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1998-99 Azerbaijan Top League Season

224 games

Final

Champion

Kapaz

58 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1997-98

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Masalli

9.76 points above expected

46 points · 36.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shafa Baku

11.21 points below expected

14 points · 25.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kapaz Champion 26 18 4 4 58 74 17 +57 57.20 +0.80
2 Qarabag 26 17 3 6 54 45 21 +24 46.87 +7.13
3 Neftchi Baku 26 15 7 4 52 54 18 +36 45.09 +6.91
4 Dinamo Baku 26 16 4 6 52 42 16 +26 50.10 +1.90
5 Baku Fahlasi 26 15 5 6 50 41 26 +15 47.37 +2.63
6 Shamkir 26 16 2 8 50 37 22 +15 46.95 +3.05
7 Turan Tovuz 26 14 7 5 49 39 21 +18 39.30 +9.70
8 Masalli 26 14 4 8 46 39 25 +14 36.24 +9.76
9 Bakili Baku 26 7 7 12 28 18 27 -9 27.82 +0.18
10 MOIK Baku 26 6 8 12 26 21 30 -9 33.36 -7.36
11 Khazar Sumqayit 26 5 1 20 16 20 64 -44 21.47 -5.47
12 Shafa Baku 26 3 5 18 14 25 55 -30 25.21 -11.21
13 Nefteqaz Baku 26 2 4 20 10 19 79 -60 17.63 -7.63
14 Neftqaz Baku 26 2 3 21 9 15 68 -53 16.61 -7.61
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kapaz 10 8 1 1 25 17 7 +10 75.44 -50.44
2 Shamkir 10 5 1 4 16 10 10 0 62.03 -46.03
3 Neftchi Baku 10 4 3 3 15 11 7 +4 67.05 -52.05
4 Qarabag 10 3 3 4 12 5 8 -3 67.23 -55.23
5 Shafa Baku 4 3 1 0 10 12 3 +9 10.66 -0.66
6 Baku Fahlasi 10 2 3 5 9 5 8 -3 61.49 -52.49
7 Dinamo Baku 10 2 1 7 7 6 14 -8 66.28 -59.28
8 MOIK Baku 4 1 3 0 6 5 4 +1 — —
9 Turan Tovuz 3 1 2 0 5 8 6 +2 — —
10 Khazar Sumqayit 4 1 2 1 5 9 9 0 6.70 -1.70
11 Masalli 4 0 3 1 3 10 12 -2 — —
12 Neftqaz Baku 4 0 1 3 1 3 12 -9 7.66 -6.66
13 Bakili Baku 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -1 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Masalli 46 36.24 +9.76
2 Turan Tovuz 49 39.30 +9.70
3 Qarabag 54 46.87 +7.13
4 Neftchi Baku 52 45.09 +6.91
5 Shamkir 50 46.95 +3.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shafa Baku 14 25.21 -11.21
2 Nefteqaz Baku 10 17.63 -7.63
3 Neftqaz Baku 9 16.61 -7.61
4 MOIK Baku 26 33.36 -7.36
5 Khazar Sumqayit 16 21.47 -5.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Turan Tovuz 5 Aug 22 – Sep 23 1 in 112
2 Bakili Baku 2 Sep 23 – Sep 26 1 in 43
3 Masalli 5 Nov 21 – Jan 30 1 in 32
4 Shamkir 4 Oct 17 – Nov 1 1 in 26
5 Baku Fahlasi 6 Feb 13 – Mar 20 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neftqaz Baku 13 Sep 26 – Dec 9 1 in 272
2 Khazar Sumqayit 10 Dec 5 – Mar 20 1 in 56
3 Nefteqaz Baku 5 Aug 15 – Sep 19 1 in 31
4 Kapaz 1 Sep 23 – Sep 23 1 in 15
5 Shafa Baku 4 Aug 15 – Sep 20 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Turan Tovuz 10 Aug 22 – Oct 28 1 in 684
2 Neftchi Baku 12 Nov 21 – Mar 20 1 in 19
3 Neftqaz Baku 3 Jan 30 – Feb 7 1 in 12
4 Masalli 6 Nov 21 – Feb 3 1 in 7
5 Qarabag 8 Sep 23 – Nov 7 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neftqaz Baku 20 Aug 15 – Feb 3 1 in 60
2 Shafa Baku 10 Dec 1 – Feb 24 1 in 33
3 Bakili Baku 9 Oct 4 – Dec 5 1 in 21
4 Shamkir 3 Sep 23 – Oct 3 1 in 16
5 Kapaz 2 Sep 23 – Oct 4 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Kapaz 1192 80 -15 12 10.4 +1.6
Neftchi Baku 1148 64 +71 8 7.9 +0.1
Qarabag 1029 63 +50 8 6.2 +1.8
Shamkir 1041 57 +24 9 6.2 +2.8
Dinamo Baku 961 56 -63 3 5.6 -2.6
Baku Fahlasi 955 50 -68 2 5.4 -3.4
Masalli 945 49 -30 6 9.3 -3.3
Turan Tovuz 979 48 +26 8 8.4 -0.4
MOIK Baku 777 29 +6 6 5.5 +0.5
Bakili Baku 707 25 -15 4 4.6 -0.6
Shafa Baku 750 24 +95 10 8.2 +1.8
Khazar Sumqayit 518 21 +14 5 4.4 +0.6
Neftqaz Baku 412 10 -91 4 5.1 -1.1
Nefteqaz Baku 563 10 -28 2 4.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BB BF DB KAP KS MB MAS NB NB NB QAR SB SHA TT
Bakili Baku —
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
0.65
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.23
1-1-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
1.18
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.21
0-1-1
2.02
Baku Fahlasi
1-1-0
3.95
—
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.41
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
4.09
0-1-1
3.90
0-2-0
2.13
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.22
1-1-0
2.18
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
2.42
2-0-0
3.47
Dinamo Baku
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
3.60
—
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
4.90
0-2-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
4.98
2-0-0
4.49
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
3.20
0-1-1
4.05
Kapaz
1-0-1
5.00
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.09
—
2-0-0
5.22
1-1-0
4.61
1-0-1
4.41
2-0-0
3.85
2-0-0
5.14
2-0-0
5.19
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
3.75
0-2-0
4.45
Khazar Sumqayit
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
0.73
0-0-2
0.47
—
0-1-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.70
0-0-2
0.96
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
1.05
0-0-2
2.19
MOIK Baku
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
1.49
0-2-0
1.54
0-1-1
0.99
1-1-0
3.68
—
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-0
4.07
1-0-1
4.38
0-0-2
1.64
0-2-0
3.60
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.60
Masalli
1-0-1
3.70
1-1-0
1.68
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
1.18
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.27
—
0-1-1
1.84
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.78
1-0-1
1.70
1-1-0
4.15
1-0-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.53
Neftchi Baku
1-1-0
4.36
0-2-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.73
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.73
—
2-0-0
4.65
2-0-0
4.36
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
4.31
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.49
Nefteqaz Baku
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
0.66
0-0-2
0.53
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
0.97
—
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
0.83
1-1-0
2.11
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
2.35
Neftqaz Baku
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
0.49
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
1.21
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.24
0-2-0
2.46
—
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
0.72
0-0-2
1.13
Qarabag
1-1-0
4.41
0-1-1
3.38
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.92
2-0-0
4.68
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.62
—
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.46
Shafa Baku
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
3.66
0-2-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.80
0-0-2
1.04
—
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
1.19
Shamkir
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
4.57
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
3.84
0-1-1
2.60
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.93
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.88
—
0-1-1
3.52
Turan Tovuz
1-1-0
3.54
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
1.52
0-2-0
1.14
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.08
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
4.49
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
4.40
1-1-0
2.04
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +9.6
Allowed 0.84 -7.8
Differential 0.93 +5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.59%9.15%7.81%3.57%2.01%2.90%33.04%
19.15%6.70%4.24%3.35%1.12%0.89%25.45%
27.81%4.24%4.91%1.34%0.22%0.22%18.75%
33.57%3.35%1.34%——0.22%8.48%
42.01%1.12%0.22%———3.35%
5+2.90%0.89%0.22%0.22%—6.70%10.94%
Total33.04%25.45%18.75%8.48%3.35%10.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.45
CV 1.35 1.35 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min -1 -1 -11

Games Played: 224

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%22.22%———44.44%
111.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
2—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+—————11.11%11.11%
Total29.63%22.22%29.63%7.41%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 0.93 -0.37
SD 1.01 1.17 1.28
CV 1.82 1.27 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%8.33%———30.56%
111.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
3———————
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+—5.56%———8.33%13.89%
Total30.56%36.11%19.44%2.78%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.86 +0.33
SD 1.69 1.10 1.84
CV 1.41 1.28 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
111.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
213.89%2.78%————16.67%
38.33%—2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%———5.56%11.11%
Total44.44%25.00%16.67%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.78 +0.50
SD 1.50 1.07 1.92
CV 1.18 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
111.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
213.89%2.78%————16.67%
38.33%11.11%————19.44%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+11.11%2.78%2.78%——2.78%19.44%
Total50.00%33.33%8.33%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.64 +1.86
SD 2.43 0.90 2.70
CV 0.97 1.41 —
Max 11 3 +10
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%10.00%10.00%10.00%16.67%56.67%
13.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
2——6.67%———6.67%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
4———————
5+3.33%——3.33%—10.00%16.67%
Total10.00%10.00%26.67%16.67%10.00%26.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 2.33 -1.47
SD 1.93 1.99 2.84
CV 2.22 0.85 —
Max 8 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
13.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%—26.67%
210.00%3.33%10.00%———23.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—————6.67%6.67%
Total40.00%10.00%30.00%10.00%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.07 -0.27
SD 1.10 1.31 1.55
CV 1.37 1.23 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
116.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
23.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%——23.33%
316.67%3.33%3.33%———23.33%
4———————
5+—————3.33%3.33%
Total40.00%20.00%26.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.23 +0.40
SD 1.38 1.38 1.67
CV 0.84 1.12 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%2.78%———27.78%
113.89%8.33%—2.78%——25.00%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+8.33%————2.78%11.11%
Total47.22%36.11%8.33%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.67 +1.11
SD 2.23 0.89 2.46
CV 1.25 1.34 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%7.69%15.38%34.62%
1—11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—————3.85%3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—————19.23%19.23%
Total3.85%23.08%11.54%7.69%11.54%42.31%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.54 2.85 -2.31
SD 1.24 3.52 3.51
CV 2.30 1.24 —
Max 4 11 +4
Min -1 -1 -11

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%13.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%53.33%
1—10.00%6.67%10.00%—6.67%33.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total3.33%26.67%23.33%20.00%13.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 2.67 -2.07
SD 0.72 1.75 2.03
CV 1.21 0.66 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
116.67%—————16.67%
28.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%————5.56%8.33%
Total50.00%22.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.75 +0.58
SD 1.49 1.18 1.89
CV 1.12 1.57 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%13.33%6.67%—6.67%40.00%
1—6.67%16.67%—3.33%—26.67%
23.33%—10.00%——3.33%16.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%23.33%40.00%6.67%3.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.93 -0.70
SD 1.41 1.60 2.51
CV 1.14 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
113.89%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—25.00%
216.67%2.78%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—————11.11%11.11%
Total36.11%30.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.78 +0.42
SD 1.37 1.22 1.66
CV 1.15 1.57 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%6.90%3.45%———20.69%
110.34%13.79%—3.45%—3.45%31.03%
217.24%10.34%3.45%———31.03%
3———————
4———————
5+6.90%————10.34%17.24%
Total44.83%31.03%6.90%3.45%—13.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.86 +0.69
SD 2.01 1.55 2.22
CV 1.30 1.80 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 29

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kapaz 1192 58 57.20 +0.80 55.0% 37 48 54 57 62 65 67
Neftchi Baku 1148 52 45.09 +6.91 89.0% 31 35 40 46 50 55 57
Shamkir 1041 50 46.95 +3.05 69.0% 32 37 43 47 51 56 58
Qarabag 1029 54 46.87 +7.13 93.0% 32 38 43 47 50 55 63
Turan Tovuz 979 49 39.30 +9.70 98.0% 27 30 35 39 43 48 52
Dinamo Baku 961 52 50.10 +1.90 60.0% 34 38 46 50 55 60 61
Baku Fahlasi 955 50 47.37 +2.63 73.0% 32 38 44 47 51 58 64
Masalli 945 46 36.24 +9.76 96.0% 22 26 33 35 40 45 49
MOIK Baku 777 26 33.36 -7.36 11.0% 20 25 30 33 37 42 46
Shafa Baku 750 14 25.21 -11.21 4.0% 8 17 22 25 29 34 38
Bakili Baku 707 28 27.82 +0.18 58.0% 14 21 24 27 31 37 42
Nefteqaz Baku 563 10 17.63 -7.63 9.0% 6 10 14 18 21 27 34
Khazar Sumqayit 518 16 21.47 -5.47 16.0% 9 12 18 21 25 30 32
Neftqaz Baku 412 9 16.61 -7.61 8.0% 4 8 13 17 20 24 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.89%
Strong Edge
53.12%19.64%27.23%
Elo Value
Home Edge
160 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
075.62500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Kapaz, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.43 * Some Luck: 4.43 to 6.65 * Lucky: 6.65 to 8.87 * Wild Swing: 8.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1 * Close: 1 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.99 * Way Off: 1.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.73 points
Lucky
05.5414
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Close
01.252.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Turan Tovuz
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Shafa Baku
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 226.38
2.66
Wide Separation
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
89%
Wide Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Some Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.39
Very Underconfident
0.4944981.001.5055
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Kapaz64.00%27.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%———1.00%—————
Qarabag5.00%12.00%21.00%18.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%————
Neftchi Baku5.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%15.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%1.00%—————
Dinamo Baku17.00%20.00%22.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%—1.00%—————
Baku Fahlasi5.00%14.00%20.00%14.00%19.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%—————
Shamkir4.00%16.00%15.00%26.00%15.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Turan Tovuz——3.00%6.00%11.00%19.00%27.00%21.00%9.00%4.00%————
Masalli——1.00%3.00%4.00%12.00%17.00%27.00%21.00%10.00%5.00%———
Bakili Baku————1.00%—3.00%5.00%20.00%35.00%19.00%13.00%3.00%1.00%
MOIK Baku———1.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%22.00%30.00%19.00%8.00%3.00%——
Khazar Sumqayit————————3.00%10.00%20.00%32.00%24.00%11.00%
Shafa Baku——————1.00%4.00%10.00%18.00%31.00%17.00%14.00%5.00%
Nefteqaz Baku————————1.00%1.00%10.00%16.00%32.00%40.00%
Neftqaz Baku———————1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%19.00%27.00%43.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Baku Fahlasi 100% —
Dinamo Baku 100% —
Kapaz 100% —
MOIK Baku 100% —
Masalli 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Shamkir 100% —
Turan Tovuz 100% —
Bakili Baku 99.00% 1.00%
Shafa Baku 92.00% 8.00%
Nefteqaz Baku 74.00% 26.00%
Neftqaz Baku 72.00% 28.00%
Khazar Sumqayit 63.00% 37.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Bakili Baku 100% —
Baku Fahlasi 100% —
Dinamo Baku 100% —
Kapaz 100% —
MOIK Baku 100% —
Masalli 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Shamkir 100% —
Turan Tovuz 100% —
Shafa Baku 89.80% 10.20%
Neftqaz Baku 67.99% 32.01%
Khazar Sumqayit 65.87% 34.13%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-08-15 MOIK Baku L 0-238.6 713 850 31.22% 22.14% 46.63%-0.38 -31.6 0
1998-08-15 @ Bakili Baku W 2-038.6 850 713 46.63% 22.14% 31.22%+0.38 +31.6 3
1998-08-15 Nefteqaz Baku W 8-340.5 767 793 46.44% 22.15% 31.41%+0.31 +46.4 3
1998-08-15 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 3-840.5 793 767 31.41% 22.15% 46.44%-0.31 -46.4 0
1998-08-15 Dinamo Baku L 0-236.4 824 1022 23.99% 21.87% 54.14%-0.76 -25.4 0
1998-08-15 @ Neftqaz Baku W 2-036.4 1022 824 54.14% 21.87% 23.99%+0.76 +25.4 3
1998-08-15 Shamkir L 0-239.6 824 937 34.43% 22.20% 43.37%-0.23 -34.1 0
1998-08-15 @ Shafa Baku W 2-039.6 937 824 43.37% 22.20% 34.43%+0.23 +34.1 3
1998-08-15 Baku Fahlasi L 0-238.1 758 909 29.42% 22.10% 48.48%-0.47 -30.1 0
1998-08-15 @ Turan Tovuz W 2-038.1 909 758 48.48% 22.10% 29.42%+0.47 +30.1 3
1998-08-16 Neftchi Baku W 2-031.4 1092 865 70.53% 19.91% 9.56%+1.89 +10.9 3
1998-08-16 @ Kapaz L 0-231.4 865 1092 9.56% 19.91% 70.53%-1.89 -10.9 0
1998-08-22 Masalli D 1-154.0 939 722 69.87% 20.06% 10.07%+1.83 -7.1 4
1998-08-22 @ Baku Fahlasi D 1-154.0 722 939 10.07% 20.06% 69.87%-1.83 +7.1 1
1998-08-22 Khazar Sumqayit W 1-044.9 681 813 31.85% 22.16% 46.00%-0.35 +22.8 3
1998-08-22 @ Bakili Baku L 0-144.9 813 681 46.00% 22.16% 31.85%+0.35 -22.8 3
1998-08-22 Dinamo Baku D 0-049.5 881 1047 27.59% 22.04% 50.37%-0.56 +2.8 4
1998-08-22 @ MOIK Baku D 0-049.5 1047 881 50.37% 22.04% 27.59%+0.56 -2.8 4
1998-08-22 Neftqaz Baku W 1-037.5 854 799 56.25% 21.75% 22.00%+0.82 +12.5 3
1998-08-22 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-137.5 799 854 22.00% 21.75% 56.25%-0.82 -12.5 0
1998-08-22 Shamkir W 1-042.2 903 971 40.76% 22.22% 37.01%+0.05 +19.2 3
1998-08-22 @ Qarabag L 0-142.2 971 903 37.01% 22.22% 40.76%-0.05 -19.2 3
1998-08-22 Turan Tovuz L 1-251.2 747 727 52.17% 21.97% 25.87%+0.59 -24.0 0
1998-08-22 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 2-151.2 727 747 25.87% 21.97% 52.17%-0.59 +24.0 3
1998-08-29 Neftchi Baku W 1-034.2 1044 866 67.23% 20.56% 12.22%+1.58 +7.3 7
1998-08-29 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-134.2 866 1044 12.22% 20.56% 67.23%-1.58 -7.3 3
1998-08-29 MOIK Baku D 0-049.5 790 884 37.08% 22.22% 40.70%-0.11 +0.4 4
1998-08-29 @ Khazar Sumqayit D 0-049.5 884 790 40.70% 22.22% 37.08%+0.11 -0.4 5
1998-08-29 Nefteqaz Baku W 3-035.9 729 723 50.59% 22.03% 27.38%+0.51 +41.2 4
1998-08-29 @ Masalli L 0-335.9 723 729 27.38% 22.03% 50.59%-0.51 -41.2 0
1998-08-29 Baku Fahlasi W 3-141.7 952 931 52.27% 21.96% 25.77%+0.60 +23.3 6
1998-08-29 @ Shamkir L 1-341.7 931 952 25.77% 21.96% 52.27%-0.60 -23.3 4
1998-08-29 Bakili Baku W 2-036.0 751 704 55.41% 21.80% 22.79%+0.77 +24.3 6
1998-08-29 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-236.0 704 751 22.79% 21.80% 55.41%-0.77 -24.3 3
1998-09-09 Qarabag W 1-045.6 770 922 29.27% 22.09% 48.64%-0.48 +24.0 7
1998-09-09 @ Masalli L 0-145.6 922 770 48.64% 22.09% 29.27%+0.48 -24.0 3
1998-09-09 Kapaz L 2-636.3 790 1103 13.91% 20.87% 65.22%-1.48 -21.0 0
1998-09-09 @ Shafa Baku W 6-236.3 1103 790 65.22% 20.87% 13.91%+1.48 +21.0 6
1998-09-12 Kapaz L 0-235.8 908 1124 22.10% 21.75% 56.14%-0.88 -23.7 4
1998-09-12 @ Baku Fahlasi W 2-035.8 1124 908 56.14% 21.75% 22.10%+0.88 +23.7 9
1998-09-12 Masalli W 1-044.1 680 794 34.22% 22.20% 43.59%-0.24 +21.8 6
1998-09-12 @ Bakili Baku L 0-144.1 794 680 43.59% 22.20% 34.22%+0.24 -21.8 7
1998-09-12 Turan Tovuz L 1-251.1 791 776 51.66% 21.99% 26.35%+0.57 -23.8 4
1998-09-12 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 2-151.1 776 791 26.35% 21.99% 51.66%-0.57 +23.8 9
1998-09-12 Neftchi Baku L 1-349.8 883 859 52.79% 21.94% 25.27%+0.62 -42.1 5
1998-09-12 @ MOIK Baku W 3-149.8 859 883 25.27% 21.94% 52.79%-0.62 +42.1 6
1998-09-12 Neftqaz Baku W 4-031.5 898 786 61.88% 21.28% 16.84%+1.17 +35.3 6
1998-09-12 @ Qarabag L 0-431.5 786 898 16.84% 21.28% 61.88%-1.17 -35.3 0
1998-09-12 Shamkir L 0-430.9 681 975 15.32% 21.08% 63.60%-1.36 -32.4 0
1998-09-12 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 4-030.9 975 681 63.60% 21.08% 15.32%+1.36 +32.4 9
1998-09-13 Dinamo Baku L 0-332.3 769 1052 16.13% 21.19% 62.68%-1.29 -26.0 0
1998-09-13 @ Shafa Baku W 3-032.3 1052 769 62.68% 21.19% 16.13%+1.29 +26.0 10
1998-09-19 Bakili Baku FW48.3 1007 702 74.82% 18.73% 6.45%+2.38 +0.0 12
1998-09-19 @ Shamkir FL48.3 702 1007 6.45% 18.73% 74.82%-2.38 +0.0 6
1998-09-19 Qarabag W 2-033.2 1078 934 64.62% 20.95% 14.43%+1.37 +16.1 13
1998-09-19 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-233.2 934 1078 14.43% 20.95% 64.62%-1.37 -16.1 6
1998-09-19 Nefteqaz Baku W 11-125.5 1148 649 82.26% 15.32% 2.42%+3.58 +9.6 12
1998-09-19 @ Kapaz L 1-1125.5 649 1148 2.42% 15.32% 82.26%-3.58 -9.6 0
1998-09-19 Khazar Sumqayit W 1-039.3 772 767 50.47% 22.03% 27.50%+0.50 +15.1 10
1998-09-19 @ Masalli L 0-139.3 767 772 27.50% 22.03% 50.47%-0.50 -15.1 4
1998-09-19 Baku Fahlasi L 0-436.2 751 884 31.63% 22.15% 46.22%-0.36 -60.5 0
1998-09-19 @ Neftqaz Baku W 4-036.2 884 751 46.22% 22.15% 31.63%+0.36 +60.5 7
1998-09-19 MOIK Baku W 1-041.1 800 841 44.37% 22.19% 33.44%+0.21 +17.7 12
1998-09-19 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-141.1 841 800 33.44% 22.19% 44.37%-0.21 -17.7 5
1998-09-20 Shafa Baku W 5-029.8 901 743 65.73% 20.79% 13.47%+1.46 +35.4 9
1998-09-20 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-529.8 743 901 13.47% 20.79% 65.73%-1.46 -35.4 0
1998-09-23 Dinamo Baku FW47.3 945 1094 29.70% 22.10% 48.20%-0.46 +0.0 10
1998-09-23 @ Baku Fahlasi FL47.3 1094 945 48.20% 22.10% 29.70%+0.46 +0.0 13
1998-09-23 Kapaz W 1-052.4 702 1157 6.84% 18.92% 74.24%-2.37 +35.7 9
1998-09-23 @ Bakili Baku L 0-152.4 1157 702 74.24% 18.92% 6.84%+2.37 -35.7 12
1998-09-23 Shamkir W 3-257.9 752 1007 18.38% 21.45% 60.18%-1.12 +26.1 7
1998-09-23 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 2-357.9 1007 752 60.18% 21.45% 18.38%+1.12 -26.1 12
1998-09-23 Shafa Baku D 0-049.8 824 707 62.24% 21.24% 16.52%+1.20 -5.9 6
1998-09-23 @ MOIK Baku D 0-049.8 707 824 16.52% 21.24% 62.24%-1.20 +5.9 1
1998-09-23 Neftchi Baku W 1-040.2 917 936 47.39% 22.13% 30.49%+0.35 +16.4 9
1998-09-23 @ Qarabag L 0-140.2 936 917 30.49% 22.13% 47.39%-0.35 -16.4 9
1998-09-23 Neftqaz Baku D 1-153.4 639 690 43.13% 22.20% 34.67%+0.15 -0.9 1
1998-09-23 @ Nefteqaz Baku D 1-153.4 690 639 34.67% 22.20% 43.13%-0.15 +0.9 1
1998-09-23 Masalli W 1-038.4 817 787 53.45% 21.91% 24.65%+0.66 +13.8 15
1998-09-23 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-138.4 787 817 24.65% 21.91% 53.45%-0.66 -13.8 10
1998-09-26 Bakili Baku L 0-340.8 691 737 43.78% 22.19% 34.03%+0.18 -60.0 1
1998-09-26 @ Neftqaz Baku W 3-040.8 737 691 34.03% 22.19% 43.78%-0.18 +60.0 12
1998-09-26 Turan Tovuz D 2-258.6 981 831 65.10% 20.88% 14.01%+1.41 -4.5 13
1998-09-26 @ Shamkir D 2-258.6 831 981 14.01% 20.88% 65.10%-1.41 +4.5 16
1998-09-30 Shafa Baku W 2-031.6 934 713 70.09% 20.01% 9.90%+1.85 +11.3 12
1998-09-30 @ Qarabag L 0-231.6 713 934 9.90% 20.01% 70.09%-1.85 -11.3 1
1998-10-03 Neftqaz Baku W 3-137.9 778 631 64.83% 20.92% 14.25%+1.39 +13.8 10
1998-10-03 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 1-337.9 631 778 14.25% 20.92% 64.83%-1.39 -13.8 1
1998-10-03 Shamkir W 3-044.0 773 977 23.40% 21.84% 54.76%-0.80 +73.0 13
1998-10-03 @ Masalli L 0-344.0 977 773 54.76% 21.84% 23.40%+0.80 -73.0 13
1998-10-03 Qarabag L 0-239.0 818 945 32.46% 22.17% 45.37%-0.32 -32.6 6
1998-10-03 @ MOIK Baku W 2-039.0 945 818 45.37% 22.17% 32.46%+0.32 +32.6 15
1998-10-04 Shafa Baku W 1-033.0 945 702 71.46% 19.69% 8.85%+1.99 +5.4 13
1998-10-04 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-133.0 702 945 8.85% 19.69% 71.46%-1.99 -5.4 1
1998-10-04 Dinamo Baku L 0-233.4 797 1094 15.09% 21.05% 63.86%-1.38 -16.8 12
1998-10-04 @ Bakili Baku W 2-033.4 1094 797 63.86% 21.05% 15.09%+1.38 +16.8 16
1998-10-04 Neftchi Baku L 1-436.8 639 920 16.23% 21.20% 62.57%-1.28 -22.1 1
1998-10-04 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 4-136.8 920 639 62.57% 21.20% 16.23%+1.28 +22.0 12
1998-10-04 Kapaz D 1-153.7 836 1122 15.88% 21.16% 62.96%-1.31 +5.5 17
1998-10-04 @ Turan Tovuz D 1-153.7 1122 836 62.96% 21.16% 15.88%+1.31 -5.5 13
1998-10-16 Khazar Sumqayit FW48.4 1111 792 75.45% 18.52% 6.04%+2.46 +0.0 19
1998-10-16 @ Dinamo Baku FL48.4 792 1111 6.04% 18.52% 75.45%-2.46 +0.0 10
1998-10-17 Bakili Baku D 0-049.9 942 780 66.01% 20.75% 13.24%+1.48 -6.9 13
1998-10-17 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-049.9 780 942 13.24% 20.75% 66.01%-1.48 +6.9 13
1998-10-17 Turan Tovuz L 1-241.9 617 841 21.33% 21.70% 56.97%-0.92 -11.5 1
1998-10-17 @ Neftqaz Baku W 2-141.9 841 617 56.97% 21.70% 21.33%+0.92 +11.5 20
1998-10-17 Baku Fahlasi D 2-258.3 978 950 53.12% 21.92% 24.96%+0.64 -2.3 16
1998-10-17 @ Qarabag D 2-258.3 950 978 24.96% 21.92% 53.12%-0.64 +2.3 14
1998-10-17 MOIK Baku W 2-033.9 904 785 62.45% 21.22% 16.33%+1.21 +18.1 16
1998-10-17 @ Shamkir L 0-233.9 785 904 16.33% 21.22% 62.45%-1.21 -18.1 6
1998-10-18 Masalli W 2-030.7 1116 846 72.97% 19.30% 7.74%+2.15 +8.8 16
1998-10-18 @ Kapaz L 0-230.7 846 1116 7.74% 19.30% 72.97%-2.15 -8.8 13
1998-10-18 Nefteqaz Baku L 1-253.1 697 617 58.85% 21.56% 19.59%+0.97 -26.9 1
1998-10-18 @ Shafa Baku W 2-153.1 617 697 19.59% 21.56% 58.85%-0.97 +26.9 4
1998-10-24 Neftchi Baku L 0-435.8 792 935 30.37% 22.12% 47.50%-0.42 -58.6 10
1998-10-24 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 4-035.8 935 792 47.50% 22.12% 30.37%+0.42 +58.6 16
1998-10-24 Neftqaz Baku W 1-033.2 838 606 70.79% 19.85% 9.36%+1.92 +5.6 16
1998-10-24 @ Masalli L 0-133.2 606 838 9.36% 19.85% 70.79%-1.92 -5.6 1
1998-10-24 Baku Fahlasi W 2-045.0 767 953 25.34% 21.94% 52.72%-0.69 +48.6 9
1998-10-24 @ MOIK Baku L 0-245.0 953 767 52.72% 21.94% 25.34%+0.69 -48.5 14
1998-10-24 Qarabag L 0-134.4 643 975 12.70% 20.65% 66.65%-1.60 -7.6 4
1998-10-24 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 1-034.4 975 643 66.65% 20.65% 12.70%+1.60 +7.6 19
1998-10-24 Kapaz W 2-045.6 922 1125 23.43% 21.84% 54.74%-0.80 +50.3 19
1998-10-24 @ Shamkir L 0-245.6 1125 922 54.74% 21.84% 23.43%+0.80 -50.3 16
1998-10-24 Dinamo Baku W 2-047.2 852 1111 18.14% 21.42% 60.44%-1.14 +55.2 23
1998-10-24 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-247.2 1111 852 60.44% 21.42% 18.14%+1.14 -55.2 19
1998-10-27 Masalli W 3-030.2 1055 843 69.56% 20.12% 10.32%+1.80 +17.0 22
1998-10-27 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-330.2 843 1055 10.32% 20.12% 69.56%-1.80 -17.0 16
1998-10-28 Nefteqaz Baku FW48.1 904 636 72.89% 19.32% 7.79%+2.15 +0.0 17
1998-10-28 @ Baku Fahlasi FL48.1 636 904 7.79% 19.32% 72.89%-2.15 +0.0 4
1998-10-28 MOIK Baku W 3-029.3 1075 816 72.38% 19.46% 8.16%+2.09 +13.5 19
1998-10-28 @ Kapaz L 0-329.3 816 1075 8.16% 19.46% 72.38%-2.09 -13.5 9
1998-10-28 Turan Tovuz D 1-153.6 994 908 59.43% 21.51% 19.06%+1.01 -4.6 17
1998-10-28 @ Neftchi Baku D 1-153.6 908 994 19.06% 21.51% 59.43%-1.01 +4.6 24
1998-10-28 Shamkir L 0-231.8 600 972 10.42% 20.15% 69.43%-1.85 -11.9 1
1998-10-28 @ Neftqaz Baku W 2-031.8 972 600 69.43% 20.15% 10.42%+1.85 +11.8 22
1998-10-28 Bakili Baku W 2-032.1 983 787 68.46% 20.34% 11.20%+1.69 +12.7 22
1998-10-28 @ Qarabag L 0-232.1 787 983 11.20% 20.34% 68.46%-1.69 -12.7 13
1998-10-31 Baku Fahlasi D 1-153.4 775 904 32.18% 22.16% 45.66%-0.34 +1.4 14
1998-10-31 @ Bakili Baku D 1-153.4 904 775 45.66% 22.16% 32.18%+0.34 -1.4 18
1998-10-31 Neftqaz Baku W 7-024.7 1088 588 82.29% 15.30% 2.41%+3.59 +8.2 22
1998-10-31 @ Kapaz L 0-724.7 588 1088 2.41% 15.30% 82.29%-3.59 -8.2 1
1998-10-31 Qarabag L 0-332.8 733 996 17.78% 21.38% 60.84%-1.17 -28.4 10
1998-10-31 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-032.8 996 733 60.84% 21.38% 17.78%+1.17 +28.4 25
1998-10-31 Neftchi Baku D 2-258.2 826 989 27.97% 22.05% 49.98%-0.54 +1.8 17
1998-10-31 @ Masalli D 2-258.2 989 826 49.98% 22.05% 27.97%+0.54 -1.8 18
1998-10-31 Nefteqaz Baku W 4-030.1 802 636 66.35% 20.70% 12.95%+1.51 +27.7 12
1998-10-31 @ MOIK Baku L 0-430.1 636 802 12.95% 20.70% 66.35%-1.51 -27.7 4
1998-11-01 Dinamo Baku W 2-041.3 984 1072 37.78% 22.22% 39.99%-0.08 +38.4 25
1998-11-01 @ Shamkir L 0-241.3 1072 984 39.99% 22.22% 37.78%+0.08 -38.4 22
1998-11-07 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-032.0 903 705 68.62% 20.31% 11.08%+1.71 +12.6 21
1998-11-07 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-232.0 705 903 11.08% 20.31% 68.62%-1.71 -12.6 10
1998-11-07 Shamkir W 2-039.0 987 1022 45.29% 22.17% 32.54%+0.25 +32.6 21
1998-11-07 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-239.0 1022 987 32.54% 22.17% 45.29%-0.25 -32.6 25
1998-11-07 MOIK Baku L 1-241.1 580 830 18.89% 21.50% 59.62%-1.09 -10.3 1
1998-11-07 @ Neftqaz Baku W 2-141.1 830 580 59.62% 21.50% 18.89%+1.09 +10.3 15
1998-11-07 Turan Tovuz W 3-138.8 1024 912 61.85% 21.28% 16.87%+1.17 +16.1 28
1998-11-07 @ Qarabag L 1-338.8 912 1024 16.87% 21.28% 61.85%-1.17 -16.1 24
1998-11-07 Bakili Baku D 2-258.2 608 776 27.38% 22.03% 50.60%-0.58 +1.9 5
1998-11-07 @ Nefteqaz Baku D 2-258.2 776 608 50.60% 22.03% 27.38%+0.58 -1.9 15
1998-11-08 Kapaz D 1-153.4 1034 1096 41.52% 22.22% 36.26%+0.08 -0.5 23
1998-11-08 @ Dinamo Baku D 1-153.4 1096 1034 36.26% 22.22% 41.52%-0.08 +0.5 23
1998-11-08 Masalli D 2-258.2 670 828 28.55% 22.07% 49.38%-0.52 +1.7 2
1998-11-08 @ Shafa Baku D 2-258.2 828 670 49.38% 22.07% 28.55%+0.52 -1.7 18
1998-11-11 Nefteqaz Baku W 5-025.6 1034 610 79.75% 16.70% 3.55%+3.11 +9.1 26
1998-11-11 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-525.6 610 1034 3.55% 16.70% 79.75%-3.11 -9.1 5
1998-11-11 Qarabag W 3-034.2 1097 1040 56.42% 21.74% 21.84%+0.83 +34.0 26
1998-11-11 @ Kapaz L 0-334.2 1040 1097 21.84% 21.74% 56.42%-0.83 -34.0 28
1998-11-11 MOIK Baku W 2-144.6 826 840 48.07% 22.11% 29.82%+0.39 +15.2 21
1998-11-11 @ Masalli L 1-244.6 840 826 29.82% 22.11% 48.07%-0.39 -15.2 15
1998-11-11 Baku Fahlasi D 2-258.4 1020 915 61.21% 21.35% 17.45%+1.13 -3.8 22
1998-11-11 @ Neftchi Baku D 2-258.4 915 1020 17.45% 21.35% 61.21%-1.13 +3.8 22
1998-11-11 Shafa Baku L 0-437.5 570 672 35.94% 22.21% 41.85%-0.16 -67.0 1
1998-11-11 @ Neftqaz Baku W 4-037.5 672 570 41.85% 22.21% 35.94%+0.16 +67.0 5
1998-11-14 Turan Tovuz W 5-138.0 919 896 52.60% 21.95% 25.45%+0.61 +42.2 25
1998-11-14 @ Baku Fahlasi L 1-538.0 896 919 25.45% 21.95% 52.60%-0.61 -42.2 24
1998-11-14 Neftqaz Baku W 5-128.8 1043 503 83.49% 14.56% 1.96%+3.84 +3.2 29
1998-11-14 @ Dinamo Baku L 1-528.8 503 1043 1.96% 14.56% 83.49%-3.84 -3.2 1
1998-11-14 Bakili Baku D 0-049.6 825 774 55.77% 21.78% 22.45%+0.79 -4.2 16
1998-11-14 @ MOIK Baku D 0-049.6 774 825 22.45% 21.78% 55.77%-0.79 +4.2 16
1998-11-14 Kapaz L 1-344.3 1016 1131 34.15% 22.20% 43.66%-0.24 -29.4 22
1998-11-14 @ Neftchi Baku W 3-144.3 1131 1016 43.66% 22.20% 34.15%+0.24 +29.4 29
1998-11-14 Masalli W 3-137.5 1006 842 66.23% 20.72% 13.05%+1.50 +12.7 31
1998-11-14 @ Qarabag L 1-337.5 842 1006 13.05% 20.72% 66.23%-1.50 -12.7 21
1998-11-14 Khazar Sumqayit W 4-038.8 601 692 37.39% 22.22% 40.39%-0.10 +73.4 8
1998-11-14 @ Nefteqaz Baku L 0-438.8 692 601 40.39% 22.22% 37.39%+0.10 -73.4 10
1998-11-15 Shafa Baku W 1-032.8 990 739 71.94% 19.57% 8.49%+2.04 +5.1 28
1998-11-15 @ Shamkir L 0-132.8 739 990 8.49% 19.57% 71.94%-2.04 -5.1 5
1998-11-21 MOIK Baku D 1-154.1 1046 821 70.39% 19.94% 9.67%+1.88 -7.3 30
1998-11-21 @ Dinamo Baku D 1-154.1 821 1046 9.67% 19.94% 70.39%-1.88 +7.3 17
1998-11-21 Bakili Baku W 3-254.9 619 778 28.38% 22.06% 49.56%-0.52 +21.8 13
1998-11-21 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 2-354.9 778 619 49.56% 22.06% 28.38%+0.52 -21.8 16
1998-11-21 Baku Fahlasi W 1-044.9 829 961 31.80% 22.16% 46.05%-0.35 +22.9 24
1998-11-21 @ Masalli L 0-144.9 961 829 46.05% 22.16% 31.80%+0.35 -22.9 25
1998-11-21 Neftchi Baku L 0-229.9 500 987 5.84% 18.40% 75.76%-2.57 -6.6 1
1998-11-21 @ Neftqaz Baku W 2-029.9 987 500 75.76% 18.40% 5.84%+2.57 +6.6 25
1998-11-21 Qarabag W 3-249.4 995 1019 46.74% 22.14% 31.12%+0.32 +14.9 31
1998-11-21 @ Shamkir L 2-349.4 1019 995 31.12% 22.14% 46.74%-0.32 -14.9 31
1998-11-21 Nefteqaz Baku W 8-029.3 854 674 67.34% 20.54% 12.12%+1.59 +50.1 27
1998-11-21 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-829.3 674 854 12.12% 20.54% 67.34%-1.59 -50.1 8
1998-11-22 Shafa Baku W 6-025.4 1160 733 79.87% 16.64% 3.49%+3.14 +10.6 32
1998-11-22 @ Kapaz L 0-625.4 733 1160 3.49% 16.64% 79.87%-3.14 -10.6 5
1998-11-25 Shamkir W 1-042.3 938 1010 40.23% 22.22% 37.54%+0.03 +19.4 28
1998-11-25 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-142.3 1010 938 37.54% 22.22% 40.23%-0.03 -19.4 31
1998-11-25 Turan Tovuz D 0-049.5 757 904 29.87% 22.11% 48.02%-0.45 +2.2 17
1998-11-25 @ Bakili Baku D 0-049.5 904 757 48.02% 22.11% 29.87%+0.45 -2.2 28
1998-11-25 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-032.2 828 641 67.89% 20.44% 11.66%+1.64 +13.2 20
1998-11-25 @ MOIK Baku L 0-232.2 641 828 11.66% 20.44% 67.89%-1.64 -13.2 13
1998-11-25 Dinamo Baku W 1-041.3 993 1039 43.90% 22.19% 33.90%+0.19 +17.9 28
1998-11-25 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-141.3 1039 993 33.90% 22.19% 43.90%-0.19 -17.9 30
1998-11-25 Kapaz W 2-150.8 1004 1171 27.48% 22.03% 50.49%-0.57 +23.3 34
1998-11-25 @ Qarabag L 1-250.8 1171 1004 50.49% 22.03% 27.48%+0.57 -23.3 32
1998-11-25 Neftqaz Baku W 4-028.8 723 493 70.67% 19.88% 9.45%+1.91 +20.4 8
1998-11-25 @ Shafa Baku L 0-428.8 493 723 9.45% 19.88% 70.67%-1.91 -20.4 1
1998-11-25 Masalli L 1-340.2 624 852 20.96% 21.67% 57.37%-0.95 -19.6 8
1998-11-25 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 3-140.2 852 624 57.37% 21.67% 20.96%+0.95 +19.6 27
1998-11-28 Nefteqaz Baku FW48.7 990 605 78.32% 17.38% 4.31%+2.88 +0.0 34
1998-11-28 @ Shamkir FL48.7 605 990 4.31% 17.38% 78.32%-2.88 +0.0 8
1998-11-28 Khazar Sumqayit W 6-027.4 902 627 73.22% 19.22% 7.55%+2.18 +23.9 31
1998-11-28 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-627.4 627 902 7.55% 19.22% 73.22%-2.18 -23.9 13
1998-12-01 Khazar Sumqayit L 0-150.0 743 603 64.26% 21.00% 14.74%+1.34 -31.1 8
1998-12-01 @ Shafa Baku W 1-050.0 603 743 14.74% 21.00% 64.26%-1.34 +31.1 16
1998-12-04 Dinamo Baku W 2-143.8 1027 1021 50.64% 22.03% 27.34%+0.51 +14.2 37
1998-12-04 @ Qarabag L 1-243.8 1021 1027 27.34% 22.03% 50.64%-0.51 -14.1 30
1998-12-05 Neftqaz Baku W 7-126.9 958 473 81.83% 15.57% 2.59%+3.50 +6.4 31
1998-12-05 @ Baku Fahlasi L 1-726.9 473 958 2.59% 15.57% 81.83%-3.50 -6.4 1
1998-12-05 Shamkir L 0-235.3 759 990 20.55% 21.64% 57.81%-0.97 -22.2 17
1998-12-05 @ Bakili Baku W 2-035.3 990 759 57.81% 21.64% 20.55%+0.97 +22.2 37
1998-12-05 Masalli L 0-333.6 635 871 20.08% 21.60% 58.32%-1.00 -31.6 16
1998-12-05 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-033.6 871 635 58.32% 21.60% 20.08%+1.00 +31.6 30
1998-12-05 Turan Tovuz L 0-240.8 841 926 38.36% 22.22% 39.41%-0.06 -37.2 20
1998-12-05 @ MOIK Baku W 2-040.8 926 841 39.41% 22.22% 38.36%+0.06 +37.2 34
1998-12-05 Kapaz L 0-625.9 605 1148 4.40% 17.45% 78.14%-2.92 -13.6 8
1998-12-05 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 6-025.9 1148 605 78.14% 17.45% 4.40%+2.92 +13.6 35
1998-12-06 Neftchi Baku L 1-239.7 712 1011 14.89% 21.02% 64.09%-1.40 -8.3 8
1998-12-06 @ Shafa Baku W 2-139.7 1011 712 64.09% 21.02% 14.89%+1.40 +8.3 31
1998-12-08 Shafa Baku D 1-154.2 963 704 72.39% 19.45% 8.16%+2.09 -7.7 35
1998-12-08 @ Turan Tovuz D 1-154.2 704 963 8.16% 19.45% 72.39%-2.09 +7.7 9
1998-12-09 MOIK Baku FW47.9 1020 804 69.78% 20.07% 10.14%+1.82 +0.0 34
1998-12-09 @ Neftchi Baku FL47.9 804 1020 10.14% 20.07% 69.78%-1.82 +0.0 20
1998-12-09 Khazar Sumqayit W 5-024.3 1161 603 84.01% 14.22% 1.78%+3.96 +4.3 38
1998-12-09 @ Kapaz L 0-524.3 603 1161 1.78% 14.22% 84.01%-3.96 -4.3 16
1998-12-09 Qarabag L 0-130.6 466 1041 3.74% 16.88% 79.38%-3.12 -2.2 1
1998-12-09 @ Neftqaz Baku W 1-030.6 1041 466 79.38% 16.88% 3.74%+3.12 +2.2 40
1998-12-12 Shafa Baku W 2-143.1 737 711 52.86% 21.93% 25.21%+0.63 +13.2 20
1998-12-12 @ Bakili Baku L 1-243.1 711 737 25.21% 21.93% 52.86%-0.63 -13.2 9
1998-12-12 Baku Fahlasi W 4-134.9 1166 964 68.86% 20.26% 10.88%+1.73 +15.1 41
1998-12-12 @ Kapaz L 1-434.9 964 1166 10.88% 20.26% 68.86%-1.73 -15.1 31
1998-12-12 Bakili Baku W 2-033.0 903 750 65.34% 20.85% 13.81%+1.43 +15.5 33
1998-12-12 @ Masalli L 0-233.0 750 903 13.81% 20.85% 65.34%-1.43 -15.5 20
1998-12-15 Shafa Baku W 2-030.1 1007 698 74.94% 18.69% 6.37%+2.40 +7.2 33
1998-12-15 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-230.1 698 1007 6.37% 18.69% 74.94%-2.40 -7.2 9
1999-01-30 Khazar Sumqayit FW48.9 1013 599 79.40% 16.87% 3.73%+3.05 +0.0 40
1999-01-30 @ Shamkir FL48.9 599 1013 3.73% 16.87% 79.40%-3.05 +0.0 16
1999-01-30 Turan Tovuz W 1-040.9 918 955 45.04% 22.17% 32.79%+0.24 +17.4 36
1999-01-30 @ Masalli L 0-140.9 955 918 32.79% 22.17% 45.04%-0.24 -17.4 35
1999-01-30 Qarabag D 0-049.5 1020 1044 46.75% 22.14% 31.11%+0.32 -1.9 35
1999-01-30 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-049.5 1044 1020 31.11% 22.14% 46.75%-0.32 +1.9 41
1999-01-30 Nefteqaz Baku D 1-153.4 464 591 32.50% 22.17% 45.33%-0.32 +1.4 2
1999-01-30 @ Neftqaz Baku D 1-153.4 591 464 45.33% 22.17% 32.50%+0.32 -1.4 9
1999-01-30 MOIK Baku D 2-258.2 691 804 34.37% 22.20% 43.43%-0.23 +0.7 10
1999-01-30 @ Shafa Baku D 2-258.2 804 691 43.43% 22.20% 34.37%+0.23 -0.7 21
1999-01-31 Bakili Baku FW49.0 1181 734 80.56% 16.28% 3.16%+3.26 +0.0 44
1999-01-31 @ Kapaz FL49.0 734 1181 3.16% 16.28% 80.56%-3.26 +0.0 20
1999-01-31 Baku Fahlasi W 1-037.2 1014 949 57.28% 21.68% 21.04%+0.88 +12.0 36
1999-01-31 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-137.2 949 1014 21.04% 21.68% 57.28%-0.88 -12.0 31
1999-02-03 Shamkir FW47.3 938 1013 39.75% 22.22% 38.03%+0.00 +0.0 38
1999-02-03 @ Turan Tovuz FL47.3 1013 938 38.03% 22.22% 39.75%+0.00 +0.0 40
1999-02-03 Neftqaz Baku D 1-154.3 734 465 72.92% 19.31% 7.77%+2.15 -7.9 21
1999-02-03 @ Bakili Baku D 1-154.3 465 734 7.77% 19.31% 72.92%-2.15 +7.9 3
1999-02-03 Kapaz L 0-426.1 599 1181 3.61% 16.76% 79.63%-3.16 -7.5 16
1999-02-03 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 4-026.1 1181 599 79.63% 16.76% 3.61%+3.16 +7.5 47
1999-02-03 Masalli D 0-049.5 803 936 31.80% 22.16% 46.04%-0.35 +1.7 22
1999-02-03 @ MOIK Baku D 0-049.5 936 803 46.04% 22.16% 31.80%+0.35 -1.7 37
1999-02-03 Qarabag L 1-435.1 692 1046 11.40% 20.38% 68.22%-1.74 -15.8 10
1999-02-03 @ Shafa Baku W 4-135.1 1046 692 68.22% 20.38% 11.40%+1.74 +15.8 44
1999-02-04 Neftchi Baku D 0-049.5 937 1018 38.88% 22.23% 38.90%-0.03 +0.0 32
1999-02-04 @ Baku Fahlasi D 0-049.5 1018 937 38.90% 22.23% 38.88%+0.03 +0.0 36
1999-02-07 Turan Tovuz D 1-154.2 1188 938 71.90% 19.58% 8.52%+2.04 -7.6 48
1999-02-07 @ Kapaz D 1-154.2 938 1188 8.52% 19.58% 71.90%-2.04 +7.6 39
1999-02-07 Nefteqaz Baku W 11-025.9 1018 590 79.91% 16.62% 3.47%+3.14 +18.9 39
1999-02-07 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-1125.9 590 1018 3.47% 16.62% 79.91%-3.14 -18.9 9
1999-02-07 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-042.5 473 591 33.72% 22.19% 44.09%-0.26 +41.6 6
1999-02-07 @ Neftqaz Baku L 0-242.5 591 473 44.09% 22.19% 33.72%+0.26 -41.6 16
1999-02-07 Masalli W 1-036.8 1013 934 58.68% 21.57% 19.75%+0.96 +11.4 43
1999-02-07 @ Shamkir L 0-136.8 934 1013 19.75% 21.57% 58.68%-0.96 -11.4 37
1999-02-13 Bakili Baku W 2-136.6 1026 726 74.51% 18.83% 6.66%+2.34 +3.8 39
1999-02-13 @ Dinamo Baku L 1-236.6 726 1026 6.66% 18.83% 74.51%-2.34 -3.8 21
1999-02-13 MOIK Baku W 3-135.7 1061 805 72.23% 19.50% 8.28%+2.07 +8.2 47
1999-02-13 @ Qarabag L 1-335.7 805 1061 8.28% 19.50% 72.23%-2.07 -8.2 22
1999-02-13 Baku Fahlasi L 1-240.8 676 937 17.90% 21.40% 60.70%-1.16 -9.8 10
1999-02-13 @ Shafa Baku W 2-140.8 937 676 60.70% 21.40% 17.90%+1.16 +9.8 35
1999-02-17 Dinamo Baku L 0-132.1 571 1030 6.74% 18.87% 74.39%-2.39 -4.1 9
1999-02-17 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 1-032.1 1030 571 74.39% 18.87% 6.74%+2.39 +4.1 42
1999-02-21 Qarabag W 4-251.2 947 1070 33.07% 22.18% 44.76%-0.29 +32.6 38
1999-02-21 @ Baku Fahlasi L 2-451.2 1070 947 44.76% 22.18% 33.07%+0.29 -32.6 47
1999-02-21 Neftchi Baku L 1-337.8 723 1037 13.86% 20.86% 65.29%-1.49 -13.5 21
1999-02-21 @ Bakili Baku W 3-137.8 1037 723 65.29% 20.86% 13.86%+1.49 +13.5 42
1999-02-21 Dinamo Baku L 0-328.4 550 1034 5.93% 18.46% 75.61%-2.55 -9.8 16
1999-02-21 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-028.4 1034 550 75.61% 18.46% 5.93%+2.55 +9.8 45
1999-02-21 Kapaz W 3-045.6 923 1181 18.16% 21.42% 60.41%-1.14 +80.2 40
1999-02-21 @ Masalli L 0-345.6 1181 923 60.41% 21.42% 18.16%+1.14 -80.2 48
1999-02-21 Shamkir L 1-438.3 797 1024 20.99% 21.67% 57.33%-0.94 -27.7 22
1999-02-21 @ MOIK Baku W 4-138.3 1024 797 57.33% 21.67% 20.99%+0.94 +27.7 46
1999-02-21 Shafa Baku D 1-153.4 567 666 36.26% 22.22% 41.52%-0.15 +0.5 10
1999-02-21 @ Nefteqaz Baku D 1-153.4 666 567 41.52% 22.22% 36.26%+0.15 -0.5 11
1999-02-21 Neftqaz Baku W 1-030.4 945 515 80.00% 16.57% 3.43%+3.16 +2.0 42
1999-02-21 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-130.4 515 945 3.43% 16.57% 80.00%-3.16 -2.0 6
1999-02-24 Nefteqaz Baku FW49.2 1037 567 81.33% 15.86% 2.81%+3.40 +0.0 50
1999-02-24 @ Qarabag FL49.2 567 1037 2.81% 15.86% 81.33%-3.40 +0.0 10
1999-02-24 MOIK Baku W 2-138.1 979 769 69.43% 20.15% 10.42%+1.78 +5.9 41
1999-02-24 @ Baku Fahlasi L 1-238.1 769 979 10.42% 20.15% 69.43%-1.78 -5.9 22
1999-02-24 Turan Tovuz D 0-049.7 1043 947 60.39% 21.43% 18.18%+1.07 -5.4 46
1999-02-24 @ Dinamo Baku D 0-049.7 947 1043 18.18% 21.43% 60.39%-1.07 +5.4 43
1999-02-24 Shamkir W 1-037.8 1100 1052 55.55% 21.79% 22.66%+0.78 +12.8 51
1999-02-24 @ Kapaz L 0-137.8 1052 1100 22.66% 21.79% 55.55%-0.78 -12.8 46
1999-02-24 Khazar Sumqayit W 6-024.6 1050 540 82.62% 15.10% 2.28%+3.66 +6.7 45
1999-02-24 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-624.6 540 1050 2.28% 15.10% 82.62%-3.66 -6.7 16
1999-02-24 Masalli L 2-340.7 513 1003 5.76% 18.36% 75.89%-2.59 -3.1 6
1999-02-24 @ Neftqaz Baku W 3-240.7 1003 513 75.89% 18.36% 5.76%+2.59 +3.1 43
1999-02-24 Bakili Baku L 1-248.9 666 709 44.12% 22.19% 33.69%+0.20 -20.8 11
1999-02-24 @ Shafa Baku W 2-148.9 709 666 33.69% 22.19% 44.12%-0.20 +20.8 24
1999-02-27 Qarabag D 0-049.9 730 1037 14.34% 20.94% 64.72%-1.44 +6.6 25
1999-02-27 @ Bakili Baku D 0-049.9 1037 730 64.72% 20.94% 14.34%+1.44 -6.6 51
1999-02-27 Dinamo Baku L 2-353.8 1006 1038 45.67% 22.16% 32.17%+0.27 -20.3 43
1999-02-27 @ Masalli W 3-253.8 1038 1006 32.17% 22.16% 45.67%-0.27 +20.3 49
1999-02-27 Kapaz D 0-050.0 763 1113 11.61% 20.43% 67.96%-1.71 +7.5 23
1999-02-27 @ MOIK Baku D 0-050.0 1113 763 67.96% 20.43% 11.61%+1.71 -7.5 52
1999-02-27 Neftqaz Baku W 3-026.1 1039 510 83.18% 14.76% 2.07%+3.77 +3.2 49
1999-02-27 @ Shamkir L 0-326.1 510 1039 2.07% 14.76% 83.18%-3.77 -3.2 6
1999-02-28 Shafa Baku L 1-344.4 533 645 34.56% 22.20% 43.24%-0.22 -29.7 16
1999-02-28 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-144.4 645 533 43.24% 22.20% 34.56%+0.22 +29.6 14
1999-02-28 Baku Fahlasi L 1-237.3 567 985 8.28% 19.50% 72.23%-2.14 -4.7 10
1999-02-28 @ Nefteqaz Baku W 2-137.3 985 567 72.23% 19.50% 8.28%+2.14 +4.7 44
1999-02-28 Neftchi Baku L 0-141.8 953 1057 35.60% 22.21% 42.19%-0.18 -18.6 43
1999-02-28 @ Turan Tovuz W 1-041.8 1057 953 42.19% 22.21% 35.60%+0.18 +18.6 48
1999-03-17 Bakili Baku W 1-032.8 990 736 72.07% 19.54% 8.39%+2.05 +5.1 47
1999-03-17 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-132.8 736 990 8.39% 19.54% 72.07%-2.05 -5.1 25
1999-03-17 Shamkir W 4-140.0 1058 1042 51.82% 21.98% 26.20%+0.57 +33.5 52
1999-03-17 @ Dinamo Baku L 1-440.0 1042 1058 26.20% 21.98% 51.82%-0.57 -33.5 49
1999-03-17 Masalli W 2-141.1 1075 986 59.79% 21.48% 18.73%+1.03 +10.2 51
1999-03-17 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-241.1 986 1075 18.73% 21.48% 59.79%-1.03 -10.2 43
1999-03-17 Kapaz L 1-333.3 507 1106 3.31% 16.45% 80.25%-3.27 -3.1 6
1999-03-17 @ Neftqaz Baku W 3-133.3 1106 507 80.25% 16.45% 3.31%+3.27 +3.1 55
1999-03-17 Khazar Sumqayit W 5-024.6 1030 503 83.11% 14.80% 2.09%+3.76 +5.2 54
1999-03-17 @ Qarabag L 0-524.6 503 1030 2.09% 14.80% 83.11%-3.76 -5.2 16
1999-03-17 Turan Tovuz L 0-234.4 674 934 18.01% 21.41% 60.59%-1.15 -19.8 14
1999-03-17 @ Shafa Baku W 2-034.4 934 674 60.59% 21.41% 18.01%+1.15 +19.8 46
1999-03-18 MOIK Baku FL47.4 563 771 22.90% 21.81% 55.30%-0.83 +0.0 10
1999-03-18 @ Nefteqaz Baku FW47.4 771 563 55.30% 21.81% 22.90%+0.83 +0.0 26
1999-03-20 Baku Fahlasi FL48.4 498 995 5.56% 18.25% 76.19%-2.63 +0.0 16
1999-03-20 @ Khazar Sumqayit FW48.4 995 498 76.19% 18.25% 5.56%+2.63 +0.0 50
1999-03-20 Nefteqaz Baku FW47.7 731 563 66.55% 20.67% 12.78%+1.53 +0.0 28
1999-03-20 @ Bakili Baku FL47.7 563 731 12.78% 20.67% 66.55%-1.53 +0.0 10
1999-03-20 Qarabag FW47.3 954 1036 38.78% 22.23% 38.99%-0.04 +0.0 49
1999-03-20 @ Turan Tovuz FL47.3 1036 954 38.99% 22.23% 38.78%+0.04 +0.0 54
1999-03-20 Dinamo Baku W 2-037.1 1109 1092 51.92% 21.98% 26.11%+0.58 +27.2 58
1999-03-20 @ Kapaz L 0-237.1 1092 1109 26.11% 21.98% 51.92%-0.58 -27.2 52
1999-03-20 Shafa Baku W 3-028.4 975 655 75.53% 18.49% 5.98%+2.47 +9.8 46
1999-03-20 @ Masalli L 0-328.4 655 975 5.98% 18.49% 75.53%-2.47 -9.8 14
1999-03-20 Neftqaz Baku L 1-256.6 771 503 72.84% 19.33% 7.83%+2.14 -33.1 26
1999-03-20 @ MOIK Baku W 2-156.6 503 771 7.83% 19.33% 72.84%-2.14 +33.1 9
1999-03-20 Neftchi Baku D 1-153.4 1009 1086 39.42% 22.22% 38.36%-0.01 -0.1 50
1999-03-20 @ Shamkir D 1-153.4 1086 1009 38.36% 22.22% 39.42%+0.01 +0.1 52

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-04-03 Neftchi Baku D 0-049.5 995 1086 37.47% 22.22% 40.31%-0.09 +0.3 1
1999-04-03 @ Baku Fahlasi D 0-049.5 1086 995 40.31% 22.22% 37.47%+0.09 -0.3 1
1999-04-03 Qarabag D 0-049.6 1065 1036 53.33% 21.91% 24.76%+0.65 -3.5 1
1999-04-03 @ Dinamo Baku D 0-049.6 1036 1065 24.76% 21.91% 53.33%-0.65 +3.5 1
1999-04-03 Kapaz D 1-153.4 1008 1136 32.41% 22.17% 45.42%-0.33 +1.4 1
1999-04-03 @ Shamkir D 1-153.4 1136 1008 45.42% 22.17% 32.41%+0.33 -1.4 1
1999-04-04 MOIK Baku L 0-145.7 731 738 49.04% 22.08% 28.88%+0.43 -24.1 0
1999-04-04 @ Bakili Baku W 1-045.7 738 731 28.88% 22.08% 49.04%-0.43 +24.1 3
1999-04-04 Khazar Sumqayit D 2-258.6 645 498 64.81% 20.93% 14.26%+1.39 -4.4 1
1999-04-04 @ Shafa Baku D 2-258.6 498 645 14.26% 20.93% 64.81%-1.39 +4.4 1
1999-04-04 Masalli W 2-038.9 954 985 45.78% 22.16% 32.06%+0.28 +32.2 3
1999-04-04 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-238.9 985 954 32.06% 22.16% 45.78%-0.28 -32.2 0
1999-04-10 Baku Fahlasi W 1-037.2 1061 995 57.36% 21.67% 20.97%+0.88 +12.0 4
1999-04-10 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-137.2 995 1061 20.97% 21.67% 57.36%-0.88 -12.0 1
1999-04-10 Shamkir W 1-036.9 1085 1010 58.39% 21.60% 20.01%+0.94 +11.5 4
1999-04-10 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-136.9 1010 1085 20.01% 21.60% 58.39%-0.94 -11.5 1
1999-04-10 Kapaz L 0-240.3 1039 1135 36.76% 22.22% 41.02%-0.13 -35.9 1
1999-04-10 @ Qarabag W 2-040.3 1135 1039 41.02% 22.22% 36.76%+0.13 +36.0 4
1999-04-11 Masalli D 2-258.3 762 953 24.71% 21.91% 53.38%-0.72 +2.4 4
1999-04-11 @ MOIK Baku D 2-258.3 953 762 53.38% 21.91% 24.71%+0.72 -2.4 1
1999-04-11 Neftqaz Baku W 2-034.3 640 536 61.13% 21.36% 17.52%+1.12 +19.3 4
1999-04-11 @ Shafa Baku L 0-234.3 536 640 17.52% 21.36% 61.13%-1.12 -19.3 0
1999-04-17 Qarabag W 2-038.4 983 1003 47.31% 22.13% 30.56%+0.35 +31.0 4
1999-04-17 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-238.4 1003 983 30.56% 22.13% 47.31%-0.35 -31.0 1
1999-04-17 Neftchi Baku W 1-037.0 1171 1097 58.20% 21.61% 20.19%+0.93 +11.6 7
1999-04-17 @ Kapaz L 0-137.0 1097 1171 20.19% 21.61% 58.20%-0.93 -11.6 4
1999-04-17 Dinamo Baku W 2-147.1 998 1073 39.76% 22.22% 38.01%+0.01 +18.5 4
1999-04-17 @ Shamkir L 1-247.1 1073 998 38.01% 22.22% 39.76%-0.01 -18.5 4
1999-04-18 Khazar Sumqayit D 2-258.2 517 503 51.61% 21.99% 26.40%+0.56 -2.1 1
1999-04-18 @ Neftqaz Baku D 2-258.2 503 517 26.40% 21.99% 51.61%-0.56 +2.1 2
1999-04-18 MOIK Baku D 0-050.1 986 764 70.19% 19.99% 9.82%+1.86 -8.1 4
1999-04-18 @ Turan Tovuz D 0-050.1 764 986 9.82% 19.99% 70.19%-1.86 +8.1 5
1999-04-24 Shamkir W 1-039.6 1014 1017 49.53% 22.06% 28.40%+0.46 +15.5 7
1999-04-24 @ Baku Fahlasi L 0-139.6 1017 1014 28.40% 22.06% 49.53%-0.46 -15.5 4
1999-04-24 Kapaz L 0-140.8 1055 1182 32.40% 22.17% 45.43%-0.33 -17.2 4
1999-04-24 @ Dinamo Baku W 1-040.8 1182 1055 45.43% 22.17% 32.40%+0.33 +17.2 10
1999-04-24 Neftchi Baku W 1-044.1 972 1085 34.33% 22.20% 43.47%-0.24 +21.8 4
1999-04-24 @ Qarabag L 0-144.1 1085 972 43.47% 22.20% 34.33%+0.24 -21.8 4
1999-04-25 Shafa Baku L 0-534.8 505 660 28.94% 22.08% 48.98%-0.49 -69.4 2
1999-04-25 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 5-034.8 660 505 48.98% 22.08% 28.94%+0.49 +69.4 7
1999-04-25 Turan Tovuz D 6-665.4 951 978 46.29% 22.15% 31.56%+0.30 -0.7 2
1999-04-25 @ Masalli D 6-665.4 978 951 31.56% 22.15% 46.29%-0.30 +0.7 5
1999-04-28 Baku Fahlasi W 1-034.5 1200 1030 66.61% 20.66% 12.73%+1.53 +7.6 13
1999-04-28 @ Kapaz L 0-134.5 1030 1200 12.73% 20.66% 66.61%-1.53 -7.6 7
1999-04-28 Dinamo Baku W 1-038.5 1064 1037 53.00% 21.93% 25.07%+0.64 +14.0 7
1999-04-28 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-138.5 1037 1064 25.07% 21.93% 53.00%-0.64 -14.0 4
1999-04-28 Qarabag W 1-039.2 1001 994 50.74% 22.02% 27.23%+0.52 +15.0 7
1999-04-28 @ Shamkir L 0-139.2 994 1001 27.23% 22.02% 50.74%-0.52 -15.0 4
1999-05-01 Shamkir W 3-137.0 1207 1016 68.14% 20.40% 11.46%+1.66 +11.2 16
1999-05-01 @ Kapaz L 1-337.0 1016 1207 11.46% 20.40% 68.14%-1.66 -11.2 7
1999-05-01 Baku Fahlasi D 1-153.6 1078 1022 56.26% 21.75% 21.99%+0.82 -3.8 8
1999-05-01 @ Neftchi Baku D 1-153.6 1022 1078 21.99% 21.75% 56.26%-0.82 +3.8 8
1999-05-01 Dinamo Baku W 3-037.9 979 1023 43.99% 22.19% 33.81%+0.19 +48.9 7
1999-05-01 @ Qarabag L 0-337.9 1023 979 33.81% 22.19% 43.99%-0.19 -48.9 4
1999-05-02 MOIK Baku D 2-258.7 950 772 67.20% 20.56% 12.24%+1.58 -4.8 3
1999-05-02 @ Masalli D 2-258.7 772 950 12.24% 20.56% 67.20%-1.58 +4.8 6
1999-05-02 Shafa Baku L 1-340.6 515 729 22.30% 21.77% 55.93%-0.86 -20.6 1
1999-05-02 @ Neftqaz Baku W 3-140.6 729 515 55.93% 21.77% 22.30%+0.86 +20.7 10
1999-05-08 Dinamo Baku L 0-245.9 1026 974 55.86% 21.77% 22.36%+0.79 -51.2 8
1999-05-08 @ Baku Fahlasi W 2-045.9 974 1026 22.36% 21.77% 55.86%-0.79 +51.2 7
1999-05-08 Qarabag W 3-030.7 1218 1028 68.12% 20.40% 11.48%+1.66 +18.9 19
1999-05-08 @ Kapaz L 0-330.7 1028 1218 11.48% 20.40% 68.12%-1.66 -18.9 7
1999-05-08 Neftchi Baku W 3-251.3 1005 1074 40.61% 22.22% 37.17%+0.04 +17.2 10
1999-05-08 @ Shamkir L 2-351.3 1074 1005 37.17% 22.22% 40.61%-0.04 -17.2 8
1999-05-09 Neftqaz Baku W 5-036.9 435 494 41.97% 22.21% 35.82%+0.10 +82.4 5
1999-05-09 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-536.9 494 435 35.82% 22.21% 41.97%-0.10 -82.4 1
1999-05-12 Shamkir L 0-146.1 1026 1022 50.27% 22.04% 27.69%+0.49 -24.7 7
1999-05-12 @ Dinamo Baku W 1-046.1 1022 1026 27.69% 22.04% 50.27%-0.49 +24.7 13
1999-05-12 Kapaz W 3-043.4 1057 1237 25.88% 21.97% 52.16%-0.66 +69.8 11
1999-05-12 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-343.4 1237 1057 52.16% 21.97% 25.88%+0.66 -69.8 19
1999-05-12 Baku Fahlasi D 0-049.6 1009 975 53.89% 21.88% 24.23%+0.68 -3.7 8
1999-05-12 @ Qarabag D 0-049.6 975 1009 24.23% 21.88% 53.89%-0.68 +3.7 9
1999-05-15 Dinamo Baku W 3-137.5 1168 1001 66.37% 20.70% 12.93%+1.51 +12.6 22
1999-05-15 @ Kapaz L 1-337.5 1001 1168 12.93% 20.70% 66.37%-1.51 -12.6 7
1999-05-15 Qarabag D 0-049.8 1126 1005 62.69% 21.19% 16.12%+1.23 -6.0 12
1999-05-15 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-049.8 1005 1126 16.12% 21.19% 62.69%-1.23 +6.0 9
1999-05-15 Baku Fahlasi W 1-037.1 1047 979 57.63% 21.65% 20.71%+0.90 +11.9 16
1999-05-15 @ Shamkir L 0-137.1 979 1047 20.71% 21.65% 57.63%-0.90 -11.9 9
1999-05-22 Kapaz L 1-242.2 967 1180 22.35% 21.77% 55.88%-0.86 -12.0 9
1999-05-22 @ Baku Fahlasi W 2-142.2 1180 967 55.88% 21.77% 22.35%+0.86 +11.9 25
1999-05-22 Shamkir W 1-041.4 1011 1059 43.58% 22.20% 34.22%+0.18 +18.0 12
1999-05-22 @ Qarabag L 0-141.4 1059 1011 34.22% 22.20% 43.58%-0.18 -18.0 16
1999-05-24 Neftchi Baku L 1-343.6 988 1120 31.86% 22.16% 45.98%-0.35 -27.8 7
1999-05-24 @ Dinamo Baku W 3-143.6 1120 988 45.98% 22.16% 31.86%+0.35 +27.8 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-09-23 6.84% @ Bakili Baku 702 1 Kapaz 1157 0
2 1999-03-20 7.83% Neftqaz Baku 503 2 @ MOIK Baku 771 1
3 1998-12-01 14.74% Khazar Sumqayit 603 1 @ Shafa Baku 743 0
4 1998-10-24 18.14% @ Turan Tovuz 852 2 Dinamo Baku 1111 0
5 1999-02-21 18.16% @ Masalli 923 3 Kapaz 1181 0
6 1998-09-23 18.38% @ Khazar Sumqayit 752 3 Shamkir 1007 2
7 1998-10-18 19.59% Nefteqaz Baku 617 2 @ Shafa Baku 697 1
8 1999-05-08 22.36% Dinamo Baku 974 2 @ Baku Fahlasi 1026 0
9 1998-10-03 23.40% @ Masalli 773 3 Shamkir 977 0
10 1998-10-24 23.43% @ Shamkir 922 2 Kapaz 1125 0
11 1998-09-12 25.27% Neftchi Baku 859 3 @ MOIK Baku 883 1
12 1998-10-24 25.34% @ MOIK Baku 767 2 Baku Fahlasi 953 0
13 1998-08-22 25.87% Turan Tovuz 727 2 @ Nefteqaz Baku 747 1
14 1999-05-12 25.88% @ Neftchi Baku 1057 3 Kapaz 1237 0
15 1998-09-12 26.35% Turan Tovuz 776 2 @ Khazar Sumqayit 791 1
16 1998-11-25 27.48% @ Qarabag 1004 2 Kapaz 1171 1
17 1999-05-12 27.69% Shamkir 1022 1 @ Dinamo Baku 1026 0
18 1998-11-21 28.38% @ Khazar Sumqayit 619 3 Bakili Baku 778 2
19 1999-04-04 28.88% MOIK Baku 738 1 @ Bakili Baku 731 0
20 1998-09-09 29.27% @ Masalli 770 1 Qarabag 922 0
21 1998-11-21 31.80% @ Masalli 829 1 Baku Fahlasi 961 0
22 1998-08-22 31.85% @ Bakili Baku 681 1 Khazar Sumqayit 813 0
23 1999-02-27 32.17% Dinamo Baku 1038 3 @ Masalli 1006 2
24 1999-02-21 33.07% @ Baku Fahlasi 947 4 Qarabag 1070 2
25 1999-02-24 33.69% Bakili Baku 709 2 @ Shafa Baku 666 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-05-09 82.37 @ Khazar Sumqayit 5 435 41.97% Neftqaz Baku 0 494 35.82% 22.21%
2 1999-02-21 80.18 @ Masalli 3 923 18.16% Kapaz 0 1181 60.41% 21.42%
3 1998-11-14 73.42 @ Nefteqaz Baku 4 601 37.39% Khazar Sumqayit 0 692 40.39% 22.22%
4 1998-10-03 73.03 @ Masalli 3 773 23.40% Shamkir 0 977 54.76% 21.84%
5 1999-05-12 69.84 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1057 25.88% Kapaz 0 1237 52.16% 21.97%
6 1999-04-25 69.39 Shafa Baku 5 660 48.98% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 505 28.94% 22.08%
7 1998-11-11 67.00 Shafa Baku 4 672 41.85% @ Neftqaz Baku 0 570 35.94% 22.21%
8 1998-09-19 60.51 Baku Fahlasi 4 884 46.22% @ Neftqaz Baku 0 751 31.63% 22.15%
9 1998-09-26 60.00 Bakili Baku 3 737 34.03% @ Neftqaz Baku 0 691 43.78% 22.19%
10 1998-10-24 58.56 Neftchi Baku 4 935 47.50% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 792 30.37% 22.12%
11 1998-10-24 55.23 @ Turan Tovuz 2 852 18.14% Dinamo Baku 0 1111 60.44% 21.42%
12 1999-05-08 51.23 Dinamo Baku 2 974 22.36% @ Baku Fahlasi 0 1026 55.86% 21.77%
13 1998-10-24 50.26 @ Shamkir 2 922 23.43% Kapaz 0 1125 54.74% 21.84%
14 1998-11-21 50.06 @ Turan Tovuz 8 854 67.34% Nefteqaz Baku 0 674 12.12% 20.54%
15 1999-05-01 48.87 @ Qarabag 3 979 43.99% Dinamo Baku 0 1023 33.81% 22.19%
16 1998-10-24 48.56 @ MOIK Baku 2 767 25.34% Baku Fahlasi 0 953 52.72% 21.94%
17 1998-08-15 46.43 @ Khazar Sumqayit 8 767 46.44% Nefteqaz Baku 3 793 31.41% 22.15%
18 1998-11-14 42.17 @ Baku Fahlasi 5 919 52.60% Turan Tovuz 1 896 25.45% 21.95%
19 1998-09-12 42.10 Neftchi Baku 3 859 25.27% @ MOIK Baku 1 883 52.79% 21.94%
20 1999-02-07 41.56 @ Neftqaz Baku 2 473 33.72% Khazar Sumqayit 0 591 44.09% 22.19%
21 1998-08-29 41.17 @ Masalli 3 729 50.59% Nefteqaz Baku 0 723 27.38% 22.03%
22 1998-11-01 38.40 @ Shamkir 2 984 37.78% Dinamo Baku 0 1072 39.99% 22.22%
23 1998-12-05 37.17 Turan Tovuz 2 926 39.41% @ MOIK Baku 0 841 38.36% 22.22%
24 1999-04-10 35.95 Kapaz 2 1135 41.02% @ Qarabag 0 1039 36.76% 22.22%
25 1998-09-23 35.72 @ Bakili Baku 1 702 6.84% Kapaz 0 1157 74.24% 18.92%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-04-25 65.4 @ Masalli 6 951 46.29% Turan Tovuz 6 978 31.56% 22.15%
2 1999-05-02 58.7 @ Masalli 2 950 67.20% MOIK Baku 2 772 12.24% 20.56%
3 1998-09-26 58.6 @ Shamkir 2 981 65.10% Turan Tovuz 2 831 14.01% 20.88%
4 1999-04-04 58.6 @ Shafa Baku 2 645 64.81% Khazar Sumqayit 2 498 14.26% 20.93%
5 1998-11-11 58.4 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1020 61.21% Baku Fahlasi 2 915 17.45% 21.35%
6 1998-10-17 58.3 @ Qarabag 2 978 53.12% Baku Fahlasi 2 950 24.96% 21.92%
7 1999-04-11 58.3 @ MOIK Baku 2 762 24.71% Masalli 2 953 53.38% 21.91%
8 1998-10-31 58.2 @ Masalli 2 826 27.97% Neftchi Baku 2 989 49.98% 22.05%
9 1998-11-07 58.2 @ Nefteqaz Baku 2 608 27.38% Bakili Baku 2 776 50.60% 22.03%
10 1998-11-08 58.2 @ Shafa Baku 2 670 28.55% Masalli 2 828 49.38% 22.07%
11 1999-01-30 58.2 @ Shafa Baku 2 691 34.37% MOIK Baku 2 804 43.43% 22.20%
12 1999-04-18 58.2 @ Neftqaz Baku 2 517 51.61% Khazar Sumqayit 2 503 26.40% 21.99%
13 1998-09-23 57.9 @ Khazar Sumqayit 3 752 18.38% Shamkir 2 1007 60.18% 21.45%
14 1999-03-20 56.6 Neftqaz Baku 2 503 7.83% @ MOIK Baku 1 771 72.84% 19.33%
15 1998-11-21 54.9 @ Khazar Sumqayit 3 619 28.38% Bakili Baku 2 778 49.56% 22.06%
16 1999-02-03 54.3 @ Bakili Baku 1 734 72.92% Neftqaz Baku 1 465 7.77% 19.31%
17 1998-12-08 54.2 @ Turan Tovuz 1 963 72.39% Shafa Baku 1 704 8.16% 19.45%
18 1999-02-07 54.2 @ Kapaz 1 1188 71.90% Turan Tovuz 1 938 8.52% 19.58%
19 1998-11-21 54.1 @ Dinamo Baku 1 1046 70.39% MOIK Baku 1 821 9.67% 19.94%
20 1998-08-22 54.0 @ Baku Fahlasi 1 939 69.87% Masalli 1 722 10.07% 20.06%
21 1999-02-27 53.8 Dinamo Baku 3 1038 32.17% @ Masalli 2 1006 45.67% 22.16%
22 1998-10-04 53.7 @ Turan Tovuz 1 836 15.88% Kapaz 1 1122 62.96% 21.16%
23 1998-10-28 53.6 @ Neftchi Baku 1 994 59.43% Turan Tovuz 1 908 19.06% 21.51%
24 1999-05-01 53.6 @ Neftchi Baku 1 1078 56.26% Baku Fahlasi 1 1022 21.99% 21.75%
25 1998-09-23 53.4 @ Nefteqaz Baku 1 639 43.13% Neftqaz Baku 1 690 34.67% 22.20%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-12-09 24.3 @ Kapaz 5 1161 84.01% Khazar Sumqayit 0 603 1.78% 14.22%
2 1999-02-24 24.6 @ Neftchi Baku 6 1050 82.62% Khazar Sumqayit 0 540 2.28% 15.10%
3 1999-03-17 24.6 @ Qarabag 5 1030 83.11% Khazar Sumqayit 0 503 2.09% 14.80%
4 1998-10-31 24.7 @ Kapaz 7 1088 82.29% Neftqaz Baku 0 588 2.41% 15.30%
5 1998-11-22 25.4 @ Kapaz 6 1160 79.87% Shafa Baku 0 733 3.49% 16.64%
6 1998-09-19 25.5 @ Kapaz 11 1148 82.26% Nefteqaz Baku 1 649 2.42% 15.32%
7 1998-11-11 25.6 @ Dinamo Baku 5 1034 79.75% Nefteqaz Baku 0 610 3.55% 16.70%
8 1998-12-05 25.9 Kapaz 6 1148 78.14% @ Nefteqaz Baku 0 605 4.40% 17.45%
9 1999-02-07 25.9 @ Neftchi Baku 11 1018 79.91% Nefteqaz Baku 0 590 3.47% 16.62%
10 1999-02-03 26.1 Kapaz 4 1181 79.63% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 599 3.61% 16.76%
11 1999-02-27 26.1 @ Shamkir 3 1039 83.18% Neftqaz Baku 0 510 2.07% 14.76%
12 1998-12-05 26.9 @ Baku Fahlasi 7 958 81.83% Neftqaz Baku 1 473 2.59% 15.57%
13 1998-11-28 27.4 @ Turan Tovuz 6 902 73.22% Khazar Sumqayit 0 627 7.55% 19.22%
14 1999-02-21 28.4 Dinamo Baku 3 1034 75.61% @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 550 5.93% 18.46%
15 1999-03-20 28.4 @ Masalli 3 975 75.53% Shafa Baku 0 655 5.98% 18.49%
16 1998-11-14 28.8 @ Dinamo Baku 5 1043 83.49% Neftqaz Baku 1 503 1.96% 14.56%
17 1998-11-25 28.8 @ Shafa Baku 4 723 70.67% Neftqaz Baku 0 493 9.45% 19.88%
18 1998-10-28 29.3 @ Kapaz 3 1075 72.38% MOIK Baku 0 816 8.16% 19.46%
19 1998-11-21 29.3 @ Turan Tovuz 8 854 67.34% Nefteqaz Baku 0 674 12.12% 20.54%
20 1998-09-20 29.8 @ Neftchi Baku 5 901 65.73% Shafa Baku 0 743 13.47% 20.79%
21 1998-11-21 29.9 Neftchi Baku 2 987 75.76% @ Neftqaz Baku 0 500 5.84% 18.40%
22 1998-10-31 30.1 @ MOIK Baku 4 802 66.35% Nefteqaz Baku 0 636 12.95% 20.70%
23 1998-12-15 30.1 @ Dinamo Baku 2 1007 74.94% Shafa Baku 0 698 6.37% 18.69%
24 1998-10-27 30.2 @ Dinamo Baku 3 1055 69.56% Masalli 0 843 10.32% 20.12%
25 1999-02-21 30.4 @ Turan Tovuz 1 945 80.00% Neftqaz Baku 0 515 3.43% 16.57%