2025-26 Azerbaijan Premier League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Sabah

78 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sabah

15.20 points above expected

78 points · 62.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Karvan

9.30 points below expected

15 points · 24.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sabah Champion	33	24	6	3	78	75	25	+50	62.80	+15.20
2	Qarabag	33	21	6	6	69	71	27	+44	71.31	-2.31
3	Neftchi Baku	33	16	11	6	59	57	32	+25	52.65	+6.35
4	Turan Tovuz	33	17	8	8	59	44	27	+17	54.91	+4.09
5	Zira	33	13	14	6	53	43	36	+7	58.12	-5.12
6	Araz-Naxcivan	33	13	7	13	46	44	58	-14	44.82	+1.18
7	Sumgayit	33	11	5	17	38	42	50	-8	41.11	-3.11
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	38	31	40	-9	37.07	+0.93
9	Imishli	33	8	13	12	37	24	40	-16	39.76	-2.76
10	Gabala	33	7	6	20	27	32	49	-17	34.64	-7.64
11	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	27	25	61	-36	25.94	+1.06
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	15	23	66	-43	24.30	-9.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sabah	78	62.80	+15.20
2	Neftchi Baku	59	52.65	+6.35
3	Turan Tovuz	59	54.91	+4.09
4	Araz-Naxcivan	46	44.82	+1.18
5	Kapaz	27	25.94	+1.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Karvan	15	24.30	-9.30
2	Gabala	27	34.64	-7.64
3	Zira	53	58.12	-5.12
4	Sumgayit	38	41.11	-3.11
5	Imishli	37	39.76	-2.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabah	10	Nov 29 – Feb 22	1 in 480
2	Kapaz	2	May 2 – May 8	1 in 101
3	Neftchi Baku	5	Apr 30 – May 23	1 in 75
4	Karvan	2	Apr 10 – Apr 18	1 in 26
5	Imishli	3	Aug 31 – Sep 19	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabah	2	May 8 – May 17	1 in 102
2	Karvan	8	Oct 5 – Dec 7	1 in 76
3	Kapaz	7	Aug 17 – Oct 4	1 in 58
4	Gabala	4	Oct 26 – Nov 22	1 in 14
5	Turan Tovuz	2	May 16 – May 22	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabah	28	Sep 14 – May 3	1 in 1,132
2	Kapaz	4	Feb 27 – Mar 20	1 in 78
3	Shamakhi	5	Feb 16 – Mar 13	1 in 22
4	Zira	8	Mar 19 – May 17	1 in 20
5	Neftchi Baku	7	Sep 14 – Nov 1	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Imishli	14	Nov 29 – Apr 7	1 in 167
2	Karvan	24	Aug 31 – Apr 6	1 in 63
3	Sumgayit	9	Feb 8 – Apr 12	1 in 47
4	Zira	5	Dec 6 – Jan 31	1 in 20
5	Gabala	8	Feb 10 – Mar 21	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sabah	1764	78	-20	9	11.2	-2.2
Qarabag	1769	69	-3	10	10.9	-0.9
Neftchi Baku	1670	59	+59	15	8.5	+6.5
Turan Tovuz	1614	59	-31	4	8.0	-4.0
Zira	1580	53	-5	8	9.1	-1.1
Araz-Naxcivan	1457	46	+6	7	7.2	-0.2
Shamakhi	1411	38	-12	6	5.0	+1.0
Sumgayit	1419	38	+12	6	5.7	+0.3
Imishli	1403	37	-17	5	5.6	-0.6
Gabala	1423	27	+29	8	5.3	+2.7
Kapaz	1326	27	+1	6	3.7	+2.3
Karvan	1273	15	-19	1	2.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARA	GAB	IMI	KAP	KAR	NB	QAR	SAB	SHA	SUM	TT	ZIR
Araz-Naxcivan	—	1-1-1 5.10	1-1-1 4.72	3-0-0 5.83	3-0-0 6.37	0-1-2 3.71	0-0-3 2.04	0-1-2 2.30	2-1-0 4.60	1-0-2 4.51	1-1-1 3.35	1-1-1 2.82
Gabala	1-1-1 3.15	—	1-1-1 4.06	2-0-1 5.01	1-2-0 5.51	0-0-3 2.89	0-1-2 1.38	0-0-3 1.83	2-0-1 3.74	0-1-2 3.90	0-0-3 2.58	0-0-3 2.22
Imishli	1-1-1 3.52	1-1-1 4.17	—	2-1-0 5.41	1-2-0 5.67	1-1-1 3.05	0-0-3 1.56	1-0-2 2.44	0-2-1 4.49	1-0-2 3.94	0-2-1 2.51	0-3-0 2.35
Kapaz	0-0-3 2.45	1-0-2 3.24	0-1-2 2.85	—	1-0-2 4.48	0-0-3 1.70	2-0-1 0.96	1-0-2 1.14	1-0-2 2.86	2-0-1 2.94	0-1-2 1.89	0-1-2 1.68
Karvan	0-0-3 1.95	0-2-1 2.75	0-2-1 2.60	2-0-1 3.76	—	0-1-2 1.85	0-0-3 1.08	0-0-3 1.33	1-0-2 2.86	0-1-2 2.42	0-0-3 1.54	0-0-3 1.38
Neftchi Baku	2-1-0 4.53	3-0-0 5.37	1-1-1 5.20	3-0-0 6.65	2-1-0 6.49	—	1-0-2 2.46	1-1-1 3.14	1-2-0 5.66	2-1-0 4.93	0-1-2 3.78	0-3-0 3.44
Qarabag	3-0-0 6.27	2-1-0 7.04	3-0-0 6.82	1-0-2 7.55	3-0-0 7.41	2-0-1 5.82	—	0-1-2 4.57	1-2-0 6.96	2-0-1 6.75	3-0-0 5.77	1-2-0 5.46
Sabah	2-1-0 6.00	3-0-0 6.51	2-0-1 5.85	2-0-1 7.33	3-0-0 7.12	1-1-1 5.11	2-1-0 3.67	—	2-1-0 6.04	2-1-0 6.11	3-0-0 4.86	2-1-0 4.76
Shamakhi	0-1-2 3.63	1-0-2 4.49	1-2-0 3.74	2-0-1 5.40	2-0-1 5.40	0-2-1 2.62	0-2-1 1.43	0-1-2 2.27	—	1-1-1 3.77	1-1-1 2.42	1-1-1 2.33
Sumgayit	2-0-1 3.73	2-1-0 4.33	2-0-1 4.29	1-0-2 5.32	2-1-0 5.86	0-1-2 3.32	1-0-2 1.62	0-1-2 2.21	1-1-1 4.46	—	0-0-3 2.83	0-0-3 2.59
Turan Tovuz	1-1-1 4.90	3-0-0 5.69	1-2-0 5.77	2-1-0 6.44	3-0-0 6.85	2-1-0 4.45	0-0-3 2.51	0-0-3 3.38	1-1-1 5.86	3-0-0 5.44	—	1-2-0 3.97
Zira	1-1-1 5.44	3-0-0 6.07	0-3-0 5.93	2-1-0 6.67	3-0-0 7.03	0-3-0 4.81	0-2-1 2.81	0-1-2 3.50	1-1-1 5.95	3-0-0 5.68	0-2-1 4.26	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+9.9
Allowed	0.76	-11.5
Differential	0.94	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.59%	9.60%	6.82%	4.29%	0.51%	1.52%	31.31%
1	9.60%	10.61%	7.32%	2.53%	1.26%	1.01%	32.32%
2	6.82%	7.32%	4.55%	2.27%	0.51%	—	21.46%
3	4.29%	2.53%	2.27%	0.51%	0.25%	—	9.85%
4	0.51%	1.26%	0.51%	0.25%	—	—	2.53%
5+	1.52%	1.01%	—	—	—	—	2.53%
Total	31.31%	32.32%	21.46%	9.85%	2.53%	2.53%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.29	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.94
CV	0.99	0.99	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.06%	—	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	18.18%
1	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	—	3.03%	3.03%	33.33%
2	18.18%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	45.45%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	30.30%	21.21%	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.76	-0.42
SD	0.82	1.66	2.14
CV	0.61	0.94	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	30.30%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	45.45%
1	—	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	27.27%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	51.52%	24.24%	9.09%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.48	-0.52
SD	1.13	1.28	1.79
CV	1.17	0.86	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	21.21%	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	6.06%	54.55%
1	15.15%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	24.24%	18.18%	9.09%	—	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.21	-0.48
SD	0.98	1.49	1.87
CV	1.34	1.23	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	24.24%	12.12%	—	3.03%	54.55%
1	9.09%	3.03%	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	24.24%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	24.24%	27.27%	21.21%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.85	-1.09
SD	1.03	1.37	1.93
CV	1.36	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	18.18%	12.12%	—	3.03%	48.48%
1	3.03%	15.15%	18.18%	—	6.06%	—	42.42%
2	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.06%	30.30%	39.39%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	2.00	-1.30
SD	0.92	1.32	1.70
CV	1.32	0.66	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	3.03%	15.15%
2	6.06%	12.12%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
3	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	39.39%	36.36%	18.18%	3.03%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	0.97	+0.76
SD	1.51	1.10	1.94
CV	0.87	1.14	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
2	15.15%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
Total	42.42%	39.39%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	0.82	+1.33
SD	1.86	0.88	2.07
CV	0.86	1.08	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
1	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	42.42%	42.42%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	0.76	+1.52
SD	1.53	0.79	1.58
CV	0.67	1.05	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	12.12%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	42.42%
2	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.39%	21.21%	24.24%	9.09%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.21	-0.27
SD	0.93	1.24	1.64
CV	0.99	1.03	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	24.24%
1	9.09%	9.09%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	30.30%	21.21%	18.18%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.52	-0.24
SD	1.04	1.23	1.60
CV	0.82	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	12.12%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	45.45%
2	6.06%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
3	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	48.48%	27.27%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	0.82	+0.52
SD	0.96	0.95	1.37
CV	0.72	1.16	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	21.21%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	48.48%
2	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	—	—	6.06%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	30.30%	21.21%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.09	+0.21
SD	1.05	1.04	1.39
CV	0.80	0.95	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Qarabag	1769	69	71.31	-2.31	38.0%	54	56	67	71	76	83	88
Sabah	1764	78	62.80	+15.20	100.0%	45	49	58	63	68	74	78
Neftchi Baku	1670	59	52.65	+6.35	84.0%	34	39	48	53	57	63	70
Turan Tovuz	1614	59	54.91	+4.09	69.0%	36	43	50	55	61	63	72
Zira	1580	53	58.12	-5.12	26.0%	41	47	53	57	62	71	74
Araz-Naxcivan	1457	46	44.82	+1.18	60.0%	26	32	40	45	49	55	62
Gabala	1423	27	34.64	-7.64	15.0%	14	21	31	36	38	46	49
Sumgayit	1419	38	41.11	-3.11	37.0%	25	29	36	42	46	51	55
Shamakhi	1411	38	37.07	+0.93	56.0%	24	28	33	37	41	46	52
Imishli	1403	37	39.76	-2.76	40.0%	21	30	35	39	44	52	61
Kapaz	1326	27	25.94	+1.06	59.0%	12	15	22	26	30	35	36
Karvan	1273	15	24.30	-9.30	11.0%	11	13	20	24	29	35	38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7.5% * Slight Edge: 7.5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+0.00%

No Edge

37.88%24.24%37.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 0.00 Elo pts.

194 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.05 goals

Neutral

-2+0.00+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.34 * Runaway: 0.34 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.7

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

15%

Sabah, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Comfortable

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.32 * Some Luck: 5.32 to 7.97 * Lucky: 7.97 to 10.63 * Wild Swing: 10.63 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.86 * Close: 0.86 to 1.28 * Off: 1.28 to 1.71 * Way Off: 1.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.36 points

Some Luck

06.6417

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

01.072.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Sabah

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.00%

Karvan

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.21 * Even: 0.21 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.15 * Moderate Separation: 2.15 to 2.3 * Strong Separation: 2.3 to 2.6 * Wide Separation: 2.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 73.5% * Slight Edge: 73.5% to 77.5% * Clear Edge: 77.5% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92% * Clear Edge: 92% to 97% * Strong Edge: 97% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59% * Some Drama: 59% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Even

00.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 165.81

2.45

Strong Separation

12.152.63.25

Interquartile Edge

78%

Clear Edge

50%73.5%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.55 * Lopsided: 0.55 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.76 * Near-Lock: 0.76 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 17.5% * Very Shaky: 17.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.87

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Near-Lock

00.470.651

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Upset-Prone

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.44

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.07

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.098

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Sabah	15.00%	42.00%	23.00%	14.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Qarabag	74.00%	17.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Neftchi Baku	1.00%	8.00%	17.00%	25.00%	28.00%	8.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Turan Tovuz	2.00%	15.00%	24.00%	21.00%	23.00%	9.00%	5.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Zira	8.00%	16.00%	27.00%	28.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Araz-Naxcivan	—	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	12.00%	30.00%	18.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Sumgayit	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	11.00%	16.00%	26.00%	17.00%	14.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Shamakhi	—	—	1.00%	—	—	11.00%	15.00%	26.00%	16.00%	18.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Imishli	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	12.00%	16.00%	24.00%	20.00%	16.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Gabala	—	—	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	8.00%	13.00%	26.00%	25.00%	13.00%	6.00%
Kapaz	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	15.00%	42.00%	36.00%
Karvan	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	31.00%	51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Neftchi Baku	100%	—	—
Qarabag	100%	—	—
Sabah	100%	—	—
Turan Tovuz	100%	—	—
Zira	100%	—	—
Araz-Naxcivan	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Imishli	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Sumgayit	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Shamakhi	87.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Gabala	81.00%	13.00%	6.00%
Kapaz	22.00%	42.00%	36.00%
Karvan	18.00%	31.00%	51.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-08-15	Gabala	D 1-1	59.1	1407	1482	27.53%	25.36%	47.11%	-0.38	+1.3	1
2025-08-15	@ Karvan	D 1-1	59.1	1482	1407	47.11%	25.36%	27.53%	+0.38	-1.3	1
2025-08-16	Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	48.6	1460	1527	28.46%	25.43%	46.12%	-0.34	-10.0	0
2025-08-16	@ Imishli	W 1-0	48.6	1527	1460	46.12%	25.43%	28.46%	+0.34	+10.0	3
2025-08-16	Shamakhi	D 1-1	61.7	1513	1452	45.81%	25.45%	28.74%	+0.31	-1.1	1
2025-08-16	@ Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	61.7	1452	1513	28.74%	25.45%	45.81%	-0.31	+1.1	1
2025-08-17	Kapaz	W 3-0	40.8	1455	1415	43.03%	25.59%	31.38%	+0.21	+29.5	3
2025-08-17	@ Sumgayit	L 0-3	40.8	1415	1455	31.38%	25.59%	43.03%	-0.21	-29.5	0
2025-08-19	Araz-Naxcivan	D 1-1	68.2	1629	1521	51.70%	24.92%	23.38%	+0.56	-1.9	1
2025-08-19	@ Zira	D 1-1	68.2	1521	1629	23.38%	24.92%	51.70%	-0.56	+1.9	1
2025-08-22	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	56.8	1450	1512	29.08%	25.47%	45.45%	-0.32	+1.2	1
2025-08-22	@ Imishli	D 0-0	56.8	1512	1450	45.45%	25.47%	29.08%	+0.32	-1.2	2
2025-08-22	Sumgayit	L 0-1	65.1	1711	1485	63.79%	22.56%	13.66%	+1.17	-19.3	0
2025-08-22	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	65.1	1485	1711	13.66%	22.56%	63.79%	-1.17	+19.3	6
2025-08-23	Karvan	L 2-3	55.1	1386	1408	34.23%	25.68%	40.09%	-0.12	-10.3	0
2025-08-23	@ Kapaz	W 3-2	55.1	1408	1386	40.09%	25.68%	34.23%	+0.12	+10.3	4
2025-08-24	Sabah	L 1-2	53.8	1453	1534	26.77%	25.30%	47.93%	-0.42	-9.0	1
2025-08-24	@ Shamakhi	W 2-1	53.8	1534	1453	47.93%	25.30%	26.77%	+0.42	+9.0	3
2025-08-24	Araz-Naxcivan	L 1-2	60.4	1537	1523	39.48%	25.69%	34.83%	+0.08	-12.1	3
2025-08-24	@ Turan Tovuz	W 2-1	60.4	1523	1537	34.83%	25.69%	39.48%	-0.08	+12.1	4
2025-08-25	Zira	L 1-2	55.8	1480	1627	19.97%	24.36%	55.67%	-0.76	-7.0	1
2025-08-25	@ Gabala	W 2-1	55.8	1627	1480	55.67%	24.36%	19.97%	+0.76	+7.0	4
2025-08-29	Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	52.6	1511	1525	35.39%	25.69%	38.92%	-0.07	-11.8	2
2025-08-29	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	52.6	1525	1511	38.92%	25.69%	35.39%	+0.07	+11.8	6
2025-08-29	Shamakhi	D 1-1	61.1	1504	1444	45.65%	25.46%	28.90%	+0.31	-1.1	7
2025-08-29	@ Sumgayit	D 1-1	61.1	1444	1504	28.90%	25.46%	45.65%	-0.31	+1.1	2
2025-08-30	Gabala	W 2-1	55.2	1535	1473	45.87%	25.44%	28.69%	+0.32	+9.5	7
2025-08-30	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 1-2	55.2	1473	1535	28.69%	25.44%	45.87%	-0.32	-9.5	1
2025-08-30	Kapaz	W 5-0	38.5	1634	1375	66.51%	21.71%	11.78%	+1.33	+19.7	7
2025-08-30	@ Zira	L 0-5	38.5	1375	1634	11.78%	21.71%	66.51%	-1.33	-19.7	0
2025-08-31	Qarabag	L 0-2	43.7	1419	1692	11.18%	21.39%	67.43%	-1.41	-8.0	4
2025-08-31	@ Karvan	W 2-0	43.7	1692	1419	67.43%	21.39%	11.18%	+1.41	+8.0	3
2025-08-31	Imishli	L 0-1	55.2	1543	1452	49.71%	25.14%	25.15%	+0.47	-15.5	3
2025-08-31	@ Sabah	W 1-0	55.2	1452	1543	25.15%	25.14%	49.71%	-0.47	+15.5	4
2025-09-12	Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	38.4	1356	1544	16.52%	23.54%	59.94%	-0.97	-11.8	0
2025-09-12	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	38.4	1544	1356	59.94%	23.54%	16.52%	+0.97	+11.8	10
2025-09-12	Zira	D 1-1	71.6	1700	1654	43.85%	25.55%	30.60%	+0.24	-0.9	4
2025-09-12	@ Qarabag	D 1-1	71.6	1654	1700	30.60%	25.55%	43.85%	-0.24	+0.9	8
2025-09-13	Sumgayit	W 1-0	52.1	1467	1503	32.39%	25.63%	41.99%	-0.19	+13.4	7
2025-09-13	@ Imishli	L 0-1	52.1	1503	1467	41.99%	25.63%	32.39%	+0.19	-13.4	7
2025-09-13	Gabala	W 1-0	48.7	1537	1464	47.38%	25.34%	27.28%	+0.38	+9.6	9
2025-09-13	@ Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	48.7	1464	1537	27.28%	25.34%	47.38%	-0.38	-9.6	1
2025-09-14	Sabah	D 0-0	59.1	1499	1528	33.37%	25.66%	40.97%	-0.15	+0.5	3
2025-09-14	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	59.1	1528	1499	40.97%	25.66%	33.37%	+0.15	-0.5	4
2025-09-14	Karvan	W 3-0	40.6	1446	1411	42.32%	25.62%	32.06%	+0.18	+30.0	5
2025-09-14	@ Shamakhi	L 0-3	40.6	1411	1446	32.06%	25.62%	42.32%	-0.18	-30.0	4
2025-09-19	Imishli	L 0-3	38.4	1381	1480	24.65%	25.08%	50.27%	-0.51	-24.3	4
2025-09-19	@ Karvan	W 3-0	38.4	1480	1381	50.27%	25.08%	24.65%	+0.51	+24.3	10
2025-09-19	Shamakhi	W 2-1	55.3	1655	1476	59.37%	23.66%	16.97%	+0.92	+6.0	11
2025-09-19	@ Zira	L 1-2	55.3	1476	1655	16.97%	23.66%	59.37%	-0.92	-6.0	5
2025-09-20	Kapaz	W 3-0	36.3	1454	1344	51.91%	24.90%	23.19%	+0.57	+23.1	4
2025-09-20	@ Gabala	L 0-3	36.3	1344	1454	23.19%	24.90%	51.91%	-0.57	-23.1	0
2025-09-20	Turan Tovuz	W 2-0	52.3	1527	1547	34.68%	25.69%	39.63%	-0.10	+24.2	7
2025-09-20	@ Sabah	L 0-2	52.3	1547	1527	39.63%	25.69%	34.68%	+0.10	-24.2	9
2025-09-21	Qarabag	L 0-5	49.0	1556	1699	20.30%	24.43%	55.27%	-0.74	-33.1	10
2025-09-21	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 5-0	49.0	1699	1556	55.27%	24.43%	20.30%	+0.74	+33.1	7
2025-09-21	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	48.1	1490	1500	35.96%	25.70%	38.34%	-0.05	-22.5	7
2025-09-21	@ Sumgayit	W 2-0	48.1	1500	1490	38.34%	25.70%	35.96%	+0.05	+22.5	6
2025-09-26	Zira	D 1-1	68.9	1505	1661	19.17%	24.20%	56.63%	-0.80	+2.6	11
2025-09-26	@ Imishli	D 1-1	68.9	1661	1505	56.63%	24.20%	19.17%	+0.80	-2.6	12
2025-09-26	Gabala	W 2-0	46.7	1732	1477	66.23%	21.80%	11.97%	+1.31	+8.6	10
2025-09-26	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	46.7	1477	1732	11.97%	21.80%	66.23%	-1.31	-8.6	4
2025-09-27	Karvan	D 0-0	54.4	1522	1356	58.05%	23.94%	18.02%	+0.86	-3.2	7
2025-09-27	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	54.4	1356	1522	18.02%	23.94%	58.05%	-0.86	+3.2	5
2025-09-27	Araz-Naxcivan	D 1-1	62.7	1470	1523	30.15%	25.53%	44.32%	-0.27	+0.9	6
2025-09-27	@ Shamakhi	D 1-1	62.7	1523	1470	44.32%	25.53%	30.15%	+0.27	-0.9	11
2025-09-28	Sumgayit	D 1-1	63.8	1552	1467	48.80%	25.22%	25.98%	+0.44	-1.5	8
2025-09-28	@ Sabah	D 1-1	63.8	1467	1552	25.98%	25.22%	48.80%	-0.44	+1.5	8
2025-09-28	Kapaz	W 3-0	34.5	1522	1321	61.52%	23.16%	15.32%	+1.04	+15.9	12
2025-09-28	@ Turan Tovuz	L 0-3	34.5	1321	1522	15.32%	23.16%	61.52%	-1.04	-15.9	0
2025-10-03	Imishli	W 2-0	49.3	1522	1507	39.46%	25.69%	34.85%	+0.07	+22.0	14
2025-10-03	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	49.3	1507	1522	34.85%	25.69%	39.46%	-0.07	-22.0	11
2025-10-03	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	74.9	1658	1519	55.18%	24.44%	20.37%	+0.72	-1.8	13
2025-10-03	@ Zira	D 2-2	74.9	1519	1658	20.37%	24.44%	55.18%	-0.72	+1.8	8
2025-10-04	Kapaz	W 1-0	41.1	1741	1305	78.49%	16.30%	5.21%	+2.25	+1.8	13
2025-10-04	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	41.1	1305	1741	5.21%	16.30%	78.49%	-2.25	-1.8	0
2025-10-04	Turan Tovuz	L 0-3	44.5	1469	1538	28.14%	25.40%	46.46%	-0.36	-27.0	8
2025-10-04	@ Sumgayit	W 3-0	44.5	1538	1469	46.46%	25.40%	28.14%	+0.36	+27.1	15
2025-10-05	Shamakhi	L 0-1	49.5	1469	1470	37.14%	25.71%	37.15%	-0.01	-12.2	4
2025-10-05	@ Gabala	W 1-0	49.5	1470	1469	37.15%	25.71%	37.14%	+0.01	+12.2	9
2025-10-05	Sabah	L 0-2	38.7	1359	1550	16.36%	23.49%	60.15%	-0.98	-11.6	5
2025-10-05	@ Karvan	W 2-0	38.7	1550	1359	60.15%	23.49%	16.36%	+0.98	+11.6	11
2025-10-17	Kapaz	L 1-4	51.5	1483	1303	59.40%	23.66%	16.94%	+0.92	-41.8	9
2025-10-17	@ Shamakhi	W 4-1	51.5	1303	1483	16.94%	23.66%	59.40%	-0.92	+41.8	3
2025-10-17	Qarabag	L 1-2	59.2	1565	1743	17.38%	23.77%	58.85%	-0.91	-6.2	15
2025-10-17	@ Turan Tovuz	W 2-1	59.2	1743	1565	58.85%	23.77%	17.38%	+0.91	+6.1	16
2025-10-18	Gabala	D 2-2	66.6	1485	1456	41.49%	25.64%	32.86%	+0.15	-0.4	12
2025-10-18	@ Imishli	D 2-2	66.6	1456	1485	32.86%	25.64%	41.49%	-0.15	+0.4	5
2025-10-18	Karvan	W 4-1	41.6	1442	1348	49.96%	25.11%	24.93%	+0.48	+20.7	11
2025-10-18	@ Sumgayit	L 1-4	41.6	1348	1442	24.93%	25.11%	49.96%	-0.48	-20.7	5
2025-10-19	Araz-Naxcivan	D 2-2	71.1	1521	1544	34.16%	25.68%	40.16%	-0.12	+0.3	9
2025-10-19	@ Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	71.1	1544	1521	40.16%	25.68%	34.16%	+0.12	-0.3	15
2025-10-19	Zira	W 3-0	57.4	1562	1656	25.24%	25.15%	49.61%	-0.49	+42.2	14
2025-10-19	@ Sabah	L 0-3	57.4	1656	1562	49.61%	25.15%	25.24%	+0.49	-42.2	13
2025-10-24	Imishli	L 0-3	36.1	1345	1485	20.61%	24.49%	54.91%	-0.72	-20.8	3
2025-10-24	@ Kapaz	W 3-0	36.1	1485	1345	54.91%	24.49%	20.61%	+0.72	+20.8	15
2025-10-24	Turan Tovuz	L 1-2	45.4	1327	1559	13.53%	22.50%	63.97%	-1.20	-4.9	5
2025-10-24	@ Karvan	W 2-1	45.4	1559	1327	63.97%	22.50%	13.53%	+1.20	+4.9	18
2025-10-25	Sabah	D 2-2	73.8	1544	1604	29.26%	25.48%	45.26%	-0.31	+0.8	16
2025-10-25	@ Araz-Naxcivan	D 2-2	73.8	1604	1544	45.26%	25.48%	29.26%	+0.31	-0.8	15
2025-10-25	Sumgayit	W 1-0	48.7	1614	1462	56.56%	24.21%	19.23%	+0.78	+7.2	16
2025-10-25	@ Zira	L 0-1	48.7	1462	1614	19.23%	24.21%	56.56%	-0.78	-7.2	11
2025-10-26	Neftchi Baku	L 0-2	45.4	1457	1521	28.77%	25.45%	45.79%	-0.33	-19.0	5
2025-10-26	@ Gabala	W 2-0	45.4	1521	1457	45.79%	25.45%	28.77%	+0.33	+19.0	12
2025-10-26	Shamakhi	D 0-0	65.9	1749	1441	70.32%	20.29%	9.39%	+1.59	-5.0	17
2025-10-26	@ Qarabag	D 0-0	65.9	1441	1749	9.39%	20.29%	70.32%	-1.59	+5.0	10
2025-10-31	Imishli	W 2-0	47.9	1744	1506	64.79%	22.26%	12.95%	+1.23	+9.3	20
2025-10-31	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	47.9	1506	1744	12.95%	22.26%	64.79%	-1.23	-9.3	15
2025-11-01	Zira	L 2-3	50.7	1322	1621	9.96%	20.66%	69.38%	-1.54	-3.3	5
2025-11-01	@ Karvan	W 3-2	50.7	1621	1322	69.38%	20.66%	9.96%	+1.54	+3.3	19
2025-11-01	Kapaz	W 5-1	37.9	1540	1324	62.86%	22.82%	14.33%	+1.11	+16.2	15
2025-11-01	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-5	37.9	1324	1540	14.33%	22.82%	62.86%	-1.11	-16.2	3
2025-11-02	Araz-Naxcivan	W 3-2	65.9	1455	1544	25.84%	25.21%	48.95%	-0.46	+13.6	14
2025-11-02	@ Sumgayit	L 2-3	65.9	1544	1455	48.95%	25.21%	25.84%	+0.46	-13.6	16
2025-11-02	Shamakhi	W 2-1	53.2	1564	1446	52.83%	24.78%	22.38%	+0.61	+7.7	21
2025-11-02	@ Turan Tovuz	L 1-2	53.2	1446	1564	22.38%	24.78%	52.83%	-0.61	-7.7	10
2025-11-03	Gabala	W 1-0	47.0	1603	1438	57.98%	23.95%	18.07%	+0.85	+6.8	18
2025-11-03	@ Sabah	L 0-1	47.0	1438	1603	18.07%	23.95%	57.98%	-0.85	-6.8	5
2025-11-07	Sumgayit	L 0-2	43.8	1431	1469	32.17%	25.62%	42.21%	-0.19	-20.7	5
2025-11-07	@ Gabala	W 2-0	43.8	1469	1431	42.21%	25.62%	32.17%	+0.19	+20.7	17
2025-11-07	Imishli	W 1-0	51.6	1438	1497	29.51%	25.50%	44.99%	-0.30	+14.2	13
2025-11-07	@ Shamakhi	L 0-1	51.6	1497	1438	44.99%	25.50%	29.51%	+0.30	-14.2	15
2025-11-08	Karvan	W 2-1	44.8	1531	1319	62.47%	22.92%	14.61%	+1.09	+5.2	19
2025-11-08	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 1-2	44.8	1319	1531	14.61%	22.92%	62.47%	-1.09	-5.2	5
2025-11-08	Turan Tovuz	D 0-0	64.4	1624	1572	44.73%	25.51%	29.76%	+0.27	-1.1	20
2025-11-08	@ Zira	D 0-0	64.4	1572	1624	29.76%	25.51%	44.73%	-0.27	+1.1	22
2025-11-09	Sabah	L 1-3	41.9	1308	1610	9.81%	20.57%	69.61%	-1.56	-6.0	3
2025-11-09	@ Kapaz	W 3-1	41.9	1610	1308	69.61%	20.57%	9.81%	+1.56	+6.0	21
2025-11-09	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	49.9	1753	1556	61.08%	23.27%	15.65%	+1.01	+11.2	23
2025-11-09	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	49.9	1556	1753	15.65%	23.27%	61.08%	-1.01	-11.2	15
2025-11-21	Kapaz	L 1-2	49.1	1314	1302	39.08%	25.69%	35.23%	+0.06	-12.0	5
2025-11-21	@ Karvan	W 2-1	49.1	1302	1314	35.23%	25.69%	39.08%	-0.06	+12.0	6
2025-11-21	Qarabag	L 2-4	56.7	1490	1764	11.12%	21.36%	67.53%	-1.42	-6.2	17
2025-11-21	@ Sumgayit	W 4-2	56.7	1764	1490	67.53%	21.36%	11.12%	+1.42	+6.2	26
2025-11-22	Turan Tovuz	D 1-1	66.8	1536	1573	32.29%	25.62%	42.09%	-0.19	+0.6	20
2025-11-22	@ Araz-Naxcivan	D 1-1	66.8	1573	1536	42.09%	25.62%	32.29%	+0.19	-0.6	23
2025-11-22	Gabala	W 1-0	45.4	1623	1410	62.59%	22.89%	14.53%	+1.10	+5.5	23
2025-11-22	@ Zira	L 0-1	45.4	1410	1623	14.53%	22.89%	62.59%	-1.10	-5.5	5
2025-11-23	Imishli	L 2-3	66.1	1545	1482	46.05%	25.43%	28.52%	+0.32	-13.0	15
2025-11-23	@ Neftchi Baku	W 3-2	66.1	1482	1545	28.52%	25.43%	46.05%	-0.32	+13.0	18
2025-11-23	Shamakhi	D 0-0	61.1	1616	1452	57.80%	23.98%	18.22%	+0.84	-3.1	22
2025-11-23	@ Sabah	D 0-0	61.1	1452	1616	18.22%	23.98%	57.80%	-0.84	+3.1	14
2025-11-28	Zira	L 0-2	36.7	1314	1629	9.25%	20.19%	70.57%	-1.62	-6.5	6
2025-11-28	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	36.7	1629	1314	70.57%	20.19%	9.25%	+1.62	+6.5	26
2025-11-28	Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	61.9	1572	1532	42.99%	25.59%	31.42%	+0.21	-0.8	24
2025-11-28	@ Turan Tovuz	D 0-0	61.9	1532	1572	31.42%	25.59%	42.99%	-0.21	+0.8	16
2025-11-29	Sabah	L 0-3	46.4	1495	1613	22.79%	24.84%	52.37%	-0.61	-22.7	18
2025-11-29	@ Imishli	W 3-0	46.4	1613	1495	52.37%	24.84%	22.79%	+0.61	+22.7	25
2025-11-29	Karvan	W 2-0	38.6	1770	1302	80.27%	15.27%	4.46%	+2.42	+2.9	29
2025-11-29	@ Qarabag	L 0-2	38.6	1302	1770	4.46%	15.27%	80.27%	-2.42	-2.9	5
2025-11-30	Araz-Naxcivan	W 2-1	60.1	1405	1537	21.39%	24.62%	53.99%	-0.68	+15.7	8
2025-11-30	@ Gabala	L 1-2	60.1	1537	1405	53.99%	24.62%	21.39%	+0.68	-15.7	20
2025-11-30	Sumgayit	L 1-2	54.1	1456	1483	33.50%	25.66%	40.84%	-0.14	-10.7	14
2025-11-30	@ Shamakhi	W 2-1	54.1	1483	1456	40.84%	25.66%	33.50%	+0.14	+10.7	20
2025-12-06	Qarabag	D 1-1	72.4	1635	1773	20.80%	24.52%	54.68%	-0.71	+2.3	27
2025-12-06	@ Zira	D 1-1	72.4	1773	1635	54.68%	24.52%	20.80%	+0.71	-2.3	30
2025-12-07	Shamakhi	L 0-3	34.1	1299	1445	20.05%	24.38%	55.57%	-0.75	-20.3	5
2025-12-07	@ Karvan	W 3-0	34.1	1445	1299	55.57%	24.38%	20.05%	+0.75	+20.3	17
2025-12-08	Neftchi Baku	W 2-0	50.3	1636	1533	51.01%	25.00%	23.99%	+0.53	+16.4	28
2025-12-08	@ Sabah	L 0-2	50.3	1533	1636	23.99%	25.00%	51.01%	-0.53	-16.3	16
2025-12-09	Kapaz	W 2-0	35.5	1521	1307	62.63%	22.88%	14.49%	+1.10	+10.4	23
2025-12-09	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	35.5	1307	1521	14.49%	22.88%	62.63%	-1.10	-10.4	6
2025-12-09	Imishli	W 1-0	49.5	1494	1473	40.45%	25.67%	33.89%	+0.11	+11.4	23
2025-12-09	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	49.5	1473	1494	33.89%	25.67%	40.45%	-0.11	-11.4	18
2025-12-13	Zira	W 2-1	67.0	1465	1638	17.77%	23.87%	58.36%	-0.89	+16.8	20
2025-12-13	@ Shamakhi	L 1-2	67.0	1638	1465	58.36%	23.87%	17.77%	+0.89	-16.8	27
2025-12-13	Sabah	L 1-3	58.3	1571	1652	26.82%	25.30%	47.88%	-0.42	-15.5	24
2025-12-13	@ Turan Tovuz	W 3-1	58.3	1652	1571	47.88%	25.30%	26.82%	+0.42	+15.5	31
2025-12-14	Gabala	W 1-0	48.4	1297	1421	22.19%	24.75%	53.06%	-0.64	+16.4	9
2025-12-14	@ Kapaz	L 0-1	48.4	1421	1297	53.06%	24.75%	22.19%	+0.64	-16.4	8
2025-12-14	Araz-Naxcivan	W 5-1	50.1	1771	1531	64.93%	22.21%	12.85%	+1.24	+14.5	33
2025-12-14	@ Qarabag	L 1-5	50.1	1531	1771	12.85%	22.21%	64.93%	-1.24	-14.5	23
2025-12-15	Karvan	D 1-1	56.0	1461	1279	59.72%	23.59%	16.70%	+0.94	-3.1	19
2025-12-15	@ Imishli	D 1-1	56.0	1279	1461	16.70%	23.59%	59.72%	-0.94	+3.1	6
2025-12-15	Sumgayit	D 2-2	69.6	1517	1505	39.01%	25.69%	35.29%	+0.06	-0.2	17
2025-12-15	@ Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	69.6	1505	1517	35.29%	25.69%	39.01%	-0.06	+0.2	24
2025-12-18	Qarabag	W 2-1	71.2	1667	1785	22.74%	24.83%	52.43%	-0.61	+15.3	34
2025-12-18	@ Sabah	L 1-2	71.2	1785	1667	52.43%	24.83%	22.74%	+0.61	-15.3	33
2025-12-19	Turan Tovuz	L 0-2	36.0	1313	1556	12.90%	22.24%	64.87%	-1.25	-9.2	9
2025-12-19	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	36.0	1556	1313	64.87%	22.24%	12.90%	+1.25	+9.2	27
2025-12-20	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	43.0	1282	1517	13.34%	22.43%	64.23%	-1.21	-4.8	6
2025-12-20	@ Karvan	W 2-1	43.0	1517	1282	64.23%	22.43%	13.34%	+1.21	+4.8	20
2025-12-20	Imishli	D 0-0	61.5	1621	1458	57.74%	24.00%	18.27%	+0.84	-3.1	28
2025-12-20	@ Zira	D 0-0	61.5	1458	1621	18.27%	24.00%	57.74%	-0.84	+3.1	20
2025-12-21	Shamakhi	W 2-0	47.3	1517	1482	42.28%	25.62%	32.10%	+0.18	+20.7	26
2025-12-21	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	47.3	1482	1517	32.10%	25.62%	42.28%	-0.18	-20.7	20
2025-12-21	Qarabag	L 1-2	52.2	1404	1770	7.31%	18.62%	74.07%	-1.89	-2.5	8
2025-12-21	@ Gabala	W 2-1	52.2	1770	1404	74.07%	18.62%	7.31%	+1.89	+2.5	36
2025-12-22	Sabah	L 1-3	54.2	1506	1683	17.40%	23.78%	58.82%	-0.91	-10.7	24
2025-12-22	@ Sumgayit	W 3-1	54.2	1683	1506	58.82%	23.78%	17.40%	+0.91	+10.7	37
2026-01-23	Araz-Naxcivan	D 2-2	68.8	1461	1537	27.34%	25.34%	47.32%	-0.39	+1.0	21
2026-01-23	@ Imishli	D 2-2	68.8	1537	1461	47.32%	25.34%	27.34%	+0.39	-1.0	27
2026-01-23	Zira	D 0-0	63.1	1521	1618	25.02%	25.12%	49.86%	-0.50	+1.9	21
2026-01-23	@ Neftchi Baku	D 0-0	63.1	1618	1521	49.86%	25.12%	25.02%	+0.50	-1.9	29
2026-01-24	Kapaz	L 0-2	61.5	1773	1304	80.27%	15.27%	4.46%	+2.42	-43.3	36
2026-01-24	@ Qarabag	W 2-0	61.5	1304	1773	4.46%	15.27%	80.27%	-2.42	+43.3	12
2026-01-24	Gabala	L 0-4	44.4	1461	1402	45.63%	25.46%	28.91%	+0.31	-51.4	20
2026-01-24	@ Shamakhi	W 4-0	44.4	1402	1461	28.91%	25.46%	45.63%	-0.31	+51.4	11
2026-01-25	Karvan	W 4-1	38.9	1693	1277	77.40%	16.91%	5.69%	+2.15	+4.7	40
2026-01-25	@ Sabah	L 1-4	38.9	1277	1693	5.69%	16.91%	77.40%	-2.15	-4.7	6
2026-01-25	Sumgayit	W 2-1	56.7	1565	1495	46.98%	25.37%	27.65%	+0.36	+9.2	30
2026-01-25	@ Turan Tovuz	L 1-2	56.7	1495	1565	27.65%	25.37%	46.98%	-0.36	-9.2	24
2026-01-30	Imishli	W 3-2	59.7	1453	1462	36.10%	25.70%	38.20%	-0.05	+11.2	14
2026-01-30	@ Gabala	L 2-3	59.7	1462	1453	38.20%	25.70%	36.10%	+0.05	-11.2	21
2026-01-30	Sumgayit	L 0-2	34.1	1272	1486	14.72%	22.96%	62.32%	-1.10	-10.5	6
2026-01-30	@ Karvan	W 2-0	34.1	1486	1272	62.32%	22.96%	14.72%	+1.10	+10.5	27
2026-01-31	Shamakhi	L 0-2	39.1	1347	1410	29.00%	25.46%	45.54%	-0.32	-19.1	12
2026-01-31	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	39.1	1410	1347	45.54%	25.46%	29.00%	+0.32	+19.1	23
2026-01-31	Sabah	L 1-3	59.7	1616	1698	26.66%	25.28%	48.06%	-0.42	-15.5	29
2026-01-31	@ Zira	W 3-1	59.7	1698	1616	48.06%	25.28%	26.66%	+0.42	+15.4	43
2026-02-01	Neftchi Baku	L 0-4	49.5	1536	1523	39.28%	25.69%	35.03%	+0.07	-45.7	27
2026-02-01	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 4-0	49.5	1523	1536	35.03%	25.69%	39.28%	-0.07	+45.6	24
2026-02-01	Turan Tovuz	W 1-0	54.0	1729	1574	56.94%	24.14%	18.92%	+0.80	+7.0	39
2026-02-01	@ Qarabag	L 0-1	54.0	1574	1729	18.92%	24.14%	56.94%	-0.80	-7.0	30
2026-02-08	Araz-Naxcivan	W 4-1	50.6	1713	1491	63.46%	22.65%	13.89%	+1.15	+12.2	46
2026-02-08	@ Sabah	L 1-4	50.6	1491	1713	13.89%	22.65%	63.46%	-1.15	-12.2	27
2026-02-08	Zira	L 2-3	61.9	1496	1601	24.18%	25.02%	50.80%	-0.54	-7.8	27
2026-02-08	@ Sumgayit	W 3-2	61.9	1601	1496	50.80%	25.02%	24.18%	+0.54	+7.8	32
2026-02-09	Kapaz	D 0-0	51.6	1451	1328	53.36%	24.71%	21.93%	+0.63	-2.4	22
2026-02-09	@ Imishli	D 0-0	51.6	1328	1451	21.93%	24.71%	53.36%	-0.63	+2.4	13
2026-02-09	Karvan	W 1-0	36.2	1567	1262	70.14%	20.36%	9.50%	+1.57	+3.6	33
2026-02-09	@ Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	36.2	1262	1567	9.50%	20.36%	70.14%	-1.57	-3.6	6
2026-02-10	Gabala	W 1-0	48.8	1569	1464	51.26%	24.97%	23.77%	+0.54	+8.6	27
2026-02-10	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	48.8	1464	1569	23.77%	24.97%	51.26%	-0.54	-8.6	14
2026-02-10	Qarabag	L 1-2	53.1	1429	1737	9.57%	20.41%	70.03%	-1.59	-3.4	23
2026-02-10	@ Shamakhi	W 2-1	53.1	1737	1429	70.03%	20.41%	9.57%	+1.59	+3.4	42
2026-02-14	Qarabag	L 0-1	48.3	1449	1740	10.30%	20.88%	68.82%	-1.50	-3.9	22
2026-02-14	@ Imishli	W 1-0	48.3	1740	1449	68.82%	20.88%	10.30%	+1.50	+3.9	45
2026-02-14	Karvan	W 1-0	36.3	1608	1258	73.27%	19.00%	7.73%	+1.81	+2.9	35
2026-02-14	@ Zira	L 0-1	36.3	1258	1608	7.73%	19.00%	73.27%	-1.81	-2.8	6
2026-02-15	Sumgayit	W 1-0	50.9	1479	1488	35.98%	25.70%	38.32%	-0.05	+12.5	30
2026-02-15	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-1	50.9	1488	1479	38.32%	25.70%	35.98%	+0.05	-12.5	27
2026-02-15	Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	42.9	1331	1577	12.65%	22.12%	65.23%	-1.27	-7.8	13
2026-02-15	@ Kapaz	W 3-1	42.9	1577	1331	65.23%	22.12%	12.65%	+1.27	+7.8	30
2026-02-16	Sabah	L 0-1	48.7	1456	1726	11.36%	21.49%	67.15%	-1.39	-4.3	14
2026-02-16	@ Gabala	W 1-0	48.7	1726	1456	67.15%	21.49%	11.36%	+1.39	+4.3	49
2026-02-16	Turan Tovuz	D 0-0	58.4	1426	1571	20.13%	24.40%	55.47%	-0.75	+2.8	24
2026-02-16	@ Shamakhi	D 0-0	58.4	1571	1426	55.47%	24.40%	20.13%	+0.75	-2.8	34
2026-02-20	Gabala	D 0-0	55.5	1476	1451	40.88%	25.66%	33.46%	+0.13	-0.5	28
2026-02-20	@ Sumgayit	D 0-0	55.5	1451	1476	33.46%	25.66%	40.88%	-0.13	+0.5	15
2026-02-20	Zira	W 2-0	56.4	1568	1611	31.44%	25.59%	42.97%	-0.22	+25.8	37
2026-02-20	@ Turan Tovuz	L 0-2	56.4	1611	1568	42.97%	25.59%	31.44%	+0.22	-25.8	35
2026-02-21	Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	33.3	1255	1491	13.29%	22.40%	64.31%	-1.22	-9.5	6
2026-02-21	@ Karvan	W 2-0	33.3	1491	1255	64.31%	22.40%	13.29%	+1.22	+9.5	33
2026-02-22	Shamakhi	D 0-0	53.7	1445	1428	39.72%	25.68%	34.59%	+0.08	-0.4	23
2026-02-22	@ Imishli	D 0-0	53.7	1428	1445	34.59%	25.68%	39.72%	-0.08	+0.4	25
2026-02-22	Kapaz	W 1-0	41.8	1730	1323	76.84%	17.21%	5.95%	+2.10	+2.1	52
2026-02-22	@ Sabah	L 0-1	41.8	1323	1730	5.95%	17.21%	76.84%	-2.10	-2.1	13
2026-02-24	Turan Tovuz	L 0-3	43.4	1452	1594	20.43%	24.45%	55.12%	-0.73	-20.7	15
2026-02-24	@ Gabala	W 3-0	43.4	1594	1452	55.12%	24.45%	20.43%	+0.73	+20.7	40
2026-02-27	Zira	L 0-1	51.5	1501	1585	26.34%	25.26%	48.40%	-0.44	-9.4	33
2026-02-27	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 1-0	51.5	1585	1501	48.40%	25.26%	26.34%	+0.44	+9.4	38
2026-02-27	Sumgayit	W 3-0	46.0	1321	1475	19.28%	24.22%	56.50%	-0.80	+47.4	16
2026-02-27	@ Kapaz	L 0-3	46.0	1475	1321	56.50%	24.22%	19.28%	+0.80	-47.4	28
2026-02-28	Karvan	D 1-1	55.2	1431	1246	60.00%	23.52%	16.47%	+0.96	-3.1	16
2026-02-28	@ Gabala	D 1-1	55.2	1246	1431	16.47%	23.52%	60.00%	-0.96	+3.1	7
2026-02-28	Neftchi Baku	D 2-2	69.7	1429	1585	19.11%	24.19%	56.70%	-0.81	+2.0	26
2026-02-28	@ Shamakhi	D 2-2	69.7	1585	1429	56.70%	24.19%	19.11%	+0.81	-2.0	31
2026-03-01	Sabah	D 3-3	81.9	1744	1732	39.07%	25.69%	35.23%	+0.06	-0.2	46
2026-03-01	@ Qarabag	D 3-3	81.9	1732	1744	35.23%	25.69%	39.07%	-0.06	+0.2	53
2026-03-01	Imishli	D 0-0	60.8	1614	1444	58.47%	23.85%	17.68%	+0.88	-3.2	41
2026-03-01	@ Turan Tovuz	D 0-0	60.8	1444	1614	17.68%	23.85%	58.47%	-0.88	+3.2	24
2026-03-07	Sumgayit	D 1-1	55.1	1249	1428	17.23%	23.73%	59.03%	-0.92	+3.0	8
2026-03-07	@ Karvan	D 1-1	55.1	1428	1249	59.03%	23.73%	17.23%	+0.92	-3.0	29
2026-03-08	Araz-Naxcivan	W 6-0	45.9	1744	1491	66.01%	21.87%	12.12%	+1.30	+24.1	49
2026-03-08	@ Qarabag	L 0-6	45.9	1491	1744	12.12%	21.87%	66.01%	-1.30	-24.1	33
2026-03-08	Imishli	D 0-0	53.8	1431	1448	35.01%	25.69%	39.30%	-0.09	+0.3	27
2026-03-08	@ Shamakhi	D 0-0	53.8	1448	1431	39.30%	25.69%	35.01%	+0.09	-0.3	25
2026-03-09	Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	56.9	1583	1611	33.49%	25.66%	40.85%	-0.14	-11.3	31
2026-03-09	@ Neftchi Baku	W 1-0	56.9	1611	1583	40.85%	25.66%	33.49%	+0.14	+11.3	44
2026-03-09	Kapaz	D 2-2	68.3	1595	1368	63.80%	22.55%	13.65%	+1.17	-2.7	39
2026-03-09	@ Zira	D 2-2	68.3	1368	1595	13.65%	22.55%	63.80%	-1.17	+2.7	17
2026-03-10	Gabala	W 7-1	44.6	1732	1428	70.04%	20.40%	9.56%	+1.57	+15.5	56
2026-03-10	@ Sabah	L 1-7	44.6	1428	1732	9.56%	20.40%	70.04%	-1.57	-15.5	16
2026-03-13	Karvan	W 2-1	42.0	1467	1252	62.80%	22.83%	14.37%	+1.11	+5.1	36
2026-03-13	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 1-2	42.0	1252	1467	14.37%	22.83%	62.80%	-1.11	-5.1	8
2026-03-13	Shamakhi	L 0-1	46.6	1425	1431	36.55%	25.70%	37.75%	-0.03	-12.1	29
2026-03-13	@ Sumgayit	W 1-0	46.6	1431	1425	37.75%	25.70%	36.55%	+0.03	+12.1	30
2026-03-14	Sabah	L 0-5	43.5	1447	1748	9.88%	20.61%	69.51%	-1.55	-16.4	25
2026-03-14	@ Imishli	W 5-0	43.5	1748	1447	69.51%	20.61%	9.88%	+1.55	+16.4	59
2026-03-14	Qarabag	L 1-3	56.9	1592	1768	17.51%	23.81%	58.68%	-0.91	-10.7	39
2026-03-14	@ Zira	W 3-1	56.9	1768	1592	58.68%	23.81%	17.51%	+0.91	+10.7	52
2026-03-15	Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	48.1	1413	1572	18.86%	24.13%	57.00%	-0.82	-11.5	16
2026-03-15	@ Gabala	W 3-1	48.1	1572	1413	57.00%	24.13%	18.86%	+0.82	+11.5	34
2026-03-15	Turan Tovuz	D 1-1	63.8	1371	1623	12.36%	21.99%	65.65%	-1.30	+3.9	18
2026-03-15	@ Kapaz	D 1-1	63.8	1623	1371	65.65%	21.99%	12.36%	+1.30	-3.9	45
2026-03-18	Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-1	47.5	1443	1472	33.31%	25.66%	41.03%	-0.15	-11.3	30
2026-03-18	@ Shamakhi	W 1-0	47.5	1472	1443	41.03%	25.66%	33.31%	+0.15	+11.3	39
2026-03-19	Zira	L 0-1	35.6	1247	1581	8.45%	19.59%	71.97%	-1.72	-3.1	8
2026-03-19	@ Karvan	W 1-0	35.6	1581	1247	71.97%	19.59%	8.45%	+1.72	+3.1	42
2026-03-19	Sumgayit	W 3-1	49.6	1764	1413	73.32%	18.97%	7.70%	+1.81	+4.6	62
2026-03-19	@ Sabah	L 1-3	49.6	1413	1764	7.70%	18.97%	73.32%	-1.81	-4.6	29
2026-03-20	Qarabag	W 1-0	66.2	1375	1778	6.14%	17.43%	76.43%	-2.08	+22.3	21
2026-03-20	@ Kapaz	L 0-1	66.2	1778	1375	76.43%	17.43%	6.14%	+2.08	-22.3	52
2026-03-20	Imishli	W 6-0	42.2	1584	1431	56.66%	24.19%	19.14%	+0.79	+37.3	37
2026-03-20	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-6	42.2	1431	1584	19.14%	24.19%	56.66%	-0.79	-37.3	25
2026-03-21	Gabala	W 3-2	55.5	1619	1401	63.00%	22.78%	14.23%	+1.12	+4.8	48
2026-03-21	@ Turan Tovuz	L 2-3	55.5	1401	1619	14.23%	22.78%	63.00%	-1.12	-4.8	16
2026-04-05	Gabala	L 0-2	42.5	1397	1396	37.51%	25.70%	36.79%	+0.00	-23.2	21
2026-04-05	@ Kapaz	W 2-0	42.5	1396	1397	36.79%	25.70%	37.51%	+0.00	+23.2	19
2026-04-05	Neftchi Baku	L 1-3	48.2	1408	1621	14.79%	22.99%	62.22%	-1.10	-9.2	29
2026-04-05	@ Sumgayit	W 3-1	48.2	1621	1408	62.22%	22.99%	14.79%	+1.10	+9.2	40
2026-04-06	Karvan	W 7-0	34.4	1756	1244	82.47%	13.91%	3.62%	+2.64	+7.3	55
2026-04-06	@ Qarabag	L 0-7	34.4	1244	1756	3.62%	13.91%	82.47%	-2.64	-7.3	8
2026-04-07	Sabah	L 2-4	56.4	1484	1769	10.60%	21.06%	68.35%	-1.47	-5.8	39
2026-04-07	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 4-2	56.4	1769	1484	68.35%	21.06%	10.60%	+1.47	+5.8	65
2026-04-07	Turan Tovuz	D 1-1	64.5	1394	1623	13.66%	22.56%	63.79%	-1.19	+3.6	26
2026-04-07	@ Imishli	D 1-1	64.5	1623	1394	63.79%	22.56%	13.66%	+1.19	-3.6	49
2026-04-07	Shamakhi	D 1-1	64.0	1584	1432	56.66%	24.20%	19.15%	+0.79	-2.6	43
2026-04-07	@ Zira	D 1-1	64.0	1432	1584	19.15%	24.20%	56.66%	-0.79	+2.6	31
2026-04-10	Kapaz	W 4-1	48.0	1236	1374	20.82%	24.53%	54.65%	-0.71	+38.8	11
2026-04-10	@ Karvan	L 1-4	48.0	1374	1236	54.65%	24.53%	20.82%	+0.71	-38.8	21
2026-04-11	Araz-Naxcivan	W 2-1	55.5	1630	1478	56.62%	24.20%	19.17%	+0.78	+6.7	43
2026-04-11	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	55.5	1478	1630	19.17%	24.20%	56.62%	-0.78	-6.7	39
2026-04-11	Zira	D 2-2	78.1	1775	1582	60.70%	23.36%	15.93%	+0.99	-2.4	66
2026-04-11	@ Sabah	D 2-2	78.1	1582	1775	15.93%	23.36%	60.70%	-0.99	+2.4	44
2026-04-11	Qarabag	D 0-0	66.2	1434	1764	8.67%	19.76%	71.57%	-1.70	+5.2	32
2026-04-11	@ Shamakhi	D 0-0	66.2	1764	1434	71.57%	19.76%	8.67%	+1.70	-5.2	56
2026-04-12	Imishli	L 0-1	46.8	1420	1397	40.57%	25.67%	33.76%	+0.12	-13.1	19
2026-04-12	@ Gabala	W 1-0	46.8	1397	1420	33.76%	25.67%	40.57%	-0.12	+13.1	29
2026-04-12	Sumgayit	W 2-1	50.4	1620	1399	63.27%	22.70%	14.02%	+1.14	+5.0	52
2026-04-12	@ Turan Tovuz	L 1-2	50.4	1399	1620	14.02%	22.70%	63.27%	-1.14	-5.0	29
2026-04-17	Turan Tovuz	L 0-3	44.7	1471	1625	19.35%	24.24%	56.42%	-0.79	-19.7	39
2026-04-17	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 3-0	44.7	1625	1471	56.42%	24.24%	19.35%	+0.79	+19.7	55
2026-04-17	Neftchi Baku	D 1-1	69.8	1584	1637	30.24%	25.54%	44.22%	-0.27	+0.9	45
2026-04-17	@ Zira	D 1-1	69.8	1637	1584	44.22%	25.54%	30.24%	+0.27	-0.9	44
2026-04-18	Shamakhi	W 1-0	49.5	1275	1440	18.42%	24.03%	57.55%	-0.85	+17.6	14
2026-04-18	@ Karvan	L 0-1	49.5	1440	1275	57.55%	24.03%	18.42%	+0.85	-17.6	32
2026-04-18	Sabah	L 0-1	60.9	1758	1772	35.42%	25.70%	38.88%	-0.07	-11.8	56
2026-04-18	@ Qarabag	W 1-0	60.9	1772	1758	38.88%	25.70%	35.42%	+0.07	+11.8	69
2026-04-19	Imishli	L 0-1	41.3	1335	1410	27.46%	25.35%	47.19%	-0.39	-9.7	21
2026-04-19	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	41.3	1410	1335	47.19%	25.35%	27.46%	+0.39	+9.7	32
2026-04-19	Gabala	W 1-0	45.9	1394	1406	35.65%	25.70%	38.65%	-0.06	+12.6	32
2026-04-19	@ Sumgayit	L 0-1	45.9	1406	1394	38.65%	25.70%	35.65%	+0.06	-12.6	19
2026-04-25	Araz-Naxcivan	D 1-1	57.7	1394	1451	29.63%	25.50%	44.87%	-0.30	+1.0	20
2026-04-25	@ Gabala	D 1-1	57.7	1451	1394	44.87%	25.50%	29.63%	+0.30	-1.0	40
2026-04-25	Sumgayit	L 0-2	43.8	1420	1407	39.28%	25.69%	35.03%	+0.07	-24.1	32
2026-04-25	@ Imishli	W 2-0	43.8	1407	1420	35.03%	25.69%	39.28%	-0.07	+24.1	35
2026-04-26	Qarabag	L 1-5	54.9	1636	1747	23.50%	24.94%	51.56%	-0.57	-25.4	44
2026-04-26	@ Neftchi Baku	W 5-1	54.9	1747	1636	51.56%	24.94%	23.50%	+0.57	+25.4	59
2026-04-26	Kapaz	W 2-0	37.5	1422	1325	50.31%	25.08%	24.61%	+0.50	+16.7	35
2026-04-26	@ Shamakhi	L 0-2	37.5	1325	1422	24.61%	25.08%	50.31%	-0.50	-16.7	21
2026-04-27	Karvan	W 2-0	38.4	1784	1293	81.43%	14.56%	4.00%	+2.53	+2.5	72
2026-04-27	@ Sabah	L 0-2	38.4	1293	1784	4.00%	14.56%	81.43%	-2.53	-2.5	14
2026-04-27	Zira	D 1-1	70.0	1645	1585	45.60%	25.46%	28.94%	+0.31	-1.1	56
2026-04-27	@ Turan Tovuz	D 1-1	70.0	1585	1645	28.94%	25.46%	45.60%	-0.31	+1.1	46
2026-04-30	Qarabag	W 2-1	71.9	1610	1772	18.69%	24.09%	57.22%	-0.83	+16.5	47
2026-04-30	@ Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	71.9	1772	1610	57.22%	24.09%	18.69%	+0.83	-16.5	59
2026-05-02	Imishli	L 0-1	48.8	1450	1396	44.93%	25.50%	29.57%	+0.28	-14.2	40
2026-05-02	@ Araz-Naxcivan	W 1-0	48.8	1396	1450	29.57%	25.50%	44.93%	-0.28	+14.2	35
2026-05-02	Sumgayit	W 2-1	54.4	1309	1431	22.32%	24.77%	52.91%	-0.63	+15.4	24
2026-05-02	@ Kapaz	L 1-2	54.4	1431	1309	52.91%	24.77%	22.32%	+0.63	-15.4	35
2026-05-03	Sabah	L 0-3	43.2	1439	1787	7.95%	19.18%	72.86%	-1.79	-8.0	35
2026-05-03	@ Shamakhi	W 3-0	43.2	1787	1439	72.86%	19.18%	7.95%	+1.79	+8.0	75
2026-05-03	Gabala	W 1-0	44.0	1586	1395	60.57%	23.39%	16.04%	+0.99	+6.1	49
2026-05-03	@ Zira	L 0-1	44.0	1395	1586	16.04%	23.39%	60.57%	-0.99	-6.1	20
2026-05-04	Turan Tovuz	W 2-1	62.0	1755	1643	52.13%	24.87%	23.00%	+0.58	+7.9	62
2026-05-04	@ Qarabag	L 1-2	62.0	1643	1755	23.00%	24.87%	52.13%	-0.58	-7.9	56
2026-05-05	Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	33.6	1290	1627	8.36%	19.52%	72.12%	-1.74	-8.5	14
2026-05-05	@ Karvan	W 3-0	33.6	1627	1290	72.12%	19.52%	8.36%	+1.74	+8.5	50
2026-05-08	Zira	D 0-0	58.8	1410	1592	17.00%	23.67%	59.33%	-0.94	+3.4	36
2026-05-08	@ Imishli	D 0-0	58.8	1592	1410	59.33%	23.67%	17.00%	+0.94	-3.4	50
2026-05-08	Kapaz	L 0-1	65.8	1795	1324	80.37%	15.21%	4.42%	+2.43	-23.0	75
2026-05-08	@ Sabah	W 1-0	65.8	1324	1795	4.42%	15.21%	80.37%	-2.43	+23.0	27
2026-05-09	Qarabag	D 1-1	70.3	1389	1763	7.03%	18.35%	74.62%	-1.93	+5.0	21
2026-05-09	@ Gabala	D 1-1	70.3	1763	1389	74.62%	18.35%	7.03%	+1.93	-5.0	63
2026-05-09	Araz-Naxcivan	W 2-1	53.2	1415	1436	34.49%	25.68%	39.83%	-0.11	+12.2	38
2026-05-09	@ Sumgayit	L 1-2	53.2	1436	1415	39.83%	25.68%	34.49%	+0.11	-12.2	40
2026-05-10	Shamakhi	W 3-0	42.1	1635	1431	61.82%	23.09%	15.09%	+1.05	+15.6	53
2026-05-10	@ Neftchi Baku	L 0-3	42.1	1431	1635	15.09%	23.09%	61.82%	-1.05	-15.7	35
2026-05-10	Karvan	W 1-0	37.8	1636	1282	73.52%	18.88%	7.60%	+1.82	+2.8	59
2026-05-10	@ Turan Tovuz	L 0-1	37.8	1282	1636	7.60%	18.88%	73.52%	-1.82	-2.8	14
2026-05-15	Kapaz	W 2-0	38.7	1424	1347	47.85%	25.30%	26.84%	+0.40	+17.9	43
2026-05-15	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 0-2	38.7	1347	1424	26.84%	25.30%	47.85%	-0.40	-17.9	27
2026-05-15	Gabala	L 1-2	44.6	1279	1394	23.04%	24.88%	52.08%	-0.59	-7.9	14
2026-05-15	@ Karvan	W 2-1	44.6	1394	1279	52.08%	24.88%	23.04%	+0.59	+7.9	24
2026-05-16	Imishli	W 3-0	42.0	1758	1413	72.90%	19.17%	7.93%	+1.78	+8.0	66
2026-05-16	@ Qarabag	L 0-3	42.0	1413	1758	7.93%	19.17%	72.90%	-1.78	-8.0	36
2026-05-16	Turan Tovuz	W 3-2	71.4	1415	1638	14.08%	22.72%	63.20%	-1.15	+17.1	38
2026-05-16	@ Shamakhi	L 2-3	71.4	1638	1415	63.20%	22.72%	14.08%	+1.15	-17.1	59
2026-05-17	Neftchi Baku	L 1-2	71.2	1772	1651	53.13%	24.74%	22.13%	+0.62	-15.4	75
2026-05-17	@ Sabah	W 2-1	71.2	1651	1772	22.13%	24.74%	53.13%	-0.62	+15.4	56
2026-05-17	Sumgayit	W 2-1	52.0	1589	1428	57.57%	24.03%	18.41%	+0.83	+6.5	53
2026-05-17	@ Zira	L 1-2	52.0	1428	1589	18.41%	24.03%	57.57%	-0.83	-6.5	38
2026-05-21	Shamakhi	W 3-1	50.3	1402	1432	33.13%	25.65%	41.22%	-0.16	+21.6	27
2026-05-21	@ Gabala	L 1-3	50.3	1432	1402	41.22%	25.65%	33.13%	+0.16	-21.6	38
2026-05-22	Qarabag	L 3-4	60.3	1421	1766	8.05%	19.26%	72.69%	-1.78	-2.6	38
2026-05-22	@ Sumgayit	W 4-3	60.3	1766	1421	72.69%	19.26%	8.05%	+1.78	+2.6	69
2026-05-22	Sabah	L 1-2	61.2	1621	1756	21.07%	24.57%	54.36%	-0.70	-7.3	59
2026-05-22	@ Turan Tovuz	W 2-1	61.2	1756	1621	54.36%	24.57%	21.07%	+0.70	+7.3	78
2026-05-23	Zira	W 3-2	69.2	1442	1595	19.37%	24.24%	56.38%	-0.79	+15.4	46
2026-05-23	@ Araz-Naxcivan	L 2-3	69.2	1595	1442	56.38%	24.24%	19.37%	+0.79	-15.4	53
2026-05-23	Neftchi Baku	L 0-1	41.1	1329	1667	8.34%	19.50%	72.16%	-1.74	-3.1	27
2026-05-23	@ Kapaz	W 1-0	41.1	1667	1329	72.16%	19.50%	8.34%	+1.74	+3.1	59
2026-05-24	Karvan	D 1-1	54.9	1405	1271	54.71%	24.52%	20.78%	+0.69	-2.4	37
2026-05-24	@ Imishli	D 1-1	54.9	1271	1405	20.78%	24.52%	54.71%	-0.69	+2.4	15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-05-08	4.42%	Kapaz	1324	1	@ Sabah	1795	0
2	2026-01-24	4.46%	Kapaz	1304	2	@ Qarabag	1773	0
3	2026-03-20	6.14%	@ Kapaz	1375	1	Qarabag	1778	0
4	2025-08-22	13.66%	Sumgayit	1485	1	@ Qarabag	1711	0
5	2026-05-16	14.08%	@ Shamakhi	1415	3	Turan Tovuz	1638	2
6	2025-10-17	16.94%	Kapaz	1303	4	@ Shamakhi	1483	1
7	2025-12-13	17.77%	@ Shamakhi	1465	2	Zira	1638	1
8	2026-04-18	18.42%	@ Karvan	1275	1	Shamakhi	1440	0
9	2026-04-30	18.69%	@ Neftchi Baku	1610	2	Qarabag	1772	1
10	2026-02-27	19.28%	@ Kapaz	1321	3	Sumgayit	1475	0
11	2026-05-23	19.37%	@ Araz-Naxcivan	1442	3	Zira	1595	2
12	2026-04-10	20.82%	@ Karvan	1236	4	Kapaz	1374	1
13	2025-11-30	21.39%	@ Gabala	1405	2	Araz-Naxcivan	1537	1
14	2026-05-17	22.13%	Neftchi Baku	1651	2	@ Sabah	1772	1
15	2025-12-14	22.19%	@ Kapaz	1297	1	Gabala	1421	0
16	2026-05-02	22.32%	@ Kapaz	1309	2	Sumgayit	1431	1
17	2025-12-18	22.74%	@ Sabah	1667	2	Qarabag	1785	1
18	2025-08-31	25.15%	Imishli	1452	1	@ Sabah	1543	0
19	2025-10-19	25.24%	@ Sabah	1562	3	Zira	1656	0
20	2025-11-02	25.84%	@ Sumgayit	1455	3	Araz-Naxcivan	1544	2
21	2025-11-23	28.52%	Imishli	1482	3	@ Neftchi Baku	1545	2
22	2026-01-24	28.91%	Gabala	1402	4	@ Shamakhi	1461	0
23	2025-11-07	29.51%	@ Shamakhi	1438	1	Imishli	1497	0
24	2026-05-02	29.57%	Imishli	1396	1	@ Araz-Naxcivan	1450	0
25	2026-02-20	31.44%	@ Turan Tovuz	1568	2	Zira	1611	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-01-24	51.44	Gabala	4	1402	28.91%	@ Shamakhi	0	1461	45.63%	25.46%
2	2026-02-27	47.37	@ Kapaz	3	1321	19.28%	Sumgayit	0	1475	56.50%	24.22%
3	2026-02-01	45.65	Neftchi Baku	4	1523	35.03%	@ Araz-Naxcivan	0	1536	39.28%	25.69%
4	2026-01-24	43.26	Kapaz	2	1304	4.46%	@ Qarabag	0	1773	80.27%	15.27%
5	2025-10-19	42.25	@ Sabah	3	1562	25.24%	Zira	0	1656	49.61%	25.15%
6	2025-10-17	41.79	Kapaz	4	1303	16.94%	@ Shamakhi	1	1483	59.40%	23.66%
7	2026-04-10	38.78	@ Karvan	4	1236	20.82%	Kapaz	1	1374	54.65%	24.53%
8	2026-03-20	37.34	@ Neftchi Baku	6	1584	56.66%	Imishli	0	1431	19.14%	24.19%
9	2025-09-21	33.12	Qarabag	5	1699	55.27%	@ Araz-Naxcivan	0	1556	20.30%	24.43%
10	2025-09-14	29.98	@ Shamakhi	3	1446	42.32%	Karvan	0	1411	32.06%	25.62%
11	2025-08-17	29.48	@ Sumgayit	3	1455	43.03%	Kapaz	0	1415	31.38%	25.59%
12	2025-10-04	27.06	Turan Tovuz	3	1538	46.46%	@ Sumgayit	0	1469	28.14%	25.40%
13	2026-02-20	25.82	@ Turan Tovuz	2	1568	31.44%	Zira	0	1611	42.97%	25.59%
14	2026-04-26	25.41	Qarabag	5	1747	51.56%	@ Neftchi Baku	1	1636	23.50%	24.94%
15	2025-09-19	24.28	Imishli	3	1480	50.27%	@ Karvan	0	1381	24.65%	25.08%
16	2025-09-20	24.23	@ Sabah	2	1527	34.68%	Turan Tovuz	0	1547	39.63%	25.69%
17	2026-03-08	24.09	@ Qarabag	6	1744	66.01%	Araz-Naxcivan	0	1491	12.12%	21.87%
18	2026-04-25	24.06	Sumgayit	2	1407	35.03%	@ Imishli	0	1420	39.28%	25.69%
19	2026-04-05	23.24	Gabala	2	1396	36.79%	@ Kapaz	0	1397	37.51%	25.70%
20	2025-09-20	23.08	@ Gabala	3	1454	51.91%	Kapaz	0	1344	23.19%	24.90%
21	2026-05-08	22.96	Kapaz	1	1324	4.42%	@ Sabah	0	1795	80.37%	15.21%
22	2025-11-29	22.74	Sabah	3	1613	52.37%	@ Imishli	0	1495	22.79%	24.84%
23	2025-09-21	22.52	Neftchi Baku	2	1500	38.34%	@ Sumgayit	0	1490	35.96%	25.70%
24	2026-03-20	22.27	@ Kapaz	1	1375	6.14%	Qarabag	0	1778	76.43%	17.43%
25	2025-10-03	22.00	@ Araz-Naxcivan	2	1522	39.46%	Imishli	0	1507	34.85%	25.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-03-01	81.9	@ Qarabag	3	1744	39.07%	Sabah	3	1732	35.23%	25.69%
2	2026-04-11	78.1	@ Sabah	2	1775	60.70%	Zira	2	1582	15.93%	23.36%
3	2025-10-03	74.9	@ Zira	2	1658	55.18%	Neftchi Baku	2	1519	20.37%	24.44%
4	2025-10-25	73.8	@ Araz-Naxcivan	2	1544	29.26%	Sabah	2	1604	45.26%	25.48%
5	2025-12-06	72.4	@ Zira	1	1635	20.80%	Qarabag	1	1773	54.68%	24.52%
6	2026-04-30	71.9	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1610	18.69%	Qarabag	1	1772	57.22%	24.09%
7	2025-09-12	71.6	@ Qarabag	1	1700	43.85%	Zira	1	1654	30.60%	25.55%
8	2026-05-16	71.4	@ Shamakhi	3	1415	14.08%	Turan Tovuz	2	1638	63.20%	22.72%
9	2025-12-18	71.2	@ Sabah	2	1667	22.74%	Qarabag	1	1785	52.43%	24.83%
10	2026-05-17	71.2	Neftchi Baku	2	1651	22.13%	@ Sabah	1	1772	53.13%	24.74%
11	2025-10-19	71.1	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1521	34.16%	Araz-Naxcivan	2	1544	40.16%	25.68%
12	2026-05-09	70.3	@ Gabala	1	1389	7.03%	Qarabag	1	1763	74.62%	18.35%
13	2026-04-27	70.0	@ Turan Tovuz	1	1645	45.60%	Zira	1	1585	28.94%	25.46%
14	2026-04-17	69.8	@ Zira	1	1584	30.24%	Neftchi Baku	1	1637	44.22%	25.54%
15	2026-02-28	69.7	@ Shamakhi	2	1429	19.11%	Neftchi Baku	2	1585	56.70%	24.19%
16	2025-12-15	69.6	@ Neftchi Baku	2	1517	39.01%	Sumgayit	2	1505	35.29%	25.69%
17	2026-05-23	69.2	@ Araz-Naxcivan	3	1442	19.37%	Zira	2	1595	56.38%	24.24%
18	2025-09-26	68.9	@ Imishli	1	1505	19.17%	Zira	1	1661	56.63%	24.20%
19	2026-01-23	68.8	@ Imishli	2	1461	27.34%	Araz-Naxcivan	2	1537	47.32%	25.34%
20	2026-03-09	68.3	@ Zira	2	1595	63.80%	Kapaz	2	1368	13.65%	22.55%
21	2025-08-19	68.2	@ Zira	1	1629	51.70%	Araz-Naxcivan	1	1521	23.38%	24.92%
22	2025-12-13	67.0	@ Shamakhi	2	1465	17.77%	Zira	1	1638	58.36%	23.87%
23	2025-11-22	66.8	@ Araz-Naxcivan	1	1536	32.29%	Turan Tovuz	1	1573	42.09%	25.62%
24	2025-10-18	66.6	@ Imishli	2	1485	41.49%	Gabala	2	1456	32.86%	25.64%
25	2026-03-20	66.2	@ Kapaz	1	1375	6.14%	Qarabag	0	1778	76.43%	17.43%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-02-21	33.3	Araz-Naxcivan	2	1491	64.31%	@ Karvan	0	1255	13.29%	22.40%
2	2026-05-05	33.6	Neftchi Baku	3	1627	72.12%	@ Karvan	0	1290	8.36%	19.52%
3	2025-12-07	34.1	Shamakhi	3	1445	55.57%	@ Karvan	0	1299	20.05%	24.38%
4	2026-01-30	34.1	Sumgayit	2	1486	62.32%	@ Karvan	0	1272	14.72%	22.96%
5	2026-04-06	34.4	@ Qarabag	7	1756	82.47%	Karvan	0	1244	3.62%	13.91%
6	2025-09-28	34.5	@ Turan Tovuz	3	1522	61.52%	Kapaz	0	1321	15.32%	23.16%
7	2025-12-09	35.5	@ Araz-Naxcivan	2	1521	62.63%	Kapaz	0	1307	14.49%	22.88%
8	2026-03-19	35.6	Zira	1	1581	71.97%	@ Karvan	0	1247	8.45%	19.59%
9	2025-12-19	36.0	Turan Tovuz	2	1556	64.87%	@ Kapaz	0	1313	12.90%	22.24%
10	2025-10-24	36.1	Imishli	3	1485	54.91%	@ Kapaz	0	1345	20.61%	24.49%
11	2026-02-09	36.2	@ Turan Tovuz	1	1567	70.14%	Karvan	0	1262	9.50%	20.36%
12	2025-09-20	36.3	@ Gabala	3	1454	51.91%	Kapaz	0	1344	23.19%	24.90%
13	2026-02-14	36.3	@ Zira	1	1608	73.27%	Karvan	0	1258	7.73%	19.00%
14	2025-11-28	36.7	Zira	2	1629	70.57%	@ Kapaz	0	1314	9.25%	20.19%
15	2026-04-26	37.5	@ Shamakhi	2	1422	50.31%	Kapaz	0	1325	24.61%	25.08%
16	2026-05-10	37.8	@ Turan Tovuz	1	1636	73.52%	Karvan	0	1282	7.60%	18.88%
17	2025-11-01	37.9	@ Neftchi Baku	5	1540	62.86%	Kapaz	1	1324	14.33%	22.82%
18	2025-09-12	38.4	Araz-Naxcivan	2	1544	59.94%	@ Kapaz	0	1356	16.52%	23.54%
19	2025-09-19	38.4	Imishli	3	1480	50.27%	@ Karvan	0	1381	24.65%	25.08%
20	2026-04-27	38.4	@ Sabah	2	1784	81.43%	Karvan	0	1293	4.00%	14.56%
21	2025-08-30	38.5	@ Zira	5	1634	66.51%	Kapaz	0	1375	11.78%	21.71%
22	2025-11-29	38.6	@ Qarabag	2	1770	80.27%	Karvan	0	1302	4.46%	15.27%
23	2025-10-05	38.7	Sabah	2	1550	60.15%	@ Karvan	0	1359	16.36%	23.49%
24	2026-05-15	38.7	@ Araz-Naxcivan	2	1424	47.85%	Kapaz	0	1347	26.84%	25.30%
25	2026-01-25	38.9	@ Sabah	4	1693	77.40%	Karvan	1	1277	5.69%	16.91%