2023-24 Prva nogometna liga Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sibenik

22.41 points above expected

82 points · 59.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Solin

12.36 points below expected

24 points · 36.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sibenik	33	26	4	3	82	68	18	+50	59.59	+22.41
2	Zrinski Osjecko	33	26	3	4	81	53	18	+35	62.76	+18.24
3	Vukovar	33	16	10	7	58	56	36	+20	60.95	-2.95
4	Sesvete	33	12	6	15	42	36	41	-5	45.77	-3.77
5	Jarun	33	11	7	15	40	35	46	-11	39.35	+0.65
6	Dubrava	33	10	8	15	38	36	44	-8	39.74	-1.74
7	Cibalia	33	11	4	18	37	37	57	-20	42.31	-5.31
8	Dugopolje	33	8	13	12	37	38	45	-7	44.18	-7.18
9	Croatia Zmijavci	33	8	12	13	36	39	48	-9	39.41	-3.41
10	BSK Bijelo Brdo	33	7	13	13	34	30	44	-14	39.79	-5.79
11	Orijent	33	7	12	14	33	34	48	-14	36.82	-3.82
12	Solin	33	4	12	17	24	33	50	-17	36.36	-12.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sibenik	82	59.59	+22.41
2	Zrinski Osjecko	81	62.76	+18.24
3	Jarun	40	39.35	+0.65
4	Dubrava	38	39.74	-1.74
5	Vukovar	58	60.95	-2.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Solin	24	36.36	-12.36
2	Dugopolje	37	44.18	-7.18
3	BSK Bijelo Brdo	34	39.79	-5.79
4	Cibalia	37	42.31	-5.31
5	Orijent	33	36.82	-3.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sibenik	14	Mar 2 – Jun 2	1 in 1,289
2	Zrinski Osjecko	11	Oct 14 – Mar 1	1 in 695
3	Orijent	3	Sep 9 – Sep 23	1 in 47
4	BSK Bijelo Brdo	3	Mar 16 – Mar 28	1 in 30
5	Dubrava	3	Nov 18 – Dec 1	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cibalia	4	Oct 7 – Oct 29	1 in 90
2	Orijent	5	Oct 15 – Nov 11	1 in 65
3	Dubrava	4	Feb 16 – Mar 9	1 in 21
4	Dugopolje	3	Mar 1 – Mar 15	1 in 21
5	Sesvete	3	Aug 28 – Sep 8	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sesvete	10	Sep 16 – Nov 17	1 in 132
2	Zrinski Osjecko	15	Sep 23 – Mar 10	1 in 51
3	Sibenik	18	Nov 27 – Jun 2	1 in 47
4	Solin	6	Sep 22 – Oct 28	1 in 35
5	Orijent	7	Apr 21 – Jun 1	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Solin	15	Sep 10 – Feb 27	1 in 244
2	BSK Bijelo Brdo	12	Oct 11 – Mar 9	1 in 72
3	Orijent	12	Sep 30 – Feb 24	1 in 66
4	Dugopolje	8	Dec 2 – Mar 28	1 in 60
5	Croatia Zmijavci	10	Aug 12 – Oct 14	1 in 36

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Sibenik	1627	82	+46	15	9.8	+5.2
Zrinski Osjecko	1570	81	+5	12	9.4	+2.6
Vukovar	1517	58	-3	6	8.2	-2.2
Sesvete	1364	42	-17	6	5.4	+0.6
Jarun	1324	40	-8	3	5.2	-2.2
Dubrava	1358	38	+30	6	5.7	+0.3
Cibalia	1308	37	-2	7	6.2	+0.8
Dugopolje	1335	37	-8	4	6.3	-2.3
Croatia Zmijavci	1320	36	-12	7	6.8	+0.2
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1323	34	-35	7	6.8	+0.2
Orijent	1333	33	+9	7	6.8	+0.2
Solin	1284	24	-4	4	6.1	-2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BBB	CIB	CZ	DUB	DUG	JAR	ORI	SES	SIB	SOL	VUK	ZO
BSK Bijelo Brdo	—	2-1-0 4.03	0-2-1 4.01	0-1-2 4.04	1-2-0 3.94	1-2-0 3.88	0-2-1 4.40	2-0-1 3.54	0-0-3 2.81	1-2-0 4.07	0-1-2 2.33	0-0-3 2.29
Cibalia	0-1-2 4.24	—	1-0-2 4.33	2-1-0 4.26	2-0-1 3.75	1-1-1 4.60	2-1-0 4.67	0-0-3 3.79	0-0-3 2.75	3-0-0 4.60	0-0-3 2.88	0-0-3 2.70
Croatia Zmijavci	1-2-0 4.26	2-0-1 3.93	—	0-1-2 4.29	1-1-1 3.92	1-1-1 4.08	1-1-1 4.45	1-1-1 3.63	0-1-2 2.65	1-1-1 4.57	0-2-1 2.42	0-1-2 2.21
Dubrava	2-1-0 4.22	0-1-2 4.00	2-1-0 3.97	—	1-1-1 3.61	1-0-2 4.08	1-1-1 4.28	1-1-1 3.38	0-0-3 2.17	1-1-1 4.65	0-1-2 2.27	1-0-2 2.07
Dugopolje	0-2-1 4.33	1-0-2 4.51	1-1-1 4.34	1-1-1 4.67	—	3-0-0 4.32	1-1-1 4.82	1-1-1 4.13	0-2-1 2.76	0-3-0 5.12	0-1-2 2.73	0-1-2 2.44
Jarun	0-2-1 4.38	1-1-1 3.67	1-1-1 4.18	2-0-1 4.18	0-0-3 3.94	—	2-1-0 3.89	2-0-1 3.35	0-0-3 2.24	2-1-0 4.33	1-1-1 2.47	0-0-3 2.41
Orijent	1-2-0 3.86	0-1-2 3.60	1-1-1 3.81	1-1-1 3.99	1-1-1 3.45	0-1-2 4.37	—	1-2-0 3.04	1-0-2 2.20	0-2-1 4.28	0-1-2 2.55	1-0-2 2.14
Sesvete	1-0-2 4.72	3-0-0 4.48	1-1-1 4.63	1-1-1 4.89	1-1-1 4.13	1-0-2 4.92	0-2-1 5.24	—	1-0-2 2.87	2-0-1 5.08	1-0-2 2.82	0-1-2 2.48
Sibenik	3-0-0 5.49	3-0-0 5.56	2-1-0 5.66	3-0-0 6.19	1-2-0 5.54	3-0-0 6.12	2-0-1 6.16	2-0-1 5.43	—	3-0-0 5.83	2-1-0 4.15	2-0-1 3.81
Solin	0-2-1 4.19	0-0-3 3.67	1-1-1 3.70	1-1-1 3.62	0-3-0 3.15	0-1-2 3.94	1-2-0 3.98	1-0-2 3.21	0-0-3 2.51	—	0-2-1 2.14	0-0-3 2.26
Vukovar	2-1-0 6.01	3-0-0 5.42	1-2-0 5.91	2-1-0 6.06	2-1-0 5.57	1-1-1 5.86	2-1-0 5.78	2-0-1 5.48	0-1-2 4.13	1-2-0 6.21	—	0-0-3 3.89
Zrinski Osjecko	3-0-0 6.05	3-0-0 5.62	2-1-0 6.13	2-0-1 6.30	2-1-0 5.90	3-0-0 5.91	2-0-1 6.21	2-1-0 5.85	1-0-2 4.45	3-0-0 6.07	3-0-0 4.37	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+14.9
Allowed	0.89	-14.7
Differential	0.94	+8.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.58%	10.86%	5.30%	4.29%	2.02%	—	30.05%
1	10.86%	12.63%	7.07%	3.28%	1.26%	0.51%	35.61%
2	5.30%	7.07%	6.06%	1.01%	0.51%	0.51%	20.45%
3	4.29%	3.28%	1.01%	—	—	—	8.59%
4	2.02%	1.26%	0.51%	—	—	0.25%	4.04%
5+	—	0.51%	0.51%	—	0.25%	—	1.26%
Total	30.05%	35.61%	20.45%	8.59%	4.04%	1.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.25	+0.00
SD	1.17	1.17	1.75
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	39.39%
1	9.09%	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	39.39%	18.18%	15.15%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.33	-0.42
SD	0.88	1.11	1.37
CV	0.97	0.83	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.15%	12.12%	—	6.06%	—	33.33%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	39.39%
2	—	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
3	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.15%	39.39%	24.24%	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.73	-0.61
SD	1.11	1.40	2.00
CV	0.99	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	6.06%	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	42.42%
1	3.03%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	12.12%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	24.24%	36.36%	21.21%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.45	-0.27
SD	1.53	1.30	2.08
CV	1.29	0.89	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
1	6.06%	18.18%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	42.42%
2	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	48.48%	18.18%	12.12%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.33	-0.24
SD	1.01	1.02	1.58
CV	0.93	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	—	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	24.24%
1	3.03%	21.21%	18.18%	3.03%	6.06%	—	51.52%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	30.30%	21.21%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.36	-0.21
SD	1.03	1.27	1.83
CV	0.90	0.93	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	36.36%
1	15.15%	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	18.18%	36.36%	12.12%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.39	-0.33
SD	1.20	1.14	1.69
CV	1.13	0.82	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	21.21%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
1	9.09%	15.15%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	—	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	24.24%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	3.03%	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	42.42%	15.15%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.45	-0.42
SD	1.13	1.44	1.37
CV	1.10	0.99	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
1	15.15%	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	33.33%	21.21%	12.12%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.24	-0.15
SD	0.98	1.12	1.66
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
1	18.18%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	24.24%
2	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
3	21.21%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%	12.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	63.64%	27.27%	6.06%	—	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	0.55	+1.52
SD	1.25	1.00	1.46
CV	0.61	1.84	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	42.42%
1	—	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	—	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	18.18%
3	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	45.45%	24.24%	15.15%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.52	-0.52
SD	1.15	1.00	1.52
CV	1.15	0.66	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
1	9.09%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	6.06%	9.09%	15.15%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	45.45%	27.27%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	1.09	+0.61
SD	1.16	0.80	1.46
CV	0.68	0.74	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	—	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
1	33.33%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	12.12%	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	63.64%	21.21%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	0.55	+1.06
SD	1.14	0.83	1.52
CV	0.71	1.53	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sibenik	1627	82	59.59	+22.41	100.0%	41	46	54	60	65	72	81
Zrinski Osjecko	1570	81	62.76	+18.24	99.0%	48	51	57	63	67	74	82
Vukovar	1517	58	60.95	-2.95	36.0%	46	50	56	60	66	73	75
Sesvete	1364	42	45.77	-3.77	30.0%	27	32	41	46	51	57	62
Dubrava	1358	38	39.74	-1.74	44.0%	19	27	35	40	45	53	56
Dugopolje	1335	37	44.18	-7.18	15.0%	28	35	39	43	48	55	67
Orijent	1333	33	36.82	-3.82	30.0%	19	24	32	36	41	48	60
Jarun	1324	40	39.35	+0.65	59.0%	20	27	34	39	45	51	55
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1323	34	39.79	-5.79	27.0%	23	28	34	39	45	52	55
Croatia Zmijavci	1320	36	39.41	-3.41	36.0%	24	28	34	39	44	50	56
Cibalia	1308	37	42.31	-5.31	22.0%	26	30	39	42	46	51	60
Solin	1284	24	36.36	-12.36	4.0%	20	25	31	36	41	48	56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+9.09%

No Edge

41.41%26.26%32.32%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.

164 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.8

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Sibenik, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.03/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.46 * Wild Swing: 11.46 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.38 * Off: 2.38 to 3.18 * Way Off: 3.18 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

9.80 points

Lucky

07.1618

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

01.994

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Sibenik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Solin

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 114.46

2.49

Wide Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.84

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.49

Some Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Solid Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.29

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.49

Very Underconfident

0.3567321.001.64327

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.078

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Sibenik	25.00%	33.00%	25.00%	10.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Zrinski Osjecko	47.00%	27.00%	19.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Vukovar	26.00%	34.00%	27.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Sesvete	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	20.00%	23.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Jarun	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	16.00%	11.00%
Dubrava	—	—	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	14.00%	6.00%	13.00%	14.00%	10.00%	17.00%	7.00%
Cibalia	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	14.00%	20.00%	12.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Dugopolje	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	14.00%	14.00%	12.00%	20.00%	12.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	—
Croatia Zmijavci	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	13.00%	15.00%	11.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	13.00%
Orijent	—	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	13.00%	17.00%	14.00%	21.00%
Solin	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	8.00%	30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Zrinski Osjecko	47.00%	53.00%	—	—
Vukovar	26.00%	74.00%	—	—
Sibenik	25.00%	75.00%	—	—
Dugopolje	1.00%	93.00%	6.00%	—
Sesvete	1.00%	91.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Cibalia	—	88.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Dubrava	—	76.00%	17.00%	7.00%
Croatia Zmijavci	—	74.00%	15.00%	11.00%
Jarun	—	73.00%	16.00%	11.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	—	76.00%	11.00%	13.00%
Orijent	—	65.00%	14.00%	21.00%
Solin	—	62.00%	8.00%	30.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-08-11	Vukovar	W 3-0	43.5	1388	1476	29.99%	24.47%	45.53%	-0.34	+26.5	3
2023-08-11	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	43.5	1476	1388	45.53%	24.47%	29.99%	+0.34	-26.5	0
2023-08-12	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	51.2	1357	1381	38.52%	24.74%	36.73%	+0.04	-0.1	1
2023-08-12	@ Solin	D 0-0	51.2	1381	1357	36.73%	24.74%	38.52%	-0.04	+0.1	1
2023-08-12	Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	40.7	1412	1354	49.70%	24.08%	26.22%	+0.54	+6.2	3
2023-08-12	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	40.7	1354	1412	26.22%	24.08%	49.70%	-0.54	-6.2	0
2023-08-12	Dubrava	D 1-1	56.2	1377	1357	44.76%	24.52%	30.71%	+0.31	-0.6	1
2023-08-12	@ Orijent	D 1-1	56.2	1357	1377	30.71%	24.52%	44.76%	-0.31	+0.6	1
2023-08-12	Dugopolje	L 0-1	47.1	1398	1347	48.77%	24.18%	27.05%	+0.50	-10.2	0
2023-08-12	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	47.1	1347	1398	27.05%	24.18%	48.77%	-0.50	+10.2	3
2023-08-14	Jarun	W 2-0	36.5	1460	1356	55.24%	23.25%	21.51%	+0.82	+9.9	3
2023-08-14	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-2	36.5	1356	1460	21.51%	23.25%	55.24%	-0.82	-9.9	0
2023-08-18	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-2	54.9	1450	1470	39.18%	24.74%	36.08%	+0.07	-8.1	0
2023-08-18	@ Vukovar	W 2-1	54.9	1470	1450	36.08%	24.74%	39.18%	-0.07	+8.1	6
2023-08-19	Cibalia	D 1-1	56.9	1357	1418	33.47%	24.67%	41.86%	-0.18	+0.4	2
2023-08-19	@ Dubrava	D 1-1	56.9	1418	1357	41.86%	24.67%	33.47%	+0.18	-0.4	4
2023-08-19	Dugopolje	D 1-1	56.3	1382	1358	45.29%	24.49%	30.22%	+0.34	-0.7	2
2023-08-19	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	56.3	1358	1382	30.22%	24.49%	45.29%	-0.34	+0.7	4
2023-08-19	Sibenik	L 2-3	54.3	1357	1415	33.81%	24.68%	41.51%	-0.16	-6.9	1
2023-08-19	@ Solin	W 3-2	54.3	1415	1357	41.51%	24.68%	33.81%	+0.16	+6.9	6
2023-08-20	Sesvete	D 0-0	51.2	1348	1388	36.39%	24.74%	38.87%	-0.05	+0.1	1
2023-08-20	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	51.2	1388	1348	38.87%	24.74%	36.39%	+0.05	-0.1	1
2023-08-21	Orijent	W 4-2	49.6	1346	1376	37.80%	24.75%	37.45%	+0.01	+12.1	3
2023-08-21	@ Jarun	L 2-4	49.6	1376	1346	37.45%	24.75%	37.80%	-0.01	-12.1	1
2023-08-25	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	55.8	1358	1348	43.43%	24.60%	31.96%	+0.26	-0.5	5
2023-08-25	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	55.8	1348	1358	31.96%	24.60%	43.43%	-0.26	+0.5	2
2023-08-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-0	36.6	1422	1381	47.54%	24.31%	28.15%	+0.44	+18.2	9
2023-08-26	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	36.6	1381	1422	28.15%	24.31%	47.54%	-0.44	-18.2	2
2023-08-26	Jarun	W 3-1	43.3	1418	1358	49.90%	24.06%	26.05%	+0.55	+10.2	7
2023-08-26	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	43.3	1358	1418	26.05%	24.06%	49.90%	-0.55	-10.2	3
2023-08-26	Solin	W 3-0	34.1	1478	1350	57.98%	22.69%	19.33%	+0.97	+13.0	9
2023-08-26	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-3	34.1	1350	1478	19.33%	22.69%	57.98%	-0.97	-13.0	1
2023-08-26	Vukovar	L 0-1	43.1	1364	1442	31.27%	24.56%	44.17%	-0.28	-7.2	1
2023-08-26	@ Orijent	W 1-0	43.1	1442	1364	44.17%	24.56%	31.27%	+0.28	+7.2	3
2023-08-28	Dubrava	L 0-1	46.3	1387	1358	46.06%	24.43%	29.50%	+0.37	-9.8	1
2023-08-28	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	46.3	1358	1387	29.50%	24.43%	46.06%	-0.37	+9.8	5
2023-09-01	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	44.2	1440	1491	34.82%	24.71%	40.47%	-0.12	+24.1	12
2023-09-01	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	44.2	1491	1440	40.47%	24.71%	34.82%	+0.12	-24.1	9
2023-09-02	Cibalia	W 3-1	47.3	1449	1428	44.87%	24.52%	30.61%	+0.32	+11.6	6
2023-09-02	@ Vukovar	L 1-3	47.3	1428	1449	30.61%	24.52%	44.87%	-0.32	-11.6	7
2023-09-02	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	50.9	1363	1348	43.97%	24.57%	31.46%	+0.28	-0.6	3
2023-09-02	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	50.9	1348	1363	31.46%	24.57%	43.97%	-0.28	+0.6	3
2023-09-02	Orijent	W 4-1	42.3	1337	1357	39.20%	24.74%	36.06%	+0.07	+18.6	4
2023-09-02	@ Solin	L 1-4	42.3	1357	1337	36.06%	24.74%	39.20%	-0.07	-18.6	1
2023-09-02	Sesvete	W 2-0	40.0	1348	1378	37.87%	24.75%	37.39%	+0.01	+15.6	6
2023-09-02	@ Jarun	L 0-2	40.0	1378	1348	37.39%	24.75%	37.87%	-0.01	-15.6	1
2023-09-04	Dugopolje	L 1-3	47.8	1367	1358	43.35%	24.61%	32.04%	+0.25	-15.2	5
2023-09-04	@ Dubrava	W 3-1	47.8	1358	1367	32.04%	24.61%	43.35%	-0.25	+15.2	8
2023-09-08	Vukovar	L 1-2	48.7	1362	1460	28.69%	24.36%	46.95%	-0.41	-6.4	1
2023-09-08	@ Sesvete	W 2-1	48.7	1460	1362	46.95%	24.36%	28.69%	+0.41	+6.4	9
2023-09-09	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	40.3	1467	1362	55.37%	23.23%	21.41%	+0.83	+5.2	12
2023-09-09	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	40.3	1362	1467	21.41%	23.23%	55.37%	-0.83	-5.2	3
2023-09-09	Jarun	W 4-0	36.5	1373	1364	43.26%	24.61%	32.13%	+0.25	+26.4	11
2023-09-09	@ Dugopolje	L 0-4	36.5	1364	1373	32.13%	24.61%	43.26%	-0.25	-26.4	6
2023-09-09	Sibenik	W 5-4	62.8	1338	1464	25.51%	23.98%	50.50%	-0.57	+9.1	4
2023-09-09	@ Orijent	L 4-5	62.8	1464	1338	50.50%	23.98%	25.51%	+0.57	-9.1	12
2023-09-10	Dubrava	L 1-2	50.5	1349	1352	41.58%	24.68%	33.74%	+0.17	-8.5	3
2023-09-10	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	50.5	1352	1349	33.74%	24.68%	41.58%	-0.17	+8.5	8
2023-09-10	Solin	W 3-1	43.1	1416	1355	50.10%	24.03%	25.86%	+0.56	+10.1	10
2023-09-10	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	43.1	1355	1416	25.86%	24.03%	50.10%	-0.56	-10.1	4
2023-09-15	Dugopolje	W 3-0	37.3	1467	1399	50.90%	23.93%	25.16%	+0.60	+16.5	12
2023-09-15	@ Vukovar	L 0-3	37.3	1399	1467	25.16%	23.93%	50.90%	-0.60	-16.5	11
2023-09-15	Orijent	L 1-2	56.9	1472	1347	57.63%	22.77%	19.60%	+0.95	-11.2	12
2023-09-15	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-1	56.9	1347	1472	19.60%	22.77%	57.63%	-0.95	+11.2	7
2023-09-16	Croatia Zmijavci	W 5-2	43.7	1338	1341	41.58%	24.68%	33.74%	+0.17	+15.3	9
2023-09-16	@ Jarun	L 2-5	43.7	1341	1338	33.74%	24.68%	41.58%	-0.17	-15.3	3
2023-09-16	Dubrava	D 1-1	56.0	1357	1361	41.47%	24.69%	33.84%	+0.17	-0.3	4
2023-09-16	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	56.0	1361	1357	33.84%	24.69%	41.47%	-0.17	+0.3	9
2023-09-16	Sesvete	L 0-1	44.1	1345	1356	40.57%	24.71%	34.72%	+0.13	-8.8	4
2023-09-16	@ Solin	W 1-0	44.1	1356	1345	34.72%	24.71%	40.57%	-0.13	+8.8	4
2023-09-18	Cibalia	W 2-0	41.1	1455	1426	45.92%	24.44%	29.64%	+0.37	+13.0	15
2023-09-18	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	41.1	1426	1455	29.64%	24.44%	45.92%	-0.37	-13.0	10
2023-09-22	Solin	D 1-1	56.1	1383	1336	48.25%	24.24%	27.51%	+0.48	-0.9	12
2023-09-22	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	56.1	1336	1383	27.51%	24.24%	48.25%	-0.48	+0.9	5
2023-09-23	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	42.0	1358	1357	42.27%	24.66%	33.08%	+0.20	+7.6	10
2023-09-23	@ Orijent	L 0-1	42.0	1357	1358	33.08%	24.66%	42.27%	-0.20	-7.5	4
2023-09-23	Sibenik	W 1-0	48.6	1364	1468	28.06%	24.30%	47.64%	-0.44	+10.0	7
2023-09-23	@ Sesvete	L 0-1	48.6	1468	1364	47.64%	24.30%	28.06%	+0.44	-10.1	15
2023-09-23	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-4	45.8	1413	1461	35.29%	24.72%	39.98%	-0.10	-18.3	10
2023-09-23	@ Cibalia	W 4-1	45.8	1461	1413	39.98%	24.72%	35.29%	+0.10	+18.3	15
2023-09-24	Vukovar	D 2-2	64.1	1325	1483	22.23%	23.41%	54.36%	-0.77	+1.1	4
2023-09-24	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 2-2	64.1	1483	1325	54.36%	23.41%	22.23%	+0.77	-1.1	13
2023-09-25	Jarun	L 0-1	45.0	1361	1353	43.15%	24.62%	32.24%	+0.24	-9.3	9
2023-09-25	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	45.0	1353	1361	32.24%	24.62%	43.15%	-0.24	+9.3	12
2023-09-29	Sesvete	D 2-2	65.3	1479	1374	55.36%	23.23%	21.41%	+0.83	-1.2	16
2023-09-29	@ Zrinski Osjecko	D 2-2	65.3	1374	1479	21.41%	23.23%	55.36%	-0.83	+1.2	8
2023-09-30	Cibalia	L 0-3	38.8	1366	1395	37.89%	24.75%	37.36%	+0.02	-22.9	10
2023-09-30	@ Orijent	W 3-0	38.8	1395	1366	37.36%	24.75%	37.89%	-0.02	+23.0	13
2023-09-30	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	50.3	1337	1326	43.53%	24.60%	31.87%	+0.26	-0.6	6
2023-09-30	@ Solin	D 0-0	50.3	1326	1337	31.87%	24.60%	43.53%	-0.26	+0.6	5
2023-09-30	Dubrava	D 2-2	64.9	1482	1352	58.23%	22.63%	19.14%	+0.99	-1.4	14
2023-09-30	@ Vukovar	D 2-2	64.9	1352	1482	19.14%	22.63%	58.23%	-0.99	+1.4	10
2023-09-30	Jarun	D 0-0	50.8	1349	1362	40.16%	24.72%	35.12%	+0.11	-0.2	5
2023-09-30	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	50.8	1362	1349	35.12%	24.72%	40.16%	-0.11	+0.2	13
2023-10-02	Dugopolje	D 1-1	58.7	1458	1382	51.99%	23.78%	24.23%	+0.66	-1.3	16
2023-10-02	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	58.7	1382	1458	24.23%	23.78%	51.99%	-0.66	+1.3	13
2023-10-06	Orijent	D 1-1	56.1	1376	1343	46.47%	24.40%	29.13%	+0.39	-0.8	9
2023-10-06	@ Sesvete	D 1-1	56.1	1343	1376	29.13%	24.40%	46.47%	-0.39	+0.8	11
2023-10-07	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	48.1	1418	1349	51.14%	23.90%	24.96%	+0.61	-10.7	13
2023-10-07	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	48.1	1349	1418	24.96%	23.90%	51.14%	-0.61	+10.7	8
2023-10-07	Vukovar	L 0-3	37.0	1362	1481	26.37%	24.10%	49.53%	-0.53	-17.2	13
2023-10-07	@ Jarun	W 3-0	37.0	1481	1362	49.53%	24.10%	26.37%	+0.53	+17.2	17
2023-10-07	Zrinski Osjecko	D 0-0	54.1	1383	1478	29.12%	24.40%	46.48%	-0.38	+0.9	14
2023-10-07	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	54.1	1478	1383	46.48%	24.40%	29.12%	+0.38	-0.9	17
2023-10-08	Sibenik	D 0-0	52.3	1327	1457	25.11%	23.92%	50.97%	-0.60	+1.3	6
2023-10-08	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	52.3	1457	1327	50.97%	23.92%	25.11%	+0.60	-1.3	17
2023-10-09	Solin	D 1-1	55.6	1353	1337	44.27%	24.56%	31.18%	+0.29	-0.6	11
2023-10-09	@ Dubrava	D 1-1	55.6	1337	1353	31.18%	24.56%	44.27%	-0.29	+0.6	7
2023-10-11	Vukovar	L 1-3	44.6	1359	1498	24.18%	23.78%	52.04%	-0.65	-9.5	8
2023-10-11	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-1	44.6	1498	1359	52.04%	23.78%	24.18%	+0.65	+9.5	20
2023-10-14	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	32.8	1477	1328	60.20%	22.16%	17.65%	+1.10	+15.6	20
2023-10-14	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-4	32.8	1328	1477	17.65%	22.16%	60.20%	-1.10	-15.6	6
2023-10-14	Dubrava	W 4-1	39.5	1455	1353	55.15%	23.26%	21.58%	+0.82	+12.2	20
2023-10-14	@ Sibenik	L 1-4	39.5	1353	1455	21.58%	23.26%	55.15%	-0.82	-12.2	11
2023-10-14	Jarun	D 1-1	55.5	1337	1345	40.92%	24.70%	34.37%	+0.15	-0.3	8
2023-10-14	@ Solin	D 1-1	55.5	1345	1337	34.37%	24.70%	40.92%	-0.15	+0.3	14
2023-10-14	Sesvete	L 0-1	47.1	1407	1375	46.42%	24.40%	29.18%	+0.39	-9.8	13
2023-10-14	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	47.1	1375	1407	29.18%	24.40%	46.42%	-0.39	+9.8	12
2023-10-15	Dugopolje	L 1-2	49.3	1344	1384	36.29%	24.74%	38.97%	-0.05	-7.7	11
2023-10-15	@ Orijent	W 2-1	49.3	1384	1344	38.97%	24.74%	36.29%	+0.05	+7.7	17
2023-10-20	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	37.5	1385	1350	46.75%	24.38%	28.87%	+0.41	+12.8	15
2023-10-20	@ Sesvete	L 0-2	37.5	1350	1385	28.87%	24.38%	46.75%	-0.41	-12.8	8
2023-10-21	Cibalia	W 4-0	38.1	1392	1397	41.21%	24.69%	34.10%	+0.16	+27.7	20
2023-10-21	@ Dugopolje	L 0-4	38.1	1397	1392	34.10%	24.69%	41.21%	-0.16	-27.7	13
2023-10-21	Solin	D 2-2	65.5	1507	1337	62.39%	21.55%	16.05%	+1.23	-1.7	21
2023-10-21	@ Vukovar	D 2-2	65.5	1337	1507	16.05%	21.55%	62.39%	-1.23	+1.7	9
2023-10-21	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	41.0	1340	1493	22.78%	23.52%	53.70%	-0.73	-5.5	11
2023-10-21	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	41.0	1493	1340	53.70%	23.52%	22.78%	+0.73	+5.5	23
2023-10-22	Orijent	W 6-2	41.8	1313	1336	38.71%	24.74%	36.54%	+0.05	+20.6	9
2023-10-22	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 2-6	41.8	1336	1313	36.54%	24.74%	38.71%	-0.05	-20.6	11
2023-10-23	Sibenik	L 0-3	36.1	1345	1468	25.94%	24.04%	50.01%	-0.55	-17.0	14
2023-10-23	@ Jarun	W 3-0	36.1	1468	1345	50.01%	24.04%	25.94%	+0.55	+17.0	23
2023-10-27	Orijent	W 3-2	51.7	1335	1315	44.68%	24.53%	30.79%	+0.31	+6.4	14
2023-10-27	@ Dubrava	L 2-3	51.7	1315	1335	30.79%	24.53%	44.68%	-0.31	-6.4	11
2023-10-28	Sesvete	D 1-1	57.9	1419	1398	45.00%	24.51%	30.49%	+0.33	-0.6	21
2023-10-28	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	57.9	1398	1419	30.49%	24.51%	45.00%	-0.33	+0.7	16
2023-10-28	Sibenik	D 1-1	63.5	1506	1485	44.92%	24.51%	30.57%	+0.32	-0.6	22
2023-10-28	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	63.5	1485	1506	30.57%	24.51%	44.92%	-0.32	+0.6	24
2023-10-28	Solin	D 1-1	55.4	1337	1339	41.78%	24.67%	33.55%	+0.18	-0.4	9
2023-10-28	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	55.4	1339	1337	33.55%	24.67%	41.78%	-0.18	+0.4	10
2023-10-29	Cibalia	W 5-1	41.6	1333	1370	36.84%	24.75%	38.42%	-0.03	+25.2	12
2023-10-29	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-5	41.6	1370	1333	38.42%	24.75%	36.84%	+0.03	-25.2	13
2023-10-30	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	40.2	1329	1498	21.12%	23.16%	55.73%	-0.84	-5.2	14
2023-10-30	@ Jarun	W 1-0	40.2	1498	1329	55.73%	23.16%	21.12%	+0.84	+5.2	26
2023-11-03	Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	41.2	1398	1359	47.37%	24.32%	28.31%	+0.43	+6.7	19
2023-11-03	@ Sesvete	L 0-1	41.2	1359	1398	28.31%	24.32%	47.37%	-0.43	-6.7	12
2023-11-04	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	56.9	1419	1337	52.70%	23.68%	23.63%	+0.69	-1.4	22
2023-11-04	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	56.9	1337	1419	23.63%	23.68%	52.70%	-0.69	+1.3	10
2023-11-04	Dubrava	W 1-0	41.6	1345	1341	42.47%	24.65%	32.88%	+0.21	+7.5	16
2023-11-04	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	41.6	1341	1345	32.88%	24.65%	42.47%	-0.21	-7.5	14
2023-11-04	Jarun	L 0-1	43.2	1309	1323	40.01%	24.72%	35.27%	+0.11	-8.7	11
2023-11-04	@ Orijent	W 1-0	43.2	1323	1309	35.27%	24.72%	40.01%	-0.11	+8.7	17
2023-11-04	Vukovar	W 1-0	50.4	1503	1505	41.78%	24.67%	33.55%	+0.18	+7.6	29
2023-11-04	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	50.4	1505	1503	33.55%	24.67%	41.78%	-0.18	-7.6	22
2023-11-06	Solin	W 1-0	38.9	1485	1339	59.91%	22.23%	17.86%	+1.08	+4.4	27
2023-11-06	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	38.9	1339	1485	17.86%	22.23%	59.91%	-1.08	-4.4	10
2023-11-10	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-2	46.5	1335	1511	20.52%	23.01%	56.47%	-0.88	-4.8	10
2023-11-10	@ Solin	W 2-1	46.5	1511	1335	56.47%	23.01%	20.52%	+0.88	+4.8	32
2023-11-11	Orijent	W 2-0	33.2	1497	1300	64.99%	20.75%	14.27%	+1.39	+6.7	25
2023-11-11	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	33.2	1300	1497	14.27%	20.75%	64.99%	-1.39	-6.7	11
2023-11-11	Sesvete	L 0-2	38.6	1334	1405	32.11%	24.61%	43.28%	-0.24	-13.9	14
2023-11-11	@ Dubrava	W 2-0	38.6	1405	1334	43.28%	24.61%	32.11%	+0.24	+13.9	22
2023-11-11	Sibenik	L 0-1	40.8	1338	1490	22.86%	23.53%	53.61%	-0.73	-5.5	10
2023-11-11	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	40.8	1490	1338	53.61%	23.53%	22.86%	+0.73	+5.5	30
2023-11-12	Dugopolje	W 4-1	45.4	1352	1417	32.85%	24.65%	42.50%	-0.21	+21.1	15
2023-11-12	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-4	45.4	1417	1352	42.50%	24.65%	32.85%	+0.21	-21.2	22
2023-11-13	Cibalia	W 2-0	39.0	1332	1352	39.20%	24.74%	36.06%	+0.07	+15.2	20
2023-11-13	@ Jarun	L 0-2	39.0	1352	1332	36.06%	24.74%	39.20%	-0.07	-15.2	16
2023-11-17	Jarun	W 2-1	46.2	1419	1347	51.41%	23.86%	24.72%	+0.63	+5.6	25
2023-11-17	@ Sesvete	L 1-2	46.2	1347	1419	24.72%	23.86%	51.41%	-0.63	-5.6	20
2023-11-17	Vukovar	L 0-1	40.6	1337	1504	21.34%	23.21%	55.45%	-0.83	-5.2	16
2023-11-17	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	40.6	1504	1337	55.45%	23.21%	21.34%	+0.83	+5.2	28
2023-11-18	Dubrava	L 1-2	53.5	1396	1320	52.01%	23.78%	24.21%	+0.66	-10.2	22
2023-11-18	@ Dugopolje	W 2-1	53.5	1320	1396	24.21%	23.78%	52.01%	-0.66	+10.2	17
2023-11-18	Solin	D 1-1	54.9	1294	1330	36.86%	24.75%	38.39%	-0.03	+0.1	12
2023-11-18	@ Orijent	D 1-1	54.9	1330	1294	38.39%	24.75%	36.86%	+0.03	-0.1	11
2023-11-19	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	55.9	1373	1333	47.49%	24.31%	28.20%	+0.44	-0.9	16
2023-11-19	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	55.9	1333	1373	28.20%	24.31%	47.49%	-0.44	+0.9	11
2023-11-19	Sibenik	W 2-0	46.0	1516	1495	44.84%	24.52%	30.64%	+0.32	+13.4	35
2023-11-19	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-2	46.0	1495	1516	30.64%	24.52%	44.84%	-0.32	-13.4	30
2023-11-24	Sesvete	W 3-1	46.8	1509	1424	53.06%	23.62%	23.32%	+0.71	+9.2	31
2023-11-24	@ Vukovar	L 1-3	46.8	1424	1509	23.32%	23.62%	53.06%	-0.71	-9.2	25
2023-11-25	Cibalia	L 0-3	38.6	1330	1332	41.78%	24.67%	33.55%	+0.18	-24.8	11
2023-11-25	@ Solin	W 3-0	38.6	1332	1330	33.55%	24.67%	41.78%	-0.18	+24.7	19
2023-11-25	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	49.8	1330	1372	36.04%	24.74%	39.22%	-0.06	+8.1	20
2023-11-25	@ Dubrava	L 1-2	49.8	1372	1330	39.22%	24.74%	36.04%	+0.06	-8.1	16
2023-11-25	Dugopolje	L 0-2	39.5	1342	1386	35.73%	24.73%	39.53%	-0.08	-15.1	20
2023-11-25	@ Jarun	W 2-0	39.5	1386	1342	39.53%	24.73%	35.73%	+0.08	+15.1	25
2023-11-25	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	40.3	1333	1529	18.84%	22.54%	58.62%	-1.00	-4.7	11
2023-11-25	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	40.3	1529	1333	58.62%	22.54%	18.84%	+1.00	+4.6	38
2023-11-27	Orijent	W 1-0	36.5	1482	1294	64.12%	21.03%	14.85%	+1.34	+3.7	33
2023-11-27	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	36.5	1294	1482	14.85%	21.03%	64.12%	-1.34	-3.7	12
2023-12-01	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	47.2	1338	1329	43.32%	24.61%	32.08%	+0.25	+6.9	23
2023-12-01	@ Dubrava	L 1-2	47.2	1329	1338	32.08%	24.61%	43.32%	-0.25	-7.0	11
2023-12-01	Solin	W 2-0	34.5	1415	1305	55.97%	23.11%	20.92%	+0.86	+9.7	28
2023-12-01	@ Sesvete	L 0-2	34.5	1305	1415	20.92%	23.11%	55.97%	-0.86	-9.7	11
2023-12-02	Sibenik	L 1-3	44.5	1356	1485	25.18%	23.93%	50.89%	-0.59	-9.9	19
2023-12-02	@ Cibalia	W 3-1	44.5	1485	1356	50.89%	23.93%	25.18%	+0.59	+9.9	36
2023-12-02	Vukovar	L 1-2	50.9	1401	1519	26.46%	24.11%	49.43%	-0.52	-5.9	25
2023-12-02	@ Dugopolje	W 2-1	50.9	1519	1401	49.43%	24.11%	26.46%	+0.52	+5.9	34
2023-12-03	Jarun	W 1-0	40.3	1364	1327	47.09%	24.35%	28.56%	+0.42	+6.7	19
2023-12-03	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	40.3	1327	1364	28.56%	24.35%	47.09%	-0.42	-6.7	20
2023-12-03	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	37.8	1290	1534	15.26%	21.21%	63.53%	-1.29	-3.8	12
2023-12-03	@ Orijent	W 1-0	37.8	1534	1290	63.53%	21.21%	15.26%	+1.29	+3.8	41
2024-02-16	Dubrava	W 1-0	42.6	1320	1345	38.45%	24.75%	36.81%	+0.04	+8.2	23
2024-02-16	@ Jarun	L 0-1	42.6	1345	1320	36.81%	24.75%	38.45%	-0.04	-8.2	23
2024-02-17	Cibalia	W 2-0	35.7	1538	1346	64.42%	20.93%	14.65%	+1.36	+6.8	44
2024-02-17	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-2	35.7	1346	1538	14.65%	20.93%	64.42%	-1.36	-6.8	19
2024-02-17	Dugopolje	D 0-0	50.7	1296	1395	28.53%	24.35%	47.12%	-0.41	+0.9	12
2024-02-17	@ Solin	D 0-0	50.7	1395	1296	47.12%	24.35%	28.53%	+0.41	-0.9	26
2024-02-17	Orijent	D 2-2	60.9	1322	1286	46.83%	24.37%	28.80%	+0.41	-0.6	12
2024-02-17	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 2-2	60.9	1286	1322	28.80%	24.37%	46.83%	-0.41	+0.6	13
2024-02-17	Sesvete	W 3-0	38.9	1495	1425	51.30%	23.88%	24.82%	+0.62	+16.3	39
2024-02-17	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	38.9	1425	1495	24.82%	23.88%	51.30%	-0.62	-16.3	28
2024-02-18	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	60.9	1525	1371	60.71%	22.02%	17.27%	+1.13	-2.1	35
2024-02-18	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	60.9	1371	1525	17.27%	22.02%	60.71%	-1.13	+2.1	20
2024-02-23	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 2-2	61.2	1328	1321	42.96%	24.63%	32.41%	+0.23	-0.3	24
2024-02-23	@ Jarun	D 2-2	61.2	1321	1328	32.41%	24.63%	42.96%	-0.23	+0.3	13
2024-02-23	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	45.4	1408	1544	24.44%	23.82%	51.74%	-0.64	-5.9	28
2024-02-23	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	45.4	1544	1408	51.74%	23.82%	24.44%	+0.64	+5.9	47
2024-02-24	Orijent	W 1-0	39.0	1340	1287	49.07%	24.15%	26.78%	+0.51	+6.4	22
2024-02-24	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	39.0	1287	1340	26.78%	24.15%	49.07%	-0.51	-6.4	13
2024-02-24	Sibenik	D 0-0	55.5	1394	1512	26.46%	24.11%	49.42%	-0.52	+1.2	27
2024-02-24	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	55.5	1512	1394	49.42%	24.11%	26.46%	+0.52	-1.2	40
2024-02-25	Vukovar	L 1-2	46.6	1337	1522	19.71%	22.79%	57.50%	-0.94	-4.6	23
2024-02-25	@ Dubrava	W 2-1	46.6	1522	1337	57.50%	22.79%	19.71%	+0.94	+4.6	38
2024-02-27	Solin	W 2-1	44.6	1373	1296	52.02%	23.78%	24.20%	+0.66	+5.5	23
2024-02-27	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	44.6	1296	1373	24.20%	23.78%	52.02%	-0.66	-5.5	12
2024-03-01	Dugopolje	W 3-0	36.9	1550	1395	60.84%	21.99%	17.17%	+1.14	+11.7	50
2024-03-01	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-3	36.9	1395	1550	17.17%	21.99%	60.84%	-1.14	-11.7	27
2024-03-02	Cibalia	D 2-2	61.4	1322	1346	38.56%	24.74%	36.70%	+0.04	-0.1	14
2024-03-02	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 2-2	61.4	1346	1322	36.70%	24.74%	38.56%	-0.04	+0.1	23
2024-03-02	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	47.2	1510	1378	58.43%	22.59%	18.99%	+1.00	+4.4	43
2024-03-02	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	47.2	1378	1510	18.99%	22.59%	58.43%	-1.00	-4.4	23
2024-03-03	Dubrava	W 3-1	45.4	1291	1332	36.14%	24.74%	39.12%	-0.06	+14.0	15
2024-03-03	@ Solin	L 1-3	45.4	1332	1291	39.12%	24.74%	36.14%	+0.06	-14.0	23
2024-03-03	Jarun	L 0-1	53.4	1527	1328	65.19%	20.68%	14.13%	+1.41	-13.2	38
2024-03-03	@ Vukovar	W 1-0	53.4	1328	1527	14.13%	20.68%	65.19%	-1.41	+13.2	27
2024-03-03	Sesvete	W 1-0	46.5	1281	1403	25.95%	24.05%	50.00%	-0.55	+10.5	16
2024-03-03	@ Orijent	L 0-1	46.5	1403	1281	50.00%	24.05%	25.95%	+0.55	-10.5	28
2024-03-08	Cibalia	W 4-0	35.1	1392	1346	48.20%	24.24%	27.55%	+0.47	+23.3	31
2024-03-08	@ Sesvete	L 0-4	35.1	1346	1392	27.55%	24.24%	48.20%	-0.47	-23.3	23
2024-03-09	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-2	48.8	1514	1321	64.54%	20.89%	14.57%	+1.36	+3.2	41
2024-03-09	@ Vukovar	L 2-3	48.8	1321	1514	14.57%	20.89%	64.54%	-1.36	-3.2	14
2024-03-09	Orijent	L 1-2	53.5	1384	1291	53.98%	23.47%	22.55%	+0.76	-10.5	27
2024-03-09	@ Dugopolje	W 2-1	53.5	1291	1384	22.55%	23.47%	53.98%	-0.76	+10.5	19
2024-03-09	Sibenik	L 0-3	34.0	1318	1515	18.77%	22.52%	58.70%	-1.00	-12.7	23
2024-03-09	@ Dubrava	W 3-0	34.0	1515	1318	58.70%	22.52%	18.77%	+1.00	+12.7	46
2024-03-09	Solin	W 2-0	36.3	1341	1305	46.88%	24.37%	28.75%	+0.41	+12.7	30
2024-03-09	@ Jarun	L 0-2	36.3	1305	1341	28.75%	24.37%	46.88%	-0.41	-12.7	15
2024-03-10	Zrinski Osjecko	D 0-0	57.0	1374	1562	19.49%	22.73%	57.78%	-0.95	+2.0	24
2024-03-10	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	57.0	1562	1374	57.78%	22.73%	19.49%	+0.95	-2.0	51
2024-03-15	Dugopolje	W 2-1	50.0	1323	1373	34.88%	24.72%	40.40%	-0.11	+8.3	26
2024-03-15	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	50.0	1373	1323	40.40%	24.72%	34.88%	+0.11	-8.3	27
2024-03-16	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	55.5	1302	1376	31.67%	24.59%	43.74%	-0.26	+0.5	20
2024-03-16	@ Orijent	D 1-1	55.5	1376	1302	43.74%	24.59%	31.67%	+0.26	-0.5	25
2024-03-16	Dubrava	L 0-2	51.1	1560	1306	70.05%	18.86%	11.09%	+1.74	-26.3	51
2024-03-16	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-0	51.1	1306	1560	11.09%	18.86%	70.05%	-1.74	+26.3	26
2024-03-16	Jarun	W 2-0	36.1	1528	1354	62.76%	21.45%	15.79%	+1.25	+7.4	49
2024-03-16	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	36.1	1354	1528	15.79%	21.45%	62.76%	-1.25	-7.4	30
2024-03-16	Sesvete	W 2-0	42.8	1318	1415	28.83%	24.37%	46.79%	-0.40	+18.7	17
2024-03-16	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-2	42.8	1415	1318	46.79%	24.37%	28.83%	+0.40	-18.7	31
2024-03-17	Vukovar	D 1-1	58.5	1292	1517	16.58%	21.77%	61.65%	-1.18	+2.2	16
2024-03-17	@ Solin	D 1-1	58.5	1517	1292	61.65%	21.77%	16.58%	+1.18	-2.2	42
2024-03-22	Orijent	D 2-2	62.1	1397	1302	54.21%	23.43%	22.36%	+0.77	-1.1	32
2024-03-22	@ Sesvete	D 2-2	62.1	1302	1397	22.36%	23.43%	54.21%	-0.77	+1.1	21
2024-03-23	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-3	47.2	1346	1337	43.30%	24.61%	32.09%	+0.25	-15.2	30
2024-03-23	@ Jarun	W 3-1	47.2	1337	1346	32.09%	24.61%	43.30%	-0.25	+15.2	20
2024-03-23	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	37.4	1515	1375	59.21%	22.40%	18.39%	+1.04	+8.6	45
2024-03-23	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	37.4	1375	1515	18.39%	22.40%	59.21%	-1.04	-8.6	25
2024-03-23	Dubrava	W 2-0	34.8	1534	1332	65.41%	20.60%	13.98%	+1.42	+6.5	54
2024-03-23	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-2	34.8	1332	1534	13.98%	20.60%	65.41%	-1.42	-6.5	26
2024-03-23	Solin	D 2-2	61.5	1365	1294	51.29%	23.88%	24.83%	+0.62	-0.9	28
2024-03-23	@ Dugopolje	D 2-2	61.5	1294	1365	24.83%	23.88%	51.29%	-0.62	+0.9	17
2024-03-24	Cibalia	W 1-0	38.3	1535	1331	65.62%	20.53%	13.85%	+1.43	+3.4	52
2024-03-24	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	38.3	1331	1535	13.85%	20.53%	65.62%	-1.43	-3.4	26
2024-03-27	Vukovar	D 0-0	53.9	1303	1523	16.92%	21.89%	61.19%	-1.15	+2.4	22
2024-03-27	@ Orijent	D 0-0	53.9	1523	1303	61.19%	21.89%	16.92%	+1.15	-2.4	46
2024-03-28	Dubrava	D 0-0	50.6	1364	1325	47.23%	24.34%	28.43%	+0.43	-1.0	29
2024-03-28	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	50.6	1325	1364	28.43%	24.34%	47.23%	-0.43	+1.0	27
2024-03-28	Sesvete	W 2-1	50.5	1352	1396	35.84%	24.73%	39.42%	-0.07	+8.1	23
2024-03-28	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	50.5	1396	1352	39.42%	24.73%	35.84%	+0.07	-8.1	32
2024-03-29	Jarun	L 0-1	42.3	1295	1331	36.95%	24.75%	38.31%	-0.02	-8.2	17
2024-03-29	@ Solin	W 1-0	42.3	1331	1295	38.31%	24.75%	36.95%	+0.02	+8.2	33
2024-03-29	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-2	46.0	1328	1540	17.50%	22.10%	60.39%	-1.10	-4.1	26
2024-03-29	@ Cibalia	W 2-1	46.0	1540	1328	60.39%	22.10%	17.50%	+1.10	+4.1	57
2024-04-02	Sibenik	L 0-3	37.0	1367	1538	20.95%	23.12%	55.93%	-0.85	-14.1	25
2024-04-02	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-0	37.0	1538	1367	55.93%	23.12%	20.95%	+0.85	+14.1	55
2024-04-04	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 2-2	66.5	1521	1360	61.44%	21.82%	16.74%	+1.17	-1.6	47
2024-04-04	@ Vukovar	D 2-2	66.5	1360	1521	16.74%	21.82%	61.44%	-1.17	+1.6	24
2024-04-05	Solin	L 1-2	53.7	1387	1287	54.87%	23.32%	21.81%	+0.80	-10.7	32
2024-04-05	@ Sesvete	W 2-1	53.7	1287	1387	21.81%	23.32%	54.87%	-0.80	+10.7	20
2024-04-06	Cibalia	L 1-2	50.1	1326	1324	42.41%	24.65%	32.94%	+0.21	-8.6	27
2024-04-06	@ Dubrava	W 2-1	50.1	1324	1326	32.94%	24.65%	42.41%	-0.21	+8.6	29
2024-04-06	Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-0	34.2	1544	1353	64.45%	20.92%	14.63%	+1.36	+9.9	60
2024-04-06	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-3	34.2	1353	1544	14.63%	20.92%	64.45%	-1.36	-9.9	25
2024-04-06	Dugopolje	L 1-2	49.6	1339	1363	38.66%	24.74%	36.60%	+0.05	-8.0	33
2024-04-06	@ Jarun	W 2-1	49.6	1363	1339	36.60%	24.74%	38.66%	-0.05	+8.0	32
2024-04-07	Orijent	W 1-0	36.9	1552	1306	69.43%	19.12%	11.46%	+1.70	+2.8	58
2024-04-07	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	36.9	1306	1552	11.46%	19.12%	69.43%	-1.70	-2.8	22
2024-04-12	Dubrava	L 0-1	44.5	1331	1318	43.87%	24.58%	31.55%	+0.27	-9.4	33
2024-04-12	@ Jarun	W 1-0	44.5	1318	1331	31.55%	24.58%	43.87%	-0.27	+9.4	30
2024-04-13	Sesvete	L 1-3	47.5	1371	1377	41.21%	24.69%	34.09%	+0.16	-14.6	32
2024-04-13	@ Dugopolje	W 3-1	47.5	1377	1371	34.09%	24.69%	41.21%	-0.16	+14.6	35
2024-04-13	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	38.4	1303	1554	14.75%	20.98%	64.26%	-1.34	-3.7	22
2024-04-13	@ Orijent	W 1-0	38.4	1554	1303	64.26%	20.98%	14.75%	+1.34	+3.7	63
2024-04-14	Cibalia	W 2-0	37.6	1343	1332	43.50%	24.60%	31.90%	+0.26	+13.8	28
2024-04-14	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-2	37.6	1332	1343	31.90%	24.60%	43.50%	-0.26	-13.8	29
2024-04-14	Sibenik	L 1-3	44.6	1362	1555	19.04%	22.60%	58.36%	-0.98	-7.7	24
2024-04-14	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-1	44.6	1555	1362	58.36%	22.60%	19.04%	+0.98	+7.7	61
2024-04-14	Vukovar	L 0-1	38.3	1298	1519	16.82%	21.85%	61.33%	-1.16	-4.2	20
2024-04-14	@ Solin	W 1-0	38.3	1519	1298	61.33%	21.85%	16.82%	+1.16	+4.2	50
2024-04-19	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	39.8	1558	1354	65.60%	20.54%	13.86%	+1.43	+3.4	66
2024-04-19	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	39.8	1354	1558	13.86%	20.54%	65.60%	-1.43	-3.4	24
2024-04-19	Jarun	L 2-3	58.3	1391	1322	51.18%	23.90%	24.93%	+0.62	-9.6	35
2024-04-19	@ Sesvete	W 3-2	58.3	1322	1391	24.93%	23.90%	51.18%	-0.62	+9.6	36
2024-04-20	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	55.5	1327	1357	37.82%	24.75%	37.43%	+0.01	-0.0	31
2024-04-20	@ Dubrava	D 1-1	55.5	1357	1327	37.43%	24.75%	37.82%	-0.01	+0.0	29
2024-04-20	Dugopolje	D 1-1	60.5	1524	1356	62.08%	21.64%	16.28%	+1.21	-2.2	51
2024-04-20	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	60.5	1356	1524	16.28%	21.64%	62.08%	-1.21	+2.2	33
2024-04-20	Solin	W 2-1	42.4	1563	1294	71.28%	18.34%	10.38%	+1.83	+2.4	64
2024-04-20	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	42.4	1294	1563	10.38%	18.34%	71.28%	-1.83	-2.4	20
2024-04-21	Orijent	D 1-1	54.9	1318	1299	44.65%	24.53%	30.82%	+0.31	-0.6	30
2024-04-21	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	54.9	1299	1318	30.82%	24.53%	44.65%	-0.31	+0.6	23
2024-04-26	Dubrava	D 1-1	56.0	1382	1327	49.32%	24.13%	26.56%	+0.53	-1.0	36
2024-04-26	@ Sesvete	D 1-1	56.0	1327	1382	26.56%	24.13%	49.32%	-0.53	+1.0	32
2024-04-26	Vukovar	D 2-2	65.4	1331	1521	19.32%	22.69%	57.99%	-0.96	+1.4	37
2024-04-26	@ Jarun	D 2-2	65.4	1521	1331	57.99%	22.69%	19.32%	+0.96	-1.4	52
2024-04-27	Cibalia	W 1-0	40.2	1351	1318	46.51%	24.40%	29.10%	+0.39	+6.8	27
2024-04-27	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	40.2	1318	1351	29.10%	24.40%	46.51%	-0.39	-6.8	30
2024-04-27	Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-0	38.4	1300	1357	33.98%	24.69%	41.33%	-0.15	+24.5	26
2024-04-27	@ Orijent	L 0-3	38.4	1357	1300	41.33%	24.69%	33.98%	+0.15	-24.5	29
2024-04-27	Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	37.8	1291	1561	13.59%	20.40%	66.01%	-1.45	-3.4	20
2024-04-27	@ Solin	W 1-0	37.8	1561	1291	66.01%	20.40%	13.59%	+1.45	+3.4	69
2024-04-28	Sibenik	L 0-4	36.4	1359	1565	17.96%	22.26%	59.78%	-1.07	-15.9	33
2024-04-28	@ Dugopolje	W 4-0	36.4	1565	1359	59.78%	22.26%	17.96%	+1.07	+15.9	67
2024-05-03	Sesvete	L 0-1	53.5	1520	1381	59.19%	22.41%	18.40%	+1.04	-12.1	52
2024-05-03	@ Vukovar	W 1-0	53.5	1381	1520	18.40%	22.41%	59.19%	-1.04	+12.1	39
2024-05-04	Jarun	W 2-0	35.1	1581	1333	69.56%	19.06%	11.38%	+1.71	+5.2	70
2024-05-04	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	35.1	1333	1581	11.38%	19.06%	69.56%	-1.71	-5.2	37
2024-05-04	Orijent	L 0-1	44.2	1328	1324	42.56%	24.64%	32.80%	+0.22	-9.2	32
2024-05-04	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	44.2	1324	1328	32.80%	24.64%	42.56%	-0.22	+9.2	29
2024-05-04	Solin	W 4-2	46.1	1311	1288	45.16%	24.50%	30.34%	+0.33	+10.3	33
2024-05-04	@ Cibalia	L 2-4	46.1	1288	1311	30.34%	24.50%	45.16%	-0.33	-10.3	20
2024-05-05	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-0	37.4	1332	1358	38.43%	24.75%	36.82%	+0.04	+22.5	32
2024-05-05	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-3	37.4	1358	1332	36.82%	24.75%	38.43%	-0.04	-22.5	27
2024-05-05	Dugopolje	W 4-1	38.7	1565	1343	67.25%	19.95%	12.80%	+1.54	+7.3	72
2024-05-05	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-4	38.7	1343	1565	12.80%	19.95%	67.25%	-1.54	-7.3	33
2024-05-10	Sibenik	L 0-4	38.8	1393	1586	19.03%	22.60%	58.38%	-0.99	-16.8	39
2024-05-10	@ Sesvete	W 4-0	38.8	1586	1393	58.38%	22.60%	19.03%	+0.99	+16.8	73
2024-05-11	Cibalia	L 1-2	50.6	1335	1321	43.98%	24.57%	31.44%	+0.28	-8.9	33
2024-05-11	@ Dugopolje	W 2-1	50.6	1321	1335	31.44%	24.57%	43.98%	-0.28	+8.9	36
2024-05-11	Dubrava	W 3-1	40.1	1508	1319	64.21%	21.00%	14.79%	+1.34	+6.0	55
2024-05-11	@ Vukovar	L 1-3	40.1	1319	1508	14.79%	21.00%	64.21%	-1.34	-6.0	32
2024-05-12	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	38.9	1278	1355	31.33%	24.57%	44.10%	-0.28	+33.8	23
2024-05-12	@ Solin	L 0-4	38.9	1355	1278	44.10%	24.57%	31.33%	+0.28	-33.8	32
2024-05-12	Orijent	D 0-0	50.3	1335	1333	42.25%	24.66%	33.10%	+0.20	-0.4	28
2024-05-12	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	50.3	1333	1335	33.10%	24.66%	42.25%	-0.20	+0.5	30
2024-05-12	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-2	46.0	1328	1572	15.22%	21.20%	63.59%	-1.30	-3.6	37
2024-05-12	@ Jarun	W 2-1	46.0	1572	1328	63.59%	21.20%	15.22%	+1.30	+3.6	75
2024-05-17	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 4-0	36.7	1313	1335	38.96%	24.74%	36.30%	+0.06	+29.0	35
2024-05-17	@ Dubrava	L 0-4	36.7	1335	1313	36.30%	24.74%	38.96%	-0.06	-29.0	28
2024-05-18	Jarun	D 1-1	55.2	1330	1324	42.86%	24.63%	32.51%	+0.23	-0.5	37
2024-05-18	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	55.2	1324	1330	32.51%	24.63%	42.86%	-0.23	+0.5	38
2024-05-18	Sesvete	W 1-0	41.3	1575	1376	65.20%	20.68%	14.13%	+1.41	+3.5	78
2024-05-18	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-1	41.3	1376	1575	14.13%	20.68%	65.20%	-1.41	-3.5	39
2024-05-18	Solin	D 2-2	61.2	1334	1311	45.10%	24.50%	30.40%	+0.33	-0.5	31
2024-05-18	@ Orijent	D 2-2	61.2	1311	1334	30.40%	24.50%	45.10%	-0.33	+0.5	24
2024-05-19	Dugopolje	L 0-2	40.2	1321	1327	41.22%	24.69%	34.09%	+0.16	-16.9	32
2024-05-19	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	40.2	1327	1321	34.09%	24.69%	41.22%	-0.16	+16.9	36
2024-05-19	Vukovar	W 2-1	56.7	1603	1514	53.58%	23.54%	22.88%	+0.74	+5.2	76
2024-05-19	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	56.7	1514	1603	22.88%	23.54%	53.58%	-0.74	-5.2	55
2024-05-23	Cibalia	W 2-1	46.2	1373	1330	47.81%	24.28%	27.91%	+0.45	+6.2	42
2024-05-23	@ Sesvete	L 1-2	46.2	1330	1373	27.91%	24.28%	47.81%	-0.45	-6.2	37
2024-05-24	Zrinski Osjecko	L 1-2	58.9	1509	1579	32.21%	24.61%	43.18%	-0.24	-7.0	55
2024-05-24	@ Vukovar	W 2-1	58.9	1579	1509	43.18%	24.61%	32.21%	+0.24	+7.0	81
2024-05-25	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	55.0	1324	1304	44.81%	24.52%	30.67%	+0.32	-0.6	39
2024-05-25	@ Jarun	D 1-1	55.0	1304	1324	30.67%	24.52%	44.81%	-0.32	+0.6	33
2024-05-25	Dubrava	W 1-0	39.5	1609	1342	71.05%	18.44%	10.51%	+1.82	+2.5	79
2024-05-25	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	39.5	1342	1609	10.51%	18.44%	71.05%	-1.82	-2.5	35
2024-05-25	Orijent	D 0-0	50.4	1343	1333	43.41%	24.60%	31.99%	+0.25	-0.6	37
2024-05-25	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	50.4	1333	1343	31.99%	24.60%	43.41%	-0.25	+0.6	32
2024-05-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	43.9	1312	1306	42.87%	24.63%	32.50%	+0.23	-9.2	24
2024-05-26	@ Solin	W 1-0	43.9	1306	1312	32.50%	24.63%	42.87%	-0.23	+9.2	31
2024-06-01	Dugopolje	W 2-1	48.7	1315	1343	38.05%	24.75%	37.21%	+0.02	+7.8	34
2024-06-01	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	48.7	1343	1315	37.21%	24.75%	38.05%	-0.02	-7.8	37
2024-06-01	Jarun	D 0-0	50.2	1334	1324	43.42%	24.60%	31.98%	+0.25	-0.6	33
2024-06-01	@ Orijent	D 0-0	50.2	1324	1334	31.98%	24.60%	43.42%	-0.25	+0.6	40
2024-06-01	Sesvete	W 3-1	47.3	1305	1379	31.71%	24.59%	43.70%	-0.26	+15.3	36
2024-06-01	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-3	47.3	1379	1305	43.70%	24.59%	31.71%	+0.26	-15.3	42
2024-06-01	Solin	W 3-0	34.4	1340	1303	47.01%	24.36%	28.64%	+0.42	+18.4	38
2024-06-01	@ Dubrava	L 0-3	34.4	1303	1340	28.64%	24.36%	47.01%	-0.42	-18.4	24
2024-06-01	Vukovar	L 1-5	37.9	1323	1502	20.34%	22.96%	56.70%	-0.89	-14.9	37
2024-06-01	@ Cibalia	W 5-1	37.9	1502	1323	56.70%	22.96%	20.34%	+0.89	+14.9	58
2024-06-02	Sibenik	L 0-2	54.3	1586	1611	38.47%	24.75%	36.79%	+0.04	-16.0	81
2024-06-02	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-0	54.3	1611	1586	36.79%	24.75%	38.47%	-0.04	+16.0	82

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-03-16	11.09%	Dubrava	1306	2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1560	0
2	2024-03-03	14.13%	Jarun	1328	1	@ Vukovar	1527	0
3	2024-05-03	18.40%	Sesvete	1381	1	@ Vukovar	1520	0
4	2023-09-15	19.60%	Orijent	1347	2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1472	1
5	2024-04-05	21.81%	Solin	1287	2	@ Sesvete	1387	1
6	2024-03-09	22.55%	Orijent	1291	2	@ Dugopolje	1384	1
7	2023-11-18	24.21%	Dubrava	1320	2	@ Dugopolje	1396	1
8	2024-04-19	24.93%	Jarun	1322	3	@ Sesvete	1391	2
9	2023-10-07	24.96%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1349	1	@ Cibalia	1418	0
10	2023-09-09	25.51%	@ Orijent	1338	5	Sibenik	1464	4
11	2024-03-03	25.95%	@ Orijent	1281	1	Sesvete	1403	0
12	2023-08-12	27.05%	Dugopolje	1347	1	@ Sesvete	1398	0
13	2023-09-23	28.06%	@ Sesvete	1364	1	Sibenik	1468	0
14	2024-03-16	28.83%	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1318	2	Sesvete	1415	0
15	2023-10-14	29.18%	Sesvete	1375	1	@ Cibalia	1407	0
16	2023-08-28	29.50%	Dubrava	1358	1	@ Sesvete	1387	0
17	2023-08-11	29.99%	@ Sibenik	1388	3	Vukovar	1476	0
18	2024-05-12	31.33%	@ Solin	1278	4	Croatia Zmijavci	1355	0
19	2024-05-11	31.44%	Cibalia	1321	2	@ Dugopolje	1335	1
20	2024-04-12	31.55%	Dubrava	1318	1	@ Jarun	1331	0
21	2024-06-01	31.71%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1305	3	Sesvete	1379	1
22	2023-09-04	32.04%	Dugopolje	1358	3	@ Dubrava	1367	1
23	2024-03-23	32.09%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1337	3	@ Jarun	1346	1
24	2023-09-25	32.24%	Jarun	1353	1	@ Dubrava	1361	0
25	2024-05-26	32.50%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1306	1	@ Solin	1312	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-05-12	33.75	@ Solin	4	1278	31.33%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1355	44.10%	24.57%
2	2024-05-17	29.02	@ Dubrava	4	1313	38.96%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1335	36.30%	24.74%
3	2023-10-21	27.66	@ Dugopolje	4	1392	41.21%	Cibalia	0	1397	34.10%	24.69%
4	2023-08-11	26.52	@ Sibenik	3	1388	29.99%	Vukovar	0	1476	45.53%	24.47%
5	2023-09-09	26.41	@ Dugopolje	4	1373	43.26%	Jarun	0	1364	32.13%	24.61%
6	2024-03-16	26.34	Dubrava	2	1306	11.09%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1560	70.05%	18.86%
7	2023-10-29	25.25	@ Croatia Zmijavci	5	1333	36.84%	Cibalia	1	1370	38.42%	24.75%
8	2023-11-25	24.75	Cibalia	3	1332	33.55%	@ Solin	0	1330	41.78%	24.67%
9	2024-04-27	24.54	@ Orijent	3	1300	33.98%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1357	41.33%	24.69%
10	2023-09-01	24.13	@ Sibenik	3	1440	34.82%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1491	40.47%	24.71%
11	2024-03-08	23.32	@ Sesvete	4	1392	48.20%	Cibalia	0	1346	27.55%	24.24%
12	2023-09-30	22.95	Cibalia	3	1395	37.36%	@ Orijent	0	1366	37.89%	24.75%
13	2024-05-05	22.46	@ Croatia Zmijavci	3	1332	38.43%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1358	36.82%	24.75%
14	2023-11-12	21.16	@ Croatia Zmijavci	4	1352	32.85%	Dugopolje	1	1417	42.50%	24.65%
15	2023-10-22	20.62	@ Croatia Zmijavci	6	1313	38.71%	Orijent	2	1336	36.54%	24.74%
16	2024-03-16	18.67	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1318	28.83%	Sesvete	0	1415	46.79%	24.37%
17	2023-09-02	18.64	@ Solin	4	1337	39.20%	Orijent	1	1357	36.06%	24.74%
18	2024-06-01	18.43	@ Dubrava	3	1340	47.01%	Solin	0	1303	28.64%	24.36%
19	2023-09-23	18.34	Zrinski Osjecko	4	1461	39.98%	@ Cibalia	1	1413	35.29%	24.72%
20	2023-08-26	18.17	@ Sibenik	3	1422	47.54%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1381	28.15%	24.31%
21	2023-10-07	17.20	Vukovar	3	1481	49.53%	@ Jarun	0	1362	26.37%	24.10%
22	2023-10-23	16.97	Sibenik	3	1468	50.01%	@ Jarun	0	1345	25.94%	24.04%
23	2024-05-19	16.86	Dugopolje	2	1327	34.09%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	0	1321	41.22%	24.69%
24	2024-05-10	16.80	Sibenik	4	1586	58.38%	@ Sesvete	0	1393	19.03%	22.60%
25	2023-09-15	16.54	@ Vukovar	3	1467	50.90%	Dugopolje	0	1399	25.16%	23.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-04-04	66.5	@ Vukovar	2	1521	61.44%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1360	16.74%	21.82%
2	2023-10-21	65.5	@ Vukovar	2	1507	62.39%	Solin	2	1337	16.05%	21.55%
3	2024-04-26	65.4	@ Jarun	2	1331	19.32%	Vukovar	2	1521	57.99%	22.69%
4	2023-09-29	65.3	@ Zrinski Osjecko	2	1479	55.36%	Sesvete	2	1374	21.41%	23.23%
5	2023-09-30	64.9	@ Vukovar	2	1482	58.23%	Dubrava	2	1352	19.14%	22.63%
6	2023-09-24	64.1	@ Croatia Zmijavci	2	1325	22.23%	Vukovar	2	1483	54.36%	23.41%
7	2023-10-28	63.5	@ Vukovar	1	1506	44.92%	Sibenik	1	1485	30.57%	24.51%
8	2023-09-09	62.8	@ Orijent	5	1338	25.51%	Sibenik	4	1464	50.50%	23.98%
9	2024-03-22	62.1	@ Sesvete	2	1397	54.21%	Orijent	2	1302	22.36%	23.43%
10	2024-03-23	61.5	@ Dugopolje	2	1365	51.29%	Solin	2	1294	24.83%	23.88%
11	2024-03-02	61.4	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1322	38.56%	Cibalia	2	1346	36.70%	24.74%
12	2024-02-23	61.2	@ Jarun	2	1328	42.96%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1321	32.41%	24.63%
13	2024-05-18	61.2	@ Orijent	2	1334	45.10%	Solin	2	1311	30.40%	24.50%
14	2024-02-17	60.9	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1322	46.83%	Orijent	2	1286	28.80%	24.37%
15	2024-02-18	60.9	@ Vukovar	1	1525	60.71%	Croatia Zmijavci	1	1371	17.27%	22.02%
16	2024-04-20	60.5	@ Vukovar	1	1524	62.08%	Dugopolje	1	1356	16.28%	21.64%
17	2024-05-24	58.9	Zrinski Osjecko	2	1579	43.18%	@ Vukovar	1	1509	32.21%	24.61%
18	2023-10-02	58.7	@ Sibenik	1	1458	51.99%	Dugopolje	1	1382	24.23%	23.78%
19	2024-03-17	58.5	@ Solin	1	1292	16.58%	Vukovar	1	1517	61.65%	21.77%
20	2024-04-19	58.3	Jarun	3	1322	24.93%	@ Sesvete	2	1391	51.18%	23.90%
21	2023-10-28	57.9	@ Dugopolje	1	1419	45.00%	Sesvete	1	1398	30.49%	24.51%
22	2024-03-10	57.0	@ Croatia Zmijavci	0	1374	19.49%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1562	57.78%	22.73%
23	2023-08-19	56.9	@ Dubrava	1	1357	33.47%	Cibalia	1	1418	41.86%	24.67%
24	2023-09-15	56.9	Orijent	2	1347	19.60%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1	1472	57.63%	22.77%
25	2023-11-04	56.9	@ Dugopolje	1	1419	52.70%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1	1337	23.63%	23.68%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-10-14	32.8	@ Zrinski Osjecko	4	1477	60.20%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1328	17.65%	22.16%
2	2023-11-11	33.2	@ Vukovar	2	1497	64.99%	Orijent	0	1300	14.27%	20.75%
3	2024-03-09	34.0	Sibenik	3	1515	58.70%	@ Dubrava	0	1318	18.77%	22.52%
4	2023-08-26	34.1	@ Zrinski Osjecko	3	1478	57.98%	Solin	0	1350	19.33%	22.69%
5	2024-04-06	34.2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	3	1544	64.45%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1353	14.63%	20.92%
6	2024-06-01	34.4	@ Dubrava	3	1340	47.01%	Solin	0	1303	28.64%	24.36%
7	2023-12-01	34.5	@ Sesvete	2	1415	55.97%	Solin	0	1305	20.92%	23.11%
8	2024-03-23	34.8	@ Zrinski Osjecko	2	1534	65.41%	Dubrava	0	1332	13.98%	20.60%
9	2024-03-08	35.1	@ Sesvete	4	1392	48.20%	Cibalia	0	1346	27.55%	24.24%
10	2024-05-04	35.1	@ Sibenik	2	1581	69.56%	Jarun	0	1333	11.38%	19.06%
11	2024-02-17	35.7	@ Zrinski Osjecko	2	1538	64.42%	Cibalia	0	1346	14.65%	20.93%
12	2023-10-23	36.1	Sibenik	3	1468	50.01%	@ Jarun	0	1345	25.94%	24.04%
13	2024-03-16	36.1	@ Sibenik	2	1528	62.76%	Jarun	0	1354	15.79%	21.45%
14	2024-03-09	36.3	@ Jarun	2	1341	46.88%	Solin	0	1305	28.75%	24.37%
15	2024-04-28	36.4	Sibenik	4	1565	59.78%	@ Dugopolje	0	1359	17.96%	22.26%
16	2023-08-14	36.5	@ Zrinski Osjecko	2	1460	55.24%	Jarun	0	1356	21.51%	23.25%
17	2023-09-09	36.5	@ Dugopolje	4	1373	43.26%	Jarun	0	1364	32.13%	24.61%
18	2023-11-27	36.5	@ Sibenik	1	1482	64.12%	Orijent	0	1294	14.85%	21.03%
19	2023-08-26	36.6	@ Sibenik	3	1422	47.54%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1381	28.15%	24.31%
20	2024-05-17	36.7	@ Dubrava	4	1313	38.96%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1335	36.30%	24.74%
21	2024-03-01	36.9	@ Zrinski Osjecko	3	1550	60.84%	Dugopolje	0	1395	17.17%	21.99%
22	2024-04-07	36.9	@ Sibenik	1	1552	69.43%	Orijent	0	1306	11.46%	19.12%
23	2023-10-07	37.0	Vukovar	3	1481	49.53%	@ Jarun	0	1362	26.37%	24.10%
24	2024-04-02	37.0	Sibenik	3	1538	55.93%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	0	1367	20.95%	23.12%
25	2023-09-15	37.3	@ Vukovar	3	1467	50.90%	Dugopolje	0	1399	25.16%	23.93%