2005-06 Azerbaijan Top League Season

156 games

Final

Champion

Baku

54 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Baku

11.05 points above expected

54 points · 42.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

MOIK Baku

10.78 points below expected

5 points · 15.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Baku Champion	24	17	3	4	54	38	11	+27	42.95	+11.05
2	Karvan	24	15	6	3	51	43	9	+34	47.56	+3.44
3	Neftchi Baku	24	13	9	2	48	44	16	+28	48.01	-0.01
4	Inter Baku	24	13	7	4	46	33	13	+20	43.83	+2.17
5	Qarabag	24	10	4	10	34	27	30	-3	30.37	+3.63
6	Khazar Lankaran	24	8	8	8	32	25	18	+7	37.20	-5.20
7	Turan	24	9	5	10	32	22	20	+2	39.90	-7.90
8	MKT-Araz	24	8	7	9	31	28	35	-7	26.73	+4.27
9	Shahdag Qusar	24	8	5	11	29	22	35	-13	22.94	+6.06
10	Ganja	24	6	7	11	25	30	42	-12	31.95	-6.95
11	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	24	5	8	11	23	22	36	-14	14.98	+8.02
12	Olimpik Baku	24	4	7	13	19	11	25	-14	27.17	-8.17
13	MOIK Baku	24	1	2	21	5	10	65	-55	15.78	-10.78
14	Goyazan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	+0.00

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Baku	54	42.95	+11.05
2	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	23	14.98	+8.02
3	Shahdag Qusar	29	22.94	+6.06
4	MKT-Araz	31	26.73	+4.27
5	Qarabag	34	30.37	+3.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	MOIK Baku	5	15.78	-10.78
2	Olimpik Baku	19	27.17	-8.17
3	Turan	32	39.90	-7.90
4	Ganja	25	31.95	-6.95
5	Khazar Lankaran	32	37.20	-5.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Baku	10	Feb 22 – May 29	1 in 239
2	Qarabag	5	Apr 16 – May 30	1 in 185
3	Inter Baku	5	Sep 11 – Oct 30	1 in 48
4	MKT-Araz	3	Dec 11 – Feb 17	1 in 29
5	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	2	Feb 17 – Feb 22	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ganja	9	Feb 17 – Apr 21	1 in 2,727
2	Khazar Lankaran	5	Aug 22 – Oct 2	1 in 1,932
3	MOIK Baku	16	Nov 12 – May 29	1 in 750
4	Turan	3	Apr 1 – Apr 16	1 in 30
5	Olimpik Baku	6	Apr 16 – May 30	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	8	Dec 4 – Apr 1	1 in 2,580
2	Khazar Lankaran	12	Feb 12 – May 30	1 in 256
3	Olimpik Baku	6	Oct 1 – Dec 4	1 in 60
4	Inter Baku	11	Aug 12 – Dec 10	1 in 31
5	Karvan	17	Nov 12 – May 30	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Khazar Lankaran	11	Aug 22 – Dec 18	1 in 1,008
2	Ganja	11	Feb 17 – May 7	1 in 46
3	Turan	4	Oct 2 – Nov 13	1 in 27
4	Neftchi Baku	4	Nov 12 – Dec 10	1 in 19
5	Shahdag Qusar	10	Nov 27 – Apr 2	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Baku	1513	54	+97	15	9.5	+5.5
Karvan	1473	51	+46	11	10.3	+0.7
Neftchi Baku	1486	48	-16	8	9.5	-1.5
Inter Baku	1347	46	-78	6	9.1	-3.1
Qarabag	1207	34	+136	15	7.8	+7.2
Khazar Lankaran	1308	32	+44	11	8.6	+2.4
Turan	1179	32	-50	4	6.4	-2.4
MKT-Araz	1160	31	-21	4	5.3	-1.3
Shahdag Qusar	1078	29	+68	10	6.2	+3.8
Ganja	1001	25	-39	4	5.4	-1.4
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	965	23	-136	0	4.0	-4.0
Olimpik Baku	1029	19	-69	0	2.4	-2.4
MOIK Baku	742	5	-59	0	2.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAK	GAN	GS	GOY	IB	KAR	KL	MKT	MB	NB	OB	QAR	SQ	TUR
Baku	—	1-1-0 4.13	2-0-0 4.68	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.34	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 4.41	2-0-0 4.67	1-1-0 1.98	2-0-0 4.19	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 4.46	1-0-1 3.50
Ganja	0-1-1 1.37	—	0-1-1 4.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.64	1-0-1 1.46	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 4.48	1-0-1 1.50	0-0-2 3.29	0-1-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.00
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	0-0-2 0.87	1-1-0 0.95	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 0.81	0-0-2 0.77	0-1-1 1.08	0-1-1 1.60	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 0.70	1-0-1 1.75	0-1-1 1.45	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 0.82
Goyazan	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Inter Baku	0-0-2 2.54	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 4.74	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-1-0 2.20	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.93	2-0-0 5.01	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 4.30	1-0-1 4.45	2-0-0 4.57	2-0-0 3.03
Karvan	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 4.05	2-0-0 4.79	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.27	—	1-1-0 3.16	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 4.84	0-2-0 2.43	2-0-0 4.49	1-1-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.50	1-1-0 3.67
Khazar Lankaran	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 4.44	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.33	—	0-1-1 3.80	1-1-0 4.43	0-1-1 1.26	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 4.03	1-0-1 2.40
MKT-Araz	1-0-1 1.11	1-0-1 2.45	1-1-0 3.89	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.55	0-0-2 1.11	1-1-0 1.69	—	2-0-0 3.58	0-1-1 1.04	0-2-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.99	0-0-2 1.58
MOIK Baku	0-0-2 0.90	0-0-2 1.04	0-1-1 3.10	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 0.60	0-0-2 0.73	0-1-1 1.11	0-0-2 1.90	—	0-0-2 0.77	1-0-1 1.61	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 1.54	0-0-2 0.89
Neftchi Baku	0-1-1 3.49	1-0-1 3.99	1-1-0 4.88	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.38	0-2-0 3.04	1-1-0 4.24	1-1-0 4.48	2-0-0 4.81	—	1-1-0 4.64	1-1-0 4.11	2-0-0 4.61	2-0-0 3.53
Olimpik Baku	0-0-2 1.33	2-0-0 2.19	1-0-1 3.74	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.21	0-0-2 1.03	0-0-2 2.13	0-2-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.88	0-1-1 0.90	—	0-0-2 2.37	0-2-0 3.55	0-1-1 1.73
Qarabag	0-0-2 1.88	1-1-0 2.63	1-1-0 4.04	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 1.07	0-1-1 1.45	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.91	2-0-0 4.11	0-1-1 1.39	2-0-0 3.10	—	0-0-2 3.76	1-0-1 1.61
Shahdag Qusar	1-0-1 1.06	0-1-1 2.35	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 0.96	0-0-2 1.03	1-0-1 1.47	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 3.95	0-0-2 0.92	0-2-0 1.93	2-0-0 1.73	—	1-1-0 1.37
Turan	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 3.47	0-1-1 4.74	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 4.65	0-0-2 1.97	1-1-0 3.76	1-0-1 3.88	0-1-1 4.12	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+12.0
Allowed	0.17	-4.0
Differential	0.65	+5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.10%	13.46%	5.13%	3.21%	0.64%	2.24%	38.78%
1	13.46%	6.41%	6.41%	3.21%	0.32%	0.96%	30.77%
2	5.13%	6.41%	4.49%	1.28%	0.32%	—	17.63%
3	3.21%	3.21%	1.28%	—	—	0.32%	8.01%
4	0.64%	0.32%	0.32%	—	—	—	1.28%
5+	2.24%	0.96%	—	0.32%	—	—	3.53%
Total	38.78%	30.77%	17.63%	8.01%	1.28%	3.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.14	+0.00
SD	1.28	1.28	1.90
CV	1.13	1.13	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 156

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	29.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	16.67%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
4	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	66.67%	20.83%	12.50%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.46	+1.12
SD	1.18	0.72	1.39
CV	0.74	1.57	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	8.33%	37.50%
1	4.17%	4.17%	16.67%	4.17%	—	4.17%	33.33%
2	—	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
Total	29.17%	20.83%	29.17%	8.33%	—	12.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.75	-0.50
SD	1.48	1.82	2.45
CV	1.19	1.04	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.17%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	33.33%
1	12.50%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	45.83%
2	—	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.83%	25.00%	37.50%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.50	-0.58
SD	0.83	1.02	1.21
CV	0.91	0.68	—
Max	3	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	29.17%
1	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
2	12.50%	12.50%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	54.17%	37.50%	8.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	0.54	+0.83
SD	1.24	0.66	1.46
CV	0.91	1.21	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	25.00%	—	4.17%	—	—	—	29.17%
2	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	66.67%	29.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	0.38	+1.42
SD	2.02	0.58	1.98
CV	1.13	1.54	—
Max	7	2	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	—	37.50%
1	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	12.50%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	20.83%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	45.83%	33.33%	20.83%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	0.75	+0.29
SD	1.30	0.79	1.63
CV	1.25	1.06	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	12.50%	—	4.17%	—	8.33%	37.50%
1	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	29.17%
2	—	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	20.83%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	12.50%	12.50%	—	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.46	-0.29
SD	1.17	1.44	2.07
CV	1.00	0.99	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	16.67%	8.33%	20.83%	8.33%	8.33%	66.67%
1	4.17%	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	8.33%	29.17%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	20.83%	16.67%	25.00%	8.33%	20.83%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.42	2.71	-2.29
SD	0.72	1.71	1.71
CV	1.72	0.63	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	4.17%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	50.00%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	0.67	+1.17
SD	1.49	0.76	1.69
CV	0.81	1.14	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	29.17%	29.17%	8.33%	—	—	4.17%	70.83%
1	8.33%	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	16.67%
2	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	12.50%	8.33%	—	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.46	1.04	-0.58
SD	0.83	1.27	1.44
CV	1.82	1.22	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	25.00%
2	8.33%	20.83%	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	37.50%
3	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	37.50%	29.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.25	-0.12
SD	0.95	1.03	1.33
CV	0.84	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	8.33%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
1	16.67%	4.17%	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	41.67%
2	4.17%	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	12.50%
3	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	12.50%	20.83%	25.00%	4.17%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.46	-0.54
SD	0.93	1.35	1.64
CV	1.01	0.93	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	33.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	54.17%
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	12.50%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	20.83%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	33.33%	54.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	0.83	+0.08
SD	1.28	0.76	1.32
CV	1.40	0.91	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Baku	1513	54	42.95	+11.05	100.0%	30	33	39	44	47	51	54
Neftchi Baku	1486	48	48.01	-0.01	53.0%	34	36	44	48	53	57	62
Karvan	1473	51	47.56	+3.44	73.0%	36	39	44	47	52	57	58
Inter Baku	1347	46	43.83	+2.17	68.0%	18	34	40	45	48	52	58
Khazar Lankaran	1308	32	37.20	-5.20	21.0%	24	27	33	37	41	46	54
Qarabag	1207	34	30.37	+3.63	80.0%	16	20	27	30	34	41	43
Turan	1179	32	39.90	-7.90	7.0%	26	30	35	40	44	50	57
MKT-Araz	1160	31	26.73	+4.27	78.0%	15	17	23	27	30	37	44
Goyazan	1101	0	0.00	+0.00	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Shahdag Qusar	1078	29	22.94	+6.06	94.0%	11	15	19	23	27	30	37
Olimpik Baku	1029	19	27.17	-8.17	7.0%	16	19	23	27	31	37	43
Ganja	1001	25	31.95	-6.95	11.0%	16	24	29	32	35	40	44
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	965	23	14.98	+8.02	94.0%	7	9	11	14	18	24	26
MOIK Baku	742	5	15.78	-10.78	1.0%	5	9	13	16	18	25	29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.05%

No Edge

41.03%25.00%33.97%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 24.54 Elo pts.

213 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.12 goals

Neutral

-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

Baku, 4th of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.27 * Some Luck: 4.27 to 6.4 * Lucky: 6.4 to 8.53 * Wild Swing: 8.53 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.42 * Off: 1.42 to 1.9 * Way Off: 1.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.50 points

Lucky

05.3313

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.71

Off

01.192.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

100.00%

Baku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

1.00%

MOIK Baku

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.28

Lopsided

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 222.86

2.59

Strong Separation

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

85%

Wide Edge

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

99%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.552

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Notable Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.54

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Strong Carryover

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Upset-Prone

0%17%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Very Shaky

0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.22

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.81

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Baku	7.00%	24.00%	19.00%	16.00%	20.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Karvan	32.00%	27.00%	19.00%	12.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Neftchi Baku	43.00%	17.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inter Baku	13.00%	19.00%	23.00%	21.00%	12.00%	9.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Qarabag	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	20.00%	21.00%	21.00%	8.00%	11.00%	—	—	—
Khazar Lankaran	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	15.00%	17.00%	28.00%	12.00%	3.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Turan	4.00%	7.00%	15.00%	14.00%	20.00%	22.00%	10.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
MKT-Araz	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	16.00%	17.00%	24.00%	16.00%	9.00%	—	—
Shahdag Qusar	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	16.00%	24.00%	30.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—
Ganja	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	20.00%	32.00%	11.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	8.00%	34.00%	52.00%	—
Olimpik Baku	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	5.00%	15.00%	11.00%	19.00%	23.00%	18.00%	6.00%	—	—
MOIK Baku	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	13.00%	35.00%	43.00%	—
Goyazan	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Baku	100%	—
Ganja	100%	—
Inter Baku	100%	—
Karvan	100%	—
Khazar Lankaran	100%	—
MKT-Araz	100%	—
Neftchi Baku	100%	—
Olimpik Baku	100%	—
Qarabag	100%	—
Turan	100%	—
Shahdag Qusar	95.00%	5.00%
MOIK Baku	57.00%	43.00%
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	48.00%	52.00%
Goyazan	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2005-08-12	Karvan	W 1-0	45.0	1262	1326	31.31%	26.46%	42.23%	-0.18	+32.2	3
2005-08-12	@ Baku	L 0-1	45.0	1326	1262	42.23%	26.46%	31.31%	+0.18	-32.2	0
2005-08-12	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	34.1	1177	1376	16.82%	25.61%	57.57%	-0.82	-29.4	0
2005-08-12	@ Olimpik Baku	W 2-0	34.1	1376	1177	57.57%	25.61%	16.82%	+0.82	+29.4	3
2005-08-12	Qarabag	W 2-1	42.8	1344	1205	56.57%	25.71%	17.72%	+0.77	+15.4	3
2005-08-12	@ Turan	L 1-2	42.8	1205	1344	17.72%	25.71%	56.57%	-0.77	-15.4	0
2005-08-12	Inter Baku	D 2-2	59.0	1102	1214	25.34%	26.28%	48.38%	-0.41	+2.8	1
2005-08-12	@ Ganja	D 2-2	59.0	1214	1102	48.38%	26.28%	25.34%	+0.41	-2.8	1
2005-08-13	Shahdag Qusar	W 3-1	34.9	1340	990	71.17%	22.65%	6.17%	+1.76	+9.8	3
2005-08-13	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	34.9	990	1340	6.17%	22.65%	71.17%	-1.76	-9.8	0
2005-08-14	MOIK Baku	W 3-1	42.8	1144	1110	44.75%	26.40%	28.84%	+0.27	+39.5	3
2005-08-14	@ MKT-Araz	L 1-3	42.8	1110	1144	28.84%	26.40%	44.75%	-0.27	-39.5	0
2005-08-21	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 1-1	53.7	1071	899	59.54%	25.37%	15.09%	+0.92	-7.6	1
2005-08-21	@ MOIK Baku	D 1-1	53.7	899	1071	15.09%	25.37%	59.54%	-0.92	+7.6	1
2005-08-21	MKT-Araz	W 5-0	39.7	1105	1183	29.44%	26.42%	44.14%	-0.25	+147.4	4
2005-08-21	@ Ganja	L 0-5	39.7	1183	1105	44.14%	26.42%	29.44%	+0.25	-147.4	3
2005-08-21	Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	48.6	980	1148	19.49%	25.89%	54.62%	-0.67	+6.5	1
2005-08-21	@ Shahdag Qusar	D 0-0	48.6	1148	980	54.62%	25.89%	19.49%	+0.67	-6.5	1
2005-08-22	Baku	L 0-1	49.3	1405	1294	53.81%	25.95%	20.23%	+0.64	-39.8	3
2005-08-22	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	49.3	1294	1405	20.23%	25.95%	53.81%	-0.64	+39.8	6
2005-08-22	Karvan	W 2-1	50.9	1212	1293	28.98%	26.41%	44.61%	-0.27	+31.8	4
2005-08-22	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	50.9	1293	1212	44.61%	26.41%	28.98%	+0.27	-31.8	0
2005-08-22	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	59.6	1190	1349	20.28%	25.96%	53.77%	-0.63	+4.1	1
2005-08-22	@ Qarabag	D 2-2	59.6	1349	1190	53.77%	25.96%	20.28%	+0.63	-4.1	4
2005-08-27	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	46.8	1262	1365	26.29%	26.32%	47.39%	-0.37	+35.5	3
2005-08-27	@ Karvan	L 0-1	46.8	1365	1262	47.39%	26.32%	26.29%	+0.37	-35.5	3
2005-08-27	Qarabag	L 1-2	47.1	1142	1194	32.85%	26.48%	40.66%	-0.13	-25.2	1
2005-08-27	@ Olimpik Baku	W 2-1	47.1	1194	1142	40.66%	26.48%	32.85%	+0.13	+25.2	4
2005-08-27	Inter Baku	D 2-2	59.2	1036	1243	16.08%	25.51%	58.41%	-0.86	+5.4	4
2005-08-27	@ MKT-Araz	D 2-2	59.2	1243	1036	58.41%	25.51%	16.08%	+0.86	-5.4	5
2005-08-28	Ganja	D 2-2	59.7	907	1253	8.06%	23.59%	68.35%	-1.51	+8.1	2
2005-08-28	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 2-2	59.7	1253	907	68.35%	23.59%	8.06%	+1.51	-8.1	5
2005-08-28	MOIK Baku	W 5-1	31.3	1359	1063	68.32%	23.60%	8.08%	+1.50	+23.6	6
2005-08-28	@ Turan	L 1-5	31.3	1063	1359	8.08%	23.60%	68.32%	-1.50	-23.6	1
2005-08-28	Shahdag Qusar	L 0-1	51.8	1334	987	71.05%	22.70%	6.25%	+1.74	-51.9	6
2005-08-28	@ Baku	W 1-0	51.8	987	1334	6.25%	22.70%	71.05%	-1.74	+51.9	4
2005-09-10	MKT-Araz	L 2-3	48.7	915	1041	23.73%	26.19%	50.07%	-0.48	-18.5	2
2005-09-10	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 3-2	48.7	1041	915	50.07%	26.19%	23.73%	+0.48	+18.5	7
2005-09-11	Baku	L 2-4	47.2	1219	1282	31.42%	26.46%	42.12%	-0.18	-37.7	4
2005-09-11	@ Qarabag	W 4-2	47.2	1282	1219	42.12%	26.46%	31.42%	+0.18	+37.7	9
2005-09-11	Karvan	L 1-2	40.5	1038	1297	12.47%	24.90%	62.62%	-1.10	-11.3	4
2005-09-11	@ Shahdag Qusar	W 2-1	40.5	1297	1038	62.62%	24.90%	12.47%	+1.10	+11.3	6
2005-09-11	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-0	43.1	1238	1330	27.72%	26.37%	45.91%	-0.32	+65.1	8
2005-09-11	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	43.1	1330	1238	45.91%	26.37%	27.72%	+0.32	-65.1	3
2005-09-11	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	33.9	1039	1345	9.84%	24.23%	65.93%	-1.32	-9.6	1
2005-09-11	@ MOIK Baku	W 1-0	33.9	1345	1039	65.93%	24.23%	9.84%	+1.32	+9.6	7
2005-09-11	Turan	D 0-0	49.6	1244	1383	22.45%	26.12%	51.43%	-0.53	+5.3	6
2005-09-11	@ Ganja	D 0-0	49.6	1383	1244	51.43%	26.12%	22.45%	+0.53	-5.3	7
2005-09-17	MKT-Araz	W 3-1	35.5	1377	1060	69.51%	23.24%	7.26%	+1.60	+11.6	10
2005-09-17	@ Turan	L 1-3	35.5	1060	1377	7.26%	23.24%	69.51%	-1.60	-11.6	7
2005-09-17	MOIK Baku	L 0-1	46.7	1116	1030	51.15%	26.13%	22.71%	+0.52	-38.0	1
2005-09-17	@ Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	46.7	1030	1116	22.71%	26.13%	51.15%	-0.52	+38.0	4
2005-09-17	Shahdag Qusar	L 1-2	56.0	1265	1027	64.64%	24.52%	10.84%	+1.23	-44.8	3
2005-09-17	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	56.0	1027	1265	10.84%	24.52%	64.64%	-1.23	+44.8	7
2005-09-18	Ganja	L 1-2	53.9	1355	1250	53.18%	26.00%	20.82%	+0.61	-37.1	7
2005-09-18	@ Neftchi Baku	W 2-1	53.9	1250	1355	20.82%	26.00%	53.18%	-0.61	+37.1	9
2005-09-18	Qarabag	W 1-0	37.3	1308	1181	55.44%	25.82%	18.74%	+0.71	+17.1	9
2005-09-18	@ Karvan	L 0-1	37.3	1181	1308	18.74%	25.82%	55.44%	-0.71	-17.1	4
2005-09-18	Inter Baku	L 1-2	37.7	896	1303	5.94%	22.51%	71.56%	-1.79	-5.5	2
2005-09-18	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-1	37.7	1303	896	71.56%	22.51%	5.94%	+1.79	+5.4	11
2005-10-01	Neftchi Baku	L 0-5	29.5	1048	1318	11.81%	24.76%	63.43%	-1.15	-50.2	7
2005-10-01	@ MKT-Araz	W 5-0	29.5	1318	1048	63.43%	24.76%	11.81%	+1.15	+50.2	10
2005-10-01	Shahdag Qusar	W 2-1	40.0	1309	1072	64.58%	24.53%	10.89%	+1.23	+10.0	14
2005-10-01	@ Inter Baku	L 1-2	40.0	1072	1309	10.89%	24.53%	64.58%	-1.23	-9.9	7
2005-10-01	Olimpik Baku	L 0-1	49.9	1287	1078	62.54%	24.92%	12.54%	+1.09	-46.0	9
2005-10-01	@ Ganja	W 1-0	49.9	1078	1287	12.54%	24.92%	62.54%	-1.09	+46.0	4
2005-10-02	Baku	L 0-4	29.8	1068	1320	12.90%	24.99%	62.11%	-1.07	-44.1	4
2005-10-02	@ MOIK Baku	W 4-0	29.8	1320	1068	62.11%	24.99%	12.90%	+1.07	+44.1	12
2005-10-02	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	49.6	1164	1220	32.38%	26.48%	41.14%	-0.15	+29.8	7
2005-10-02	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	49.6	1220	1164	41.14%	26.48%	32.38%	+0.15	-29.8	3
2005-10-02	Turan	D 2-2	60.7	891	1389	3.76%	20.69%	75.54%	-2.22	+9.8	3
2005-10-02	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 2-2	60.7	1389	891	75.54%	20.69%	3.76%	+2.22	-9.8	11
2005-10-22	Ganja	D 0-0	49.5	1364	1241	55.03%	25.86%	19.12%	+0.69	-6.7	13
2005-10-22	@ Baku	D 0-0	49.5	1241	1364	19.12%	25.86%	55.03%	-0.69	+6.7	10
2005-10-22	MOIK Baku	W 5-1	31.1	1325	1024	68.65%	23.51%	7.85%	+1.53	+22.9	12
2005-10-22	@ Karvan	L 1-5	31.1	1024	1325	7.85%	23.51%	68.65%	-1.53	-22.9	4
2005-10-22	Qarabag	W 3-1	49.2	1062	1194	23.11%	26.16%	50.73%	-0.50	+61.5	10
2005-10-22	@ Shahdag Qusar	L 1-3	49.2	1194	1062	50.73%	26.16%	23.11%	+0.50	-61.5	7
2005-10-22	Inter Baku	L 0-1	47.7	1379	1319	48.11%	26.29%	25.60%	+0.40	-35.9	11
2005-10-22	@ Turan	W 1-0	47.7	1319	1379	25.60%	26.29%	48.11%	-0.40	+36.0	17
2005-10-23	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 1-1	55.3	1368	901	76.25%	20.31%	3.43%	+2.31	-13.3	11
2005-10-23	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	55.3	901	1368	3.43%	20.31%	76.25%	-2.31	+13.3	4
2005-10-23	MKT-Araz	D 0-0	48.6	1124	998	55.37%	25.83%	18.81%	+0.71	-6.8	5
2005-10-23	@ Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	48.6	998	1124	18.81%	25.83%	55.37%	-0.71	+6.8	8
2005-10-29	Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	48.7	1001	1190	17.56%	25.69%	56.75%	-0.77	+7.4	5
2005-10-29	@ MOIK Baku	D 0-0	48.7	1190	1001	56.75%	25.69%	17.56%	+0.77	-7.4	4
2005-10-29	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	42.1	1343	1355	38.61%	26.50%	34.89%	+0.06	-56.7	11
2005-10-29	@ Turan	W 2-0	42.1	1355	1343	34.89%	26.50%	38.61%	-0.06	+56.7	14
2005-10-29	Olimpik Baku	L 1-3	38.7	914	1118	16.41%	25.55%	58.04%	-0.84	-24.9	4
2005-10-29	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 3-1	38.7	1118	914	58.04%	25.55%	16.41%	+0.84	+24.9	8
2005-10-30	Baku	W 2-1	57.0	1005	1357	7.80%	23.48%	68.71%	-1.54	+47.5	11
2005-10-30	@ MKT-Araz	L 1-2	57.0	1357	1005	68.71%	23.48%	7.80%	+1.54	-47.5	13
2005-10-30	Karvan	W 1-0	46.4	1248	1348	26.65%	26.33%	47.02%	-0.36	+35.2	13
2005-10-30	@ Ganja	L 0-1	46.4	1348	1248	47.02%	26.33%	26.65%	+0.36	-35.3	12
2005-10-30	Qarabag	W 2-0	32.0	1354	1132	63.54%	24.74%	11.72%	+1.16	+21.3	20
2005-10-30	@ Inter Baku	L 0-2	32.0	1132	1354	11.72%	24.74%	63.54%	-1.16	-21.3	7
2005-11-12	MKT-Araz	W 1-0	33.8	1313	1052	66.18%	24.17%	9.65%	+1.34	+9.4	15
2005-11-12	@ Karvan	L 0-1	33.8	1052	1313	9.65%	24.17%	66.18%	-1.34	-9.4	11
2005-11-12	MOIK Baku	W 1-0	37.3	1124	1008	54.27%	25.92%	19.81%	+0.66	+17.9	13
2005-11-12	@ Shahdag Qusar	L 0-1	37.3	1008	1124	19.81%	25.92%	54.27%	-0.66	-17.9	5
2005-11-12	Inter Baku	D 1-1	56.8	1411	1376	44.98%	26.40%	28.62%	+0.28	-2.6	15
2005-11-12	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	56.8	1376	1411	28.62%	26.40%	44.98%	-0.28	+2.6	21
2005-11-13	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-0	28.4	1310	889	74.39%	21.28%	4.34%	+2.09	+7.8	16
2005-11-13	@ Baku	L 0-2	28.4	889	1310	4.34%	21.28%	74.39%	-2.09	-7.8	4
2005-11-13	Ganja	D 1-1	53.8	1183	1283	26.74%	26.33%	46.92%	-0.35	+3.2	5
2005-11-13	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	53.8	1283	1183	46.92%	26.33%	26.74%	+0.35	-3.2	14
2005-11-13	Turan	D 0-0	48.8	1142	1286	21.84%	26.08%	52.08%	-0.56	+5.5	9
2005-11-13	@ Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	48.8	1286	1142	52.08%	26.08%	21.84%	+0.56	-5.5	12
2005-11-26	Baku	W 1-0	43.9	1281	1317	35.04%	26.50%	38.46%	-0.06	+30.0	15
2005-11-26	@ Turan	L 0-1	43.9	1317	1281	38.46%	26.50%	35.04%	+0.06	-30.0	16
2005-11-26	Khazar Lankaran	W 2-1	52.6	1043	1186	21.94%	26.08%	51.97%	-0.56	+36.3	14
2005-11-26	@ MKT-Araz	L 1-2	52.6	1186	1043	51.97%	26.08%	21.94%	+0.56	-36.3	5
2005-11-26	Qarabag	L 0-2	35.8	990	1111	24.32%	26.23%	49.46%	-0.45	-39.9	5
2005-11-26	@ MOIK Baku	W 2-0	35.8	1111	990	49.46%	26.23%	24.32%	+0.45	+39.9	10
2005-11-26	Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	49.8	1409	1148	66.18%	24.17%	9.65%	+1.34	-11.3	16
2005-11-26	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	49.8	1148	1409	9.65%	24.17%	66.18%	-1.34	+11.3	10
2005-11-27	Karvan	L 0-3	26.9	881	1323	5.00%	21.84%	73.16%	-1.95	-13.2	4
2005-11-27	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 3-0	26.9	1323	881	73.16%	21.84%	5.00%	+1.95	+13.2	18
2005-11-27	Shahdag Qusar	W 3-1	39.4	1280	1141	56.53%	25.72%	17.75%	+0.76	+26.7	17
2005-11-27	@ Ganja	L 1-3	39.4	1141	1280	17.75%	25.72%	56.53%	-0.76	-26.7	13
2005-12-03	MKT-Araz	D 1-1	53.5	1115	1079	44.97%	26.40%	28.63%	+0.28	-2.6	14
2005-12-03	@ Shahdag Qusar	D 1-1	53.5	1079	1115	28.63%	26.40%	44.97%	-0.28	+2.6	15
2005-12-03	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	60.6	1287	1397	25.56%	26.29%	48.15%	-0.40	+2.7	17
2005-12-03	@ Baku	D 2-2	60.6	1397	1287	48.15%	26.29%	25.56%	+0.40	-2.7	17
2005-12-03	Turan	W 1-0	41.8	1336	1311	43.58%	26.43%	29.99%	+0.23	+24.9	21
2005-12-03	@ Karvan	L 0-1	41.8	1311	1336	29.99%	26.43%	43.58%	-0.23	-24.9	15
2005-12-04	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 0-0	49.2	1150	868	67.47%	23.84%	8.69%	+1.44	-11.8	6
2005-12-04	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	49.2	868	1150	8.69%	23.84%	67.47%	-1.44	+11.8	5
2005-12-04	Ganja	D 0-0	48.9	1151	1306	20.71%	25.99%	53.29%	-0.61	+6.0	11
2005-12-04	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	48.9	1306	1151	53.29%	25.99%	20.71%	+0.61	-6.0	18
2005-12-04	Inter Baku	D 0-0	49.3	1159	1378	15.19%	25.39%	59.43%	-0.91	+8.5	11
2005-12-04	@ Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	49.3	1378	1159	59.43%	25.39%	15.19%	+0.91	-8.5	22
2005-12-10	Baku	L 0-1	39.0	1168	1290	24.16%	26.22%	49.62%	-0.46	-21.0	11
2005-12-10	@ Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	39.0	1290	1168	49.62%	26.22%	24.16%	+0.46	+21.0	20
2005-12-10	Karvan	D 0-0	51.2	1395	1361	44.80%	26.40%	28.80%	+0.28	-2.8	18
2005-12-10	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	51.2	1361	1395	28.80%	26.40%	44.80%	-0.28	+2.8	22
2005-12-10	MOIK Baku	W 3-0	26.6	1370	950	74.35%	21.30%	4.36%	+2.08	+11.4	25
2005-12-10	@ Inter Baku	L 0-3	26.6	950	1370	4.36%	21.30%	74.35%	-2.08	-11.4	5
2005-12-10	Shahdag Qusar	W 3-2	59.4	880	1112	14.23%	25.23%	60.54%	-0.97	+39.8	8
2005-12-10	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	L 2-3	59.4	1112	880	60.54%	25.23%	14.23%	+0.97	-39.8	14
2005-12-11	Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	36.5	1286	1138	57.47%	25.62%	16.91%	+0.81	+15.7	18
2005-12-11	@ Turan	L 0-1	36.5	1138	1286	16.91%	25.62%	57.47%	-0.81	-15.7	6
2005-12-11	Qarabag	W 1-0	44.6	1082	1157	29.82%	26.43%	43.75%	-0.24	+33.2	18
2005-12-11	@ MKT-Araz	L 0-1	44.6	1157	1082	43.75%	26.43%	29.82%	+0.24	-33.2	11
2005-12-17	Inter Baku	W 1-0	46.2	1311	1381	30.48%	26.44%	43.07%	-0.21	+32.8	23
2005-12-17	@ Baku	L 0-1	46.2	1381	1311	43.07%	26.44%	30.48%	+0.21	-32.8	25
2005-12-17	Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	35.1	1363	1147	63.16%	24.81%	12.04%	+1.13	+11.6	25
2005-12-17	@ Karvan	L 0-1	35.1	1147	1363	12.04%	24.81%	63.16%	-1.13	-11.6	11
2005-12-17	Turan	D 0-0	48.9	1072	1302	14.44%	25.27%	60.29%	-0.96	+8.8	15
2005-12-17	@ Shahdag Qusar	D 0-0	48.9	1302	1072	60.29%	25.27%	14.44%	+0.96	-8.9	19
2005-12-18	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 1-1	53.9	1124	920	62.21%	24.97%	12.82%	+1.07	-8.6	12
2005-12-18	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	53.9	920	1124	12.82%	24.97%	62.21%	-1.07	+8.6	9
2005-12-18	Ganja	L 0-3	28.1	939	1300	7.45%	23.33%	69.23%	-1.58	-20.0	5
2005-12-18	@ MOIK Baku	W 3-0	28.1	1300	939	69.23%	23.33%	7.45%	+1.58	+20.0	21
2005-12-18	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	35.0	1122	1392	11.80%	24.75%	63.45%	-1.15	-11.4	6
2005-12-18	@ Khazar Lankaran	W 1-0	35.0	1392	1122	63.45%	24.75%	11.80%	+1.15	+11.4	21
2006-02-11	Neftchi Baku	L 1-4	33.7	1081	1403	9.07%	23.98%	66.95%	-1.40	-20.5	15
2006-02-11	@ Shahdag Qusar	W 4-1	33.7	1403	1081	66.95%	23.98%	9.07%	+1.40	+20.5	24
2006-02-12	Baku	W 1-0	42.4	1375	1344	44.40%	26.41%	29.19%	+0.26	+24.4	28
2006-02-12	@ Karvan	L 0-1	42.4	1344	1375	29.19%	26.41%	44.40%	-0.26	-24.4	23
2006-02-12	MKT-Araz	L 0-3	31.6	919	1115	17.00%	25.63%	57.37%	-0.81	-43.1	5
2006-02-12	@ MOIK Baku	W 3-0	31.6	1115	919	57.37%	25.63%	17.00%	+0.81	+43.1	21
2006-02-12	Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	42.5	1111	1135	36.78%	26.51%	36.71%	+0.00	+29.0	9
2006-02-12	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	42.5	1135	1111	36.71%	26.51%	36.78%	+0.00	-29.0	11
2006-02-12	Turan	W 1-0	48.2	1115	1293	18.61%	25.81%	55.59%	-0.72	+41.0	15
2006-02-12	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	48.2	1293	1115	55.59%	25.81%	18.61%	+0.72	-41.0	19
2006-02-16	Qarabag	W 2-0	31.5	1424	1156	66.61%	24.07%	9.32%	+1.37	+17.2	27
2006-02-16	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	31.5	1156	1424	9.32%	24.07%	66.61%	-1.37	-17.2	15
2006-02-17	Ganja	W 3-1	50.5	1158	1320	20.05%	25.94%	54.02%	-0.65	+65.2	24
2006-02-17	@ MKT-Araz	L 1-3	50.5	1320	1158	54.02%	25.94%	20.05%	+0.65	-65.2	21
2006-02-17	Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	54.1	1320	1140	60.25%	25.27%	14.47%	+0.96	-7.9	24
2006-02-17	@ Baku	D 1-1	54.1	1140	1320	14.47%	25.27%	60.25%	-0.96	+7.9	10
2006-02-17	MOIK Baku	W 1-0	39.4	928	876	47.13%	26.33%	26.54%	+0.36	+22.6	12
2006-02-17	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	L 0-1	39.4	876	928	26.54%	26.33%	47.13%	-0.36	-22.7	5
2006-02-17	Shahdag Qusar	D 0-0	48.5	1106	1061	46.23%	26.36%	27.41%	+0.33	-3.3	12
2006-02-17	@ Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	48.5	1061	1106	27.41%	26.36%	46.23%	-0.33	+3.3	16
2006-02-17	Inter Baku	D 0-0	51.0	1399	1349	46.92%	26.33%	26.75%	+0.35	-3.6	29
2006-02-17	@ Karvan	D 0-0	51.0	1349	1399	26.75%	26.33%	46.92%	-0.35	+3.6	26
2006-02-22	Baku	L 0-3	30.5	1064	1312	13.19%	25.05%	61.77%	-1.05	-34.5	16
2006-02-22	@ Shahdag Qusar	W 3-0	30.5	1312	1064	61.77%	25.05%	13.19%	+1.05	+34.4	27
2006-02-22	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	L 1-2	56.9	1255	951	68.77%	23.47%	7.76%	+1.54	-47.5	21
2006-02-22	@ Ganja	W 2-1	56.9	951	1255	7.76%	23.47%	68.77%	-1.54	+47.5	15
2006-02-22	Karvan	D 0-0	49.4	1148	1396	13.15%	25.04%	61.81%	-1.05	+9.5	11
2006-02-22	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	49.4	1396	1148	61.81%	25.04%	13.15%	+1.05	-9.5	30
2006-02-22	MKT-Araz	W 1-0	37.6	1352	1223	55.62%	25.80%	18.58%	+0.72	+17.0	29
2006-02-22	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	37.6	1223	1352	18.58%	25.80%	55.62%	-0.72	-17.0	24
2006-02-22	Olimpik Baku	W 3-2	50.2	1139	1103	45.06%	26.40%	28.55%	+0.29	+21.4	18
2006-02-22	@ Qarabag	L 2-3	50.2	1103	1139	28.55%	26.40%	45.06%	-0.29	-21.4	12
2006-02-22	Turan	L 1-2	37.8	853	1252	6.18%	22.66%	71.16%	-1.76	-5.7	5
2006-02-22	@ MOIK Baku	W 2-1	37.8	1252	853	71.16%	22.66%	6.18%	+1.76	+5.7	22
2006-03-11	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 1-1	53.9	1206	999	62.49%	24.93%	12.59%	+1.09	-8.7	25
2006-03-11	@ MKT-Araz	D 1-1	53.9	999	1206	12.59%	24.93%	62.49%	-1.09	+8.7	16
2006-03-11	MOIK Baku	W 4-0	24.2	1441	848	80.60%	17.58%	1.82%	+2.90	+5.8	30
2006-03-11	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-4	24.2	848	1441	1.82%	17.58%	80.60%	-2.90	-5.8	5
2006-03-11	Shahdag Qusar	W 3-0	27.6	1386	1030	71.51%	22.52%	5.96%	+1.79	+15.9	33
2006-03-11	@ Karvan	L 0-3	27.6	1030	1386	5.96%	22.52%	71.51%	-1.79	-15.9	16
2006-03-12	Ganja	W 2-1	45.5	1258	1208	46.80%	26.34%	26.86%	+0.35	+21.6	25
2006-03-12	@ Turan	L 1-2	45.5	1208	1258	26.86%	26.34%	46.80%	-0.35	-21.6	21
2006-03-12	Qarabag	W 2-1	41.4	1346	1161	60.74%	25.20%	14.06%	+0.99	+12.6	30
2006-03-12	@ Baku	L 1-2	41.4	1161	1346	14.06%	25.20%	60.74%	-0.99	-12.6	18
2006-03-12	Inter Baku	D 1-1	54.2	1157	1369	15.74%	25.47%	58.79%	-0.88	+7.4	12
2006-03-12	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 1-1	54.2	1369	1157	58.79%	25.47%	15.74%	+0.88	-7.4	30
2006-03-25	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	D 0-0	49.7	1362	1007	71.40%	22.57%	6.03%	+1.78	-13.3	31
2006-03-25	@ Inter Baku	D 0-0	49.7	1007	1362	6.03%	22.57%	71.40%	-1.78	+13.3	17
2006-03-25	Neftchi Baku	L 0-5	30.8	1186	1447	12.34%	24.88%	62.78%	-1.11	-52.2	21
2006-03-25	@ Ganja	W 5-0	30.8	1447	1186	62.78%	24.88%	12.34%	+1.11	+52.2	33
2006-03-25	Olimpik Baku	L 0-2	32.3	842	1081	13.71%	25.14%	61.15%	-1.01	-24.6	5
2006-03-25	@ MOIK Baku	W 2-0	32.3	1081	842	61.15%	25.14%	13.71%	+1.01	+24.6	15
2006-03-26	Karvan	D 0-0	49.5	1148	1402	12.75%	24.96%	62.29%	-1.08	+9.7	19
2006-03-26	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	49.5	1402	1148	62.29%	24.96%	12.75%	+1.08	-9.7	34
2006-03-26	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	34.9	1014	1165	21.15%	26.03%	52.82%	-0.59	-35.6	16
2006-03-26	@ Shahdag Qusar	W 2-0	34.9	1165	1014	52.82%	26.03%	21.15%	+0.59	+35.6	15
2006-03-26	Turan	L 0-1	40.5	1198	1279	29.02%	26.41%	44.57%	-0.27	-24.3	25
2006-03-26	@ MKT-Araz	W 1-0	40.5	1279	1198	44.57%	26.41%	29.02%	+0.27	+24.3	28
2006-03-29	Ganja	W 5-0	29.9	1348	1134	63.00%	24.84%	12.16%	+1.12	+51.5	34
2006-03-29	@ Inter Baku	L 0-5	29.9	1134	1348	12.16%	24.84%	63.00%	-1.12	-51.5	21
2006-03-30	MOIK Baku	W 3-0	25.2	1359	817	78.92%	18.71%	2.37%	+2.66	+5.9	33
2006-03-30	@ Baku	L 0-3	25.2	817	1359	2.37%	18.71%	78.92%	-2.66	-5.9	5
2006-04-01	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	L 0-1	51.0	1303	1021	67.53%	23.82%	8.64%	+1.44	-49.5	28
2006-04-01	@ Turan	W 1-0	51.0	1021	1303	8.64%	23.82%	67.53%	-1.44	+49.5	20
2006-04-01	MKT-Araz	D 1-1	56.0	1499	1173	69.94%	23.09%	6.96%	+1.64	-11.5	34
2006-04-01	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	56.0	1173	1499	6.96%	23.09%	69.94%	-1.64	+11.5	26
2006-04-01	Qarabag	W 2-0	37.1	1200	1158	45.87%	26.37%	27.75%	+0.31	+44.2	18
2006-04-01	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-2	37.1	1158	1200	27.75%	26.37%	45.87%	-0.31	-44.2	19
2006-04-02	Ganja	W 1-0	40.5	1106	1082	43.44%	26.44%	30.13%	+0.23	+25.0	18
2006-04-02	@ Olimpik Baku	L 0-1	40.5	1082	1106	30.13%	26.44%	43.44%	-0.23	-25.0	21
2006-04-02	Inter Baku	L 0-2	29.2	978	1400	5.50%	22.22%	72.28%	-1.86	-10.1	16
2006-04-02	@ Shahdag Qusar	W 2-0	29.2	1400	978	72.28%	22.22%	5.50%	+1.86	+10.1	37
2006-04-05	Karvan	L 0-5	24.9	811	1393	2.48%	18.92%	78.60%	-2.61	-10.0	5
2006-04-05	@ MOIK Baku	W 5-0	24.9	1393	811	78.60%	18.92%	2.48%	+2.61	+10.0	37
2006-04-05	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	38.2	1070	1488	5.63%	22.31%	72.07%	-1.84	-5.2	20
2006-04-05	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-1	38.2	1488	1070	72.07%	22.31%	5.63%	+1.84	+5.2	37
2006-04-06	Baku	L 0-2	31.1	1057	1365	9.77%	24.21%	66.02%	-1.33	-18.0	21
2006-04-06	@ Ganja	W 2-0	31.1	1365	1057	66.02%	24.21%	9.77%	+1.33	+18.0	36
2006-04-06	Shahdag Qusar	L 0-1	48.4	1113	968	57.21%	25.65%	17.14%	+0.80	-42.1	19
2006-04-06	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	48.4	968	1113	17.14%	25.65%	57.21%	-0.80	+42.1	19
2006-04-06	Olimpik Baku	D 0-0	48.5	1185	1131	47.27%	26.32%	26.40%	+0.37	-3.7	27
2006-04-06	@ MKT-Araz	D 0-0	48.5	1131	1185	26.40%	26.32%	47.27%	-0.37	+3.7	19
2006-04-06	Turan	W 1-0	37.5	1410	1254	58.21%	25.54%	16.26%	+0.85	+15.1	40
2006-04-06	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	37.5	1254	1410	16.26%	25.54%	58.21%	-0.85	-15.1	28
2006-04-16	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	L 0-1	46.2	1135	1065	49.20%	26.24%	24.57%	+0.44	-36.7	19
2006-04-16	@ Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	46.2	1065	1135	24.57%	26.24%	49.20%	-0.44	+36.7	23
2006-04-16	Ganja	W 7-1	28.9	1403	1039	71.83%	22.40%	5.77%	+1.82	+24.3	40
2006-04-16	@ Karvan	L 1-7	28.9	1039	1403	5.77%	22.40%	71.83%	-1.82	-24.3	21
2006-04-16	MOIK Baku	W 6-0	26.2	1244	801	75.32%	20.81%	3.87%	+2.19	+19.3	21
2006-04-16	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-6	26.2	801	1244	3.87%	20.81%	75.32%	-2.19	-19.3	5
2006-04-16	Inter Baku	W 1-0	51.6	1071	1425	7.73%	23.46%	68.81%	-1.55	+50.4	22
2006-04-16	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	51.6	1425	1071	68.81%	23.46%	7.73%	+1.55	-50.4	40
2006-04-16	Turan	W 1-0	36.1	1493	1239	65.74%	24.27%	9.98%	+1.31	+9.7	40
2006-04-16	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	36.1	1239	1493	9.98%	24.27%	65.74%	-1.31	-9.7	28
2006-04-17	MKT-Araz	W 3-0	31.0	1382	1181	62.00%	25.01%	12.99%	+1.06	+34.0	39
2006-04-17	@ Baku	L 0-3	31.0	1181	1382	12.99%	25.01%	62.00%	-1.06	-34.0	27
2006-04-21	Baku	L 0-2	31.2	1102	1416	9.41%	24.09%	66.49%	-1.36	-17.3	23
2006-04-21	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-0	31.2	1416	1102	66.49%	24.09%	9.41%	+1.36	+17.3	42
2006-04-21	Karvan	L 1-3	37.6	1147	1427	11.22%	24.62%	64.16%	-1.20	-17.7	27
2006-04-21	@ MKT-Araz	W 3-1	37.6	1427	1147	64.16%	24.62%	11.22%	+1.20	+17.7	43
2006-04-21	Khazar Lankaran	L 1-2	40.7	1015	1264	13.11%	25.03%	61.86%	-1.05	-11.8	21
2006-04-21	@ Ganja	W 2-1	40.7	1264	1015	61.86%	25.03%	13.11%	+1.05	+11.8	24
2006-04-21	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	44.1	1375	1502	23.58%	26.19%	50.24%	-0.48	-20.6	40
2006-04-21	@ Inter Baku	W 1-0	44.1	1502	1375	50.24%	26.19%	23.58%	+0.48	+20.6	43
2006-04-21	Shahdag Qusar	L 0-1	35.4	782	1010	14.52%	25.28%	60.20%	-0.96	-13.7	5
2006-04-21	@ MOIK Baku	W 1-0	35.4	1010	782	60.20%	25.28%	14.52%	+0.96	+13.7	22
2006-04-21	Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	36.9	1229	1098	55.83%	25.78%	18.39%	+0.73	+16.8	31
2006-04-21	@ Turan	L 0-1	36.9	1098	1229	18.39%	25.78%	55.83%	-0.73	-16.8	19
2006-04-29	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 3-1	35.2	1445	1084	71.68%	22.46%	5.86%	+1.81	+9.3	46
2006-04-29	@ Karvan	L 1-3	35.2	1084	1445	5.86%	22.46%	71.68%	-1.81	-9.3	23
2006-04-29	Ganja	D 0-0	48.4	1024	1003	43.03%	26.45%	30.53%	+0.21	-2.2	23
2006-04-29	@ Shahdag Qusar	D 0-0	48.4	1003	1024	30.53%	26.45%	43.03%	-0.21	+2.2	22
2006-04-29	MOIK Baku	W 2-1	37.7	1122	768	71.35%	22.59%	6.06%	+1.77	+5.6	25
2006-04-29	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	37.7	768	1122	6.06%	22.59%	71.35%	-1.77	-5.6	5
2006-04-29	Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	35.1	1081	1523	4.98%	21.83%	73.19%	-1.96	-7.9	19
2006-04-29	@ Olimpik Baku	W 3-1	35.1	1523	1081	73.19%	21.83%	4.98%	+1.96	+7.9	46
2006-04-29	Turan	W 1-0	36.9	1434	1246	60.94%	25.18%	13.89%	+1.00	+13.2	45
2006-04-29	@ Baku	L 0-1	36.9	1246	1434	13.89%	25.18%	60.94%	-1.00	-13.2	31
2006-05-06	Olimpik Baku	W 1-0	33.5	1354	1073	67.42%	23.86%	8.73%	+1.43	+8.5	43
2006-05-06	@ Inter Baku	L 0-1	33.5	1073	1354	8.73%	23.86%	67.42%	-1.43	-8.5	19
2006-05-07	Baku	L 0-1	55.8	1531	1447	50.85%	26.15%	23.00%	+0.51	-37.8	46
2006-05-07	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	55.8	1447	1531	23.00%	26.15%	50.85%	-0.51	+37.8	48
2006-05-07	Qarabag	L 1-2	44.3	1005	1127	24.22%	26.22%	49.56%	-0.46	-19.9	22
2006-05-07	@ Ganja	W 2-1	44.3	1127	1005	49.56%	26.22%	24.22%	+0.46	+19.9	28
2006-05-07	Shahdag Qusar	W 3-0	32.8	1129	1022	53.45%	25.98%	20.57%	+0.62	+50.6	30
2006-05-07	@ MKT-Araz	L 0-3	32.8	1022	1129	20.57%	25.98%	53.45%	-0.62	-50.6	23
2006-05-14	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-0	42.8	971	1075	26.28%	26.32%	47.40%	-0.37	+66.9	26
2006-05-14	@ Shahdag Qusar	L 0-2	42.8	1075	971	47.40%	26.32%	26.28%	+0.37	-66.9	23
2006-05-14	MKT-Araz	W 2-1	48.6	1147	1180	35.57%	26.51%	37.93%	-0.04	+28.0	31
2006-05-14	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	48.6	1180	1147	37.93%	26.51%	35.57%	+0.04	-28.0	30
2006-05-14	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	56.4	1454	1493	34.65%	26.50%	38.84%	-0.07	+0.7	47
2006-05-14	@ Karvan	D 0-0	56.4	1493	1454	38.84%	26.50%	34.65%	+0.07	-0.7	47
2006-05-14	Inter Baku	L 0-3	25.1	763	1363	2.26%	18.51%	79.23%	-2.70	-5.6	5
2006-05-14	@ MOIK Baku	W 3-0	25.1	1363	763	79.23%	18.51%	2.26%	+2.70	+5.6	46
2006-05-14	Olimpik Baku	W 2-0	29.0	1485	1065	74.36%	21.29%	4.35%	+2.09	+7.9	51
2006-05-14	@ Baku	L 0-2	29.0	1065	1485	4.35%	21.29%	74.36%	-2.09	-7.9	19
2006-05-14	Turan	W 1-0	40.2	1276	1233	45.92%	26.37%	27.71%	+0.32	+23.4	27
2006-05-14	@ Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	40.2	1233	1276	27.71%	26.37%	45.92%	-0.32	-23.4	31
2006-05-22	Karvan	D 0-0	50.3	1209	1455	13.33%	25.07%	61.60%	-1.04	+9.4	32
2006-05-22	@ Turan	D 0-0	50.3	1455	1209	61.60%	25.07%	13.33%	+1.04	-9.4	48
2006-05-22	MKT-Araz	D 0-0	49.0	1299	1152	57.37%	25.63%	17.00%	+0.81	-7.7	28
2006-05-22	@ Khazar Lankaran	D 0-0	49.0	1152	1299	17.00%	25.63%	57.37%	-0.81	+7.6	31
2006-05-26	Khazar Lankaran	L 0-1	34.3	1008	1291	11.03%	24.57%	64.40%	-1.21	-10.7	23
2006-05-26	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 1-0	34.3	1291	1008	64.40%	24.57%	11.03%	+1.21	+10.7	31
2006-05-29	Baku	L 0-1	43.8	1368	1493	23.94%	26.21%	49.86%	-0.47	-20.9	46
2006-05-29	@ Inter Baku	W 1-0	43.8	1493	1368	49.86%	26.21%	23.94%	+0.47	+20.9	54
2006-05-29	MOIK Baku	W 5-3	41.6	986	757	64.00%	24.65%	11.35%	+1.19	+15.1	25
2006-05-29	@ Ganja	L 3-5	41.6	757	986	11.35%	24.65%	64.00%	-1.19	-15.1	5
2006-05-29	Shahdag Qusar	L 2-3	59.4	1219	1038	60.32%	25.27%	14.42%	+0.96	-39.7	32
2006-05-29	@ Turan	W 3-2	59.4	1038	1219	14.42%	25.27%	60.32%	-0.96	+39.7	29
2006-05-30	Karvan	L 0-5	27.7	1057	1445	6.51%	22.85%	70.64%	-1.71	-28.1	19
2006-05-30	@ Olimpik Baku	W 5-0	27.7	1445	1057	70.64%	22.85%	6.51%	+1.71	+28.1	51
2006-05-30	Khazar Lankaran	D 2-2	62.7	1492	1302	61.13%	25.15%	13.72%	+1.01	-6.1	48
2006-05-30	@ Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	62.7	1302	1492	13.72%	25.15%	61.13%	-1.01	+6.1	32
2006-05-30	Qarabag	L 0-2	34.0	997	1175	18.60%	25.80%	55.60%	-0.72	-32.0	23
2006-05-30	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	W 2-0	34.0	1175	997	55.60%	25.80%	18.60%	+0.72	+32.0	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-08-28	6.25%	Shahdag Qusar	987	1	@ Baku	1334	0
2	2006-04-16	7.73%	@ Qarabag	1071	1	Inter Baku	1425	0
3	2006-02-22	7.76%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	951	2	@ Ganja	1255	1
4	2005-10-30	7.80%	@ MKT-Araz	1005	2	Baku	1357	1
5	2006-04-01	8.64%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1021	1	@ Turan	1303	0
6	2005-09-17	10.84%	Shahdag Qusar	1027	2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1265	1
7	2005-10-01	12.54%	Olimpik Baku	1078	1	@ Ganja	1287	0
8	2005-12-10	14.23%	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	880	3	Shahdag Qusar	1112	2
9	2006-05-29	14.42%	Shahdag Qusar	1038	3	@ Turan	1219	2
10	2006-04-06	17.14%	Shahdag Qusar	968	1	@ Qarabag	1113	0
11	2006-02-12	18.61%	@ Qarabag	1115	1	Turan	1293	0
12	2006-02-17	20.05%	@ MKT-Araz	1158	3	Ganja	1320	1
13	2005-08-22	20.23%	Baku	1294	1	@ Khazar Lankaran	1405	0
14	2005-09-18	20.82%	Ganja	1250	2	@ Neftchi Baku	1355	1
15	2005-11-26	21.94%	@ MKT-Araz	1043	2	Khazar Lankaran	1186	1
16	2005-09-17	22.71%	MOIK Baku	1030	1	@ Olimpik Baku	1116	0
17	2006-05-07	23.00%	Baku	1447	1	@ Neftchi Baku	1531	0
18	2005-10-22	23.11%	@ Shahdag Qusar	1062	3	Qarabag	1194	1
19	2006-04-16	24.57%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1065	1	@ Olimpik Baku	1135	0
20	2005-10-22	25.60%	Inter Baku	1319	1	@ Turan	1379	0
21	2006-05-14	26.28%	@ Shahdag Qusar	971	2	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1075	0
22	2005-08-27	26.29%	@ Karvan	1262	1	Khazar Lankaran	1365	0
23	2005-10-30	26.65%	@ Ganja	1248	1	Karvan	1348	0
24	2005-09-11	27.72%	@ Inter Baku	1238	2	Khazar Lankaran	1330	0
25	2005-08-22	28.98%	@ Inter Baku	1212	2	Karvan	1293	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-08-21	147.41	@ Ganja	5	1105	29.44%	MKT-Araz	0	1183	44.14%	26.42%
2	2006-05-14	66.94	@ Shahdag Qusar	2	971	26.28%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	0	1075	47.40%	26.32%
3	2006-02-17	65.17	@ MKT-Araz	3	1158	20.05%	Ganja	1	1320	54.02%	25.94%
4	2005-09-11	65.14	@ Inter Baku	2	1238	27.72%	Khazar Lankaran	0	1330	45.91%	26.37%
5	2005-10-22	61.53	@ Shahdag Qusar	3	1062	23.11%	Qarabag	1	1194	50.73%	26.16%
6	2005-10-29	56.72	Neftchi Baku	2	1355	34.89%	@ Turan	0	1343	38.61%	26.50%
7	2006-03-25	52.24	Neftchi Baku	5	1447	62.78%	@ Ganja	0	1186	12.34%	24.88%
8	2005-08-28	51.88	Shahdag Qusar	1	987	6.25%	@ Baku	0	1334	71.05%	22.70%
9	2006-03-29	51.54	@ Inter Baku	5	1348	63.00%	Ganja	0	1134	12.16%	24.84%
10	2006-05-07	50.57	@ MKT-Araz	3	1129	53.45%	Shahdag Qusar	0	1022	20.57%	25.98%
11	2006-04-16	50.40	@ Qarabag	1	1071	7.73%	Inter Baku	0	1425	68.81%	23.46%
12	2005-10-01	50.16	Neftchi Baku	5	1318	63.43%	@ MKT-Araz	0	1048	11.81%	24.76%
13	2006-04-01	49.53	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1	1021	8.64%	@ Turan	0	1303	67.53%	23.82%
14	2006-02-22	47.50	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	2	951	7.76%	@ Ganja	1	1255	68.77%	23.47%
15	2005-10-30	47.47	@ MKT-Araz	2	1005	7.80%	Baku	1	1357	68.71%	23.48%
16	2005-10-01	45.96	Olimpik Baku	1	1078	12.54%	@ Ganja	0	1287	62.54%	24.92%
17	2005-09-17	44.76	Shahdag Qusar	2	1027	10.84%	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1265	64.64%	24.52%
18	2006-04-01	44.23	@ Khazar Lankaran	2	1200	45.87%	Qarabag	0	1158	27.75%	26.37%
19	2005-10-02	44.12	Baku	4	1320	62.11%	@ MOIK Baku	0	1068	12.90%	24.99%
20	2006-02-12	43.09	MKT-Araz	3	1115	57.37%	@ MOIK Baku	0	919	17.00%	25.63%
21	2006-04-06	42.13	Shahdag Qusar	1	968	17.14%	@ Qarabag	0	1113	57.21%	25.65%
22	2006-02-12	41.00	@ Qarabag	1	1115	18.61%	Turan	0	1293	55.59%	25.81%
23	2005-11-26	39.87	Qarabag	2	1111	49.46%	@ MOIK Baku	0	990	24.32%	26.23%
24	2005-12-10	39.82	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	3	880	14.23%	Shahdag Qusar	2	1112	60.54%	25.23%
25	2005-08-22	39.76	Baku	1	1294	20.23%	@ Khazar Lankaran	0	1405	53.81%	25.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-05-30	62.7	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1492	61.13%	Khazar Lankaran	2	1302	13.72%	25.15%
2	2005-10-02	60.7	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	2	891	3.76%	Turan	2	1389	75.54%	20.69%
3	2005-12-03	60.6	@ Baku	2	1287	25.56%	Neftchi Baku	2	1397	48.15%	26.29%
4	2005-08-28	59.7	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	2	907	8.06%	Ganja	2	1253	68.35%	23.59%
5	2005-08-22	59.6	@ Qarabag	2	1190	20.28%	Neftchi Baku	2	1349	53.77%	25.96%
6	2005-12-10	59.4	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	3	880	14.23%	Shahdag Qusar	2	1112	60.54%	25.23%
7	2006-05-29	59.4	Shahdag Qusar	3	1038	14.42%	@ Turan	2	1219	60.32%	25.27%
8	2005-08-27	59.2	@ MKT-Araz	2	1036	16.08%	Inter Baku	2	1243	58.41%	25.51%
9	2005-08-12	59.0	@ Ganja	2	1102	25.34%	Inter Baku	2	1214	48.38%	26.28%
10	2005-10-30	57.0	@ MKT-Araz	2	1005	7.80%	Baku	1	1357	68.71%	23.48%
11	2006-02-22	56.9	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	2	951	7.76%	@ Ganja	1	1255	68.77%	23.47%
12	2005-11-12	56.8	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1411	44.98%	Inter Baku	1	1376	28.62%	26.40%
13	2006-05-14	56.4	@ Karvan	0	1454	34.65%	Neftchi Baku	0	1493	38.84%	26.50%
14	2005-09-17	56.0	Shahdag Qusar	2	1027	10.84%	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1265	64.64%	24.52%
15	2006-04-01	56.0	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1499	69.94%	MKT-Araz	1	1173	6.96%	23.09%
16	2006-05-07	55.8	Baku	1	1447	23.00%	@ Neftchi Baku	0	1531	50.85%	26.15%
17	2005-10-23	55.3	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1368	76.25%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1	901	3.43%	20.31%
18	2006-03-12	54.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1157	15.74%	Inter Baku	1	1369	58.79%	25.47%
19	2006-02-17	54.1	@ Baku	1	1320	60.25%	Khazar Lankaran	1	1140	14.47%	25.27%
20	2005-09-18	53.9	Ganja	2	1250	20.82%	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1355	53.18%	26.00%
21	2005-12-18	53.9	@ Qarabag	1	1124	62.21%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1	920	12.82%	24.97%
22	2006-03-11	53.9	@ MKT-Araz	1	1206	62.49%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1	999	12.59%	24.93%
23	2005-11-13	53.8	@ Khazar Lankaran	1	1183	26.74%	Ganja	1	1283	46.92%	26.33%
24	2005-08-21	53.7	@ MOIK Baku	1	1071	59.54%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	1	899	15.09%	25.37%
25	2005-12-03	53.5	@ Shahdag Qusar	1	1115	44.97%	MKT-Araz	1	1079	28.63%	26.40%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-03-11	24.2	@ Neftchi Baku	4	1441	80.60%	MOIK Baku	0	848	1.82%	17.58%
2	2006-04-05	24.9	Karvan	5	1393	78.60%	@ MOIK Baku	0	811	2.48%	18.92%
3	2006-05-14	25.1	Inter Baku	3	1363	79.23%	@ MOIK Baku	0	763	2.26%	18.51%
4	2006-03-30	25.2	@ Baku	3	1359	78.92%	MOIK Baku	0	817	2.37%	18.71%
5	2006-04-16	26.2	@ Khazar Lankaran	6	1244	75.32%	MOIK Baku	0	801	3.87%	20.81%
6	2005-12-10	26.6	@ Inter Baku	3	1370	74.35%	MOIK Baku	0	950	4.36%	21.30%
7	2005-11-27	26.9	Karvan	3	1323	73.16%	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	0	881	5.00%	21.84%
8	2006-03-11	27.6	@ Karvan	3	1386	71.51%	Shahdag Qusar	0	1030	5.96%	22.52%
9	2006-05-30	27.7	Karvan	5	1445	70.64%	@ Olimpik Baku	0	1057	6.51%	22.85%
10	2005-12-18	28.1	Ganja	3	1300	69.23%	@ MOIK Baku	0	939	7.45%	23.33%
11	2005-11-13	28.4	@ Baku	2	1310	74.39%	Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	0	889	4.34%	21.28%
12	2006-04-16	28.9	@ Karvan	7	1403	71.83%	Ganja	1	1039	5.77%	22.40%
13	2006-05-14	29.0	@ Baku	2	1485	74.36%	Olimpik Baku	0	1065	4.35%	21.29%
14	2006-04-02	29.2	Inter Baku	2	1400	72.28%	@ Shahdag Qusar	0	978	5.50%	22.22%
15	2005-10-01	29.5	Neftchi Baku	5	1318	63.43%	@ MKT-Araz	0	1048	11.81%	24.76%
16	2005-10-02	29.8	Baku	4	1320	62.11%	@ MOIK Baku	0	1068	12.90%	24.99%
17	2006-03-29	29.9	@ Inter Baku	5	1348	63.00%	Ganja	0	1134	12.16%	24.84%
18	2006-02-22	30.5	Baku	3	1312	61.77%	@ Shahdag Qusar	0	1064	13.19%	25.05%
19	2006-03-25	30.8	Neftchi Baku	5	1447	62.78%	@ Ganja	0	1186	12.34%	24.88%
20	2006-04-17	31.0	@ Baku	3	1382	62.00%	MKT-Araz	0	1181	12.99%	25.01%
21	2005-10-22	31.1	@ Karvan	5	1325	68.65%	MOIK Baku	1	1024	7.85%	23.51%
22	2006-04-06	31.1	Baku	2	1365	66.02%	@ Ganja	0	1057	9.77%	24.21%
23	2006-04-21	31.2	Baku	2	1416	66.49%	@ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit	0	1102	9.41%	24.09%
24	2005-08-28	31.3	@ Turan	5	1359	68.32%	MOIK Baku	1	1063	8.08%	23.60%
25	2006-02-16	31.5	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1424	66.61%	Qarabag	0	1156	9.32%	24.07%