2007-08 Prva HNL Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

82 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 2006-07

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dinamo Zagreb

8.92 points above expected

82 points · 73.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Medimurje

12.80 points below expected

15 points · 27.80 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	33	26	4	3	82	91	34	+57	73.08	+8.92
2	Osijek	33	16	6	11	54	43	34	+9	45.83	+8.17
3	Slaven Belupo	33	16	6	11	54	45	29	+16	51.92	+2.08
4	Rijeka	33	14	11	8	53	53	41	+12	50.64	+2.36
5	Hajduk Split	33	14	10	9	52	57	41	+16	56.42	-4.42
6	NK Zagreb	33	11	11	11	44	51	40	+11	45.81	-1.81
7	Varteks	33	11	7	15	40	46	53	-7	37.08	+2.92
8	Zadar	33	11	7	15	40	49	61	-12	45.41	-5.41
9	Cibalia	33	11	7	15	40	40	48	-8	38.84	+1.16
10	Sibenik	33	9	12	12	39	34	52	-18	42.06	-3.06
11	Inter Zapresic	33	8	9	16	33	27	59	-32	34.29	-1.29
12	Medimurje	33	3	6	24	15	37	81	-44	27.80	-12.80

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb	82	73.08	+8.92
2	Osijek	54	45.83	+8.17
3	Varteks	40	37.08	+2.92
4	Rijeka	53	50.64	+2.36
5	Slaven Belupo	54	51.92	+2.08

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Medimurje	15	27.80	-12.80
2	Zadar	40	45.41	-5.41
3	Hajduk Split	52	56.42	-4.42
4	Sibenik	39	42.06	-3.06
5	NK Zagreb	44	45.81	-1.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zadar	5	Aug 11 – Sep 15	1 in 52
2	Slaven Belupo	4	Jul 28 – Aug 19	1 in 48
3	Varteks	3	Oct 20 – Oct 31	1 in 29
4	Osijek	3	Apr 29 – May 10	1 in 26
5	Cibalia	3	Sep 15 – Sep 29	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Varteks	8	Jul 21 – Sep 15	1 in 335
2	Medimurje	8	Dec 1 – Mar 22	1 in 125
3	Dinamo Zagreb	2	Dec 8 – Feb 23	1 in 109
4	Inter Zapresic	4	Jul 20 – Aug 11	1 in 12
5	Hajduk Split	3	Sep 22 – Oct 7	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NK Zagreb	10	Dec 8 – Apr 16	1 in 151
2	Varteks	7	Oct 20 – Dec 1	1 in 96
3	Rijeka	7	Jul 20 – Sep 1	1 in 25
4	Sibenik	7	Aug 17 – Oct 6	1 in 25
5	Inter Zapresic	5	Mar 28 – Apr 26	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rijeka	8	Feb 23 – Apr 12	1 in 52
2	Medimurje	18	Oct 31 – Apr 30	1 in 39
3	Hajduk Split	5	Apr 19 – May 10	1 in 23
4	Sibenik	7	Oct 6 – Nov 24	1 in 22
5	Dinamo Zagreb	2	Dec 8 – Feb 23	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1779	82	+18	13	11.4	+1.6
Osijek	1528	54	+41	12	7.2	+4.8
Slaven Belupo	1531	54	+11	8	7.5	+0.5
Rijeka	1520	53	+4	8	7.6	+0.4
Hajduk Split	1539	52	-45	2	7.5	-5.5
NK Zagreb	1523	44	-1	7	7.8	-0.8
Cibalia	1425	40	+25	10	7.2	+2.8
Varteks	1454	40	-12	6	7.0	-1.0
Zadar	1399	40	-49	1	4.8	-3.8
Sibenik	1429	39	+30	10	6.2	+3.8
Inter Zapresic	1338	33	-30	4	5.1	-1.1
Medimurje	1270	15	+9	3	4.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CIB	DZ	HS	IZ	MED	NZ	OSI	RIJ	SIB	SB	VAR	ZAD
Cibalia	—	0-0-3 1.24	1-2-0 2.22	1-1-1 5.02	3-0-0 5.48	1-1-1 3.83	1-0-2 3.21	1-0-2 2.70	1-1-1 4.43	1-1-1 2.56	1-0-2 4.69	0-1-2 3.20
Dinamo Zagreb	3-0-0 7.27	—	2-1-0 5.71	3-0-0 7.45	2-1-0 7.43	2-1-0 6.21	3-0-0 6.97	3-0-0 6.51	3-0-0 6.99	2-0-1 6.72	0-1-2 6.90	3-0-0 6.42
Hajduk Split	0-2-1 6.13	0-1-2 2.60	—	3-0-0 6.26	0-3-0 6.14	1-0-2 4.34	2-0-1 5.58	0-2-1 4.22	2-0-1 5.80	2-1-0 5.02	2-0-1 5.47	2-1-0 4.50
Inter Zapresic	1-1-1 3.27	0-0-3 1.11	0-0-3 2.11	—	2-0-1 4.30	0-2-1 3.35	0-1-2 3.44	1-0-2 3.34	0-3-0 3.01	1-1-1 2.93	2-1-0 4.14	1-0-2 2.75
Medimurje	0-0-3 2.85	0-1-2 1.10	0-3-0 2.21	1-0-2 3.95	—	0-1-2 2.35	0-0-3 2.35	0-0-3 2.03	0-1-2 3.19	1-0-2 2.00	1-0-2 2.93	0-0-3 3.11
NK Zagreb	1-1-1 4.44	0-1-2 2.16	2-0-1 3.93	1-2-0 4.93	2-1-0 6.03	—	0-1-2 3.97	0-2-1 3.39	2-1-0 4.14	0-0-3 3.64	2-1-0 5.46	1-1-1 4.78
Osijek	2-0-1 5.07	0-0-3 1.51	1-0-2 2.74	2-1-0 4.83	3-0-0 6.00	2-1-0 4.30	—	1-2-0 4.25	0-1-2 4.00	2-0-1 4.21	2-0-1 5.27	1-1-1 3.49
Rijeka	2-0-1 5.60	0-0-3 1.90	1-2-0 4.04	2-0-1 4.96	3-0-0 6.35	1-2-0 4.92	0-2-1 4.04	—	1-1-1 4.52	1-1-1 3.52	1-2-0 5.76	2-1-0 5.12
Sibenik	1-1-1 3.83	0-0-3 1.48	1-0-2 2.55	0-3-0 5.27	2-1-0 5.10	0-1-2 4.11	2-1-0 4.25	1-1-1 3.76	—	0-1-2 3.91	1-1-1 3.90	1-2-0 3.48
Slaven Belupo	1-1-1 5.76	1-0-2 1.70	0-1-2 3.26	1-1-1 5.36	2-0-1 6.38	3-0-0 4.65	1-0-2 4.07	1-1-1 4.75	2-1-0 4.36	—	2-1-0 5.85	2-0-1 5.22
Varteks	2-0-1 3.56	2-1-0 1.55	1-0-2 2.85	0-1-2 4.10	2-0-1 5.41	0-1-2 2.84	1-0-2 3.04	0-2-1 2.56	1-1-1 4.40	0-1-2 2.48	—	2-0-1 4.18
Zadar	2-1-0 5.09	0-0-3 1.95	0-1-2 3.76	2-0-1 5.56	3-0-0 5.18	1-1-1 3.51	1-1-1 4.78	0-1-2 3.16	0-2-1 4.79	1-0-2 3.07	1-0-2 4.13	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.69	+8.3
Allowed	0.71	-9.2
Differential	0.94	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.07%	9.60%	7.32%	2.02%	2.27%	0.76%	29.04%
1	9.60%	10.61%	5.30%	3.03%	1.01%	1.77%	31.31%
2	7.32%	5.30%	5.56%	1.26%	1.01%	1.52%	21.97%
3	2.02%	3.03%	1.26%	1.01%	0.51%	0.51%	8.33%
4	2.27%	1.01%	1.01%	0.51%	—	—	4.80%
5+	0.76%	1.77%	1.52%	0.51%	—	—	4.55%
Total	29.04%	31.31%	21.97%	8.33%	4.80%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.43	1.43	2.05
CV	0.99	0.99	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
1	6.06%	6.06%	12.12%	—	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
2	15.15%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	21.21%	33.33%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.45	-0.24
SD	1.02	1.33	1.90
CV	0.84	0.91	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
1	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	15.15%	—	—	—	3.03%	21.21%
3	—	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	15.15%
4	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
5+	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
Total	36.36%	42.42%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.76	1.03	+1.73
SD	1.70	1.19	1.91
CV	0.62	1.15	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	24.24%
1	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	24.24%	42.42%	24.24%	3.03%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.24	+0.48
SD	1.79	1.06	2.08
CV	1.04	0.85	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	45.45%
1	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	33.33%
2	—	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	33.33%	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.79	-0.97
SD	0.92	1.87	2.08
CV	1.12	1.04	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	39.39%
1	—	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	—	3.03%	24.24%
2	3.03%	—	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	27.27%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.06%	24.24%	18.18%	30.30%	15.15%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	2.45	-1.33
SD	1.17	1.42	1.93
CV	1.04	0.58	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
1	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	12.12%
3	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	3.03%	15.15%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	30.30%	36.36%	24.24%	6.06%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.21	+0.33
SD	1.72	1.24	1.93
CV	1.11	1.03	—
Max	7	6	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
1	18.18%	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	39.39%
2	9.09%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	51.52%	9.09%	6.06%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.03	+0.27
SD	1.16	1.07	1.68
CV	0.89	1.04	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	33.33%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	33.33%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
Total	30.30%	39.39%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.24	+0.36
SD	1.30	1.32	1.71
CV	0.81	1.07	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	3.03%	18.18%	3.03%	—	3.03%	42.42%
1	12.12%	9.09%	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
2	6.06%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	12.12%	33.33%	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.58	-0.55
SD	1.19	1.46	1.73
CV	1.15	0.93	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	21.21%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	39.39%
1	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	21.21%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	45.45%	30.30%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.88	+0.48
SD	1.56	1.02	2.02
CV	1.14	1.16	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	24.24%
1	6.06%	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	—	42.42%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	27.27%	27.27%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.61	-0.21
SD	1.30	1.41	1.93
CV	0.93	0.88	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	3.03%	12.12%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
2	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	9.09%	21.21%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	15.15%	27.27%	3.03%	6.06%	15.15%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.85	-0.36
SD	1.35	1.92	2.21
CV	0.91	1.04	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1779	82	73.08	+8.92	93.0%	52	62	68	74	77	85	92
Hajduk Split	1539	52	56.42	-4.42	27.0%	32	42	52	56	61	67	72
Slaven Belupo	1531	54	51.92	+2.08	67.0%	33	40	47	51	55	65	70
Osijek	1528	54	45.83	+8.17	88.0%	28	33	42	45	50	56	63
NK Zagreb	1523	44	45.81	-1.81	41.0%	25	32	43	46	50	57	66
Rijeka	1520	53	50.64	+2.36	64.0%	27	38	46	51	55	60	65
Varteks	1454	40	37.08	+2.92	70.0%	19	24	31	37	42	49	55
Sibenik	1429	39	42.06	-3.06	32.0%	24	30	37	43	46	53	58
Cibalia	1425	40	38.84	+1.16	59.0%	24	27	35	39	43	48	55
Zadar	1399	40	45.41	-5.41	30.0%	29	33	39	46	50	57	61
Inter Zapresic	1338	33	34.29	-1.29	42.0%	18	21	30	35	39	43	51
Medimurje	1270	15	27.80	-12.80	1.0%	14	19	23	28	32	36	42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+36.36%

Strong Edge

56.06%24.24%19.70%

Elo Value

Home Edge

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0132.40500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.92 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.81+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

93%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.85/gm

Runaway

00.411.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.18 * Lucky: 8.18 to 10.91 * Wild Swing: 10.91 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.21 * Close: 1.21 to 1.81 * Off: 1.81 to 2.41 * Way Off: 2.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.72 points

Some Luck

06.8217

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.514

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Dinamo Zagreb

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Medimurje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 127.21

2.10

Moderate Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

95%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Few

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.52

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Lopsided

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.78

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.74

Strong Carryover

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Chalky

0%20%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

11%

Solid Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.70

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.29

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.070

Well Within Noise

00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dinamo Zagreb	93.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Osijek	—	4.00%	13.00%	10.00%	19.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—
Slaven Belupo	1.00%	21.00%	19.00%	21.00%	19.00%	9.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Rijeka	1.00%	17.00%	21.00%	22.00%	8.00%	16.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—
Hajduk Split	3.00%	44.00%	20.00%	17.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
NK Zagreb	1.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	18.00%	18.00%	16.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Varteks	—	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	16.00%	15.00%	19.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Zadar	—	3.00%	11.00%	13.00%	11.00%	15.00%	17.00%	8.00%	5.00%	12.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Cibalia	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	22.00%	19.00%	18.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Sibenik	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	17.00%	18.00%	11.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Inter Zapresic	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	23.00%	15.00%	22.00%	22.00%
Medimurje	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	15.00%	26.00%	55.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	99.00%	1.00%	—
Osijek	98.00%	2.00%	—
Rijeka	97.00%	3.00%	—
Slaven Belupo	99.00%	1.00%	—
NK Zagreb	95.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Zadar	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Sibenik	85.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Cibalia	83.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Varteks	74.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Inter Zapresic	56.00%	22.00%	22.00%
Medimurje	19.00%	26.00%	55.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-07-20	Rijeka	L 0-1	50.1	1397	1470	45.43%	25.39%	29.18%	+0.36	-10.6	0
2007-07-20	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	50.1	1470	1397	29.18%	25.39%	45.43%	-0.36	+10.6	3
2007-07-21	NK Zagreb	L 0-3	43.7	1389	1502	39.84%	25.67%	34.49%	+0.12	-26.1	0
2007-07-21	@ Medimurje	W 3-0	43.7	1502	1389	34.49%	25.67%	39.84%	-0.12	+26.2	3
2007-07-21	Sibenik	W 5-0	40.3	1703	1475	75.31%	16.88%	7.80%	+2.20	+8.9	3
2007-07-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	40.3	1475	1703	7.80%	16.88%	75.31%	-2.20	-8.9	0
2007-07-21	Varteks	W 1-0	42.0	1412	1424	53.18%	24.44%	22.38%	+0.74	+6.0	3
2007-07-21	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	42.0	1424	1412	22.38%	24.44%	53.18%	-0.74	-6.0	0
2007-07-22	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	59.5	1452	1568	39.49%	25.68%	34.82%	+0.10	-0.2	1
2007-07-22	@ Zadar	D 0-0	59.5	1568	1452	34.82%	25.68%	39.49%	-0.10	+0.2	1
2007-07-22	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	45.9	1459	1484	51.53%	24.70%	23.77%	+0.66	+6.3	3
2007-07-22	@ Osijek	L 0-1	45.9	1484	1459	23.77%	24.70%	51.53%	-0.66	-6.4	0
2007-07-28	Cibalia	W 3-0	35.9	1481	1418	61.19%	22.61%	16.21%	+1.19	+12.2	6
2007-07-28	@ Rijeka	L 0-3	35.9	1418	1481	16.21%	22.61%	61.19%	-1.19	-12.2	3
2007-07-28	Inter Zapresic	W 7-1	36.4	1568	1387	71.82%	18.59%	9.59%	+1.92	+11.0	4
2007-07-28	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-7	36.4	1387	1568	9.59%	18.59%	71.82%	-1.92	-11.0	0
2007-07-28	Medimurje	W 2-0	35.0	1478	1362	66.25%	20.93%	12.83%	+1.51	+6.6	3
2007-07-28	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	35.0	1362	1478	12.83%	20.93%	66.25%	-1.51	-6.6	0
2007-07-28	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	58.6	1466	1528	46.84%	25.27%	27.89%	+0.43	-1.0	1
2007-07-28	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	58.6	1528	1466	27.89%	25.27%	46.84%	-0.43	+1.0	4
2007-07-28	Osijek	L 1-2	56.1	1418	1466	48.65%	25.08%	26.27%	+0.51	-10.6	0
2007-07-28	@ Varteks	W 2-1	56.1	1466	1418	26.27%	25.08%	48.65%	-0.51	+10.6	6
2007-07-28	Zadar	W 5-1	43.0	1712	1452	77.54%	15.71%	6.76%	+2.40	+5.1	6
2007-07-28	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	43.0	1452	1712	6.76%	15.71%	77.54%	-2.40	-5.1	1
2007-08-04	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	41.5	1376	1717	15.20%	22.17%	62.63%	-1.28	-15.0	0
2007-08-04	@ Inter Zapresic	W 4-0	41.5	1717	1376	62.63%	22.17%	15.20%	+1.28	+15.0	9
2007-08-04	Rijeka	D 2-2	66.8	1476	1493	52.53%	24.55%	22.93%	+0.71	-1.1	7
2007-08-04	@ Osijek	D 2-2	66.8	1493	1476	22.93%	24.55%	52.53%	-0.71	+1.1	7
2007-08-04	Sibenik	D 2-2	64.8	1447	1465	52.32%	24.58%	23.10%	+0.70	-1.1	2
2007-08-04	@ Zadar	D 2-2	64.8	1465	1447	23.10%	24.58%	52.32%	-0.70	+1.1	2
2007-08-04	Varteks	W 4-1	40.9	1356	1407	48.26%	25.13%	26.62%	+0.50	+16.1	3
2007-08-04	@ Medimurje	L 1-4	40.9	1407	1356	26.62%	25.13%	48.26%	-0.50	-16.1	0
2007-08-05	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	58.2	1406	1579	31.56%	25.56%	42.88%	-0.25	+0.6	4
2007-08-05	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	58.2	1579	1406	42.88%	25.56%	31.56%	+0.25	-0.6	5
2007-08-05	Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	55.5	1529	1484	59.40%	23.10%	17.50%	+1.08	-25.1	4
2007-08-05	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	55.5	1484	1529	17.50%	23.10%	59.40%	-1.08	+25.1	6
2007-08-10	Cibalia	W 2-1	48.5	1732	1407	81.59%	13.39%	5.02%	+2.79	+1.1	12
2007-08-10	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	48.5	1407	1732	5.02%	13.39%	81.59%	-2.79	-1.1	4
2007-08-11	Inter Zapresic	W 3-0	32.7	1446	1361	63.42%	21.92%	14.67%	+1.33	+11.0	5
2007-08-11	@ Zadar	L 0-3	32.7	1361	1446	14.67%	21.92%	63.42%	-1.33	-11.0	0
2007-08-11	Medimurje	W 3-1	40.5	1494	1372	66.84%	20.70%	12.46%	+1.55	+5.6	10
2007-08-11	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	40.5	1372	1494	12.46%	20.70%	66.84%	-1.55	-5.6	3
2007-08-11	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	49.4	1391	1504	39.87%	25.67%	34.46%	+0.12	-9.5	0
2007-08-11	@ Varteks	W 1-0	49.4	1504	1391	34.46%	25.67%	39.87%	-0.12	+9.5	7
2007-08-11	Osijek	W 1-0	45.9	1579	1475	65.18%	21.32%	13.51%	+1.44	+3.7	8
2007-08-11	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	45.9	1475	1579	13.51%	21.32%	65.18%	-1.44	-3.7	7
2007-08-11	Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	51.6	1466	1510	49.25%	25.01%	25.74%	+0.54	-21.4	2
2007-08-11	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	51.6	1510	1466	25.74%	25.01%	49.25%	-0.54	+21.4	9
2007-08-17	Sibenik	D 2-2	61.2	1350	1445	42.40%	25.58%	32.02%	+0.23	-0.4	1
2007-08-17	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	61.2	1445	1350	32.02%	25.58%	42.40%	-0.23	+0.4	3
2007-08-18	Rijeka	D 2-2	68.7	1514	1500	56.09%	23.88%	20.03%	+0.89	-1.4	8
2007-08-18	@ NK Zagreb	D 2-2	68.7	1500	1514	20.03%	23.88%	56.09%	-0.89	+1.4	11
2007-08-18	Zadar	L 0-2	47.5	1406	1457	48.28%	25.12%	26.60%	+0.50	-21.0	4
2007-08-18	@ Cibalia	W 2-0	47.5	1457	1406	26.60%	25.12%	48.28%	-0.50	+21.0	8
2007-08-19	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	55.4	1471	1733	21.58%	24.27%	54.15%	-0.79	-9.5	7
2007-08-19	@ Osijek	W 3-1	55.4	1733	1471	54.15%	24.27%	21.58%	+0.79	+9.5	15
2007-08-19	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	61.0	1366	1582	26.34%	25.09%	48.57%	-0.51	+1.1	4
2007-08-19	@ Medimurje	D 1-1	61.0	1582	1366	48.57%	25.09%	26.34%	+0.51	-1.1	9
2007-08-19	Varteks	W 6-0	33.7	1531	1381	69.22%	19.74%	11.04%	+1.72	+15.6	12
2007-08-19	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-6	33.7	1381	1531	11.04%	19.74%	69.22%	-1.72	-15.6	0
2007-08-24	Medimurje	W 3-1	43.8	1743	1367	84.31%	11.72%	3.97%	+3.10	+1.5	18
2007-08-24	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	43.8	1367	1743	3.97%	11.72%	84.31%	-3.10	-1.5	4
2007-08-25	Cibalia	W 1-0	40.8	1349	1385	50.24%	24.88%	24.87%	+0.59	+6.6	4
2007-08-25	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	40.8	1385	1349	24.87%	24.88%	50.24%	-0.59	-6.6	4
2007-08-25	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	53.0	1581	1512	61.86%	22.41%	15.73%	+1.23	+4.1	12
2007-08-25	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	53.0	1512	1581	15.73%	22.41%	61.86%	-1.23	-4.1	8
2007-08-25	Osijek	W 5-1	41.6	1478	1462	56.28%	23.84%	19.88%	+0.90	+16.1	11
2007-08-25	@ Zadar	L 1-5	41.6	1462	1478	19.88%	23.84%	56.28%	-0.90	-16.1	7
2007-08-25	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	50.5	1501	1547	48.96%	25.05%	26.00%	+0.53	+6.8	14
2007-08-25	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	50.5	1547	1501	26.00%	25.05%	48.96%	-0.53	-6.8	12
2007-08-25	Varteks	W 4-3	50.6	1445	1366	62.89%	22.09%	15.02%	+1.29	+3.6	6
2007-08-25	@ Sibenik	L 3-4	50.6	1366	1445	15.02%	22.09%	62.89%	-1.29	-3.6	0
2007-09-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	57.2	1508	1744	24.16%	24.77%	51.07%	-0.63	-10.5	8
2007-09-01	@ NK Zagreb	W 3-1	57.2	1744	1508	51.07%	24.77%	24.16%	+0.63	+10.5	21
2007-09-01	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	38.0	1446	1356	63.88%	21.76%	14.35%	+1.36	+4.0	10
2007-09-01	@ Osijek	L 0-1	38.0	1356	1446	14.35%	21.76%	63.88%	-1.36	-3.9	4
2007-09-01	Rijeka	L 1-2	51.9	1362	1508	35.27%	25.69%	39.05%	-0.08	-8.2	0
2007-09-01	@ Varteks	W 2-1	51.9	1508	1362	39.05%	25.69%	35.27%	+0.08	+8.2	17
2007-09-01	Sibenik	D 3-3	65.8	1378	1449	45.71%	25.37%	28.92%	+0.38	-0.5	5
2007-09-01	@ Cibalia	D 3-3	65.8	1449	1378	28.92%	25.37%	45.71%	-0.38	+0.5	7
2007-09-01	Zadar	L 2-4	53.2	1366	1494	37.80%	25.70%	36.50%	+0.03	-13.4	4
2007-09-01	@ Medimurje	W 4-2	53.2	1494	1366	36.50%	25.70%	37.80%	-0.03	+13.4	14
2007-09-02	Hajduk Split	D 2-2	72.2	1540	1585	48.95%	25.05%	26.00%	+0.53	-0.9	13
2007-09-02	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	72.2	1585	1540	26.00%	25.05%	48.95%	-0.53	+0.9	13
2007-09-14	Medimurje	W 3-0	33.5	1352	1353	54.41%	24.22%	21.38%	+0.80	+15.8	7
2007-09-14	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	33.5	1353	1352	21.38%	24.22%	54.41%	-0.80	-15.8	4
2007-09-15	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	47.0	1507	1498	55.56%	23.99%	20.45%	+0.87	+5.5	17
2007-09-15	@ Zadar	L 0-1	47.0	1498	1507	20.45%	23.99%	55.56%	-0.87	-5.5	8
2007-09-15	Osijek	W 2-0	40.9	1378	1450	45.53%	25.38%	29.09%	+0.37	+14.1	8
2007-09-15	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	40.9	1450	1378	29.09%	25.38%	45.53%	-0.37	-14.2	10
2007-09-15	Rijeka	W 3-2	57.5	1449	1516	46.25%	25.32%	28.43%	+0.40	+6.6	10
2007-09-15	@ Sibenik	L 2-3	57.5	1516	1449	28.43%	25.32%	46.25%	-0.40	-6.6	17
2007-09-15	Slaven Belupo	W 4-0	42.6	1755	1539	74.43%	17.33%	8.24%	+2.13	+7.7	24
2007-09-15	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	42.6	1539	1755	8.24%	17.33%	74.43%	-2.13	-7.7	13
2007-09-15	Varteks	W 3-1	40.3	1586	1354	75.61%	16.73%	7.66%	+2.23	+3.2	16
2007-09-15	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	40.3	1354	1586	7.66%	16.73%	75.61%	-2.23	-3.2	0
2007-09-22	Cibalia	L 0-1	47.6	1337	1392	47.77%	25.18%	27.05%	+0.47	-11.0	4
2007-09-22	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	47.6	1392	1337	27.05%	25.18%	47.77%	-0.47	+11.0	11
2007-09-22	Hajduk Split	W 4-0	47.1	1509	1589	44.45%	25.46%	30.08%	+0.32	+27.6	20
2007-09-22	@ Rijeka	L 0-4	47.1	1589	1509	30.08%	25.46%	44.45%	-0.32	-27.6	16
2007-09-22	Inter Zapresic	W 3-0	33.0	1492	1368	67.05%	20.62%	12.33%	+1.57	+9.2	11
2007-09-22	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-3	33.0	1368	1492	12.33%	20.62%	67.05%	-1.57	-9.2	7
2007-09-22	Sibenik	D 1-1	59.2	1435	1456	52.08%	24.62%	23.30%	+0.68	-1.5	11
2007-09-22	@ Osijek	D 1-1	59.2	1456	1435	23.30%	24.62%	52.08%	-0.68	+1.5	11
2007-09-22	Zadar	W 4-2	53.6	1531	1513	56.56%	23.78%	19.66%	+0.92	+7.8	16
2007-09-22	@ Slaven Belupo	L 2-4	53.6	1513	1531	19.66%	23.78%	56.56%	-0.92	-7.8	17
2007-09-23	Dinamo Zagreb	W 4-3	76.3	1351	1763	11.16%	19.83%	69.01%	-1.71	+13.2	3
2007-09-23	@ Varteks	L 3-4	76.3	1763	1351	69.01%	19.83%	11.16%	+1.71	-13.2	24
2007-09-29	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	51.8	1457	1562	41.10%	25.64%	33.27%	+0.17	+8.3	14
2007-09-29	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	51.8	1562	1457	33.27%	25.64%	41.10%	-0.17	-8.3	16
2007-09-29	Medimurje	W 4-0	30.1	1434	1326	65.61%	21.16%	13.23%	+1.47	+13.0	14
2007-09-29	@ Osijek	L 0-4	30.1	1326	1434	13.23%	21.16%	65.61%	-1.47	-13.0	4
2007-09-29	NK Zagreb	W 3-1	49.1	1403	1501	41.92%	25.60%	32.48%	+0.21	+13.4	14
2007-09-29	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	49.1	1501	1403	32.48%	25.60%	41.92%	-0.21	-13.4	11
2007-09-29	Rijeka	W 1-0	49.1	1749	1537	74.17%	17.46%	8.37%	+2.10	+2.2	27
2007-09-29	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	49.1	1537	1749	8.37%	17.46%	74.17%	-2.10	-2.2	20
2007-09-29	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	50.6	1359	1539	30.62%	25.50%	43.88%	-0.29	+10.3	10
2007-09-29	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	50.6	1539	1359	43.88%	25.50%	30.62%	+0.29	-10.3	16
2007-09-29	Varteks	W 2-0	35.1	1505	1364	68.50%	20.04%	11.46%	+1.67	+5.9	20
2007-09-29	@ Zadar	L 0-2	35.1	1364	1505	11.46%	20.04%	68.50%	-1.67	-5.9	3
2007-10-06	Cibalia	D 2-2	67.0	1529	1416	65.99%	21.02%	12.99%	+1.50	-2.1	17
2007-10-06	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	67.0	1416	1529	12.99%	21.02%	65.99%	-1.50	+2.1	15
2007-10-06	Inter Zapresic	L 1-2	53.7	1358	1369	53.21%	24.43%	22.36%	+0.74	-11.4	3
2007-10-06	@ Varteks	W 2-1	53.7	1369	1358	22.36%	24.43%	53.21%	-0.74	+11.4	13
2007-10-06	Osijek	L 0-2	52.5	1488	1447	59.00%	23.20%	17.79%	+1.06	-25.0	11
2007-10-06	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	52.5	1447	1488	17.79%	23.20%	59.00%	-1.06	+25.0	17
2007-10-06	Sibenik	D 2-2	60.8	1313	1466	34.25%	25.67%	40.08%	-0.13	+0.2	5
2007-10-06	@ Medimurje	D 2-2	60.8	1466	1313	40.08%	25.67%	34.25%	+0.13	-0.2	15
2007-10-06	Zadar	W 2-0	44.8	1535	1511	57.17%	23.65%	19.19%	+0.95	+9.9	23
2007-10-06	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	44.8	1511	1535	19.19%	23.65%	57.17%	-0.95	-9.9	20
2007-10-07	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	62.4	1554	1752	28.45%	25.33%	46.22%	-0.40	-6.9	16
2007-10-07	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	62.4	1752	1554	46.22%	25.33%	28.45%	+0.40	+7.0	30
2007-10-20	Cibalia	W 2-1	47.4	1347	1418	45.58%	25.38%	29.04%	+0.37	+7.1	6
2007-10-20	@ Varteks	L 1-2	47.4	1418	1347	29.04%	25.38%	45.58%	-0.37	-7.1	15
2007-10-20	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	49.8	1465	1758	18.83%	23.54%	57.63%	-0.98	-9.7	15
2007-10-20	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	49.8	1758	1465	57.63%	23.54%	18.83%	+0.98	+9.7	33
2007-10-20	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	44.3	1545	1380	70.44%	19.22%	10.35%	+1.81	+2.6	26
2007-10-20	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	44.3	1380	1545	10.35%	19.22%	70.44%	-1.81	-2.6	13
2007-10-20	Medimurje	D 1-1	57.6	1463	1313	69.26%	19.72%	11.01%	+1.72	-3.1	12
2007-10-20	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	57.6	1313	1463	11.01%	19.72%	69.26%	-1.72	+3.1	6
2007-10-20	Osijek	W 2-0	42.1	1527	1472	60.41%	22.83%	16.76%	+1.14	+8.7	20
2007-10-20	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	42.1	1472	1527	16.76%	22.83%	60.41%	-1.14	-8.7	17
2007-10-20	Zadar	W 4-1	46.4	1547	1501	59.49%	23.07%	17.43%	+1.09	+11.0	19
2007-10-20	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-4	46.4	1501	1547	17.43%	23.07%	59.49%	-1.09	-11.0	20
2007-10-27	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	58.8	1490	1768	20.09%	23.90%	56.01%	-0.89	-5.2	20
2007-10-27	@ Zadar	W 2-1	58.8	1768	1490	56.01%	23.90%	20.09%	+0.89	+5.1	36
2007-10-27	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	47.9	1378	1558	30.67%	25.50%	43.83%	-0.29	-7.8	13
2007-10-27	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	47.9	1558	1378	43.83%	25.50%	30.67%	+0.29	+7.8	22
2007-10-27	Rijeka	W 2-0	47.7	1411	1547	36.62%	25.70%	37.68%	-0.02	+17.3	18
2007-10-27	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	47.7	1547	1411	37.68%	25.70%	36.62%	+0.02	-17.3	26
2007-10-27	Sibenik	W 3-1	45.6	1460	1456	54.96%	24.11%	20.93%	+0.83	+9.3	15
2007-10-27	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	45.6	1456	1460	20.93%	24.11%	54.96%	-0.83	-9.2	15
2007-10-27	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.4	1316	1535	25.99%	25.05%	48.96%	-0.53	+21.3	9
2007-10-27	@ Medimurje	L 0-2	47.4	1535	1316	48.96%	25.05%	25.99%	+0.53	-21.3	20
2007-10-27	Varteks	L 0-1	53.5	1463	1354	65.73%	21.12%	13.16%	+1.48	-14.5	17
2007-10-27	@ Osijek	W 1-0	53.5	1354	1463	13.16%	21.12%	65.73%	-1.48	+14.5	9
2007-10-31	Cibalia	D 2-2	69.0	1566	1428	68.15%	20.18%	11.66%	+1.64	-2.3	23
2007-10-31	@ Hajduk Split	D 2-2	69.0	1428	1566	11.66%	20.18%	68.15%	-1.64	+2.3	19
2007-10-31	Inter Zapresic	W 5-0	36.2	1773	1370	85.70%	10.83%	3.47%	+3.27	+3.5	39
2007-10-31	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	36.2	1370	1773	3.47%	10.83%	85.70%	-3.27	-3.5	13
2007-10-31	Medimurje	W 2-0	34.8	1368	1337	57.91%	23.47%	18.62%	+1.00	+9.6	12
2007-10-31	@ Varteks	L 0-2	34.8	1337	1368	18.62%	23.47%	57.91%	-1.00	-9.6	9
2007-10-31	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	45.0	1514	1469	59.40%	23.10%	17.50%	+1.08	+4.8	23
2007-10-31	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	45.0	1469	1514	17.50%	23.10%	59.40%	-1.08	-4.8	15
2007-10-31	Osijek	D 1-1	63.0	1530	1449	63.06%	22.03%	14.91%	+1.30	-2.6	27
2007-10-31	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	63.0	1449	1530	14.91%	22.03%	63.06%	-1.30	+2.6	18
2007-10-31	Zadar	D 0-0	56.4	1447	1485	49.89%	24.93%	25.18%	+0.57	-1.4	16
2007-10-31	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	56.4	1485	1447	25.18%	24.93%	49.89%	-0.57	+1.4	21
2007-11-03	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	55.7	1431	1777	14.90%	22.03%	63.07%	-1.30	-3.9	19
2007-11-03	@ Cibalia	W 2-1	55.7	1777	1431	63.07%	22.03%	14.90%	+1.30	+3.9	42
2007-11-03	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	53.7	1451	1563	40.07%	25.67%	34.26%	+0.13	-9.6	18
2007-11-03	@ Osijek	W 1-0	53.7	1563	1451	34.26%	25.67%	40.07%	-0.13	+9.6	26
2007-11-03	Rijeka	L 0-1	44.6	1328	1527	28.25%	25.31%	46.45%	-0.41	-7.3	9
2007-11-03	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	44.6	1527	1328	46.45%	25.31%	28.25%	+0.41	+7.3	30
2007-11-03	Sibenik	W 1-0	43.4	1519	1445	62.32%	22.26%	15.41%	+1.26	+4.2	26
2007-11-03	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	43.4	1445	1519	15.41%	22.26%	62.32%	-1.26	-4.2	16
2007-11-03	Varteks	D 0-0	54.5	1464	1378	63.58%	21.86%	14.55%	+1.34	-2.9	16
2007-11-03	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	54.5	1378	1464	14.55%	21.86%	63.58%	-1.34	+2.9	13
2007-11-03	Zadar	W 2-1	51.4	1366	1486	38.95%	25.69%	35.36%	+0.08	+8.2	16
2007-11-03	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-2	51.4	1486	1366	35.36%	25.69%	38.95%	-0.08	-8.2	21
2007-11-10	Cibalia	D 1-1	60.1	1478	1427	60.05%	22.92%	17.03%	+1.12	-2.3	22
2007-11-10	@ Zadar	D 1-1	60.1	1427	1478	17.03%	22.92%	60.05%	-1.12	+2.3	20
2007-11-10	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	57.7	1441	1375	61.60%	22.48%	15.92%	+1.21	-2.4	17
2007-11-10	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	57.7	1375	1441	15.92%	22.48%	61.60%	-1.21	+2.4	17
2007-11-10	Medimurje	D 3-3	70.5	1573	1320	77.01%	15.99%	7.00%	+2.35	-2.3	27
2007-11-10	@ Hajduk Split	D 3-3	70.5	1320	1573	7.00%	15.99%	77.01%	-2.35	+2.3	10
2007-11-10	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	49.3	1535	1461	62.28%	22.28%	15.44%	+1.25	+4.0	33
2007-11-10	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	49.3	1461	1535	15.44%	22.28%	62.28%	-1.25	-4.0	16
2007-11-10	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	59.2	1381	1523	35.72%	25.70%	38.58%	-0.06	+0.1	14
2007-11-10	@ Varteks	D 1-1	59.2	1523	1381	38.58%	25.70%	35.72%	+0.06	-0.1	27
2007-11-11	Osijek	W 1-0	45.6	1781	1442	82.37%	12.92%	4.71%	+2.88	+1.1	45
2007-11-11	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	45.6	1442	1781	4.71%	12.92%	82.37%	-2.88	-1.1	18
2007-11-24	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	68.7	1323	1782	9.07%	18.13%	72.80%	-1.99	+3.4	11
2007-11-24	@ Medimurje	D 1-1	68.7	1782	1323	72.80%	18.13%	9.07%	+1.99	-3.4	46
2007-11-24	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	52.5	1457	1570	39.91%	25.67%	34.42%	+0.12	+8.6	19
2007-11-24	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	52.5	1570	1457	34.42%	25.67%	39.91%	-0.12	-8.5	27
2007-11-24	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	36.0	1429	1377	60.16%	22.90%	16.95%	+1.13	+8.8	23
2007-11-24	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	36.0	1377	1429	16.95%	22.90%	60.16%	-1.13	-8.8	17
2007-11-24	Rijeka	W 1-0	49.9	1523	1539	52.62%	24.53%	22.84%	+0.71	+6.1	30
2007-11-24	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	49.9	1539	1523	22.84%	24.53%	52.62%	-0.71	-6.1	33
2007-11-24	Sibenik	W 3-0	37.8	1381	1438	47.41%	25.21%	27.37%	+0.46	+19.5	17
2007-11-24	@ Varteks	L 0-3	37.8	1438	1381	27.37%	25.21%	47.41%	-0.46	-19.6	17
2007-11-24	Zadar	W 1-0	45.3	1441	1476	50.29%	24.88%	24.83%	+0.59	+6.6	21
2007-11-24	@ Osijek	L 0-1	45.3	1476	1441	24.83%	24.88%	50.29%	-0.59	-6.6	22
2007-12-01	Cibalia	W 2-0	39.7	1419	1438	52.25%	24.59%	23.15%	+0.69	+11.7	20
2007-12-01	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	39.7	1438	1419	23.15%	24.59%	52.25%	-0.69	-11.7	23
2007-12-01	Medimurje	W 4-0	29.9	1469	1326	68.65%	19.98%	11.37%	+1.68	+11.0	25
2007-12-01	@ Zadar	L 0-4	29.9	1326	1469	11.37%	19.98%	68.65%	-1.68	-11.0	11
2007-12-01	Osijek	D 1-1	56.8	1368	1447	44.60%	25.45%	29.95%	+0.33	-0.7	18
2007-12-01	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	56.8	1447	1368	29.95%	25.45%	44.60%	-0.33	+0.7	22
2007-12-01	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	49.3	1562	1529	58.14%	23.42%	18.44%	+1.01	+5.0	30
2007-12-01	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.3	1529	1562	18.44%	23.42%	58.14%	-1.01	-5.0	30
2007-12-01	Varteks	D 1-1	61.8	1533	1400	67.74%	20.35%	11.91%	+1.62	-3.0	34
2007-12-01	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	61.8	1400	1533	11.91%	20.35%	67.74%	-1.62	+3.0	18
2007-12-02	NK Zagreb	W 6-3	49.7	1778	1466	80.83%	13.84%	5.33%	+2.71	+2.4	49
2007-12-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-6	49.7	1466	1778	5.33%	13.84%	80.83%	-2.71	-2.4	19
2007-12-08	Cibalia	W 5-1	39.3	1448	1426	56.93%	23.70%	19.37%	+0.94	+15.8	25
2007-12-08	@ Osijek	L 1-5	39.3	1426	1448	19.37%	23.70%	56.93%	-0.94	-15.8	23
2007-12-08	Dinamo Zagreb	W 5-2	66.9	1524	1781	22.07%	24.37%	53.55%	-0.76	+24.3	33
2007-12-08	@ Slaven Belupo	L 2-5	66.9	1781	1524	53.55%	24.37%	22.07%	+0.76	-24.3	49
2007-12-08	Hajduk Split	L 1-3	51.6	1403	1567	32.81%	25.62%	41.58%	-0.19	-13.5	18
2007-12-08	@ Varteks	W 3-1	51.6	1567	1403	41.58%	25.62%	32.81%	+0.19	+13.5	33
2007-12-08	Inter Zapresic	L 2-3	56.4	1315	1367	48.11%	25.14%	26.75%	+0.49	-9.9	11
2007-12-08	@ Medimurje	W 3-2	56.4	1367	1315	26.75%	25.14%	48.11%	-0.49	+9.9	21
2007-12-08	Sibenik	W 2-0	39.3	1530	1431	64.74%	21.47%	13.79%	+1.41	+7.1	37
2007-12-08	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	39.3	1431	1530	13.79%	21.47%	64.74%	-1.41	-7.1	20
2007-12-08	Zadar	W 7-2	43.5	1464	1480	52.55%	24.54%	22.90%	+0.71	+18.8	22
2007-12-08	@ NK Zagreb	L 2-7	43.5	1480	1464	22.90%	24.54%	52.55%	-0.71	-18.8	25
2008-02-22	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	57.9	1377	1482	41.04%	25.64%	33.33%	+0.17	-0.4	22
2008-02-22	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	57.9	1482	1377	33.33%	25.64%	41.04%	-0.17	+0.4	23
2008-02-23	Medimurje	W 2-0	32.8	1410	1305	65.32%	21.27%	13.42%	+1.45	+6.9	26
2008-02-23	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	32.8	1305	1410	13.42%	21.27%	65.32%	-1.45	-6.9	11
2008-02-23	Osijek	W 1-0	44.6	1423	1464	49.65%	24.96%	25.39%	+0.56	+6.7	23
2008-02-23	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	44.6	1464	1423	25.39%	24.96%	49.65%	-0.56	-6.7	25
2008-02-23	Rijeka	D 1-1	67.6	1580	1537	59.28%	23.13%	17.59%	+1.07	-2.2	34
2008-02-23	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	67.6	1537	1580	17.59%	23.13%	59.28%	-1.07	+2.2	38
2008-02-23	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	50.8	1461	1548	43.52%	25.52%	30.96%	+0.28	+7.9	28
2008-02-23	@ Zadar	L 0-1	50.8	1548	1461	30.96%	25.52%	43.52%	-0.28	-7.9	33
2008-02-23	Varteks	L 1-2	71.9	1756	1390	83.86%	12.00%	4.14%	+3.05	-16.2	49
2008-02-23	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	71.9	1390	1756	4.14%	12.00%	83.86%	-3.05	+16.2	21
2008-03-01	Cibalia	W 4-1	40.4	1483	1417	61.50%	22.51%	15.98%	+1.21	+10.2	26
2008-03-01	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-4	40.4	1417	1483	15.98%	22.51%	61.50%	-1.21	-10.1	26
2008-03-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-4	62.8	1539	1740	28.04%	25.29%	46.67%	-0.42	-10.6	38
2008-03-01	@ Rijeka	W 4-2	62.8	1740	1539	46.67%	25.29%	28.04%	+0.42	+10.6	52
2008-03-01	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	36.1	1540	1377	70.36%	19.25%	10.39%	+1.81	+5.3	36
2008-03-01	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	36.1	1377	1540	10.39%	19.25%	70.36%	-1.81	-5.3	22
2008-03-01	Osijek	L 0-1	43.9	1298	1457	33.48%	25.64%	40.88%	-0.16	-8.4	11
2008-03-01	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	43.9	1457	1298	40.88%	25.64%	33.48%	+0.16	+8.4	28
2008-03-01	Sibenik	W 2-0	39.8	1578	1430	69.09%	19.80%	11.12%	+1.71	+5.7	37
2008-03-01	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	39.8	1430	1578	11.12%	19.80%	69.09%	-1.71	-5.7	23
2008-03-01	Zadar	W 2-0	41.9	1406	1469	46.70%	25.28%	28.02%	+0.42	+13.7	24
2008-03-01	@ Varteks	L 0-2	41.9	1469	1406	28.02%	25.28%	46.70%	-0.42	-13.7	28
2008-03-07	Varteks	D 0-0	52.4	1372	1420	48.66%	25.08%	26.25%	+0.52	-1.2	23
2008-03-07	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	52.4	1420	1372	26.25%	25.08%	48.66%	-0.52	+1.2	25
2008-03-08	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	50.8	1751	1584	70.65%	19.12%	10.23%	+1.83	+2.8	55
2008-03-08	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	50.8	1584	1751	10.23%	19.12%	70.65%	-1.83	-2.7	37
2008-03-08	Medimurje	W 4-2	40.7	1425	1290	67.94%	20.27%	11.79%	+1.63	+4.7	26
2008-03-08	@ Sibenik	L 2-4	40.7	1290	1425	11.79%	20.27%	67.94%	-1.63	-4.7	11
2008-03-08	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	61.4	1465	1493	51.21%	24.75%	24.04%	+0.64	-1.4	29
2008-03-08	@ Osijek	D 1-1	61.4	1493	1465	24.04%	24.75%	51.21%	-0.64	+1.4	27
2008-03-08	Rijeka	D 0-0	58.2	1455	1528	45.43%	25.39%	29.18%	+0.36	-0.9	29
2008-03-08	@ Zadar	D 0-0	58.2	1528	1455	29.18%	25.39%	45.43%	-0.36	+0.9	39
2008-03-08	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	45.3	1407	1546	36.27%	25.70%	38.02%	-0.04	+25.2	29
2008-03-08	@ Cibalia	L 0-3	45.3	1546	1407	38.02%	25.70%	36.27%	+0.04	-25.2	36
2008-03-15	Cibalia	W 4-0	38.6	1754	1432	81.35%	13.53%	5.12%	+2.77	+4.4	58
2008-03-15	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	38.6	1432	1754	5.12%	13.53%	81.35%	-2.77	-4.4	29
2008-03-15	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	40.4	1455	1371	63.33%	21.94%	14.72%	+1.32	+6.6	32
2008-03-15	@ Zadar	L 1-3	40.4	1371	1455	14.72%	21.94%	63.33%	-1.32	-6.6	23
2008-03-15	Medimurje	W 3-1	36.3	1464	1285	71.59%	18.70%	9.71%	+1.90	+4.2	32
2008-03-15	@ Osijek	L 1-3	36.3	1285	1464	9.71%	18.70%	71.59%	-1.90	-4.2	11
2008-03-15	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	64.3	1529	1494	58.35%	23.36%	18.28%	+1.02	-2.1	40
2008-03-15	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	64.3	1494	1529	18.28%	23.36%	58.35%	-1.02	+2.1	28
2008-03-15	Sibenik	W 4-1	42.0	1581	1429	69.41%	19.66%	10.93%	+1.74	+6.8	40
2008-03-15	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-4	42.0	1429	1581	10.93%	19.66%	69.41%	-1.74	-6.8	26
2008-03-15	Varteks	W 2-1	46.5	1520	1421	64.79%	21.45%	13.76%	+1.42	+3.6	39
2008-03-15	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	46.5	1421	1520	13.76%	21.45%	64.79%	-1.42	-3.5	25
2008-03-19	Cibalia	W 2-1	46.8	1468	1428	58.91%	23.22%	17.86%	+1.05	+4.6	35
2008-03-19	@ Osijek	L 1-2	46.8	1428	1468	17.86%	23.22%	58.91%	-1.05	-4.6	29
2008-03-19	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	66.6	1496	1758	21.60%	24.27%	54.13%	-0.79	+1.9	29
2008-03-19	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	66.6	1758	1496	54.13%	24.27%	21.60%	+0.79	-1.9	59
2008-03-19	Hajduk Split	W 4-0	47.6	1417	1588	31.89%	25.58%	42.53%	-0.23	+35.9	28
2008-03-19	@ Varteks	L 0-4	47.6	1588	1417	42.53%	25.58%	31.89%	+0.23	-36.0	40
2008-03-19	Rijeka	D 0-0	56.9	1422	1527	41.08%	25.64%	33.28%	+0.17	-0.4	27
2008-03-19	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	56.9	1527	1422	33.28%	25.64%	41.08%	-0.17	+0.4	41
2008-03-19	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	54.8	1364	1524	33.28%	25.64%	41.08%	-0.17	+0.4	24
2008-03-19	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	54.8	1524	1364	41.08%	25.64%	33.28%	+0.17	-0.4	40
2008-03-19	Zadar	L 2-3	52.1	1281	1461	30.65%	25.50%	43.85%	-0.29	-7.0	11
2008-03-19	@ Medimurje	W 3-2	52.1	1461	1281	43.85%	25.50%	30.65%	+0.29	+7.0	35
2008-03-22	Inter Zapresic	W 7-2	36.6	1552	1364	72.29%	18.37%	9.34%	+1.95	+7.6	43
2008-03-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 2-7	36.6	1364	1552	9.34%	18.37%	72.29%	-1.95	-7.6	24
2008-03-22	Medimurje	W 4-0	27.5	1524	1274	76.81%	16.10%	7.09%	+2.33	+6.5	43
2008-03-22	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-4	27.5	1274	1524	7.09%	16.10%	76.81%	-2.33	-6.5	11
2008-03-22	NK Zagreb	D 2-2	64.8	1423	1498	45.16%	25.41%	29.43%	+0.35	-0.6	30
2008-03-22	@ Cibalia	D 2-2	64.8	1498	1423	29.43%	25.41%	45.16%	-0.35	+0.6	30
2008-03-22	Osijek	D 1-1	60.9	1468	1473	53.94%	24.30%	21.75%	+0.78	-1.7	36
2008-03-22	@ Zadar	D 1-1	60.9	1473	1468	21.75%	24.30%	53.94%	-0.78	+1.6	36
2008-03-22	Sibenik	W 5-1	42.0	1756	1422	82.10%	13.08%	4.82%	+2.85	+3.4	62
2008-03-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	42.0	1422	1756	4.82%	13.08%	82.10%	-2.85	-3.4	27
2008-03-22	Varteks	D 2-2	67.9	1528	1453	62.37%	22.25%	15.38%	+1.26	-1.9	42
2008-03-22	@ Rijeka	D 2-2	67.9	1453	1528	15.38%	22.25%	62.37%	-1.26	+1.9	29
2008-03-28	Rijeka	W 2-1	54.4	1357	1526	32.12%	25.59%	42.30%	-0.22	+9.4	27
2008-03-28	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-2	54.4	1526	1357	42.30%	25.59%	32.12%	+0.22	-9.4	42
2008-03-29	Cibalia	W 1-0	41.7	1467	1423	59.28%	23.13%	17.59%	+1.07	+4.8	39
2008-03-29	@ Zadar	L 0-1	41.7	1423	1467	17.59%	23.13%	59.28%	-1.07	-4.8	30
2008-03-29	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	70.1	1455	1760	17.90%	23.24%	58.86%	-1.05	+2.1	30
2008-03-29	@ Varteks	D 1-1	70.1	1760	1455	58.86%	23.24%	17.90%	+1.05	-2.1	63
2008-03-29	Hajduk Split	D 2-2	62.6	1268	1560	18.91%	23.56%	57.53%	-0.97	+1.5	12
2008-03-29	@ Medimurje	D 2-2	62.6	1560	1268	57.53%	23.56%	18.91%	+0.97	-1.5	44
2008-03-29	NK Zagreb	L 0-2	48.2	1419	1499	44.43%	25.46%	30.10%	+0.32	-19.6	27
2008-03-29	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	48.2	1499	1419	30.10%	25.46%	44.43%	-0.32	+19.6	33
2008-03-29	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	49.3	1474	1530	47.68%	25.19%	27.13%	+0.47	+7.1	39
2008-03-29	@ Osijek	L 0-1	49.3	1530	1474	27.13%	25.19%	47.68%	-0.47	-7.1	43
2008-04-12	Cibalia	W 2-0	38.5	1523	1418	65.30%	21.27%	13.43%	+1.45	+6.9	46
2008-04-12	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	38.5	1418	1523	13.43%	21.27%	65.30%	-1.45	-6.9	30
2008-04-12	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	46.6	1269	1758	7.96%	17.05%	74.99%	-2.17	-2.0	12
2008-04-12	@ Medimurje	W 2-1	46.6	1758	1269	74.99%	17.05%	7.96%	+2.17	+2.0	66
2008-04-12	Hajduk Split	L 1-3	57.0	1471	1558	43.55%	25.52%	30.93%	+0.28	-16.7	39
2008-04-12	@ Zadar	W 3-1	57.0	1558	1471	30.93%	25.52%	43.55%	-0.28	+16.7	47
2008-04-12	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	54.6	1366	1518	34.36%	25.67%	39.97%	-0.12	+0.3	28
2008-04-12	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	54.6	1518	1366	39.97%	25.67%	34.36%	+0.12	-0.3	34
2008-04-12	Rijeka	W 1-0	48.3	1482	1516	50.33%	24.87%	24.79%	+0.60	+6.6	42
2008-04-12	@ Osijek	L 0-1	48.3	1516	1482	24.79%	24.87%	50.33%	-0.60	-6.6	42
2008-04-12	Sibenik	D 1-1	58.7	1457	1399	60.80%	22.71%	16.48%	+1.16	-2.3	31
2008-04-12	@ Varteks	D 1-1	58.7	1399	1457	16.48%	22.71%	60.80%	-1.16	+2.3	28
2008-04-16	Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	52.4	1401	1366	58.34%	23.37%	18.29%	+1.02	-2.3	29
2008-04-16	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	52.4	1366	1401	18.29%	23.37%	58.34%	-1.02	+2.3	29
2008-04-16	Medimurje	W 6-1	30.2	1518	1267	76.91%	16.04%	7.04%	+2.34	+6.5	37
2008-04-16	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-6	30.2	1267	1518	7.04%	16.04%	76.91%	-2.34	-6.5	12
2008-04-16	Osijek	W 3-2	56.5	1760	1488	78.27%	15.30%	6.43%	+2.46	+1.4	69
2008-04-16	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	56.5	1488	1760	6.43%	15.30%	78.27%	-2.46	-1.4	42
2008-04-16	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.2	1575	1530	59.41%	23.10%	17.49%	+1.08	+9.1	50
2008-04-16	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	46.2	1530	1575	17.49%	23.10%	59.41%	-1.08	-9.0	46
2008-04-16	Varteks	L 0-1	51.1	1411	1455	49.17%	25.02%	25.81%	+0.54	-11.3	30
2008-04-16	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	51.1	1455	1411	25.81%	25.02%	49.17%	-0.54	+11.3	34
2008-04-16	Zadar	W 5-3	51.5	1510	1455	60.45%	22.81%	16.73%	+1.14	+6.3	45
2008-04-16	@ Rijeka	L 3-5	51.5	1455	1510	16.73%	22.81%	60.45%	-1.14	-6.3	39
2008-04-19	Cibalia	L 1-2	64.7	1584	1400	72.01%	18.50%	9.48%	+1.93	-14.7	50
2008-04-19	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	64.7	1400	1584	9.48%	18.50%	72.01%	-1.93	+14.7	33
2008-04-19	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-5	54.0	1448	1761	17.27%	23.01%	59.72%	-1.10	-9.5	39
2008-04-19	@ Zadar	W 5-2	54.0	1761	1448	59.72%	23.01%	17.27%	+1.10	+9.5	72
2008-04-19	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	53.6	1487	1525	49.92%	24.93%	25.15%	+0.58	+6.3	45
2008-04-19	@ Osijek	L 1-2	53.6	1525	1487	25.15%	24.93%	49.92%	-0.58	-6.3	37
2008-04-19	Rijeka	D 1-1	64.6	1521	1516	55.04%	24.10%	20.86%	+0.84	-1.8	47
2008-04-19	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	64.6	1516	1521	20.86%	24.10%	55.04%	-0.84	+1.8	46
2008-04-19	Sibenik	L 0-1	43.5	1261	1399	36.29%	25.70%	38.01%	-0.04	-8.9	12
2008-04-19	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	43.5	1399	1261	38.01%	25.70%	36.29%	+0.04	+8.9	32
2008-04-19	Varteks	W 1-0	45.3	1369	1466	42.08%	25.60%	32.33%	+0.21	+8.2	32
2008-04-19	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	45.3	1466	1369	32.33%	25.60%	42.08%	-0.21	-8.1	34
2008-04-26	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	66.0	1518	1569	48.22%	25.13%	26.65%	+0.49	-1.1	47
2008-04-26	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	66.0	1569	1518	26.65%	25.13%	48.22%	-0.49	+1.1	51
2008-04-26	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	56.9	1414	1377	58.62%	23.30%	18.08%	+1.04	-2.1	34
2008-04-26	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	56.9	1377	1414	18.08%	23.30%	58.62%	-1.04	+2.1	33
2008-04-26	Medimurje	W 3-2	42.6	1458	1252	73.73%	17.68%	8.59%	+2.07	+2.0	37
2008-04-26	@ Varteks	L 2-3	42.6	1252	1458	8.59%	17.68%	73.73%	-2.07	-2.0	12
2008-04-26	Osijek	W 1-0	46.8	1408	1493	43.77%	25.51%	30.72%	+0.29	+7.8	35
2008-04-26	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	46.8	1493	1408	30.72%	25.51%	43.77%	-0.29	-7.8	45
2008-04-26	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	48.3	1770	1519	76.93%	16.03%	7.04%	+2.34	+1.8	75
2008-04-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	48.3	1519	1770	7.04%	16.03%	76.93%	-2.34	-1.8	47
2008-04-26	Zadar	D 0-0	58.2	1518	1439	62.90%	22.08%	15.02%	+1.29	-2.9	38
2008-04-26	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	58.2	1439	1518	15.02%	22.08%	62.90%	-1.29	+2.9	40
2008-04-29	Osijek	L 0-2	57.9	1570	1485	63.44%	21.91%	14.65%	+1.33	-26.6	51
2008-04-29	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-0	57.9	1485	1570	14.65%	21.91%	63.44%	-1.33	+26.6	48
2008-04-30	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	43.0	1772	1379	85.20%	11.16%	3.65%	+3.21	+0.8	78
2008-04-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	43.0	1379	1772	3.65%	11.16%	85.20%	-3.21	-0.8	33
2008-04-30	Medimurje	W 5-2	34.9	1517	1250	77.99%	15.46%	6.55%	+2.44	+3.3	50
2008-04-30	@ Rijeka	L 2-5	34.9	1250	1517	6.55%	15.46%	77.99%	-2.44	-3.3	12
2008-04-30	Sibenik	W 2-0	38.3	1412	1416	54.10%	24.28%	21.63%	+0.79	+11.0	37
2008-04-30	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	38.3	1416	1412	21.63%	24.28%	54.10%	-0.79	-11.0	35
2008-04-30	Varteks	W 3-1	46.1	1516	1460	60.49%	22.80%	16.71%	+1.15	+7.5	41
2008-04-30	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	46.1	1460	1516	16.71%	22.80%	60.49%	-1.15	-7.5	37
2008-04-30	Zadar	W 2-0	40.0	1517	1442	62.52%	22.20%	15.28%	+1.27	+7.9	50
2008-04-30	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	40.0	1442	1517	15.28%	22.20%	62.52%	-1.27	-7.9	40
2008-05-03	Cibalia	W 2-0	38.8	1520	1423	64.52%	21.55%	13.93%	+1.40	+7.2	53
2008-05-03	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	38.8	1423	1520	13.93%	21.55%	64.52%	-1.40	-7.2	37
2008-05-03	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	71.2	1544	1773	24.88%	24.89%	50.24%	-0.59	+1.3	52
2008-05-03	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.2	1773	1544	50.24%	24.89%	24.88%	+0.59	-1.3	79
2008-05-03	Inter Zapresic	W 4-0	36.9	1246	1378	37.21%	25.71%	37.08%	+0.00	+32.4	15
2008-05-03	@ Medimurje	L 0-4	36.9	1378	1246	37.08%	25.71%	37.21%	+0.00	-32.4	33
2008-05-03	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	48.8	1525	1523	54.73%	24.16%	21.11%	+0.82	+5.7	53
2008-05-03	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	48.8	1523	1525	21.11%	24.16%	54.73%	-0.82	-5.7	41
2008-05-03	Sibenik	L 0-2	49.2	1434	1405	57.73%	23.51%	18.76%	+0.99	-24.5	40
2008-05-03	@ Zadar	W 2-0	49.2	1405	1434	18.76%	23.51%	57.73%	-0.99	+24.5	38
2008-05-03	Varteks	W 2-0	40.7	1512	1453	60.85%	22.70%	16.45%	+1.17	+8.5	51
2008-05-03	@ Osijek	L 0-2	40.7	1453	1512	16.45%	22.70%	60.85%	-1.17	-8.5	37
2008-05-10	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	55.1	1517	1545	51.20%	24.75%	24.05%	+0.64	+6.0	44
2008-05-10	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	55.1	1545	1517	24.05%	24.75%	51.20%	-0.64	-6.0	52
2008-05-10	Medimurje	W 3-0	29.3	1416	1279	68.18%	20.17%	11.65%	+1.65	+8.7	40
2008-05-10	@ Cibalia	L 0-3	29.3	1279	1416	11.65%	20.17%	68.18%	-1.65	-8.7	15
2008-05-10	Osijek	L 1-2	50.6	1346	1520	31.41%	25.55%	43.04%	-0.26	-7.5	33
2008-05-10	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	50.6	1520	1346	43.04%	25.55%	31.41%	+0.26	+7.5	54
2008-05-10	Rijeka	W 6-1	45.1	1772	1527	76.47%	16.28%	7.25%	+2.30	+6.8	82
2008-05-10	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-6	45.1	1527	1772	7.25%	16.28%	76.47%	-2.30	-6.8	53
2008-05-10	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	57.2	1429	1531	41.48%	25.62%	32.90%	+0.19	-0.5	39
2008-05-10	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	57.2	1531	1429	32.90%	25.62%	41.48%	-0.19	+0.5	54
2008-05-10	Zadar	W 5-2	42.9	1444	1409	58.36%	23.36%	18.28%	+1.02	+10.0	40
2008-05-10	@ Varteks	L 2-5	42.9	1409	1444	18.28%	23.36%	58.36%	-1.02	-10.0	40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-02-23	4.14%	Varteks	1390	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1756	1
2	2008-04-19	9.48%	Cibalia	1400	2	@ Hajduk Split	1584	1
3	2007-09-23	11.16%	@ Varteks	1351	4	Dinamo Zagreb	1763	3
4	2007-10-27	13.16%	Varteks	1354	1	@ Osijek	1463	0
5	2008-04-29	14.65%	Osijek	1485	2	@ Hajduk Split	1570	0
6	2007-08-05	17.50%	Slaven Belupo	1484	2	@ NK Zagreb	1529	0
7	2007-10-06	17.79%	Osijek	1447	2	@ NK Zagreb	1488	0
8	2008-05-03	18.76%	Sibenik	1405	2	@ Zadar	1434	0
9	2007-12-08	22.07%	@ Slaven Belupo	1524	5	Dinamo Zagreb	1781	2
10	2007-10-06	22.36%	Inter Zapresic	1369	2	@ Varteks	1358	1
11	2007-08-11	25.74%	Slaven Belupo	1510	2	@ Sibenik	1466	0
12	2008-04-16	25.81%	Varteks	1455	1	@ Cibalia	1411	0
13	2007-10-27	25.99%	@ Medimurje	1316	2	Slaven Belupo	1535	0
14	2007-07-28	26.27%	Osijek	1466	2	@ Varteks	1418	1
15	2007-08-18	26.60%	Zadar	1457	2	@ Cibalia	1406	0
16	2007-12-08	26.75%	Inter Zapresic	1367	3	@ Medimurje	1315	2
17	2007-09-22	27.05%	Cibalia	1392	1	@ Medimurje	1337	0
18	2007-07-20	29.18%	Rijeka	1470	1	@ Inter Zapresic	1397	0
19	2008-03-29	30.10%	NK Zagreb	1499	2	@ Sibenik	1419	0
20	2007-09-29	30.62%	@ Inter Zapresic	1359	1	Slaven Belupo	1539	0
21	2008-04-12	30.93%	Hajduk Split	1558	3	@ Zadar	1471	1
22	2008-03-19	31.89%	@ Varteks	1417	4	Hajduk Split	1588	0
23	2008-03-28	32.12%	@ Inter Zapresic	1357	2	Rijeka	1526	1
24	2007-11-03	34.26%	Hajduk Split	1563	1	@ Osijek	1451	0
25	2007-08-11	34.46%	NK Zagreb	1504	1	@ Varteks	1391	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-03-19	35.95	@ Varteks	4	1417	31.89%	Hajduk Split	0	1588	42.53%	25.58%
2	2008-05-03	32.36	@ Medimurje	4	1246	37.21%	Inter Zapresic	0	1378	37.08%	25.71%
3	2007-09-22	27.57	@ Rijeka	4	1509	44.45%	Hajduk Split	0	1589	30.08%	25.46%
4	2008-04-29	26.57	Osijek	2	1485	14.65%	@ Hajduk Split	0	1570	63.44%	21.91%
5	2007-07-21	26.15	NK Zagreb	3	1502	34.49%	@ Medimurje	0	1389	39.84%	25.67%
6	2008-03-08	25.24	@ Cibalia	3	1407	36.27%	Slaven Belupo	0	1546	38.02%	25.70%
7	2007-08-05	25.10	Slaven Belupo	2	1484	17.50%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1529	59.40%	23.10%
8	2007-10-06	24.96	Osijek	2	1447	17.79%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1488	59.00%	23.20%
9	2008-05-03	24.49	Sibenik	2	1405	18.76%	@ Zadar	0	1434	57.73%	23.51%
10	2007-12-08	24.34	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1524	22.07%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1781	53.55%	24.37%
11	2007-08-11	21.36	Slaven Belupo	2	1510	25.74%	@ Sibenik	0	1466	49.25%	25.01%
12	2007-10-27	21.26	@ Medimurje	2	1316	25.99%	Slaven Belupo	0	1535	48.96%	25.05%
13	2007-08-18	21.01	Zadar	2	1457	26.60%	@ Cibalia	0	1406	48.28%	25.12%
14	2008-03-29	19.62	NK Zagreb	2	1499	30.10%	@ Sibenik	0	1419	44.43%	25.46%
15	2007-11-24	19.56	@ Varteks	3	1381	47.41%	Sibenik	0	1438	27.37%	25.21%
16	2007-12-08	18.76	@ NK Zagreb	7	1464	52.55%	Zadar	2	1480	22.90%	24.54%
17	2007-10-27	17.26	@ Cibalia	2	1411	36.62%	Rijeka	0	1547	37.68%	25.70%
18	2008-04-12	16.73	Hajduk Split	3	1558	30.93%	@ Zadar	1	1471	43.55%	25.52%
19	2008-02-23	16.17	Varteks	2	1390	4.14%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1756	83.86%	12.00%
20	2007-08-25	16.14	@ Zadar	5	1478	56.28%	Osijek	1	1462	19.88%	23.84%
21	2007-08-04	16.11	@ Medimurje	4	1356	48.26%	Varteks	1	1407	26.62%	25.13%
22	2007-09-14	15.82	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1352	54.41%	Medimurje	0	1353	21.38%	24.22%
23	2007-12-08	15.75	@ Osijek	5	1448	56.93%	Cibalia	1	1426	19.37%	23.70%
24	2007-08-19	15.63	@ Slaven Belupo	6	1531	69.22%	Varteks	0	1381	11.04%	19.74%
25	2007-08-04	14.96	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1717	62.63%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1376	15.20%	22.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-09-23	76.3	@ Varteks	4	1351	11.16%	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1763	69.01%	19.83%
2	2007-09-02	72.2	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1540	48.95%	Hajduk Split	2	1585	26.00%	25.05%
3	2008-02-23	71.9	Varteks	2	1390	4.14%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1756	83.86%	12.00%
4	2008-05-03	71.2	@ Hajduk Split	1	1544	24.88%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1773	50.24%	24.89%
5	2007-11-10	70.5	@ Hajduk Split	3	1573	77.01%	Medimurje	3	1320	7.00%	15.99%
6	2008-03-29	70.1	@ Varteks	1	1455	17.90%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1760	58.86%	23.24%
7	2007-10-31	69.0	@ Hajduk Split	2	1566	68.15%	Cibalia	2	1428	11.66%	20.18%
8	2007-08-18	68.7	@ NK Zagreb	2	1514	56.09%	Rijeka	2	1500	20.03%	23.88%
9	2007-11-24	68.7	@ Medimurje	1	1323	9.07%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1782	72.80%	18.13%
10	2008-03-22	67.9	@ Rijeka	2	1528	62.37%	Varteks	2	1453	15.38%	22.25%
11	2008-02-23	67.6	@ Hajduk Split	1	1580	59.28%	Rijeka	1	1537	17.59%	23.13%
12	2007-10-06	67.0	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1529	65.99%	Cibalia	2	1416	12.99%	21.02%
13	2007-12-08	66.9	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1524	22.07%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1781	53.55%	24.37%
14	2007-08-04	66.8	@ Osijek	2	1476	52.53%	Rijeka	2	1493	22.93%	24.55%
15	2008-03-19	66.6	@ NK Zagreb	0	1496	21.60%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1758	54.13%	24.27%
16	2008-04-26	66.0	@ Rijeka	1	1518	48.22%	Hajduk Split	1	1569	26.65%	25.13%
17	2007-09-01	65.8	@ Cibalia	3	1378	45.71%	Sibenik	3	1449	28.92%	25.37%
18	2007-08-04	64.8	@ Zadar	2	1447	52.32%	Sibenik	2	1465	23.10%	24.58%
19	2008-03-22	64.8	@ Cibalia	2	1423	45.16%	NK Zagreb	2	1498	29.43%	25.41%
20	2008-04-19	64.7	Cibalia	2	1400	9.48%	@ Hajduk Split	1	1584	72.01%	18.50%
21	2008-04-19	64.6	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1521	55.04%	Rijeka	1	1516	20.86%	24.10%
22	2008-03-15	64.3	@ Rijeka	1	1529	58.35%	NK Zagreb	1	1494	18.28%	23.36%
23	2007-10-31	63.0	@ Rijeka	1	1530	63.06%	Osijek	1	1449	14.91%	22.03%
24	2008-03-01	62.8	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1740	46.67%	@ Rijeka	2	1539	28.04%	25.29%
25	2008-03-29	62.6	@ Medimurje	2	1268	18.91%	Hajduk Split	2	1560	57.53%	23.56%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-03-22	27.5	@ Slaven Belupo	4	1524	76.81%	Medimurje	0	1274	7.09%	16.10%
2	2008-05-10	29.3	@ Cibalia	3	1416	68.18%	Medimurje	0	1279	11.65%	20.17%
3	2007-12-01	29.9	@ Zadar	4	1469	68.65%	Medimurje	0	1326	11.37%	19.98%
4	2007-09-29	30.1	@ Osijek	4	1434	65.61%	Medimurje	0	1326	13.23%	21.16%
5	2008-04-16	30.2	@ NK Zagreb	6	1518	76.91%	Medimurje	1	1267	7.04%	16.04%
6	2007-08-11	32.7	@ Zadar	3	1446	63.42%	Inter Zapresic	0	1361	14.67%	21.92%
7	2008-02-23	32.8	@ Cibalia	2	1410	65.32%	Medimurje	0	1305	13.42%	21.27%
8	2007-09-22	33.0	@ NK Zagreb	3	1492	67.05%	Inter Zapresic	0	1368	12.33%	20.62%
9	2007-09-14	33.5	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1352	54.41%	Medimurje	0	1353	21.38%	24.22%
10	2007-08-19	33.7	@ Slaven Belupo	6	1531	69.22%	Varteks	0	1381	11.04%	19.74%
11	2007-10-31	34.8	@ Varteks	2	1368	57.91%	Medimurje	0	1337	18.62%	23.47%
12	2008-04-30	34.9	@ Rijeka	5	1517	77.99%	Medimurje	2	1250	6.55%	15.46%
13	2007-07-28	35.0	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1478	66.25%	Medimurje	0	1362	12.83%	20.93%
14	2007-09-29	35.1	@ Zadar	2	1505	68.50%	Varteks	0	1364	11.46%	20.04%
15	2007-07-28	35.9	@ Rijeka	3	1481	61.19%	Cibalia	0	1418	16.21%	22.61%
16	2007-11-24	36.0	@ Cibalia	2	1429	60.16%	Inter Zapresic	0	1377	16.95%	22.90%
17	2008-03-01	36.1	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1540	70.36%	Inter Zapresic	0	1377	10.39%	19.25%
18	2007-10-31	36.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1773	85.70%	Inter Zapresic	0	1370	3.47%	10.83%
19	2008-03-15	36.3	@ Osijek	3	1464	71.59%	Medimurje	1	1285	9.71%	18.70%
20	2007-07-28	36.4	@ Hajduk Split	7	1568	71.82%	Inter Zapresic	1	1387	9.59%	18.59%
21	2008-03-22	36.6	@ Hajduk Split	7	1552	72.29%	Inter Zapresic	2	1364	9.34%	18.37%
22	2008-05-03	36.9	@ Medimurje	4	1246	37.21%	Inter Zapresic	0	1378	37.08%	25.71%
23	2007-11-24	37.8	@ Varteks	3	1381	47.41%	Sibenik	0	1438	27.37%	25.21%
24	2007-09-01	38.0	@ Osijek	1	1446	63.88%	Inter Zapresic	0	1356	14.35%	21.76%
25	2008-04-30	38.3	@ Cibalia	2	1412	54.10%	Sibenik	0	1416	21.63%	24.28%