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2026-27 Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina Season

40 games played · 10 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Zrinjski Mostar

85.23% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Zrinjski Mostar

5.54 points above expected

21 points · 15.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Radnik Bijeljina

3.20 points below expected

4 points · 7.20 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zrinjski Mostar 8 7 0 1 21 17 5 +12 15.46 +5.54
2 Borac Banja Luka 8 6 1 1 19 15 7 +8 15.85 +3.15
3 Sarajevo 8 4 1 3 13 6 5 +1 13.50 -0.50
4 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 8 3 3 2 12 10 9 +1 11.83 +0.17
5 Siroki Brijeg 8 2 3 3 9 10 11 -1 10.77 -1.77
6 Sloga Doboj 8 2 3 3 9 5 8 -3 8.04 +0.96
7 Celik Zenica 8 2 2 4 8 11 12 -1 7.47 +0.53
8 BSK Banja Luka 8 2 2 4 8 12 14 -2 10.89 -2.89
9 Velez Mostar 8 2 1 5 7 6 14 -8 9.38 -2.38
10 Radnik Bijeljina 8 0 4 4 4 12 19 -7 7.20 -3.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zrinjski Mostar 21 15.46 +5.54
2 Borac Banja Luka 19 15.85 +3.15
3 Sloga Doboj 9 8.04 +0.96
4 Celik Zenica 8 7.47 +0.53
5 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 12 11.83 +0.17

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Radnik Bijeljina 4 7.20 -3.20
2 BSK Banja Luka 8 10.89 -2.89
3 Velez Mostar 7 9.38 -2.38
4 Siroki Brijeg 9 10.77 -1.77
5 Sarajevo 13 13.50 -0.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zrinjski Mostar 6 Aug 9 – Sep 6 1 in 29
2 Sarajevo 2 Sep 2 – Sep 6 1 in 8
3 Borac Banja Luka 3 Sep 12 – Sep 20 1 in 7
4 Sloga Doboj 1 Aug 29 – Aug 29 1 in 7
5 Siroki Brijeg 2 Aug 14 – Aug 22 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 BSK Banja Luka 3 Aug 21 – Sep 1 1 in 16
2 Sarajevo 2 Sep 9 – Sep 13 1 in 7
3 Celik Zenica 3 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 5
4 Siroki Brijeg 2 Sep 2 – Sep 6 1 in 4
5 Radnik Bijeljina 2 Aug 16 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sloga Doboj 4 Aug 29 – Sep 13 1 in 10
2 Radnik Bijeljina 2 Aug 30 – Sep 2 1 in 6
3 Siroki Brijeg 4 Aug 8 – Aug 29 1 in 6
4 Celik Zenica 2 Aug 28 – Sep 1 1 in 4
5 Zrinjski Mostar 6 Aug 9 – Sep 6 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Radnik Bijeljina 8 Aug 8 – Sep 19 1 in 8
2 Siroki Brijeg 5 Aug 29 – Sep 20 1 in 6
3 Velez Mostar 3 Aug 28 – Sep 6 1 in 5
4 BSK Banja Luka 3 Aug 21 – Sep 1 1 in 3
5 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 Aug 23 – Sep 2 1 in 3

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 BSK Banja Luka +0.00 1341
2 Borac Banja Luka +0.00 1580
3 Celik Zenica +0.00 1272
4 Radnik Bijeljina +0.00 1251
5 Sarajevo +0.00 1446

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 BSK Banja Luka +0.00 1341
2 Borac Banja Luka +0.00 1580
3 Celik Zenica +0.00 1272
4 Radnik Bijeljina +0.00 1251
5 Sarajevo +0.00 1446

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Zrinjski Mostar 1560 21 +21 12 9.2 +2.8
Borac Banja Luka 1580 19 +21 12 9.1 +2.9
Sarajevo 1446 13 -1 9 7.6 +1.4
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1399 12 +24 8 7.4 +0.6
Sloga Doboj 1292 9 -5 5 5.9 -0.9
Siroki Brijeg 1325 9 -25 2 5.5 -3.5
Celik Zenica 1272 8 +49 8 5.2 +2.8
BSK Banja Luka 1341 8 -20 5 7.6 -2.6
Velez Mostar 1317 7 -46 4 5.9 -1.9
Radnik Bijeljina 1251 4 -17 3 4.9 -1.9

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-10-10 1.53 Borac Banja Luka 19 pts·1580 74% – 19% – 7% BSK Banja Luka 8 pts·1341 40.8
2026-10-10 Celik Zenica 8 pts·1272 30% – 26% – 43% Sarajevo 13 pts·1446 0.2038.5
2026-10-10 Radnik Bijeljina 4 pts·1251 34% – 26% – 40% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 12 pts·1399 0.0944.7
2026-10-10 Sloga Doboj 9 pts·1292 20% – 25% – 55% Zrinjski Mostar 21 pts·1560 0.5938.4
2026-10-10 0.50 Velez Mostar 7 pts·1317 52% – 26% – 22% Siroki Brijeg 9 pts·1325 49.0

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 1.10 Sarajevo 13 pts·1437·+9.30 2 – 0 Sloga Doboj 9 pts·1301·-9.31 29.3
2026-09-20 Siroki Brijeg 9 pts·1333·-8.43 2 – 3 Borac Banja Luka 19 pts·1572·+8.43 0.4753.6
2026-09-19 0.92 BSK Banja Luka 8 pts·1343·-2.15 4 – 4 Radnik Bijeljina 4 pts·1249·+2.15 66.5
2026-09-19 1.50 Zrinjski Mostar 21 pts·1554·+5.81 2 – 0 Velez Mostar 7 pts·1323·-5.81 30.4
2026-09-18 1.10 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 12 pts·1404·-4.51 1 – 1 Celik Zenica 8 pts·1268·+4.51 56.4
2026-09-16 Sloga Doboj 9 pts·1309·-8.37 1 – 2 Borac Banja Luka 19 pts·1563·+8.37 0.5347.0
2026-09-13 0.14 Sloga Doboj 9 pts·1310·-0.68 1 – 1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 12 pts·1403·+0.68 55.7
2026-09-13 Velez Mostar 7 pts·1308·+14.29 1 – 0 Sarajevo 13 pts·1451·-14.28 0.0744.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBL BBL CZ RB SAR SB SD VM ZS ZM
BSK Banja Luka —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.05
0-1-0
2.11
0-0-1
0.66
0-1-0
0.91
0-0-1
2.09
1-0-0
1.79
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-1
0.44
Borac Banja Luka
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
2.53
0-1-0
1.97
0-0-1
1.28
1-0-0
1.80
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
2.30
1-0-0
1.82
Celik Zenica
0-0-1
0.71
0-0-1
0.30
 —
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.53
0-1-0
0.80
1-0-0
1.32
0-1-0
0.57
0-0-1
0.39
Radnik Bijeljina
0-1-0
0.65
0-1-0
0.78
0-0-1
0.89
 —
0-1-0
0.52
0-0-1
0.71
0-0-1
1.79
0-1-0
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
Sarajevo
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
1.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.26
 —
1-0-0
1.23
1-0-0
2.21
0-0-1
1.43
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-1
1.58
Siroki Brijeg
0-1-0
1.83
0-0-1
0.94
1-0-0
1.20
1-0-0
2.05
0-0-1
1.50
 —
0-1-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.81
0-0-1
0.43
Sloga Doboj
1-0-0
0.67
0-0-1
0.89
0-1-0
1.96
1-0-0
0.96
0-0-1
0.57
0-1-0
0.76
 —
0-0-1
0.73
0-1-0
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
Velez Mostar
0-0-1
0.95
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
1.42
0-1-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.30
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.03
 —
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-1
0.42
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
0.48
0-1-0
2.21
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.94
0-1-0
1.23
1-0-0
1.99
 —
0-0-1
0.55
Zrinjski Mostar
1-0-0
2.36
0-0-1
0.92
1-0-0
2.42
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
1.16
1-0-0
2.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.39
1-0-0
2.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.31 +7.6
Allowed 0.69 -10.0
Differential 0.92 +8.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.50%7.50%10.00%1.25%——26.25%
17.50%12.50%10.00%3.75%—1.25%35.00%
210.00%10.00%2.50%3.75%——26.25%
31.25%3.75%3.75%———8.75%
4————2.50%—2.50%
5+—1.25%————1.25%
Total26.25%35.00%26.25%8.75%2.50%1.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.48
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 40

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%————25.00%
1—12.50%12.50%12.50%——37.50%
212.50%—————12.50%
3——12.50%———12.50%
4————12.50%—12.50%
5+———————
Total12.50%37.50%25.00%12.50%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.75 -0.25
SD 1.41 1.28 1.28
CV 0.94 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%————12.50%
112.50%—————12.50%
225.00%12.50%12.50%———50.00%
3—12.50%12.50%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.50%37.50%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.88 +1.00
SD 0.99 0.83 1.07
CV 0.53 0.95 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—12.50%———25.00%
1—12.50%25.00%———37.50%
2———12.50%——12.50%
312.50%—12.50%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%12.50%50.00%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.50 -0.12
SD 1.19 1.07 1.55
CV 0.86 0.71 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—————12.50%
1—12.50%25.00%——12.50%50.00%
2——12.50%12.50%——25.00%
3———————
4————12.50%—12.50%
5+———————
Total12.50%12.50%37.50%12.50%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.38 -0.88
SD 1.20 1.60 1.36
CV 0.80 0.67 —
Max 4 5 +0
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%25.00%12.50%———50.00%
125.00%—————25.00%
212.50%12.50%————25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%37.50%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 0.62 +0.12
SD 0.89 0.74 1.36
CV 1.18 1.19 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—————12.50%
1—25.00%25.00%———50.00%
2—25.00%—12.50%——37.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%50.00%25.00%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.38 -0.12
SD 0.71 0.92 0.83
CV 0.57 0.67 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—25.00%———50.00%
112.50%12.50%12.50%———37.50%
2—12.50%————12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total37.50%25.00%37.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.00 -0.38
SD 0.74 0.93 1.19
CV 1.19 0.93 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%12.50%——37.50%
112.50%12.50%—25.00%——50.00%
212.50%—————12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%12.50%25.00%37.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.75 -1.00
SD 0.71 1.28 1.77
CV 0.94 0.73 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%———25.00%
1—37.50%————37.50%
212.50%12.50%————25.00%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%62.50%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.12 +0.12
SD 1.04 0.64 1.55
CV 0.83 0.57 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%————12.50%
112.50%—————12.50%
225.00%25.00%————50.00%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+—12.50%————12.50%
Total37.50%62.50%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 0.62 +1.50
SD 1.46 0.52 1.41
CV 0.69 0.83 —
Max 5 1 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 8

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Borac Banja Luka 1580 19 21.40 2.40 19 19 20 22 22 22 22
Zrinjski Mostar 1560 21 22.90 1.90 21 21 22 24 24 24 24
Sarajevo 1446 13 14.55 1.55 13 13 13 14 16 16 16
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1399 12 13.46 1.46 12 12 12 13 15 15 15
BSK Banja Luka 1341 8 8.41 0.41 8 8 8 8 9 11 11
Siroki Brijeg 1325 9 9.93 0.93 9 9 9 9 10 12 12
Velez Mostar 1317 7 8.82 1.82 7 7 8 10 10 10 10
Sloga Doboj 1292 9 9.85 0.85 9 9 9 9 10 12 12
Celik Zenica 1272 8 9.18 1.18 8 8 8 9 11 11 11
Radnik Bijeljina 1251 4 5.28 1.28 4 4 4 5 7 7 7

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Zrinjski Mostar85.23%14.77%————————
Borac Banja Luka14.77%85.23%————————
Sarajevo——69.10%30.90%——————
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo——30.90%69.10%——————
Siroki Brijeg————36.02%27.42%27.23%8.72%0.61%—
Sloga Doboj————24.11%25.29%27.04%19.33%4.23%—
Celik Zenica————18.90%17.14%29.14%28.50%6.32%—
BSK Banja Luka————3.25%5.16%7.94%42.84%40.81%—
Velez Mostar————17.72%24.99%8.65%0.61%40.83%7.20%
Radnik Bijeljina————————7.20%92.80%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Borac Banja Luka 100% —
Sarajevo 100% —
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 100% —
Zrinjski Mostar 100% —
Siroki Brijeg 99.39% 0.61%
Sloga Doboj 95.77% 4.23%
Celik Zenica 93.68% 6.32%
BSK Banja Luka 59.19% 40.81%
Velez Mostar 51.97% 48.03%
Radnik Bijeljina — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-07 BSK Banja Luka W 2-143.2 1379 1357 55.63% 25.12% 19.25%+0.63 +7.7 3
2026-08-07 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 1-243.2 1357 1379 19.25% 25.12% 55.63%-0.63 -7.7 0
2026-08-08 Radnik Bijeljina D 0-053.2 1462 1303 67.96% 21.83% 10.21%+1.20 -5.3 1
2026-08-08 @ Sarajevo D 0-053.2 1303 1462 10.21% 21.83% 67.96%-1.20 +5.3 1
2026-08-08 Sloga Doboj D 0-050.5 1333 1285 58.27% 24.62% 17.11%+0.73 -3.7 1
2026-08-08 @ Siroki Brijeg D 0-050.5 1285 1333 17.11% 24.62% 58.27%-0.73 +3.7 1
2026-08-09 Velez Mostar W 3-139.0 1552 1374 69.35% 21.28% 9.37%+1.28 +6.6 3
2026-08-09 @ Borac Banja Luka L 1-339.0 1374 1552 9.37% 21.28% 69.35%-1.28 -6.6 0
2026-08-09 Celik Zenica W 2-137.6 1494 1244 74.18% 19.08% 6.74%+1.58 +2.6 3
2026-08-09 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-237.6 1244 1494 6.74% 19.08% 74.18%-1.58 -2.6 0
2026-08-14 Siroki Brijeg L 1-248.8 1241 1329 42.23% 26.41% 31.36%+0.16 -14.3 0
2026-08-14 @ Celik Zenica W 2-148.8 1329 1241 31.36% 26.41% 42.23%-0.16 +14.3 4
2026-08-16 Velez Mostar W 2-033.4 1350 1367 51.16% 25.75% 23.09%+0.46 +17.9 3
2026-08-16 @ BSK Banja Luka L 0-233.4 1367 1350 23.09% 25.75% 51.16%-0.46 -17.9 0
2026-08-16 Zrinjski Mostar L 1-539.2 1308 1497 28.51% 26.26% 45.23%-0.26 -33.6 1
2026-08-16 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 5-139.2 1497 1308 45.23% 26.26% 28.51%+0.26 +33.6 6
2026-08-21 BSK Banja Luka W 1-037.3 1457 1367 62.20% 23.69% 14.11%+0.91 +6.1 4
2026-08-21 @ Sarajevo L 0-137.3 1367 1457 14.11% 23.69% 62.20%-0.91 -6.1 3
2026-08-22 Radnik Bijeljina W 2-140.4 1344 1274 60.31% 24.17% 15.52%+0.82 +6.3 7
2026-08-22 @ Siroki Brijeg L 1-240.4 1274 1344 15.52% 24.17% 60.31%-0.82 -6.3 1
2026-08-22 Sloga Doboj W 2-030.0 1349 1289 59.52% 24.35% 16.13%+0.79 +13.1 3
2026-08-22 @ Velez Mostar L 0-230.0 1289 1349 16.13% 24.35% 59.52%-0.79 -13.1 1
2026-08-23 Celik Zenica W 2-026.3 1559 1227 78.91% 16.48% 4.61%+1.92 +3.4 6
2026-08-23 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-226.3 1227 1559 4.61% 16.48% 78.91%-1.92 -3.4 0
2026-08-23 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-033.6 1530 1387 66.68% 22.30% 11.02%+1.13 +9.0 9
2026-08-23 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-233.6 1387 1530 11.02% 22.30% 66.68%-1.13 -9.0 3
2026-08-28 Velez Mostar W 3-035.0 1224 1362 35.06% 26.50% 38.44%-0.05 +38.7 3
2026-08-28 @ Celik Zenica L 0-335.0 1362 1224 38.44% 26.50% 35.06%+0.05 -38.7 3
2026-08-29 Sloga Doboj L 0-148.6 1361 1276 61.86% 23.78% 14.36%+0.89 -21.1 3
2026-08-29 @ BSK Banja Luka W 1-048.6 1276 1361 14.36% 23.78% 61.86%-0.89 +21.1 4
2026-08-29 Zrinjski Mostar L 0-152.8 1463 1539 43.82% 26.34% 29.83%+0.21 -15.7 4
2026-08-29 @ Sarajevo W 1-052.8 1539 1463 29.83% 26.34% 43.82%-0.21 +15.7 12
2026-08-29 Siroki Brijeg D 1-156.4 1378 1350 56.27% 25.01% 18.72%+0.65 -3.0 4
2026-08-29 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-156.4 1350 1378 18.72% 25.01% 56.27%-0.65 +3.0 8
2026-08-30 Borac Banja Luka D 2-264.4 1268 1562 17.75% 24.78% 57.47%-0.70 +2.3 2
2026-08-30 @ Radnik Bijeljina D 2-264.4 1562 1268 57.47% 24.78% 17.75%+0.70 -2.3 7
2026-09-01 Celik Zenica D 0-050.0 1297 1262 56.90% 24.89% 18.21%+0.68 -3.4 5
2026-09-01 @ Sloga Doboj D 0-050.0 1262 1297 18.21% 24.89% 56.90%-0.68 +3.4 4
2026-09-01 BSK Banja Luka W 3-137.2 1555 1340 71.88% 20.19% 7.93%+1.43 +5.5 15
2026-09-01 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-337.2 1340 1555 7.93% 20.19% 71.88%-1.43 -5.5 3
2026-09-02 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo W 2-033.3 1560 1375 69.79% 21.10% 9.11%+1.30 +7.4 10
2026-09-02 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-233.3 1375 1560 9.11% 21.10% 69.79%-1.30 -7.4 4
2026-09-02 Sarajevo L 1-251.4 1353 1447 41.30% 26.44% 32.26%+0.14 -14.1 8
2026-09-02 @ Siroki Brijeg W 2-151.4 1447 1353 32.26% 26.44% 41.30%-0.14 +14.1 7
2026-09-02 Radnik Bijeljina D 1-155.1 1324 1271 58.78% 24.51% 16.71%+0.75 -3.4 4
2026-09-02 @ Velez Mostar D 1-155.1 1271 1324 16.71% 24.51% 58.78%-0.75 +3.4 3
2026-09-05 Celik Zenica W 3-245.3 1335 1266 60.32% 24.17% 15.51%+0.82 +6.0 6
2026-09-05 @ BSK Banja Luka L 2-345.3 1266 1335 15.51% 24.17% 60.32%-0.82 -6.0 4
2026-09-05 Sloga Doboj L 1-251.2 1274 1293 50.96% 25.77% 23.26%+0.45 -16.8 3
2026-09-05 @ Radnik Bijeljina W 2-151.2 1293 1274 23.26% 25.77% 50.96%-0.45 +16.8 8
2026-09-06 Borac Banja Luka W 1-050.8 1462 1567 39.79% 26.48% 33.73%+0.09 +12.8 10
2026-09-06 @ Sarajevo L 0-150.8 1567 1462 33.73% 26.48% 39.79%-0.09 -12.8 10
2026-09-06 Velez Mostar W 3-136.8 1368 1320 58.23% 24.63% 17.14%+0.73 +12.0 7
2026-09-06 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 1-336.8 1320 1368 17.14% 24.63% 58.23%-0.73 -12.0 4
2026-09-06 Siroki Brijeg W 2-142.1 1560 1339 72.35% 19.97% 7.68%+1.46 +3.0 18
2026-09-06 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 1-242.1 1339 1560 7.68% 19.97% 72.35%-1.46 -3.0 8
2026-09-09 Sarajevo W 2-039.3 1380 1474 41.32% 26.44% 32.24%+0.14 +23.4 10
2026-09-09 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo L 0-239.3 1474 1380 32.24% 26.44% 41.32%-0.14 -23.4 10
2026-09-11 Radnik Bijeljina W 3-247.0 1260 1257 53.48% 25.45% 21.07%+0.54 +7.9 7
2026-09-11 @ Celik Zenica L 2-347.0 1257 1260 21.07% 25.45% 53.48%-0.54 -7.9 3
2026-09-12 Zrinjski Mostar W 1-050.2 1554 1563 52.16% 25.63% 22.21%+0.49 +9.2 13
2026-09-12 @ Borac Banja Luka L 0-150.2 1563 1554 22.21% 25.63% 52.16%-0.49 -9.2 18
2026-09-12 BSK Banja Luka D 1-155.5 1336 1341 52.62% 25.57% 21.81%+0.51 -2.4 9
2026-09-12 @ Siroki Brijeg D 1-155.5 1341 1336 21.81% 25.57% 52.62%-0.51 +2.4 7
2026-09-13 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-155.7 1310 1403 41.50% 26.43% 32.06%+0.14 -0.7 9
2026-09-13 @ Sloga Doboj D 1-155.7 1403 1310 32.06% 26.43% 41.50%-0.14 +0.7 11
2026-09-13 Sarajevo W 1-044.2 1308 1451 34.52% 26.49% 38.99%-0.07 +14.3 7
2026-09-13 @ Velez Mostar L 0-144.2 1451 1308 38.99% 26.49% 34.52%+0.07 -14.3 10
2026-09-16 Borac Banja Luka L 1-247.0 1309 1563 21.29% 25.49% 53.22%-0.53 -8.4 9
2026-09-16 @ Sloga Doboj W 2-147.0 1563 1309 53.22% 25.49% 21.29%+0.53 +8.4 16
2026-09-18 Celik Zenica D 1-156.4 1404 1268 66.15% 22.48% 11.37%+1.10 -4.5 12
2026-09-18 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D 1-156.4 1268 1404 11.37% 22.48% 66.15%-1.10 +4.5 8
2026-09-19 Radnik Bijeljina D 4-466.5 1343 1249 62.58% 23.59% 13.84%+0.92 -2.1 8
2026-09-19 @ BSK Banja Luka D 4-466.5 1249 1343 13.84% 23.59% 62.58%-0.92 +2.2 4
2026-09-19 Velez Mostar W 2-030.4 1554 1323 73.00% 19.66% 7.33%+1.50 +5.8 21
2026-09-19 @ Zrinjski Mostar L 0-230.4 1323 1554 7.33% 19.66% 73.00%-1.50 -5.8 7
2026-09-20 Sloga Doboj W 2-029.3 1437 1301 66.10% 22.50% 11.40%+1.10 +9.3 13
2026-09-20 @ Sarajevo L 0-229.3 1301 1437 11.40% 22.50% 66.10%-1.10 -9.3 9
2026-09-20 Borac Banja Luka L 2-353.6 1333 1572 22.85% 25.72% 51.43%-0.47 -8.4 9
2026-09-20 @ Siroki Brijeg W 3-253.6 1572 1333 51.43% 25.72% 22.85%+0.47 +8.4 19

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-10-10 BSK Banja Luka 1580 1341 73.50% 19.42% 7.08%+1.5340.8
2026-10-10 @ Borac Banja Luka 1341 1580 7.08% 19.42% 73.50%-1.5340.8
2026-10-10 Sarajevo 1272 1446 30.33% 26.37% 43.30%-0.2038.5
2026-10-10 @ Celik Zenica 1446 1272 43.30% 26.37% 30.33%+0.2038.5
2026-10-10 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1251 1399 33.79% 26.48% 39.73%-0.0944.7
2026-10-10 @ Radnik Bijeljina 1399 1251 39.73% 26.48% 33.79%+0.0944.7
2026-10-10 Zrinjski Mostar 1292 1560 19.96% 25.25% 54.79%-0.5938.4
2026-10-10 @ Sloga Doboj 1560 1292 54.79% 25.25% 19.96%+0.5938.4
2026-10-10 Siroki Brijeg 1317 1325 52.28% 25.61% 22.11%+0.5049.0
2026-10-10 @ Velez Mostar 1325 1317 22.11% 25.61% 52.28%-0.5049.0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-08-29 14.36% Sloga Doboj 1276 1 @ BSK Banja Luka 1361 0
2 2026-09-05 23.26% Sloga Doboj 1293 2 @ Radnik Bijeljina 1274 1
3 2026-08-29 29.83% Zrinjski Mostar 1539 1 @ Sarajevo 1463 0
4 2026-08-14 31.36% Siroki Brijeg 1329 2 @ Celik Zenica 1241 1
5 2026-09-02 32.26% Sarajevo 1447 2 @ Siroki Brijeg 1353 1
6 2026-09-13 34.52% @ Velez Mostar 1308 1 Sarajevo 1451 0
7 2026-08-28 35.06% @ Celik Zenica 1224 3 Velez Mostar 1362 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-28 38.71 @ Celik Zenica 3 1224 35.06% Velez Mostar 0 1362 38.44% 26.50%
2 2026-08-16 33.61 Zrinjski Mostar 5 1497 45.23% @ Radnik Bijeljina 1 1308 28.51% 26.26%
3 2026-09-09 23.38 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1380 41.32% Sarajevo 0 1474 32.24% 26.44%
4 2026-08-29 21.13 Sloga Doboj 1 1276 14.36% @ BSK Banja Luka 0 1361 61.86% 23.78%
5 2026-08-16 17.93 @ BSK Banja Luka 2 1350 51.16% Velez Mostar 0 1367 23.09% 25.75%
6 2026-09-05 16.75 Sloga Doboj 2 1293 23.26% @ Radnik Bijeljina 1 1274 50.96% 25.77%
7 2026-08-29 15.66 Zrinjski Mostar 1 1539 29.83% @ Sarajevo 0 1463 43.82% 26.34%
8 2026-08-14 14.33 Siroki Brijeg 2 1329 31.36% @ Celik Zenica 1 1241 42.23% 26.41%
9 2026-09-13 14.29 @ Velez Mostar 1 1308 34.52% Sarajevo 0 1451 38.99% 26.49%
10 2026-09-02 14.08 Sarajevo 2 1447 32.26% @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1353 41.30% 26.44%
11 2026-08-22 13.07 @ Velez Mostar 2 1349 59.52% Sloga Doboj 0 1289 16.13% 24.35%
12 2026-09-06 12.83 @ Sarajevo 1 1462 39.79% Borac Banja Luka 0 1567 33.73% 26.48%
13 2026-09-06 11.97 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1368 58.23% Velez Mostar 1 1320 17.14% 24.63%
14 2026-09-20 9.31 @ Sarajevo 2 1437 66.10% Sloga Doboj 0 1301 11.40% 22.50%
15 2026-09-12 9.20 @ Borac Banja Luka 1 1554 52.16% Zrinjski Mostar 0 1563 22.21% 25.63%
16 2026-08-23 9.00 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1530 66.68% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1387 11.02% 22.30%
17 2026-09-20 8.43 Borac Banja Luka 3 1572 51.43% @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1333 22.85% 25.72%
18 2026-09-16 8.37 Borac Banja Luka 2 1563 53.22% @ Sloga Doboj 1 1309 21.29% 25.49%
19 2026-09-11 7.87 @ Celik Zenica 3 1260 53.48% Radnik Bijeljina 2 1257 21.07% 25.45%
20 2026-08-07 7.67 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1379 55.63% BSK Banja Luka 1 1357 19.25% 25.12%
21 2026-09-02 7.36 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1560 69.79% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1375 9.11% 21.10%
22 2026-08-09 6.57 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1552 69.35% Velez Mostar 1 1374 9.37% 21.28%
23 2026-08-22 6.30 @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1344 60.31% Radnik Bijeljina 1 1274 15.52% 24.17%
24 2026-08-21 6.11 @ Sarajevo 1 1457 62.20% BSK Banja Luka 0 1367 14.11% 23.69%
25 2026-09-05 5.98 @ BSK Banja Luka 3 1335 60.32% Celik Zenica 2 1266 15.51% 24.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-19 66.5 @ BSK Banja Luka 4 1343 62.58% Radnik Bijeljina 4 1249 13.84% 23.59%
2 2026-08-30 64.4 @ Radnik Bijeljina 2 1268 17.75% Borac Banja Luka 2 1562 57.47% 24.78%
3 2026-08-29 56.4 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1378 56.27% Siroki Brijeg 1 1350 18.72% 25.01%
4 2026-09-18 56.4 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1404 66.15% Celik Zenica 1 1268 11.37% 22.48%
5 2026-09-13 55.7 @ Sloga Doboj 1 1310 41.50% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1 1403 32.06% 26.43%
6 2026-09-12 55.5 @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1336 52.62% BSK Banja Luka 1 1341 21.81% 25.57%
7 2026-09-02 55.1 @ Velez Mostar 1 1324 58.78% Radnik Bijeljina 1 1271 16.71% 24.51%
8 2026-09-20 53.6 Borac Banja Luka 3 1572 51.43% @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1333 22.85% 25.72%
9 2026-08-08 53.2 @ Sarajevo 0 1462 67.96% Radnik Bijeljina 0 1303 10.21% 21.83%
10 2026-08-29 52.8 Zrinjski Mostar 1 1539 29.83% @ Sarajevo 0 1463 43.82% 26.34%
11 2026-09-02 51.4 Sarajevo 2 1447 32.26% @ Siroki Brijeg 1 1353 41.30% 26.44%
12 2026-09-05 51.2 Sloga Doboj 2 1293 23.26% @ Radnik Bijeljina 1 1274 50.96% 25.77%
13 2026-09-06 50.8 @ Sarajevo 1 1462 39.79% Borac Banja Luka 0 1567 33.73% 26.48%
14 2026-08-08 50.5 @ Siroki Brijeg 0 1333 58.27% Sloga Doboj 0 1285 17.11% 24.62%
15 2026-09-12 50.2 @ Borac Banja Luka 1 1554 52.16% Zrinjski Mostar 0 1563 22.21% 25.63%
16 2026-09-01 50.0 @ Sloga Doboj 0 1297 56.90% Celik Zenica 0 1262 18.21% 24.89%
17 2026-08-14 48.8 Siroki Brijeg 2 1329 31.36% @ Celik Zenica 1 1241 42.23% 26.41%
18 2026-08-29 48.6 Sloga Doboj 1 1276 14.36% @ BSK Banja Luka 0 1361 61.86% 23.78%
19 2026-09-11 47.0 @ Celik Zenica 3 1260 53.48% Radnik Bijeljina 2 1257 21.07% 25.45%
20 2026-09-16 47.0 Borac Banja Luka 2 1563 53.22% @ Sloga Doboj 1 1309 21.29% 25.49%
21 2026-09-05 45.3 @ BSK Banja Luka 3 1335 60.32% Celik Zenica 2 1266 15.51% 24.17%
22 2026-09-13 44.2 @ Velez Mostar 1 1308 34.52% Sarajevo 0 1451 38.99% 26.49%
23 2026-08-07 43.2 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1379 55.63% BSK Banja Luka 1 1357 19.25% 25.12%
24 2026-09-06 42.1 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1560 72.35% Siroki Brijeg 1 1339 7.68% 19.97%
25 2026-08-22 40.4 @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1344 60.31% Radnik Bijeljina 1 1274 15.52% 24.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-23 26.3 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1559 78.91% Celik Zenica 0 1227 4.61% 16.48%
2 2026-09-20 29.3 @ Sarajevo 2 1437 66.10% Sloga Doboj 0 1301 11.40% 22.50%
3 2026-08-22 30.0 @ Velez Mostar 2 1349 59.52% Sloga Doboj 0 1289 16.13% 24.35%
4 2026-09-19 30.4 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1554 73.00% Velez Mostar 0 1323 7.33% 19.66%
5 2026-09-02 33.3 @ Borac Banja Luka 2 1560 69.79% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1375 9.11% 21.10%
6 2026-08-16 33.4 @ BSK Banja Luka 2 1350 51.16% Velez Mostar 0 1367 23.09% 25.75%
7 2026-08-23 33.6 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1530 66.68% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 1387 11.02% 22.30%
8 2026-08-28 35.0 @ Celik Zenica 3 1224 35.06% Velez Mostar 0 1362 38.44% 26.50%
9 2026-09-06 36.8 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3 1368 58.23% Velez Mostar 1 1320 17.14% 24.63%
10 2026-09-01 37.2 @ Zrinjski Mostar 3 1555 71.88% BSK Banja Luka 1 1340 7.93% 20.19%
11 2026-08-21 37.3 @ Sarajevo 1 1457 62.20% BSK Banja Luka 0 1367 14.11% 23.69%
12 2026-08-09 37.6 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1494 74.18% Celik Zenica 1 1244 6.74% 19.08%
13 2026-08-09 39.0 @ Borac Banja Luka 3 1552 69.35% Velez Mostar 1 1374 9.37% 21.28%
14 2026-08-16 39.2 Zrinjski Mostar 5 1497 45.23% @ Radnik Bijeljina 1 1308 28.51% 26.26%
15 2026-09-09 39.3 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1380 41.32% Sarajevo 0 1474 32.24% 26.44%
16 2026-08-22 40.4 @ Siroki Brijeg 2 1344 60.31% Radnik Bijeljina 1 1274 15.52% 24.17%
17 2026-09-06 42.1 @ Zrinjski Mostar 2 1560 72.35% Siroki Brijeg 1 1339 7.68% 19.97%
18 2026-08-07 43.2 @ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 1379 55.63% BSK Banja Luka 1 1357 19.25% 25.12%
19 2026-09-13 44.2 @ Velez Mostar 1 1308 34.52% Sarajevo 0 1451 38.99% 26.49%
20 2026-09-05 45.3 @ BSK Banja Luka 3 1335 60.32% Celik Zenica 2 1266 15.51% 24.17%
21 2026-09-11 47.0 @ Celik Zenica 3 1260 53.48% Radnik Bijeljina 2 1257 21.07% 25.45%
22 2026-09-16 47.0 Borac Banja Luka 2 1563 53.22% @ Sloga Doboj 1 1309 21.29% 25.49%
23 2026-08-29 48.6 Sloga Doboj 1 1276 14.36% @ BSK Banja Luka 0 1361 61.86% 23.78%
24 2026-08-14 48.8 Siroki Brijeg 2 1329 31.36% @ Celik Zenica 1 1241 42.23% 26.41%
25 2026-09-01 50.0 @ Sloga Doboj 0 1297 56.90% Celik Zenica 0 1262 18.21% 24.89%