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2018-19 Druga HNL Season

182 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Varazdin

15.89 points above expected

51 points · 35.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lucko

9.72 points below expected

24 points · 33.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Varazdin 26 16 3 7 51 40 30 +10 35.11 +15.89
2 Sibenik 26 13 7 6 46 38 25 +13 45.81 +0.19
3 Osijek II 26 13 5 8 44 37 26 +11 42.10 +1.90
4 Dugopolje 26 13 4 9 43 29 25 +4 38.10 +4.90
5 Hajduk Split II 26 12 7 7 43 36 29 +7 38.63 +4.37
6 Sesvete 26 11 7 8 40 38 26 +12 39.29 +0.71
7 Dinamo Zagreb II 26 10 7 9 37 31 26 +5 40.74 -3.74
8 Zadar 26 9 7 10 34 36 40 -4 33.34 +0.66
9 BSK Bijelo Brdo 26 6 10 10 28 31 37 -6 30.93 -2.93
10 Solin 26 5 13 8 28 24 31 -7 31.11 -3.11
11 Kustosija 26 7 7 12 28 20 28 -8 32.69 -4.69
12 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 26 7 6 13 27 23 29 -6 33.08 -6.08
13 Medimurje 26 6 7 13 25 26 42 -16 26.87 -1.87
14 Lucko 26 6 6 14 24 16 31 -15 33.72 -9.72

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Varazdin 51 35.11 +15.89
2 Dugopolje 43 38.10 +4.90
3 Hajduk Split II 43 38.63 +4.37
4 Osijek II 44 42.10 +1.90
5 Sesvete 40 39.29 +0.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lucko 24 33.72 -9.72
2 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 27 33.08 -6.08
3 Kustosija 28 32.69 -4.69
4 Dinamo Zagreb II 37 40.74 -3.74
5 Solin 28 31.11 -3.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dugopolje 5 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 91
2 Varazdin 4 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 89
3 Hajduk Split II 5 Apr 8 – May 5 1 in 62
4 Sibenik 5 Oct 13 – Nov 17 1 in 56
5 Dinamo Zagreb II 4 Oct 21 – Nov 9 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lucko 7 Apr 12 – May 25 1 in 173
2 Medimurje 5 Oct 6 – Nov 3 1 in 55
3 Dugopolje 4 Aug 25 – Sep 16 1 in 42
4 Dinamo Zagreb II 3 Apr 6 – Apr 18 1 in 34
5 Solin 3 Sep 21 – Oct 5 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Solin 7 Nov 10 – Mar 30 1 in 74
2 Hajduk Split II 9 Mar 10 – May 5 1 in 36
3 Zadar 7 Sep 7 – Oct 20 1 in 33
4 BSK Bijelo Brdo 5 Apr 27 – May 25 1 in 24
5 Sesvete 8 Mar 22 – May 10 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lucko 9 Mar 30 – May 25 1 in 36
2 Solin 9 Sep 21 – Nov 17 1 in 35
3 Dinamo Zagreb II 6 Mar 31 – Apr 28 1 in 35
4 Zadar 7 Oct 20 – Mar 9 1 in 31
5 Kustosija 8 Nov 4 – Mar 30 1 in 29

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Varazdin 1526 51 +15 10 7.9 +2.1
Sibenik 1522 46 -67 4 8.6 -4.6
Osijek II 1528 44 +29 10 9.2 +0.8
Hajduk Split II 1532 43 +21 10 8.2 +1.8
Dugopolje 1509 43 +11 8 8.0 -0.0
Sesvete 1527 40 +7 8 8.1 -0.1
Dinamo Zagreb II 1447 37 -23 6 7.2 -1.2
Zadar 1433 34 +42 9 6.9 +2.1
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1417 28 +46 9 5.6 +3.4
Solin 1409 28 +19 8 6.0 +2.0
Kustosija 1387 28 -11 4 6.0 -2.0
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1396 27 -18 4 5.7 -1.7
Medimurje 1323 25 +22 5 4.0 +1.0
Lucko 1314 24 -92 0 5.1 -5.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBB DZI DUG HSI HD KUS LUC MED OI SES SIB SOL VAR ZAD
BSK Bijelo Brdo —
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.18
0-2-0
1.98
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.13
0-2-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.83
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
2.97
Dinamo Zagreb II
1-0-1
3.45
—
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.41
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.94
Dugopolje
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.46
—
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.60
2-0-0
1.98
0-1-1
3.63
0-0-2
3.14
1-0-1
2.86
Hajduk Split II
0-2-0
3.54
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.79
—
2-0-0
3.33
0-2-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.11
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.18
—
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.26
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.65
Kustosija
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.93
—
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.91
Lucko
0-0-2
2.95
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.12
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.83
—
0-1-1
3.36
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.17
Medimurje
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.45
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.16
—
1-0-1
1.33
0-1-1
2.32
0-2-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
1.68
Osijek II
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
4.22
—
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.37
Sesvete
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.39
—
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
3.36
Sibenik
1-0-1
3.70
1-1-0
3.05
0-0-2
3.54
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.50
0-2-0
3.80
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.26
—
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.36
Solin
0-2-0
2.82
0-2-0
2.12
1-1-0
1.88
1-1-0
2.35
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.05
—
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.46
Varazdin
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
2.95
—
0-1-1
2.94
Zadar
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
3.84
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.58
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +9.9
Allowed 0.29 -8.7
Differential 0.86 +8.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.24%12.91%6.04%3.02%0.82%0.27%31.32%
112.91%11.54%6.59%3.85%1.37%0.27%36.54%
26.04%6.59%5.49%1.37%0.27%—19.78%
33.02%3.85%1.37%1.10%——9.34%
40.82%1.37%0.27%———2.47%
5+0.27%0.27%————0.55%
Total31.32%36.54%19.78%9.34%2.47%0.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.59
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
13.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
3——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%42.31%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.23
SD 1.02 0.95 1.18
CV 0.86 0.66 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%11.54%3.85%——42.31%
17.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total26.92%50.00%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.00 +0.19
SD 1.33 0.80 1.65
CV 1.11 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%—3.85%3.85%—26.92%
123.08%11.54%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
211.54%11.54%—3.85%——26.92%
3———————
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total42.31%38.46%3.85%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.96 +0.15
SD 0.95 1.15 1.69
CV 0.85 1.19 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
215.38%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%11.54%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.12 +0.27
SD 0.98 1.24 1.51
CV 0.71 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%23.08%————38.46%
111.54%3.85%11.54%15.38%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.12 -0.23
SD 0.91 1.07 1.34
CV 1.03 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%11.54%3.85%——46.15%
17.69%15.38%11.54%———34.62%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.08 -0.31
SD 0.86 0.84 1.26
CV 1.12 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%19.23%11.54%7.69%——53.85%
115.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%26.92%23.08%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.19 -0.58
SD 0.75 1.10 1.30
CV 1.22 0.92 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
111.54%15.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%—50.00%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%23.08%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.62 -0.62
SD 0.98 1.27 1.70
CV 0.98 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
119.23%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total46.15%23.08%19.23%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.00 +0.42
SD 1.10 1.17 1.75
CV 0.77 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
2———————
311.54%19.23%—3.85%——34.62%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%53.85%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.00 +0.46
SD 1.39 0.85 1.73
CV 0.95 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%11.54%11.54%———30.77%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%30.77%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.96 +0.50
SD 1.21 0.92 1.50
CV 0.83 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
115.38%23.08%7.69%——3.85%50.00%
2——11.54%3.85%——15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%30.77%23.08%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.19 -0.27
SD 0.80 1.23 1.34
CV 0.86 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%7.69%——19.23%
115.38%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—30.77%
27.69%23.08%3.85%———34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%38.46%19.23%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.15 +0.38
SD 1.14 1.08 1.83
CV 0.74 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%——3.85%26.92%
17.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%30.77%26.92%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.54 -0.15
SD 1.24 1.30 1.97
CV 0.89 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hajduk Split II 1532 43 38.63 +4.37 72.0% 21 28 34 38 44 49 55
Osijek II 1528 44 42.10 +1.90 60.0% 19 30 38 42 46 52 58
Sesvete 1527 40 39.29 +0.71 55.0% 22 30 35 40 44 48 53
Varazdin 1526 51 35.11 +15.89 100.0% 20 25 31 35 39 44 51
Sibenik 1522 46 45.81 +0.19 53.0% 30 36 41 46 49 56 62
Dugopolje 1509 43 38.10 +4.90 79.0% 26 29 34 38 42 48 58
Dinamo Zagreb II 1447 37 40.74 -3.74 31.0% 22 30 36 41 45 51 57
Zadar 1433 34 33.34 +0.66 56.0% 17 21 30 34 37 44 48
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1417 28 30.93 -2.93 30.0% 19 22 27 31 34 40 45
Solin 1409 28 31.11 -3.11 35.0% 16 22 27 31 34 44 49
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1396 27 33.08 -6.08 21.0% 20 24 29 32 37 45 50
Kustosija 1387 28 32.69 -4.69 33.0% 18 22 27 32 37 44 50
Medimurje 1323 25 26.87 -1.87 43.0% 14 17 22 26 32 37 42
Lucko 1314 24 33.72 -9.72 10.0% 18 23 28 34 39 44 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+37.36%
Strong Edge
55.49%26.37%18.13%
Elo Value
Home Edge
227 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0136.41600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
1%
Varazdin, 11th of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.15 * Some Luck: 5.15 to 7.72 * Lucky: 7.72 to 10.3 * Wild Swing: 10.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.22 * Close: 2.22 to 3.32 * Off: 3.32 to 4.43 * Way Off: 4.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.91 points
Some Luck
06.4416
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.29
Close
02.776
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Varazdin
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
10.00%
Lucko
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 77.20
1.35
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.22
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.20
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.71
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.224
Above Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Varazdin1.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%
Sibenik36.00%25.00%16.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%—2.00%2.00%——1.00%—
Osijek II21.00%16.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%
Dugopolje7.00%8.00%3.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%—
Hajduk Split II7.00%10.00%17.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%—4.00%
Sesvete6.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%
Dinamo Zagreb II11.00%12.00%14.00%19.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—2.00%
Zadar2.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%20.00%2.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo——2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%
Solin1.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%13.00%
Kustosija2.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%12.00%9.00%17.00%8.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac3.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%13.00%7.00%
Medimurje———2.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%19.00%31.00%
Lucko3.00%—6.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Sibenik 53.00% 20.00% 27.00% —
Sesvete 12.00% 23.00% 64.00% 1.00%
Dugopolje 10.00% 16.00% 74.00% —
Osijek II — — 99.00% 1.00%
Dinamo Zagreb II — — 98.00% 2.00%
Varazdin 1.00% 13.00% 82.00% 4.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 4.00% 5.00% 84.00% 7.00%
Hajduk Split II — — 96.00% 4.00%
Kustosija 2.00% 5.00% 85.00% 8.00%
Zadar 2.00% 6.00% 83.00% 9.00%
Lucko 3.00% 7.00% 79.00% 11.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo — 1.00% 90.00% 9.00%
Solin 1.00% 4.00% 82.00% 13.00%
Medimurje — — 69.00% 31.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-08-24 Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-255.5 1459 1459 41.21% 24.72% 34.08%+0.60 -14.4 0
2018-08-24 @ Sesvete W 2-155.5 1459 1459 34.08% 24.72% 41.21%-0.60 +14.4 3
2018-08-24 Solin W 1-047.4 1405 1459 33.61% 24.71% 41.69%+0.36 +15.5 3
2018-08-24 @ Medimurje L 0-147.4 1459 1405 41.69% 24.71% 33.61%-0.36 -15.5 0
2018-08-24 Zadar W 3-148.1 1442 1441 41.43% 24.71% 33.86%+0.61 +21.5 3
2018-08-24 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-348.1 1441 1442 33.86% 24.71% 41.43%-0.61 -21.5 0
2018-08-25 Hajduk Split II L 0-149.0 1459 1459 41.21% 24.72% 34.08%+0.60 -15.3 0
2018-08-25 @ Dugopolje W 1-049.0 1459 1459 34.08% 24.72% 41.21%-0.60 +15.3 3
2018-08-25 Kustosija W 2-153.3 1462 1459 41.71% 24.71% 33.58%+0.62 +12.3 3
2018-08-25 @ Lucko L 1-253.3 1459 1462 33.58% 24.71% 41.71%-0.62 -12.3 0
2018-08-25 Osijek II D 2-267.4 1452 1459 40.27% 24.73% 35.00%+0.57 -0.3 1
2018-08-25 @ Sibenik D 2-267.4 1459 1452 35.00% 24.73% 40.27%-0.57 +0.3 1
2018-08-25 Varazdin L 0-149.4 1459 1396 49.47% 24.36% 26.17%+0.88 -17.8 0
2018-08-25 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-049.4 1396 1459 26.17% 24.36% 49.47%-0.88 +17.8 3
2018-08-31 Dugopolje W 3-257.3 1446 1443 41.62% 24.71% 33.67%+0.61 +11.7 3
2018-08-31 @ Kustosija L 2-357.3 1443 1446 33.67% 24.71% 41.62%-0.61 -11.7 0
2018-08-31 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-150.0 1420 1464 35.01% 24.73% 40.26%+0.41 +24.6 6
2018-08-31 @ Medimurje L 1-350.0 1464 1420 40.26% 24.73% 35.01%-0.41 -24.5 3
2018-09-01 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 3-147.8 1473 1441 45.58% 24.58% 29.83%+0.74 +19.5 6
2018-09-01 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-347.8 1441 1473 29.83% 24.58% 45.58%-0.74 -19.5 0
2018-09-01 Hajduk Split II W 1-048.2 1443 1474 36.84% 24.75% 38.41%+0.46 +14.5 3
2018-09-01 @ Solin L 0-148.2 1474 1443 38.41% 24.75% 36.84%-0.46 -14.5 3
2018-09-01 Lucko W 1-048.5 1414 1475 32.69% 24.68% 42.63%+0.33 +15.7 6
2018-09-01 @ Varazdin L 0-148.5 1475 1414 42.63% 24.68% 32.69%-0.33 -15.7 3
2018-09-01 Sibenik L 0-242.3 1419 1452 36.61% 24.75% 38.65%+0.46 -26.4 0
2018-09-01 @ Zadar W 2-042.3 1452 1419 38.65% 24.75% 36.61%-0.46 +26.4 4
2018-09-02 Sesvete W 1-045.8 1459 1444 43.24% 24.67% 32.09%+0.66 +12.7 4
2018-09-02 @ Osijek II L 0-145.8 1444 1459 32.09% 24.67% 43.24%-0.66 -12.6 0
2018-09-07 Solin D 2-266.9 1439 1458 38.61% 24.75% 36.64%+0.52 -0.1 4
2018-09-07 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 2-266.9 1458 1439 36.64% 24.75% 38.61%-0.52 +0.1 4
2018-09-07 Zadar D 3-368.2 1432 1393 46.43% 24.54% 29.03%+0.77 -0.8 1
2018-09-07 @ Sesvete D 3-368.2 1393 1432 29.03% 24.54% 46.43%-0.77 +0.8 1
2018-09-08 Medimurje D 2-267.8 1478 1445 45.73% 24.58% 29.70%+0.75 -0.9 5
2018-09-08 @ Sibenik D 2-267.8 1445 1478 29.70% 24.58% 45.73%-0.75 +0.9 7
2018-09-08 Varazdin L 1-253.8 1432 1430 41.50% 24.71% 33.79%+0.61 -14.5 0
2018-09-08 @ Dugopolje W 2-153.8 1430 1432 33.79% 24.71% 41.50%-0.61 +14.5 9
2018-09-09 Hajduk Split II D 1-161.3 1458 1460 41.01% 24.72% 34.27%+0.59 -0.5 4
2018-09-09 @ Kustosija D 1-161.3 1460 1458 34.27% 24.72% 41.01%-0.59 +0.5 4
2018-09-09 Osijek II D 2-266.8 1422 1472 34.12% 24.72% 41.17%+0.38 +0.4 1
2018-09-09 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 2-266.8 1472 1422 41.17% 24.72% 34.12%-0.38 -0.4 5
2018-09-10 Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-049.5 1459 1493 36.42% 24.74% 38.83%+0.45 +14.6 6
2018-09-10 @ Lucko L 0-149.5 1493 1459 38.83% 24.74% 36.42%-0.45 -14.6 6
2018-09-14 Lucko D 0-056.8 1471 1474 40.89% 24.72% 34.39%+0.59 -0.5 6
2018-09-14 @ Osijek II D 0-056.8 1474 1471 34.39% 24.72% 40.89%-0.59 +0.5 7
2018-09-14 Sesvete D 1-160.0 1446 1431 43.25% 24.67% 32.08%+0.67 -0.8 8
2018-09-14 @ Medimurje D 1-160.0 1431 1446 32.08% 24.67% 43.25%-0.67 +0.8 2
2018-09-14 Sibenik D 1-161.3 1439 1477 35.83% 24.74% 39.43%+0.43 +0.3 5
2018-09-14 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-161.3 1477 1439 39.43% 24.74% 35.83%-0.43 -0.3 6
2018-09-15 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-045.1 1394 1422 37.23% 24.75% 38.02%+0.48 +14.4 4
2018-09-15 @ Zadar L 0-145.1 1422 1394 38.02% 24.75% 37.23%-0.48 -14.4 1
2018-09-15 Hajduk Split II W 4-252.8 1444 1460 38.97% 24.74% 36.29%+0.53 +20.3 12
2018-09-15 @ Varazdin L 2-452.8 1460 1444 36.29% 24.74% 38.97%-0.53 -20.3 4
2018-09-15 Kustosija W 1-046.8 1458 1458 41.25% 24.72% 34.04%+0.60 +13.2 7
2018-09-15 @ Solin L 0-146.8 1458 1458 34.04% 24.72% 41.25%-0.60 -13.2 4
2018-09-16 Dugopolje W 3-038.2 1478 1417 49.24% 24.38% 26.38%+0.87 +29.6 9
2018-09-16 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-338.2 1417 1478 26.38% 24.38% 49.24%-0.87 -29.6 0
2018-09-21 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-148.1 1432 1440 40.10% 24.73% 35.16%+0.57 +22.2 5
2018-09-21 @ Sesvete L 1-348.1 1440 1432 35.16% 24.73% 40.10%-0.57 -22.1 5
2018-09-21 Solin W 3-259.2 1477 1471 42.01% 24.70% 33.29%+0.63 +11.6 9
2018-09-21 @ Sibenik L 2-359.2 1471 1477 33.29% 24.70% 42.01%-0.63 -11.6 7
2018-09-21 Varazdin W 2-153.9 1444 1464 38.38% 24.75% 36.87%+0.51 +13.3 7
2018-09-21 @ Kustosija L 1-253.9 1464 1444 36.87% 24.75% 38.38%-0.51 -13.3 12
2018-09-23 Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-046.9 1440 1508 31.75% 24.66% 43.59%+0.30 +30.2 7
2018-09-23 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-246.9 1508 1440 43.59% 24.66% 31.75%-0.30 -30.2 9
2018-09-23 Medimurje W 3-257.9 1408 1445 35.90% 24.74% 39.36%+0.44 +13.2 4
2018-09-23 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 2-357.9 1445 1408 39.36% 24.74% 35.90%-0.44 -13.2 8
2018-09-23 Osijek II W 1-048.4 1388 1471 29.79% 24.58% 45.63%+0.23 +16.6 3
2018-09-23 @ Dugopolje L 0-148.4 1471 1388 45.63% 24.58% 29.79%-0.23 -16.6 6
2018-09-23 Zadar D 2-266.6 1474 1408 49.87% 24.33% 25.80%+0.89 -1.4 8
2018-09-23 @ Lucko D 2-266.6 1408 1474 25.80% 24.33% 49.87%-0.89 +1.4 5
2018-09-28 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-044.6 1417 1421 40.76% 24.72% 34.52%+0.59 +13.4 8
2018-09-28 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-144.6 1421 1417 34.52% 24.72% 40.76%-0.59 -13.4 4
2018-09-29 Dugopolje W 3-146.0 1410 1404 41.96% 24.70% 33.34%+0.62 +21.3 8
2018-09-29 @ Zadar L 1-346.0 1404 1410 33.34% 24.70% 41.96%-0.62 -21.3 3
2018-09-29 Kustosija L 0-246.5 1478 1458 43.92% 24.65% 31.43%+0.69 -30.4 9
2018-09-29 @ Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-046.5 1458 1478 31.43% 24.65% 43.92%-0.69 +30.4 10
2018-09-29 Lucko W 1-048.2 1432 1473 35.38% 24.74% 39.88%+0.42 +14.9 11
2018-09-29 @ Medimurje L 0-148.2 1473 1432 39.88% 24.74% 35.38%-0.42 -14.9 8
2018-09-29 Varazdin L 1-255.6 1460 1451 42.36% 24.69% 32.95%+0.64 -14.8 7
2018-09-29 @ Solin W 2-155.6 1451 1460 32.95% 24.69% 42.36%-0.64 +14.8 15
2018-09-30 Hajduk Split II W 3-150.1 1454 1470 38.97% 24.74% 36.28%+0.53 +22.7 9
2018-09-30 @ Osijek II L 1-350.1 1470 1454 36.28% 24.74% 38.97%-0.53 -22.7 7
2018-09-30 Sesvete W 1-046.3 1489 1454 45.91% 24.57% 29.52%+0.75 +11.8 12
2018-09-30 @ Sibenik L 0-146.3 1454 1489 29.52% 24.57% 45.91%-0.75 -11.8 5
2018-10-05 Osijek II L 0-151.1 1488 1477 42.76% 24.68% 32.56%+0.65 -15.8 10
2018-10-05 @ Kustosija W 1-051.1 1477 1488 32.56% 24.68% 42.76%-0.65 +15.8 12
2018-10-05 Solin W 3-040.4 1442 1445 40.82% 24.72% 34.45%+0.59 +36.6 8
2018-10-05 @ Sesvete L 0-340.4 1445 1442 34.45% 24.72% 40.82%-0.59 -36.6 7
2018-10-06 Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-449.1 1466 1447 43.80% 24.65% 31.55%+0.68 -37.2 15
2018-10-06 @ Varazdin W 4-149.1 1447 1466 31.55% 24.65% 43.80%-0.68 +37.2 12
2018-10-06 Hajduk Split II W 1-046.3 1431 1447 38.89% 24.74% 36.36%+0.53 +13.9 11
2018-10-06 @ Zadar L 0-146.3 1447 1431 36.36% 24.74% 38.89%-0.53 -13.9 7
2018-10-06 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-054.9 1458 1431 44.89% 24.61% 30.50%+0.72 -1.2 9
2018-10-06 @ Lucko D 0-054.9 1431 1458 30.50% 24.61% 44.89%-0.72 +1.2 9
2018-10-06 Medimurje W 4-041.7 1383 1447 32.32% 24.67% 43.01%+0.32 +56.7 6
2018-10-06 @ Dugopolje L 0-441.7 1447 1383 43.01% 24.67% 32.32%-0.32 -56.7 11
2018-10-07 Sibenik W 2-156.8 1407 1500 28.56% 24.52% 46.93%+0.19 +16.1 7
2018-10-07 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 1-256.8 1500 1407 46.93% 24.52% 28.56%-0.19 -16.1 12
2018-10-13 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-044.1 1479 1423 48.54% 24.42% 27.04%+0.84 +11.0 11
2018-10-13 @ Sesvete L 0-144.1 1423 1479 27.04% 24.42% 48.54%-0.84 -11.0 7
2018-10-13 Dugopolje L 1-253.7 1432 1440 40.14% 24.73% 35.13%+0.57 -14.1 9
2018-10-13 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-153.7 1440 1432 35.13% 24.73% 40.14%-0.57 +14.1 9
2018-10-13 Dinamo Zagreb II D 1-160.5 1408 1484 30.70% 24.62% 44.68%+0.27 +1.1 8
2018-10-13 @ Solin D 1-160.5 1484 1408 44.68% 24.62% 30.70%-0.27 -1.1 13
2018-10-13 Hajduk Split II L 1-443.8 1390 1433 35.04% 24.73% 40.22%+0.41 -31.2 11
2018-10-13 @ Medimurje W 4-143.8 1433 1390 40.22% 24.73% 35.04%-0.41 +31.2 10
2018-10-13 Lucko W 3-041.0 1484 1457 44.99% 24.61% 30.40%+0.72 +33.2 15
2018-10-13 @ Sibenik L 0-341.0 1457 1484 30.40% 24.61% 44.99%-0.72 -33.2 9
2018-10-13 Varazdin W 3-039.0 1493 1429 49.60% 24.35% 26.05%+0.88 +29.3 15
2018-10-13 @ Osijek II L 0-339.0 1429 1493 26.05% 24.35% 49.60%-0.88 -29.3 15
2018-10-14 Kustosija W 2-044.1 1445 1472 37.31% 24.75% 37.95%+0.48 +27.1 14
2018-10-14 @ Zadar L 0-244.1 1472 1445 37.95% 24.75% 37.31%-0.48 -27.1 10
2018-10-20 Medimurje W 2-146.7 1445 1359 52.33% 24.13% 23.54%+0.98 +9.3 13
2018-10-20 @ Kustosija L 1-246.7 1359 1445 23.54% 24.13% 52.33%-0.98 -9.3 11
2018-10-20 Sesvete W 1-049.5 1423 1490 31.97% 24.66% 43.36%+0.31 +16.0 12
2018-10-20 @ Lucko L 0-149.5 1490 1423 43.36% 24.66% 31.97%-0.31 -16.0 11
2018-10-20 Zadar D 2-266.1 1400 1472 31.17% 24.64% 44.20%+0.28 +0.7 16
2018-10-20 @ Varazdin D 2-266.1 1472 1400 44.20% 24.64% 31.17%-0.28 -0.7 15
2018-10-21 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-043.8 1465 1418 47.46% 24.49% 28.05%+0.81 +11.4 13
2018-10-21 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-143.8 1418 1465 28.05% 24.49% 47.46%-0.81 -11.4 9
2018-10-21 Osijek II W 4-151.1 1483 1522 35.71% 24.74% 39.55%+0.43 +34.2 16
2018-10-21 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-451.1 1522 1483 39.55% 24.74% 35.71%-0.43 -34.3 15
2018-10-21 Solin D 1-158.5 1412 1409 41.64% 24.71% 33.66%+0.61 -0.6 8
2018-10-21 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-158.5 1409 1412 33.66% 24.71% 41.64%-0.61 +0.6 9
2018-10-26 Dugopolje W 1-046.4 1474 1454 43.93% 24.65% 31.42%+0.69 +12.4 14
2018-10-26 @ Sesvete L 0-146.4 1454 1474 31.42% 24.65% 43.93%-0.69 -12.4 9
2018-10-26 Kustosija L 0-145.2 1407 1455 34.43% 24.72% 40.84%+0.39 -13.3 9
2018-10-26 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-045.2 1455 1407 40.84% 24.72% 34.43%-0.39 +13.3 16
2018-10-26 Varazdin L 0-238.6 1349 1400 34.03% 24.72% 41.26%+0.38 -25.0 11
2018-10-26 @ Medimurje W 2-038.6 1400 1349 41.26% 24.72% 34.03%-0.38 +25.0 19
2018-10-27 Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-352.0 1471 1517 34.67% 24.73% 40.60%+0.40 -21.9 15
2018-10-27 @ Zadar W 3-152.0 1517 1471 40.60% 24.73% 34.67%-0.40 +21.9 19
2018-10-27 Hajduk Split II W 2-154.4 1518 1476 46.79% 24.52% 28.68%+0.78 +10.9 18
2018-10-27 @ Sibenik L 1-254.4 1476 1518 28.68% 24.52% 46.79%-0.78 -10.9 13
2018-10-28 Lucko W 1-046.0 1412 1439 37.29% 24.75% 37.96%+0.48 +14.4 11
2018-10-28 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-146.0 1439 1412 37.96% 24.75% 37.29%-0.48 -14.4 12
2018-10-28 Osijek II L 0-145.1 1410 1488 30.47% 24.61% 44.92%+0.26 -12.1 9
2018-10-28 @ Solin W 1-045.1 1488 1410 44.92% 24.61% 30.47%-0.26 +12.1 18
2018-11-03 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-040.8 1441 1426 43.31% 24.67% 32.02%+0.67 +23.8 12
2018-11-03 @ Dugopolje L 0-240.8 1426 1441 32.02% 24.67% 43.31%-0.67 -23.8 11
2018-11-03 Medimurje W 1-038.0 1539 1324 64.96% 22.05% 12.99%+1.55 +5.7 22
2018-11-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-138.0 1324 1539 12.99% 22.05% 64.96%-1.55 -5.7 11
2018-11-03 Solin W 2-039.1 1425 1398 44.92% 24.61% 30.47%+0.72 +22.9 15
2018-11-03 @ Lucko L 0-239.1 1398 1425 30.47% 24.61% 44.92%-0.72 -22.9 9
2018-11-04 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-243.5 1425 1393 45.55% 24.58% 29.86%+0.74 -31.3 19
2018-11-04 @ Varazdin W 2-043.5 1393 1425 29.86% 24.58% 45.55%-0.74 +31.3 12
2018-11-04 Sesvete W 1-048.9 1465 1486 38.24% 24.75% 37.01%+0.51 +14.1 16
2018-11-04 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-148.9 1486 1465 37.01% 24.75% 38.24%-0.51 -14.1 14
2018-11-04 Sibenik L 0-149.3 1468 1528 32.72% 24.69% 42.60%+0.33 -12.8 16
2018-11-04 @ Kustosija W 1-049.3 1528 1468 42.60% 24.69% 32.72%-0.33 +12.8 21
2018-11-05 Zadar W 2-042.1 1500 1449 47.94% 24.46% 27.59%+0.82 +21.2 21
2018-11-05 @ Osijek II L 0-242.1 1449 1500 27.59% 24.46% 47.94%-0.82 -21.1 15
2018-11-09 Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-146.0 1425 1545 25.35% 24.30% 50.36%+0.07 -10.5 12
2018-11-09 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-046.0 1545 1425 50.36% 24.30% 25.35%-0.07 +10.5 25
2018-11-09 Kustosija W 3-041.0 1472 1455 43.54% 24.66% 31.80%+0.67 +34.4 17
2018-11-09 @ Sesvete L 0-341.0 1455 1472 31.80% 24.66% 43.54%-0.67 -34.4 16
2018-11-10 Dugopolje D 1-161.2 1448 1465 38.77% 24.75% 36.49%+0.52 -0.2 16
2018-11-10 @ Lucko D 1-161.2 1465 1448 36.49% 24.75% 38.77%-0.52 +0.2 13
2018-11-10 Osijek II W 2-158.1 1319 1521 17.47% 23.23% 59.29%-0.29 +19.8 14
2018-11-10 @ Medimurje L 1-258.1 1521 1319 59.29% 23.23% 17.47%+0.29 -19.8 21
2018-11-10 Varazdin W 2-038.3 1541 1394 58.87% 23.30% 17.82%+1.25 +14.5 24
2018-11-10 @ Sibenik L 0-238.3 1394 1541 17.82% 23.30% 58.87%-1.25 -14.6 19
2018-11-10 Zadar D 2-264.3 1375 1428 33.71% 24.71% 41.59%+0.37 +0.4 10
2018-11-10 @ Solin D 2-264.3 1428 1375 41.59% 24.71% 33.71%-0.37 -0.4 16
2018-11-11 Hajduk Split II D 2-266.5 1402 1479 30.59% 24.61% 44.80%+0.26 +0.8 12
2018-11-11 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 2-266.5 1479 1402 44.80% 24.61% 30.59%-0.26 -0.8 17
2018-11-17 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-158.6 1421 1403 43.61% 24.66% 31.73%+0.68 -0.9 17
2018-11-17 @ Kustosija D 1-158.6 1403 1421 31.73% 24.66% 43.61%-0.68 +0.9 13
2018-11-17 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-145.8 1501 1414 52.39% 24.12% 23.49%+0.98 +16.0 24
2018-11-17 @ Osijek II L 1-345.8 1414 1501 23.49% 24.12% 52.39%-0.98 -16.0 12
2018-11-17 Lucko W 1-045.9 1478 1448 45.38% 24.59% 30.03%+0.74 +12.0 20
2018-11-17 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-145.9 1448 1478 30.03% 24.59% 45.38%-0.74 -12.0 16
2018-11-17 Medimurje D 1-157.5 1428 1338 52.64% 24.10% 23.27%+0.99 -2.3 17
2018-11-17 @ Zadar D 1-157.5 1338 1428 23.27% 24.10% 52.64%-0.99 +2.3 15
2018-11-17 Sesvete W 3-045.3 1379 1506 24.63% 24.23% 51.14%+0.04 +50.2 22
2018-11-17 @ Varazdin L 0-345.3 1506 1379 51.14% 24.23% 24.63%-0.04 -50.2 17
2018-11-17 Sibenik L 0-155.9 1556 1556 41.16% 24.72% 34.12%+0.60 -15.3 25
2018-11-17 @ Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-055.9 1556 1556 34.12% 24.72% 41.16%-0.60 +15.3 27
2018-11-17 Solin D 0-053.7 1465 1375 52.74% 24.09% 23.17%+1.00 -2.6 14
2018-11-17 @ Dugopolje D 0-053.7 1375 1465 23.17% 24.09% 52.74%-1.00 +2.6 11
2018-11-24 Sibenik W 1-055.5 1463 1571 26.73% 24.40% 48.87%+0.12 +17.6 17
2018-11-24 @ Dugopolje L 0-155.5 1571 1463 48.87% 24.40% 26.73%-0.12 -17.6 27
2019-03-01 Sibenik W 1-054.0 1517 1554 36.05% 24.74% 39.21%+0.44 +14.7 27
2019-03-01 @ Osijek II L 0-154.0 1554 1517 39.21% 24.74% 36.05%-0.44 -14.7 27
2019-03-02 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-149.8 1430 1404 44.69% 24.62% 30.69%+0.71 +11.5 25
2019-03-02 @ Varazdin L 1-249.8 1404 1430 30.69% 24.62% 44.69%-0.71 -11.5 13
2019-03-02 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-147.3 1425 1398 44.93% 24.61% 30.46%+0.72 -16.4 17
2019-03-02 @ Zadar W 1-047.3 1398 1425 30.46% 24.61% 44.93%-0.72 +16.4 15
2019-03-02 Lucko D 0-053.9 1420 1436 38.96% 24.74% 36.30%+0.53 -0.2 18
2019-03-02 @ Kustosija D 0-053.9 1436 1420 36.30% 24.74% 38.96%-0.53 +0.2 17
2019-03-02 Medimurje W 1-040.5 1378 1341 46.22% 24.55% 29.23%+0.76 +11.8 14
2019-03-02 @ Solin L 0-140.5 1341 1378 29.23% 24.55% 46.22%-0.76 -11.7 15
2019-03-03 Dugopolje L 0-247.4 1490 1480 42.60% 24.69% 32.72%+0.64 -29.7 20
2019-03-03 @ Hajduk Split II W 2-047.4 1480 1490 32.72% 24.69% 42.60%-0.64 +29.7 20
2019-03-03 Sesvete D 0-058.9 1540 1456 52.04% 24.15% 23.81%+0.97 -2.5 26
2019-03-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 0-058.9 1456 1540 23.81% 24.15% 52.04%-0.97 +2.5 18
2019-03-08 Medimurje W 3-033.6 1414 1329 52.19% 24.14% 23.67%+0.98 +27.1 18
2019-03-08 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-333.6 1329 1414 23.67% 24.14% 52.19%-0.98 -27.1 15
2019-03-08 Osijek II W 3-154.9 1459 1532 31.05% 24.63% 44.31%+0.28 +26.5 21
2019-03-08 @ Sesvete L 1-354.9 1532 1459 44.31% 24.63% 31.05%-0.28 -26.5 27
2019-03-09 Kustosija W 1-043.8 1510 1420 52.78% 24.08% 23.13%+1.00 +9.7 23
2019-03-09 @ Dugopolje L 0-143.8 1420 1510 23.13% 24.08% 52.78%-1.00 -9.7 18
2019-03-09 Varazdin W 1-045.8 1436 1441 40.49% 24.73% 34.79%+0.58 +13.5 20
2019-03-09 @ Lucko L 0-145.8 1441 1436 34.79% 24.73% 40.49%-0.58 -13.5 25
2019-03-09 Zadar W 5-038.9 1539 1409 57.10% 23.57% 19.33%+1.17 +36.6 30
2019-03-09 @ Sibenik L 0-538.9 1409 1539 19.33% 23.57% 57.10%-1.17 -36.6 17
2019-03-10 Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-049.0 1393 1538 22.71% 24.04% 53.26%-0.04 +35.9 16
2019-03-10 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-249.0 1538 1393 53.26% 24.04% 22.71%+0.04 -35.9 26
2019-03-10 Solin D 1-159.4 1461 1390 50.49% 24.29% 25.22%+0.91 -2.0 21
2019-03-10 @ Hajduk Split II D 1-159.4 1390 1461 25.22% 24.29% 50.49%-0.91 +2.0 15
2019-03-15 Sibenik D 0-055.4 1302 1575 12.51% 21.89% 65.60%-0.60 +5.1 16
2019-03-15 @ Medimurje D 0-055.4 1575 1302 65.60% 21.89% 12.51%+0.60 -5.1 31
2019-03-16 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-162.0 1505 1428 51.20% 24.23% 24.57%+0.94 -2.1 28
2019-03-16 @ Osijek II D 1-162.0 1428 1505 24.57% 24.23% 51.20%-0.94 +2.1 17
2019-03-16 Dugopolje W 1-051.7 1428 1520 28.69% 24.52% 46.79%+0.20 +17.0 28
2019-03-16 @ Varazdin L 0-151.7 1520 1428 46.79% 24.52% 28.69%-0.20 -17.0 23
2019-03-16 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-053.3 1392 1442 34.17% 24.72% 41.11%+0.38 +0.6 16
2019-03-16 @ Solin D 0-053.3 1442 1392 41.11% 24.72% 34.17%-0.38 -0.6 19
2019-03-16 Sesvete W 2-045.6 1372 1485 26.22% 24.37% 49.42%+0.10 +33.6 20
2019-03-16 @ Zadar L 0-245.6 1485 1372 49.42% 24.37% 26.22%-0.10 -33.6 21
2019-03-17 Kustosija D 1-159.8 1459 1410 47.74% 24.47% 27.78%+0.82 -1.5 22
2019-03-17 @ Hajduk Split II D 1-159.8 1410 1459 27.78% 24.47% 47.74%-0.82 +1.6 19
2019-03-17 Lucko W 2-042.1 1502 1449 48.19% 24.45% 27.37%+0.83 +21.0 29
2019-03-17 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-242.1 1449 1502 27.37% 24.45% 48.19%-0.83 -21.0 20
2019-03-22 Medimurje W 3-139.8 1452 1307 58.59% 23.35% 18.06%+1.24 +12.8 24
2019-03-22 @ Sesvete L 1-339.8 1307 1452 18.06% 23.35% 58.59%-1.24 -12.8 16
2019-03-22 Varazdin D 1-160.8 1457 1445 42.94% 24.68% 32.38%+0.66 -0.8 23
2019-03-22 @ Hajduk Split II D 1-160.8 1445 1457 32.38% 24.68% 42.94%-0.66 +0.8 29
2019-03-23 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-152.0 1570 1441 57.05% 23.58% 19.37%+1.17 +7.8 34
2019-03-23 @ Sibenik L 1-252.0 1441 1570 19.37% 23.58% 57.05%-1.17 -7.8 19
2019-03-23 Osijek II W 1-050.5 1428 1503 30.84% 24.62% 44.53%+0.27 +16.3 23
2019-03-23 @ Lucko L 0-150.5 1503 1428 44.53% 24.62% 30.84%-0.27 -16.3 28
2019-03-23 Solin D 0-052.6 1411 1392 43.83% 24.65% 31.52%+0.68 -1.1 20
2019-03-23 @ Kustosija D 0-052.6 1392 1411 31.52% 24.65% 43.83%-0.68 +1.0 17
2019-03-23 Zadar D 1-158.9 1431 1406 44.57% 24.62% 30.81%+0.71 -1.0 18
2019-03-23 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-158.9 1406 1431 30.81% 24.62% 44.57%-0.71 +1.1 21
2019-03-29 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-047.3 1294 1429 23.75% 24.15% 52.10%+0.01 +18.7 19
2019-03-29 @ Medimurje L 0-147.3 1429 1294 52.10% 24.15% 23.75%-0.01 -18.7 18
2019-03-29 Sesvete L 1-349.4 1433 1464 36.77% 24.75% 38.48%+0.46 -22.9 19
2019-03-29 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 3-149.4 1464 1433 38.48% 24.75% 36.77%-0.46 +22.9 27
2019-03-30 Dugopolje W 4-044.9 1487 1503 38.99% 24.74% 36.26%+0.53 +49.7 31
2019-03-30 @ Osijek II L 0-444.9 1503 1487 36.26% 24.74% 38.99%-0.53 -49.7 23
2019-03-30 Kustosija W 2-150.0 1445 1410 45.96% 24.57% 29.48%+0.75 +11.1 32
2019-03-30 @ Varazdin L 1-250.0 1410 1445 29.48% 24.57% 45.96%-0.75 -11.1 20
2019-03-30 Lucko W 2-152.9 1407 1445 35.85% 24.74% 39.41%+0.43 +13.9 24
2019-03-30 @ Zadar L 1-252.9 1445 1407 39.41% 24.74% 35.85%-0.43 -14.0 23
2019-03-30 Sibenik D 1-163.6 1393 1578 18.94% 23.51% 57.55%-0.21 +3.2 18
2019-03-30 @ Solin D 1-163.6 1578 1393 57.55% 23.51% 18.94%+0.21 -3.2 35
2019-03-31 Hajduk Split II D 0-058.2 1523 1456 49.93% 24.33% 25.75%+0.89 -2.1 30
2019-03-31 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 0-058.2 1456 1523 25.75% 24.33% 49.93%-0.89 +2.1 24
2019-04-05 Sibenik D 0-061.2 1487 1575 29.22% 24.55% 46.22%+0.21 +1.5 28
2019-04-05 @ Sesvete D 0-061.2 1575 1487 46.22% 24.55% 29.22%-0.21 -1.5 36
2019-04-06 Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-051.7 1399 1521 25.23% 24.29% 50.48%+0.07 +18.1 23
2019-04-06 @ Kustosija L 0-151.7 1521 1399 50.48% 24.29% 25.23%-0.07 -18.1 30
2019-04-06 Medimurje D 0-051.7 1431 1313 55.82% 23.74% 20.44%+1.12 -3.2 24
2019-04-06 @ Lucko D 0-051.7 1313 1431 20.44% 23.74% 55.82%-1.12 +3.2 20
2019-04-06 Solin W 2-148.9 1457 1396 49.15% 24.38% 26.47%+0.86 +10.2 35
2019-04-06 @ Varazdin L 1-248.9 1396 1457 26.47% 24.38% 49.15%-0.86 -10.2 18
2019-04-06 Zadar W 1-044.1 1453 1421 45.57% 24.58% 29.85%+0.74 +11.9 26
2019-04-06 @ Dugopolje L 0-144.1 1421 1453 29.85% 24.58% 45.57%-0.74 -11.9 24
2019-04-07 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-053.0 1411 1410 41.30% 24.71% 33.99%+0.60 -0.6 19
2019-04-07 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-053.0 1410 1411 33.99% 24.71% 41.30%-0.60 +0.6 20
2019-04-08 Osijek II W 3-155.3 1459 1537 30.43% 24.61% 44.96%+0.26 +26.8 27
2019-04-08 @ Hajduk Split II L 1-355.3 1537 1459 44.96% 24.61% 30.43%-0.26 -26.8 31
2019-04-12 Dugopolje L 1-245.8 1316 1465 22.34% 23.99% 53.67%-0.05 -8.9 20
2019-04-12 @ Medimurje W 2-145.8 1465 1316 53.67% 23.99% 22.34%+0.05 +8.9 29
2019-04-12 Lucko W 2-151.6 1411 1428 38.85% 24.74% 36.41%+0.53 +13.1 23
2019-04-12 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-251.6 1428 1411 36.41% 24.74% 38.85%-0.53 -13.1 24
2019-04-13 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 3-254.9 1574 1410 60.41% 23.04% 16.55%+1.32 +6.4 39
2019-04-13 @ Sibenik L 2-354.9 1410 1574 16.55% 23.04% 60.41%-1.32 -6.5 19
2019-04-13 Kustosija W 2-039.8 1510 1417 53.02% 24.06% 22.92%+1.01 +18.1 34
2019-04-13 @ Osijek II L 0-239.8 1417 1510 22.92% 24.06% 53.02%-1.01 -18.1 23
2019-04-13 Sesvete D 1-160.0 1386 1489 27.43% 24.45% 48.12%+0.15 +1.6 19
2019-04-13 @ Solin D 1-160.0 1489 1386 48.12% 24.45% 27.43%-0.15 -1.6 29
2019-04-14 Varazdin L 1-258.7 1503 1467 46.04% 24.56% 29.39%+0.76 -15.8 30
2019-04-14 @ Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-158.7 1467 1503 29.39% 24.56% 46.04%-0.76 +15.8 38
2019-04-14 Zadar W 2-039.2 1485 1409 51.13% 24.23% 24.63%+0.94 +19.3 30
2019-04-14 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-239.2 1409 1485 24.63% 24.23% 51.13%-0.94 -19.3 24
2019-04-18 Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-048.9 1474 1487 39.39% 24.74% 35.87%+0.54 +13.8 32
2019-04-18 @ Dugopolje L 0-148.9 1487 1474 35.87% 24.74% 39.39%-0.54 -13.8 30
2019-04-19 Sesvete L 0-339.1 1404 1487 29.76% 24.58% 45.66%+0.23 -32.6 19
2019-04-19 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 3-039.1 1487 1404 45.66% 24.58% 29.76%-0.23 +32.6 32
2019-04-20 Osijek II W 2-048.3 1483 1528 34.79% 24.73% 40.48%+0.40 +28.5 41
2019-04-20 @ Varazdin L 0-248.3 1528 1483 40.48% 24.73% 34.79%-0.40 -28.5 34
2019-04-20 Zadar D 0-052.3 1399 1390 42.52% 24.69% 32.79%+0.64 -0.8 24
2019-04-20 @ Kustosija D 0-052.3 1390 1399 32.79% 24.69% 42.52%-0.64 +0.8 25
2019-04-23 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-150.6 1488 1424 49.59% 24.35% 26.06%+0.88 +10.1 35
2019-04-23 @ Dugopolje L 1-250.6 1424 1488 26.06% 24.35% 49.59%-0.88 -10.1 23
2019-04-23 Medimurje W 2-143.6 1505 1307 63.48% 22.41% 14.11%+1.47 +5.8 33
2019-04-23 @ Hajduk Split II L 1-243.6 1307 1505 14.11% 22.41% 63.48%-1.47 -5.8 20
2019-04-23 Sibenik L 0-145.4 1414 1580 20.70% 23.78% 55.52%-0.13 -8.8 24
2019-04-23 @ Lucko W 1-045.4 1580 1414 55.52% 23.78% 20.70%+0.13 +8.8 42
2019-04-23 Solin D 1-159.7 1473 1388 52.16% 24.14% 23.69%+0.97 -2.3 31
2019-04-23 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 1-159.7 1388 1473 23.69% 24.14% 52.16%-0.97 +2.3 20
2019-04-26 Hajduk Split II L 0-145.2 1414 1511 28.13% 24.49% 47.38%+0.17 -11.4 23
2019-04-26 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-045.2 1511 1414 47.38% 24.49% 28.13%-0.17 +11.4 36
2019-04-26 Kustosija D 1-156.3 1301 1398 28.10% 24.49% 47.41%+0.17 +1.5 21
2019-04-26 @ Medimurje D 1-156.3 1398 1301 47.41% 24.49% 28.10%-0.17 -1.5 25
2019-04-26 Lucko W 3-145.3 1520 1406 55.43% 23.79% 20.78%+1.10 +14.4 35
2019-04-26 @ Sesvete L 1-345.3 1406 1520 20.78% 23.79% 55.43%-1.10 -14.4 24
2019-04-27 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 2-263.5 1390 1371 43.82% 24.65% 31.53%+0.68 -0.7 21
2019-04-27 @ Solin D 2-263.5 1371 1390 31.53% 24.65% 43.82%-0.68 +0.7 20
2019-04-27 Dugopolje L 0-158.4 1589 1498 52.85% 24.08% 23.07%+1.00 -18.9 42
2019-04-27 @ Sibenik W 1-058.4 1498 1589 23.07% 24.08% 52.85%-1.00 +18.9 38
2019-04-27 Varazdin W 3-045.6 1391 1511 25.34% 24.30% 50.36%+0.07 +49.6 28
2019-04-27 @ Zadar L 0-345.6 1511 1391 50.36% 24.30% 25.34%-0.07 -49.6 41
2019-04-28 Dinamo Zagreb II W 3-042.0 1500 1471 45.12% 24.60% 30.28%+0.73 +33.1 37
2019-04-28 @ Osijek II L 0-342.0 1471 1500 30.28% 24.60% 45.12%-0.73 -33.1 31
2019-05-03 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-145.4 1397 1402 40.43% 24.73% 34.84%+0.58 -15.1 25
2019-05-03 @ Kustosija W 1-045.4 1402 1397 34.84% 24.73% 40.43%-0.58 +15.1 26
2019-05-04 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 2-357.1 1391 1372 43.86% 24.65% 31.49%+0.69 -14.4 24
2019-05-04 @ Lucko W 3-257.1 1372 1391 31.49% 24.65% 43.86%-0.69 +14.4 23
2019-05-04 Medimurje W 4-031.9 1462 1303 59.96% 23.12% 16.92%+1.30 +26.3 44
2019-05-04 @ Varazdin L 0-431.9 1303 1462 16.92% 23.12% 59.96%-1.30 -26.3 21
2019-05-04 Sesvete D 1-166.2 1517 1534 38.73% 24.75% 36.53%+0.52 -0.2 39
2019-05-04 @ Dugopolje D 1-166.2 1534 1517 36.53% 24.75% 38.73%-0.52 +0.2 36
2019-05-04 Solin D 0-056.4 1533 1389 58.45% 23.37% 18.18%+1.23 -3.7 38
2019-05-04 @ Osijek II D 0-056.4 1389 1533 18.18% 23.37% 58.45%-1.23 +3.7 22
2019-05-05 Sibenik W 2-051.3 1522 1570 34.43% 24.72% 40.85%+0.39 +28.7 39
2019-05-05 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-251.3 1570 1522 40.85% 24.72% 34.43%-0.39 -28.7 42
2019-05-05 Zadar W 2-152.2 1438 1440 40.87% 24.72% 34.41%+0.59 +12.6 34
2019-05-05 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-252.2 1440 1438 34.41% 24.72% 40.87%-0.59 -12.6 28
2019-05-10 Dinamo Zagreb II D 1-156.9 1277 1450 19.95% 23.67% 56.38%-0.16 +3.0 22
2019-05-10 @ Medimurje D 1-156.9 1450 1277 56.38% 23.67% 19.95%+0.16 -3.0 35
2019-05-10 Hajduk Split II W 4-153.1 1534 1551 38.92% 24.74% 36.33%+0.53 +32.1 39
2019-05-10 @ Sesvete L 1-453.1 1551 1534 36.33% 24.74% 38.92%-0.53 -32.1 39
2019-05-10 Varazdin L 0-145.6 1418 1488 31.44% 24.65% 43.92%+0.29 -12.4 26
2019-05-10 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-045.6 1488 1418 43.92% 24.65% 31.44%-0.29 +12.4 47
2019-05-11 Kustosija W 2-147.9 1541 1382 60.04% 23.10% 16.85%+1.30 +6.9 45
2019-05-11 @ Sibenik L 1-247.9 1382 1541 16.85% 23.10% 60.04%-1.30 -6.9 25
2019-05-11 Osijek II W 2-158.8 1428 1529 27.56% 24.46% 47.98%+0.15 +16.4 31
2019-05-11 @ Zadar L 1-258.8 1529 1428 47.98% 24.46% 27.56%-0.15 -16.4 38
2019-05-12 Dugopolje D 1-161.0 1386 1516 24.28% 24.20% 51.52%+0.03 +2.2 24
2019-05-12 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-161.0 1516 1386 51.52% 24.20% 24.28%-0.03 -2.2 40
2019-05-12 Lucko W 3-036.7 1393 1377 43.46% 24.66% 31.88%+0.67 +34.4 25
2019-05-12 @ Solin L 0-336.7 1377 1393 31.88% 24.66% 43.46%-0.67 -34.5 24
2019-05-18 Lucko W 2-035.1 1514 1342 61.22% 22.89% 15.89%+1.36 +13.1 43
2019-05-18 @ Dugopolje L 0-235.1 1342 1514 15.89% 22.89% 61.22%-1.36 -13.1 24
2019-05-18 Medimurje W 2-142.3 1512 1280 66.40% 21.67% 11.93%+1.62 +5.0 41
2019-05-18 @ Osijek II L 1-242.3 1280 1512 11.93% 21.67% 66.40%-1.62 -5.0 22
2019-05-18 Sesvete W 2-050.7 1375 1566 18.36% 23.40% 58.24%-0.24 +38.9 28
2019-05-18 @ Kustosija L 0-250.7 1566 1375 58.24% 23.40% 18.36%+0.24 -38.9 39
2019-05-18 Sibenik W 3-156.1 1500 1548 34.45% 24.72% 40.83%+0.39 +24.8 50
2019-05-18 @ Varazdin L 1-356.1 1548 1500 40.83% 24.72% 34.45%-0.39 -24.8 45
2019-05-18 Solin W 5-142.8 1444 1428 43.45% 24.66% 31.89%+0.67 +37.5 34
2019-05-18 @ Zadar L 1-542.8 1428 1444 31.89% 24.66% 43.45%-0.67 -37.5 25
2019-05-19 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-053.9 1447 1405 46.88% 24.52% 28.60%+0.79 -1.6 36
2019-05-19 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 0-053.9 1405 1447 28.60% 24.52% 46.88%-0.79 +1.6 27
2019-05-20 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 3-370.9 1518 1388 57.12% 23.57% 19.31%+1.17 -1.9 40
2019-05-20 @ Hajduk Split II D 3-370.9 1388 1518 19.31% 23.57% 57.12%-1.17 +1.9 25
2019-05-25 Dugopolje W 1-052.2 1390 1527 23.53% 24.13% 52.35%+0.00 +18.7 28
2019-05-25 @ Solin L 0-152.2 1527 1390 52.35% 24.13% 23.53%+0.00 -18.7 43
2019-05-25 Dinamo Zagreb II D 2-269.6 1523 1446 51.27% 24.22% 24.51%+0.94 -1.6 46
2019-05-25 @ Sibenik D 2-269.6 1446 1523 24.51% 24.22% 51.27%-0.94 +1.6 37
2019-05-25 Hajduk Split II L 0-235.8 1329 1517 18.73% 23.47% 57.80%-0.22 -15.2 24
2019-05-25 @ Lucko W 2-035.8 1517 1329 57.80% 23.47% 18.73%+0.22 +15.2 43
2019-05-25 Kustosija W 2-040.7 1390 1414 37.88% 24.75% 37.37%+0.50 +26.8 28
2019-05-25 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-240.7 1414 1390 37.37% 24.75% 37.88%-0.50 -26.8 28
2019-05-25 Osijek II L 0-144.7 1407 1517 26.46% 24.38% 49.16%+0.11 -10.8 27
2019-05-25 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-044.7 1517 1407 49.16% 24.38% 26.46%-0.11 +10.8 44
2019-05-25 Varazdin D 1-166.3 1528 1525 41.55% 24.71% 33.74%+0.61 -0.6 40
2019-05-25 @ Sesvete D 1-166.3 1525 1528 33.74% 24.71% 41.55%-0.61 +0.6 51
2019-05-25 Zadar W 4-149.3 1275 1481 17.11% 23.16% 59.73%-0.31 +48.8 25
2019-05-25 @ Medimurje L 1-449.3 1481 1275 59.73% 23.16% 17.11%+0.31 -48.8 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-05-25 17.11% @ Medimurje 1275 4 Zadar 1481 1
2 2018-11-10 17.47% @ Medimurje 1319 2 Osijek II 1521 1
3 2019-05-18 18.36% @ Kustosija 1375 2 Sesvete 1566 0
4 2019-03-10 22.71% @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1393 2 Dinamo Zagreb II 1538 0
5 2019-04-27 23.07% Dugopolje 1498 1 @ Sibenik 1589 0
6 2019-05-25 23.53% @ Solin 1390 1 Dugopolje 1527 0
7 2019-03-29 23.75% @ Medimurje 1294 1 BSK Bijelo Brdo 1429 0
8 2018-11-17 24.63% @ Varazdin 1379 3 Sesvete 1506 0
9 2019-04-06 25.23% @ Kustosija 1399 1 Dinamo Zagreb II 1521 0
10 2019-04-27 25.34% @ Zadar 1391 3 Varazdin 1511 0
11 2018-08-25 26.17% Varazdin 1396 1 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1459 0
12 2019-03-16 26.22% @ Zadar 1372 2 Sesvete 1485 0
13 2018-11-24 26.73% @ Dugopolje 1463 1 Sibenik 1571 0
14 2019-05-11 27.56% @ Zadar 1428 2 Osijek II 1529 1
15 2018-10-07 28.56% @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1407 2 Sibenik 1500 1
16 2019-03-16 28.69% @ Varazdin 1428 1 Dugopolje 1520 0
17 2019-04-14 29.39% Varazdin 1467 2 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1503 1
18 2018-09-23 29.79% @ Dugopolje 1388 1 Osijek II 1471 0
19 2018-11-04 29.86% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1393 2 @ Varazdin 1425 0
20 2019-04-08 30.43% @ Hajduk Split II 1459 3 Osijek II 1537 1
21 2019-03-02 30.46% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1398 1 @ Zadar 1425 0
22 2019-03-23 30.84% @ Lucko 1428 1 Osijek II 1503 0
23 2019-03-08 31.05% @ Sesvete 1459 3 Osijek II 1532 1
24 2018-09-29 31.43% Kustosija 1458 2 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1478 0
25 2019-05-04 31.49% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1372 3 @ Lucko 1391 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-10-06 56.71 @ Dugopolje 4 1383 32.32% Medimurje 0 1447 43.01% 24.67%
2 2018-11-17 50.25 @ Varazdin 3 1379 24.63% Sesvete 0 1506 51.14% 24.23%
3 2019-03-30 49.69 @ Osijek II 4 1487 38.99% Dugopolje 0 1503 36.26% 24.74%
4 2019-04-27 49.57 @ Zadar 3 1391 25.34% Varazdin 0 1511 50.36% 24.30%
5 2019-05-25 48.79 @ Medimurje 4 1275 17.11% Zadar 1 1481 59.73% 23.16%
6 2019-05-18 38.92 @ Kustosija 2 1375 18.36% Sesvete 0 1566 58.24% 23.40%
7 2019-05-18 37.50 @ Zadar 5 1444 43.45% Solin 1 1428 31.89% 24.66%
8 2018-10-06 37.15 Dinamo Zagreb II 4 1447 31.55% @ Varazdin 1 1466 43.80% 24.65%
9 2019-03-09 36.59 @ Sibenik 5 1539 57.10% Zadar 0 1409 19.33% 23.57%
10 2018-10-05 36.57 @ Sesvete 3 1442 40.82% Solin 0 1445 34.45% 24.72%
11 2019-03-10 35.87 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1393 22.71% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1538 53.26% 24.04%
12 2019-05-12 34.45 @ Solin 3 1393 43.46% Lucko 0 1377 31.88% 24.66%
13 2018-11-09 34.38 @ Sesvete 3 1472 43.54% Kustosija 0 1455 31.80% 24.66%
14 2018-10-21 34.26 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 4 1483 35.71% Osijek II 1 1522 39.55% 24.74%
15 2019-03-16 33.57 @ Zadar 2 1372 26.22% Sesvete 0 1485 49.42% 24.37%
16 2018-10-13 33.18 @ Sibenik 3 1484 44.99% Lucko 0 1457 30.40% 24.61%
17 2019-04-28 33.08 @ Osijek II 3 1500 45.12% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1471 30.28% 24.60%
18 2019-04-19 32.63 Sesvete 3 1487 45.66% @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1404 29.76% 24.58%
19 2019-05-10 32.12 @ Sesvete 4 1534 38.92% Hajduk Split II 1 1551 36.33% 24.74%
20 2018-11-04 31.33 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1393 29.86% @ Varazdin 0 1425 45.55% 24.58%
21 2018-10-13 31.25 Hajduk Split II 4 1433 40.22% @ Medimurje 1 1390 35.04% 24.73%
22 2018-09-29 30.40 Kustosija 2 1458 31.43% @ Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1478 43.92% 24.65%
23 2018-09-23 30.21 @ Hajduk Split II 2 1440 31.75% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1508 43.59% 24.66%
24 2019-03-03 29.66 Dugopolje 2 1480 32.72% @ Hajduk Split II 0 1490 42.60% 24.69%
25 2018-09-16 29.60 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 3 1478 49.24% Dugopolje 0 1417 26.38% 24.38%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-20 70.9 @ Hajduk Split II 3 1518 57.12% BSK Bijelo Brdo 3 1388 19.31% 23.57%
2 2019-05-25 69.6 @ Sibenik 2 1523 51.27% Dinamo Zagreb II 2 1446 24.51% 24.22%
3 2018-09-07 68.2 @ Sesvete 3 1432 46.43% Zadar 3 1393 29.03% 24.54%
4 2018-09-08 67.8 @ Sibenik 2 1478 45.73% Medimurje 2 1445 29.70% 24.58%
5 2018-08-25 67.4 @ Sibenik 2 1452 40.27% Osijek II 2 1459 35.00% 24.73%
6 2018-09-07 66.9 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1439 38.61% Solin 2 1458 36.64% 24.75%
7 2018-09-09 66.8 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1422 34.12% Osijek II 2 1472 41.17% 24.72%
8 2018-09-23 66.6 @ Lucko 2 1474 49.87% Zadar 2 1408 25.80% 24.33%
9 2018-11-11 66.5 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1402 30.59% Hajduk Split II 2 1479 44.80% 24.61%
10 2019-05-25 66.3 @ Sesvete 1 1528 41.55% Varazdin 1 1525 33.74% 24.71%
11 2019-05-04 66.2 @ Dugopolje 1 1517 38.73% Sesvete 1 1534 36.53% 24.75%
12 2018-10-20 66.1 @ Varazdin 2 1400 31.17% Zadar 2 1472 44.20% 24.64%
13 2018-11-10 64.3 @ Solin 2 1375 33.71% Zadar 2 1428 41.59% 24.71%
14 2019-03-30 63.6 @ Solin 1 1393 18.94% Sibenik 1 1578 57.55% 23.51%
15 2019-04-27 63.5 @ Solin 2 1390 43.82% BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1371 31.53% 24.65%
16 2019-03-16 62.0 @ Osijek II 1 1505 51.20% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1 1428 24.57% 24.23%
17 2018-09-09 61.3 @ Kustosija 1 1458 41.01% Hajduk Split II 1 1460 34.27% 24.72%
18 2018-09-14 61.3 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1 1439 35.83% Sibenik 1 1477 39.43% 24.74%
19 2018-11-10 61.2 @ Lucko 1 1448 38.77% Dugopolje 1 1465 36.49% 24.75%
20 2019-04-05 61.2 @ Sesvete 0 1487 29.22% Sibenik 0 1575 46.22% 24.55%
21 2019-05-12 61.0 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1 1386 24.28% Dugopolje 1 1516 51.52% 24.20%
22 2019-03-22 60.8 @ Hajduk Split II 1 1457 42.94% Varazdin 1 1445 32.38% 24.68%
23 2018-10-13 60.5 @ Solin 1 1408 30.70% Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1484 44.68% 24.62%
24 2018-09-14 60.0 @ Medimurje 1 1446 43.25% Sesvete 1 1431 32.08% 24.67%
25 2019-04-13 60.0 @ Solin 1 1386 27.43% Sesvete 1 1489 48.12% 24.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-04 31.9 @ Varazdin 4 1462 59.96% Medimurje 0 1303 16.92% 23.12%
2 2019-03-08 33.6 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 1414 52.19% Medimurje 0 1329 23.67% 24.14%
3 2019-05-18 35.1 @ Dugopolje 2 1514 61.22% Lucko 0 1342 15.89% 22.89%
4 2019-05-25 35.8 Hajduk Split II 2 1517 57.80% @ Lucko 0 1329 18.73% 23.47%
5 2019-05-12 36.7 @ Solin 3 1393 43.46% Lucko 0 1377 31.88% 24.66%
6 2018-11-03 38.0 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1539 64.96% Medimurje 0 1324 12.99% 22.05%
7 2018-09-16 38.2 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 3 1478 49.24% Dugopolje 0 1417 26.38% 24.38%
8 2018-11-10 38.3 @ Sibenik 2 1541 58.87% Varazdin 0 1394 17.82% 23.30%
9 2018-10-26 38.6 Varazdin 2 1400 41.26% @ Medimurje 0 1349 34.03% 24.72%
10 2019-03-09 38.9 @ Sibenik 5 1539 57.10% Zadar 0 1409 19.33% 23.57%
11 2018-10-13 39.0 @ Osijek II 3 1493 49.60% Varazdin 0 1429 26.05% 24.35%
12 2018-11-03 39.1 @ Lucko 2 1425 44.92% Solin 0 1398 30.47% 24.61%
13 2019-04-19 39.1 Sesvete 3 1487 45.66% @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1404 29.76% 24.58%
14 2019-04-14 39.2 @ Hajduk Split II 2 1485 51.13% Zadar 0 1409 24.63% 24.23%
15 2019-03-22 39.8 @ Sesvete 3 1452 58.59% Medimurje 1 1307 18.06% 23.35%
16 2019-04-13 39.8 @ Osijek II 2 1510 53.02% Kustosija 0 1417 22.92% 24.06%
17 2018-10-05 40.4 @ Sesvete 3 1442 40.82% Solin 0 1445 34.45% 24.72%
18 2019-03-02 40.5 @ Solin 1 1378 46.22% Medimurje 0 1341 29.23% 24.55%
19 2019-05-25 40.7 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1390 37.88% Kustosija 0 1414 37.37% 24.75%
20 2018-11-03 40.8 @ Dugopolje 2 1441 43.31% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1426 32.02% 24.67%
21 2018-10-13 41.0 @ Sibenik 3 1484 44.99% Lucko 0 1457 30.40% 24.61%
22 2018-11-09 41.0 @ Sesvete 3 1472 43.54% Kustosija 0 1455 31.80% 24.66%
23 2018-10-06 41.7 @ Dugopolje 4 1383 32.32% Medimurje 0 1447 43.01% 24.67%
24 2019-04-28 42.0 @ Osijek II 3 1500 45.12% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1471 30.28% 24.60%
25 2018-11-05 42.1 @ Osijek II 2 1500 47.94% Zadar 0 1449 27.59% 24.46%