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1999-00 Azerbaijan Top League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Shamkir

55 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamkir

9.12 points above expected

55 points · 45.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Khazar University

8.16 points below expected

18 points · 26.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamkir Champion 22 17 4 1 55 46 8 +38 45.88 +9.12
2 Kapaz 22 14 2 6 44 46 21 +25 43.18 +0.82
3 Neftchi Baku 22 13 4 5 43 35 14 +21 45.07 -2.07
4 Masalli 22 11 3 8 36 25 25 0 33.99 +2.01
5 ANS Pivani Baku 22 10 2 10 32 24 25 -1 29.56 +2.44
6 Dinamo Baku 22 9 4 9 31 21 17 +4 31.72 -0.72
7 Shafa Baku 22 8 3 11 27 19 32 -13 24.89 +2.11
8 Qarabag 22 5 10 7 25 21 22 -1 31.54 -6.54
9 Khazar Sumqayit 22 7 1 14 22 23 31 -8 17.24 +4.76
10 Turan Tovuz 22 5 5 12 20 17 36 -19 25.27 -5.27
11 Khazar University 22 5 3 14 18 19 41 -22 26.16 -8.16
12 MOIK Baku 22 3 3 16 12 11 35 -24 18.08 -6.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamkir 55 45.88 +9.12
2 Khazar Sumqayit 22 17.24 +4.76
3 ANS Pivani Baku 32 29.56 +2.44
4 Shafa Baku 27 24.89 +2.11
5 Masalli 36 33.99 +2.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Khazar University 18 26.16 -8.16
2 Qarabag 25 31.54 -6.54
3 MOIK Baku 12 18.08 -6.08
4 Turan Tovuz 20 25.27 -5.27
5 Neftchi Baku 43 45.07 -2.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamkir 10 Feb 26 – Apr 29 1 in 81
2 Masalli 5 Mar 19 – Apr 16 1 in 36
3 ANS Pivani Baku 3 Mar 5 – Mar 18 1 in 15
4 Dinamo Baku 2 Nov 13 – Nov 20 1 in 8
5 Khazar Sumqayit 2 Oct 29 – Nov 6 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Baku 3 Mar 12 – Mar 25 1 in 53
2 Turan Tovuz 4 Mar 18 – Apr 2 1 in 32
3 Shafa Baku 6 Apr 2 – May 7 1 in 31
4 Khazar University 5 Mar 19 – Apr 9 1 in 23
5 ANS Pivani Baku 3 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamkir 22 Oct 29 – May 20 1 in 229
2 Turan Tovuz 5 Apr 23 – May 14 1 in 77
3 Qarabag 8 Apr 15 – May 31 1 in 35
4 Shafa Baku 4 May 10 – May 31 1 in 31
5 Neftchi Baku 11 Oct 31 – Mar 12 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kapaz 3 May 10 – May 20 1 in 42
2 Qarabag 5 Apr 22 – May 13 1 in 24
3 ANS Pivani Baku 5 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 20
4 Khazar University 8 Feb 27 – Apr 9 1 in 13
5 MOIK Baku 9 Nov 14 – Mar 11 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamkir 1260 55 +11 11 11.8 -0.8
Kapaz 1129 44 -53 7 11.6 -4.6
Neftchi Baku 1134 43 -10 10 11.5 -1.5
Masalli 971 33 -49 4 7.4 -3.4
ANS Pivani Baku 958 32 +80 12 5.5 +6.5
Dinamo Baku 975 31 -6 5 6.8 -1.8
Qarabag 963 25 +14 7 7.7 -0.7
Shafa Baku 798 24 -28 5 4.7 +0.3
Khazar Sumqayit 799 22 +27 4 3.1 +0.9
Turan Tovuz 839 20 +4 6 4.9 +1.1
Khazar University 844 18 +35 7 5.2 +1.8
MOIK Baku 725 12 -23 1 3.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team APB DB KAP KS KU MB MAS NB QAR SB SHA TT
ANS Pivani Baku —
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
3.76
2-0-0
2.41
1-1-0
1.42
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.40
2-0-0
2.91
Dinamo Baku
2-0-0
2.81
—
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
4.07
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.78
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.84
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.51
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
3.40
Kapaz
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.83
—
2-0-0
4.60
1-0-1
4.68
2-0-0
4.81
1-0-1
4.04
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
4.09
1-0-1
4.72
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
4.09
Khazar Sumqayit
0-0-2
1.80
2-0-0
1.58
0-0-2
1.08
—
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
0.65
1-0-1
2.01
Khazar University
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
0.99
1-0-1
3.42
—
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.62
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
3.23
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.68
MOIK Baku
1-1-0
1.88
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
0.86
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
2.48
—
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
0.81
0-2-0
1.55
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
0.72
1-0-1
2.34
Masalli
0-0-2
3.23
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
1.61
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.96
—
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.58
0-0-2
1.49
2-0-0
3.20
Neftchi Baku
0-1-1
4.23
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
4.78
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.87
1-0-1
3.84
—
1-1-0
3.97
1-1-0
4.31
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
4.29
Qarabag
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
1.56
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.37
0-2-0
4.10
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
1.67
—
1-1-0
3.79
0-0-2
2.01
0-2-0
3.31
Shafa Baku
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
0.95
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
2.42
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.86
—
0-0-2
1.04
1-0-1
2.69
Shamkir
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
5.05
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.98
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.62
—
1-1-0
4.78
Turan Tovuz
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
3.64
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
1.37
0-2-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
0.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +10.4
Allowed 0.77 -11.1
Differential 0.93 +6.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%10.98%9.09%3.41%0.76%0.76%34.85%
110.98%4.55%7.20%3.03%0.76%1.14%27.65%
29.09%7.20%1.52%1.89%0.76%—20.45%
33.41%3.03%1.89%0.76%——9.09%
40.76%0.76%0.76%———2.27%
5+0.76%1.14%———3.79%5.68%
Total34.85%27.65%20.45%9.09%2.27%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 1.92
CV 1.19 1.19 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min -1 -1 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%—13.64%——31.82%
122.73%4.55%9.09%———36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.09 -0.05
SD 1.21 1.11 1.65
CV 1.16 1.02 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%18.18%———50.00%
113.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%31.82%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.77 +0.18
SD 1.21 0.81 1.71
CV 1.27 1.05 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
118.18%4.55%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
Total45.45%18.18%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.91 +1.14
SD 2.03 1.19 2.36
CV 0.99 1.31 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
118.18%—18.18%4.55%——40.91%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
3———————
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.36 -0.36
SD 1.23 1.29 1.62
CV 1.23 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%18.18%——4.55%45.45%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.86 -1.00
SD 0.94 1.73 1.98
CV 1.09 0.93 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%—50.00%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+—————9.09%9.09%
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%9.09%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.41 1.50 -1.09
SD 0.80 1.44 1.44
CV 1.95 0.96 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
29.09%18.18%————27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.09 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.19 1.69
CV 0.98 1.09 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
218.18%9.09%————27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total45.45%36.36%13.64%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.59 +0.95
SD 1.47 0.80 1.59
CV 0.95 1.35 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%13.64%4.55%———40.91%
1—13.64%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%——9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 0.95 -0.05
SD 1.11 1.25 1.43
CV 1.22 1.31 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%22.73%9.09%——45.45%
113.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total27.27%13.64%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.41 -0.59
SD 1.10 1.30 1.59
CV 1.34 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
19.09%—————9.09%
231.82%9.09%————40.91%
39.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
Total68.18%22.73%—4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.32 +1.73
SD 1.59 0.78 1.45
CV 0.78 2.45 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min -1 -1 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%22.73%9.09%4.55%—4.55%54.55%
19.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.64 -0.86
SD 1.02 2.01 2.29
CV 1.32 1.23 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamkir 1260 55 45.88 +9.12 94.0% 35 39 42 46 49 56 59
Neftchi Baku 1134 43 45.07 -2.07 39.0% 34 37 42 44 48 54 59
Kapaz 1129 44 43.18 +0.82 55.0% 26 34 39 44 46 51 57
Dinamo Baku 975 31 31.72 -0.72 54.0% 14 21 26 31 36 42 47
Masalli 971 36 33.99 +2.01 67.0% 20 24 31 34 38 43 46
Qarabag 963 25 31.54 -6.54 19.0% 13 21 27 32 36 41 47
ANS Pivani Baku 958 32 29.56 +2.44 71.0% 18 22 25 29 33 39 44
Khazar University 844 18 26.16 -8.16 6.0% 13 18 23 26 30 34 39
Turan Tovuz 839 20 25.27 -5.27 21.0% 14 16 21 25 29 36 38
Khazar Sumqayit 799 22 17.24 +4.76 87.0% 6 10 13 17 21 25 29
Shafa Baku 798 27 24.89 +2.11 71.0% 12 15 21 24 28 33 43
MOIK Baku 725 12 18.08 -6.08 22.0% 5 10 14 18 22 28 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.09%
Strong Edge
57.58%18.94%23.48%
Elo Value
Home Edge
211 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0117.46600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.61 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
Shamkir, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.190.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.43 * Some Luck: 4.43 to 6.65 * Lucky: 6.65 to 8.87 * Wild Swing: 8.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.7 * Off: 1.7 to 2.27 * Way Off: 2.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.96 points
Some Luck
05.5414
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Shamkir
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Khazar University
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Even
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 160.36
1.94
Coin-Flip Parity
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
74%
Slight Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Some Drama
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.56
Some Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamkir43.00%32.00%17.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Kapaz25.00%27.00%29.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Neftchi Baku31.00%33.00%26.00%9.00%1.00%———————
Masalli1.00%1.00%9.00%24.00%22.00%22.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
ANS Pivani Baku—2.00%3.00%8.00%17.00%15.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%8.00%3.00%—
Dinamo Baku—3.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%
Shafa Baku——2.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%23.00%12.00%6.00%
Qarabag—2.00%4.00%20.00%20.00%10.00%16.00%15.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Khazar Sumqayit—————2.00%1.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%25.00%44.00%
Turan Tovuz——2.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%18.00%15.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%
Khazar University———1.00%6.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%18.00%13.00%14.00%2.00%
MOIK Baku————2.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%31.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
ANS Pivani Baku 100% —
Kapaz 100% —
Masalli 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Shamkir 100% —
Qarabag 99.00% 1.00%
Dinamo Baku 98.00% 2.00%
Khazar University 98.00% 2.00%
Shafa Baku 94.00% 6.00%
Turan Tovuz 94.00% 6.00%
MOIK Baku 61.00% 39.00%
Khazar Sumqayit 56.00% 44.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-10-29 Turan Tovuz W 1-037.3 955 968 55.35% 18.15% 26.50%+0.50 +10.8 3
1999-10-29 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 0-137.3 968 955 26.50% 18.15% 55.35%-0.50 -10.8 0
1999-10-29 MOIK Baku W 2-039.0 734 868 39.12% 18.37% 42.51%-0.08 +30.3 3
1999-10-29 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-239.0 868 734 42.51% 18.37% 39.12%+0.08 -30.3 0
1999-10-29 Masalli D 0-051.4 995 950 61.70% 17.85% 20.44%+0.77 -4.0 1
1999-10-29 @ Qarabag D 0-051.4 950 995 20.44% 17.85% 61.70%-0.77 +4.0 1
1999-10-29 Shafa Baku L 0-149.1 958 859 66.63% 17.48% 15.90%+1.02 -24.3 0
1999-10-29 @ Khazar University W 1-049.1 859 958 15.90% 17.48% 66.63%-1.02 +24.3 3
1999-10-29 Dinamo Baku W 2-032.4 999 958 61.28% 17.88% 20.84%+0.75 +16.4 3
1999-10-29 @ Shamkir L 0-232.4 958 999 20.84% 17.88% 61.28%-0.75 -16.4 0
1999-10-31 Kapaz W 3-139.9 1068 1084 54.95% 18.16% 26.89%+0.48 +17.8 3
1999-10-31 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-339.9 1084 1068 26.89% 18.16% 54.95%-0.48 -17.8 0
1999-11-06 Dinamo Baku W 1-043.9 764 942 33.14% 18.32% 48.54%-0.29 +18.0 6
1999-11-06 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-143.9 942 764 48.54% 18.32% 33.14%+0.29 -18.0 0
1999-11-06 Turan Tovuz W 3-031.8 954 957 56.48% 18.11% 25.41%+0.54 +28.5 4
1999-11-06 @ Masalli L 0-331.8 957 954 25.41% 18.11% 56.48%-0.54 -28.5 0
1999-11-06 ANS Pivani Baku W 2-147.6 838 966 40.01% 18.38% 41.62%-0.05 +14.9 3
1999-11-06 @ MOIK Baku L 1-247.6 966 838 41.62% 18.38% 40.01%+0.05 -14.9 3
1999-11-07 Shamkir D 0-051.4 1066 1016 62.20% 17.82% 19.98%+0.80 -4.1 1
1999-11-07 @ Kapaz D 0-051.4 1016 1066 19.98% 17.82% 62.20%-0.80 +4.1 4
1999-11-07 Shafa Baku W 2-030.6 991 883 67.40% 17.40% 15.20%+1.07 +12.3 4
1999-11-07 @ Qarabag L 0-230.6 883 991 15.20% 17.40% 67.40%-1.07 -12.3 3
1999-11-07 Neftchi Baku L 2-350.8 933 1086 36.59% 18.36% 45.05%-0.17 -12.7 0
1999-11-07 @ Khazar University W 3-250.8 1086 933 45.05% 18.36% 36.59%+0.17 +12.7 6
1999-11-13 Dinamo Baku L 0-147.2 951 924 59.81% 17.96% 22.23%+0.68 -21.8 3
1999-11-13 @ ANS Pivani Baku W 1-047.2 924 951 22.23% 17.96% 59.81%-0.68 +21.8 3
1999-11-13 Kapaz L 2-346.1 782 1062 21.40% 17.91% 60.68%-0.77 -8.0 6
1999-11-13 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-246.1 1062 782 60.68% 17.91% 21.40%+0.77 +8.0 4
1999-11-13 Khazar University W 6-028.7 1020 921 66.69% 17.47% 15.84%+1.03 +35.5 7
1999-11-13 @ Shamkir L 0-628.7 921 1020 15.84% 17.47% 66.69%-1.03 -35.4 0
1999-11-14 Qarabag W 2-030.9 1098 1003 66.31% 17.51% 16.19%+1.01 +13.0 9
1999-11-14 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-230.9 1003 1098 16.19% 17.51% 66.31%-1.01 -13.0 4
1999-11-14 Masalli W 3-143.7 871 982 42.37% 18.37% 39.25%+0.03 +24.6 6
1999-11-14 @ Shafa Baku L 1-343.7 982 871 39.25% 18.37% 42.37%-0.03 -24.6 4
1999-11-14 MOIK Baku W 1-034.5 929 853 64.64% 17.65% 17.71%+0.92 +7.5 3
1999-11-14 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-134.5 853 929 17.71% 17.65% 64.64%-0.92 -7.5 3
1999-11-20 Turan Tovuz W 2-033.4 946 936 57.94% 18.05% 24.01%+0.60 +18.6 6
1999-11-20 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-233.4 936 946 24.01% 18.05% 57.94%-0.60 -18.7 3
1999-11-20 ANS Pivani Baku W 2-138.6 1070 929 69.94% 17.12% 12.94%+1.23 +5.3 7
1999-11-20 @ Kapaz L 1-238.6 929 1070 12.94% 17.12% 69.94%-1.23 -5.3 3
1999-11-20 MOIK Baku W 1-033.5 958 845 67.78% 17.36% 14.86%+1.09 +6.4 7
1999-11-20 @ Masalli L 0-133.5 845 958 14.86% 17.36% 67.78%-1.09 -6.4 3
1999-11-21 Shamkir L 1-541.7 990 1056 48.78% 18.31% 32.91%+0.25 -53.9 4
1999-11-21 @ Qarabag W 5-141.7 1056 990 32.91% 18.31% 48.78%-0.25 +53.9 10
1999-11-21 Neftchi Baku D 0-051.3 895 1111 28.38% 18.21% 53.41%-0.47 +2.4 7
1999-11-21 @ Shafa Baku D 0-051.3 1111 895 53.41% 18.21% 28.38%+0.47 -2.3 10
1999-11-21 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-139.3 885 774 67.65% 17.38% 14.97%+1.08 +6.0 3
1999-11-21 @ Khazar University L 1-239.3 774 885 14.97% 17.38% 67.65%-1.08 -6.0 6
1999-11-27 Qarabag W 1-043.6 768 936 34.39% 18.34% 47.28%-0.24 +17.6 9
1999-11-27 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-143.6 936 768 47.28% 18.34% 34.39%+0.24 -17.6 4
1999-11-27 Masalli W 3-027.6 1109 964 70.22% 17.08% 12.70%+1.24 +15.0 13
1999-11-27 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-327.6 964 1109 12.70% 17.08% 70.22%-1.24 -15.0 7
1999-11-27 Shafa Baku W 2-028.4 1109 898 74.49% 16.41% 9.10%+1.56 +7.5 13
1999-11-27 @ Shamkir L 0-228.4 898 1109 9.10% 16.41% 74.49%-1.56 -7.5 7
1999-11-28 Khazar University W 4-135.3 924 891 60.41% 17.93% 21.66%+0.71 +20.8 6
1999-11-28 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 1-435.3 891 924 21.66% 17.93% 60.41%-0.71 -20.8 3
1999-11-28 Dinamo Baku D 0-051.2 839 964 40.34% 18.38% 41.29%-0.04 +0.1 4
1999-11-28 @ MOIK Baku D 0-051.2 964 839 41.29% 18.38% 40.34%+0.04 -0.1 7
1999-11-28 Kapaz L 0-140.1 917 1075 35.83% 18.35% 45.82%-0.19 -13.9 3
1999-11-28 @ Turan Tovuz W 1-040.1 1075 917 45.82% 18.35% 35.83%+0.19 +14.0 10
1999-12-04 MOIK Baku W 5-128.5 1089 839 76.56% 15.97% 7.47%+1.74 +9.7 13
1999-12-04 @ Kapaz L 1-528.5 839 1089 7.47% 15.97% 76.56%-1.74 -9.7 4
1999-12-04 Dinamo Baku D 1-156.2 949 964 55.07% 18.16% 26.77%+0.48 -2.4 8
1999-12-04 @ Masalli D 1-156.2 964 949 26.77% 18.16% 55.07%-0.48 +2.4 8
1999-12-04 ANS Pivani Baku W 3-032.6 919 945 53.81% 18.20% 27.99%+0.44 +31.0 7
1999-12-04 @ Qarabag L 0-332.6 945 919 27.99% 18.20% 53.81%-0.44 -31.0 6
1999-12-04 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-030.6 890 785 67.13% 17.43% 15.44%+1.05 +12.5 10
1999-12-04 @ Shafa Baku L 0-230.6 785 890 15.44% 17.43% 67.13%-1.05 -12.5 9
1999-12-05 Shamkir D 0-051.4 1124 1117 57.66% 18.06% 24.28%+0.59 -3.2 14
1999-12-05 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-051.4 1117 1124 24.28% 18.06% 57.66%-0.59 +3.2 14
1999-12-05 Turan Tovuz D 0-051.3 870 903 52.89% 18.23% 28.89%+0.40 -2.3 4
1999-12-05 @ Khazar University D 0-051.3 903 870 28.89% 18.23% 52.89%-0.40 +2.3 4
1999-12-11 Shafa Baku W 3-139.0 914 903 58.08% 18.04% 23.88%+0.61 +16.1 9
1999-12-11 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 1-339.0 903 914 23.88% 18.04% 58.08%-0.61 -16.1 10
1999-12-11 Neftchi Baku L 1-239.5 773 1121 15.58% 17.44% 66.98%-1.09 -6.3 9
1999-12-11 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 2-139.5 1121 773 66.98% 17.44% 15.58%+1.09 +6.3 17
1999-12-11 Masalli W 2-029.1 1120 947 72.16% 16.81% 11.03%+1.38 +9.0 17
1999-12-11 @ Shamkir L 0-229.1 947 1120 11.03% 16.81% 72.16%-1.38 -9.0 8
1999-12-12 Kapaz L 0-238.1 967 1099 39.41% 18.37% 42.21%-0.07 -28.5 8
1999-12-12 @ Dinamo Baku W 2-038.1 1099 967 42.21% 18.37% 39.41%+0.07 +28.5 16
1999-12-12 Khazar University L 0-241.9 829 868 52.16% 18.24% 29.60%+0.37 -36.2 4
1999-12-12 @ MOIK Baku W 2-041.9 868 829 29.60% 18.24% 52.16%-0.37 +36.2 7
1999-12-12 Qarabag D 0-051.3 906 950 51.50% 18.26% 30.24%+0.35 -2.0 5
1999-12-12 @ Turan Tovuz D 0-051.3 950 906 30.24% 18.26% 51.50%-0.35 +2.0 8
2000-02-19 Kapaz FW48.8 938 1127 31.63% 18.29% 50.08%-0.34 +0.0 11
2000-02-19 @ Masalli FL48.8 1127 938 50.08% 18.29% 31.63%+0.34 +0.0 16
2000-02-19 MOIK Baku FL49.2 952 793 71.21% 16.95% 11.84%+1.31 +0.0 8
2000-02-19 @ Qarabag FL49.2 793 952 11.84% 16.95% 71.21%-1.31 +0.0 4
2000-02-20 ANS Pivani Baku FL49.3 1127 930 73.66% 16.56% 9.77%+1.49 +0.0 17
2000-02-20 @ Neftchi Baku FL49.3 930 1127 9.77% 16.56% 73.66%-1.49 +0.0 9
2000-02-20 Khazar Sumqayit FL49.9 1129 767 81.26% 14.55% 4.20%+2.27 +0.0 17
2000-02-20 @ Shamkir FL49.9 767 1129 4.20% 14.55% 81.26%-2.27 +0.0 9
2000-02-26 Shamkir L 0-333.3 930 1129 30.41% 18.26% 51.32%-0.39 -33.3 9
2000-02-26 @ ANS Pivani Baku W 3-033.3 1129 930 51.32% 18.26% 30.41%+0.39 +33.3 20
2000-02-26 Masalli L 1-342.1 767 938 34.07% 18.33% 47.60%-0.25 -21.8 9
2000-02-26 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 3-142.1 938 767 47.60% 18.33% 34.07%+0.25 +21.8 14
2000-02-26 Neftchi Baku L 0-234.5 904 1127 27.50% 18.18% 54.31%-0.50 -21.0 5
2000-02-26 @ Turan Tovuz W 2-034.5 1127 904 54.31% 18.18% 27.50%+0.50 +21.0 20
2000-02-27 Qarabag W 1-037.3 938 952 55.26% 18.15% 26.59%+0.49 +10.8 11
2000-02-27 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-137.3 952 938 26.59% 18.15% 55.26%-0.49 -10.8 8
2000-02-27 Khazar University W 4-237.4 1127 904 75.14% 16.28% 8.58%+1.61 +5.5 19
2000-02-27 @ Kapaz L 2-437.4 904 1127 8.58% 16.28% 75.14%-1.61 -5.5 7
2000-02-27 Shafa Baku L 0-142.8 793 887 44.88% 18.36% 36.76%+0.11 -16.8 4
2000-02-27 @ MOIK Baku W 1-042.8 887 793 36.76% 18.36% 44.88%-0.11 +16.8 13
2000-03-04 Khazar University W 2-031.8 960 899 63.22% 17.75% 19.03%+0.84 +15.1 17
2000-03-04 @ Masalli L 0-231.8 899 960 19.03% 17.75% 63.22%-0.84 -15.1 7
2000-03-04 Kapaz W 2-150.2 941 1133 31.36% 18.28% 50.35%-0.35 +17.5 11
2000-03-04 @ Qarabag L 1-250.2 1133 941 50.35% 18.28% 31.36%+0.35 -17.5 19
2000-03-04 Dinamo Baku L 0-339.6 903 949 51.31% 18.26% 30.42%+0.34 -51.8 13
2000-03-04 @ Shafa Baku W 3-039.6 949 903 30.42% 18.26% 51.31%-0.34 +51.8 14
2000-03-05 ANS Pivani Baku L 0-140.4 745 896 36.70% 18.36% 44.94%-0.16 -14.2 9
2000-03-05 @ Khazar Sumqayit W 1-040.4 896 745 44.94% 18.36% 36.70%+0.16 +14.2 12
2000-03-05 MOIK Baku W 1-029.4 1148 776 81.59% 14.42% 3.99%+2.32 +1.7 23
2000-03-05 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-129.4 776 1148 3.99% 14.42% 81.59%-2.32 -1.7 4
2000-03-05 Turan Tovuz W 2-136.2 1162 883 77.94% 15.62% 6.44%+1.88 +2.6 23
2000-03-05 @ Shamkir L 1-236.2 883 1162 6.44% 15.62% 77.94%-1.88 -2.6 5
2000-03-11 Masalli W 1-039.2 911 975 48.92% 18.31% 32.76%+0.25 +12.9 15
2000-03-11 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 0-139.2 975 911 32.76% 18.31% 48.92%-0.25 -12.9 17
2000-03-11 Shamkir L 0-327.6 774 1165 12.65% 17.08% 70.28%-1.29 -15.0 4
2000-03-11 @ MOIK Baku W 3-027.6 1165 774 70.28% 17.08% 12.65%+1.29 +15.0 26
2000-03-11 Khazar Sumqayit W 1-032.7 880 731 70.55% 17.04% 12.41%+1.27 +5.4 8
2000-03-11 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-132.7 731 880 12.41% 17.04% 70.55%-1.27 -5.4 9
2000-03-12 Neftchi Baku L 0-237.4 1001 1150 37.07% 18.36% 44.57%-0.15 -27.0 14
2000-03-12 @ Dinamo Baku W 2-037.4 1150 1001 44.57% 18.36% 37.07%+0.15 +27.1 26
2000-03-12 Shafa Baku W 1-030.7 1115 852 77.21% 15.81% 6.98%+1.81 +3.0 22
2000-03-12 @ Kapaz L 0-130.7 852 1115 6.98% 15.81% 77.21%-1.81 -3.0 13
2000-03-12 Qarabag D 0-051.3 884 959 47.46% 18.33% 34.20%+0.20 -1.2 8
2000-03-12 @ Khazar University D 0-051.3 959 884 34.20% 18.33% 47.46%-0.20 +1.2 12
2000-03-18 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-141.4 759 725 60.57% 17.92% 21.52%+0.72 +8.5 7
2000-03-18 @ MOIK Baku L 1-241.4 725 759 21.52% 17.92% 60.57%-0.72 -8.5 9
2000-03-18 ANS Pivani Baku L 2-355.5 885 924 52.27% 18.24% 29.49%+0.38 -17.2 8
2000-03-18 @ Turan Tovuz W 3-255.5 924 885 29.49% 18.24% 52.27%-0.38 +17.2 18
2000-03-19 Shamkir L 0-235.2 974 1180 29.58% 18.24% 52.18%-0.42 -22.4 14
2000-03-19 @ Dinamo Baku W 2-035.2 1180 974 52.18% 18.24% 29.58%+0.42 +22.4 29
2000-03-19 Neftchi Baku W 1-039.1 1118 1177 49.65% 18.30% 32.05%+0.28 +12.7 25
2000-03-19 @ Kapaz L 0-139.1 1177 1118 32.05% 18.30% 49.65%-0.28 -12.7 26
2000-03-19 Qarabag W 2-142.5 962 960 57.06% 18.09% 24.85%+0.57 +9.6 20
2000-03-19 @ Masalli L 1-242.5 960 962 24.85% 18.09% 57.06%-0.57 -9.6 12
2000-03-19 Khazar University W 2-143.7 849 882 52.81% 18.23% 28.97%+0.40 +11.0 16
2000-03-19 @ Shafa Baku L 1-243.7 882 849 28.97% 18.23% 52.81%-0.40 -11.0 8
2000-03-25 MOIK Baku D 1-156.6 941 768 72.14% 16.81% 11.05%+1.38 -5.5 19
2000-03-25 @ ANS Pivani Baku D 1-156.6 768 941 11.05% 16.81% 72.14%-1.38 +5.5 8
2000-03-25 Khazar Sumqayit L 0-151.4 951 717 75.75% 16.15% 8.10%+1.67 -27.5 14
2000-03-25 @ Dinamo Baku W 1-051.4 717 951 8.10% 16.15% 75.75%-1.67 +27.5 12
2000-03-25 Masalli L 0-142.5 868 971 43.58% 18.37% 38.06%+0.07 -16.4 8
2000-03-25 @ Turan Tovuz W 1-042.5 971 868 38.06% 18.37% 43.58%-0.07 +16.4 23
2000-03-26 Khazar University W 5-128.0 1164 871 78.53% 15.46% 6.02%+1.94 +7.8 29
2000-03-26 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-528.0 871 1164 6.02% 15.46% 78.53%-1.94 -7.8 8
2000-03-26 Kapaz W 2-140.4 1202 1131 64.20% 17.68% 18.12%+0.89 +7.2 32
2000-03-26 @ Shamkir L 1-240.4 1131 1202 18.12% 17.68% 64.20%-0.89 -7.2 25
2000-03-29 Turan Tovuz W 1-036.6 860 852 57.72% 18.06% 24.22%+0.59 +10.0 19
2000-03-29 @ Shafa Baku L 0-136.6 852 860 24.22% 18.06% 57.72%-0.59 -10.0 8
2000-03-29 Dinamo Baku L 0-241.1 864 924 49.42% 18.30% 32.27%+0.27 -34.5 8
2000-03-29 @ Khazar University W 2-041.1 924 864 32.27% 18.30% 49.42%-0.27 +34.5 17
2000-04-01 ANS Pivani Baku W 1-036.1 958 935 59.41% 17.98% 22.61%+0.67 +9.4 20
2000-04-01 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-136.1 935 958 22.61% 17.98% 59.41%-0.67 -9.4 19
2000-04-01 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-026.2 1124 744 81.85% 14.31% 3.84%+2.36 +3.1 28
2000-04-01 @ Kapaz L 0-226.2 744 1124 3.84% 14.31% 81.85%-2.36 -3.1 12
2000-04-01 Shamkir L 0-229.9 829 1210 13.30% 17.17% 69.53%-1.25 -10.8 8
2000-04-01 @ Khazar University W 2-029.9 1210 829 69.53% 17.17% 13.30%+1.25 +10.8 35
2000-04-02 Shafa Baku W 2-139.1 988 870 68.21% 17.32% 14.47%+1.12 +5.9 26
2000-04-02 @ Masalli L 1-239.1 870 988 14.47% 17.32% 68.21%-1.12 -5.9 19
2000-04-02 Turan Tovuz W 1-039.4 773 842 48.32% 18.32% 33.36%+0.23 +13.1 11
2000-04-02 @ MOIK Baku L 0-139.4 842 773 33.36% 18.32% 48.32%-0.23 -13.1 8
2000-04-02 Neftchi Baku D 1-156.3 950 1172 27.70% 18.19% 54.11%-0.49 +2.2 13
2000-04-02 @ Qarabag D 1-156.3 1172 950 54.11% 18.19% 27.70%+0.49 -2.2 30
2000-04-08 Kapaz L 0-333.2 926 1127 30.20% 18.26% 51.54%-0.40 -33.1 19
2000-04-08 @ ANS Pivani Baku W 3-033.2 1127 926 51.54% 18.26% 30.20%+0.40 +33.1 31
2000-04-08 Masalli L 0-235.1 787 994 29.46% 18.24% 52.30%-0.42 -22.3 11
2000-04-08 @ MOIK Baku W 2-035.1 994 787 52.30% 18.24% 29.46%+0.42 +22.3 29
2000-04-08 Qarabag W 1-030.7 1220 952 77.41% 15.76% 6.83%+1.83 +3.0 38
2000-04-08 @ Shamkir L 0-130.7 952 1220 6.83% 15.76% 77.41%-1.83 -3.0 13
2000-04-08 Dinamo Baku W 2-148.0 829 968 38.46% 18.37% 43.17%-0.10 +15.3 11
2000-04-08 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-248.0 968 829 43.17% 18.37% 38.46%+0.10 -15.3 20
2000-04-09 Khazar University W 1-039.7 741 818 47.16% 18.34% 34.50%+0.19 +13.5 15
2000-04-09 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 0-139.7 818 741 34.50% 18.34% 47.16%-0.19 -13.5 8
2000-04-09 Shafa Baku W 2-027.1 1170 864 79.09% 15.29% 5.62%+2.01 +4.6 33
2000-04-09 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-227.1 864 1170 5.62% 15.29% 79.09%-2.01 -4.6 19
2000-04-15 Khazar Sumqayit W 3-242.3 949 755 73.50% 16.59% 9.91%+1.48 +3.9 16
2000-04-15 @ Qarabag L 2-342.3 755 949 9.91% 16.59% 73.50%-1.48 -3.9 15
2000-04-15 Shamkir L 0-230.3 859 1223 14.39% 17.31% 68.30%-1.17 -11.7 19
2000-04-15 @ Shafa Baku W 2-030.3 1223 859 68.30% 17.31% 14.39%+1.17 +11.7 41
2000-04-16 MOIK Baku W 4-026.1 952 764 73.10% 16.66% 10.24%+1.45 +15.9 23
2000-04-16 @ Dinamo Baku L 0-426.1 764 952 10.24% 16.66% 73.10%-1.45 -15.9 11
2000-04-16 Turan Tovuz W 9-025.9 1160 844 79.50% 15.16% 5.34%+2.05 +17.8 34
2000-04-16 @ Kapaz L 0-925.9 844 1160 5.34% 15.16% 79.50%-2.05 -17.8 11
2000-04-16 Neftchi Baku W 2-148.9 1016 1174 35.77% 18.35% 45.88%-0.19 +16.1 32
2000-04-16 @ Masalli L 1-248.9 1174 1016 45.88% 18.35% 35.77%+0.19 -16.2 33
2000-04-16 ANS Pivani Baku W 1-040.2 805 893 45.69% 18.35% 35.96%+0.14 +14.0 11
2000-04-16 @ Khazar University L 0-140.2 893 805 35.96% 18.35% 45.69%-0.14 -14.0 19
2000-04-22 Qarabag D 2-261.8 879 953 47.52% 18.33% 34.15%+0.20 -0.8 20
2000-04-22 @ ANS Pivani Baku D 2-261.8 953 879 34.15% 18.33% 47.52%-0.20 +0.8 17
2000-04-22 Masalli W 2-144.9 968 1032 48.97% 18.31% 32.72%+0.25 +12.2 26
2000-04-22 @ Dinamo Baku L 1-244.9 1032 968 32.72% 18.31% 48.97%-0.25 -12.2 32
2000-04-22 Kapaz L 1-237.7 748 1178 10.43% 16.70% 72.88%-1.48 -4.3 11
2000-04-22 @ MOIK Baku W 2-137.7 1178 748 72.88% 16.70% 10.43%+1.48 +4.3 37
2000-04-23 Shafa Baku W 4-246.5 751 847 44.49% 18.36% 37.15%+0.10 +21.0 18
2000-04-23 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 2-446.5 847 751 37.15% 18.36% 44.49%-0.10 -21.0 19
2000-04-23 Neftchi Baku W 2-031.6 1235 1158 64.71% 17.64% 17.65%+0.92 +14.1 44
2000-04-23 @ Shamkir L 0-231.6 1158 1235 17.65% 17.64% 64.71%-0.92 -14.1 33
2000-04-23 Khazar University W 2-142.3 826 819 57.69% 18.06% 24.25%+0.59 +9.4 14
2000-04-23 @ Turan Tovuz L 1-242.3 819 826 24.25% 18.06% 57.69%-0.59 -9.4 11
2000-04-29 Shamkir L 1-340.0 1020 1249 26.82% 18.16% 55.01%-0.53 -17.8 32
2000-04-29 @ Masalli W 3-140.0 1249 1020 55.01% 18.16% 26.82%+0.53 +17.8 47
2000-04-29 Khazar Sumqayit W 4-023.5 1144 772 81.60% 14.42% 3.99%+2.32 +6.1 36
2000-04-29 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-423.5 772 1144 3.99% 14.42% 81.60%-2.32 -6.1 18
2000-04-29 ANS Pivani Baku L 0-241.4 826 878 50.56% 18.28% 31.16%+0.31 -35.2 19
2000-04-29 @ Shafa Baku W 2-041.4 878 826 31.16% 18.28% 50.56%-0.31 +35.2 23
2000-04-30 Dinamo Baku W 1-031.7 1182 981 73.91% 16.52% 9.57%+1.51 +4.2 40
2000-04-30 @ Kapaz L 0-131.7 981 1182 9.57% 16.52% 73.91%-1.51 -4.2 26
2000-04-30 Turan Tovuz D 0-051.6 954 836 68.23% 17.32% 14.46%+1.12 -5.4 18
2000-04-30 @ Qarabag D 0-051.6 836 954 14.46% 17.32% 68.23%-1.12 +5.4 15
2000-04-30 MOIK Baku W 2-031.7 809 744 63.66% 17.72% 18.62%+0.87 +14.8 14
2000-04-30 @ Khazar University L 0-231.7 744 809 18.62% 17.72% 63.66%-0.87 -14.8 11
2000-05-06 Khazar University W 3-135.2 976 824 70.73% 17.02% 12.25%+1.28 +8.7 29
2000-05-06 @ Dinamo Baku L 1-335.2 824 976 12.25% 17.02% 70.73%-1.28 -8.7 14
2000-05-06 Masalli W 3-026.9 1186 1002 72.85% 16.70% 10.45%+1.43 +12.4 43
2000-05-06 @ Kapaz L 0-326.9 1002 1186 10.45% 16.70% 72.85%-1.43 -12.4 32
2000-05-06 Qarabag D 1-156.2 729 949 27.96% 18.20% 53.84%-0.48 +2.2 12
2000-05-06 @ MOIK Baku D 1-156.2 949 729 53.84% 18.20% 27.96%+0.48 -2.2 19
2000-05-07 Neftchi Baku W 1-046.1 913 1150 25.95% 18.13% 55.92%-0.57 +20.5 26
2000-05-07 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 0-146.1 1150 913 55.92% 18.13% 25.95%+0.57 -20.5 36
2000-05-07 Shamkir D 0-052.0 766 1267 7.26% 15.90% 76.84%-1.82 +7.2 19
2000-05-07 @ Khazar Sumqayit D 0-052.0 1267 766 76.84% 15.90% 7.26%+1.82 -7.1 48
2000-05-07 Shafa Baku W 3-030.0 841 791 62.16% 17.82% 20.02%+0.79 +23.0 18
2000-05-07 @ Turan Tovuz L 0-330.0 791 841 20.02% 17.82% 62.16%-0.79 -23.0 19
2000-05-10 MOIK Baku FW48.9 768 731 60.85% 17.90% 21.25%+0.73 +0.0 22
2000-05-10 @ Shafa Baku FL48.9 731 768 21.25% 17.90% 60.85%-0.73 +0.0 12
2000-05-10 Khazar Sumqayit W 2-137.1 990 773 74.77% 16.35% 8.87%+1.58 +3.6 35
2000-05-10 @ Masalli L 1-237.1 773 990 8.87% 16.35% 74.77%-1.58 -3.6 19
2000-05-10 Turan Tovuz D 1-157.0 1130 864 77.29% 15.79% 6.92%+1.82 -6.5 37
2000-05-10 @ Neftchi Baku D 1-157.0 864 1130 6.92% 15.79% 77.29%-1.82 +6.5 19
2000-05-10 Dinamo Baku D 0-051.3 947 985 52.23% 18.24% 29.53%+0.37 -2.1 20
2000-05-10 @ Qarabag D 0-051.3 985 947 29.53% 18.24% 52.23%-0.37 +2.1 30
2000-05-10 Kapaz W 3-152.5 816 1199 13.13% 17.15% 69.73%-1.26 +41.5 17
2000-05-10 @ Khazar University L 1-352.5 1199 816 69.73% 17.15% 13.13%+1.26 -41.5 43
2000-05-10 ANS Pivani Baku W 1-029.9 1260 934 79.91% 15.03% 5.06%+2.10 +2.2 51
2000-05-10 @ Shamkir L 0-129.9 934 1260 5.06% 15.03% 79.91%-2.10 -2.2 26
2000-05-13 Shafa Baku D 0-051.9 987 768 74.90% 16.33% 8.77%+1.59 -6.8 31
2000-05-13 @ Dinamo Baku D 0-051.9 768 987 8.77% 16.33% 74.90%-1.59 +6.8 23
2000-05-13 Qarabag D 1-156.8 1157 944 74.55% 16.40% 9.05%+1.57 -6.0 44
2000-05-13 @ Kapaz D 1-156.8 944 1157 9.05% 16.40% 74.55%-1.57 +6.0 21
2000-05-13 Masalli D 0-051.3 857 993 38.86% 18.37% 42.77%-0.09 +0.4 18
2000-05-13 @ Khazar University D 0-051.3 993 857 42.77% 18.37% 38.86%+0.09 -0.4 36
2000-05-14 Khazar Sumqayit W 1-032.4 931 769 71.42% 16.92% 11.66%+1.33 +5.1 29
2000-05-14 @ ANS Pivani Baku L 0-132.4 769 931 11.66% 16.92% 71.42%-1.33 -5.1 19
2000-05-14 Neftchi Baku L 1-238.5 731 1123 12.57% 17.06% 70.36%-1.30 -5.1 12
2000-05-14 @ MOIK Baku W 2-138.5 1123 731 70.36% 17.06% 12.57%+1.30 +5.1 40
2000-05-14 Shamkir D 3-365.7 871 1262 12.60% 17.07% 70.33%-1.30 +3.2 20
2000-05-14 @ Turan Tovuz D 3-365.7 1262 871 70.33% 17.07% 12.60%+1.30 -3.2 52
2000-05-20 Turan Tovuz W 4-140.6 764 874 42.66% 18.37% 38.97%+0.04 +34.5 22
2000-05-20 @ Khazar Sumqayit L 1-440.6 874 764 38.97% 18.37% 42.66%-0.04 -34.5 20
2000-05-20 ANS Pivani Baku L 1-253.8 993 937 62.80% 17.78% 19.42%+0.82 -21.6 36
2000-05-20 @ Masalli W 2-153.8 937 993 19.42% 17.78% 62.80%-0.82 +21.6 32
2000-05-20 Dinamo Baku W 1-032.8 1128 980 70.44% 17.06% 12.51%+1.26 +5.4 43
2000-05-20 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-132.8 980 1128 12.51% 17.06% 70.44%-1.26 -5.4 31
2000-05-20 Khazar University W 2-030.9 950 857 66.14% 17.52% 16.34%+1.00 +13.1 24
2000-05-20 @ Qarabag L 0-230.9 857 950 16.34% 17.52% 66.14%-1.00 -13.1 18
2000-05-20 Kapaz W 3-260.2 775 1151 13.58% 17.21% 69.22%-1.23 +22.6 26
2000-05-20 @ Shafa Baku L 2-360.2 1151 775 69.22% 17.21% 13.58%+1.23 -22.5 44
2000-05-20 MOIK Baku W 3-130.6 1259 726 86.13% 12.15% 1.72%+3.08 +1.1 55
2000-05-20 @ Shamkir L 1-330.6 726 1259 1.72% 12.15% 86.13%-3.08 -1.1 12
2000-05-31 Qarabag D 2-261.8 798 964 34.74% 18.34% 46.92%-0.23 +0.7 27
2000-05-31 @ Shafa Baku D 2-261.8 964 798 46.92% 18.34% 34.74%+0.23 -0.7 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2000-03-25 8.10% Khazar Sumqayit 717 1 @ Dinamo Baku 951 0
2 2000-05-10 13.13% @ Khazar University 816 3 Kapaz 1199 1
3 2000-05-20 13.58% @ Shafa Baku 775 3 Kapaz 1151 2
4 1999-10-29 15.90% Shafa Baku 859 1 @ Khazar University 958 0
5 2000-05-20 19.42% ANS Pivani Baku 937 2 @ Masalli 993 1
6 1999-11-13 22.23% Dinamo Baku 924 1 @ ANS Pivani Baku 951 0
7 2000-05-07 25.95% @ ANS Pivani Baku 913 1 Neftchi Baku 1150 0
8 2000-03-18 29.49% ANS Pivani Baku 924 3 @ Turan Tovuz 885 2
9 1999-12-12 29.60% Khazar University 868 2 @ MOIK Baku 829 0
10 2000-03-04 30.42% Dinamo Baku 949 3 @ Shafa Baku 903 0
11 2000-04-29 31.16% ANS Pivani Baku 878 2 @ Shafa Baku 826 0
12 2000-03-04 31.36% @ Qarabag 941 2 Kapaz 1133 1
13 2000-03-29 32.27% Dinamo Baku 924 2 @ Khazar University 864 0
14 1999-11-21 32.91% Shamkir 1056 5 @ Qarabag 990 1
15 1999-11-06 33.14% @ Khazar Sumqayit 764 1 Dinamo Baku 942 0
16 1999-11-27 34.39% @ Khazar Sumqayit 768 1 Qarabag 936 0
17 2000-04-16 35.77% @ Masalli 1016 2 Neftchi Baku 1174 1
18 2000-02-27 36.76% Shafa Baku 887 1 @ MOIK Baku 793 0
19 2000-03-25 38.06% Masalli 971 1 @ Turan Tovuz 868 0
20 2000-04-08 38.46% @ Turan Tovuz 829 2 Dinamo Baku 968 1
21 1999-10-29 39.12% @ Khazar Sumqayit 734 2 MOIK Baku 868 0
22 1999-11-06 40.01% @ MOIK Baku 838 2 ANS Pivani Baku 966 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-11-21 53.87 Shamkir 5 1056 32.91% @ Qarabag 1 990 48.78% 18.31%
2 2000-03-04 51.79 Dinamo Baku 3 949 30.42% @ Shafa Baku 0 903 51.31% 18.26%
3 2000-05-10 41.47 @ Khazar University 3 816 13.13% Kapaz 1 1199 69.73% 17.15%
4 1999-12-12 36.19 Khazar University 2 868 29.60% @ MOIK Baku 0 829 52.16% 18.24%
5 1999-11-13 35.45 @ Shamkir 6 1020 66.69% Khazar University 0 921 15.84% 17.47%
6 2000-04-29 35.18 ANS Pivani Baku 2 878 31.16% @ Shafa Baku 0 826 50.56% 18.28%
7 2000-05-20 34.54 @ Khazar Sumqayit 4 764 42.66% Turan Tovuz 1 874 38.97% 18.37%
8 2000-03-29 34.47 Dinamo Baku 2 924 32.27% @ Khazar University 0 864 49.42% 18.30%
9 2000-02-26 33.27 Shamkir 3 1129 51.32% @ ANS Pivani Baku 0 930 30.41% 18.26%
10 2000-04-08 33.07 Kapaz 3 1127 51.54% @ ANS Pivani Baku 0 926 30.20% 18.26%
11 1999-12-04 30.98 @ Qarabag 3 919 53.81% ANS Pivani Baku 0 945 27.99% 18.20%
12 1999-10-29 30.28 @ Khazar Sumqayit 2 734 39.12% MOIK Baku 0 868 42.51% 18.37%
13 1999-11-06 28.48 @ Masalli 3 954 56.48% Turan Tovuz 0 957 25.41% 18.11%
14 1999-12-12 28.46 Kapaz 2 1099 42.21% @ Dinamo Baku 0 967 39.41% 18.37%
15 2000-03-25 27.53 Khazar Sumqayit 1 717 8.10% @ Dinamo Baku 0 951 75.75% 16.15%
16 2000-03-12 27.06 Neftchi Baku 2 1150 44.57% @ Dinamo Baku 0 1001 37.07% 18.36%
17 1999-11-14 24.57 @ Shafa Baku 3 871 42.37% Masalli 1 982 39.25% 18.37%
18 1999-10-29 24.27 Shafa Baku 1 859 15.90% @ Khazar University 0 958 66.63% 17.48%
19 2000-05-07 23.01 @ Turan Tovuz 3 841 62.16% Shafa Baku 0 791 20.02% 17.82%
20 2000-05-20 22.55 @ Shafa Baku 3 775 13.58% Kapaz 2 1151 69.22% 17.21%
21 2000-03-19 22.37 Shamkir 2 1180 52.18% @ Dinamo Baku 0 974 29.58% 18.24%
22 2000-04-08 22.29 Masalli 2 994 52.30% @ MOIK Baku 0 787 29.46% 18.24%
23 2000-02-26 21.84 Masalli 3 938 47.60% @ Khazar Sumqayit 1 767 34.07% 18.33%
24 1999-11-13 21.83 Dinamo Baku 1 924 22.23% @ ANS Pivani Baku 0 951 59.81% 17.96%
25 2000-05-20 21.57 ANS Pivani Baku 2 937 19.42% @ Masalli 1 993 62.80% 17.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-05-14 65.7 @ Turan Tovuz 3 871 12.60% Shamkir 3 1262 70.33% 17.07%
2 2000-04-22 61.8 @ ANS Pivani Baku 2 879 47.52% Qarabag 2 953 34.15% 18.33%
3 2000-05-31 61.8 @ Shafa Baku 2 798 34.74% Qarabag 2 964 46.92% 18.34%
4 2000-05-20 60.2 @ Shafa Baku 3 775 13.58% Kapaz 2 1151 69.22% 17.21%
5 2000-05-10 57.0 @ Neftchi Baku 1 1130 77.29% Turan Tovuz 1 864 6.92% 15.79%
6 2000-05-13 56.8 @ Kapaz 1 1157 74.55% Qarabag 1 944 9.05% 16.40%
7 2000-03-25 56.6 @ ANS Pivani Baku 1 941 72.14% MOIK Baku 1 768 11.05% 16.81%
8 2000-04-02 56.3 @ Qarabag 1 950 27.70% Neftchi Baku 1 1172 54.11% 18.19%
9 1999-12-04 56.2 @ Masalli 1 949 55.07% Dinamo Baku 1 964 26.77% 18.16%
10 2000-05-06 56.2 @ MOIK Baku 1 729 27.96% Qarabag 1 949 53.84% 18.20%
11 2000-03-18 55.5 ANS Pivani Baku 3 924 29.49% @ Turan Tovuz 2 885 52.27% 18.24%
12 2000-05-20 53.8 ANS Pivani Baku 2 937 19.42% @ Masalli 1 993 62.80% 17.78%
13 2000-05-10 52.5 @ Khazar University 3 816 13.13% Kapaz 1 1199 69.73% 17.15%
14 2000-05-07 52.0 @ Khazar Sumqayit 0 766 7.26% Shamkir 0 1267 76.84% 15.90%
15 2000-05-13 51.9 @ Dinamo Baku 0 987 74.90% Shafa Baku 0 768 8.77% 16.33%
16 2000-04-30 51.6 @ Qarabag 0 954 68.23% Turan Tovuz 0 836 14.46% 17.32%
17 1999-10-29 51.4 @ Qarabag 0 995 61.70% Masalli 0 950 20.44% 17.85%
18 1999-11-07 51.4 @ Kapaz 0 1066 62.20% Shamkir 0 1016 19.98% 17.82%
19 1999-12-05 51.4 @ Neftchi Baku 0 1124 57.66% Shamkir 0 1117 24.28% 18.06%
20 2000-03-25 51.4 Khazar Sumqayit 1 717 8.10% @ Dinamo Baku 0 951 75.75% 16.15%
21 1999-11-21 51.3 @ Shafa Baku 0 895 28.38% Neftchi Baku 0 1111 53.41% 18.21%
22 1999-12-05 51.3 @ Khazar University 0 870 52.89% Turan Tovuz 0 903 28.89% 18.23%
23 1999-12-12 51.3 @ Turan Tovuz 0 906 51.50% Qarabag 0 950 30.24% 18.26%
24 2000-03-12 51.3 @ Khazar University 0 884 47.46% Qarabag 0 959 34.20% 18.33%
25 2000-05-10 51.3 @ Qarabag 0 947 52.23% Dinamo Baku 0 985 29.53% 18.24%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-04-29 23.5 @ Neftchi Baku 4 1144 81.60% Khazar Sumqayit 0 772 3.99% 14.42%
2 2000-04-16 25.9 @ Kapaz 9 1160 79.50% Turan Tovuz 0 844 5.34% 15.16%
3 2000-04-16 26.1 @ Dinamo Baku 4 952 73.10% MOIK Baku 0 764 10.24% 16.66%
4 2000-04-01 26.2 @ Kapaz 2 1124 81.85% Khazar Sumqayit 0 744 3.84% 14.31%
5 2000-05-06 26.9 @ Kapaz 3 1186 72.85% Masalli 0 1002 10.45% 16.70%
6 2000-04-09 27.1 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1170 79.09% Shafa Baku 0 864 5.62% 15.29%
7 1999-11-27 27.6 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1109 70.22% Masalli 0 964 12.70% 17.08%
8 2000-03-11 27.6 Shamkir 3 1165 70.28% @ MOIK Baku 0 774 12.65% 17.08%
9 2000-03-26 28.0 @ Neftchi Baku 5 1164 78.53% Khazar University 1 871 6.02% 15.46%
10 1999-11-27 28.4 @ Shamkir 2 1109 74.49% Shafa Baku 0 898 9.10% 16.41%
11 1999-12-04 28.5 @ Kapaz 5 1089 76.56% MOIK Baku 1 839 7.47% 15.97%
12 1999-11-13 28.7 @ Shamkir 6 1020 66.69% Khazar University 0 921 15.84% 17.47%
13 1999-12-11 29.1 @ Shamkir 2 1120 72.16% Masalli 0 947 11.03% 16.81%
14 2000-03-05 29.4 @ Neftchi Baku 1 1148 81.59% MOIK Baku 0 776 3.99% 14.42%
15 2000-04-01 29.9 Shamkir 2 1210 69.53% @ Khazar University 0 829 13.30% 17.17%
16 2000-05-10 29.9 @ Shamkir 1 1260 79.91% ANS Pivani Baku 0 934 5.06% 15.03%
17 2000-05-07 30.0 @ Turan Tovuz 3 841 62.16% Shafa Baku 0 791 20.02% 17.82%
18 2000-04-15 30.3 Shamkir 2 1223 68.30% @ Shafa Baku 0 859 14.39% 17.31%
19 1999-11-07 30.6 @ Qarabag 2 991 67.40% Shafa Baku 0 883 15.20% 17.40%
20 1999-12-04 30.6 @ Shafa Baku 2 890 67.13% Khazar Sumqayit 0 785 15.44% 17.43%
21 2000-05-20 30.6 @ Shamkir 3 1259 86.13% MOIK Baku 1 726 1.72% 12.15%
22 2000-03-12 30.7 @ Kapaz 1 1115 77.21% Shafa Baku 0 852 6.98% 15.81%
23 2000-04-08 30.7 @ Shamkir 1 1220 77.41% Qarabag 0 952 6.83% 15.76%
24 1999-11-14 30.9 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1098 66.31% Qarabag 0 1003 16.19% 17.51%
25 2000-05-20 30.9 @ Qarabag 2 950 66.14% Khazar University 0 857 16.34% 17.52%