2024-25 Prva nogometna liga Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Opatija

18.38 points above expected

68 points · 49.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zrinski Osjecko

37.95 points below expected

9 points · 46.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Vukovar	33	21	9	3	72	55	14	+41	60.89	+11.11
2	Opatija	33	19	11	3	68	48	20	+28	49.62	+18.38
3	Orijent	33	14	14	5	56	46	31	+15	43.41	+12.59
4	Sesvete	33	14	7	12	49	36	32	+4	47.61	+1.39
5	Dubrava	33	14	4	15	46	35	36	-1	43.62	+2.38
6	Cibalia	33	12	10	11	46	47	39	+8	43.26	+2.74
7	BSK Bijelo Brdo	33	13	7	13	46	40	42	-2	38.35	+7.65
8	Croatia Zmijavci	33	10	10	13	40	33	43	-10	39.44	+0.56
9	Rudes	33	10	9	14	39	31	33	-2	41.59	-2.59
10	Jarun	33	9	10	14	37	33	39	-6	40.87	-3.87
11	Dugopolje	33	6	13	14	31	33	52	-19	40.26	-9.26
12	Zrinski Osjecko	33	1	6	26	9	15	71	-56	46.95	-37.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Opatija	68	49.62	+18.38
2	Orijent	56	43.41	+12.59
3	Vukovar	72	60.89	+11.11
4	BSK Bijelo Brdo	46	38.35	+7.65
5	Cibalia	46	43.26	+2.74

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Zrinski Osjecko	9	46.95	-37.95
2	Dugopolje	31	40.26	-9.26
3	Jarun	37	40.87	-3.87
4	Rudes	39	41.59	-2.59
5	Croatia Zmijavci	40	39.44	+0.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	BSK Bijelo Brdo	5	Apr 13 – May 10	1 in 276
2	Orijent	4	Apr 12 – May 2	1 in 80
3	Opatija	5	Mar 29 – Apr 26	1 in 64
4	Vukovar	5	Aug 16 – Sep 13	1 in 60
5	Cibalia	3	Nov 2 – Nov 16	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zrinski Osjecko	13	Mar 9 – May 31	1 in 272,959
2	Sesvete	6	Apr 17 – May 23	1 in 1,220
3	Croatia Zmijavci	5	Apr 6 – May 4	1 in 181
4	BSK Bijelo Brdo	4	Aug 24 – Sep 15	1 in 53
5	Jarun	3	Nov 8 – Nov 24	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Opatija	27	Aug 25 – Apr 26	1 in 30,428
2	Orijent	11	Sep 28 – Feb 15	1 in 224
3	Croatia Zmijavci	8	Sep 14 – Oct 27	1 in 93
4	Vukovar	18	Nov 25 – Jun 1	1 in 41
5	Sesvete	9	Nov 1 – Mar 8	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zrinski Osjecko	30	Sep 6 – May 31	1 in 1,382,513
2	Jarun	9	Nov 2 – Mar 8	1 in 47
3	BSK Bijelo Brdo	8	Aug 18 – Oct 5	1 in 32
4	Vukovar	4	Oct 6 – Oct 20	1 in 27
5	Dugopolje	8	Oct 26 – Feb 22	1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Vukovar	1555	72	+17	13	9.6	+3.4
Opatija	1455	68	+1	9	8.0	+1.0
Orijent	1420	56	+21	11	6.4	+4.6
Sesvete	1378	49	-22	3	6.7	-3.7
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1370	46	+15	9	7.3	+1.7
Cibalia	1377	46	+8	8	6.4	+1.6
Dubrava	1360	46	+0	4	5.6	-1.6
Croatia Zmijavci	1312	40	+18	9	6.3	+2.7
Rudes	1340	39	-5	5	6.8	-1.8
Jarun	1322	37	+1	7	6.3	+0.7
Dugopolje	1315	31	+4	7	6.1	+0.9
Zrinski Osjecko	1252	9	-58	0	5.7	-5.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BBB	CIB	CZ	DUB	DUG	JAR	OPA	ORI	RUD	SES	VUK	ZO
BSK Bijelo Brdo	—	0-0-3 4.14	2-1-0 3.51	1-1-1 3.85	1-2-0 4.31	2-0-1 3.31	0-0-3 3.46	0-1-2 3.22	2-0-1 3.82	2-0-1 2.82	0-2-1 2.03	3-0-0 3.30
Cibalia	3-0-0 3.96	—	0-2-1 4.83	0-0-3 4.54	1-2-0 4.29	1-2-0 4.54	0-1-2 3.88	0-2-1 3.89	2-0-1 4.45	1-1-1 3.50	1-0-2 2.44	3-0-0 3.87
Croatia Zmijavci	0-1-2 4.58	1-2-0 3.27	—	2-0-1 3.37	2-1-0 4.27	1-1-1 4.09	0-1-2 3.22	0-2-1 3.54	0-1-2 4.31	1-0-2 3.33	1-0-2 2.28	2-1-0 3.83
Dubrava	1-1-1 4.24	3-0-0 3.54	1-0-2 4.74	—	1-0-2 4.00	1-0-2 4.52	1-1-1 4.01	0-0-3 4.40	2-1-0 4.62	1-1-1 3.46	0-0-3 2.50	3-0-0 3.91
Dugopolje	0-2-1 3.80	0-2-1 3.79	0-1-2 3.80	2-0-1 4.07	—	1-2-0 4.17	0-1-2 3.53	0-2-1 3.57	1-1-1 4.13	0-1-2 3.22	0-0-3 2.32	2-1-0 3.22
Jarun	1-0-2 4.78	0-2-1 3.56	1-1-1 3.98	2-0-1 3.57	0-2-1 3.91	—	0-0-3 3.29	0-1-2 3.95	1-1-1 3.85	1-0-2 3.91	0-3-0 2.66	3-0-0 3.81
Opatija	3-0-0 4.64	2-1-0 4.19	2-1-0 4.95	1-1-1 4.07	2-1-0 4.57	3-0-0 4.82	—	1-1-1 4.70	2-1-0 4.84	1-2-0 4.59	0-2-1 2.76	2-1-0 4.61
Orijent	2-1-0 4.89	1-2-0 4.19	1-2-0 4.58	3-0-0 3.67	1-2-0 4.52	2-1-0 4.11	1-1-1 3.40	—	0-2-1 4.19	1-1-1 4.17	1-1-1 2.87	1-1-1 3.23
Rudes	1-0-2 4.25	1-0-2 3.63	2-1-0 3.76	0-1-2 3.47	1-1-1 3.94	1-1-1 4.24	0-1-2 3.27	1-2-0 3.88	—	1-0-2 3.87	0-1-2 2.63	2-1-0 4.06
Sesvete	1-0-2 5.33	1-1-1 4.60	2-0-1 4.81	1-1-1 4.64	2-1-0 4.91	2-0-1 4.19	0-2-1 3.52	1-1-1 3.91	2-0-1 4.22	—	0-0-3 2.95	2-1-0 3.56
Vukovar	1-2-0 6.29	2-0-1 5.79	2-0-1 5.98	3-0-0 5.73	3-0-0 5.95	0-3-0 5.52	1-2-0 5.42	1-1-1 5.28	2-1-0 5.55	3-0-0 5.18	—	3-0-0 4.77
Zrinski Osjecko	0-0-3 4.80	0-0-3 4.21	0-1-2 4.33	0-0-3 4.18	0-1-2 4.90	0-0-3 4.35	0-1-2 3.50	1-1-1 4.90	0-1-2 4.06	0-1-2 4.51	0-0-3 3.32	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+14.8
Allowed	0.92	-10.9
Differential	0.97	+6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.61%	11.87%	5.81%	3.03%	1.01%	1.52%	33.84%
1	11.87%	12.63%	7.58%	3.03%	0.76%	—	35.86%
2	5.81%	7.58%	3.03%	1.26%	0.25%	—	17.93%
3	3.03%	3.03%	1.26%	1.52%	—	—	8.84%
4	1.01%	0.76%	0.25%	—	—	—	2.02%
5+	1.52%	—	—	—	—	—	1.52%
Total	33.84%	35.86%	17.93%	8.84%	2.02%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.14	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.72
CV	1.00	1.00	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
1	18.18%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	—	39.39%
2	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	30.30%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.27	-0.06
SD	1.19	1.26	1.98
CV	0.98	0.99	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	9.09%	18.18%	15.15%	—	—	—	42.42%
2	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	18.18%
3	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	24.24%	42.42%	27.27%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.18	+0.24
SD	1.23	0.95	1.56
CV	0.86	0.80	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	—	9.09%	—	39.39%
1	18.18%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	24.24%	21.21%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.30	-0.30
SD	1.09	1.31	1.70
CV	1.09	1.01	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	33.33%
1	18.18%	3.03%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	42.42%
2	3.03%	12.12%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	30.30%	21.21%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.09	-0.03
SD	1.12	1.04	1.72
CV	1.05	0.95	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.21%	36.36%	18.18%	15.15%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.58	-0.58
SD	0.94	1.32	1.64
CV	0.94	0.84	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	27.27%
1	9.09%	18.18%	21.21%	—	3.03%	—	51.52%
2	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	36.36%	27.27%	—	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.18	-0.18
SD	0.83	1.16	1.55
CV	0.83	0.98	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
1	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	12.12%	21.21%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	51.52%	39.39%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	0.61	+0.85
SD	1.15	0.75	1.25
CV	0.79	1.23	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	6.06%	21.21%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
2	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	42.42%	21.21%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	0.94	+0.45
SD	1.14	0.83	1.28
CV	0.82	0.88	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	39.39%
1	9.09%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	39.39%
2	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	39.39%	21.21%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.00	-0.06
SD	1.03	0.90	1.46
CV	1.10	0.90	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	18.18%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	42.42%
1	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.39%	36.36%	12.12%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	0.97	+0.12
SD	1.21	1.02	1.56
CV	1.11	1.05	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	24.24%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	42.42%
2	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
3	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	60.61%	36.36%	3.03%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	0.42	+1.24
SD	1.49	0.56	1.64
CV	0.90	1.32	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	27.27%	6.06%	21.21%	—	9.09%	69.70%
1	—	3.03%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
2	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	30.30%	18.18%	33.33%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.45	2.15	-1.70
SD	0.79	1.44	1.67
CV	1.75	0.67	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Vukovar	1555	72	60.89	+11.11	93.0%	42	51	56	61	65	74	78
Opatija	1455	68	49.62	+18.38	99.0%	34	37	44	50	53	62	70
Orijent	1420	56	43.41	+12.59	96.0%	28	32	38	43	49	56	63
Sesvete	1378	49	47.61	+1.39	62.0%	34	36	43	47	53	59	63
Cibalia	1377	46	43.26	+2.74	69.0%	26	32	38	42	48	55	62
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1370	46	38.35	+7.65	91.0%	22	28	34	38	42	48	58
Dubrava	1360	46	43.62	+2.38	66.0%	30	33	39	44	47	55	61
Rudes	1340	39	41.59	-2.59	39.0%	29	31	36	41	46	52	57
Jarun	1322	37	40.87	-3.87	37.0%	24	31	35	41	45	53	56
Dugopolje	1315	31	40.26	-9.26	12.0%	26	27	36	40	45	52	59
Croatia Zmijavci	1312	40	39.44	+0.56	57.0%	24	28	35	40	43	51	53
Zrinski Osjecko	1252	9	46.95	-37.95	0.0%	31	34	42	47	51	59	63

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.58%

No Edge

39.90%27.78%32.32%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.15 goals

Neutral

-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

73%

Vukovar, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.12/gm

Tight Race

00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.27 * Lucky: 8.27 to 11.03 * Wild Swing: 11.03 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.98 * Close: 1.98 to 2.97 * Off: 2.97 to 3.96 * Way Off: 3.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

13.66 points

Wild Swing

06.8918

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

02.485

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Opatija

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Zrinski Osjecko

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.130.20.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 78.35

2.23

Wide Separation

0.751.51.82.153

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%63.5%74.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

85%

Clear Edge

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Very Frequent

0%62%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.340.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

3.77

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.17

Weak Carryover

00.380.570.71

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.41

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.079

Well Within Noise

00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Vukovar	73.00%	19.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Opatija	9.00%	24.00%	17.00%	16.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—
Orijent	1.00%	6.00%	11.00%	9.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Sesvete	6.00%	17.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—
Dubrava	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Cibalia	2.00%	6.00%	11.00%	4.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	17.00%	12.00%	16.00%	22.00%
Croatia Zmijavci	—	2.00%	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	18.00%
Rudes	—	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	14.00%	14.00%	8.00%
Jarun	—	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	14.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%	14.00%
Dugopolje	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Zrinski Osjecko	4.00%	14.00%	10.00%	15.00%	8.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Vukovar	73.00%	27.00%	—	—
Opatija	9.00%	87.00%	4.00%	—
Sesvete	6.00%	90.00%	4.00%	—
Dubrava	3.00%	87.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Zrinski Osjecko	4.00%	90.00%	1.00%	5.00%
Cibalia	2.00%	84.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Orijent	1.00%	85.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Rudes	—	78.00%	14.00%	8.00%
Dugopolje	1.00%	67.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Jarun	—	73.00%	13.00%	14.00%
Croatia Zmijavci	—	71.00%	11.00%	18.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo	1.00%	61.00%	16.00%	22.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-08-16	Opatija	W 2-1	47.5	1365	1357	45.13%	30.43%	24.44%	+0.21	+3.6	3
2024-08-16	@ Dubrava	L 1-2	47.5	1357	1365	24.44%	30.43%	45.13%	-0.21	-3.6	0
2024-08-16	Vukovar	L 0-1	45.6	1368	1466	30.37%	31.64%	37.99%	-0.43	-4.6	0
2024-08-16	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	45.6	1466	1368	37.99%	31.64%	30.37%	+0.43	+4.6	3
2024-08-17	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	48.4	1349	1340	45.21%	30.41%	24.38%	+0.21	-0.6	1
2024-08-17	@ Orijent	D 0-0	48.4	1340	1349	24.38%	30.41%	45.21%	-0.21	+0.6	1
2024-08-17	Rudes	W 2-0	38.2	1333	1342	42.82%	30.95%	26.24%	+0.11	+7.7	3
2024-08-17	@ Cibalia	L 0-2	38.2	1342	1333	26.24%	30.95%	42.82%	-0.11	-7.7	0
2024-08-18	Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.8	1342	1350	42.95%	30.92%	26.13%	+0.11	-0.5	1
2024-08-18	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	53.8	1350	1342	26.13%	30.92%	42.95%	-0.11	+0.5	1
2024-08-18	Jarun	L 0-2	50.0	1500	1343	63.88%	22.30%	13.82%	+1.11	-14.7	0
2024-08-18	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-0	50.0	1343	1500	13.82%	22.30%	63.88%	-1.11	+14.7	3
2024-08-23	Sesvete	L 0-1	46.5	1348	1364	41.92%	31.12%	26.96%	+0.07	-5.7	1
2024-08-23	@ Orijent	W 1-0	46.5	1364	1348	26.96%	31.12%	41.92%	-0.07	+5.7	3
2024-08-24	Cibalia	L 0-4	42.0	1342	1341	44.16%	30.66%	25.18%	+0.17	-21.3	1
2024-08-24	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 4-0	42.0	1341	1342	25.18%	30.66%	44.16%	-0.17	+21.3	6
2024-08-24	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	43.7	1470	1485	41.99%	31.10%	26.90%	+0.07	+11.4	6
2024-08-24	@ Vukovar	L 0-3	43.7	1485	1470	26.90%	31.10%	41.99%	-0.07	-11.4	0
2024-08-25	Dubrava	L 1-2	52.1	1334	1368	39.31%	31.51%	29.19%	-0.05	-5.2	0
2024-08-25	@ Rudes	W 2-1	52.1	1368	1334	29.19%	31.51%	39.31%	+0.05	+5.2	6
2024-08-25	Dugopolje	D 2-2	60.3	1358	1351	45.05%	30.45%	24.50%	+0.20	-0.4	4
2024-08-25	@ Jarun	D 2-2	60.3	1351	1358	24.50%	30.45%	45.05%	-0.20	+0.4	2
2024-08-25	Opatija	D 0-0	48.3	1341	1353	42.39%	31.03%	26.58%	+0.09	-0.5	2
2024-08-25	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	48.3	1353	1341	26.58%	31.03%	42.39%	-0.09	+0.5	1
2024-08-30	Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-2	51.4	1369	1341	47.94%	29.63%	22.43%	+0.34	+3.2	6
2024-08-30	@ Sesvete	L 2-3	51.4	1341	1369	22.43%	29.63%	47.94%	-0.34	-3.2	2
2024-08-30	Rudes	W 1-0	40.0	1353	1329	47.35%	29.81%	22.84%	+0.31	+3.6	4
2024-08-30	@ Opatija	L 0-1	40.0	1329	1353	22.84%	29.81%	47.35%	-0.31	-3.6	0
2024-08-31	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-0	34.4	1373	1320	51.14%	28.52%	20.34%	+0.48	+8.9	9
2024-08-31	@ Dubrava	L 0-3	34.4	1320	1373	20.34%	28.52%	51.14%	-0.48	-8.9	1
2024-08-31	Vukovar	L 0-1	44.1	1351	1482	26.36%	30.98%	42.66%	-0.63	-4.1	2
2024-08-31	@ Dugopolje	W 1-0	44.1	1482	1351	42.66%	30.98%	26.36%	+0.63	+4.1	9
2024-09-01	Jarun	D 1-1	54.3	1362	1357	44.67%	30.54%	24.79%	+0.19	-0.5	7
2024-09-01	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	54.3	1357	1362	24.79%	30.54%	44.67%	-0.19	+0.5	5
2024-09-01	Orijent	W 2-0	35.2	1474	1343	60.89%	23.96%	15.15%	+0.96	+4.5	3
2024-09-01	@ Zrinski Osjecko	L 0-2	35.2	1343	1474	15.15%	23.96%	60.89%	-0.96	-4.4	1
2024-09-06	Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	48.6	1373	1478	29.34%	31.53%	39.13%	-0.48	+5.5	9
2024-09-06	@ Sesvete	L 0-1	48.6	1478	1373	39.13%	31.53%	29.34%	+0.48	-5.5	3
2024-09-07	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	47.6	1325	1337	42.40%	31.03%	26.57%	+0.09	+3.9	3
2024-09-07	@ Rudes	L 1-2	47.6	1337	1325	26.57%	31.03%	42.40%	-0.09	-3.9	2
2024-09-07	Dubrava	W 3-1	45.9	1358	1382	40.67%	31.32%	28.01%	+0.01	+7.0	8
2024-09-07	@ Jarun	L 1-3	45.9	1382	1358	28.01%	31.32%	40.67%	-0.01	-7.0	9
2024-09-07	Dugopolje	W 2-0	38.3	1338	1347	42.84%	30.94%	26.21%	+0.11	+7.7	4
2024-09-07	@ Orijent	L 0-2	38.3	1347	1338	26.21%	30.94%	42.84%	-0.11	-7.7	2
2024-09-07	Opatija	L 0-2	41.8	1311	1357	37.64%	31.67%	30.69%	-0.12	-10.0	1
2024-09-07	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	41.8	1357	1311	30.69%	31.67%	37.64%	+0.12	+10.0	7
2024-09-09	Cibalia	W 2-0	36.2	1486	1362	60.07%	24.40%	15.53%	+0.92	+4.6	12
2024-09-09	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	36.2	1362	1486	15.53%	24.40%	60.07%	-0.92	-4.6	7
2024-09-13	Jarun	W 2-1	47.9	1367	1365	44.33%	30.62%	25.05%	+0.17	+3.7	10
2024-09-13	@ Opatija	L 1-2	47.9	1365	1367	25.05%	30.62%	44.33%	-0.17	-3.7	8
2024-09-13	Vukovar	L 1-2	52.1	1375	1490	28.18%	31.35%	40.47%	-0.54	-4.1	9
2024-09-13	@ Dubrava	W 2-1	52.1	1490	1375	40.47%	31.35%	28.18%	+0.54	+4.1	15
2024-09-14	Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	51.9	1473	1333	61.85%	23.44%	14.71%	+1.01	-7.6	3
2024-09-14	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	51.9	1333	1473	14.71%	23.44%	61.85%	-1.01	+7.6	5
2024-09-14	Orijent	D 1-1	54.1	1357	1346	45.56%	30.32%	24.12%	+0.23	-0.6	8
2024-09-14	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	54.1	1346	1357	24.12%	30.32%	45.56%	-0.23	+0.6	5
2024-09-14	Sesvete	D 0-0	48.4	1339	1378	38.61%	31.58%	29.80%	-0.08	-0.3	3
2024-09-14	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	48.4	1378	1339	29.80%	31.58%	38.61%	+0.08	+0.3	10
2024-09-15	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	39.3	1329	1301	47.83%	29.67%	22.50%	+0.33	+3.6	6
2024-09-15	@ Rudes	L 0-1	39.3	1301	1329	22.50%	29.67%	47.83%	-0.33	-3.6	1
2024-09-17	Opatija	D 1-1	59.3	1495	1371	59.99%	24.44%	15.57%	+0.91	-1.3	16
2024-09-17	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	59.3	1371	1495	15.57%	24.44%	59.99%	-0.91	+1.3	11
2024-09-18	Cibalia	W 2-1	47.2	1378	1356	47.02%	29.91%	23.07%	+0.29	+3.5	13
2024-09-18	@ Sesvete	L 1-2	47.2	1356	1378	23.07%	29.91%	47.02%	-0.29	-3.5	8
2024-09-18	Croatia Zmijavci	D 2-2	59.1	1298	1341	37.99%	31.64%	30.37%	-0.10	-0.1	2
2024-09-18	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 2-2	59.1	1341	1298	30.37%	31.64%	37.99%	+0.10	+0.1	6
2024-09-18	Dubrava	W 2-0	39.4	1346	1371	40.59%	31.33%	28.07%	+0.01	+8.1	8
2024-09-18	@ Orijent	L 0-2	39.4	1371	1346	28.07%	31.33%	40.59%	-0.01	-8.1	9
2024-09-18	Dugopolje	L 0-2	48.6	1465	1339	60.30%	24.28%	15.42%	+0.93	-14.1	3
2024-09-18	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-0	48.6	1339	1465	15.42%	24.28%	60.30%	-0.93	+14.1	6
2024-09-19	Rudes	L 1-2	54.0	1361	1333	47.88%	29.65%	22.47%	+0.33	-6.0	8
2024-09-19	@ Jarun	W 2-1	54.0	1333	1361	22.47%	29.65%	47.88%	-0.33	+6.0	9
2024-09-21	Orijent	W 2-0	37.8	1372	1355	46.44%	30.08%	23.48%	+0.27	+7.0	14
2024-09-21	@ Opatija	L 0-2	37.8	1355	1372	23.48%	30.08%	46.44%	-0.27	-7.0	8
2024-09-21	Sesvete	D 0-0	49.0	1363	1382	41.47%	31.20%	27.34%	+0.05	-0.4	10
2024-09-21	@ Dubrava	D 0-0	49.0	1382	1363	27.34%	31.20%	41.47%	-0.05	+0.4	14
2024-09-21	Zrinski Osjecko	W 5-0	43.1	1353	1451	30.30%	31.64%	38.06%	-0.44	+23.6	11
2024-09-21	@ Cibalia	L 0-5	43.1	1451	1353	38.06%	31.64%	30.30%	+0.44	-23.6	3
2024-09-22	Jarun	L 0-2	41.1	1298	1355	35.93%	31.78%	32.29%	-0.19	-9.7	2
2024-09-22	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	41.1	1355	1298	32.29%	31.78%	35.93%	+0.19	+9.7	11
2024-09-23	Vukovar	L 0-1	43.1	1339	1493	23.89%	30.23%	45.88%	-0.78	-3.8	9
2024-09-23	@ Rudes	W 1-0	43.1	1493	1339	45.88%	30.23%	23.89%	+0.78	+3.8	19
2024-09-27	Opatija	D 1-1	54.9	1382	1379	44.45%	30.59%	24.95%	+0.18	-0.5	15
2024-09-27	@ Sesvete	D 1-1	54.9	1379	1382	24.95%	30.59%	44.45%	-0.18	+0.5	15
2024-09-28	Cibalia	D 1-1	54.2	1353	1376	40.79%	31.31%	27.91%	+0.02	-0.3	7
2024-09-28	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	54.2	1376	1353	27.91%	31.31%	40.79%	-0.02	+0.3	12
2024-09-28	Dubrava	L 0-1	50.1	1428	1363	52.66%	27.91%	19.42%	+0.55	-6.8	3
2024-09-28	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	50.1	1363	1428	19.42%	27.91%	52.66%	-0.55	+6.8	13
2024-09-28	Rudes	D 1-1	53.9	1348	1335	45.73%	30.27%	24.00%	+0.24	-0.6	9
2024-09-28	@ Orijent	D 1-1	53.9	1335	1348	24.00%	30.27%	45.73%	-0.24	+0.6	10
2024-09-29	Jarun	W 1-0	42.2	1341	1365	40.74%	31.31%	27.95%	+0.02	+4.3	9
2024-09-29	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	42.2	1365	1341	27.95%	31.31%	40.74%	-0.02	-4.3	11
2024-10-04	Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-1	51.0	1380	1421	38.30%	31.61%	30.09%	-0.09	+4.3	18
2024-10-04	@ Opatija	L 1-2	51.0	1421	1380	30.09%	31.61%	38.30%	+0.09	-4.3	3
2024-10-05	Croatia Zmijavci	D 3-3	64.0	1377	1346	48.27%	29.53%	22.20%	+0.35	-0.5	13
2024-10-05	@ Cibalia	D 3-3	64.0	1346	1377	22.20%	29.53%	48.27%	-0.35	+0.5	10
2024-10-05	Dugopolje	W 2-0	37.7	1369	1353	46.34%	30.11%	23.56%	+0.26	+7.0	16
2024-10-05	@ Dubrava	L 0-2	37.7	1353	1369	23.56%	30.11%	46.34%	-0.26	-7.0	7
2024-10-05	Orijent	D 0-0	47.4	1288	1347	35.75%	31.78%	32.46%	-0.20	-0.1	3
2024-10-05	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 0-0	47.4	1347	1288	32.46%	31.78%	35.75%	+0.20	+0.1	10
2024-10-05	Sesvete	W 2-0	40.3	1336	1382	37.62%	31.67%	30.71%	-0.12	+8.7	13
2024-10-05	@ Rudes	L 0-2	40.3	1382	1336	30.71%	31.67%	37.62%	+0.12	-8.7	15
2024-10-06	Vukovar	D 1-1	57.1	1361	1497	25.77%	30.83%	43.41%	-0.67	+0.5	12
2024-10-06	@ Jarun	D 1-1	57.1	1497	1361	43.41%	30.83%	25.77%	+0.67	-0.5	20
2024-10-11	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-3	51.6	1373	1288	55.22%	26.80%	17.98%	+0.68	-11.5	15
2024-10-11	@ Sesvete	W 3-1	51.6	1288	1373	17.98%	26.80%	55.22%	-0.68	+11.5	6
2024-10-11	Dubrava	L 1-2	54.0	1376	1377	44.02%	30.69%	25.29%	+0.16	-5.6	13
2024-10-11	@ Cibalia	W 2-1	54.0	1377	1376	25.29%	30.69%	44.02%	-0.16	+5.6	19
2024-10-11	Opatija	D 2-2	60.2	1346	1384	38.69%	31.57%	29.74%	-0.07	-0.2	8
2024-10-11	@ Dugopolje	D 2-2	60.2	1384	1346	29.74%	31.57%	38.69%	+0.07	+0.2	19
2024-10-11	Rudes	D 1-1	55.8	1416	1344	53.59%	27.53%	18.89%	+0.60	-1.0	4
2024-10-11	@ Zrinski Osjecko	D 1-1	55.8	1344	1416	18.89%	27.53%	53.59%	-0.60	+1.0	14
2024-10-12	Jarun	D 1-1	53.9	1347	1361	42.08%	31.09%	26.83%	+0.07	-0.4	11
2024-10-12	@ Orijent	D 1-1	53.9	1361	1347	26.83%	31.09%	42.08%	-0.07	+0.4	13
2024-10-13	Vukovar	W 1-0	49.9	1346	1497	24.27%	30.37%	45.36%	-0.75	+6.1	13
2024-10-13	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	49.9	1497	1346	45.36%	30.37%	24.27%	+0.75	-6.1	20
2024-10-16	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	58.7	1490	1299	67.76%	20.03%	12.21%	+1.32	-1.6	21
2024-10-16	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	58.7	1299	1490	12.21%	20.03%	67.76%	-1.32	+1.6	7
2024-10-16	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	48.4	1345	1352	43.13%	30.89%	25.98%	+0.12	-0.5	9
2024-10-16	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	48.4	1352	1345	25.98%	30.89%	43.13%	-0.12	+0.5	14
2024-10-18	Cibalia	D 1-1	54.9	1384	1371	45.87%	30.24%	23.90%	+0.24	-0.6	20
2024-10-18	@ Opatija	D 1-1	54.9	1371	1384	23.90%	30.24%	45.87%	-0.24	+0.6	14
2024-10-19	Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	48.2	1382	1353	48.04%	29.60%	22.36%	+0.34	-6.3	19
2024-10-19	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	48.2	1353	1382	22.36%	29.60%	48.04%	-0.34	+6.3	17
2024-10-19	Dugopolje	L 1-2	53.1	1345	1345	44.11%	30.67%	25.22%	+0.16	-5.6	14
2024-10-19	@ Rudes	W 2-1	53.1	1345	1345	25.22%	30.67%	44.11%	-0.16	+5.6	12
2024-10-19	Sesvete	L 1-2	53.5	1362	1361	44.07%	30.68%	25.25%	+0.16	-5.6	13
2024-10-19	@ Jarun	W 2-1	53.5	1361	1362	25.25%	30.68%	44.07%	-0.16	+5.6	18
2024-10-19	Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	46.1	1301	1415	28.27%	31.37%	40.36%	-0.53	+5.6	10
2024-10-19	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	46.1	1415	1301	40.36%	31.37%	28.27%	+0.53	-5.6	4
2024-10-20	Orijent	L 0-1	52.6	1489	1347	62.20%	23.25%	14.56%	+1.02	-7.6	21
2024-10-20	@ Vukovar	W 1-0	52.6	1347	1489	14.56%	23.25%	62.20%	-1.02	+7.7	14
2024-10-25	Dubrava	D 0-0	49.5	1384	1376	45.10%	30.43%	24.46%	+0.21	-0.6	21
2024-10-25	@ Opatija	D 0-0	49.5	1376	1384	24.46%	30.43%	45.10%	-0.21	+0.6	20
2024-10-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	54.0	1351	1307	49.95%	28.96%	21.10%	+0.43	-0.8	13
2024-10-26	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	54.0	1307	1351	21.10%	28.96%	49.95%	-0.43	+0.8	11
2024-10-26	Cibalia	W 1-0	42.6	1340	1371	39.65%	31.46%	28.89%	-0.03	+4.4	17
2024-10-26	@ Rudes	L 0-1	42.6	1371	1340	28.89%	31.46%	39.65%	+0.03	-4.4	14
2024-10-27	Orijent	D 1-1	54.2	1359	1354	44.68%	30.54%	24.78%	+0.19	-0.5	18
2024-10-27	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	54.2	1354	1359	24.78%	30.54%	44.68%	-0.19	+0.5	15
2024-10-27	Sesvete	W 1-0	39.7	1481	1367	58.83%	25.05%	16.12%	+0.85	+2.5	24
2024-10-27	@ Vukovar	L 0-1	39.7	1367	1481	16.12%	25.05%	58.83%	-0.85	-2.5	18
2024-10-27	Zrinski Osjecko	W 2-1	50.9	1356	1410	36.47%	31.75%	31.78%	-0.17	+4.4	16
2024-10-27	@ Jarun	L 1-2	50.9	1410	1356	31.78%	31.75%	36.47%	+0.17	-4.5	4
2024-11-01	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	47.2	1383	1358	47.37%	29.81%	22.82%	+0.31	+3.4	24
2024-11-01	@ Opatija	L 1-2	47.2	1358	1383	22.82%	29.81%	47.37%	-0.31	-3.4	18
2024-11-01	Orijent	D 3-3	63.7	1365	1355	45.37%	30.37%	24.26%	+0.22	-0.4	19
2024-11-01	@ Sesvete	D 3-3	63.7	1355	1365	24.26%	30.37%	45.37%	-0.22	+0.4	16
2024-11-02	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	38.5	1367	1307	51.98%	28.19%	19.83%	+0.52	+3.2	17
2024-11-02	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	38.5	1307	1367	19.83%	28.19%	51.98%	-0.52	-3.2	11
2024-11-02	Jarun	D 0-0	48.5	1350	1360	42.56%	31.00%	26.44%	+0.09	-0.5	14
2024-11-02	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	48.5	1360	1350	26.44%	31.00%	42.56%	-0.09	+0.5	17
2024-11-02	Vukovar	L 1-3	51.1	1405	1484	32.98%	31.80%	35.22%	-0.32	-7.9	4
2024-11-02	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-1	51.1	1484	1405	35.22%	31.80%	32.98%	+0.32	+7.9	27
2024-11-03	Rudes	W 1-0	40.1	1376	1344	48.40%	29.49%	22.12%	+0.36	+3.5	23
2024-11-03	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	40.1	1344	1376	22.12%	29.49%	48.40%	-0.36	-3.5	17
2024-11-08	Cibalia	L 1-2	53.3	1361	1370	42.78%	30.96%	26.27%	+0.10	-5.5	17
2024-11-08	@ Jarun	W 2-1	53.3	1370	1361	26.27%	30.96%	42.78%	-0.10	+5.5	20
2024-11-09	Dubrava	D 1-1	53.4	1304	1380	33.35%	31.81%	34.85%	-0.30	+0.0	12
2024-11-09	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	53.4	1380	1304	34.85%	31.81%	33.35%	+0.30	-0.0	24
2024-11-09	Dugopolje	W 5-0	34.4	1492	1349	62.22%	23.24%	14.55%	+1.03	+9.9	30
2024-11-09	@ Vukovar	L 0-5	34.4	1349	1492	14.55%	23.24%	62.22%	-1.03	-9.9	14
2024-11-09	Opatija	L 1-2	52.0	1341	1386	37.65%	31.67%	30.68%	-0.12	-5.0	17
2024-11-09	@ Rudes	W 2-1	52.0	1386	1341	30.68%	31.67%	37.65%	+0.12	+5.0	27
2024-11-09	Zrinski Osjecko	D 2-2	60.6	1355	1398	38.11%	31.63%	30.26%	-0.10	-0.2	17
2024-11-09	@ Orijent	D 2-2	60.6	1398	1355	30.26%	31.63%	38.11%	+0.10	+0.2	5
2024-11-10	Sesvete	L 0-4	42.2	1355	1364	42.77%	30.96%	26.27%	+0.10	-20.8	18
2024-11-10	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	42.2	1364	1355	26.27%	30.96%	42.77%	-0.10	+20.8	22
2024-11-15	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 5-0	33.6	1391	1304	55.48%	26.68%	17.84%	+0.69	+12.6	30
2024-11-15	@ Opatija	L 0-5	33.6	1304	1391	17.84%	26.68%	55.48%	-0.69	-12.6	12
2024-11-15	Jarun	W 1-0	40.7	1380	1355	47.36%	29.81%	22.83%	+0.31	+3.6	27
2024-11-15	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	40.7	1355	1380	22.83%	29.81%	47.36%	-0.31	-3.6	17
2024-11-16	Orijent	D 1-1	53.7	1339	1355	41.87%	31.13%	27.00%	+0.06	-0.4	15
2024-11-16	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.7	1355	1339	27.00%	31.13%	41.87%	-0.06	+0.4	18
2024-11-16	Sesvete	D 0-0	50.0	1398	1385	45.79%	30.26%	23.96%	+0.24	-0.7	6
2024-11-16	@ Zrinski Osjecko	D 0-0	50.0	1385	1398	23.96%	30.26%	45.79%	-0.24	+0.7	23
2024-11-16	Vukovar	W 1-0	50.1	1376	1502	26.92%	31.11%	41.97%	-0.60	+5.7	23
2024-11-16	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	50.1	1502	1376	41.97%	31.11%	26.92%	+0.60	-5.7	30
2024-11-17	Rudes	D 0-0	48.1	1334	1336	43.83%	30.73%	25.43%	+0.15	-0.6	19
2024-11-17	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	48.1	1336	1334	25.43%	30.73%	43.83%	-0.15	+0.6	18
2024-11-22	Dugopolje	W 3-1	42.7	1386	1339	50.31%	28.83%	20.86%	+0.44	+5.5	26
2024-11-22	@ Sesvete	L 1-3	42.7	1339	1386	20.86%	28.83%	50.31%	-0.44	-5.5	15
2024-11-23	Cibalia	W 2-1	49.2	1355	1381	40.44%	31.36%	28.21%	+0.00	+4.1	21
2024-11-23	@ Orijent	L 1-2	49.2	1381	1355	28.21%	31.36%	40.44%	+0.00	-4.1	23
2024-11-23	Rudes	W 1-0	42.3	1292	1336	37.81%	31.66%	30.53%	-0.11	+4.6	15
2024-11-23	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	42.3	1336	1292	30.53%	31.66%	37.81%	+0.11	-4.6	18
2024-11-24	Opatija	L 0-1	45.8	1352	1404	36.74%	31.73%	31.53%	-0.16	-5.2	17
2024-11-24	@ Jarun	W 1-0	45.8	1404	1352	31.53%	31.73%	36.74%	+0.16	+5.2	33
2024-11-24	Zrinski Osjecko	D 2-2	60.2	1334	1397	35.10%	31.80%	33.10%	-0.23	-0.0	20
2024-11-24	@ Croatia Zmijavci	D 2-2	60.2	1397	1334	33.10%	31.80%	35.10%	+0.23	+0.0	7
2024-11-25	Dubrava	W 1-0	40.7	1496	1384	58.61%	25.16%	16.23%	+0.84	+2.6	33
2024-11-25	@ Vukovar	L 0-1	40.7	1384	1496	16.23%	25.16%	58.61%	-0.84	-2.6	27
2024-11-29	Vukovar	D 0-0	52.9	1409	1498	31.47%	31.73%	36.80%	-0.38	+0.2	34
2024-11-29	@ Opatija	D 0-0	52.9	1498	1409	36.80%	31.73%	31.47%	+0.38	-0.2	34
2024-11-30	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	47.1	1334	1296	49.07%	29.26%	21.67%	+0.39	-6.4	20
2024-11-30	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	47.1	1296	1334	21.67%	29.26%	49.07%	-0.39	+6.4	18
2024-11-30	Orijent	L 0-3	43.5	1381	1359	46.97%	29.93%	23.11%	+0.29	-17.0	27
2024-11-30	@ Dubrava	W 3-0	43.5	1359	1381	23.11%	29.93%	46.97%	-0.29	+17.0	24
2024-11-30	Sesvete	D 0-0	49.4	1377	1391	42.13%	31.08%	26.79%	+0.08	-0.5	24
2024-11-30	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	49.4	1391	1377	26.79%	31.08%	42.13%	-0.08	+0.5	27
2024-11-30	Zrinski Osjecko	D 3-3	63.5	1333	1397	35.08%	31.80%	33.12%	-0.23	-0.0	16
2024-11-30	@ Dugopolje	D 3-3	63.5	1397	1333	33.12%	31.80%	35.08%	+0.23	+0.0	8
2024-12-01	Jarun	D 1-1	53.6	1332	1347	41.97%	31.11%	26.92%	+0.07	-0.4	19
2024-12-01	@ Rudes	D 1-1	53.6	1347	1332	26.92%	31.11%	41.97%	-0.07	+0.4	18
2025-02-14	Dubrava	W 3-0	36.3	1392	1364	47.79%	29.68%	22.53%	+0.33	+9.8	30
2025-02-14	@ Sesvete	L 0-3	36.3	1364	1392	22.53%	29.68%	47.79%	-0.33	-9.8	27
2025-02-15	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	47.5	1347	1303	50.00%	28.94%	21.06%	+0.43	-6.5	18
2025-02-15	@ Jarun	W 1-0	47.5	1303	1347	21.06%	28.94%	50.00%	-0.43	+6.5	21
2025-02-15	Opatija	D 0-0	49.7	1377	1409	39.48%	31.48%	29.03%	-0.04	-0.3	25
2025-02-15	@ Orijent	D 0-0	49.7	1409	1377	29.03%	31.48%	39.48%	+0.04	+0.3	35
2025-02-16	Dugopolje	W 1-0	41.0	1327	1333	43.17%	30.88%	25.95%	+0.12	+4.0	23
2025-02-16	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	41.0	1333	1327	25.95%	30.88%	43.17%	-0.12	-4.0	16
2025-02-18	Cibalia	L 1-3	51.7	1397	1377	46.80%	29.97%	23.22%	+0.28	-10.1	8
2025-02-18	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-1	51.7	1377	1397	23.22%	29.97%	46.80%	-0.28	+10.2	27
2025-02-19	Rudes	D 1-1	59.1	1498	1331	65.06%	21.62%	13.32%	+1.17	-1.5	35
2025-02-19	@ Vukovar	D 1-1	59.1	1331	1498	13.32%	21.62%	65.06%	-1.17	+1.5	20
2025-02-21	Sesvete	D 0-0	50.5	1410	1401	45.16%	30.42%	24.42%	+0.21	-0.6	36
2025-02-21	@ Opatija	D 0-0	50.5	1401	1410	24.42%	30.42%	45.16%	-0.21	+0.6	31
2025-02-22	Croatia Zmijavci	D 1-1	53.7	1341	1331	45.32%	30.38%	24.30%	+0.22	-0.6	19
2025-02-22	@ Jarun	D 1-1	53.7	1331	1341	24.30%	30.38%	45.32%	-0.22	+0.6	24
2025-02-22	Dugopolje	W 2-1	45.5	1387	1329	51.73%	28.29%	19.98%	+0.51	+3.0	30
2025-02-22	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	45.5	1329	1387	19.98%	28.29%	51.73%	-0.51	-3.0	16
2025-02-22	Orijent	W 2-0	40.1	1333	1376	37.96%	31.64%	30.40%	-0.10	+8.6	23
2025-02-22	@ Rudes	L 0-2	40.1	1376	1333	30.40%	31.64%	37.96%	+0.10	-8.6	25
2025-02-22	Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	43.1	1354	1387	39.46%	31.49%	29.05%	-0.04	+4.4	30
2025-02-22	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	43.1	1387	1354	29.05%	31.49%	39.46%	+0.04	-4.4	8
2025-02-23	Vukovar	D 1-1	56.4	1309	1497	20.87%	28.83%	50.29%	-0.98	+0.8	22
2025-02-23	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	D 1-1	56.4	1497	1309	50.29%	28.83%	20.87%	+0.98	-0.8	36
2025-02-28	Rudes	W 1-0	39.4	1402	1341	52.12%	28.13%	19.74%	+0.53	+3.2	34
2025-02-28	@ Sesvete	L 0-1	39.4	1341	1402	19.74%	28.13%	52.12%	-0.53	-3.2	23
2025-03-01	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-2	49.9	1368	1310	51.72%	28.29%	19.99%	+0.51	+2.9	28
2025-03-01	@ Orijent	L 2-3	49.9	1310	1368	19.99%	28.29%	51.72%	-0.51	-2.9	22
2025-03-01	Jarun	D 0-0	53.6	1496	1340	63.79%	22.35%	13.86%	+1.11	-1.6	37
2025-03-01	@ Vukovar	D 0-0	53.6	1340	1496	13.86%	22.35%	63.79%	-1.11	+1.6	20
2025-03-01	Opatija	D 0-0	49.8	1383	1409	40.38%	31.37%	28.26%	+0.00	-0.4	9
2025-03-01	@ Zrinski Osjecko	D 0-0	49.8	1409	1383	28.26%	31.37%	40.38%	+0.00	+0.4	37
2025-03-02	Cibalia	W 2-1	50.3	1332	1390	35.85%	31.78%	32.37%	-0.19	+4.5	27
2025-03-02	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-2	50.3	1390	1332	32.37%	31.78%	35.85%	+0.19	-4.5	30
2025-03-02	Dubrava	W 2-0	39.3	1326	1358	39.56%	31.47%	28.96%	-0.03	+8.3	19
2025-03-02	@ Dugopolje	L 0-2	39.3	1358	1326	28.96%	31.47%	39.56%	+0.03	-8.3	30
2025-03-07	Dugopolje	W 2-0	35.8	1409	1335	53.91%	27.39%	18.70%	+0.61	+5.6	40
2025-03-07	@ Opatija	L 0-2	35.8	1335	1409	18.70%	27.39%	53.91%	-0.61	-5.7	19
2025-03-08	Cibalia	W 1-0	43.2	1350	1385	39.12%	31.53%	29.35%	-0.05	+4.5	33
2025-03-08	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	43.2	1385	1350	29.35%	31.53%	39.12%	+0.05	-4.5	30
2025-03-08	Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	33.0	1494	1336	64.03%	22.22%	13.75%	+1.12	+7.5	40
2025-03-08	@ Vukovar	L 0-4	33.0	1336	1494	13.75%	22.22%	64.03%	-1.12	-7.5	27
2025-03-08	Orijent	L 1-2	52.4	1342	1370	40.02%	31.42%	28.56%	-0.02	-5.2	20
2025-03-08	@ Jarun	W 2-1	52.4	1370	1342	28.56%	31.42%	40.02%	+0.02	+5.2	31
2025-03-08	Sesvete	L 1-2	49.5	1307	1405	30.33%	31.64%	38.03%	-0.43	-4.3	22
2025-03-08	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	49.5	1405	1307	38.03%	31.64%	30.33%	+0.43	+4.3	37
2025-03-09	Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	43.3	1338	1382	37.88%	31.65%	30.46%	-0.11	+4.6	26
2025-03-09	@ Rudes	L 0-1	43.3	1382	1338	30.46%	31.65%	37.88%	+0.11	-4.6	9
2025-03-14	Jarun	L 0-1	49.4	1409	1336	53.72%	27.47%	18.81%	+0.60	-6.9	37
2025-03-14	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	49.4	1336	1409	18.81%	27.47%	53.72%	-0.60	+6.9	23
2025-03-15	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	48.5	1378	1303	53.92%	27.38%	18.70%	+0.61	-6.9	9
2025-03-15	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	48.5	1303	1378	18.70%	27.38%	53.92%	-0.61	+6.9	25
2025-03-15	Opatija	L 0-1	47.3	1381	1415	39.32%	31.50%	29.18%	-0.05	-5.5	30
2025-03-15	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	47.3	1415	1381	29.18%	31.50%	39.32%	+0.05	+5.5	43
2025-03-15	Rudes	L 2-3	57.3	1329	1343	42.14%	31.08%	26.78%	+0.08	-5.1	19
2025-03-15	@ Dugopolje	W 3-2	57.3	1343	1329	26.78%	31.08%	42.14%	-0.08	+5.1	29
2025-03-15	Vukovar	L 0-1	45.6	1376	1502	26.91%	31.11%	41.99%	-0.61	-4.2	31
2025-03-15	@ Orijent	W 1-0	45.6	1502	1376	41.99%	31.11%	26.91%	+0.61	+4.2	43
2025-03-16	Dubrava	W 3-1	45.1	1329	1355	40.44%	31.36%	28.20%	+0.00	+7.0	30
2025-03-16	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-3	45.1	1355	1329	28.20%	31.36%	40.44%	+0.00	-7.1	33
2025-03-21	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-1	49.3	1403	1310	56.20%	26.35%	17.46%	+0.72	-7.1	37
2025-03-21	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	49.3	1310	1403	17.46%	26.35%	56.20%	-0.72	+7.1	28
2025-03-22	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	34.5	1506	1336	65.42%	21.42%	13.17%	+1.19	+3.7	46
2025-03-22	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	34.5	1336	1506	13.17%	21.42%	65.42%	-1.19	-3.7	30
2025-03-22	Jarun	L 0-1	46.8	1348	1343	44.64%	30.55%	24.81%	+0.19	-6.0	33
2025-03-22	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	46.8	1343	1348	24.81%	30.55%	44.64%	-0.19	+6.0	26
2025-03-22	Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	41.7	1376	1371	44.71%	30.53%	24.76%	+0.19	+3.9	33
2025-03-22	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	41.7	1371	1376	24.76%	30.53%	44.71%	-0.19	-3.9	9
2025-03-23	Dugopolje	D 1-1	54.5	1372	1324	50.44%	28.78%	20.78%	+0.45	-0.8	32
2025-03-23	@ Orijent	D 1-1	54.5	1324	1372	20.78%	28.78%	50.44%	-0.45	+0.8	20
2025-03-26	Rudes	D 1-1	56.0	1420	1348	53.64%	27.50%	18.86%	+0.60	-1.0	44
2025-03-26	@ Opatija	D 1-1	56.0	1348	1420	18.86%	27.50%	53.64%	-0.60	+1.0	30
2025-03-28	Sesvete	L 0-2	42.8	1349	1395	37.57%	31.68%	30.76%	-0.12	-10.0	26
2025-03-28	@ Jarun	W 2-0	42.8	1395	1349	30.76%	31.68%	37.57%	+0.12	+10.0	40
2025-03-29	Dubrava	W 2-1	47.9	1325	1342	41.71%	31.16%	27.14%	+0.06	+4.0	23
2025-03-29	@ Dugopolje	L 1-2	47.9	1342	1325	27.14%	31.16%	41.71%	-0.06	-4.0	33
2025-03-29	Opatija	L 0-1	43.3	1317	1419	29.76%	31.58%	38.67%	-0.46	-4.5	28
2025-03-29	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 1-0	43.3	1419	1317	38.67%	31.58%	29.76%	+0.46	+4.5	47
2025-03-29	Orijent	L 1-3	50.3	1367	1371	43.51%	30.81%	25.69%	+0.14	-9.6	9
2025-03-29	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-1	50.3	1371	1367	25.69%	30.81%	43.51%	-0.14	+9.6	35
2025-03-29	Vukovar	L 0-1	43.6	1349	1510	23.27%	29.99%	46.74%	-0.82	-3.7	30
2025-03-29	@ Rudes	W 1-0	43.6	1510	1349	46.74%	29.99%	23.27%	+0.82	+3.7	49
2025-03-30	Croatia Zmijavci	D 0-0	49.2	1379	1332	50.40%	28.79%	20.81%	+0.45	-0.9	34
2025-03-30	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	49.2	1332	1379	20.81%	28.79%	50.40%	-0.45	+0.9	31
2025-04-04	Dugopolje	W 1-0	38.6	1405	1329	54.19%	27.27%	18.55%	+0.63	+3.0	43
2025-04-04	@ Sesvete	L 0-1	38.6	1329	1405	18.55%	27.27%	54.19%	-0.63	-3.0	23
2025-04-04	Jarun	W 2-1	45.2	1424	1339	55.18%	26.82%	18.00%	+0.67	+2.7	50
2025-04-04	@ Opatija	L 1-2	45.2	1339	1424	18.00%	26.82%	55.18%	-0.67	-2.7	26
2025-04-05	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-0	33.0	1513	1312	68.83%	19.38%	11.78%	+1.38	+3.2	52
2025-04-05	@ Vukovar	L 0-2	33.0	1312	1513	11.78%	19.38%	68.83%	-1.38	-3.2	28
2025-04-05	Zrinski Osjecko	W 5-0	37.9	1338	1357	41.33%	31.22%	27.45%	+0.04	+18.6	36
2025-04-05	@ Dubrava	L 0-5	37.9	1357	1338	27.45%	31.22%	41.33%	-0.04	-18.6	9
2025-04-06	Cibalia	D 2-2	61.0	1380	1379	44.29%	30.63%	25.08%	+0.17	-0.4	36
2025-04-06	@ Orijent	D 2-2	61.0	1379	1380	25.08%	30.63%	44.29%	-0.17	+0.4	35
2025-04-06	Rudes	L 0-4	41.5	1333	1345	42.35%	31.04%	26.61%	+0.09	-20.6	31
2025-04-06	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 4-0	41.5	1345	1333	26.61%	31.04%	42.35%	-0.09	+20.6	33
2025-04-11	Vukovar	D 0-0	52.0	1337	1517	21.51%	29.18%	49.31%	-0.93	+0.9	27
2025-04-11	@ Jarun	D 0-0	52.0	1517	1337	49.31%	29.18%	21.51%	+0.93	-0.9	53
2025-04-12	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-0	35.3	1380	1312	53.01%	27.77%	19.22%	+0.57	+5.8	39
2025-04-12	@ Orijent	L 0-2	35.3	1312	1380	19.22%	27.77%	53.01%	-0.57	-5.8	31
2025-04-12	Dubrava	L 1-2	54.4	1379	1356	47.12%	29.88%	23.00%	+0.30	-5.9	35
2025-04-12	@ Cibalia	W 2-1	54.4	1356	1379	23.00%	29.88%	47.12%	-0.30	+5.9	39
2025-04-12	Opatija	L 1-4	43.9	1326	1427	29.95%	31.60%	38.45%	-0.45	-10.4	23
2025-04-12	@ Dugopolje	W 4-1	43.9	1427	1326	38.45%	31.60%	29.95%	+0.45	+10.4	53
2025-04-12	Sesvete	L 0-1	44.9	1339	1408	34.18%	31.81%	34.01%	-0.26	-5.0	9
2025-04-12	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 1-0	44.9	1408	1339	34.01%	31.81%	34.18%	+0.26	+5.0	46
2025-04-13	Rudes	W 2-0	40.2	1309	1366	36.07%	31.77%	32.16%	-0.18	+9.0	31
2025-04-13	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-2	40.2	1366	1309	32.16%	31.77%	36.07%	+0.18	-9.0	33
2025-04-17	Cibalia	L 1-2	55.8	1413	1373	49.48%	29.12%	21.40%	+0.41	-6.1	46
2025-04-17	@ Sesvete	W 2-1	55.8	1373	1413	21.40%	29.12%	49.48%	-0.41	+6.1	38
2025-04-18	Dugopolje	W 3-0	31.7	1516	1315	68.78%	19.41%	11.80%	+1.38	+4.7	56
2025-04-18	@ Vukovar	L 0-3	31.7	1315	1516	11.80%	19.41%	68.78%	-1.38	-4.7	23
2025-04-18	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	33.7	1437	1334	57.52%	25.71%	16.77%	+0.79	+7.3	56
2025-04-18	@ Opatija	L 0-3	33.7	1334	1437	16.77%	25.71%	57.52%	-0.79	-7.3	9
2025-04-19	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-3	48.7	1307	1318	42.44%	31.02%	26.54%	+0.09	-9.4	31
2025-04-19	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 3-1	48.7	1318	1307	26.54%	31.02%	42.44%	-0.09	+9.4	34
2025-04-19	Jarun	L 0-2	44.3	1357	1337	46.69%	30.01%	23.30%	+0.28	-11.7	33
2025-04-19	@ Rudes	W 2-0	44.3	1337	1357	23.30%	30.01%	46.69%	-0.28	+11.7	30
2025-04-19	Orijent	L 0-1	46.7	1362	1386	40.77%	31.31%	27.92%	+0.02	-5.6	39
2025-04-19	@ Dubrava	W 1-0	46.7	1386	1362	27.92%	31.31%	40.77%	-0.02	+5.6	42
2025-04-25	Vukovar	L 0-6	38.5	1326	1520	20.33%	28.51%	51.16%	-1.02	-17.1	9
2025-04-25	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 6-0	38.5	1520	1326	51.16%	28.51%	20.33%	+1.02	+17.1	59
2025-04-26	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-5	43.1	1349	1328	46.97%	29.93%	23.11%	+0.29	-27.5	30
2025-04-26	@ Jarun	W 5-0	43.1	1328	1349	23.11%	29.93%	46.97%	-0.29	+27.5	37
2025-04-26	Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	38.3	1357	1297	51.97%	28.19%	19.84%	+0.52	+3.2	42
2025-04-26	@ Dubrava	L 0-1	38.3	1297	1357	19.84%	28.19%	51.97%	-0.52	-3.2	31
2025-04-26	Opatija	L 0-2	43.6	1379	1444	34.85%	31.81%	33.34%	-0.24	-9.5	38
2025-04-26	@ Cibalia	W 2-0	43.6	1444	1379	33.34%	31.81%	34.85%	+0.24	+9.5	59
2025-04-26	Rudes	D 0-0	47.7	1311	1345	39.21%	31.52%	29.27%	-0.05	-0.3	24
2025-04-26	@ Dugopolje	D 0-0	47.7	1345	1311	29.27%	31.52%	39.21%	+0.05	+0.3	34
2025-04-27	Sesvete	W 2-0	40.5	1391	1407	41.84%	31.13%	27.03%	+0.06	+7.9	45
2025-04-27	@ Orijent	L 0-2	40.5	1407	1391	27.03%	31.13%	41.84%	-0.06	-7.9	46
2025-05-01	Dubrava	L 1-3	52.0	1399	1360	49.38%	29.16%	21.46%	+0.40	-10.6	46
2025-05-01	@ Sesvete	W 3-1	52.0	1360	1399	21.46%	29.16%	49.38%	-0.40	+10.6	45
2025-05-02	Orijent	L 2-3	62.6	1454	1399	51.34%	28.44%	20.22%	+0.49	-6.0	59
2025-05-02	@ Opatija	W 3-2	62.6	1399	1454	20.22%	28.44%	51.34%	-0.49	+6.0	48
2025-05-03	Cibalia	W 4-2	45.9	1537	1370	65.16%	21.57%	13.28%	+1.18	+2.9	62
2025-05-03	@ Vukovar	L 2-4	45.9	1370	1537	13.28%	21.57%	65.16%	-1.18	-2.9	38
2025-05-03	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	34.6	1346	1309	48.94%	29.31%	21.76%	+0.38	+9.5	37
2025-05-03	@ Rudes	L 0-3	34.6	1309	1346	21.76%	29.31%	48.94%	-0.38	-9.5	9
2025-05-04	Dugopolje	W 3-1	42.1	1355	1310	50.06%	28.92%	21.02%	+0.43	+5.5	40
2025-05-04	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-3	42.1	1310	1355	21.02%	28.92%	50.06%	-0.43	-5.5	24
2025-05-04	Jarun	L 0-1	45.0	1294	1322	40.19%	31.39%	28.42%	-0.01	-5.6	31
2025-05-04	@ Croatia Zmijavci	W 1-0	45.0	1322	1294	28.42%	31.39%	40.19%	+0.01	+5.6	33
2025-05-09	Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-1	49.0	1389	1288	57.15%	25.89%	16.96%	+0.77	-7.2	46
2025-05-09	@ Sesvete	W 1-0	49.0	1288	1389	16.96%	25.89%	57.15%	-0.77	+7.2	34
2025-05-09	Rudes	W 3-1	44.1	1367	1355	45.64%	30.30%	24.06%	+0.23	+6.2	41
2025-05-09	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	44.1	1355	1367	24.06%	30.30%	45.64%	-0.23	-6.2	37
2025-05-10	BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 0-3	39.6	1300	1361	35.47%	31.79%	32.73%	-0.21	-13.9	9
2025-05-10	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	39.6	1361	1300	32.73%	31.79%	35.47%	+0.21	+13.9	43
2025-05-10	Jarun	W 2-1	47.8	1305	1327	40.93%	31.28%	27.79%	+0.02	+4.0	27
2025-05-10	@ Dugopolje	L 1-2	47.8	1327	1305	27.79%	31.28%	40.93%	-0.02	-4.0	33
2025-05-10	Vukovar	D 1-1	60.0	1405	1540	25.88%	30.86%	43.26%	-0.66	+0.5	49
2025-05-10	@ Orijent	D 1-1	60.0	1540	1405	43.26%	30.86%	25.88%	+0.66	-0.5	63
2025-05-11	Opatija	L 1-2	52.4	1370	1448	33.09%	31.80%	35.11%	-0.31	-4.6	45
2025-05-11	@ Dubrava	W 2-1	52.4	1448	1370	35.11%	31.80%	33.09%	+0.31	+4.6	62
2025-05-16	Sesvete	W 1-0	40.9	1452	1382	53.42%	27.60%	18.98%	+0.59	+3.0	65
2025-05-16	@ Opatija	L 0-1	40.9	1382	1452	18.98%	27.60%	53.42%	-0.59	-3.0	46
2025-05-17	Cibalia	L 2-3	58.8	1374	1373	44.26%	30.64%	25.10%	+0.17	-5.3	43
2025-05-17	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 3-2	58.8	1373	1374	25.10%	30.64%	44.26%	-0.17	+5.3	44
2025-05-17	Dubrava	W 2-1	45.7	1540	1366	65.88%	21.14%	12.98%	+1.22	+1.8	66
2025-05-17	@ Vukovar	L 1-2	45.7	1366	1540	12.98%	21.14%	65.88%	-1.22	-1.8	45
2025-05-17	Orijent	D 0-0	49.0	1349	1406	36.05%	31.77%	32.18%	-0.18	-0.1	38
2025-05-17	@ Rudes	D 0-0	49.0	1406	1349	32.18%	31.77%	36.05%	+0.18	+0.1	50
2025-05-17	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	34.2	1323	1286	49.08%	29.26%	21.66%	+0.39	+9.5	36
2025-05-17	@ Jarun	L 0-3	34.2	1286	1323	21.66%	29.26%	49.08%	-0.39	-9.5	9
2025-05-18	Dugopolje	W 4-1	41.1	1296	1309	42.21%	31.06%	26.72%	+0.08	+9.6	37
2025-05-18	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 1-4	41.1	1309	1296	26.72%	31.06%	42.21%	-0.08	-9.6	27
2025-05-23	Vukovar	L 0-3	40.9	1379	1542	23.03%	29.90%	47.07%	-0.83	-10.0	46
2025-05-23	@ Sesvete	W 3-0	40.9	1542	1379	47.07%	29.90%	23.03%	+0.83	+10.0	69
2025-05-24	BSK Bijelo Brdo	W 2-1	47.3	1406	1369	48.98%	29.29%	21.73%	+0.38	+3.3	53
2025-05-24	@ Orijent	L 1-2	47.3	1369	1406	21.73%	29.29%	48.98%	-0.38	-3.3	43
2025-05-24	Croatia Zmijavci	W 2-1	42.8	1455	1305	63.14%	22.72%	14.14%	+1.07	+2.0	68
2025-05-24	@ Opatija	L 1-2	42.8	1305	1455	14.14%	22.72%	63.14%	-1.07	-2.1	37
2025-05-24	Dugopolje	L 0-3	40.4	1276	1299	40.86%	31.29%	27.84%	+0.02	-15.4	9
2025-05-24	@ Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	40.4	1299	1276	27.84%	31.29%	40.86%	-0.02	+15.4	30
2025-05-24	Jarun	D 1-1	54.6	1378	1333	50.17%	28.88%	20.95%	+0.44	-0.8	45
2025-05-24	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	54.6	1333	1378	20.95%	28.88%	50.17%	-0.44	+0.8	37
2025-05-24	Rudes	D 0-0	48.8	1364	1349	46.12%	30.17%	23.72%	+0.25	-0.7	46
2025-05-24	@ Dubrava	D 0-0	48.8	1349	1364	23.72%	30.17%	46.12%	-0.25	+0.7	39
2025-05-30	Dubrava	W 2-1	47.9	1366	1363	44.41%	30.60%	24.99%	+0.18	+3.7	46
2025-05-30	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	L 1-2	47.9	1363	1366	24.99%	30.60%	44.41%	-0.18	-3.7	46
2025-05-31	Cibalia	D 1-1	53.5	1315	1377	35.19%	31.80%	33.01%	-0.22	-0.1	31
2025-05-31	@ Dugopolje	D 1-1	53.5	1377	1315	33.01%	31.80%	35.19%	+0.22	+0.1	46
2025-05-31	Orijent	L 1-4	44.9	1333	1409	33.37%	31.81%	34.83%	-0.30	-11.3	37
2025-05-31	@ Jarun	W 4-1	44.9	1409	1333	34.83%	31.81%	33.37%	+0.30	+11.3	56
2025-05-31	Zrinski Osjecko	W 3-0	33.7	1303	1261	49.72%	29.04%	21.24%	+0.42	+9.3	40
2025-05-31	@ Croatia Zmijavci	L 0-3	33.7	1261	1303	21.24%	29.04%	49.72%	-0.42	-9.3	9
2025-06-01	Opatija	W 1-0	45.9	1552	1457	56.39%	26.26%	17.35%	+0.73	+2.8	72
2025-06-01	@ Vukovar	L 0-1	45.9	1457	1552	17.35%	26.26%	56.39%	-0.73	-2.8	68
2025-06-01	Sesvete	L 1-3	49.5	1349	1369	41.39%	31.21%	27.40%	+0.04	-9.3	39
2025-06-01	@ Rudes	W 3-1	49.5	1369	1349	27.40%	31.21%	41.39%	-0.04	+9.3	49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-08-18	13.82%	Jarun	1343	2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1500	0
2	2024-10-20	14.56%	Orijent	1347	1	@ Vukovar	1489	0
3	2024-09-14	14.71%	Croatia Zmijavci	1333	1	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1473	0
4	2024-09-18	15.42%	Dugopolje	1339	2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1465	0
5	2025-05-09	16.96%	Croatia Zmijavci	1288	1	@ Sesvete	1389	0
6	2025-03-21	17.46%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1310	1	@ Sesvete	1403	0
7	2024-10-11	17.98%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1288	3	@ Sesvete	1373	1
8	2025-03-15	18.70%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1303	1	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1378	0
9	2025-03-14	18.81%	Jarun	1336	1	@ Sesvete	1409	0
10	2024-09-28	19.42%	Dubrava	1363	1	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1428	0
11	2025-05-02	20.22%	Orijent	1399	3	@ Opatija	1454	2
12	2025-02-15	21.06%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1303	1	@ Jarun	1347	0
13	2025-04-17	21.40%	Cibalia	1373	2	@ Sesvete	1413	1
14	2025-05-01	21.46%	Dubrava	1360	3	@ Sesvete	1399	1
15	2024-11-30	21.67%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1296	1	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1334	0
16	2024-10-19	22.36%	Croatia Zmijavci	1353	1	@ Dubrava	1382	0
17	2024-09-19	22.47%	Rudes	1333	2	@ Jarun	1361	1
18	2025-04-12	23.00%	Dubrava	1356	2	@ Cibalia	1379	1
19	2024-11-30	23.11%	Orijent	1359	3	@ Dubrava	1381	0
20	2025-04-26	23.11%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1328	5	@ Jarun	1349	0
21	2025-02-18	23.22%	Cibalia	1377	3	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1397	1
22	2025-04-19	23.30%	Jarun	1337	2	@ Rudes	1357	0
23	2024-10-13	24.27%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1346	1	Vukovar	1497	0
24	2025-03-22	24.81%	Jarun	1343	1	@ Dubrava	1348	0
25	2025-05-17	25.10%	Cibalia	1373	3	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1374	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-04-26	27.46	BSK Bijelo Brdo	5	1328	23.11%	@ Jarun	0	1349	46.97%	29.93%
2	2024-09-21	23.56	@ Cibalia	5	1353	30.30%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1451	38.06%	31.64%
3	2024-08-24	21.28	Cibalia	4	1341	25.18%	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1342	44.16%	30.66%
4	2024-11-10	20.79	Sesvete	4	1364	26.27%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	0	1355	42.77%	30.96%
5	2025-04-06	20.64	Rudes	4	1345	26.61%	@ Croatia Zmijavci	0	1333	42.35%	31.04%
6	2025-04-05	18.65	@ Dubrava	5	1338	41.33%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1357	27.45%	31.22%
7	2025-04-25	17.07	Vukovar	6	1520	51.16%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1326	20.33%	28.51%
8	2024-11-30	17.05	Orijent	3	1359	23.11%	@ Dubrava	0	1381	46.97%	29.93%
9	2025-05-24	15.40	Dugopolje	3	1299	27.84%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1276	40.86%	31.29%
10	2024-08-18	14.68	Jarun	2	1343	13.82%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1500	63.88%	22.30%
11	2024-09-18	14.11	Dugopolje	2	1339	15.42%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1465	60.30%	24.28%
12	2025-05-10	13.93	BSK Bijelo Brdo	3	1361	32.73%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1300	35.47%	31.79%
13	2024-11-15	12.56	@ Opatija	5	1391	55.48%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1304	17.84%	26.68%
14	2025-04-19	11.69	Jarun	2	1337	23.30%	@ Rudes	0	1357	46.69%	30.01%
15	2024-10-11	11.47	BSK Bijelo Brdo	3	1288	17.98%	@ Sesvete	1	1373	55.22%	26.80%
16	2024-08-24	11.40	@ Vukovar	3	1470	41.99%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1485	26.90%	31.10%
17	2025-05-31	11.26	Orijent	4	1409	34.83%	@ Jarun	1	1333	33.37%	31.81%
18	2025-05-01	10.56	Dubrava	3	1360	21.46%	@ Sesvete	1	1399	49.38%	29.16%
19	2025-04-12	10.43	Opatija	4	1427	38.45%	@ Dugopolje	1	1326	29.95%	31.60%
20	2025-02-18	10.15	Cibalia	3	1377	23.22%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1	1397	46.80%	29.97%
21	2025-05-23	10.02	Vukovar	3	1542	47.07%	@ Sesvete	0	1379	23.03%	29.90%
22	2024-09-07	9.99	Opatija	2	1357	30.69%	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1311	37.64%	31.67%
23	2025-03-28	9.98	Sesvete	2	1395	30.76%	@ Jarun	0	1349	37.57%	31.68%
24	2024-11-09	9.91	@ Vukovar	5	1492	62.22%	Dugopolje	0	1349	14.55%	23.24%
25	2025-02-14	9.83	@ Sesvete	3	1392	47.79%	Dubrava	0	1364	22.53%	29.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-10-05	64.0	@ Cibalia	3	1377	48.27%	Croatia Zmijavci	3	1346	22.20%	29.53%
2	2024-11-01	63.7	@ Sesvete	3	1365	45.37%	Orijent	3	1355	24.26%	30.37%
3	2024-11-30	63.5	@ Dugopolje	3	1333	35.08%	Zrinski Osjecko	3	1397	33.12%	31.80%
4	2025-05-02	62.6	Orijent	3	1399	20.22%	@ Opatija	2	1454	51.34%	28.44%
5	2025-04-06	61.0	@ Orijent	2	1380	44.29%	Cibalia	2	1379	25.08%	30.63%
6	2024-11-09	60.6	@ Orijent	2	1355	38.11%	Zrinski Osjecko	2	1398	30.26%	31.63%
7	2024-08-25	60.3	@ Jarun	2	1358	45.05%	Dugopolje	2	1351	24.50%	30.45%
8	2024-10-11	60.2	@ Dugopolje	2	1346	38.69%	Opatija	2	1384	29.74%	31.57%
9	2024-11-24	60.2	@ Croatia Zmijavci	2	1334	35.10%	Zrinski Osjecko	2	1397	33.10%	31.80%
10	2025-05-10	60.0	@ Orijent	1	1405	25.88%	Vukovar	1	1540	43.26%	30.86%
11	2024-09-17	59.3	@ Vukovar	1	1495	59.99%	Opatija	1	1371	15.57%	24.44%
12	2024-09-18	59.1	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1298	37.99%	Croatia Zmijavci	2	1341	30.37%	31.64%
13	2025-02-19	59.1	@ Vukovar	1	1498	65.06%	Rudes	1	1331	13.32%	21.62%
14	2025-05-17	58.8	Cibalia	3	1373	25.10%	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	2	1374	44.26%	30.64%
15	2024-10-16	58.7	@ Vukovar	1	1490	67.76%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	1	1299	12.21%	20.03%
16	2025-03-15	57.3	Rudes	3	1343	26.78%	@ Dugopolje	2	1329	42.14%	31.08%
17	2024-10-06	57.1	@ Jarun	1	1361	25.77%	Vukovar	1	1497	43.41%	30.83%
18	2025-02-23	56.4	@ BSK Bijelo Brdo	1	1309	20.87%	Vukovar	1	1497	50.29%	28.83%
19	2025-03-26	56.0	@ Opatija	1	1420	53.64%	Rudes	1	1348	18.86%	27.50%
20	2024-10-11	55.8	@ Zrinski Osjecko	1	1416	53.59%	Rudes	1	1344	18.89%	27.53%
21	2025-04-17	55.8	Cibalia	2	1373	21.40%	@ Sesvete	1	1413	49.48%	29.12%
22	2024-09-27	54.9	@ Sesvete	1	1382	44.45%	Opatija	1	1379	24.95%	30.59%
23	2024-10-18	54.9	@ Opatija	1	1384	45.87%	Cibalia	1	1371	23.90%	30.24%
24	2025-05-24	54.6	@ Cibalia	1	1378	50.17%	Jarun	1	1333	20.95%	28.88%
25	2025-03-23	54.5	@ Orijent	1	1372	50.44%	Dugopolje	1	1324	20.78%	28.78%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-04-18	31.7	@ Vukovar	3	1516	68.78%	Dugopolje	0	1315	11.80%	19.41%
2	2025-03-08	33.0	@ Vukovar	4	1494	64.03%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1336	13.75%	22.22%
3	2025-04-05	33.0	@ Vukovar	2	1513	68.83%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1312	11.78%	19.38%
4	2024-11-15	33.6	@ Opatija	5	1391	55.48%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1304	17.84%	26.68%
5	2025-04-18	33.7	@ Opatija	3	1437	57.52%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1334	16.77%	25.71%
6	2025-05-31	33.7	@ Croatia Zmijavci	3	1303	49.72%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1261	21.24%	29.04%
7	2025-05-17	34.2	@ Jarun	3	1323	49.08%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1286	21.66%	29.26%
8	2024-08-31	34.4	@ Dubrava	3	1373	51.14%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1320	20.34%	28.52%
9	2024-11-09	34.4	@ Vukovar	5	1492	62.22%	Dugopolje	0	1349	14.55%	23.24%
10	2025-03-22	34.5	@ Vukovar	2	1506	65.42%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1336	13.17%	21.42%
11	2025-05-03	34.6	@ Rudes	3	1346	48.94%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1309	21.76%	29.31%
12	2024-09-01	35.2	@ Zrinski Osjecko	2	1474	60.89%	Orijent	0	1343	15.15%	23.96%
13	2025-04-12	35.3	@ Orijent	2	1380	53.01%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1312	19.22%	27.77%
14	2025-03-07	35.8	@ Opatija	2	1409	53.91%	Dugopolje	0	1335	18.70%	27.39%
15	2024-09-09	36.2	@ Vukovar	2	1486	60.07%	Cibalia	0	1362	15.53%	24.40%
16	2025-02-14	36.3	@ Sesvete	3	1392	47.79%	Dubrava	0	1364	22.53%	29.68%
17	2024-10-05	37.7	@ Dubrava	2	1369	46.34%	Dugopolje	0	1353	23.56%	30.11%
18	2024-09-21	37.8	@ Opatija	2	1372	46.44%	Orijent	0	1355	23.48%	30.08%
19	2025-04-05	37.9	@ Dubrava	5	1338	41.33%	Zrinski Osjecko	0	1357	27.45%	31.22%
20	2024-08-17	38.2	@ Cibalia	2	1333	42.82%	Rudes	0	1342	26.24%	30.95%
21	2024-09-07	38.3	@ Orijent	2	1338	42.84%	Dugopolje	0	1347	26.21%	30.94%
22	2025-04-26	38.3	@ Dubrava	1	1357	51.97%	Croatia Zmijavci	0	1297	19.84%	28.19%
23	2024-11-02	38.5	@ Cibalia	1	1367	51.98%	BSK Bijelo Brdo	0	1307	19.83%	28.19%
24	2025-04-25	38.5	Vukovar	6	1520	51.16%	@ Zrinski Osjecko	0	1326	20.33%	28.51%
25	2025-04-04	38.6	@ Sesvete	1	1405	54.19%	Dugopolje	0	1329	18.55%	27.27%