Home / Leagues / Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan Premier League / 2007-08
‹ ›

2007-08 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Inter Baku

58 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Qarabag

7.64 points above expected

41 points · 33.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Baku

12.67 points below expected

35 points · 47.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inter Baku Champion 26 18 4 4 58 55 18 +37 51.05 +6.95
2 Olimpik Baku 26 17 7 2 58 29 7 +22 50.81 +7.19
3 Neftchi Baku 26 16 7 3 55 42 18 +24 54.03 +0.97
4 Khazar Lankaran 26 14 10 2 52 44 16 +28 54.39 -2.39
5 Qarabag 26 11 8 7 41 25 16 +9 33.36 +7.64
6 Simurq Zaqatala 26 9 9 8 36 31 25 +6 38.59 -2.59
7 Gabala 26 11 3 12 36 33 36 -3 30.38 +5.62
8 Baku 26 8 11 7 35 35 26 +9 47.67 -12.67
9 Standard Baku 26 8 8 10 32 36 26 +10 32.26 -0.26
10 Masalli 26 8 6 12 30 30 40 -10 29.06 +0.94
11 Karvan 26 6 5 15 23 23 36 -13 34.01 -11.01
12 Turan 26 4 6 16 18 21 49 -28 22.26 -4.26
13 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 26 4 2 20 14 21 68 -47 15.03 -1.03
14 ABN Barda 26 2 6 18 12 12 56 -44 11.70 +0.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Qarabag 41 33.36 +7.64
2 Olimpik Baku 58 50.81 +7.19
3 Inter Baku 58 51.05 +6.95
4 Gabala 36 30.38 +5.62
5 Neftchi Baku 55 54.03 +0.97

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Baku 35 47.67 -12.67
2 Karvan 23 34.01 -11.01
3 Turan 18 22.26 -4.26
4 Simurq Zaqatala 36 38.59 -2.59
5 Khazar Lankaran 52 54.39 -2.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 2 Apr 26 – May 3 1 in 67
2 Neftchi Baku 7 Dec 1 – Apr 5 1 in 19
3 Turan 1 Aug 11 – Aug 11 1 in 16
4 Qarabag 4 Sep 16 – Oct 6 1 in 15
5 Masalli 2 Nov 24 – Dec 1 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 12 Oct 27 – Apr 12 1 in 170
2 Karvan 3 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 91
3 Baku 4 Mar 1 – Apr 6 1 in 90
4 Qarabag 4 Aug 11 – Sep 1 1 in 21
5 Turan 5 Aug 19 – Sep 22 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpik Baku 21 Aug 19 – Apr 19 1 in 84
2 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 4 Apr 19 – May 12 1 in 56
3 Neftchi Baku 15 Oct 28 – May 4 1 in 21
4 Qarabag 7 Feb 16 – Apr 13 1 in 17
5 Baku 9 Oct 7 – Feb 24 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Baku 9 Mar 1 – May 12 1 in 255
2 Khazar Lankaran 5 Oct 6 – Nov 25 1 in 38
3 Karvan 9 Mar 30 – May 27 1 in 23
4 Simurq Zaqatala 9 Mar 29 – May 28 1 in 22
5 Gabala 4 May 3 – May 28 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Inter Baku 1526 58 +42 15 11.5 +3.5
Olimpik Baku 1474 58 -38 5 8.9 -3.9
Neftchi Baku 1517 55 -16 8 10.8 -2.8
Khazar Lankaran 1522 52 +14 9 9.4 -0.4
Qarabag 1332 41 +43 11 6.4 +4.6
Gabala 1209 36 -28 5 7.6 -2.6
Simurq Zaqatala 1269 36 -7 4 5.8 -1.8
Baku 1377 35 -29 6 9.4 -3.4
Standard Baku 1281 32 +25 10 8.3 +1.7
Masalli 1229 30 +38 8 7.0 +1.0
Karvan 1151 23 -63 1 5.3 -4.3
Turan 1083 18 +2 4 2.9 +1.1
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 966 14 +49 7 2.4 +4.6
ABN Barda 897 12 -33 0 1.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB BAK GAB GS IB KAR KL MAS NB OB QAR SZ SB TUR
ABN Barda —
0-1-1
0.51
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
0.39
1-0-1
0.79
0-1-1
0.39
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
0.36
0-1-1
0.43
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
0.77
0-0-2
0.94
0-1-1
1.62
Baku
1-1-0
5.21
 —
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
5.01
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.95
0-2-0
1.88
1-0-1
4.27
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.36
0-2-0
3.72
0-2-0
3.49
0-1-1
4.17
1-1-0
4.67
Gabala
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
1.21
 —
1-1-0
4.15
1-0-1
1.07
2-0-0
2.18
0-1-1
1.05
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.15
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.72
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
0.66
0-1-1
1.39
 —
0-0-2
0.48
2-0-0
1.04
0-0-2
0.53
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
0.59
0-0-2
0.64
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
1.16
0-1-1
2.10
Inter Baku
2-0-0
5.38
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
4.50
2-0-0
5.25
 —
2-0-0
4.08
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
4.36
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
3.81
1-1-0
4.42
2-0-0
4.91
Karvan
1-0-1
4.84
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
3.29
0-0-2
4.53
0-0-2
1.46
 —
0-1-1
1.27
0-0-2
2.88
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.21
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.14
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.90
Khazar Lankaran
1-1-0
5.38
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
5.19
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
4.28
 —
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
4.53
1-1-0
4.31
1-1-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.98
Masalli
1-1-0
4.38
1-0-1
1.27
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
1.19
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
0.93
 —
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.40
Neftchi Baku
2-0-0
5.42
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
5.11
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
4.71
 —
0-2-0
3.05
0-2-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.90
1-1-0
4.46
1-0-1
4.88
Olimpik Baku
1-1-0
5.31
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
5.03
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
4.34
0-2-0
2.43
2-0-0
4.60
0-2-0
2.42
 —
1-0-1
4.13
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.57
Qarabag
2-0-0
4.65
0-2-0
1.77
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
4.34
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.05
0-1-1
3.32
0-2-0
1.31
1-0-1
1.39
 —
0-1-1
2.37
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.78
Simurq Zaqatala
1-1-0
4.87
0-2-0
1.98
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
4.51
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
3.34
0-1-1
1.23
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
1.61
0-1-1
1.45
1-1-0
3.09
 —
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.99
Standard Baku
2-0-0
4.65
1-1-0
1.36
0-0-2
2.92
2-0-0
4.41
0-1-1
1.13
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
1.09
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.03
 —
1-1-0
3.82
Turan
1-1-0
3.88
0-1-1
0.93
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
0.73
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
0.68
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
0.76
0-0-2
1.03
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
1.68
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +11.5
Allowed 0.82 -8.2
Differential 0.90 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%10.99%6.32%4.67%2.20%1.10%36.81%
110.99%9.89%5.22%3.30%1.10%0.82%31.32%
26.32%5.22%3.30%0.82%0.27%0.27%16.21%
34.67%3.30%0.82%0.55%0.27%—9.62%
42.20%1.10%0.27%0.27%——3.85%
5+1.10%0.82%0.27%———2.20%
Total36.81%31.32%16.21%9.62%3.85%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.99
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%11.54%11.54%15.38%3.85%61.54%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%—————7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%19.23%19.23%19.23%19.23%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.46 2.15 -1.69
SD 0.65 1.62 1.93
CV 1.40 0.75 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
13.85%11.54%————15.38%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%15.38%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.00 +0.35
SD 1.47 1.02 1.77
CV 1.09 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
115.38%7.69%11.54%———34.62%
27.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
3———————
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.38 -0.12
SD 1.25 1.20 1.99
CV 0.99 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%11.54%19.23%—11.54%53.85%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%19.23%30.77%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.62 -1.81
SD 1.10 1.77 2.33
CV 1.36 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
111.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
319.23%7.69%————26.92%
411.54%3.85%—3.85%——19.23%
5+———————
Total57.69%23.08%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 0.69 +1.42
SD 1.40 0.97 1.79
CV 0.66 1.40 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
111.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.38 -0.50
SD 1.14 1.13 1.56
CV 1.29 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%3.85%———26.92%
111.54%7.69%————19.23%
27.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total53.85%30.77%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.62 +1.08
SD 1.46 0.75 1.65
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
111.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%7.69%—50.00%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%11.54%15.38%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.54 -0.38
SD 1.38 1.33 2.25
CV 1.19 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%3.85%————26.92%
111.54%3.85%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
219.23%7.69%————26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total61.54%19.23%15.38%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.69 +0.92
SD 1.47 1.16 1.65
CV 0.91 1.67 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%3.85%3.85%———30.77%
138.46%3.85%————42.31%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total76.92%19.23%3.85%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.27 +0.85
SD 1.03 0.53 1.12
CV 0.93 1.98 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%23.08%3.85%———46.15%
115.38%7.69%————23.08%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%46.15%7.69%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.62 +0.35
SD 1.08 0.64 1.23
CV 1.12 1.04 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
111.54%19.23%7.69%———38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
311.54%3.85%——3.85%—19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.96 +0.23
SD 1.10 1.04 1.50
CV 0.92 1.08 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%26.92%————30.77%
17.69%23.08%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%57.69%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.00 +0.38
SD 1.60 0.75 1.86
CV 1.16 0.75 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%15.38%7.69%7.69%—50.00%
1—7.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%19.23%30.77%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.88 -1.08
SD 1.06 1.37 1.85
CV 1.31 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inter Baku 1526 58 51.05 +6.95 94.0% 34 40 47 52 55 59 64
Khazar Lankaran 1522 52 54.39 -2.39 33.0% 43 45 51 55 58 62 67
Neftchi Baku 1517 55 54.03 +0.97 64.0% 41 47 51 54 57 62 70
Olimpik Baku 1474 58 50.81 +7.19 90.0% 38 40 47 51 54 61 66
Baku 1377 35 47.67 -12.67 1.0% 34 39 44 48 51 57 62
Qarabag 1332 41 33.36 +7.64 87.0% 19 23 29 33 37 43 51
Standard Baku 1281 32 32.26 -0.26 52.0% 19 23 28 32 35 41 48
Simurq Zaqatala 1269 36 38.59 -2.59 39.0% 24 29 34 39 42 49 55
Masalli 1229 30 29.06 +0.94 63.0% 18 20 25 28 33 40 46
Gabala 1209 36 30.38 +5.62 91.0% 16 22 27 30 34 39 43
Karvan 1151 23 34.01 -11.01 2.0% 22 25 29 34 38 44 46
Turan 1083 18 22.26 -4.26 25.0% 10 13 18 22 26 32 37
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 966 14 15.03 -1.03 48.0% 6 7 12 15 18 22 28
ABN Barda 897 12 11.70 +0.30 55.0% 1 5 8 12 15 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.99%
Slight Edge
42.86%25.27%31.87%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.33 Elo pts.
224 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Inter Baku, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.41 * Some Luck: 4.41 to 6.62 * Lucky: 6.62 to 8.83 * Wild Swing: 8.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.98 * Close: 0.98 to 1.47 * Off: 1.47 to 1.96 * Way Off: 1.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.00 points
Some Luck
05.5214
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Off
01.232.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.00%
Inter Baku
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Baku
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 202.38
2.35
Strong Separation
12.152.63.25
Interquartile Edge
84%
Clear Edge
50%73.5%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Strong Carryover
00.470.651
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.88
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Inter Baku14.00%29.00%15.00%23.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%———————
Olimpik Baku12.00%14.00%24.00%25.00%16.00%3.00%6.00%———————
Neftchi Baku26.00%31.00%19.00%18.00%5.00%1.00%————————
Khazar Lankaran43.00%18.00%21.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%————————
Qarabag——1.00%4.00%2.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%20.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%——
Simurq Zaqatala1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%12.00%30.00%21.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%———
Gabala—————5.00%11.00%17.00%19.00%24.00%16.00%7.00%—1.00%
Baku4.00%7.00%19.00%17.00%34.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Standard Baku————5.00%8.00%21.00%18.00%20.00%10.00%14.00%4.00%——
Masalli————2.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%24.00%26.00%13.00%2.00%—
Karvan————8.00%11.00%12.00%22.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%3.00%——
Turan———————3.00%3.00%6.00%18.00%55.00%10.00%5.00%
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit—————————3.00%2.00%8.00%58.00%29.00%
ABN Barda———————————5.00%30.00%65.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Baku 100% —
Inter Baku 100% —
Karvan 100% —
Khazar Lankaran 100% —
Neftchi Baku 100% —
Olimpik Baku 100% —
Qarabag 100% —
Simurq Zaqatala 100% —
Standard Baku 100% —
Gabala 99.00% 1.00%
Masalli 98.00% 2.00%
Turan 85.00% 15.00%
Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 13.00% 87.00%
ABN Barda 5.00% 95.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-08-11 Gabala L 0-146.8 1218 1150 50.67% 25.99% 23.34%+0.47 -15.9 0
2007-08-11 @ Standard Baku W 1-046.8 1150 1218 23.34% 25.99% 50.67%-0.47 +15.9 3
2007-08-11 Masalli W 3-029.9 1439 1195 67.92% 21.61% 10.47%+1.26 +11.0 3
2007-08-11 @ Inter Baku L 0-329.9 1195 1439 10.47% 21.61% 67.92%-1.26 -11.0 0
2007-08-11 Qarabag W 1-039.9 1277 1236 47.43% 26.34% 26.23%+0.36 +9.5 3
2007-08-11 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-139.9 1236 1277 26.23% 26.34% 47.43%-0.36 -9.5 0
2007-08-11 Turan L 1-259.0 1509 1152 75.87% 17.83% 6.30%+1.77 -20.9 0
2007-08-11 @ Neftchi Baku W 2-159.0 1152 1509 6.30% 17.83% 75.87%-1.77 +20.9 3
2007-08-12 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-134.1 1452 1078 76.90% 17.26% 5.84%+1.84 +3.4 3
2007-08-12 @ Baku L 1-334.1 1078 1452 5.84% 17.26% 76.90%-1.84 -3.4 0
2007-08-12 Khazar Lankaran L 0-140.0 1297 1508 17.31% 24.71% 57.98%-0.77 -6.6 0
2007-08-12 @ Karvan W 1-040.0 1508 1297 57.98% 24.71% 17.31%+0.77 +6.6 3
2007-08-18 Karvan L 0-142.1 1227 1290 33.01% 26.76% 40.23%-0.11 -11.3 0
2007-08-18 @ Qarabag W 1-042.1 1290 1227 40.23% 26.76% 33.01%+0.11 +11.3 3
2007-08-18 Khazar Lankaran L 0-330.3 1184 1514 10.04% 21.31% 68.65%-1.31 -10.5 0
2007-08-18 @ Masalli W 3-030.3 1514 1184 68.65% 21.31% 10.04%+1.31 +10.5 6
2007-08-18 Neftchi Baku L 2-631.6 1074 1488 6.90% 18.52% 74.58%-1.68 -6.4 0
2007-08-18 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 6-231.6 1488 1074 74.58% 18.52% 6.90%+1.68 +6.4 3
2007-08-18 Standard Baku D 1-156.3 1450 1202 68.20% 21.50% 10.30%+1.28 -4.3 4
2007-08-18 @ Inter Baku D 1-156.3 1202 1450 10.30% 21.50% 68.20%-1.28 +4.3 1
2007-08-19 Baku W 2-048.4 1166 1455 12.12% 22.61% 65.26%-1.12 +37.3 6
2007-08-19 @ Gabala L 0-248.4 1455 1166 65.26% 22.61% 12.12%+1.12 -37.3 3
2007-08-19 Olimpik Baku L 1-339.4 1173 1404 15.78% 24.22% 60.01%-0.86 -9.9 3
2007-08-19 @ Turan W 3-139.4 1404 1173 60.01% 24.22% 15.78%+0.86 +9.9 3
2007-08-19 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-155.4 919 1287 8.49% 20.08% 71.43%-1.47 +4.7 1
2007-08-19 @ ABN Barda D 1-155.4 1287 919 71.43% 20.08% 8.49%+1.47 -4.7 4
2007-08-25 ABN Barda W 2-027.8 1302 924 77.18% 17.10% 5.72%+1.86 +3.8 6
2007-08-25 @ Karvan L 0-227.8 924 1302 5.72% 17.10% 77.18%-1.86 -3.8 1
2007-08-25 Masalli W 4-140.1 1206 1173 46.39% 26.43% 27.18%+0.32 +22.5 4
2007-08-25 @ Standard Baku L 1-440.1 1173 1206 27.18% 26.43% 46.39%-0.32 -22.5 0
2007-08-25 Inter Baku D 0-053.6 1418 1446 38.02% 26.80% 35.18%+0.04 -0.2 4
2007-08-25 @ Baku D 0-053.6 1446 1418 35.18% 26.80% 38.02%-0.04 +0.2 5
2007-08-25 Turan W 3-032.4 1282 1163 56.46% 25.04% 18.50%+0.70 +19.3 7
2007-08-25 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-332.4 1163 1282 18.50% 25.04% 56.46%-0.70 -19.3 3
2007-08-26 Gabala W 2-031.3 1494 1203 71.42% 20.08% 8.49%+1.47 +6.0 6
2007-08-26 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-231.3 1203 1494 8.49% 20.08% 71.42%-1.47 -6.0 6
2007-08-26 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-031.5 1414 1068 75.14% 18.22% 6.63%+1.72 +2.4 6
2007-08-26 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-131.5 1068 1414 6.63% 18.22% 75.14%-1.72 -2.4 0
2007-08-26 Qarabag W 2-031.6 1525 1215 72.73% 19.46% 7.81%+1.55 +5.5 9
2007-08-26 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-231.6 1215 1525 7.81% 19.46% 72.73%-1.55 -5.5 0
2007-09-01 Baku D 1-155.1 1229 1417 19.13% 25.19% 55.68%-0.67 +2.6 5
2007-09-01 @ Standard Baku D 1-155.1 1417 1229 55.68% 25.19% 19.13%+0.67 -2.6 5
2007-09-01 Karvan L 1-536.4 1144 1306 21.57% 25.70% 52.73%-0.55 -24.0 3
2007-09-01 @ Turan W 5-136.4 1306 1144 52.73% 25.70% 21.57%+0.55 +24.0 9
2007-09-01 Qarabag W 1-043.7 1151 1210 33.67% 26.78% 39.55%-0.09 +13.0 3
2007-09-01 @ Masalli L 0-143.7 1210 1151 39.55% 26.78% 33.67%+0.09 -13.0 0
2007-09-01 Simurq Zaqatala L 0-331.1 1066 1301 15.42% 24.09% 60.49%-0.88 -16.3 0
2007-09-01 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-031.1 1301 1066 60.49% 24.09% 15.42%+0.88 +16.3 10
2007-09-02 Khazar Lankaran L 0-423.2 920 1530 2.75% 12.03% 85.22%-2.56 -3.1 1
2007-09-02 @ ABN Barda W 4-023.2 1530 920 85.22% 12.03% 2.75%+2.56 +3.1 12
2007-09-02 Neftchi Baku D 0-056.3 1446 1501 34.33% 26.79% 38.88%-0.07 +0.3 6
2007-09-02 @ Inter Baku D 0-056.3 1501 1446 38.88% 26.79% 34.33%+0.07 -0.3 7
2007-09-02 Olimpik Baku L 0-137.1 1197 1416 16.67% 24.51% 58.82%-0.81 -6.4 6
2007-09-02 @ Gabala W 1-037.1 1416 1197 58.82% 24.51% 16.67%+0.81 +6.4 9
2007-09-09 ABN Barda W 1-028.6 1423 917 83.97% 12.88% 3.15%+2.43 +1.0 12
2007-09-09 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-128.6 917 1423 3.15% 12.88% 83.97%-2.43 -1.0 1
2007-09-15 Gabala W 2-034.2 1318 1191 57.26% 24.87% 17.87%+0.74 +12.9 13
2007-09-15 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-234.2 1191 1318 17.87% 24.87% 57.26%-0.74 -12.9 6
2007-09-15 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 1-257.0 1330 1049 70.64% 20.45% 8.91%+1.42 -19.9 9
2007-09-15 @ Karvan W 2-157.0 1049 1330 8.91% 20.45% 70.64%-1.42 +19.9 3
2007-09-15 Masalli W 2-139.7 1415 1164 68.44% 21.40% 10.16%+1.29 +3.7 8
2007-09-15 @ Baku L 1-239.7 1164 1415 10.16% 21.40% 68.44%-1.29 -3.7 3
2007-09-16 ABN Barda W 3-135.4 1197 916 70.70% 20.42% 8.88%+1.43 +5.5 3
2007-09-16 @ Qarabag L 1-335.4 916 1197 8.88% 20.42% 70.70%-1.43 -5.5 1
2007-09-16 Inter Baku W 1-047.5 1424 1447 38.79% 26.79% 34.42%+0.07 +11.7 15
2007-09-16 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-147.5 1447 1424 34.42% 26.79% 38.79%-0.07 -11.7 6
2007-09-16 Standard Baku W 3-138.0 1500 1231 69.78% 20.83% 9.39%+1.37 +5.8 10
2007-09-16 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-338.0 1231 1500 9.39% 20.83% 69.78%-1.37 -5.8 5
2007-09-16 Turan W 2-028.5 1533 1120 79.25% 15.89% 4.86%+2.02 +3.2 15
2007-09-16 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-228.5 1120 1533 4.86% 15.89% 79.25%-2.02 -3.2 3
2007-09-22 ABN Barda D 1-154.9 1160 910 68.32% 21.45% 10.23%+1.29 -4.3 4
2007-09-22 @ Masalli D 1-154.9 910 1160 10.23% 21.45% 68.32%-1.29 +4.3 2
2007-09-22 Qarabag L 0-238.0 1116 1202 30.15% 26.64% 43.21%-0.21 -19.9 3
2007-09-22 @ Turan W 2-038.0 1202 1116 43.21% 26.64% 30.15%+0.21 +20.0 6
2007-09-22 Olimpik Baku D 0-050.4 1226 1435 17.38% 24.73% 57.90%-0.77 +3.2 6
2007-09-22 @ Standard Baku D 0-050.4 1435 1226 57.90% 24.73% 17.38%+0.77 -3.2 16
2007-09-23 Karvan W 1-046.7 1178 1310 24.69% 26.17% 49.14%-0.42 +15.5 9
2007-09-23 @ Gabala L 0-146.7 1310 1178 49.14% 26.17% 24.69%+0.42 -15.5 9
2007-09-23 Khazar Lankaran L 1-237.1 1069 1537 5.40% 16.67% 77.93%-1.92 -1.8 3
2007-09-23 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-137.1 1537 1069 77.93% 16.67% 5.40%+1.92 +1.8 18
2007-09-29 Masalli W 4-027.3 1506 1156 75.45% 18.06% 6.49%+1.74 +8.4 13
2007-09-29 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-427.3 1156 1506 6.49% 18.06% 75.45%-1.74 -8.4 4
2007-09-29 Inter Baku L 0-336.3 1294 1435 23.75% 26.04% 50.20%-0.46 -23.9 9
2007-09-29 @ Karvan W 3-036.3 1435 1294 50.20% 26.04% 23.75%+0.46 +23.9 9
2007-09-29 Standard Baku W 1-038.0 1331 1229 54.59% 25.39% 20.02%+0.63 +7.6 16
2007-09-29 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-138.0 1229 1331 20.02% 25.39% 54.59%-0.63 -7.5 6
2007-09-29 Turan D 0-048.8 914 1097 19.69% 25.32% 54.99%-0.64 +2.8 3
2007-09-29 @ ABN Barda D 0-048.8 1097 914 54.99% 25.32% 19.69%+0.64 -2.8 4
2007-09-30 Baku W 3-040.8 1432 1418 43.81% 26.61% 29.58%+0.23 +28.5 19
2007-09-30 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-340.8 1418 1432 29.58% 26.61% 43.81%-0.23 -28.5 8
2007-09-30 Gabala W 2-139.3 1538 1194 75.09% 18.25% 6.66%+1.71 +2.3 21
2007-09-30 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-239.3 1194 1538 6.66% 18.25% 75.09%-1.71 -2.3 9
2007-09-30 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-138.7 1222 1067 60.06% 24.20% 15.74%+0.86 +9.9 9
2007-09-30 @ Qarabag L 1-338.7 1067 1222 15.74% 24.20% 60.06%-0.86 -9.9 3
2007-10-06 Khazar Lankaran D 2-269.0 1459 1541 30.63% 26.67% 42.70%-0.19 +0.6 10
2007-10-06 @ Inter Baku D 2-269.0 1541 1459 42.70% 26.67% 30.63%+0.19 -0.6 22
2007-10-06 Qarabag L 1-248.6 1191 1232 36.23% 26.81% 36.96%-0.01 -11.5 9
2007-10-06 @ Gabala W 2-148.6 1232 1191 36.96% 26.81% 36.23%+0.01 +11.5 12
2007-10-06 Olimpik Baku D 0-057.6 1514 1461 49.00% 26.18% 24.82%+0.41 -1.8 14
2007-10-06 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-057.6 1461 1514 24.82% 26.18% 49.00%-0.41 +1.8 20
2007-10-06 Turan W 3-142.0 1147 1094 48.93% 26.19% 24.88%+0.41 +14.8 7
2007-10-06 @ Masalli L 1-342.0 1094 1147 24.88% 26.19% 48.93%-0.41 -14.8 4
2007-10-07 ABN Barda W 4-030.8 1058 917 58.63% 24.56% 16.81%+0.80 +23.0 6
2007-10-07 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 0-430.8 917 1058 16.81% 24.56% 58.63%-0.80 -23.1 3
2007-10-07 Karvan L 1-248.4 1221 1270 35.05% 26.80% 38.15%-0.05 -11.2 6
2007-10-07 @ Standard Baku W 2-148.4 1270 1221 38.15% 26.80% 35.05%+0.05 +11.2 12
2007-10-07 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-155.8 1390 1338 48.74% 26.21% 25.05%+0.40 -1.6 9
2007-10-07 @ Baku D 1-155.8 1338 1390 25.05% 26.21% 48.74%-0.40 +1.6 17
2007-10-20 Neftchi Baku W 5-150.7 1388 1513 25.51% 26.27% 48.22%-0.38 +45.3 12
2007-10-20 @ Baku L 1-550.7 1513 1388 48.22% 26.27% 25.51%+0.38 -45.3 14
2007-10-20 Simurq Zaqatala W 2-037.6 1459 1340 56.50% 25.03% 18.47%+0.71 +13.3 13
2007-10-20 @ Inter Baku L 0-237.6 1340 1459 18.47% 25.03% 56.50%-0.71 -13.2 17
2007-10-27 Gabala L 1-240.0 894 1180 12.30% 22.71% 64.99%-1.10 -4.5 3
2007-10-27 @ ABN Barda W 2-140.0 1180 894 64.99% 22.71% 12.30%+1.10 +4.5 12
2007-10-27 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-038.4 1079 1081 41.76% 26.71% 31.53%+0.16 +20.6 7
2007-10-27 @ Turan L 0-238.4 1081 1079 31.53% 26.71% 41.76%-0.16 -20.6 6
2007-10-27 Masalli W 3-136.1 1462 1162 72.08% 19.77% 8.14%+1.51 +5.0 23
2007-10-27 @ Olimpik Baku L 1-336.1 1162 1462 8.14% 19.77% 72.08%-1.51 -5.0 7
2007-10-28 Baku L 0-140.3 1282 1434 22.55% 25.87% 51.58%-0.51 -8.4 12
2007-10-28 @ Karvan W 1-040.3 1434 1282 51.58% 25.87% 22.55%+0.51 +8.4 15
2007-10-28 Neftchi Baku L 1-247.9 1326 1467 23.72% 26.04% 50.24%-0.46 -8.2 17
2007-10-28 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 2-147.9 1467 1326 50.24% 26.04% 23.72%+0.46 +8.2 17
2007-10-28 Inter Baku L 0-137.8 1244 1473 15.91% 24.26% 59.83%-0.85 -6.1 12
2007-10-28 @ Qarabag W 1-037.8 1473 1244 59.83% 24.26% 15.91%+0.85 +6.1 16
2007-10-28 Standard Baku D 2-264.1 1540 1210 74.12% 18.76% 7.12%+1.65 -3.7 23
2007-10-28 @ Khazar Lankaran D 2-264.1 1210 1540 7.12% 18.76% 74.12%-1.65 +3.7 7
2007-11-03 ABN Barda W 4-022.4 1479 890 87.45% 10.45% 2.09%+2.80 +2.3 19
2007-11-03 @ Inter Baku L 0-422.4 890 1479 2.09% 10.45% 87.45%-2.80 -2.3 3
2007-11-03 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 6-032.8 1157 1060 54.06% 25.48% 20.46%+0.60 +40.3 10
2007-11-03 @ Masalli L 0-632.8 1060 1157 20.46% 25.48% 54.06%-0.60 -40.3 6
2007-11-03 Karvan W 2-142.8 1476 1273 64.41% 22.91% 12.68%+1.08 +4.6 20
2007-11-03 @ Neftchi Baku L 1-242.8 1273 1476 12.68% 22.91% 64.41%-1.08 -4.6 12
2007-11-03 Turan W 2-143.8 1184 1100 52.65% 25.71% 21.64%+0.55 +7.6 15
2007-11-03 @ Gabala L 1-243.8 1100 1184 21.64% 25.71% 52.65%-0.55 -7.6 7
2007-11-04 Khazar Lankaran D 2-268.3 1442 1536 29.06% 26.58% 44.37%-0.25 +0.8 16
2007-11-04 @ Baku D 2-268.3 1536 1442 44.37% 26.58% 29.06%+0.25 -0.8 24
2007-11-04 Qarabag L 0-143.6 1214 1237 38.69% 26.79% 34.51%+0.07 -12.8 7
2007-11-04 @ Standard Baku W 1-043.6 1237 1214 34.51% 26.79% 38.69%-0.07 +12.8 15
2007-11-04 Simurq Zaqatala W 1-039.1 1467 1318 59.50% 24.34% 16.15%+0.84 +6.2 26
2007-11-04 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-139.1 1318 1467 16.15% 24.34% 59.50%-0.84 -6.2 17
2007-11-10 Baku D 1-155.6 1250 1443 18.78% 25.11% 56.12%-0.69 +2.6 16
2007-11-10 @ Qarabag D 1-155.6 1443 1250 56.12% 25.11% 18.78%+0.69 -2.6 17
2007-11-10 Neftchi Baku L 0-156.9 1536 1480 49.19% 26.16% 24.65%+0.42 -15.5 24
2007-11-10 @ Khazar Lankaran W 1-056.9 1480 1536 24.65% 26.16% 49.19%-0.42 +15.5 23
2007-11-10 Inter Baku L 0-427.3 1092 1481 7.72% 19.37% 72.92%-1.57 -10.3 7
2007-11-10 @ Turan W 4-027.3 1481 1092 72.92% 19.37% 7.72%+1.57 +10.3 22
2007-11-10 Olimpik Baku L 0-139.0 1269 1474 17.75% 24.84% 57.41%-0.74 -6.8 12
2007-11-10 @ Karvan W 1-039.0 1474 1269 57.41% 24.84% 17.75%+0.74 +6.8 29
2007-11-11 Gabala L 0-632.8 1020 1192 20.60% 25.51% 53.89%-0.60 -40.5 6
2007-11-11 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 6-032.8 1192 1020 53.89% 25.51% 20.60%+0.60 +40.5 18
2007-11-11 Masalli W 1-037.3 1312 1197 55.99% 25.13% 18.88%+0.68 +7.2 20
2007-11-11 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-137.3 1197 1312 18.88% 25.13% 55.99%-0.68 -7.2 10
2007-11-11 Standard Baku L 0-133.5 887 1201 10.84% 21.85% 67.31%-1.23 -4.2 3
2007-11-11 @ ABN Barda W 1-033.5 1201 887 67.31% 21.85% 10.84%+1.23 +4.2 10
2007-11-24 ABN Barda D 0-053.1 1440 883 86.19% 11.35% 2.45%+2.66 -6.6 18
2007-11-24 @ Baku D 0-053.1 883 1440 2.45% 11.35% 86.19%-2.66 +6.6 4
2007-11-24 Gabala W 1-043.1 1190 1232 36.03% 26.81% 37.16%-0.02 +12.4 13
2007-11-24 @ Masalli L 0-143.1 1232 1190 37.16% 26.81% 36.03%+0.02 -12.4 18
2007-11-24 Karvan L 0-147.2 1319 1262 49.43% 26.14% 24.44%+0.43 -15.5 20
2007-11-24 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 1-047.2 1262 1319 24.44% 26.14% 49.43%-0.43 +15.5 15
2007-11-24 Turan D 1-154.0 1205 1082 56.90% 24.94% 18.15%+0.72 -2.8 11
2007-11-24 @ Standard Baku D 1-154.0 1082 1205 18.15% 24.94% 56.90%-0.72 +2.8 8
2007-11-25 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-024.1 1491 979 84.26% 12.69% 3.05%+2.46 +2.7 25
2007-11-25 @ Inter Baku L 0-324.1 979 1491 3.05% 12.69% 84.26%-2.46 -2.7 6
2007-11-25 Khazar Lankaran D 0-058.3 1480 1520 36.38% 26.81% 36.81%-0.01 +0.0 30
2007-11-25 @ Olimpik Baku D 0-058.3 1520 1480 36.81% 26.81% 36.38%+0.01 -0.0 25
2007-11-25 Qarabag D 0-052.5 1496 1253 67.77% 21.67% 10.56%+1.26 -4.7 24
2007-11-25 @ Neftchi Baku D 0-052.5 1253 1496 10.56% 21.67% 67.77%-1.26 +4.7 17
2007-12-01 Masalli L 0-147.3 1277 1202 51.52% 25.87% 22.61%+0.51 -16.1 15
2007-12-01 @ Karvan W 1-047.3 1202 1277 22.61% 25.87% 51.52%-0.51 +16.1 16
2007-12-01 Neftchi Baku L 0-225.6 890 1491 2.88% 12.32% 84.81%-2.51 -1.7 4
2007-12-01 @ ABN Barda W 2-025.6 1491 890 84.81% 12.32% 2.88%+2.51 +1.7 27
2007-12-01 Olimpik Baku L 0-138.3 1258 1480 16.36% 24.42% 59.22%-0.82 -6.3 17
2007-12-01 @ Qarabag W 1-038.3 1480 1258 59.22% 24.42% 16.36%+0.82 +6.3 33
2007-12-01 Standard Baku L 1-534.1 976 1202 16.13% 24.34% 59.53%-0.84 -18.5 6
2007-12-01 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 5-134.1 1202 976 59.53% 24.34% 16.13%+0.84 +18.5 14
2007-12-02 Baku L 0-230.4 1084 1434 9.24% 20.71% 70.05%-1.39 -6.6 8
2007-12-02 @ Turan W 2-030.4 1434 1084 70.05% 20.71% 9.24%+1.39 +6.6 21
2007-12-02 Inter Baku W 2-157.7 1220 1494 12.97% 23.05% 63.98%-1.05 +18.3 21
2007-12-02 @ Gabala L 1-257.7 1494 1220 63.98% 23.05% 12.97%+1.05 -18.3 25
2007-12-02 Simurq Zaqatala W 2-144.0 1520 1304 65.62% 22.49% 11.90%+1.14 +4.3 28
2007-12-02 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-244.0 1304 1520 11.90% 22.49% 65.62%-1.14 -4.3 20
2008-02-16 Baku L 0-325.6 958 1440 5.04% 16.17% 78.79%-1.98 -4.8 6
2008-02-16 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-025.6 1440 958 78.79% 16.17% 5.04%+1.98 +4.8 24
2008-02-16 Inter Baku L 0-332.2 1219 1476 14.01% 23.53% 62.46%-0.98 -14.8 16
2008-02-16 @ Masalli W 3-032.2 1476 1219 62.46% 23.53% 14.01%+0.98 +14.8 28
2008-02-16 Olimpik Baku D 1-157.8 888 1487 2.91% 12.39% 84.70%-2.50 +5.8 5
2008-02-16 @ ABN Barda D 1-157.8 1487 888 84.70% 12.39% 2.91%+2.50 -5.8 34
2008-02-16 Simurq Zaqatala D 2-259.7 1251 1299 35.19% 26.80% 38.00%-0.04 +0.1 18
2008-02-16 @ Qarabag D 2-259.7 1299 1251 38.00% 26.80% 35.19%+0.04 -0.1 21
2008-02-17 Karvan D 0-053.4 1524 1261 69.36% 21.01% 9.63%+1.35 -4.9 29
2008-02-17 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-053.4 1261 1524 9.63% 21.01% 69.36%-1.35 +5.0 16
2008-02-17 Neftchi Baku L 0-132.0 1078 1493 6.87% 18.48% 74.65%-1.68 -2.5 8
2008-02-17 @ Turan W 1-032.0 1493 1078 74.65% 18.48% 6.87%+1.68 +2.5 30
2008-02-17 Standard Baku W 1-040.7 1238 1221 44.33% 26.58% 29.09%+0.25 +10.3 24
2008-02-17 @ Gabala L 0-140.7 1221 1238 29.09% 26.58% 44.33%-0.25 -10.3 14
2008-02-23 ABN Barda W 3-133.0 1299 894 78.78% 16.17% 5.05%+1.98 +2.9 24
2008-02-23 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 1-333.0 894 1299 5.05% 16.17% 78.78%-1.98 -2.9 5
2008-02-23 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-025.5 1495 953 85.57% 11.79% 2.64%+2.59 +1.6 33
2008-02-23 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-225.5 953 1495 2.64% 11.79% 85.57%-2.59 -1.6 6
2008-02-23 Masalli W 4-134.1 1520 1204 73.15% 19.25% 7.60%+1.58 +6.5 32
2008-02-23 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-434.1 1204 1520 7.60% 19.25% 73.15%-1.58 -6.5 16
2008-02-23 Turan W 3-026.1 1481 1075 78.78% 16.17% 5.05%+1.98 +4.8 37
2008-02-23 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-326.1 1075 1481 5.05% 16.17% 78.78%-1.98 -4.8 8
2008-02-24 Gabala W 3-031.7 1445 1249 63.89% 23.08% 13.03%+1.05 +13.8 27
2008-02-24 @ Baku L 0-331.7 1249 1445 13.03% 23.08% 63.89%-1.05 -13.8 24
2008-02-24 Qarabag D 0-048.9 1266 1251 43.99% 26.60% 29.41%+0.24 -1.1 17
2008-02-24 @ Karvan D 0-048.9 1251 1266 29.41% 26.60% 43.99%-0.24 +1.1 19
2008-02-24 Inter Baku L 1-242.0 1211 1490 12.63% 22.88% 64.49%-1.08 -4.6 14
2008-02-24 @ Standard Baku W 2-142.0 1490 1211 64.49% 22.88% 12.63%+1.08 +4.6 31
2008-03-01 Baku W 1-047.9 1495 1459 46.79% 26.40% 26.81%+0.33 +9.7 34
2008-03-01 @ Inter Baku L 0-147.9 1459 1495 26.81% 26.40% 46.79%-0.33 -9.6 27
2008-03-01 Karvan W 2-048.5 891 1265 8.25% 19.87% 71.88%-1.50 +40.3 8
2008-03-01 @ ABN Barda L 0-248.5 1265 891 71.88% 19.87% 8.25%+1.50 -40.3 17
2008-03-01 Olimpik Baku L 0-129.5 951 1486 3.96% 14.43% 81.61%-2.22 -1.3 6
2008-03-01 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-029.5 1486 951 81.61% 14.43% 3.96%+2.22 +1.3 40
2008-03-01 Standard Baku D 1-153.5 1197 1206 40.78% 26.75% 32.48%+0.13 -0.5 17
2008-03-01 @ Masalli D 1-153.5 1206 1197 32.48% 26.75% 40.78%-0.13 +0.5 15
2008-03-02 Khazar Lankaran W 2-050.2 1252 1526 12.99% 23.06% 63.94%-1.05 +36.7 22
2008-03-02 @ Qarabag L 0-250.2 1526 1252 63.94% 23.06% 12.99%+1.05 -36.7 32
2008-03-02 Neftchi Baku L 2-347.7 1235 1497 13.71% 23.39% 62.90%-1.00 -4.7 24
2008-03-02 @ Gabala W 3-247.7 1497 1235 62.90% 23.39% 13.71%+1.00 +4.7 36
2008-03-02 Simurq Zaqatala L 1-241.6 1071 1302 15.73% 24.20% 60.07%-0.86 -5.7 8
2008-03-02 @ Turan W 2-141.6 1302 1071 60.07% 24.20% 15.73%+0.86 +5.7 27
2008-03-15 Gabala W 2-032.4 1487 1230 68.87% 21.22% 9.91%+1.32 +7.1 43
2008-03-15 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-232.4 1230 1487 9.91% 21.22% 68.87%-1.32 -7.1 24
2008-03-15 Masalli D 1-154.1 1289 1197 53.53% 25.57% 20.89%+0.58 -2.3 23
2008-03-15 @ Qarabag D 1-154.1 1197 1289 20.89% 25.57% 53.53%-0.58 +2.3 18
2008-03-15 Inter Baku W 2-048.7 1501 1505 41.54% 26.72% 31.74%+0.16 +20.7 39
2008-03-15 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-248.7 1505 1501 31.74% 26.72% 41.54%-0.16 -20.8 34
2008-03-15 Turan W 1-035.6 1225 1065 60.56% 24.07% 15.37%+0.89 +5.9 20
2008-03-15 @ Karvan L 0-135.6 1065 1225 15.37% 24.07% 60.56%-0.89 -5.9 8
2008-03-16 ABN Barda D 0-053.2 1489 931 86.24% 11.32% 2.44%+2.66 -6.6 33
2008-03-16 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-053.2 931 1489 2.44% 11.32% 86.24%-2.66 +6.6 9
2008-03-16 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-026.4 1308 950 75.91% 17.81% 6.28%+1.77 +6.2 30
2008-03-16 @ Simurq Zaqatala L 0-326.4 950 1308 6.28% 17.81% 75.91%-1.77 -6.2 6
2008-03-16 Standard Baku L 0-151.9 1449 1207 67.75% 21.68% 10.57%+1.25 -20.4 27
2008-03-16 @ Baku W 1-051.9 1207 1449 10.57% 21.68% 67.75%-1.25 +20.4 18
2008-03-29 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 5-023.2 1483 944 85.43% 11.89% 2.68%+2.58 +3.8 36
2008-03-29 @ Khazar Lankaran L 0-523.2 944 1483 2.68% 11.89% 85.43%-2.58 -3.8 6
2008-03-29 Masalli L 1-240.6 938 1199 13.76% 23.42% 62.83%-1.00 -5.0 9
2008-03-29 @ ABN Barda W 2-140.6 1199 938 62.83% 23.42% 13.76%+1.00 +5.0 21
2008-03-29 Inter Baku L 3-454.0 1314 1484 20.82% 25.56% 53.63%-0.59 -6.8 30
2008-03-29 @ Simurq Zaqatala W 4-354.0 1484 1314 53.63% 25.56% 20.82%+0.59 +6.8 37
2008-03-30 Baku W 3-256.3 1522 1429 53.66% 25.55% 20.79%+0.59 +7.0 42
2008-03-30 @ Neftchi Baku L 2-356.3 1429 1522 20.79% 25.55% 53.66%-0.59 -7.0 27
2008-03-30 Gabala L 1-250.7 1231 1223 43.04% 26.65% 30.31%+0.21 -13.1 20
2008-03-30 @ Karvan W 2-150.7 1223 1231 30.31% 26.65% 43.04%-0.21 +13.1 27
2008-03-30 Standard Baku W 1-035.0 1494 1227 69.66% 20.88% 9.46%+1.36 +3.6 46
2008-03-30 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-135.0 1227 1494 9.46% 20.88% 69.66%-1.36 -3.6 18
2008-03-30 Turan D 0-049.8 1287 1059 66.57% 22.13% 11.29%+1.19 -4.5 24
2008-03-30 @ Qarabag D 0-049.8 1059 1287 11.29% 22.13% 66.57%-1.19 +4.5 9
2008-04-05 ABN Barda W 3-031.8 1063 933 57.64% 24.79% 17.58%+0.75 +18.4 12
2008-04-05 @ Turan L 0-331.8 933 1063 17.58% 24.79% 57.64%-0.75 -18.4 9
2008-04-05 Khazar Lankaran D 1-156.5 1236 1486 14.44% 23.71% 61.86%-0.95 +3.4 28
2008-04-05 @ Gabala D 1-156.5 1486 1236 61.86% 23.71% 14.44%+0.95 -3.4 37
2008-04-05 Neftchi Baku L 0-232.8 1204 1529 10.29% 21.49% 68.22%-1.28 -7.4 21
2008-04-05 @ Masalli W 2-032.8 1529 1204 68.22% 21.49% 10.29%+1.28 +7.4 45
2008-04-05 Simurq Zaqatala W 3-040.5 1223 1307 30.38% 26.66% 42.96%-0.20 +37.9 21
2008-04-05 @ Standard Baku L 0-340.5 1307 1223 42.96% 26.66% 30.38%+0.20 -37.9 30
2008-04-06 Karvan W 3-137.6 1491 1218 70.10% 20.69% 9.21%+1.39 +5.7 40
2008-04-06 @ Inter Baku L 1-337.6 1218 1491 9.21% 20.69% 70.10%-1.39 -5.7 20
2008-04-06 Qarabag L 0-132.9 940 1282 9.53% 20.94% 69.53%-1.36 -3.6 6
2008-04-06 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 1-032.9 1282 940 69.53% 20.94% 9.53%+1.36 +3.6 27
2008-04-06 Olimpik Baku L 0-148.2 1422 1498 31.40% 26.70% 41.90%-0.17 -10.9 27
2008-04-06 @ Baku W 1-048.2 1498 1422 41.90% 26.70% 31.40%+0.17 +10.9 49
2008-04-12 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 2-039.2 915 937 38.92% 26.79% 34.29%+0.07 +22.0 12
2008-04-12 @ ABN Barda L 0-239.2 937 915 34.29% 26.79% 38.92%-0.07 -22.0 6
2008-04-12 Masalli D 0-048.5 1082 1197 26.61% 26.38% 47.01%-0.34 +1.5 13
2008-04-12 @ Turan D 0-048.5 1197 1082 47.01% 26.38% 26.61%+0.34 -1.5 22
2008-04-12 Standard Baku D 1-153.7 1212 1261 35.04% 26.80% 38.16%-0.05 +0.2 21
2008-04-12 @ Karvan D 1-153.7 1261 1212 38.16% 26.80% 35.04%+0.05 -0.2 22
2008-04-13 Baku D 0-050.2 1269 1411 23.65% 26.03% 50.32%-0.46 +2.0 31
2008-04-13 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 0-050.2 1411 1269 50.32% 26.03% 23.65%+0.46 -2.0 28
2008-04-13 Gabala W 2-145.6 1286 1239 48.07% 26.28% 25.65%+0.38 +8.8 30
2008-04-13 @ Qarabag L 1-245.6 1239 1286 25.65% 26.28% 48.07%-0.38 -8.8 28
2008-04-13 Neftchi Baku D 0-060.0 1509 1537 38.08% 26.80% 35.12%+0.05 -0.2 50
2008-04-13 @ Olimpik Baku D 0-060.0 1537 1509 35.12% 26.80% 38.08%-0.05 +0.2 46
2008-04-13 Inter Baku W 3-153.8 1483 1496 40.13% 26.76% 33.11%+0.11 +18.5 40
2008-04-13 @ Khazar Lankaran L 1-353.8 1496 1483 33.11% 26.76% 40.13%-0.11 -18.5 40
2008-04-19 ABN Barda W 2-029.4 1231 937 71.64% 19.98% 8.37%+1.49 +5.9 31
2008-04-19 @ Gabala L 0-229.4 937 1231 8.37% 19.98% 71.64%-1.49 -5.9 12
2008-04-19 Neftchi Baku D 0-053.2 1271 1537 13.49% 23.29% 63.22%-1.01 +4.1 32
2008-04-19 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 0-053.2 1537 1271 63.22% 23.29% 13.49%+1.01 -4.1 47
2008-04-19 Qarabag W 1-037.9 1478 1295 62.72% 23.45% 13.83%+0.99 +5.3 43
2008-04-19 @ Inter Baku L 0-137.9 1295 1478 13.83% 23.45% 62.72%-0.99 -5.3 30
2008-04-19 Olimpik Baku L 1-241.2 1195 1508 10.85% 21.86% 67.29%-1.23 -3.9 22
2008-04-19 @ Masalli W 2-141.2 1508 1195 67.29% 21.86% 10.85%+1.23 +3.9 53
2008-04-19 Turan D 1-153.7 915 1083 20.92% 25.58% 53.51%-0.58 +2.3 7
2008-04-19 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit D 1-153.7 1083 915 53.51% 25.58% 20.92%+0.58 -2.3 14
2008-04-20 Karvan D 3-364.7 1409 1212 63.91% 23.07% 13.02%+1.05 -2.3 29
2008-04-20 @ Baku D 3-364.7 1212 1409 13.02% 23.07% 63.91%-1.05 +2.3 22
2008-04-20 Khazar Lankaran L 0-138.3 1261 1502 15.10% 23.97% 60.93%-0.90 -5.8 22
2008-04-20 @ Standard Baku W 1-038.3 1502 1261 60.93% 23.97% 15.10%+0.90 +5.8 43
2008-04-26 Baku W 2-046.7 1191 1406 16.94% 24.60% 58.47%-0.79 +33.9 25
2008-04-26 @ Masalli L 0-246.7 1406 1191 58.47% 24.60% 16.94%+0.79 -33.9 29
2008-04-26 Karvan W 3-153.1 917 1214 11.65% 22.35% 66.00%-1.16 +32.6 10
2008-04-26 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 1-353.1 1214 917 66.00% 22.35% 11.65%+1.16 -32.6 22
2008-04-26 Qarabag L 0-327.9 931 1289 8.84% 20.39% 70.77%-1.43 -9.2 12
2008-04-26 @ ABN Barda W 3-027.9 1289 931 70.77% 20.39% 8.84%+1.43 +9.2 33
2008-04-27 Khazar Lankaran L 0-426.7 1081 1507 6.52% 18.09% 75.40%-1.73 -8.5 14
2008-04-27 @ Turan W 4-026.7 1507 1081 75.40% 18.09% 6.52%+1.73 +8.5 46
2008-04-27 Neftchi Baku D 1-157.8 1255 1533 12.77% 22.95% 64.29%-1.07 +3.8 23
2008-04-27 @ Standard Baku D 1-157.8 1533 1255 64.29% 22.95% 12.77%+1.07 -3.8 48
2008-04-27 Simurq Zaqatala W 1-043.2 1237 1275 36.52% 26.81% 36.66%+0.00 +12.3 34
2008-04-27 @ Gabala L 0-143.2 1275 1237 36.66% 26.81% 36.52%+0.00 -12.2 32
2008-04-28 Olimpik Baku W 2-049.4 1483 1512 37.92% 26.80% 35.28%+0.04 +22.5 46
2008-04-28 @ Inter Baku L 0-249.4 1512 1483 35.28% 26.80% 37.92%-0.04 -22.5 53
2008-05-03 Gabala W 4-254.1 1073 1249 20.22% 25.44% 54.34%-0.62 +24.6 17
2008-05-03 @ Turan L 2-454.1 1249 1073 54.34% 25.44% 20.22%+0.62 -24.6 34
2008-05-03 Masalli W 1-049.8 949 1225 12.88% 23.00% 64.12%-1.06 +19.5 13
2008-05-03 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit L 0-149.8 1225 949 64.12% 23.00% 12.88%+1.06 -19.5 25
2008-05-03 Inter Baku L 1-428.9 921 1506 3.12% 12.83% 84.05%-2.44 -2.3 12
2008-05-03 @ ABN Barda W 4-128.9 1506 921 84.05% 12.83% 3.12%+2.44 +2.3 49
2008-05-04 Baku D 0-055.0 1516 1373 58.94% 24.49% 16.58%+0.81 -3.4 47
2008-05-04 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-055.0 1373 1516 16.58% 24.49% 58.94%-0.81 +3.4 30
2008-05-04 Neftchi Baku L 0-134.7 1182 1529 9.32% 20.77% 69.90%-1.38 -3.5 22
2008-05-04 @ Karvan W 1-034.7 1529 1182 69.90% 20.77% 9.32%+1.38 +3.5 51
2008-05-04 Olimpik Baku D 0-051.8 1263 1490 16.08% 24.32% 59.60%-0.84 +3.5 33
2008-05-04 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 0-051.8 1490 1263 59.60% 24.32% 16.08%+0.84 -3.5 54
2008-05-04 Standard Baku W 1-040.2 1298 1259 47.19% 26.36% 26.44%+0.35 +9.5 36
2008-05-04 @ Qarabag L 0-140.2 1259 1298 26.44% 26.36% 47.19%-0.35 -9.5 23
2008-05-09 ABN Barda W 6-026.7 1249 919 74.14% 18.75% 7.11%+1.65 +13.7 26
2008-05-09 @ Standard Baku L 0-626.7 919 1249 7.11% 18.75% 74.14%-1.65 -13.7 12
2008-05-11 Khazar Lankaran L 0-156.7 1533 1513 44.67% 26.56% 28.77%+0.26 -14.3 51
2008-05-11 @ Neftchi Baku W 1-056.7 1513 1533 28.77% 26.56% 44.67%-0.26 +14.3 50
2008-05-11 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-153.7 1206 1267 33.39% 26.77% 39.84%-0.10 +0.4 26
2008-05-11 @ Masalli D 1-153.7 1267 1206 39.84% 26.77% 33.39%+0.10 -0.4 34
2008-05-11 Turan W 3-133.9 1508 1097 79.09% 15.99% 4.92%+2.01 +2.8 52
2008-05-11 @ Inter Baku L 1-333.9 1097 1508 4.92% 15.99% 79.09%-2.01 -2.8 17
2008-05-12 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit D 2-260.7 1224 969 68.75% 21.27% 9.98%+1.31 -3.2 35
2008-05-12 @ Gabala D 2-260.7 969 1224 9.98% 21.27% 68.75%-1.31 +3.2 14
2008-05-12 Karvan W 2-030.6 1486 1178 72.62% 19.51% 7.87%+1.55 +5.5 57
2008-05-12 @ Olimpik Baku L 0-230.6 1178 1486 7.87% 19.51% 72.62%-1.55 -5.5 22
2008-05-12 Qarabag D 0-050.3 1376 1308 50.70% 25.98% 23.32%+0.47 -2.1 31
2008-05-12 @ Baku D 0-050.3 1308 1376 23.32% 25.98% 50.70%-0.47 +2.1 37
2008-05-17 Baku L 0-425.1 905 1374 5.38% 16.64% 77.99%-1.92 -6.8 12
2008-05-17 @ ABN Barda W 4-025.1 1374 905 77.99% 16.64% 5.38%+1.92 +6.8 34
2008-05-17 Neftchi Baku D 0-053.2 1310 1518 17.50% 24.76% 57.74%-0.76 +3.2 38
2008-05-17 @ Qarabag D 0-053.2 1518 1310 57.74% 24.76% 17.50%+0.76 -3.2 52
2008-05-17 Olimpik Baku D 0-059.1 1527 1492 46.60% 26.41% 26.99%+0.33 -1.5 51
2008-05-17 @ Khazar Lankaran D 0-059.1 1492 1527 26.99% 26.41% 46.60%-0.33 +1.5 58
2008-05-18 Masalli D 1-153.6 1221 1206 44.02% 26.60% 29.38%+0.24 -1.0 36
2008-05-18 @ Gabala D 1-153.6 1206 1221 29.38% 26.60% 44.02%-0.24 +1.0 27
2008-05-18 Inter Baku L 0-324.9 972 1511 3.88% 14.28% 81.84%-2.24 -3.6 14
2008-05-18 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-024.9 1511 972 81.84% 14.28% 3.88%+2.24 +3.6 55
2008-05-18 Simurq Zaqatala D 1-153.7 1173 1266 29.17% 26.58% 44.25%-0.25 +1.0 23
2008-05-18 @ Karvan D 1-153.7 1266 1173 44.25% 26.58% 29.17%+0.25 -1.0 35
2008-05-18 Standard Baku L 0-235.0 1094 1263 20.92% 25.58% 53.50%-0.58 -14.8 17
2008-05-18 @ Turan W 2-035.0 1263 1094 53.50% 25.58% 20.92%+0.58 +14.8 29
2008-05-27 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit W 3-242.5 1278 969 72.71% 19.47% 7.82%+1.55 +2.6 32
2008-05-27 @ Standard Baku L 2-342.5 969 1278 7.82% 19.47% 72.71%-1.55 -2.6 14
2008-05-27 Karvan W 4-140.1 1207 1174 46.38% 26.43% 27.19%+0.32 +22.5 30
2008-05-27 @ Masalli L 1-440.1 1174 1207 27.19% 26.43% 46.38%-0.32 -22.5 23
2008-05-27 Turan D 2-261.5 1381 1080 72.12% 19.75% 8.12%+1.52 -3.5 35
2008-05-27 @ Baku D 2-261.5 1080 1381 8.12% 19.75% 72.12%-1.52 +3.5 18
2008-05-28 ABN Barda W 3-022.8 1515 899 88.45% 9.73% 1.83%+2.93 +1.5 55
2008-05-28 @ Neftchi Baku L 0-322.8 899 1515 1.83% 9.73% 88.45%-2.93 -1.5 12
2008-05-28 Gabala W 4-029.3 1514 1220 71.65% 19.98% 8.37%+1.49 +11.2 58
2008-05-28 @ Inter Baku L 0-429.3 1220 1514 8.37% 19.98% 71.65%-1.49 -11.2 36
2008-05-28 Khazar Lankaran D 1-157.8 1265 1525 13.82% 23.45% 62.73%-0.99 +3.6 36
2008-05-28 @ Simurq Zaqatala D 1-157.8 1525 1265 62.73% 23.45% 13.82%+0.99 -3.6 52
2008-05-28 Qarabag L 0-153.2 1493 1313 62.44% 23.54% 14.03%+0.98 -19.1 58
2008-05-28 @ Olimpik Baku W 1-053.2 1313 1493 14.03% 23.54% 62.44%-0.98 +19.0 41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-08-11 6.30% Turan 1152 2 @ Neftchi Baku 1509 1
2 2008-03-01 8.25% @ ABN Barda 891 2 Karvan 1265 0
3 2007-09-15 8.91% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1049 2 @ Karvan 1330 1
4 2008-03-16 10.57% Standard Baku 1207 1 @ Baku 1449 0
5 2008-04-26 11.65% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 917 3 Karvan 1214 1
6 2007-08-19 12.12% @ Gabala 1166 2 Baku 1455 0
7 2008-05-03 12.88% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 949 1 Masalli 1225 0
8 2007-12-02 12.97% @ Gabala 1220 2 Inter Baku 1494 1
9 2008-03-02 12.99% @ Qarabag 1252 2 Khazar Lankaran 1526 0
10 2008-05-28 14.03% Qarabag 1313 1 @ Olimpik Baku 1493 0
11 2008-04-26 16.94% @ Masalli 1191 2 Baku 1406 0
12 2008-05-03 20.22% @ Turan 1073 4 Gabala 1249 2
13 2007-12-01 22.61% Masalli 1202 1 @ Karvan 1277 0
14 2007-08-11 23.34% Gabala 1150 1 @ Standard Baku 1218 0
15 2007-11-24 24.44% Karvan 1262 1 @ Simurq Zaqatala 1319 0
16 2007-11-10 24.65% Neftchi Baku 1480 1 @ Khazar Lankaran 1536 0
17 2007-09-23 24.69% @ Gabala 1178 1 Karvan 1310 0
18 2007-10-20 25.51% @ Baku 1388 5 Neftchi Baku 1513 1
19 2008-05-11 28.77% Khazar Lankaran 1513 1 @ Neftchi Baku 1533 0
20 2008-03-30 30.31% Gabala 1223 2 @ Karvan 1231 1
21 2008-04-05 30.38% @ Standard Baku 1223 3 Simurq Zaqatala 1307 0
22 2007-09-01 33.67% @ Masalli 1151 1 Qarabag 1210 0
23 2007-11-04 34.51% Qarabag 1237 1 @ Standard Baku 1214 0
24 2007-11-24 36.03% @ Masalli 1190 1 Gabala 1232 0
25 2008-04-27 36.52% @ Gabala 1237 1 Simurq Zaqatala 1275 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-20 45.32 @ Baku 5 1388 25.51% Neftchi Baku 1 1513 48.22% 26.27%
2 2007-11-11 40.54 Gabala 6 1192 53.89% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1020 20.60% 25.51%
3 2008-03-01 40.31 @ ABN Barda 2 891 8.25% Karvan 0 1265 71.88% 19.87%
4 2007-11-03 40.30 @ Masalli 6 1157 54.06% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1060 20.46% 25.48%
5 2008-04-05 37.88 @ Standard Baku 3 1223 30.38% Simurq Zaqatala 0 1307 42.96% 26.66%
6 2007-08-19 37.32 @ Gabala 2 1166 12.12% Baku 0 1455 65.26% 22.61%
7 2008-03-02 36.68 @ Qarabag 2 1252 12.99% Khazar Lankaran 0 1526 63.94% 23.06%
8 2008-04-26 33.91 @ Masalli 2 1191 16.94% Baku 0 1406 58.47% 24.60%
9 2008-04-26 32.63 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 3 917 11.65% Karvan 1 1214 66.00% 22.35%
10 2007-09-30 28.54 @ Olimpik Baku 3 1432 43.81% Baku 0 1418 29.58% 26.61%
11 2008-05-03 24.62 @ Turan 4 1073 20.22% Gabala 2 1249 54.34% 25.44%
12 2007-09-01 24.02 Karvan 5 1306 52.73% @ Turan 1 1144 21.57% 25.70%
13 2007-09-29 23.93 Inter Baku 3 1435 50.20% @ Karvan 0 1294 23.75% 26.04%
14 2007-10-07 23.06 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 4 1058 58.63% ABN Barda 0 917 16.81% 24.56%
15 2008-05-27 22.53 @ Masalli 4 1207 46.38% Karvan 1 1174 27.19% 26.43%
16 2007-08-25 22.52 @ Standard Baku 4 1206 46.39% Masalli 1 1173 27.18% 26.43%
17 2008-04-28 22.46 @ Inter Baku 2 1483 37.92% Olimpik Baku 0 1512 35.28% 26.80%
18 2008-04-12 21.99 @ ABN Barda 2 915 38.92% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 937 34.29% 26.79%
19 2007-08-11 20.93 Turan 2 1152 6.30% @ Neftchi Baku 1 1509 75.87% 17.83%
20 2008-03-15 20.75 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1501 41.54% Inter Baku 0 1505 31.74% 26.72%
21 2007-10-27 20.65 @ Turan 2 1079 41.76% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 1081 31.53% 26.71%
22 2008-03-16 20.42 Standard Baku 1 1207 10.57% @ Baku 0 1449 67.75% 21.68%
23 2007-09-22 19.95 Qarabag 2 1202 43.21% @ Turan 0 1116 30.15% 26.64%
24 2007-09-15 19.90 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 2 1049 8.91% @ Karvan 1 1330 70.64% 20.45%
25 2008-05-03 19.50 @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 1 949 12.88% Masalli 0 1225 64.12% 23.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-06 69.0 @ Inter Baku 2 1459 30.63% Khazar Lankaran 2 1541 42.70% 26.67%
2 2007-11-04 68.3 @ Baku 2 1442 29.06% Khazar Lankaran 2 1536 44.37% 26.58%
3 2008-04-20 64.7 @ Baku 3 1409 63.91% Karvan 3 1212 13.02% 23.07%
4 2007-10-28 64.1 @ Khazar Lankaran 2 1540 74.12% Standard Baku 2 1210 7.12% 18.76%
5 2008-05-27 61.5 @ Baku 2 1381 72.12% Turan 2 1080 8.12% 19.75%
6 2008-05-12 60.7 @ Gabala 2 1224 68.75% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 2 969 9.98% 21.27%
7 2008-04-13 60.0 @ Olimpik Baku 0 1509 38.08% Neftchi Baku 0 1537 35.12% 26.80%
8 2008-02-16 59.7 @ Qarabag 2 1251 35.19% Simurq Zaqatala 2 1299 38.00% 26.80%
9 2008-05-17 59.1 @ Khazar Lankaran 0 1527 46.60% Olimpik Baku 0 1492 26.99% 26.41%
10 2007-08-11 59.0 Turan 2 1152 6.30% @ Neftchi Baku 1 1509 75.87% 17.83%
11 2007-11-25 58.3 @ Olimpik Baku 0 1480 36.38% Khazar Lankaran 0 1520 36.81% 26.81%
12 2008-02-16 57.8 @ ABN Barda 1 888 2.91% Olimpik Baku 1 1487 84.70% 12.39%
13 2008-04-27 57.8 @ Standard Baku 1 1255 12.77% Neftchi Baku 1 1533 64.29% 22.95%
14 2008-05-28 57.8 @ Simurq Zaqatala 1 1265 13.82% Khazar Lankaran 1 1525 62.73% 23.45%
15 2007-12-02 57.7 @ Gabala 2 1220 12.97% Inter Baku 1 1494 63.98% 23.05%
16 2007-10-06 57.6 @ Neftchi Baku 0 1514 49.00% Olimpik Baku 0 1461 24.82% 26.18%
17 2007-09-15 57.0 Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 2 1049 8.91% @ Karvan 1 1330 70.64% 20.45%
18 2007-11-10 56.9 Neftchi Baku 1 1480 24.65% @ Khazar Lankaran 0 1536 49.19% 26.16%
19 2008-05-11 56.7 Khazar Lankaran 1 1513 28.77% @ Neftchi Baku 0 1533 44.67% 26.56%
20 2008-04-05 56.5 @ Gabala 1 1236 14.44% Khazar Lankaran 1 1486 61.86% 23.71%
21 2007-08-18 56.3 @ Inter Baku 1 1450 68.20% Standard Baku 1 1202 10.30% 21.50%
22 2007-09-02 56.3 @ Inter Baku 0 1446 34.33% Neftchi Baku 0 1501 38.88% 26.79%
23 2008-03-30 56.3 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1522 53.66% Baku 2 1429 20.79% 25.55%
24 2007-10-07 55.8 @ Baku 1 1390 48.74% Simurq Zaqatala 1 1338 25.05% 26.21%
25 2007-11-10 55.6 @ Qarabag 1 1250 18.78% Baku 1 1443 56.12% 25.11%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-03 22.4 @ Inter Baku 4 1479 87.45% ABN Barda 0 890 2.09% 10.45%
2 2008-05-28 22.8 @ Neftchi Baku 3 1515 88.45% ABN Barda 0 899 1.83% 9.73%
3 2007-09-02 23.2 Khazar Lankaran 4 1530 85.22% @ ABN Barda 0 920 2.75% 12.03%
4 2008-03-29 23.2 @ Khazar Lankaran 5 1483 85.43% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 944 2.68% 11.89%
5 2007-11-25 24.1 @ Inter Baku 3 1491 84.26% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 979 3.05% 12.69%
6 2008-05-18 24.9 Inter Baku 3 1511 81.84% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 972 3.88% 14.28%
7 2008-05-17 25.1 Baku 4 1374 77.99% @ ABN Barda 0 905 5.38% 16.64%
8 2008-02-23 25.5 @ Neftchi Baku 2 1495 85.57% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 953 2.64% 11.79%
9 2007-12-01 25.6 Neftchi Baku 2 1491 84.81% @ ABN Barda 0 890 2.88% 12.32%
10 2008-02-16 25.6 Baku 3 1440 78.79% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 958 5.04% 16.17%
11 2008-02-23 26.1 @ Olimpik Baku 3 1481 78.78% Turan 0 1075 5.05% 16.17%
12 2008-03-16 26.4 @ Simurq Zaqatala 3 1308 75.91% Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 950 6.28% 17.81%
13 2008-04-27 26.7 Khazar Lankaran 4 1507 75.40% @ Turan 0 1081 6.52% 18.09%
14 2008-05-09 26.7 @ Standard Baku 6 1249 74.14% ABN Barda 0 919 7.11% 18.75%
15 2007-09-29 27.3 @ Neftchi Baku 4 1506 75.45% Masalli 0 1156 6.49% 18.06%
16 2007-11-10 27.3 Inter Baku 4 1481 72.92% @ Turan 0 1092 7.72% 19.37%
17 2007-08-25 27.8 @ Karvan 2 1302 77.18% ABN Barda 0 924 5.72% 17.10%
18 2008-04-26 27.9 Qarabag 3 1289 70.77% @ ABN Barda 0 931 8.84% 20.39%
19 2007-09-16 28.5 @ Khazar Lankaran 2 1533 79.25% Turan 0 1120 4.86% 15.89%
20 2007-09-09 28.6 @ Olimpik Baku 1 1423 83.97% ABN Barda 0 917 3.15% 12.88%
21 2008-05-03 28.9 Inter Baku 4 1506 84.05% @ ABN Barda 1 921 3.12% 12.83%
22 2008-05-28 29.3 @ Inter Baku 4 1514 71.65% Gabala 0 1220 8.37% 19.98%
23 2008-04-19 29.4 @ Gabala 2 1231 71.64% ABN Barda 0 937 8.37% 19.98%
24 2008-03-01 29.5 Olimpik Baku 1 1486 81.61% @ Genclerbirliyi Sumqayit 0 951 3.96% 14.43%
25 2007-08-11 29.9 @ Inter Baku 3 1439 67.92% Masalli 0 1195 10.47% 21.61%