‹

2026-27 First Professional Football League Season

69 games played · 14 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Levski Sofia

63.90% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Levski Sofia

6.47 points above expected

25 points · 18.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cherno More

5.68 points below expected

6 points · 11.68 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 25 21 4 +17 18.53 +6.47
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24 23 8 +15 19.22 +4.78
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 23 16 7 +9 18.69 +4.31
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 22 20 9 +11 17.82 +4.18
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 17 15 12 +3 16.48 +0.52
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16 16 14 +2 13.25 +2.75
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 11 9 8 +1 12.24 -1.24
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10 10 15 -5 11.05 -1.05
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9 10 18 -8 10.66 -1.66
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8 8 18 -10 8.93 -0.93
11 Lokomotiv Sofia 10 1 4 5 7 11 18 -7 10.65 -3.65
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 7 5 13 -8 11.30 -4.30
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 6 10 21 -11 11.68 -5.68
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 5 10 19 -9 9.78 -4.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Levski Sofia 25 18.53 +6.47
2 CSKA Sofia 24 19.22 +4.78
3 Ludogorets 23 18.69 +4.31
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 22 17.82 +4.18
5 Botev Plovdiv 16 13.25 +2.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cherno More 6 11.68 -5.68
2 Dunav Ruse 5 9.78 -4.78
3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 7 11.30 -4.30
4 Lokomotiv Sofia 7 10.65 -3.65
5 Botev Vratsa 9 10.66 -1.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Levski Sofia 8 Jul 17 – Sep 5 1 in 55
2 Septemvri Sofia 2 Aug 17 – Aug 23 1 in 27
3 Botev Plovdiv 3 Sep 4 – Sep 19 1 in 22
4 Arda 4 Aug 8 – Aug 31 1 in 15
5 CSKA 1948 Sofia 4 Jul 25 – Aug 16 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5 Aug 3 – Aug 28 1 in 57
2 Cherno More 4 Jul 26 – Aug 16 1 in 31
3 Botev Vratsa 4 Jul 25 – Aug 14 1 in 16
4 Spartak Varna 3 Aug 10 – Aug 22 1 in 14
5 Arda 2 Sep 4 – Sep 12 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Septemvri Sofia 3 Aug 17 – Aug 28 1 in 12
2 Slavia Sofia 4 Jul 31 – Aug 28 1 in 10
3 CSKA Sofia 10 Jul 20 – Sep 20 1 in 9
4 Botev Vratsa 3 Sep 4 – Sep 19 1 in 7
5 Spartak Varna 3 Jul 17 – Aug 3 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotiv Sofia 9 Jul 21 – Sep 16 1 in 17
2 Spartak Varna 7 Aug 10 – Sep 20 1 in 12
3 Ludogorets 2 Aug 22 – Aug 30 1 in 7
4 Arda 3 Sep 4 – Sep 19 1 in 7
5 Cherno More 5 Jul 19 – Aug 16 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Dunav Ruse +0.01 1386
2 Arda +0.00 1539
3 Botev Plovdiv +0.00 1522
4 Botev Vratsa +0.00 1438
5 CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.00 1607

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Arda +0.00 1539
2 Botev Plovdiv +0.00 1522
3 Botev Vratsa +0.00 1438
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia +0.00 1607
5 CSKA Sofia +0.00 1635

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Levski Sofia 1691 25 +34 13 10.0 +3.0
CSKA Sofia 1635 24 +29 11 9.6 +1.4
Ludogorets 1665 23 +10 11 10.6 +0.4
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1607 22 -1 9 8.8 +0.2
Arda 1539 17 -11 7 8.4 -1.4
Botev Plovdiv 1522 16 +25 9 6.5 +2.5
Slavia Sofia 1472 11 -7 5 7.1 -2.1
Spartak Varna 1421 10 -22 3 4.8 -1.8
Botev Vratsa 1438 9 +12 8 5.4 +2.6
Septemvri Sofia 1367 8 -17 4 4.7 -0.7
Lokomotiv Sofia 1442 7 -5 5 5.4 -0.4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1427 7 -18 4 5.2 -1.2
Cherno More 1433 6 -2 5 5.9 -0.9
Dunav Ruse 1386 5 -23 2 5.7 -3.7

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 0.53 Levski Sofia 25 pts·1691 48% – 26% – 26% Ludogorets 23 pts·1665 78.4

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 7 pts·1425·+1.97 1 – 1 CSKA Sofia 24 pts·1637·-1.96 1.1265.2
2026-09-20 0.35 Spartak Varna 10 pts·1431·-10.56 0 – 1 Lokomotiv Sofia 7 pts·1432·+10.55 47.9
2026-09-19 1.12 Arda 17 pts·1541·-2.10 1 – 1 Cherno More 6 pts·1431·+2.09 62.0
2026-09-19 Dunav Ruse 5 pts·1386·-0.04 2 – 2 Botev Vratsa 9 pts·1438·+0.04 0.0163.3
2026-09-19 Septemvri Sofia 8 pts·1388·-20.93 0 – 3 Botev Plovdiv 16 pts·1501·+20.93 0.4339.4
2026-09-18 Slavia Sofia 11 pts·1479·-7.00 1 – 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia 22 pts·1600·+7.00 0.4957.1
2026-09-16 Lokomotiv Sofia 7 pts·1443·-11.21 0 – 2 CSKA Sofia 24 pts·1625·+11.21 0.9244.6
2026-09-14 2.25 Ludogorets 23 pts·1663·+2.25 2 – 1 Septemvri Sofia 8 pts·1390·-2.25 48.0
2026-09-13 0.71 Botev Plovdiv 16 pts·1489·+11.99 2 – 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 7 pts·1437·-11.99 40.0
2026-09-13 Botev Vratsa 9 pts·1436·+2.74 0 – 0 Levski Sofia 25 pts·1693·-2.74 1.4462.8
2026-09-13 0.71 Slavia Sofia 11 pts·1481·-1.59 0 – 0 Spartak Varna 10 pts·1430·+1.59 54.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BP BV C1S CS CM DR LS LP LS LUD SS SS SV
Arda —
0-0-1
1.92
1-0-0
2.02
0-0-1
1.01
0-0-1
0.94
0-1-0
1.98
1-0-0
1.61
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.66
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
Botev Plovdiv
1-0-0
0.84
—
0-0-1
1.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.88
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-0
1.79
0-1-0
1.69
0-0-1
0.68
1-0-0
1.60
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.74
Botev Vratsa
0-0-1
0.75
1-0-0
1.31
—
0-0-1
0.84
0-0-1
0.66
0-1-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.35
0-1-0
0.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.62
1-0-0
1.25
0-0-1
1.68
0-0-0
0.00
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-0-0
1.74
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.92
—
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.05
1-0-0
2.24
0-0-1
0.85
1-0-0
2.11
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.98
1-0-0
1.63
0-1-0
1.73
CSKA Sofia
1-0-0
1.81
1-0-0
1.87
1-0-0
2.12
0-0-0
0.00
—
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
2.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.94
1-0-0
1.85
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.89
0-1-0
1.64
0-1-0
1.86
Cherno More
0-1-0
0.78
0-0-1
1.05
0-1-0
1.24
0-0-1
0.72
0-0-1
0.66
—
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.18
0-1-0
1.56
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.90
Dunav Ruse
0-0-1
1.13
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.39
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-1
0.66
0-0-1
1.04
—
0-0-1
0.57
1-0-0
0.93
0-1-0
1.40
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.29
0-0-0
0.00
Levski Sofia
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.86
0-1-0
2.08
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.23
—
1-0-0
2.18
1-0-0
1.78
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.32
1-0-0
1.93
1-0-0
2.25
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-1
0.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.67
0-1-0
0.82
1-0-0
1.56
0-0-1
1.82
0-0-1
0.60
—
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.66
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.21
Lokomotiv Sofia
0-0-1
0.85
0-1-0
1.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-1
0.90
0-1-0
1.18
0-1-0
1.34
0-0-1
0.97
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.23
1-0-0
1.14
Ludogorets
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.09
1-0-0
2.16
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
1.94
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.12
1-0-0
1.94
—
1-0-0
2.37
0-1-0
2.18
0-1-0
2.01
Septemvri Sofia
0-1-0
1.08
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
1.49
1-0-0
0.78
0-0-1
0.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
0.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.45
—
0-1-0
0.86
1-0-0
0.86
Slavia Sofia
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.06
0-0-1
1.11
0-1-0
1.11
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.51
0-1-0
0.60
0-1-0
1.89
—
0-1-0
1.79
Spartak Varna
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.01
0-1-0
0.89
1-0-0
0.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.55
1-0-0
1.53
0-0-1
1.60
0-1-0
0.75
0-0-1
1.90
0-1-0
0.96
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +12.5
Allowed 0.74 -12.0
Differential 0.95 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%8.70%5.80%3.62%—1.45%23.91%
18.70%14.49%9.42%3.62%1.45%—37.68%
25.80%9.42%5.80%3.62%——24.64%
33.62%3.62%3.62%———10.87%
4—1.45%————1.45%
5+1.45%—————1.45%
Total23.91%37.68%24.64%10.87%1.45%1.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.73
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 69

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
120.00%20.00%10.00%—10.00%—60.00%
220.00%——10.00%——30.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.20 +0.30
SD 0.71 1.40 1.64
CV 0.47 1.17 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%———20.00%
110.00%10.00%—10.00%——30.00%
210.00%——10.00%——20.00%
310.00%—20.00%———30.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%20.00%30.00%20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.40 +0.20
SD 1.17 1.17 1.69
CV 0.73 0.84 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—10.00%10.00%——30.00%
110.00%10.00%20.00%—10.00%—50.00%
2——10.00%———10.00%
3——10.00%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%10.00%50.00%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.80 -0.80
SD 0.94 1.23 1.48
CV 0.94 0.68 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%————20.00%
1———————
210.00%40.00%10.00%———60.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+10.00%—————10.00%
Total20.00%70.00%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.90 +1.10
SD 1.41 0.57 1.73
CV 0.71 0.63 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
1—20.00%————20.00%
210.00%10.00%————20.00%
310.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
4—20.00%————20.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%60.00%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 0.80 +1.50
SD 1.34 0.63 1.27
CV 0.58 0.79 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%—10.00%—10.00%40.00%
1—20.00%—10.00%——30.00%
2——10.00%10.00%——20.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total—50.00%10.00%30.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.10 -1.10
SD 1.05 1.37 1.91
CV 1.05 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%20.00%———30.00%
1——30.00%10.00%——40.00%
2—10.00%20.00%———30.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—20.00%70.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.90 -0.90
SD 0.82 0.57 0.99
CV 0.82 0.30 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—————11.11%
111.11%—————11.11%
211.11%33.33%————44.44%
311.11%11.11%————22.22%
4———————
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total55.56%44.44%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.44 +1.89
SD 1.66 0.53 1.76
CV 0.71 1.19 —
Max 6 1 +6
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—30.00%30.00%———60.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
2—10.00%————10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%50.00%40.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.30 -0.80
SD 0.71 0.67 1.14
CV 1.41 0.52 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%———10.00%
110.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%——70.00%
2——20.00%———20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%50.00%20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.80 -0.70
SD 0.57 0.92 1.06
CV 0.52 0.51 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
111.11%22.22%————33.33%
222.22%33.33%————55.56%
3——11.11%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%55.56%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.78 +1.00
SD 0.67 0.67 0.71
CV 0.38 0.86 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———30.00%——30.00%
120.00%20.00%20.00%———60.00%
2———10.00%——10.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%20.00%40.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.80 -1.00
SD 0.63 1.23 1.56
CV 0.79 0.68 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%————30.00%
110.00%30.00%20.00%———60.00%
2———————
310.00%—————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.80 +0.10
SD 0.88 0.79 1.20
CV 0.97 0.99 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%20.00%———10.00%40.00%
110.00%20.00%————30.00%
2——10.00%10.00%——20.00%
310.00%—————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%10.00%10.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.50 -0.50
SD 1.05 1.84 2.27
CV 1.05 1.23 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 10

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Levski Sofia 1691 25 58.64 33.64 40 50 55 59 62 67 74
Ludogorets 1665 23 54.38 31.38 34 46 51 54 58 63 72
CSKA Sofia 1635 24 51.87 27.87 34 44 49 52 55 60 68
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1607 22 49.04 27.04 32 41 46 49 52 57 68
Arda 1539 17 40.16 23.16 24 32 37 40 43 48 58
Botev Plovdiv 1522 16 39.36 23.36 23 31 36 39 43 48 58
Slavia Sofia 1472 11 31.48 20.48 13 23 28 31 35 40 51
Lokomotiv Sofia 1442 7 27.27 20.27 9 19 24 27 31 36 45
Botev Vratsa 1438 9 28.30 19.30 11 20 25 28 32 37 50
Cherno More 1433 6 24.32 18.32 9 17 21 24 28 32 43
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1427 7 25.15 18.15 8 17 22 25 28 33 44
Spartak Varna 1421 10 27.44 17.44 12 20 24 27 31 36 46
Dunav Ruse 1386 5 20.87 15.87 6 13 18 21 24 29 41
Septemvri Sofia 1367 8 23.32 15.32 10 16 20 23 26 31 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Levski Sofia63.90%23.64%9.30%2.67%0.43%0.06%————————
CSKA Sofia10.84%26.69%34.92%22.44%4.35%0.67%0.08%0.01%——————
Ludogorets20.97%35.14%26.68%14.32%2.48%0.41%————————
CSKA 1948 Sofia4.19%13.82%25.41%42.20%10.91%3.08%0.34%0.05%——————
Arda0.07%0.44%2.03%10.00%42.04%31.81%9.06%2.94%1.07%0.40%0.11%0.02%0.01%—
Botev Plovdiv0.03%0.27%1.65%7.80%32.63%38.59%12.32%4.21%1.59%0.62%0.23%0.04%—0.02%
Slavia Sofia——0.01%0.41%3.96%11.87%30.14%19.81%13.78%8.34%5.83%3.39%1.79%0.67%
Spartak Varna———0.04%0.81%3.26%11.66%15.92%16.39%16.03%14.02%10.59%7.21%4.07%
Botev Vratsa———0.07%1.30%4.37%13.34%17.45%16.57%14.94%12.58%9.68%6.37%3.33%
Septemvri Sofia————0.04%0.52%2.39%5.18%7.92%10.97%13.71%17.60%20.06%21.61%
Lokomotiv Sofia———0.03%0.70%3.05%10.50%15.59%16.87%15.42%13.50%11.38%8.17%4.79%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv———0.02%0.22%1.40%5.45%9.60%12.37%13.97%15.89%16.24%14.57%10.27%
Cherno More————0.13%0.71%3.82%6.82%9.47%12.86%14.06%16.84%18.50%16.79%
Dunav Ruse—————0.20%0.90%2.42%3.97%6.45%10.07%14.22%23.32%38.45%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff final Lost relegation playoff
Arda 99.96% 0.04% —
CSKA 1948 Sofia 100% — —
CSKA Sofia 100% — —
Levski Sofia 100% — —
Ludogorets 100% — —
Botev Plovdiv 99.85% 0.12% 0.03%
Slavia Sofia 93.45% 3.74% 2.81%
Botev Vratsa 80.20% 9.42% 10.38%
Lokomotiv Sofia 75.76% 11.04% 13.20%
Spartak Varna 74.06% 11.84% 14.10%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 60.02% 15.16% 24.82%
Cherno More 55.32% 15.80% 28.88%
Septemvri Sofia 36.78% 17.90% 45.32%
Dunav Ruse 24.60% 14.94% 60.46%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-07-17 CSKA 1948 Sofia D 2-268.6 1417 1565 25.36% 25.37% 49.27%-0.67 +0.9 1
2026-07-17 @ Spartak Varna D 2-268.6 1565 1417 49.27% 25.37% 25.36%+0.67 -0.9 1
2026-07-17 Dunav Ruse W 2-150.0 1633 1429 67.30% 20.67% 12.02%+1.78 +3.1 3
2026-07-17 @ Levski Sofia L 1-250.0 1429 1633 12.02% 20.67% 67.30%-1.78 -3.1 0
2026-07-18 Arda D 1-159.8 1399 1528 27.45% 25.64% 46.90%-0.55 +1.0 1
2026-07-18 @ Septemvri Sofia D 1-159.8 1528 1399 46.90% 25.64% 27.45%+0.55 -1.0 1
2026-07-18 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-046.0 1632 1470 63.41% 22.12% 14.47%+1.48 +4.0 3
2026-07-18 @ Ludogorets L 0-146.0 1470 1632 14.47% 22.12% 63.41%-1.48 -4.0 0
2026-07-19 Cherno More D 1-161.4 1475 1501 41.26% 26.04% 32.70%+0.17 -0.4 1
2026-07-19 @ Botev Vratsa D 1-161.4 1501 1475 32.70% 26.04% 41.26%-0.17 +0.4 1
2026-07-20 CSKA Sofia D 0-058.3 1451 1573 28.31% 25.74% 45.95%-0.49 +1.0 1
2026-07-20 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-058.3 1573 1451 45.95% 25.74% 28.31%+0.49 -1.0 1
2026-07-21 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-161.4 1498 1474 47.94% 25.53% 26.53%+0.52 -1.1 1
2026-07-21 @ Botev Plovdiv D 1-161.4 1474 1498 26.53% 25.53% 47.94%-0.52 +1.1 1
2026-07-24 Slavia Sofia W 1-044.4 1527 1452 54.21% 24.57% 21.22%+0.88 +5.8 4
2026-07-24 @ Arda L 0-144.4 1452 1527 21.22% 24.57% 54.21%-0.88 -5.8 1
2026-07-25 Botev Vratsa W 2-152.6 1564 1475 55.83% 24.24% 19.93%+0.97 +5.2 4
2026-07-25 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia L 1-252.6 1475 1564 19.93% 24.24% 55.83%-0.97 -5.2 1
2026-07-25 Levski Sofia L 1-256.6 1475 1636 23.89% 25.13% 50.98%-0.77 -6.1 1
2026-07-25 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-156.6 1636 1475 50.98% 25.13% 23.89%+0.77 +6.1 6
2026-07-26 Spartak Varna L 0-347.7 1502 1418 55.17% 24.38% 20.45%+0.93 -34.5 1
2026-07-26 @ Cherno More W 3-047.7 1418 1502 20.45% 24.38% 55.17%-0.93 +34.5 4
2026-07-26 Septemvri Sofia W 2-147.4 1466 1400 53.09% 24.78% 22.13%+0.81 +5.7 3
2026-07-26 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 1-247.4 1400 1466 22.13% 24.78% 53.09%-0.81 -5.7 1
2026-07-27 Ludogorets L 0-243.4 1426 1636 19.26% 24.04% 56.70%-1.11 -10.0 0
2026-07-27 @ Dunav Ruse W 2-043.4 1636 1426 56.70% 24.04% 19.26%+1.11 +10.0 6
2026-07-27 Botev Plovdiv W 3-259.8 1572 1497 54.25% 24.57% 21.19%+0.88 +5.2 4
2026-07-27 @ CSKA Sofia L 2-359.8 1497 1572 21.19% 24.57% 54.25%-0.88 -5.2 1
2026-07-31 Lokomotiv Sofia D 1-159.3 1446 1469 41.75% 26.02% 32.23%+0.20 -0.5 2
2026-07-31 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-159.3 1469 1446 32.23% 26.02% 41.75%-0.20 +0.5 2
2026-07-31 Arda W 2-156.8 1569 1533 49.50% 25.34% 25.16%+0.60 +6.3 7
2026-07-31 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia L 1-256.8 1533 1569 25.16% 25.34% 49.50%-0.60 -6.3 4
2026-08-01 Septemvri Sofia W 3-036.8 1643 1395 70.96% 19.09% 9.95%+2.08 +7.4 9
2026-08-01 @ Levski Sofia L 0-336.8 1395 1643 9.95% 19.09% 70.96%-2.08 -7.3 1
2026-08-01 Cherno More W 1-045.5 1492 1467 48.02% 25.52% 26.46%+0.52 +7.0 4
2026-08-01 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-145.5 1467 1492 26.46% 25.52% 48.02%-0.52 -7.0 1
2026-08-02 Botev Vratsa W 2-152.6 1646 1470 64.76% 21.65% 13.59%+1.58 +3.6 9
2026-08-02 @ Ludogorets L 1-252.6 1470 1646 13.59% 21.65% 64.76%-1.58 -3.5 1
2026-08-02 Dunav Ruse W 2-148.7 1577 1416 63.36% 22.14% 14.50%+1.48 +3.8 7
2026-08-02 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-248.7 1416 1577 14.50% 22.14% 63.36%-1.48 -3.8 0
2026-08-03 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-046.0 1453 1471 42.29% 25.99% 31.71%+0.22 +8.1 7
2026-08-03 @ Spartak Varna L 0-146.0 1471 1453 31.71% 25.99% 42.29%-0.22 -8.1 3
2026-08-07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-042.4 1650 1463 65.68% 21.31% 13.01%+1.65 +6.8 12
2026-08-07 @ Levski Sofia L 0-242.4 1463 1650 13.01% 21.31% 65.68%-1.65 -6.8 3
2026-08-08 Arda L 0-242.4 1412 1527 29.12% 25.81% 45.06%-0.45 -14.3 0
2026-08-08 @ Dunav Ruse W 2-042.4 1527 1412 45.06% 25.81% 29.12%+0.45 +14.3 7
2026-08-08 CSKA 1948 Sofia L 1-353.4 1470 1576 30.26% 25.90% 43.84%-0.38 -12.8 2
2026-08-08 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-153.4 1576 1470 43.84% 25.90% 30.26%+0.38 +12.8 10
2026-08-09 Ludogorets L 2-361.2 1460 1650 21.13% 24.55% 54.32%-0.97 -5.2 1
2026-08-09 @ Cherno More W 3-261.2 1650 1460 54.32% 24.55% 21.13%+0.97 +5.2 12
2026-08-09 CSKA Sofia L 0-339.1 1387 1581 20.72% 24.45% 54.83%-1.00 -15.6 1
2026-08-09 @ Septemvri Sofia W 3-039.1 1581 1387 54.83% 24.45% 20.72%+1.00 +15.6 10
2026-08-10 Spartak Varna W 3-257.2 1499 1461 49.72% 25.31% 24.97%+0.62 +6.0 7
2026-08-10 @ Botev Plovdiv L 2-357.2 1461 1499 24.97% 25.31% 49.72%-0.62 -6.0 7
2026-08-10 Slavia Sofia L 0-345.5 1466 1446 47.46% 25.59% 26.95%+0.49 -30.3 1
2026-08-10 @ Botev Vratsa W 3-045.5 1446 1466 26.95% 25.59% 47.46%-0.49 +30.3 5
2026-08-14 Botev Vratsa W 4-144.6 1597 1436 63.28% 22.17% 14.55%+1.47 +9.3 13
2026-08-14 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-444.6 1436 1597 14.55% 22.17% 63.28%-1.47 -9.3 1
2026-08-15 Botev Plovdiv W 2-044.8 1655 1505 62.24% 22.51% 15.25%+1.40 +8.0 15
2026-08-15 @ Ludogorets L 0-244.8 1505 1655 15.25% 22.51% 62.24%-1.40 -8.0 7
2026-08-16 Cherno More W 5-041.5 1588 1455 60.53% 23.04% 16.44%+1.28 +20.2 13
2026-08-16 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia L 0-541.5 1455 1588 16.44% 23.04% 60.53%-1.28 -20.1 1
2026-08-16 Dunav Ruse L 1-256.1 1456 1397 52.33% 24.92% 22.76%+0.76 -11.3 3
2026-08-16 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-156.1 1397 1456 22.76% 24.92% 52.33%-0.76 +11.3 3
2026-08-17 Lokomotiv Sofia W 3-148.3 1541 1457 55.27% 24.36% 20.37%+0.94 +9.1 10
2026-08-17 @ Arda L 1-348.3 1457 1541 20.37% 24.36% 55.27%-0.94 -9.1 2
2026-08-17 Septemvri Sofia L 0-149.6 1455 1372 55.13% 24.39% 20.48%+0.93 -12.6 7
2026-08-17 @ Spartak Varna W 1-049.6 1372 1455 20.48% 24.39% 55.13%-0.93 +12.6 4
2026-08-21 Dunav Ruse W 3-145.2 1435 1409 48.26% 25.50% 26.25%+0.53 +11.4 4
2026-08-21 @ Cherno More L 1-345.2 1409 1435 26.25% 25.50% 48.26%-0.53 -11.4 3
2026-08-22 Spartak Varna W 6-041.9 1657 1442 68.15% 20.32% 11.52%+1.85 +16.5 15
2026-08-22 @ Levski Sofia L 0-641.9 1442 1657 11.52% 20.32% 68.15%-1.85 -16.5 7
2026-08-22 Slavia Sofia D 1-168.5 1663 1476 65.67% 21.31% 13.02%+1.65 -2.8 16
2026-08-22 @ Ludogorets D 1-168.5 1476 1663 13.02% 21.31% 65.67%-1.65 +2.8 6
2026-08-23 CSKA 1948 Sofia W 1-055.7 1384 1608 18.14% 23.68% 58.18%-1.21 +13.2 7
2026-08-23 @ Septemvri Sofia L 0-155.7 1608 1384 58.18% 23.68% 18.14%+1.21 -13.2 13
2026-08-24 Botev Plovdiv W 1-048.1 1426 1497 35.02% 26.11% 38.87%-0.14 +9.5 4
2026-08-24 @ Botev Vratsa L 0-148.1 1497 1426 38.87% 26.11% 35.02%+0.14 -9.5 7
2026-08-24 Arda L 0-148.1 1445 1550 30.37% 25.91% 43.72%-0.38 -7.8 3
2026-08-24 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 1-048.1 1550 1445 43.72% 25.91% 30.37%+0.38 +7.8 13
2026-08-28 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-040.5 1595 1437 62.98% 22.27% 14.75%+1.45 +7.7 16
2026-08-28 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia L 0-240.5 1437 1595 14.75% 22.27% 62.98%-1.45 -7.7 3
2026-08-28 Septemvri Sofia D 1-158.5 1479 1397 54.97% 24.42% 20.61%+0.92 -1.8 7
2026-08-28 @ Slavia Sofia D 1-158.5 1397 1479 20.61% 24.42% 54.97%-0.92 +1.8 8
2026-08-30 Cherno More W 3-147.9 1606 1446 63.16% 22.21% 14.64%+1.46 +6.6 16
2026-08-30 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-347.9 1446 1606 14.64% 22.21% 63.16%-1.46 -6.6 4
2026-08-30 Levski Sofia L 1-354.1 1487 1673 21.44% 24.63% 53.94%-0.94 -9.6 7
2026-08-30 @ Botev Plovdiv W 3-154.1 1673 1487 53.94% 24.63% 21.44%+0.94 +9.6 18
2026-08-30 Ludogorets D 1-166.2 1426 1660 17.35% 23.40% 59.25%-1.28 +2.2 8
2026-08-30 @ Spartak Varna D 1-166.2 1660 1426 59.25% 23.40% 17.35%+1.28 -2.2 17
2026-08-31 Botev Vratsa W 2-040.1 1558 1436 59.40% 23.35% 17.24%+1.20 +9.0 16
2026-08-31 @ Arda L 0-240.1 1436 1558 17.24% 23.35% 59.40%-1.20 -9.0 4
2026-08-31 Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-263.8 1397 1448 37.86% 26.12% 36.02%+0.00 -0.1 4
2026-08-31 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-263.8 1448 1397 36.02% 26.12% 37.86%+0.00 +0.1 3
2026-09-02 Levski Sofia L 1-256.5 1477 1683 19.70% 24.17% 56.13%-1.08 -5.1 7
2026-09-02 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-156.5 1683 1477 56.13% 24.17% 19.70%+1.08 +5.1 21
2026-09-04 Botev Plovdiv L 2-369.3 1567 1477 55.86% 24.23% 19.91%+0.98 -11.4 16
2026-09-04 @ Arda W 3-269.3 1477 1567 19.91% 24.23% 55.86%-0.98 +11.4 10
2026-09-04 Botev Vratsa L 2-358.0 1399 1427 41.07% 26.05% 32.88%+0.16 -8.8 8
2026-09-04 @ Septemvri Sofia W 3-258.0 1427 1399 32.88% 26.05% 41.07%-0.16 +8.8 7
2026-09-05 CSKA 1948 Sofia W 1-052.8 1688 1603 55.33% 24.34% 20.32%+0.94 +5.6 24
2026-09-05 @ Levski Sofia L 0-152.8 1603 1688 20.32% 24.34% 55.33%-0.94 -5.6 16
2026-09-05 CSKA Sofia D 1-164.2 1428 1613 21.57% 24.66% 53.77%-0.93 +1.6 9
2026-09-05 @ Spartak Varna D 1-164.2 1613 1428 53.77% 24.66% 21.57%+0.93 -1.7 17
2026-09-06 Ludogorets L 1-254.7 1448 1658 19.30% 24.05% 56.65%-1.11 -5.0 3
2026-09-06 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-154.7 1658 1448 56.65% 24.05% 19.30%+1.11 +5.0 20
2026-09-06 Cherno More W 1-043.8 1430 1440 43.48% 25.92% 30.59%+0.28 +7.9 6
2026-09-06 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv L 0-143.8 1440 1430 30.59% 25.92% 43.48%-0.28 -7.9 4
2026-09-07 Slavia Sofia L 0-145.0 1397 1472 34.36% 26.09% 39.54%-0.17 -8.6 4
2026-09-07 @ Dunav Ruse W 1-045.0 1472 1397 39.54% 26.09% 34.36%+0.17 +8.6 10
2026-09-11 Lokomotiv Sofia D 2-264.7 1432 1443 43.36% 25.93% 30.71%+0.28 -0.5 5
2026-09-11 @ Cherno More D 2-264.7 1443 1432 30.71% 25.93% 43.36%-0.28 +0.5 4
2026-09-12 Dunav Ruse W 2-147.1 1597 1389 67.66% 20.53% 11.82%+1.81 +3.1 19
2026-09-12 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia L 1-247.1 1389 1597 11.82% 20.53% 67.66%-1.81 -3.1 4
2026-09-12 Arda W 4-152.4 1611 1556 51.86% 24.99% 23.14%+0.74 +14.5 20
2026-09-12 @ CSKA Sofia L 1-452.4 1556 1611 23.14% 24.99% 51.86%-0.74 -14.5 16
2026-09-13 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W 2-040.0 1489 1437 51.40% 25.07% 23.53%+0.71 +12.0 13
2026-09-13 @ Botev Plovdiv L 0-240.0 1437 1489 23.53% 25.07% 51.40%-0.71 -12.0 6
2026-09-13 Levski Sofia D 0-062.8 1436 1693 15.64% 22.69% 61.67%-1.44 +2.7 8
2026-09-13 @ Botev Vratsa D 0-062.8 1693 1436 61.67% 22.69% 15.64%+1.44 -2.7 25
2026-09-13 Spartak Varna D 0-054.3 1481 1430 51.39% 25.07% 23.54%+0.71 -1.6 11
2026-09-13 @ Slavia Sofia D 0-054.3 1430 1481 23.54% 25.07% 51.39%-0.71 +1.6 10
2026-09-14 Septemvri Sofia W 2-148.0 1663 1390 72.89% 18.16% 8.94%+2.25 +2.2 23
2026-09-14 @ Ludogorets L 1-248.0 1390 1663 8.94% 18.16% 72.89%-2.25 -2.2 8
2026-09-16 CSKA Sofia L 0-244.6 1443 1625 21.80% 24.71% 53.49%-0.92 -11.2 4
2026-09-16 @ Lokomotiv Sofia W 2-044.6 1625 1443 53.49% 24.71% 21.80%+0.92 +11.2 23
2026-09-18 CSKA 1948 Sofia L 1-257.1 1479 1600 28.39% 25.74% 45.87%-0.49 -7.0 11
2026-09-18 @ Slavia Sofia W 2-157.1 1600 1479 45.87% 25.74% 28.39%+0.49 +7.0 22
2026-09-19 Cherno More D 1-162.0 1541 1431 58.09% 23.70% 18.21%+1.12 -2.1 17
2026-09-19 @ Arda D 1-162.0 1431 1541 18.21% 23.70% 58.09%-1.12 +2.1 6
2026-09-19 Botev Vratsa D 2-263.3 1386 1438 37.52% 26.12% 36.36%-0.01 -0.0 5
2026-09-19 @ Dunav Ruse D 2-263.3 1438 1386 36.36% 26.12% 37.52%+0.01 +0.0 9
2026-09-19 Botev Plovdiv L 0-339.4 1388 1501 29.42% 25.84% 44.75%-0.43 -20.9 8
2026-09-19 @ Septemvri Sofia W 3-039.4 1501 1388 44.75% 25.84% 29.42%+0.43 +20.9 16
2026-09-20 CSKA Sofia D 1-165.2 1425 1637 19.21% 24.02% 56.77%-1.12 +2.0 7
2026-09-20 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv D 1-165.2 1637 1425 56.77% 24.02% 19.21%+1.12 -2.0 24
2026-09-20 Lokomotiv Sofia L 0-147.9 1431 1432 44.73% 25.84% 29.43%+0.35 -10.6 10
2026-09-20 @ Spartak Varna W 1-047.9 1432 1431 29.43% 25.84% 44.73%-0.35 +10.5 7

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-09-20 Ludogorets 1691 1665 48.20% 25.50% 26.30%+0.5378.4
2026-09-20 @ Levski Sofia 1665 1691 26.30% 25.50% 48.20%-0.5378.4
2026-10-10 Slavia Sofia 1522 1472 51.17% 25.10% 23.73%+0.7058.9
2026-10-10 @ Botev Plovdiv 1472 1522 23.73% 25.10% 51.17%-0.7058.9
2026-10-10 Spartak Varna 1438 1421 47.17% 25.62% 27.21%+0.4854.2
2026-10-10 @ Botev Vratsa 1421 1438 27.21% 25.62% 47.17%-0.4854.2
2026-10-10 Levski Sofia 1433 1691 15.68% 22.71% 61.61%-1.4448.4
2026-10-10 @ Cherno More 1691 1433 61.61% 22.71% 15.68%+1.4448.4
2026-10-10 CSKA Sofia 1607 1635 41.11% 26.05% 32.84%+0.1678.0
2026-10-10 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1635 1607 32.84% 26.05% 41.11%-0.1678.0
2026-10-10 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1442 1427 46.82% 25.65% 27.53%+0.4652.9
2026-10-10 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1427 1442 27.53% 25.65% 46.82%-0.4652.9
2026-10-10 Arda 1665 1539 59.77% 23.25% 16.98%+1.2361.1
2026-10-10 @ Ludogorets 1539 1665 16.98% 23.25% 59.77%-1.2361.1
2026-10-10 Dunav Ruse 1367 1386 42.34% 25.99% 31.67%+0.2251.2
2026-10-10 @ Septemvri Sofia 1386 1367 31.67% 25.99% 42.34%-0.2251.2
2026-10-24 Levski Sofia 1539 1691 24.92% 25.31% 49.77%-0.7063.6
2026-10-24 @ Arda 1691 1539 49.77% 25.31% 24.92%+0.7063.6
2026-10-24 Septemvri Sofia 1433 1367 53.17% 24.77% 22.06%+0.8147.0
2026-10-24 @ Cherno More 1367 1433 22.06% 24.77% 53.17%-0.8147.0
2026-10-24 Botev Plovdiv 1607 1522 55.42% 24.33% 20.26%+0.9565.9
2026-10-24 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1522 1607 20.26% 24.33% 55.42%-0.9565.9
2026-10-24 Spartak Varna 1386 1421 40.02% 26.08% 33.89%+0.1152.2
2026-10-24 @ Dunav Ruse 1421 1386 33.89% 26.08% 40.02%-0.1152.2
2026-10-24 Botev Vratsa 1442 1438 45.39% 25.78% 28.83%+0.3856.5
2026-10-24 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1438 1442 28.83% 25.78% 45.39%-0.3856.5
2026-10-24 Slavia Sofia 1427 1472 38.64% 26.11% 35.25%+0.0451.5
2026-10-24 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1472 1427 35.25% 26.11% 38.64%-0.0451.5
2026-10-24 Ludogorets 1635 1665 40.68% 26.06% 33.26%+0.1478.0
2026-10-24 @ CSKA Sofia 1665 1635 33.26% 26.06% 40.68%-0.1478.0
2026-10-31 Dunav Ruse 1522 1386 60.83% 22.95% 16.22%+1.3045.8
2026-10-31 @ Botev Plovdiv 1386 1522 16.22% 22.95% 60.83%-1.3045.8
2026-10-31 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1438 1427 46.28% 25.71% 28.02%+0.4352.7
2026-10-31 @ Botev Vratsa 1427 1438 28.02% 25.71% 46.28%-0.4352.7
2026-10-31 CSKA Sofia 1691 1635 51.96% 24.98% 23.06%+0.7476.4
2026-10-31 @ Levski Sofia 1635 1691 23.06% 24.98% 51.96%-0.7476.4
2026-10-31 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1665 1607 52.15% 24.95% 22.91%+0.7573.1
2026-10-31 @ Ludogorets 1607 1665 22.91% 24.95% 52.15%-0.7573.1
2026-10-31 Lokomotiv Sofia 1367 1442 34.32% 26.09% 39.59%-0.1748.4
2026-10-31 @ Septemvri Sofia 1442 1367 39.59% 26.09% 34.32%+0.1748.4
2026-10-31 Cherno More 1472 1433 49.86% 25.29% 24.84%+0.6253.3
2026-10-31 @ Slavia Sofia 1433 1472 24.84% 25.29% 49.86%-0.6253.3
2026-10-31 Arda 1421 1539 28.70% 25.77% 45.53%-0.4751.6
2026-10-31 @ Spartak Varna 1539 1421 45.53% 25.77% 28.70%+0.4751.6
2026-11-07 Septemvri Sofia 1539 1367 64.33% 21.80% 13.87%+1.5539.5
2026-11-07 @ Arda 1367 1539 13.87% 21.80% 64.33%-1.5539.5
2026-11-07 Botev Vratsa 1433 1438 44.17% 25.88% 29.95%+0.3255.7
2026-11-07 @ Cherno More 1438 1433 29.95% 25.88% 44.17%-0.3255.7
2026-11-07 Spartak Varna 1607 1421 65.70% 21.30% 13.00%+1.6546.6
2026-11-07 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1421 1607 13.00% 21.30% 65.70%-1.6546.6
2026-11-07 Levski Sofia 1386 1691 12.72% 21.13% 66.15%-1.7743.8
2026-11-07 @ Dunav Ruse 1691 1386 66.15% 21.13% 12.72%+1.7743.8
2026-11-07 Botev Plovdiv 1442 1522 33.77% 26.08% 40.16%-0.2057.4
2026-11-07 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1522 1442 40.16% 26.08% 33.77%+0.2057.4
2026-11-07 Ludogorets 1427 1665 17.10% 23.30% 59.59%-1.3042.5
2026-11-07 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1665 1427 59.59% 23.30% 17.10%+1.3042.5
2026-11-07 Slavia Sofia 1635 1472 63.41% 22.12% 14.46%+1.4853.4
2026-11-07 @ CSKA Sofia 1472 1635 14.46% 22.12% 63.41%-1.4853.4
2026-11-21 CSKA Sofia 1522 1635 29.40% 25.83% 44.77%-0.4366.7
2026-11-21 @ Botev Plovdiv 1635 1522 44.77% 25.83% 29.40%+0.4366.7
2026-11-21 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1438 1607 23.09% 24.98% 51.93%-0.8252.1
2026-11-21 @ Botev Vratsa 1607 1438 51.93% 24.98% 23.09%+0.8252.1
2026-11-21 Lokomotiv Sofia 1691 1442 70.98% 19.08% 9.94%+2.0846.8
2026-11-21 @ Levski Sofia 1442 1691 9.94% 19.08% 70.98%-2.0846.8
2026-11-21 Dunav Ruse 1665 1386 73.43% 17.90% 8.67%+2.3038.0
2026-11-21 @ Ludogorets 1386 1665 8.67% 17.90% 73.43%-2.3038.0
2026-11-21 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1367 1427 36.42% 26.12% 37.45%-0.0747.0
2026-11-21 @ Septemvri Sofia 1427 1367 37.45% 26.12% 36.42%+0.0747.0
2026-11-21 Arda 1472 1539 35.49% 26.12% 38.40%-0.1158.5
2026-11-21 @ Slavia Sofia 1539 1472 38.40% 26.12% 35.49%+0.1158.5
2026-11-21 Cherno More 1421 1433 43.11% 25.95% 30.95%+0.2654.8
2026-11-21 @ Spartak Varna 1433 1421 30.95% 25.95% 43.11%-0.2654.8
2026-11-28 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1539 1607 35.29% 26.11% 38.59%-0.1269.5
2026-11-28 @ Arda 1607 1539 38.59% 26.11% 35.29%+0.1269.5
2026-11-28 Ludogorets 1438 1665 17.94% 23.61% 58.45%-1.2246.9
2026-11-28 @ Botev Vratsa 1665 1438 58.45% 23.61% 17.94%+1.2246.9
2026-11-28 Botev Plovdiv 1433 1522 32.54% 26.03% 41.43%-0.2655.5
2026-11-28 @ Cherno More 1522 1433 41.43% 26.03% 32.54%+0.2655.5
2026-11-28 CSKA Sofia 1386 1635 16.26% 22.96% 60.78%-1.3845.2
2026-11-28 @ Dunav Ruse 1635 1386 60.78% 22.96% 16.26%+1.3845.2
2026-11-28 Slavia Sofia 1442 1472 40.76% 26.06% 33.19%+0.1555.7
2026-11-28 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1472 1442 33.19% 26.06% 40.76%-0.1555.7
2026-11-28 Spartak Varna 1427 1421 45.75% 25.75% 28.50%+0.4052.5
2026-11-28 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1421 1427 28.50% 25.75% 45.75%-0.4052.5
2026-11-28 Levski Sofia 1367 1691 11.74% 20.48% 67.78%-1.9041.1
2026-11-28 @ Septemvri Sofia 1691 1367 67.78% 20.48% 11.74%+1.9041.1
2026-12-05 Dunav Ruse 1539 1386 62.56% 22.41% 15.03%+1.4243.6
2026-12-05 @ Arda 1386 1539 15.03% 22.41% 62.56%-1.4243.6
2026-12-05 Lokomotiv Sofia 1607 1442 63.66% 22.04% 14.30%+1.5050.5
2026-12-05 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1442 1607 14.30% 22.04% 63.66%-1.5050.5
2026-12-05 Levski Sofia 1427 1691 15.28% 22.52% 62.20%-1.4844.8
2026-12-05 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1691 1427 62.20% 22.52% 15.28%+1.4844.8
2026-12-05 Cherno More 1665 1433 69.62% 19.69% 10.69%+1.9643.2
2026-12-05 @ Ludogorets 1433 1665 10.69% 19.69% 69.62%-1.9643.2
2026-12-05 Botev Vratsa 1472 1438 49.25% 25.38% 25.38%+0.5953.9
2026-12-05 @ Slavia Sofia 1438 1472 25.38% 25.38% 49.25%-0.5953.9
2026-12-05 Botev Plovdiv 1421 1522 30.87% 25.94% 43.19%-0.3553.7
2026-12-05 @ Spartak Varna 1522 1421 43.19% 25.94% 30.87%+0.3553.7
2026-12-05 Septemvri Sofia 1635 1367 72.51% 18.35% 9.14%+2.2139.0
2026-12-05 @ CSKA Sofia 1367 1635 9.14% 18.35% 72.51%-2.2139.0
2027-02-13 Ludogorets 1522 1665 25.83% 25.44% 48.73%-0.6461.6
2027-02-13 @ Botev Plovdiv 1665 1522 48.73% 25.44% 25.83%+0.6461.6
2027-02-13 CSKA Sofia 1438 1635 20.50% 24.39% 55.11%-1.0151.8
2027-02-13 @ Botev Vratsa 1635 1438 55.11% 24.39% 20.50%+1.0151.8
2027-02-13 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1433 1607 22.60% 24.88% 52.52%-0.8651.3
2027-02-13 @ Cherno More 1607 1433 52.52% 24.88% 22.60%+0.8651.3
2027-02-13 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1386 1427 39.06% 26.11% 34.84%+0.0649.6
2027-02-13 @ Dunav Ruse 1427 1386 34.84% 26.11% 39.06%-0.0649.6
2027-02-13 Slavia Sofia 1691 1472 68.50% 20.18% 11.32%+1.8749.1
2027-02-13 @ Levski Sofia 1472 1691 11.32% 20.18% 68.50%-1.8749.1
2027-02-13 Arda 1442 1539 31.45% 25.98% 42.57%-0.3255.6
2027-02-13 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1539 1442 42.57% 25.98% 31.45%+0.3255.6
2027-02-13 Spartak Varna 1367 1421 37.41% 26.12% 36.47%-0.0249.4
2027-02-13 @ Septemvri Sofia 1421 1367 36.47% 26.12% 37.41%+0.0249.4
2027-02-20 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1539 1427 58.28% 23.65% 18.07%+1.1347.5
2027-02-20 @ Arda 1427 1539 18.07% 23.65% 58.28%-1.1347.5
2027-02-20 Botev Vratsa 1522 1438 55.17% 24.38% 20.45%+0.9354.4
2027-02-20 @ Botev Plovdiv 1438 1522 20.45% 24.38% 55.17%-0.9354.4
2027-02-20 Septemvri Sofia 1607 1367 70.33% 19.37% 10.29%+2.0238.2
2027-02-20 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1367 1607 10.29% 19.37% 70.33%-2.0238.2
2027-02-20 Cherno More 1386 1433 38.21% 26.12% 35.67%+0.0251.6
2027-02-20 @ Dunav Ruse 1433 1386 35.67% 26.12% 38.21%-0.0251.6
2027-02-20 Ludogorets 1472 1665 20.83% 24.48% 54.70%-0.9950.5
2027-02-20 @ Slavia Sofia 1665 1472 54.70% 24.48% 20.83%+0.9950.5
2027-02-20 Levski Sofia 1421 1691 14.83% 22.30% 62.87%-1.5347.1
2027-02-20 @ Spartak Varna 1691 1421 62.87% 22.30% 14.83%+1.5347.1
2027-02-20 Lokomotiv Sofia 1635 1442 66.19% 21.11% 12.70%+1.6950.0
2027-02-20 @ CSKA Sofia 1442 1635 12.70% 21.11% 66.19%-1.6950.0
2027-02-27 Arda 1438 1539 30.91% 25.95% 43.14%-0.3554.3
2027-02-27 @ Botev Vratsa 1539 1438 43.14% 25.95% 30.91%+0.3554.3
2027-02-27 CSKA Sofia 1433 1635 20.06% 24.27% 55.67%-1.0551.2
2027-02-27 @ Cherno More 1635 1433 55.67% 24.27% 20.06%+1.0551.2
2027-02-27 Botev Plovdiv 1691 1522 64.04% 21.91% 14.06%+1.5358.9
2027-02-27 @ Levski Sofia 1522 1691 14.06% 21.91% 64.04%-1.5358.9
2027-02-27 Dunav Ruse 1442 1386 52.07% 24.96% 22.97%+0.7550.2
2027-02-27 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1386 1442 22.97% 24.96% 52.07%-0.7550.2
2027-02-27 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1427 1607 22.02% 24.76% 53.22%-0.9047.3
2027-02-27 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1607 1427 53.22% 24.76% 22.02%+0.9047.3
2027-02-27 Spartak Varna 1665 1421 70.67% 19.22% 10.11%+2.0541.7
2027-02-27 @ Ludogorets 1421 1665 10.11% 19.22% 70.67%-2.0541.7
2027-02-27 Slavia Sofia 1367 1472 30.37% 25.91% 43.72%-0.3844.9
2027-02-27 @ Septemvri Sofia 1472 1367 43.72% 25.91% 30.37%+0.3844.9
2027-03-06 Arda 1522 1539 42.48% 25.98% 31.54%+0.2368.5
2027-03-06 @ Botev Plovdiv 1539 1522 31.54% 25.98% 42.48%-0.2368.5
2027-03-06 Septemvri Sofia 1438 1367 53.75% 24.66% 21.59%+0.8546.6
2027-03-06 @ Botev Vratsa 1367 1438 21.59% 24.66% 53.75%-0.8546.6
2027-03-06 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1433 1427 45.63% 25.76% 28.61%+0.3952.9
2027-03-06 @ Cherno More 1427 1433 28.61% 25.76% 45.63%-0.3952.9
2027-03-06 Levski Sofia 1607 1691 33.23% 26.06% 40.71%-0.2374.2
2027-03-06 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1691 1607 40.71% 26.06% 33.23%+0.2374.2
2027-03-06 Lokomotiv Sofia 1665 1442 68.85% 20.03% 11.12%+1.9045.0
2027-03-06 @ Ludogorets 1442 1665 11.12% 20.03% 68.85%-1.9045.0
2027-03-06 Dunav Ruse 1472 1386 55.53% 24.30% 20.16%+0.9646.5
2027-03-06 @ Slavia Sofia 1386 1472 20.16% 24.30% 55.53%-0.9646.5
2027-03-06 Spartak Varna 1635 1421 68.13% 20.33% 11.54%+1.8446.5
2027-03-06 @ CSKA Sofia 1421 1635 11.54% 20.33% 68.13%-1.8446.5
2027-03-13 CSKA Sofia 1539 1635 31.60% 25.99% 42.41%-0.3168.8
2027-03-13 @ Arda 1635 1539 42.41% 25.99% 31.60%+0.3168.8
2027-03-13 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1386 1607 18.33% 23.74% 57.93%-1.1944.7
2027-03-13 @ Dunav Ruse 1607 1386 57.93% 23.74% 18.33%+1.1944.7
2027-03-13 Botev Vratsa 1691 1438 71.32% 18.92% 9.76%+2.1145.8
2027-03-13 @ Levski Sofia 1438 1691 9.76% 18.92% 71.32%-2.1145.8
2027-03-13 Cherno More 1442 1433 46.04% 25.73% 28.23%+0.4256.0
2027-03-13 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1433 1442 28.23% 25.73% 46.04%-0.4256.0
2027-03-13 Botev Plovdiv 1427 1522 31.76% 25.99% 42.25%-0.3051.7
2027-03-13 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1522 1427 42.25% 25.99% 31.76%+0.3051.7
2027-03-13 Ludogorets 1367 1665 13.14% 21.38% 65.48%-1.7238.1
2027-03-13 @ Septemvri Sofia 1665 1367 65.48% 21.38% 13.14%+1.7238.1
2027-03-13 Slavia Sofia 1421 1472 37.66% 26.12% 36.22%-0.0152.8
2027-03-13 @ Spartak Varna 1472 1421 36.22% 26.12% 37.66%+0.0152.8
2027-03-20 Septemvri Sofia 1522 1367 62.66% 22.37% 14.97%+1.4341.6
2027-03-20 @ Botev Plovdiv 1367 1522 14.97% 22.37% 62.66%-1.4341.6
2027-03-20 Dunav Ruse 1438 1386 51.56% 25.04% 23.39%+0.7250.0
2027-03-20 @ Botev Vratsa 1386 1438 23.39% 25.04% 51.56%-0.7250.0
2027-03-20 Arda 1433 1539 30.29% 25.90% 43.81%-0.3853.6
2027-03-20 @ Cherno More 1539 1433 43.81% 25.90% 30.29%+0.3853.6
2027-03-20 Slavia Sofia 1607 1472 60.72% 22.98% 16.30%+1.2954.1
2027-03-20 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1472 1607 16.30% 22.98% 60.72%-1.2954.1
2027-03-20 Spartak Varna 1442 1421 47.71% 25.56% 26.73%+0.5154.6
2027-03-20 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1421 1442 26.73% 25.56% 47.71%-0.5154.6
2027-03-20 Levski Sofia 1665 1691 41.33% 26.04% 32.64%+0.1779.1
2027-03-20 @ Ludogorets 1691 1665 32.64% 26.04% 41.33%-0.1779.1
2027-03-20 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1635 1427 67.53% 20.58% 11.89%+1.7944.4
2027-03-20 @ CSKA Sofia 1427 1635 11.89% 20.58% 67.53%-1.7944.4
2027-04-03 Ludogorets 1539 1665 27.83% 25.69% 46.48%-0.5263.5
2027-04-03 @ Arda 1665 1539 46.48% 25.69% 27.83%+0.5263.5
2027-04-03 Septemvri Sofia 1386 1367 47.26% 25.61% 27.13%+0.4850.7
2027-04-03 @ Dunav Ruse 1367 1386 27.13% 25.61% 47.26%-0.4850.7
2027-04-03 Cherno More 1691 1433 71.71% 18.73% 9.55%+2.1445.3
2027-04-03 @ Levski Sofia 1433 1691 9.55% 18.73% 71.71%-2.1445.3
2027-04-03 Lokomotiv Sofia 1427 1442 42.80% 25.96% 31.23%+0.2553.3
2027-04-03 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1442 1427 31.23% 25.96% 42.80%-0.2553.3
2027-04-03 Botev Plovdiv 1472 1522 37.97% 26.12% 35.91%+0.0160.0
2027-04-03 @ Slavia Sofia 1522 1472 35.91% 26.12% 37.97%-0.0160.0
2027-04-03 Botev Vratsa 1421 1438 42.43% 25.99% 31.58%+0.2354.7
2027-04-03 @ Spartak Varna 1438 1421 31.58% 25.99% 42.43%-0.2354.7
2027-04-03 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1635 1607 48.39% 25.48% 26.12%+0.5477.3
2027-04-03 @ CSKA Sofia 1607 1635 26.12% 25.48% 48.39%-0.5477.3
2027-04-10 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1522 1607 32.91% 26.05% 41.05%-0.2467.8
2027-04-10 @ Botev Plovdiv 1607 1522 41.05% 26.05% 32.91%+0.2467.8
2027-04-10 Lokomotiv Sofia 1438 1442 44.28% 25.87% 29.85%+0.3256.6
2027-04-10 @ Botev Vratsa 1442 1438 29.85% 25.87% 44.28%-0.3256.6
2027-04-10 Arda 1691 1539 62.36% 22.47% 15.17%+1.4161.0
2027-04-10 @ Levski Sofia 1539 1691 15.17% 22.47% 62.36%-1.4161.0
2027-04-10 CSKA Sofia 1665 1635 48.79% 25.43% 25.78%+0.5677.3
2027-04-10 @ Ludogorets 1635 1665 25.78% 25.43% 48.79%-0.5677.3
2027-04-10 Cherno More 1367 1433 35.58% 26.12% 38.30%-0.1148.5
2027-04-10 @ Septemvri Sofia 1433 1367 38.30% 26.12% 35.58%+0.1148.5
2027-04-10 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1472 1427 50.60% 25.19% 24.21%+0.6650.4
2027-04-10 @ Slavia Sofia 1427 1472 24.21% 25.19% 50.60%-0.6650.4
2027-04-10 Dunav Ruse 1421 1386 49.38% 25.36% 25.26%+0.6051.4
2027-04-10 @ Spartak Varna 1386 1421 25.26% 25.36% 49.38%-0.6051.4
2027-04-17 Spartak Varna 1539 1421 59.01% 23.46% 17.53%+1.1849.3
2027-04-17 @ Arda 1421 1539 17.53% 23.46% 59.01%-1.1849.3
2027-04-17 Slavia Sofia 1433 1472 39.48% 26.10% 34.43%+0.0854.3
2027-04-17 @ Cherno More 1472 1433 34.43% 26.10% 39.48%-0.0854.3
2027-04-17 Ludogorets 1607 1665 36.81% 26.13% 37.06%-0.0574.5
2027-04-17 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 1665 1607 37.06% 26.13% 36.81%+0.0574.5
2027-04-17 Botev Plovdiv 1386 1522 26.63% 25.55% 47.83%-0.5948.3
2027-04-17 @ Dunav Ruse 1522 1386 47.83% 25.55% 26.63%+0.5948.3
2027-04-17 Septemvri Sofia 1442 1367 54.23% 24.57% 21.20%+0.8846.6
2027-04-17 @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1367 1442 21.20% 24.57% 54.23%-0.8846.6
2027-04-17 Botev Vratsa 1427 1438 43.37% 25.93% 30.70%+0.2853.0
2027-04-17 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1438 1427 30.70% 25.93% 43.37%-0.2853.0
2027-04-17 Levski Sofia 1635 1691 37.03% 26.13% 36.84%-0.0477.7
2027-04-17 @ CSKA Sofia 1691 1635 36.84% 26.13% 37.03%+0.0477.7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-08-23 18.14% @ Septemvri Sofia 1384 1 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1608 0
2 2026-09-04 19.91% Botev Plovdiv 1477 3 @ Arda 1567 2
3 2026-07-26 20.45% Spartak Varna 1418 3 @ Cherno More 1502 0
4 2026-08-17 20.48% Septemvri Sofia 1372 1 @ Spartak Varna 1455 0
5 2026-08-16 22.76% Dunav Ruse 1397 2 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1456 1
6 2026-08-10 26.95% Slavia Sofia 1446 3 @ Botev Vratsa 1466 0
7 2026-09-20 29.43% Lokomotiv Sofia 1432 1 @ Spartak Varna 1431 0
8 2026-09-04 32.88% Botev Vratsa 1427 3 @ Septemvri Sofia 1399 2
9 2026-08-24 35.02% @ Botev Vratsa 1426 1 Botev Plovdiv 1497 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-07-26 34.46 Spartak Varna 3 1418 20.45% @ Cherno More 0 1502 55.17% 24.38%
2 2026-08-10 30.34 Slavia Sofia 3 1446 26.95% @ Botev Vratsa 0 1466 47.46% 25.59%
3 2026-09-19 20.93 Botev Plovdiv 3 1501 44.75% @ Septemvri Sofia 0 1388 29.42% 25.84%
4 2026-08-16 20.15 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 5 1588 60.53% Cherno More 0 1455 16.44% 23.04%
5 2026-08-22 16.54 @ Levski Sofia 6 1657 68.15% Spartak Varna 0 1442 11.52% 20.32%
6 2026-08-09 15.57 CSKA Sofia 3 1581 54.83% @ Septemvri Sofia 0 1387 20.72% 24.45%
7 2026-09-12 14.47 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1611 51.86% Arda 1 1556 23.14% 24.99%
8 2026-08-08 14.30 Arda 2 1527 45.06% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1412 29.12% 25.81%
9 2026-08-23 13.18 @ Septemvri Sofia 1 1384 18.14% CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 1608 58.18% 23.68%
10 2026-08-08 12.77 CSKA 1948 Sofia 3 1576 43.84% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1470 30.26% 25.90%
11 2026-08-17 12.58 Septemvri Sofia 1 1372 20.48% @ Spartak Varna 0 1455 55.13% 24.39%
12 2026-09-13 11.99 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1489 51.40% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1437 23.53% 25.07%
13 2026-08-21 11.38 @ Cherno More 3 1435 48.26% Dunav Ruse 1 1409 26.25% 25.50%
14 2026-09-04 11.38 Botev Plovdiv 3 1477 19.91% @ Arda 2 1567 55.86% 24.23%
15 2026-08-16 11.34 Dunav Ruse 2 1397 22.76% @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1456 52.33% 24.92%
16 2026-09-16 11.21 CSKA Sofia 2 1625 53.49% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1443 21.80% 24.71%
17 2026-09-20 10.56 Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1432 29.43% @ Spartak Varna 0 1431 44.73% 25.84%
18 2026-07-27 10.02 Ludogorets 2 1636 56.70% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1426 19.26% 24.04%
19 2026-08-30 9.57 Levski Sofia 3 1673 53.94% @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1487 21.44% 24.63%
20 2026-08-24 9.45 @ Botev Vratsa 1 1426 35.02% Botev Plovdiv 0 1497 38.87% 26.11%
21 2026-08-14 9.34 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1597 63.28% Botev Vratsa 1 1436 14.55% 22.17%
22 2026-08-17 9.14 @ Arda 3 1541 55.27% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1457 20.37% 24.36%
23 2026-08-31 9.02 @ Arda 2 1558 59.40% Botev Vratsa 0 1436 17.24% 23.35%
24 2026-09-04 8.82 Botev Vratsa 3 1427 32.88% @ Septemvri Sofia 2 1399 41.07% 26.05%
25 2026-09-07 8.63 Slavia Sofia 1 1472 39.54% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1397 34.36% 26.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-04 69.3 Botev Plovdiv 3 1477 19.91% @ Arda 2 1567 55.86% 24.23%
2 2026-07-17 68.6 @ Spartak Varna 2 1417 25.36% CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 1565 49.27% 25.37%
3 2026-08-22 68.5 @ Ludogorets 1 1663 65.67% Slavia Sofia 1 1476 13.02% 21.31%
4 2026-08-30 66.2 @ Spartak Varna 1 1426 17.35% Ludogorets 1 1660 59.25% 23.40%
5 2026-09-20 65.2 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1425 19.21% CSKA Sofia 1 1637 56.77% 24.02%
6 2026-09-11 64.7 @ Cherno More 2 1432 43.36% Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1443 30.71% 25.93%
7 2026-09-05 64.2 @ Spartak Varna 1 1428 21.57% CSKA Sofia 1 1613 53.77% 24.66%
8 2026-08-31 63.8 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1397 37.86% Lokomotiv Sofia 2 1448 36.02% 26.12%
9 2026-09-19 63.3 @ Dunav Ruse 2 1386 37.52% Botev Vratsa 2 1438 36.36% 26.12%
10 2026-09-13 62.8 @ Botev Vratsa 0 1436 15.64% Levski Sofia 0 1693 61.67% 22.69%
11 2026-09-19 62.0 @ Arda 1 1541 58.09% Cherno More 1 1431 18.21% 23.70%
12 2026-07-19 61.4 @ Botev Vratsa 1 1475 41.26% Cherno More 1 1501 32.70% 26.04%
13 2026-07-21 61.4 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1498 47.94% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1474 26.53% 25.53%
14 2026-08-09 61.2 Ludogorets 3 1650 54.32% @ Cherno More 2 1460 21.13% 24.55%
15 2026-07-18 59.8 @ Septemvri Sofia 1 1399 27.45% Arda 1 1528 46.90% 25.64%
16 2026-07-27 59.8 @ CSKA Sofia 3 1572 54.25% Botev Plovdiv 2 1497 21.19% 24.57%
17 2026-07-31 59.3 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1446 41.75% Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1469 32.23% 26.02%
18 2026-08-28 58.5 @ Slavia Sofia 1 1479 54.97% Septemvri Sofia 1 1397 20.61% 24.42%
19 2026-07-20 58.3 @ Slavia Sofia 0 1451 28.31% CSKA Sofia 0 1573 45.95% 25.74%
20 2026-09-04 58.0 Botev Vratsa 3 1427 32.88% @ Septemvri Sofia 2 1399 41.07% 26.05%
21 2026-08-10 57.2 @ Botev Plovdiv 3 1499 49.72% Spartak Varna 2 1461 24.97% 25.31%
22 2026-09-18 57.1 CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 1600 45.87% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1479 28.39% 25.74%
23 2026-07-31 56.8 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 1569 49.50% Arda 1 1533 25.16% 25.34%
24 2026-07-25 56.6 Levski Sofia 2 1636 50.98% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 1 1475 23.89% 25.13%
25 2026-09-02 56.5 Levski Sofia 2 1683 56.13% @ Slavia Sofia 1 1477 19.70% 24.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-01 36.8 @ Levski Sofia 3 1643 70.96% Septemvri Sofia 0 1395 9.95% 19.09%
2 2026-08-09 39.1 CSKA Sofia 3 1581 54.83% @ Septemvri Sofia 0 1387 20.72% 24.45%
3 2026-09-19 39.4 Botev Plovdiv 3 1501 44.75% @ Septemvri Sofia 0 1388 29.42% 25.84%
4 2026-09-13 40.0 @ Botev Plovdiv 2 1489 51.40% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1437 23.53% 25.07%
5 2026-08-31 40.1 @ Arda 2 1558 59.40% Botev Vratsa 0 1436 17.24% 23.35%
6 2026-08-28 40.5 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 1595 62.98% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1437 14.75% 22.27%
7 2026-08-16 41.5 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 5 1588 60.53% Cherno More 0 1455 16.44% 23.04%
8 2026-08-22 41.9 @ Levski Sofia 6 1657 68.15% Spartak Varna 0 1442 11.52% 20.32%
9 2026-08-07 42.4 @ Levski Sofia 2 1650 65.68% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1463 13.01% 21.31%
10 2026-08-08 42.4 Arda 2 1527 45.06% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1412 29.12% 25.81%
11 2026-07-27 43.4 Ludogorets 2 1636 56.70% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1426 19.26% 24.04%
12 2026-09-06 43.8 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 1430 43.48% Cherno More 0 1440 30.59% 25.92%
13 2026-07-24 44.4 @ Arda 1 1527 54.21% Slavia Sofia 0 1452 21.22% 24.57%
14 2026-08-14 44.6 @ CSKA Sofia 4 1597 63.28% Botev Vratsa 1 1436 14.55% 22.17%
15 2026-09-16 44.6 CSKA Sofia 2 1625 53.49% @ Lokomotiv Sofia 0 1443 21.80% 24.71%
16 2026-08-15 44.8 @ Ludogorets 2 1655 62.24% Botev Plovdiv 0 1505 15.25% 22.51%
17 2026-09-07 45.0 Slavia Sofia 1 1472 39.54% @ Dunav Ruse 0 1397 34.36% 26.09%
18 2026-08-21 45.2 @ Cherno More 3 1435 48.26% Dunav Ruse 1 1409 26.25% 25.50%
19 2026-08-01 45.5 @ Botev Plovdiv 1 1492 48.02% Cherno More 0 1467 26.46% 25.52%
20 2026-08-10 45.5 Slavia Sofia 3 1446 26.95% @ Botev Vratsa 0 1466 47.46% 25.59%
21 2026-07-18 46.0 @ Ludogorets 1 1632 63.41% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1470 14.47% 22.12%
22 2026-08-03 46.0 @ Spartak Varna 1 1453 42.29% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 1471 31.71% 25.99%
23 2026-09-12 47.1 @ CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 1597 67.66% Dunav Ruse 1 1389 11.82% 20.53%
24 2026-07-26 47.4 @ Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 1466 53.09% Septemvri Sofia 1 1400 22.13% 24.78%
25 2026-07-26 47.7 Spartak Varna 3 1418 20.45% @ Cherno More 0 1502 55.17% 24.38%