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2001-02 Azerbaijan Top League Season

175 games

Final

Champion

No Champion

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Qarabag

6.38 points above expected

40 points · 33.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dinamo Bakili Baku

10.74 points below expected

4 points · 14.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamkir 22 15 5 2 50 48 14 +34 50.85 -0.85
2 Neftchi Baku 22 13 5 4 44 34 7 +27 47.90 -3.90
3 Shafa Baku 22 13 5 4 44 37 13 +24 41.23 +2.77
4 Qarabag 22 13 1 8 40 40 26 +14 33.62 +6.38
5 Ganja 22 12 2 8 38 39 31 +8 32.37 +5.63
6 Xazar Universitesi Baku 22 11 3 8 36 30 24 +6 32.65 +3.35
7 Turan 22 10 5 7 35 28 26 +2 30.94 +4.06
8 Araz-Naxcivan 22 6 6 10 24 25 31 -6 21.10 +2.90
9 Tafekkur University Baku 22 6 4 12 22 20 47 -27 30.13 -8.13
10 Shahdag Qusar 22 5 5 12 20 16 39 -23 18.40 +1.60
11 MOIK Baku 22 4 3 15 15 15 37 -22 16.04 -1.04
12 Dinamo Bakili Baku 22 0 4 18 4 9 46 -37 14.74 -10.74
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamkir 8 6 2 0 20 20 6 +14 68.76 -48.76
2 MOIK Baku 8 6 1 1 19 15 6 +9 12.99 +6.01
3 Shahdag Qusar 8 6 0 2 18 18 8 +10 15.00 +3.00
4 Neftchi Baku 9 4 4 1 16 9 4 +5 58.89 -42.89
5 Turan 8 4 2 2 14 12 9 +3 22.47 -8.47
6 Qarabag 8 2 2 4 8 7 15 -8 53.71 -45.71
7 Tafekkur University Baku 8 2 1 5 7 9 18 -9 8.95 -1.95
8 Xazar Universitesi Baku 9 1 3 5 6 14 18 -4 47.53 -41.53
9 Ganja 8 1 3 4 6 9 16 -7 46.53 -40.53
10 Shafa Baku 4 1 2 1 5 1 1 0 60.41 -55.41
11 Dinamo Bakili Baku 8 0 0 8 0 8 21 -13 7.62 -7.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Qarabag 40 33.62 +6.38
2 Ganja 38 32.37 +5.63
3 Turan 35 30.94 +4.06
4 Xazar Universitesi Baku 36 32.65 +3.35
5 Araz-Naxcivan 24 21.10 +2.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dinamo Bakili Baku 4 14.74 -10.74
2 Tafekkur University Baku 22 30.13 -8.13
3 Neftchi Baku 44 47.90 -3.90
4 MOIK Baku 15 16.04 -1.04
5 Shamkir 50 50.85 -0.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Xazar Universitesi Baku 6 Dec 1 – Mar 3 1 in 407
2 Turan 5 Dec 6 – Feb 27 1 in 24
3 Tafekkur University Baku 3 Aug 26 – Sep 17 1 in 16
4 Shamkir 5 Aug 19 – Sep 22 1 in 13
5 Qarabag 5 Dec 19 – Mar 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Bakili Baku 11 Nov 10 – Mar 10 1 in 47
2 Araz-Naxcivan 5 Dec 23 – Mar 17 1 in 32
3 Tafekkur University Baku 5 Dec 5 – Dec 22 1 in 30
4 Qarabag 3 Dec 1 – Dec 9 1 in 25
5 Turan 3 Aug 18 – Sep 10 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Xazar Universitesi Baku 7 Dec 1 – Mar 10 1 in 22
2 Tafekkur University Baku 7 Aug 26 – Oct 28 1 in 21
3 Shafa Baku 9 Nov 4 – Dec 26 1 in 16
4 Turan 6 Dec 1 – Feb 27 1 in 16
5 Dinamo Bakili Baku 2 Oct 13 – Oct 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Bakili Baku 22 Aug 19 – Mar 17 1 in 92
2 Shafa Baku 4 Sep 10 – Oct 13 1 in 20
3 Neftchi Baku 2 Oct 28 – Nov 3 1 in 12
4 Araz-Naxcivan 7 Dec 9 – Mar 17 1 in 8
5 Shamkir 2 Dec 1 – Dec 6 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamkir 1443 64 -3 11 10.9 +0.1
Neftchi Baku 1404 60 +107 8 6.3 +1.7
Turan 1091 49 -23 7 8.6 -1.6
Qarabag 1088 48 -11 7 8.1 -1.1
Shafa Baku 1269 46 -19 8 9.7 -1.7
Ganja 1007 44 -100 2 5.5 -3.5
Xazar Universitesi Baku 1117 39 +22 5 3.5 +1.5
Shahdag Qusar 1216 38 +360 15 8.5 +6.5
MOIK Baku 1005 34 +69 10 6.5 +3.5
Tafekkur University Baku 430 26 -305 3 5.9 -2.9
Araz-Naxcivan 925 24 -45 4 5.2 -1.2
Dinamo Bakili Baku 334 4 -103 0 4.7 -4.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARA DBB GAN MB NB QAR SB SQ SHA TUB TUR XUB
Araz-Naxcivan —
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.97
0-1-1
0.86
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.35
0-2-0
3.65
0-1-1
0.77
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
1.93
Dinamo Bakili Baku
0-0-2
2.47
—
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
0.55
0-0-2
1.81
0-1-1
0.62
0-1-1
1.79
0-0-2
0.43
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.31
0-0-2
1.04
Ganja
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.47
—
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.15
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.18
MOIK Baku
1-0-1
1.61
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
1.48
—
0-0-2
0.60
0-0-2
0.98
0-1-1
0.59
0-0-2
2.97
0-0-2
0.61
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
1.10
Neftchi Baku
1-1-0
4.75
1-1-0
5.10
1-0-1
4.23
2-0-0
5.04
—
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
5.01
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
4.20
1-0-1
4.47
1-1-0
4.50
Qarabag
1-0-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
1.88
—
1-0-1
1.87
2-0-0
4.19
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.91
Shafa Baku
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
5.02
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
5.04
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
3.71
—
1-0-1
4.84
1-0-1
1.50
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.59
Shahdag Qusar
0-2-0
1.93
1-1-0
3.79
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
0.78
—
0-1-1
0.59
1-1-0
1.39
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
1.22
Shamkir
1-1-0
4.85
2-0-0
5.24
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
5.02
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
4.09
1-1-0
5.05
—
1-1-0
4.72
1-1-0
4.79
1-0-1
4.64
Tafekkur University Baku
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
4.12
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
3.73
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.11
0-1-1
4.19
0-1-1
0.90
—
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.74
Turan
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
4.30
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
1.12
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.34
2-0-0
3.65
0-1-1
0.82
1-1-0
3.83
—
1-0-1
2.90
Xazar Universitesi Baku
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
4.50
0-1-1
1.10
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
0.96
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.68
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +11.2
Allowed 0.77 -9.5
Differential 0.94 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.71%9.14%8.00%3.71%1.14%2.00%33.71%
19.14%6.29%4.86%2.00%2.00%0.57%24.86%
28.00%4.86%2.86%3.71%0.86%0.29%20.57%
33.71%2.00%3.71%0.57%0.57%—10.57%
41.14%2.00%0.86%0.57%——4.57%
5+2.00%0.57%0.29%——2.86%5.71%
Total33.71%24.86%20.57%10.57%4.57%5.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.09
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min -1 -1 -9

Games Played: 175

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
19.09%4.55%——9.09%—22.73%
29.09%—13.64%———22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—————18.18%18.18%
Total27.27%4.55%27.27%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.23 -0.27
SD 1.43 1.72 1.61
CV 1.50 1.40 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%16.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%63.33%
1—3.33%10.00%———13.33%
2———10.00%6.67%—16.67%
3————3.33%—3.33%
4———————
5+—————3.33%3.33%
Total10.00%16.67%26.67%26.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.20 -1.67
SD 0.94 1.49 1.35
CV 1.76 0.68 —
Max 3 6 +0
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%13.33%———23.33%
13.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%——26.67%
36.67%—6.67%———13.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+———————
Total23.33%26.67%30.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.57 +0.03
SD 1.28 1.28 1.96
CV 0.80 0.82 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%23.33%16.67%—3.33%3.33%53.33%
1—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
210.00%10.00%—3.33%——23.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%43.33%23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.43 -0.43
SD 1.23 1.30 1.91
CV 1.23 0.91 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.35%12.90%————32.26%
122.58%6.45%3.23%———32.26%
216.13%—3.23%———19.35%
33.23%3.23%————6.45%
43.23%—————3.23%
5+6.45%—————6.45%
Total70.97%22.58%6.45%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.35 +1.03
SD 1.52 0.61 1.72
CV 1.10 1.71 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%——23.33%
113.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
26.67%13.33%—3.33%——23.33%
36.67%—3.33%3.33%——13.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total33.33%23.33%23.33%16.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.37 +0.20
SD 1.45 1.30 2.12
CV 0.93 0.95 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%15.38%————34.62%
111.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+3.85%————3.85%7.69%
Total50.00%38.46%7.69%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.50 +0.92
SD 1.63 0.71 1.65
CV 1.14 1.41 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%—6.67%33.33%
116.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
26.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%16.67%20.00%16.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.57 -0.43
SD 1.17 1.63 2.27
CV 1.03 1.04 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
116.67%10.00%————26.67%
210.00%—3.33%6.67%——20.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
5+6.67%3.33%———6.67%16.67%
Total50.00%26.67%10.00%6.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 0.60 +1.60
SD 2.12 1.00 2.11
CV 0.97 1.67 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%43.33%
13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%—26.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+—————3.33%3.33%
Total16.67%16.67%30.00%13.33%13.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 2.13 -1.20
SD 1.20 1.96 2.43
CV 1.29 0.92 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min -1 -1 -9

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
113.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—3.33%26.67%
33.33%—6.67%———10.00%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total43.33%26.67%13.33%10.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.17 +0.17
SD 1.24 1.44 1.93
CV 0.93 1.23 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.45%12.90%9.68%———29.03%
1—6.45%9.68%3.23%3.23%—22.58%
212.90%3.23%3.23%—3.23%—22.58%
33.23%6.45%6.45%3.23%——19.35%
4———————
5+—3.23%———3.23%6.45%
Total22.58%32.26%29.03%6.45%6.45%3.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.32 +0.06
SD 1.36 1.19 1.71
CV 0.98 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shamkir 1443 50 50.85 -0.85 45.0% 41 43 48 51 54 57 59
Neftchi Baku 1404 44 47.90 -3.90 25.0% 34 38 44 47 52 58 62
Shafa Baku 1269 44 41.23 +2.77 75.0% 30 33 37 42 44 49 54
Shahdag Qusar 1216 20 18.40 +1.60 66.0% 8 11 15 18 22 26 33
Xazar Universitesi Baku 1117 36 32.65 +3.35 80.0% 20 24 29 33 36 42 47
Turan 1091 35 30.94 +4.06 82.0% 17 21 27 31 34 40 45
Qarabag 1088 40 33.62 +6.38 91.0% 19 23 29 35 38 41 48
Ganja 1007 38 32.37 +5.63 88.0% 19 23 29 32 36 41 45
MOIK Baku 1005 15 16.04 -1.04 52.0% 5 7 12 15 19 26 33
Araz-Naxcivan 925 24 21.10 +2.90 75.0% 9 11 18 21 24 29 34
Tafekkur University Baku 430 22 30.13 -8.13 5.0% 16 22 27 30 33 39 49
Dinamo Bakili Baku 334 4 14.74 -10.74 1.0% 4 8 12 15 17 22 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.00%
Strong Edge
54.29%19.43%26.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge
225 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
097.80600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Comfortable
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.2 * Some Luck: 4.2 to 6.3 * Lucky: 6.3 to 8.4 * Wild Swing: 8.4 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.38 * Off: 1.38 to 1.84 * Way Off: 1.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.14 points
Some Luck
05.2513
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.33
Pinpoint
01.152.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.00%
Qarabag
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Dinamo Bakili Baku
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 244.99
2.17
Moderate Separation
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
89%
Wide Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Shaky Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.35
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shamkir57.00%39.00%4.00%—————————
Neftchi Baku35.00%45.00%15.00%4.00%—1.00%——————
Shafa Baku7.00%15.00%46.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%—————
Qarabag——8.00%32.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%——
Ganja——9.00%19.00%23.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%——
Xazar Universitesi Baku—1.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%23.00%20.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%——
Turan——8.00%10.00%13.00%24.00%17.00%17.00%8.00%3.00%——
Araz-Naxcivan————2.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%30.00%34.00%11.00%7.00%
Tafekkur University Baku1.00%—3.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%24.00%24.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%—
Shahdag Qusar————1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%21.00%29.00%23.00%17.00%
MOIK Baku——————1.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%28.00%38.00%
Dinamo Bakili Baku———————4.00%5.00%17.00%36.00%38.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Ganja 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Shafa Baku 100% —
Shamkir 100% —
Turan 100% —
Xazar Universitesi Baku 99.00% 1.00%
Araz-Naxcivan 95.00% 5.00%
Shahdag Qusar 92.00% 8.00%
Tafekkur University Baku 88.00% 12.00%
MOIK Baku 85.00% 15.00%
Dinamo Bakili Baku 41.00% 59.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Ganja 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Shafa Baku 100% —
Shamkir 100% —
Xazar Universitesi Baku 100% —
Turan 99.54% 0.46%
Shahdag Qusar 92.50% 7.50%
MOIK Baku 88.38% 11.62%
Tafekkur University Baku 68.50% 31.50%
Dinamo Bakili Baku 55.28% 44.72%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-08-18 Ganja W 3-138.6 1066 986 60.27% 20.83% 18.90%+0.75 +30.8 3
2001-08-18 @ Shafa Baku L 1-338.6 986 1066 18.90% 20.83% 60.27%-0.75 -30.8 0
2001-08-18 Neftchi Baku L 0-432.1 1022 1234 23.97% 21.02% 55.01%-0.55 -82.8 0
2001-08-18 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 4-032.1 1234 1022 55.01% 21.02% 23.97%+0.55 +82.8 3
2001-08-18 Turan W 3-250.4 1049 1100 45.05% 21.19% 33.76%+0.16 +27.5 3
2001-08-18 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 2-350.4 1100 1049 33.76% 21.19% 45.05%-0.16 -27.5 0
2001-08-19 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 1-038.9 973 989 49.74% 21.13% 29.12%+0.32 +27.2 3
2001-08-19 @ Qarabag L 0-138.9 989 973 29.12% 21.13% 49.74%-0.32 -27.2 0
2001-08-19 MOIK Baku W 6-025.2 1289 873 78.49% 18.17% 3.34%+2.25 +18.5 3
2001-08-19 @ Shamkir L 0-625.2 873 1289 3.34% 18.17% 78.49%-2.25 -18.6 0
2001-08-25 Araz-Naxcivan L 2-454.4 961 892 59.24% 20.87% 19.88%+0.70 -72.7 0
2001-08-25 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 4-254.4 892 961 19.88% 20.87% 59.24%-0.70 +72.7 3
2001-08-25 Shahdag Qusar L 1-250.8 854 858 51.25% 21.11% 27.65%+0.38 -40.9 0
2001-08-25 @ MOIK Baku W 2-150.8 858 854 27.65% 21.11% 51.25%-0.38 +40.9 3
2001-08-26 Shamkir L 2-343.7 955 1308 12.16% 20.35% 67.50%-1.18 -11.3 0
2001-08-26 @ Ganja W 3-243.7 1308 955 67.50% 20.35% 12.16%+1.18 +11.3 6
2001-08-26 Tafekkur University Baku L 0-147.6 1000 939 58.48% 20.91% 20.61%+0.67 -49.1 3
2001-08-26 @ Qarabag W 1-047.6 939 1000 20.61% 20.91% 58.48%-0.67 +49.1 3
2001-08-27 Shafa Baku L 0-242.2 1072 1097 48.56% 21.15% 30.29%+0.28 -77.9 0
2001-08-27 @ Turan W 2-042.2 1097 1072 30.29% 21.15% 48.56%-0.28 +77.9 6
2001-08-27 Xazar Universitesi Baku D 0-050.5 1316 1076 71.72% 19.83% 8.44%+1.46 -14.9 4
2001-08-27 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 1076 1316 8.44% 19.83% 71.72%-1.46 +14.9 4
2001-09-08 Ganja L 0-143.9 898 944 45.80% 21.18% 33.02%+0.19 -39.3 3
2001-09-08 @ Shahdag Qusar W 1-043.9 944 898 33.02% 21.18% 45.80%-0.19 +39.3 3
2001-09-08 Qarabag L 1-254.8 1091 951 65.36% 20.53% 14.11%+1.02 -51.8 4
2001-09-08 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-154.8 951 1091 14.11% 20.53% 65.36%-1.02 +51.8 6
2001-09-09 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-032.6 988 889 62.03% 20.74% 17.23%+0.84 +32.8 6
2001-09-09 @ Tafekkur University Baku L 0-232.6 889 988 17.23% 20.74% 62.03%-0.84 -32.8 0
2001-09-09 MOIK Baku W 1-033.9 965 814 66.21% 20.46% 13.33%+1.07 +13.8 6
2001-09-09 @ Araz-Naxcivan L 0-133.9 814 965 13.33% 20.46% 66.21%-1.07 -13.8 0
2001-09-10 Neftchi Baku L 0-140.9 1175 1302 34.48% 21.19% 44.33%-0.17 -31.2 6
2001-09-10 @ Shafa Baku W 1-040.9 1302 1175 44.33% 21.19% 34.48%+0.17 +31.2 7
2001-09-10 Turan W 1-031.3 1319 994 75.47% 19.10% 5.43%+1.84 +5.8 9
2001-09-10 @ Shamkir L 0-131.3 994 1319 5.43% 19.10% 75.47%-1.84 -5.8 0
2001-09-12 Araz-Naxcivan D 1-154.3 859 978 35.50% 21.20% 43.30%-0.14 +1.4 4
2001-09-12 @ Shahdag Qusar D 1-154.3 978 859 43.30% 21.20% 35.50%+0.14 -1.4 7
2001-09-15 Araz-Naxcivan W 4-138.4 983 977 52.40% 21.08% 26.52%+0.42 +58.1 6
2001-09-15 @ Ganja L 1-438.4 977 983 26.52% 21.08% 52.40%-0.42 -58.2 7
2001-09-15 MOIK Baku L 1-252.7 856 800 57.92% 20.93% 21.16%+0.64 -45.9 0
2001-09-15 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-152.7 800 856 21.16% 20.93% 57.92%-0.64 +45.9 3
2001-09-15 Shafa Baku W 2-149.3 1003 1144 32.62% 21.18% 46.20%-0.23 +37.3 9
2001-09-15 @ Qarabag L 1-249.3 1144 1003 46.20% 21.18% 32.62%+0.23 -37.3 6
2001-09-17 Shahdag Qusar W 3-030.0 989 861 64.46% 20.59% 14.95%+0.96 +41.9 3
2001-09-17 @ Turan L 0-330.0 861 989 14.95% 20.59% 64.46%-0.96 -41.9 4
2001-09-17 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 3-141.9 1021 1039 49.32% 21.14% 29.54%+0.31 +45.0 9
2001-09-17 @ Tafekkur University Baku L 1-341.9 1039 1021 29.54% 21.14% 49.32%-0.31 -45.0 4
2001-09-17 Shamkir L 0-147.3 1333 1325 52.57% 21.08% 26.35%+0.43 -44.4 7
2001-09-17 @ Neftchi Baku W 1-047.3 1325 1333 26.35% 21.08% 52.57%-0.43 +44.4 12
2001-09-22 Qarabag W 5-129.8 1369 1040 75.63% 19.06% 5.31%+1.86 +16.9 15
2001-09-22 @ Shamkir L 1-529.8 1040 1369 5.31% 19.06% 75.63%-1.86 -16.9 9
2001-09-22 Turan D 2-259.7 919 1031 36.53% 21.20% 42.27%-0.11 +0.8 8
2001-09-22 @ Araz-Naxcivan D 2-259.7 1031 919 42.27% 21.20% 36.53%+0.11 -0.8 4
2001-09-23 Ganja D 1-154.4 846 1042 25.78% 21.07% 53.15%-0.48 +5.2 4
2001-09-23 @ MOIK Baku D 1-154.4 1042 846 53.15% 21.07% 25.78%+0.48 -5.2 7
2001-09-23 Neftchi Baku L 0-131.6 819 1288 6.63% 19.45% 73.92%-1.70 -7.1 4
2001-09-23 @ Shahdag Qusar W 1-031.6 1288 819 73.92% 19.45% 6.63%+1.70 +7.1 10
2001-09-29 MOIK Baku W 2-030.8 1030 851 68.14% 20.28% 11.58%+1.19 +22.8 7
2001-09-29 @ Turan L 0-230.8 851 1030 11.58% 20.28% 68.14%-1.19 -22.8 4
2001-09-29 Shamkir D 1-154.8 1066 1386 14.26% 20.54% 65.20%-1.04 +10.4 10
2001-09-29 @ Tafekkur University Baku D 1-154.8 1386 1066 65.20% 20.54% 14.26%+1.04 -10.4 16
2001-09-30 Araz-Naxcivan W 3-026.2 1295 920 77.27% 18.59% 4.14%+2.07 +12.1 13
2001-09-30 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-326.2 920 1295 4.14% 18.59% 77.27%-2.07 -12.1 8
2001-09-30 Shahdag Qusar W 6-027.7 1024 812 70.18% 20.05% 9.77%+1.34 +54.0 12
2001-09-30 @ Qarabag L 0-627.7 812 1024 9.77% 20.05% 70.18%-1.34 -54.0 4
2001-10-01 Ganja L 2-346.9 810 1036 22.48% 20.97% 56.55%-0.62 -19.6 0
2001-10-01 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-246.9 1036 810 56.55% 20.97% 22.48%+0.62 +19.6 10
2001-10-01 Shafa Baku D 0-049.9 994 1106 36.49% 21.20% 42.31%-0.11 +1.2 5
2001-10-01 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku D 0-049.9 1106 994 42.31% 21.20% 36.49%+0.11 -1.2 7
2001-10-13 Dinamo Bakili Baku D 0-050.5 1105 790 75.09% 19.19% 5.72%+1.80 -16.5 8
2001-10-13 @ Shafa Baku D 0-050.5 790 1105 5.72% 19.19% 75.09%-1.80 +16.5 1
2001-10-13 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-028.2 1376 995 77.41% 18.55% 4.04%+2.09 +8.1 19
2001-10-13 @ Shamkir L 0-228.2 995 1376 4.04% 18.55% 77.41%-2.09 -8.1 5
2001-10-13 Tafekkur University Baku D 0-050.1 758 1076 14.43% 20.55% 65.02%-1.03 +11.5 5
2001-10-13 @ Shahdag Qusar D 0-050.1 1076 758 65.02% 20.55% 14.43%+1.03 -11.5 11
2001-10-14 Neftchi Baku L 0-131.5 828 1308 6.30% 19.36% 74.34%-1.75 -6.7 4
2001-10-14 @ MOIK Baku W 1-031.5 1308 828 74.34% 19.36% 6.30%+1.75 +6.7 16
2001-10-14 Qarabag W 3-255.2 907 1078 28.85% 21.13% 50.03%-0.37 +38.0 11
2001-10-14 @ Araz-Naxcivan L 2-355.2 1078 907 50.03% 21.13% 28.85%+0.37 -38.0 12
2001-10-14 Turan W 3-033.8 1056 1053 52.03% 21.09% 26.88%+0.41 +69.8 13
2001-10-14 @ Ganja L 0-333.8 1053 1056 26.88% 21.09% 52.03%-0.41 -69.8 7
2001-10-20 Ganja W 2-030.9 1314 1126 68.77% 20.22% 11.02%+1.23 +21.8 19
2001-10-20 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-230.9 1126 1314 11.02% 20.22% 68.77%-1.23 -21.8 13
2001-10-21 Araz-Naxcivan D 2-259.9 1064 945 63.72% 20.64% 15.64%+0.92 -7.2 12
2001-10-21 @ Tafekkur University Baku D 2-259.9 945 1064 15.64% 20.64% 63.72%-0.92 +7.2 12
2001-10-21 Shahdag Qusar W 2-030.1 987 769 70.53% 20.00% 9.46%+1.37 +18.9 8
2001-10-21 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 0-230.1 769 987 9.46% 20.00% 70.53%-1.37 -18.8 5
2001-10-21 Turan D 1-154.3 807 983 28.14% 21.12% 50.74%-0.39 +4.3 2
2001-10-21 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku D 1-154.3 983 807 50.74% 21.12% 28.14%+0.39 -4.3 8
2001-10-22 Shamkir W 3-259.4 1089 1384 16.17% 20.68% 63.15%-0.92 +47.4 11
2001-10-22 @ Shafa Baku L 2-359.4 1384 1089 63.15% 20.68% 16.17%+0.92 -47.4 19
2001-10-24 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-030.5 1006 811 69.16% 20.17% 10.67%+1.26 +21.1 11
2001-10-24 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 0-230.5 811 1006 10.67% 20.17% 69.16%-1.26 -21.1 2
2001-10-27 Dinamo Bakili Baku FW49.0 1337 790 81.65% 16.67% 1.67%+2.83 +0.0 22
2001-10-27 @ Shamkir FL49.0 790 1337 1.67% 16.67% 81.65%-2.83 +0.0 2
2001-10-27 Shafa Baku W 1-050.7 750 1136 10.25% 20.12% 69.63%-1.33 +58.7 8
2001-10-27 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-150.7 1136 750 69.63% 20.12% 10.25%+1.33 -58.7 11
2001-10-27 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 1-041.3 953 1027 41.80% 21.21% 36.99%+0.06 +33.0 15
2001-10-27 @ Araz-Naxcivan L 0-141.3 1027 953 36.99% 21.21% 41.80%-0.06 -33.0 11
2001-10-28 Neftchi Baku W 1-050.3 979 1336 11.85% 20.31% 67.84%-1.20 +57.1 11
2001-10-28 @ Turan L 0-150.3 1336 979 67.84% 20.31% 11.85%+1.20 -57.1 19
2001-10-28 Qarabag W 2-141.5 1104 1040 58.74% 20.90% 20.37%+0.68 +19.0 16
2001-10-28 @ Ganja L 1-241.5 1040 1104 20.37% 20.90% 58.74%-0.68 -19.0 12
2001-10-28 Tafekkur University Baku L 2-346.6 821 1057 21.49% 20.94% 57.57%-0.66 -18.9 4
2001-10-28 @ MOIK Baku W 3-246.6 1057 821 57.57% 20.94% 21.49%+0.66 +18.8 15
2001-11-03 Ganja L 2-354.0 1076 1123 45.65% 21.18% 33.17%+0.18 -35.0 15
2001-11-03 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 3-254.0 1123 1076 33.17% 21.18% 45.65%-0.18 +35.0 19
2001-11-03 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 790 1279 6.00% 19.28% 74.73%-1.79 +16.4 3
2001-11-03 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku D 0-050.5 1279 790 74.73% 19.28% 6.00%+1.79 -16.4 20
2001-11-03 Turan W 5-241.9 1021 1036 49.78% 21.13% 29.09%+0.33 +54.4 15
2001-11-03 @ Qarabag L 2-541.9 1036 1021 29.09% 21.13% 49.78%-0.33 -54.4 11
2001-11-04 Araz-Naxcivan W 4-135.8 1077 986 61.36% 20.78% 17.87%+0.80 +41.4 14
2001-11-04 @ Shafa Baku L 1-435.8 986 1077 17.87% 20.78% 61.36%-0.80 -41.4 15
2001-11-04 MOIK Baku W 2-030.5 994 802 68.97% 20.19% 10.84%+1.25 +21.4 14
2001-11-04 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 0-230.5 802 994 10.84% 20.19% 68.97%-1.25 -21.4 4
2001-11-04 Shahdag Qusar W 4-129.8 1337 809 81.25% 16.90% 1.85%+2.75 +4.4 25
2001-11-04 @ Shamkir L 1-429.8 809 1337 1.85% 16.90% 81.25%-2.75 -4.4 8
2001-11-10 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 1-038.4 805 806 51.39% 21.10% 27.50%+0.38 +26.0 11
2001-11-10 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-138.4 806 805 27.50% 21.10% 51.39%-0.38 -26.0 3
2001-11-10 Shamkir D 0-050.3 944 1341 9.69% 20.04% 70.27%-1.38 +14.1 16
2001-11-10 @ Araz-Naxcivan D 0-050.3 1341 944 70.27% 20.04% 9.69%+1.38 -14.1 26
2001-11-11 Qarabag W 1-033.3 1263 1075 68.70% 20.22% 11.08%+1.23 +11.6 23
2001-11-11 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-133.3 1075 1263 11.08% 20.22% 68.70%-1.23 -11.6 15
2001-11-11 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-139.4 1158 1016 65.55% 20.51% 13.94%+1.03 +13.5 22
2001-11-11 @ Ganja L 1-239.4 1016 1158 13.94% 20.51% 65.55%-1.03 -13.5 14
2001-11-11 Tafekkur University Baku D 1-154.3 981 1041 43.87% 21.20% 34.93%+0.13 -1.6 12
2001-11-11 @ Turan D 1-154.3 1041 981 34.93% 21.20% 43.87%-0.13 +1.6 16
2001-11-17 Qarabag L 0-330.7 781 1063 17.18% 20.74% 62.08%-0.87 -47.4 3
2001-11-17 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-030.7 1063 781 62.08% 20.74% 17.18%+0.87 +47.4 18
2001-11-17 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-144.4 980 1002 48.82% 21.15% 30.03%+0.29 +26.3 15
2001-11-17 @ Turan L 1-244.4 1002 980 30.03% 21.15% 48.82%-0.29 -26.3 14
2001-11-18 Shafa Baku D 1-154.5 1171 1119 57.54% 20.94% 21.52%+0.63 -7.0 23
2001-11-18 @ Ganja D 1-154.5 1119 1171 21.52% 20.94% 57.54%-0.63 +7.0 15
2001-11-18 Shahdag Qusar D 2-259.9 958 830 64.45% 20.59% 14.96%+0.96 -7.5 17
2001-11-18 @ Araz-Naxcivan D 2-259.9 830 958 14.96% 20.59% 64.45%-0.96 +7.5 12
2001-11-18 Tafekkur University Baku W 2-030.0 1274 1043 71.26% 19.90% 8.83%+1.43 +17.6 26
2001-11-18 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-230.0 1043 1274 8.83% 19.90% 71.26%-1.43 -17.6 16
2001-11-24 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-030.1 951 733 70.51% 20.01% 9.48%+1.36 +18.9 20
2001-11-24 @ Araz-Naxcivan L 0-230.1 733 951 9.48% 20.01% 70.51%-1.36 -18.9 3
2001-11-24 Ganja W 2-031.6 1327 1164 67.03% 20.39% 12.58%+1.12 +24.6 29
2001-11-24 @ Shamkir L 0-231.6 1164 1327 12.58% 20.39% 67.03%-1.12 -24.6 23
2001-11-24 Turan W 5-029.3 1126 1006 63.80% 20.64% 15.56%+0.93 +69.9 18
2001-11-24 @ Shafa Baku L 0-529.3 1006 1126 15.56% 20.64% 63.80%-0.93 -69.9 15
2001-11-25 Neftchi Baku L 0-231.9 976 1292 14.60% 20.57% 64.83%-1.02 -28.2 14
2001-11-25 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-031.9 1292 976 64.83% 20.57% 14.60%+1.02 +28.2 29
2001-11-25 Qarabag L 1-247.5 1025 1111 40.22% 21.21% 38.58%+0.01 -33.3 16
2001-11-25 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 2-147.5 1111 1025 38.58% 21.21% 40.22%-0.01 +33.3 21
2001-12-01 Xazar Universitesi Baku L 1-255.9 1144 948 69.26% 20.16% 10.58%+1.27 -55.0 21
2001-12-01 @ Qarabag W 2-155.9 948 1144 10.58% 20.16% 69.26%-1.27 +55.0 17
2001-12-01 Shamkir D 0-050.3 936 1351 8.79% 19.90% 71.31%-1.46 +14.7 16
2001-12-01 @ Turan D 0-050.3 1351 936 71.31% 19.90% 8.79%+1.46 -14.7 30
2001-12-01 Tafekkur University Baku L 1-240.6 714 992 17.63% 20.76% 61.60%-0.85 -16.7 3
2001-12-01 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-140.6 992 714 61.60% 20.76% 17.63%+0.85 +16.7 19
2001-12-02 Araz-Naxcivan W 4-358.5 781 970 26.60% 21.09% 52.31%-0.45 +38.6 7
2001-12-02 @ MOIK Baku L 3-458.5 970 781 52.31% 21.09% 26.60%+0.45 -38.6 20
2001-12-02 Shafa Baku D 1-155.0 1320 1196 64.15% 20.61% 15.24%+0.95 -9.9 30
2001-12-02 @ Neftchi Baku D 1-155.0 1196 1320 15.24% 20.61% 64.15%-0.95 +9.9 19
2001-12-02 Shahdag Qusar W 2-136.7 1140 838 74.57% 19.31% 6.12%+1.74 +6.2 26
2001-12-02 @ Ganja L 1-236.7 838 1140 6.12% 19.31% 74.57%-1.74 -6.2 12
2001-12-05 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-032.0 820 697 63.98% 20.62% 15.40%+0.94 +29.6 10
2001-12-05 @ MOIK Baku L 0-232.0 697 820 15.40% 20.62% 63.98%-0.94 -29.6 3
2001-12-05 Ganja W 2-044.1 931 1146 23.70% 21.01% 55.29%-0.56 +87.7 23
2001-12-05 @ Araz-Naxcivan L 0-244.1 1146 931 55.29% 21.01% 23.70%+0.56 -87.7 26
2001-12-05 Tafekkur University Baku W 3-141.4 1003 1008 50.92% 21.11% 27.97%+0.37 +43.0 20
2001-12-05 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 1-341.4 1008 1003 27.97% 21.11% 50.92%-0.37 -43.0 19
2001-12-06 Neftchi Baku D 1-155.7 1337 1310 54.74% 21.03% 24.23%+0.51 -5.9 31
2001-12-06 @ Shamkir D 1-155.7 1310 1337 24.23% 21.03% 54.74%-0.51 +5.9 31
2001-12-06 Qarabag W 2-140.1 1206 1089 63.52% 20.65% 15.83%+0.91 +15.2 22
2001-12-06 @ Shafa Baku L 1-240.1 1089 1206 15.83% 20.65% 63.52%-0.91 -15.2 21
2001-12-06 Turan L 1-246.1 832 951 35.54% 21.20% 43.26%-0.14 -30.2 12
2001-12-06 @ Shahdag Qusar W 2-146.1 951 832 43.26% 21.20% 35.54%+0.14 +30.2 19
2001-12-09 Araz-Naxcivan W 2-037.2 981 1019 46.79% 21.17% 32.04%+0.22 +55.5 22
2001-12-09 @ Turan L 0-237.2 1019 981 32.04% 21.17% 46.79%-0.22 -55.5 23
2001-12-09 Xazar Universitesi Baku L 0-328.6 668 1046 10.68% 20.17% 69.14%-1.29 -30.7 3
2001-12-09 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-028.6 1046 668 69.14% 20.17% 10.68%+1.29 +30.7 23
2001-12-09 Shamkir L 1-339.0 1074 1331 19.47% 20.86% 59.68%-0.75 -31.6 21
2001-12-09 @ Qarabag W 3-139.0 1331 1074 59.68% 20.86% 19.47%+0.75 +31.6 34
2001-12-10 MOIK Baku W 4-027.5 1058 849 70.00% 20.07% 9.93%+1.32 +37.4 29
2001-12-10 @ Ganja L 0-427.5 849 1058 9.93% 20.07% 70.00%-1.32 -37.4 10
2001-12-10 Shafa Baku L 1-436.3 965 1221 19.61% 20.86% 59.53%-0.75 -44.9 19
2001-12-10 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 4-136.3 1221 965 59.53% 20.86% 19.61%+0.75 +44.9 25
2001-12-10 Shahdag Qusar W 5-024.2 1316 802 80.96% 17.06% 1.98%+2.69 +9.1 34
2001-12-10 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-524.2 802 1316 1.98% 17.06% 80.96%-2.69 -9.1 12
2001-12-15 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 4-236.5 1096 637 79.62% 17.70% 2.67%+2.44 +4.1 32
2001-12-15 @ Ganja L 2-436.5 637 1096 2.67% 17.70% 79.62%-2.44 -4.1 3
2001-12-15 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.2 964 1325 11.60% 20.29% 68.11%-1.22 +13.0 24
2001-12-15 @ Araz-Naxcivan D 0-050.2 1325 964 68.11% 20.29% 11.60%+1.22 -13.0 35
2001-12-15 Turan L 0-136.9 812 1036 22.66% 20.98% 56.36%-0.61 -22.0 10
2001-12-15 @ MOIK Baku W 1-036.9 1036 812 56.36% 20.98% 22.66%+0.61 +22.0 25
2001-12-16 Tafekkur University Baku W 9-026.0 1362 921 79.20% 17.89% 2.92%+2.36 +23.7 37
2001-12-16 @ Shamkir L 0-926.0 921 1362 2.92% 17.89% 79.20%-2.36 -23.7 19
2001-12-19 MOIK Baku W 2-029.5 1042 790 72.35% 19.74% 7.92%+1.52 +15.9 24
2001-12-19 @ Qarabag L 0-229.5 790 1042 7.92% 19.74% 72.35%-1.52 -15.9 10
2001-12-19 Tafekkur University Baku W 4-025.4 1266 897 77.04% 18.66% 4.29%+2.04 +16.4 28
2001-12-19 @ Shafa Baku L 0-425.4 897 1266 4.29% 18.66% 77.04%-2.04 -16.4 19
2001-12-22 Shafa Baku L 0-129.8 633 1282 2.57% 17.62% 79.82%-2.50 -2.7 3
2001-12-22 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 1-029.8 1282 633 79.82% 17.62% 2.57%+2.50 +2.7 31
2001-12-22 Shahdag Qusar L 0-245.8 880 793 61.00% 20.79% 18.20%+0.78 -96.6 19
2001-12-22 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 2-045.8 793 880 18.20% 20.79% 61.00%-0.78 +96.6 15
2001-12-23 Araz-Naxcivan W 3-031.2 1058 977 60.43% 20.82% 18.75%+0.76 +51.2 27
2001-12-23 @ Qarabag L 0-331.2 977 1058 18.75% 20.82% 60.43%-0.76 -51.2 24
2001-12-23 Ganja W 1-039.9 1058 1100 46.37% 21.18% 32.45%+0.21 +29.7 28
2001-12-23 @ Turan L 0-139.9 1100 1058 32.45% 21.18% 46.37%-0.21 -29.7 32
2001-12-23 MOIK Baku W 2-026.8 1312 774 81.48% 16.77% 1.75%+2.79 +3.4 38
2001-12-23 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-226.8 774 1312 1.75% 16.77% 81.48%-2.79 -3.4 10
2001-12-24 Shamkir W 3-259.7 1076 1386 15.05% 20.60% 64.35%-0.99 +48.4 26
2001-12-24 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 2-359.7 1386 1076 64.35% 20.60% 15.05%+0.99 -48.4 37
2001-12-26 Shafa Baku D 0-050.5 770 1285 5.24% 19.04% 75.72%-1.90 +16.8 11
2001-12-26 @ MOIK Baku D 0-050.5 1285 770 75.72% 19.04% 5.24%+1.90 -16.8 32
2002-02-16 Qarabag L 0-234.5 889 1110 23.09% 20.99% 55.92%-0.59 -42.2 15
2002-02-16 @ Shahdag Qusar W 2-034.5 1110 889 55.92% 20.99% 23.09%+0.59 +42.2 30
2002-02-27 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 4-024.6 1088 630 79.61% 17.71% 2.68%+2.43 +10.1 31
2002-02-27 @ Turan L 0-424.6 630 1088 2.68% 17.71% 79.61%-2.43 -10.1 3
2002-02-27 Neftchi Baku W 2-153.1 1070 1315 20.55% 20.90% 58.55%-0.70 +46.4 35
2002-02-27 @ Ganja L 1-253.1 1315 1070 58.55% 20.90% 20.55%+0.70 -46.4 38
2002-02-27 Qarabag L 0-133.3 787 1152 11.43% 20.27% 68.30%-1.23 -11.9 11
2002-02-27 @ MOIK Baku W 1-033.3 1152 787 68.30% 20.27% 11.43%+1.23 +12.0 33
2002-02-27 Shafa Baku W 1-037.0 1338 1268 59.28% 20.87% 19.85%+0.70 +19.7 40
2002-02-27 @ Shamkir L 0-137.0 1268 1338 19.85% 20.87% 59.28%-0.70 -19.7 32
2002-02-28 Tafekkur University Baku FL47.8 925 784 65.50% 20.52% 13.99%+1.02 +0.0 24
2002-02-28 @ Araz-Naxcivan FW47.8 784 925 13.99% 20.52% 65.50%-1.02 +0.0 22
2002-02-28 Xazar Universitesi Baku L 1-338.2 847 1125 17.61% 20.76% 61.63%-0.85 -28.9 15
2002-02-28 @ Shahdag Qusar W 3-138.2 1125 847 61.63% 20.76% 17.61%+0.85 +28.9 29
2002-03-02 MOIK Baku L 0-243.3 784 775 52.65% 21.08% 26.27%+0.43 -83.8 22
2002-03-02 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 2-043.3 775 784 26.27% 21.08% 52.65%-0.43 +83.8 14
2002-03-03 Araz-Naxcivan FW48.0 1154 925 71.09% 19.93% 8.98%+1.41 +0.0 32
2002-03-03 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku FL48.0 925 1154 8.98% 19.93% 71.09%-1.41 +0.0 24
2002-03-03 Ganja W 3-246.9 1164 1116 57.00% 20.96% 22.04%+0.60 +19.3 36
2002-03-03 @ Qarabag L 2-346.9 1116 1164 22.04% 20.96% 57.00%-0.60 -19.3 35
2002-03-03 Shahdag Qusar W 3-025.7 1248 818 78.88% 18.02% 3.10%+2.31 +9.0 35
2002-03-03 @ Shafa Baku L 0-325.7 818 1248 3.10% 18.02% 78.88%-2.31 -9.0 15
2002-03-03 Shamkir L 0-324.8 620 1358 1.60% 16.58% 81.82%-2.90 -4.5 3
2002-03-03 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-024.8 1358 620 81.82% 16.58% 1.60%+2.90 +4.5 43
2002-03-03 Turan W 1-033.7 1269 1098 67.61% 20.33% 12.06%+1.16 +12.6 41
2002-03-03 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-133.7 1098 1269 12.06% 20.33% 67.61%-1.16 -12.6 31
2002-03-07 MOIK Baku W 2-037.7 809 859 45.18% 21.19% 33.63%+0.17 +57.7 18
2002-03-07 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-237.7 859 809 33.63% 21.19% 45.18%-0.17 -57.7 14
2002-03-10 Shafa Baku FL47.8 925 1257 13.47% 20.47% 66.06%-1.09 +0.0 24
2002-03-10 @ Araz-Naxcivan FW47.8 1257 925 66.06% 20.47% 13.47%+1.09 +0.0 38
2002-03-10 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 6-023.6 1282 616 83.93% 15.19% 0.88%+3.36 +4.6 44
2002-03-10 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-623.6 616 1282 0.88% 15.19% 83.93%-3.36 -4.6 3
2002-03-10 Qarabag D 0-049.9 1086 1183 38.57% 21.21% 40.22%-0.04 +0.3 32
2002-03-10 @ Turan D 0-049.9 1183 1086 40.22% 21.21% 38.57%+0.04 -0.3 37
2002-03-10 Xazar Universitesi Baku D 1-154.6 801 1154 12.17% 20.35% 67.48%-1.18 +11.4 15
2002-03-10 @ MOIK Baku D 1-154.6 1154 801 67.48% 20.35% 12.17%+1.18 -11.4 33
2002-03-10 Shamkir D 1-155.0 867 1362 5.79% 19.22% 74.99%-1.82 +14.7 19
2002-03-10 @ Shahdag Qusar D 1-155.0 1362 867 74.99% 19.22% 5.79%+1.82 -14.7 44
2002-03-10 Tafekkur University Baku W 2-027.9 1097 700 77.92% 18.38% 3.70%+2.16 +7.4 38
2002-03-10 @ Ganja L 0-227.9 700 1097 3.70% 18.38% 77.92%-2.16 -7.4 22
2002-03-13 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 2-032.4 1257 1142 63.41% 20.66% 15.93%+0.91 +30.5 41
2002-03-13 @ Shafa Baku L 0-232.4 1142 1257 15.93% 20.66% 63.41%-0.91 -30.5 33
2002-03-13 Shamkir L 0-130.9 813 1347 4.71% 18.84% 76.45%-1.99 -5.0 15
2002-03-13 @ MOIK Baku W 1-030.9 1347 813 76.45% 18.84% 4.71%+1.99 +5.0 47
2002-03-16 MOIK Baku W 1-029.8 1288 808 80.16% 17.46% 2.38%+2.53 +2.5 44
2002-03-16 @ Shafa Baku L 0-129.8 808 1288 2.38% 17.46% 80.16%-2.53 -2.5 15
2002-03-17 Araz-Naxcivan FW48.6 1352 925 78.79% 18.05% 3.16%+2.30 +0.0 50
2002-03-17 @ Shamkir FL48.6 925 1352 3.16% 18.05% 78.79%-2.30 +0.0 24
2002-03-17 Ganja W 2-035.5 1112 1104 52.49% 21.08% 26.43%+0.42 +47.3 36
2002-03-17 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 0-235.5 1104 1112 26.43% 21.08% 52.49%-0.42 -47.4 38
2002-03-17 Neftchi Baku W 1-042.8 1183 1286 37.67% 21.21% 41.12%-0.07 +35.9 40
2002-03-17 @ Qarabag L 0-142.8 1286 1183 41.12% 21.21% 37.67%+0.07 -35.9 44
2002-03-17 Shahdag Qusar D 0-050.0 611 881 18.26% 20.80% 60.94%-0.81 +9.5 4
2002-03-17 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku D 0-050.0 881 611 60.94% 20.80% 18.26%+0.81 -9.5 20
2002-03-17 Turan L 0-230.2 693 1086 9.86% 20.06% 70.08%-1.36 -19.6 22
2002-03-17 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 2-030.2 1086 693 70.08% 20.06% 9.86%+1.36 +19.6 35

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-03-23 Ganja W 4-132.1 1352 1057 74.30% 19.37% 6.33%+1.71 +15.6 3
2002-03-23 @ Shamkir L 1-432.1 1057 1352 6.33% 19.37% 74.30%-1.71 -15.6 0
2002-03-23 Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 1290 1250 56.23% 20.98% 22.79%+0.57 -7.3 1
2002-03-23 @ Shafa Baku D 0-050.5 1250 1290 22.79% 20.98% 56.23%-0.57 +7.2 1
2002-03-23 Qarabag D 1-154.5 1159 1219 43.91% 21.20% 34.90%+0.13 -1.7 1
2002-03-23 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku D 1-154.5 1219 1159 34.90% 21.20% 43.91%-0.13 +1.6 1
2002-03-24 Shahdag Qusar W 3-251.0 805 872 42.93% 21.20% 35.87%+0.10 +28.8 3
2002-03-24 @ MOIK Baku L 2-351.0 872 805 35.87% 21.20% 42.93%-0.10 -28.8 0
2002-03-24 Turan L 0-131.4 621 1106 6.12% 19.31% 74.57%-1.77 -6.5 0
2002-03-24 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 1-031.4 1106 621 74.57% 19.31% 6.12%+1.77 +6.5 3
2002-03-31 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-026.7 843 614 75.32% 19.14% 5.54%+1.41 +16.2 3
2002-03-31 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-326.7 614 843 5.54% 19.14% 75.32%-1.41 -16.2 0
2002-03-31 MOIK Baku L 0-338.5 673 834 42.51% 21.20% 36.28%-0.33 -101.1 0
2002-03-31 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 3-038.5 834 673 36.28% 21.20% 42.51%+0.33 +101.1 6
2002-04-02 Ganja D 0-050.5 1258 1042 74.81% 19.26% 5.93%+1.36 -16.4 2
2002-04-02 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-050.5 1042 1258 5.93% 19.26% 74.81%-1.36 +16.4 1
2002-04-02 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 1-032.9 1283 1157 70.49% 20.01% 9.50%+0.95 +10.0 4
2002-04-02 @ Shafa Baku L 0-132.9 1157 1283 9.50% 20.01% 70.49%-0.95 -10.0 1
2002-04-02 Shamkir L 0-241.8 1220 1368 44.36% 21.19% 34.44%-0.27 -72.1 1
2002-04-02 @ Qarabag W 2-041.8 1368 1220 34.44% 21.19% 44.36%+0.27 +72.1 6
2002-04-06 Neftchi Baku L 0-148.6 1147 1241 61.13% 20.79% 18.08%-0.03 -51.3 1
2002-04-06 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku W 1-048.6 1241 1147 18.08% 20.79% 61.13%+0.03 +51.3 5
2002-04-06 Qarabag W 3-031.0 1058 1148 61.46% 20.77% 17.77%-0.01 +48.9 4
2002-04-06 @ Ganja L 0-331.0 1148 1058 17.77% 20.77% 61.46%+0.01 -48.9 1
2002-04-06 Shafa Baku W 1-033.5 1440 1293 75.67% 19.05% 5.28%+1.05 +5.6 9
2002-04-06 @ Shamkir L 0-133.5 1293 1440 5.28% 19.05% 75.67%-1.05 -5.6 4
2002-04-06 Shahdag Qusar W 3-240.2 1112 859 79.03% 17.96% 3.01%+1.52 +2.9 6
2002-04-06 @ Turan L 2-340.2 859 1112 3.01% 17.96% 79.03%-1.52 -2.8 3
2002-04-06 Tafekkur University Baku L 0-346.4 598 572 70.01% 20.07% 9.92%+0.51 -161.5 0
2002-04-06 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-046.4 572 598 9.92% 20.07% 70.01%-0.51 +161.5 3
2002-04-12 Ganja D 0-051.1 1288 1107 79.55% 17.74% 2.71%+1.20 -18.4 5
2002-04-12 @ Shafa Baku D 0-051.1 1107 1288 2.71% 17.74% 79.55%-1.20 +18.4 5
2002-05-04 Qarabag W 2-027.5 1292 1099 79.86% 17.60% 2.54%+1.25 +5.0 8
2002-05-04 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-227.5 1099 1292 2.54% 17.60% 79.86%-1.25 -5.0 1
2002-05-04 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 4-236.1 1446 1096 83.19% 15.71% 1.10%+1.95 +1.6 12
2002-05-04 @ Shamkir L 2-436.1 1096 1446 1.10% 15.71% 83.19%-1.95 -1.6 1
2002-05-04 Turan D 0-049.9 733 1115 37.22% 21.21% 41.57%-1.31 +0.9 4
2002-05-04 @ Tafekkur University Baku D 0-049.9 1115 733 41.57% 21.21% 37.22%+1.31 -0.9 7
2002-05-05 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-025.5 935 436 85.69% 13.81% 0.50%+2.62 +0.9 9
2002-05-05 @ MOIK Baku L 0-225.5 436 935 0.50% 13.81% 85.69%-2.62 -0.9 0
2002-05-07 Neftchi Baku D 0-053.7 1447 1298 81.00% 17.04% 1.97%+1.06 -18.9 13
2002-05-07 @ Shamkir D 0-053.7 1298 1447 1.97% 17.04% 81.00%-1.06 +18.9 9
2002-05-07 Xazar Universitesi Baku D 2-260.6 1125 1094 77.92% 18.38% 3.70%+0.53 -11.9 6
2002-05-07 @ Ganja D 2-260.6 1094 1125 3.70% 18.38% 77.92%-0.53 +11.8 2
2002-05-08 MOIK Baku D 0-051.2 1114 936 81.61% 16.70% 1.69%+1.19 -19.0 8
2002-05-08 @ Turan D 0-051.2 936 1114 1.69% 16.70% 81.61%-1.19 +19.0 10
2002-05-08 Tafekkur University Baku W 1-029.7 856 734 80.36% 17.36% 2.28%+0.94 +2.4 6
2002-05-08 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-129.7 734 856 2.28% 17.36% 80.36%-0.94 -2.4 4
2002-05-15 Xazar Universitesi Baku D 3-364.5 1094 1106 79.29% 17.85% 2.86%+0.34 -10.2 2
2002-05-15 @ Qarabag D 3-364.5 1106 1094 2.86% 17.85% 79.29%-0.34 +10.2 3
2002-05-17 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-236.8 1095 435 90.30% 9.63% 0.08%+3.33 +0.0 11
2002-05-17 @ Turan L 2-336.8 435 1095 0.08% 9.63% 90.30%-3.33 -0.1 0
2002-05-17 MOIK Baku W 1-030.8 859 955 76.79% 18.74% 4.47%-0.04 +4.8 9
2002-05-17 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-130.8 955 859 4.47% 18.74% 76.79%+0.04 -4.8 10
2002-05-25 Neftchi Baku L 1-355.5 1113 1316 76.27% 18.89% 4.84%-0.51 -104.9 6
2002-05-25 @ Ganja W 3-155.5 1316 1113 4.84% 18.89% 76.27%+0.51 +105.0 12
2002-05-25 Qarabag W 3-023.6 1428 1084 87.45% 12.29% 0.26%+1.93 +0.7 16
2002-05-25 @ Shamkir L 0-323.6 1084 1428 0.26% 12.29% 87.45%-1.93 -0.6 2
2002-05-26 Shahdag Qusar L 2-359.2 435 864 63.89% 20.63% 15.48%-1.52 -48.0 0
2002-05-26 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 3-259.2 864 435 15.48% 20.63% 63.89%+1.52 +48.0 12
2002-05-26 Tafekkur University Baku W 2-133.4 950 732 85.60% 13.88% 0.51%+1.37 +0.5 13
2002-05-26 @ MOIK Baku L 1-233.4 732 950 0.51% 13.88% 85.60%-1.37 -0.5 4
2002-05-31 Dinamo Bakili Baku W 4-339.9 732 387 88.68% 11.16% 0.16%+1.93 +0.1 7
2002-05-31 @ Tafekkur University Baku L 3-439.9 387 732 0.16% 11.16% 88.68%-1.93 -0.1 0
2002-05-31 Ganja W 2-133.6 1083 1008 84.78% 14.55% 0.68%+0.73 +0.6 5
2002-05-31 @ Qarabag L 1-233.6 1008 1083 0.68% 14.55% 84.78%-0.73 -0.6 6
2002-05-31 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 1-027.9 1421 1116 88.16% 11.64% 0.20%+1.75 +0.2 15
2002-05-31 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-127.9 1116 1421 0.20% 11.64% 88.16%-1.75 -0.2 3
2002-05-31 Turan W 1-029.9 912 1095 79.60% 17.72% 2.69%-0.43 +2.8 15
2002-05-31 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-129.9 1095 912 2.69% 17.72% 79.60%+0.43 -2.8 11
2002-06-03 MOIK Baku L 1-255.4 387 951 67.46% 20.35% 12.19%-2.12 -53.5 0
2002-06-03 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku W 2-155.4 951 387 12.19% 20.35% 67.46%+2.12 +53.5 16
2002-06-03 Neftchi Baku W 1-030.9 1084 1422 77.86% 18.40% 3.74%-1.11 +4.0 8
2002-06-03 @ Qarabag L 0-130.9 1422 1084 3.74% 18.40% 77.86%+1.11 -4.0 15
2002-06-03 Xazar Universitesi Baku W 4-128.0 1429 1116 89.44% 10.45% 0.11%+1.79 +0.2 19
2002-06-03 @ Shamkir L 1-428.0 1116 1429 0.11% 10.45% 89.44%-1.79 -0.2 3
2002-06-03 Tafekkur University Baku W 4-127.2 1092 732 90.01% 9.90% 0.09%+2.00 +0.2 14
2002-06-03 @ Turan L 1-427.2 732 1092 0.09% 9.90% 90.01%-2.00 -0.2 7
2002-06-06 Ganja W 5-125.9 1116 1008 87.98% 11.81% 0.21%+0.88 +0.6 6
2002-06-06 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku L 1-525.9 1008 1116 0.21% 11.81% 87.98%-0.88 -0.6 6
2002-06-06 Shamkir D 2-266.9 1418 1429 86.28% 13.32% 0.40%+0.34 -13.2 16
2002-06-06 @ Neftchi Baku D 2-266.9 1429 1418 0.40% 13.32% 86.28%-0.34 +13.2 20
2002-06-07 Shahdag Qusar L 0-548.1 731 914 83.49% 15.50% 1.01%-0.42 -301.8 7
2002-06-07 @ Tafekkur University Baku W 5-048.1 914 731 1.01% 15.50% 83.49%+0.42 +301.8 18
2002-06-07 Turan W 3-131.1 1004 1092 85.10% 14.29% 0.61%+0.00 +1.0 19
2002-06-07 @ MOIK Baku L 1-331.1 1092 1004 0.61% 14.29% 85.10%+0.00 -1.0 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-06-07 1.01% Shahdag Qusar 914 5 @ Tafekkur University Baku 731 0
2 2002-05-25 4.84% Neftchi Baku 1316 3 @ Ganja 1113 1
3 2002-04-06 9.92% Tafekkur University Baku 572 3 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 598 0
4 2001-10-27 10.25% @ Shahdag Qusar 750 1 Shafa Baku 1136 0
5 2001-12-01 10.58% Xazar Universitesi Baku 948 2 @ Qarabag 1144 1
6 2001-10-28 11.85% @ Turan 979 1 Neftchi Baku 1336 0
7 2002-06-03 12.19% MOIK Baku 951 2 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 387 1
8 2001-09-08 14.11% Qarabag 951 2 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1091 1
9 2001-12-24 15.05% @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1076 3 Shamkir 1386 2
10 2002-05-26 15.48% Shahdag Qusar 864 3 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 435 2
11 2001-10-22 16.17% @ Shafa Baku 1089 3 Shamkir 1384 2
12 2002-04-06 18.08% Neftchi Baku 1241 1 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1147 0
13 2001-12-22 18.20% Shahdag Qusar 793 2 @ Tafekkur University Baku 880 0
14 2001-08-25 19.88% Araz-Naxcivan 892 4 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 961 2
15 2002-02-27 20.55% @ Ganja 1070 2 Neftchi Baku 1315 1
16 2001-08-26 20.61% Tafekkur University Baku 939 1 @ Qarabag 1000 0
17 2001-09-15 21.16% MOIK Baku 800 2 @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 856 1
18 2001-12-05 23.70% @ Araz-Naxcivan 931 2 Ganja 1146 0
19 2002-03-02 26.27% MOIK Baku 775 2 @ Tafekkur University Baku 784 0
20 2001-09-17 26.35% Shamkir 1325 1 @ Neftchi Baku 1333 0
21 2001-12-02 26.60% @ MOIK Baku 781 4 Araz-Naxcivan 970 3
22 2001-08-25 27.65% Shahdag Qusar 858 2 @ MOIK Baku 854 1
23 2001-10-14 28.85% @ Araz-Naxcivan 907 3 Qarabag 1078 2
24 2001-08-27 30.29% Shafa Baku 1097 2 @ Turan 1072 0
25 2001-09-15 32.62% @ Qarabag 1003 2 Shafa Baku 1144 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-06-07 301.77 Shahdag Qusar 5 914 1.01% @ Tafekkur University Baku 0 731 83.49% 15.50%
2 2002-04-06 161.55 Tafekkur University Baku 3 572 9.92% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 598 70.01% 20.07%
3 2002-05-25 104.96 Neftchi Baku 3 1316 4.84% @ Ganja 1 1113 76.27% 18.89%
4 2002-03-31 101.10 MOIK Baku 3 834 36.28% @ Tafekkur University Baku 0 673 42.51% 21.20%
5 2001-12-22 96.57 Shahdag Qusar 2 793 18.20% @ Tafekkur University Baku 0 880 61.00% 20.79%
6 2001-12-05 87.74 @ Araz-Naxcivan 2 931 23.70% Ganja 0 1146 55.29% 21.01%
7 2002-03-02 83.83 MOIK Baku 2 775 26.27% @ Tafekkur University Baku 0 784 52.65% 21.08%
8 2001-08-18 82.76 Neftchi Baku 4 1234 55.01% @ Tafekkur University Baku 0 1022 23.97% 21.02%
9 2001-08-27 77.94 Shafa Baku 2 1097 30.29% @ Turan 0 1072 48.56% 21.15%
10 2001-08-25 72.66 Araz-Naxcivan 4 892 19.88% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 2 961 59.24% 20.87%
11 2002-04-02 72.11 Shamkir 2 1368 34.44% @ Qarabag 0 1220 44.36% 21.19%
12 2001-11-24 69.93 @ Shafa Baku 5 1126 63.80% Turan 0 1006 15.56% 20.64%
13 2001-10-14 69.76 @ Ganja 3 1056 52.03% Turan 0 1053 26.88% 21.09%
14 2001-10-27 58.66 @ Shahdag Qusar 1 750 10.25% Shafa Baku 0 1136 69.63% 20.12%
15 2001-09-15 58.16 @ Ganja 4 983 52.40% Araz-Naxcivan 1 977 26.52% 21.08%
16 2002-03-07 57.71 @ Shahdag Qusar 2 809 45.18% MOIK Baku 0 859 33.63% 21.19%
17 2001-10-28 57.09 @ Turan 1 979 11.85% Neftchi Baku 0 1336 67.84% 20.31%
18 2001-12-09 55.49 @ Turan 2 981 46.79% Araz-Naxcivan 0 1019 32.04% 21.17%
19 2001-12-01 55.00 Xazar Universitesi Baku 2 948 10.58% @ Qarabag 1 1144 69.26% 20.16%
20 2001-11-03 54.39 @ Qarabag 5 1021 49.78% Turan 2 1036 29.09% 21.13%
21 2001-09-30 53.98 @ Qarabag 6 1024 70.18% Shahdag Qusar 0 812 9.77% 20.05%
22 2002-06-03 53.51 MOIK Baku 2 951 12.19% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 1 387 67.46% 20.35%
23 2001-09-08 51.79 Qarabag 2 951 14.11% @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1 1091 65.36% 20.53%
24 2002-04-06 51.32 Neftchi Baku 1 1241 18.08% @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 0 1147 61.13% 20.79%
25 2001-12-23 51.25 @ Qarabag 3 1058 60.43% Araz-Naxcivan 0 977 18.75% 20.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-06-06 66.9 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1418 86.28% Shamkir 2 1429 0.40% 13.32%
2 2002-05-15 64.5 @ Qarabag 3 1094 79.29% Xazar Universitesi Baku 3 1106 2.86% 17.85%
3 2002-05-07 60.6 @ Ganja 2 1125 77.92% Xazar Universitesi Baku 2 1094 3.70% 18.38%
4 2001-10-21 59.9 @ Tafekkur University Baku 2 1064 63.72% Araz-Naxcivan 2 945 15.64% 20.64%
5 2001-11-18 59.9 @ Araz-Naxcivan 2 958 64.45% Shahdag Qusar 2 830 14.96% 20.59%
6 2001-09-22 59.7 @ Araz-Naxcivan 2 919 36.53% Turan 2 1031 42.27% 21.20%
7 2001-12-24 59.7 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 3 1076 15.05% Shamkir 2 1386 64.35% 20.60%
8 2001-10-22 59.4 @ Shafa Baku 3 1089 16.17% Shamkir 2 1384 63.15% 20.68%
9 2002-05-26 59.2 Shahdag Qusar 3 864 15.48% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 2 435 63.89% 20.63%
10 2001-12-02 58.5 @ MOIK Baku 4 781 26.60% Araz-Naxcivan 3 970 52.31% 21.09%
11 2001-12-01 55.9 Xazar Universitesi Baku 2 948 10.58% @ Qarabag 1 1144 69.26% 20.16%
12 2001-12-06 55.7 @ Shamkir 1 1337 54.74% Neftchi Baku 1 1310 24.23% 21.03%
13 2002-05-25 55.5 Neftchi Baku 3 1316 4.84% @ Ganja 1 1113 76.27% 18.89%
14 2002-06-03 55.4 MOIK Baku 2 951 12.19% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 1 387 67.46% 20.35%
15 2001-10-14 55.2 @ Araz-Naxcivan 3 907 28.85% Qarabag 2 1078 50.03% 21.13%
16 2001-12-02 55.0 @ Neftchi Baku 1 1320 64.15% Shafa Baku 1 1196 15.24% 20.61%
17 2002-03-10 55.0 @ Shahdag Qusar 1 867 5.79% Shamkir 1 1362 74.99% 19.22%
18 2001-09-08 54.8 Qarabag 2 951 14.11% @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1 1091 65.36% 20.53%
19 2001-09-29 54.8 @ Tafekkur University Baku 1 1066 14.26% Shamkir 1 1386 65.20% 20.54%
20 2002-03-10 54.6 @ MOIK Baku 1 801 12.17% Xazar Universitesi Baku 1 1154 67.48% 20.35%
21 2001-11-18 54.5 @ Ganja 1 1171 57.54% Shafa Baku 1 1119 21.52% 20.94%
22 2002-03-23 54.5 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 1 1159 43.91% Qarabag 1 1219 34.90% 21.20%
23 2001-08-25 54.4 Araz-Naxcivan 4 892 19.88% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 2 961 59.24% 20.87%
24 2001-09-23 54.4 @ MOIK Baku 1 846 25.78% Ganja 1 1042 53.15% 21.07%
25 2001-09-12 54.3 @ Shahdag Qusar 1 859 35.50% Araz-Naxcivan 1 978 43.30% 21.20%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-03-10 23.6 @ Neftchi Baku 6 1282 83.93% Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 616 0.88% 15.19%
2 2002-05-25 23.6 @ Shamkir 3 1428 87.45% Qarabag 0 1084 0.26% 12.29%
3 2001-12-10 24.2 @ Neftchi Baku 5 1316 80.96% Shahdag Qusar 0 802 1.98% 17.06%
4 2002-02-27 24.6 @ Turan 4 1088 79.61% Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 630 2.68% 17.71%
5 2002-03-03 24.8 Shamkir 3 1358 81.82% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 620 1.60% 16.58%
6 2001-08-19 25.2 @ Shamkir 6 1289 78.49% MOIK Baku 0 873 3.34% 18.17%
7 2001-12-19 25.4 @ Shafa Baku 4 1266 77.04% Tafekkur University Baku 0 897 4.29% 18.66%
8 2002-05-05 25.5 @ MOIK Baku 2 935 85.69% Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 436 0.50% 13.81%
9 2002-03-03 25.7 @ Shafa Baku 3 1248 78.88% Shahdag Qusar 0 818 3.10% 18.02%
10 2002-06-06 25.9 @ Xazar Universitesi Baku 5 1116 87.98% Ganja 1 1008 0.21% 11.81%
11 2001-12-16 26.0 @ Shamkir 9 1362 79.20% Tafekkur University Baku 0 921 2.92% 17.89%
12 2001-09-30 26.2 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1295 77.27% Araz-Naxcivan 0 920 4.14% 18.59%
13 2002-03-31 26.7 @ Shahdag Qusar 3 843 75.32% Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 614 5.54% 19.14%
14 2001-12-23 26.8 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1312 81.48% MOIK Baku 0 774 1.75% 16.77%
15 2002-06-03 27.2 @ Turan 4 1092 90.01% Tafekkur University Baku 1 732 0.09% 9.90%
16 2001-12-10 27.5 @ Ganja 4 1058 70.00% MOIK Baku 0 849 9.93% 20.07%
17 2002-05-04 27.5 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1292 79.86% Qarabag 0 1099 2.54% 17.60%
18 2001-09-30 27.7 @ Qarabag 6 1024 70.18% Shahdag Qusar 0 812 9.77% 20.05%
19 2002-03-10 27.9 @ Ganja 2 1097 77.92% Tafekkur University Baku 0 700 3.70% 18.38%
20 2002-05-31 27.9 @ Neftchi Baku 1 1421 88.16% Xazar Universitesi Baku 0 1116 0.20% 11.64%
21 2002-06-03 28.0 @ Shamkir 4 1429 89.44% Xazar Universitesi Baku 1 1116 0.11% 10.45%
22 2001-10-13 28.2 @ Shamkir 2 1376 77.41% Xazar Universitesi Baku 0 995 4.04% 18.55%
23 2001-12-09 28.6 Xazar Universitesi Baku 3 1046 69.14% @ Dinamo Bakili Baku 0 668 10.68% 20.17%
24 2001-11-24 29.3 @ Shafa Baku 5 1126 63.80% Turan 0 1006 15.56% 20.64%
25 2001-12-19 29.5 @ Qarabag 2 1042 72.35% MOIK Baku 0 790 7.92% 19.74%