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2019-20 Druga HNL Season

152 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

6.23 points above expected

26 points · 19.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Osijek II

7.60 points below expected

26 points · 33.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sibenik 19 13 2 4 41 26 15 +11 35.66 +5.34
2 Croatia Zmijavci 19 10 3 6 33 28 17 +11 33.15 -0.15
3 Orijent 19 9 6 4 33 26 23 +3 34.21 -1.21
4 Sesvete 19 8 5 6 29 28 22 +6 32.79 -3.79
5 Rudes 19 8 5 6 29 25 20 +5 23.82 +5.18
6 Hajduk Split II 19 7 6 6 27 29 23 +6 31.14 -4.14
7 Dinamo Zagreb II 19 7 5 7 26 20 21 -1 25.53 +0.47
8 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 19 7 5 7 26 21 26 -5 19.77 +6.23
9 Osijek II 19 7 5 7 26 26 19 +7 33.60 -7.60
10 Dugopolje 19 7 4 8 25 30 31 -1 29.53 -4.53
11 Medimurje 19 6 5 8 23 26 26 0 17.49 +5.51
12 Kustosija 19 6 5 8 23 19 27 -8 18.46 +4.54
13 Dubrava 19 6 5 8 23 21 24 -3 27.88 -4.88
14 BSK Bijelo Brdo 19 6 4 9 22 18 23 -5 20.54 +1.46
15 Solin 19 5 4 10 19 20 25 -5 20.25 -1.25
16 Cibalia 19 2 7 10 13 11 32 -21 16.40 -3.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 26 19.77 +6.23
2 Medimurje 23 17.49 +5.51
3 Sibenik 41 35.66 +5.34
4 Rudes 29 23.82 +5.18
5 Kustosija 23 18.46 +4.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Osijek II 26 33.60 -7.60
2 Dubrava 23 27.88 -4.88
3 Dugopolje 25 29.53 -4.53
4 Hajduk Split II 27 31.14 -4.14
5 Sesvete 29 32.79 -3.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Medimurje 3 Oct 25 – Nov 11 1 in 181
2 Sibenik 8 Sep 18 – Nov 2 1 in 171
3 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 4 Nov 30 – Feb 28 1 in 59
4 Kustosija 3 Nov 9 – Nov 30 1 in 46
5 Orijent 3 Oct 19 – Nov 2 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Solin 8 Sep 28 – Nov 10 1 in 486
2 Kustosija 5 Aug 17 – Sep 18 1 in 48
3 Croatia Zmijavci 3 Sep 1 – Sep 18 1 in 43
4 Cibalia 4 Sep 14 – Sep 29 1 in 42
5 Hajduk Split II 2 Nov 11 – Nov 23 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 9 Oct 18 – Feb 28 1 in 353
2 Kustosija 7 Nov 9 – Mar 7 1 in 137
3 Medimurje 5 Oct 5 – Nov 11 1 in 66
4 Hajduk Split II 8 Aug 25 – Oct 6 1 in 58
5 BSK Bijelo Brdo 5 Oct 26 – Dec 2 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cibalia 11 Oct 6 – Mar 7 1 in 32
2 Solin 8 Sep 28 – Nov 10 1 in 16
3 Sesvete 5 Nov 10 – Feb 22 1 in 15
4 Hajduk Split II 3 Nov 11 – Dec 2 1 in 14
5 Dubrava 5 Aug 18 – Sep 18 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sibenik 1507 41 -1 5 7.4 -2.4
Croatia Zmijavci 1506 33 +30 12 8.3 +3.7
Orijent 1492 33 -18 7 8.7 -1.7
Sesvete 1480 29 -7 7 8.0 -1.0
Rudes 1412 29 -8 5 7.1 -2.1
Hajduk Split II 1477 27 -17 5 9.0 -4.0
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1373 26 +15 12 6.5 +5.5
Osijek II 1473 26 +0 8 8.5 -0.5
Dinamo Zagreb II 1412 26 -2 5 6.0 -1.0
Dugopolje 1442 25 -14 5 8.3 -3.3
Kustosija 1357 23 +20 9 4.6 +4.4
Dubrava 1442 23 -6 9 7.7 +1.3
Medimurje 1366 23 +2 4 5.6 -1.6
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1391 22 +10 7 5.4 +1.6
Solin 1369 19 +5 5 5.1 -0.1
Cibalia 1318 13 -10 3 4.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBB CIB CZ DZI DUB DUG HSI HD KUS MED ORI OI RUD SES SIB SOL
BSK Bijelo Brdo —
0-1-0
1.73
0-1-0
1.33
0-0-1
0.87
0-1-0
0.78
1-0-0
1.38
0-1-0
0.70
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-0
1.07
1-0-0
1.81
2-0-0
1.83
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-1
1.25
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
0.89
Cibalia
0-1-0
1.03
—
0-0-1
0.62
0-0-1
0.90
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-1
1.30
0-1-0
1.62
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
1.38
0-0-1
1.09
0-0-1
1.17
1-0-0
1.47
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-1
0.60
0-2-0
2.67
Croatia Zmijavci
0-1-0
1.42
1-0-0
2.19
—
1-0-0
1.92
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-0
2.05
0-0-1
1.64
0-1-0
1.62
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
3.44
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.98
Dinamo Zagreb II
1-0-0
1.89
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-1
0.85
—
0-1-0
1.61
0-0-1
0.93
1-0-0
1.36
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-0
1.95
0-0-1
1.34
0-2-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-1
0.76
1-0-0
1.87
Dubrava
0-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-0
1.14
—
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-0
1.32
0-0-1
2.09
0-0-1
2.17
0-0-1
1.57
1-0-0
0.84
0-1-0
1.83
0-0-1
1.65
0-0-1
0.86
1-0-0
1.26
Dugopolje
0-0-1
1.36
1-1-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-0
1.84
1-1-0
2.72
—
0-1-0
1.66
1-0-0
2.06
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-1
1.54
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-1
1.64
0-0-1
1.24
1-0-0
0.86
0-0-1
1.53
1-0-0
2.00
Hajduk Split II
0-1-0
2.09
1-0-0
1.45
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-1
1.39
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-0
1.10
—
0-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.70
0-0-1
2.28
1-0-0
1.06
0-1-0
1.04
0-1-0
2.04
1-0-0
1.83
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-0
1.69
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-0
1.13
0-0-1
0.73
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-1
1.43
0-0-1
0.72
1-0-0
0.99
—
0-1-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-0
0.60
1-0-0
1.14
0-1-0
0.82
1-0-0
1.21
0-0-1
0.73
1-0-1
2.73
Kustosija
0-0-1
1.69
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
1.11
0-0-1
0.82
1-0-0
0.70
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-0
0.88
—
0-1-0
1.82
0-0-1
1.11
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-1
0.53
1-0-0
0.83
Medimurje
0-0-1
0.95
1-0-0
1.36
0-1-0
1.13
1-0-0
1.41
1-0-0
0.63
1-0-0
1.21
1-0-0
0.54
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-0
0.94
—
1-1-0
1.62
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-1
1.05
0-1-1
2.53
Orijent
0-0-2
3.72
1-0-0
1.66
0-1-0
1.81
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-0
1.18
1-0-0
1.91
0-0-1
1.69
0-1-0
2.21
1-0-0
1.64
0-1-1
3.94
—
1-0-0
0.98
1-0-0
1.95
0-1-0
1.11
2-0-0
2.65
1-0-0
2.18
Osijek II
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-0
1.58
1-0-0
1.07
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-1
1.93
1-0-0
1.11
0-1-0
1.71
0-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-1
1.78
—
0-0-1
1.38
0-1-0
1.74
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-1
1.58
Rudes
2-0-0
2.82
0-0-1
1.28
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-0
1.75
0-1-0
0.93
1-0-0
1.51
0-1-0
0.75
0-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-0
1.18
0-0-1
0.82
1-0-0
1.37
—
0-0-1
0.81
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-0
1.92
Sesvete
1-0-0
1.50
0-2-0
3.61
1-0-0
1.71
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-0
1.10
0-0-1
1.91
0-0-1
0.93
0-0-1
1.54
0-0-1
1.63
2-0-0
3.64
0-1-0
1.65
0-1-0
1.02
1-0-0
1.97
—
0-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
3.52
Sibenik
1-0-0
1.61
1-0-0
2.21
0-0-1
1.18
1-0-0
2.02
1-0-0
1.91
1-0-0
1.22
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-0
2.05
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-0
1.01
—
1-0-0
2.02
Solin
1-0-0
1.87
0-2-0
2.83
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-1
0.78
0-0-1
1.06
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-1
1.95
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-1
0.62
1-0-0
1.17
0-0-1
0.85
1-1-0
2.01
0-0-1
0.76
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +8.5
Allowed 0.61 -10.8
Differential 0.74 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.24%10.86%5.92%4.61%1.32%0.33%30.26%
110.86%11.18%8.22%2.30%0.99%—33.55%
25.92%8.22%5.92%2.30%0.66%—23.03%
34.61%2.30%2.30%0.66%——9.87%
41.32%0.99%0.66%———2.96%
5+0.33%—————0.33%
Total30.26%33.55%23.03%9.87%2.96%0.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.68
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 152

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%21.05%5.26%5.26%—5.26%47.37%
15.26%10.53%10.53%———26.32%
25.26%5.26%————10.53%
310.53%5.26%————15.79%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.58%42.11%15.79%5.26%—5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.21 -0.26
SD 1.13 1.44 2.13
CV 1.19 1.19 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%10.53%15.79%10.53%—57.89%
1—21.05%10.53%———31.58%
2—5.26%————5.26%
3—5.26%————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.79%36.84%21.05%15.79%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.68 -1.11
SD 0.84 1.25 1.70
CV 1.45 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%21.05%—5.26%——31.58%
110.53%10.53%——5.26%—26.32%
215.79%5.26%————21.05%
35.26%—————5.26%
45.26%5.26%5.26%———15.79%
5+———————
Total42.11%42.11%5.26%5.26%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.89 +0.58
SD 1.43 1.10 1.95
CV 0.97 1.23 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%—10.53%——26.32%
121.05%10.53%15.79%———47.37%
25.26%5.26%10.53%———21.05%
35.26%—————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.84%26.32%26.32%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.11 -0.05
SD 0.85 1.05 1.51
CV 0.81 0.95 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%5.26%——31.58%
110.53%10.53%10.53%5.26%——36.84%
25.26%10.53%10.53%———26.32%
3———————
45.26%—————5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%31.58%31.58%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.26 -0.16
SD 1.05 0.99 1.64
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%5.26%——26.32%
15.26%—5.26%—5.26%—15.79%
2—5.26%15.79%5.26%5.26%—31.58%
315.79%5.26%5.26%———26.32%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%15.79%36.84%10.53%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.63 -0.05
SD 1.17 1.30 1.93
CV 0.74 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%—5.26%——26.32%
110.53%10.53%5.26%———26.32%
25.26%—10.53%5.26%5.26%—26.32%
3—5.26%5.26%———10.53%
410.53%—————10.53%
5+———————
Total36.84%26.32%21.05%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.21 +0.32
SD 1.31 1.23 1.80
CV 0.86 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%—5.26%—26.32%
115.79%15.79%10.53%—5.26%—47.37%
2—10.53%5.26%———15.79%
35.26%—5.26%———10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%31.58%31.58%—10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.37 -0.26
SD 0.94 1.21 1.66
CV 0.85 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%15.79%5.26%5.26%—36.84%
115.79%10.53%5.26%———31.58%
2—10.53%10.53%5.26%——26.32%
35.26%—————5.26%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%26.32%31.58%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 0.94 1.17 1.68
CV 0.94 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%—5.26%——21.05%
1—10.53%21.05%10.53%——42.11%
25.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
310.53%—————10.53%
4——5.26%———5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%26.32%31.58%15.79%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.07 1.67
CV 0.82 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%—10.53%5.26%——26.32%
110.53%10.53%5.26%———26.32%
25.26%15.79%10.53%———31.58%
3—5.26%10.53%———15.79%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%31.58%36.84%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.21 +0.16
SD 1.07 0.92 1.34
CV 0.78 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%5.26%———26.32%
110.53%15.79%10.53%5.26%——42.11%
210.53%5.26%5.26%———21.05%
3———————
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+5.26%—————5.26%
Total31.58%42.11%21.05%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.00 +0.37
SD 1.50 0.88 1.92
CV 1.10 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
121.05%5.26%10.53%———36.84%
210.53%5.26%10.53%5.26%——31.58%
35.26%——5.26%——10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.11%21.05%26.32%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.05 +0.26
SD 0.95 1.08 1.28
CV 0.72 1.02 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%15.79%————26.32%
1—15.79%—10.53%——26.32%
25.26%15.79%—5.26%——26.32%
35.26%5.26%5.26%———15.79%
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%57.89%5.26%15.79%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.16 +0.32
SD 1.22 0.96 1.49
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.53%5.26%———15.79%
131.58%5.26%5.26%———42.11%
215.79%15.79%————31.58%
3——5.26%5.26%——10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total47.37%31.58%15.79%5.26%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.79 +0.58
SD 0.90 0.92 1.12
CV 0.65 1.16 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 19

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%21.05%5.26%5.26%——36.84%
15.26%15.79%5.26%5.26%——31.58%
25.26%5.26%—10.53%——21.05%
35.26%5.26%————10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.05%47.37%10.53%21.05%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.32 -0.26
SD 1.03 1.06 1.52
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 19

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sibenik 1507 41 50.87 -9.87 10.0% 30 39 45 49 56 63 74
Croatia Zmijavci 1506 33 48.36 -15.36 3.0% 33 36 43 50 53 59 64
Orijent 1492 33 49.42 -16.42 2.0% 31 37 44 50 53 61 68
Sesvete 1480 29 48.00 -19.00 0.0% 31 35 43 48 52 59 67
Hajduk Split II 1477 27 46.35 -19.35 0.0% 28 35 41 46 51 57 64
Osijek II 1473 26 48.81 -22.81 0.0% 29 39 44 50 53 57 70
Dubrava 1442 23 43.09 -20.09 1.0% 22 32 38 43 48 54 59
Dugopolje 1442 25 44.74 -19.74 0.0% 27 32 40 45 49 55 59
Dinamo Zagreb II 1412 26 40.74 -14.74 2.0% 21 29 37 41 44 51 56
Rudes 1412 29 39.03 -10.03 9.0% 24 28 35 38 43 51 62
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1391 22 35.75 -13.75 4.0% 21 23 31 36 40 46 52
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1373 26 34.98 -8.98 11.0% 18 25 30 35 39 46 55
Solin 1369 19 35.46 -16.46 1.0% 19 26 30 35 40 47 55
Medimurje 1366 23 32.70 -9.70 5.0% 19 22 28 32 36 43 49
Kustosija 1357 23 33.67 -10.67 7.0% 15 21 29 33 38 45 57
Cibalia 1318 13 31.61 -18.61 1.0% 13 21 26 32 36 44 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.11%
Slight Edge
46.05%25.00%28.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 60.02 Elo pts.
253 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
Sibenik, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Runaway
00.170.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.48 * Some Luck: 4.48 to 6.72 * Lucky: 6.72 to 8.96 * Wild Swing: 8.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.56 * Close: 2.56 to 3.85 * Off: 3.85 to 5.13 * Way Off: 5.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.95 points
As Expected
05.6014
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.62
Close
03.218
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
92.06%
Sibenik
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
11.03%
Cibalia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 59.52
1.11
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.47
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.55
Overconfident
0.4214281.001.57857
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.110
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Sibenik23.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—2.00%—1.00%——
Croatia Zmijavci15.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%————
Orijent16.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%—2.00%——
Sesvete12.00%15.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%—3.00%2.00%——
Rudes1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%3.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%
Hajduk Split II7.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Dinamo Zagreb II2.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac—1.00%2.00%1.00%—4.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%
Osijek II13.00%11.00%17.00%17.00%10.00%3.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Dugopolje4.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Medimurje——1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%20.00%
Kustosija1.00%1.00%2.00%——4.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%17.00%11.00%16.00%15.00%
Dubrava6.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo—2.00%—3.00%4.00%—9.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%
Solin—1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%15.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%6.00%
Cibalia———1.00%—2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%17.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Sibenik 25.00% 20.00% 54.00% 1.00% —
Croatia Zmijavci 20.00% 16.00% 64.00% — —
Sesvete 18.00% 18.00% 62.00% 2.00% —
Dugopolje 6.00% 6.00% 83.00% 2.00% 3.00%
Dubrava 6.00% 6.00% 81.00% 2.00% 5.00%
Orijent — 100% — — —
Hajduk Split II — — 99.00% — 1.00%
Osijek II — — 99.00% — 1.00%
Rudes 1.00% 4.00% 76.00% 10.00% 9.00%
Dinamo Zagreb II — — 90.00% — 10.00%
Solin — 2.00% 63.00% 17.00% 18.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1.00% 3.00% 68.00% 7.00% 21.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1.00% 1.00% 64.00% 12.00% 22.00%
Kustosija 2.00% — 56.00% 11.00% 31.00%
Medimurje — 1.00% 50.00% 15.00% 34.00%
Cibalia — — 42.00% 13.00% 45.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-08-16 Cibalia D 1-160.2 1470 1410 56.97% 22.81% 20.22%+0.48 -1.3 1
2019-08-16 @ Sesvete D 1-160.2 1410 1470 20.22% 22.81% 56.97%-0.48 +1.3 1
2019-08-16 Orijent D 1-158.2 1322 1504 25.63% 24.33% 50.04%-0.48 +0.9 1
2019-08-16 @ Medimurje D 1-158.2 1504 1322 50.04% 24.33% 25.63%+0.48 -0.9 1
2019-08-17 Dugopolje L 2-356.9 1369 1457 37.35% 25.35% 37.30%-0.11 -5.7 0
2019-08-17 @ Kustosija W 3-256.9 1457 1369 37.30% 25.35% 37.35%+0.11 +5.7 3
2019-08-17 Hajduk Split II W 3-257.1 1467 1474 48.58% 24.55% 26.86%+0.21 +4.4 3
2019-08-17 @ Sibenik L 2-357.1 1474 1467 26.86% 24.55% 48.58%-0.21 -4.4 0
2019-08-17 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-146.2 1384 1375 50.74% 24.21% 25.05%+0.27 +4.3 3
2019-08-17 @ Solin L 1-246.2 1375 1384 25.05% 24.21% 50.74%-0.27 -4.3 0
2019-08-18 Dubrava W 2-040.5 1480 1457 52.45% 23.88% 23.66%+0.33 +8.2 3
2019-08-18 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-240.5 1457 1480 23.66% 23.88% 52.45%-0.33 -8.2 0
2019-08-18 Osijek II D 1-159.5 1412 1471 41.56% 25.24% 33.20%+0.00 -0.3 1
2019-08-18 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 1-159.5 1471 1412 33.20% 25.24% 41.56%+0.00 +0.3 1
2019-08-18 Rudes L 0-244.2 1390 1371 52.03% 23.97% 24.01%+0.31 -15.6 0
2019-08-18 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-044.2 1371 1390 24.01% 23.97% 52.03%-0.31 +15.6 3
2019-08-23 Medimurje D 2-262.5 1371 1323 55.44% 23.21% 21.35%+0.42 -0.9 1
2019-08-23 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 2-262.5 1323 1371 21.35% 23.21% 55.44%-0.42 +0.9 2
2019-08-23 Solin D 1-159.7 1469 1389 59.24% 22.16% 18.60%+0.55 -1.5 2
2019-08-23 @ Sesvete D 1-159.7 1389 1469 18.60% 22.16% 59.24%-0.55 +1.5 4
2019-08-24 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-248.1 1463 1489 46.11% 24.87% 29.02%+0.13 -14.1 3
2019-08-24 @ Dugopolje W 2-048.1 1489 1463 29.02% 24.87% 46.11%-0.13 +14.1 6
2019-08-24 Dubrava W 3-146.9 1411 1449 44.48% 25.03% 30.48%+0.09 +8.9 4
2019-08-24 @ Cibalia L 1-346.9 1449 1411 30.48% 25.03% 44.48%-0.09 -8.9 0
2019-08-24 Dinamo Zagreb II D 2-268.0 1503 1412 60.39% 21.79% 17.81%+0.59 -1.2 2
2019-08-24 @ Orijent D 2-268.0 1412 1503 17.81% 21.79% 60.39%-0.59 +1.2 2
2019-08-25 Kustosija W 4-033.0 1470 1363 62.13% 21.21% 16.66%+0.66 +11.1 3
2019-08-25 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-433.0 1363 1470 16.66% 21.21% 62.13%-0.66 -11.1 0
2019-08-25 Sibenik L 0-146.2 1386 1471 37.93% 25.34% 36.73%-0.10 -6.4 3
2019-08-25 @ Rudes W 1-046.2 1471 1386 36.73% 25.34% 37.93%+0.10 +6.4 6
2019-08-26 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 6-035.3 1472 1375 61.06% 21.57% 17.36%+0.62 +17.0 4
2019-08-26 @ Osijek II L 0-635.3 1375 1472 17.36% 21.57% 61.06%-0.62 -17.0 0
2019-08-30 Dugopolje D 2-266.3 1440 1449 48.45% 24.57% 26.98%+0.20 -0.5 1
2019-08-30 @ Dubrava D 2-266.3 1449 1440 26.98% 24.57% 48.45%-0.20 +0.5 4
2019-08-31 Cibalia D 0-052.3 1390 1420 45.57% 24.93% 29.50%+0.12 -0.6 5
2019-08-31 @ Solin D 0-052.3 1420 1390 29.50% 24.93% 45.57%-0.12 +0.6 5
2019-08-31 Osijek II W 2-152.9 1477 1489 48.06% 24.63% 27.31%+0.19 +4.7 9
2019-08-31 @ Sibenik L 1-252.9 1489 1477 27.31% 24.63% 48.06%-0.19 -4.7 4
2019-08-31 Rudes L 0-242.1 1352 1380 45.79% 24.91% 29.30%+0.13 -14.0 0
2019-08-31 @ Kustosija W 2-042.1 1380 1352 29.30% 24.91% 45.79%-0.13 +14.0 6
2019-08-31 Sesvete L 1-248.6 1324 1468 29.99% 24.98% 45.03%-0.33 -5.0 2
2019-08-31 @ Medimurje W 2-148.6 1468 1324 45.03% 24.98% 29.99%+0.33 +5.0 5
2019-09-01 Hajduk Split II L 0-154.4 1503 1481 52.34% 23.90% 23.75%+0.32 -8.3 6
2019-09-01 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-054.4 1481 1503 23.75% 23.90% 52.34%-0.32 +8.3 6
2019-09-01 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 1-038.9 1413 1370 54.97% 23.33% 21.71%+0.41 +4.0 5
2019-09-01 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-138.9 1370 1413 21.71% 23.33% 54.97%-0.41 -4.0 1
2019-09-01 Orijent W 3-043.1 1358 1502 29.96% 24.98% 45.06%-0.33 +20.1 3
2019-09-01 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-343.1 1502 1358 45.06% 24.98% 29.96%+0.33 -20.1 2
2019-09-11 Kustosija W 2-032.9 1484 1338 66.23% 19.65% 14.13%+0.81 +4.9 7
2019-09-11 @ Osijek II L 0-232.9 1338 1484 14.13% 19.65% 66.23%-0.81 -4.9 0
2019-09-13 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 3-035.1 1366 1378 47.93% 24.65% 27.43%+0.19 +13.6 4
2019-09-13 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-335.1 1378 1366 27.43% 24.65% 47.93%-0.19 -13.6 3
2019-09-13 Dinamo Zagreb II W 3-036.1 1473 1417 56.37% 22.97% 20.66%+0.46 +10.5 8
2019-09-13 @ Sesvete L 0-336.1 1417 1473 20.66% 22.97% 56.37%-0.46 -10.5 5
2019-09-14 Dugopolje L 0-343.6 1421 1449 45.77% 24.91% 29.33%+0.12 -20.4 5
2019-09-14 @ Cibalia W 3-043.6 1449 1421 29.33% 24.91% 45.77%-0.12 +20.4 7
2019-09-14 Hajduk Split II D 1-161.0 1440 1489 42.93% 25.16% 31.92%+0.04 -0.4 2
2019-09-14 @ Dubrava D 1-161.0 1489 1440 31.92% 25.16% 42.93%-0.04 +0.4 7
2019-09-14 Medimurje W 3-031.5 1390 1319 58.14% 22.49% 19.38%+0.52 +9.9 8
2019-09-14 @ Solin L 0-331.5 1319 1390 19.38% 22.49% 58.14%-0.52 -9.9 2
2019-09-14 Sibenik W 1-045.9 1482 1482 49.47% 24.42% 26.11%+0.23 +4.8 5
2019-09-14 @ Orijent L 0-145.9 1482 1482 26.11% 24.42% 49.47%-0.23 -4.8 9
2019-09-15 Croatia Zmijavci W 3-042.3 1394 1494 35.66% 25.33% 39.01%-0.16 +18.0 9
2019-09-15 @ Rudes L 0-342.3 1494 1394 39.01% 25.33% 35.66%+0.16 -18.0 6
2019-09-18 Cibalia W 3-037.9 1309 1400 36.96% 25.34% 37.70%-0.12 +17.5 5
2019-09-18 @ Medimurje L 0-337.9 1400 1309 37.70% 25.34% 36.96%+0.12 -17.5 5
2019-09-18 Hajduk Split II D 2-268.7 1470 1489 46.94% 24.77% 28.29%+0.16 -0.5 8
2019-09-18 @ Dugopolje D 2-268.7 1489 1470 28.29% 24.77% 46.94%-0.16 +0.5 8
2019-09-18 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-035.3 1477 1379 61.19% 21.53% 17.28%+0.62 +6.1 12
2019-09-18 @ Sibenik L 0-235.3 1379 1477 17.28% 21.53% 61.19%-0.62 -6.1 4
2019-09-18 Orijent L 1-248.8 1333 1486 28.78% 24.84% 46.38%-0.37 -4.9 0
2019-09-18 @ Kustosija W 2-148.8 1486 1333 46.38% 24.84% 28.78%+0.37 +4.9 8
2019-09-18 Osijek II L 0-152.6 1477 1489 47.91% 24.65% 27.44%+0.19 -7.7 6
2019-09-18 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-052.6 1489 1477 27.44% 24.65% 47.91%-0.19 +7.7 10
2019-09-18 Rudes D 2-265.5 1439 1412 53.00% 23.77% 23.23%+0.35 -0.8 3
2019-09-18 @ Dubrava D 2-265.5 1412 1439 23.23% 23.77% 53.00%-0.35 +0.8 10
2019-09-18 Sesvete L 1-251.0 1364 1483 33.15% 25.24% 41.61%-0.23 -5.5 3
2019-09-18 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-151.0 1483 1364 41.61% 25.24% 33.15%+0.23 +5.5 11
2019-09-21 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-038.6 1400 1359 54.61% 23.41% 21.98%+0.40 +4.1 11
2019-09-21 @ Solin L 0-138.6 1359 1400 21.98% 23.41% 54.61%-0.40 -4.1 3
2019-09-21 Croatia Zmijavci D 1-162.5 1491 1469 52.38% 23.90% 23.73%+0.33 -1.0 9
2019-09-21 @ Orijent D 1-162.5 1469 1491 23.73% 23.90% 52.38%-0.33 +1.0 7
2019-09-21 Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-149.5 1327 1407 38.55% 25.34% 36.11%-0.08 +5.8 8
2019-09-21 @ Medimurje L 1-249.5 1407 1327 36.11% 25.34% 38.55%+0.08 -5.8 5
2019-09-21 Hajduk Split II L 0-440.7 1383 1490 34.77% 25.31% 39.93%-0.19 -21.5 5
2019-09-21 @ Cibalia W 4-040.7 1490 1383 39.93% 25.31% 34.77%+0.19 +21.5 11
2019-09-21 Kustosija D 1-156.1 1373 1328 55.18% 23.28% 21.55%+0.42 -1.2 5
2019-09-21 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-156.1 1328 1373 21.55% 23.28% 55.18%-0.42 +1.2 1
2019-09-21 Sibenik L 0-153.4 1489 1483 50.22% 24.30% 25.49%+0.26 -8.0 11
2019-09-21 @ Sesvete W 1-053.4 1483 1489 25.49% 24.30% 50.22%-0.26 +8.0 15
2019-09-22 Dubrava L 0-153.6 1497 1439 56.68% 22.89% 20.43%+0.47 -8.9 10
2019-09-22 @ Osijek II W 1-053.6 1439 1497 20.43% 22.89% 56.68%-0.47 +8.9 6
2019-09-22 Dugopolje W 2-151.9 1413 1469 41.93% 25.22% 32.85%+0.01 +5.4 13
2019-09-22 @ Rudes L 1-251.9 1469 1413 32.85% 25.22% 41.93%-0.01 -5.4 8
2019-09-28 Orijent L 0-150.5 1448 1490 43.83% 25.09% 31.08%+0.07 -7.2 6
2019-09-28 @ Dubrava W 1-050.5 1490 1448 31.08% 25.09% 43.83%-0.07 +7.2 12
2019-09-28 Osijek II L 1-451.7 1464 1488 46.36% 24.84% 28.80%+0.14 -17.4 8
2019-09-28 @ Dugopolje W 4-151.7 1488 1464 28.80% 24.84% 46.36%-0.14 +17.3 13
2019-09-28 Rudes D 2-268.6 1511 1418 60.66% 21.71% 17.63%+0.60 -1.2 12
2019-09-28 @ Hajduk Split II D 2-268.6 1418 1511 17.63% 21.71% 60.66%-0.60 +1.2 14
2019-09-28 Sesvete W 1-047.3 1329 1481 29.02% 24.87% 46.11%-0.36 +7.5 4
2019-09-28 @ Kustosija L 0-147.3 1481 1329 46.11% 24.87% 29.02%+0.36 -7.5 11
2019-09-28 Solin W 1-040.4 1491 1404 60.07% 21.90% 18.03%+0.58 +3.4 18
2019-09-28 @ Sibenik L 0-140.4 1404 1491 18.03% 21.90% 60.07%-0.58 -3.4 11
2019-09-29 Cibalia W 2-035.1 1401 1361 54.48% 23.44% 22.08%+0.39 +7.7 8
2019-09-29 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-235.1 1361 1401 22.08% 23.44% 54.48%-0.39 -7.7 5
2019-09-29 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 4-138.5 1470 1372 61.17% 21.54% 17.29%+0.62 +7.5 10
2019-09-29 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 1-438.5 1372 1470 17.29% 21.54% 61.17%-0.62 -7.5 5
2019-09-29 Medimurje W 3-141.1 1355 1332 52.38% 23.90% 23.72%+0.33 +7.2 6
2019-09-29 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 1-341.1 1332 1355 23.72% 23.90% 52.38%-0.33 -7.2 8
2019-10-02 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-145.1 1409 1362 55.34% 23.23% 21.42%+0.42 +3.8 11
2019-10-02 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 1-245.1 1362 1409 21.42% 23.23% 55.34%-0.42 -3.8 6
2019-10-02 Croatia Zmijavci W 4-145.6 1473 1477 49.00% 24.49% 26.51%+0.22 +11.1 14
2019-10-02 @ Sesvete L 1-445.6 1477 1473 26.51% 24.49% 49.00%-0.22 -11.1 10
2019-10-02 Dubrava L 0-440.3 1365 1440 39.19% 25.33% 35.49%-0.06 -23.5 5
2019-10-02 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 4-040.3 1440 1365 35.49% 25.33% 39.19%+0.06 +23.6 9
2019-10-02 Dugopolje W 3-255.0 1497 1446 55.86% 23.11% 21.04%+0.44 +3.5 15
2019-10-02 @ Orijent L 2-355.0 1446 1497 21.04% 23.11% 55.86%-0.44 -3.5 8
2019-10-02 Hajduk Split II D 0-059.1 1505 1510 48.88% 24.51% 26.61%+0.22 -0.9 14
2019-10-02 @ Osijek II D 0-059.1 1510 1505 26.61% 24.51% 48.88%-0.22 +0.9 13
2019-10-02 Kustosija L 0-148.6 1400 1337 57.34% 22.71% 19.95%+0.49 -9.0 11
2019-10-02 @ Solin W 1-048.6 1337 1400 19.95% 22.71% 57.34%-0.49 +9.0 7
2019-10-02 Rudes W 2-149.5 1354 1419 40.61% 25.28% 34.11%-0.02 +5.6 8
2019-10-02 @ Cibalia L 1-249.5 1419 1354 34.11% 25.28% 40.61%+0.02 -5.6 14
2019-10-02 Sibenik L 1-248.2 1325 1495 26.94% 24.57% 48.50%-0.43 -4.6 8
2019-10-02 @ Medimurje W 2-148.2 1495 1325 48.50% 24.57% 26.94%+0.43 +4.6 21
2019-10-05 Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-147.4 1499 1412 59.98% 21.93% 18.10%+0.58 +3.2 24
2019-10-05 @ Sibenik L 1-247.4 1412 1499 18.10% 21.93% 59.98%-0.58 -3.2 11
2019-10-05 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-143.5 1443 1341 61.61% 21.39% 17.00%+0.64 +3.0 11
2019-10-05 @ Dugopolje L 1-243.5 1341 1443 17.00% 21.39% 61.61%-0.64 -3.0 5
2019-10-05 Medimurje D 0-050.2 1346 1321 52.69% 23.83% 23.47%+0.34 -1.1 8
2019-10-05 @ Kustosija D 0-050.2 1321 1346 23.47% 23.83% 52.69%-0.34 +1.1 9
2019-10-05 Sesvete L 0-248.1 1464 1484 46.84% 24.79% 28.37%+0.16 -14.3 9
2019-10-05 @ Dubrava W 2-048.1 1484 1464 28.37% 24.79% 46.84%-0.16 +14.3 17
2019-10-06 Cibalia D 1-156.0 1358 1359 49.40% 24.43% 26.17%+0.23 -0.8 7
2019-10-06 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-156.0 1359 1358 26.17% 24.43% 49.40%-0.23 +0.8 9
2019-10-06 Hajduk Split II L 0-250.9 1501 1511 48.21% 24.61% 27.18%+0.20 -14.6 15
2019-10-06 @ Orijent W 2-050.9 1511 1501 27.18% 24.61% 48.21%-0.20 +14.6 16
2019-10-06 Osijek II W 1-048.0 1414 1504 37.08% 25.35% 37.57%-0.12 +6.4 17
2019-10-06 @ Rudes L 0-148.0 1504 1414 37.57% 25.35% 37.08%+0.12 -6.4 14
2019-10-06 Solin W 2-146.2 1466 1391 58.62% 22.34% 19.04%+0.53 +3.3 13
2019-10-06 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 1-246.2 1391 1466 19.04% 22.34% 58.62%-0.53 -3.4 11
2019-10-18 Croatia Zmijavci D 0-051.8 1322 1470 29.48% 24.93% 45.59%-0.35 +0.6 10
2019-10-18 @ Medimurje D 0-051.8 1470 1322 45.59% 24.93% 29.48%+0.35 -0.6 14
2019-10-18 Dugopolje L 0-153.8 1499 1446 56.07% 23.05% 20.88%+0.45 -8.8 17
2019-10-18 @ Sesvete W 1-053.8 1446 1499 20.88% 23.05% 56.07%-0.45 +8.8 14
2019-10-18 Hajduk Split II W 1-049.9 1338 1526 24.97% 24.19% 50.84%-0.50 +8.1 8
2019-10-18 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-149.9 1526 1338 50.84% 24.19% 24.97%+0.50 -8.1 16
2019-10-19 Dubrava L 0-243.1 1388 1450 41.19% 25.26% 33.56%-0.01 -12.9 11
2019-10-19 @ Solin W 2-043.1 1450 1388 33.56% 25.26% 41.19%+0.01 +12.9 12
2019-10-19 Osijek II L 0-240.4 1360 1498 30.70% 25.05% 44.24%-0.31 -10.3 9
2019-10-19 @ Cibalia W 2-040.4 1498 1360 44.24% 25.05% 30.70%+0.31 +10.3 17
2019-10-19 Rudes W 2-037.9 1486 1420 57.62% 22.63% 19.75%+0.50 +7.0 18
2019-10-19 @ Orijent L 0-237.9 1420 1486 19.75% 22.63% 57.62%-0.50 -7.0 17
2019-10-20 Kustosija W 1-037.6 1409 1344 57.47% 22.67% 19.85%+0.49 +3.7 14
2019-10-20 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-137.6 1344 1409 19.85% 22.67% 57.47%-0.49 -3.7 8
2019-10-20 Sibenik L 0-143.7 1357 1503 29.79% 24.96% 45.25%-0.34 -5.3 7
2019-10-20 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-043.7 1503 1357 45.25% 24.96% 29.79%+0.34 +5.3 27
2019-10-25 Medimurje L 1-257.6 1462 1322 65.60% 19.90% 14.50%+0.79 -9.4 12
2019-10-25 @ Dubrava W 2-157.6 1322 1462 14.50% 19.90% 65.60%-0.79 +9.4 13
2019-10-26 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-340.6 1341 1352 48.05% 24.63% 27.32%+0.19 -21.2 8
2019-10-26 @ Kustosija W 3-040.6 1352 1341 27.32% 24.63% 48.05%-0.19 +21.2 10
2019-10-26 Cibalia W 1-037.0 1508 1350 67.40% 19.16% 13.45%+0.86 +2.5 30
2019-10-26 @ Sibenik L 0-137.0 1350 1508 13.45% 19.16% 67.40%-0.86 -2.5 9
2019-10-26 Orijent L 1-357.7 1508 1493 51.44% 24.08% 24.48%+0.30 -13.4 17
2019-10-26 @ Osijek II W 3-157.7 1493 1508 24.48% 24.08% 51.44%-0.30 +13.4 21
2019-10-26 Solin W 3-141.6 1455 1375 59.15% 22.18% 18.66%+0.55 +5.7 17
2019-10-26 @ Dugopolje L 1-341.6 1375 1455 18.66% 22.18% 59.15%-0.55 -5.7 11
2019-10-27 Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-041.0 1469 1413 56.43% 22.96% 20.61%+0.46 +3.8 17
2019-10-27 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-141.0 1413 1469 20.61% 22.96% 56.43%-0.46 -3.9 14
2019-10-27 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-157.2 1413 1346 57.73% 22.60% 19.67%+0.50 -1.4 18
2019-10-27 @ Rudes D 1-157.2 1346 1413 19.67% 22.60% 57.73%-0.50 +1.4 9
2019-10-27 Sesvete W 3-149.4 1518 1490 53.04% 23.76% 23.20%+0.35 +7.0 19
2019-10-27 @ Hajduk Split II L 1-349.4 1490 1518 23.20% 23.76% 53.04%-0.35 -7.0 17
2019-10-30 Solin W 3-033.8 1409 1369 54.51% 23.43% 22.06%+0.39 +11.2 17
2019-10-30 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-333.8 1369 1409 22.06% 23.43% 54.51%-0.39 -11.2 11
2019-10-31 Dugopolje W 4-252.5 1332 1460 31.89% 25.15% 42.95%-0.27 +10.3 16
2019-10-31 @ Medimurje L 2-452.5 1460 1332 42.95% 25.15% 31.89%+0.27 -10.3 17
2019-11-02 Hajduk Split II L 2-355.3 1358 1525 27.28% 24.62% 48.09%-0.42 -4.4 11
2019-11-02 @ Solin W 3-255.3 1525 1358 48.09% 24.62% 27.28%+0.42 +4.4 22
2019-11-02 Kustosija W 2-031.8 1510 1320 70.49% 17.78% 11.73%+0.99 +4.0 33
2019-11-02 @ Sibenik L 0-231.8 1320 1510 11.73% 17.78% 70.49%-0.99 -4.0 8
2019-11-02 Orijent L 1-249.5 1347 1507 28.11% 24.75% 47.14%-0.39 -4.8 9
2019-11-02 @ Cibalia W 2-149.5 1507 1347 47.14% 24.75% 28.11%+0.39 +4.8 24
2019-11-02 Rudes W 3-252.6 1483 1412 58.18% 22.47% 19.35%+0.52 +3.2 20
2019-11-02 @ Sesvete L 2-352.6 1412 1483 19.35% 22.47% 58.18%-0.52 -3.2 18
2019-11-03 Croatia Zmijavci D 1-158.4 1373 1473 35.80% 25.33% 38.87%-0.16 +0.1 11
2019-11-03 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-158.4 1473 1373 38.87% 25.33% 35.80%+0.16 -0.1 18
2019-11-03 Dubrava D 1-159.3 1420 1453 45.19% 24.97% 29.84%+0.11 -0.5 18
2019-11-03 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 1-159.3 1453 1420 29.84% 24.97% 45.19%-0.11 +0.5 13
2019-11-03 Osijek II W 2-154.5 1348 1495 29.53% 24.93% 45.53%-0.34 +7.0 12
2019-11-03 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-254.5 1495 1348 45.53% 24.93% 29.53%+0.34 -7.0 17
2019-11-08 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-053.5 1454 1373 59.23% 22.16% 18.61%+0.55 -1.7 14
2019-11-08 @ Dubrava D 0-053.5 1373 1454 18.61% 22.16% 59.23%-0.55 +1.7 12
2019-11-09 Cibalia W 3-034.6 1316 1343 45.97% 24.89% 29.15%+0.13 +14.3 11
2019-11-09 @ Kustosija L 0-334.6 1343 1316 29.15% 24.89% 45.97%-0.13 -14.3 9
2019-11-09 Dinamo Zagreb II W 3-036.4 1450 1420 53.34% 23.70% 22.96%+0.36 +11.7 20
2019-11-09 @ Dugopolje L 0-336.4 1420 1450 22.96% 23.70% 53.34%-0.36 -11.6 18
2019-11-09 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 0-055.5 1511 1354 67.27% 19.21% 13.52%+0.86 -2.2 25
2019-11-09 @ Orijent D 0-055.5 1354 1511 13.52% 19.21% 67.27%-0.86 +2.2 13
2019-11-10 Sesvete D 1-162.9 1488 1486 49.76% 24.37% 25.87%+0.24 -0.8 18
2019-11-10 @ Osijek II D 1-162.9 1486 1488 25.87% 24.37% 49.76%-0.24 +0.8 21
2019-11-10 Sibenik W 2-044.9 1473 1514 43.96% 25.08% 30.96%+0.07 +10.4 21
2019-11-10 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-244.9 1514 1473 30.96% 25.08% 43.96%-0.07 -10.4 33
2019-11-10 Solin W 1-038.1 1409 1354 56.32% 22.99% 20.70%+0.45 +3.9 21
2019-11-10 @ Rudes L 0-138.1 1354 1409 20.70% 22.99% 56.32%-0.45 -3.9 11
2019-11-11 Medimurje L 0-348.9 1529 1342 70.12% 17.95% 11.93%+0.97 -28.8 22
2019-11-11 @ Hajduk Split II W 3-048.9 1342 1529 11.93% 17.95% 70.12%-0.97 +28.8 19
2019-11-22 Rudes L 0-146.1 1371 1412 44.00% 25.08% 30.93%+0.07 -7.2 19
2019-11-22 @ Medimurje W 1-046.1 1412 1371 30.93% 25.08% 44.00%-0.07 +7.2 24
2019-11-23 Croatia Zmijavci W 1-047.4 1330 1483 28.83% 24.85% 46.32%-0.37 +7.5 14
2019-11-23 @ Kustosija L 0-147.4 1483 1330 46.32% 24.85% 28.83%+0.37 -7.5 21
2019-11-23 Dubrava W 1-043.7 1504 1452 55.98% 23.07% 20.94%+0.44 +3.9 36
2019-11-23 @ Sibenik L 0-143.7 1452 1504 20.94% 23.07% 55.98%-0.44 -3.9 14
2019-11-23 Hajduk Split II W 1-047.8 1408 1500 36.86% 25.34% 37.79%-0.13 +6.4 21
2019-11-23 @ Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-147.8 1500 1408 37.79% 25.34% 36.86%+0.13 -6.4 22
2019-11-23 Hrvatski Dragovoljac D 1-155.5 1328 1357 45.76% 24.91% 29.33%+0.12 -0.6 10
2019-11-23 @ Cibalia D 1-155.5 1357 1328 29.33% 24.91% 45.76%-0.12 +0.6 14
2019-11-23 Orijent D 0-058.3 1487 1509 46.60% 24.81% 28.58%+0.15 -0.7 22
2019-11-23 @ Sesvete D 0-058.3 1509 1487 28.58% 24.81% 46.60%-0.15 +0.7 26
2019-11-23 Osijek II W 2-043.9 1350 1487 30.79% 25.06% 44.15%-0.30 +13.6 14
2019-11-23 @ Solin L 0-243.9 1487 1350 44.15% 25.06% 30.79%+0.30 -13.6 18
2019-11-24 Dugopolje W 1-045.4 1375 1462 37.63% 25.35% 37.02%-0.11 +6.3 15
2019-11-24 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-145.4 1462 1375 37.02% 25.35% 37.63%+0.11 -6.3 20
2019-11-29 Sibenik L 0-247.5 1455 1508 42.46% 25.19% 32.36%+0.03 -13.2 20
2019-11-29 @ Dugopolje W 2-047.5 1508 1455 32.36% 25.19% 42.46%-0.03 +13.2 39
2019-11-30 Kustosija L 1-257.0 1448 1337 62.56% 21.06% 16.39%+0.67 -9.1 14
2019-11-30 @ Dubrava W 2-157.0 1337 1448 16.39% 21.06% 62.56%-0.67 +9.1 17
2019-11-30 Medimurje W 2-144.5 1473 1364 62.44% 21.10% 16.46%+0.67 +2.9 21
2019-11-30 @ Osijek II L 1-244.5 1364 1473 16.46% 21.10% 62.44%-0.67 -2.9 19
2019-11-30 Sesvete W 3-259.0 1357 1486 31.83% 25.15% 43.02%-0.27 +6.3 17
2019-11-30 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 2-359.0 1486 1357 43.02% 25.15% 31.83%+0.27 -6.3 22
2019-11-30 Solin W 3-249.5 1510 1363 66.24% 19.64% 14.12%+0.81 +2.3 29
2019-11-30 @ Orijent L 2-349.5 1363 1510 14.12% 19.64% 66.24%-0.81 -2.3 14
2019-12-01 Cibalia W 4-031.0 1475 1328 66.38% 19.58% 14.04%+0.82 +9.3 24
2019-12-01 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-431.0 1328 1475 14.04% 19.58% 66.38%-0.82 -9.3 10
2019-12-01 Dinamo Zagreb II D 0-053.1 1420 1415 50.19% 24.30% 25.51%+0.26 -1.0 25
2019-12-01 @ Rudes D 0-053.1 1415 1420 25.51% 24.30% 50.19%-0.26 +1.0 22
2019-12-02 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-055.2 1494 1381 62.74% 20.99% 16.27%+0.68 -1.9 23
2019-12-02 @ Hajduk Split II D 0-055.2 1381 1494 16.27% 20.99% 62.74%-0.68 +1.9 16
2019-12-04 Dinamo Zagreb II L 0-152.2 1476 1416 57.00% 22.81% 20.20%+0.48 -8.9 21
2019-12-04 @ Osijek II W 1-052.2 1416 1476 20.20% 22.81% 57.00%-0.48 +8.9 25
2019-12-07 Croatia Zmijavci W 1-046.3 1439 1485 43.40% 25.12% 31.48%+0.06 +5.6 17
2019-12-07 @ Dubrava L 0-146.3 1485 1439 31.48% 25.12% 43.40%-0.06 -5.6 24
2019-12-07 Kustosija D 2-264.6 1442 1346 60.94% 21.61% 17.44%+0.61 -1.2 21
2019-12-07 @ Dugopolje D 2-264.6 1346 1442 17.44% 21.61% 60.94%-0.61 +1.2 18
2019-12-07 Medimurje L 0-250.0 1512 1361 66.72% 19.44% 13.84%+0.83 -19.1 29
2019-12-07 @ Orijent W 2-050.0 1361 1512 13.84% 19.44% 66.72%-0.83 +19.1 22
2019-12-07 Sesvete D 0-052.1 1318 1480 27.85% 24.71% 47.44%-0.40 +0.8 11
2019-12-07 @ Cibalia D 0-052.1 1480 1318 47.44% 24.71% 27.85%+0.40 -0.8 23
2019-12-07 Solin W 1-039.4 1364 1361 49.85% 24.36% 25.79%+0.25 +4.7 20
2019-12-07 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-139.4 1361 1364 25.79% 24.36% 49.85%-0.25 -4.7 14
2019-12-08 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-039.6 1419 1383 53.99% 23.55% 22.46%+0.38 +4.2 28
2019-12-08 @ Rudes L 0-139.6 1383 1419 22.46% 23.55% 53.99%-0.38 -4.2 16
2019-12-08 Sibenik W 1-048.9 1492 1521 45.66% 24.92% 29.42%+0.12 +5.3 26
2019-12-08 @ Hajduk Split II L 0-148.9 1521 1492 29.42% 24.92% 45.66%-0.12 -5.3 39
2020-02-21 Cibalia W 2-142.3 1444 1319 64.10% 20.49% 15.41%+0.73 +2.7 20
2020-02-21 @ Dubrava L 1-242.3 1319 1444 15.41% 20.49% 64.10%-0.73 -2.7 11
2020-02-21 Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 1-253.8 1380 1368 51.03% 24.15% 24.81%+0.28 -7.7 22
2020-02-21 @ Medimurje W 2-153.8 1368 1380 24.81% 24.15% 51.03%-0.28 +7.7 23
2020-02-22 Hajduk Split II D 1-158.5 1348 1497 29.27% 24.90% 45.83%-0.35 +0.6 19
2020-02-22 @ Kustosija D 1-158.5 1497 1348 45.83% 24.90% 29.27%+0.35 -0.6 27
2020-02-22 Orijent D 2-267.1 1424 1493 40.21% 25.30% 34.50%-0.03 -0.1 26
2020-02-22 @ Dinamo Zagreb II D 2-267.1 1493 1424 34.50% 25.30% 40.21%+0.03 +0.1 30
2020-02-22 Rudes D 3-372.4 1516 1423 60.65% 21.71% 17.64%+0.60 -1.0 40
2020-02-22 @ Sibenik D 3-372.4 1423 1516 17.64% 21.71% 60.65%-0.60 +1.0 29
2020-02-22 Sesvete W 3-149.7 1356 1479 32.64% 25.21% 42.15%-0.25 +11.4 17
2020-02-22 @ Solin L 1-349.7 1479 1356 42.15% 25.21% 32.64%+0.25 -11.4 23
2020-02-23 Dugopolje W 3-037.8 1479 1441 54.32% 23.48% 22.20%+0.39 +11.3 27
2020-02-23 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-337.8 1441 1479 22.20% 23.48% 54.32%-0.39 -11.3 21
2020-02-23 Osijek II L 0-145.8 1379 1467 37.39% 25.35% 37.26%-0.11 -6.3 16
2020-02-23 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-045.8 1467 1379 37.26% 25.35% 37.39%+0.11 +6.4 24
2020-02-28 Dinamo Zagreb II W 1-042.9 1376 1424 43.05% 25.15% 31.81%+0.05 +5.6 26
2020-02-28 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac L 0-142.9 1424 1376 31.81% 25.15% 43.05%-0.05 -5.6 26
2020-02-28 Medimurje W 3-141.4 1468 1372 60.91% 21.62% 17.47%+0.61 +5.3 26
2020-02-28 @ Sesvete L 1-341.4 1372 1468 17.47% 21.62% 60.91%-0.61 -5.3 22
2020-02-29 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 1-259.3 1493 1373 63.59% 20.68% 15.73%+0.71 -9.2 30
2020-02-29 @ Orijent W 2-159.3 1373 1493 15.73% 20.68% 63.59%-0.71 +9.2 19
2020-02-29 Dubrava W 3-038.5 1430 1447 47.23% 24.74% 28.03%+0.17 +13.9 24
2020-02-29 @ Dugopolje L 0-338.5 1447 1430 28.03% 24.74% 47.23%-0.17 -13.9 20
2020-02-29 Solin D 1-155.4 1316 1368 42.63% 25.18% 32.20%+0.03 -0.4 12
2020-02-29 @ Cibalia D 1-155.4 1368 1316 32.20% 25.18% 42.63%-0.03 +0.4 18
2020-03-01 Croatia Zmijavci L 2-460.4 1497 1490 50.31% 24.28% 25.41%+0.26 -11.7 27
2020-03-01 @ Hajduk Split II W 4-260.4 1490 1497 25.41% 24.28% 50.31%-0.26 +11.7 30
2020-03-01 Kustosija L 1-256.0 1424 1348 58.71% 22.32% 18.97%+0.54 -8.6 29
2020-03-01 @ Rudes W 2-156.0 1348 1424 18.97% 22.32% 58.71%-0.54 +8.6 22
2020-03-01 Sibenik D 1-163.3 1474 1515 44.03% 25.07% 30.89%+0.07 -0.5 25
2020-03-01 @ Osijek II D 1-163.3 1515 1474 30.89% 25.07% 44.03%-0.07 +0.4 41
2020-03-06 Solin D 1-156.3 1367 1368 49.39% 24.43% 26.18%+0.23 -0.8 23
2020-03-06 @ Medimurje D 1-156.3 1368 1367 26.18% 24.43% 49.39%-0.23 +0.8 19
2020-03-07 Cibalia D 0-052.6 1444 1316 64.31% 20.40% 15.28%+0.74 -2.0 25
2020-03-07 @ Dugopolje D 0-052.6 1316 1444 15.28% 20.40% 64.31%-0.74 +2.0 13
2020-03-07 Dubrava L 1-259.4 1485 1433 55.91% 23.09% 21.00%+0.44 -8.3 27
2020-03-07 @ Hajduk Split II W 2-159.4 1433 1485 21.00% 23.09% 55.91%-0.44 +8.3 23
2020-03-07 Orijent L 1-261.8 1515 1484 53.48% 23.67% 22.85%+0.36 -8.0 41
2020-03-07 @ Sibenik W 2-161.8 1484 1515 22.85% 23.67% 53.48%-0.36 +8.0 33
2020-03-07 Osijek II D 2-264.5 1357 1473 33.48% 25.25% 41.27%-0.22 +0.2 23
2020-03-07 @ Kustosija D 2-264.5 1473 1357 41.27% 25.25% 33.48%+0.22 -0.2 26
2020-03-08 Hrvatski Dragovoljac W 2-036.6 1382 1382 49.57% 24.40% 26.02%+0.24 +9.0 22
2020-03-08 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-236.6 1382 1382 26.02% 24.40% 49.57%-0.24 -9.0 26
2020-03-08 Rudes W 1-041.1 1502 1415 59.98% 21.93% 18.09%+0.58 +3.4 33
2020-03-08 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-141.1 1415 1502 18.09% 21.93% 59.98%-0.58 -3.4 29
2020-03-08 Sesvete L 1-255.0 1419 1473 42.21% 25.20% 32.59%+0.02 -6.6 26
2020-03-08 @ Dinamo Zagreb II W 2-155.0 1473 1419 32.59% 25.20% 42.21%-0.02 +6.6 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-11-11 11.93% Medimurje 1342 3 @ Hajduk Split II 1529 0
2 2019-12-07 13.84% Medimurje 1361 2 @ Orijent 1512 0
3 2019-10-25 14.50% Medimurje 1322 2 @ Dubrava 1462 1
4 2020-02-29 15.73% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1373 2 @ Orijent 1493 1
5 2019-11-30 16.39% Kustosija 1337 2 @ Dubrava 1448 1
6 2020-03-01 18.97% Kustosija 1348 2 @ Rudes 1424 1
7 2019-10-02 19.95% Kustosija 1337 1 @ Solin 1400 0
8 2019-12-04 20.20% Dinamo Zagreb II 1416 1 @ Osijek II 1476 0
9 2019-09-22 20.43% Dubrava 1439 1 @ Osijek II 1497 0
10 2019-10-18 20.88% Dugopolje 1446 1 @ Sesvete 1499 0
11 2020-03-07 21.00% Dubrava 1433 2 @ Hajduk Split II 1485 1
12 2020-03-07 22.85% Orijent 1484 2 @ Sibenik 1515 1
13 2019-09-01 23.75% Hajduk Split II 1481 1 @ Croatia Zmijavci 1503 0
14 2019-08-18 24.01% Rudes 1371 2 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1390 0
15 2019-10-26 24.48% Orijent 1493 3 @ Osijek II 1508 1
16 2020-02-21 24.81% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1368 2 @ Medimurje 1380 1
17 2019-10-18 24.97% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1338 1 Hajduk Split II 1526 0
18 2020-03-01 25.41% Croatia Zmijavci 1490 4 @ Hajduk Split II 1497 2
19 2019-09-21 25.49% Sibenik 1483 1 @ Sesvete 1489 0
20 2019-10-06 27.18% Hajduk Split II 1511 2 @ Orijent 1501 0
21 2019-10-26 27.32% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1352 3 @ Kustosija 1341 0
22 2019-09-18 27.44% Osijek II 1489 1 @ Croatia Zmijavci 1477 0
23 2019-10-05 28.37% Sesvete 1484 2 @ Dubrava 1464 0
24 2019-09-28 28.80% Osijek II 1488 4 @ Dugopolje 1464 1
25 2019-11-23 28.83% @ Kustosija 1330 1 Croatia Zmijavci 1483 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-11-11 28.84 Medimurje 3 1342 11.93% @ Hajduk Split II 0 1529 70.12% 17.95%
2 2019-10-02 23.55 Dubrava 4 1440 35.49% @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1365 39.19% 25.33%
3 2019-09-21 21.51 Hajduk Split II 4 1490 39.93% @ Cibalia 0 1383 34.77% 25.31%
4 2019-10-26 21.18 BSK Bijelo Brdo 3 1352 27.32% @ Kustosija 0 1341 48.05% 24.63%
5 2019-09-14 20.36 Dugopolje 3 1449 29.33% @ Cibalia 0 1421 45.77% 24.91%
6 2019-09-01 20.11 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 3 1358 29.96% Orijent 0 1502 45.06% 24.98%
7 2019-12-07 19.12 Medimurje 2 1361 13.84% @ Orijent 0 1512 66.72% 19.44%
8 2019-09-15 17.96 @ Rudes 3 1394 35.66% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1494 39.01% 25.33%
9 2019-09-18 17.51 @ Medimurje 3 1309 36.96% Cibalia 0 1400 37.70% 25.34%
10 2019-09-28 17.35 Osijek II 4 1488 28.80% @ Dugopolje 1 1464 46.36% 24.84%
11 2019-08-26 17.00 @ Osijek II 6 1472 61.06% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1375 17.36% 21.57%
12 2019-08-18 15.58 Rudes 2 1371 24.01% @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1390 52.03% 23.97%
13 2019-10-06 14.63 Hajduk Split II 2 1511 27.18% @ Orijent 0 1501 48.21% 24.61%
14 2019-11-09 14.32 @ Kustosija 3 1316 45.97% Cibalia 0 1343 29.15% 24.89%
15 2019-10-05 14.29 Sesvete 2 1484 28.37% @ Dubrava 0 1464 46.84% 24.79%
16 2019-08-24 14.10 Croatia Zmijavci 2 1489 29.02% @ Dugopolje 0 1463 46.11% 24.87%
17 2019-08-31 14.02 Rudes 2 1380 29.30% @ Kustosija 0 1352 45.79% 24.91%
18 2020-02-29 13.86 @ Dugopolje 3 1430 47.23% Dubrava 0 1447 28.03% 24.74%
19 2019-11-23 13.62 @ Solin 2 1350 30.79% Osijek II 0 1487 44.15% 25.06%
20 2019-09-13 13.61 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 1366 47.93% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1378 27.43% 24.65%
21 2019-10-26 13.36 Orijent 3 1493 24.48% @ Osijek II 1 1508 51.44% 24.08%
22 2019-11-29 13.20 Sibenik 2 1508 32.36% @ Dugopolje 0 1455 42.46% 25.19%
23 2019-10-19 12.90 Dubrava 2 1450 33.56% @ Solin 0 1388 41.19% 25.26%
24 2020-03-01 11.74 Croatia Zmijavci 4 1490 25.41% @ Hajduk Split II 2 1497 50.31% 24.28%
25 2019-11-09 11.65 @ Dugopolje 3 1450 53.34% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1420 22.96% 23.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-02-22 72.4 @ Sibenik 3 1516 60.65% Rudes 3 1423 17.64% 21.71%
2 2019-09-18 68.7 @ Dugopolje 2 1470 46.94% Hajduk Split II 2 1489 28.29% 24.77%
3 2019-09-28 68.6 @ Hajduk Split II 2 1511 60.66% Rudes 2 1418 17.63% 21.71%
4 2019-08-24 68.0 @ Orijent 2 1503 60.39% Dinamo Zagreb II 2 1412 17.81% 21.79%
5 2020-02-22 67.1 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 2 1424 40.21% Orijent 2 1493 34.50% 25.30%
6 2019-08-30 66.3 @ Dubrava 2 1440 48.45% Dugopolje 2 1449 26.98% 24.57%
7 2019-09-18 65.5 @ Dubrava 2 1439 53.00% Rudes 2 1412 23.23% 23.77%
8 2019-12-07 64.6 @ Dugopolje 2 1442 60.94% Kustosija 2 1346 17.44% 21.61%
9 2020-03-07 64.5 @ Kustosija 2 1357 33.48% Osijek II 2 1473 41.27% 25.25%
10 2020-03-01 63.3 @ Osijek II 1 1474 44.03% Sibenik 1 1515 30.89% 25.07%
11 2019-11-10 62.9 @ Osijek II 1 1488 49.76% Sesvete 1 1486 25.87% 24.37%
12 2019-08-23 62.5 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 2 1371 55.44% Medimurje 2 1323 21.35% 23.21%
13 2019-09-21 62.5 @ Orijent 1 1491 52.38% Croatia Zmijavci 1 1469 23.73% 23.90%
14 2020-03-07 61.8 Orijent 2 1484 22.85% @ Sibenik 1 1515 53.48% 23.67%
15 2019-09-14 61.0 @ Dubrava 1 1440 42.93% Hajduk Split II 1 1489 31.92% 25.16%
16 2020-03-01 60.4 Croatia Zmijavci 4 1490 25.41% @ Hajduk Split II 2 1497 50.31% 24.28%
17 2019-08-16 60.2 @ Sesvete 1 1470 56.97% Cibalia 1 1410 20.22% 22.81%
18 2019-08-23 59.7 @ Sesvete 1 1469 59.24% Solin 1 1389 18.60% 22.16%
19 2019-08-18 59.5 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1412 41.56% Osijek II 1 1471 33.20% 25.24%
20 2020-03-07 59.4 Dubrava 2 1433 21.00% @ Hajduk Split II 1 1485 55.91% 23.09%
21 2019-11-03 59.3 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1420 45.19% Dubrava 1 1453 29.84% 24.97%
22 2020-02-29 59.3 BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1373 15.73% @ Orijent 1 1493 63.59% 20.68%
23 2019-10-02 59.1 @ Osijek II 0 1505 48.88% Hajduk Split II 0 1510 26.61% 24.51%
24 2019-11-30 59.0 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 1357 31.83% Sesvete 2 1486 43.02% 25.15%
25 2020-02-22 58.5 @ Kustosija 1 1348 29.27% Hajduk Split II 1 1497 45.83% 24.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-12-01 31.0 @ Croatia Zmijavci 4 1475 66.38% Cibalia 0 1328 14.04% 19.58%
2 2019-09-14 31.5 @ Solin 3 1390 58.14% Medimurje 0 1319 19.38% 22.49%
3 2019-11-02 31.8 @ Sibenik 2 1510 70.49% Kustosija 0 1320 11.73% 17.78%
4 2019-09-11 32.9 @ Osijek II 2 1484 66.23% Kustosija 0 1338 14.13% 19.65%
5 2019-08-25 33.0 @ Hajduk Split II 4 1470 62.13% Kustosija 0 1363 16.66% 21.21%
6 2019-10-30 33.8 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 3 1409 54.51% Solin 0 1369 22.06% 23.43%
7 2019-11-09 34.6 @ Kustosija 3 1316 45.97% Cibalia 0 1343 29.15% 24.89%
8 2019-09-13 35.1 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 3 1366 47.93% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1378 27.43% 24.65%
9 2019-09-29 35.1 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 2 1401 54.48% Cibalia 0 1361 22.08% 23.44%
10 2019-08-26 35.3 @ Osijek II 6 1472 61.06% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1375 17.36% 21.57%
11 2019-09-18 35.3 @ Sibenik 2 1477 61.19% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1379 17.28% 21.53%
12 2019-09-13 36.1 @ Sesvete 3 1473 56.37% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1417 20.66% 22.97%
13 2019-11-09 36.4 @ Dugopolje 3 1450 53.34% Dinamo Zagreb II 0 1420 22.96% 23.70%
14 2020-03-08 36.6 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1382 49.57% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1382 26.02% 24.40%
15 2019-10-26 37.0 @ Sibenik 1 1508 67.40% Cibalia 0 1350 13.45% 19.16%
16 2019-10-20 37.6 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1409 57.47% Kustosija 0 1344 19.85% 22.67%
17 2020-02-23 37.8 @ Croatia Zmijavci 3 1479 54.32% Dugopolje 0 1441 22.20% 23.48%
18 2019-09-18 37.9 @ Medimurje 3 1309 36.96% Cibalia 0 1400 37.70% 25.34%
19 2019-10-19 37.9 @ Orijent 2 1486 57.62% Rudes 0 1420 19.75% 22.63%
20 2019-11-10 38.1 @ Rudes 1 1409 56.32% Solin 0 1354 20.70% 22.99%
21 2019-09-29 38.5 @ Croatia Zmijavci 4 1470 61.17% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1 1372 17.29% 21.54%
22 2020-02-29 38.5 @ Dugopolje 3 1430 47.23% Dubrava 0 1447 28.03% 24.74%
23 2019-09-21 38.6 @ Solin 1 1400 54.61% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1359 21.98% 23.41%
24 2019-09-01 38.9 @ Dinamo Zagreb II 1 1413 54.97% Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0 1370 21.71% 23.33%
25 2019-12-07 39.4 @ Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1 1364 49.85% Solin 0 1361 25.79% 24.36%