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2025-26 Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Borac Banja Luka

86 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 2023-24

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Borac Banja Luka

9.52 points above expected

86 points · 76.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

9.92 points below expected

42 points · 51.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Borac Banja Luka Champion 36 27 5 4 86 76 20 +56 76.48 +9.52
2 Zrinjski Mostar 36 21 8 7 71 48 25 +23 73.35 -2.35
3 Sarajevo 36 19 8 9 65 54 37 +17 61.68 +3.32
4 Velez Mostar 36 14 9 13 51 36 35 +1 48.12 +2.88
5 Siroki Brijeg 36 11 12 13 45 37 48 -11 41.02 +3.98
6 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 36 10 12 14 42 34 37 -3 51.92 -9.92
7 Radnik Bijeljina 36 8 11 17 35 27 45 -18 39.51 -4.51
8 Posusje 36 8 10 18 34 25 41 -16 39.99 -5.99
9 Sloga Doboj 36 8 10 18 34 21 46 -25 35.28 -1.28
10 Rudar Prijedor 36 7 9 20 30 31 55 -24 29.78 +0.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Borac Banja Luka 86 76.48 +9.52
2 Siroki Brijeg 45 41.02 +3.98
3 Sarajevo 65 61.68 +3.32
4 Velez Mostar 51 48.12 +2.88
5 Rudar Prijedor 30 29.78 +0.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 42 51.92 -9.92
2 Posusje 34 39.99 -5.99
3 Radnik Bijeljina 35 39.51 -4.51
4 Zrinjski Mostar 71 73.35 -2.35
5 Sloga Doboj 34 35.28 -1.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarajevo 5 Dec 7 – Feb 21 1 in 49
2 Borac Banja Luka 8 Feb 14 – Apr 10 1 in 32
3 Velez Mostar 3 Oct 25 – Nov 9 1 in 24
4 Zrinjski Mostar 5 Oct 18 – Nov 21 1 in 16
5 Rudar Prijedor 2 Nov 9 – Nov 22 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 4 Feb 8 – Mar 2 1 in 101
2 Siroki Brijeg 4 Apr 4 – Apr 21 1 in 57
3 Velez Mostar 3 Aug 15 – Aug 30 1 in 37
4 Sloga Doboj 5 Feb 6 – Mar 7 1 in 17
5 Radnik Bijeljina 4 Nov 9 – Dec 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Velez Mostar 9 Oct 25 – Feb 7 1 in 133
2 Borac Banja Luka 17 Feb 7 – May 26 1 in 16
3 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 7 Jul 27 – Sep 15 1 in 15
4 Rudar Prijedor 3 Aug 9 – Aug 22 1 in 12
5 Siroki Brijeg 5 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 12 Oct 25 – Mar 2 1 in 1,330
2 Posusje 8 Apr 17 – May 26 1 in 22
3 Siroki Brijeg 8 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 19
4 Sloga Doboj 10 Dec 4 – Mar 14 1 in 19
5 Rudar Prijedor 9 Aug 22 – Oct 31 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Borac Banja Luka 1649 86 +10 13 11.1 +1.9
Zrinjski Mostar 1562 71 +13 11 10.9 +0.1
Sarajevo 1516 65 +7 10 9.0 +1.0
Velez Mostar 1380 51 -5 7 7.3 -0.3
Siroki Brijeg 1316 45 +7 5 4.9 +0.1
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1388 42 -4 4 5.9 -1.9
Radnik Bijeljina 1267 35 -25 2 4.3 -2.3
Sloga Doboj 1246 34 +22 10 5.9 +4.1
Posusje 1300 34 -17 2 5.4 -3.4
Rudar Prijedor 1232 30 -8 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBL POS RB RP SAR SB SD VM ZS ZM
Borac Banja Luka —
4-0-0
9.25
3-1-0
9.28
4-0-0
9.75
3-0-1
7.20
4-0-0
8.98
4-0-0
9.38
1-3-0
8.48
3-0-1
8.14
1-1-2
6.01
Posusje
0-0-4
2.02
 —
2-1-1
5.41
1-1-2
6.59
0-0-4
3.32
1-3-0
5.00
0-1-3
6.26
1-2-1
4.48
1-1-2
4.02
2-1-1
2.35
Radnik Bijeljina
0-1-3
1.99
1-1-2
5.51
 —
2-1-1
6.58
0-2-2
3.38
2-1-1
5.00
0-3-1
6.16
2-0-2
4.51
1-2-1
4.11
0-0-4
2.39
Rudar Prijedor
0-0-4
1.62
2-1-1
4.36
1-1-2
4.37
 —
1-1-2
2.46
1-0-3
3.95
1-2-1
4.88
0-0-4
3.65
1-2-1
3.01
0-2-2
1.82
Sarajevo
1-0-3
3.78
4-0-0
7.72
2-2-0
7.66
2-1-1
8.71
 —
0-2-2
7.55
3-0-1
8.22
3-1-0
6.89
2-1-1
6.44
2-1-1
4.02
Siroki Brijeg
0-0-4
2.23
0-3-1
5.92
1-1-2
5.92
3-0-1
7.03
2-2-0
3.49
 —
2-1-1
6.47
1-0-3
5.04
1-3-0
4.36
1-2-1
2.53
Sloga Doboj
0-0-4
1.93
3-1-0
4.68
1-3-0
4.78
1-2-1
6.05
1-0-3
2.88
1-1-2
4.47
 —
1-1-2
4.22
0-2-2
3.66
0-0-4
2.11
Velez Mostar
0-3-1
2.67
1-2-1
6.46
2-0-2
6.44
4-0-0
7.36
0-1-3
4.08
3-0-1
5.88
2-1-1
6.74
 —
2-1-1
4.99
0-1-3
2.95
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1-0-3
2.96
2-1-1
6.96
1-2-1
6.86
1-2-1
8.08
1-1-2
4.52
0-3-1
6.61
2-2-0
7.35
1-1-2
5.95
 —
1-0-3
3.31
Zrinjski Mostar
2-1-1
4.91
1-1-2
8.85
4-0-0
8.79
2-2-0
9.50
1-1-2
6.95
1-2-1
8.63
4-0-0
9.14
3-1-0
8.13
3-0-1
7.72
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +10.8
Allowed 0.79 -15.8
Differential 0.96 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.67%14.72%5.83%3.89%1.39%0.28%37.78%
114.72%9.44%5.83%2.50%—1.11%33.61%
25.83%5.83%3.89%0.83%0.56%—16.94%
33.89%2.50%0.83%0.56%——7.78%
41.39%—0.56%—0.56%—2.50%
5+0.28%1.11%————1.39%
Total37.78%33.61%16.94%7.78%2.50%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.69
CV 1.07 1.07 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
122.22%5.56%2.78%———30.56%
213.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%11.11%————13.89%
Total55.56%36.11%5.56%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.56 +1.56
SD 1.58 0.73 1.68
CV 0.75 1.32 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%11.11%8.33%——50.00%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%38.89%16.67%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.14 -0.44
SD 0.89 1.02 1.50
CV 1.28 0.89 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%19.44%8.33%2.78%5.56%—55.56%
18.33%5.56%8.33%——2.78%25.00%
25.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%30.56%19.44%2.78%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.25 -0.50
SD 1.05 1.36 1.65
CV 1.40 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%8.33%2.78%—2.78%44.44%
18.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
2—2.78%5.56%—5.56%—13.89%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%38.89%25.00%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.53 -0.67
SD 0.96 1.32 1.57
CV 1.12 0.86 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
122.22%2.78%8.33%——2.78%36.11%
25.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
45.56%—2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
5+———————
Total47.22%16.67%30.56%—2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.03 +0.47
SD 1.25 1.23 1.68
CV 0.84 1.20 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
116.67%13.89%5.56%5.56%—5.56%47.22%
2—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%19.44%11.11%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.31
SD 0.97 1.33 1.62
CV 0.94 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%19.44%2.78%11.11%5.56%—58.33%
18.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%11.11%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.28 -0.69
SD 0.77 1.26 1.56
CV 1.32 0.98 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%19.44%2.78%5.56%——41.67%
116.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%41.67%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.97 +0.03
SD 1.10 0.97 1.40
CV 1.10 1.00 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%19.44%2.78%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
111.11%13.89%8.33%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%—2.78%———8.33%
38.33%—2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.03 -0.08
SD 1.04 1.08 1.54
CV 1.10 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
119.44%11.11%5.56%———36.11%
213.89%11.11%2.78%———27.78%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.69 +0.64
SD 0.99 0.82 1.44
CV 0.74 1.18 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Borac Banja Luka 1649 86 76.48 +9.52 93.0% 62 66 72 76 82 87 91
Zrinjski Mostar 1562 71 73.35 -2.35 39.0% 49 62 68 73 78 86 88
Sarajevo 1516 65 61.68 +3.32 75.0% 44 52 57 61 65 75 79
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1388 42 51.92 -9.92 9.0% 37 41 47 51 56 63 65
Velez Mostar 1380 51 48.12 +2.88 62.0% 29 35 42 49 53 60 64
Siroki Brijeg 1316 45 41.02 +3.98 72.0% 24 29 36 41 46 52 56
Posusje 1300 34 39.99 -5.99 24.0% 23 28 35 40 46 52 59
Radnik Bijeljina 1267 35 39.51 -4.51 28.0% 18 27 35 40 45 50 58
Sloga Doboj 1246 34 35.28 -1.28 52.0% 22 25 30 34 41 45 59
Rudar Prijedor 1232 30 29.78 +0.22 57.0% 14 20 25 29 34 41 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 28% * Slight Edge: 28% to 37% * Clear Edge: 37% to 51.5% * Strong Edge: 51.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.56%
No Edge
47.22%26.11%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
213 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
072.45600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Borac Banja Luka, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Runaway
00.210.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.65 * Some Luck: 5.65 to 8.48 * Lucky: 8.48 to 11.31 * Wild Swing: 11.31 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.78 * Close: 0.78 to 1.16 * Off: 1.16 to 1.55 * Way Off: 1.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.35 points
As Expected
07.0718
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
00.972
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Borac Banja Luka
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.00%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2 * Wide Separation: 2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 64.5% * Slight Edge: 64.5% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 144.00
2.40
Wide Separation
0.851.451.822.75
Interquartile Edge
77%
Wide Edge
50%64.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Upset-Prone: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 19.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 13% * Shaky Favorites: 13% to 15% * Very Shaky: 15% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.61
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.93
Near-Lock
00.420.610.791
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.78
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Borac Banja Luka64.00%34.00%2.00%———————
Zrinjski Mostar34.00%55.00%10.00%——1.00%————
Sarajevo2.00%9.00%69.00%16.00%3.00%1.00%————
Velez Mostar——6.00%27.00%24.00%19.00%12.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%
Siroki Brijeg——1.00%3.00%16.00%25.00%16.00%20.00%13.00%6.00%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo—2.00%11.00%43.00%27.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—
Radnik Bijeljina——1.00%4.00%11.00%17.00%21.00%23.00%8.00%15.00%
Posusje———5.00%15.00%19.00%21.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%
Sloga Doboj———2.00%3.00%6.00%20.00%17.00%34.00%18.00%
Rudar Prijedor————1.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%24.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Borac Banja Luka 100% —
Sarajevo 100% —
Zrinjski Mostar 100% —
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 99.00% 1.00%
Velez Mostar 96.00% 4.00%
Siroki Brijeg 81.00% 19.00%
Radnik Bijeljina 77.00% 23.00%
Posusje 76.00% 24.00%
Sloga Doboj 48.00% 52.00%
Rudar Prijedor 23.00% 77.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-07-26 Posusje D 1-155.4 1334 1321 48.29% 26.68% 25.03%+0.40 -1.0 1
2025-07-26 @ Siroki Brijeg D 1-155.4 1321 1334 25.03% 26.68% 48.29%-0.40 +1.0 1
2025-07-26 Velez Mostar W 2-150.4 1279 1369 34.02% 27.67% 38.30%-0.08 +7.4 3
2025-07-26 @ Sloga Doboj L 1-250.4 1369 1279 38.30% 27.67% 34.02%+0.08 -7.4 0
2025-07-27 Rudar Prijedor W 6-028.6 1552 1235 78.73% 14.21% 7.06%+1.82 +7.5 3
2025-07-27 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-628.6 1235 1552 7.06% 14.21% 78.73%-1.82 -7.5 0
2025-07-27 Radnik Bijeljina D 1-157.2 1417 1315 58.90% 23.88% 17.22%+0.82 -1.8 1
2025-07-27 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-157.2 1315 1417 17.22% 23.88% 58.90%-0.82 +1.8 1
2025-08-02 Siroki Brijeg L 1-344.0 1228 1333 31.90% 27.58% 40.52%-0.16 -11.2 0
2025-08-02 @ Rudar Prijedor W 3-144.0 1333 1228 40.52% 27.58% 31.90%+0.16 +11.2 4
2025-08-03 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-143.9 1322 1415 33.61% 27.66% 38.73%-0.10 -7.1 1
2025-08-03 @ Posusje W 1-043.9 1415 1322 38.73% 27.66% 33.61%+0.10 +7.1 4
2025-08-03 Radnik Bijeljina D 4-469.0 1471 1316 64.48% 21.66% 13.85%+1.06 -1.2 1
2025-08-03 @ Sarajevo D 4-469.0 1316 1471 13.85% 21.66% 64.48%-1.06 +1.2 2
2025-08-03 Borac Banja Luka D 1-161.4 1361 1559 21.61% 25.76% 52.63%-0.59 +1.3 1
2025-08-03 @ Velez Mostar D 1-161.4 1559 1361 52.63% 25.76% 21.61%+0.59 -1.3 4
2025-08-09 Sarajevo W 2-155.1 1286 1470 22.96% 26.17% 50.87%-0.52 +9.2 6
2025-08-09 @ Sloga Doboj L 1-255.1 1470 1286 50.87% 26.17% 22.96%+0.52 -9.2 1
2025-08-09 Rudar Prijedor D 1-157.5 1422 1217 69.41% 19.34% 11.26%+1.30 -2.6 5
2025-08-09 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-157.5 1217 1422 11.26% 19.34% 69.41%-1.30 +2.6 1
2025-08-10 Posusje W 2-036.8 1318 1315 46.91% 26.91% 26.19%+0.35 +11.0 5
2025-08-10 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-236.8 1315 1318 26.19% 26.91% 46.91%-0.35 -11.0 1
2025-08-10 Velez Mostar L 1-348.9 1345 1363 44.11% 27.27% 28.62%+0.25 -14.2 4
2025-08-10 @ Siroki Brijeg W 3-148.9 1363 1345 28.62% 27.27% 44.11%-0.25 +14.2 4
2025-08-15 Radnik Bijeljina W 1-044.3 1219 1329 31.40% 27.54% 41.05%-0.17 +8.2 4
2025-08-15 @ Rudar Prijedor L 0-144.3 1329 1219 41.05% 27.54% 31.40%+0.17 -8.2 5
2025-08-15 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-147.2 1377 1419 40.76% 27.56% 31.67%+0.14 -8.2 4
2025-08-15 @ Velez Mostar W 1-047.2 1419 1377 31.67% 27.56% 40.76%-0.14 +8.2 8
2025-08-16 Posusje W 2-142.8 1461 1304 64.71% 21.56% 13.73%+1.07 +3.0 4
2025-08-16 @ Sarajevo L 1-242.8 1304 1461 13.73% 21.56% 64.71%-1.07 -3.0 1
2025-08-17 Borac Banja Luka L 0-140.1 1295 1558 16.47% 23.45% 60.08%-0.89 -3.8 6
2025-08-17 @ Sloga Doboj W 1-040.1 1558 1295 60.08% 23.45% 16.47%+0.89 +3.8 7
2025-08-17 Siroki Brijeg D 0-057.5 1565 1330 72.08% 17.95% 9.97%+1.44 -3.1 1
2025-08-17 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 0-057.5 1330 1565 9.97% 17.95% 72.08%-1.44 +3.1 5
2025-08-22 Rudar Prijedor D 0-049.7 1301 1227 55.64% 24.94% 19.42%+0.68 -1.8 2
2025-08-22 @ Posusje D 0-049.7 1227 1301 19.42% 24.94% 55.64%-0.68 +1.8 5
2025-08-23 Velez Mostar W 3-037.7 1320 1369 39.93% 27.61% 32.46%+0.11 +19.0 8
2025-08-23 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-337.7 1369 1320 32.46% 27.61% 39.93%-0.11 -19.0 4
2025-08-23 Sloga Doboj W 1-038.7 1333 1292 51.86% 25.95% 22.19%+0.54 +5.1 8
2025-08-23 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-138.7 1292 1333 22.19% 25.95% 51.86%-0.54 -5.1 6
2025-08-24 Sarajevo W 5-144.2 1562 1464 58.47% 24.03% 17.50%+0.80 +12.1 10
2025-08-24 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-544.2 1464 1562 17.50% 24.03% 58.47%-0.80 -12.1 4
2025-08-24 Zrinjski Mostar W 2-050.8 1428 1562 28.27% 27.23% 44.50%-0.29 +16.5 11
2025-08-24 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-250.8 1562 1428 44.50% 27.23% 28.27%+0.29 -16.5 1
2025-08-29 Rudar Prijedor W 1-033.5 1452 1229 70.97% 18.54% 10.50%+1.38 +2.3 7
2025-08-29 @ Sarajevo L 0-133.5 1229 1452 10.50% 18.54% 70.97%-1.38 -2.3 5
2025-08-30 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-050.9 1287 1444 25.65% 26.80% 47.54%-0.40 +1.0 7
2025-08-30 @ Sloga Doboj D 0-050.9 1444 1287 47.54% 26.80% 25.65%+0.40 -1.0 12
2025-08-30 Posusje L 0-148.0 1350 1299 52.95% 25.68% 21.37%+0.58 -10.1 4
2025-08-30 @ Velez Mostar W 1-048.0 1299 1350 21.37% 25.68% 52.95%-0.58 +10.1 5
2025-08-31 Siroki Brijeg W 5-136.0 1574 1339 72.12% 17.93% 9.95%+1.44 +6.4 13
2025-08-31 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-536.0 1339 1574 9.95% 17.93% 72.12%-1.44 -6.4 8
2025-09-01 Radnik Bijeljina W 2-034.8 1546 1339 69.49% 19.30% 11.22%+1.31 +4.7 4
2025-09-01 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-234.8 1339 1546 11.22% 19.30% 69.49%-1.31 -4.7 8
2025-09-10 Sarajevo W 2-042.4 1550 1454 58.27% 24.10% 17.63%+0.79 +7.7 7
2025-09-10 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-242.4 1454 1550 17.63% 24.10% 58.27%-0.79 -7.7 7
2025-09-12 Sloga Doboj D 0-049.9 1335 1288 52.51% 25.79% 21.70%+0.56 -1.5 9
2025-09-12 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 0-049.9 1288 1335 21.70% 25.79% 52.51%-0.56 +1.5 8
2025-09-13 Velez Mostar L 1-343.8 1227 1340 30.97% 27.51% 41.52%-0.19 -10.9 5
2025-09-13 @ Rudar Prijedor W 3-143.8 1340 1227 41.52% 27.51% 30.97%+0.19 +10.9 7
2025-09-14 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-140.9 1309 1558 17.44% 24.00% 58.56%-0.83 -4.0 5
2025-09-14 @ Posusje W 1-040.9 1558 1309 58.56% 24.00% 17.44%+0.83 +4.0 10
2025-09-14 Sarajevo W 2-153.2 1332 1446 30.82% 27.50% 41.69%-0.19 +7.9 11
2025-09-14 @ Siroki Brijeg L 1-253.2 1446 1332 41.69% 27.50% 30.82%+0.19 -7.9 7
2025-09-15 Borac Banja Luka W 3-266.3 1443 1580 27.96% 27.19% 44.85%-0.30 +7.9 15
2025-09-15 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 2-366.3 1580 1443 44.85% 27.19% 27.96%+0.30 -7.9 13
2025-09-17 Sloga Doboj W 3-030.2 1562 1289 75.32% 16.17% 8.50%+1.62 +4.9 13
2025-09-17 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-330.2 1289 1562 8.50% 16.17% 75.32%-1.62 -4.9 8
2025-09-20 Radnik Bijeljina W 5-135.7 1572 1333 72.46% 17.75% 9.79%+1.46 +6.3 16
2025-09-20 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-535.7 1333 1572 9.79% 17.75% 72.46%-1.46 -6.3 9
2025-09-20 Velez Mostar W 2-035.9 1438 1351 57.29% 24.43% 18.29%+0.75 +8.0 10
2025-09-20 @ Sarajevo L 0-235.9 1351 1438 18.29% 24.43% 57.29%-0.75 -8.0 7
2025-09-21 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-047.2 1340 1451 31.21% 27.53% 41.27%-0.18 +8.3 14
2025-09-21 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-147.2 1451 1340 41.27% 27.53% 31.21%+0.18 -8.3 15
2025-09-21 Posusje W 2-037.4 1284 1305 43.72% 27.32% 28.97%+0.24 +12.0 11
2025-09-21 @ Sloga Doboj L 0-237.4 1305 1284 28.97% 27.32% 43.72%-0.24 -12.0 5
2025-09-21 Rudar Prijedor D 0-056.0 1567 1216 81.18% 12.75% 6.07%+1.98 -3.6 14
2025-09-21 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 0-056.0 1216 1567 6.07% 12.75% 81.18%-1.98 +3.6 6
2025-09-26 Siroki Brijeg D 0-050.0 1327 1348 43.67% 27.32% 29.01%+0.24 -0.7 10
2025-09-26 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 0-050.0 1348 1327 29.01% 27.32% 43.67%-0.24 +0.7 15
2025-09-27 Zrinjski Mostar L 1-345.5 1343 1563 19.63% 25.03% 55.34%-0.69 -7.4 7
2025-09-27 @ Velez Mostar W 3-145.5 1563 1343 55.34% 25.03% 19.63%+0.69 +7.4 17
2025-09-27 Sarajevo W 2-041.9 1443 1446 46.06% 27.03% 26.91%+0.32 +11.3 18
2025-09-27 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-241.9 1446 1443 26.91% 27.03% 46.06%-0.32 -11.3 10
2025-09-28 Borac Banja Luka L 0-236.5 1293 1579 14.97% 22.49% 62.53%-1.00 -6.5 5
2025-09-28 @ Posusje W 2-036.5 1579 1293 62.53% 22.49% 14.97%+1.00 +6.5 19
2025-09-28 Sloga Doboj D 1-154.2 1220 1296 35.92% 27.70% 36.38%-0.02 +0.0 7
2025-09-28 @ Rudar Prijedor D 1-154.2 1296 1220 36.38% 27.70% 35.92%+0.02 -0.0 12
2025-10-03 Siroki Brijeg D 1-154.9 1287 1349 37.96% 27.68% 34.36%+0.05 -0.1 6
2025-10-03 @ Posusje D 1-154.9 1349 1287 34.36% 27.68% 37.96%-0.05 +0.1 16
2025-10-04 Sloga Doboj W 2-035.4 1335 1296 51.53% 26.02% 22.45%+0.52 +9.7 10
2025-10-04 @ Velez Mostar L 0-235.4 1296 1335 22.45% 26.02% 51.53%-0.52 -9.7 12
2025-10-05 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-047.6 1326 1454 29.10% 27.33% 43.56%-0.26 +8.6 13
2025-10-05 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-147.6 1454 1326 43.56% 27.33% 29.10%+0.26 -8.6 18
2025-10-05 Borac Banja Luka L 0-232.3 1220 1585 10.78% 18.85% 70.37%-1.37 -4.5 7
2025-10-05 @ Rudar Prijedor W 2-032.3 1585 1220 70.37% 18.85% 10.78%+1.37 +4.5 22
2025-10-06 Zrinjski Mostar D 1-164.1 1435 1571 28.15% 27.21% 44.64%-0.30 +0.7 11
2025-10-06 @ Sarajevo D 1-164.1 1571 1435 44.64% 27.21% 28.15%+0.30 -0.7 18
2025-10-18 Sarajevo D 2-262.6 1335 1436 32.56% 27.61% 39.83%-0.13 +0.2 14
2025-10-18 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 2-262.6 1436 1335 39.83% 27.61% 32.56%+0.13 -0.2 12
2025-10-18 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-139.5 1286 1570 15.10% 22.58% 62.32%-0.99 -3.5 12
2025-10-18 @ Sloga Doboj W 1-039.5 1570 1286 62.32% 22.58% 15.10%+0.99 +3.5 21
2025-10-18 Posusje W 1-036.0 1445 1286 64.90% 21.48% 13.62%+1.08 +3.1 21
2025-10-18 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-136.0 1286 1445 13.62% 21.48% 64.90%-1.08 -3.1 6
2025-10-19 Velez Mostar W 1-038.8 1590 1345 72.95% 17.49% 9.57%+1.49 +2.1 25
2025-10-19 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-138.8 1345 1590 9.57% 17.49% 72.95%-1.49 -2.0 10
2025-10-19 Rudar Prijedor W 1-035.1 1349 1215 62.34% 22.57% 15.09%+0.97 +3.5 19
2025-10-19 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-135.1 1215 1349 15.09% 22.57% 62.34%-0.97 -3.5 7
2025-10-24 Sloga Doboj W 1-036.0 1435 1283 64.26% 21.76% 13.98%+1.05 +3.2 15
2025-10-24 @ Sarajevo L 0-136.0 1283 1435 13.98% 21.76% 64.26%-1.05 -3.2 12
2025-10-25 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-156.1 1212 1448 18.34% 24.45% 57.21%-0.77 +1.7 8
2025-10-25 @ Rudar Prijedor D 1-156.1 1448 1212 57.21% 24.45% 18.34%+0.77 -1.7 22
2025-10-25 Siroki Brijeg W 1-041.4 1343 1352 45.24% 27.14% 27.62%+0.29 +6.1 13
2025-10-25 @ Velez Mostar L 0-141.4 1352 1343 27.62% 27.14% 45.24%-0.29 -6.1 19
2025-10-26 Radnik Bijeljina W 4-036.9 1283 1335 39.45% 27.63% 32.92%+0.10 +25.1 9
2025-10-26 @ Posusje L 0-436.9 1335 1283 32.92% 27.63% 39.45%-0.10 -25.0 14
2025-10-27 Borac Banja Luka W 2-161.5 1573 1592 44.08% 27.28% 28.64%+0.25 +5.9 24
2025-10-27 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-261.5 1592 1573 28.64% 27.28% 44.08%-0.25 -5.9 25
2025-10-31 Rudar Prijedor W 2-142.3 1310 1213 58.30% 24.09% 17.61%+0.79 +3.8 17
2025-10-31 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 1-242.3 1213 1310 17.61% 24.09% 58.30%-0.79 -3.8 8
2025-11-01 Zrinjski Mostar L 1-249.5 1346 1579 18.64% 24.60% 56.76%-0.75 -4.1 19
2025-11-01 @ Siroki Brijeg W 2-149.5 1579 1346 56.76% 24.60% 18.64%+0.75 +4.1 27
2025-11-02 Sloga Doboj W 2-141.2 1586 1280 77.93% 14.68% 7.39%+1.77 +1.4 28
2025-11-02 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-241.2 1280 1586 7.39% 14.68% 77.93%-1.77 -1.4 12
2025-11-02 Sarajevo L 0-337.3 1308 1439 28.80% 27.30% 43.90%-0.27 -17.3 9
2025-11-02 @ Posusje W 3-037.3 1439 1308 43.90% 27.30% 28.80%+0.27 +17.3 18
2025-11-02 Velez Mostar L 1-257.6 1447 1349 58.43% 24.05% 17.53%+0.80 -10.3 22
2025-11-02 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-157.6 1349 1447 17.53% 24.05% 58.43%-0.80 +10.3 16
2025-11-08 Borac Banja Luka W 1-056.1 1456 1587 28.67% 27.28% 44.05%-0.28 +8.7 21
2025-11-08 @ Sarajevo L 0-156.1 1587 1456 44.05% 27.28% 28.67%+0.28 -8.7 28
2025-11-08 Siroki Brijeg D 0-049.4 1278 1342 37.71% 27.69% 34.61%+0.04 -0.1 13
2025-11-08 @ Sloga Doboj D 0-049.4 1342 1278 34.61% 27.69% 37.71%-0.04 +0.1 20
2025-11-09 Posusje W 1-043.0 1209 1291 35.19% 27.70% 37.11%-0.04 +7.6 11
2025-11-09 @ Rudar Prijedor L 0-143.0 1291 1209 37.11% 27.70% 35.19%+0.04 -7.6 9
2025-11-09 Radnik Bijeljina W 1-039.0 1359 1314 52.29% 25.84% 21.86%+0.55 +5.0 19
2025-11-09 @ Velez Mostar L 0-139.0 1314 1359 21.86% 25.84% 52.29%-0.55 -5.0 17
2025-11-09 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-150.9 1583 1436 63.69% 22.01% 14.30%+1.03 +3.1 30
2025-11-09 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-250.9 1436 1583 14.30% 22.01% 63.69%-1.03 -3.1 22
2025-11-21 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-237.4 1309 1586 15.48% 22.83% 61.69%-0.96 -6.7 17
2025-11-21 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 2-037.4 1586 1309 61.69% 22.83% 15.48%+0.96 +6.7 33
2025-11-22 Sarajevo W 2-155.7 1217 1465 17.54% 24.05% 58.41%-0.82 +10.3 14
2025-11-22 @ Rudar Prijedor L 1-255.7 1465 1217 58.41% 24.05% 17.54%+0.82 -10.3 21
2025-11-23 Velez Mostar D 0-049.6 1283 1364 35.31% 27.70% 36.99%-0.04 +0.1 10
2025-11-23 @ Posusje D 0-049.6 1364 1283 36.99% 27.70% 35.31%+0.04 -0.1 20
2025-11-23 Borac Banja Luka L 1-249.3 1342 1578 18.40% 24.48% 57.11%-0.77 -4.0 20
2025-11-23 @ Siroki Brijeg W 2-149.3 1578 1342 57.11% 24.48% 18.40%+0.77 +4.0 31
2025-11-28 Radnik Bijeljina W 2-147.1 1278 1302 43.30% 27.36% 29.34%+0.23 +6.0 16
2025-11-28 @ Sloga Doboj L 1-247.1 1302 1278 29.34% 27.36% 43.30%-0.23 -6.0 17
2025-11-29 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-150.7 1582 1433 63.92% 21.91% 14.17%+1.04 +3.1 34
2025-11-29 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-250.7 1433 1582 14.17% 21.91% 63.92%-1.04 -3.0 22
2025-11-29 Siroki Brijeg D 0-053.1 1454 1338 60.41% 23.33% 16.26%+0.88 -2.2 22
2025-11-29 @ Sarajevo D 0-053.1 1338 1454 16.26% 23.33% 60.41%-0.88 +2.2 21
2025-11-29 Rudar Prijedor W 1-035.2 1364 1227 62.63% 22.45% 14.92%+0.98 +3.4 23
2025-11-29 @ Velez Mostar L 0-135.2 1227 1364 14.92% 22.45% 62.63%-0.98 -3.4 14
2025-11-29 Posusje L 0-253.2 1593 1284 78.21% 14.52% 7.27%+1.79 -25.5 33
2025-11-29 @ Zrinjski Mostar W 2-053.2 1284 1593 7.27% 14.52% 78.21%-1.79 +25.5 13
2025-12-02 Sarajevo D 0-052.4 1368 1452 34.78% 27.69% 37.53%-0.06 +0.1 24
2025-12-02 @ Velez Mostar D 0-052.4 1452 1368 37.53% 27.69% 34.78%+0.06 -0.1 23
2025-12-03 Borac Banja Luka L 0-140.1 1296 1586 14.74% 22.33% 62.93%-1.02 -3.4 17
2025-12-03 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 1-040.1 1586 1296 62.93% 22.33% 14.74%+1.02 +3.4 37
2025-12-03 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-232.7 1224 1568 11.80% 19.87% 68.33%-1.27 -5.0 14
2025-12-03 @ Rudar Prijedor W 2-032.7 1568 1224 68.33% 19.87% 11.80%+1.27 +5.0 36
2025-12-04 Sloga Doboj D 2-260.8 1309 1284 49.74% 26.41% 23.86%+0.46 -0.8 14
2025-12-04 @ Posusje D 2-260.8 1284 1309 23.86% 26.41% 49.74%-0.46 +0.8 17
2025-12-04 Siroki Brijeg D 3-366.7 1430 1341 57.51% 24.36% 18.14%+0.76 -1.1 23
2025-12-04 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 3-366.7 1341 1430 18.14% 24.36% 57.51%-0.76 +1.1 22
2025-12-07 Posusje W 3-139.0 1589 1308 75.95% 15.82% 8.23%+1.65 +2.8 40
2025-12-07 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-339.0 1308 1589 8.23% 15.82% 75.95%-1.65 -2.8 14
2025-12-07 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 4-038.7 1452 1429 49.48% 26.46% 24.07%+0.45 +19.5 26
2025-12-07 @ Sarajevo L 0-438.7 1429 1452 24.07% 26.46% 49.48%-0.45 -19.5 23
2025-12-07 Velez Mostar D 1-164.0 1573 1368 69.37% 19.36% 11.28%+1.30 -2.6 37
2025-12-07 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 1-164.0 1368 1573 11.28% 19.36% 69.37%-1.30 +2.6 25
2025-12-08 Radnik Bijeljina L 1-350.2 1342 1293 52.73% 25.74% 21.53%+0.57 -16.4 22
2025-12-08 @ Siroki Brijeg W 3-150.2 1293 1342 21.53% 25.74% 52.73%-0.57 +16.4 20
2025-12-08 Rudar Prijedor D 1-154.9 1285 1219 54.77% 25.20% 20.04%+0.65 -1.5 18
2025-12-08 @ Sloga Doboj D 1-154.9 1219 1285 20.04% 25.20% 54.77%-0.65 +1.5 15
2025-12-13 Posusje D 1-155.3 1325 1305 49.10% 26.53% 24.37%+0.43 -1.0 23
2025-12-13 @ Siroki Brijeg D 1-155.3 1305 1325 24.37% 26.53% 49.10%-0.43 +1.0 15
2025-12-13 Velez Mostar L 1-249.3 1284 1370 34.46% 27.69% 37.85%-0.07 -6.8 18
2025-12-13 @ Sloga Doboj W 2-149.3 1370 1284 37.85% 27.69% 34.46%+0.07 +6.8 28
2025-12-13 Radnik Bijeljina D 0-051.6 1410 1309 58.73% 23.94% 17.33%+0.81 -2.0 24
2025-12-13 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-051.6 1309 1410 17.33% 23.94% 58.73%-0.81 +2.0 21
2025-12-14 Rudar Prijedor W 3-027.0 1592 1221 82.52% 11.93% 5.55%+2.08 +2.9 43
2025-12-14 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-327.0 1221 1592 5.55% 11.93% 82.52%-2.08 -2.9 15
2025-12-14 Sarajevo L 0-159.4 1570 1471 58.51% 24.02% 17.47%+0.80 -11.0 37
2025-12-14 @ Zrinjski Mostar W 1-059.4 1471 1570 17.47% 24.02% 58.51%-0.80 +11.0 29
2025-12-17 Sloga Doboj D 0-051.5 1408 1277 62.03% 22.70% 15.27%+0.95 -2.3 25
2025-12-17 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-051.5 1277 1408 15.27% 22.70% 62.03%-0.95 +2.3 19
2025-12-21 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-161.5 1595 1559 51.08% 26.12% 22.79%+0.51 -9.8 43
2025-12-21 @ Borac Banja Luka W 1-061.5 1559 1595 22.79% 26.12% 51.08%-0.51 +9.8 40
2026-02-06 Siroki Brijeg L 1-247.7 1218 1324 31.78% 27.57% 40.65%-0.16 -6.4 15
2026-02-06 @ Rudar Prijedor W 2-147.7 1324 1218 40.65% 27.57% 31.78%+0.16 +6.4 26
2026-02-06 Radnik Bijeljina W 2-033.3 1482 1311 66.14% 20.92% 12.94%+1.14 +5.5 32
2026-02-06 @ Sarajevo L 0-233.3 1311 1482 12.94% 20.92% 66.14%-1.14 -5.5 21
2026-02-06 Sloga Doboj W 1-034.9 1569 1279 76.68% 15.40% 7.92%+1.70 +1.6 43
2026-02-06 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-134.9 1279 1569 7.92% 15.40% 76.68%-1.70 -1.6 19
2026-02-07 Borac Banja Luka D 0-057.5 1377 1585 20.73% 25.46% 53.81%-0.63 +1.6 29
2026-02-07 @ Velez Mostar D 0-057.5 1585 1377 53.81% 25.46% 20.73%+0.63 -1.6 44
2026-02-08 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-045.3 1306 1405 32.80% 27.63% 39.57%-0.12 +8.0 18
2026-02-08 @ Posusje L 0-145.3 1405 1306 39.57% 27.63% 32.80%+0.12 -8.0 25
2026-02-14 Zrinjski Mostar W 3-048.6 1583 1571 48.19% 26.70% 25.12%+0.40 +15.5 47
2026-02-14 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-348.6 1571 1583 25.12% 26.70% 48.19%-0.40 -15.5 43
2026-02-15 Posusje L 0-145.9 1306 1314 45.36% 27.12% 27.52%+0.30 -8.9 21
2026-02-15 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 1-045.9 1314 1306 27.52% 27.12% 45.36%-0.30 +8.9 21
2026-02-15 Velez Mostar W 1-043.2 1331 1379 39.97% 27.61% 32.43%+0.11 +6.9 29
2026-02-15 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-143.2 1379 1331 32.43% 27.61% 39.97%-0.11 -6.9 29
2026-02-15 Sarajevo L 0-139.8 1277 1488 20.48% 25.37% 54.16%-0.65 -4.7 19
2026-02-15 @ Sloga Doboj W 1-039.8 1488 1277 54.16% 25.37% 20.48%+0.65 +4.7 35
2026-02-16 Rudar Prijedor L 0-345.2 1397 1211 67.60% 20.23% 12.18%+1.21 -33.6 25
2026-02-16 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 3-045.2 1211 1397 12.18% 20.23% 67.60%-1.21 +33.6 18
2026-02-20 Borac Banja Luka L 0-433.2 1273 1599 12.68% 20.69% 66.63%-1.19 -10.2 19
2026-02-20 @ Sloga Doboj W 4-033.2 1599 1273 66.63% 20.69% 12.68%+1.19 +10.2 50
2026-02-21 Radnik Bijeljina D 0-048.9 1245 1297 39.42% 27.63% 32.95%+0.10 -0.3 19
2026-02-21 @ Rudar Prijedor D 0-048.9 1297 1245 32.95% 27.63% 39.42%-0.10 +0.3 22
2026-02-21 Posusje W 3-032.1 1493 1323 65.94% 21.01% 13.05%+1.13 +8.1 38
2026-02-21 @ Sarajevo L 0-332.1 1323 1493 13.05% 21.01% 65.94%-1.13 -8.1 21
2026-02-21 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-041.3 1372 1364 47.58% 26.80% 25.63%+0.38 +5.7 32
2026-02-21 @ Velez Mostar L 0-141.3 1364 1372 25.63% 26.80% 47.58%-0.38 -5.8 25
2026-02-22 Siroki Brijeg D 1-162.6 1555 1338 70.53% 18.77% 10.71%+1.36 -2.7 44
2026-02-22 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 1-162.6 1338 1555 10.71% 18.77% 70.53%-1.36 +2.7 30
2026-02-28 Sarajevo W 2-045.7 1609 1501 59.57% 23.64% 16.79%+0.85 +7.3 53
2026-02-28 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-245.7 1501 1609 16.79% 23.64% 59.57%-0.85 -7.3 38
2026-02-28 Velez Mostar W 1-044.1 1297 1378 35.35% 27.70% 36.95%-0.04 +7.6 25
2026-02-28 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-144.1 1378 1297 36.95% 27.70% 35.35%+0.04 -7.6 32
2026-03-01 Rudar Prijedor W 1-037.2 1315 1245 55.34% 25.03% 19.63%+0.67 +4.5 24
2026-03-01 @ Posusje L 0-137.2 1245 1315 19.63% 25.03% 55.34%-0.67 -4.5 19
2026-03-01 Sloga Doboj W 1-037.2 1340 1262 56.15% 24.79% 19.06%+0.70 +4.4 33
2026-03-01 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-137.2 1262 1340 19.06% 24.79% 56.15%-0.70 -4.4 19
2026-03-02 Zrinjski Mostar L 1-346.6 1358 1552 21.94% 25.87% 52.20%-0.57 -8.2 25
2026-03-02 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 3-146.6 1552 1358 52.20% 25.87% 21.94%+0.57 +8.2 47
2026-03-06 Posusje W 1-039.0 1370 1320 52.87% 25.70% 21.43%+0.57 +4.9 35
2026-03-06 @ Velez Mostar L 0-139.0 1320 1370 21.43% 25.70% 52.87%-0.57 -4.9 24
2026-03-07 Siroki Brijeg W 5-136.8 1616 1345 75.21% 16.24% 8.55%+1.61 +5.3 56
2026-03-07 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-536.8 1345 1616 8.55% 16.24% 75.21%-1.61 -5.3 33
2026-03-07 Rudar Prijedor D 2-265.1 1493 1240 73.69% 17.08% 9.23%+1.53 -2.1 39
2026-03-07 @ Sarajevo D 2-265.1 1240 1493 9.23% 17.08% 73.69%-1.53 +2.1 20
2026-03-07 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-337.3 1258 1350 33.77% 27.67% 38.57%-0.09 -19.5 19
2026-03-07 @ Sloga Doboj W 3-037.3 1350 1258 38.57% 27.67% 33.77%+0.09 +19.5 28
2026-03-08 Radnik Bijeljina W 2-142.4 1561 1305 73.90% 16.96% 9.13%+1.54 +1.8 50
2026-03-08 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-242.4 1305 1561 9.13% 16.96% 73.90%-1.54 -1.8 25
2026-03-14 Sloga Doboj D 0-049.6 1303 1238 54.58% 25.25% 20.17%+0.64 -1.6 26
2026-03-14 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 0-049.6 1238 1303 20.17% 25.25% 54.58%-0.64 +1.6 20
2026-03-14 Borac Banja Luka L 0-145.1 1369 1622 17.19% 23.87% 58.94%-0.84 -4.0 28
2026-03-14 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-045.1 1622 1369 58.94% 23.87% 17.19%+0.84 +4.0 59
2026-03-15 Zrinjski Mostar W 1-053.6 1315 1562 17.53% 24.05% 58.41%-0.82 +10.9 27
2026-03-15 @ Posusje L 0-153.6 1562 1315 58.41% 24.05% 17.53%+0.82 -11.0 50
2026-03-15 Velez Mostar L 1-247.1 1242 1375 28.50% 27.26% 44.24%-0.28 -5.9 20
2026-03-15 @ Rudar Prijedor W 2-147.1 1375 1242 44.24% 27.26% 28.50%+0.28 +5.9 38
2026-03-15 Sarajevo W 1-049.6 1339 1491 26.26% 26.92% 46.82%-0.37 +9.1 36
2026-03-15 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-149.6 1491 1339 46.82% 26.92% 26.26%+0.37 -9.1 39
2026-03-21 Radnik Bijeljina W 1-036.6 1626 1301 79.30% 13.87% 6.82%+1.86 +1.4 62
2026-03-21 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-136.6 1301 1626 6.82% 13.87% 79.30%-1.86 -1.4 26
2026-03-21 Posusje W 1-043.5 1240 1326 34.61% 27.69% 37.70%-0.06 +7.7 23
2026-03-21 @ Sloga Doboj L 0-143.5 1326 1240 37.70% 27.69% 34.61%+0.06 -7.7 27
2026-03-22 Velez Mostar W 1-040.7 1482 1381 58.83% 23.91% 17.26%+0.81 +4.0 42
2026-03-22 @ Sarajevo L 0-140.7 1381 1482 17.26% 23.91% 58.83%-0.81 -4.0 38
2026-03-22 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-155.9 1348 1365 44.26% 27.26% 28.49%+0.26 -0.6 37
2026-03-22 @ Siroki Brijeg D 1-155.9 1365 1348 28.49% 27.26% 44.26%-0.26 +0.6 29
2026-03-22 Rudar Prijedor W 1-032.9 1551 1236 78.63% 14.27% 7.10%+1.82 +1.4 53
2026-03-22 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-132.9 1236 1551 7.10% 14.27% 78.63%-1.82 -1.4 20
2026-04-03 Sloga Doboj W 3-142.4 1235 1248 44.79% 27.20% 28.02%+0.28 +10.1 23
2026-04-03 @ Rudar Prijedor L 1-342.4 1248 1235 28.02% 27.20% 44.79%-0.28 -10.1 23
2026-04-03 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-145.6 1377 1553 23.70% 26.37% 49.93%-0.49 -5.4 38
2026-04-03 @ Velez Mostar W 1-045.6 1553 1377 49.93% 26.37% 23.70%+0.49 +5.4 56
2026-04-04 Borac Banja Luka L 0-336.4 1318 1627 13.61% 21.47% 64.92%-1.11 -8.5 27
2026-04-04 @ Posusje W 3-036.4 1627 1318 64.92% 21.47% 13.61%+1.11 +8.5 65
2026-04-04 Siroki Brijeg W 2-039.0 1300 1348 39.99% 27.61% 32.41%+0.11 +13.0 29
2026-04-04 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-239.0 1348 1300 32.41% 27.61% 39.99%-0.11 -13.0 37
2026-04-04 Sarajevo D 0-053.3 1366 1486 30.04% 27.43% 42.53%-0.22 +0.6 30
2026-04-04 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-053.3 1486 1366 42.53% 27.43% 30.04%+0.22 -0.6 43
2026-04-10 Siroki Brijeg W 2-038.0 1310 1335 43.16% 27.37% 29.47%+0.22 +12.1 30
2026-04-10 @ Posusje L 0-238.0 1335 1310 29.47% 27.37% 43.16%-0.22 -12.1 37
2026-04-10 Borac Banja Luka L 0-233.7 1245 1635 9.73% 17.67% 72.60%-1.49 -3.9 23
2026-04-10 @ Rudar Prijedor W 2-033.7 1635 1245 72.60% 17.67% 9.73%+1.49 +4.0 68
2026-04-11 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-339.6 1313 1367 39.17% 27.64% 33.19%+0.09 -21.8 29
2026-04-11 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 3-039.6 1367 1313 33.19% 27.64% 39.17%-0.09 +21.8 33
2026-04-11 Zrinjski Mostar W 2-160.0 1486 1558 36.47% 27.70% 35.83%+0.00 +7.0 46
2026-04-11 @ Sarajevo L 1-260.0 1558 1486 35.83% 27.70% 36.47%+0.00 -7.0 56
2026-04-11 Sloga Doboj D 0-050.8 1371 1238 62.31% 22.59% 15.11%+0.97 -2.3 39
2026-04-11 @ Velez Mostar D 0-050.8 1238 1371 15.11% 22.59% 62.31%-0.97 +2.3 24
2026-04-17 Rudar Prijedor L 0-148.2 1323 1241 56.60% 24.65% 18.75%+0.72 -10.7 37
2026-04-17 @ Siroki Brijeg W 1-048.2 1241 1323 18.75% 24.65% 56.60%-0.72 +10.7 26
2026-04-17 Posusje D 1-156.5 1388 1322 54.85% 25.17% 19.98%+0.65 -1.5 34
2026-04-17 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-156.5 1322 1388 19.98% 25.17% 54.85%-0.65 +1.5 31
2026-04-18 Velez Mostar D 2-273.2 1639 1369 75.11% 16.29% 8.60%+1.61 -2.2 69
2026-04-18 @ Borac Banja Luka D 2-273.2 1369 1639 8.60% 16.29% 75.11%-1.61 +2.2 40
2026-04-18 Sarajevo L 1-246.6 1291 1493 21.28% 25.65% 53.07%-0.61 -4.6 29
2026-04-18 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 2-146.6 1493 1291 53.07% 25.65% 21.28%+0.61 +4.6 49
2026-04-18 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-331.8 1240 1551 13.48% 21.36% 65.16%-1.12 -8.4 24
2026-04-18 @ Sloga Doboj W 3-031.8 1551 1240 65.16% 21.36% 13.48%+1.12 +8.4 59
2026-04-21 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-141.0 1252 1387 28.19% 27.22% 44.60%-0.29 -6.2 26
2026-04-21 @ Rudar Prijedor W 1-041.0 1387 1252 44.60% 27.22% 28.19%+0.29 +6.2 37
2026-04-21 Siroki Brijeg W 3-033.4 1371 1312 53.98% 25.41% 20.61%+0.62 +13.0 43
2026-04-21 @ Velez Mostar L 0-333.4 1312 1371 20.61% 25.41% 53.98%-0.62 -13.0 37
2026-04-22 Radnik Bijeljina D 1-155.2 1323 1286 51.24% 26.09% 22.67%+0.51 -1.2 32
2026-04-22 @ Posusje D 1-155.2 1286 1323 22.67% 26.09% 51.24%-0.51 +1.2 30
2026-04-22 Sloga Doboj W 4-027.6 1497 1232 74.71% 16.52% 8.77%+1.58 +6.6 52
2026-04-22 @ Sarajevo L 0-427.6 1232 1497 8.77% 16.52% 74.71%-1.58 -6.6 24
2026-04-22 Borac Banja Luka D 1-170.0 1560 1637 35.77% 27.70% 36.53%-0.02 +0.0 60
2026-04-22 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 1-170.0 1637 1560 36.53% 27.70% 35.77%+0.02 -0.0 70
2026-04-25 Rudar Prijedor W 1-038.1 1288 1245 51.92% 25.93% 22.15%+0.54 +5.1 33
2026-04-25 @ Radnik Bijeljina L 0-138.1 1245 1288 22.15% 25.93% 51.92%-0.54 -5.1 26
2026-04-25 Velez Mostar D 0-051.7 1393 1384 47.69% 26.78% 25.53%+0.38 -1.0 38
2026-04-25 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 0-051.7 1384 1393 25.53% 26.78% 47.69%-0.38 +1.0 44
2026-04-26 Sloga Doboj W 3-135.2 1637 1225 85.03% 10.38% 4.60%+2.27 +1.4 73
2026-04-26 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-335.2 1225 1637 4.60% 10.38% 85.03%-2.27 -1.4 24
2026-04-26 Sarajevo L 0-142.2 1322 1504 23.14% 26.22% 50.64%-0.51 -5.3 32
2026-04-26 @ Posusje W 1-042.2 1504 1322 50.64% 26.22% 23.14%+0.51 +5.3 55
2026-04-26 Zrinjski Mostar W 2-159.4 1299 1560 16.59% 23.53% 59.88%-0.88 +10.5 40
2026-04-26 @ Siroki Brijeg L 1-259.4 1560 1299 59.88% 23.53% 16.59%+0.88 -10.5 60
2026-05-01 Radnik Bijeljina W 1-037.4 1385 1293 57.83% 24.25% 17.92%+0.77 +4.1 47
2026-05-01 @ Velez Mostar L 0-137.4 1293 1385 17.92% 24.25% 57.83%-0.77 -4.1 33
2026-05-01 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-038.1 1549 1392 64.72% 21.56% 13.72%+1.08 +5.9 63
2026-05-01 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-238.1 1392 1549 13.72% 21.56% 64.72%-1.08 -5.9 38
2026-05-02 Posusje W 3-253.8 1240 1317 35.92% 27.70% 36.38%-0.02 +6.7 29
2026-05-02 @ Rudar Prijedor L 2-353.8 1317 1240 36.38% 27.70% 35.92%+0.02 -6.7 32
2026-05-02 Siroki Brijeg W 2-039.9 1224 1309 34.60% 27.69% 37.71%-0.06 +14.6 27
2026-05-02 @ Sloga Doboj L 0-239.9 1309 1224 37.71% 27.69% 34.60%+0.06 -14.6 40
2026-05-03 Borac Banja Luka L 0-155.0 1509 1639 28.89% 27.31% 43.80%-0.27 -6.3 55
2026-05-03 @ Sarajevo W 1-055.0 1639 1509 43.80% 27.31% 28.89%+0.27 +6.3 76
2026-05-09 Velez Mostar D 1-155.6 1310 1389 35.52% 27.70% 36.78%-0.03 +0.0 33
2026-05-09 @ Posusje D 1-155.6 1389 1310 36.78% 27.70% 35.52%+0.03 -0.1 48
2026-05-09 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-139.7 1289 1555 16.21% 23.30% 60.50%-0.91 -3.7 33
2026-05-09 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 1-039.7 1555 1289 60.50% 23.30% 16.21%+0.91 +3.7 66
2026-05-09 Sarajevo L 2-443.5 1247 1503 16.94% 23.73% 59.33%-0.86 -5.7 29
2026-05-09 @ Rudar Prijedor W 4-243.5 1503 1247 59.33% 23.73% 16.94%+0.86 +5.7 58
2026-05-10 Borac Banja Luka L 0-140.2 1295 1645 11.50% 19.58% 68.93%-1.30 -2.6 40
2026-05-10 @ Siroki Brijeg W 1-040.2 1645 1295 68.93% 19.58% 11.50%+1.30 +2.5 79
2026-05-10 Sloga Doboj W 3-029.9 1386 1238 63.79% 21.96% 14.24%+1.03 +8.9 41
2026-05-10 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-329.9 1238 1386 14.24% 21.96% 63.79%-1.03 -8.9 27
2026-05-16 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-042.6 1647 1395 73.60% 17.13% 9.27%+1.52 +2.0 82
2026-05-16 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-142.6 1395 1647 9.27% 17.13% 73.60%-1.52 -2.0 41
2026-05-16 Siroki Brijeg D 2-265.8 1509 1292 70.41% 18.83% 10.77%+1.35 -2.0 59
2026-05-16 @ Sarajevo D 2-265.8 1292 1509 10.77% 18.83% 70.41%-1.35 +2.0 41
2026-05-16 Radnik Bijeljina D 0-048.8 1229 1285 38.92% 27.65% 33.43%+0.08 -0.2 28
2026-05-16 @ Sloga Doboj D 0-048.8 1285 1229 33.43% 27.65% 38.92%-0.08 +0.2 34
2026-05-16 Rudar Prijedor W 4-240.6 1389 1241 63.80% 21.96% 14.24%+1.03 +4.8 51
2026-05-16 @ Velez Mostar L 2-440.6 1241 1389 14.24% 21.96% 63.80%-1.03 -4.8 29
2026-05-16 Posusje D 0-056.8 1559 1310 73.28% 17.30% 9.41%+1.50 -3.2 67
2026-05-16 @ Zrinjski Mostar D 0-056.8 1310 1559 9.41% 17.30% 73.28%-1.50 +3.2 34
2026-05-21 Sarajevo L 2-357.8 1394 1507 31.02% 27.52% 41.47%-0.19 -6.0 51
2026-05-21 @ Velez Mostar W 3-257.8 1507 1394 41.47% 27.52% 31.02%+0.19 +6.0 62
2026-05-21 Siroki Brijeg D 2-262.4 1393 1294 58.54% 24.01% 17.45%+0.80 -1.3 42
2026-05-21 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 2-262.4 1294 1393 17.45% 24.01% 58.54%-0.80 +1.3 42
2026-05-22 Sloga Doboj L 0-148.2 1313 1229 56.89% 24.56% 18.56%+0.73 -10.7 34
2026-05-22 @ Posusje W 1-048.2 1229 1313 18.56% 24.56% 56.89%-0.73 +10.7 31
2026-05-22 Borac Banja Luka D 0-058.5 1285 1649 10.84% 18.90% 70.26%-1.37 +3.0 35
2026-05-22 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 0-058.5 1649 1285 70.26% 18.90% 10.84%+1.37 -3.0 83
2026-05-22 Zrinjski Mostar D 2-265.0 1237 1556 13.05% 21.01% 65.94%-1.16 +1.8 30
2026-05-22 @ Rudar Prijedor D 2-265.0 1556 1237 65.94% 21.01% 13.05%+1.16 -1.8 68
2026-05-25 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 1-041.4 1513 1392 60.94% 23.13% 15.93%+0.91 +3.7 65
2026-05-25 @ Sarajevo L 0-141.4 1392 1513 15.93% 23.13% 60.94%-0.91 -3.7 42
2026-05-25 Radnik Bijeljina W 4-034.3 1296 1288 47.52% 26.81% 25.67%+0.38 +20.6 45
2026-05-25 @ Siroki Brijeg L 0-434.3 1288 1296 25.67% 26.81% 47.52%-0.38 -20.6 35
2026-05-26 Posusje W 2-033.6 1646 1303 80.69% 13.04% 6.26%+1.95 +2.3 86
2026-05-26 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-233.6 1303 1646 6.26% 13.04% 80.69%-1.95 -2.3 34
2026-05-26 Rudar Prijedor W 1-039.5 1240 1238 46.72% 26.93% 26.35%+0.35 +5.9 34
2026-05-26 @ Sloga Doboj L 0-139.5 1238 1240 26.35% 26.93% 46.72%-0.35 -5.9 30
2026-05-26 Velez Mostar W 3-036.0 1554 1388 65.60% 21.17% 13.24%+1.12 +8.2 71
2026-05-26 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-336.0 1388 1554 13.24% 21.17% 65.60%-1.12 -8.2 51

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-11-29 7.27% Posusje 1284 2 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1593 0
2 2026-02-16 12.18% Rudar Prijedor 1211 3 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1397 0
3 2026-04-26 16.59% @ Siroki Brijeg 1299 2 Zrinjski Mostar 1560 1
4 2025-12-14 17.47% Sarajevo 1471 1 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1570 0
5 2025-11-02 17.53% Velez Mostar 1349 2 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1447 1
6 2026-03-15 17.53% @ Posusje 1315 1 Zrinjski Mostar 1562 0
7 2025-11-22 17.54% @ Rudar Prijedor 1217 2 Sarajevo 1465 1
8 2026-05-22 18.56% Sloga Doboj 1229 1 @ Posusje 1313 0
9 2026-04-17 18.75% Rudar Prijedor 1241 1 @ Siroki Brijeg 1323 0
10 2025-08-30 21.37% Posusje 1299 1 @ Velez Mostar 1350 0
11 2025-12-08 21.53% Radnik Bijeljina 1293 3 @ Siroki Brijeg 1342 1
12 2025-12-21 22.79% Zrinjski Mostar 1559 1 @ Borac Banja Luka 1595 0
13 2025-08-09 22.96% @ Sloga Doboj 1286 2 Sarajevo 1470 1
14 2026-03-15 26.26% @ Siroki Brijeg 1339 1 Sarajevo 1491 0
15 2026-02-15 27.52% Posusje 1314 1 @ Radnik Bijeljina 1306 0
16 2025-09-15 27.96% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1443 3 Borac Banja Luka 1580 2
17 2025-08-24 28.27% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1428 2 Zrinjski Mostar 1562 0
18 2025-08-10 28.62% Velez Mostar 1363 3 @ Siroki Brijeg 1345 1
19 2025-11-08 28.67% @ Sarajevo 1456 1 Borac Banja Luka 1587 0
20 2025-10-05 29.10% @ Radnik Bijeljina 1326 1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1454 0
21 2025-09-14 30.82% @ Siroki Brijeg 1332 2 Sarajevo 1446 1
22 2025-09-21 31.21% @ Siroki Brijeg 1340 1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1451 0
23 2025-08-15 31.40% @ Rudar Prijedor 1219 1 Radnik Bijeljina 1329 0
24 2025-08-15 31.67% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1419 1 @ Velez Mostar 1377 0
25 2026-02-08 32.80% @ Posusje 1306 1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1405 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-02-16 33.61 Rudar Prijedor 3 1211 12.18% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1397 67.60% 20.23%
2 2025-11-29 25.50 Posusje 2 1284 7.27% @ Zrinjski Mostar 0 1593 78.21% 14.52%
3 2025-10-26 25.05 @ Posusje 4 1283 39.45% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1335 32.92% 27.63%
4 2026-04-11 21.79 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1367 33.19% @ Radnik Bijeljina 0 1313 39.17% 27.64%
5 2026-05-25 20.59 @ Siroki Brijeg 4 1296 47.52% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1288 25.67% 26.81%
6 2026-03-07 19.54 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1350 38.57% @ Sloga Doboj 0 1258 33.77% 27.67%
7 2025-12-07 19.49 @ Sarajevo 4 1452 49.48% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1429 24.07% 26.46%
8 2025-08-23 18.98 @ Radnik Bijeljina 3 1320 39.93% Velez Mostar 0 1369 32.46% 27.61%
9 2025-11-02 17.30 Sarajevo 3 1439 43.90% @ Posusje 0 1308 28.80% 27.30%
10 2025-08-24 16.55 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1428 28.27% Zrinjski Mostar 0 1562 44.50% 27.23%
11 2025-12-08 16.44 Radnik Bijeljina 3 1293 21.53% @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1342 52.73% 25.74%
12 2026-02-14 15.47 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1583 48.19% Zrinjski Mostar 0 1571 25.12% 26.70%
13 2026-05-02 14.59 @ Sloga Doboj 2 1224 34.60% Siroki Brijeg 0 1309 37.71% 27.69%
14 2025-08-10 14.24 Velez Mostar 3 1363 28.62% @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1345 44.11% 27.27%
15 2026-04-04 13.05 @ Radnik Bijeljina 2 1300 39.99% Siroki Brijeg 0 1348 32.41% 27.61%
16 2026-04-21 12.98 @ Velez Mostar 3 1371 53.98% Siroki Brijeg 0 1312 20.61% 25.41%
17 2026-04-10 12.13 @ Posusje 2 1310 43.16% Siroki Brijeg 0 1335 29.47% 27.37%
18 2025-08-24 12.06 @ Borac Banja Luka 5 1562 58.47% Sarajevo 1 1464 17.50% 24.03%
19 2025-09-21 11.97 @ Sloga Doboj 2 1284 43.72% Posusje 0 1305 28.97% 27.32%
20 2025-09-27 11.28 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1443 46.06% Sarajevo 0 1446 26.91% 27.03%
21 2025-08-02 11.17 Siroki Brijeg 3 1333 40.52% @ Rudar Prijedor 1 1228 31.90% 27.58%
22 2025-08-10 11.03 @ Radnik Bijeljina 2 1318 46.91% Posusje 0 1315 26.19% 26.91%
23 2025-12-14 10.96 Sarajevo 1 1471 17.47% @ Zrinjski Mostar 0 1570 58.51% 24.02%
24 2026-03-15 10.95 @ Posusje 1 1315 17.53% Zrinjski Mostar 0 1562 58.41% 24.05%
25 2025-09-13 10.92 Velez Mostar 3 1340 41.52% @ Rudar Prijedor 1 1227 30.97% 27.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-18 73.2 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1639 75.11% Velez Mostar 2 1369 8.60% 16.29%
2 2026-04-22 70.0 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1 1560 35.77% Borac Banja Luka 1 1637 36.53% 27.70%
3 2025-08-03 69.0 @ Sarajevo 4 1471 64.48% Radnik Bijeljina 4 1316 13.85% 21.66%
4 2025-12-04 66.7 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1430 57.51% Siroki Brijeg 3 1341 18.14% 24.36%
5 2025-09-15 66.3 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1443 27.96% Borac Banja Luka 2 1580 44.85% 27.19%
6 2026-05-16 65.8 @ Sarajevo 2 1509 70.41% Siroki Brijeg 2 1292 10.77% 18.83%
7 2026-03-07 65.1 @ Sarajevo 2 1493 73.69% Rudar Prijedor 2 1240 9.23% 17.08%
8 2026-05-22 65.0 @ Rudar Prijedor 2 1237 13.05% Zrinjski Mostar 2 1556 65.94% 21.01%
9 2025-10-06 64.1 @ Sarajevo 1 1435 28.15% Zrinjski Mostar 1 1571 44.64% 27.21%
10 2025-12-07 64.0 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1 1573 69.37% Velez Mostar 1 1368 11.28% 19.36%
11 2025-10-18 62.6 @ Radnik Bijeljina 2 1335 32.56% Sarajevo 2 1436 39.83% 27.61%
12 2026-02-22 62.6 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1 1555 70.53% Siroki Brijeg 1 1338 10.71% 18.77%
13 2026-05-21 62.4 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1393 58.54% Siroki Brijeg 2 1294 17.45% 24.01%
14 2025-10-27 61.5 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1573 44.08% Borac Banja Luka 1 1592 28.64% 27.28%
15 2025-12-21 61.5 Zrinjski Mostar 1 1559 22.79% @ Borac Banja Luka 0 1595 51.08% 26.12%
16 2025-08-03 61.4 @ Velez Mostar 1 1361 21.61% Borac Banja Luka 1 1559 52.63% 25.76%
17 2025-12-04 60.8 @ Posusje 2 1309 49.74% Sloga Doboj 2 1284 23.86% 26.41%
18 2026-04-11 60.0 @ Sarajevo 2 1486 36.47% Zrinjski Mostar 1 1558 35.83% 27.70%
19 2025-12-14 59.4 Sarajevo 1 1471 17.47% @ Zrinjski Mostar 0 1570 58.51% 24.02%
20 2026-04-26 59.4 @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1299 16.59% Zrinjski Mostar 1 1560 59.88% 23.53%
21 2026-05-22 58.5 @ Radnik Bijeljina 0 1285 10.84% Borac Banja Luka 0 1649 70.26% 18.90%
22 2026-05-21 57.8 Sarajevo 3 1507 41.47% @ Velez Mostar 2 1394 31.02% 27.52%
23 2025-11-02 57.6 Velez Mostar 2 1349 17.53% @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1447 58.43% 24.05%
24 2025-08-09 57.5 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1422 69.41% Rudar Prijedor 1 1217 11.26% 19.34%
25 2025-08-17 57.5 @ Zrinjski Mostar 0 1565 72.08% Siroki Brijeg 0 1330 9.97% 17.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-12-14 27.0 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1592 82.52% Rudar Prijedor 0 1221 5.55% 11.93%
2 2026-04-22 27.6 @ Sarajevo 4 1497 74.71% Sloga Doboj 0 1232 8.77% 16.52%
3 2025-07-27 28.6 @ Borac Banja Luka 6 1552 78.73% Rudar Prijedor 0 1235 7.06% 14.21%
4 2026-05-10 29.9 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1386 63.79% Sloga Doboj 0 1238 14.24% 21.96%
5 2025-09-17 30.2 @ Zrinjski Mostar 3 1562 75.32% Sloga Doboj 0 1289 8.50% 16.17%
6 2026-04-18 31.8 Zrinjski Mostar 3 1551 65.16% @ Sloga Doboj 0 1240 13.48% 21.36%
7 2026-02-21 32.1 @ Sarajevo 3 1493 65.94% Posusje 0 1323 13.05% 21.01%
8 2025-10-05 32.3 Borac Banja Luka 2 1585 70.37% @ Rudar Prijedor 0 1220 10.78% 18.85%
9 2025-12-03 32.7 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1568 68.33% @ Rudar Prijedor 0 1224 11.80% 19.87%
10 2026-03-22 32.9 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1 1551 78.63% Rudar Prijedor 0 1236 7.10% 14.27%
11 2026-02-20 33.2 Borac Banja Luka 4 1599 66.63% @ Sloga Doboj 0 1273 12.68% 20.69%
12 2026-02-06 33.3 @ Sarajevo 2 1482 66.14% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1311 12.94% 20.92%
13 2026-04-21 33.4 @ Velez Mostar 3 1371 53.98% Siroki Brijeg 0 1312 20.61% 25.41%
14 2025-08-29 33.5 @ Sarajevo 1 1452 70.97% Rudar Prijedor 0 1229 10.50% 18.54%
15 2026-05-26 33.6 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1646 80.69% Posusje 0 1303 6.26% 13.04%
16 2026-04-10 33.7 Borac Banja Luka 2 1635 72.60% @ Rudar Prijedor 0 1245 9.73% 17.67%
17 2026-05-25 34.3 @ Siroki Brijeg 4 1296 47.52% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1288 25.67% 26.81%
18 2025-09-01 34.8 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1546 69.49% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1339 11.22% 19.30%
19 2026-02-06 34.9 @ Zrinjski Mostar 1 1569 76.68% Sloga Doboj 0 1279 7.92% 15.40%
20 2025-10-19 35.1 @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1349 62.34% Rudar Prijedor 0 1215 15.09% 22.57%
21 2025-11-29 35.2 @ Velez Mostar 1 1364 62.63% Rudar Prijedor 0 1227 14.92% 22.45%
22 2026-04-26 35.2 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1637 85.03% Sloga Doboj 1 1225 4.60% 10.38%
23 2025-10-04 35.4 @ Velez Mostar 2 1335 51.53% Sloga Doboj 0 1296 22.45% 26.02%
24 2025-09-20 35.7 @ Borac Banja Luka 5 1572 72.46% Radnik Bijeljina 1 1333 9.79% 17.75%
25 2025-09-20 35.9 @ Sarajevo 2 1438 57.29% Velez Mostar 0 1351 18.29% 24.43%