Home / Leagues / Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan Top League / 2006-07
‹ ›

2006-07 Azerbaijan Top League Season

156 games

Final

Champion

Khazar Lankaran

56 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Khazar Lankaran

9.88 points above expected

56 points · 46.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shahdag Qusar

7.73 points below expected

11 points · 18.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Khazar Lankaran Champion 24 17 5 2 56 50 16 +34 46.12 +9.88
2 Neftchi Baku 24 17 3 4 54 47 15 +32 47.51 +6.49
3 Baku 24 14 6 4 48 25 10 +15 45.46 +2.54
4 Inter Baku 24 13 6 5 45 36 12 +24 45.54 -0.54
5 Olimpik Baku 24 11 8 5 41 28 17 +11 33.18 +7.82
6 MKT-Araz 24 12 5 7 41 23 18 +5 37.92 +3.08
7 Karvan 24 10 5 9 35 36 30 +6 41.33 -6.33
8 Qarabag 24 6 9 9 27 20 27 -7 29.48 -2.48
9 Simurq Zaqatala 24 6 7 11 25 27 33 -6 24.51 +0.49
10 Turan 24 5 5 14 20 24 38 -14 26.17 -6.17
11 Gabala 24 4 4 16 16 17 47 -30 19.59 -3.59
12 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 24 3 3 18 12 16 54 -38 15.51 -3.51
13 Shahdag Qusar 24 1 8 15 11 15 47 -32 18.73 -7.73

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Khazar Lankaran 56 46.12 +9.88
2 Olimpik Baku 41 33.18 +7.82
3 Neftchi Baku 54 47.51 +6.49
4 MKT-Araz 41 37.92 +3.08
5 Baku 48 45.46 +2.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shahdag Qusar 11 18.73 -7.73
2 Karvan 35 41.33 -6.33
3 Turan 20 26.17 -6.17
4 Gabala 16 19.59 -3.59
5 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 12 15.51 -3.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MKT-Araz 6 Nov 9 – Feb 16 1 in 280
2 Neftchi Baku 10 Feb 11 – May 12 1 in 192
3 Turan 3 Dec 8 – Feb 11 1 in 57
4 Karvan 6 Aug 31 – Oct 22 1 in 12
5 Khazar Lankaran 6 Apr 27 – May 23 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Karvan 3 May 12 – May 23 1 in 86
2 Turan 5 Feb 17 – Apr 7 1 in 21
3 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 8 Nov 27 – Apr 17 1 in 21
4 Qarabag 4 Nov 26 – Feb 12 1 in 19
5 Simurq Zaqatala 4 Aug 11 – Sep 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Baku 11 Nov 15 – Apr 28 1 in 18
2 Qarabag 7 Aug 10 – Nov 4 1 in 12
3 Olimpik Baku 9 Dec 8 – Apr 17 1 in 11
4 Shahdag Qusar 3 Apr 17 – May 8 1 in 11
5 MKT-Araz 6 Nov 9 – Feb 16 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shahdag Qusar 20 Aug 6 – May 3 1 in 69
2 Karvan 6 Oct 28 – Dec 8 1 in 46
3 Turan 11 Feb 17 – May 23 1 in 38
4 Neftchi Baku 5 Aug 11 – Sep 24 1 in 32
5 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 17 Aug 20 – Apr 17 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Khazar Lankaran 1609 56 +76 15 11.8 +3.2
Neftchi Baku 1604 54 -13 12 11.6 +0.4
Baku 1508 48 +65 12 7.9 +4.1
Inter Baku 1478 45 +43 10 9.7 +0.3
Olimpik Baku 1437 41 +69 10 6.9 +3.1
MKT-Araz 1275 41 -114 3 6.0 -3.0
Karvan 1277 35 -56 4 7.4 -3.4
Qarabag 1178 27 -16 6 5.1 +0.9
Simurq Zaqatala 1244 25 +29 4 4.0 +0.0
Turan 1030 20 -125 1 5.8 -4.8
Gabala 1041 16 +52 7 3.7 +3.3
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 920 12 -16 6 4.6 +1.4
Shahdag Qusar 1009 11 +41 4 3.3 +0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAK GAB GS IB KAR KL MKT NB OB QAR SQ SZ TUR
Baku —
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.90
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.90
1-1-0
4.77
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.91
Gabala
0-0-2
0.80
 —
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
0.60
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
0.82
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.85
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.01
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit
0-0-2
0.81
0-0-2
2.59
 —
0-0-2
0.67
1-0-1
0.72
0-0-2
0.84
0-1-1
0.94
0-0-2
0.82
0-1-1
1.79
0-0-2
1.41
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.73
Inter Baku
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.92
 —
0-2-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
3.78
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.86
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.79
Karvan
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
4.46
1-0-1
4.86
0-2-0
2.29
 —
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
3.19
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.73
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
4.06
Khazar Lankaran
1-1-0
2.52
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.74
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.95
 —
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
5.01
1-1-0
4.21
1-1-0
4.66
MKT-Araz
1-0-1
1.61
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
4.63
1-0-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.31
0-0-2
1.97
 —
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
4.06
Neftchi Baku
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.42
 —
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.56
1-0-1
4.88
Olimpik Baku
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
4.14
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.47
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
1.34
 —
0-2-0
2.90
1-1-0
4.73
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.95
Qarabag
0-2-0
1.61
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.11
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.29
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.46
0-2-0
2.62
 —
1-1-0
3.76
0-1-1
3.58
0-1-1
3.35
Shahdag Qusar
0-1-1
0.81
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
0.72
0-0-2
0.83
0-0-2
0.60
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
0.97
0-1-1
0.83
0-1-1
1.74
 —
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
2.08
Simurq Zaqatala
0-1-1
1.57
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
3.63
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
1.47
0-1-1
1.33
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
1.94
2-0-0
3.34
 —
0-1-1
2.43
Turan
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.78
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
0.90
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
0.72
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
2.15
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.07
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +11.6
Allowed 0.88 -9.9
Differential 0.96 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.82%13.78%5.45%3.85%0.64%0.32%36.86%
113.78%9.62%3.21%4.17%2.56%1.60%34.94%
25.45%3.21%0.64%1.60%0.96%—11.86%
33.85%4.17%1.60%0.64%——10.26%
40.64%2.56%0.96%———4.17%
5+0.32%1.60%————1.92%
Total36.86%34.94%11.86%10.26%4.17%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.86
CV 1.10 1.10 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 156

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%12.50%4.17%———37.50%
129.17%4.17%————33.33%
212.50%4.17%————16.67%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total66.67%25.00%8.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 0.42 +0.62
SD 1.04 0.65 1.17
CV 1.00 1.57 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%8.33%8.33%4.17%—45.83%
112.50%—4.17%8.33%16.67%—41.67%
24.17%——4.17%——8.33%
3———4.17%——4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.17%12.50%12.50%25.00%20.83%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.96 -1.25
SD 0.81 1.57 1.62
CV 1.14 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%20.83%8.33%16.67%4.17%—54.17%
14.17%8.33%—4.17%8.33%8.33%33.33%
24.17%——4.17%——8.33%
3———————
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+———————
Total12.50%29.17%12.50%25.00%12.50%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 2.25 -1.58
SD 0.96 1.62 1.84
CV 1.44 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%4.17%———37.50%
116.67%8.33%————25.00%
216.67%4.17%————20.83%
3———————
44.17%4.17%————8.33%
5+—8.33%————8.33%
Total54.17%41.67%4.17%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.50 +1.00
SD 1.84 0.59 1.89
CV 1.23 1.18 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.83%4.17%———25.00%
14.17%16.67%4.17%8.33%——33.33%
28.33%8.33%————16.67%
34.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%——16.67%
4—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%54.17%16.67%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.25 +0.25
SD 1.29 0.90 1.54
CV 0.86 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.17%————20.83%
18.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
28.33%8.33%————16.67%
38.33%12.50%8.33%———29.17%
44.17%8.33%————12.50%
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total45.83%41.67%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 0.67 +1.42
SD 1.50 0.70 1.44
CV 0.72 1.05 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%8.33%4.17%——37.50%
137.50%8.33%——4.17%—50.00%
24.17%—————4.17%
3———————
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total54.17%29.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.75 +0.21
SD 1.23 1.07 1.69
CV 1.29 1.43 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%————8.33%
133.33%8.33%12.50%———54.17%
24.17%—————4.17%
38.33%4.17%————12.50%
4—8.33%4.17%———12.50%
5+4.17%4.17%————8.33%
Total54.17%29.17%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.62 +1.33
SD 1.63 0.77 1.71
CV 0.83 1.23 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%8.33%—4.17%——33.33%
120.83%8.33%4.17%———33.33%
24.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%——16.67%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total54.17%29.17%8.33%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.71 +0.46
SD 1.09 0.95 1.38
CV 0.93 1.35 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%12.50%12.50%4.17%——45.83%
18.33%20.83%—4.17%4.17%—37.50%
24.17%—————4.17%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%37.50%16.67%8.33%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.12 -0.29
SD 1.01 1.12 1.55
CV 1.21 0.99 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%8.33%8.33%4.17%—4.17%45.83%
1—12.50%4.17%25.00%—8.33%50.00%
2———————
34.17%—————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%20.83%12.50%29.17%—12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.96 -1.33
SD 0.71 1.65 1.71
CV 1.14 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%4.17%8.33%——37.50%
14.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
2—4.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%—16.67%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.83%45.83%12.50%16.67%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.38 -0.25
SD 1.12 1.13 1.65
CV 0.99 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%29.17%8.33%———50.00%
1—8.33%4.17%——4.17%16.67%
2—8.33%—4.17%8.33%—20.83%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total12.50%58.33%12.50%4.17%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.58 -0.58
SD 1.22 1.56 1.77
CV 1.22 0.98 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Khazar Lankaran 1609 56 46.12 +9.88 97.0% 33 38 43 46 49 54 59
Neftchi Baku 1604 54 47.51 +6.49 86.0% 34 36 44 48 52 57 61
Baku 1508 48 45.46 +2.54 68.0% 32 34 41 45 50 55 60
Inter Baku 1478 45 45.54 -0.54 46.0% 33 35 42 46 50 55 58
Olimpik Baku 1437 41 33.18 +7.82 95.0% 21 26 29 33 37 41 49
Karvan 1277 35 41.33 -6.33 22.0% 28 32 36 40 45 54 58
MKT-Araz 1275 41 37.92 +3.08 71.0% 26 28 33 38 42 47 57
Simurq Zaqatala 1244 25 24.51 +0.49 58.0% 10 15 20 24 28 34 40
Qarabag 1178 27 29.48 -2.48 36.0% 17 20 25 30 33 39 47
Gabala 1041 16 19.59 -3.59 30.0% 6 12 15 20 23 28 35
Turan 1030 20 26.17 -6.17 16.0% 14 16 23 26 30 36 39
Shahdag Qusar 1009 11 18.73 -7.73 11.0% 7 8 15 19 23 27 32
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 920 12 15.51 -3.51 24.0% 5 9 13 15 18 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.87%
Clear Edge
48.08%23.72%28.21%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
069.97600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.9
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Khazar Lankaran, 2nd of 13
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.5 * Some Luck: 4.5 to 6.75 * Lucky: 6.75 to 9.01 * Wild Swing: 9.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.12 * Way Off: 2.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 13 * As Expected: 13 to 20.8 * Several Outliers: 20.8 to 28.6 * Many Outliers: 28.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.45 points
Some Luck
05.6314
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.92
Pinpoint
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.15%
97.00%
Khazar Lankaran
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.85%
11.00%
Shahdag Qusar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 13
Minimal Outliers
01.36

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 234.98
2.41
Strong Separation
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
93%
Wide Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.64
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213
Khazar Lankaran22.00%22.00%18.00%25.00%11.00%1.00%—1.00%—————
Neftchi Baku28.00%26.00%16.00%19.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Baku20.00%17.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%6.00%4.00%——————
Inter Baku15.00%23.00%25.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%——————
Olimpik Baku—1.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%18.00%25.00%25.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%——
MKT-Araz3.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%26.00%21.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%———
Karvan12.00%4.00%11.00%12.00%24.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%————
Qarabag—1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%20.00%26.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%1.00%—
Simurq Zaqatala—————4.00%7.00%13.00%25.00%21.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%
Turan————4.00%3.00%7.00%20.00%26.00%16.00%16.00%7.00%1.00%
Gabala——————1.00%1.00%9.00%20.00%25.00%22.00%22.00%
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit————————1.00%10.00%12.00%28.00%49.00%
Shahdag Qusar——————2.00%2.00%7.00%15.00%20.00%32.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Baku 100% —
Inter Baku 100% —
Karvan 100% —
Khazar Lankaran 100% —
MKT-Araz 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Olimpik Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Turan 99.00% 1.00%
Simurq Zaqatala 94.00% 6.00%
Gabala 78.00% 22.00%
Shahdag Qusar 78.00% 22.00%
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 51.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-08-05 Inter Baku D 0-050.3 1227 1339 31.91% 25.12% 42.97%-0.19 +2.0 1
2006-08-05 @ Gabala D 0-050.3 1339 1227 42.97% 25.12% 31.91%+0.19 -2.0 1
2006-08-05 Olimpik Baku W 1-034.0 1429 1169 69.65% 22.60% 7.75%+1.48 +7.8 3
2006-08-05 @ Baku L 0-134.0 1169 1429 7.75% 22.60% 69.65%-1.48 -7.8 0
2006-08-05 Turan D 0-050.0 1227 1248 44.62% 25.09% 30.30%+0.22 -2.6 1
2006-08-05 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 0-050.0 1248 1227 30.30% 25.09% 44.62%-0.22 +2.6 1
2006-08-06 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 6-129.6 1419 1137 70.76% 22.29% 6.95%+1.58 +25.7 3
2006-08-06 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-629.6 1137 1419 6.95% 22.29% 70.76%-1.58 -25.7 0
2006-08-06 MKT-Araz D 0-049.9 1187 1234 41.07% 25.14% 33.79%+0.10 -1.3 1
2006-08-06 @ Shahdag Qusar D 0-049.9 1234 1187 33.79% 25.14% 41.07%-0.10 +1.3 1
2006-08-10 Baku L 0-140.0 1250 1437 22.97% 24.84% 52.20%-0.53 -20.9 1
2006-08-10 @ Turan W 1-040.0 1437 1250 52.20% 24.84% 22.97%+0.53 +20.9 6
2006-08-10 Shahdag Qusar W 3-139.4 1260 1186 55.66% 24.63% 19.71%+0.65 +30.1 3
2006-08-10 @ Qarabag L 1-339.4 1186 1260 19.71% 24.63% 55.66%-0.65 -30.1 1
2006-08-11 Gabala W 4-138.6 1236 1229 48.12% 25.00% 26.88%+0.34 +54.8 4
2006-08-11 @ MKT-Araz L 1-438.6 1229 1236 26.88% 25.00% 48.12%-0.34 -54.8 1
2006-08-11 Neftchi Baku W 2-153.3 1318 1445 30.02% 25.08% 44.90%-0.26 +33.4 3
2006-08-11 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-253.3 1445 1318 44.90% 25.08% 30.02%+0.26 -33.4 3
2006-08-11 Simurq Zaqatala W 4-249.7 1111 1224 31.84% 25.11% 43.04%-0.19 +49.9 3
2006-08-11 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 2-449.7 1224 1111 43.04% 25.11% 31.84%+0.19 -49.9 1
2006-08-20 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-027.8 1458 1161 71.50% 22.06% 6.44%+1.65 +17.8 9
2006-08-20 @ Baku L 0-327.8 1161 1458 6.44% 22.06% 71.50%-1.65 -17.9 3
2006-08-20 Khazar Lankaran L 0-139.2 1174 1351 24.09% 24.89% 51.02%-0.48 -21.7 1
2006-08-20 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 1-039.2 1351 1174 51.02% 24.89% 24.09%+0.48 +21.8 6
2006-08-20 Qarabag L 0-237.8 1174 1290 31.45% 25.11% 43.44%-0.21 -50.6 1
2006-08-20 @ Gabala W 2-037.8 1290 1174 43.44% 25.11% 31.45%+0.21 +50.6 6
2006-08-20 Inter Baku L 0-150.7 1411 1337 55.66% 24.63% 19.71%+0.65 -42.8 3
2006-08-20 @ Neftchi Baku W 1-050.7 1337 1411 19.71% 24.63% 55.66%-0.65 +42.8 4
2006-08-20 Turan W 1-042.7 1161 1229 38.04% 25.15% 36.81%+0.01 +30.2 3
2006-08-20 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-142.7 1229 1161 36.81% 25.15% 38.04%-0.01 -30.3 1
2006-08-25 Neftchi Baku D 1-155.9 1291 1368 36.69% 25.15% 38.15%-0.04 +0.2 5
2006-08-25 @ MKT-Araz D 1-155.9 1368 1291 38.15% 25.15% 36.69%+0.04 -0.2 4
2006-08-25 Simurq Zaqatala W 2-030.7 1380 1153 67.78% 23.05% 9.17%+1.34 +17.4 7
2006-08-25 @ Inter Baku L 0-230.7 1153 1380 9.17% 23.05% 67.78%-1.34 -17.4 1
2006-08-26 Baku W 1-048.9 1373 1476 33.16% 25.13% 41.71%-0.15 +33.3 9
2006-08-26 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-148.9 1476 1373 41.71% 25.13% 33.16%+0.15 -33.3 9
2006-08-26 Gabala L 0-146.9 1156 1124 51.19% 24.88% 23.92%+0.46 -39.6 1
2006-08-26 @ Shahdag Qusar W 1-046.9 1124 1156 23.92% 24.88% 51.19%-0.46 +39.7 4
2006-08-26 Olimpik Baku D 1-154.6 1143 1191 40.95% 25.14% 33.91%+0.10 -1.1 4
2006-08-26 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit D 1-154.6 1191 1143 33.91% 25.14% 40.95%-0.10 +1.1 4
2006-08-31 Olimpik Baku W 1-034.7 1416 1192 67.55% 23.10% 9.35%+1.32 +9.4 3
2006-08-31 @ Karvan L 0-134.7 1192 1416 9.35% 23.10% 67.55%-1.32 -9.4 4
2006-09-17 Khazar Lankaran L 1-243.5 1183 1406 19.36% 24.60% 56.04%-0.69 -17.1 4
2006-09-17 @ Olimpik Baku W 2-143.5 1406 1183 56.04% 24.60% 19.36%+0.69 +17.1 12
2006-09-17 MKT-Araz L 0-139.7 1135 1291 26.50% 24.99% 48.52%-0.38 -23.5 1
2006-09-17 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 1-039.7 1291 1135 48.52% 24.99% 26.50%+0.38 +23.5 8
2006-09-17 Inter Baku W 2-039.3 1443 1398 52.60% 24.81% 22.59%+0.52 +38.9 12
2006-09-17 @ Baku L 0-239.3 1398 1443 22.59% 24.81% 52.60%-0.52 -38.9 7
2006-09-18 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 4-136.7 1199 1142 53.89% 24.74% 21.36%+0.57 +45.5 4
2006-09-18 @ Turan L 1-436.7 1142 1199 21.36% 24.74% 53.89%-0.57 -45.5 4
2006-09-18 Karvan L 1-435.6 1163 1425 16.00% 24.29% 59.71%-0.86 -35.6 4
2006-09-18 @ Gabala W 4-135.6 1425 1163 59.71% 24.29% 16.00%+0.86 +35.6 6
2006-09-18 Qarabag D 0-051.7 1368 1341 50.60% 24.91% 24.49%+0.44 -5.0 5
2006-09-18 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-051.7 1341 1368 24.49% 24.91% 50.60%-0.44 +5.0 7
2006-09-23 Baku W 2-046.5 1314 1482 25.13% 24.93% 49.93%-0.44 +73.1 11
2006-09-23 @ MKT-Araz L 0-246.5 1482 1314 49.93% 24.93% 25.13%+0.44 -73.1 12
2006-09-23 Olimpik Baku D 0-050.6 1359 1166 65.59% 23.49% 10.93%+1.18 -11.4 8
2006-09-23 @ Inter Baku D 0-050.6 1166 1359 10.93% 23.49% 65.59%-1.18 +11.4 5
2006-09-23 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-155.4 1346 1112 68.15% 22.97% 8.88%+1.36 -11.2 8
2006-09-23 @ Qarabag D 1-155.4 1112 1346 8.88% 22.97% 68.15%-1.36 +11.2 2
2006-09-23 Turan D 0-051.6 1423 1245 64.59% 23.66% 11.75%+1.12 -11.0 13
2006-09-23 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-051.6 1245 1423 11.75% 23.66% 64.59%-1.12 +11.0 5
2006-09-24 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-242.3 1461 1097 74.45% 20.97% 4.57%+1.95 +4.1 9
2006-09-24 @ Karvan L 2-342.3 1097 1461 4.57% 20.97% 74.45%-1.95 -4.1 4
2006-09-24 Neftchi Baku D 1-155.0 1116 1363 17.26% 24.42% 58.32%-0.79 +7.3 2
2006-09-24 @ Shahdag Qusar D 1-155.0 1363 1116 58.32% 24.42% 17.26%+0.79 -7.3 6
2006-09-29 Khazar Lankaran L 0-329.4 1093 1412 12.02% 23.71% 64.27%-1.12 -32.6 4
2006-09-29 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-029.4 1412 1093 64.27% 23.71% 12.02%+1.12 +32.6 16
2006-09-29 Qarabag D 0-052.3 1408 1335 55.67% 24.63% 19.70%+0.65 -7.1 13
2006-09-29 @ Baku D 0-052.3 1335 1408 19.70% 24.63% 55.67%-0.65 +7.1 9
2006-09-29 Inter Baku L 1-738.8 1256 1347 34.72% 25.15% 40.13%-0.10 -125.1 5
2006-09-29 @ Turan W 7-138.8 1347 1256 40.13% 25.15% 34.72%+0.10 +125.1 11
2006-09-30 Gabala W 4-132.7 1356 1128 67.82% 23.04% 9.14%+1.34 +21.2 9
2006-09-30 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-432.7 1128 1356 9.14% 23.04% 67.82%-1.34 -21.2 4
2006-09-30 MKT-Araz W 1-048.5 1177 1387 20.59% 24.69% 54.72%-0.63 +42.2 8
2006-09-30 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-148.5 1387 1177 54.72% 24.69% 20.59%+0.63 -42.2 11
2006-09-30 Shahdag Qusar W 3-034.1 1123 1124 47.18% 25.03% 27.79%+0.31 +66.8 5
2006-09-30 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-334.1 1124 1123 27.79% 25.03% 47.18%-0.31 -66.8 2
2006-10-04 Karvan L 0-230.1 1057 1465 7.68% 22.57% 69.75%-1.52 -14.6 2
2006-10-04 @ Shahdag Qusar W 2-030.1 1465 1057 69.75% 22.57% 7.68%+1.52 +14.6 12
2006-10-14 Turan W 2-138.3 1480 1130 73.84% 21.22% 4.94%+1.88 +4.7 15
2006-10-14 @ Karvan L 1-238.3 1130 1480 4.94% 21.22% 73.84%-1.88 -4.7 5
2006-10-22 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 4-130.4 1472 1060 76.29% 20.13% 3.58%+2.17 +8.2 14
2006-10-22 @ Inter Baku L 1-430.4 1060 1472 3.58% 20.13% 76.29%-2.17 -8.2 4
2006-10-22 Khazar Lankaran W 2-151.2 1484 1445 51.99% 24.85% 23.16%+0.49 +19.9 18
2006-10-22 @ Karvan L 1-251.2 1445 1484 23.16% 24.85% 51.99%-0.49 -19.9 16
2006-10-23 Olimpik Baku D 1-155.4 1342 1219 60.19% 24.24% 15.57%+0.86 -8.0 10
2006-10-23 @ Qarabag D 1-155.4 1219 1342 15.57% 24.24% 60.19%-0.86 +8.0 9
2006-10-23 Simurq Zaqatala L 1-247.8 1106 1190 35.91% 25.15% 38.94%-0.06 -28.0 4
2006-10-23 @ Gabala W 2-147.8 1190 1106 38.94% 25.15% 35.91%+0.06 +28.0 8
2006-10-28 Karvan W 3-152.6 1377 1504 30.00% 25.08% 44.91%-0.26 +57.8 12
2006-10-28 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-352.6 1504 1377 44.91% 25.08% 30.00%+0.26 -57.8 18
2006-10-28 MKT-Araz D 0-050.2 1052 1345 13.71% 23.99% 62.30%-1.00 +9.9 5
2006-10-28 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit D 0-050.2 1345 1052 62.30% 23.99% 13.71%+1.00 -9.9 12
2006-10-28 Inter Baku D 0-056.2 1425 1481 39.86% 25.15% 35.00%+0.06 -0.9 17
2006-10-28 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-056.2 1481 1425 35.00% 25.15% 39.86%-0.06 +0.9 15
2006-10-29 Gabala W 1-032.5 1401 1078 72.71% 21.65% 5.64%+1.76 +5.7 16
2006-10-29 @ Baku L 0-132.5 1078 1401 5.64% 21.65% 72.71%-1.76 -5.7 4
2006-11-03 Khazar Lankaran L 0-241.4 1335 1424 35.14% 25.15% 39.71%-0.08 -55.1 12
2006-11-03 @ MKT-Araz W 2-041.4 1424 1335 39.71% 25.15% 35.14%+0.08 +55.1 20
2006-11-03 Inter Baku D 1-161.8 1446 1482 42.70% 25.12% 32.18%+0.16 -1.7 19
2006-11-03 @ Karvan D 1-161.8 1482 1446 32.18% 25.12% 42.70%-0.16 +1.7 16
2006-11-03 Simurq Zaqatala W 1-035.2 1435 1218 67.15% 23.19% 9.67%+1.29 +9.7 15
2006-11-03 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-135.2 1218 1435 9.67% 23.19% 67.15%-1.29 -9.7 8
2006-11-04 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-033.1 1334 1062 70.24% 22.44% 7.32%+1.53 +7.4 13
2006-11-04 @ Qarabag L 0-133.1 1062 1334 7.32% 22.44% 70.24%-1.53 -7.4 5
2006-11-04 Olimpik Baku L 0-333.8 1073 1227 26.59% 24.99% 48.42%-0.38 -64.5 4
2006-11-04 @ Gabala W 3-033.8 1227 1073 48.42% 24.99% 26.59%+0.38 +64.5 12
2006-11-05 Turan L 1-247.7 1042 1126 35.90% 25.15% 38.94%-0.06 -28.0 2
2006-11-05 @ Shahdag Qusar W 2-147.7 1126 1042 38.94% 25.15% 35.90%+0.06 +28.0 8
2006-11-09 Karvan D 1-156.0 1208 1445 18.13% 24.50% 57.37%-0.75 +7.0 9
2006-11-09 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 1-156.0 1445 1208 57.37% 24.50% 18.13%+0.75 -7.0 20
2006-11-09 MKT-Araz L 0-153.7 1483 1280 66.25% 23.37% 10.39%+1.23 -50.9 16
2006-11-09 @ Inter Baku W 1-053.7 1280 1483 10.39% 23.37% 66.25%-1.23 +50.9 15
2006-11-09 Qarabag W 2-036.1 1479 1341 61.53% 24.09% 14.38%+0.93 +26.4 23
2006-11-09 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-236.1 1341 1479 14.38% 24.09% 61.53%-0.93 -26.4 13
2006-11-10 Gabala D 0-050.0 1154 1008 62.12% 24.01% 13.87%+0.97 -9.8 9
2006-11-10 @ Turan D 0-050.0 1008 1154 13.87% 24.01% 62.12%-0.97 +9.9 5
2006-11-10 Neftchi Baku L 0-149.1 1407 1445 42.36% 25.12% 32.52%+0.15 -33.7 16
2006-11-10 @ Baku W 1-049.1 1445 1407 32.52% 25.12% 42.36%-0.15 +33.7 18
2006-11-10 Shahdag Qusar D 1-154.5 1054 1014 52.04% 24.84% 23.12%+0.49 -5.0 6
2006-11-10 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit D 1-154.5 1014 1054 23.12% 24.84% 52.04%-0.49 +5.0 3
2006-11-15 Baku D 0-050.4 1019 1373 10.10% 23.30% 66.60%-1.28 +11.8 4
2006-11-15 @ Shahdag Qusar D 0-050.4 1373 1019 66.60% 23.30% 10.10%+1.28 -11.8 17
2006-11-15 Karvan D 1-157.1 1314 1438 30.49% 25.09% 44.42%-0.24 +2.3 14
2006-11-15 @ Qarabag D 1-157.1 1438 1314 44.42% 25.09% 30.49%+0.24 -2.3 21
2006-11-15 Turan W 1-034.8 1331 1144 65.19% 23.56% 11.26%+1.15 +11.2 18
2006-11-15 @ MKT-Araz L 0-134.8 1144 1331 11.26% 23.56% 65.19%-1.15 -11.2 9
2006-11-26 Baku D 0-050.4 1215 1362 27.58% 25.02% 47.40%-0.34 +3.7 10
2006-11-26 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 0-050.4 1362 1215 47.40% 25.02% 27.58%+0.34 -3.7 18
2006-11-26 Khazar Lankaran L 1-529.6 1031 1506 5.47% 21.56% 72.97%-1.82 -16.5 4
2006-11-26 @ Shahdag Qusar W 5-129.6 1506 1031 72.97% 21.56% 5.47%+1.82 +16.5 26
2006-11-26 MKT-Araz L 0-151.7 1436 1342 57.56% 24.49% 17.95%+0.73 -44.3 21
2006-11-26 @ Karvan W 1-051.7 1342 1436 17.95% 24.49% 57.56%-0.73 +44.2 21
2006-11-26 Inter Baku L 0-143.6 1317 1432 31.50% 25.11% 43.39%-0.20 -26.9 14
2006-11-26 @ Qarabag W 1-043.6 1432 1317 43.39% 25.11% 31.50%+0.20 +26.9 19
2006-11-27 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-037.5 1018 1049 43.20% 25.11% 31.69%+0.17 +50.9 8
2006-11-27 @ Gabala L 0-237.5 1049 1018 31.69% 25.11% 43.20%-0.17 -50.9 6
2006-11-27 Olimpik Baku W 3-031.7 1478 1292 65.15% 23.56% 11.29%+1.15 +30.8 21
2006-11-27 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-331.7 1292 1478 11.29% 23.56% 65.15%-1.15 -30.8 12
2006-12-08 Karvan W 2-040.2 1358 1391 42.92% 25.12% 31.97%+0.16 +51.3 21
2006-12-08 @ Baku L 0-240.2 1391 1358 31.97% 25.12% 42.92%-0.16 -51.2 21
2006-12-08 Neftchi Baku W 2-158.0 1133 1509 9.01% 23.01% 67.98%-1.38 +49.2 12
2006-12-08 @ Turan L 1-258.0 1509 1133 67.98% 23.01% 9.01%+1.38 -49.2 21
2006-12-08 Qarabag W 1-038.2 1387 1290 57.88% 24.46% 17.66%+0.75 +16.8 24
2006-12-08 @ MKT-Araz L 0-138.2 1290 1387 17.66% 24.46% 57.88%-0.75 -16.8 14
2006-12-08 Simurq Zaqatala W 3-032.9 1261 1219 52.30% 24.83% 22.87%+0.50 +57.1 15
2006-12-08 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-332.9 1219 1261 22.87% 24.83% 52.30%-0.50 -57.1 10
2006-12-09 Gabala W 4-025.1 1522 1069 77.69% 19.40% 2.91%+2.35 +10.1 29
2006-12-09 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-425.1 1069 1522 2.91% 19.40% 77.69%-2.35 -10.1 8
2006-12-09 Shahdag Qusar W 2-027.6 1459 1015 77.40% 19.55% 3.04%+2.31 +5.6 22
2006-12-09 @ Inter Baku L 0-227.6 1015 1459 3.04% 19.55% 77.40%-2.31 -5.6 4
2006-12-13 Qarabag W 3-145.7 1182 1273 34.81% 25.15% 40.04%-0.10 +52.7 15
2006-12-13 @ Turan L 1-345.7 1273 1182 40.04% 25.15% 34.81%+0.10 -52.7 14
2006-12-13 Shahdag Qusar W 3-134.3 1318 1009 72.07% 21.87% 6.06%+1.70 +10.0 18
2006-12-13 @ Olimpik Baku L 1-334.3 1009 1318 6.06% 21.87% 72.07%-1.70 -10.0 4
2007-02-11 Baku D 0-052.0 1328 1409 36.25% 25.15% 38.60%-0.05 +0.4 19
2007-02-11 @ Olimpik Baku D 0-052.0 1409 1328 38.60% 25.15% 36.25%+0.05 -0.4 22
2007-02-11 Neftchi Baku L 0-132.6 998 1460 5.85% 21.76% 72.39%-1.76 -5.9 6
2007-02-11 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-032.6 1460 998 72.39% 21.76% 5.85%+1.76 +5.9 24
2007-02-11 Shahdag Qusar W 1-031.4 1403 999 75.99% 20.28% 3.73%+2.13 +3.7 27
2007-02-11 @ MKT-Araz L 0-131.4 999 1403 3.73% 20.28% 75.99%-2.13 -3.7 4
2007-02-11 Simurq Zaqatala W 3-139.3 1235 1162 55.57% 24.64% 19.79%+0.64 +30.2 18
2007-02-11 @ Turan L 1-339.3 1162 1235 19.79% 24.64% 55.57%-0.64 -30.2 10
2007-02-12 Gabala W 2-028.2 1465 1059 76.05% 20.25% 3.70%+2.14 +6.9 25
2007-02-12 @ Inter Baku L 0-228.2 1059 1465 3.70% 20.25% 76.05%-2.14 -6.9 8
2007-02-12 Qarabag W 2-033.2 1340 1220 59.96% 24.26% 15.78%+0.85 +28.7 24
2007-02-12 @ Karvan L 0-233.2 1220 1340 15.78% 24.26% 59.96%-0.85 -28.7 14
2007-02-16 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-035.5 1131 993 61.58% 24.08% 14.34%+0.94 +14.0 13
2007-02-16 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-135.5 993 1131 14.34% 24.08% 61.58%-0.94 -14.0 6
2007-02-16 Khazar Lankaran W 1-052.4 1466 1532 38.34% 25.15% 36.50%+0.02 +30.1 27
2007-02-16 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-152.4 1532 1466 36.50% 25.15% 38.34%-0.02 -30.1 29
2007-02-16 MKT-Araz L 0-134.3 1052 1407 10.05% 23.29% 66.67%-1.28 -10.1 8
2007-02-16 @ Gabala W 1-034.3 1407 1052 66.67% 23.29% 10.05%+1.28 +10.1 30
2007-02-17 Karvan W 1-043.2 1329 1369 42.00% 25.13% 32.87%+0.13 +27.8 22
2007-02-17 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-143.2 1369 1329 32.87% 25.13% 42.00%-0.13 -27.8 24
2007-02-17 Qarabag D 0-049.7 995 1192 21.98% 24.78% 53.23%-0.57 +6.0 5
2007-02-17 @ Shahdag Qusar D 0-049.7 1192 995 53.23% 24.78% 21.98%+0.57 -6.0 15
2007-02-17 Turan W 2-033.5 1409 1265 61.98% 24.03% 13.99%+0.96 +25.8 25
2007-02-17 @ Baku L 0-233.5 1265 1409 13.99% 24.03% 61.98%-0.96 -25.8 18
2007-02-21 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-157.0 1502 1145 74.15% 21.10% 4.75%+1.92 -13.4 30
2007-02-21 @ Khazar Lankaran D 1-157.0 1145 1502 4.75% 21.10% 74.15%-1.92 +13.4 14
2007-02-22 Baku L 0-132.5 979 1434 6.02% 21.85% 72.13%-1.73 -6.1 6
2007-02-22 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-032.5 1434 979 72.13% 21.85% 6.02%+1.73 +6.1 28
2007-02-22 Gabala W 3-245.4 1186 1042 61.98% 24.03% 13.99%+0.96 +12.2 18
2007-02-22 @ Qarabag L 2-345.4 1042 1186 13.99% 24.03% 61.98%-0.96 -12.2 8
2007-02-22 Neftchi Baku L 0-153.5 1472 1496 44.15% 25.10% 30.75%+0.21 -34.9 25
2007-02-22 @ Inter Baku W 1-053.5 1496 1472 30.75% 25.10% 44.15%-0.21 +34.9 30
2007-02-22 Shahdag Qusar W 3-133.9 1341 1001 73.43% 21.39% 5.19%+1.84 +8.5 27
2007-02-22 @ Karvan L 1-333.9 1001 1341 5.19% 21.39% 73.43%-1.84 -8.5 5
2007-02-22 Olimpik Baku L 0-141.8 1239 1356 31.28% 25.11% 43.62%-0.21 -26.7 18
2007-02-22 @ Turan W 1-041.8 1356 1239 43.62% 25.11% 31.28%+0.21 +26.7 25
2007-03-17 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-027.7 1383 972 76.22% 20.17% 3.61%+2.16 +6.7 28
2007-03-17 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-227.7 972 1383 3.61% 20.17% 76.22%-2.16 -6.7 6
2007-03-17 Karvan L 2-446.0 1212 1349 28.73% 25.05% 46.22%-0.30 -36.5 18
2007-03-17 @ Turan W 4-246.0 1349 1212 46.22% 25.05% 28.73%+0.30 +36.5 30
2007-03-17 Khazar Lankaran D 0-057.0 1441 1489 40.89% 25.14% 33.97%+0.10 -1.2 29
2007-03-17 @ Baku D 0-057.0 1489 1441 33.97% 25.14% 40.89%-0.10 +1.2 31
2007-03-17 Shahdag Qusar D 0-049.7 1030 993 51.66% 24.86% 23.48%+0.48 -5.4 9
2007-03-17 @ Gabala D 0-049.7 993 1030 23.48% 24.86% 51.66%-0.48 +5.4 6
2007-03-18 MKT-Araz W 3-038.4 1531 1417 59.45% 24.31% 16.24%+0.82 +42.7 33
2007-03-18 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-338.4 1417 1531 16.24% 24.31% 59.45%-0.82 -42.7 30
2007-03-18 Inter Baku L 1-242.0 1159 1437 14.80% 24.14% 61.06%-0.93 -13.6 14
2007-03-18 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 2-142.0 1437 1159 61.06% 24.14% 14.80%+0.93 +13.6 28
2007-04-02 Olimpik Baku D 0-052.5 1374 1390 45.31% 25.07% 29.62%+0.24 -2.9 31
2007-04-02 @ MKT-Araz D 0-052.5 1390 1374 29.62% 25.07% 45.31%-0.24 +2.9 29
2007-04-02 Simurq Zaqatala L 1-341.6 998 1145 27.53% 25.02% 47.45%-0.35 -39.5 6
2007-04-02 @ Shahdag Qusar W 3-141.6 1145 998 47.45% 25.02% 27.53%+0.35 +39.5 17
2007-04-03 Baku D 1-155.9 1198 1439 17.73% 24.47% 57.81%-0.77 +7.1 19
2007-04-03 @ Qarabag D 1-155.9 1439 1198 57.81% 24.47% 17.73%+0.77 -7.1 30
2007-04-03 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-132.1 1490 966 79.91% 18.06% 2.02%+2.67 +3.1 34
2007-04-03 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-332.1 966 1490 2.02% 18.06% 79.91%-2.67 -3.1 6
2007-04-03 Neftchi Baku L 1-430.8 1024 1574 3.74% 20.29% 75.97%-2.15 -8.6 9
2007-04-03 @ Gabala W 4-130.8 1574 1024 75.97% 20.29% 3.74%+2.15 +8.6 36
2007-04-03 Turan W 1-034.0 1450 1176 70.39% 22.40% 7.22%+1.55 +7.3 31
2007-04-03 @ Inter Baku L 0-134.0 1176 1450 7.22% 22.40% 70.39%-1.55 -7.3 18
2007-04-07 Gabala W 3-136.7 1185 1016 63.91% 23.76% 12.33%+1.07 +19.9 20
2007-04-07 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 1-336.7 1016 1185 12.33% 23.76% 63.91%-1.07 -19.9 9
2007-04-07 MKT-Araz L 0-138.4 1168 1371 21.30% 24.74% 53.96%-0.60 -19.7 18
2007-04-07 @ Turan W 1-038.4 1371 1168 53.96% 24.74% 21.30%+0.60 +19.7 34
2007-04-08 Karvan W 3-143.9 1493 1386 58.86% 24.37% 16.77%+0.80 +26.2 37
2007-04-08 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-343.9 1386 1493 16.77% 24.37% 58.86%-0.80 -26.2 30
2007-04-08 Qarabag D 0-051.0 1393 1205 65.22% 23.55% 11.23%+1.16 -11.2 30
2007-04-08 @ Olimpik Baku D 0-051.0 1205 1393 11.23% 23.55% 65.22%-1.16 +11.2 20
2007-04-08 Shahdag Qusar W 3-132.5 1432 959 78.35% 19.02% 2.63%+2.44 +4.1 33
2007-04-08 @ Baku L 1-332.5 959 1432 2.63% 19.02% 78.35%-2.44 -4.1 6
2007-04-08 Inter Baku L 0-425.6 963 1458 4.93% 21.22% 73.85%-1.91 -17.7 6
2007-04-08 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 4-025.6 1458 963 73.85% 21.22% 4.93%+1.91 +17.7 34
2007-04-17 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 5-127.8 1391 945 77.46% 19.52% 3.02%+2.32 +8.8 37
2007-04-17 @ MKT-Araz L 1-527.8 945 1391 3.02% 19.52% 77.46%-2.32 -8.8 6
2007-04-17 Olimpik Baku D 0-050.6 955 1381 6.98% 22.30% 70.72%-1.60 +13.6 7
2007-04-17 @ Shahdag Qusar D 0-050.6 1381 955 70.72% 22.30% 6.98%+1.60 -13.6 31
2007-04-18 Baku L 0-132.8 996 1436 6.51% 22.09% 71.40%-1.66 -6.6 9
2007-04-18 @ Gabala W 1-032.8 1436 996 71.40% 22.09% 6.51%+1.66 +6.6 36
2007-04-18 Khazar Lankaran D 0-059.4 1475 1519 41.48% 25.13% 33.38%+0.12 -1.5 35
2007-04-18 @ Inter Baku D 0-059.4 1519 1475 33.38% 25.13% 41.48%-0.12 +1.5 38
2007-04-18 Neftchi Baku L 0-145.0 1360 1582 19.43% 24.61% 55.96%-0.68 -18.2 30
2007-04-18 @ Karvan W 1-045.0 1582 1360 55.96% 24.61% 19.43%+0.68 +18.2 39
2007-04-18 Turan D 1-154.7 1216 1149 55.01% 24.67% 20.31%+0.62 -6.1 21
2007-04-18 @ Qarabag D 1-154.7 1149 1216 20.31% 24.67% 55.01%-0.62 +6.1 19
2007-04-27 Neftchi Baku L 0-233.7 1210 1600 8.41% 22.82% 68.77%-1.44 -16.0 21
2007-04-27 @ Qarabag W 2-033.7 1600 1210 68.77% 22.82% 8.41%+1.44 +16.0 42
2007-04-27 Olimpik Baku W 3-251.1 1521 1368 62.70% 23.94% 13.36%+1.00 +11.7 41
2007-04-27 @ Khazar Lankaran L 2-351.1 1368 1521 13.36% 23.94% 62.70%-1.00 -11.7 31
2007-04-28 Baku L 0-153.7 1474 1443 51.02% 24.89% 24.09%+0.45 -39.5 35
2007-04-28 @ Inter Baku W 1-053.7 1443 1474 24.09% 24.89% 51.02%-0.45 +39.5 39
2007-04-28 Gabala D 3-364.4 1342 989 73.97% 21.17% 4.86%+1.90 -8.2 31
2007-04-28 @ Karvan D 3-364.4 989 1342 4.86% 21.17% 73.97%-1.90 +8.2 10
2007-04-28 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-155.9 1400 1205 65.73% 23.46% 10.80%+1.19 -10.2 38
2007-04-28 @ MKT-Araz D 1-155.9 1205 1400 10.80% 23.46% 65.73%-1.19 +10.2 21
2007-04-28 Turan W 2-044.5 936 1155 19.78% 24.64% 55.59%-0.67 +80.7 9
2007-04-28 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 0-244.5 1155 936 55.59% 24.64% 19.78%+0.67 -80.7 19
2007-05-02 Karvan D 1-157.6 1434 1333 58.30% 24.42% 17.28%+0.77 -7.3 36
2007-05-02 @ Inter Baku D 1-157.6 1333 1434 17.28% 24.42% 58.30%-0.77 +7.3 32
2007-05-02 MKT-Araz W 4-141.3 1533 1390 61.91% 24.04% 14.05%+0.96 +31.7 44
2007-05-02 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-441.3 1390 1533 14.05% 24.04% 61.91%-0.96 -31.7 38
2007-05-02 Qarabag L 0-332.9 1017 1194 24.00% 24.89% 51.11%-0.48 -59.4 9
2007-05-02 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-032.9 1194 1017 51.11% 24.89% 24.00%+0.48 +59.4 24
2007-05-03 Gabala W 3-133.7 1356 997 74.23% 21.07% 4.71%+1.92 +7.7 34
2007-05-03 @ Olimpik Baku L 1-333.7 997 1356 4.71% 21.07% 74.23%-1.92 -7.7 10
2007-05-03 Neftchi Baku L 0-137.5 1215 1616 7.94% 22.67% 69.40%-1.49 -8.0 21
2007-05-03 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 1-037.5 1616 1215 69.40% 22.67% 7.94%+1.49 +8.0 45
2007-05-03 Shahdag Qusar D 1-154.7 1074 968 58.74% 24.38% 16.88%+0.79 -7.5 20
2007-05-03 @ Turan D 1-154.7 968 1074 16.88% 24.38% 58.74%-0.79 +7.5 8
2007-05-07 Khazar Lankaran L 1-437.7 1254 1564 12.57% 23.81% 63.62%-1.08 -28.7 24
2007-05-07 @ Qarabag W 4-137.7 1564 1254 63.62% 23.81% 12.57%+1.08 +28.7 47
2007-05-07 Inter Baku L 0-242.7 1358 1427 37.94% 25.15% 36.91%+0.00 -58.4 38
2007-05-07 @ MKT-Araz W 2-042.7 1427 1358 36.91% 25.15% 37.94%+0.00 +58.4 39
2007-05-08 Baku W 1-049.2 1624 1482 61.83% 24.05% 14.12%+0.95 +13.8 48
2007-05-08 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-149.2 1482 1624 14.12% 24.05% 61.83%-0.95 -13.8 39
2007-05-08 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-033.3 976 957 49.52% 24.95% 25.53%+0.40 +62.4 11
2007-05-08 @ Shahdag Qusar L 0-333.3 957 976 25.53% 24.95% 49.52%-0.40 -62.4 9
2007-05-08 Simurq Zaqatala W 3-030.5 1341 1207 61.16% 24.13% 14.71%+0.91 +39.2 35
2007-05-08 @ Karvan L 0-330.5 1207 1341 14.71% 24.13% 61.16%-0.91 -39.2 21
2007-05-08 Turan W 1-042.9 990 1067 36.82% 25.15% 38.02%-0.03 +31.0 13
2007-05-08 @ Gabala L 0-142.9 1067 990 38.02% 25.15% 36.82%+0.03 -31.0 20
2007-05-12 Karvan W 1-052.5 895 1380 5.20% 21.39% 73.41%-1.86 +56.0 12
2007-05-12 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 0-152.5 1380 895 73.41% 21.39% 5.20%+1.86 -56.0 35
2007-05-12 Khazar Lankaran L 2-342.2 1036 1593 3.59% 20.15% 76.26%-2.19 -3.2 20
2007-05-12 @ Turan W 3-242.2 1593 1036 76.26% 20.15% 3.59%+2.19 +3.2 50
2007-05-12 Qarabag W 3-036.5 1168 1225 39.64% 25.15% 35.22%+0.06 +80.1 24
2007-05-12 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-336.5 1225 1168 35.22% 25.15% 39.64%-0.06 -80.2 24
2007-05-12 Shahdag Qusar W 5-024.8 1638 1038 82.01% 16.62% 1.37%+3.01 +5.5 51
2007-05-12 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-524.8 1038 1638 1.37% 16.62% 82.01%-3.01 -5.5 11
2007-05-12 Inter Baku W 1-049.6 1364 1485 30.70% 25.10% 44.20%-0.23 +34.9 37
2007-05-12 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-149.6 1485 1364 44.20% 25.10% 30.70%+0.23 -34.9 39
2007-05-13 MKT-Araz W 1-037.8 1469 1300 63.91% 23.76% 12.33%+1.07 +12.2 42
2007-05-13 @ Baku L 0-137.8 1300 1469 12.33% 23.76% 63.91%-1.07 -12.2 38
2007-05-17 Gabala L 0-142.9 951 1021 37.88% 25.15% 36.97%+0.00 -30.9 12
2007-05-17 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-042.9 1021 951 36.97% 25.15% 37.88%+0.00 +30.9 16
2007-05-17 Neftchi Baku W 2-165.7 1399 1644 17.42% 24.44% 58.15%-0.79 +42.1 40
2007-05-17 @ Olimpik Baku L 1-265.7 1644 1399 58.15% 24.44% 17.42%+0.79 -42.1 51
2007-05-17 Shahdag Qusar W 3-132.6 1596 1033 81.03% 17.32% 1.66%+2.84 +2.5 53
2007-05-17 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-332.6 1033 1596 1.66% 17.32% 81.03%-2.84 -2.5 11
2007-05-18 Karvan W 1-042.2 1287 1324 42.51% 25.12% 32.36%+0.15 +27.5 41
2007-05-18 @ MKT-Araz L 0-142.2 1324 1287 32.36% 25.12% 42.51%-0.15 -27.5 35
2007-05-18 Qarabag W 1-033.3 1451 1145 71.92% 21.92% 6.16%+1.69 +6.2 42
2007-05-18 @ Inter Baku L 0-133.3 1145 1451 6.16% 21.92% 71.92%-1.69 -6.2 24
2007-05-18 Simurq Zaqatala W 3-245.8 1481 1248 68.10% 22.98% 8.92%+1.36 +8.0 45
2007-05-18 @ Baku L 2-345.8 1248 1481 8.92% 22.98% 68.10%-1.36 -8.0 24
2007-05-23 Baku L 1-246.9 1296 1489 22.38% 24.80% 52.82%-0.55 -19.3 35
2007-05-23 @ Karvan W 2-146.9 1489 1296 52.82% 24.80% 22.38%+0.55 +19.3 48
2007-05-23 Khazar Lankaran L 0-326.8 1052 1599 3.79% 20.33% 75.89%-2.14 -10.3 16
2007-05-23 @ Gabala W 3-026.8 1599 1052 75.89% 20.33% 3.79%+2.14 +10.3 56
2007-05-23 MKT-Araz W 1-047.0 1139 1315 24.13% 24.89% 50.98%-0.48 +39.5 27
2007-05-23 @ Qarabag L 0-147.0 1315 1139 50.98% 24.89% 24.13%+0.48 -39.5 41
2007-05-23 Inter Baku L 1-530.1 1030 1457 6.98% 22.30% 70.71%-1.60 -21.1 11
2007-05-23 @ Shahdag Qusar W 5-130.1 1457 1030 70.71% 22.30% 6.98%+1.60 +21.1 45
2007-05-23 Olimpik Baku D 2-261.5 1240 1441 21.50% 24.75% 53.75%-0.59 +4.2 25
2007-05-23 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 2-261.5 1441 1240 53.75% 24.75% 21.50%+0.59 -4.2 41
2007-05-23 Turan W 4-236.0 1602 1032 81.18% 17.21% 1.61%+2.87 +2.2 54
2007-05-23 @ Neftchi Baku L 2-436.0 1032 1602 1.61% 17.21% 81.18%-2.87 -2.2 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-05-12 5.20% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 895 1 Karvan 1380 0
2 2006-12-08 9.01% @ Turan 1133 2 Neftchi Baku 1509 1
3 2006-11-09 10.39% MKT-Araz 1280 1 @ Inter Baku 1483 0
4 2007-05-17 17.42% @ Olimpik Baku 1399 2 Neftchi Baku 1644 1
5 2006-11-26 17.95% MKT-Araz 1342 1 @ Karvan 1436 0
6 2006-08-20 19.71% Inter Baku 1337 1 @ Neftchi Baku 1411 0
7 2007-04-28 19.78% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 936 2 Turan 1155 0
8 2006-09-30 20.59% @ Olimpik Baku 1177 1 MKT-Araz 1387 0
9 2006-08-26 23.92% Gabala 1124 1 @ Shahdag Qusar 1156 0
10 2007-04-28 24.09% Baku 1443 1 @ Inter Baku 1474 0
11 2007-05-23 24.13% @ Qarabag 1139 1 MKT-Araz 1315 0
12 2006-09-23 25.13% @ MKT-Araz 1314 2 Baku 1482 0
13 2006-10-28 30.00% @ Neftchi Baku 1377 3 Karvan 1504 1
14 2006-08-11 30.02% @ Khazar Lankaran 1318 2 Neftchi Baku 1445 1
15 2007-05-12 30.70% @ Olimpik Baku 1364 1 Inter Baku 1485 0
16 2007-02-22 30.75% Neftchi Baku 1496 1 @ Inter Baku 1472 0
17 2006-08-11 31.84% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1111 4 Simurq Zaqatala 1224 2
18 2006-11-10 32.52% Neftchi Baku 1445 1 @ Baku 1407 0
19 2006-08-26 33.16% @ Khazar Lankaran 1373 1 Baku 1476 0
20 2006-12-13 34.81% @ Turan 1182 3 Qarabag 1273 1
21 2007-05-08 36.82% @ Gabala 990 1 Turan 1067 0
22 2007-05-07 36.91% Inter Baku 1427 2 @ MKT-Araz 1358 0
23 2007-05-17 36.97% Gabala 1021 1 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 951 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-29 125.11 Inter Baku 7 1347 40.13% @ Turan 1 1256 34.72% 25.15%
2 2007-04-28 80.70 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 2 936 19.78% Turan 0 1155 55.59% 24.64%
3 2007-05-12 80.15 @ Simurq Zaqatala 3 1168 39.64% Qarabag 0 1225 35.22% 25.15%
4 2006-09-23 73.11 @ MKT-Araz 2 1314 25.13% Baku 0 1482 49.93% 24.93%
5 2006-09-30 66.77 @ Simurq Zaqatala 3 1123 47.18% Shahdag Qusar 0 1124 27.79% 25.03%
6 2006-11-04 64.47 Olimpik Baku 3 1227 48.42% @ Gabala 0 1073 26.59% 24.99%
7 2007-05-08 62.40 @ Shahdag Qusar 3 976 49.52% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 957 25.53% 24.95%
8 2007-05-02 59.38 Qarabag 3 1194 51.11% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1017 24.00% 24.89%
9 2007-05-07 58.36 Inter Baku 2 1427 36.91% @ MKT-Araz 0 1358 37.94% 25.15%
10 2006-10-28 57.79 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1377 30.00% Karvan 1 1504 44.91% 25.08%
11 2006-12-08 57.07 @ Olimpik Baku 3 1261 52.30% Simurq Zaqatala 0 1219 22.87% 24.83%
12 2007-05-12 56.04 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 895 5.20% Karvan 0 1380 73.41% 21.39%
13 2006-11-03 55.10 Khazar Lankaran 2 1424 39.71% @ MKT-Araz 0 1335 35.14% 25.15%
14 2006-08-11 54.83 @ MKT-Araz 4 1236 48.12% Gabala 1 1229 26.88% 25.00%
15 2006-12-13 52.68 @ Turan 3 1182 34.81% Qarabag 1 1273 40.04% 25.15%
16 2006-12-08 51.26 @ Baku 2 1358 42.92% Karvan 0 1391 31.97% 25.12%
17 2006-11-27 50.91 @ Gabala 2 1018 43.20% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1049 31.69% 25.11%
18 2006-11-09 50.87 MKT-Araz 1 1280 10.39% @ Inter Baku 0 1483 66.25% 23.37%
19 2006-08-20 50.62 Qarabag 2 1290 43.44% @ Gabala 0 1174 31.45% 25.11%
20 2006-08-11 49.92 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 4 1111 31.84% Simurq Zaqatala 2 1224 43.04% 25.11%
21 2006-12-08 49.21 @ Turan 2 1133 9.01% Neftchi Baku 1 1509 67.98% 23.01%
22 2006-09-18 45.51 @ Turan 4 1199 53.89% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 1142 21.36% 24.74%
23 2006-11-26 44.26 MKT-Araz 1 1342 17.95% @ Karvan 0 1436 57.56% 24.49%
24 2006-08-20 42.85 Inter Baku 1 1337 19.71% @ Neftchi Baku 0 1411 55.66% 24.63%
25 2007-03-18 42.74 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1531 59.45% MKT-Araz 0 1417 16.24% 24.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-17 65.7 @ Olimpik Baku 2 1399 17.42% Neftchi Baku 1 1644 58.15% 24.44%
2 2007-04-28 64.4 @ Karvan 3 1342 73.97% Gabala 3 989 4.86% 21.17%
3 2006-11-03 61.8 @ Karvan 1 1446 42.70% Inter Baku 1 1482 32.18% 25.12%
4 2007-05-23 61.5 @ Simurq Zaqatala 2 1240 21.50% Olimpik Baku 2 1441 53.75% 24.75%
5 2007-04-18 59.4 @ Inter Baku 0 1475 41.48% Khazar Lankaran 0 1519 33.38% 25.13%
6 2006-12-08 58.0 @ Turan 2 1133 9.01% Neftchi Baku 1 1509 67.98% 23.01%
7 2007-05-02 57.6 @ Inter Baku 1 1434 58.30% Karvan 1 1333 17.28% 24.42%
8 2006-11-15 57.1 @ Qarabag 1 1314 30.49% Karvan 1 1438 44.42% 25.09%
9 2007-02-21 57.0 @ Khazar Lankaran 1 1502 74.15% Simurq Zaqatala 1 1145 4.75% 21.10%
10 2007-03-17 57.0 @ Baku 0 1441 40.89% Khazar Lankaran 0 1489 33.97% 25.14%
11 2006-10-28 56.2 @ Khazar Lankaran 0 1425 39.86% Inter Baku 0 1481 35.00% 25.15%
12 2006-11-09 56.0 @ Simurq Zaqatala 1 1208 18.13% Karvan 1 1445 57.37% 24.50%
13 2006-08-25 55.9 @ MKT-Araz 1 1291 36.69% Neftchi Baku 1 1368 38.15% 25.15%
14 2007-04-03 55.9 @ Qarabag 1 1198 17.73% Baku 1 1439 57.81% 24.47%
15 2007-04-28 55.9 @ MKT-Araz 1 1400 65.73% Simurq Zaqatala 1 1205 10.80% 23.46%
16 2006-09-23 55.4 @ Qarabag 1 1346 68.15% Simurq Zaqatala 1 1112 8.88% 22.97%
17 2006-10-23 55.4 @ Qarabag 1 1342 60.19% Olimpik Baku 1 1219 15.57% 24.24%
18 2006-09-24 55.0 @ Shahdag Qusar 1 1116 17.26% Neftchi Baku 1 1363 58.32% 24.42%
19 2007-04-18 54.7 @ Qarabag 1 1216 55.01% Turan 1 1149 20.31% 24.67%
20 2007-05-03 54.7 @ Turan 1 1074 58.74% Shahdag Qusar 1 968 16.88% 24.38%
21 2006-08-26 54.6 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 1143 40.95% Olimpik Baku 1 1191 33.91% 25.14%
22 2006-11-10 54.5 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 1054 52.04% Shahdag Qusar 1 1014 23.12% 24.84%
23 2006-11-09 53.7 MKT-Araz 1 1280 10.39% @ Inter Baku 0 1483 66.25% 23.37%
24 2007-04-28 53.7 Baku 1 1443 24.09% @ Inter Baku 0 1474 51.02% 24.89%
25 2007-02-22 53.5 Neftchi Baku 1 1496 30.75% @ Inter Baku 0 1472 44.15% 25.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-12 24.8 @ Neftchi Baku 5 1638 82.01% Shahdag Qusar 0 1038 1.37% 16.62%
2 2006-12-09 25.1 @ Khazar Lankaran 4 1522 77.69% Gabala 0 1069 2.91% 19.40%
3 2007-04-08 25.6 Inter Baku 4 1458 73.85% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 963 4.93% 21.22%
4 2007-05-23 26.8 Khazar Lankaran 3 1599 75.89% @ Gabala 0 1052 3.79% 20.33%
5 2006-12-09 27.6 @ Inter Baku 2 1459 77.40% Shahdag Qusar 0 1015 3.04% 19.55%
6 2007-03-17 27.7 @ Olimpik Baku 2 1383 76.22% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 972 3.61% 20.17%
7 2006-08-20 27.8 @ Baku 3 1458 71.50% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1161 6.44% 22.06%
8 2007-04-17 27.8 @ MKT-Araz 5 1391 77.46% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 945 3.02% 19.52%
9 2007-02-12 28.2 @ Inter Baku 2 1465 76.05% Gabala 0 1059 3.70% 20.25%
10 2006-09-29 29.4 Khazar Lankaran 3 1412 64.27% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1093 12.02% 23.71%
11 2006-08-06 29.6 @ Neftchi Baku 6 1419 70.76% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 1137 6.95% 22.29%
12 2006-11-26 29.6 Khazar Lankaran 5 1506 72.97% @ Shahdag Qusar 1 1031 5.47% 21.56%
13 2006-10-04 30.1 Karvan 2 1465 69.75% @ Shahdag Qusar 0 1057 7.68% 22.57%
14 2007-05-23 30.1 Inter Baku 5 1457 70.71% @ Shahdag Qusar 1 1030 6.98% 22.30%
15 2006-10-22 30.4 @ Inter Baku 4 1472 76.29% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 1060 3.58% 20.13%
16 2007-05-08 30.5 @ Karvan 3 1341 61.16% Simurq Zaqatala 0 1207 14.71% 24.13%
17 2006-08-25 30.7 @ Inter Baku 2 1380 67.78% Simurq Zaqatala 0 1153 9.17% 23.05%
18 2007-04-03 30.8 Neftchi Baku 4 1574 75.97% @ Gabala 1 1024 3.74% 20.29%
19 2007-02-11 31.4 @ MKT-Araz 1 1403 75.99% Shahdag Qusar 0 999 3.73% 20.28%
20 2006-11-27 31.7 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1478 65.15% Olimpik Baku 0 1292 11.29% 23.56%
21 2007-04-03 32.1 @ Khazar Lankaran 3 1490 79.91% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 966 2.02% 18.06%
22 2006-10-29 32.5 @ Baku 1 1401 72.71% Gabala 0 1078 5.64% 21.65%
23 2007-02-22 32.5 Baku 1 1434 72.13% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 979 6.02% 21.85%
24 2007-04-08 32.5 @ Baku 3 1432 78.35% Shahdag Qusar 1 959 2.63% 19.02%
25 2007-02-11 32.6 Neftchi Baku 1 1460 72.39% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 998 5.85% 21.76%