2012-13 Prva HNL Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

77 points · 15th Title

Last Title: 2011-12

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lokomotiva Zagreb

9.89 points above expected

57 points · 47.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

NK Zagreb

8.18 points below expected

27 points · 35.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	33	24	5	4	77	68	20	+48	68.84	+8.16
2	Lokomotiva Zagreb	33	16	9	8	57	54	38	+16	47.11	+9.89
3	Rijeka	33	15	8	10	53	46	42	+4	44.21	+8.79
4	Hajduk Split	33	14	10	9	52	45	31	+14	56.41	-4.41
5	RNK Split	33	15	7	11	52	49	37	+12	50.03	+1.97
6	Istra 1961	33	11	11	11	44	35	32	+3	43.25	+0.75
7	Slaven Belupo	33	10	9	14	39	35	50	-15	47.10	-8.10
8	Osijek	33	9	12	12	39	25	33	-8	45.19	-6.19
9	Zadar	33	9	9	15	36	39	61	-22	32.41	+3.59
10	Inter Zapresic	33	8	11	14	35	36	41	-5	38.62	-3.62
11	Cibalia	33	9	5	19	32	29	44	-15	35.58	-3.58
12	NK Zagreb	33	7	6	20	27	28	60	-32	35.18	-8.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lokomotiva Zagreb	57	47.11	+9.89
2	Rijeka	53	44.21	+8.79
3	Dinamo Zagreb	77	68.84	+8.16
4	Zadar	36	32.41	+3.59
5	RNK Split	52	50.03	+1.97

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NK Zagreb	27	35.18	-8.18
2	Slaven Belupo	39	47.10	-8.10
3	Osijek	39	45.19	-6.19
4	Hajduk Split	52	56.41	-4.41
5	Inter Zapresic	35	38.62	-3.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Zapresic	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 31
2	Slaven Belupo	4	Aug 12 – Sep 2	1 in 27
3	Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	Apr 13 – May 3	1 in 25
4	Dinamo Zagreb	6	Jul 28 – Sep 1	1 in 18
5	Rijeka	4	Mar 9 – Apr 6	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NK Zagreb	7	Jul 20 – Aug 31	1 in 507
2	Inter Zapresic	4	Nov 24 – Feb 15	1 in 40
3	Cibalia	4	Apr 13 – May 4	1 in 19
4	Istra 1961	3	Sep 21 – Oct 6	1 in 14
5	Hajduk Split	2	Apr 28 – May 4	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Istra 1961	6	Feb 16 – Mar 29	1 in 54
2	Osijek	6	Jul 22 – Aug 26	1 in 18
3	Zadar	4	Nov 24 – Feb 15	1 in 14
4	Hajduk Split	8	Oct 28 – Feb 16	1 in 13
5	Lokomotiva Zagreb	5	Jul 20 – Aug 19	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Slaven Belupo	11	Dec 8 – Apr 27	1 in 102
2	Inter Zapresic	12	Nov 24 – Apr 19	1 in 64
3	Istra 1961	7	Nov 16 – Mar 3	1 in 24
4	Zadar	9	Jul 22 – Sep 22	1 in 18
5	Osijek	7	Feb 16 – Apr 6	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1821	77	+15	13	10.4	+2.6
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1637	57	+6	8	6.8	+1.2
Rijeka	1596	53	+11	7	6.2	+0.8
RNK Split	1633	52	-15	4	6.8	-2.8
Hajduk Split	1657	52	-18	4	7.6	-3.6
Istra 1961	1609	44	+11	10	7.4	+2.6
Osijek	1526	39	-14	6	6.8	-0.8
Slaven Belupo	1512	39	-33	4	6.2	-2.2
Zadar	1496	36	+10	8	5.9	+2.1
Inter Zapresic	1533	35	+39	12	6.6	+5.4
Cibalia	1519	32	+3	6	6.5	-0.5
NK Zagreb	1464	27	-15	3	5.4	-2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CIB	DZ	HS	IZ	I1	LZ	NZ	OSI	RS	RIJ	SB	ZAD
Cibalia	—	0-0-3 1.93	0-0-3 2.42	1-2-0 4.31	0-0-3 3.30	2-0-1 3.42	2-1-0 4.02	1-0-2 3.18	1-0-2 2.69	1-1-1 3.64	1-0-2 3.11	0-1-2 4.85
Dinamo Zagreb	3-0-0 6.44	—	3-0-0 5.67	2-1-0 6.76	2-1-0 6.07	3-0-0 5.73	2-0-1 6.72	0-2-1 6.39	2-0-1 6.07	1-1-1 6.01	3-0-0 6.33	3-0-0 7.06
Hajduk Split	3-0-0 5.87	0-0-3 2.62	—	1-2-0 5.36	0-1-2 5.45	0-2-1 5.04	3-0-0 6.07	1-2-0 5.28	2-0-1 4.04	0-1-2 5.40	2-1-0 4.59	2-1-0 5.61
Inter Zapresic	0-2-1 3.89	0-1-2 1.68	0-2-1 2.89	—	1-0-2 3.82	1-1-1 3.13	1-1-1 4.83	1-1-1 3.27	0-1-2 3.34	1-0-2 3.25	1-2-0 3.89	2-0-1 4.08
Istra 1961	3-0-0 4.94	0-1-2 2.25	2-1-0 2.82	2-0-1 4.39	—	0-2-1 4.09	0-2-1 5.33	1-1-1 3.49	2-0-1 3.27	1-1-1 4.23	0-1-2 3.67	0-2-1 4.86
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-0-2 4.80	0-0-3 2.55	1-2-0 3.18	1-1-1 5.13	1-2-0 4.10	—	2-1-0 4.62	2-1-0 4.63	2-1-0 4.16	2-1-0 3.99	2-0-1 4.45	2-0-1 5.60
NK Zagreb	0-1-2 4.18	1-0-2 1.69	0-0-3 2.25	1-1-1 3.38	1-2-0 2.93	0-1-2 3.61	—	1-0-2 2.89	1-0-2 2.55	0-0-3 3.70	1-0-2 2.70	1-1-1 4.55
Osijek	2-0-1 5.04	1-2-0 1.98	0-2-1 2.98	1-1-1 4.95	1-1-1 4.72	0-1-2 3.62	2-0-1 5.34	—	0-2-1 3.36	0-1-2 3.90	0-1-2 3.73	2-1-0 5.32
RNK Split	2-0-1 5.58	1-0-2 2.25	1-0-2 4.17	2-1-0 4.88	1-0-2 4.95	0-1-2 4.04	2-0-1 5.74	1-2-0 4.88	—	3-0-0 4.85	1-2-0 4.02	1-1-1 5.38
Rijeka	1-1-1 4.58	1-1-1 2.30	2-1-0 2.85	2-0-1 4.98	1-1-1 3.98	0-1-2 4.20	3-0-0 4.52	2-1-0 4.34	0-0-3 3.38	—	2-1-0 4.23	1-1-1 5.28
Slaven Belupo	2-0-1 5.14	0-0-3 2.06	0-1-2 3.60	0-2-1 4.33	2-1-0 4.54	1-0-2 3.78	2-0-1 5.57	2-1-0 4.46	0-2-1 4.18	0-1-2 4.02	—	1-1-1 5.01
Zadar	2-1-0 3.36	0-0-3 1.44	0-1-2 2.67	1-0-2 4.13	1-2-0 3.36	1-0-2 2.67	1-1-1 3.65	0-1-2 2.94	1-1-1 2.87	1-1-1 2.96	1-1-1 3.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+10.4
Allowed	0.57	-8.7
Differential	0.93	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.62%	10.61%	5.81%	2.02%	0.76%	0.76%	31.57%
1	10.61%	10.10%	6.82%	4.04%	2.02%	0.76%	34.34%
2	5.81%	6.82%	4.04%	2.53%	1.01%	—	20.20%
3	2.02%	4.04%	2.53%	—	—	—	8.59%
4	0.76%	2.02%	1.01%	—	—	—	3.79%
5+	0.76%	0.76%	—	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	31.57%	34.34%	20.20%	8.59%	3.79%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.23	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.71
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	24.24%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	45.45%
1	6.06%	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	12.12%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	18.18%	12.12%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.88	1.33	-0.45
SD	1.02	1.19	1.64
CV	1.16	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	15.15%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
4	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	51.52%	39.39%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.61	+1.45
SD	1.66	0.75	1.84
CV	0.80	1.23	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	18.18%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	51.52%
2	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	33.33%	21.21%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.94	+0.42
SD	1.27	0.93	1.54
CV	0.93	0.99	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	15.15%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	21.21%	39.39%	33.33%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.24	-0.15
SD	1.13	0.87	1.52
CV	1.03	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
1	15.15%	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	30.30%	15.15%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	0.97	+0.09
SD	1.00	1.05	1.40
CV	0.94	1.08	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	36.36%	21.21%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.15	+0.48
SD	1.25	1.00	1.37
CV	0.76	0.87	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	21.21%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	45.45%
1	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	—	6.06%	3.03%	27.27%
2	—	15.15%	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	48.48%	12.12%	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.82	-0.97
SD	0.91	1.53	1.81
CV	1.07	0.84	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	24.24%	9.09%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	45.45%
1	15.15%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	39.39%
2	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	24.24%	21.21%	3.03%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	1.00	-0.24
SD	0.87	1.17	1.46
CV	1.14	1.17	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
1	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
3	—	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	42.42%	24.24%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.12	+0.36
SD	1.25	0.96	1.39
CV	0.84	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	39.39%
2	—	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	36.36%	15.15%	12.12%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.27	+0.12
SD	1.12	1.21	1.56
CV	0.80	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	36.36%
1	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
2	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	24.24%	27.27%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.52	-0.45
SD	1.00	1.30	1.72
CV	0.94	0.86	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	6.06%	27.27%
1	12.12%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	48.48%
2	—	—	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	9.09%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	21.21%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.85	-0.67
SD	1.13	1.58	2.01
CV	0.96	0.86	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1821	77	68.84	+8.16	93.0%	51	58	64	69	73	78	84
Hajduk Split	1657	52	56.41	-4.41	25.0%	36	46	52	57	61	67	72
Lokomotiva Zagreb	1637	57	47.11	+9.89	96.0%	29	38	42	47	52	57	62
RNK Split	1633	52	50.03	+1.97	60.0%	34	39	44	51	55	60	68
Istra 1961	1609	44	43.25	+0.75	57.0%	25	33	39	43	47	53	57
Rijeka	1596	53	44.21	+8.79	87.0%	27	32	39	44	49	56	66
Inter Zapresic	1533	35	38.62	-3.62	36.0%	24	26	33	38	44	52	64
Osijek	1526	39	45.19	-6.19	20.0%	28	34	41	46	50	55	59
Cibalia	1519	32	35.58	-3.58	34.0%	20	25	31	35	40	48	53
Slaven Belupo	1512	39	47.10	-8.10	21.0%	30	35	40	47	53	60	66
Zadar	1496	36	32.41	+3.59	72.0%	18	22	27	32	37	42	47
NK Zagreb	1464	27	35.18	-8.18	9.0%	17	22	31	35	40	45	54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+22.73%

Slight Edge

48.48%25.76%25.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge

183 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

080.37500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.41 goals

Neutral

-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.2

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

89%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.61/gm

Runaway

00.320.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.27 * Lucky: 8.27 to 11.02 * Wild Swing: 11.02 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.07 * Off: 2.07 to 2.76 * Way Off: 2.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.29 points

Some Luck

06.8917

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

01.724

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Lokomotiva Zagreb

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

9.00%

NK Zagreb

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Balanced

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 97.69

1.82

Coin-Flip Parity

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.86

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.54

Weak Carryover

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Very Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.93

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.063

Well Within Noise

00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dinamo Zagreb	89.00%	9.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lokomotiva Zagreb	—	7.00%	14.00%	20.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Rijeka	—	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Hajduk Split	9.00%	44.00%	25.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
RNK Split	1.00%	16.00%	20.00%	20.00%	10.00%	16.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Istra 1961	—	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	16.00%	15.00%	12.00%	16.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Slaven Belupo	1.00%	8.00%	14.00%	14.00%	7.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—
Osijek	—	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	19.00%	16.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—
Zadar	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	15.00%	18.00%	43.00%
Inter Zapresic	—	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Cibalia	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	18.00%	19.00%	28.00%	14.00%
NK Zagreb	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	18.00%	22.00%	24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—
Hajduk Split	99.00%	1.00%
Lokomotiva Zagreb	99.00%	1.00%
RNK Split	96.00%	4.00%
Osijek	90.00%	10.00%
Istra 1961	89.00%	11.00%
Slaven Belupo	88.00%	12.00%
Rijeka	83.00%	17.00%
Inter Zapresic	57.00%	43.00%
Cibalia	39.00%	61.00%
NK Zagreb	36.00%	64.00%
Zadar	24.00%	76.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2012-07-20	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	55.0	1554	1561	46.50%	26.59%	26.91%	+0.40	-15.9	0
2012-07-20	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	55.0	1561	1554	26.91%	26.59%	46.50%	-0.40	+15.9	3
2012-07-20	Rijeka	W 2-0	47.8	1604	1549	54.34%	24.94%	20.72%	+0.74	+8.3	3
2012-07-20	@ RNK Split	L 0-2	47.8	1549	1604	20.72%	24.94%	54.34%	-0.74	-8.3	0
2012-07-21	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	73.9	1756	1537	71.62%	17.84%	10.54%	+1.63	-2.5	1
2012-07-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.9	1537	1756	10.54%	17.84%	71.62%	-1.63	+2.5	1
2012-07-22	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	64.6	1568	1637	37.92%	27.31%	34.77%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2012-07-22	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	64.6	1637	1568	34.77%	27.31%	37.92%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2012-07-22	Osijek	D 0-0	61.2	1507	1577	37.91%	27.31%	34.78%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2012-07-22	@ Zadar	D 0-0	61.2	1577	1507	34.78%	27.31%	37.91%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2012-07-22	Slaven Belupo	L 0-3	52.6	1552	1599	41.09%	27.17%	31.74%	+0.18	-20.9	0
2012-07-22	@ Cibalia	W 3-0	52.6	1599	1552	31.74%	27.17%	41.09%	-0.18	+20.9	3
2012-07-27	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	57.6	1539	1577	42.35%	27.08%	30.58%	+0.23	-7.8	1
2012-07-27	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	57.6	1577	1539	30.58%	27.08%	42.35%	-0.23	+7.8	6
2012-07-27	Zadar	D 0-0	60.4	1541	1507	51.77%	25.59%	22.64%	+0.62	-1.3	1
2012-07-27	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	60.4	1507	1541	22.64%	25.59%	51.77%	-0.62	+1.3	2
2012-07-28	Cibalia	W 2-1	54.8	1754	1532	71.86%	17.72%	10.42%	+1.65	+2.0	4
2012-07-28	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	54.8	1532	1754	10.42%	17.72%	71.86%	-1.65	-2.0	0
2012-07-29	Istra 1961	W 3-1	54.6	1620	1568	54.04%	25.02%	20.94%	+0.72	+7.2	6
2012-07-29	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-3	54.6	1568	1620	20.94%	25.02%	54.04%	-0.72	-7.2	1
2012-07-29	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	51.0	1577	1538	52.41%	25.44%	22.15%	+0.65	+4.7	4
2012-07-29	@ Osijek	L 0-1	51.0	1538	1577	22.15%	25.44%	52.41%	-0.65	-4.7	0
2012-07-29	RNK Split	W 1-0	54.8	1638	1612	50.73%	25.83%	23.45%	+0.58	+4.9	4
2012-07-29	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	54.8	1612	1638	23.45%	25.83%	50.73%	-0.58	-4.9	3
2012-08-03	Osijek	D 0-0	64.0	1585	1582	47.89%	26.37%	25.74%	+0.46	-0.9	7
2012-08-03	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	64.0	1582	1585	25.74%	26.37%	47.89%	-0.46	+1.0	5
2012-08-03	Rijeka	L 0-1	57.3	1533	1540	46.63%	26.58%	26.80%	+0.40	-8.4	0
2012-08-03	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	57.3	1540	1533	26.80%	26.58%	46.63%	-0.40	+8.4	4
2012-08-04	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	55.4	1561	1756	22.61%	25.58%	51.81%	-0.62	-4.8	1
2012-08-04	@ Istra 1961	W 1-0	55.4	1756	1561	51.81%	25.58%	22.61%	+0.62	+4.8	7
2012-08-04	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	65.6	1530	1531	47.22%	26.48%	26.29%	+0.43	-0.8	1
2012-08-04	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	65.6	1531	1530	26.29%	26.48%	47.22%	-0.43	+0.8	2
2012-08-05	Hajduk Split	L 2-4	60.2	1509	1643	29.19%	26.93%	43.88%	-0.29	-8.6	2
2012-08-05	@ Zadar	W 4-2	60.2	1643	1509	43.88%	26.93%	29.19%	+0.29	+8.6	7
2012-08-05	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	52.6	1607	1628	44.77%	26.83%	28.40%	+0.33	+10.9	6
2012-08-05	@ RNK Split	L 0-2	52.6	1628	1607	28.40%	26.83%	44.77%	-0.33	-10.9	6
2012-08-10	Osijek	L 0-3	51.4	1532	1583	40.61%	27.20%	32.19%	+0.16	-20.7	2
2012-08-10	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-0	51.4	1583	1532	32.19%	27.20%	40.61%	-0.16	+20.7	8
2012-08-11	Istra 1961	L 0-1	57.0	1529	1556	43.80%	26.94%	29.26%	+0.29	-8.0	1
2012-08-11	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	57.0	1556	1529	29.26%	26.94%	43.80%	-0.29	+8.0	4
2012-08-11	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	73.5	1548	1584	42.64%	27.05%	30.31%	+0.24	-0.3	5
2012-08-11	@ Rijeka	D 2-2	73.5	1584	1548	30.31%	27.05%	42.64%	-0.24	+0.3	8
2012-08-12	NK Zagreb	W 5-1	47.4	1651	1525	62.43%	22.15%	15.41%	+1.13	+9.7	10
2012-08-12	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-5	47.4	1525	1651	15.41%	22.15%	62.43%	-1.13	-9.7	0
2012-08-12	RNK Split	W 4-2	57.9	1760	1618	64.10%	21.45%	14.44%	+1.21	+4.4	10
2012-08-12	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-4	57.9	1618	1760	14.44%	21.45%	64.10%	-1.21	-4.4	6
2012-08-12	Zadar	W 2-0	44.6	1617	1500	61.41%	22.56%	16.02%	+1.07	+6.4	9
2012-08-12	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	44.6	1500	1617	16.02%	22.56%	61.41%	-1.07	-6.4	2
2012-08-17	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	61.1	1515	1623	32.54%	27.22%	40.24%	-0.15	-6.0	0
2012-08-17	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-1	61.1	1623	1515	40.24%	27.22%	32.54%	+0.15	+6.0	12
2012-08-18	Cibalia	W 3-1	51.7	1614	1521	58.80%	23.53%	17.67%	+0.95	+6.1	9
2012-08-18	@ RNK Split	L 1-3	51.7	1521	1614	17.67%	23.53%	58.80%	-0.95	-6.1	1
2012-08-18	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	54.0	1494	1765	16.44%	22.83%	60.73%	-1.04	-5.7	2
2012-08-18	@ Zadar	W 3-1	54.0	1765	1494	60.73%	22.83%	16.44%	+1.04	+5.7	13
2012-08-18	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	51.2	1564	1511	54.09%	25.00%	20.91%	+0.72	+7.2	7
2012-08-18	@ Istra 1961	L 1-3	51.2	1511	1564	20.91%	25.00%	54.09%	-0.72	-7.2	2
2012-08-18	Rijeka	D 1-1	68.9	1603	1548	54.43%	24.91%	20.66%	+0.74	-1.3	9
2012-08-18	@ Osijek	D 1-1	68.9	1548	1603	20.66%	24.91%	54.43%	-0.74	+1.3	6
2012-08-19	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	55.2	1584	1661	36.88%	27.32%	35.80%	+0.02	+13.0	11
2012-08-19	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-2	55.2	1661	1584	35.80%	27.32%	36.88%	-0.02	-13.0	10
2012-08-24	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	64.7	1629	1597	51.54%	25.65%	22.82%	+0.61	+4.3	15
2012-08-24	@ Slaven Belupo	L 2-3	64.7	1597	1629	22.82%	25.65%	51.54%	-0.61	-4.3	11
2012-08-24	Rijeka	W 2-0	48.5	1504	1549	41.37%	27.15%	31.48%	+0.19	+11.8	5
2012-08-24	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	48.5	1549	1504	31.48%	27.15%	41.37%	-0.19	-11.8	6
2012-08-25	NK Zagreb	W 6-0	43.6	1770	1509	75.27%	15.88%	8.86%	+1.86	+9.0	16
2012-08-25	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-6	43.6	1509	1770	8.86%	15.88%	75.27%	-1.86	-9.0	0
2012-08-25	RNK Split	W 1-0	56.6	1571	1620	40.85%	27.19%	31.96%	+0.17	+6.3	10
2012-08-25	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	56.6	1620	1571	31.96%	27.19%	40.85%	-0.17	-6.3	9
2012-08-25	Zadar	D 0-0	58.7	1515	1488	50.90%	25.79%	23.31%	+0.58	-1.2	2
2012-08-25	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	58.7	1488	1515	23.31%	25.79%	50.90%	-0.58	+1.2	3
2012-08-26	Osijek	D 1-1	71.0	1648	1602	53.27%	25.22%	21.50%	+0.69	-1.2	11
2012-08-26	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.0	1602	1648	21.50%	25.22%	53.27%	-0.69	+1.2	10
2012-08-31	Cibalia	L 0-1	54.9	1500	1513	45.71%	26.71%	27.58%	+0.37	-8.3	0
2012-08-31	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	54.9	1513	1500	27.58%	26.71%	45.71%	-0.37	+8.3	5
2012-09-01	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	58.3	1593	1779	23.42%	25.82%	50.76%	-0.58	-8.0	11
2012-09-01	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-1	58.3	1779	1593	50.76%	25.82%	23.42%	+0.58	+8.0	19
2012-09-01	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	58.9	1537	1647	32.34%	27.21%	40.45%	-0.16	+7.5	9
2012-09-01	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	58.9	1647	1537	40.45%	27.21%	32.34%	+0.16	-7.5	11
2012-09-01	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	49.4	1614	1516	59.31%	23.35%	17.34%	+0.97	+3.7	12
2012-09-01	@ RNK Split	L 0-1	49.4	1516	1614	17.34%	23.35%	59.31%	-0.97	-3.7	5
2012-09-01	Istra 1961	D 1-1	65.5	1489	1578	35.16%	27.32%	37.52%	-0.04	+0.1	4
2012-09-01	@ Zadar	D 1-1	65.5	1578	1489	37.52%	27.32%	35.16%	+0.04	-0.1	11
2012-09-02	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	66.6	1603	1633	43.41%	26.98%	29.62%	+0.27	-7.5	10
2012-09-02	@ Osijek	W 2-1	66.6	1633	1603	29.62%	26.98%	43.41%	-0.27	+7.5	18
2012-09-14	Osijek	D 0-0	69.5	1787	1596	69.05%	19.15%	11.80%	+1.48	-2.6	20
2012-09-14	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.5	1596	1787	11.80%	19.15%	69.05%	-1.48	+2.6	11
2012-09-15	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	68.3	1512	1639	30.09%	27.03%	42.88%	-0.25	+0.5	6
2012-09-15	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	68.3	1639	1512	42.88%	27.03%	30.09%	+0.25	-0.5	12
2012-09-15	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	65.4	1522	1585	38.79%	27.28%	33.93%	+0.09	+5.9	8
2012-09-15	@ Cibalia	L 2-3	65.4	1585	1522	33.93%	27.28%	38.79%	-0.09	-5.9	11
2012-09-15	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	61.7	1578	1492	57.96%	23.82%	18.22%	+0.90	-1.8	12
2012-09-15	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	61.7	1492	1578	18.22%	23.82%	57.96%	-0.90	+1.8	1
2012-09-15	Zadar	W 3-1	49.7	1617	1489	62.64%	22.07%	15.29%	+1.14	+5.3	15
2012-09-15	@ RNK Split	L 1-3	49.7	1489	1617	15.29%	22.07%	62.64%	-1.14	-5.3	4
2012-09-16	Rijeka	L 1-3	65.5	1641	1545	59.13%	23.42%	17.45%	+0.96	-16.7	18
2012-09-16	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	65.5	1545	1641	17.45%	23.42%	59.13%	-0.96	+16.7	12
2012-09-21	Istra 1961	W 1-0	53.5	1579	1576	47.88%	26.37%	25.74%	+0.46	+5.3	14
2012-09-21	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	53.5	1576	1579	25.74%	26.37%	47.88%	-0.46	-5.3	12
2012-09-21	RNK Split	W 2-1	63.6	1494	1623	29.83%	27.00%	43.17%	-0.26	+7.5	4
2012-09-21	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	63.6	1623	1494	43.17%	27.00%	29.83%	+0.26	-7.5	15
2012-09-22	Cibalia	W 1-0	50.2	1598	1528	56.23%	24.38%	19.39%	+0.82	+4.1	14
2012-09-22	@ Osijek	L 0-1	50.2	1528	1598	19.39%	24.38%	56.23%	-0.82	-4.1	8
2012-09-22	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-0	59.6	1562	1785	20.07%	24.67%	55.26%	-0.78	+26.5	15
2012-09-22	@ Rijeka	L 0-3	59.6	1785	1562	55.26%	24.67%	20.07%	+0.78	-26.5	20
2012-09-22	Inter Zapresic	L 1-5	51.4	1484	1513	43.57%	26.96%	29.47%	+0.28	-23.8	4
2012-09-22	@ Zadar	W 5-1	51.4	1513	1484	29.47%	26.96%	43.57%	-0.28	+23.8	9
2012-09-23	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	57.4	1639	1624	49.33%	26.11%	24.56%	+0.52	+8.4	15
2012-09-23	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	57.4	1624	1639	24.56%	26.11%	49.33%	-0.52	-8.4	18
2012-09-29	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	55.5	1758	1647	60.83%	22.79%	16.38%	+1.04	+5.7	23
2012-09-29	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	55.5	1647	1758	16.38%	22.79%	60.83%	-1.04	-5.7	15
2012-09-29	NK Zagreb	W 4-0	42.8	1460	1501	41.89%	27.11%	31.00%	+0.21	+22.1	7
2012-09-29	@ Zadar	L 0-4	42.8	1501	1460	31.00%	27.11%	41.89%	-0.21	-22.1	4
2012-09-29	Osijek	L 1-3	61.4	1570	1602	43.16%	27.00%	29.84%	+0.26	-13.0	12
2012-09-29	@ Istra 1961	W 3-1	61.4	1602	1570	29.84%	27.00%	43.16%	-0.26	+12.9	17
2012-09-29	Rijeka	W 4-1	54.2	1524	1588	38.60%	27.29%	34.11%	+0.09	+15.4	11
2012-09-29	@ Cibalia	L 1-4	54.2	1588	1524	34.11%	27.29%	38.60%	-0.09	-15.4	15
2012-09-29	Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	74.0	1537	1616	36.51%	27.32%	36.17%	+0.01	-0.0	10
2012-09-29	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	74.0	1616	1537	36.17%	27.32%	36.51%	-0.01	+0.0	19
2012-09-30	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	69.9	1615	1584	51.40%	25.68%	22.93%	+0.61	-1.1	16
2012-09-30	@ RNK Split	D 1-1	69.9	1584	1615	22.93%	25.68%	51.40%	-0.61	+1.1	15
2012-10-05	Cibalia	W 4-0	44.7	1641	1539	59.84%	23.16%	17.00%	+1.00	+12.9	18
2012-10-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	44.7	1539	1641	17.00%	23.16%	59.84%	-1.00	-12.9	11
2012-10-05	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	63.7	1479	1537	39.59%	27.25%	33.15%	+0.12	-0.2	5
2012-10-05	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	63.7	1537	1479	33.15%	27.25%	39.59%	-0.12	+0.2	11
2012-10-05	Zadar	W 2-1	52.9	1585	1482	59.94%	23.12%	16.93%	+1.00	+3.4	18
2012-10-05	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	52.9	1482	1585	16.93%	23.12%	59.94%	-1.00	-3.4	7
2012-10-06	Istra 1961	W 2-1	58.1	1573	1557	49.44%	26.09%	24.47%	+0.52	+4.8	18
2012-10-06	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	58.1	1557	1573	24.47%	26.09%	49.44%	-0.52	-4.8	12
2012-10-06	RNK Split	D 2-2	76.0	1615	1614	47.65%	26.42%	25.94%	+0.45	-0.6	18
2012-10-06	@ Osijek	D 2-2	76.0	1614	1615	25.94%	26.42%	47.65%	-0.45	+0.6	17
2012-10-07	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	57.0	1616	1764	27.52%	26.70%	45.78%	-0.37	-13.0	19
2012-10-07	@ Slaven Belupo	W 4-1	57.0	1764	1616	45.78%	26.70%	27.52%	+0.37	+13.0	26
2012-10-19	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	66.9	1589	1479	60.68%	22.85%	16.47%	+1.04	-1.8	19
2012-10-19	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	66.9	1479	1589	16.47%	22.85%	60.68%	-1.04	+1.8	6
2012-10-20	Cibalia	W 2-1	55.8	1603	1526	56.95%	24.16%	18.89%	+0.86	+3.8	22
2012-10-20	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	55.8	1526	1603	18.89%	24.16%	56.95%	-0.86	-3.8	11
2012-10-20	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	50.1	1537	1777	18.70%	24.06%	57.23%	-0.87	-7.5	11
2012-10-20	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	50.1	1777	1537	57.23%	24.06%	18.70%	+0.87	+7.5	29
2012-10-20	RNK Split	L 2-3	70.3	1578	1615	42.46%	27.07%	30.47%	+0.24	-7.0	18
2012-10-20	@ Rijeka	W 3-2	70.3	1615	1578	30.47%	27.07%	42.46%	-0.24	+7.0	20
2012-10-20	Zadar	W 2-0	43.3	1615	1479	63.47%	21.72%	14.81%	+1.18	+5.9	21
2012-10-20	@ Osijek	L 0-2	43.3	1479	1615	14.81%	21.72%	63.47%	-1.18	-5.9	7
2012-10-21	Istra 1961	L 0-1	64.0	1654	1553	59.74%	23.20%	17.06%	+0.99	-10.3	18
2012-10-21	@ Hajduk Split	W 1-0	64.0	1553	1654	17.06%	23.20%	59.74%	-0.99	+10.3	15
2012-10-26	Inter Zapresic	L 2-3	71.2	1587	1529	54.69%	24.84%	20.47%	+0.75	-8.6	19
2012-10-26	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 3-2	71.2	1529	1587	20.47%	24.84%	54.69%	-0.75	+8.6	14
2012-10-26	Osijek	W 2-1	63.5	1481	1621	28.47%	26.84%	44.69%	-0.32	+7.7	9
2012-10-26	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	63.5	1621	1481	44.69%	26.84%	28.47%	+0.32	-7.7	21
2012-10-26	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	63.8	1563	1607	41.55%	27.14%	31.31%	+0.20	-0.4	16
2012-10-26	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	63.8	1607	1563	31.31%	27.14%	41.55%	-0.20	+0.4	23
2012-10-27	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	52.9	1522	1784	17.06%	23.20%	59.74%	-0.99	-3.6	11
2012-10-27	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	52.9	1784	1522	59.74%	23.20%	17.06%	+0.99	+3.6	32
2012-10-27	Rijeka	L 2-4	58.2	1473	1570	33.91%	27.28%	38.81%	-0.09	-9.7	7
2012-10-27	@ Zadar	W 4-2	58.2	1570	1473	38.81%	27.28%	33.91%	+0.09	+9.7	21
2012-10-28	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	61.7	1622	1644	44.48%	26.86%	28.65%	+0.32	-8.1	20
2012-10-28	@ RNK Split	W 1-0	61.7	1644	1622	28.65%	26.86%	44.48%	-0.32	+8.1	21
2012-11-02	Istra 1961	W 3-1	51.7	1788	1563	72.17%	17.56%	10.28%	+1.67	+3.3	35
2012-11-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	51.7	1563	1788	10.28%	17.56%	72.17%	-1.67	-3.3	16
2012-11-03	Cibalia	D 0-0	60.6	1538	1519	49.97%	25.99%	24.05%	+0.54	-1.1	15
2012-11-03	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	60.6	1519	1538	24.05%	25.99%	49.97%	-0.54	+1.1	12
2012-11-03	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	47.6	1580	1488	58.67%	23.58%	17.75%	+0.94	+3.8	24
2012-11-03	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	47.6	1488	1580	17.75%	23.58%	58.67%	-0.94	-3.8	9
2012-11-03	RNK Split	D 2-2	75.8	1607	1613	46.61%	26.58%	26.81%	+0.40	-0.6	24
2012-11-03	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	75.8	1613	1607	26.81%	26.58%	46.61%	-0.40	+0.6	21
2012-11-03	Zadar	W 3-0	40.4	1652	1463	68.76%	19.29%	11.94%	+1.47	+6.7	24
2012-11-03	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-3	40.4	1463	1652	11.94%	19.29%	68.76%	-1.47	-6.7	7
2012-11-04	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	67.8	1613	1578	51.86%	25.57%	22.57%	+0.63	-8.7	21
2012-11-04	@ Osijek	W 2-1	67.8	1578	1613	22.57%	25.57%	51.86%	-0.63	+8.7	22
2012-11-09	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	52.8	1485	1659	24.67%	26.14%	49.20%	-0.51	-5.1	9
2012-11-09	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	52.8	1659	1485	49.20%	26.14%	24.67%	+0.51	+5.1	27
2012-11-10	Cibalia	W 3-0	44.1	1559	1520	52.49%	25.42%	22.09%	+0.65	+12.8	19
2012-11-10	@ Istra 1961	L 0-3	44.1	1520	1559	22.09%	25.42%	52.49%	-0.65	-12.8	12
2012-11-10	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	64.4	1614	1791	24.33%	26.06%	49.61%	-0.53	+8.9	24
2012-11-10	@ RNK Split	L 0-1	64.4	1791	1614	49.61%	26.06%	24.33%	+0.53	-8.9	35
2012-11-10	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	68.8	1604	1537	55.85%	24.50%	19.65%	+0.81	-1.4	22
2012-11-10	@ Osijek	D 1-1	68.8	1537	1604	19.65%	24.50%	55.85%	-0.81	+1.5	16
2012-11-10	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	56.8	1457	1606	27.31%	26.66%	46.03%	-0.38	+8.3	10
2012-11-10	@ Zadar	L 0-1	56.8	1606	1457	46.03%	26.66%	27.31%	+0.38	-8.4	24
2012-11-11	Rijeka	W 2-1	59.7	1587	1584	47.87%	26.38%	25.75%	+0.46	+5.0	25
2012-11-11	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-2	59.7	1584	1587	25.75%	26.38%	47.87%	-0.46	-5.0	24
2012-11-16	Istra 1961	W 2-0	50.0	1538	1572	42.92%	27.02%	30.05%	+0.25	+11.4	19
2012-11-16	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	50.0	1572	1538	30.05%	27.02%	42.92%	-0.25	-11.4	19
2012-11-17	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	66.5	1664	1592	56.34%	24.35%	19.31%	+0.83	-1.7	28
2012-11-17	@ Hajduk Split	D 0-0	66.5	1592	1664	19.31%	24.35%	56.34%	-0.83	+1.7	26
2012-11-17	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	47.0	1598	1479	61.63%	22.48%	15.89%	+1.09	+3.4	27
2012-11-17	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	47.0	1479	1598	15.89%	22.48%	61.63%	-1.09	-3.4	9
2012-11-17	RNK Split	W 2-1	63.5	1507	1623	31.47%	27.15%	41.38%	-0.19	+7.2	15
2012-11-17	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	63.5	1623	1507	41.38%	27.15%	31.47%	+0.19	-7.2	24
2012-11-17	Zadar	W 5-0	40.9	1782	1465	79.69%	13.35%	6.96%	+2.17	+5.6	38
2012-11-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	40.9	1465	1782	6.96%	13.35%	79.69%	-2.17	-5.6	10
2012-11-18	Osijek	W 3-1	57.3	1579	1603	44.27%	26.89%	28.85%	+0.31	+9.5	27
2012-11-18	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	57.3	1603	1579	28.85%	26.89%	44.27%	-0.31	-9.5	22
2012-11-23	Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	57.0	1594	1601	46.44%	26.60%	26.95%	+0.40	+9.0	29
2012-11-23	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	57.0	1601	1594	26.95%	26.60%	46.44%	-0.40	-9.0	27
2012-11-24	Cibalia	W 4-1	48.8	1459	1514	39.96%	27.24%	32.80%	+0.14	+14.9	13
2012-11-24	@ Zadar	L 1-4	48.8	1514	1459	32.80%	27.24%	39.96%	-0.14	-14.9	15
2012-11-24	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	65.6	1593	1662	37.99%	27.31%	34.71%	+0.06	-0.1	23
2012-11-24	@ Osijek	D 0-0	65.6	1662	1593	34.71%	27.31%	37.99%	-0.06	+0.1	29
2012-11-24	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	57.5	1588	1550	52.40%	25.44%	22.16%	+0.65	+4.4	30
2012-11-24	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	57.5	1550	1588	22.16%	25.44%	52.40%	-0.65	-4.4	19
2012-11-24	Istra 1961	W 2-1	57.9	1616	1561	54.38%	24.93%	20.70%	+0.74	+4.1	27
2012-11-24	@ RNK Split	L 1-2	57.9	1561	1616	20.70%	24.93%	54.38%	-0.74	-4.1	19
2012-11-25	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	66.1	1476	1788	13.91%	21.03%	65.06%	-1.26	+11.0	12
2012-11-25	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	66.1	1788	1476	65.06%	21.03%	13.91%	+1.26	-11.0	38
2012-11-30	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	51.4	1777	1603	67.36%	19.98%	12.67%	+1.39	+2.6	41
2012-11-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	51.4	1603	1777	12.67%	19.98%	67.36%	-1.39	-2.6	29
2012-11-30	RNK Split	L 0-2	53.8	1545	1620	37.18%	27.32%	35.50%	+0.03	-13.4	19
2012-11-30	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	53.8	1620	1545	35.50%	27.32%	37.18%	-0.03	+13.4	30
2012-12-01	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	62.9	1499	1487	49.04%	26.17%	24.79%	+0.50	-0.9	16
2012-12-01	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	62.9	1487	1499	24.79%	26.17%	49.04%	-0.50	+0.9	13
2012-12-01	Osijek	W 2-0	50.8	1592	1593	47.37%	26.46%	26.17%	+0.43	+10.2	30
2012-12-01	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	50.8	1593	1592	26.17%	26.46%	47.37%	-0.43	-10.2	23
2012-12-01	Zadar	D 1-1	65.2	1556	1474	57.58%	23.95%	18.47%	+0.89	-1.6	20
2012-12-01	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	65.2	1474	1556	18.47%	23.95%	57.58%	-0.89	+1.6	14
2012-12-02	Rijeka	D 1-1	71.4	1662	1593	56.08%	24.43%	19.49%	+0.82	-1.5	30
2012-12-02	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	71.4	1593	1662	19.49%	24.43%	56.08%	-0.82	+1.5	31
2012-12-07	Cibalia	W 1-0	48.3	1600	1498	59.79%	23.18%	17.03%	+0.99	+3.6	32
2012-12-07	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	48.3	1498	1600	17.03%	23.18%	59.79%	-0.99	-3.6	16
2012-12-07	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	50.0	1661	1532	62.72%	22.04%	15.24%	+1.14	+3.2	33
2012-12-07	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	50.0	1532	1661	15.24%	22.04%	62.72%	-1.14	-3.2	19
2012-12-07	Istra 1961	W 2-1	58.5	1488	1555	38.27%	27.30%	34.43%	+0.07	+6.3	16
2012-12-07	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	58.5	1555	1488	34.43%	27.30%	38.27%	-0.07	-6.3	20
2012-12-08	RNK Split	W 1-0	58.6	1476	1633	26.46%	26.52%	47.02%	-0.42	+8.5	17
2012-12-08	@ Zadar	L 0-1	58.6	1633	1476	47.02%	26.52%	26.46%	+0.42	-8.5	30
2012-12-08	Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	64.6	1594	1603	46.36%	26.61%	27.02%	+0.39	-0.8	32
2012-12-08	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	64.6	1603	1594	27.02%	26.61%	46.36%	-0.39	+0.8	31
2013-02-10	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	70.5	1583	1780	22.42%	25.52%	52.06%	-0.63	+8.7	26
2013-02-10	@ Osijek	L 1-2	70.5	1780	1583	52.06%	25.52%	22.42%	+0.63	-8.7	41
2013-02-15	NK Zagreb	W 3-2	58.6	1625	1494	62.87%	21.98%	15.16%	+1.15	+2.9	33
2013-02-15	@ RNK Split	L 2-3	58.6	1494	1625	15.16%	21.98%	62.87%	-1.15	-2.9	16
2013-02-15	Zadar	L 0-1	56.6	1529	1484	53.10%	25.27%	21.64%	+0.68	-9.4	19
2013-02-15	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	56.6	1484	1529	21.64%	25.27%	53.10%	-0.68	+9.4	20
2013-02-16	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	56.5	1603	1664	39.17%	27.27%	33.56%	+0.11	-13.9	31
2013-02-16	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	56.5	1664	1603	33.56%	27.27%	39.17%	-0.11	+13.9	36
2013-02-16	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	74.0	1549	1604	39.92%	27.24%	32.85%	+0.14	-0.2	21
2013-02-16	@ Istra 1961	D 2-2	74.0	1604	1549	32.85%	27.24%	39.92%	-0.14	+0.2	33
2013-02-16	Osijek	W 2-0	51.9	1495	1592	34.00%	27.29%	38.71%	-0.09	+13.8	19
2013-02-16	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	51.9	1592	1495	38.71%	27.29%	34.00%	+0.09	-13.8	26
2013-02-17	Rijeka	W 4-1	50.3	1771	1594	67.67%	19.82%	12.50%	+1.41	+6.0	44
2013-02-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	50.3	1594	1771	12.50%	19.82%	67.67%	-1.41	-5.9	32
2013-02-22	RNK Split	W 3-2	67.0	1604	1627	44.32%	26.88%	28.80%	+0.31	+5.2	36
2013-02-22	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 2-3	67.0	1627	1604	28.80%	26.88%	44.32%	-0.31	-5.2	33
2013-02-22	Zadar	W 2-1	53.7	1491	1494	47.18%	26.49%	26.33%	+0.43	+5.1	19
2013-02-22	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	53.7	1494	1491	26.33%	26.49%	47.18%	-0.43	-5.1	20
2013-02-23	Cibalia	D 0-0	62.6	1588	1508	57.21%	24.07%	18.72%	+0.87	-1.7	33
2013-02-23	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	62.6	1508	1588	18.72%	24.07%	57.21%	-0.87	+1.7	20
2013-02-23	Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	73.5	1590	1519	56.18%	24.40%	19.42%	+0.82	-1.1	32
2013-02-23	@ Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	73.5	1519	1590	19.42%	24.40%	56.18%	-0.82	+1.1	20
2013-02-23	Istra 1961	D 0-0	63.0	1578	1548	51.25%	25.71%	23.04%	+0.60	-1.2	27
2013-02-23	@ Osijek	D 0-0	63.0	1548	1578	23.04%	25.71%	51.25%	-0.60	+1.2	22
2013-02-27	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	66.1	1678	1777	33.71%	27.28%	39.01%	-0.10	-6.2	36
2013-02-27	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	66.1	1777	1678	39.01%	27.28%	33.71%	+0.10	+6.2	47
2013-03-01	NK Zagreb	L 1-2	62.0	1520	1497	50.53%	25.87%	23.60%	+0.57	-8.5	20
2013-03-01	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	62.0	1497	1520	23.60%	25.87%	50.53%	-0.57	+8.5	22
2013-03-01	Osijek	D 0-0	65.1	1622	1577	53.24%	25.23%	21.53%	+0.69	-1.4	34
2013-03-01	@ RNK Split	D 0-0	65.1	1577	1622	21.53%	25.23%	53.24%	-0.69	+1.4	28
2013-03-02	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	50.6	1510	1672	26.01%	26.43%	47.56%	-0.44	-10.1	20
2013-03-02	@ Cibalia	W 2-0	50.6	1672	1510	47.56%	26.43%	26.01%	+0.44	+10.1	39
2013-03-02	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 1-0	56.9	1488	1609	30.84%	27.10%	42.06%	-0.22	+7.8	23
2013-03-02	@ Zadar	L 0-1	56.9	1609	1488	42.06%	27.10%	30.84%	+0.22	-7.8	36
2013-03-02	Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	45.0	1783	1588	69.33%	19.01%	11.66%	+1.50	+6.5	50
2013-03-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	45.0	1588	1783	11.66%	19.01%	69.33%	-1.50	-6.5	32
2013-03-03	Rijeka	D 1-1	67.8	1550	1586	42.57%	27.06%	30.37%	+0.24	-0.5	23
2013-03-03	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	67.8	1586	1550	30.37%	27.06%	42.57%	-0.24	+0.5	34
2013-03-08	Zadar	W 4-1	47.3	1601	1496	60.16%	23.04%	16.80%	+1.01	+8.2	39
2013-03-08	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-4	47.3	1496	1601	16.80%	23.04%	60.16%	-1.01	-8.2	23
2013-03-09	Cibalia	L 0-2	56.4	1582	1500	57.53%	23.97%	18.50%	+0.88	-18.9	32
2013-03-09	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	56.4	1500	1582	18.50%	23.97%	57.53%	-0.88	+18.9	23
2013-03-09	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	54.9	1586	1512	56.66%	24.25%	19.09%	+0.84	+3.8	37
2013-03-09	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	54.9	1512	1586	19.09%	24.25%	56.66%	-0.84	-3.8	20
2013-03-09	Istra 1961	L 1-2	70.9	1682	1549	63.12%	21.87%	15.01%	+1.16	-10.2	39
2013-03-09	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	70.9	1549	1682	15.01%	21.87%	63.12%	-1.16	+10.2	26
2013-03-09	NK Zagreb	W 4-1	47.8	1621	1505	61.31%	22.60%	16.08%	+1.07	+7.9	37
2013-03-09	@ RNK Split	L 1-4	47.8	1505	1621	16.08%	22.60%	61.31%	-1.07	-7.9	22
2013-03-10	Osijek	D 0-0	69.7	1790	1578	70.91%	18.21%	10.88%	+1.59	-2.8	51
2013-03-10	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.7	1578	1790	10.88%	18.21%	70.91%	-1.59	+2.8	29
2013-03-15	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 2-4	59.8	1497	1610	31.91%	27.18%	40.90%	-0.18	-9.2	22
2013-03-15	@ NK Zagreb	W 4-2	59.8	1610	1497	40.90%	27.18%	31.91%	+0.18	+9.2	42
2013-03-15	Osijek	D 0-0	63.2	1563	1581	45.10%	26.79%	28.11%	+0.34	-0.7	33
2013-03-15	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	63.2	1581	1563	28.11%	26.79%	45.10%	-0.34	+0.7	30
2013-03-15	RNK Split	D 0-0	62.9	1508	1629	30.86%	27.10%	42.04%	-0.22	+0.5	21
2013-03-15	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	62.9	1629	1508	42.04%	27.10%	30.86%	+0.22	-0.5	38
2013-03-16	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	67.6	1559	1787	19.70%	24.52%	55.78%	-0.80	+1.6	27
2013-03-16	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	67.6	1787	1559	55.78%	24.52%	19.70%	+0.80	-1.6	52
2013-03-16	Rijeka	L 0-1	56.0	1519	1590	37.65%	27.31%	35.03%	+0.05	-7.2	23
2013-03-16	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	56.0	1590	1519	35.03%	27.31%	37.65%	-0.05	+7.2	40
2013-03-17	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	68.9	1488	1672	23.69%	25.89%	50.41%	-0.56	+1.0	24
2013-03-17	@ Zadar	D 1-1	68.9	1672	1488	50.41%	25.89%	23.69%	+0.56	-1.0	40
2013-03-28	Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	74.6	1619	1509	60.72%	22.83%	16.45%	+1.04	-1.3	43
2013-03-28	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 2-2	74.6	1509	1619	16.45%	22.83%	60.72%	-1.04	+1.3	22
2013-03-29	Istra 1961	L 0-4	54.5	1582	1561	50.12%	25.95%	23.92%	+0.55	-32.0	30
2013-03-29	@ Osijek	W 4-0	54.5	1561	1582	23.92%	25.95%	50.12%	-0.55	+32.0	30
2013-03-29	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	58.2	1597	1562	51.92%	25.56%	22.53%	+0.63	+4.5	43
2013-03-29	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	58.2	1562	1597	22.53%	25.56%	51.92%	-0.63	-4.5	33
2013-03-30	Cibalia	W 1-0	49.1	1628	1512	61.39%	22.57%	16.04%	+1.07	+3.4	41
2013-03-30	@ RNK Split	L 0-1	49.1	1512	1628	16.04%	22.57%	61.39%	-1.07	-3.4	23
2013-03-30	NK Zagreb	W 3-2	58.2	1671	1488	68.17%	19.58%	12.24%	+1.43	+2.2	43
2013-03-30	@ Hajduk Split	L 2-3	58.2	1488	1671	12.24%	19.58%	68.17%	-1.43	-2.2	22
2013-03-30	Zadar	W 5-0	41.8	1785	1489	78.09%	14.28%	7.63%	+2.05	+6.3	55
2013-03-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	41.8	1489	1785	7.63%	14.28%	78.09%	-2.05	-6.3	24
2013-04-05	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	45.4	1486	1792	14.26%	21.31%	64.42%	-1.23	-8.2	22
2013-04-05	@ NK Zagreb	W 3-0	45.4	1792	1486	64.42%	21.31%	14.26%	+1.23	+8.2	58
2013-04-06	Istra 1961	W 3-2	66.4	1483	1593	32.22%	27.20%	40.58%	-0.16	+6.8	27
2013-04-06	@ Zadar	L 2-3	66.4	1593	1483	40.58%	27.20%	32.22%	+0.16	-6.8	30
2013-04-06	Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-0	53.7	1508	1618	32.35%	27.21%	40.44%	-0.16	+14.2	26
2013-04-06	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	53.7	1618	1508	40.44%	27.21%	32.35%	+0.16	-14.2	43
2013-04-06	Osijek	W 1-0	51.6	1602	1550	54.04%	25.02%	20.95%	+0.72	+4.4	46
2013-04-06	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	51.6	1550	1602	20.95%	25.02%	54.04%	-0.72	-4.4	30
2013-04-06	RNK Split	D 0-0	64.3	1558	1632	37.29%	27.32%	35.39%	+0.04	-0.1	34
2013-04-06	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	64.3	1632	1558	35.39%	27.32%	37.29%	-0.04	+0.1	42
2013-04-07	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	69.3	1510	1673	25.85%	26.40%	47.75%	-0.45	+0.8	23
2013-04-07	@ Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	69.3	1673	1510	47.75%	26.40%	25.85%	+0.45	-0.8	44
2013-04-12	Rijeka	W 3-1	56.6	1632	1606	50.75%	25.82%	23.43%	+0.58	+8.0	45
2013-04-12	@ RNK Split	L 1-3	56.6	1606	1632	23.43%	25.82%	50.75%	-0.58	-8.0	46
2013-04-13	Cibalia	W 2-1	55.2	1672	1523	64.86%	21.12%	14.02%	+1.25	+2.8	47
2013-04-13	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	55.2	1523	1672	14.02%	21.12%	64.86%	-1.25	-2.8	26
2013-04-13	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	61.8	1586	1478	60.53%	22.90%	16.57%	+1.03	-2.0	31
2013-04-13	@ Istra 1961	D 0-0	61.8	1478	1586	16.57%	22.90%	60.53%	-1.03	+2.0	23
2013-04-13	Slaven Belupo	W 5-1	49.8	1603	1558	53.23%	25.23%	21.54%	+0.69	+13.6	46
2013-04-13	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-5	49.8	1558	1603	21.54%	25.23%	53.23%	-0.69	-13.6	34
2013-04-13	Zadar	W 1-0	47.6	1545	1489	54.45%	24.91%	20.65%	+0.74	+4.4	33
2013-04-13	@ Osijek	L 0-1	47.6	1489	1545	20.65%	24.91%	54.45%	-0.74	-4.4	27
2013-04-14	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	43.9	1800	1511	77.52%	14.60%	7.87%	+2.01	+2.8	61
2013-04-14	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	43.9	1511	1800	7.87%	14.60%	77.52%	-2.01	-2.8	23
2013-04-19	Istra 1961	L 0-2	51.6	1508	1584	36.94%	27.32%	35.74%	+0.02	-13.3	23
2013-04-19	@ Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	51.6	1584	1508	35.74%	27.32%	36.94%	-0.02	+13.3	34
2013-04-19	Zadar	D 1-1	62.0	1480	1485	46.72%	26.56%	26.72%	+0.41	-0.8	24
2013-04-19	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	62.0	1485	1480	26.72%	26.56%	46.72%	-0.41	+0.8	28
2013-04-20	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	52.4	1520	1803	15.68%	22.34%	61.98%	-1.10	-3.3	26
2013-04-20	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	52.4	1803	1520	61.98%	22.34%	15.68%	+1.10	+3.3	64
2013-04-20	Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 1-3	62.9	1598	1617	44.96%	26.80%	28.24%	+0.34	-13.4	46
2013-04-20	@ Rijeka	W 3-1	62.9	1617	1598	28.24%	26.80%	44.96%	-0.34	+13.4	49
2013-04-20	Osijek	W 4-1	50.4	1640	1549	58.48%	23.64%	17.87%	+0.93	+8.8	48
2013-04-20	@ RNK Split	L 1-4	50.4	1549	1640	17.87%	23.64%	58.48%	-0.93	-8.8	33
2013-04-21	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	69.9	1544	1675	29.62%	26.98%	43.40%	-0.27	+0.5	35
2013-04-21	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	69.9	1675	1544	43.40%	26.98%	29.62%	+0.27	-0.5	48
2013-04-26	RNK Split	W 1-0	56.9	1630	1649	45.03%	26.79%	28.17%	+0.34	+5.7	52
2013-04-26	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	56.9	1649	1630	28.17%	26.79%	45.03%	-0.34	-5.7	48
2013-04-27	Cibalia	W 2-1	55.2	1597	1517	57.42%	24.00%	18.58%	+0.88	+3.7	37
2013-04-27	@ Istra 1961	L 1-2	55.2	1517	1597	18.58%	24.00%	57.42%	-0.88	-3.7	26
2013-04-27	Inter Zapresic	L 1-2	59.6	1486	1495	46.30%	26.62%	27.08%	+0.39	-7.9	28
2013-04-27	@ Zadar	W 2-1	59.6	1495	1486	27.08%	26.62%	46.30%	-0.39	+7.9	26
2013-04-27	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	46.8	1541	1479	55.20%	24.69%	20.11%	+0.78	+4.3	36
2013-04-27	@ Osijek	L 0-1	46.8	1479	1541	20.11%	24.69%	55.20%	-0.78	-4.3	24
2013-04-27	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	48.7	1806	1545	75.26%	15.88%	8.86%	+1.86	+1.7	67
2013-04-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	48.7	1545	1806	8.86%	15.88%	75.26%	-1.86	-1.7	35
2013-04-28	Rijeka	L 1-2	70.5	1674	1585	58.40%	23.68%	17.93%	+0.93	-9.5	48
2013-04-28	@ Hajduk Split	W 2-1	70.5	1585	1674	17.93%	23.68%	58.40%	-0.93	+9.5	49
2013-05-03	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	42.8	1503	1474	51.06%	25.75%	23.19%	+0.59	+9.2	29
2013-05-03	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	42.8	1474	1503	23.19%	25.75%	51.06%	-0.59	-9.2	24
2013-05-03	Osijek	W 1-0	51.0	1636	1545	58.57%	23.61%	17.81%	+0.93	+3.8	55
2013-05-03	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	L 0-1	51.0	1545	1636	17.81%	23.61%	58.57%	-0.93	-3.8	36
2013-05-04	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	63.2	1643	1665	44.53%	26.86%	28.61%	+0.32	+5.5	51
2013-05-04	@ RNK Split	L 1-2	63.2	1665	1643	28.61%	26.86%	44.53%	-0.32	-5.5	48
2013-05-04	Istra 1961	W 1-0	55.7	1543	1601	39.52%	27.26%	33.22%	+0.12	+6.5	38
2013-05-04	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	55.7	1601	1543	33.22%	27.26%	39.52%	-0.12	-6.5	37
2013-05-04	Zadar	L 2-3	66.2	1513	1478	51.91%	25.56%	22.53%	+0.63	-8.2	26
2013-05-04	@ Cibalia	W 3-2	66.2	1478	1513	22.53%	25.56%	51.91%	-0.63	+8.2	31
2013-05-05	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	67.9	1594	1808	20.91%	25.01%	54.08%	-0.72	+1.5	50
2013-05-05	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	67.9	1808	1594	54.08%	25.01%	20.91%	+0.72	-1.5	68
2013-05-10	Cibalia	L 0-2	48.6	1465	1505	42.16%	27.09%	30.75%	+0.22	-14.7	24
2013-05-10	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	48.6	1505	1465	30.75%	27.09%	42.16%	-0.22	+14.7	29
2013-05-10	Rijeka	W 1-0	54.6	1595	1596	47.30%	26.47%	26.22%	+0.43	+5.4	40
2013-05-10	@ Istra 1961	L 0-1	54.6	1596	1595	26.22%	26.47%	47.30%	-0.43	-5.4	50
2013-05-11	Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	54.0	1541	1512	51.24%	25.71%	23.05%	+0.60	-17.2	36
2013-05-11	@ Osijek	W 2-0	54.0	1512	1541	23.05%	25.71%	51.24%	-0.60	+17.2	32
2013-05-11	RNK Split	W 2-0	48.6	1806	1648	65.72%	20.73%	13.54%	+1.30	+5.3	71
2013-05-11	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	48.6	1648	1806	13.54%	20.73%	65.72%	-1.30	-5.3	51
2013-05-11	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	64.4	1486	1550	38.77%	27.28%	33.95%	+0.09	-0.2	32
2013-05-11	@ Zadar	D 1-1	64.4	1550	1486	33.95%	27.28%	38.77%	-0.09	+0.2	39
2013-05-12	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 0-0	66.6	1659	1640	49.97%	25.99%	24.04%	+0.54	-1.1	49
2013-05-12	@ Hajduk Split	D 0-0	66.6	1640	1659	24.04%	25.99%	49.97%	-0.54	+1.1	56
2013-05-17	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	63.2	1641	1811	25.04%	26.22%	48.73%	-0.49	-4.9	56
2013-05-17	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	W 2-1	63.2	1811	1641	48.73%	26.22%	25.04%	+0.49	+4.9	74
2013-05-17	Osijek	W 1-0	49.6	1658	1524	63.27%	21.81%	14.92%	+1.17	+3.1	52
2013-05-17	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.6	1524	1658	14.92%	21.81%	63.27%	-1.17	-3.1	36
2013-05-18	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	50.6	1519	1529	46.19%	26.64%	27.17%	+0.39	+5.6	32
2013-05-18	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	50.6	1529	1519	27.17%	26.64%	46.19%	-0.39	-5.6	32
2013-05-18	Istra 1961	L 0-1	63.3	1643	1600	52.90%	25.32%	21.78%	+0.67	-9.4	51
2013-05-18	@ RNK Split	W 1-0	63.3	1600	1643	21.78%	25.32%	52.90%	-0.67	+9.3	43
2013-05-18	NK Zagreb	L 0-3	51.8	1550	1451	59.48%	23.29%	17.23%	+0.98	-28.2	39
2013-05-18	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-0	51.8	1451	1550	17.23%	23.29%	59.48%	-0.98	+28.2	27
2013-05-19	Zadar	L 2-3	71.0	1590	1486	60.06%	23.08%	16.86%	+1.01	-9.3	50
2013-05-19	@ Rijeka	W 3-2	71.0	1486	1590	16.86%	23.08%	60.06%	-1.01	+9.3	35
2013-05-26	Cibalia	W 1-0	50.3	1521	1525	46.94%	26.53%	26.53%	+0.42	+5.5	39
2013-05-26	@ Osijek	L 0-1	50.3	1525	1521	26.53%	26.53%	46.94%	-0.42	-5.5	32
2013-05-26	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	54.5	1816	1661	65.44%	20.86%	13.70%	+1.28	+4.7	77
2013-05-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	54.5	1661	1816	13.70%	20.86%	65.44%	-1.28	-4.7	52
2013-05-26	Lokomotiva Zagreb	D 1-1	70.4	1609	1636	43.89%	26.93%	29.18%	+0.29	-0.6	44
2013-05-26	@ Istra 1961	D 1-1	70.4	1636	1609	29.18%	26.93%	43.89%	-0.29	+0.5	57
2013-05-26	Rijeka	L 1-4	52.2	1479	1581	33.27%	27.26%	39.47%	-0.12	-15.1	27
2013-05-26	@ NK Zagreb	W 4-1	52.2	1581	1479	39.47%	27.26%	33.27%	+0.12	+15.1	53
2013-05-26	RNK Split	D 2-2	73.4	1495	1634	28.67%	26.86%	44.46%	-0.32	+0.4	36
2013-05-26	@ Zadar	D 2-2	73.4	1634	1495	44.46%	26.86%	28.67%	+0.32	-0.4	52
2013-05-26	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.3	1523	1522	47.68%	26.41%	25.91%	+0.45	+10.1	35
2013-05-26	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	46.3	1522	1523	25.91%	26.41%	47.68%	-0.45	-10.1	39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-11-25	13.91%	@ NK Zagreb	1476	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1788	0
2	2013-03-09	15.01%	Istra 1961	1549	2	@ Hajduk Split	1682	1
3	2013-05-19	16.86%	Zadar	1486	3	@ Rijeka	1590	2
4	2012-10-21	17.06%	Istra 1961	1553	1	@ Hajduk Split	1654	0
5	2013-05-18	17.23%	NK Zagreb	1451	3	@ Slaven Belupo	1550	0
6	2012-09-16	17.45%	Rijeka	1545	3	@ Slaven Belupo	1641	1
7	2013-04-28	17.93%	Rijeka	1585	2	@ Hajduk Split	1674	1
8	2013-03-09	18.50%	Cibalia	1500	2	@ Slaven Belupo	1582	0
9	2012-09-22	20.07%	@ Rijeka	1562	3	Dinamo Zagreb	1785	0
10	2012-10-26	20.47%	Inter Zapresic	1529	3	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1587	2
11	2013-02-15	21.64%	Zadar	1484	1	@ Inter Zapresic	1529	0
12	2013-05-18	21.78%	Istra 1961	1600	1	@ RNK Split	1643	0
13	2013-02-10	22.42%	@ Osijek	1583	2	Dinamo Zagreb	1780	1
14	2013-05-04	22.53%	Zadar	1478	3	@ Cibalia	1513	2
15	2012-11-04	22.57%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1578	2	@ Osijek	1613	1
16	2013-05-11	23.05%	Inter Zapresic	1512	2	@ Osijek	1541	0
17	2013-03-01	23.60%	NK Zagreb	1497	2	@ Inter Zapresic	1520	1
18	2013-03-29	23.92%	Istra 1961	1561	4	@ Osijek	1582	0
19	2012-11-10	24.33%	@ RNK Split	1614	1	Dinamo Zagreb	1791	0
20	2012-12-08	26.46%	@ Zadar	1476	1	RNK Split	1633	0
21	2012-08-03	26.80%	Rijeka	1540	1	@ NK Zagreb	1533	0
22	2012-07-20	26.91%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1561	2	@ NK Zagreb	1554	0
23	2013-04-27	27.08%	Inter Zapresic	1495	2	@ Zadar	1486	1
24	2012-11-10	27.31%	@ Zadar	1457	1	Slaven Belupo	1606	0
25	2012-08-31	27.58%	Cibalia	1513	1	@ NK Zagreb	1500	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-03-29	31.98	Istra 1961	4	1561	23.92%	@ Osijek	0	1582	50.12%	25.95%
2	2013-05-18	28.16	NK Zagreb	3	1451	17.23%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1550	59.48%	23.29%
3	2012-09-22	26.52	@ Rijeka	3	1562	20.07%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	1785	55.26%	24.67%
4	2012-09-22	23.83	Inter Zapresic	5	1513	29.47%	@ Zadar	1	1484	43.57%	26.96%
5	2012-09-29	22.14	@ Zadar	4	1460	41.89%	NK Zagreb	0	1501	31.00%	27.11%
6	2012-07-22	20.92	Slaven Belupo	3	1599	31.74%	@ Cibalia	0	1552	41.09%	27.17%
7	2012-08-10	20.73	Osijek	3	1583	32.19%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1532	40.61%	27.20%
8	2013-03-09	18.87	Cibalia	2	1500	18.50%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1582	57.53%	23.97%
9	2013-05-11	17.16	Inter Zapresic	2	1512	23.05%	@ Osijek	0	1541	51.24%	25.71%
10	2012-09-16	16.71	Rijeka	3	1545	17.45%	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1641	59.13%	23.42%
11	2012-07-20	15.87	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1561	26.91%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1554	46.50%	26.59%
12	2012-09-29	15.37	@ Cibalia	4	1524	38.60%	Rijeka	1	1588	34.11%	27.29%
13	2013-05-26	15.08	Rijeka	4	1581	39.47%	@ NK Zagreb	1	1479	33.27%	27.26%
14	2012-11-24	14.92	@ Zadar	4	1459	39.96%	Cibalia	1	1514	32.80%	27.24%
15	2013-05-10	14.69	Cibalia	2	1505	30.75%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1465	42.16%	27.09%
16	2013-04-06	14.23	@ Cibalia	2	1508	32.35%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	0	1618	40.44%	27.21%
17	2013-02-16	13.89	Hajduk Split	2	1664	33.56%	@ Slaven Belupo	0	1603	39.17%	27.27%
18	2013-02-16	13.77	@ Cibalia	2	1495	34.00%	Osijek	0	1592	38.71%	27.29%
19	2013-04-13	13.56	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	5	1603	53.23%	Slaven Belupo	1	1558	21.54%	25.23%
20	2013-04-20	13.38	Lokomotiva Zagreb	3	1617	28.24%	@ Rijeka	1	1598	44.96%	26.80%
21	2012-11-30	13.36	RNK Split	2	1620	35.50%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1545	37.18%	27.32%
22	2013-04-19	13.30	Istra 1961	2	1584	35.74%	@ Inter Zapresic	0	1508	36.94%	27.32%
23	2012-08-19	13.00	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1584	36.88%	Hajduk Split	0	1661	35.80%	27.32%
24	2012-10-07	13.00	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1764	45.78%	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1616	27.52%	26.70%
25	2012-09-29	12.95	Osijek	3	1602	29.84%	@ Istra 1961	1	1570	43.16%	27.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-10-06	76.0	@ Osijek	2	1615	47.65%	RNK Split	2	1614	25.94%	26.42%
2	2012-11-03	75.8	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1607	46.61%	RNK Split	2	1613	26.81%	26.58%
3	2013-03-28	74.6	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1619	60.72%	Inter Zapresic	2	1509	16.45%	22.83%
4	2012-09-29	74.0	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1537	36.51%	Slaven Belupo	2	1616	36.17%	27.32%
5	2013-02-16	74.0	@ Istra 1961	2	1549	39.92%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1604	32.85%	27.24%
6	2012-07-21	73.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1756	71.62%	Inter Zapresic	1	1537	10.54%	17.84%
7	2012-08-11	73.5	@ Rijeka	2	1548	42.64%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1584	30.31%	27.05%
8	2013-02-23	73.5	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1590	56.18%	Inter Zapresic	2	1519	19.42%	24.40%
9	2013-05-26	73.4	@ Zadar	2	1495	28.67%	RNK Split	2	1634	44.46%	26.86%
10	2012-12-02	71.4	@ Hajduk Split	1	1662	56.08%	Rijeka	1	1593	19.49%	24.43%
11	2012-10-26	71.2	Inter Zapresic	3	1529	20.47%	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	1587	54.69%	24.84%
12	2012-08-26	71.0	@ Hajduk Split	1	1648	53.27%	Osijek	1	1602	21.50%	25.22%
13	2013-05-19	71.0	Zadar	3	1486	16.86%	@ Rijeka	2	1590	60.06%	23.08%
14	2013-03-09	70.9	Istra 1961	2	1549	15.01%	@ Hajduk Split	1	1682	63.12%	21.87%
15	2013-02-10	70.5	@ Osijek	2	1583	22.42%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1780	52.06%	25.52%
16	2013-04-28	70.5	Rijeka	2	1585	17.93%	@ Hajduk Split	1	1674	58.40%	23.68%
17	2013-05-26	70.4	@ Istra 1961	1	1609	43.89%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1636	29.18%	26.93%
18	2012-10-20	70.3	RNK Split	3	1615	30.47%	@ Rijeka	2	1578	42.46%	27.07%
19	2012-09-30	69.9	@ RNK Split	1	1615	51.40%	Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1584	22.93%	25.68%
20	2013-04-21	69.9	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1544	29.62%	Hajduk Split	1	1675	43.40%	26.98%
21	2013-03-10	69.7	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1790	70.91%	Osijek	0	1578	10.88%	18.21%
22	2012-09-14	69.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1787	69.05%	Osijek	0	1596	11.80%	19.15%
23	2013-04-07	69.3	@ Inter Zapresic	1	1510	25.85%	Hajduk Split	1	1673	47.75%	26.40%
24	2012-08-18	68.9	@ Osijek	1	1603	54.43%	Rijeka	1	1548	20.66%	24.91%
25	2013-03-17	68.9	@ Zadar	1	1488	23.69%	Hajduk Split	1	1672	50.41%	25.89%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-11-03	40.4	@ Hajduk Split	3	1652	68.76%	Zadar	0	1463	11.94%	19.29%
2	2012-11-17	40.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1782	79.69%	Zadar	0	1465	6.96%	13.35%
3	2013-03-30	41.8	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1785	78.09%	Zadar	0	1489	7.63%	14.28%
4	2012-09-29	42.8	@ Zadar	4	1460	41.89%	NK Zagreb	0	1501	31.00%	27.11%
5	2013-05-03	42.8	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1503	51.06%	NK Zagreb	0	1474	23.19%	25.75%
6	2012-10-20	43.3	@ Osijek	2	1615	63.47%	Zadar	0	1479	14.81%	21.72%
7	2012-08-25	43.6	@ Dinamo Zagreb	6	1770	75.27%	NK Zagreb	0	1509	8.86%	15.88%
8	2013-04-14	43.9	@ Dinamo Zagreb	2	1800	77.52%	Inter Zapresic	0	1511	7.87%	14.60%
9	2012-11-10	44.1	@ Istra 1961	3	1559	52.49%	Cibalia	0	1520	22.09%	25.42%
10	2012-08-12	44.6	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1617	61.41%	Zadar	0	1500	16.02%	22.56%
11	2012-10-05	44.7	@ Hajduk Split	4	1641	59.84%	Cibalia	0	1539	17.00%	23.16%
12	2013-03-02	45.0	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1783	69.33%	Slaven Belupo	0	1588	11.66%	19.01%
13	2013-04-05	45.4	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1792	64.42%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1486	14.26%	21.31%
14	2013-05-26	46.3	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1523	47.68%	Slaven Belupo	0	1522	25.91%	26.41%
15	2013-04-27	46.8	@ Osijek	1	1541	55.20%	NK Zagreb	0	1479	20.11%	24.69%
16	2012-11-17	47.0	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1598	61.63%	NK Zagreb	0	1479	15.89%	22.48%
17	2013-03-08	47.3	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	4	1601	60.16%	Zadar	1	1496	16.80%	23.04%
18	2012-08-12	47.4	@ Hajduk Split	5	1651	62.43%	NK Zagreb	1	1525	15.41%	22.15%
19	2012-11-03	47.6	@ Rijeka	1	1580	58.67%	NK Zagreb	0	1488	17.75%	23.58%
20	2013-04-13	47.6	@ Osijek	1	1545	54.45%	Zadar	0	1489	20.65%	24.91%
21	2012-07-20	47.8	@ RNK Split	2	1604	54.34%	Rijeka	0	1549	20.72%	24.94%
22	2013-03-09	47.8	@ RNK Split	4	1621	61.31%	NK Zagreb	1	1505	16.08%	22.60%
23	2012-12-07	48.3	@ Lokomotiva Zagreb	1	1600	59.79%	Cibalia	0	1498	17.03%	23.18%
24	2012-08-24	48.5	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1504	41.37%	Rijeka	0	1549	31.48%	27.15%
25	2013-05-10	48.6	Cibalia	2	1505	30.75%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1465	42.16%	27.09%