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2006-07 Prva HNL Season

258 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

92 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2005-06

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dinamo Zagreb

17.54 points above expected

92 points · 74.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kamen Ingrad

16.94 points below expected

11 points · 27.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Zagreb Champion 33 30 2 1 92 84 22 +62 74.46 +17.54
2 Hajduk Split 33 22 6 5 72 60 25 +35 63.47 +8.53
3 NK Zagreb 33 18 4 11 58 57 40 +17 51.14 +6.86
4 Sibenik 33 14 7 12 49 50 47 +3 48.05 +0.95
5 Slaven Belupo 33 14 7 12 49 40 37 +3 45.22 +3.78
6 Osijek 33 11 10 12 43 42 45 -3 41.75 +1.25
7 Rijeka 33 12 6 15 42 51 53 -2 45.77 -3.77
8 Varteks 33 12 6 15 42 49 62 -13 40.90 +1.10
9 Medimurje 33 11 4 18 37 40 60 -20 38.01 -1.01
10 Cibalia 33 9 5 19 32 33 53 -20 32.98 -0.98
11 Pula 1856 33 6 11 16 29 28 40 -12 44.23 -15.23
12 Kamen Ingrad* 33 3 4 26 11 27 77 -50 27.94 -16.94
13 Inter Zapresic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 +0.00
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rijeka 10 6 2 2 20 19 8 +11 — —
2 Dinamo Zagreb 10 6 2 2 20 17 9 +8 — —
3 Slaven Belupo 10 5 4 1 19 17 10 +7 — —
4 Pula 1856 10 5 2 3 17 15 10 +5 — —
5 Varteks 10 5 1 4 16 16 13 +3 — —
6 Medimurje 10 4 3 3 15 14 8 +6 — —
7 Hajduk Split 10 3 2 5 11 12 14 -2 — —
8 Cibalia 10 2 5 3 11 9 12 -3 — —
9 NK Zagreb 10 3 1 6 10 7 16 -9 — —
10 Osijek 10 3 1 6 10 6 16 -10 — —
11 Inter Zapresic 10 2 3 5 9 13 19 -6 — —
12 Kamen Ingrad* 10 3 0 7 9 7 17 -10 — —

* Point deductions: Kamen Ingrad (-2 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dinamo Zagreb 92 74.46 +17.54
2 Hajduk Split 72 63.47 +8.53
3 NK Zagreb 58 51.14 +6.86
4 Slaven Belupo 49 45.22 +3.78
5 Osijek 43 41.75 +1.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kamen Ingrad 11 27.94 -16.94
2 Pula 1856 29 44.23 -15.23
3 Rijeka 42 45.77 -3.77
4 Medimurje 37 38.01 -1.01
5 Cibalia 32 32.98 -0.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Zagreb 20 Nov 8 – May 19 1 in 594
2 Hajduk Split 7 Jul 29 – Sep 16 1 in 365
3 Varteks 4 Apr 28 – May 12 1 in 124
4 Cibalia 4 May 2 – May 19 1 in 85
5 Medimurje 4 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rijeka 4 Aug 12 – Sep 10 1 in 117
2 Kamen Ingrad 8 Oct 21 – Dec 2 1 in 59
3 Varteks 7 Feb 24 – Apr 14 1 in 35
4 Cibalia 6 Jul 30 – Sep 9 1 in 30
5 Medimurje 4 Apr 21 – May 5 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slaven Belupo 12 Dec 2 – Apr 28 1 in 152
2 Cibalia 6 Apr 21 – May 19 1 in 49
3 Sibenik 7 Oct 28 – Dec 2 1 in 44
4 Varteks 5 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 27
5 Hajduk Split 7 Jul 29 – Sep 16 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pula 1856 15 Oct 14 – Mar 31 1 in 1,107
2 Medimurje 11 Mar 3 – May 5 1 in 170
3 Varteks 13 Nov 18 – Apr 21 1 in 137
4 Rijeka 6 Aug 12 – Sep 30 1 in 127
5 Kamen Ingrad 14 Feb 24 – May 19 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb 1805 112 +61 15 11.4 +3.6
Hajduk Split 1583 83 -5 6 8.3 -2.3
NK Zagreb 1485 68 -59 4 7.3 -3.3
Slaven Belupo 1456 68 -45 2 6.7 -4.7
Rijeka 1432 62 +18 8 7.8 +0.2
Varteks 1362 58 +48 13 6.2 +6.8
Osijek 1418 53 +60 11 8.1 +2.9
Medimurje 1305 52 -62 3 5.8 -2.8
Sibenik 1442 49 -26 2 5.6 -3.6
Pula 1856 1351 46 -24 3 7.2 -4.2
Cibalia 1343 43 +74 13 6.0 +7.0
Kamen Ingrad 1147 22 -39 1 3.9 -2.9
Inter Zapresic 1312 9 -19 4 6.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CIB DZ HS IZ KI MED NZ OSI P1 RIJ SIB SB VAR
Cibalia —
0-0-3
1.10
0-1-2
2.18
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-1
4.65
1-0-2
4.05
0-1-2
2.15
1-1-1
3.23
2-1-0
3.28
1-0-2
2.15
1-0-2
2.82
1-0-2
2.33
1-0-2
3.48
Dinamo Zagreb
3-0-0
7.46
—
2-1-0
6.22
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
7.56
3-0-0
7.08
3-0-0
6.44
3-0-0
7.36
3-0-0
6.51
3-0-0
6.77
2-0-1
6.91
2-1-0
6.17
3-0-0
6.90
Hajduk Split
2-1-0
6.25
0-1-2
2.22
—
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
6.62
3-0-0
5.02
2-0-1
5.80
2-0-1
6.02
1-1-1
6.31
2-1-0
4.96
2-1-0
4.98
2-1-0
5.51
3-0-0
5.87
Inter Zapresic
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Kamen Ingrad
1-1-1
3.75
0-0-3
0.99
0-0-3
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-1-2
2.66
0-0-3
3.40
0-1-2
3.41
1-1-1
2.30
0-0-3
1.89
1-0-2
2.21
0-0-3
2.72
0-0-3
2.41
Medimurje
2-0-1
4.35
0-0-3
1.42
0-0-3
3.40
0-0-0
0.00
2-1-0
5.78
—
1-1-1
3.28
1-1-1
4.16
2-0-1
4.35
1-1-1
3.82
1-0-2
4.22
0-0-3
3.58
1-0-2
4.42
NK Zagreb
2-1-0
6.30
0-0-3
2.01
1-0-2
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
5.03
1-1-1
5.15
—
2-1-0
5.61
2-0-1
4.72
1-0-2
3.90
2-0-1
4.67
2-0-1
3.36
2-1-0
3.80
Osijek
1-1-1
5.18
0-0-3
1.17
1-0-2
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
2-1-0
5.00
1-1-1
4.24
0-1-2
2.83
—
0-2-1
3.34
2-1-0
2.40
1-2-0
3.96
1-1-1
3.05
2-0-1
4.01
Pula 1856
0-1-2
5.13
0-0-3
1.94
1-1-1
2.13
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-1
6.14
1-0-2
4.06
1-0-2
3.68
1-2-0
5.07
—
0-1-2
3.37
0-1-2
3.51
1-1-1
4.08
0-3-0
3.88
Rijeka
2-0-1
6.29
0-0-3
1.70
0-1-2
3.47
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
6.58
1-1-1
4.59
2-0-1
4.53
0-1-2
6.03
2-1-0
5.05
—
0-1-2
4.05
1-0-2
4.64
1-1-1
5.45
Sibenik
2-0-1
5.60
1-0-2
1.57
0-1-2
3.43
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-1
6.25
2-0-1
4.18
1-0-2
3.75
0-2-1
4.45
2-1-0
4.90
2-1-0
4.36
—
1-2-0
4.40
1-0-2
5.08
Slaven Belupo
2-0-1
6.11
0-1-2
2.26
0-1-2
2.91
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
5.70
3-0-0
4.82
1-0-2
5.05
1-1-1
5.37
1-1-1
4.32
2-0-1
3.76
0-2-1
4.00
—
1-1-1
4.52
Varteks
2-0-1
4.93
0-0-3
1.57
0-0-3
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
3-0-0
6.02
2-0-1
3.99
0-1-2
4.60
1-0-2
4.39
0-3-0
4.52
1-1-1
2.97
2-0-1
3.34
1-1-1
3.89
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +11.4
Allowed 0.03 -2.2
Differential 0.69 +7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.43%9.69%6.78%5.23%1.74%0.19%29.07%
19.69%7.75%6.20%4.46%1.94%0.58%30.62%
26.78%6.20%5.81%1.74%0.58%—21.12%
35.23%4.46%1.74%—1.16%0.19%12.79%
41.74%1.94%0.58%1.16%——5.43%
5+0.19%0.58%—0.19%——0.97%
Total29.07%30.62%21.12%12.79%5.43%0.97%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.89
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 258

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.63%18.60%4.65%4.65%6.98%—46.51%
14.65%6.98%2.33%6.98%2.33%—23.26%
24.65%6.98%4.65%———16.28%
34.65%4.65%——4.65%—13.95%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.58%37.21%11.63%11.63%13.95%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.51 -0.53
SD 1.10 1.37 1.78
CV 1.13 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.33%2.33%————4.65%
120.93%2.33%4.65%———27.91%
211.63%6.98%4.65%———23.26%
39.30%4.65%6.98%———20.93%
49.30%6.98%—2.33%——18.60%
5+—2.33%—2.33%——4.65%
Total53.49%25.58%16.28%4.65%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.72 +1.63
SD 1.33 0.91 1.38
CV 0.56 1.26 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.65%9.30%2.33%4.65%2.33%—23.26%
111.63%4.65%4.65%———20.93%
216.28%4.65%9.30%———30.23%
39.30%4.65%2.33%———16.28%
44.65%2.33%2.33%———9.30%
5+———————
Total46.51%25.58%20.93%4.65%2.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.91 +0.77
SD 1.27 1.04 1.85
CV 0.76 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%————10.00%
110.00%20.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%—70.00%
2——10.00%———10.00%
3———————
4———10.00%——10.00%
5+———————
Total10.00%30.00%30.00%20.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.90 -0.60
SD 1.06 1.20 1.26
CV 0.81 0.63 —
Max 4 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.33%9.30%18.60%4.65%4.65%2.33%41.86%
16.98%4.65%11.63%11.63%6.98%—41.86%
2—2.33%2.33%4.65%2.33%—11.63%
3—4.65%————4.65%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.30%20.93%32.56%20.93%13.95%2.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.19 -1.40
SD 0.83 1.31 1.61
CV 1.05 0.60 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.65%9.30%6.98%9.30%2.33%—32.56%
16.98%9.30%4.65%2.33%4.65%2.33%30.23%
213.95%2.33%2.33%2.33%2.33%—23.26%
32.33%4.65%——2.33%—9.30%
42.33%—————2.33%
5+—2.33%————2.33%
Total30.23%27.91%13.95%13.95%11.63%2.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.58 -0.33
SD 1.22 1.53 2.16
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.33%4.65%6.98%9.30%2.33%—25.58%
111.63%9.30%6.98%4.65%2.33%—34.88%
24.65%6.98%——2.33%—13.95%
311.63%6.98%2.33%———20.93%
42.33%—————2.33%
5+2.33%—————2.33%
Total34.88%27.91%16.28%13.95%6.98%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.30 +0.19
SD 1.35 1.28 2.26
CV 0.91 0.98 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.65%9.30%9.30%9.30%2.33%—34.88%
111.63%11.63%4.65%6.98%——34.88%
24.65%9.30%9.30%———23.26%
3—2.33%————2.33%
4—2.33%————2.33%
5+—2.33%————2.33%
Total20.93%37.21%23.26%16.28%2.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.42 -0.30
SD 1.22 1.07 1.81
CV 1.09 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.28%18.60%13.95%———48.84%
14.65%6.98%2.33%2.33%—2.33%18.60%
24.65%4.65%6.98%4.65%——20.93%
34.65%2.33%————6.98%
4—4.65%————4.65%
5+———————
Total30.23%37.21%23.26%6.98%—2.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.16 -0.16
SD 1.20 1.09 1.59
CV 1.20 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.28%2.33%4.65%——23.26%
12.33%6.98%4.65%6.98%——20.93%
29.30%9.30%11.63%4.65%——34.88%
34.65%4.65%2.33%———11.63%
42.33%2.33%2.33%2.33%——9.30%
5+———————
Total18.60%39.53%23.26%18.60%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.42 +0.21
SD 1.23 1.01 1.70
CV 0.76 0.71 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%——9.09%——12.12%
118.18%9.09%18.18%3.03%——48.48%
23.03%6.06%9.09%———18.18%
33.03%9.09%——6.06%—18.18%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.42 +0.09
SD 1.03 1.20 1.59
CV 0.68 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.30%9.30%9.30%4.65%——32.56%
111.63%13.95%4.65%———30.23%
24.65%6.98%2.33%———13.95%
39.30%2.33%4.65%—2.33%—18.60%
4——2.33%2.33%——4.65%
5+———————
Total34.88%32.56%23.26%6.98%2.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.09 +0.23
SD 1.25 1.04 1.56
CV 0.94 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 43

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.65%6.98%6.98%4.65%——23.26%
16.98%4.65%4.65%6.98%4.65%2.33%30.23%
24.65%9.30%6.98%4.65%——25.58%
34.65%4.65%2.33%——2.33%13.95%
4—2.33%—4.65%——6.98%
5+———————
Total20.93%27.91%20.93%20.93%4.65%4.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.74 -0.23
SD 1.20 1.38 1.81
CV 0.80 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 43

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Zagreb 1618 92 74.46 +17.54 100.0% 59 64 70 75 79 84 89
Rijeka 1550 42 45.77 -3.77 35.0% 31 32 40 46 50 57 68
Slaven Belupo 1454 49 45.22 +3.78 75.0% 23 36 40 46 49 55 65
Sibenik 1442 49 48.05 +0.95 52.0% 30 34 41 49 54 60 68
Varteks 1439 42 40.90 +1.10 56.0% 12 28 36 41 46 52 56
Pula 1856 1427 29 44.23 -15.23 2.0% 22 32 39 44 49 57 60
Hajduk Split 1427 72 63.47 +8.53 90.0% 47 52 59 63 68 74 81
Medimurje 1415 37 38.01 -1.01 50.0% 23 26 33 37 43 49 60
Cibalia 1359 32 32.98 -0.98 46.0% 17 23 29 33 37 43 50
Kamen Ingrad 1353 11 27.94 -16.94 0.0% 13 19 23 28 32 38 41
Osijek 1349 43 41.75 +1.25 59.0% 22 29 36 41 48 54 62
NK Zagreb 1315 58 51.14 +6.86 90.0% 34 38 47 52 55 60 68
Inter Zapresic 1312 0 0.00 +0.00 100.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.97%
Clear Edge
53.49%18.99%27.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
092.34500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
87%
Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 13
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.67/gm
Runaway
00.371/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.52 * Some Luck: 5.52 to 8.29 * Lucky: 8.29 to 11.05 * Wild Swing: 11.05 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.3 * Way Off: 2.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 13 * As Expected: 13 to 20.8 * Several Outliers: 20.8 to 28.6 * Many Outliers: 28.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.68 points
Lucky
06.9017
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.92
Pinpoint
01.443
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.15%
100.00%
Dinamo Zagreb
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.85%
0.00%
Kamen Ingrad
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 13
Minimal Outliers
01.36

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 154.36
3.18
Wide Separation
11.852.353.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Few
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.72
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Weak Carryover
00.570.791
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213
Dinamo Zagreb87.00%12.00%1.00%——————————
Hajduk Split13.00%67.00%14.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———————
NK Zagreb—7.00%37.00%18.00%14.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%———
Sibenik—7.00%12.00%28.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Slaven Belupo—2.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%18.00%10.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Osijek—1.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%17.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%—
Rijeka—4.00%7.00%10.00%19.00%23.00%10.00%13.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%—
Varteks——2.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%16.00%13.00%9.00%20.00%8.00%5.00%—
Medimurje——1.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%11.00%17.00%17.00%9.00%—
Cibalia————4.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%17.00%30.00%25.00%—
Pula 1856——11.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%—
Kamen Ingrad——————1.00%4.00%10.00%4.00%26.00%55.00%—
Inter Zapresic————————————100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb 100% — —
Hajduk Split 100% — —
Inter Zapresic 100% — —
NK Zagreb 100% — —
Pula 1856 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Rijeka 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Sibenik 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Slaven Belupo 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
Osijek 90.00% 8.00% 2.00%
Varteks 87.00% 8.00% 5.00%
Medimurje 74.00% 17.00% 9.00%
Cibalia 45.00% 30.00% 25.00%
Kamen Ingrad 19.00% 26.00% 55.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-07-29 Hajduk Split L 0-245.4 1415 1427 50.93% 19.93% 29.14%+0.44 -27.2 0
2006-07-29 @ Medimurje W 2-045.4 1427 1415 29.14% 19.93% 50.93%-0.44 +27.2 3
2006-07-29 NK Zagreb L 1-350.1 1353 1315 56.93% 19.59% 23.48%+0.71 -26.1 0
2006-07-29 @ Kamen Ingrad W 3-150.1 1315 1353 23.48% 19.59% 56.93%-0.71 +26.1 3
2006-07-29 Osijek L 1-256.1 1424 1349 60.87% 19.24% 19.89%+0.91 -16.0 0
2006-07-29 @ Sibenik W 2-156.1 1349 1424 19.89% 19.24% 60.87%-0.91 +16.0 3
2006-07-29 Slaven Belupo W 1-045.2 1618 1454 68.79% 18.12% 13.10%+1.39 +4.4 3
2006-07-29 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-145.2 1454 1618 13.10% 18.12% 68.79%-1.39 -4.4 0
2006-07-30 Rijeka L 3-457.9 1359 1550 27.08% 19.83% 53.09%-0.53 -7.4 0
2006-07-30 @ Cibalia W 4-357.9 1550 1359 53.09% 19.83% 27.08%+0.53 +7.4 3
2006-07-30 Varteks D 1-160.5 1427 1439 51.01% 19.93% 29.06%+0.44 -1.4 1
2006-07-30 @ Pula 1856 D 1-160.5 1439 1427 29.06% 19.93% 51.01%-0.44 +1.4 1
2006-08-04 Sibenik W 4-356.5 1622 1408 72.42% 17.32% 10.26%+1.67 +3.0 6
2006-08-04 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 3-456.5 1408 1622 10.26% 17.32% 72.42%-1.67 -3.0 0
2006-08-05 Cibalia W 2-034.2 1454 1351 63.56% 18.93% 17.50%+1.06 +10.9 6
2006-08-05 @ Hajduk Split L 0-234.2 1351 1454 17.50% 18.93% 63.56%-1.06 -10.9 0
2006-08-05 Pula 1856 D 0-054.0 1365 1426 44.35% 20.12% 35.53%+0.17 -0.6 4
2006-08-05 @ Osijek D 0-054.0 1426 1365 35.53% 20.12% 44.35%-0.17 +0.6 2
2006-08-05 Kamen Ingrad W 4-243.5 1557 1327 73.44% 17.06% 9.51%+1.75 +4.6 6
2006-08-05 @ Rijeka L 2-443.5 1327 1557 9.51% 17.06% 73.44%-1.75 -4.6 0
2006-08-05 Medimurje W 3-142.3 1440 1388 58.50% 19.47% 22.04%+0.79 +11.6 4
2006-08-05 @ Varteks L 1-342.3 1388 1440 22.04% 19.47% 58.50%-0.79 -11.6 0
2006-08-05 NK Zagreb L 0-151.6 1450 1341 64.11% 18.86% 17.03%+1.09 -17.9 0
2006-08-05 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-051.6 1341 1450 17.03% 18.86% 64.11%-1.09 +17.9 6
2006-08-12 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-245.2 1427 1625 26.20% 19.78% 54.01%-0.58 -15.6 2
2006-08-12 @ Pula 1856 W 2-045.2 1625 1427 54.01% 19.78% 26.20%+0.58 +15.6 9
2006-08-12 Hajduk Split L 2-353.7 1322 1465 33.04% 20.07% 46.89%-0.27 -9.0 0
2006-08-12 @ Kamen Ingrad W 3-253.7 1465 1322 46.89% 20.07% 33.04%+0.27 +9.0 9
2006-08-12 Osijek W 2-035.8 1376 1364 53.91% 19.79% 26.30%+0.57 +15.6 3
2006-08-12 @ Medimurje L 0-235.8 1364 1376 26.30% 19.79% 53.91%-0.57 -15.6 4
2006-08-12 Rijeka W 1-052.6 1359 1562 25.70% 19.75% 54.55%-0.60 +15.3 9
2006-08-12 @ NK Zagreb L 0-152.6 1562 1359 54.55% 19.75% 25.70%+0.60 -15.3 6
2006-08-12 Slaven Belupo W 2-148.8 1405 1432 48.99% 20.01% 31.00%+0.35 +9.0 3
2006-08-12 @ Sibenik L 1-248.8 1432 1405 31.00% 20.01% 48.99%-0.35 -9.0 0
2006-08-12 Varteks L 1-249.7 1341 1452 37.30% 20.14% 42.56%-0.10 -10.5 0
2006-08-12 @ Cibalia W 2-149.7 1452 1341 42.56% 20.14% 37.30%+0.10 +10.5 7
2006-08-19 Cibalia W 3-140.8 1348 1330 54.64% 19.75% 25.62%+0.60 +13.2 7
2006-08-19 @ Osijek L 1-340.8 1330 1348 25.62% 19.75% 54.64%-0.60 -13.2 0
2006-08-19 Pula 1856 W 1-041.6 1414 1411 52.74% 19.85% 27.41%+0.52 +8.6 6
2006-08-19 @ Sibenik L 0-141.6 1411 1414 27.41% 19.85% 52.74%-0.52 -8.6 2
2006-08-19 Kamen Ingrad W 3-030.0 1462 1313 67.59% 18.33% 14.08%+1.31 +12.8 10
2006-08-19 @ Varteks L 0-330.0 1313 1462 14.08% 18.33% 67.59%-1.31 -12.8 0
2006-08-19 Medimurje W 4-141.4 1641 1392 74.60% 16.73% 8.67%+1.85 +6.7 12
2006-08-19 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-441.4 1392 1641 8.67% 16.73% 74.60%-1.85 -6.6 3
2006-08-19 NK Zagreb W 2-035.3 1474 1374 63.30% 18.97% 17.73%+1.04 +11.0 12
2006-08-19 @ Hajduk Split L 0-235.3 1374 1474 17.73% 18.97% 63.30%-1.04 -11.0 9
2006-08-19 Rijeka W 3-262.5 1423 1546 35.57% 20.12% 44.31%-0.17 +11.4 3
2006-08-19 @ Slaven Belupo L 2-362.5 1546 1423 44.31% 20.12% 35.57%+0.17 -11.4 6
2006-08-26 Hajduk Split L 0-157.3 1535 1485 58.24% 19.49% 22.27%+0.77 -16.3 6
2006-08-26 @ Rijeka W 1-057.3 1485 1535 22.27% 19.49% 58.24%-0.77 +16.3 15
2006-08-26 Osijek D 1-156.6 1301 1362 44.40% 20.12% 35.48%+0.17 -0.5 1
2006-08-26 @ Kamen Ingrad D 1-156.6 1362 1301 35.48% 20.12% 44.40%-0.17 +0.6 8
2006-08-26 Sibenik W 2-148.5 1385 1422 47.67% 20.05% 32.29%+0.30 +9.3 6
2006-08-26 @ Medimurje L 1-248.5 1422 1385 32.29% 20.05% 47.67%-0.30 -9.3 6
2006-08-26 Slaven Belupo W 2-149.0 1402 1434 48.39% 20.03% 31.58%+0.33 +9.1 5
2006-08-26 @ Pula 1856 L 1-249.0 1434 1402 31.58% 20.03% 48.39%-0.33 -9.1 3
2006-08-26 Varteks W 3-040.6 1363 1475 37.20% 20.14% 42.67%-0.11 +33.9 12
2006-08-26 @ NK Zagreb L 0-340.6 1475 1363 42.67% 20.14% 37.20%+0.11 -33.9 10
2006-08-27 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-141.7 1317 1647 14.33% 18.39% 67.28%-1.29 -4.8 0
2006-08-27 @ Cibalia W 1-041.7 1647 1317 67.28% 18.39% 14.33%+1.29 +4.8 15
2006-09-09 Cibalia W 1-036.5 1413 1312 63.39% 18.96% 17.66%+1.05 +5.8 9
2006-09-09 @ Sibenik L 0-136.5 1312 1413 17.66% 18.96% 63.39%-1.05 -5.8 0
2006-09-09 Hajduk Split L 0-149.2 1425 1501 42.27% 20.14% 37.59%+0.09 -12.3 3
2006-09-09 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-049.2 1501 1425 37.59% 20.14% 42.27%-0.09 +12.3 18
2006-09-09 Kamen Ingrad W 2-033.7 1652 1300 80.01% 14.79% 5.20%+2.41 +3.2 18
2006-09-09 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-233.7 1300 1652 5.20% 14.79% 80.01%-2.41 -3.2 1
2006-09-09 Medimurje W 3-034.6 1412 1394 54.50% 19.75% 25.74%+0.59 +22.3 8
2006-09-09 @ Pula 1856 L 0-334.6 1394 1412 25.74% 19.75% 54.50%-0.59 -22.3 6
2006-09-09 NK Zagreb D 1-158.0 1362 1397 47.96% 20.04% 32.00%+0.31 -1.0 9
2006-09-09 @ Osijek D 1-158.0 1397 1362 32.00% 20.04% 47.96%-0.31 +1.0 13
2006-09-10 Rijeka W 2-154.8 1441 1519 42.10% 20.14% 37.76%+0.08 +10.6 13
2006-09-10 @ Varteks L 1-254.8 1519 1441 37.76% 20.14% 42.10%-0.08 -10.6 6
2006-09-16 Pula 1856 W 3-147.6 1306 1434 35.04% 20.11% 44.85%-0.19 +21.1 3
2006-09-16 @ Cibalia L 1-347.6 1434 1306 44.85% 20.11% 35.04%+0.19 -21.1 8
2006-09-16 Osijek D 2-267.2 1508 1361 67.43% 18.36% 14.21%+1.30 -2.7 7
2006-09-16 @ Rijeka D 2-267.2 1361 1508 14.21% 18.36% 67.43%-1.30 +2.7 10
2006-09-16 Sibenik W 3-147.0 1297 1419 35.82% 20.12% 44.06%-0.16 +20.8 4
2006-09-16 @ Kamen Ingrad L 1-347.0 1419 1297 44.06% 20.12% 35.82%+0.16 -20.8 9
2006-09-16 Slaven Belupo L 0-340.7 1372 1413 47.21% 20.06% 32.73%+0.28 -36.9 6
2006-09-16 @ Medimurje W 3-040.7 1413 1372 32.73% 20.06% 47.21%-0.28 +36.9 6
2006-09-16 Varteks W 3-146.4 1514 1452 59.50% 19.38% 21.12%+0.84 +11.2 21
2006-09-16 @ Hajduk Split L 1-346.4 1452 1514 21.12% 19.38% 59.50%-0.84 -11.2 13
2006-09-17 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-341.0 1398 1655 20.18% 19.28% 60.55%-0.90 -18.0 13
2006-09-17 @ NK Zagreb W 3-041.0 1655 1398 60.55% 19.28% 20.18%+0.90 +18.0 21
2006-09-23 Cibalia W 3-141.0 1335 1327 53.39% 19.82% 26.79%+0.54 +13.8 9
2006-09-23 @ Medimurje L 1-341.0 1327 1335 26.79% 19.82% 53.39%-0.54 -13.8 3
2006-09-23 Hajduk Split W 1-050.1 1364 1525 30.70% 20.00% 49.31%-0.37 +14.0 13
2006-09-23 @ Osijek L 0-150.1 1525 1364 49.31% 20.00% 30.70%+0.37 -14.0 21
2006-09-23 Kamen Ingrad W 2-033.0 1413 1318 62.86% 19.02% 18.12%+1.02 +11.2 11
2006-09-23 @ Pula 1856 L 0-233.0 1318 1413 18.12% 19.02% 62.86%-1.02 -11.2 4
2006-09-23 NK Zagreb W 1-040.0 1398 1380 54.59% 19.75% 25.66%+0.60 +8.1 12
2006-09-23 @ Sibenik L 0-140.0 1380 1398 25.66% 19.75% 54.59%-0.60 -8.1 13
2006-09-23 Varteks W 3-254.4 1450 1441 53.53% 19.81% 26.66%+0.55 +7.5 9
2006-09-23 @ Slaven Belupo L 2-354.4 1441 1450 26.66% 19.81% 53.53%-0.55 -7.5 13
2006-09-30 Pula 1856 L 0-340.4 1372 1424 45.64% 20.09% 34.27%+0.22 -35.9 13
2006-09-30 @ NK Zagreb W 3-040.4 1424 1372 34.27% 20.09% 45.64%-0.22 +35.9 14
2006-09-30 Medimurje L 0-241.0 1306 1349 46.92% 20.07% 33.01%+0.27 -25.3 4
2006-09-30 @ Kamen Ingrad W 2-041.0 1349 1306 33.01% 20.07% 46.92%-0.27 +25.3 12
2006-09-30 Osijek W 3-141.8 1433 1378 58.80% 19.44% 21.76%+0.80 +11.5 16
2006-09-30 @ Varteks L 1-341.8 1378 1433 21.76% 19.44% 58.80%-0.80 -11.5 13
2006-09-30 Sibenik L 1-357.0 1505 1406 63.24% 18.98% 17.78%+1.04 -28.8 7
2006-09-30 @ Rijeka W 3-157.0 1406 1505 17.78% 18.98% 63.24%-1.04 +28.8 15
2006-09-30 Slaven Belupo W 2-042.6 1314 1457 32.93% 20.06% 47.01%-0.28 +25.3 6
2006-09-30 @ Cibalia L 0-242.6 1457 1314 47.01% 20.06% 32.93%+0.28 -25.3 9
2006-10-01 Dinamo Zagreb D 2-277.2 1511 1673 30.48% 19.99% 49.54%-0.38 +0.9 22
2006-10-01 @ Hajduk Split D 2-277.2 1673 1511 49.54% 19.99% 30.48%+0.38 -0.9 22
2006-10-14 Hajduk Split L 1-255.7 1435 1512 42.21% 20.14% 37.65%+0.08 -11.6 15
2006-10-14 @ Sibenik W 2-155.7 1512 1435 37.65% 20.14% 42.21%-0.08 +11.6 25
2006-10-14 Kamen Ingrad L 1-350.2 1339 1281 59.08% 19.42% 21.50%+0.82 -27.0 6
2006-10-14 @ Cibalia W 3-150.2 1281 1339 21.50% 19.42% 59.08%-0.82 +27.0 7
2006-10-14 NK Zagreb W 2-034.5 1374 1336 56.94% 19.59% 23.47%+0.71 +14.2 15
2006-10-14 @ Medimurje L 0-234.5 1336 1374 23.47% 19.59% 56.94%-0.71 -14.1 13
2006-10-14 Osijek W 1-038.9 1432 1366 59.87% 19.34% 20.78%+0.86 +6.7 12
2006-10-14 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-138.9 1366 1432 20.78% 19.34% 59.87%-0.86 -6.7 13
2006-10-14 Rijeka L 2-363.1 1460 1477 50.33% 19.96% 29.71%+0.41 -12.8 14
2006-10-14 @ Pula 1856 W 3-263.1 1477 1460 29.71% 19.96% 50.33%-0.41 +12.8 10
2006-10-14 Varteks W 4-144.7 1672 1445 73.29% 17.09% 9.61%+1.74 +7.4 25
2006-10-14 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-444.7 1445 1672 9.61% 17.09% 73.29%-1.74 -7.4 16
2006-10-21 Cibalia W 3-032.3 1322 1312 53.64% 19.80% 26.56%+0.56 +22.9 16
2006-10-21 @ NK Zagreb L 0-332.3 1312 1322 26.56% 19.80% 53.64%-0.56 -22.9 6
2006-10-21 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-438.3 1360 1680 15.06% 18.53% 66.41%-1.24 -17.9 13
2006-10-21 @ Osijek W 4-038.3 1680 1360 66.41% 18.53% 15.06%+1.24 +17.9 28
2006-10-21 Pula 1856 W 2-040.1 1523 1447 60.97% 19.23% 19.80%+0.91 +12.1 28
2006-10-21 @ Hajduk Split L 0-240.1 1447 1523 19.80% 19.23% 60.97%-0.91 -12.2 14
2006-10-21 Medimurje L 1-356.0 1489 1388 63.39% 18.96% 17.65%+1.05 -28.8 10
2006-10-21 @ Rijeka W 3-156.0 1388 1489 17.65% 18.96% 63.39%-1.05 +28.9 18
2006-10-21 Sibenik W 2-147.9 1437 1423 54.11% 19.78% 26.11%+0.58 +7.8 19
2006-10-21 @ Varteks L 1-247.9 1423 1437 26.11% 19.78% 54.11%-0.58 -7.8 15
2006-10-21 Slaven Belupo L 1-344.6 1308 1438 34.66% 20.10% 45.23%-0.21 -17.1 7
2006-10-21 @ Kamen Ingrad W 3-144.6 1438 1308 45.23% 20.10% 34.66%+0.21 +17.1 15
2006-10-28 Cibalia W 4-134.4 1460 1289 69.36% 18.00% 12.64%+1.43 +9.7 13
2006-10-28 @ Rijeka L 1-434.4 1289 1460 12.64% 18.00% 69.36%-1.43 -9.7 6
2006-10-28 Dinamo Zagreb D 1-170.5 1456 1698 21.62% 19.43% 58.95%-0.81 +2.5 16
2006-10-28 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-170.5 1698 1456 58.95% 19.43% 21.62%+0.81 -2.5 29
2006-10-28 Pula 1856 D 0-056.4 1445 1435 53.63% 19.80% 26.56%+0.56 -2.0 20
2006-10-28 @ Varteks D 0-056.4 1435 1445 26.56% 19.80% 53.63%-0.56 +1.9 15
2006-10-28 Kamen Ingrad W 2-142.6 1345 1291 58.65% 19.45% 21.90%+0.79 +6.7 19
2006-10-28 @ NK Zagreb L 1-242.6 1291 1345 21.90% 19.45% 58.65%-0.79 -6.7 7
2006-10-28 Medimurje W 2-038.2 1535 1417 64.96% 18.75% 16.29%+1.14 +10.1 31
2006-10-28 @ Hajduk Split L 0-238.2 1417 1535 16.29% 18.75% 64.96%-1.14 -10.1 18
2006-10-28 Sibenik D 1-157.9 1342 1416 42.64% 20.14% 37.23%+0.10 -0.3 14
2006-10-28 @ Osijek D 1-157.9 1416 1342 37.23% 20.14% 42.64%-0.10 +0.3 16
2006-10-31 Rijeka W 1-046.8 1695 1470 73.11% 17.14% 9.75%+1.72 +3.2 32
2006-10-31 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-146.8 1470 1695 9.75% 17.14% 73.11%-1.72 -3.2 13
2006-11-04 Dinamo Zagreb W 2-167.6 1416 1698 17.96% 19.00% 63.04%-1.03 +16.6 19
2006-11-04 @ Sibenik L 1-267.6 1698 1416 63.04% 19.00% 17.96%+1.03 -16.6 32
2006-11-04 Hajduk Split D 0-055.1 1279 1545 19.38% 19.18% 61.43%-0.94 +3.1 7
2006-11-04 @ Cibalia D 0-055.1 1545 1279 61.43% 19.18% 19.38%+0.94 -3.1 32
2006-11-04 Osijek D 2-264.7 1437 1341 62.88% 19.02% 18.10%+1.02 -2.2 16
2006-11-04 @ Pula 1856 D 2-264.7 1341 1437 18.10% 19.02% 62.88%-1.02 +2.2 15
2006-11-04 Rijeka L 0-140.3 1284 1467 28.04% 19.88% 52.08%-0.49 -8.8 7
2006-11-04 @ Kamen Ingrad W 1-040.3 1467 1284 52.08% 19.88% 28.04%+0.49 +8.8 16
2006-11-04 Slaven Belupo W 3-039.6 1351 1458 37.95% 20.14% 41.90%-0.08 +33.4 22
2006-11-04 @ NK Zagreb L 0-339.6 1458 1351 41.90% 20.14% 37.95%+0.08 -33.4 16
2006-11-04 Varteks W 5-141.4 1407 1443 47.84% 20.04% 32.12%+0.31 +29.3 21
2006-11-04 @ Medimurje L 1-541.4 1443 1407 32.12% 20.04% 47.84%-0.31 -29.3 20
2006-11-08 Cibalia W 1-035.2 1414 1282 66.11% 18.58% 15.31%+1.21 +5.1 23
2006-11-08 @ Varteks L 0-135.2 1282 1414 15.31% 18.58% 66.11%-1.21 -5.1 7
2006-11-08 Pula 1856 W 5-142.6 1682 1435 74.49% 16.76% 8.75%+1.84 +8.7 35
2006-11-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-542.6 1435 1682 8.75% 16.76% 74.49%-1.84 -8.7 16
2006-11-08 Kamen Ingrad W 4-028.1 1542 1276 75.65% 16.41% 7.94%+1.95 +9.4 35
2006-11-08 @ Hajduk Split L 0-428.1 1276 1542 7.94% 16.41% 75.65%-1.95 -9.4 7
2006-11-08 Medimurje D 1-158.3 1344 1436 39.92% 20.15% 39.93%+0.00 +0.0 16
2006-11-08 @ Osijek D 1-158.3 1436 1344 39.93% 20.15% 39.92%+0.00 +0.0 22
2006-11-08 NK Zagreb W 2-145.4 1476 1385 62.43% 19.07% 18.49%+0.99 +5.7 19
2006-11-08 @ Rijeka L 1-245.4 1385 1476 18.49% 19.07% 62.43%-0.99 -5.7 22
2006-11-08 Sibenik D 1-160.3 1425 1432 51.46% 19.91% 28.63%+0.46 -1.4 17
2006-11-08 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-160.3 1432 1425 28.63% 19.91% 51.46%-0.46 +1.5 20
2006-11-11 Osijek W 3-035.1 1277 1344 43.67% 20.13% 36.20%+0.14 +29.7 10
2006-11-11 @ Cibalia L 0-335.1 1344 1277 36.20% 20.13% 43.67%-0.14 -29.7 16
2006-11-11 Sibenik D 1-160.4 1426 1434 51.45% 19.91% 28.63%+0.46 -1.5 17
2006-11-11 @ Pula 1856 D 1-160.4 1434 1426 28.63% 19.91% 51.45%-0.46 +1.5 21
2006-11-11 Slaven Belupo W 2-038.3 1481 1423 59.13% 19.41% 21.46%+0.82 +13.1 22
2006-11-11 @ Rijeka L 0-238.3 1423 1481 21.46% 19.41% 59.13%-0.82 -13.1 17
2006-11-11 Varteks L 1-439.8 1266 1419 31.75% 20.03% 48.22%-0.33 -22.5 7
2006-11-11 @ Kamen Ingrad W 4-139.8 1419 1266 48.22% 20.03% 31.75%+0.33 +22.5 26
2006-11-12 Hajduk Split W 3-045.8 1379 1552 29.25% 19.94% 50.81%-0.44 +39.4 25
2006-11-12 @ NK Zagreb L 0-345.8 1552 1379 50.81% 19.94% 29.25%+0.44 -39.4 35
2006-11-18 Cibalia W 4-032.2 1691 1307 81.38% 14.18% 4.45%+2.58 +5.1 38
2006-11-18 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-432.2 1307 1691 4.45% 14.18% 81.38%-2.58 -5.1 10
2006-11-18 Pula 1856 W 1-042.5 1410 1425 50.61% 19.95% 29.45%+0.42 +9.1 20
2006-11-18 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-142.5 1425 1410 29.45% 19.95% 50.61%-0.42 -9.1 17
2006-11-18 Kamen Ingrad W 2-141.5 1314 1244 60.39% 19.29% 20.32%+0.88 +6.2 19
2006-11-18 @ Osijek L 1-241.5 1244 1314 20.32% 19.29% 60.39%-0.88 -6.2 7
2006-11-18 Medimurje W 3-037.0 1435 1436 52.28% 19.87% 27.84%+0.50 +23.9 24
2006-11-18 @ Sibenik L 0-337.0 1436 1435 27.84% 19.87% 52.28%-0.50 -23.9 22
2006-11-18 NK Zagreb L 1-353.2 1441 1419 55.15% 19.71% 25.14%+0.62 -25.3 26
2006-11-18 @ Varteks W 3-153.2 1419 1441 25.14% 19.71% 55.15%-0.62 +25.3 28
2006-11-18 Rijeka W 3-041.0 1512 1494 54.58% 19.75% 25.67%+0.60 +22.2 38
2006-11-18 @ Hajduk Split L 0-341.0 1494 1512 25.67% 19.75% 54.58%-0.60 -22.2 22
2006-11-25 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-234.2 1237 1696 7.72% 16.30% 75.98%-1.99 -4.8 7
2006-11-25 @ Kamen Ingrad W 2-034.2 1696 1237 75.98% 16.30% 7.72%+1.99 +4.8 41
2006-11-25 Pula 1856 W 1-041.9 1413 1415 52.08% 19.88% 28.04%+0.49 +8.8 25
2006-11-25 @ Medimurje L 0-141.9 1415 1413 28.04% 19.88% 52.08%-0.49 -8.8 17
2006-11-25 Osijek W 2-032.8 1444 1320 65.46% 18.67% 15.87%+1.17 +9.9 31
2006-11-25 @ NK Zagreb L 0-232.8 1320 1444 15.87% 18.67% 65.46%-1.17 -9.9 19
2006-11-25 Sibenik L 0-141.4 1302 1459 31.16% 20.01% 48.83%-0.35 -9.6 10
2006-11-25 @ Cibalia W 1-041.4 1459 1302 48.83% 20.01% 31.16%+0.35 +9.6 27
2006-11-25 Slaven Belupo W 2-038.4 1535 1419 64.72% 18.78% 16.50%+1.13 +10.3 41
2006-11-25 @ Hajduk Split L 0-238.4 1419 1535 16.50% 18.78% 64.72%-1.13 -10.3 20
2006-11-25 Varteks D 2-267.5 1472 1416 58.92% 19.43% 21.65%+0.81 -1.8 23
2006-11-25 @ Rijeka D 2-267.5 1416 1472 21.65% 19.43% 58.92%-0.81 +1.8 27
2006-12-02 Cibalia D 0-052.9 1407 1292 64.63% 18.79% 16.58%+1.12 -3.6 18
2006-12-02 @ Pula 1856 D 0-052.9 1292 1407 16.58% 18.79% 64.63%-1.12 +3.6 11
2006-12-02 Hajduk Split L 0-148.4 1418 1545 35.11% 20.11% 44.78%-0.19 -10.6 27
2006-12-02 @ Varteks W 1-048.4 1545 1418 44.78% 20.11% 35.11%+0.19 +10.6 44
2006-12-02 Kamen Ingrad W 4-132.3 1469 1233 73.81% 16.95% 9.23%+1.78 +7.1 30
2006-12-02 @ Sibenik L 1-432.3 1233 1469 9.23% 16.95% 73.81%-1.78 -7.1 7
2006-12-02 Medimurje W 1-042.3 1409 1421 50.87% 19.94% 29.19%+0.43 +9.1 23
2006-12-02 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-142.3 1421 1409 29.19% 19.94% 50.87%-0.43 -9.1 25
2006-12-02 NK Zagreb W 2-151.8 1700 1454 74.46% 16.77% 8.77%+1.84 +2.7 44
2006-12-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-251.8 1454 1700 8.77% 16.77% 74.46%-1.84 -2.8 31
2006-12-02 Rijeka W 1-047.2 1310 1470 30.79% 20.00% 49.21%-0.37 +14.0 22
2006-12-02 @ Osijek L 0-147.2 1470 1310 49.21% 20.00% 30.79%+0.37 -14.0 23
2006-12-09 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-359.3 1412 1703 17.28% 18.90% 63.81%-1.08 -5.1 25
2006-12-09 @ Medimurje W 3-259.3 1703 1412 63.81% 18.90% 17.28%+1.08 +5.1 47
2007-02-17 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-361.9 1456 1708 20.69% 19.33% 59.98%-0.87 -6.0 23
2007-02-17 @ Rijeka W 3-261.9 1708 1456 59.98% 19.33% 20.69%+0.87 +6.0 50
2007-02-17 Pula 1856 W 1-045.8 1226 1403 28.65% 19.91% 51.44%-0.46 +14.5 10
2007-02-17 @ Kamen Ingrad L 0-145.8 1403 1226 51.44% 19.91% 28.65%+0.46 -14.5 18
2007-02-17 Medimurje L 0-336.3 1296 1407 37.30% 20.14% 42.56%-0.10 -30.4 11
2007-02-17 @ Cibalia W 3-036.3 1407 1296 42.56% 20.14% 37.30%+0.10 +30.4 28
2007-02-17 Osijek W 3-030.9 1555 1324 73.50% 17.04% 9.46%+1.76 +8.6 47
2007-02-17 @ Hajduk Split L 0-330.9 1324 1555 9.46% 17.04% 73.50%-1.76 -8.6 22
2007-02-17 Sibenik W 3-039.7 1451 1476 49.27% 20.00% 30.73%+0.37 +25.9 34
2007-02-17 @ NK Zagreb L 0-339.7 1476 1451 30.73% 20.00% 49.27%-0.37 -25.9 30
2007-02-17 Slaven Belupo D 0-054.9 1407 1418 51.07% 19.93% 29.00%+0.44 -1.6 28
2007-02-17 @ Varteks D 0-054.9 1418 1407 29.00% 19.93% 51.07%-0.44 +1.6 24
2007-02-24 Cibalia W 2-030.8 1420 1266 68.00% 18.26% 13.74%+1.34 +8.6 27
2007-02-24 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-230.8 1266 1420 13.74% 18.26% 68.00%-1.34 -8.6 11
2007-02-24 Hajduk Split W 2-156.4 1714 1564 67.70% 18.31% 13.99%+1.32 +4.4 53
2007-02-24 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-256.4 1564 1714 13.99% 18.31% 67.70%-1.32 -4.4 47
2007-02-24 Kamen Ingrad W 2-029.8 1438 1240 71.26% 17.60% 11.14%+1.57 +7.0 31
2007-02-24 @ Medimurje L 0-229.8 1240 1438 11.14% 17.60% 71.26%-1.57 -7.0 10
2007-02-24 NK Zagreb L 0-243.0 1389 1477 40.55% 20.15% 39.31%+0.02 -22.4 18
2007-02-24 @ Pula 1856 W 2-043.0 1477 1389 39.31% 20.15% 40.55%-0.02 +22.4 37
2007-02-24 Rijeka D 2-267.7 1450 1450 52.36% 19.87% 27.77%+0.50 -1.2 31
2007-02-24 @ Sibenik D 2-267.7 1450 1450 27.77% 19.87% 52.36%-0.50 +1.2 24
2007-02-24 Varteks W 4-142.7 1316 1406 40.33% 20.15% 39.52%+0.01 +26.9 25
2007-02-24 @ Osijek L 1-442.7 1406 1316 39.52% 20.15% 40.33%-0.01 -26.9 28
2007-03-03 Cibalia D 2-261.7 1233 1257 49.40% 19.99% 30.61%+0.37 -0.9 11
2007-03-03 @ Kamen Ingrad D 2-261.7 1257 1233 30.61% 19.99% 49.40%-0.37 +0.9 12
2007-03-03 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-348.7 1379 1719 13.71% 18.25% 68.04%-1.34 -7.4 28
2007-03-03 @ Varteks W 3-148.7 1719 1379 68.04% 18.25% 13.71%+1.34 +7.4 56
2007-03-03 Pula 1856 W 2-035.0 1452 1366 61.91% 19.13% 18.96%+0.97 +11.7 27
2007-03-03 @ Rijeka L 0-235.0 1366 1452 18.96% 19.13% 61.91%-0.97 -11.7 18
2007-03-03 Medimurje W 4-037.0 1499 1445 58.74% 19.45% 21.81%+0.80 +25.2 40
2007-03-03 @ NK Zagreb L 0-437.0 1445 1499 21.81% 19.45% 58.74%-0.80 -25.2 31
2007-03-03 Sibenik W 3-038.2 1560 1449 64.32% 18.84% 16.84%+1.10 +15.2 50
2007-03-03 @ Hajduk Split L 0-338.2 1449 1560 16.84% 18.84% 64.32%-1.10 -15.2 31
2007-03-03 Slaven Belupo D 1-158.2 1343 1428 40.94% 20.15% 38.91%+0.04 -0.1 26
2007-03-03 @ Osijek D 1-158.2 1428 1343 38.91% 20.15% 40.94%-0.04 +0.1 28
2007-03-10 Hajduk Split D 0-058.1 1354 1575 23.82% 19.62% 56.57%-0.70 +2.4 19
2007-03-10 @ Pula 1856 D 0-058.1 1575 1354 56.57% 19.62% 23.82%+0.70 -2.4 51
2007-03-10 Kamen Ingrad W 2-139.1 1428 1232 71.16% 17.62% 11.22%+1.57 +3.5 31
2007-03-10 @ Slaven Belupo L 1-239.1 1232 1428 11.22% 17.62% 71.16%-1.57 -3.5 11
2007-03-10 NK Zagreb L 0-138.1 1258 1524 19.34% 19.18% 61.48%-0.95 -6.3 12
2007-03-10 @ Cibalia W 1-038.1 1524 1258 61.48% 19.18% 19.34%+0.95 +6.3 43
2007-03-10 Osijek W 1-041.3 1726 1342 81.39% 14.17% 4.44%+2.59 +1.4 59
2007-03-10 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-141.3 1342 1726 4.44% 14.17% 81.39%-2.59 -1.4 26
2007-03-10 Rijeka L 1-254.9 1419 1463 46.76% 20.07% 33.17%+0.26 -12.6 31
2007-03-10 @ Medimurje W 2-154.9 1463 1419 33.17% 20.07% 46.76%-0.26 +12.6 30
2007-03-10 Varteks W 2-035.4 1434 1371 59.55% 19.37% 21.08%+0.84 +12.9 34
2007-03-10 @ Sibenik L 0-235.4 1371 1434 21.08% 19.37% 59.55%-0.84 -12.9 28
2007-03-17 Cibalia W 1-033.9 1432 1252 70.02% 17.87% 12.11%+1.48 +4.0 34
2007-03-17 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-133.9 1252 1432 12.11% 17.87% 70.02%-1.48 -4.0 12
2007-03-17 Pula 1856 W 1-038.3 1446 1357 62.31% 19.09% 18.60%+0.99 +6.1 37
2007-03-17 @ Sibenik L 0-138.3 1357 1446 18.60% 19.09% 62.31%-0.99 -6.1 19
2007-03-17 Kamen Ingrad D 1-157.0 1407 1229 69.87% 17.90% 12.23%+1.47 -4.0 32
2007-03-17 @ Medimurje D 1-157.0 1229 1407 12.23% 17.90% 69.87%-1.47 +4.0 12
2007-03-17 Osijek W 2-143.3 1531 1341 70.71% 17.72% 11.57%+1.53 +3.6 46
2007-03-17 @ NK Zagreb L 1-243.3 1341 1531 11.57% 17.72% 70.71%-1.53 -3.6 26
2007-03-17 Rijeka W 1-047.2 1727 1476 74.76% 16.68% 8.56%+1.87 +2.8 62
2007-03-17 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-147.2 1476 1727 8.56% 16.68% 74.76%-1.87 -2.8 30
2007-03-17 Varteks W 2-035.2 1572 1358 72.39% 17.33% 10.28%+1.66 +6.5 54
2007-03-17 @ Hajduk Split L 0-235.2 1358 1572 10.28% 17.33% 72.39%-1.66 -6.5 28
2007-03-31 Dinamo Zagreb L 2-356.1 1352 1730 11.39% 17.67% 70.94%-1.55 -3.4 28
2007-03-31 @ Varteks W 3-256.1 1730 1352 70.94% 17.67% 11.39%+1.55 +3.4 65
2007-03-31 Hajduk Split L 1-248.3 1337 1579 21.67% 19.43% 58.89%-0.81 -6.6 26
2007-03-31 @ Osijek W 2-148.3 1579 1337 58.89% 19.43% 21.67%+0.81 +6.6 57
2007-03-31 NK Zagreb L 2-354.7 1351 1534 27.91% 19.88% 52.21%-0.50 -7.8 19
2007-03-31 @ Pula 1856 W 3-254.7 1534 1351 52.21% 19.88% 27.91%+0.50 +7.8 49
2007-03-31 Rijeka D 1-160.8 1403 1473 43.14% 20.13% 36.73%+0.12 -0.4 33
2007-03-31 @ Medimurje D 1-160.8 1473 1403 36.73% 20.13% 43.14%-0.12 +0.4 31
2007-03-31 Sibenik W 2-153.2 1248 1452 25.48% 19.74% 54.78%-0.61 +14.5 15
2007-03-31 @ Cibalia L 1-253.2 1452 1248 54.78% 19.74% 25.48%+0.61 -14.5 37
2007-03-31 Slaven Belupo L 1-244.1 1233 1436 25.67% 19.75% 54.58%-0.60 -7.7 12
2007-03-31 @ Kamen Ingrad W 2-144.1 1436 1233 54.58% 19.75% 25.67%+0.60 +7.7 37
2007-04-07 Cibalia D 1-160.1 1542 1262 76.40% 16.16% 7.44%+2.02 -4.8 50
2007-04-07 @ NK Zagreb D 1-160.1 1262 1542 7.44% 16.16% 76.40%-2.02 +4.8 16
2007-04-07 Pula 1856 L 0-157.9 1586 1343 74.21% 16.84% 8.95%+1.82 -20.5 57
2007-04-07 @ Hajduk Split W 1-057.9 1343 1586 8.95% 16.84% 74.21%-1.82 +20.5 22
2007-04-07 Kamen Ingrad W 3-135.4 1438 1225 72.32% 17.34% 10.34%+1.66 +5.6 40
2007-04-07 @ Sibenik L 1-335.4 1225 1438 10.34% 17.34% 72.32%-1.66 -5.6 12
2007-04-07 Medimurje W 2-037.1 1444 1403 57.25% 19.57% 23.18%+0.72 +14.0 40
2007-04-07 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-237.1 1403 1444 23.18% 19.57% 57.25%-0.72 -14.0 33
2007-04-07 Osijek W 1-040.9 1734 1331 82.18% 13.79% 4.03%+2.69 +1.3 68
2007-04-07 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-140.9 1331 1734 4.03% 13.79% 82.18%-2.69 -1.3 26
2007-04-07 Varteks W 3-031.6 1473 1349 65.57% 18.66% 15.77%+1.18 +14.3 34
2007-04-07 @ Rijeka L 0-331.6 1349 1473 15.77% 18.66% 65.57%-1.18 -14.3 28
2007-04-14 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-251.4 1363 1735 11.77% 17.78% 70.45%-1.52 -3.7 22
2007-04-14 @ Pula 1856 W 2-151.4 1735 1363 70.45% 17.78% 11.77%+1.52 +3.7 71
2007-04-14 Hajduk Split L 0-138.3 1267 1565 16.70% 18.81% 64.49%-1.12 -5.5 16
2007-04-14 @ Cibalia W 1-038.3 1565 1267 64.49% 18.81% 16.70%+1.12 +5.5 60
2007-04-14 NK Zagreb L 0-631.1 1219 1537 15.20% 18.56% 66.24%-1.23 -26.4 12
2007-04-14 @ Kamen Ingrad W 6-031.1 1537 1219 66.24% 18.56% 15.20%+1.23 +26.4 53
2007-04-14 Rijeka W 3-040.6 1458 1488 48.58% 20.02% 31.40%+0.34 +26.4 43
2007-04-14 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-340.6 1488 1458 31.40% 20.02% 48.58%-0.34 -26.4 34
2007-04-14 Sibenik L 0-147.2 1389 1444 45.23% 20.10% 34.67%+0.20 -13.0 33
2007-04-14 @ Medimurje W 1-047.2 1444 1389 34.67% 20.10% 45.23%-0.20 +13.0 43
2007-04-14 Varteks W 1-039.2 1330 1334 51.84% 19.89% 28.27%+0.48 +8.8 29
2007-04-14 @ Osijek L 0-139.2 1334 1330 28.27% 19.89% 51.84%-0.48 -8.8 28
2007-04-18 Cibalia W 4-031.2 1739 1261 84.93% 12.31% 2.76%+3.09 +3.0 74
2007-04-18 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-431.2 1261 1739 2.76% 12.31% 84.93%-3.09 -3.0 16
2007-04-18 Pula 1856 D 2-263.0 1325 1360 48.03% 20.04% 31.93%+0.32 -0.8 29
2007-04-18 @ Varteks D 2-263.0 1360 1325 31.93% 20.04% 48.03%-0.32 +0.8 23
2007-04-18 Kamen Ingrad W 4-025.3 1571 1193 81.13% 14.29% 4.58%+2.55 +5.2 63
2007-04-18 @ Hajduk Split L 0-425.3 1193 1571 4.58% 14.29% 81.13%-2.55 -5.2 12
2007-04-18 Medimurje D 1-163.6 1564 1376 70.61% 17.74% 11.65%+1.52 -4.0 54
2007-04-18 @ NK Zagreb D 1-163.6 1376 1564 11.65% 17.74% 70.61%-1.52 +4.1 34
2007-04-18 Osijek L 0-248.4 1461 1338 65.40% 18.68% 15.92%+1.17 -34.3 34
2007-04-18 @ Rijeka W 2-048.4 1338 1461 15.92% 18.68% 65.40%-1.17 +34.3 32
2007-04-18 Slaven Belupo D 0-058.4 1457 1484 48.95% 20.01% 31.05%+0.35 -1.3 44
2007-04-18 @ Sibenik D 0-058.4 1484 1457 31.05% 20.01% 48.95%-0.35 +1.3 44
2007-04-21 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-136.4 1188 1742 4.79% 14.47% 80.74%-2.51 -1.5 12
2007-04-21 @ Kamen Ingrad W 1-036.4 1742 1188 80.74% 14.47% 4.79%+2.51 +1.5 77
2007-04-21 Hajduk Split L 2-451.9 1380 1576 26.46% 19.80% 53.74%-0.56 -12.2 34
2007-04-21 @ Medimurje W 4-251.9 1576 1380 53.74% 19.80% 26.46%+0.56 +12.2 66
2007-04-21 NK Zagreb W 4-258.6 1485 1560 42.52% 20.14% 37.35%+0.10 +16.2 47
2007-04-21 @ Slaven Belupo L 2-458.6 1560 1485 37.35% 20.14% 42.52%-0.10 -16.2 54
2007-04-21 Osijek W 3-142.7 1360 1373 50.90% 19.94% 29.16%+0.44 +14.8 26
2007-04-21 @ Pula 1856 L 1-342.7 1373 1360 29.16% 19.94% 50.90%-0.44 -14.8 32
2007-04-21 Rijeka W 3-144.7 1455 1427 55.81% 19.67% 24.52%+0.66 +12.8 47
2007-04-21 @ Sibenik L 1-344.7 1427 1455 24.52% 19.67% 55.81%-0.66 -12.7 34
2007-04-21 Varteks W 1-041.0 1258 1325 43.66% 20.13% 36.21%+0.14 +10.9 19
2007-04-21 @ Cibalia L 0-141.0 1325 1258 36.21% 20.13% 43.66%-0.14 -10.8 29
2007-04-28 Cibalia D 2-262.7 1358 1269 62.23% 19.10% 18.67%+0.98 -2.2 33
2007-04-28 @ Osijek D 2-262.7 1269 1358 18.67% 19.10% 62.23%-0.98 +2.2 20
2007-04-28 Pula 1856 D 1-158.7 1414 1375 57.02% 19.59% 23.40%+0.71 -2.2 35
2007-04-28 @ Rijeka D 1-158.7 1375 1414 23.40% 19.59% 57.02%-0.71 +2.2 27
2007-04-28 Kamen Ingrad W 3-245.1 1314 1186 65.81% 18.62% 15.57%+1.19 +4.6 32
2007-04-28 @ Varteks L 2-345.1 1186 1314 15.57% 18.62% 65.81%-1.19 -4.6 12
2007-04-28 Medimurje W 4-142.2 1743 1367 81.06% 14.33% 4.62%+2.54 +3.4 80
2007-04-28 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 1-442.2 1367 1743 4.62% 14.33% 81.06%-2.54 -3.4 34
2007-04-28 Sibenik W 2-151.1 1544 1468 60.91% 19.24% 19.85%+0.91 +6.1 57
2007-04-28 @ NK Zagreb L 1-251.1 1468 1544 19.85% 19.24% 60.91%-0.91 -6.1 47
2007-04-28 Slaven Belupo D 1-168.7 1588 1501 62.01% 19.12% 18.87%+0.97 -2.9 67
2007-04-28 @ Hajduk Split D 1-168.7 1501 1588 18.87% 19.12% 62.01%-0.97 +2.9 48
2007-05-02 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-346.8 1504 1747 21.59% 19.42% 58.98%-0.81 -19.1 48
2007-05-02 @ Slaven Belupo W 3-046.8 1747 1504 58.98% 19.42% 21.59%+0.81 +19.1 83
2007-05-02 Hajduk Split D 2-273.0 1462 1585 35.66% 20.12% 44.23%-0.17 +0.4 48
2007-05-02 @ Sibenik D 2-273.0 1585 1462 44.23% 20.12% 35.66%+0.17 -0.4 68
2007-05-02 Pula 1856 W 1-043.2 1271 1377 38.01% 20.14% 41.85%-0.08 +12.2 23
2007-05-02 @ Cibalia L 0-143.2 1377 1271 41.85% 20.14% 38.01%+0.08 -12.2 27
2007-05-02 Osijek L 0-234.8 1182 1356 29.06% 19.93% 51.01%-0.44 -17.0 12
2007-05-02 @ Kamen Ingrad W 2-034.8 1356 1182 51.01% 19.93% 29.06%+0.44 +17.0 36
2007-05-02 Rijeka L 1-359.7 1550 1412 66.65% 18.49% 14.86%+1.25 -30.3 57
2007-05-02 @ NK Zagreb W 3-159.7 1412 1550 14.86% 18.49% 66.65%-1.25 +30.3 38
2007-05-02 Varteks L 1-253.8 1364 1318 57.75% 19.53% 22.72%+0.75 -15.2 34
2007-05-02 @ Medimurje W 2-153.8 1318 1364 22.72% 19.53% 57.75%-0.75 +15.2 35
2007-05-05 Cibalia L 1-257.2 1442 1284 68.39% 18.19% 13.42%+1.36 -17.9 38
2007-05-05 @ Rijeka W 2-157.2 1284 1442 13.42% 18.19% 68.39%-1.36 +17.9 26
2007-05-05 Kamen Ingrad D 0-051.9 1365 1165 71.49% 17.55% 10.97%+1.59 -4.7 28
2007-05-05 @ Pula 1856 D 0-051.9 1165 1365 10.97% 17.55% 71.49%-1.59 +4.7 13
2007-05-05 Medimurje W 6-135.7 1373 1349 55.31% 19.70% 24.99%+0.63 +29.0 39
2007-05-05 @ Osijek L 1-635.7 1349 1373 24.99% 19.70% 55.31%-0.63 -29.0 34
2007-05-05 NK Zagreb W 3-151.3 1585 1519 59.87% 19.34% 20.78%+0.86 +11.0 71
2007-05-05 @ Hajduk Split L 1-351.3 1519 1585 20.78% 19.34% 59.87%-0.86 -11.0 57
2007-05-05 Sibenik W 3-040.8 1766 1462 77.64% 15.73% 6.63%+2.15 +6.0 86
2007-05-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-340.8 1462 1766 6.63% 15.73% 77.64%-2.15 -6.0 48
2007-05-05 Slaven Belupo W 4-361.6 1334 1485 31.88% 20.03% 48.09%-0.32 +12.0 38
2007-05-05 @ Varteks L 3-461.6 1485 1334 48.09% 20.03% 31.88%+0.32 -12.0 48
2007-05-12 Cibalia L 1-342.3 1169 1301 34.42% 20.10% 45.48%-0.22 -17.0 13
2007-05-12 @ Kamen Ingrad W 3-142.3 1301 1169 45.48% 20.10% 34.42%+0.22 +17.0 29
2007-05-12 Dinamo Zagreb L 0-446.2 1508 1772 19.62% 19.21% 61.16%-0.93 -22.9 57
2007-05-12 @ NK Zagreb W 4-046.2 1772 1508 61.16% 19.21% 19.62%+0.93 +22.9 89
2007-05-12 Pula 1856 W 1-040.7 1320 1361 47.16% 20.06% 32.78%+0.28 +10.0 37
2007-05-12 @ Medimurje L 0-140.7 1361 1320 32.78% 20.06% 47.16%-0.28 -10.0 28
2007-05-12 Osijek L 0-152.8 1473 1402 60.52% 19.28% 20.20%+0.89 -16.9 48
2007-05-12 @ Slaven Belupo W 1-052.8 1402 1473 20.20% 19.28% 60.52%-0.89 +16.9 42
2007-05-12 Rijeka D 2-272.6 1596 1424 69.35% 18.01% 12.65%+1.43 -2.9 72
2007-05-12 @ Hajduk Split D 2-272.6 1424 1596 12.65% 18.01% 69.35%-1.43 +2.9 39
2007-05-12 Varteks L 3-465.7 1456 1346 64.31% 18.84% 16.86%+1.10 -15.6 48
2007-05-12 @ Sibenik W 4-365.7 1346 1456 16.86% 18.84% 64.31%-1.10 +15.6 41
2007-05-19 Hajduk Split W 3-044.6 1795 1593 71.56% 17.53% 10.91%+1.60 +10.0 92
2007-05-19 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-344.6 1593 1795 10.91% 17.53% 71.56%-1.60 -10.0 72
2007-05-19 Kamen Ingrad W 2-027.5 1427 1152 76.12% 16.26% 7.62%+2.00 +4.8 42
2007-05-19 @ Rijeka L 0-227.5 1152 1427 7.62% 16.26% 76.12%-2.00 -4.8 13
2007-05-19 Medimurje W 3-033.2 1318 1330 51.01% 19.93% 29.06%+0.44 +24.7 32
2007-05-19 @ Cibalia L 0-333.2 1330 1318 29.06% 19.93% 51.01%-0.44 -24.7 37
2007-05-19 NK Zagreb D 1-159.9 1361 1485 35.51% 20.12% 44.38%-0.17 +0.5 42
2007-05-19 @ Varteks D 1-159.9 1485 1361 44.38% 20.12% 35.51%+0.17 -0.5 58
2007-05-19 Sibenik D 2-266.4 1419 1441 49.62% 19.98% 30.39%+0.38 -0.9 43
2007-05-19 @ Osijek D 2-266.4 1441 1419 30.39% 19.98% 49.62%-0.38 +0.9 49
2007-05-19 Slaven Belupo D 0-054.4 1351 1456 38.07% 20.14% 41.79%-0.07 +0.2 29
2007-05-19 @ Pula 1856 D 0-054.4 1456 1351 41.79% 20.14% 38.07%+0.07 -0.3 49

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-03-18 Hajduk Split D 1-162.9 1461 1478 50.30% 19.96% 29.74%+0.41 -1.3 1
2006-03-18 @ Rijeka D 1-162.9 1478 1461 29.74% 19.96% 50.30%-0.41 +1.3 1
2006-03-18 Inter Zapresic W 3-141.2 1399 1358 57.25% 19.57% 23.18%+0.72 +12.1 3
2006-03-18 @ NK Zagreb L 1-341.2 1358 1399 23.18% 19.57% 57.25%-0.72 -12.1 0
2006-03-18 Kamen Ingrad W 2-038.2 1601 1402 71.38% 17.57% 11.05%+1.58 +7.0 3
2006-03-18 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-238.2 1402 1601 11.05% 17.57% 71.38%-1.58 -7.0 0
2006-03-18 Medimurje W 1-037.8 1431 1345 61.97% 19.13% 18.90%+0.97 +6.2 3
2006-03-18 @ Pula 1856 L 0-137.8 1345 1431 18.90% 19.13% 61.97%-0.97 -6.2 0
2006-03-18 Slaven Belupo D 1-157.8 1368 1381 50.82% 19.94% 29.24%+0.43 -1.4 1
2006-03-18 @ Cibalia D 1-157.8 1381 1368 29.24% 19.94% 50.82%-0.43 +1.4 1
2006-03-18 Varteks L 0-244.8 1398 1396 52.62% 19.86% 27.52%+0.51 -28.0 0
2006-03-18 @ Osijek W 2-044.8 1396 1398 27.52% 19.86% 52.62%-0.51 +28.0 3
2006-03-24 Cibalia W 4-354.2 1346 1367 49.77% 19.98% 30.25%+0.39 +8.2 3
2006-03-24 @ Inter Zapresic L 3-454.2 1367 1346 30.25% 19.98% 49.77%-0.39 -8.2 1
2006-03-25 NK Zagreb W 4-140.8 1437 1411 55.50% 19.69% 24.80%+0.64 +18.2 6
2006-03-25 @ Pula 1856 L 1-440.8 1411 1437 24.80% 19.69% 55.50%-0.64 -18.2 3
2006-03-25 Osijek W 3-032.8 1479 1370 64.14% 18.86% 17.00%+1.09 +15.3 4
2006-03-25 @ Hajduk Split L 0-332.8 1370 1479 17.00% 18.86% 64.14%-1.09 -15.3 0
2006-03-25 Rijeka L 1-267.2 1608 1459 67.54% 18.34% 14.12%+1.31 -17.7 3
2006-03-25 @ Dinamo Zagreb W 2-167.2 1459 1608 14.12% 18.34% 67.54%-1.31 +17.7 4
2006-03-25 Slaven Belupo L 3-459.3 1338 1383 46.73% 20.07% 33.20%+0.26 -11.7 0
2006-03-25 @ Medimurje W 4-359.3 1383 1338 33.20% 20.07% 46.73%-0.26 +11.7 4
2006-03-25 Varteks L 0-147.9 1395 1424 48.63% 20.02% 31.35%+0.34 -13.8 0
2006-03-25 @ Kamen Ingrad W 1-047.9 1424 1395 31.35% 20.02% 48.63%-0.34 +13.8 6
2006-04-01 Hajduk Split W 2-043.5 1438 1494 45.10% 20.10% 34.80%+0.20 +19.8 9
2006-04-01 @ Varteks L 0-243.5 1494 1438 34.80% 20.10% 45.10%-0.20 -19.8 4
2006-04-01 Inter Zapresic D 1-157.9 1394 1354 57.14% 19.58% 23.28%+0.72 -2.2 5
2006-04-01 @ Slaven Belupo D 1-157.9 1354 1394 23.28% 19.58% 57.14%-0.72 +2.2 4
2006-04-01 Pula 1856 D 0-054.5 1359 1455 39.41% 20.15% 40.44%-0.02 +0.1 2
2006-04-01 @ Cibalia D 0-054.5 1455 1359 40.44% 20.15% 39.41%+0.02 -0.1 7
2006-04-01 Kamen Ingrad W 3-033.4 1477 1381 62.96% 19.01% 18.03%+1.02 +16.2 7
2006-04-01 @ Rijeka L 0-333.4 1381 1477 18.03% 19.01% 62.96%-1.02 -16.2 0
2006-04-01 Medimurje W 1-037.4 1393 1327 59.96% 19.33% 20.70%+0.86 +6.7 6
2006-04-01 @ NK Zagreb L 0-137.4 1327 1393 20.70% 19.33% 59.96%-0.86 -6.7 0
2006-04-02 Dinamo Zagreb D 0-058.7 1355 1590 22.28% 19.49% 58.23%-0.78 +2.6 1
2006-04-02 @ Osijek D 0-058.7 1590 1355 58.23% 19.49% 22.28%+0.78 -2.6 4
2006-04-08 Cibalia D 0-053.5 1400 1359 57.23% 19.57% 23.20%+0.72 -2.5 7
2006-04-08 @ NK Zagreb D 0-053.5 1359 1400 23.20% 19.57% 57.23%-0.72 +2.5 3
2006-04-08 Hajduk Split W 1-046.6 1365 1474 37.49% 20.14% 42.37%-0.10 +12.3 3
2006-04-08 @ Kamen Ingrad L 0-146.6 1474 1365 42.37% 20.14% 37.49%+0.10 -12.3 4
2006-04-08 Inter Zapresic D 2-262.9 1320 1356 47.78% 20.04% 32.18%+0.30 -0.7 1
2006-04-08 @ Medimurje D 2-262.9 1356 1320 32.18% 20.04% 47.78%-0.30 +0.7 5
2006-04-08 Osijek W 3-140.5 1493 1357 66.52% 18.51% 14.97%+1.24 +8.1 10
2006-04-08 @ Rijeka L 1-340.5 1357 1493 14.97% 18.51% 66.52%-1.24 -8.1 1
2006-04-08 Slaven Belupo W 2-036.4 1455 1392 59.64% 19.37% 21.00%+0.84 +12.8 10
2006-04-08 @ Pula 1856 L 0-236.4 1392 1455 21.00% 19.37% 59.64%-0.84 -12.8 5
2006-04-08 Varteks W 2-041.4 1587 1458 65.96% 18.60% 15.44%+1.20 +9.6 7
2006-04-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-241.4 1458 1587 15.44% 18.60% 65.96%-1.20 -9.6 9
2006-04-14 Pula 1856 L 1-444.0 1357 1468 37.35% 20.14% 42.51%-0.10 -25.7 5
2006-04-14 @ Inter Zapresic W 4-144.0 1468 1357 42.51% 20.14% 37.35%+0.10 +25.7 13
2006-04-15 Dinamo Zagreb W 1-055.2 1462 1597 34.07% 20.09% 45.84%-0.23 +13.2 7
2006-04-15 @ Hajduk Split L 0-155.2 1597 1462 45.84% 20.09% 34.07%+0.23 -13.2 7
2006-04-15 Kamen Ingrad W 1-040.8 1349 1377 48.90% 20.01% 31.09%+0.35 +9.6 4
2006-04-15 @ Osijek L 0-140.8 1377 1349 31.09% 20.01% 48.90%-0.35 -9.6 3
2006-04-15 Medimurje D 0-052.4 1361 1319 57.36% 19.56% 23.08%+0.73 -2.5 4
2006-04-15 @ Cibalia D 0-052.4 1319 1361 23.08% 19.56% 57.36%-0.73 +2.5 2
2006-04-15 NK Zagreb W 3-035.3 1379 1397 50.15% 19.97% 29.89%+0.40 +25.3 8
2006-04-15 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-335.3 1397 1379 29.89% 19.97% 50.15%-0.40 -25.3 7
2006-04-15 Rijeka W 1-047.7 1448 1501 45.51% 20.10% 34.39%+0.21 +10.4 12
2006-04-15 @ Varteks L 0-147.7 1501 1448 34.39% 20.10% 45.51%-0.21 -10.4 10
2006-04-21 NK Zagreb W 1-041.0 1331 1372 47.20% 20.06% 32.74%+0.28 +10.0 8
2006-04-21 @ Inter Zapresic L 0-141.0 1372 1331 32.74% 20.06% 47.20%-0.28 -10.0 7
2006-04-22 Cibalia W 1-038.8 1405 1359 57.76% 19.53% 22.72%+0.75 +7.3 11
2006-04-22 @ Slaven Belupo L 0-138.8 1359 1405 22.72% 19.53% 57.76%-0.75 -7.3 4
2006-04-22 Dinamo Zagreb L 1-346.9 1367 1584 24.23% 19.65% 56.12%-0.67 -12.6 3
2006-04-22 @ Kamen Ingrad W 3-146.9 1584 1367 56.12% 19.65% 24.23%+0.67 +12.6 10
2006-04-22 Pula 1856 W 2-044.7 1322 1494 29.35% 19.94% 50.71%-0.43 +27.1 5
2006-04-22 @ Medimurje L 0-244.7 1494 1322 50.71% 19.94% 29.35%+0.43 -27.1 13
2006-04-22 Osijek W 3-032.2 1459 1359 63.31% 18.97% 17.72%+1.04 +15.9 15
2006-04-22 @ Varteks L 0-332.2 1359 1459 17.72% 18.97% 63.31%-1.04 -15.9 4
2006-04-22 Rijeka L 0-446.6 1475 1491 50.46% 19.95% 29.59%+0.42 -51.1 7
2006-04-22 @ Hajduk Split W 4-046.6 1491 1475 29.59% 19.95% 50.46%-0.42 +51.1 13
2006-04-29 Dinamo Zagreb D 2-276.0 1542 1596 45.33% 20.10% 34.57%+0.21 -0.5 14
2006-04-29 @ Rijeka D 2-276.0 1596 1542 34.57% 20.10% 45.33%-0.21 +0.5 11
2006-04-29 Hajduk Split W 2-149.5 1343 1424 41.55% 20.14% 38.30%+0.06 +10.7 7
2006-04-29 @ Osijek L 1-249.5 1424 1343 38.30% 20.14% 41.55%-0.06 -10.7 7
2006-04-29 Inter Zapresic D 1-157.0 1352 1341 53.68% 19.80% 26.52%+0.56 -1.8 5
2006-04-29 @ Cibalia D 1-157.0 1341 1352 26.52% 19.80% 53.68%-0.56 +1.7 9
2006-04-29 Pula 1856 W 1-046.1 1362 1467 38.24% 20.14% 41.62%-0.07 +12.1 10
2006-04-29 @ NK Zagreb L 0-146.1 1467 1362 41.62% 20.14% 38.24%+0.07 -12.1 13
2006-04-29 Kamen Ingrad L 1-258.5 1475 1355 65.13% 18.72% 16.14%+1.15 -17.1 15
2006-04-29 @ Varteks W 2-158.5 1355 1475 16.14% 18.72% 65.13%-1.15 +17.1 6
2006-04-29 Medimurje D 0-053.6 1412 1349 59.61% 19.37% 21.02%+0.84 -2.8 12
2006-04-29 @ Slaven Belupo D 0-053.6 1349 1412 21.02% 19.37% 59.61%-0.84 +2.8 6
2006-05-06 Cibalia L 0-248.0 1454 1350 63.73% 18.91% 17.35%+1.07 -33.5 13
2006-05-06 @ Pula 1856 W 2-048.0 1350 1454 17.35% 18.91% 63.73%-1.07 +33.5 8
2006-05-06 NK Zagreb W 2-036.9 1352 1374 49.61% 19.99% 30.41%+0.38 +17.7 9
2006-05-06 @ Medimurje L 0-236.9 1374 1352 30.41% 19.99% 49.61%-0.38 -17.7 10
2006-05-06 Osijek W 1-039.1 1597 1353 74.27% 16.83% 8.91%+1.82 +3.0 14
2006-05-06 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-139.1 1353 1597 8.91% 16.83% 74.27%-1.82 -3.0 7
2006-05-06 Rijeka W 1-051.2 1372 1542 29.59% 19.95% 50.46%-0.42 +14.3 9
2006-05-06 @ Kamen Ingrad L 0-151.2 1542 1372 50.46% 19.95% 29.59%+0.42 -14.3 14
2006-05-06 Slaven Belupo L 1-250.8 1343 1409 43.74% 20.12% 36.14%+0.14 -11.9 9
2006-05-06 @ Inter Zapresic W 2-150.8 1409 1343 36.14% 20.12% 43.74%-0.14 +11.9 15
2006-05-06 Varteks D 2-266.7 1413 1458 46.72% 20.07% 33.21%+0.26 -0.6 8
2006-05-06 @ Hajduk Split D 2-266.7 1458 1413 33.21% 20.07% 46.72%-0.26 +0.6 16
2006-05-10 Dinamo Zagreb L 3-559.4 1458 1600 33.16% 20.07% 46.77%-0.27 -13.9 16
2006-05-10 @ Varteks W 5-359.4 1600 1458 46.77% 20.07% 33.16%+0.27 +13.9 17
2006-05-10 Pula 1856 D 2-266.0 1421 1421 52.42% 19.87% 27.71%+0.50 -1.2 16
2006-05-10 @ Slaven Belupo D 2-266.0 1421 1421 27.71% 19.87% 52.42%-0.50 +1.2 14
2006-05-10 Kamen Ingrad W 4-139.5 1413 1386 55.62% 19.68% 24.70%+0.65 +18.1 11
2006-05-10 @ Hajduk Split L 1-439.5 1386 1413 24.70% 19.68% 55.62%-0.65 -18.1 9
2006-05-10 Medimurje L 0-145.4 1331 1369 47.50% 20.05% 32.45%+0.29 -13.5 9
2006-05-10 @ Inter Zapresic W 1-045.4 1369 1331 32.45% 20.05% 47.50%-0.29 +13.5 12
2006-05-10 NK Zagreb W 2-144.8 1383 1356 55.65% 19.68% 24.67%+0.65 +7.4 11
2006-05-10 @ Cibalia L 1-244.8 1356 1383 24.67% 19.68% 55.65%-0.65 -7.4 10
2006-05-10 Rijeka L 0-239.8 1351 1527 28.74% 19.92% 51.35%-0.46 -16.9 7
2006-05-10 @ Osijek W 2-039.8 1527 1351 51.35% 19.92% 28.74%+0.46 +16.9 17
2006-05-13 Cibalia W 4-034.4 1383 1391 51.47% 19.91% 28.62%+0.46 +31.9 15
2006-05-13 @ Medimurje L 0-434.4 1391 1383 28.62% 19.91% 51.47%-0.46 -31.9 11
2006-05-13 Hajduk Split W 1-043.8 1614 1431 70.21% 17.83% 11.96%+1.49 +4.0 20
2006-05-13 @ Dinamo Zagreb L 0-143.8 1431 1614 11.96% 17.83% 70.21%-1.49 -4.0 11
2006-05-13 Inter Zapresic W 2-142.3 1422 1318 63.72% 18.91% 17.36%+1.07 +5.4 17
2006-05-13 @ Pula 1856 L 1-242.3 1318 1422 17.36% 18.91% 63.72%-1.07 -5.4 9
2006-05-13 Osijek L 1-253.7 1368 1334 56.49% 19.62% 23.88%+0.69 -14.9 9
2006-05-13 @ Kamen Ingrad W 2-153.7 1334 1368 23.88% 19.62% 56.49%-0.69 +14.9 10
2006-05-13 Slaven Belupo L 0-339.1 1349 1420 43.06% 20.13% 36.81%+0.12 -34.2 10
2006-05-13 @ NK Zagreb W 3-039.1 1420 1349 36.81% 20.13% 43.06%-0.12 +34.2 19
2006-05-13 Varteks W 2-149.5 1544 1444 63.30% 18.97% 17.73%+1.04 +5.5 20
2006-05-13 @ Rijeka L 1-249.5 1444 1544 17.73% 18.97% 63.30%-1.04 -5.5 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-04-07 8.95% Pula 1856 1343 1 @ Hajduk Split 1586 0
2 2007-05-05 13.42% Cibalia 1284 2 @ Rijeka 1442 1
3 2006-03-25 14.12% Rijeka 1459 2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 1608 1
4 2007-05-02 14.86% Rijeka 1412 3 @ NK Zagreb 1550 1
5 2007-04-18 15.92% Osijek 1338 2 @ Rijeka 1461 0
6 2006-04-29 16.14% Kamen Ingrad 1355 2 @ Varteks 1475 1
7 2007-05-12 16.86% Varteks 1346 4 @ Sibenik 1456 3
8 2006-08-05 17.03% NK Zagreb 1341 1 @ Slaven Belupo 1450 0
9 2006-05-06 17.35% Cibalia 1350 2 @ Pula 1856 1454 0
10 2006-10-21 17.65% Medimurje 1388 3 @ Rijeka 1489 1
11 2006-09-30 17.78% Sibenik 1406 3 @ Rijeka 1505 1
12 2006-11-04 17.96% @ Sibenik 1416 2 Dinamo Zagreb 1698 1
13 2006-07-29 19.89% Osijek 1349 2 @ Sibenik 1424 1
14 2007-05-12 20.20% Osijek 1402 1 @ Slaven Belupo 1473 0
15 2006-10-14 21.50% Kamen Ingrad 1281 3 @ Cibalia 1339 1
16 2006-08-26 22.27% Hajduk Split 1485 1 @ Rijeka 1535 0
17 2007-05-02 22.72% Varteks 1318 2 @ Medimurje 1364 1
18 2006-07-29 23.48% NK Zagreb 1315 3 @ Kamen Ingrad 1353 1
19 2006-05-13 23.88% Osijek 1334 2 @ Kamen Ingrad 1368 1
20 2006-11-18 25.14% NK Zagreb 1419 3 @ Varteks 1441 1
21 2007-03-31 25.48% @ Cibalia 1248 2 Sibenik 1452 1
22 2006-08-12 25.70% @ NK Zagreb 1359 1 Rijeka 1562 0
23 2006-03-18 27.52% Varteks 1396 2 @ Osijek 1398 0
24 2007-02-17 28.65% @ Kamen Ingrad 1226 1 Pula 1856 1403 0
25 2006-07-29 29.14% Hajduk Split 1427 2 @ Medimurje 1415 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-04-22 51.14 Rijeka 4 1491 29.59% @ Hajduk Split 0 1475 50.46% 19.95%
2 2006-11-12 39.39 @ NK Zagreb 3 1379 29.25% Hajduk Split 0 1552 50.81% 19.94%
3 2006-09-16 36.93 Slaven Belupo 3 1413 32.73% @ Medimurje 0 1372 47.21% 20.06%
4 2006-09-30 35.88 Pula 1856 3 1424 34.27% @ NK Zagreb 0 1372 45.64% 20.09%
5 2007-04-18 34.33 Osijek 2 1338 15.92% @ Rijeka 0 1461 65.40% 18.68%
6 2006-05-13 34.17 Slaven Belupo 3 1420 36.81% @ NK Zagreb 0 1349 43.06% 20.13%
7 2006-08-26 33.91 @ NK Zagreb 3 1363 37.20% Varteks 0 1475 42.67% 20.14%
8 2006-05-06 33.49 Cibalia 2 1350 17.35% @ Pula 1856 0 1454 63.73% 18.91%
9 2006-11-04 33.42 @ NK Zagreb 3 1351 37.95% Slaven Belupo 0 1458 41.90% 20.14%
10 2006-05-13 31.91 @ Medimurje 4 1383 51.47% Cibalia 0 1391 28.62% 19.91%
11 2007-02-17 30.43 Medimurje 3 1407 42.56% @ Cibalia 0 1296 37.30% 20.14%
12 2007-05-02 30.28 Rijeka 3 1412 14.86% @ NK Zagreb 1 1550 66.65% 18.49%
13 2006-11-11 29.70 @ Cibalia 3 1277 43.67% Osijek 0 1344 36.20% 20.13%
14 2006-11-04 29.30 @ Medimurje 5 1407 47.84% Varteks 1 1443 32.12% 20.04%
15 2007-05-05 28.97 @ Osijek 6 1373 55.31% Medimurje 1 1349 24.99% 19.70%
16 2006-10-21 28.86 Medimurje 3 1388 17.65% @ Rijeka 1 1489 63.39% 18.96%
17 2006-09-30 28.79 Sibenik 3 1406 17.78% @ Rijeka 1 1505 63.24% 18.98%
18 2006-03-18 27.99 Varteks 2 1396 27.52% @ Osijek 0 1398 52.62% 19.86%
19 2006-07-29 27.17 Hajduk Split 2 1427 29.14% @ Medimurje 0 1415 50.93% 19.93%
20 2006-04-22 27.07 @ Medimurje 2 1322 29.35% Pula 1856 0 1494 50.71% 19.94%
21 2006-10-14 26.98 Kamen Ingrad 3 1281 21.50% @ Cibalia 1 1339 59.08% 19.42%
22 2007-02-24 26.87 @ Osijek 4 1316 40.33% Varteks 1 1406 39.52% 20.15%
23 2007-04-14 26.41 @ Slaven Belupo 3 1458 48.58% Rijeka 0 1488 31.40% 20.02%
24 2007-04-14 26.37 NK Zagreb 6 1537 66.24% @ Kamen Ingrad 0 1219 15.20% 18.56%
25 2006-07-29 26.06 NK Zagreb 3 1315 23.48% @ Kamen Ingrad 1 1353 56.93% 19.59%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-10-01 77.2 @ Hajduk Split 2 1511 30.48% Dinamo Zagreb 2 1673 49.54% 19.99%
2 2006-04-29 76.0 @ Rijeka 2 1542 45.33% Dinamo Zagreb 2 1596 34.57% 20.10%
3 2007-05-02 73.0 @ Sibenik 2 1462 35.66% Hajduk Split 2 1585 44.23% 20.12%
4 2007-05-12 72.6 @ Hajduk Split 2 1596 69.35% Rijeka 2 1424 12.65% 18.01%
5 2006-10-28 70.5 @ Slaven Belupo 1 1456 21.62% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1698 58.95% 19.43%
6 2007-04-28 68.7 @ Hajduk Split 1 1588 62.01% Slaven Belupo 1 1501 18.87% 19.12%
7 2007-02-24 67.7 @ Sibenik 2 1450 52.36% Rijeka 2 1450 27.77% 19.87%
8 2006-11-04 67.6 @ Sibenik 2 1416 17.96% Dinamo Zagreb 1 1698 63.04% 19.00%
9 2006-11-25 67.5 @ Rijeka 2 1472 58.92% Varteks 2 1416 21.65% 19.43%
10 2006-09-16 67.2 @ Rijeka 2 1508 67.43% Osijek 2 1361 14.21% 18.36%
11 2006-03-25 67.2 Rijeka 2 1459 14.12% @ Dinamo Zagreb 1 1608 67.54% 18.34%
12 2006-05-06 66.7 @ Hajduk Split 2 1413 46.72% Varteks 2 1458 33.21% 20.07%
13 2007-05-19 66.4 @ Osijek 2 1419 49.62% Sibenik 2 1441 30.39% 19.98%
14 2006-05-10 66.0 @ Slaven Belupo 2 1421 52.42% Pula 1856 2 1421 27.71% 19.87%
15 2007-05-12 65.7 Varteks 4 1346 16.86% @ Sibenik 3 1456 64.31% 18.84%
16 2006-11-04 64.7 @ Pula 1856 2 1437 62.88% Osijek 2 1341 18.10% 19.02%
17 2007-04-18 63.6 @ NK Zagreb 1 1564 70.61% Medimurje 1 1376 11.65% 17.74%
18 2006-10-14 63.1 Rijeka 3 1477 29.71% @ Pula 1856 2 1460 50.33% 19.96%
19 2007-04-18 63.0 @ Varteks 2 1325 48.03% Pula 1856 2 1360 31.93% 20.04%
20 2006-03-18 62.9 @ Rijeka 1 1461 50.30% Hajduk Split 1 1478 29.74% 19.96%
21 2006-04-08 62.9 @ Medimurje 2 1320 47.78% Inter Zapresic 2 1356 32.18% 20.04%
22 2007-04-28 62.7 @ Osijek 2 1358 62.23% Cibalia 2 1269 18.67% 19.10%
23 2006-08-19 62.5 @ Slaven Belupo 3 1423 35.57% Rijeka 2 1546 44.31% 20.12%
24 2007-02-17 61.9 Dinamo Zagreb 3 1708 59.98% @ Rijeka 2 1456 20.69% 19.33%
25 2007-03-03 61.7 @ Kamen Ingrad 2 1233 49.40% Cibalia 2 1257 30.61% 19.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-04-18 25.3 @ Hajduk Split 4 1571 81.13% Kamen Ingrad 0 1193 4.58% 14.29%
2 2007-05-19 27.5 @ Rijeka 2 1427 76.12% Kamen Ingrad 0 1152 7.62% 16.26%
3 2006-11-08 28.1 @ Hajduk Split 4 1542 75.65% Kamen Ingrad 0 1276 7.94% 16.41%
4 2007-02-24 29.8 @ Medimurje 2 1438 71.26% Kamen Ingrad 0 1240 11.14% 17.60%
5 2006-08-19 30.0 @ Varteks 3 1462 67.59% Kamen Ingrad 0 1313 14.08% 18.33%
6 2007-02-24 30.8 @ Slaven Belupo 2 1420 68.00% Cibalia 0 1266 13.74% 18.26%
7 2007-02-17 30.9 @ Hajduk Split 3 1555 73.50% Osijek 0 1324 9.46% 17.04%
8 2007-04-14 31.1 NK Zagreb 6 1537 66.24% @ Kamen Ingrad 0 1219 15.20% 18.56%
9 2007-04-18 31.2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 4 1739 84.93% Cibalia 0 1261 2.76% 12.31%
10 2007-04-07 31.6 @ Rijeka 3 1473 65.57% Varteks 0 1349 15.77% 18.66%
11 2006-11-18 32.2 @ Dinamo Zagreb 4 1691 81.38% Cibalia 0 1307 4.45% 14.18%
12 2006-04-22 32.2 @ Varteks 3 1459 63.31% Osijek 0 1359 17.72% 18.97%
13 2006-10-21 32.3 @ NK Zagreb 3 1322 53.64% Cibalia 0 1312 26.56% 19.80%
14 2006-12-02 32.3 @ Sibenik 4 1469 73.81% Kamen Ingrad 1 1233 9.23% 16.95%
15 2006-11-25 32.8 @ NK Zagreb 2 1444 65.46% Osijek 0 1320 15.87% 18.67%
16 2006-03-25 32.8 @ Hajduk Split 3 1479 64.14% Osijek 0 1370 17.00% 18.86%
17 2006-09-23 33.0 @ Pula 1856 2 1413 62.86% Kamen Ingrad 0 1318 18.12% 19.02%
18 2007-05-19 33.2 @ Cibalia 3 1318 51.01% Medimurje 0 1330 29.06% 19.93%
19 2006-04-01 33.4 @ Rijeka 3 1477 62.96% Kamen Ingrad 0 1381 18.03% 19.01%
20 2006-09-09 33.7 @ Dinamo Zagreb 2 1652 80.01% Kamen Ingrad 0 1300 5.20% 14.79%
21 2007-03-17 33.9 @ Slaven Belupo 1 1432 70.02% Cibalia 0 1252 12.11% 17.87%
22 2006-08-05 34.2 @ Hajduk Split 2 1454 63.56% Cibalia 0 1351 17.50% 18.93%
23 2006-11-25 34.2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1696 75.98% @ Kamen Ingrad 0 1237 7.72% 16.30%
24 2006-10-28 34.4 @ Rijeka 4 1460 69.36% Cibalia 1 1289 12.64% 18.00%
25 2006-05-13 34.4 @ Medimurje 4 1383 51.47% Cibalia 0 1391 28.62% 19.91%