2022-23 Prva nogometna liga Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Croatia Zmijavci

5.85 points above expected

43 points · 37.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

15.50 points below expected

22 points · 37.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rudes	33	19	7	7	64	56	26	+30	60.43	+3.57
2	Vukovar	33	17	12	4	63	57	25	+32	58.51	+4.49
3	Cibalia	33	13	15	5	54	37	26	+11	49.89	+4.11
4	Jarun	33	13	5	15	44	43	57	-14	44.63	-0.63
5	BSK Bijelo Brdo	33	12	8	13	44	41	37	+4	39.98	+4.02
6	Solin	33	12	7	14	43	47	55	-8	42.58	+0.42
7	Orijent	33	10	13	10	43	45	45	0	40.15	+2.85
8	Croatia Zmijavci	33	12	7	14	43	37	44	-7	37.15	+5.85
9	Dubrava	33	11	9	13	42	38	39	-1	43.64	-1.64
10	Dugopolje	33	9	14	10	41	30	35	-5	40.64	+0.36
11	Kustosija	33	9	7	17	34	35	50	-15	40.84	-6.84
12	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	33	4	10	19	22	32	59	-27	37.50	-15.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Croatia Zmijavci	43	37.15	+5.85
2	Vukovar	63	58.51	+4.49
3	Cibalia	54	49.89	+4.11
4	BSK Bijelo Brdo	44	39.98	+4.02
5	Rudes	64	60.43	+3.57

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	22	37.50	-15.50
2	Kustosija	34	40.84	-6.84
3	Dubrava	42	43.64	-1.64
4	Jarun	44	44.63	-0.63
5	Dugopolje	41	40.64	+0.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BSK Bijelo Brdo	4	May 13 – Jun 3	1 in 49
2	Vukovar	5	Feb 12 – Mar 11	1 in 32
3	Croatia Zmijavci	2	Sep 11 – Sep 17	1 in 26
4	Solin	3	Apr 8 – Apr 23	1 in 25
5	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2	Mar 19 – Mar 26	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jarun	5	Mar 19 – Apr 16	1 in 96
2	Croatia Zmijavci	5	Oct 16 – Nov 11	1 in 93
3	Kustosija	4	Apr 24 – May 13	1 in 48
4	Solin	4	Feb 18 – Mar 11	1 in 32
5	Dubrava	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dugopolje	9	Oct 10 – Feb 11	1 in 78
2	Cibalia	11	Dec 3 – Apr 22	1 in 28
3	Orijent	7	Nov 12 – Mar 8	1 in 27
4	Vukovar	13	Oct 22 – Mar 25	1 in 26
5	BSK Bijelo Brdo	5	Nov 12 – Feb 18	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dugopolje	16	Nov 12 – May 6	1 in 401
2	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	10	Aug 19 – Oct 21	1 in 58
3	Vukovar	6	Sep 10 – Oct 15	1 in 33
4	Solin	8	Dec 2 – Apr 1	1 in 26
5	Cibalia	4	Mar 17 – Apr 6	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rudes	1530	64	-4	5	9.4	-4.4
Vukovar	1537	63	+20	11	8.8	+2.2
Cibalia	1436	54	+7	8	7.0	+1.0
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1388	44	+21	12	7.2	+4.8
Jarun	1349	44	+12	10	6.6	+3.4
Croatia Zmijavci	1345	43	+17	7	6.9	+0.1
Orijent	1381	43	-11	4	7.1	-3.1
Solin	1349	43	-25	4	5.5	-1.5
Dubrava	1349	42	-7	7	5.5	+1.5
Dugopolje	1335	41	+19	10	5.6	+4.4
Kustosija	1322	34	-18	3	6.4	-3.4
Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1272	22	-29	2	5.4	-3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BBB	CIB	CZ	DUB	DUG	HD	JAR	KUS	ORI	RUD	SOL	VUK
BSK Bijelo Brdo	—	0-2-1 3.17	1-0-2 4.12	2-1-0 3.29	1-1-1 4.32	1-0-2 4.03	1-0-2 4.02	1-0-2 4.33	1-2-0 3.69	0-0-3 2.37	3-0-0 3.91	1-2-0 2.74
Cibalia	1-2-0 4.95	—	1-2-0 5.46	2-0-1 4.39	1-2-0 5.19	2-1-0 4.59	1-1-1 4.36	0-3-0 4.38	2-0-1 4.90	1-1-1 3.25	2-1-0 4.83	0-2-1 3.08
Croatia Zmijavci	2-0-1 3.96	0-2-1 2.74	—	1-0-2 3.33	1-0-2 4.08	1-2-0 3.61	2-0-1 3.67	1-1-1 3.32	0-2-1 3.48	1-0-2 2.13	1-0-2 3.67	2-0-1 2.48
Dubrava	0-1-2 4.84	1-0-2 3.70	2-0-1 4.77	—	1-2-0 4.44	2-1-0 4.41	0-0-3 3.86	2-0-1 4.01	1-1-1 4.48	0-2-1 2.67	2-0-1 3.77	0-2-1 2.71
Dugopolje	1-1-1 3.78	0-2-1 2.97	2-0-1 4.03	0-2-1 3.66	—	1-1-1 4.33	1-1-1 3.94	3-0-0 4.01	0-2-1 4.49	0-2-1 2.36	1-1-1 4.21	0-2-1 2.79
Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2-0-1 4.06	0-1-2 3.54	0-2-1 4.49	0-1-2 3.68	1-1-1 3.76	—	1-1-1 3.10	0-0-3 3.64	0-1-2 3.38	0-1-2 2.45	0-1-2 3.65	0-1-2 2.30
Jarun	2-0-1 4.10	1-1-1 3.73	1-0-2 4.45	3-0-0 4.23	1-1-1 4.16	1-1-1 5.03	—	3-0-0 4.39	0-1-2 4.36	0-0-3 3.17	1-1-1 3.89	0-0-3 2.98
Kustosija	2-0-1 3.78	0-3-0 3.71	1-1-1 4.80	1-0-2 4.10	0-0-3 4.10	3-0-0 4.46	0-0-3 3.70	—	0-1-2 3.75	1-0-2 2.70	1-1-1 3.81	0-1-2 2.70
Orijent	0-2-1 4.42	1-0-2 3.22	1-2-0 4.64	1-1-1 3.62	1-2-0 3.62	2-1-0 4.76	2-1-0 3.74	2-1-0 4.35	—	0-0-3 2.36	0-2-1 3.72	0-1-2 2.50
Rudes	3-0-0 5.87	1-1-1 4.86	2-0-1 6.18	1-2-0 5.51	1-2-0 5.89	2-1-0 5.80	3-0-0 4.96	2-0-1 5.48	3-0-0 5.91	—	1-0-2 5.89	0-1-2 4.57
Solin	0-0-3 4.20	0-1-2 3.29	2-0-1 4.43	1-0-2 4.33	1-1-1 3.88	2-1-0 4.43	1-1-1 4.21	1-1-1 4.29	1-2-0 4.38	2-0-1 2.37	—	1-0-2 2.94
Vukovar	0-2-1 5.43	1-2-0 5.06	1-0-2 5.73	1-2-0 5.49	1-2-0 5.37	2-1-0 5.96	3-0-0 5.19	2-1-0 5.51	2-1-0 5.71	2-1-0 3.53	2-0-1 5.23	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+10.5
Allowed	0.65	-7.6
Differential	0.90	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.60%	9.60%	6.31%	2.53%	2.53%	0.51%	31.06%
1	9.60%	12.12%	7.58%	2.27%	1.26%	0.25%	33.08%
2	6.31%	7.58%	6.06%	1.52%	0.25%	0.76%	22.47%
3	2.53%	2.27%	1.52%	1.01%	0.25%	—	7.58%
4	2.53%	1.26%	0.25%	0.25%	—	—	4.29%
5+	0.51%	0.25%	0.76%	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	31.06%	33.08%	22.47%	7.58%	4.29%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.26	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.76
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
1	9.09%	12.12%	12.12%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	21.21%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	39.39%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.12	+0.12
SD	1.35	1.19	1.92
CV	1.08	1.06	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	24.24%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
1	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
2	12.12%	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	24.24%
3	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	54.55%	21.21%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	0.79	+0.33
SD	1.05	1.05	1.43
CV	0.94	1.34	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	9.09%	—	6.06%	—	30.30%
1	6.06%	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	33.33%
2	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	27.27%	30.30%	3.03%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.33	-0.21
SD	0.93	1.22	1.75
CV	0.83	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	36.36%
1	12.12%	21.21%	3.03%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	27.27%	45.45%	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.18	-0.03
SD	1.35	1.10	1.91
CV	1.17	0.93	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
1	12.12%	27.27%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	48.48%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	42.42%	21.21%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.06	-0.15
SD	0.88	0.97	1.39
CV	0.97	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	12.12%	12.12%	—	—	42.42%
1	3.03%	12.12%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	30.30%
2	—	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	21.21%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	9.09%	33.33%	27.27%	30.30%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.79	-0.82
SD	1.13	0.99	1.47
CV	1.17	0.56	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
1	6.06%	—	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	24.24%
2	3.03%	18.18%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	—	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	15.15%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	30.30%	24.24%	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.73	-0.42
SD	1.07	1.44	1.73
CV	0.82	0.83	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	39.39%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	21.21%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	21.21%	30.30%	33.33%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.52	-0.45
SD	1.17	1.20	1.60
CV	1.10	0.79	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	3.03%	33.33%
1	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	24.24%	24.24%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.32	1.77
CV	0.89	0.97	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
1	18.18%	12.12%	12.12%	—	—	—	42.42%
2	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	36.36%	21.21%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	0.79	+0.91
SD	1.19	0.78	1.57
CV	0.70	0.99	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	15.15%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.67	-0.24
SD	1.32	1.57	2.33
CV	0.93	0.94	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	12.12%	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	42.42%	39.39%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	0.76	+0.97
SD	1.42	0.75	1.45
CV	0.82	0.99	—
Max	5	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Vukovar	1537	63	58.51	+4.49	72.0%	38	46	53	59	64	70	76
Rudes	1530	64	60.43	+3.57	71.0%	39	50	56	61	66	70	74
Cibalia	1436	54	49.89	+4.11	71.0%	33	38	44	49	55	60	66
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1388	44	39.98	+4.02	74.0%	20	29	35	40	45	52	58
Orijent	1381	43	40.15	+2.85	64.0%	21	29	35	41	45	52	57
Solin	1349	43	42.58	+0.42	51.0%	26	31	37	43	47	53	58
Dubrava	1349	42	43.64	-1.64	48.0%	19	32	39	43	49	54	62
Jarun	1349	44	44.63	-0.63	47.0%	23	32	39	45	51	56	68
Croatia Zmijavci	1345	43	37.15	+5.85	83.0%	22	26	32	36	42	48	57
Dugopolje	1335	41	40.64	+0.36	55.0%	23	29	35	41	46	52	58
Kustosija	1322	34	40.84	-6.84	16.0%	24	29	37	41	45	51	59
Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1272	22	37.50	-15.50	0.0%	23	28	33	36	41	49	55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+23.74%

Clear Edge

47.47%28.79%23.74%

Elo Value

Home Edge

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

084.08500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.51 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

Rudes, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.51 * Lucky: 8.51 to 11.35 * Wild Swing: 11.35 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.78 * Close: 1.78 to 2.66 * Off: 2.66 to 3.55 * Way Off: 3.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.76 points

Some Luck

07.0918

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

02.225

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

83.00%

Croatia Zmijavci

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 80.54

1.56

Moderate Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

58%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Even

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

67%

Very Frequent

0%60%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Occasional

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.77

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.36

Weak Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.91

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.081

Well Within Noise

00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rudes	51.00%	30.00%	7.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Vukovar	37.00%	33.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Cibalia	4.00%	22.00%	23.00%	13.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Jarun	4.00%	1.00%	14.00%	14.00%	13.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1.00%	—	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%	15.00%	8.00%	12.00%
Solin	—	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	18.00%	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Orijent	—	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Croatia Zmijavci	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	23.00%
Dubrava	3.00%	2.00%	9.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Dugopolje	—	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	14.00%	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	10.00%
Kustosija	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%	15.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	20.00%	19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Cibalia	99.00%	1.00%	—
Rudes	100%	—	—
Vukovar	100%	—	—
Dubrava	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Jarun	87.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Solin	86.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Kustosija	86.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Dugopolje	77.00%	13.00%	10.00%
Orijent	75.00%	15.00%	10.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	80.00%	8.00%	12.00%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac	61.00%	20.00%	19.00%
Croatia Zmijavci	60.00%	17.00%	23.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-08-13	Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-2	43.0	1350	1330	44.57%	29.64%	25.79%	+0.57	-15.0	0
2022-08-13	@ Dugopolje	W 2-0	43.0	1330	1350	25.79%	29.64%	44.57%	-0.57	+15.0	3
2022-08-13	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	L 1-2	50.4	1342	1387	35.56%	30.63%	33.80%	+0.22	-6.3	0
2022-08-13	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	50.4	1387	1342	33.80%	30.63%	35.56%	-0.22	+6.4	3
2022-08-13	Kustosija	D 2-2	60.7	1386	1389	41.33%	30.19%	28.47%	+0.44	-0.3	1
2022-08-13	@ Cibalia	D 2-2	60.7	1389	1386	28.47%	30.19%	41.33%	-0.44	+0.3	1
2022-08-13	Solin	D 1-1	53.7	1351	1367	39.61%	30.40%	30.00%	+0.38	-0.3	1
2022-08-13	@ Orijent	D 1-1	53.7	1367	1351	30.00%	30.40%	39.61%	-0.38	+0.3	1
2022-08-13	Vukovar	D 0-0	50.6	1365	1450	29.96%	30.39%	39.64%	-0.01	+0.4	1
2022-08-13	@ Dubrava	D 0-0	50.6	1450	1365	39.64%	30.39%	29.96%	+0.01	-0.4	1
2022-08-14	Rudes	L 1-3	50.3	1414	1462	34.95%	30.64%	34.41%	+0.20	-10.9	0
2022-08-14	@ Jarun	W 3-1	50.3	1462	1414	34.41%	30.64%	34.95%	-0.20	+10.9	3
2022-08-19	Cibalia	D 0-0	50.0	1393	1385	42.92%	29.95%	27.13%	+0.51	-0.6	4
2022-08-19	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 0-0	50.0	1385	1393	27.13%	29.95%	42.92%	-0.51	+0.6	2
2022-08-19	Dugopolje	L 1-4	47.9	1390	1335	49.21%	28.47%	22.32%	+0.76	-19.8	1
2022-08-19	@ Kustosija	W 4-1	47.9	1335	1390	22.32%	28.47%	49.21%	-0.76	+19.8	3
2022-08-20	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	44.2	1473	1336	59.52%	24.37%	16.11%	+1.22	+3.2	6
2022-08-20	@ Rudes	L 1-2	44.2	1336	1473	16.11%	24.37%	59.52%	-1.22	-3.2	0
2022-08-20	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	35.8	1367	1345	44.89%	29.58%	25.53%	+0.59	+18.8	4
2022-08-20	@ Solin	L 0-4	35.8	1345	1367	25.53%	29.58%	44.89%	-0.59	-18.8	3
2022-08-20	Dubrava	D 2-2	59.6	1351	1365	39.84%	30.37%	29.79%	+0.38	-0.3	2
2022-08-20	@ Orijent	D 2-2	59.6	1365	1351	29.79%	30.37%	39.84%	-0.38	+0.3	2
2022-08-20	Jarun	W 4-1	42.8	1450	1403	48.21%	28.76%	23.03%	+0.72	+11.1	4
2022-08-20	@ Vukovar	L 1-4	42.8	1403	1450	23.03%	28.76%	48.21%	-0.72	-11.1	0
2022-08-27	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 1-0	44.0	1355	1392	36.56%	30.61%	32.83%	+0.26	+6.4	6
2022-08-27	@ Dugopolje	L 0-1	44.0	1392	1355	32.83%	30.61%	36.56%	-0.26	-6.4	4
2022-08-27	Rudes	W 1-0	48.8	1386	1476	29.32%	30.31%	40.36%	-0.04	+7.4	5
2022-08-27	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	48.8	1476	1386	40.36%	30.31%	29.32%	+0.04	-7.4	6
2022-08-27	Solin	W 4-1	43.3	1365	1386	38.92%	30.46%	30.62%	+0.35	+14.0	5
2022-08-27	@ Dubrava	L 1-4	43.3	1386	1365	30.62%	30.46%	38.92%	-0.35	-14.0	4
2022-08-27	Vukovar	D 1-1	55.4	1333	1461	25.02%	29.43%	45.55%	-0.24	+0.8	1
2022-08-27	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	55.4	1461	1333	45.55%	29.43%	25.02%	+0.24	-0.8	5
2022-08-28	Kustosija	D 1-1	53.4	1326	1370	35.71%	30.63%	33.66%	+0.22	-0.1	4
2022-08-28	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	53.4	1370	1326	33.66%	30.63%	35.71%	-0.22	+0.1	2
2022-08-28	Orijent	D 2-2	60.4	1392	1350	47.45%	28.97%	23.58%	+0.69	-0.6	1
2022-08-28	@ Jarun	D 2-2	60.4	1350	1392	23.58%	28.97%	47.45%	-0.69	+0.7	3
2022-09-02	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	54.3	1386	1326	49.87%	28.27%	21.86%	+0.79	-1.1	5
2022-09-02	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 1-1	54.3	1326	1386	21.86%	28.27%	49.87%	-0.79	+1.0	5
2022-09-03	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	48.6	1351	1333	44.28%	29.70%	26.02%	+0.56	-0.7	4
2022-09-03	@ Orijent	D 0-0	48.6	1333	1351	26.02%	29.70%	44.28%	-0.56	+0.7	2
2022-09-03	Cibalia	W 1-0	42.1	1460	1393	50.81%	27.96%	21.23%	+0.83	+4.5	8
2022-09-03	@ Vukovar	L 0-1	42.1	1393	1460	21.23%	27.96%	50.81%	-0.83	-4.5	5
2022-09-03	Dugopolje	W 1-0	40.0	1469	1361	55.95%	26.00%	18.05%	+1.06	+3.8	9
2022-09-03	@ Rudes	L 0-1	40.0	1361	1469	18.05%	26.00%	55.95%	-1.06	-3.8	6
2022-09-03	Jarun	L 0-1	46.6	1379	1391	40.22%	30.33%	29.45%	+0.40	-7.3	5
2022-09-03	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	46.6	1391	1379	29.45%	30.33%	40.22%	-0.40	+7.3	4
2022-09-03	Kustosija	D 1-1	54.2	1372	1370	42.17%	30.07%	27.76%	+0.48	-0.5	5
2022-09-03	@ Solin	D 1-1	54.2	1370	1372	27.76%	30.07%	42.17%	-0.48	+0.5	3
2022-09-09	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-0	39.9	1370	1385	39.82%	30.37%	29.80%	+0.38	+11.2	6
2022-09-09	@ Kustosija	L 0-2	39.9	1385	1370	29.80%	30.37%	39.82%	-0.38	-11.2	5
2022-09-10	Dubrava	D 1-1	53.5	1334	1372	36.51%	30.61%	32.88%	+0.26	-0.1	3
2022-09-10	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	53.5	1372	1334	32.88%	30.61%	36.51%	-0.26	+0.1	6
2022-09-10	Orijent	W 1-0	40.7	1389	1350	47.08%	29.06%	23.86%	+0.67	+5.0	8
2022-09-10	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	40.7	1350	1389	23.86%	29.06%	47.08%	-0.67	-5.0	4
2022-09-10	Solin	W 2-1	47.6	1398	1372	45.50%	29.44%	25.06%	+0.61	+4.9	7
2022-09-10	@ Jarun	L 1-2	47.6	1372	1398	25.06%	29.44%	45.50%	-0.61	-4.9	5
2022-09-10	Vukovar	D 1-1	55.9	1357	1464	27.34%	29.99%	42.67%	-0.13	+0.5	7
2022-09-10	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	55.9	1464	1357	42.67%	29.99%	27.34%	+0.13	-0.5	9
2022-09-11	Rudes	W 2-1	54.9	1327	1473	23.29%	28.86%	47.85%	-0.34	+7.9	8
2022-09-11	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	54.9	1473	1327	47.85%	28.86%	23.29%	+0.34	-7.9	9
2022-09-17	Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	51.0	1464	1335	58.48%	24.86%	16.65%	+1.17	-9.8	9
2022-09-17	@ Vukovar	W 1-0	51.0	1335	1464	16.65%	24.86%	58.48%	-1.17	+9.8	11
2022-09-17	Dugopolje	W 2-1	48.2	1345	1358	40.09%	30.34%	29.57%	+0.39	+5.6	7
2022-09-17	@ Orijent	L 1-2	48.2	1358	1345	29.57%	30.34%	40.09%	-0.39	-5.6	7
2022-09-17	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-1	45.2	1367	1374	40.89%	30.25%	28.86%	+0.43	+9.5	8
2022-09-17	@ Solin	L 1-3	45.2	1374	1367	28.86%	30.25%	40.89%	-0.43	-9.5	5
2022-09-18	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-2	50.3	1403	1334	51.11%	27.86%	21.03%	+0.84	+3.9	10
2022-09-18	@ Jarun	L 2-3	50.3	1334	1403	21.03%	27.86%	51.11%	-0.84	-4.0	3
2022-09-18	Cibalia	L 0-2	42.8	1372	1394	38.81%	30.47%	30.72%	+0.34	-13.5	6
2022-09-18	@ Dubrava	W 2-0	42.8	1394	1372	30.72%	30.47%	38.81%	-0.34	+13.5	11
2022-09-18	Kustosija	W 1-0	41.3	1465	1382	52.91%	27.22%	19.87%	+0.92	+4.2	12
2022-09-18	@ Rudes	L 0-1	41.3	1382	1465	19.87%	27.22%	52.91%	-0.92	-4.2	6
2022-09-22	Vukovar	D 0-0	51.0	1377	1454	31.07%	30.50%	38.43%	+0.04	+0.3	7
2022-09-22	@ Kustosija	D 0-0	51.0	1454	1377	38.43%	30.50%	31.07%	-0.04	-0.3	10
2022-09-24	Dubrava	D 1-1	53.7	1352	1359	40.99%	30.24%	28.77%	+0.43	-0.4	8
2022-09-24	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.7	1359	1352	28.77%	30.24%	40.99%	-0.43	+0.4	7
2022-09-24	Jarun	W 1-0	43.8	1407	1407	41.86%	30.12%	28.02%	+0.46	+5.6	14
2022-09-24	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	43.8	1407	1407	28.02%	30.12%	41.86%	-0.46	-5.6	10
2022-09-24	Rudes	L 0-3	39.1	1364	1469	27.60%	30.04%	42.36%	-0.11	-15.3	5
2022-09-24	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-0	39.1	1469	1364	42.36%	30.04%	27.60%	+0.11	+15.3	15
2022-09-24	Solin	W 2-1	49.6	1330	1376	35.31%	30.64%	34.05%	+0.21	+6.2	6
2022-09-24	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	49.6	1376	1330	34.05%	30.64%	35.31%	-0.21	-6.2	8
2022-09-25	Orijent	D 2-2	59.4	1345	1351	41.03%	30.23%	28.74%	+0.43	-0.3	12
2022-09-25	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 2-2	59.4	1351	1345	28.74%	30.23%	41.03%	-0.43	+0.3	8
2022-09-30	Kustosija	W 1-0	43.2	1351	1378	38.13%	30.52%	31.35%	+0.32	+6.2	11
2022-09-30	@ Orijent	L 0-1	43.2	1378	1351	31.35%	30.52%	38.13%	-0.32	-6.2	7
2022-10-01	Cibalia	D 0-0	49.3	1336	1413	31.09%	30.50%	38.41%	+0.04	+0.3	7
2022-10-01	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	49.3	1413	1336	38.41%	30.50%	31.09%	-0.04	-0.3	15
2022-10-01	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	47.1	1359	1345	43.81%	29.79%	26.40%	+0.54	+5.1	10
2022-10-01	@ Dubrava	L 1-2	47.1	1345	1359	26.40%	29.79%	43.81%	-0.54	-5.1	12
2022-10-01	Dugopolje	W 2-0	37.2	1401	1352	48.55%	28.66%	22.78%	+0.74	+9.0	13
2022-10-01	@ Jarun	L 0-2	37.2	1352	1401	22.78%	28.66%	48.55%	-0.74	-9.0	8
2022-10-01	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 1-1	56.6	1454	1349	55.61%	26.14%	18.24%	+1.04	-1.4	11
2022-10-01	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	56.6	1349	1454	18.24%	26.14%	55.61%	-1.04	+1.4	6
2022-10-02	Rudes	W 1-0	49.4	1370	1484	26.52%	29.82%	43.66%	-0.17	+7.8	11
2022-10-02	@ Solin	L 0-1	49.4	1484	1370	43.66%	29.82%	26.52%	+0.17	-7.8	15
2022-10-07	Dubrava	W 1-0	41.9	1372	1364	42.88%	29.96%	27.16%	+0.50	+5.5	10
2022-10-07	@ Kustosija	L 0-1	41.9	1364	1372	27.16%	29.96%	42.88%	-0.50	-5.5	10
2022-10-07	Orijent	L 1-2	51.6	1350	1357	40.86%	30.25%	28.88%	+0.42	-7.0	6
2022-10-07	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-1	51.6	1357	1350	28.88%	30.25%	40.86%	-0.42	+7.0	14
2022-10-08	Solin	D 0-0	50.5	1413	1378	46.58%	29.19%	24.23%	+0.65	-0.9	16
2022-10-08	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	50.5	1378	1413	24.23%	29.19%	46.58%	-0.65	+0.9	12
2022-10-08	Vukovar	D 2-2	65.1	1476	1452	45.16%	29.52%	25.33%	+0.60	-0.5	16
2022-10-08	@ Rudes	D 2-2	65.1	1452	1476	25.33%	29.52%	45.16%	-0.60	+0.5	12
2022-10-09	Jarun	W 2-1	51.3	1340	1410	31.86%	30.56%	37.58%	+0.07	+6.6	15
2022-10-09	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	51.3	1410	1340	37.58%	30.56%	31.86%	-0.07	-6.6	13
2022-10-10	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	47.1	1343	1337	42.75%	29.98%	27.27%	+0.50	+5.2	11
2022-10-10	@ Dugopolje	L 1-2	47.1	1337	1343	27.27%	29.98%	42.75%	-0.50	-5.2	7
2022-10-15	Dugopolje	D 1-1	55.1	1412	1348	50.37%	28.11%	21.52%	+0.81	-1.1	17
2022-10-15	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	55.1	1348	1412	21.52%	28.11%	50.37%	-0.81	+1.1	12
2022-10-15	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 1-0	41.1	1359	1343	43.95%	29.76%	26.29%	+0.55	+5.4	13
2022-10-15	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	41.1	1343	1359	26.29%	29.76%	43.95%	-0.55	-5.4	6
2022-10-15	Kustosija	W 3-0	36.9	1404	1377	45.52%	29.44%	25.04%	+0.61	+14.1	16
2022-10-15	@ Jarun	L 0-3	36.9	1377	1404	25.04%	29.44%	45.52%	-0.61	-14.1	10
2022-10-15	Rudes	L 1-2	49.9	1364	1476	26.82%	29.89%	43.29%	-0.15	-5.2	14
2022-10-15	@ Orijent	W 2-1	49.9	1476	1364	43.29%	29.89%	26.82%	+0.15	+5.2	19
2022-10-15	Vukovar	W 1-0	47.4	1379	1453	31.42%	30.53%	38.06%	+0.05	+7.1	15
2022-10-15	@ Solin	L 0-1	47.4	1453	1379	38.06%	30.53%	31.42%	-0.05	-7.1	12
2022-10-16	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	36.9	1331	1346	39.75%	30.38%	29.86%	+0.38	+21.2	10
2022-10-16	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-4	36.9	1346	1331	29.86%	30.38%	39.75%	-0.38	-21.2	15
2022-10-21	Jarun	D 0-0	49.4	1338	1418	30.65%	30.46%	38.89%	+0.02	+0.3	7
2022-10-21	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 0-0	49.4	1418	1338	38.89%	30.46%	30.65%	-0.02	-0.3	17
2022-10-22	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 5-2	43.8	1363	1353	43.28%	29.89%	26.83%	+0.52	+10.9	13
2022-10-22	@ Kustosija	L 2-5	43.8	1353	1363	26.83%	29.89%	43.28%	-0.52	-10.9	10
2022-10-22	Dubrava	D 1-1	57.8	1481	1364	57.11%	25.49%	17.40%	+1.11	-1.5	20
2022-10-22	@ Rudes	D 1-1	57.8	1364	1481	17.40%	25.49%	57.11%	-1.11	+1.5	14
2022-10-22	Orijent	W 4-0	34.9	1446	1359	53.33%	27.06%	19.61%	+0.94	+14.8	15
2022-10-22	@ Vukovar	L 0-4	34.9	1359	1446	19.61%	27.06%	53.33%	-0.94	-14.8	14
2022-10-22	Solin	W 1-0	43.8	1349	1386	36.69%	30.60%	32.71%	+0.26	+6.4	15
2022-10-22	@ Dugopolje	L 0-1	43.8	1386	1349	32.71%	30.60%	36.69%	-0.26	-6.4	15
2022-10-23	Cibalia	L 0-2	39.6	1325	1411	29.94%	30.39%	39.67%	-0.01	-11.2	15
2022-10-23	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	39.6	1411	1325	39.67%	30.39%	29.94%	+0.01	+11.2	20
2022-10-28	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	41.6	1338	1342	41.39%	30.18%	28.43%	+0.45	+5.7	10
2022-10-28	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	L 0-1	41.6	1342	1338	28.43%	30.18%	41.39%	-0.45	-5.7	10
2022-10-28	Cibalia	D 2-2	61.0	1374	1422	35.05%	30.64%	34.31%	+0.20	-0.0	14
2022-10-28	@ Kustosija	D 2-2	61.0	1422	1374	34.31%	30.64%	35.05%	-0.20	+0.0	21
2022-10-29	Dubrava	W 1-0	40.3	1461	1365	54.41%	26.64%	18.95%	+0.99	+4.0	18
2022-10-29	@ Vukovar	L 0-1	40.3	1365	1461	18.95%	26.64%	54.41%	-0.99	-4.0	14
2022-10-29	Jarun	W 3-0	38.6	1480	1418	50.18%	28.17%	21.65%	+0.80	+12.5	23
2022-10-29	@ Rudes	L 0-3	38.6	1418	1480	21.65%	28.17%	50.18%	-0.80	-12.5	17
2022-10-29	Orijent	W 2-1	46.5	1380	1345	46.63%	29.18%	24.19%	+0.66	+4.7	18
2022-10-29	@ Solin	L 1-2	46.5	1345	1380	24.19%	29.18%	46.63%	-0.66	-4.7	14
2022-10-30	Dugopolje	L 0-2	40.6	1314	1356	35.93%	30.63%	33.45%	+0.23	-12.8	15
2022-10-30	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	40.6	1356	1314	33.45%	30.63%	35.93%	-0.23	+12.8	18
2022-11-05	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-1	45.5	1422	1344	52.22%	27.48%	20.31%	+0.89	+4.0	24
2022-11-05	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	45.5	1344	1422	20.31%	27.48%	52.22%	-0.89	-4.0	10
2022-11-05	Kustosija	W 1-0	42.6	1368	1374	41.10%	30.22%	28.68%	+0.43	+5.8	21
2022-11-05	@ Dugopolje	L 0-1	42.6	1374	1368	28.68%	30.22%	41.10%	-0.43	-5.8	14
2022-11-05	Orijent	W 5-0	36.3	1361	1340	44.83%	29.59%	25.58%	+0.58	+23.2	17
2022-11-05	@ Dubrava	L 0-5	36.3	1340	1361	25.58%	29.59%	44.83%	-0.58	-23.2	14
2022-11-05	Rudes	L 0-1	41.9	1336	1492	22.27%	28.45%	49.28%	-0.40	-4.7	10
2022-11-05	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	41.9	1492	1336	49.28%	28.45%	22.27%	+0.40	+4.7	26
2022-11-05	Vukovar	L 2-4	53.3	1405	1465	33.42%	30.62%	35.96%	+0.14	-9.4	17
2022-11-05	@ Jarun	W 4-2	53.3	1465	1405	35.96%	30.62%	33.42%	-0.14	+9.4	21
2022-11-06	Solin	L 0-1	42.3	1301	1384	30.23%	30.42%	39.35%	+0.00	-6.0	15
2022-11-06	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	42.3	1384	1301	39.35%	30.42%	30.23%	+0.00	+6.0	21
2022-11-11	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	44.2	1368	1295	51.61%	27.69%	20.70%	+0.87	+4.1	17
2022-11-11	@ Kustosija	L 1-2	44.2	1295	1368	20.70%	27.69%	51.61%	-0.87	-4.1	15
2022-11-12	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	57.3	1474	1331	60.17%	24.05%	15.78%	+1.25	-1.7	22
2022-11-12	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	57.3	1331	1474	15.78%	24.05%	60.17%	-1.25	+1.7	11
2022-11-12	Cibalia	W 4-0	38.9	1497	1426	51.33%	27.79%	20.88%	+0.85	+15.7	29
2022-11-12	@ Rudes	L 0-4	38.9	1426	1497	20.88%	27.79%	51.33%	-0.85	-15.7	24
2022-11-12	Dubrava	L 0-2	44.0	1390	1385	42.63%	30.00%	27.38%	+0.49	-14.5	21
2022-11-12	@ Solin	W 2-0	44.0	1385	1390	27.38%	30.00%	42.63%	-0.49	+14.5	20
2022-11-12	Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.6	1340	1374	37.02%	30.59%	32.39%	+0.27	-0.2	11
2022-11-12	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 1-1	53.6	1374	1340	32.39%	30.59%	37.02%	-0.27	+0.2	22
2022-11-12	Jarun	W 4-3	58.4	1317	1396	30.75%	30.47%	38.78%	+0.03	+6.2	17
2022-11-12	@ Orijent	L 3-4	58.4	1396	1317	38.78%	30.47%	30.75%	-0.03	-6.2	17
2022-11-18	Solin	L 2-3	57.3	1372	1376	41.34%	30.19%	28.47%	+0.44	-6.7	17
2022-11-18	@ Kustosija	W 3-2	57.3	1376	1372	28.47%	30.19%	41.34%	-0.44	+6.7	24
2022-11-19	Dubrava	W 3-2	54.5	1390	1399	40.51%	30.30%	29.19%	+0.41	+5.2	20
2022-11-19	@ Jarun	L 2-3	54.5	1399	1390	29.19%	30.30%	40.51%	-0.41	-5.2	20
2022-11-19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-1	45.7	1291	1340	34.91%	30.64%	34.45%	+0.19	+10.8	18
2022-11-19	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-3	45.7	1340	1291	34.45%	30.64%	34.91%	-0.19	-10.8	11
2022-11-19	Orijent	D 0-0	48.2	1333	1323	43.25%	29.89%	26.86%	+0.52	-0.7	12
2022-11-19	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	48.2	1323	1333	26.86%	29.89%	43.25%	-0.52	+0.7	18
2022-11-19	Rudes	D 0-0	53.0	1374	1512	24.00%	29.11%	46.89%	-0.30	+0.9	23
2022-11-19	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	53.0	1512	1374	46.89%	29.11%	24.00%	+0.30	-0.9	30
2022-11-19	Vukovar	D 2-2	63.3	1410	1472	33.03%	30.61%	36.36%	+0.12	+0.1	25
2022-11-19	@ Cibalia	D 2-2	63.3	1472	1410	36.36%	30.61%	33.03%	-0.12	-0.1	23
2022-11-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	48.1	1394	1332	50.14%	28.18%	21.68%	+0.80	-8.7	20
2022-11-26	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	48.1	1332	1394	21.68%	28.18%	50.14%	-0.80	+8.7	15
2022-11-26	Cibalia	W 3-1	48.4	1324	1410	29.79%	30.37%	39.84%	-0.01	+11.9	21
2022-11-26	@ Orijent	L 1-3	48.4	1410	1324	39.84%	30.37%	29.79%	+0.01	-11.9	25
2022-11-26	Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-1	38.6	1511	1302	67.70%	20.01%	12.29%	+1.62	+3.9	33
2022-11-26	@ Rudes	L 1-3	38.6	1302	1511	12.29%	20.01%	67.70%	-1.62	-4.0	18
2022-11-26	Dugopolje	D 0-0	52.6	1472	1375	54.63%	26.55%	18.82%	+1.00	-1.5	24
2022-11-26	@ Vukovar	D 0-0	52.6	1375	1472	18.82%	26.55%	54.63%	-1.00	+1.5	24
2022-11-26	Jarun	W 2-0	40.2	1382	1395	40.13%	30.34%	29.53%	+0.40	+11.1	27
2022-11-26	@ Solin	L 0-2	40.2	1395	1382	29.53%	30.34%	40.13%	-0.40	-11.1	20
2022-11-26	Kustosija	L 2-3	55.3	1329	1365	36.71%	30.60%	32.69%	+0.26	-6.2	11
2022-11-26	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-2	55.3	1365	1329	32.69%	30.60%	36.71%	-0.26	+6.1	20
2022-12-02	Rudes	L 0-2	40.8	1372	1515	23.43%	28.91%	47.66%	-0.33	-9.2	20
2022-12-02	@ Kustosija	W 2-0	40.8	1515	1372	47.66%	28.91%	23.43%	+0.33	+9.2	36
2022-12-02	Solin	D 3-3	63.2	1323	1394	31.88%	30.56%	37.56%	+0.07	+0.1	12
2022-12-02	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 3-3	63.2	1394	1323	37.56%	30.56%	31.88%	-0.07	-0.1	28
2022-12-03	Dubrava	W 1-0	42.6	1398	1385	43.65%	29.82%	26.53%	+0.54	+5.4	28
2022-12-03	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	42.6	1385	1398	26.53%	29.82%	43.65%	-0.54	-5.4	20
2022-12-03	Jarun	W 2-1	49.8	1341	1384	35.81%	30.63%	33.57%	+0.23	+6.1	18
2022-12-03	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	49.8	1384	1341	33.57%	30.63%	35.81%	-0.23	-6.1	20
2023-02-11	Orijent	D 1-1	54.1	1377	1335	47.48%	28.96%	23.56%	+0.69	-0.9	25
2023-02-11	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	54.1	1335	1377	23.56%	28.96%	47.48%	-0.69	+0.9	22
2023-02-12	Vukovar	L 1-2	45.8	1298	1471	20.79%	27.74%	51.47%	-0.49	-4.1	18
2023-02-12	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	45.8	1471	1298	51.47%	27.74%	20.79%	+0.49	+4.1	27
2023-02-17	Cibalia	D 0-0	49.9	1378	1404	38.17%	30.52%	31.31%	+0.32	-0.3	21
2023-02-17	@ Jarun	D 0-0	49.9	1404	1378	31.31%	30.52%	38.17%	-0.32	+0.3	29
2023-02-18	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-3	42.9	1393	1347	48.15%	28.78%	23.08%	+0.72	-23.0	28
2023-02-18	@ Solin	W 3-0	42.9	1347	1393	23.08%	28.78%	48.15%	-0.72	+23.0	21
2023-02-18	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	48.3	1336	1294	47.66%	28.91%	23.43%	+0.70	-1.0	23
2023-02-18	@ Orijent	D 0-0	48.3	1294	1336	23.43%	28.91%	47.66%	-0.70	+1.0	19
2023-02-18	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-0	32.1	1525	1323	66.81%	20.52%	12.67%	+1.57	+6.9	39
2023-02-18	@ Rudes	L 0-3	32.1	1323	1525	12.67%	20.52%	66.81%	-1.57	-6.9	12
2023-02-18	Kustosija	W 3-0	34.9	1475	1362	56.54%	25.75%	17.72%	+1.08	+10.2	30
2023-02-18	@ Vukovar	L 0-3	34.9	1362	1475	17.72%	25.75%	56.54%	-1.08	-10.2	20
2023-02-19	Dugopolje	W 2-0	39.1	1380	1376	42.38%	30.04%	27.58%	+0.48	+10.5	23
2023-02-19	@ Dubrava	L 0-2	39.1	1376	1380	27.58%	30.04%	42.38%	-0.48	-10.5	25
2023-02-24	Vukovar	L 0-1	40.8	1316	1485	21.14%	27.92%	50.94%	-0.47	-4.5	12
2023-02-24	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 1-0	40.8	1485	1316	50.94%	27.92%	21.14%	+0.47	+4.4	33
2023-02-25	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 4-0	36.3	1404	1370	46.48%	29.21%	24.31%	+0.65	+18.0	32
2023-02-25	@ Cibalia	L 0-4	36.3	1370	1404	24.31%	29.21%	46.48%	-0.65	-18.0	21
2023-02-25	Jarun	D 0-0	49.2	1365	1377	40.18%	30.33%	29.48%	+0.40	-0.4	26
2023-02-25	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	49.2	1377	1365	29.48%	30.33%	40.18%	-0.40	+0.4	22
2023-02-25	Solin	W 2-0	36.9	1531	1370	62.29%	22.98%	14.73%	+1.35	+5.7	42
2023-02-25	@ Rudes	L 0-2	36.9	1370	1531	14.73%	22.98%	62.29%	-1.35	-5.7	28
2023-03-03	Kustosija	W 5-2	43.1	1390	1352	47.05%	29.07%	23.88%	+0.67	+9.9	26
2023-03-03	@ Dubrava	L 2-5	43.1	1352	1390	23.88%	29.07%	47.05%	-0.67	-9.9	20
2023-03-04	Cibalia	L 0-1	45.0	1365	1422	33.72%	30.63%	35.64%	+0.15	-6.5	28
2023-03-04	@ Solin	W 1-0	45.0	1422	1365	35.64%	30.63%	33.72%	-0.15	+6.5	35
2023-03-04	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	44.0	1378	1295	52.90%	27.23%	19.88%	+0.92	+4.0	25
2023-03-04	@ Jarun	L 1-2	44.0	1295	1378	19.88%	27.23%	52.90%	-0.92	-3.9	19
2023-03-04	Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.7	1352	1365	40.04%	30.35%	29.61%	+0.39	-0.4	22
2023-03-04	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	53.7	1365	1352	29.61%	30.35%	40.04%	-0.39	+0.4	27
2023-03-04	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-0	36.9	1335	1312	45.09%	29.53%	25.38%	+0.59	+9.9	26
2023-03-04	@ Orijent	L 0-2	36.9	1312	1335	25.38%	29.53%	45.09%	-0.59	-9.9	12
2023-03-05	Rudes	W 2-0	49.6	1489	1537	35.09%	30.64%	34.27%	+0.20	+12.4	36
2023-03-05	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	49.6	1537	1489	34.27%	30.64%	35.09%	-0.20	-12.4	42
2023-03-08	Dubrava	W 2-0	42.8	1291	1400	27.04%	29.93%	43.03%	-0.14	+14.6	22
2023-03-08	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-2	42.8	1400	1291	43.03%	29.93%	27.04%	+0.14	-14.6	26
2023-03-08	Orijent	D 0-0	48.5	1342	1345	41.45%	30.18%	28.37%	+0.45	-0.5	21
2023-03-08	@ Kustosija	D 0-0	48.5	1345	1342	28.37%	30.18%	41.45%	-0.45	+0.5	27
2023-03-11	Cibalia	L 0-2	41.6	1365	1428	32.91%	30.61%	36.49%	+0.12	-12.0	27
2023-03-11	@ Dugopolje	W 2-0	41.6	1428	1365	36.49%	30.61%	32.91%	-0.12	+12.0	38
2023-03-11	Dubrava	D 1-1	53.3	1302	1386	30.16%	30.41%	39.43%	+0.00	+0.3	13
2023-03-11	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 1-1	53.3	1386	1302	39.43%	30.41%	30.16%	+0.00	-0.3	27
2023-03-11	Solin	W 4-0	34.3	1502	1358	60.26%	24.01%	15.73%	+1.25	+11.7	39
2023-03-11	@ Vukovar	L 0-4	34.3	1358	1502	15.73%	24.01%	60.26%	-1.25	-11.7	28
2023-03-12	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	39.9	1305	1352	35.26%	30.64%	34.10%	+0.21	+12.3	25
2023-03-12	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-2	39.9	1352	1305	34.10%	30.64%	35.26%	-0.21	-12.3	22
2023-03-12	Orijent	W 1-0	38.6	1525	1346	64.34%	21.89%	13.77%	+1.45	+2.8	45
2023-03-12	@ Rudes	L 0-1	38.6	1346	1525	13.77%	21.89%	64.34%	-1.45	-2.8	27
2023-03-13	Jarun	L 1-2	50.5	1342	1382	36.21%	30.62%	33.18%	+0.24	-6.4	21
2023-03-13	@ Kustosija	W 2-1	50.5	1382	1342	33.18%	30.62%	36.21%	-0.24	+6.4	28
2023-03-17	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	51.0	1440	1318	57.81%	25.18%	17.01%	+1.14	-1.8	39
2023-03-17	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	51.0	1318	1440	17.01%	25.18%	57.81%	-1.14	+1.8	26
2023-03-18	Kustosija	L 0-1	45.7	1339	1335	42.41%	30.03%	27.56%	+0.49	-7.7	22
2023-03-18	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	45.7	1335	1339	27.56%	30.03%	42.41%	-0.49	+7.7	24
2023-03-18	Rudes	D 1-1	58.9	1385	1528	23.58%	28.97%	47.45%	-0.32	+0.9	28
2023-03-18	@ Dubrava	D 1-1	58.9	1528	1385	47.45%	28.97%	23.58%	+0.32	-0.9	46
2023-03-18	Vukovar	D 0-0	52.5	1343	1514	20.99%	27.84%	51.16%	-0.48	+1.3	28
2023-03-18	@ Orijent	D 0-0	52.5	1514	1343	51.16%	27.84%	20.99%	+0.48	-1.3	40
2023-03-19	Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.5	1347	1353	40.91%	30.25%	28.84%	+0.43	-0.4	29
2023-03-19	@ Solin	D 1-1	53.5	1353	1347	28.84%	30.25%	40.91%	-0.43	+0.4	28
2023-03-19	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	L 1-5	46.7	1388	1302	53.25%	27.09%	19.66%	+0.94	-27.1	28
2023-03-19	@ Jarun	W 5-1	46.7	1302	1388	19.66%	27.09%	53.25%	-0.94	+27.1	16
2023-03-24	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	51.0	1439	1319	57.38%	25.37%	17.25%	+1.12	-1.7	40
2023-03-24	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	51.0	1319	1439	17.25%	25.37%	57.38%	-1.12	+1.7	27
2023-03-25	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	53.7	1386	1332	49.21%	28.47%	22.32%	+0.76	-8.1	28
2023-03-25	@ Dubrava	W 2-1	53.7	1332	1386	22.32%	28.47%	49.21%	-0.76	+8.1	25
2023-03-25	Jarun	W 4-1	39.5	1512	1361	61.15%	23.56%	15.29%	+1.30	+7.3	43
2023-03-25	@ Vukovar	L 1-4	39.5	1361	1512	15.29%	23.56%	61.15%	-1.30	-7.3	28
2023-03-26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	L 1-2	52.4	1354	1329	45.21%	29.51%	25.28%	+0.60	-7.6	28
2023-03-26	@ Dugopolje	W 2-1	52.4	1329	1354	25.28%	29.51%	45.21%	-0.60	+7.6	19
2023-03-26	Kustosija	L 0-1	45.8	1346	1343	42.29%	30.05%	27.66%	+0.48	-7.6	29
2023-03-26	@ Solin	W 1-0	45.8	1343	1346	27.66%	30.05%	42.29%	-0.48	+7.6	27
2023-03-26	Orijent	W 3-1	41.1	1527	1344	64.72%	21.68%	13.60%	+1.47	+4.5	49
2023-03-26	@ Rudes	L 1-3	41.1	1344	1527	13.60%	21.68%	64.72%	-1.47	-4.5	28
2023-03-31	Cibalia	D 1-1	55.0	1351	1437	29.83%	30.38%	39.79%	-0.01	+0.4	28
2023-03-31	@ Kustosija	D 1-1	55.0	1437	1351	39.79%	30.38%	29.83%	+0.01	-0.3	41
2023-03-31	Dubrava	L 0-1	44.5	1337	1378	36.00%	30.62%	33.37%	+0.24	-6.8	19
2023-03-31	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 1-0	44.5	1378	1337	33.37%	30.62%	36.00%	-0.24	+6.8	31
2023-04-01	Orijent	D 2-2	59.3	1346	1340	42.75%	29.98%	27.27%	+0.50	-0.4	29
2023-04-01	@ Dugopolje	D 2-2	59.3	1340	1346	27.27%	29.98%	42.75%	-0.50	+0.4	29
2023-04-01	Solin	W 6-0	37.6	1340	1339	42.03%	30.09%	27.88%	+0.47	+29.5	28
2023-04-01	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-6	37.6	1339	1340	27.88%	30.09%	42.03%	-0.47	-29.5	29
2023-04-02	Vukovar	W 2-1	57.3	1321	1520	18.79%	26.53%	54.69%	-0.63	+8.7	30
2023-04-02	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	57.3	1520	1321	54.69%	26.53%	18.79%	+0.63	-8.7	43
2023-04-03	Rudes	L 0-1	42.7	1354	1531	20.42%	27.54%	52.04%	-0.51	-4.3	28
2023-04-03	@ Jarun	W 1-0	42.7	1531	1354	52.04%	27.54%	20.42%	+0.51	+4.3	52
2023-04-06	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	51.2	1437	1369	50.88%	27.94%	21.18%	+0.83	-1.2	42
2023-04-06	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	51.2	1369	1437	21.18%	27.94%	50.88%	-0.83	+1.2	29
2023-04-06	Dugopolje	D 1-1	54.3	1385	1346	47.19%	29.04%	23.78%	+0.68	-0.9	32
2023-04-06	@ Dubrava	D 1-1	54.3	1346	1385	23.78%	29.04%	47.19%	-0.68	+0.9	30
2023-04-07	Kustosija	W 2-0	35.7	1511	1351	62.15%	23.05%	14.80%	+1.34	+5.7	46
2023-04-07	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	35.7	1351	1511	14.80%	23.05%	62.15%	-1.34	-5.7	28
2023-04-08	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-1	37.5	1535	1330	67.26%	20.26%	12.48%	+1.60	+5.7	55
2023-04-08	@ Rudes	L 1-4	37.5	1330	1535	12.48%	20.26%	67.26%	-1.60	-5.7	30
2023-04-08	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-0	36.9	1309	1330	38.90%	30.46%	30.64%	+0.35	+16.6	32
2023-04-08	@ Solin	L 0-3	36.9	1330	1309	30.64%	30.46%	38.90%	-0.35	-16.6	19
2023-04-08	Jarun	W 4-0	36.8	1340	1349	40.54%	30.29%	29.16%	+0.41	+20.9	32
2023-04-08	@ Orijent	L 0-4	36.8	1349	1340	29.16%	30.29%	40.54%	-0.41	-20.9	28
2023-04-14	Rudes	W 2-1	58.5	1345	1541	18.98%	26.66%	54.37%	-0.62	+8.7	31
2023-04-14	@ Kustosija	L 1-2	58.5	1541	1345	54.37%	26.66%	18.98%	+0.62	-8.7	55
2023-04-15	Cibalia	L 0-2	38.3	1313	1435	25.67%	29.61%	44.72%	-0.21	-9.9	19
2023-04-15	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-0	38.3	1435	1313	44.72%	29.61%	25.67%	+0.21	+9.9	45
2023-04-15	Vukovar	W 2-1	57.3	1371	1517	23.22%	28.83%	47.94%	-0.34	+7.9	32
2023-04-15	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	57.3	1517	1371	47.94%	28.83%	23.22%	+0.34	-7.9	46
2023-04-16	Jarun	W 1-0	41.4	1324	1329	41.22%	30.21%	28.57%	+0.44	+5.7	33
2023-04-16	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	41.4	1329	1324	28.57%	30.21%	41.22%	-0.44	-5.7	28
2023-04-16	Solin	L 0-4	41.0	1347	1326	44.75%	29.61%	25.65%	+0.58	-28.5	30
2023-04-16	@ Dugopolje	W 4-0	41.0	1326	1347	25.65%	29.61%	44.75%	-0.58	+28.5	35
2023-04-17	Orijent	L 0-3	42.3	1384	1361	45.03%	29.55%	25.42%	+0.59	-21.9	32
2023-04-17	@ Dubrava	W 3-0	42.3	1361	1384	25.42%	29.55%	45.03%	-0.59	+21.9	35
2023-04-22	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	40.7	1532	1378	61.48%	23.40%	15.13%	+1.31	+3.1	58
2023-04-22	@ Rudes	L 0-1	40.7	1378	1532	15.13%	23.40%	61.48%	-1.31	-3.1	32
2023-04-22	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	36.5	1383	1330	49.02%	28.53%	22.45%	+0.76	+8.9	38
2023-04-22	@ Orijent	L 0-2	36.5	1330	1383	22.45%	28.53%	49.02%	-0.76	-8.9	33
2023-04-22	Dugopolje	D 0-0	51.2	1445	1318	58.32%	24.94%	16.74%	+1.16	-1.8	46
2023-04-22	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	51.2	1318	1445	16.74%	24.94%	58.32%	-1.16	+1.8	31
2023-04-22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-1	38.7	1509	1304	67.19%	20.30%	12.51%	+1.59	+4.0	49
2023-04-22	@ Vukovar	L 1-3	38.7	1304	1509	12.51%	20.30%	67.19%	-1.59	-4.0	19
2023-04-23	Dubrava	W 4-0	37.1	1354	1362	40.71%	30.27%	29.02%	+0.42	+20.8	38
2023-04-23	@ Solin	L 0-4	37.1	1362	1354	29.02%	30.27%	40.71%	-0.42	-20.8	32
2023-04-24	Kustosija	W 2-1	48.6	1323	1354	37.46%	30.56%	31.97%	+0.29	+5.9	31
2023-04-24	@ Jarun	L 1-2	48.6	1354	1323	31.97%	30.56%	37.46%	-0.29	-5.9	31
2023-04-28	Cibalia	W 2-0	44.0	1341	1444	27.91%	30.10%	41.99%	-0.10	+14.3	35
2023-04-28	@ Dubrava	L 0-2	44.0	1444	1341	41.99%	30.10%	27.91%	+0.10	-14.3	46
2023-04-28	Rudes	D 2-2	63.8	1300	1536	16.25%	24.50%	59.25%	-0.84	+1.2	20
2023-04-28	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 2-2	63.8	1536	1300	59.25%	24.50%	16.25%	+0.84	-1.2	59
2023-04-29	Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	52.3	1348	1321	45.56%	29.43%	25.01%	+0.61	-7.6	31
2023-04-29	@ Kustosija	W 2-1	52.3	1321	1348	25.01%	29.43%	45.56%	-0.61	+7.6	36
2023-04-29	Jarun	L 1-2	53.3	1375	1329	48.18%	28.77%	23.05%	+0.72	-7.9	32
2023-04-29	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	53.3	1329	1375	23.05%	28.77%	48.18%	-0.72	+7.9	34
2023-04-29	Vukovar	L 0-1	40.6	1320	1513	19.22%	26.82%	53.96%	-0.60	-4.0	31
2023-04-29	@ Dugopolje	W 1-0	40.6	1513	1320	53.96%	26.82%	19.22%	+0.60	+4.0	52
2023-05-01	Orijent	D 3-3	64.1	1375	1392	39.49%	30.41%	30.11%	+0.37	-0.2	39
2023-05-01	@ Solin	D 3-3	64.1	1392	1375	30.11%	30.41%	39.49%	-0.37	+0.2	39
2023-05-05	Kustosija	W 2-0	36.8	1392	1340	48.81%	28.59%	22.60%	+0.75	+8.9	42
2023-05-05	@ Orijent	L 0-2	36.8	1340	1392	22.60%	28.59%	48.81%	-0.75	-8.9	31
2023-05-06	Dubrava	D 1-1	59.4	1517	1356	62.28%	22.98%	14.74%	+1.35	-1.9	53
2023-05-06	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	59.4	1356	1517	14.74%	22.98%	62.28%	-1.35	+1.9	36
2023-05-06	Dugopolje	D 1-1	59.8	1534	1316	68.61%	19.49%	11.90%	+1.67	-2.2	60
2023-05-06	@ Rudes	D 1-1	59.8	1316	1534	11.90%	19.49%	68.61%	-1.67	+2.2	32
2023-05-06	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-2	50.4	1337	1301	46.75%	29.15%	24.10%	+0.66	+4.5	37
2023-05-06	@ Jarun	L 2-3	50.4	1301	1337	24.10%	29.15%	46.75%	-0.66	-4.5	20
2023-05-06	Solin	W 3-1	43.9	1429	1375	49.22%	28.47%	22.31%	+0.76	+7.6	49
2023-05-06	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	43.9	1375	1429	22.31%	28.47%	49.22%	-0.76	-7.6	39
2023-05-07	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	40.0	1329	1367	36.36%	30.61%	33.03%	+0.25	+12.1	39
2023-05-07	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-2	40.0	1367	1329	33.03%	30.61%	36.36%	-0.25	-12.0	32
2023-05-12	Croatia Zmijavci	D 2-2	58.7	1296	1341	35.57%	30.63%	33.80%	+0.22	-0.0	21
2023-05-12	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 2-2	58.7	1341	1296	33.80%	30.63%	35.57%	-0.22	+0.0	40
2023-05-12	Jarun	W 1-0	42.2	1318	1341	38.62%	30.48%	30.89%	+0.34	+6.1	35
2023-05-12	@ Dugopolje	L 0-1	42.2	1341	1318	30.89%	30.48%	38.62%	-0.34	-6.1	37
2023-05-13	Kustosija	W 1-0	40.6	1355	1332	45.12%	29.53%	25.35%	+0.59	+5.2	35
2023-05-13	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	40.6	1332	1355	25.35%	29.53%	45.12%	-0.59	-5.2	31
2023-05-13	Orijent	W 3-2	53.8	1437	1401	46.77%	29.14%	24.09%	+0.66	+4.5	52
2023-05-13	@ Cibalia	L 2-3	53.8	1401	1437	24.09%	29.14%	46.77%	-0.66	-4.5	42
2023-05-13	Rudes	L 0-4	37.8	1358	1532	20.66%	27.67%	51.66%	-0.50	-15.6	36
2023-05-13	@ Dubrava	W 4-0	37.8	1532	1358	51.66%	27.67%	20.66%	+0.50	+15.6	63
2023-05-15	Vukovar	L 2-5	46.0	1367	1515	23.04%	28.77%	48.19%	-0.35	-9.6	39
2023-05-15	@ Solin	W 5-2	46.0	1515	1367	48.19%	28.77%	23.04%	+0.35	+9.6	56
2023-05-20	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	47.9	1396	1361	46.73%	29.15%	24.12%	+0.66	-8.2	42
2023-05-20	@ Orijent	W 1-0	47.9	1361	1396	24.12%	29.15%	46.73%	-0.66	+8.2	38
2023-05-20	Cibalia	D 1-1	61.3	1524	1441	52.89%	27.23%	19.88%	+0.92	-1.2	57
2023-05-20	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	61.3	1441	1524	19.88%	27.23%	52.89%	-0.92	+1.2	53
2023-05-20	Solin	L 1-2	60.9	1548	1357	65.58%	21.21%	13.21%	+1.51	-10.0	63
2023-05-20	@ Rudes	W 2-1	60.9	1357	1548	13.21%	21.21%	65.58%	-1.51	+10.0	42
2023-05-21	Dubrava	W 1-0	41.7	1335	1342	40.87%	30.25%	28.87%	+0.42	+5.8	40
2023-05-21	@ Jarun	L 0-1	41.7	1342	1335	28.87%	30.25%	40.87%	-0.42	-5.8	36
2023-05-21	Dugopolje	L 1-2	51.9	1341	1324	44.12%	29.73%	26.15%	+0.55	-7.4	40
2023-05-21	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	51.9	1324	1341	26.15%	29.73%	44.12%	-0.55	+7.4	38
2023-05-22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 3-0	34.6	1326	1296	45.97%	29.34%	24.69%	+0.63	+14.0	34
2023-05-22	@ Kustosija	L 0-3	34.6	1296	1326	24.69%	29.34%	45.97%	-0.63	-14.0	21
2023-05-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-2	38.5	1282	1369	29.81%	30.37%	39.82%	-0.01	-11.2	21
2023-05-26	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	W 2-0	38.5	1369	1282	39.82%	30.37%	29.81%	+0.01	+11.2	41
2023-05-27	Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	41.2	1336	1333	42.26%	30.06%	27.68%	+0.48	+5.6	39
2023-05-27	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	41.2	1333	1336	27.68%	30.06%	42.26%	-0.48	-5.6	40
2023-05-27	Kustosija	W 2-0	38.5	1332	1340	40.64%	30.28%	29.08%	+0.42	+11.0	41
2023-05-27	@ Dugopolje	L 0-2	38.5	1340	1332	29.08%	30.28%	40.64%	-0.42	-11.0	34
2023-05-27	Orijent	W 2-0	38.1	1523	1388	59.26%	24.50%	16.25%	+1.21	+6.4	60
2023-05-27	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	38.1	1388	1523	16.25%	24.50%	59.26%	-1.21	-6.4	42
2023-05-28	Jarun	D 2-2	59.8	1367	1341	45.49%	29.44%	25.06%	+0.61	-0.6	43
2023-05-28	@ Solin	D 2-2	59.8	1341	1367	25.06%	29.44%	45.49%	-0.61	+0.6	41
2023-05-28	Rudes	D 1-1	60.9	1443	1538	28.75%	30.23%	41.02%	-0.06	+0.4	54
2023-05-28	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	60.9	1538	1443	41.02%	30.23%	28.75%	+0.06	-0.4	64
2023-06-02	Cibalia	W 2-1	53.2	1341	1443	27.97%	30.11%	41.93%	-0.10	+7.1	44
2023-06-02	@ Jarun	L 1-2	53.2	1443	1341	41.93%	30.11%	27.97%	+0.10	-7.1	54
2023-06-02	Vukovar	L 1-2	62.6	1537	1530	42.91%	29.95%	27.14%	+0.51	-7.3	64
2023-06-02	@ Rudes	W 2-1	62.6	1530	1537	27.14%	29.95%	42.91%	-0.51	+7.3	63
2023-06-03	Dubrava	L 0-1	45.1	1329	1342	40.10%	30.34%	29.56%	+0.39	-7.3	34
2023-06-03	@ Kustosija	W 1-0	45.1	1342	1329	29.56%	30.34%	40.10%	-0.39	+7.3	42
2023-06-03	Dugopolje	W 3-1	43.1	1380	1343	46.94%	29.10%	23.96%	+0.67	+8.1	44
2023-06-03	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-3	43.1	1343	1380	23.96%	29.10%	46.94%	-0.67	-8.1	41
2023-06-03	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	D 2-2	60.2	1382	1271	56.32%	25.84%	17.84%	+1.07	-1.1	43
2023-06-03	@ Orijent	D 2-2	60.2	1271	1382	17.84%	25.84%	56.32%	-1.07	+1.1	22
2023-06-03	Solin	W 3-0	38.3	1328	1367	36.31%	30.61%	33.07%	+0.25	+17.5	43
2023-06-03	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-3	38.3	1367	1328	33.07%	30.61%	36.31%	-0.25	-17.5	43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-05-20	13.21%	Solin	1357	2	@ Rudes	1548	1
2	2022-09-17	16.65%	Croatia Zmijavci	1335	1	@ Vukovar	1464	0
3	2023-04-02	18.79%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1321	2	Vukovar	1520	1
4	2023-04-14	18.98%	@ Kustosija	1345	2	Rudes	1541	1
5	2023-03-19	19.66%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1302	5	@ Jarun	1388	1
6	2022-11-26	21.68%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1332	1	@ Dubrava	1394	0
7	2022-08-19	22.32%	Dugopolje	1335	4	@ Kustosija	1390	1
8	2023-03-25	22.32%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1332	2	@ Dubrava	1386	1
9	2023-04-29	23.05%	Jarun	1329	2	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1375	1
10	2023-02-18	23.08%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1347	3	@ Solin	1393	0
11	2023-04-15	23.22%	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1371	2	Vukovar	1517	1
12	2022-09-11	23.29%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1327	2	Rudes	1473	1
13	2023-05-20	24.12%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1361	1	@ Orijent	1396	0
14	2023-04-29	25.01%	Croatia Zmijavci	1321	2	@ Kustosija	1348	1
15	2023-03-26	25.28%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1329	2	@ Dugopolje	1354	1
16	2023-04-17	25.42%	Orijent	1361	3	@ Dubrava	1384	0
17	2023-04-16	25.65%	Solin	1326	4	@ Dugopolje	1347	0
18	2022-08-13	25.79%	Croatia Zmijavci	1330	2	@ Dugopolje	1350	0
19	2023-05-21	26.15%	Dugopolje	1324	2	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1341	1
20	2022-10-02	26.52%	@ Solin	1370	1	Rudes	1484	0
21	2023-03-08	27.04%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1291	2	Dubrava	1400	0
22	2023-06-02	27.14%	Vukovar	1530	2	@ Rudes	1537	1
23	2022-11-12	27.38%	Dubrava	1385	2	@ Solin	1390	0
24	2023-03-18	27.56%	Kustosija	1335	1	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1339	0
25	2023-03-26	27.66%	Kustosija	1343	1	@ Solin	1346	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-01	29.51	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	6	1340	42.03%	Solin	0	1339	27.88%	30.09%
2	2023-04-16	28.47	Solin	4	1326	25.65%	@ Dugopolje	0	1347	44.75%	29.61%
3	2023-03-19	27.09	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	5	1302	19.66%	@ Jarun	1	1388	53.25%	27.09%
4	2022-11-05	23.19	@ Dubrava	5	1361	44.83%	Orijent	0	1340	25.58%	29.59%
5	2023-02-18	23.04	BSK Bijelo Brdo	3	1347	23.08%	@ Solin	0	1393	48.15%	28.78%
6	2023-04-17	21.90	Orijent	3	1361	25.42%	@ Dubrava	0	1384	45.03%	29.55%
7	2022-10-16	21.25	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	4	1331	39.75%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1346	29.86%	30.38%
8	2023-04-08	20.87	@ Orijent	4	1340	40.54%	Jarun	0	1349	29.16%	30.29%
9	2023-04-23	20.79	@ Solin	4	1354	40.71%	Dubrava	0	1362	29.02%	30.27%
10	2022-08-19	19.76	Dugopolje	4	1335	22.32%	@ Kustosija	1	1390	49.21%	28.47%
11	2022-08-20	18.78	@ Solin	4	1367	44.89%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1345	25.53%	29.58%
12	2023-02-25	18.02	@ Cibalia	4	1404	46.48%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1370	24.31%	29.21%
13	2023-06-03	17.52	@ Croatia Zmijavci	3	1328	36.31%	Solin	0	1367	33.07%	30.61%
14	2023-04-08	16.58	@ Solin	3	1309	38.90%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1330	30.64%	30.46%
15	2022-11-12	15.72	@ Rudes	4	1497	51.33%	Cibalia	0	1426	20.88%	27.79%
16	2023-05-13	15.56	Rudes	4	1532	51.66%	@ Dubrava	0	1358	20.66%	27.67%
17	2022-09-24	15.31	Rudes	3	1469	42.36%	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1364	27.60%	30.04%
18	2022-08-13	14.96	Croatia Zmijavci	2	1330	25.79%	@ Dugopolje	0	1350	44.57%	29.64%
19	2022-10-22	14.78	@ Vukovar	4	1446	53.33%	Orijent	0	1359	19.61%	27.06%
20	2023-03-08	14.58	@ Croatia Zmijavci	2	1291	27.04%	Dubrava	0	1400	43.03%	29.93%
21	2022-11-12	14.47	Dubrava	2	1385	27.38%	@ Solin	0	1390	42.63%	30.00%
22	2023-04-28	14.31	@ Dubrava	2	1341	27.91%	Cibalia	0	1444	41.99%	30.10%
23	2022-10-15	14.15	@ Jarun	3	1404	45.52%	Kustosija	0	1377	25.04%	29.44%
24	2023-05-22	13.98	@ Kustosija	3	1326	45.97%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1296	24.69%	29.34%
25	2022-08-27	13.97	@ Dubrava	4	1365	38.92%	Solin	1	1386	30.62%	30.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-08	65.1	@ Rudes	2	1476	45.16%	Vukovar	2	1452	25.33%	29.52%
2	2023-05-01	64.1	@ Solin	3	1375	39.49%	Orijent	3	1392	30.11%	30.41%
3	2023-04-28	63.8	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2	1300	16.25%	Rudes	2	1536	59.25%	24.50%
4	2022-11-19	63.3	@ Cibalia	2	1410	33.03%	Vukovar	2	1472	36.36%	30.61%
5	2022-12-02	63.2	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3	1323	31.88%	Solin	3	1394	37.56%	30.56%
6	2023-06-02	62.6	Vukovar	2	1530	27.14%	@ Rudes	1	1537	42.91%	29.95%
7	2023-05-20	61.3	@ Vukovar	1	1524	52.89%	Cibalia	1	1441	19.88%	27.23%
8	2022-10-28	61.0	@ Kustosija	2	1374	35.05%	Cibalia	2	1422	34.31%	30.64%
9	2023-05-20	60.9	Solin	2	1357	13.21%	@ Rudes	1	1548	65.58%	21.21%
10	2023-05-28	60.9	@ Cibalia	1	1443	28.75%	Rudes	1	1538	41.02%	30.23%
11	2022-08-13	60.7	@ Cibalia	2	1386	41.33%	Kustosija	2	1389	28.47%	30.19%
12	2022-08-28	60.4	@ Jarun	2	1392	47.45%	Orijent	2	1350	23.58%	28.97%
13	2023-06-03	60.2	@ Orijent	2	1382	56.32%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2	1271	17.84%	25.84%
14	2023-05-06	59.8	@ Rudes	1	1534	68.61%	Dugopolje	1	1316	11.90%	19.49%
15	2023-05-28	59.8	@ Solin	2	1367	45.49%	Jarun	2	1341	25.06%	29.44%
16	2022-08-20	59.6	@ Orijent	2	1351	39.84%	Dubrava	2	1365	29.79%	30.37%
17	2022-09-25	59.4	@ Croatia Zmijavci	2	1345	41.03%	Orijent	2	1351	28.74%	30.23%
18	2023-05-06	59.4	@ Vukovar	1	1517	62.28%	Dubrava	1	1356	14.74%	22.98%
19	2023-04-01	59.3	@ Dugopolje	2	1346	42.75%	Orijent	2	1340	27.27%	29.98%
20	2023-03-18	58.9	@ Dubrava	1	1385	23.58%	Rudes	1	1528	47.45%	28.97%
21	2023-05-12	58.7	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2	1296	35.57%	Croatia Zmijavci	2	1341	33.80%	30.63%
22	2023-04-14	58.5	@ Kustosija	2	1345	18.98%	Rudes	1	1541	54.37%	26.66%
23	2022-11-12	58.4	@ Orijent	4	1317	30.75%	Jarun	3	1396	38.78%	30.47%
24	2022-10-22	57.8	@ Rudes	1	1481	57.11%	Dubrava	1	1364	17.40%	25.49%
25	2022-11-12	57.3	@ Vukovar	1	1474	60.17%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1	1331	15.78%	24.05%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-02-18	32.1	@ Rudes	3	1525	66.81%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1323	12.67%	20.52%
2	2023-03-11	34.3	@ Vukovar	4	1502	60.26%	Solin	0	1358	15.73%	24.01%
3	2023-05-22	34.6	@ Kustosija	3	1326	45.97%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1296	24.69%	29.34%
4	2022-10-22	34.9	@ Vukovar	4	1446	53.33%	Orijent	0	1359	19.61%	27.06%
5	2023-02-18	34.9	@ Vukovar	3	1475	56.54%	Kustosija	0	1362	17.72%	25.75%
6	2023-04-07	35.7	@ Vukovar	2	1511	62.15%	Kustosija	0	1351	14.80%	23.05%
7	2022-08-20	35.8	@ Solin	4	1367	44.89%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1345	25.53%	29.58%
8	2022-11-05	36.3	@ Dubrava	5	1361	44.83%	Orijent	0	1340	25.58%	29.59%
9	2023-02-25	36.3	@ Cibalia	4	1404	46.48%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1370	24.31%	29.21%
10	2023-04-22	36.5	@ Orijent	2	1383	49.02%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1330	22.45%	28.53%
11	2023-04-08	36.8	@ Orijent	4	1340	40.54%	Jarun	0	1349	29.16%	30.29%
12	2023-05-05	36.8	@ Orijent	2	1392	48.81%	Kustosija	0	1340	22.60%	28.59%
13	2022-10-15	36.9	@ Jarun	3	1404	45.52%	Kustosija	0	1377	25.04%	29.44%
14	2022-10-16	36.9	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	4	1331	39.75%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1346	29.86%	30.38%
15	2023-02-25	36.9	@ Rudes	2	1531	62.29%	Solin	0	1370	14.73%	22.98%
16	2023-03-04	36.9	@ Orijent	2	1335	45.09%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1312	25.38%	29.53%
17	2023-04-08	36.9	@ Solin	3	1309	38.90%	Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1330	30.64%	30.46%
18	2023-04-23	37.1	@ Solin	4	1354	40.71%	Dubrava	0	1362	29.02%	30.27%
19	2022-10-01	37.2	@ Jarun	2	1401	48.55%	Dugopolje	0	1352	22.78%	28.66%
20	2023-04-08	37.5	@ Rudes	4	1535	67.26%	Croatia Zmijavci	1	1330	12.48%	20.26%
21	2023-04-01	37.6	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	6	1340	42.03%	Solin	0	1339	27.88%	30.09%
22	2023-05-13	37.8	Rudes	4	1532	51.66%	@ Dubrava	0	1358	20.66%	27.67%
23	2023-05-27	38.1	@ Vukovar	2	1523	59.26%	Orijent	0	1388	16.25%	24.50%
24	2023-04-15	38.3	Cibalia	2	1435	44.72%	@ Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0	1313	25.67%	29.61%
25	2023-06-03	38.3	@ Croatia Zmijavci	3	1328	36.31%	Solin	0	1367	33.07%	30.61%