2020-21 Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Borac Banja Luka

67 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 2010-11

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Borac Banja Luka

10.24 points above expected

67 points · 56.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Radnik Bijeljina

13.88 points below expected

25 points · 38.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Borac Banja Luka Champion	33	21	4	8	67	59	31	+28	56.76	+10.24
2	Sarajevo	33	18	11	4	65	53	24	+29	64.09	+0.91
3	Velez Mostar	33	16	13	4	61	50	30	+20	55.11	+5.89
4	Zrinjski Mostar	33	18	5	10	59	50	30	+20	56.60	+2.40
5	Siroki Brijeg	33	17	8	8	59	47	30	+17	51.97	+7.03
6	Tuzla City	33	13	9	11	48	36	35	+1	43.57	+4.43
7	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	33	12	8	13	44	50	43	+7	55.82	-11.82
8	Sloboda Tuzla	33	10	7	16	37	31	41	-10	34.69	+2.31
9	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	33	8	6	19	30	26	57	-31	29.35	+0.65
10	Krupa	33	7	7	19	28	26	46	-20	31.84	-3.84
11	Radnik Bijeljina	33	5	10	18	25	26	51	-25	38.88	-13.88
12	Olimpik Sarajevo	33	7	4	22	25	22	58	-36	28.32	-3.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Borac Banja Luka	67	56.76	+10.24
2	Siroki Brijeg	59	51.97	+7.03
3	Velez Mostar	61	55.11	+5.89
4	Tuzla City	48	43.57	+4.43
5	Zrinjski Mostar	59	56.60	+2.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Radnik Bijeljina	25	38.88	-13.88
2	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	44	55.82	-11.82
3	Krupa	28	31.84	-3.84
4	Olimpik Sarajevo	25	28.32	-3.32
5	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	30	29.35	+0.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tuzla City	4	Dec 13 – Mar 14	1 in 316
2	Sarajevo	8	Aug 31 – Oct 30	1 in 84
3	Borac Banja Luka	6	Mar 15 – Apr 25	1 in 67
4	Siroki Brijeg	4	Dec 1 – Feb 28	1 in 45
5	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	Aug 21 – Aug 29	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Krupa	5	Sep 28 – Oct 31	1 in 61
2	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	3	Apr 25 – May 7	1 in 59
3	Sloboda Tuzla	5	Dec 12 – Mar 20	1 in 31
4	Olimpik Sarajevo	5	Aug 1 – Aug 29	1 in 18
5	Sarajevo	2	Mar 6 – Mar 14	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Velez Mostar	20	Nov 8 – May 30	1 in 364
2	Sarajevo	20	Aug 2 – Mar 1	1 in 95
3	Tuzla City	7	Dec 13 – Apr 11	1 in 62
4	Siroki Brijeg	9	Nov 22 – Mar 21	1 in 34
5	Borac Banja Luka	12	Mar 15 – May 30	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	15	Dec 6 – May 23	1 in 41,715
2	Krupa	10	Sep 28 – Dec 6	1 in 21
3	Velez Mostar	4	Apr 30 – May 16	1 in 15
4	Siroki Brijeg	4	Apr 3 – Apr 25	1 in 12
5	Radnik Bijeljina	9	Mar 15 – May 12	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Borac Banja Luka	1542	67	+31	13	10.2	+2.8
Sarajevo	1519	65	+13	9	10.5	-1.5
Velez Mostar	1527	61	+11	9	9.3	-0.3
Siroki Brijeg	1482	59	+42	11	9.4	+1.6
Zrinjski Mostar	1503	59	+19	10	8.5	+1.5
Tuzla City	1360	48	-20	3	5.2	-2.2
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1351	44	-22	4	5.8	-1.8
Sloboda Tuzla	1268	37	+25	6	4.5	+1.5
Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1187	30	-5	3	4.5	-1.5
Krupa	1233	28	+3	6	5.4	+0.6
Radnik Bijeljina	1179	25	-21	4	4.9	-0.9
Olimpik Sarajevo	1137	25	-74	1	5.0	-4.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BBL	KRU	MDK	OS	RB	SAR	SB	ST	TC	VM	ZS	ZM
Borac Banja Luka	—	3-0-0 6.45	3-0-0 6.17	3-0-0 6.56	2-0-1 5.26	1-1-1 2.72	1-1-1 4.99	1-1-1 5.77	2-0-1 5.76	1-1-1 3.79	2-0-1 3.95	2-0-1 4.68
Krupa	0-0-3 1.90	—	1-0-2 4.53	2-1-0 4.84	1-2-0 4.08	0-0-3 1.85	0-2-1 1.74	1-0-2 3.95	0-1-2 3.23	0-1-2 2.07	2-0-1 1.76	0-0-3 2.14
Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0-0-3 2.15	2-0-1 3.75	—	2-1-0 3.67	1-1-1 3.76	0-2-1 1.86	0-0-3 1.81	1-0-2 3.29	1-0-2 3.06	0-0-3 2.29	1-1-1 1.57	0-1-2 2.25
Olimpik Sarajevo	0-0-3 1.80	0-1-2 3.45	0-1-2 4.61	—	1-0-2 2.98	0-0-3 1.61	0-0-3 2.19	1-0-2 2.93	1-1-1 2.99	1-1-1 2.32	2-0-1 1.50	1-0-2 1.92
Radnik Bijeljina	1-0-2 3.03	0-2-1 4.20	1-1-1 4.51	2-0-1 5.30	—	0-0-3 2.04	0-1-2 3.26	0-2-1 5.14	1-0-2 3.18	0-2-1 2.37	0-1-2 3.22	0-1-2 2.69
Sarajevo	1-1-1 5.57	3-0-0 6.56	1-2-0 6.51	3-0-0 6.77	3-0-0 6.34	—	2-0-1 5.56	2-1-0 6.57	1-2-0 5.63	0-2-1 5.08	1-2-0 5.35	1-1-1 4.44
Siroki Brijeg	1-1-1 3.30	1-2-0 6.61	3-0-0 6.54	3-0-0 6.16	2-1-0 5.03	1-0-2 2.75	—	1-1-1 5.48	1-2-0 5.25	0-1-2 4.57	2-0-1 3.24	2-0-1 4.01
Sloboda Tuzla	1-1-1 2.53	2-0-1 4.33	2-0-1 4.98	2-0-1 5.37	1-2-0 3.13	0-1-2 1.80	1-1-1 2.81	—	0-0-3 3.13	0-0-3 2.12	1-1-1 2.39	0-1-2 2.15
Tuzla City	1-0-2 2.54	2-1-0 5.04	2-0-1 5.22	1-1-1 5.30	2-0-1 5.11	0-2-1 2.67	0-2-1 3.04	3-0-0 5.18	—	0-2-1 3.60	1-1-1 2.67	1-0-2 3.53
Velez Mostar	1-1-1 4.49	2-1-0 6.28	3-0-0 6.03	1-1-1 6.00	1-2-0 5.94	1-2-0 3.20	2-1-0 3.71	3-0-0 6.21	1-2-0 4.67	—	0-2-1 4.46	1-1-1 3.50
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1-0-2 4.33	1-0-2 6.60	1-1-1 6.81	1-0-2 6.88	2-1-0 5.08	0-2-1 2.94	1-0-2 5.04	1-1-1 5.92	1-1-1 5.62	1-2-0 3.84	—	2-0-1 3.80
Zrinjski Mostar	1-0-2 3.61	3-0-0 6.22	2-1-0 6.06	2-0-1 6.41	2-1-0 5.63	1-1-1 3.85	1-0-2 4.26	2-1-0 6.19	2-0-1 4.76	1-1-1 4.77	1-0-2 4.50	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+11.7
Allowed	0.88	-13.3
Differential	0.95	+6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.57%	10.86%	8.59%	4.80%	1.01%	0.51%	32.32%
1	10.86%	12.63%	6.31%	3.03%	0.25%	0.25%	33.33%
2	8.59%	6.31%	3.54%	1.77%	0.51%	0.25%	20.96%
3	4.80%	3.03%	1.77%	—	0.25%	—	9.85%
4	1.01%	0.25%	0.51%	0.25%	0.51%	—	2.53%
5+	0.51%	0.25%	0.25%	—	—	—	1.01%
Total	32.32%	33.33%	20.96%	9.85%	2.53%	1.01%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.20	1.20	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.74
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
2	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	39.39%
3	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	42.42%	33.33%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	0.94	+0.85
SD	1.34	1.06	1.82
CV	0.75	1.13	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	24.24%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	42.42%
1	12.12%	18.18%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	42.42%
2	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
3	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	45.45%	15.15%	21.21%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.39	-0.61
SD	0.86	1.03	1.50
CV	1.09	0.74	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	21.21%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	51.52%
1	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	27.27%
2	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	15.15%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	3.03%	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	24.24%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.73	-0.94
SD	1.02	1.72	1.94
CV	1.30	1.00	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	15.15%	18.18%	18.18%	3.03%	—	57.58%
1	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	24.24%
2	3.03%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.15%	30.30%	24.24%	24.24%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.76	-1.09
SD	0.92	1.17	1.70
CV	1.39	0.67	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	18.18%	6.06%	—	3.03%	45.45%
1	6.06%	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	39.39%
2	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	33.33%	30.30%	15.15%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.55	-0.76
SD	0.96	1.15	1.64
CV	1.22	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
2	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	45.45%	36.36%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	0.73	+0.88
SD	1.34	0.76	1.36
CV	0.84	1.05	—
Max	5	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
1	21.21%	15.15%	9.09%	—	—	—	45.45%
2	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	33.33%	24.24%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.91	+0.52
SD	1.15	0.88	1.62
CV	0.80	0.97	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	42.42%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	21.21%	33.33%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.24	-0.30
SD	1.00	1.06	1.63
CV	1.06	0.85	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	30.30%
1	15.15%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	42.42%
2	12.12%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	33.33%	21.21%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.06	+0.03
SD	1.07	1.06	1.49
CV	0.98	1.00	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
1	6.06%	24.24%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	36.36%
2	18.18%	15.15%	9.09%	—	—	—	42.42%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	42.42%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	0.91	+0.61
SD	0.91	0.88	1.43
CV	0.60	0.97	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	24.24%
3	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.30%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.30	+0.21
SD	1.18	1.29	1.62
CV	0.78	0.99	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.39%	36.36%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	0.91	+0.61
SD	1.20	0.91	1.62
CV	0.79	1.01	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Borac Banja Luka	1542	67	56.76	+10.24	92.0%	42	46	52	56	62	69	74
Velez Mostar	1527	61	55.11	+5.89	85.0%	38	43	51	55	58	68	74
Sarajevo	1519	65	64.09	+0.91	60.0%	45	51	60	64	69	75	78
Zrinjski Mostar	1503	59	56.60	+2.40	65.0%	39	45	51	57	62	67	71
Siroki Brijeg	1482	59	51.97	+7.03	90.0%	34	40	48	52	55	64	73
Tuzla City	1360	48	43.57	+4.43	76.0%	28	33	39	43	48	54	64
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1351	44	55.82	-11.82	6.0%	36	43	51	55	61	67	78
Sloboda Tuzla	1268	37	34.69	+2.31	70.0%	15	23	30	35	39	46	51
Krupa	1233	28	31.84	-3.84	32.0%	18	21	27	31	36	43	53
Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1187	30	29.35	+0.65	56.0%	16	19	25	30	33	39	47
Radnik Bijeljina	1179	25	38.88	-13.88	1.0%	22	26	34	39	44	50	58
Olimpik Sarajevo	1137	25	28.32	-3.32	28.0%	14	18	25	28	32	38	52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 28% * Slight Edge: 28% to 37% * Clear Edge: 37% to 51.5% * Strong Edge: 51.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+29.29%

Slight Edge

53.03%23.23%23.74%

Elo Value

Home Edge

222 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0104.84600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.53 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.6

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

14%

Borac Banja Luka, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.21 * Lucky: 8.21 to 10.95 * Wild Swing: 10.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.66 * Off: 1.66 to 2.21 * Way Off: 2.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.95 points

Some Luck

06.8417

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.383

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

92.00%

Borac Banja Luka

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Radnik Bijeljina

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2 * Wide Separation: 2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 153.46

2.13

Wide Separation

0.851.451.822.75

Interquartile Edge

84%

Wide Edge

50%64.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 13% * Shaky Favorites: 13% to 15% * Very Shaky: 15% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Slight Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.93

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Some Carryover

00.420.610.791

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Upset-Prone

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

12%

As Expected

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.49

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.099

Well Within Noise

00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Borac Banja Luka	14.00%	16.00%	24.00%	14.00%	12.00%	13.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Sarajevo	46.00%	26.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Velez Mostar	10.00%	15.00%	22.00%	20.00%	15.00%	10.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Zrinjski Mostar	10.00%	22.00%	20.00%	18.00%	14.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Siroki Brijeg	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	17.00%	23.00%	27.00%	11.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Tuzla City	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	15.00%	32.00%	20.00%	12.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	17.00%	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Sloboda Tuzla	—	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	19.00%	24.00%	23.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Mladost Doboj Kakanj	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	8.00%	12.00%	23.00%	25.00%	30.00%
Krupa	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	9.00%	20.00%	21.00%	25.00%	16.00%
Radnik Bijeljina	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	15.00%	29.00%	19.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%
Olimpik Sarajevo	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	17.00%	28.00%	38.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Borac Banja Luka	100%	—
Sarajevo	100%	—
Siroki Brijeg	100%	—
Velez Mostar	100%	—
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	100%	—
Zrinjski Mostar	100%	—
Tuzla City	96.00%	4.00%
Radnik Bijeljina	88.00%	12.00%
Sloboda Tuzla	78.00%	22.00%
Krupa	59.00%	41.00%
Mladost Doboj Kakanj	45.00%	55.00%
Olimpik Sarajevo	34.00%	66.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-08-01	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 6-0	31.9	1372	1281	61.12%	22.97%	15.91%	+0.88	+40.2	3
2020-08-01	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-6	31.9	1281	1372	15.91%	22.97%	61.12%	-0.88	-40.2	0
2020-08-01	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 1-0	34.2	1421	1252	67.45%	21.54%	11.01%	+1.23	+5.4	3
2020-08-01	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-1	34.2	1252	1421	11.01%	21.54%	67.45%	-1.23	-5.4	0
2020-08-01	Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	56.0	1279	1399	35.51%	24.63%	39.86%	-0.07	+0.4	1
2020-08-01	@ Sloboda Tuzla	D 1-1	56.0	1399	1279	39.86%	24.63%	35.51%	+0.07	-0.3	1
2020-08-01	Velez Mostar	W 3-0	33.7	1425	1370	57.54%	23.53%	18.93%	+0.72	+24.6	3
2020-08-01	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-3	33.7	1370	1425	18.93%	23.53%	57.54%	-0.72	-24.6	0
2020-08-02	Sarajevo	L 0-2	39.9	1322	1457	33.44%	24.60%	41.96%	-0.14	-27.1	0
2020-08-02	@ Krupa	W 2-0	39.9	1457	1322	41.96%	24.60%	33.44%	+0.14	+27.1	3
2020-08-02	Tuzla City	W 1-0	37.9	1381	1332	56.99%	23.60%	19.42%	+0.69	+9.2	3
2020-08-02	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	37.9	1332	1381	19.42%	23.60%	56.99%	-0.69	-9.2	0
2020-08-07	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	31.7	1413	1279	64.71%	22.24%	13.05%	+1.07	+12.0	6
2020-08-07	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	31.7	1279	1413	13.05%	22.24%	64.71%	-1.07	-12.0	1
2020-08-07	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-2	45.0	1398	1449	45.18%	24.51%	30.31%	+0.24	-34.2	1
2020-08-07	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	45.0	1449	1398	30.31%	24.51%	45.18%	-0.24	+34.2	6
2020-08-08	Krupa	W 1-0	37.5	1322	1295	54.69%	23.86%	21.45%	+0.60	+10.0	3
2020-08-08	@ Tuzla City	L 0-1	37.5	1295	1322	21.45%	23.86%	54.69%	-0.60	-10.0	0
2020-08-08	Sarajevo	D 2-2	63.2	1240	1484	20.85%	23.79%	55.36%	-0.62	+2.3	1
2020-08-08	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 2-2	63.2	1484	1240	55.36%	23.79%	20.85%	+0.62	-2.3	4
2020-08-08	Siroki Brijeg	L 1-2	47.6	1247	1390	32.33%	24.57%	43.09%	-0.17	-13.2	0
2020-08-08	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-1	47.6	1390	1247	43.09%	24.57%	32.33%	+0.17	+13.2	6
2020-08-08	Zrinjski Mostar	W 2-0	40.0	1345	1427	41.03%	24.62%	34.36%	+0.11	+27.6	3
2020-08-08	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	40.0	1427	1345	34.36%	24.62%	41.03%	-0.11	-27.6	3
2020-08-11	Borac Banja Luka	W 2-1	48.6	1483	1425	57.96%	23.47%	18.57%	+0.74	+8.3	9
2020-08-11	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 1-2	48.6	1425	1483	18.57%	23.47%	57.96%	-0.74	-8.3	6
2020-08-11	Velez Mostar	D 2-2	64.1	1403	1373	54.97%	23.83%	21.19%	+0.61	-2.2	7
2020-08-11	@ Siroki Brijeg	D 2-2	64.1	1373	1403	21.19%	23.83%	54.97%	-0.61	+2.2	4
2020-08-12	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 3-0	31.7	1267	1243	54.32%	23.90%	21.78%	+0.58	+27.8	4
2020-08-12	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-3	31.7	1243	1267	21.78%	23.90%	54.32%	-0.58	-27.8	1
2020-08-12	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 1-0	36.3	1285	1233	57.18%	23.57%	19.24%	+0.70	+9.1	3
2020-08-12	@ Krupa	L 0-1	36.3	1233	1285	19.24%	23.57%	57.18%	-0.70	-9.1	0
2020-08-12	Radnik Bijeljina	D 0-0	52.2	1399	1364	55.44%	23.78%	20.77%	+0.63	-3.5	4
2020-08-12	@ Zrinjski Mostar	D 0-0	52.2	1364	1399	20.77%	23.78%	55.44%	-0.63	+3.5	2
2020-08-12	Tuzla City	W 1-0	37.1	1482	1332	65.96%	21.94%	12.11%	+1.14	+5.9	7
2020-08-12	@ Sarajevo	L 0-1	37.1	1332	1482	12.11%	21.94%	65.96%	-1.14	-5.9	3
2020-08-15	Krupa	W 2-0	32.8	1375	1294	60.15%	23.14%	16.71%	+0.84	+15.1	7
2020-08-15	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	32.8	1294	1375	16.71%	23.14%	60.15%	-0.84	-15.1	3
2020-08-15	Tuzla City	L 2-5	43.6	1215	1326	36.72%	24.64%	38.64%	-0.03	-30.8	1
2020-08-15	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 5-2	43.6	1326	1215	38.64%	24.64%	36.72%	+0.03	+30.8	6
2020-08-15	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-2	37.7	1295	1492	25.74%	24.26%	50.00%	-0.41	-22.0	4
2020-08-15	@ Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	37.7	1492	1295	50.00%	24.26%	25.74%	+0.41	+22.0	12
2020-08-16	Siroki Brijeg	D 1-1	57.5	1368	1401	47.44%	24.41%	28.15%	+0.32	-1.7	3
2020-08-16	@ Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	57.5	1401	1368	28.15%	24.41%	47.44%	-0.32	+1.7	8
2020-08-16	Zrinjski Mostar	W 1-0	40.6	1416	1395	53.92%	23.94%	22.14%	+0.57	+10.3	9
2020-08-16	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-1	40.6	1395	1416	22.14%	23.94%	53.92%	-0.57	-10.3	4
2020-08-21	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-1	53.2	1514	1184	77.15%	17.75%	5.09%	+1.95	-29.1	12
2020-08-21	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 1-0	53.2	1184	1514	5.09%	17.75%	77.15%	-1.95	+29.1	4
2020-08-22	Borac Banja Luka	W 3-0	37.2	1403	1426	48.64%	24.35%	27.01%	+0.36	+33.2	11
2020-08-22	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-3	37.2	1426	1403	27.01%	24.35%	48.64%	-0.36	-33.2	9
2020-08-22	Sloboda Tuzla	W 1-0	35.4	1385	1273	62.94%	22.63%	14.44%	+0.98	+7.0	7
2020-08-22	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-1	35.4	1273	1385	14.44%	22.63%	62.94%	-0.98	-7.0	4
2020-08-23	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-2	45.8	1357	1224	64.67%	22.25%	13.08%	+1.07	+5.7	9
2020-08-23	@ Tuzla City	L 2-3	45.8	1224	1357	13.08%	22.25%	64.67%	-1.07	-5.7	0
2020-08-23	Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	55.7	1279	1366	40.17%	24.63%	35.21%	+0.08	-0.4	4
2020-08-23	@ Krupa	D 1-1	55.7	1366	1279	35.21%	24.63%	40.17%	-0.08	+0.4	4
2020-08-23	Velez Mostar	D 1-1	60.6	1488	1390	61.62%	22.88%	15.50%	+0.91	-4.3	8
2020-08-23	@ Sarajevo	D 1-1	60.6	1390	1488	15.50%	22.88%	61.62%	-0.91	+4.2	8
2020-08-29	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 1-0	37.9	1213	1219	50.88%	24.20%	24.92%	+0.45	+11.3	7
2020-08-29	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-1	37.9	1219	1213	24.92%	24.20%	50.88%	-0.45	-11.3	0
2020-08-29	Siroki Brijeg	W 3-0	40.7	1266	1436	28.92%	24.45%	46.63%	-0.29	+51.1	7
2020-08-29	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-3	40.7	1436	1266	46.63%	24.45%	28.92%	+0.29	-51.0	11
2020-08-29	Tuzla City	D 1-1	57.4	1395	1363	55.10%	23.82%	21.08%	+0.61	-3.0	9
2020-08-29	@ Velez Mostar	D 1-1	57.4	1363	1395	21.08%	23.82%	55.10%	-0.61	+3.0	10
2020-08-31	Krupa	W 3-1	38.2	1393	1278	63.17%	22.58%	14.25%	+0.99	+11.3	12
2020-08-31	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 1-3	38.2	1278	1393	14.25%	22.58%	63.17%	-0.99	-11.3	4
2020-08-31	Sarajevo	L 0-2	42.4	1366	1483	35.96%	24.63%	39.40%	-0.05	-28.6	4
2020-08-31	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	42.4	1483	1366	39.40%	24.63%	35.96%	+0.05	+28.6	11
2020-09-11	Borac Banja Luka	W 4-2	47.3	1512	1405	62.51%	22.71%	14.78%	+0.95	+10.5	14
2020-09-11	@ Sarajevo	L 2-4	47.3	1405	1512	14.78%	22.71%	62.51%	-0.95	-10.5	12
2020-09-12	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 2-0	30.2	1392	1225	67.34%	21.57%	11.09%	+1.23	+10.2	10
2020-09-12	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-2	30.2	1225	1392	11.09%	21.57%	67.34%	-1.23	-10.2	7
2020-09-12	Velez Mostar	W 2-1	52.1	1207	1392	27.21%	24.36%	48.43%	-0.36	+18.2	3
2020-09-12	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	L 1-2	52.1	1392	1207	48.43%	24.36%	27.21%	+0.36	-18.2	9
2020-09-13	Radnik Bijeljina	W 1-0	38.4	1366	1338	54.75%	23.86%	21.39%	+0.60	+10.0	13
2020-09-13	@ Tuzla City	L 0-1	38.4	1338	1366	21.39%	23.86%	54.75%	-0.60	-10.0	4
2020-09-13	Sloboda Tuzla	L 2-3	56.2	1267	1317	45.28%	24.51%	30.21%	+0.25	-16.3	4
2020-09-13	@ Krupa	W 3-2	56.2	1317	1267	30.21%	24.51%	45.28%	-0.25	+16.3	10
2020-09-13	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-1	47.3	1385	1485	38.40%	24.64%	36.96%	+0.02	-16.0	11
2020-09-13	@ Siroki Brijeg	W 1-0	47.3	1485	1385	36.96%	24.64%	38.40%	-0.02	+16.0	15
2020-09-16	Sarajevo	L 1-3	40.0	1225	1522	16.25%	23.05%	60.70%	-0.86	-12.8	3
2020-09-16	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-1	40.0	1522	1225	60.70%	23.05%	16.25%	+0.86	+12.8	17
2020-09-19	Krupa	L 0-1	53.3	1501	1251	72.80%	19.73%	7.48%	+1.60	-27.8	15
2020-09-19	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 1-0	53.3	1251	1501	7.48%	19.73%	72.80%	-1.60	+27.8	7
2020-09-19	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 4-0	29.1	1328	1213	63.18%	22.58%	14.24%	+0.99	+24.7	7
2020-09-19	@ Radnik Bijeljina	L 0-4	29.1	1213	1328	14.24%	22.58%	63.18%	-0.99	-24.7	3
2020-09-19	Velez Mostar	L 1-2	46.6	1214	1373	30.30%	24.51%	45.19%	-0.24	-12.5	7
2020-09-19	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 2-1	46.6	1373	1214	45.19%	24.51%	30.30%	+0.24	+12.5	12
2020-09-20	Sarajevo	L 2-3	54.6	1333	1535	25.16%	24.22%	50.63%	-0.44	-10.2	10
2020-09-20	@ Sloboda Tuzla	W 3-2	54.6	1535	1333	50.63%	24.22%	25.16%	+0.44	+10.2	20
2020-09-21	Tuzla City	W 2-0	36.2	1394	1376	53.62%	23.97%	22.41%	+0.55	+19.6	15
2020-09-21	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	36.2	1376	1394	22.41%	23.97%	53.62%	-0.55	-19.6	13
2020-09-26	Borac Banja Luka	L 1-4	37.5	1188	1414	22.62%	23.99%	53.39%	-0.54	-24.2	3
2020-09-26	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 4-1	37.5	1414	1188	53.39%	23.99%	22.62%	+0.54	+24.2	18
2020-09-26	Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-1	45.2	1386	1353	55.30%	23.80%	20.90%	+0.62	+9.2	15
2020-09-26	@ Velez Mostar	L 1-2	45.2	1353	1386	20.90%	23.80%	55.30%	-0.62	-9.2	7
2020-09-27	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 2-1	39.9	1369	1202	67.30%	21.58%	11.12%	+1.22	+5.1	14
2020-09-27	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 1-2	39.9	1202	1369	11.12%	21.58%	67.30%	-1.22	-5.1	7
2020-09-27	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-1	44.4	1356	1323	55.32%	23.80%	20.88%	+0.62	+9.2	16
2020-09-27	@ Tuzla City	L 1-2	44.4	1323	1356	20.88%	23.80%	55.32%	-0.62	-9.2	10
2020-09-28	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-3	37.0	1279	1402	34.99%	24.62%	40.38%	-0.09	-40.7	7
2020-09-28	@ Krupa	W 3-0	37.0	1402	1279	40.38%	24.62%	34.99%	+0.09	+40.7	13
2020-10-03	Radnik Bijeljina	W 3-2	55.4	1197	1343	31.90%	24.56%	43.54%	-0.19	+15.8	10
2020-10-03	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 2-3	55.4	1343	1197	43.54%	24.56%	31.90%	+0.19	-15.8	7
2020-10-04	Krupa	W 1-0	34.4	1374	1238	64.92%	22.19%	12.89%	+1.08	+6.3	17
2020-10-04	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	34.4	1238	1374	12.89%	22.19%	64.92%	-1.08	-6.3	7
2020-10-04	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	29.9	1314	1164	66.01%	21.93%	12.07%	+1.15	+11.1	13
2020-10-04	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-2	29.9	1164	1314	12.07%	21.93%	66.01%	-1.15	-11.1	3
2020-10-04	Velez Mostar	W 2-0	36.9	1438	1395	56.30%	23.68%	20.01%	+0.66	+17.8	21
2020-10-04	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	36.9	1395	1438	20.01%	23.68%	56.30%	-0.66	-17.8	15
2020-10-05	Sarajevo	L 2-3	62.8	1443	1545	38.04%	24.64%	37.32%	+0.01	-14.2	13
2020-10-05	@ Zrinjski Mostar	W 3-2	62.8	1545	1443	37.32%	24.64%	38.04%	-0.01	+14.2	23
2020-10-05	Tuzla City	W 1-0	38.7	1473	1366	62.48%	22.72%	14.80%	+0.95	+7.2	18
2020-10-05	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-1	38.7	1366	1473	14.80%	22.72%	62.48%	-0.95	-7.2	16
2020-10-16	Borac Banja Luka	W 1-0	45.8	1328	1456	34.41%	24.62%	40.97%	-0.10	+16.8	10
2020-10-16	@ Radnik Bijeljina	L 0-1	45.8	1456	1328	40.97%	24.62%	34.41%	+0.10	-16.8	21
2020-10-16	Sloboda Tuzla	W 3-0	32.2	1377	1325	57.32%	23.56%	19.13%	+0.71	+24.8	18
2020-10-16	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-3	32.2	1325	1377	19.13%	23.56%	57.32%	-0.71	-24.8	13
2020-10-16	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-4	40.9	1359	1429	42.53%	24.59%	32.89%	+0.16	-61.8	16
2020-10-16	@ Tuzla City	W 4-0	40.9	1429	1359	32.89%	24.59%	42.53%	-0.16	+61.8	16
2020-10-17	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-1	46.5	1232	1212	53.74%	23.96%	22.30%	+0.56	-21.1	7
2020-10-17	@ Krupa	W 1-0	46.5	1212	1232	22.30%	23.96%	53.74%	-0.56	+21.1	13
2020-10-17	Siroki Brijeg	W 2-0	36.6	1560	1380	68.19%	21.32%	10.48%	+1.28	+9.7	26
2020-10-17	@ Sarajevo	L 0-2	36.6	1380	1560	10.48%	21.32%	68.19%	-1.28	-9.7	17
2020-10-17	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-3	29.6	1153	1480	14.08%	22.53%	63.38%	-1.00	-18.7	3
2020-10-17	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	29.6	1480	1153	63.38%	22.53%	14.08%	+1.00	+18.7	21
2020-10-24	Siroki Brijeg	D 1-1	55.9	1297	1371	42.05%	24.60%	33.36%	+0.14	-0.7	17
2020-10-24	@ Tuzla City	D 1-1	55.9	1371	1297	33.36%	24.60%	42.05%	-0.14	+0.7	18
2020-10-24	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 1-1	60.8	1402	1499	38.88%	24.64%	36.49%	+0.04	-0.2	19
2020-10-24	@ Velez Mostar	D 1-1	60.8	1499	1402	36.49%	24.64%	38.88%	-0.04	+0.2	22
2020-10-24	Zrinjski Mostar	W 3-0	44.9	1134	1491	12.23%	21.98%	65.79%	-1.13	+69.8	6
2020-10-24	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	L 0-3	44.9	1491	1134	65.79%	21.98%	12.23%	+1.13	-69.8	16
2020-10-25	Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	35.6	1233	1439	24.79%	24.19%	51.02%	-0.45	-21.3	13
2020-10-25	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 2-0	35.6	1439	1233	51.02%	24.19%	24.79%	+0.45	+21.3	24
2020-10-25	Krupa	W 3-0	27.1	1569	1210	78.57%	17.01%	4.42%	+2.09	+5.6	29
2020-10-25	@ Sarajevo	L 0-3	27.1	1210	1569	4.42%	17.01%	78.57%	-2.09	-5.6	7
2020-10-25	Sloboda Tuzla	D 1-1	56.0	1344	1300	56.47%	23.66%	19.87%	+0.67	-3.3	11
2020-10-25	@ Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	56.0	1300	1344	19.87%	23.66%	56.47%	-0.67	+3.3	14
2020-10-28	Zrinjski Mostar	W 1-0	42.0	1499	1421	59.82%	23.19%	16.99%	+0.82	+8.1	25
2020-10-28	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-1	42.0	1421	1499	16.99%	23.19%	59.82%	-0.82	-8.2	16
2020-10-30	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 5-1	30.6	1575	1212	78.75%	16.91%	4.34%	+2.10	+6.0	32
2020-10-30	@ Sarajevo	L 1-5	30.6	1212	1575	4.34%	16.91%	78.75%	-2.10	-6.0	13
2020-10-31	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 1-0	33.5	1371	1204	67.34%	21.57%	11.09%	+1.23	+5.4	21
2020-10-31	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	33.5	1204	1371	11.09%	21.57%	67.34%	-1.23	-5.4	6
2020-10-31	Radnik Bijeljina	W 3-1	40.3	1507	1341	67.21%	21.60%	11.18%	+1.22	+8.9	28
2020-10-31	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 1-3	40.3	1341	1507	11.18%	21.60%	67.21%	-1.22	-8.9	11
2020-10-31	Tuzla City	L 0-1	42.6	1205	1296	39.63%	24.63%	35.73%	+0.06	-16.3	7
2020-10-31	@ Krupa	W 1-0	42.6	1296	1205	35.73%	24.63%	39.63%	-0.06	+16.3	20
2020-10-31	Velez Mostar	W 3-1	43.8	1413	1402	52.80%	24.05%	23.15%	+0.52	+17.4	19
2020-10-31	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-3	43.8	1402	1413	23.15%	24.05%	52.80%	-0.52	-17.4	19
2020-11-01	Borac Banja Luka	W 1-0	46.6	1303	1460	30.58%	24.52%	44.90%	-0.23	+18.1	17
2020-11-01	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-1	46.6	1460	1303	44.90%	24.52%	30.58%	+0.23	-18.1	24
2020-11-04	Siroki Brijeg	W 2-1	45.9	1430	1377	57.42%	23.54%	19.04%	+0.71	+8.5	22
2020-11-04	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-2	45.9	1377	1430	19.04%	23.54%	57.42%	-0.71	-8.5	21
2020-11-04	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 1-1	68.3	1581	1516	58.56%	23.38%	18.05%	+0.76	-3.7	33
2020-11-04	@ Sarajevo	D 1-1	68.3	1516	1581	18.05%	23.38%	58.56%	-0.76	+3.7	29
2020-11-07	Krupa	D 1-1	54.8	1198	1188	52.68%	24.06%	23.27%	+0.52	-2.6	7
2020-11-07	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	D 1-1	54.8	1188	1198	23.27%	24.06%	52.68%	-0.52	+2.6	8
2020-11-07	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	39.0	1206	1321	36.21%	24.64%	39.15%	-0.05	+30.5	16
2020-11-07	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-2	39.0	1321	1206	39.15%	24.64%	36.21%	+0.05	-30.5	17
2020-11-08	Sarajevo	D 0-0	55.4	1312	1577	18.90%	23.52%	57.58%	-0.72	+3.9	21
2020-11-08	@ Tuzla City	D 0-0	55.4	1577	1312	57.58%	23.52%	18.90%	+0.72	-3.9	34
2020-11-08	Siroki Brijeg	W 2-1	46.0	1384	1368	53.41%	23.99%	22.60%	+0.54	+9.9	22
2020-11-08	@ Velez Mostar	L 1-2	46.0	1368	1384	22.60%	23.99%	53.41%	-0.54	-9.9	21
2020-11-08	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-2	41.0	1332	1439	37.43%	24.64%	37.93%	-0.01	-29.5	11
2020-11-08	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	41.0	1439	1332	37.93%	24.64%	37.43%	+0.01	+29.5	25
2020-11-09	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 4-3	62.6	1442	1520	41.55%	24.61%	33.84%	+0.12	+12.7	27
2020-11-09	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 3-4	62.6	1520	1442	33.84%	24.61%	41.55%	-0.12	-12.6	29
2020-11-21	Borac Banja Luka	W 2-1	50.6	1468	1455	53.10%	24.02%	22.88%	+0.53	+10.0	28
2020-11-21	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-2	50.6	1455	1468	22.88%	24.02%	53.10%	-0.53	-10.0	27
2020-11-21	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	35.6	1316	1237	59.97%	23.17%	16.86%	+0.83	+8.1	24
2020-11-21	@ Tuzla City	L 0-1	35.6	1237	1316	16.86%	23.17%	59.97%	-0.83	-8.1	16
2020-11-21	Sloboda Tuzla	D 2-2	65.5	1507	1291	70.69%	20.52%	8.79%	+1.44	-4.4	30
2020-11-21	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 2-2	65.5	1291	1507	8.79%	20.52%	70.69%	-1.44	+4.4	18
2020-11-22	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	28.5	1573	1196	79.44%	16.53%	4.04%	+2.17	+3.5	37
2020-11-22	@ Sarajevo	L 0-2	28.5	1196	1573	4.04%	16.53%	79.44%	-2.17	-3.5	7
2020-11-22	Radnik Bijeljina	W 5-0	32.3	1358	1303	57.64%	23.51%	18.84%	+0.72	+39.4	24
2020-11-22	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-5	32.3	1303	1358	18.84%	23.51%	57.64%	-0.72	-39.4	11
2020-11-22	Velez Mostar	D 1-1	55.4	1191	1394	25.02%	24.21%	50.78%	-0.44	+2.2	9
2020-11-22	@ Krupa	D 1-1	55.4	1394	1191	50.78%	24.21%	25.02%	+0.44	-2.2	23
2020-11-27	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-4	32.2	1229	1503	18.12%	23.39%	58.49%	-0.76	-30.9	16
2020-11-27	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 4-0	32.2	1503	1229	58.49%	23.39%	18.12%	+0.76	+30.9	33
2020-11-28	Sarajevo	D 0-0	58.0	1392	1577	27.17%	24.36%	48.48%	-0.36	+2.1	24
2020-11-28	@ Velez Mostar	D 0-0	58.0	1577	1392	48.48%	24.36%	27.17%	+0.36	-2.0	38
2020-11-28	Siroki Brijeg	D 1-1	59.4	1445	1398	56.75%	23.63%	19.62%	+0.68	-3.3	28
2020-11-28	@ Borac Banja Luka	D 1-1	59.4	1398	1445	19.62%	23.63%	56.75%	-0.68	+3.3	25
2020-11-28	Tuzla City	W 3-2	54.7	1192	1324	33.86%	24.61%	41.54%	-0.12	+15.2	10
2020-11-28	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	L 2-3	54.7	1324	1192	41.54%	24.61%	33.86%	+0.12	-15.2	24
2020-11-28	Zrinjski Mostar	D 0-0	52.2	1295	1478	27.35%	24.37%	48.28%	-0.35	+2.0	19
2020-11-28	@ Sloboda Tuzla	D 0-0	52.2	1478	1295	48.28%	24.37%	27.35%	+0.35	-2.0	29
2020-11-29	Krupa	D 1-1	55.1	1263	1193	59.06%	23.31%	17.63%	+0.79	-3.8	12
2020-11-29	@ Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	55.1	1193	1263	17.63%	23.31%	59.06%	-0.79	+3.8	10
2020-12-01	Sloboda Tuzla	W 3-0	30.7	1401	1297	62.20%	22.77%	15.03%	+0.94	+19.9	28
2020-12-01	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-3	30.7	1297	1401	15.03%	22.77%	62.20%	-0.94	-19.9	19
2020-12-01	Velez Mostar	L 1-3	47.1	1309	1394	40.50%	24.62%	34.88%	+0.09	-27.2	24
2020-12-01	@ Tuzla City	W 3-1	47.1	1394	1309	34.88%	24.62%	40.50%	-0.09	+27.1	27
2020-12-02	Borac Banja Luka	L 1-3	40.2	1197	1441	20.77%	23.78%	55.44%	-0.63	-15.9	10
2020-12-02	@ Krupa	W 3-1	40.2	1441	1197	55.44%	23.78%	20.77%	+0.63	+15.9	31
2020-12-02	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-2	42.5	1207	1198	52.65%	24.06%	23.29%	+0.51	-39.1	10
2020-12-02	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	42.5	1198	1207	23.29%	24.06%	52.65%	-0.51	+39.1	19
2020-12-02	Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-1	40.9	1575	1259	76.42%	18.12%	5.46%	+1.89	+2.4	41
2020-12-02	@ Sarajevo	L 1-2	40.9	1259	1575	5.46%	18.12%	76.42%	-1.89	-2.4	12
2020-12-02	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 1-2	60.3	1476	1533	44.32%	24.54%	31.14%	+0.21	-16.9	29
2020-12-02	@ Zrinjski Mostar	W 2-1	60.3	1533	1476	31.14%	24.54%	44.32%	-0.21	+16.8	36
2020-12-05	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	28.3	1421	1168	72.98%	19.65%	7.36%	+1.61	+6.7	30
2020-12-05	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	28.3	1168	1421	7.36%	19.65%	72.98%	-1.61	-6.7	10
2020-12-05	Tuzla City	W 2-1	45.4	1257	1282	48.50%	24.36%	27.15%	+0.36	+11.5	15
2020-12-05	@ Radnik Bijeljina	L 1-2	45.4	1282	1257	27.15%	24.36%	48.50%	-0.36	-11.5	24
2020-12-06	Krupa	W 2-0	31.2	1277	1181	61.51%	22.90%	15.59%	+0.90	+14.2	22
2020-12-06	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-2	31.2	1181	1277	15.59%	22.90%	61.51%	-0.90	-14.2	10
2020-12-06	Sarajevo	D 2-2	72.0	1457	1577	35.57%	24.63%	39.80%	-0.07	+0.3	32
2020-12-06	@ Borac Banja Luka	D 2-2	72.0	1577	1457	39.80%	24.63%	35.57%	+0.07	-0.3	42
2020-12-06	Siroki Brijeg	L 2-3	69.3	1550	1421	64.36%	22.32%	13.32%	+1.05	-22.3	36
2020-12-06	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 3-2	69.3	1421	1550	13.32%	22.32%	64.36%	-1.05	+22.3	31
2020-12-06	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-1	38.8	1237	1459	22.96%	24.03%	53.02%	-0.53	-10.6	19
2020-12-06	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	38.8	1459	1237	53.02%	24.03%	22.96%	+0.53	+10.6	32
2020-12-12	Radnik Bijeljina	W 1-0	41.9	1162	1269	37.38%	24.64%	37.98%	-0.01	+15.8	13
2020-12-12	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	L 0-1	41.9	1269	1162	37.98%	24.64%	37.38%	+0.01	-15.8	15
2020-12-12	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-1	42.3	1577	1292	74.83%	18.87%	6.31%	+1.76	+2.8	45
2020-12-12	@ Sarajevo	L 1-2	42.3	1292	1577	6.31%	18.87%	74.83%	-1.76	-2.8	22
2020-12-12	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 2-1	57.6	1167	1528	11.99%	21.90%	66.11%	-1.15	+24.1	13
2020-12-12	@ Krupa	L 1-2	57.6	1528	1167	66.11%	21.90%	11.99%	+1.15	-24.1	36
2020-12-13	Borac Banja Luka	W 2-0	43.5	1271	1458	26.87%	24.34%	48.79%	-0.37	+36.5	27
2020-12-13	@ Tuzla City	L 0-2	43.5	1458	1271	48.79%	24.34%	26.87%	+0.37	-36.5	32
2020-12-13	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 4-0	27.9	1428	1226	69.74%	20.84%	9.42%	+1.38	+16.5	33
2020-12-13	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-4	27.9	1226	1428	9.42%	20.84%	69.74%	-1.38	-16.5	19
2020-12-13	Zrinjski Mostar	W 2-1	51.7	1443	1470	48.29%	24.37%	27.34%	+0.35	+11.6	34
2020-12-13	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 1-2	51.7	1470	1443	27.34%	24.37%	48.29%	-0.35	-11.5	32
2021-02-27	Krupa	W 1-0	32.1	1458	1191	73.82%	19.31%	6.88%	+1.67	+3.3	35
2021-02-27	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-1	32.1	1191	1458	6.88%	19.31%	73.82%	-1.67	-3.3	13
2021-02-27	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	28.5	1421	1177	72.42%	19.88%	7.70%	+1.57	+7.0	35
2021-02-27	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	28.5	1177	1421	7.70%	19.88%	72.42%	-1.57	-7.0	13
2021-02-27	Velez Mostar	D 0-0	51.0	1253	1444	26.32%	24.30%	49.37%	-0.39	+2.2	16
2021-02-27	@ Radnik Bijeljina	D 0-0	51.0	1444	1253	49.37%	24.30%	26.32%	+0.39	-2.2	34
2021-02-28	Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	37.7	1210	1455	20.71%	23.77%	55.52%	-0.63	-9.7	19
2021-02-28	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	37.7	1455	1210	55.52%	23.77%	20.71%	+0.63	+9.7	37
2021-02-28	Tuzla City	L 0-2	42.3	1289	1307	49.32%	24.31%	26.38%	+0.39	-36.9	22
2021-02-28	@ Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	42.3	1307	1289	26.38%	24.31%	49.32%	-0.39	+36.9	30
2021-03-01	Sarajevo	D 0-0	62.1	1504	1580	41.77%	24.60%	33.62%	+0.13	-0.8	37
2021-03-01	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 0-0	62.1	1580	1504	33.62%	24.60%	41.77%	-0.13	+0.8	46
2021-03-05	Borac Banja Luka	W 2-0	38.8	1442	1428	53.18%	24.01%	22.81%	+0.54	+19.9	37
2021-03-05	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	38.8	1428	1442	22.81%	24.01%	53.18%	-0.54	-19.9	35
2021-03-06	Siroki Brijeg	D 1-1	56.2	1188	1465	17.87%	23.35%	58.78%	-0.77	+3.7	14
2021-03-06	@ Krupa	D 1-1	56.2	1465	1188	58.78%	23.35%	17.87%	+0.77	-3.7	38
2021-03-06	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 2-0	45.0	1344	1503	30.30%	24.51%	45.19%	-0.24	+34.2	33
2021-03-06	@ Tuzla City	L 0-2	45.0	1503	1344	45.19%	24.51%	30.30%	+0.24	-34.2	37
2021-03-06	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-1	60.2	1580	1462	63.48%	22.51%	14.01%	+1.01	-24.7	46
2021-03-06	@ Sarajevo	W 1-0	60.2	1462	1580	14.01%	22.51%	63.48%	-1.01	+24.6	38
2021-03-07	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 3-1	38.7	1255	1200	57.55%	23.52%	18.93%	+0.72	+14.6	19
2021-03-07	@ Radnik Bijeljina	L 1-3	38.7	1200	1255	18.93%	23.52%	57.55%	-0.72	-14.6	19
2021-03-08	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	37.3	1170	1252	41.00%	24.62%	34.38%	+0.11	+27.7	16
2021-03-08	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	L 0-2	37.3	1252	1170	34.38%	24.62%	41.00%	-0.11	-27.7	22
2021-03-13	Krupa	W 1-0	37.8	1185	1192	50.81%	24.21%	24.98%	+0.44	+11.4	22
2021-03-13	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-1	37.8	1192	1185	24.98%	24.21%	50.81%	-0.44	-11.4	14
2021-03-13	Velez Mostar	L 1-2	44.6	1224	1462	21.39%	23.86%	54.75%	-0.60	-9.4	22
2021-03-13	@ Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-1	44.6	1462	1224	54.75%	23.86%	21.39%	+0.60	+9.4	40
2021-03-14	Sarajevo	W 1-0	51.8	1461	1556	39.11%	24.64%	36.26%	+0.04	+15.3	41
2021-03-14	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	51.8	1556	1461	36.26%	24.64%	39.11%	-0.04	-15.3	46
2021-03-14	Tuzla City	L 1-2	60.2	1486	1378	62.58%	22.70%	14.72%	+0.96	-22.9	38
2021-03-14	@ Zrinjski Mostar	W 2-1	60.2	1378	1486	14.72%	22.70%	62.58%	-0.96	+22.9	36
2021-03-15	Olimpik Sarajevo	L 0-1	52.4	1469	1198	74.01%	19.22%	6.76%	+1.69	-28.2	37
2021-03-15	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 1-0	52.4	1198	1469	6.76%	19.22%	74.01%	-1.69	+28.2	19
2021-03-15	Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	31.4	1408	1270	65.12%	22.15%	12.74%	+1.10	+11.7	38
2021-03-15	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	31.4	1270	1408	12.74%	22.15%	65.12%	-1.10	-11.7	19
2021-03-20	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	32.6	1420	1197	71.14%	20.36%	8.50%	+1.48	+4.1	41
2021-03-20	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-1	32.6	1197	1420	8.50%	20.36%	71.14%	-1.48	-4.1	22
2021-03-20	Radnik Bijeljina	D 2-2	64.2	1472	1258	70.54%	20.57%	8.89%	+1.43	-4.4	41
2021-03-20	@ Velez Mostar	D 2-2	64.2	1258	1472	8.89%	20.57%	70.54%	-1.43	+4.4	20
2021-03-20	Sloboda Tuzla	W 3-1	35.4	1463	1215	72.73%	19.76%	7.52%	+1.59	+5.9	41
2021-03-20	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-3	35.4	1215	1463	7.52%	19.76%	72.73%	-1.59	-5.9	22
2021-03-21	Krupa	W 1-0	31.5	1540	1180	78.64%	16.97%	4.39%	+2.09	+2.0	49
2021-03-21	@ Sarajevo	L 0-1	31.5	1180	1540	4.39%	16.97%	78.64%	-2.09	-2.0	14
2021-03-21	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	27.6	1476	1226	72.80%	19.73%	7.47%	+1.60	+9.9	44
2021-03-21	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-3	27.6	1226	1476	7.47%	19.73%	72.80%	-1.60	-9.9	19
2021-03-21	Tuzla City	D 0-0	54.0	1441	1401	55.95%	23.72%	20.32%	+0.65	-3.6	38
2021-03-21	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 0-0	54.0	1401	1441	20.32%	23.72%	55.95%	-0.65	+3.6	37
2021-04-02	Borac Banja Luka	L 1-3	43.7	1262	1424	29.95%	24.50%	45.55%	-0.26	-21.5	20
2021-04-02	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 3-1	43.7	1424	1262	45.55%	24.50%	29.95%	+0.26	+21.5	44
2021-04-02	Zrinjski Mostar	D 1-1	56.3	1193	1469	17.88%	23.35%	58.76%	-0.77	+3.7	23
2021-04-02	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 1-1	56.3	1469	1193	58.76%	23.35%	17.88%	+0.77	-3.7	42
2021-04-03	Siroki Brijeg	W 1-0	46.6	1542	1486	57.72%	23.50%	18.78%	+0.73	+8.9	52
2021-04-03	@ Sarajevo	L 0-1	46.6	1486	1542	18.78%	23.50%	57.72%	-0.73	-8.9	44
2021-04-03	Tuzla City	D 1-1	55.4	1178	1405	22.54%	23.98%	53.48%	-0.55	+2.7	15
2021-04-03	@ Krupa	D 1-1	55.4	1405	1178	53.48%	23.98%	22.54%	+0.55	-2.7	38
2021-04-03	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 1-0	47.5	1209	1437	22.37%	23.97%	53.67%	-0.56	+21.1	25
2021-04-03	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-1	47.5	1437	1209	53.67%	23.97%	22.37%	+0.56	-21.1	38
2021-04-05	Velez Mostar	D 1-1	56.4	1216	1467	20.17%	23.70%	56.13%	-0.66	+3.2	20
2021-04-05	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	D 1-1	56.4	1467	1216	56.13%	23.70%	20.17%	+0.66	-3.2	42
2021-04-10	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 4-4	67.6	1416	1196	70.91%	20.44%	8.65%	+1.46	-3.2	39
2021-04-10	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 4-4	67.6	1196	1416	8.65%	20.44%	70.91%	-1.46	+3.2	24
2021-04-10	Radnik Bijeljina	W 3-0	28.1	1466	1241	71.26%	20.31%	8.43%	+1.48	+11.2	45
2021-04-10	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-3	28.1	1241	1466	8.43%	20.31%	71.26%	-1.48	-11.2	20
2021-04-11	Krupa	D 2-2	63.9	1477	1181	75.42%	18.59%	5.98%	+1.80	-5.0	45
2021-04-11	@ Siroki Brijeg	D 2-2	63.9	1181	1477	5.98%	18.59%	75.42%	-1.80	+5.0	16
2021-04-11	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	27.6	1446	1220	71.33%	20.29%	8.38%	+1.49	+11.2	47
2021-04-11	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-3	27.6	1220	1446	8.38%	20.29%	71.33%	-1.49	-11.2	20
2021-04-11	Sloboda Tuzla	W 1-0	33.8	1402	1230	67.67%	21.48%	10.85%	+1.25	+5.3	41
2021-04-11	@ Tuzla City	L 0-1	33.8	1230	1402	10.85%	21.48%	67.67%	-1.25	-5.3	25
2021-04-12	Sarajevo	W 1-0	51.4	1464	1551	40.15%	24.63%	35.22%	+0.08	+14.9	45
2021-04-12	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-1	51.4	1551	1464	35.22%	24.63%	40.15%	-0.08	-14.9	52
2021-04-17	Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	54.0	1536	1457	60.00%	23.16%	16.84%	+0.83	-44.1	52
2021-04-17	@ Sarajevo	W 2-0	54.0	1457	1536	16.84%	23.16%	60.00%	-0.83	+44.1	50
2021-04-17	Sloboda Tuzla	W 1-0	39.1	1186	1225	46.75%	24.44%	28.81%	+0.30	+12.8	19
2021-04-17	@ Krupa	L 0-1	39.1	1225	1186	28.81%	24.44%	46.75%	-0.30	-12.8	25
2021-04-17	Tuzla City	W 2-0	42.9	1200	1407	24.54%	24.17%	51.29%	-0.46	+38.2	27
2021-04-17	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	L 0-2	42.9	1407	1200	51.29%	24.17%	24.54%	+0.46	-38.2	41
2021-04-18	Velez Mostar	L 0-2	50.0	1472	1479	50.74%	24.21%	25.05%	+0.44	-37.8	45
2021-04-18	@ Siroki Brijeg	W 2-0	50.0	1479	1472	25.05%	24.21%	50.74%	-0.44	+37.8	48
2021-04-18	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 1-1	55.8	1230	1413	27.33%	24.37%	48.30%	-0.35	+1.8	21
2021-04-18	@ Radnik Bijeljina	D 1-1	55.8	1413	1230	48.30%	24.37%	27.33%	+0.35	-1.8	40
2021-04-18	Zrinjski Mostar	L 0-3	31.8	1208	1477	18.58%	23.47%	57.95%	-0.74	-24.2	20
2021-04-18	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	31.8	1477	1208	57.95%	23.47%	18.58%	+0.74	+24.2	48
2021-04-24	Krupa	W 2-1	38.5	1517	1199	76.57%	18.05%	5.38%	+1.90	+2.4	51
2021-04-24	@ Velez Mostar	L 1-2	38.5	1199	1517	5.38%	18.05%	76.57%	-1.90	-2.4	19
2021-04-24	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	38.7	1212	1238	48.36%	24.36%	27.27%	+0.35	+12.2	28
2021-04-24	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-1	38.7	1238	1212	27.27%	24.36%	48.36%	-0.35	-12.2	27
2021-04-24	Sarajevo	D 1-1	64.3	1501	1492	52.54%	24.07%	23.39%	+0.51	-2.6	49
2021-04-24	@ Zrinjski Mostar	D 1-1	64.3	1492	1501	23.39%	24.07%	52.54%	-0.51	+2.6	53
2021-04-25	Olimpik Sarajevo	L 1-2	57.7	1411	1184	71.37%	20.27%	8.36%	+1.49	-25.8	40
2021-04-25	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 2-1	57.7	1184	1411	8.36%	20.27%	71.37%	-1.49	+25.8	23
2021-04-25	Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	30.7	1369	1231	65.05%	22.16%	12.79%	+1.09	+11.8	44
2021-04-25	@ Tuzla City	L 0-2	30.7	1231	1369	12.79%	22.16%	65.05%	-1.09	-11.8	21
2021-04-25	Siroki Brijeg	W 2-1	49.3	1501	1434	58.71%	23.36%	17.93%	+0.77	+8.0	53
2021-04-25	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 1-2	49.3	1434	1501	17.93%	23.36%	58.71%	-0.77	-8.0	45
2021-04-30	Borac Banja Luka	D 1-1	65.6	1519	1509	52.72%	24.05%	23.22%	+0.52	-2.6	52
2021-04-30	@ Velez Mostar	D 1-1	65.6	1509	1519	23.22%	24.05%	52.72%	-0.52	+2.6	54
2021-04-30	Sloboda Tuzla	L 1-2	52.2	1220	1224	51.00%	24.19%	24.81%	+0.45	-19.0	21
2021-04-30	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-1	52.2	1224	1220	24.81%	24.19%	51.00%	-0.45	+19.0	31
2021-05-01	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 3-0	33.3	1196	1226	47.94%	24.39%	27.68%	+0.34	+33.9	22
2021-05-01	@ Krupa	L 0-3	33.3	1226	1196	27.68%	24.39%	47.94%	-0.34	-33.9	27
2021-05-01	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 3-1	42.6	1495	1385	62.73%	22.67%	14.60%	+0.97	+11.6	56
2021-05-01	@ Sarajevo	L 1-3	42.6	1385	1495	14.60%	22.67%	62.73%	-0.97	-11.6	40
2021-05-01	Zrinjski Mostar	W 1-0	47.5	1426	1498	42.28%	24.59%	33.12%	+0.15	+14.2	48
2021-05-01	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	47.5	1498	1426	33.12%	24.59%	42.28%	-0.15	-14.2	49
2021-05-03	Tuzla City	D 1-1	55.3	1210	1381	28.83%	24.45%	46.72%	-0.30	+1.5	24
2021-05-03	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	D 1-1	55.3	1381	1210	46.72%	24.45%	28.83%	+0.30	-1.5	45
2021-05-07	Sarajevo	D 1-1	60.4	1379	1507	34.53%	24.62%	40.85%	-0.10	+0.5	46
2021-05-07	@ Tuzla City	D 1-1	60.4	1507	1379	40.85%	24.62%	34.53%	+0.10	-0.5	57
2021-05-07	Siroki Brijeg	L 1-3	49.8	1374	1441	42.98%	24.58%	32.44%	+0.17	-28.5	40
2021-05-07	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 3-1	49.8	1441	1374	32.44%	24.58%	42.98%	-0.17	+28.5	51
2021-05-08	Krupa	W 1-0	33.0	1511	1230	74.61%	18.96%	6.43%	+1.74	+3.1	57
2021-05-08	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-1	33.0	1230	1511	6.43%	18.96%	74.61%	-1.74	-3.1	22
2021-05-08	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 2-0	33.1	1243	1212	55.09%	23.82%	21.09%	+0.61	+18.6	34
2021-05-08	@ Sloboda Tuzla	L 0-2	33.1	1212	1243	21.09%	23.82%	55.09%	-0.61	-18.6	24
2021-05-08	Radnik Bijeljina	D 0-0	49.4	1192	1201	50.49%	24.23%	25.29%	+0.43	-2.5	28
2021-05-08	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 0-0	49.4	1201	1192	25.29%	24.23%	50.49%	-0.43	+2.5	22
2021-05-08	Velez Mostar	D 1-1	64.5	1484	1516	47.58%	24.40%	28.02%	+0.33	-1.7	50
2021-05-08	@ Zrinjski Mostar	D 1-1	64.5	1516	1484	28.02%	24.40%	47.58%	-0.33	+1.7	53
2021-05-11	Sloboda Tuzla	D 0-0	53.4	1506	1262	72.47%	19.86%	7.68%	+1.57	-6.9	58
2021-05-11	@ Sarajevo	D 0-0	53.4	1262	1506	7.68%	19.86%	72.47%	-1.57	+6.9	35
2021-05-11	Zrinjski Mostar	W 2-1	52.7	1515	1483	55.15%	23.81%	21.03%	+0.62	+9.3	60
2021-05-11	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 1-2	52.7	1483	1515	21.03%	23.81%	55.15%	-0.62	-9.3	50
2021-05-12	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 0-0	49.4	1193	1189	51.97%	24.12%	23.92%	+0.49	-2.8	25
2021-05-12	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	D 0-0	49.4	1189	1193	23.92%	24.12%	51.97%	-0.49	+2.8	29
2021-05-12	Radnik Bijeljina	W 1-0	36.9	1227	1203	54.28%	23.91%	21.81%	+0.58	+10.2	25
2021-05-12	@ Krupa	L 0-1	36.9	1203	1227	21.81%	23.91%	54.28%	-0.58	-10.1	22
2021-05-12	Tuzla City	D 0-0	54.4	1469	1380	60.88%	23.02%	16.11%	+0.87	-4.6	52
2021-05-12	@ Siroki Brijeg	D 0-0	54.4	1380	1469	16.11%	23.02%	60.88%	-0.87	+4.6	47
2021-05-12	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	D 2-2	66.9	1518	1345	67.74%	21.46%	10.80%	+1.25	-4.0	54
2021-05-12	@ Velez Mostar	D 2-2	66.9	1345	1518	10.80%	21.46%	67.74%	-1.25	+4.0	41
2021-05-16	Borac Banja Luka	L 1-2	50.7	1349	1524	28.35%	24.42%	47.23%	-0.31	-11.9	41
2021-05-16	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 2-1	50.7	1524	1349	47.23%	24.42%	28.35%	+0.31	+11.9	63
2021-05-16	Krupa	W 3-1	36.1	1473	1237	71.96%	20.05%	7.99%	+1.53	+6.3	53
2021-05-16	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-3	36.1	1237	1473	7.99%	20.05%	71.96%	-1.53	-6.3	25
2021-05-16	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 1-0	37.5	1193	1190	51.84%	24.13%	24.03%	+0.48	+11.0	25
2021-05-16	@ Radnik Bijeljina	L 0-1	37.5	1190	1193	24.03%	24.13%	51.84%	-0.48	-11.0	25
2021-05-16	Sarajevo	D 0-0	51.4	1192	1499	15.50%	22.88%	61.62%	-0.91	+4.8	30
2021-05-16	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	D 0-0	51.4	1499	1192	61.62%	22.88%	15.50%	+0.91	-4.8	59
2021-05-16	Siroki Brijeg	D 1-1	56.9	1269	1464	25.85%	24.27%	49.88%	-0.41	+2.1	36
2021-05-16	@ Sloboda Tuzla	D 1-1	56.9	1464	1269	49.88%	24.27%	25.85%	+0.41	-2.1	53
2021-05-16	Velez Mostar	D 1-1	60.8	1384	1514	34.19%	24.61%	41.20%	-0.11	+0.6	48
2021-05-16	@ Tuzla City	D 1-1	60.8	1514	1384	41.20%	24.61%	34.19%	+0.11	-0.6	55
2021-05-23	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	32.2	1462	1197	73.71%	19.35%	6.93%	+1.67	+3.3	56
2021-05-23	@ Siroki Brijeg	L 0-1	32.2	1197	1462	6.93%	19.35%	73.71%	-1.67	-3.3	30
2021-05-23	Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	30.5	1231	1179	57.22%	23.57%	19.21%	+0.70	+24.9	28
2021-05-23	@ Krupa	L 0-3	30.5	1179	1231	19.21%	23.57%	57.22%	-0.70	-24.9	25
2021-05-23	Radnik Bijeljina	W 3-0	26.8	1494	1204	75.11%	18.74%	6.15%	+1.78	+8.0	62
2021-05-23	@ Sarajevo	L 0-3	26.8	1204	1494	6.15%	18.74%	75.11%	-1.78	-8.0	25
2021-05-23	Sloboda Tuzla	W 2-0	30.9	1514	1271	72.38%	19.89%	7.73%	+1.56	+7.1	58
2021-05-23	@ Velez Mostar	L 0-2	30.9	1271	1514	7.73%	19.89%	72.38%	-1.56	-7.1	36
2021-05-23	Tuzla City	W 2-0	36.6	1536	1385	66.06%	21.91%	12.03%	+1.15	+11.1	66
2021-05-23	@ Borac Banja Luka	L 0-2	36.6	1385	1536	12.03%	21.91%	66.06%	-1.15	-11.1	48
2021-05-23	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	W 4-2	43.5	1480	1337	65.42%	22.07%	12.51%	+1.11	+8.9	56
2021-05-23	@ Zrinjski Mostar	L 2-4	43.5	1337	1480	12.51%	22.07%	65.42%	-1.11	-8.9	41
2021-05-30	Borac Banja Luka	D 0-0	53.3	1264	1547	17.34%	23.26%	59.40%	-0.80	+4.3	37
2021-05-30	@ Sloboda Tuzla	D 0-0	53.3	1547	1264	59.40%	23.26%	17.34%	+0.80	-4.3	67
2021-05-30	Krupa	W 3-0	30.5	1328	1256	59.31%	23.27%	17.42%	+0.80	+22.8	44
2021-05-30	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	L 0-3	30.5	1256	1328	17.42%	23.27%	59.31%	-0.80	-22.8	28
2021-05-30	Sarajevo	L 0-3	29.3	1154	1502	12.76%	22.15%	65.09%	-1.09	-17.0	25
2021-05-30	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	W 3-0	29.3	1502	1154	65.09%	22.15%	12.76%	+1.09	+17.0	65
2021-05-30	Siroki Brijeg	L 0-2	33.3	1196	1466	18.46%	23.45%	58.09%	-0.74	-16.5	25
2021-05-30	@ Radnik Bijeljina	W 2-0	33.3	1466	1196	58.09%	23.45%	18.46%	+0.74	+16.5	59
2021-05-30	Velez Mostar	L 0-1	36.0	1193	1521	14.09%	22.54%	63.37%	-1.00	-6.8	30
2021-05-30	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	W 1-0	36.0	1521	1193	63.37%	22.54%	14.09%	+1.00	+6.8	61
2021-05-30	Zrinjski Mostar	L 1-2	52.8	1374	1489	36.29%	24.64%	39.07%	-0.04	-14.4	48
2021-05-30	@ Tuzla City	W 2-1	52.8	1489	1374	39.07%	24.64%	36.29%	+0.04	+14.4	59

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-08-21	5.09%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1184	1	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1514	0
2	2021-03-15	6.76%	Olimpik Sarajevo	1198	1	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1469	0
3	2020-09-19	7.48%	Krupa	1251	1	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1501	0
4	2021-04-25	8.36%	Olimpik Sarajevo	1184	2	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1411	1
5	2020-12-12	11.99%	@ Krupa	1167	2	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1528	1
6	2020-10-24	12.23%	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	1134	3	Zrinjski Mostar	1491	0
7	2020-12-06	13.32%	Siroki Brijeg	1421	3	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1550	2
8	2021-03-06	14.01%	Zrinjski Mostar	1462	1	@ Sarajevo	1580	0
9	2021-03-14	14.72%	Tuzla City	1378	2	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1486	1
10	2021-04-17	16.84%	Borac Banja Luka	1457	2	@ Sarajevo	1536	0
11	2020-10-17	22.30%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1212	1	@ Krupa	1232	0
12	2021-04-03	22.37%	@ Sloboda Tuzla	1209	1	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1437	0
13	2020-12-02	23.29%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1198	2	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	1207	0
14	2021-04-17	24.54%	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1200	2	Tuzla City	1407	0
15	2021-04-30	24.81%	Sloboda Tuzla	1224	2	@ Radnik Bijeljina	1220	1
16	2021-04-18	25.05%	Velez Mostar	1479	2	@ Siroki Brijeg	1472	0
17	2021-02-28	26.38%	Tuzla City	1307	2	@ Sloboda Tuzla	1289	0
18	2020-12-13	26.87%	@ Tuzla City	1271	2	Borac Banja Luka	1458	0
19	2020-09-12	27.21%	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	1207	2	Velez Mostar	1392	1
20	2020-08-29	28.92%	@ Sloboda Tuzla	1266	3	Siroki Brijeg	1436	0
21	2020-09-13	30.21%	Sloboda Tuzla	1317	3	@ Krupa	1267	2
22	2021-03-06	30.30%	@ Tuzla City	1344	2	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1503	0
23	2020-08-07	30.31%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1449	2	@ Radnik Bijeljina	1398	0
24	2020-11-01	30.58%	@ Sloboda Tuzla	1303	1	Borac Banja Luka	1460	0
25	2020-12-02	31.14%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1533	2	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1476	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-10-24	69.77	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	3	1134	12.23%	Zrinjski Mostar	0	1491	65.79%	21.98%
2	2020-10-16	61.83	Zrinjski Mostar	4	1429	32.89%	@ Tuzla City	0	1359	42.53%	24.59%
3	2020-08-29	51.06	@ Sloboda Tuzla	3	1266	28.92%	Siroki Brijeg	0	1436	46.63%	24.45%
4	2021-04-17	44.08	Borac Banja Luka	2	1457	16.84%	@ Sarajevo	0	1536	60.00%	23.16%
5	2020-09-28	40.72	Zrinjski Mostar	3	1402	40.38%	@ Krupa	0	1279	34.99%	24.62%
6	2020-08-01	40.16	@ Borac Banja Luka	6	1372	61.12%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1281	15.91%	22.97%
7	2020-11-22	39.40	@ Siroki Brijeg	5	1358	57.64%	Radnik Bijeljina	0	1303	18.84%	23.51%
8	2020-12-02	39.08	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	1198	23.29%	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1207	52.65%	24.06%
9	2021-04-17	38.18	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	1200	24.54%	Tuzla City	0	1407	51.29%	24.17%
10	2021-04-18	37.82	Velez Mostar	2	1479	25.05%	@ Siroki Brijeg	0	1472	50.74%	24.21%
11	2021-02-28	36.88	Tuzla City	2	1307	26.38%	@ Sloboda Tuzla	0	1289	49.32%	24.31%
12	2020-12-13	36.54	@ Tuzla City	2	1271	26.87%	Borac Banja Luka	0	1458	48.79%	24.34%
13	2020-08-07	34.24	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2	1449	30.31%	@ Radnik Bijeljina	0	1398	45.18%	24.51%
14	2021-03-06	34.24	@ Tuzla City	2	1344	30.30%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0	1503	45.19%	24.51%
15	2021-05-01	33.86	@ Krupa	3	1196	47.94%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1226	27.68%	24.39%
16	2020-08-22	33.20	@ Siroki Brijeg	3	1403	48.64%	Borac Banja Luka	0	1426	27.01%	24.35%
17	2020-11-27	30.87	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	4	1503	58.49%	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1229	18.12%	23.39%
18	2020-08-15	30.85	Tuzla City	5	1326	38.64%	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	1215	36.72%	24.64%
19	2020-11-07	30.53	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	1206	36.21%	Sloboda Tuzla	0	1321	39.15%	24.64%
20	2020-11-08	29.51	Zrinjski Mostar	2	1439	37.93%	@ Radnik Bijeljina	0	1332	37.43%	24.64%
21	2020-08-21	29.07	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1	1184	5.09%	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0	1514	77.15%	17.75%
22	2020-08-31	28.63	Sarajevo	2	1483	39.40%	@ Radnik Bijeljina	0	1366	35.96%	24.63%
23	2021-05-07	28.46	Siroki Brijeg	3	1441	32.44%	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1	1374	42.98%	24.58%
24	2021-03-15	28.20	Olimpik Sarajevo	1	1198	6.76%	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0	1469	74.01%	19.22%
25	2020-09-19	27.84	Krupa	1	1251	7.48%	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0	1501	72.80%	19.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-12-06	72.0	@ Borac Banja Luka	2	1457	35.57%	Sarajevo	2	1577	39.80%	24.63%
2	2020-12-06	69.3	Siroki Brijeg	3	1421	13.32%	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2	1550	64.36%	22.32%
3	2020-11-04	68.3	@ Sarajevo	1	1581	58.56%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1	1516	18.05%	23.38%
4	2021-04-10	67.6	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	4	1416	70.91%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	4	1196	8.65%	20.44%
5	2021-05-12	66.9	@ Velez Mostar	2	1518	67.74%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2	1345	10.80%	21.46%
6	2021-04-30	65.6	@ Velez Mostar	1	1519	52.72%	Borac Banja Luka	1	1509	23.22%	24.05%
7	2020-11-21	65.5	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2	1507	70.69%	Sloboda Tuzla	2	1291	8.79%	20.52%
8	2021-05-08	64.5	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1	1484	47.58%	Velez Mostar	1	1516	28.02%	24.40%
9	2021-04-24	64.3	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1	1501	52.54%	Sarajevo	1	1492	23.39%	24.07%
10	2021-03-20	64.2	@ Velez Mostar	2	1472	70.54%	Radnik Bijeljina	2	1258	8.89%	20.57%
11	2020-08-11	64.1	@ Siroki Brijeg	2	1403	54.97%	Velez Mostar	2	1373	21.19%	23.83%
12	2021-04-11	63.9	@ Siroki Brijeg	2	1477	75.42%	Krupa	2	1181	5.98%	18.59%
13	2020-08-08	63.2	@ Mladost Doboj Kakanj	2	1240	20.85%	Sarajevo	2	1484	55.36%	23.79%
14	2020-10-05	62.8	Sarajevo	3	1545	37.32%	@ Zrinjski Mostar	2	1443	38.04%	24.64%
15	2020-11-09	62.6	@ Borac Banja Luka	4	1442	41.55%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	3	1520	33.84%	24.61%
16	2021-03-01	62.1	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0	1504	41.77%	Sarajevo	0	1580	33.62%	24.60%
17	2020-10-24	60.8	@ Velez Mostar	1	1402	38.88%	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1	1499	36.49%	24.64%
18	2021-05-16	60.8	@ Tuzla City	1	1384	34.19%	Velez Mostar	1	1514	41.20%	24.61%
19	2020-08-23	60.6	@ Sarajevo	1	1488	61.62%	Velez Mostar	1	1390	15.50%	22.88%
20	2021-05-07	60.4	@ Tuzla City	1	1379	34.53%	Sarajevo	1	1507	40.85%	24.62%
21	2020-12-02	60.3	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2	1533	31.14%	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1	1476	44.32%	24.54%
22	2021-03-06	60.2	Zrinjski Mostar	1	1462	14.01%	@ Sarajevo	0	1580	63.48%	22.51%
23	2021-03-14	60.2	Tuzla City	2	1378	14.72%	@ Zrinjski Mostar	1	1486	62.58%	22.70%
24	2020-11-28	59.4	@ Borac Banja Luka	1	1445	56.75%	Siroki Brijeg	1	1398	19.62%	23.63%
25	2020-11-28	58.0	@ Velez Mostar	0	1392	27.17%	Sarajevo	0	1577	48.48%	24.36%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-23	26.8	@ Sarajevo	3	1494	75.11%	Radnik Bijeljina	0	1204	6.15%	18.74%
2	2020-10-25	27.1	@ Sarajevo	3	1569	78.57%	Krupa	0	1210	4.42%	17.01%
3	2021-03-21	27.6	@ Siroki Brijeg	3	1476	72.80%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1226	7.47%	19.73%
4	2021-04-11	27.6	@ Borac Banja Luka	3	1446	71.33%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1220	8.38%	20.29%
5	2020-12-13	27.9	@ Velez Mostar	4	1428	69.74%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1226	9.42%	20.84%
6	2021-04-10	28.1	@ Zrinjski Mostar	3	1466	71.26%	Radnik Bijeljina	0	1241	8.43%	20.31%
7	2020-12-05	28.3	@ Velez Mostar	2	1421	72.98%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1168	7.36%	19.65%
8	2020-11-22	28.5	@ Sarajevo	2	1573	79.44%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1196	4.04%	16.53%
9	2021-02-27	28.5	@ Borac Banja Luka	2	1421	72.42%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1177	7.70%	19.88%
10	2020-09-19	29.1	@ Radnik Bijeljina	4	1328	63.18%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1213	14.24%	22.58%
11	2021-05-30	29.3	Sarajevo	3	1502	65.09%	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1154	12.76%	22.15%
12	2020-10-17	29.6	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	3	1480	63.38%	@ Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1153	14.08%	22.53%
13	2020-10-04	29.9	@ Sloboda Tuzla	2	1314	66.01%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1164	12.07%	21.93%
14	2020-09-12	30.2	@ Zrinjski Mostar	2	1392	67.34%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1225	11.09%	21.57%
15	2021-05-23	30.5	@ Krupa	3	1231	57.22%	Olimpik Sarajevo	0	1179	19.21%	23.57%
16	2021-05-30	30.5	@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	3	1328	59.31%	Krupa	0	1256	17.42%	23.27%
17	2020-10-30	30.6	@ Sarajevo	5	1575	78.75%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	1	1212	4.34%	16.91%
18	2020-12-01	30.7	@ Siroki Brijeg	3	1401	62.20%	Sloboda Tuzla	0	1297	15.03%	22.77%
19	2021-04-25	30.7	@ Tuzla City	2	1369	65.05%	Radnik Bijeljina	0	1231	12.79%	22.16%
20	2021-05-23	30.9	@ Velez Mostar	2	1514	72.38%	Sloboda Tuzla	0	1271	7.73%	19.89%
21	2020-12-06	31.2	@ Sloboda Tuzla	2	1277	61.51%	Krupa	0	1181	15.59%	22.90%
22	2021-03-15	31.4	@ Borac Banja Luka	2	1408	65.12%	Radnik Bijeljina	0	1270	12.74%	22.15%
23	2021-03-21	31.5	@ Sarajevo	1	1540	78.64%	Krupa	0	1180	4.39%	16.97%
24	2020-08-07	31.7	@ Borac Banja Luka	2	1413	64.71%	Sloboda Tuzla	0	1279	13.05%	22.24%
25	2020-08-12	31.7	@ Sloboda Tuzla	3	1267	54.32%	Mladost Doboj Kakanj	0	1243	21.78%	23.90%