24 1994-09-25 30.8 @ Kapaz 5 940 74.19% Pambiqci Neftcala 1 725 6.75% 19.06%
25 1994-10-23 30.9 Neftchi Baku 3 1090 65.18% @ Khazar Lankaran 0 711 15.55% 19.27%