2008-09 Prva HNL Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

74 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 2007-08

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hajduk Split

11.12 points above expected

68 points · 56.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Croatia Sesvete

16.28 points below expected

25 points · 41.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	33	23	5	5	74	71	26	+45	68.27	+5.73
2	Hajduk Split	33	21	5	7	68	59	25	+34	56.88	+11.12
3	Rijeka	33	17	5	11	56	50	44	+6	47.65	+8.35
4	Slaven Belupo	33	16	7	10	55	46	39	+7	50.39	+4.61
5	NK Zagreb	33	13	8	12	47	38	39	-1	45.30	+1.70
6	Sibenik	33	13	7	13	46	44	35	+9	45.18	+0.82
7	Osijek	33	10	11	12	41	40	41	-1	47.38	-6.38
8	Cibalia	33	10	8	15	38	33	53	-20	36.57	+1.43
9	Inter Zapresic	33	9	9	15	36	41	50	-9	34.75	+1.25
10	Varteks	33	10	5	18	35	41	55	-14	43.27	-8.27
11	Zadar	33	7	8	18	29	28	49	-21	33.72	-4.72
12	Croatia Sesvete*	33	6	8	19	25	31	66	-35	41.28	-16.28

* Point deductions: Croatia Sesvete (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hajduk Split	68	56.88	+11.12
2	Rijeka	56	47.65	+8.35
3	Dinamo Zagreb	74	68.27	+5.73
4	Slaven Belupo	55	50.39	+4.61
5	NK Zagreb	47	45.30	+1.70

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Croatia Sesvete	25	41.28	-16.28
2	Varteks	35	43.27	-8.27
3	Osijek	41	47.38	-6.38
4	Zadar	29	33.72	-4.72
5	Sibenik	46	45.18	+0.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hajduk Split	9	Nov 2 – Mar 8	1 in 996
2	Sibenik	3	Sep 21 – Oct 5	1 in 58
3	Inter Zapresic	2	Nov 9 – Nov 16	1 in 41
4	Dinamo Zagreb	8	Apr 5 – May 17	1 in 31
5	Rijeka	4	Apr 11 – Apr 26	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zadar	6	Aug 17 – Sep 28	1 in 76
2	Varteks	4	May 10 – May 31	1 in 70
3	Cibalia	6	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 69
4	Slaven Belupo	3	Nov 9 – Nov 23	1 in 35
5	NK Zagreb	3	Nov 30 – Feb 22	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sibenik	7	Sep 21 – Nov 9	1 in 56
2	Hajduk Split	11	Nov 2 – Mar 22	1 in 43
3	NK Zagreb	7	Aug 24 – Oct 19	1 in 18
4	Zadar	4	Oct 5 – Nov 2	1 in 16
5	Inter Zapresic	4	May 10 – May 31	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Croatia Sesvete	14	Feb 22 – May 24	1 in 124
2	Osijek	7	Nov 16 – Mar 8	1 in 31
3	Varteks	7	Mar 15 – Apr 26	1 in 25
4	Zadar	9	Jul 27 – Sep 28	1 in 19
5	Rijeka	5	Oct 5 – Nov 16	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1770	74	+11	10	10.1	-0.1
Hajduk Split	1690	68	-14	5	8.9	-3.9
Rijeka	1576	56	-11	9	6.7	+2.3
Slaven Belupo	1585	55	+14	10	6.6	+3.4
NK Zagreb	1549	47	+15	10	7.7	+2.3
Sibenik	1555	46	-24	3	5.9	-2.9
Osijek	1536	41	-11	6	7.6	-1.6
Cibalia	1456	38	+12	9	6.5	+2.5
Inter Zapresic	1474	36	+56	10	5.5	+4.5
Varteks	1465	35	-17	3	6.3	-3.3
Zadar	1431	29	+0	5	5.9	-0.9
Croatia Sesvete	1411	26	-31	5	5.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CIB	CS	DZ	HS	IZ	NZ	OSI	RIJ	SIB	SB	VAR	ZAD
Cibalia	—	2-1-0 4.10	0-1-2 2.07	0-1-2 2.14	2-1-0 3.97	0-1-2 3.07	0-1-2 3.76	1-0-2 2.84	2-0-1 3.85	0-2-1 2.91	2-0-1 4.15	1-0-2 4.17
Croatia Sesvete	0-1-2 4.23	—	0-0-3 2.68	1-0-2 2.71	0-0-3 5.49	0-2-1 3.44	0-2-1 4.30	0-0-3 3.54	1-1-1 4.52	0-1-2 3.24	2-0-1 4.42	2-1-0 4.27
Dinamo Zagreb	2-1-0 6.34	3-0-0 5.69	—	0-1-2 4.82	3-0-0 6.94	1-1-1 6.37	2-1-0 6.14	2-0-1 6.13	2-1-0 5.61	2-0-1 6.11	3-0-0 6.01	3-0-0 6.91
Hajduk Split	2-1-0 6.26	2-0-1 5.73	2-1-0 3.54	—	2-1-0 5.95	2-0-1 5.20	2-0-1 4.50	1-0-2 4.46	3-0-0 5.37	2-1-0 4.27	1-1-1 5.46	2-0-1 5.60
Inter Zapresic	0-1-2 4.37	3-0-0 2.86	0-0-3 1.56	0-1-2 2.43	—	1-1-1 2.69	0-1-2 2.74	2-1-0 3.15	0-1-2 2.89	1-1-1 3.06	1-0-2 3.19	1-2-0 4.49
NK Zagreb	2-1-0 5.28	1-2-0 4.92	1-1-1 2.07	1-0-2 3.18	1-1-1 5.67	—	3-0-0 4.32	1-1-1 3.64	0-1-2 4.02	1-0-2 3.46	1-0-2 4.12	1-1-1 5.71
Osijek	2-1-0 4.57	1-2-0 4.02	0-1-2 2.27	1-0-2 3.85	2-1-0 5.64	0-0-3 4.01	—	0-2-1 4.39	0-1-2 3.85	0-1-2 4.36	2-1-0 4.31	2-1-0 5.63
Rijeka	2-0-1 5.54	3-0-0 4.81	1-0-2 2.27	2-0-1 3.87	0-1-2 5.20	1-1-1 4.69	1-2-0 3.94	—	1-0-2 3.89	2-0-1 4.46	2-1-0 4.93	2-0-1 5.04
Sibenik	1-0-2 4.49	1-1-1 3.80	0-1-2 2.75	0-0-3 3.00	2-1-0 5.48	2-1-0 4.32	2-1-0 4.49	2-0-1 4.46	—	1-0-2 3.49	1-1-1 4.04	1-1-1 5.43
Slaven Belupo	1-2-0 5.46	2-1-0 5.10	1-0-2 2.29	0-1-2 4.04	1-1-1 5.29	2-0-1 4.87	2-1-0 3.96	1-0-2 3.87	2-0-1 4.83	—	2-0-1 5.18	2-1-0 5.10
Varteks	1-0-2 4.17	1-0-2 3.91	0-0-3 2.38	1-1-1 2.93	2-0-1 5.16	2-0-1 4.22	0-1-2 4.03	0-1-2 3.40	1-1-1 4.28	1-0-2 3.17	—	1-1-1 5.47
Zadar	2-0-1 4.17	0-1-2 4.07	0-0-3 1.58	1-0-2 2.76	0-2-1 3.83	1-1-1 2.67	0-1-2 2.74	1-0-2 3.30	1-1-1 2.93	0-1-2 3.24	1-1-1 2.89	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+11.7
Allowed	0.79	-11.2
Differential	0.93	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.07%	10.10%	6.57%	3.28%	2.53%	0.51%	30.05%
1	10.10%	9.60%	7.58%	4.04%	0.51%	0.76%	32.58%
2	6.57%	7.58%	4.04%	2.02%	0.51%	0.25%	20.96%
3	3.28%	4.04%	2.02%	1.01%	0.51%	—	10.86%
4	2.53%	0.51%	0.51%	0.51%	—	—	4.04%
5+	0.51%	0.76%	0.25%	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	30.05%	32.58%	20.96%	10.86%	4.04%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.32	+0.00
SD	1.24	1.24	1.87
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	45.45%
1	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	39.39%	15.15%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.61	-0.61
SD	1.17	1.46	1.98
CV	1.17	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	12.12%	—	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	36.36%
1	6.06%	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	42.42%
2	—	6.06%	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	15.15%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	6.06%	18.18%	12.12%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.00	-1.06
SD	0.97	1.70	2.03
CV	1.03	0.85	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	18.18%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
5+	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	48.48%	27.27%	21.21%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	0.79	+1.36
SD	1.72	0.89	1.97
CV	0.80	1.13	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
1	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
2	27.27%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	39.39%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	48.48%	36.36%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.79	0.76	+1.03
SD	1.22	0.94	1.76
CV	0.68	1.24	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	30.30%
1	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	—	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	12.12%
3	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	21.21%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	33.33%	18.18%	15.15%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.52	-0.27
SD	1.12	1.28	1.61
CV	0.90	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	—	30.30%
1	15.15%	12.12%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	42.42%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	27.27%	24.24%	6.06%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.18	-0.03
SD	1.12	1.18	1.90
CV	0.97	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
1	9.09%	15.15%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	45.45%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	27.27%	33.33%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.24	-0.03
SD	1.02	1.06	1.36
CV	0.84	0.85	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	27.27%
1	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	24.24%
2	9.09%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	27.27%	33.33%	21.21%	15.15%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.33	+0.18
SD	1.37	1.14	1.88
CV	0.91	0.85	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	27.27%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.06	+0.27
SD	1.31	0.93	1.86
CV	0.99	0.88	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
1	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
2	6.06%	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	27.27%
3	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.18	+0.21
SD	1.32	1.29	1.78
CV	0.95	1.09	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	27.27%
1	6.06%	3.03%	21.21%	—	3.03%	3.03%	36.36%
2	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	21.21%
3	6.06%	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	24.24%	36.36%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.67	-0.42
SD	1.03	1.36	1.71
CV	0.83	0.82	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	15.15%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	42.42%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	24.24%	21.21%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.48	-0.64
SD	0.91	1.03	1.37
CV	1.07	0.70	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1770	74	68.27	+5.73	77.0%	50	56	63	68	74	78	85
Hajduk Split	1690	68	56.88	+11.12	93.0%	39	44	52	56	62	71	74
Slaven Belupo	1585	55	50.39	+4.61	76.0%	33	39	45	50	55	61	68
Rijeka	1576	56	47.65	+8.35	86.0%	25	34	41	48	54	60	66
Sibenik	1555	46	45.18	+0.82	55.0%	24	31	39	45	51	58	63
NK Zagreb	1549	47	45.30	+1.70	66.0%	32	36	40	45	49	58	68
Osijek	1536	41	47.38	-6.38	22.0%	30	36	42	46	53	59	61
Inter Zapresic	1474	36	34.75	+1.25	62.0%	19	25	30	35	38	45	54
Varteks	1465	35	43.27	-8.27	15.0%	27	32	38	44	48	53	60
Cibalia	1456	38	36.57	+1.43	68.0%	22	26	33	36	40	50	60
Zadar	1431	29	33.72	-4.72	25.0%	16	22	29	34	37	45	54
Croatia Sesvete	1411	25	41.28	-16.28	2.0%	23	30	36	42	46	52	57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+27.78%

Clear Edge

53.03%21.72%25.25%

Elo Value

Home Edge

173 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

099.11500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.58 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

79%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Tight Race

00.300.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.42 * Wild Swing: 11.42 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.16 * Off: 2.16 to 2.88 * Way Off: 2.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.37 points

Some Luck

07.1418

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

01.804

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Hajduk Split

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Croatia Sesvete

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Even

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 106.42

1.95

Moderate Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.47

Weak Carryover

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.62

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dinamo Zagreb	79.00%	14.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hajduk Split	13.00%	42.00%	17.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Rijeka	1.00%	13.00%	16.00%	12.00%	17.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Slaven Belupo	4.00%	10.00%	24.00%	17.00%	10.00%	17.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
NK Zagreb	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	10.00%	17.00%	9.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%
Sibenik	—	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Osijek	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	17.00%	17.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Cibalia	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	13.00%	16.00%	32.00%	14.00%
Inter Zapresic	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	7.00%	27.00%	18.00%	28.00%
Varteks	—	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	12.00%	15.00%	19.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Zadar	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	17.00%	18.00%	39.00%
Croatia Sesvete	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	16.00%	13.00%	16.00%	12.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Cibalia	86.00%	14.00%
Croatia Sesvete	95.00%	5.00%
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—
Inter Zapresic	72.00%	28.00%
NK Zagreb	99.00%	1.00%
Osijek	98.00%	2.00%
Rijeka	98.00%	2.00%
Sibenik	96.00%	4.00%
Slaven Belupo	100%	—
Varteks	95.00%	5.00%
Zadar	61.00%	39.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2008-07-27	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	57.3	1516	1556	46.76%	22.76%	30.48%	+0.34	+5.8	3
2008-07-27	@ Varteks	L 1-2	57.3	1556	1516	30.48%	22.76%	46.76%	-0.34	-5.8	0
2008-07-27	Osijek	D 1-1	68.9	1574	1557	53.90%	22.01%	24.09%	+0.67	-1.2	1
2008-07-27	@ Croatia Sesvete	D 1-1	68.9	1557	1574	24.09%	22.01%	53.90%	-0.67	+1.2	1
2008-07-27	Rijeka	W 2-0	46.7	1698	1553	67.35%	18.92%	13.73%	+1.41	+5.5	3
2008-07-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	46.7	1553	1698	13.73%	18.92%	67.35%	-1.41	-5.5	0
2008-07-27	Sibenik	L 2-3	61.7	1440	1498	44.33%	22.90%	32.77%	+0.24	-7.4	0
2008-07-27	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-2	61.7	1498	1440	32.77%	22.90%	44.33%	-0.24	+7.4	3
2008-07-27	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	61.5	1499	1560	43.86%	22.92%	33.22%	+0.22	-0.5	1
2008-07-27	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	61.5	1560	1499	33.22%	22.92%	43.86%	-0.22	+0.5	1
2008-07-27	Zadar	W 1-0	46.4	1564	1483	61.09%	20.67%	18.24%	+1.04	+3.9	3
2008-07-27	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	46.4	1483	1564	18.24%	20.67%	61.09%	-1.04	-3.9	0
2008-08-03	Cibalia	W 2-0	44.0	1559	1498	58.93%	21.14%	19.92%	+0.92	+7.9	4
2008-08-03	@ Osijek	L 0-2	44.0	1498	1559	19.92%	21.14%	58.93%	-0.92	-7.9	1
2008-08-03	Croatia Sesvete	L 0-1	55.6	1505	1573	42.95%	22.96%	34.09%	+0.18	-8.0	3
2008-08-03	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	55.6	1573	1505	34.09%	22.96%	42.95%	-0.18	+8.0	4
2008-08-03	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	47.0	1704	1433	77.32%	14.89%	7.79%	+2.14	+2.5	6
2008-08-03	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	47.0	1433	1704	7.79%	14.89%	77.32%	-2.14	-2.5	0
2008-08-03	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	58.6	1548	1550	51.62%	22.31%	26.07%	+0.56	-9.4	0
2008-08-03	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	58.6	1550	1548	26.07%	22.31%	51.62%	-0.56	+9.4	3
2008-08-03	Varteks	D 1-1	67.8	1568	1522	57.34%	21.45%	21.21%	+0.84	-1.5	4
2008-08-03	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	67.8	1522	1568	21.21%	21.45%	57.34%	-0.84	+1.5	4
2008-08-03	Zadar	W 2-1	51.8	1560	1480	61.12%	20.66%	18.22%	+1.04	+3.6	4
2008-08-03	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	51.8	1480	1560	18.22%	20.66%	61.12%	-1.04	-3.6	0
2008-08-09	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	58.2	1581	1706	34.78%	22.98%	42.24%	-0.15	-6.8	4
2008-08-09	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 1-0	58.2	1706	1581	42.24%	22.98%	34.78%	+0.15	+6.8	9
2008-08-10	Hajduk Split	W 3-0	46.6	1559	1566	51.03%	22.38%	26.59%	+0.53	+14.9	6
2008-08-10	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-3	46.6	1566	1559	26.59%	22.38%	51.03%	-0.53	-15.0	4
2008-08-10	Osijek	D 2-2	71.5	1476	1566	39.71%	23.03%	37.26%	+0.05	-0.1	1
2008-08-10	@ Zadar	D 2-2	71.5	1566	1476	37.26%	23.03%	39.71%	-0.05	+0.1	5
2008-08-10	Rijeka	D 2-2	68.8	1430	1538	37.15%	23.03%	39.82%	-0.05	+0.1	1
2008-08-10	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	68.8	1538	1430	39.82%	23.03%	37.15%	+0.05	-0.1	1
2008-08-10	Sibenik	W 2-0	43.8	1490	1497	51.07%	22.37%	26.56%	+0.54	+10.3	4
2008-08-10	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	43.8	1497	1490	26.56%	22.37%	51.07%	-0.54	-10.3	3
2008-08-10	Slaven Belupo	L 2-3	67.8	1523	1564	46.65%	22.77%	30.59%	+0.34	-7.7	4
2008-08-10	@ Varteks	W 3-2	67.8	1564	1523	30.59%	22.77%	46.65%	-0.34	+7.7	7
2008-08-17	Cibalia	W 6-0	43.2	1713	1501	73.02%	16.81%	10.16%	+1.80	+11.0	12
2008-08-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-6	43.2	1501	1713	10.16%	16.81%	73.02%	-1.80	-11.0	4
2008-08-17	Croatia Sesvete	W 3-2	64.2	1430	1574	32.37%	22.88%	44.76%	-0.26	+7.4	4
2008-08-17	@ Inter Zapresic	L 2-3	64.2	1574	1430	44.76%	22.88%	32.37%	+0.26	-7.4	4
2008-08-17	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	53.6	1538	1551	50.26%	22.46%	27.28%	+0.50	+9.1	4
2008-08-17	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	53.6	1551	1538	27.28%	22.46%	50.26%	-0.50	-9.1	4
2008-08-17	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	49.1	1572	1574	51.55%	22.32%	26.13%	+0.56	+10.1	10
2008-08-17	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	49.1	1574	1572	26.13%	22.32%	51.55%	-0.56	-10.1	6
2008-08-17	Varteks	W 2-1	54.3	1567	1516	57.90%	21.35%	20.75%	+0.87	+4.1	8
2008-08-17	@ Osijek	L 1-2	54.3	1516	1567	20.75%	21.35%	57.90%	-0.87	-4.1	4
2008-08-17	Zadar	W 1-0	45.6	1487	1476	53.22%	22.11%	24.68%	+0.64	+5.1	6
2008-08-17	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	45.6	1476	1487	24.68%	22.11%	53.22%	-0.64	-5.1	1
2008-08-23	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	62.5	1471	1724	20.39%	21.26%	58.35%	-0.89	-3.8	1
2008-08-23	@ Zadar	W 3-2	62.5	1724	1471	58.35%	21.26%	20.39%	+0.89	+3.8	15
2008-08-23	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	55.8	1542	1582	46.79%	22.76%	30.46%	+0.35	+10.0	7
2008-08-23	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	55.8	1582	1542	30.46%	22.76%	46.79%	-0.35	-10.0	10
2008-08-24	Inter Zapresic	W 4-3	56.2	1490	1438	58.04%	21.32%	20.64%	+0.88	+3.8	7
2008-08-24	@ Cibalia	L 3-4	56.2	1438	1490	20.64%	21.32%	58.04%	-0.88	-3.8	4
2008-08-24	Osijek	W 2-1	58.0	1564	1571	51.08%	22.37%	26.55%	+0.54	+5.1	9
2008-08-24	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	58.0	1571	1564	26.55%	22.37%	51.08%	-0.54	-5.1	8
2008-08-24	Rijeka	L 0-1	59.8	1566	1547	54.19%	21.97%	23.84%	+0.68	-9.8	4
2008-08-24	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 1-0	59.8	1547	1566	23.84%	21.97%	54.19%	-0.68	+9.8	7
2008-08-24	Sibenik	W 2-1	52.5	1512	1492	54.31%	21.95%	23.74%	+0.69	+4.7	7
2008-08-24	@ Varteks	L 1-2	52.5	1492	1512	23.74%	21.95%	54.31%	-0.69	-4.7	6
2008-08-31	Cibalia	D 1-1	66.5	1557	1493	59.25%	21.08%	19.67%	+0.94	-1.6	5
2008-08-31	@ Croatia Sesvete	D 1-1	66.5	1493	1557	19.67%	21.08%	59.25%	-0.94	+1.7	8
2008-08-31	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	65.5	1566	1552	53.53%	22.07%	24.41%	+0.65	-9.1	8
2008-08-31	@ Osijek	W 2-1	65.5	1552	1566	24.41%	22.07%	53.53%	-0.65	+9.1	10
2008-08-31	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	66.2	1487	1569	40.89%	23.01%	36.10%	+0.10	-0.2	7
2008-08-31	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	66.2	1569	1487	36.10%	23.01%	40.89%	-0.10	+0.2	10
2008-08-31	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	49.1	1557	1572	50.06%	22.48%	27.46%	+0.49	+10.6	10
2008-08-31	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	49.1	1572	1557	27.46%	22.48%	50.06%	-0.49	-10.6	10
2008-08-31	Varteks	W 2-1	54.0	1728	1516	72.97%	16.84%	10.19%	+1.80	+2.0	18
2008-08-31	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	54.0	1516	1728	10.19%	16.84%	72.97%	-1.80	-2.0	7
2008-08-31	Zadar	W 3-1	47.6	1434	1467	47.63%	22.69%	29.68%	+0.38	+9.8	7
2008-08-31	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-3	47.6	1467	1434	29.68%	22.69%	47.63%	-0.38	-9.8	1
2008-09-14	Croatia Sesvete	L 1-2	57.7	1457	1555	38.68%	23.03%	38.29%	+0.01	-7.0	1
2008-09-14	@ Zadar	W 2-1	57.7	1555	1457	38.29%	23.03%	38.68%	-0.01	+7.0	8
2008-09-14	Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	78.1	1570	1730	30.27%	22.74%	46.99%	-0.35	+0.5	11
2008-09-14	@ NK Zagreb	D 2-2	78.1	1730	1570	46.99%	22.74%	30.27%	+0.35	-0.5	19
2008-09-14	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	43.4	1514	1443	60.07%	20.90%	19.03%	+0.98	+4.0	10
2008-09-14	@ Varteks	L 0-1	43.4	1443	1514	19.03%	20.90%	60.07%	-0.98	-4.0	7
2008-09-14	Osijek	W 4-2	57.7	1561	1556	52.48%	22.20%	25.32%	+0.60	+7.6	13
2008-09-14	@ Slaven Belupo	L 2-4	57.7	1556	1561	25.32%	22.20%	52.48%	-0.60	-7.6	8
2008-09-14	Rijeka	W 3-1	55.1	1495	1568	42.23%	22.98%	34.79%	+0.15	+11.1	11
2008-09-14	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	55.1	1568	1495	34.79%	22.98%	42.23%	-0.15	-11.1	10
2008-09-14	Sibenik	W 1-0	46.6	1561	1487	60.46%	20.81%	18.73%	+1.01	+4.0	13
2008-09-14	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	46.6	1487	1561	18.73%	20.81%	60.46%	-1.01	-4.0	7
2008-09-21	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	63.8	1729	1565	69.05%	18.34%	12.61%	+1.52	-22.8	19
2008-09-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	63.8	1565	1729	12.61%	18.34%	69.05%	-1.52	+22.8	16
2008-09-21	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	64.4	1439	1570	34.10%	22.96%	42.94%	-0.18	+0.3	8
2008-09-21	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	64.4	1570	1439	42.94%	22.96%	34.10%	+0.18	-0.3	12
2008-09-21	Osijek	D 0-0	63.3	1557	1549	52.87%	22.15%	24.98%	+0.62	-1.3	11
2008-09-21	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	63.3	1549	1557	24.98%	22.15%	52.87%	-0.62	+1.3	9
2008-09-21	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	47.4	1483	1569	40.38%	23.02%	36.60%	+0.08	+19.4	10
2008-09-21	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	47.4	1569	1483	36.60%	23.02%	40.38%	-0.08	-19.4	13
2008-09-21	Varteks	W 4-0	43.0	1562	1518	57.08%	21.50%	21.42%	+0.83	+16.1	11
2008-09-21	@ Croatia Sesvete	L 0-4	43.0	1518	1562	21.42%	21.50%	57.08%	-0.83	-16.1	10
2008-09-21	Zadar	W 1-0	43.8	1506	1450	58.47%	21.24%	20.29%	+0.90	+4.3	14
2008-09-21	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	43.8	1450	1506	20.29%	21.24%	58.47%	-0.90	-4.3	1
2008-09-26	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	57.8	1549	1706	30.66%	22.77%	46.57%	-0.34	+16.2	16
2008-09-26	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	57.8	1706	1549	46.57%	22.77%	30.66%	+0.34	-16.2	19
2008-09-28	Cibalia	W 3-0	42.8	1502	1510	50.84%	22.40%	26.76%	+0.53	+15.0	13
2008-09-28	@ Varteks	L 0-3	42.8	1510	1502	26.76%	22.40%	50.84%	-0.53	-15.0	14
2008-09-28	Croatia Sesvete	D 1-1	69.3	1570	1578	50.85%	22.40%	26.76%	+0.53	-1.0	13
2008-09-28	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	69.3	1578	1570	26.76%	22.40%	50.85%	-0.53	+1.0	12
2008-09-28	Inter Zapresic	D 3-3	76.1	1588	1440	67.67%	18.81%	13.52%	+1.43	-1.4	17
2008-09-28	@ Hajduk Split	D 3-3	76.1	1440	1588	13.52%	18.81%	67.67%	-1.43	+1.4	9
2008-09-28	Rijeka	L 0-3	45.6	1446	1555	36.99%	23.03%	39.98%	-0.06	-19.6	1
2008-09-28	@ Zadar	W 3-0	45.6	1555	1446	39.98%	23.03%	36.99%	+0.06	+19.6	14
2008-09-28	Sibenik	L 1-3	61.1	1550	1502	57.54%	21.41%	21.04%	+0.85	-16.8	9
2008-09-28	@ Osijek	W 3-1	61.1	1502	1550	21.04%	21.41%	57.54%	-0.85	+16.8	13
2008-10-05	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	53.2	1579	1587	50.93%	22.39%	26.68%	+0.53	+5.5	15
2008-10-05	@ Croatia Sesvete	L 0-1	53.2	1587	1579	26.68%	22.39%	50.93%	-0.53	-5.5	17
2008-10-05	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	54.9	1495	1569	42.16%	22.98%	34.86%	+0.15	-7.9	14
2008-10-05	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	54.9	1569	1495	34.86%	22.98%	42.16%	-0.15	+7.9	16
2008-10-05	Osijek	W 1-0	49.3	1690	1533	68.45%	18.55%	13.00%	+1.48	+2.7	22
2008-10-05	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	49.3	1533	1690	13.00%	18.55%	68.45%	-1.48	-2.7	9
2008-10-05	Sibenik	L 0-1	60.3	1575	1519	58.45%	21.24%	20.31%	+0.90	-10.5	14
2008-10-05	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	60.3	1519	1575	20.31%	21.24%	58.45%	-0.90	+10.5	16
2008-10-05	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	59.6	1441	1566	34.94%	22.98%	42.07%	-0.15	+0.3	10
2008-10-05	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	59.6	1566	1441	42.07%	22.98%	34.94%	+0.15	-0.3	17
2008-10-05	Varteks	W 1-0	49.0	1426	1517	39.67%	23.03%	37.30%	+0.05	+7.2	4
2008-10-05	@ Zadar	L 0-1	49.0	1517	1426	37.30%	23.03%	39.67%	-0.05	-7.2	13
2008-10-19	Cibalia	W 2-0	43.4	1581	1488	62.45%	20.34%	17.21%	+1.12	+6.9	20
2008-10-19	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	43.4	1488	1581	17.21%	20.34%	62.45%	-1.12	-6.9	14
2008-10-19	Croatia Sesvete	W 4-0	47.4	1565	1584	49.46%	22.54%	28.00%	+0.46	+20.4	20
2008-10-19	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-4	47.4	1584	1565	28.00%	22.54%	49.46%	-0.46	-20.4	15
2008-10-19	Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	76.9	1530	1693	29.88%	22.71%	47.41%	-0.37	+0.5	17
2008-10-19	@ Sibenik	D 2-2	76.9	1693	1530	47.41%	22.71%	29.88%	+0.37	-0.5	23
2008-10-19	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	49.1	1530	1442	61.97%	20.46%	17.57%	+1.09	+3.5	12
2008-10-19	@ Osijek	L 1-2	49.1	1442	1530	17.57%	20.46%	61.97%	-1.09	-3.5	10
2008-10-19	Rijeka	D 3-3	76.5	1510	1565	44.75%	22.88%	32.37%	+0.26	-0.3	14
2008-10-19	@ Varteks	D 3-3	76.5	1565	1510	32.37%	22.88%	44.75%	-0.26	+0.3	15
2008-10-19	Zadar	D 0-0	60.9	1577	1434	67.20%	18.97%	13.83%	+1.40	-2.6	17
2008-10-19	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	60.9	1434	1577	13.83%	18.97%	67.20%	-1.40	+2.6	5
2008-10-26	Cibalia	W 1-0	46.3	1586	1481	63.59%	20.04%	16.37%	+1.18	+3.5	23
2008-10-26	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	46.3	1481	1586	16.37%	20.04%	63.59%	-1.18	-3.5	14
2008-10-26	Croatia Sesvete	W 4-2	58.4	1534	1564	48.05%	22.66%	29.29%	+0.40	+8.7	15
2008-10-26	@ Osijek	L 2-4	58.4	1564	1534	29.29%	22.66%	48.05%	-0.40	-8.6	15
2008-10-26	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	54.5	1436	1588	31.30%	22.81%	45.88%	-0.31	+8.5	8
2008-10-26	@ Zadar	L 0-1	54.5	1588	1436	45.88%	22.81%	31.30%	+0.31	-8.5	20
2008-10-26	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	63.7	1530	1438	62.30%	20.38%	17.33%	+1.11	-1.9	18
2008-10-26	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	63.7	1438	1530	17.33%	20.38%	62.30%	-1.11	+1.9	11
2008-10-26	Varteks	L 0-3	54.7	1574	1510	59.38%	21.05%	19.57%	+0.95	-29.0	17
2008-10-26	@ NK Zagreb	W 3-0	54.7	1510	1574	19.57%	21.05%	59.38%	-0.95	+29.0	17
2008-11-02	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	52.6	1440	1693	20.44%	21.27%	58.28%	-0.89	-7.0	11
2008-11-02	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	52.6	1693	1440	58.28%	21.27%	20.44%	+0.89	+7.0	26
2008-11-02	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	54.6	1539	1580	46.61%	22.77%	30.63%	+0.34	-16.2	17
2008-11-02	@ Varteks	W 2-0	54.6	1580	1539	30.63%	22.77%	46.61%	-0.34	+16.2	23
2008-11-02	Osijek	L 0-3	48.2	1477	1543	43.25%	22.94%	33.81%	+0.19	-22.1	14
2008-11-02	@ Cibalia	W 3-0	48.2	1543	1477	33.81%	22.94%	43.25%	-0.19	+22.1	18
2008-11-02	Rijeka	D 1-1	68.1	1545	1565	49.37%	22.55%	28.08%	+0.46	-0.8	18
2008-11-02	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	68.1	1565	1545	28.08%	22.55%	49.37%	-0.46	+0.9	16
2008-11-02	Sibenik	D 0-0	62.7	1555	1528	55.18%	21.82%	23.00%	+0.73	-1.5	16
2008-11-02	@ Croatia Sesvete	D 0-0	62.7	1528	1555	23.00%	21.82%	55.18%	-0.73	+1.5	19
2008-11-02	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	65.4	1445	1589	32.25%	22.87%	44.88%	-0.26	+0.5	9
2008-11-02	@ Zadar	D 1-1	65.4	1589	1445	44.88%	22.87%	32.25%	+0.26	-0.5	24
2008-11-09	Cibalia	W 4-0	38.5	1530	1455	60.48%	20.81%	18.71%	+1.01	+14.2	22
2008-11-09	@ Sibenik	L 0-4	38.5	1455	1530	18.71%	20.81%	60.48%	-1.01	-14.2	14
2008-11-09	Croatia Sesvete	W 6-1	47.4	1700	1554	67.43%	18.89%	13.68%	+1.42	+10.6	29
2008-11-09	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-6	47.4	1554	1700	13.68%	18.89%	67.43%	-1.42	-10.6	16
2008-11-09	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	58.6	1566	1433	66.26%	19.27%	14.48%	+1.34	-11.7	16
2008-11-09	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	58.6	1433	1566	14.48%	19.27%	66.26%	-1.34	+11.7	14
2008-11-09	NK Zagreb	W 4-0	44.6	1596	1544	57.98%	21.33%	20.69%	+0.87	+15.6	26
2008-11-09	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	44.6	1544	1596	20.69%	21.33%	57.98%	-0.87	-15.6	18
2008-11-09	Varteks	L 2-3	71.9	1589	1522	59.57%	21.01%	19.42%	+0.96	-9.5	24
2008-11-09	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-2	71.9	1522	1589	19.42%	21.01%	59.57%	-0.96	+9.5	20
2008-11-09	Zadar	W 3-0	38.4	1565	1445	65.02%	19.64%	15.34%	+1.27	+8.9	21
2008-11-09	@ Osijek	L 0-3	38.4	1445	1565	15.34%	19.64%	65.02%	-1.27	-8.9	9
2008-11-16	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	69.8	1441	1710	19.01%	20.90%	60.10%	-0.99	+1.7	15
2008-11-16	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	69.8	1710	1441	60.10%	20.90%	19.01%	+0.99	-1.7	30
2008-11-16	Inter Zapresic	L 1-3	60.0	1543	1445	62.97%	20.20%	16.83%	+1.15	-18.2	16
2008-11-16	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 3-1	60.0	1445	1543	16.83%	20.20%	62.97%	-1.15	+18.2	17
2008-11-16	Osijek	D 0-0	63.2	1532	1574	46.50%	22.78%	30.73%	+0.33	-0.7	21
2008-11-16	@ Varteks	D 0-0	63.2	1574	1532	30.73%	22.78%	46.50%	-0.33	+0.7	22
2008-11-16	Rijeka	W 2-0	47.5	1611	1554	58.61%	21.21%	20.18%	+0.91	+8.0	29
2008-11-16	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.5	1554	1611	20.18%	21.21%	58.61%	-0.91	-8.0	16
2008-11-16	Sibenik	W 1-0	51.0	1436	1544	37.25%	23.03%	39.73%	-0.05	+7.6	12
2008-11-16	@ Zadar	L 0-1	51.0	1544	1436	39.73%	23.03%	37.25%	+0.05	-7.6	22
2008-11-16	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	49.8	1529	1579	45.30%	22.85%	31.86%	+0.28	+12.0	21
2008-11-16	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	49.8	1579	1529	31.86%	22.85%	45.30%	-0.28	-12.0	24
2008-11-19	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	61.4	1546	1708	30.00%	22.72%	47.28%	-0.37	+8.7	19
2008-11-19	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	61.4	1708	1546	47.28%	22.72%	30.00%	+0.37	-8.7	30
2008-11-23	Cibalia	L 1-2	58.2	1463	1443	54.35%	21.95%	23.70%	+0.69	-9.2	17
2008-11-23	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	58.2	1443	1463	23.70%	21.95%	54.35%	-0.69	+9.2	18
2008-11-23	Croatia Sesvete	W 2-1	55.0	1555	1525	55.47%	21.78%	22.76%	+0.75	+4.5	22
2008-11-23	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	55.0	1525	1555	22.76%	21.78%	55.47%	-0.75	-4.5	16
2008-11-23	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	65.1	1567	1619	45.07%	22.86%	32.06%	+0.27	-7.9	24
2008-11-23	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	65.1	1619	1567	32.06%	22.86%	45.07%	-0.27	+7.9	32
2008-11-23	NK Zagreb	L 0-2	56.9	1574	1541	55.96%	21.69%	22.35%	+0.77	-19.0	22
2008-11-23	@ Osijek	W 2-0	56.9	1541	1574	22.35%	21.69%	55.96%	-0.77	+19.0	24
2008-11-23	Varteks	W 2-0	46.3	1536	1531	52.51%	22.20%	25.29%	+0.60	+9.8	25
2008-11-23	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	46.3	1531	1536	25.29%	22.20%	52.51%	-0.60	-9.8	21
2008-11-23	Zadar	W 2-0	41.6	1700	1444	76.28%	15.38%	8.34%	+2.06	+3.2	33
2008-11-23	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	41.6	1444	1700	8.34%	15.38%	76.28%	-2.06	-3.2	12
2008-11-30	Croatia Sesvete	W 3-1	51.6	1452	1521	42.79%	22.96%	34.25%	+0.18	+11.0	21
2008-11-30	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	51.6	1521	1452	34.25%	22.96%	42.79%	-0.18	-11.0	16
2008-11-30	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	54.9	1521	1703	27.73%	22.51%	49.77%	-0.48	-5.7	21
2008-11-30	@ Varteks	W 1-0	54.9	1703	1521	49.77%	22.51%	27.73%	+0.48	+5.6	36
2008-11-30	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	60.5	1440	1454	50.24%	22.46%	27.30%	+0.50	-0.9	13
2008-11-30	@ Zadar	D 1-1	60.5	1454	1440	27.30%	22.46%	50.24%	-0.50	+0.9	18
2008-11-30	Osijek	W 3-1	53.4	1627	1555	60.18%	20.88%	18.94%	+0.99	+6.5	35
2008-11-30	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	53.4	1555	1627	18.94%	20.88%	60.18%	-0.99	-6.5	22
2008-11-30	Rijeka	W 2-1	57.3	1559	1559	51.90%	22.28%	25.82%	+0.57	+5.0	27
2008-11-30	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	57.3	1559	1559	25.82%	22.28%	51.90%	-0.57	-5.0	22
2008-11-30	Sibenik	L 0-4	53.6	1560	1546	53.52%	22.07%	24.41%	+0.65	-34.6	24
2008-11-30	@ NK Zagreb	W 4-0	53.6	1546	1560	24.41%	22.07%	53.52%	-0.65	+34.6	28
2008-12-07	Cibalia	W 1-0	44.9	1554	1463	62.22%	20.40%	17.39%	+1.10	+3.7	25
2008-12-07	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	44.9	1463	1554	17.39%	20.40%	62.22%	-1.10	-3.7	21
2008-12-07	Hajduk Split	L 1-2	65.7	1581	1634	44.96%	22.87%	32.17%	+0.27	-7.9	28
2008-12-07	@ Sibenik	W 2-1	65.7	1634	1581	32.17%	22.87%	44.96%	-0.27	+7.9	38
2008-12-07	NK Zagreb	W 3-1	51.3	1709	1525	70.72%	17.73%	11.55%	+1.64	+4.0	39
2008-12-07	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	51.3	1525	1709	11.55%	17.73%	70.72%	-1.64	-4.0	24
2008-12-07	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	63.5	1549	1564	49.94%	22.49%	27.57%	+0.48	-1.0	23
2008-12-07	@ Osijek	D 0-0	63.5	1564	1549	27.57%	22.49%	49.94%	-0.48	+1.0	28
2008-12-07	Varteks	L 2-3	62.7	1454	1516	43.82%	22.92%	33.26%	+0.22	-7.3	18
2008-12-07	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-2	62.7	1516	1454	33.26%	22.92%	43.82%	-0.22	+7.3	24
2008-12-07	Zadar	W 3-1	45.6	1510	1440	60.00%	20.92%	19.09%	+0.98	+6.6	19
2008-12-07	@ Croatia Sesvete	L 1-3	45.6	1440	1510	19.09%	20.92%	60.00%	-0.98	-6.6	13
2009-02-22	Cibalia	W 2-1	50.3	1433	1459	48.55%	22.62%	28.83%	+0.42	+5.5	16
2009-02-22	@ Zadar	L 1-2	50.3	1459	1433	28.83%	22.62%	48.55%	-0.42	-5.5	21
2009-02-22	Croatia Sesvete	W 2-1	54.3	1523	1516	52.74%	22.17%	25.09%	+0.61	+4.9	27
2009-02-22	@ Varteks	L 1-2	54.3	1516	1523	25.09%	22.17%	52.74%	-0.61	-4.9	19
2009-02-22	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-0	55.5	1642	1712	42.50%	22.97%	34.53%	+0.16	+12.8	41
2009-02-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	55.5	1712	1642	34.53%	22.97%	42.50%	-0.16	-12.8	39
2009-02-22	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	56.1	1521	1447	60.39%	20.83%	18.78%	+1.00	-10.8	24
2009-02-22	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	56.1	1447	1521	18.78%	20.83%	60.39%	-1.00	+10.8	21
2009-02-22	Rijeka	D 2-2	73.9	1548	1558	50.63%	22.42%	26.95%	+0.52	-0.7	24
2009-02-22	@ Osijek	D 2-2	73.9	1558	1548	26.95%	22.42%	50.63%	-0.52	+0.7	26
2009-02-22	Sibenik	W 3-1	55.0	1565	1573	50.94%	22.39%	26.68%	+0.53	+8.9	31
2009-02-22	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-3	55.0	1573	1565	26.68%	22.39%	50.94%	-0.53	-8.9	28
2009-03-01	Hajduk Split	L 0-4	45.6	1458	1654	26.02%	22.30%	51.68%	-0.56	-19.2	21
2009-03-01	@ Inter Zapresic	W 4-0	45.6	1654	1458	51.68%	22.30%	26.02%	+0.56	+19.1	44
2009-03-01	NK Zagreb	L 1-4	55.7	1511	1510	52.03%	22.26%	25.71%	+0.58	-21.8	19
2009-03-01	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 4-1	55.7	1510	1511	25.71%	22.26%	52.03%	-0.58	+21.8	27
2009-03-01	Osijek	D 1-1	68.3	1564	1547	53.95%	22.01%	24.04%	+0.67	-1.2	29
2009-03-01	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	68.3	1547	1564	24.04%	22.01%	53.95%	-0.67	+1.2	25
2009-03-01	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	51.0	1700	1574	65.57%	19.48%	14.96%	+1.30	+3.2	42
2009-03-01	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	51.0	1574	1700	14.96%	19.48%	65.57%	-1.30	-3.2	31
2009-03-01	Varteks	W 1-0	49.7	1454	1528	42.01%	22.99%	35.01%	+0.14	+6.8	24
2009-03-01	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	49.7	1528	1454	35.01%	22.99%	42.01%	-0.14	-6.8	27
2009-03-01	Zadar	W 2-1	49.1	1559	1438	65.06%	19.63%	15.31%	+1.27	+3.1	29
2009-03-01	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	49.1	1438	1559	15.31%	19.63%	65.06%	-1.27	-3.1	16
2009-03-08	Cibalia	D 0-0	59.7	1532	1460	60.15%	20.88%	18.97%	+0.99	-1.9	28
2009-03-08	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	59.7	1460	1532	18.97%	20.88%	60.15%	-0.99	+1.9	25
2009-03-08	Croatia Sesvete	W 1-0	47.2	1674	1490	70.75%	17.71%	11.53%	+1.64	+2.4	47
2009-03-08	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	47.2	1490	1674	11.53%	17.71%	70.75%	-1.64	-2.4	19
2009-03-08	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	53.1	1548	1703	30.98%	22.79%	46.22%	-0.32	-11.7	25
2009-03-08	@ Osijek	W 2-0	53.1	1703	1548	46.22%	22.79%	30.98%	+0.32	+11.7	45
2009-03-08	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	43.5	1571	1439	66.21%	19.28%	14.51%	+1.34	+3.1	34
2009-03-08	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	43.5	1439	1571	14.51%	19.28%	66.21%	-1.34	-3.1	21
2009-03-08	Rijeka	W 3-0	46.3	1563	1562	52.03%	22.26%	25.71%	+0.58	+14.5	32
2009-03-08	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	46.3	1562	1563	25.71%	22.26%	52.03%	-0.58	-14.5	29
2009-03-08	Zadar	W 2-0	39.5	1521	1435	61.64%	20.54%	17.82%	+1.07	+7.1	30
2009-03-08	@ Varteks	L 0-2	39.5	1435	1521	17.82%	20.54%	61.64%	-1.07	-7.1	16
2009-03-15	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	69.1	1462	1676	24.20%	22.03%	53.77%	-0.66	+1.2	26
2009-03-15	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	69.1	1676	1462	53.77%	22.03%	24.20%	+0.66	-1.2	48
2009-03-15	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	55.7	1428	1530	38.10%	23.03%	38.86%	-0.02	+7.0	19
2009-03-15	@ Zadar	L 1-2	55.7	1530	1428	38.86%	23.03%	38.10%	+0.02	-7.0	28
2009-03-15	Osijek	L 0-1	50.3	1436	1537	38.21%	23.03%	38.75%	-0.01	-7.3	21
2009-03-15	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	50.3	1537	1436	38.75%	23.03%	38.21%	+0.01	+7.3	28
2009-03-15	Sibenik	W 3-0	45.5	1715	1577	66.67%	19.14%	14.19%	+1.37	+8.2	48
2009-03-15	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	45.5	1577	1715	14.19%	19.14%	66.67%	-1.37	-8.2	32
2009-03-15	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	61.6	1487	1574	40.21%	23.02%	36.76%	+0.07	-0.2	20
2009-03-15	@ Croatia Sesvete	D 0-0	61.6	1574	1487	36.76%	23.02%	40.21%	-0.07	+0.1	35
2009-03-15	Varteks	W 2-1	55.2	1547	1528	54.19%	21.97%	23.84%	+0.68	+4.7	32
2009-03-15	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	55.2	1528	1547	23.84%	21.97%	54.19%	-0.68	-4.7	30
2009-03-22	Cibalia	D 1-1	66.4	1574	1464	64.15%	19.89%	15.97%	+1.22	-2.0	36
2009-03-22	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	66.4	1464	1574	15.97%	19.89%	64.15%	-1.22	+2.0	27
2009-03-22	Croatia Sesvete	W 3-2	57.4	1552	1487	59.43%	21.04%	19.53%	+0.95	+3.7	35
2009-03-22	@ Rijeka	L 2-3	57.4	1487	1552	19.53%	21.04%	59.43%	-0.95	-3.7	20
2009-03-22	Inter Zapresic	W 4-0	37.0	1569	1428	66.98%	19.04%	13.98%	+1.39	+10.6	35
2009-03-22	@ Sibenik	L 0-4	37.0	1428	1569	13.98%	19.04%	66.98%	-1.39	-10.6	21
2009-03-22	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	45.5	1675	1523	67.98%	18.71%	13.31%	+1.45	+5.3	51
2009-03-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	45.5	1523	1675	13.31%	18.71%	67.98%	-1.45	-5.3	28
2009-03-22	Osijek	D 0-0	68.5	1723	1544	70.32%	17.88%	11.80%	+1.61	-2.8	49
2009-03-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	68.5	1544	1723	11.80%	17.88%	70.32%	-1.61	+2.8	29
2009-03-22	Zadar	D 0-0	58.5	1524	1435	61.91%	20.47%	17.62%	+1.09	-2.1	31
2009-03-22	@ Varteks	D 0-0	58.5	1435	1524	17.62%	20.47%	61.91%	-1.09	+2.1	20
2009-04-05	Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-4	64.8	1466	1720	20.29%	21.23%	58.48%	-0.90	-3.7	27
2009-04-05	@ Cibalia	W 4-3	64.8	1720	1466	58.48%	21.23%	20.29%	+0.90	+3.7	52
2009-04-05	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	59.7	1547	1680	33.74%	22.94%	43.32%	-0.20	+8.1	32
2009-04-05	@ Osijek	L 0-1	59.7	1680	1547	43.32%	22.94%	33.74%	+0.20	-8.1	51
2009-04-05	NK Zagreb	L 1-2	62.5	1522	1518	52.36%	22.22%	25.42%	+0.60	-8.9	31
2009-04-05	@ Varteks	W 2-1	62.5	1518	1522	25.42%	22.22%	52.36%	-0.60	+8.9	31
2009-04-05	Rijeka	W 3-1	54.5	1437	1556	35.80%	23.01%	41.20%	-0.11	+12.7	23
2009-04-05	@ Zadar	L 1-3	54.5	1556	1437	41.20%	23.01%	35.80%	+0.11	-12.7	35
2009-04-05	Sibenik	L 0-1	53.8	1483	1580	38.88%	23.03%	38.09%	+0.02	-7.4	20
2009-04-05	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 1-0	53.8	1580	1483	38.09%	23.03%	38.88%	-0.02	+7.4	38
2009-04-05	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	53.3	1418	1572	30.99%	22.79%	46.22%	-0.32	+8.5	24
2009-04-05	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	53.3	1572	1418	46.22%	22.79%	30.99%	+0.32	-8.5	36
2009-04-11	Cibalia	W 2-0	42.4	1672	1462	72.85%	16.88%	10.26%	+1.79	+4.0	54
2009-04-11	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	42.4	1462	1672	10.26%	16.88%	72.85%	-1.79	-4.0	27
2009-04-11	Croatia Sesvete	W 5-1	43.9	1564	1476	61.86%	20.48%	17.65%	+1.08	+11.2	39
2009-04-11	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-5	43.9	1476	1564	17.65%	20.48%	61.86%	-1.08	-11.2	20
2009-04-11	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	44.3	1724	1426	79.07%	14.03%	6.90%	+2.30	+1.4	55
2009-04-11	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	44.3	1426	1724	6.90%	14.03%	79.07%	-2.30	-1.4	24
2009-04-11	Osijek	W 1-0	51.4	1527	1555	48.28%	22.64%	29.08%	+0.41	+5.9	34
2009-04-11	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	51.4	1555	1527	29.08%	22.64%	48.28%	-0.41	-5.9	32
2009-04-11	Varteks	W 4-1	48.0	1543	1513	55.54%	21.76%	22.70%	+0.75	+11.0	38
2009-04-11	@ Rijeka	L 1-4	48.0	1513	1543	22.70%	21.76%	55.54%	-0.75	-11.0	31
2009-04-11	Zadar	D 0-0	61.9	1587	1450	66.64%	19.14%	14.21%	+1.37	-2.5	39
2009-04-11	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	61.9	1450	1587	14.21%	19.14%	66.64%	-1.37	+2.5	24
2009-04-19	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	45.5	1465	1725	19.76%	21.10%	59.14%	-0.93	-14.9	20
2009-04-19	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 4-0	45.5	1725	1465	59.14%	21.10%	19.76%	+0.93	+14.9	58
2009-04-19	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	45.8	1425	1676	20.58%	21.31%	58.12%	-0.88	-8.2	24
2009-04-19	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	45.8	1676	1425	58.12%	21.31%	20.58%	+0.88	+8.2	57
2009-04-19	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	46.4	1554	1533	54.47%	21.93%	23.60%	+0.70	+9.3	41
2009-04-19	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	46.4	1533	1554	23.60%	21.93%	54.47%	-0.70	-9.3	34
2009-04-19	Osijek	D 1-1	64.3	1458	1549	39.63%	23.03%	37.34%	+0.05	-0.1	28
2009-04-19	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	64.3	1549	1458	37.34%	23.03%	39.63%	-0.05	+0.1	33
2009-04-19	Sibenik	D 2-2	73.1	1502	1585	40.79%	23.01%	36.19%	+0.09	-0.1	32
2009-04-19	@ Varteks	D 2-2	73.1	1585	1502	36.19%	23.01%	40.79%	-0.09	+0.1	40
2009-04-19	Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	51.4	1453	1575	35.22%	22.99%	41.79%	-0.13	-6.9	24
2009-04-19	@ Zadar	W 1-0	51.4	1575	1453	41.79%	22.99%	35.22%	+0.13	+6.9	42
2009-04-22	Cibalia	W 4-0	38.6	1523	1458	59.50%	21.02%	19.48%	+0.95	+14.7	37
2009-04-22	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-4	38.6	1458	1523	19.48%	21.02%	59.50%	-0.95	-14.7	28
2009-04-22	Croatia Sesvete	W 5-0	39.9	1684	1450	74.71%	16.09%	9.20%	+1.93	+8.3	60
2009-04-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-5	39.9	1450	1684	9.20%	16.09%	74.71%	-1.93	-8.3	20
2009-04-22	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	63.9	1549	1417	66.22%	19.28%	14.51%	+1.34	-2.2	34
2009-04-22	@ Osijek	D 1-1	63.9	1417	1549	14.51%	19.28%	66.22%	-1.34	+2.2	25
2009-04-22	Rijeka	L 0-1	60.9	1585	1563	54.53%	21.92%	23.55%	+0.70	-9.8	40
2009-04-22	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	60.9	1563	1585	23.55%	21.92%	54.53%	-0.70	+9.8	44
2009-04-22	Varteks	W 2-1	53.4	1582	1501	61.08%	20.67%	18.25%	+1.04	+3.7	45
2009-04-22	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	53.4	1501	1582	18.25%	20.67%	61.08%	-1.04	-3.6	32
2009-04-22	Zadar	W 2-0	41.9	1740	1446	78.87%	14.13%	7.00%	+2.28	+2.6	61
2009-04-22	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	41.9	1446	1740	7.00%	14.13%	78.87%	-2.28	-2.6	24
2009-04-26	Cibalia	D 0-0	54.7	1419	1443	48.82%	22.60%	28.59%	+0.43	-0.9	26
2009-04-26	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	54.7	1443	1419	28.59%	22.60%	48.82%	-0.43	+0.9	29
2009-04-26	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-6	50.2	1498	1743	21.15%	21.44%	57.42%	-0.84	-16.2	32
2009-04-26	@ Varteks	W 6-1	50.2	1743	1498	57.42%	21.44%	21.15%	+0.84	+16.2	64
2009-04-26	Hajduk Split	L 0-3	44.9	1443	1692	20.73%	21.34%	57.93%	-0.87	-11.9	24
2009-04-26	@ Zadar	W 3-0	44.9	1692	1443	57.93%	21.34%	20.73%	+0.87	+12.0	63
2009-04-26	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	55.8	1575	1538	56.30%	21.64%	22.06%	+0.79	+4.4	43
2009-04-26	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	55.8	1538	1575	22.06%	21.64%	56.30%	-0.79	-4.4	37
2009-04-26	Osijek	D 1-1	63.6	1441	1547	37.58%	23.03%	39.39%	-0.04	+0.1	21
2009-04-26	@ Croatia Sesvete	D 1-1	63.6	1547	1441	39.39%	23.03%	37.58%	+0.04	-0.1	35
2009-04-26	Slaven Belupo	W 6-2	52.7	1573	1585	50.31%	22.45%	27.24%	+0.50	+14.1	47
2009-04-26	@ Rijeka	L 2-6	52.7	1585	1573	27.24%	22.45%	50.31%	-0.50	-14.1	45
2009-05-03	Croatia Sesvete	W 3-0	37.8	1444	1442	52.20%	22.24%	25.56%	+0.59	+14.4	32
2009-05-03	@ Cibalia	L 0-3	37.8	1442	1444	25.56%	22.24%	52.20%	-0.59	-14.4	21
2009-05-03	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	41.8	1534	1418	64.63%	19.75%	15.62%	+1.24	+3.3	40
2009-05-03	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	41.8	1418	1534	15.62%	19.75%	64.63%	-1.24	-3.3	26
2009-05-03	Rijeka	W 4-0	44.9	1759	1587	69.74%	18.09%	12.17%	+1.57	+9.1	67
2009-05-03	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-4	44.9	1587	1759	12.17%	18.09%	69.74%	-1.57	-9.2	47
2009-05-03	Sibenik	W 1-0	52.8	1571	1579	50.90%	22.39%	26.71%	+0.53	+5.5	48
2009-05-03	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	52.8	1579	1571	26.71%	22.39%	50.90%	-0.53	-5.5	43
2009-05-03	Varteks	L 0-1	66.1	1704	1482	73.84%	16.47%	9.69%	+1.87	-12.7	63
2009-05-03	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	66.1	1482	1704	9.69%	16.47%	73.84%	-1.87	+12.7	35
2009-05-03	Zadar	W 1-0	42.7	1547	1431	64.64%	19.75%	15.61%	+1.24	+3.3	38
2009-05-03	@ Osijek	L 0-1	42.7	1431	1547	15.61%	19.75%	64.64%	-1.24	-3.3	24
2009-05-10	Cibalia	W 3-1	47.1	1428	1458	47.96%	22.67%	29.37%	+0.40	+9.7	27
2009-05-10	@ Zadar	L 1-3	47.1	1458	1428	29.37%	22.67%	47.96%	-0.40	-9.7	32
2009-05-10	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	52.7	1574	1768	26.26%	22.33%	51.40%	-0.55	-10.2	43
2009-05-10	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	52.7	1768	1574	51.40%	22.33%	26.26%	+0.55	+10.2	70
2009-05-10	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	65.4	1578	1692	36.38%	23.02%	40.60%	-0.09	+7.2	50
2009-05-10	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	65.4	1692	1578	40.60%	23.02%	36.38%	+0.09	-7.2	63
2009-05-10	Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	44.9	1427	1415	53.41%	22.08%	24.51%	+0.65	-26.4	21
2009-05-10	@ Croatia Sesvete	W 3-0	44.9	1415	1427	24.51%	22.08%	53.41%	-0.65	+26.4	29
2009-05-10	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	55.7	1577	1537	56.64%	21.58%	21.78%	+0.80	+4.3	51
2009-05-10	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	55.7	1537	1577	21.78%	21.58%	56.64%	-0.80	-4.3	40
2009-05-10	Osijek	L 2-3	65.7	1494	1550	44.58%	22.89%	32.54%	+0.25	-7.4	35
2009-05-10	@ Varteks	W 3-2	65.7	1550	1494	32.54%	22.89%	44.58%	-0.25	+7.4	41
2009-05-17	Croatia Sesvete	D 0-0	58.0	1533	1401	66.18%	19.29%	14.53%	+1.34	-2.5	41
2009-05-17	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	58.0	1401	1533	14.53%	19.29%	66.18%	-1.34	+2.5	22
2009-05-17	Rijeka	L 1-2	64.9	1558	1585	48.38%	22.63%	28.98%	+0.42	-8.4	41
2009-05-17	@ Osijek	W 2-1	64.9	1585	1558	28.98%	22.63%	48.38%	-0.42	+8.4	53
2009-05-17	Sibenik	W 2-0	47.3	1684	1564	65.14%	19.60%	15.26%	+1.27	+6.1	66
2009-05-17	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.3	1564	1684	15.26%	19.60%	65.14%	-1.27	-6.1	43
2009-05-17	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.8	1778	1581	71.82%	17.30%	10.88%	+1.72	+4.3	73
2009-05-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	46.8	1581	1778	10.88%	17.30%	71.82%	-1.72	-4.3	51
2009-05-17	Varteks	W 2-1	52.2	1449	1487	46.97%	22.74%	30.29%	+0.35	+5.7	35
2009-05-17	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	52.2	1487	1449	30.29%	22.74%	46.97%	-0.35	-5.7	35
2009-05-17	Zadar	D 2-2	65.9	1441	1438	52.35%	22.22%	25.43%	+0.60	-0.8	30
2009-05-17	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	65.9	1438	1441	25.43%	22.22%	52.35%	-0.60	+0.8	28
2009-05-24	Cibalia	W 2-0	41.3	1593	1455	66.82%	19.09%	14.09%	+1.38	+5.6	56
2009-05-24	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	41.3	1455	1593	14.09%	19.09%	66.82%	-1.38	-5.6	35
2009-05-24	Croatia Sesvete	D 1-1	59.1	1438	1403	56.11%	21.67%	22.22%	+0.78	-1.4	29
2009-05-24	@ Zadar	D 1-1	59.1	1403	1438	22.22%	21.67%	56.11%	-0.78	+1.4	23
2009-05-24	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.7	1577	1691	36.41%	23.02%	40.58%	-0.08	+0.2	52
2009-05-24	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	71.7	1691	1577	40.58%	23.02%	36.41%	+0.08	-0.2	67
2009-05-24	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	53.6	1481	1440	56.76%	21.56%	21.68%	+0.81	-10.2	35
2009-05-24	@ Varteks	W 1-0	53.6	1440	1481	21.68%	21.56%	56.76%	-0.81	+10.2	33
2009-05-24	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	68.7	1782	1530	76.01%	15.51%	8.48%	+2.04	-13.0	73
2009-05-24	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	68.7	1530	1782	8.48%	15.51%	76.01%	-2.04	+13.0	44
2009-05-24	Osijek	W 2-1	56.6	1557	1549	52.91%	22.15%	24.94%	+0.62	+4.9	46
2009-05-24	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	56.6	1549	1557	24.94%	22.15%	52.91%	-0.62	-4.9	41
2009-05-31	Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	79.3	1690	1769	41.34%	23.00%	35.65%	+0.12	-0.2	68
2009-05-31	@ Hajduk Split	D 2-2	79.3	1769	1690	35.65%	23.00%	41.34%	-0.12	+0.2	74
2009-05-31	Rijeka	W 3-0	49.9	1451	1599	31.75%	22.84%	45.41%	-0.29	+23.0	36
2009-05-31	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	49.9	1599	1451	45.41%	22.84%	31.75%	+0.29	-23.0	56
2009-05-31	Sibenik	W 2-1	58.2	1449	1562	36.45%	23.02%	40.53%	-0.08	+7.2	38
2009-05-31	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	58.2	1562	1449	40.53%	23.02%	36.45%	+0.08	-7.2	46
2009-05-31	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	64.1	1544	1577	47.70%	22.69%	29.61%	+0.39	-8.3	41
2009-05-31	@ Osijek	W 2-1	64.1	1577	1544	29.61%	22.69%	47.70%	-0.39	+8.3	55
2009-05-31	Varteks	W 2-1	51.4	1405	1471	43.11%	22.95%	33.94%	+0.19	+6.3	26
2009-05-31	@ Croatia Sesvete	L 1-2	51.4	1471	1405	33.94%	22.95%	43.11%	-0.19	-6.3	35
2009-05-31	Zadar	W 3-1	45.6	1543	1437	63.72%	20.00%	16.28%	+1.19	+5.7	47
2009-05-31	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	45.6	1437	1543	16.28%	20.00%	63.72%	-1.19	-5.7	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-05-24	8.48%	NK Zagreb	1530	1	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1782	0
2	2009-05-03	9.69%	Varteks	1482	1	@ Hajduk Split	1704	0
3	2008-09-21	12.61%	Hajduk Split	1565	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1729	0
4	2008-11-09	14.48%	Inter Zapresic	1433	1	@ Rijeka	1566	0
5	2008-11-16	16.83%	Inter Zapresic	1445	3	@ Croatia Sesvete	1543	1
6	2009-02-22	18.78%	Inter Zapresic	1447	1	@ NK Zagreb	1521	0
7	2008-11-09	19.42%	Varteks	1522	3	@ Slaven Belupo	1589	2
8	2008-10-26	19.57%	Varteks	1510	3	@ NK Zagreb	1574	0
9	2008-10-05	20.31%	Sibenik	1519	1	@ Rijeka	1575	0
10	2008-09-28	21.04%	Sibenik	1502	3	@ Osijek	1550	1
11	2009-05-24	21.68%	Inter Zapresic	1440	1	@ Varteks	1481	0
12	2008-11-23	22.35%	NK Zagreb	1541	2	@ Osijek	1574	0
13	2009-04-22	23.55%	Rijeka	1563	1	@ Sibenik	1585	0
14	2008-11-23	23.70%	Cibalia	1443	2	@ Inter Zapresic	1463	1
15	2008-08-24	23.84%	Rijeka	1547	1	@ Croatia Sesvete	1566	0
16	2008-08-31	24.41%	Hajduk Split	1552	2	@ Osijek	1566	1
17	2008-11-30	24.41%	Sibenik	1546	4	@ NK Zagreb	1560	0
18	2009-05-10	24.51%	Inter Zapresic	1415	3	@ Croatia Sesvete	1427	0
19	2009-04-05	25.42%	NK Zagreb	1518	2	@ Varteks	1522	1
20	2009-03-01	25.71%	NK Zagreb	1510	4	@ Croatia Sesvete	1511	1
21	2008-08-03	26.07%	NK Zagreb	1550	1	@ Rijeka	1548	0
22	2009-05-17	28.98%	Rijeka	1585	2	@ Osijek	1558	1
23	2009-05-31	29.61%	Slaven Belupo	1577	2	@ Osijek	1544	1
24	2008-11-19	30.00%	@ Rijeka	1546	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1708	0
25	2008-08-10	30.59%	Slaven Belupo	1564	3	@ Varteks	1523	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2008-11-30	34.60	Sibenik	4	1546	24.41%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1560	53.52%	22.07%
2	2008-10-26	29.03	Varteks	3	1510	19.57%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1574	59.38%	21.05%
3	2009-05-10	26.43	Inter Zapresic	3	1415	24.51%	@ Croatia Sesvete	0	1427	53.41%	22.08%
4	2009-05-31	23.02	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1451	31.75%	Rijeka	0	1599	45.41%	22.84%
5	2008-09-21	22.78	Hajduk Split	2	1565	12.61%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1729	69.05%	18.34%
6	2008-11-02	22.13	Osijek	3	1543	33.81%	@ Cibalia	0	1477	43.25%	22.94%
7	2009-03-01	21.79	NK Zagreb	4	1510	25.71%	@ Croatia Sesvete	1	1511	52.03%	22.26%
8	2008-10-19	20.39	@ Slaven Belupo	4	1565	49.46%	Croatia Sesvete	0	1584	28.00%	22.54%
9	2008-09-28	19.57	Rijeka	3	1555	39.98%	@ Zadar	0	1446	36.99%	23.03%
10	2008-09-21	19.41	@ Sibenik	3	1483	40.38%	Slaven Belupo	0	1569	36.60%	23.02%
11	2009-03-01	19.15	Hajduk Split	4	1654	51.68%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1458	26.02%	22.30%
12	2008-11-23	18.96	NK Zagreb	2	1541	22.35%	@ Osijek	0	1574	55.96%	21.69%
13	2008-11-16	18.23	Inter Zapresic	3	1445	16.83%	@ Croatia Sesvete	1	1543	62.97%	20.20%
14	2008-09-28	16.83	Sibenik	3	1502	21.04%	@ Osijek	1	1550	57.54%	21.41%
15	2009-04-26	16.24	Dinamo Zagreb	6	1743	57.42%	@ Varteks	1	1498	21.15%	21.44%
16	2008-11-02	16.20	Hajduk Split	2	1580	30.63%	@ Varteks	0	1539	46.61%	22.77%
17	2008-09-26	16.19	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1549	30.66%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1706	46.57%	22.77%
18	2008-09-21	16.10	@ Croatia Sesvete	4	1562	57.08%	Varteks	0	1518	21.42%	21.50%
19	2008-11-09	15.59	@ Hajduk Split	4	1596	57.98%	NK Zagreb	0	1544	20.69%	21.33%
20	2008-09-28	15.02	@ Varteks	3	1502	50.84%	Cibalia	0	1510	26.76%	22.40%
21	2008-08-10	14.95	@ NK Zagreb	3	1559	51.03%	Hajduk Split	0	1566	26.59%	22.38%
22	2009-04-19	14.93	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1725	59.14%	@ Croatia Sesvete	0	1465	19.76%	21.10%
23	2009-04-22	14.73	@ NK Zagreb	4	1523	59.50%	Cibalia	0	1458	19.48%	21.02%
24	2009-03-08	14.51	@ Sibenik	3	1563	52.03%	Rijeka	0	1562	25.71%	22.26%
25	2009-05-03	14.44	@ Cibalia	3	1444	52.20%	Croatia Sesvete	0	1442	25.56%	22.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-05-31	79.3	@ Hajduk Split	2	1690	41.34%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1769	35.65%	23.00%
2	2008-09-14	78.1	@ NK Zagreb	2	1570	30.27%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1730	46.99%	22.74%
3	2008-10-19	76.9	@ Sibenik	2	1530	29.88%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1693	47.41%	22.71%
4	2008-10-19	76.5	@ Varteks	3	1510	44.75%	Rijeka	3	1565	32.37%	22.88%
5	2008-09-28	76.1	@ Hajduk Split	3	1588	67.67%	Inter Zapresic	3	1440	13.52%	18.81%
6	2009-02-22	73.9	@ Osijek	2	1548	50.63%	Rijeka	2	1558	26.95%	22.42%
7	2009-04-19	73.1	@ Varteks	2	1502	40.79%	Sibenik	2	1585	36.19%	23.01%
8	2008-11-09	71.9	Varteks	3	1522	19.42%	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1589	59.57%	21.01%
9	2009-05-24	71.7	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1577	36.41%	Hajduk Split	1	1691	40.58%	23.02%
10	2008-08-10	71.5	@ Zadar	2	1476	39.71%	Osijek	2	1566	37.26%	23.03%
11	2008-11-16	69.8	@ Cibalia	1	1441	19.01%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1710	60.10%	20.90%
12	2008-09-28	69.3	@ NK Zagreb	1	1570	50.85%	Croatia Sesvete	1	1578	26.76%	22.40%
13	2009-03-15	69.1	@ Cibalia	1	1462	24.20%	Hajduk Split	1	1676	53.77%	22.03%
14	2008-07-27	68.9	@ Croatia Sesvete	1	1574	53.90%	Osijek	1	1557	24.09%	22.01%
15	2008-08-10	68.8	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1430	37.15%	Rijeka	2	1538	39.82%	23.03%
16	2009-05-24	68.7	NK Zagreb	1	1530	8.48%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1782	76.01%	15.51%
17	2009-03-22	68.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1723	70.32%	Osijek	0	1544	11.80%	17.88%
18	2009-03-01	68.3	@ Sibenik	1	1564	53.95%	Osijek	1	1547	24.04%	22.01%
19	2008-11-02	68.1	@ NK Zagreb	1	1545	49.37%	Rijeka	1	1565	28.08%	22.55%
20	2008-08-03	67.8	@ Hajduk Split	1	1568	57.34%	Varteks	1	1522	21.21%	21.45%
21	2008-08-10	67.8	Slaven Belupo	3	1564	30.59%	@ Varteks	2	1523	46.65%	22.77%
22	2008-08-31	66.5	@ Croatia Sesvete	1	1557	59.25%	Cibalia	1	1493	19.67%	21.08%
23	2009-03-22	66.4	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1574	64.15%	Cibalia	1	1464	15.97%	19.89%
24	2008-08-31	66.2	@ Sibenik	1	1487	40.89%	NK Zagreb	1	1569	36.10%	23.01%
25	2009-05-03	66.1	Varteks	1	1482	9.69%	@ Hajduk Split	0	1704	73.84%	16.47%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-03-22	37.0	@ Sibenik	4	1569	66.98%	Inter Zapresic	0	1428	13.98%	19.04%
2	2009-05-03	37.8	@ Cibalia	3	1444	52.20%	Croatia Sesvete	0	1442	25.56%	22.24%
3	2008-11-09	38.4	@ Osijek	3	1565	65.02%	Zadar	0	1445	15.34%	19.64%
4	2008-11-09	38.5	@ Sibenik	4	1530	60.48%	Cibalia	0	1455	18.71%	20.81%
5	2009-04-22	38.6	@ NK Zagreb	4	1523	59.50%	Cibalia	0	1458	19.48%	21.02%
6	2009-03-08	39.5	@ Varteks	2	1521	61.64%	Zadar	0	1435	17.82%	20.54%
7	2009-04-22	39.9	@ Hajduk Split	5	1684	74.71%	Croatia Sesvete	0	1450	9.20%	16.09%
8	2009-05-24	41.3	@ Rijeka	2	1593	66.82%	Cibalia	0	1455	14.09%	19.09%
9	2008-11-23	41.6	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1700	76.28%	Zadar	0	1444	8.34%	15.38%
10	2009-05-03	41.8	@ NK Zagreb	1	1534	64.63%	Inter Zapresic	0	1418	15.62%	19.75%
11	2009-04-22	41.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1740	78.87%	Zadar	0	1446	7.00%	14.13%
12	2009-04-11	42.4	@ Hajduk Split	2	1672	72.85%	Cibalia	0	1462	10.26%	16.88%
13	2009-05-03	42.7	@ Osijek	1	1547	64.64%	Zadar	0	1431	15.61%	19.75%
14	2008-09-28	42.8	@ Varteks	3	1502	50.84%	Cibalia	0	1510	26.76%	22.40%
15	2008-09-21	43.0	@ Croatia Sesvete	4	1562	57.08%	Varteks	0	1518	21.42%	21.50%
16	2008-08-17	43.2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	6	1713	73.02%	Cibalia	0	1501	10.16%	16.81%
17	2008-09-14	43.4	@ Varteks	1	1514	60.07%	Inter Zapresic	0	1443	19.03%	20.90%
18	2008-10-19	43.4	@ Hajduk Split	2	1581	62.45%	Cibalia	0	1488	17.21%	20.34%
19	2009-03-08	43.5	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1571	66.21%	Inter Zapresic	0	1439	14.51%	19.28%
20	2008-08-10	43.8	@ Cibalia	2	1490	51.07%	Sibenik	0	1497	26.56%	22.37%
21	2008-09-21	43.8	@ Cibalia	1	1506	58.47%	Zadar	0	1450	20.29%	21.24%
22	2009-04-11	43.9	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1564	61.86%	Croatia Sesvete	1	1476	17.65%	20.48%
23	2008-08-03	44.0	@ Osijek	2	1559	58.93%	Cibalia	0	1498	19.92%	21.14%
24	2009-04-11	44.3	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1724	79.07%	Inter Zapresic	0	1426	6.90%	14.03%
25	2008-11-09	44.6	@ Hajduk Split	4	1596	57.98%	NK Zagreb	0	1544	20.69%	21.33%