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2025-26 Prva nogometna liga Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rudes

17.24 points above expected

65 points · 47.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Orijent

11.41 points below expected

38 points · 49.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 65 49 29 +20 47.76 +17.24
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 58 51 33 +18 49.06 +8.94
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 57 42 28 +14 49.77 +7.23
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 54 40 38 +2 41.41 +12.59
5 Dubrava 33 13 8 12 47 39 46 -7 41.20 +5.80
6 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 42 40 45 -5 52.33 -10.33
7 BSK Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 42 30 30 0 44.98 -2.98
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 40 31 38 -7 42.93 -2.93
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 38 40 41 -1 49.41 -11.41
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36 36 48 -12 46.91 -10.91
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 35 32 46 -14 36.72 -1.72
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 33 34 42 -8 39.04 -6.04

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rudes 65 47.76 +17.24
2 Dugopolje 54 41.41 +12.59
3 Cibalia 58 49.06 +8.94
4 Sesvete 57 49.77 +7.23
5 Dubrava 47 41.20 +5.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Orijent 38 49.41 -11.41
2 Hrvace 36 46.91 -10.91
3 Karlovac 42 52.33 -10.33
4 Jarun 33 39.04 -6.04
5 BSK Bijelo Brdo 42 44.98 -2.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sesvete 8 Feb 14 – Apr 2 1 in 817
2 Cibalia 6 Nov 9 – Feb 22 1 in 161
3 Dubrava 4 May 9 – May 30 1 in 112
4 Dugopolje 4 Nov 15 – Feb 14 1 in 104
5 Rudes 4 Oct 10 – Nov 2 1 in 68

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orijent 5 Nov 15 – Feb 21 1 in 539
2 BSK Bijelo Brdo 5 Sep 17 – Oct 10 1 in 150
3 Karlovac 5 Apr 18 – May 16 1 in 98
4 Hrvace 4 Nov 29 – Feb 20 1 in 56
5 Croatia Zmijavci 4 Aug 30 – Sep 17 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sesvete 8 Sep 7 – Oct 17 1 in 54
2 Opatija 6 Nov 22 – Mar 6 1 in 32
3 Dubrava 5 May 2 – May 30 1 in 22
4 Rudes 6 Oct 10 – Nov 15 1 in 17
5 Croatia Zmijavci 4 Sep 21 – Oct 12 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orijent 10 Oct 11 – Feb 21 1 in 357
2 Hrvace 9 Oct 17 – Feb 20 1 in 74
3 Opatija 8 Sep 7 – Oct 17 1 in 43
4 Sesvete 6 Oct 12 – Nov 14 1 in 34
5 Karlovac 5 Sep 26 – Oct 25 1 in 31

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rudes 1472 65 +39 10 7.9 +2.1
Cibalia 1455 58 +16 10 7.4 +2.6
Sesvete 1444 57 -14 6 7.9 -1.9
Dugopolje 1368 54 -30 6 6.8 -0.8
Dubrava 1347 47 +39 13 5.6 +7.4
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1375 42 -1 7 7.1 -0.1
Karlovac 1343 42 -40 3 6.0 -3.0
Opatija 1387 40 +27 10 7.0 +3.0
Orijent 1379 38 +2 6 7.3 -1.3
Hrvace 1354 36 -45 3 7.5 -4.5
Croatia Zmijavci 1317 35 +26 9 5.2 +3.8
Jarun 1320 33 -20 4 6.4 -2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BBB CIB CZ DUB DUG HRV JAR KAR OPA ORI RUD SES
BSK Bijelo Brdo —
0-1-2
3.84
1-1-1
4.94
1-1-1
4.36
2-0-1
3.95
1-0-2
4.32
2-1-0
4.87
0-0-3
3.33
2-1-0
4.24
1-2-0
3.84
0-1-2
3.82
1-1-1
3.53
Cibalia
2-1-0
4.36
—
3-0-0
5.10
0-2-1
4.60
1-0-2
4.28
0-1-2
3.58
1-1-1
4.86
2-0-1
4.06
3-0-0
4.66
2-0-1
4.53
1-1-1
3.87
2-1-0
4.26
Croatia Zmijavci
1-1-1
3.26
0-0-3
3.13
—
1-0-2
3.59
0-1-2
4.05
2-1-0
3.36
0-1-2
4.30
1-1-1
3.26
0-1-2
3.39
3-0-0
2.85
1-0-2
3.44
0-2-1
3.15
Dubrava
1-1-1
3.82
1-2-0
3.58
2-0-1
4.61
—
1-0-2
3.84
2-1-0
3.23
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
3.05
2-0-1
4.17
1-2-0
3.64
1-1-1
3.30
0-0-3
3.59
Dugopolje
1-0-2
4.24
2-0-1
3.90
2-1-0
4.12
2-0-1
4.35
—
3-0-0
3.66
1-2-0
4.32
2-0-1
2.99
1-1-1
3.98
0-1-2
3.38
1-0-2
4.04
1-1-1
3.27
Hrvace
2-0-1
3.86
2-1-0
4.62
0-1-2
4.84
0-1-2
4.97
0-0-3
4.53
—
2-0-1
4.77
1-0-2
3.60
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-1
4.29
0-0-3
3.85
1-1-1
3.79
Jarun
0-1-2
3.33
1-1-1
3.34
2-1-0
3.89
1-1-1
4.30
0-2-1
3.87
1-0-2
3.44
—
1-0-2
2.98
1-1-1
3.57
1-0-2
3.52
0-2-1
3.32
0-0-3
3.67
Karlovac
3-0-0
4.87
1-0-2
4.16
1-1-1
4.94
2-0-1
5.16
1-0-2
5.24
2-0-1
4.59
2-0-1
5.24
—
0-1-2
4.53
0-1-2
4.04
1-0-2
4.57
0-0-3
4.07
Opatija
0-1-2
3.94
0-0-3
3.53
2-1-0
4.81
1-0-2
4.02
1-1-1
4.21
1-1-1
3.44
1-1-1
4.61
2-1-0
3.68
—
1-2-0
3.25
0-1-2
3.81
1-1-1
3.41
Orijent
0-2-1
4.34
1-0-2
3.67
0-0-3
5.38
0-2-1
4.54
2-1-0
4.82
1-1-1
3.88
2-0-1
4.68
2-1-0
4.15
0-2-1
4.96
—
1-1-1
4.81
0-1-2
4.01
Rudes
2-1-0
4.37
1-1-1
4.33
2-0-1
4.75
1-1-1
4.92
2-0-1
4.14
3-0-0
4.35
1-2-0
4.89
2-0-1
3.62
2-1-0
4.38
1-1-1
3.38
—
2-1-0
4.19
Sesvete
1-1-1
4.66
0-1-2
3.92
1-2-0
5.10
3-0-0
4.61
1-1-1
4.93
1-1-1
4.38
3-0-0
4.52
3-0-0
4.15
1-1-1
4.83
2-1-0
4.18
0-1-2
4.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +12.8
Allowed 0.51 -10.4
Differential 0.83 +8.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%11.87%6.06%4.29%1.77%0.25%31.31%
111.87%13.13%8.08%2.78%0.76%—36.62%
26.06%8.08%3.54%1.52%0.25%—19.44%
34.29%2.78%1.52%—0.51%—9.09%
41.77%0.76%0.25%0.51%——3.28%
5+0.25%—————0.25%
Total31.31%36.62%19.44%9.09%3.28%0.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.67
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%18.18%12.12%—3.03%—45.45%
112.12%12.12%6.06%———30.30%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total39.39%36.36%21.21%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 0.91 +0.00
SD 1.07 0.95 1.66
CV 1.18 1.04 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
115.15%6.06%18.18%———39.39%
212.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
3—3.03%9.09%———12.12%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total42.42%18.18%36.36%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.00 +0.55
SD 1.09 0.97 1.42
CV 0.71 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%6.06%—9.09%—33.33%
112.12%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
23.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%24.24%3.03%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.39 -0.42
SD 0.92 1.27 1.84
CV 0.95 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
112.12%9.09%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%15.15%6.06%———27.27%
3——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%21.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.39 -0.21
SD 1.04 1.27 1.52
CV 0.88 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%—12.12%3.03%—33.33%
112.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
26.06%15.15%————21.21%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%51.52%3.03%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.15 +0.06
SD 1.14 1.09 1.78
CV 0.94 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%6.06%9.09%——39.39%
16.06%3.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
2—12.12%6.06%———18.18%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%33.33%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.45 -0.36
SD 1.18 1.06 1.67
CV 1.08 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%15.15%———36.36%
13.03%15.15%12.12%6.06%——36.36%
26.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
3—6.06%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%33.33%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.24
SD 1.05 0.84 1.48
CV 1.01 0.66 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.15%6.06%15.15%——36.36%
112.12%6.06%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%18.18%21.21%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.36 -0.15
SD 1.34 1.08 2.08
CV 1.11 0.80 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—42.42%
16.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
26.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%15.15%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.15 -0.21
SD 1.00 1.03 1.60
CV 1.06 0.90 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
16.06%27.27%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
23.03%3.03%3.03%6.06%——15.15%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%51.52%12.12%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.24 -0.03
SD 1.17 1.03 1.70
CV 0.96 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——3.03%——12.12%
127.27%15.15%—3.03%3.03%—48.48%
29.09%6.06%—6.06%——21.21%
36.06%6.06%——3.03%—15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total54.55%27.27%—12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.88 +0.61
SD 1.00 1.27 1.56
CV 0.68 1.44 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
118.18%15.15%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
29.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—24.24%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%33.33%15.15%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.85 +0.42
SD 0.94 1.00 1.44
CV 0.74 1.18 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rudes 1472 65 47.76 +17.24 99.0% 27 35 42 47 53 60 70
Cibalia 1455 58 49.06 +8.94 89.0% 31 37 44 49 55 62 67
Sesvete 1444 57 49.77 +7.23 85.0% 30 37 45 49 53 64 71
Opatija 1387 40 42.93 -2.93 37.0% 26 32 37 43 48 55 56
Orijent 1379 38 49.41 -11.41 12.0% 30 36 43 50 55 65 72
BSK Bijelo Brdo 1375 42 44.98 -2.98 41.0% 27 34 39 44 51 58 67
Dugopolje 1368 54 41.41 +12.59 95.0% 24 32 37 41 46 54 59
Hrvace 1354 36 46.91 -10.91 8.0% 30 34 42 48 52 56 71
Dubrava 1347 47 41.20 +5.80 80.0% 24 29 37 41 45 51 61
Karlovac 1343 42 52.33 -10.33 10.0% 37 38 47 52 57 64 66
Jarun 1320 33 39.04 -6.04 16.0% 23 28 35 39 43 50 58
Croatia Zmijavci 1317 35 36.72 -1.72 42.0% 24 26 32 36 41 49 61

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.75%
Clear Edge
50.51%23.74%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
240 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
087.80800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.8
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Rudes, 5th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.84 * Wild Swing: 11.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.07 * Close: 2.07 to 3.1 * Off: 3.1 to 4.13 * Way Off: 4.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.27 points
Lucky
07.4019
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.83
Close
02.586
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Rudes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Hrvace
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 51.40
1.38
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
71%
Even
50%74%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.54
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.05
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.14
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
-0.01
Overconfident
01.002.309
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rudes11.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%
Cibalia17.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%16.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%—
Sesvete13.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Dugopolje—3.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%
Dubrava1.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%
Karlovac30.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
BSK Bijelo Brdo7.00%6.00%4.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%
Opatija2.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%
Orijent13.00%15.00%16.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Hrvace5.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%
Croatia Zmijavci1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%19.00%35.00%
Jarun—3.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%21.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Karlovac 30.00% 69.00% 1.00% —
Cibalia 17.00% 79.00% 4.00% —
Sesvete 13.00% 84.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Orijent 13.00% 79.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Rudes 11.00% 84.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Hrvace 5.00% 89.00% 4.00% 2.00%
BSK Bijelo Brdo 7.00% 82.00% 6.00% 5.00%
Opatija 2.00% 77.00% 10.00% 11.00%
Dugopolje — 76.00% 13.00% 11.00%
Dubrava 1.00% 74.00% 11.00% 14.00%
Jarun — 62.00% 21.00% 17.00%
Croatia Zmijavci 1.00% 45.00% 19.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-08-15 Jarun W 2-035.2 1432 1342 56.02% 24.65% 19.33%+0.74 +7.7 3
2025-08-15 @ Karlovac L 0-235.2 1342 1432 19.33% 24.65% 56.02%-0.74 -7.7 0
2025-08-16 Opatija W 4-039.8 1371 1423 37.35% 27.69% 34.95%+0.15 +24.2 3
2025-08-16 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-439.8 1423 1371 34.95% 27.69% 37.35%-0.15 -24.2 0
2025-08-16 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-341.7 1365 1336 48.44% 26.57% 24.99%+0.49 -23.7 0
2025-08-16 @ Dubrava W 3-041.7 1336 1365 24.99% 26.57% 48.44%-0.49 +23.7 3
2025-08-16 Orijent L 0-439.0 1337 1402 35.55% 27.70% 36.75%+0.10 -24.5 0
2025-08-16 @ Dugopolje W 4-039.0 1402 1337 36.75% 27.70% 35.55%-0.10 +24.5 3
2025-08-16 Cibalia W 3-252.3 1449 1376 53.99% 25.26% 20.75%+0.67 +3.9 3
2025-08-16 @ Hrvace L 2-352.3 1376 1449 20.75% 25.26% 53.99%-0.67 -3.9 0
2025-08-17 Sesvete D 0-050.2 1353 1376 41.45% 27.50% 31.05%+0.27 -0.4 1
2025-08-17 @ Rudes D 0-050.2 1376 1353 31.05% 27.50% 41.45%-0.27 +0.4 1
2025-08-22 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-156.6 1376 1395 42.06% 27.45% 30.49%+0.29 -0.4 2
2025-08-22 @ Sesvete D 1-156.6 1395 1376 30.49% 27.45% 42.06%-0.29 +0.4 4
2025-08-23 Dugopolje D 1-155.1 1334 1313 47.48% 26.75% 25.78%+0.45 -0.8 1
2025-08-23 @ Jarun D 1-155.1 1313 1334 25.78% 26.75% 47.48%-0.45 +0.8 1
2025-08-23 Hrvace W 4-145.9 1426 1453 41.00% 27.53% 31.47%+0.26 +14.4 6
2025-08-23 @ Orijent L 1-445.9 1453 1426 31.47% 27.53% 41.00%-0.26 -14.4 3
2025-08-24 Rudes D 1-156.0 1372 1352 47.20% 26.80% 26.00%+0.45 -0.8 1
2025-08-24 @ Cibalia D 1-156.0 1352 1372 26.00% 26.80% 47.20%-0.45 +0.8 2
2025-08-24 Opatija D 0-050.6 1360 1399 39.19% 27.64% 33.17%+0.20 -0.2 4
2025-08-24 @ Croatia Zmijavci D 0-050.6 1399 1360 33.17% 27.64% 39.19%-0.20 +0.2 1
2025-08-24 Karlovac W 2-042.8 1341 1440 30.94% 27.49% 41.57%-0.05 +14.5 3
2025-08-24 @ Dubrava L 0-242.8 1440 1341 41.57% 27.49% 30.94%+0.05 -14.5 3
2025-08-29 Orijent W 3-149.2 1353 1441 32.40% 27.60% 40.00%+0.00 +12.2 5
2025-08-29 @ Rudes L 1-349.2 1441 1353 40.00% 27.60% 32.40%+0.00 -12.2 6
2025-08-30 Dubrava W 2-149.1 1314 1356 38.80% 27.65% 33.54%+0.19 +6.2 4
2025-08-30 @ Dugopolje L 1-249.1 1356 1314 33.54% 27.65% 38.80%-0.19 -6.2 3
2025-08-30 Croatia Zmijavci W 4-139.8 1425 1359 53.11% 25.50% 21.38%+0.64 +10.4 6
2025-08-30 @ Karlovac L 1-439.8 1359 1425 21.38% 25.50% 53.11%-0.64 -10.4 4
2025-08-31 Cibalia D 0-051.1 1395 1371 47.88% 26.68% 25.44%+0.47 -1.0 5
2025-08-31 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-051.1 1371 1395 25.44% 26.68% 47.88%-0.47 +1.0 2
2025-08-31 Sesvete W 2-148.0 1399 1376 47.70% 26.71% 25.59%+0.46 +5.0 4
2025-08-31 @ Opatija L 1-248.0 1376 1399 25.59% 26.71% 47.70%-0.46 -5.0 2
2025-09-05 Rudes D 0-049.7 1333 1365 40.19% 27.59% 32.22%+0.23 -0.3 2
2025-09-05 @ Jarun D 0-049.7 1365 1333 32.22% 27.59% 40.19%-0.23 +0.3 6
2025-09-06 Hrvace W 2-152.9 1349 1438 32.21% 27.59% 40.20%+0.00 +7.1 6
2025-09-06 @ Dubrava L 1-252.9 1438 1349 40.20% 27.59% 32.21%+0.00 -7.1 3
2025-09-06 Dugopolje W 1-037.5 1436 1320 59.00% 23.62% 17.38%+0.85 +3.7 9
2025-09-06 @ Karlovac L 0-137.5 1320 1436 17.38% 23.62% 59.00%-0.85 -3.7 4
2025-09-06 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-158.0 1429 1395 49.12% 26.44% 24.44%+0.51 -0.9 7
2025-09-06 @ Orijent D 1-158.0 1395 1429 24.44% 26.44% 49.12%-0.51 +1.0 6
2025-09-07 Opatija W 2-150.3 1372 1404 40.19% 27.59% 32.22%+0.23 +6.0 5
2025-09-07 @ Cibalia L 1-250.3 1404 1372 32.22% 27.59% 40.19%-0.23 -6.0 4
2025-09-07 Sesvete L 0-145.3 1349 1371 41.60% 27.49% 30.91%+0.27 -7.7 4
2025-09-07 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-045.3 1371 1349 30.91% 27.49% 41.60%-0.27 +7.7 5
2025-09-09 Jarun W 2-145.0 1431 1333 56.97% 24.34% 18.70%+0.77 +3.7 6
2025-09-09 @ Hrvace L 1-245.0 1333 1431 18.70% 24.34% 56.97%-0.77 -3.7 2
2025-09-12 Dubrava W 1-040.9 1366 1356 45.88% 27.00% 27.11%+0.40 +5.5 9
2025-09-12 @ Rudes L 0-140.9 1356 1366 27.11% 27.00% 45.88%-0.40 -5.6 6
2025-09-13 Jarun W 2-035.2 1395 1329 53.15% 25.49% 21.35%+0.64 +8.5 9
2025-09-13 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-235.2 1329 1395 21.35% 25.49% 53.15%-0.64 -8.5 2
2025-09-13 Croatia Zmijavci W 2-037.9 1316 1341 41.15% 27.52% 31.32%+0.26 +11.7 7
2025-09-13 @ Dugopolje L 0-237.9 1341 1316 31.32% 27.52% 41.15%-0.26 -11.7 4
2025-09-13 Karlovac L 1-352.4 1435 1439 44.02% 27.25% 28.73%+0.35 -13.1 6
2025-09-13 @ Hrvace W 3-152.4 1439 1435 28.73% 27.25% 44.02%-0.35 +13.1 12
2025-09-13 Cibalia D 0-050.8 1379 1378 44.71% 27.17% 28.12%+0.37 -0.7 6
2025-09-13 @ Sesvete D 0-050.8 1378 1379 28.12% 27.17% 44.71%-0.37 +0.7 6
2025-09-14 Orijent D 1-157.8 1398 1428 40.53% 27.57% 31.90%+0.24 -0.3 5
2025-09-14 @ Opatija D 1-157.8 1428 1398 31.90% 27.57% 40.53%-0.24 +0.3 8
2025-09-17 Cibalia L 0-144.1 1330 1379 37.78% 27.69% 34.54%+0.16 -7.1 4
2025-09-17 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-044.1 1379 1330 34.54% 27.69% 37.78%-0.16 +7.1 9
2025-09-17 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-044.0 1351 1404 37.20% 27.70% 35.11%+0.14 +6.8 9
2025-09-17 @ Dubrava L 0-144.0 1404 1351 35.11% 27.70% 37.20%-0.14 -6.8 9
2025-09-17 Hrvace W 2-042.1 1328 1422 31.55% 27.54% 40.91%-0.03 +14.3 10
2025-09-17 @ Dugopolje L 0-242.1 1422 1328 40.91% 27.54% 31.55%+0.03 -14.3 6
2025-09-17 Opatija W 2-040.9 1321 1398 33.84% 27.66% 38.50%+0.05 +13.7 5
2025-09-17 @ Jarun L 0-240.9 1398 1321 38.50% 27.66% 33.84%-0.05 -13.7 5
2025-09-17 Rudes W 4-140.1 1452 1371 54.96% 24.97% 20.06%+0.70 +9.8 15
2025-09-17 @ Karlovac L 1-440.1 1371 1452 20.06% 24.97% 54.96%-0.70 -9.8 9
2025-09-17 Sesvete D 1-157.7 1428 1378 51.15% 26.00% 22.85%+0.57 -1.1 9
2025-09-17 @ Orijent D 1-157.7 1378 1428 22.85% 26.00% 51.15%-0.57 +1.1 7
2025-09-20 Orijent L 0-242.8 1386 1427 38.92% 27.65% 33.43%+0.19 -13.8 9
2025-09-20 @ Cibalia W 2-042.8 1427 1386 33.43% 27.65% 38.92%-0.19 +13.8 12
2025-09-20 Dubrava L 1-254.2 1384 1358 48.13% 26.63% 25.24%+0.48 -8.1 5
2025-09-20 @ Opatija W 2-154.2 1358 1384 25.24% 26.63% 48.13%-0.48 +8.1 12
2025-09-20 Jarun W 1-039.4 1379 1334 50.46% 26.16% 23.38%+0.55 +4.9 10
2025-09-20 @ Sesvete L 0-139.4 1334 1379 23.38% 26.16% 50.46%-0.55 -4.9 5
2025-09-21 Karlovac L 0-243.0 1397 1462 35.49% 27.70% 36.81%+0.09 -12.9 9
2025-09-21 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-043.0 1462 1397 36.81% 27.70% 35.49%-0.09 +12.9 18
2025-09-21 Croatia Zmijavci D 1-156.6 1408 1322 55.44% 24.83% 19.73%+0.72 -1.4 7
2025-09-21 @ Hrvace D 1-156.6 1322 1408 19.73% 24.83% 55.44%-0.72 +1.4 5
2025-09-22 Dugopolje W 1-040.2 1362 1342 47.21% 26.80% 26.00%+0.45 +5.4 12
2025-09-22 @ Rudes L 0-140.2 1342 1362 26.00% 26.80% 47.21%-0.45 -5.4 10
2025-09-26 Sesvete L 0-242.4 1366 1384 42.13% 27.45% 30.43%+0.29 -14.6 12
2025-09-26 @ Dubrava W 2-042.4 1384 1366 30.43% 27.45% 42.13%-0.29 +14.6 13
2025-09-26 Opatija D 1-159.4 1475 1376 57.09% 24.29% 18.61%+0.78 -1.5 19
2025-09-26 @ Karlovac D 1-159.4 1376 1475 18.61% 24.29% 57.09%-0.78 +1.5 6
2025-09-27 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-043.2 1337 1384 38.00% 27.68% 34.32%+0.17 +6.7 13
2025-09-27 @ Dugopolje L 0-143.2 1384 1337 34.32% 27.68% 38.00%-0.17 -6.7 9
2025-09-27 Rudes L 0-148.3 1406 1367 49.79% 26.30% 23.91%+0.53 -8.8 7
2025-09-27 @ Hrvace W 1-048.3 1367 1406 23.91% 26.30% 49.79%-0.53 +8.8 15
2025-09-27 Cibalia W 2-149.5 1330 1372 38.73% 27.66% 33.62%+0.19 +6.2 8
2025-09-27 @ Jarun L 1-249.5 1372 1330 33.62% 27.66% 38.73%-0.19 -6.2 9
2025-09-28 Orijent W 1-046.7 1324 1441 28.69% 27.25% 44.06%-0.12 +8.0 8
2025-09-28 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-146.7 1441 1324 44.06% 27.25% 28.69%+0.12 -8.0 12
2025-10-03 Sesvete L 0-151.8 1474 1399 54.23% 25.19% 20.58%+0.68 -9.5 19
2025-10-03 @ Karlovac W 1-051.8 1399 1474 20.58% 25.19% 54.23%-0.68 +9.5 16
2025-10-03 Dugopolje L 0-147.3 1377 1343 49.11% 26.44% 24.44%+0.51 -8.8 6
2025-10-03 @ Opatija W 1-047.3 1343 1377 24.44% 26.44% 49.11%-0.51 +8.8 16
2025-10-04 Jarun W 1-038.4 1433 1336 56.82% 24.39% 18.80%+0.77 +4.0 15
2025-10-04 @ Orijent L 0-138.4 1336 1433 18.80% 24.39% 56.82%-0.77 -4.0 8
2025-10-04 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-342.3 1376 1332 50.37% 26.18% 23.45%+0.55 -24.5 15
2025-10-04 @ Rudes W 3-042.3 1332 1376 23.45% 26.18% 50.37%-0.55 +24.5 11
2025-10-05 Hrvace L 1-253.2 1378 1397 41.93% 27.46% 30.60%+0.28 -7.3 9
2025-10-05 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-153.2 1397 1378 30.60% 27.46% 41.93%-0.28 +7.3 10
2025-10-05 Dubrava D 0-050.2 1366 1351 46.59% 26.90% 26.51%+0.43 -0.8 10
2025-10-05 @ Cibalia D 0-050.2 1351 1366 26.51% 26.90% 46.59%-0.43 +0.9 13
2025-10-10 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 4-037.1 1351 1370 42.00% 27.46% 30.55%+0.29 +21.8 18
2025-10-10 @ Rudes L 0-437.1 1370 1351 30.55% 27.46% 42.00%-0.29 -21.8 9
2025-10-11 Orijent D 2-263.4 1352 1437 32.78% 27.62% 39.60%+0.01 +0.2 14
2025-10-11 @ Dubrava D 2-263.4 1437 1352 39.60% 27.62% 32.78%-0.01 -0.2 16
2025-10-11 Opatija W 3-035.6 1405 1369 49.35% 26.39% 24.26%+0.51 +13.8 13
2025-10-11 @ Hrvace L 0-335.6 1369 1405 24.26% 26.39% 49.35%-0.51 -13.8 6
2025-10-11 Cibalia L 0-151.2 1464 1365 57.08% 24.30% 18.62%+0.78 -9.9 19
2025-10-11 @ Karlovac W 1-051.2 1365 1464 18.62% 24.30% 57.08%-0.78 +9.9 13
2025-10-12 Jarun D 2-262.1 1356 1332 47.89% 26.68% 25.44%+0.47 -0.6 12
2025-10-12 @ Croatia Zmijavci D 2-262.1 1332 1356 25.44% 26.68% 47.89%-0.47 +0.6 9
2025-10-12 Sesvete D 1-156.3 1352 1408 36.81% 27.70% 35.49%+0.13 -0.0 17
2025-10-12 @ Dugopolje D 1-156.3 1408 1352 35.49% 27.70% 36.81%-0.13 +0.0 17
2025-10-17 Rudes L 0-145.6 1355 1373 42.12% 27.45% 30.43%+0.29 -7.8 6
2025-10-17 @ Opatija W 1-045.6 1373 1355 30.43% 27.45% 42.12%-0.29 +7.8 21
2025-10-17 Hrvace D 2-264.4 1408 1418 43.22% 27.34% 29.44%+0.32 -0.4 18
2025-10-17 @ Sesvete D 2-264.4 1418 1408 29.44% 27.34% 43.22%-0.32 +0.4 14
2025-10-18 Croatia Zmijavci W 1-041.3 1349 1356 43.64% 27.29% 29.06%+0.34 +5.9 12
2025-10-18 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-141.3 1356 1349 29.06% 27.29% 43.64%-0.34 -5.9 12
2025-10-18 Karlovac D 1-159.6 1436 1454 42.18% 27.44% 30.38%+0.29 -0.4 17
2025-10-18 @ Orijent D 1-159.6 1454 1436 30.38% 27.44% 42.18%-0.29 +0.4 20
2025-10-19 Dugopolje W 1-040.4 1375 1352 47.65% 26.72% 25.64%+0.46 +5.3 16
2025-10-19 @ Cibalia L 0-140.4 1352 1375 25.64% 26.72% 47.65%-0.46 -5.3 17
2025-10-19 Dubrava D 1-155.2 1332 1352 41.92% 27.46% 30.62%+0.28 -0.4 10
2025-10-19 @ Jarun D 1-155.2 1352 1332 30.62% 27.46% 41.92%-0.28 +0.4 15
2025-10-24 Hrvace D 2-263.7 1380 1419 39.27% 27.63% 33.09%+0.20 -0.2 17
2025-10-24 @ Cibalia D 2-263.7 1419 1380 33.09% 27.63% 39.27%-0.20 +0.2 15
2025-10-24 Dugopolje D 1-157.6 1436 1347 55.91% 24.68% 19.41%+0.74 -1.5 18
2025-10-24 @ Orijent D 1-157.6 1347 1436 19.41% 24.68% 55.91%-0.74 +1.4 18
2025-10-24 Rudes L 0-148.3 1408 1381 48.19% 26.62% 25.19%+0.48 -8.6 18
2025-10-24 @ Sesvete W 1-048.3 1381 1408 25.19% 26.62% 48.19%-0.48 +8.6 24
2025-10-25 Karlovac W 3-150.4 1332 1455 28.00% 27.15% 44.85%-0.14 +13.3 13
2025-10-25 @ Jarun L 1-350.4 1455 1332 44.85% 27.15% 28.00%+0.14 -13.3 20
2025-10-26 Dubrava L 0-145.8 1350 1353 44.25% 27.22% 28.52%+0.35 -8.0 12
2025-10-26 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-045.8 1353 1350 28.52% 27.22% 44.25%-0.35 +8.1 18
2025-10-31 Jarun W 3-143.7 1348 1345 45.02% 27.13% 27.85%+0.38 +9.3 21
2025-10-31 @ Dugopolje L 1-343.7 1345 1348 27.85% 27.13% 45.02%-0.38 -9.3 13
2025-10-31 Dubrava W 1-039.6 1441 1361 54.92% 24.99% 20.10%+0.70 +4.2 23
2025-10-31 @ Karlovac L 0-139.6 1361 1441 20.10% 24.99% 54.92%-0.70 -4.3 18
2025-10-31 Croatia Zmijavci W 2-147.4 1347 1342 45.34% 27.08% 27.58%+0.39 +5.3 9
2025-10-31 @ Opatija L 1-247.4 1342 1347 27.58% 27.08% 45.34%-0.39 -5.3 12
2025-11-01 Sesvete W 2-040.1 1354 1399 38.41% 27.67% 33.93%+0.18 +12.5 15
2025-11-01 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-240.1 1399 1354 33.93% 27.67% 38.41%-0.18 -12.4 18
2025-11-01 Orijent D 0-052.9 1419 1435 42.48% 27.41% 30.10%+0.30 -0.5 16
2025-11-01 @ Hrvace D 0-052.9 1435 1419 30.10% 27.41% 42.48%-0.30 +0.5 19
2025-11-02 Cibalia W 1-041.7 1389 1380 45.89% 27.00% 27.11%+0.40 +5.5 27
2025-11-02 @ Rudes L 0-141.7 1380 1389 27.11% 27.00% 45.89%-0.40 -5.5 17
2025-11-05 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-340.5 1352 1367 42.64% 27.40% 29.96%+0.31 -21.5 9
2025-11-05 @ Opatija W 3-040.5 1367 1352 29.96% 27.40% 42.64%-0.31 +21.4 18
2025-11-07 Rudes D 1-158.3 1435 1395 49.89% 26.28% 23.83%+0.53 -1.0 20
2025-11-07 @ Orijent D 1-158.3 1395 1435 23.83% 26.28% 49.89%-0.53 +1.0 28
2025-11-08 Dugopolje W 1-041.2 1356 1358 44.45% 27.20% 28.35%+0.36 +5.8 21
2025-11-08 @ Dubrava L 0-141.2 1358 1356 28.35% 27.20% 44.45%-0.36 -5.8 21
2025-11-08 Hrvace W 1-045.2 1336 1418 33.09% 27.63% 39.27%+0.02 +7.4 16
2025-11-08 @ Jarun L 0-145.2 1418 1336 39.27% 27.63% 33.09%-0.02 -7.4 16
2025-11-09 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-038.9 1374 1388 42.73% 27.39% 29.88%+0.31 +11.3 20
2025-11-09 @ Cibalia L 0-238.9 1388 1374 29.88% 27.39% 42.73%-0.31 -11.3 18
2025-11-09 Karlovac D 2-263.4 1336 1446 29.63% 27.36% 43.01%-0.09 +0.4 13
2025-11-09 @ Croatia Zmijavci D 2-263.4 1446 1336 43.01% 27.36% 29.63%+0.09 -0.4 24
2025-11-09 Opatija D 0-050.5 1387 1331 51.86% 25.83% 22.31%+0.60 -1.3 19
2025-11-09 @ Sesvete D 0-050.5 1331 1387 22.31% 25.83% 51.86%-0.60 +1.3 10
2025-11-14 Cibalia L 0-144.0 1332 1386 37.14% 27.70% 35.16%+0.14 -7.1 10
2025-11-14 @ Opatija W 1-044.0 1386 1332 35.16% 27.70% 37.14%-0.14 +7.1 23
2025-11-14 Croatia Zmijavci D 1-156.2 1385 1337 50.96% 26.04% 23.00%+0.57 -1.1 20
2025-11-14 @ Sesvete D 1-156.2 1337 1385 23.00% 26.04% 50.96%-0.57 +1.1 14
2025-11-15 Orijent W 3-040.2 1377 1434 36.64% 27.70% 35.66%+0.13 +18.8 21
2025-11-15 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-340.2 1434 1377 35.66% 27.70% 36.64%-0.13 -18.8 20
2025-11-15 Karlovac W 1-046.5 1352 1445 31.62% 27.55% 40.83%-0.02 +7.6 24
2025-11-15 @ Dugopolje L 0-146.5 1445 1352 40.83% 27.55% 31.62%+0.02 -7.6 24
2025-11-15 Dubrava D 0-051.4 1411 1362 51.02% 26.03% 22.96%+0.57 -1.2 17
2025-11-15 @ Hrvace D 0-051.4 1362 1411 22.96% 26.03% 51.02%-0.57 +1.2 22
2025-11-15 Jarun D 1-156.5 1396 1343 51.47% 25.92% 22.61%+0.58 -1.1 29
2025-11-15 @ Rudes D 1-156.5 1343 1396 22.61% 25.92% 51.47%-0.58 +1.1 17
2025-11-22 Rudes W 4-356.9 1363 1395 40.26% 27.58% 32.16%+0.23 +5.5 25
2025-11-22 @ Dubrava L 3-456.9 1395 1363 32.16% 27.58% 40.26%-0.23 -5.5 29
2025-11-22 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 2-262.5 1345 1396 37.47% 27.69% 34.84%+0.15 -0.1 18
2025-11-22 @ Jarun D 2-262.5 1396 1345 34.84% 27.69% 37.47%-0.15 +0.1 22
2025-11-22 Opatija L 0-149.1 1415 1325 56.03% 24.64% 19.33%+0.74 -9.7 20
2025-11-22 @ Orijent W 1-049.1 1325 1415 19.33% 24.64% 56.03%-0.74 +9.8 13
2025-11-23 Dugopolje L 1-251.8 1338 1359 41.67% 27.48% 30.84%+0.28 -7.3 14
2025-11-23 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 2-151.8 1359 1338 30.84% 27.48% 41.67%-0.28 +7.3 27
2025-11-28 Jarun D 1-155.2 1335 1344 43.32% 27.33% 29.35%+0.33 -0.5 14
2025-11-28 @ Opatija D 1-155.2 1344 1335 29.35% 27.33% 43.32%-0.33 +0.5 19
2025-11-28 Orijent W 1-043.3 1384 1406 41.70% 27.48% 30.82%+0.28 +6.2 23
2025-11-28 @ Sesvete L 0-143.3 1406 1384 30.82% 27.48% 41.70%-0.28 -6.1 20
2025-11-29 Dubrava D 0-051.1 1396 1369 48.20% 26.62% 25.18%+0.48 -1.0 23
2025-11-29 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-051.1 1369 1396 25.18% 26.62% 48.20%-0.48 +1.0 26
2025-11-29 Dugopolje L 0-148.5 1410 1367 50.29% 26.19% 23.52%+0.55 -8.9 17
2025-11-29 @ Hrvace W 1-048.5 1367 1410 23.52% 26.19% 50.29%-0.55 +8.9 30
2025-11-30 Croatia Zmijavci W 4-033.9 1393 1331 52.66% 25.62% 21.72%+0.62 +16.4 26
2025-11-30 @ Cibalia L 0-433.9 1331 1393 21.72% 25.62% 52.66%-0.62 -16.4 14
2025-11-30 Karlovac W 2-152.1 1389 1438 37.89% 27.68% 34.43%+0.16 +6.3 32
2025-11-30 @ Rudes L 1-252.1 1438 1389 34.43% 27.68% 37.89%-0.16 -6.3 24
2025-12-04 Sesvete W 1-041.9 1409 1390 47.13% 26.81% 26.06%+0.44 +5.4 29
2025-12-04 @ Cibalia L 0-141.9 1390 1409 26.06% 26.81% 47.13%-0.44 -5.4 23
2025-12-05 Hrvace W 3-037.1 1431 1401 48.65% 26.53% 24.81%+0.49 +14.1 27
2025-12-05 @ Karlovac L 0-337.1 1401 1431 24.81% 26.53% 48.65%-0.49 -14.1 17
2026-02-13 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-041.7 1445 1395 51.23% 25.98% 22.79%+0.58 +4.8 30
2026-02-13 @ Karlovac L 0-141.7 1395 1445 22.79% 25.98% 51.23%-0.58 -4.8 23
2026-02-14 Opatija L 0-147.1 1370 1334 49.30% 26.40% 24.30%+0.51 -8.8 26
2026-02-14 @ Dubrava W 1-047.1 1334 1370 24.30% 26.40% 49.30%-0.51 +8.8 17
2026-02-14 Rudes W 3-145.9 1376 1396 41.87% 27.47% 30.66%+0.28 +10.0 33
2026-02-14 @ Dugopolje L 1-345.9 1396 1376 30.66% 27.47% 41.87%-0.28 -10.0 32
2026-02-14 Sesvete L 0-144.8 1345 1385 39.06% 27.64% 33.29%+0.20 -7.3 19
2026-02-14 @ Jarun W 1-044.8 1385 1345 33.29% 27.64% 39.06%-0.20 +7.3 26
2026-02-15 Hrvace W 2-150.8 1314 1387 34.44% 27.68% 37.87%+0.06 +6.8 17
2026-02-15 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 1-250.8 1387 1314 37.87% 27.68% 34.44%-0.06 -6.8 17
2026-02-15 Cibalia L 2-359.3 1399 1415 42.54% 27.41% 30.05%+0.30 -7.0 20
2026-02-15 @ Orijent W 3-259.3 1415 1399 30.05% 27.41% 42.54%-0.30 +7.0 32
2026-02-20 Karlovac W 2-153.8 1343 1450 29.88% 27.39% 42.73%-0.08 +7.4 20
2026-02-20 @ Opatija L 1-253.8 1450 1343 42.73% 27.39% 29.88%+0.08 -7.4 30
2026-02-20 Hrvace W 1-041.8 1386 1380 45.37% 27.08% 27.55%+0.39 +5.6 35
2026-02-20 @ Rudes L 0-141.8 1380 1386 27.55% 27.08% 45.37%-0.39 -5.6 17
2026-02-21 Dugopolje W 1-042.0 1390 1386 45.23% 27.10% 27.68%+0.38 +5.6 26
2026-02-21 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-142.0 1386 1390 27.68% 27.10% 45.23%-0.38 -5.6 33
2026-02-21 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-148.2 1392 1321 53.78% 25.32% 20.90%+0.66 -9.4 20
2026-02-21 @ Orijent W 1-048.2 1321 1392 20.90% 25.32% 53.78%-0.66 +9.4 20
2026-02-22 Jarun W 3-141.7 1422 1338 55.29% 24.87% 19.83%+0.71 +6.9 35
2026-02-22 @ Cibalia L 1-341.7 1338 1422 19.83% 24.87% 55.29%-0.71 -6.9 19
2026-02-27 Cibalia W 2-152.1 1361 1428 35.16% 27.70% 37.14%+0.09 +6.7 29
2026-02-27 @ Dubrava L 1-252.1 1428 1361 37.14% 27.70% 35.16%-0.09 -6.7 35
2026-02-27 Karlovac W 3-040.5 1392 1443 37.58% 27.69% 34.73%+0.16 +18.4 29
2026-02-27 @ Sesvete L 0-340.5 1443 1392 34.73% 27.69% 37.58%-0.16 -18.4 30
2026-02-28 Opatija D 1-156.1 1380 1351 48.51% 26.56% 24.93%+0.49 -0.9 34
2026-02-28 @ Dugopolje D 1-156.1 1351 1380 24.93% 26.56% 48.51%-0.49 +0.9 21
2026-02-28 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-042.9 1374 1396 41.70% 27.48% 30.82%+0.28 +6.1 20
2026-02-28 @ Hrvace L 0-142.9 1396 1374 30.82% 27.48% 41.70%-0.28 -6.1 26
2026-02-28 Orijent L 1-250.8 1331 1383 37.34% 27.69% 34.97%+0.15 -6.7 19
2026-02-28 @ Jarun W 2-150.8 1383 1331 34.97% 27.69% 37.34%-0.15 +6.7 23
2026-03-01 Rudes L 0-143.8 1330 1391 36.10% 27.70% 36.20%+0.11 -6.9 20
2026-03-01 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 1-043.8 1391 1330 36.20% 27.70% 36.10%-0.11 +6.9 38
2026-03-03 Dubrava W 2-037.0 1411 1368 50.27% 26.20% 23.53%+0.54 +9.3 32
2026-03-03 @ Sesvete L 0-237.0 1368 1411 23.53% 26.20% 50.27%-0.54 -9.3 29
2026-03-06 Hrvace D 0-050.2 1352 1381 40.61% 27.56% 31.83%+0.24 -0.4 22
2026-03-06 @ Opatija D 0-050.2 1381 1352 31.83% 27.56% 40.61%-0.24 +0.4 21
2026-03-07 Rudes D 0-051.3 1390 1398 43.45% 27.32% 29.24%+0.33 -0.6 27
2026-03-07 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-051.3 1398 1390 29.24% 27.32% 43.45%-0.33 +0.6 39
2026-03-07 Croatia Zmijavci W 4-035.4 1324 1324 44.69% 27.17% 28.14%+0.37 +20.4 22
2026-03-07 @ Jarun L 0-435.4 1324 1324 28.14% 27.17% 44.69%-0.37 -20.5 20
2026-03-07 Dubrava D 1-156.4 1390 1358 48.75% 26.51% 24.74%+0.50 -0.9 24
2026-03-07 @ Orijent D 1-156.4 1358 1390 24.74% 26.51% 48.75%-0.50 +0.9 30
2026-03-07 Dugopolje W 3-035.9 1420 1379 50.01% 26.25% 23.73%+0.54 +13.6 35
2026-03-07 @ Sesvete L 0-335.9 1379 1420 23.73% 26.25% 50.01%-0.54 -13.6 34
2026-03-08 Karlovac L 1-255.5 1422 1424 44.26% 27.22% 28.52%+0.35 -7.6 35
2026-03-08 @ Cibalia W 2-155.5 1424 1422 28.52% 27.22% 44.26%-0.35 +7.6 33
2026-03-13 Orijent L 0-344.4 1432 1389 50.31% 26.19% 23.50%+0.55 -24.5 33
2026-03-13 @ Karlovac W 3-044.4 1389 1432 23.50% 26.19% 50.31%-0.55 +24.5 27
2026-03-14 Jarun L 1-349.4 1359 1345 46.60% 26.89% 26.50%+0.43 -13.7 30
2026-03-14 @ Dubrava W 3-149.4 1345 1359 26.50% 26.89% 46.60%-0.43 +13.7 25
2026-03-14 Cibalia W 2-151.1 1365 1414 37.83% 27.68% 34.48%+0.16 +6.3 37
2026-03-14 @ Dugopolje L 1-251.1 1414 1365 34.48% 27.68% 37.83%-0.16 -6.3 35
2026-03-14 Sesvete L 1-252.7 1381 1434 37.26% 27.70% 35.04%+0.15 -6.7 21
2026-03-14 @ Hrvace W 2-152.7 1434 1381 35.04% 27.70% 37.26%-0.15 +6.7 38
2026-03-15 Opatija W 2-036.3 1399 1351 50.85% 26.07% 23.08%+0.56 +9.1 42
2026-03-15 @ Rudes L 0-236.3 1351 1399 23.08% 26.07% 50.85%-0.56 -9.1 22
2026-03-15 BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-155.3 1303 1389 32.62% 27.61% 39.77%+0.01 +0.3 21
2026-03-15 @ Croatia Zmijavci D 1-155.3 1389 1303 39.77% 27.61% 32.62%-0.01 -0.3 28
2026-03-20 Orijent W 2-149.7 1440 1413 48.22% 26.61% 25.16%+0.48 +4.9 41
2026-03-20 @ Sesvete L 1-249.7 1413 1440 25.16% 26.61% 48.22%-0.48 -4.9 27
2026-03-20 Hrvace L 0-148.3 1408 1374 49.03% 26.46% 24.51%+0.50 -8.8 33
2026-03-20 @ Karlovac W 1-048.3 1374 1408 24.51% 26.46% 49.03%-0.50 +8.7 24
2026-03-21 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-038.3 1408 1389 47.18% 26.80% 26.02%+0.45 +10.1 45
2026-03-21 @ Rudes L 0-238.3 1389 1408 26.02% 26.80% 47.18%-0.45 -10.1 28
2026-03-21 Opatija W 2-035.6 1408 1342 53.11% 25.50% 21.38%+0.64 +8.5 38
2026-03-21 @ Cibalia L 0-235.6 1342 1408 21.38% 25.50% 53.11%-0.64 -8.5 22
2026-03-21 Croatia Zmijavci W 2-145.5 1346 1303 50.17% 26.22% 23.61%+0.54 +4.6 33
2026-03-21 @ Dubrava L 1-245.5 1303 1346 23.61% 26.22% 50.17%-0.54 -4.7 21
2026-03-22 Jarun D 0-050.4 1372 1358 46.43% 26.92% 26.65%+0.42 -0.8 38
2026-03-22 @ Dugopolje D 0-050.4 1358 1372 26.65% 26.92% 46.43%-0.42 +0.8 26
2026-03-27 Dugopolje W 3-037.4 1334 1371 39.44% 27.63% 32.94%+0.21 +17.7 25
2026-03-27 @ Opatija L 0-337.4 1371 1334 32.94% 27.63% 39.44%-0.21 -17.7 38
2026-03-28 Sesvete L 0-240.7 1359 1445 32.59% 27.61% 39.80%+0.01 -12.1 26
2026-03-28 @ Jarun W 2-040.7 1445 1359 39.80% 27.61% 32.59%-0.01 +12.1 44
2026-03-28 Cibalia W 2-150.8 1383 1416 40.01% 27.60% 32.39%+0.23 +6.0 27
2026-03-28 @ Hrvace L 1-250.8 1416 1383 32.39% 27.60% 40.01%-0.23 -6.0 38
2026-03-28 Karlovac W 2-041.5 1299 1399 30.76% 27.48% 41.77%-0.05 +14.5 24
2026-03-28 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-241.5 1399 1299 41.77% 27.48% 30.76%+0.05 -14.5 33
2026-03-29 Rudes W 3-255.6 1408 1418 43.29% 27.33% 29.38%+0.33 +5.3 30
2026-03-29 @ Orijent L 2-355.6 1418 1408 29.38% 27.33% 43.29%-0.33 -5.3 45
2026-04-02 Dubrava W 5-036.0 1384 1350 49.11% 26.44% 24.44%+0.51 +22.4 36
2026-04-02 @ Karlovac L 0-536.0 1350 1384 24.44% 26.44% 49.11%-0.51 -22.4 33
2026-04-02 Opatija W 1-038.9 1457 1351 57.89% 24.02% 18.09%+0.81 +3.8 47
2026-04-02 @ Sesvete L 0-138.9 1351 1457 18.09% 24.02% 57.89%-0.81 -3.8 25
2026-04-04 Orijent D 1-157.0 1379 1414 39.79% 27.61% 32.60%+0.22 -0.3 29
2026-04-04 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 1-157.0 1414 1379 32.60% 27.61% 39.79%-0.22 +0.3 31
2026-04-04 Croatia Zmijavci W 4-032.7 1410 1313 56.85% 24.38% 18.78%+0.77 +14.2 41
2026-04-04 @ Cibalia L 0-432.7 1313 1410 18.78% 24.38% 56.85%-0.77 -14.2 24
2026-04-04 Hrvace W 3-037.9 1353 1389 39.66% 27.62% 32.72%+0.22 +17.6 41
2026-04-04 @ Dugopolje L 0-337.9 1389 1353 32.72% 27.62% 39.66%-0.22 -17.6 27
2026-04-04 Jarun W 1-039.3 1413 1347 53.09% 25.51% 21.40%+0.64 +4.5 48
2026-04-04 @ Rudes L 0-139.3 1347 1413 21.40% 25.51% 53.09%-0.64 -4.5 26
2026-04-07 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 1-250.8 1328 1378 37.58% 27.69% 34.73%+0.16 -6.7 33
2026-04-07 @ Dubrava W 2-150.8 1378 1328 34.73% 27.69% 37.58%-0.16 +6.7 32
2026-04-10 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-041.6 1407 1385 47.51% 26.74% 25.75%+0.46 +5.3 39
2026-04-10 @ Karlovac L 0-141.6 1385 1407 25.75% 26.74% 47.51%-0.46 -5.3 32
2026-04-10 Rudes D 1-156.4 1347 1417 34.81% 27.69% 37.50%+0.07 +0.1 26
2026-04-10 @ Opatija D 1-156.4 1417 1347 37.50% 27.69% 34.81%-0.07 -0.1 49
2026-04-11 Cibalia D 2-262.7 1321 1425 30.34% 27.44% 42.22%-0.06 +0.3 34
2026-04-11 @ Dubrava D 2-262.7 1425 1321 42.22% 27.44% 30.34%+0.06 -0.3 42
2026-04-11 Sesvete W 4-253.5 1371 1461 32.11% 27.58% 40.31%-0.01 +11.0 30
2026-04-11 @ Hrvace L 2-453.5 1461 1371 40.31% 27.58% 32.11%+0.01 -11.0 47
2026-04-12 Dugopolje D 1-155.0 1299 1371 34.54% 27.69% 37.78%+0.07 +0.1 25
2026-04-12 @ Croatia Zmijavci D 1-155.0 1371 1299 37.78% 27.69% 34.54%-0.07 -0.1 42
2026-04-12 Orijent W 2-041.3 1343 1414 34.61% 27.69% 37.70%+0.07 +13.5 29
2026-04-12 @ Jarun L 0-241.3 1414 1343 37.70% 27.69% 34.61%-0.07 -13.5 31
2026-04-18 Jarun W 1-040.5 1380 1356 47.78% 26.69% 25.52%+0.46 +5.3 35
2026-04-18 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-140.5 1356 1380 25.52% 26.69% 47.78%-0.46 -5.3 29
2026-04-18 Karlovac W 2-149.9 1424 1412 46.26% 26.95% 26.79%+0.42 +5.2 45
2026-04-18 @ Cibalia L 1-249.9 1412 1424 26.79% 26.95% 46.26%-0.42 -5.2 39
2026-04-18 Dubrava W 4-352.7 1371 1322 51.05% 26.02% 22.93%+0.57 +4.2 45
2026-04-18 @ Dugopolje L 3-452.7 1322 1371 22.93% 26.02% 51.05%-0.57 -4.2 34
2026-04-18 Croatia Zmijavci D 1-157.8 1450 1299 62.86% 22.08% 15.06%+0.99 -1.9 48
2026-04-18 @ Sesvete D 1-157.8 1299 1450 15.06% 22.08% 62.86%-0.99 +1.9 26
2026-04-19 Opatija D 1-156.6 1400 1347 51.51% 25.91% 22.58%+0.59 -1.1 32
2026-04-19 @ Orijent D 1-156.6 1347 1400 22.58% 25.91% 51.51%-0.59 +1.1 27
2026-04-19 Hrvace W 2-148.1 1417 1382 49.21% 26.42% 24.37%+0.51 +4.8 52
2026-04-19 @ Rudes L 1-248.1 1382 1417 24.37% 26.42% 49.21%-0.51 -4.8 30
2026-04-24 Dugopolje L 0-343.2 1407 1375 48.85% 26.49% 24.66%+0.50 -23.9 39
2026-04-24 @ Karlovac W 3-043.2 1375 1407 24.66% 26.49% 48.85%-0.50 +23.9 48
2026-04-24 Jarun W 2-037.5 1349 1351 44.33% 27.21% 28.45%+0.36 +10.9 30
2026-04-24 @ Opatija L 0-237.5 1351 1349 28.45% 27.21% 44.33%-0.36 -10.9 29
2026-04-25 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-037.7 1429 1385 50.45% 26.16% 23.39%+0.55 +9.2 48
2026-04-25 @ Cibalia L 0-237.7 1385 1429 23.39% 26.16% 50.45%-0.55 -9.2 35
2026-04-25 Sesvete L 1-344.6 1317 1448 27.04% 26.99% 45.97%-0.18 -9.0 34
2026-04-25 @ Dubrava W 3-144.6 1448 1317 45.97% 26.99% 27.04%+0.18 +9.0 51
2026-04-25 Orijent W 4-038.2 1378 1399 41.65% 27.49% 30.87%+0.28 +22.0 33
2026-04-25 @ Hrvace L 0-438.2 1399 1378 30.87% 27.49% 41.65%-0.28 -22.0 32
2026-04-26 Rudes L 0-237.7 1301 1422 28.21% 27.18% 44.61%-0.14 -10.8 26
2026-04-26 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 2-037.7 1422 1301 44.61% 27.18% 28.21%+0.14 +10.8 55
2026-05-01 Karlovac W 3-035.7 1457 1383 54.14% 25.22% 20.64%+0.67 +12.0 54
2026-05-01 @ Sesvete L 0-335.7 1383 1457 20.64% 25.22% 54.14%-0.67 -12.0 39
2026-05-02 Hrvace L 1-250.9 1340 1400 36.25% 27.70% 36.05%+0.12 -6.5 29
2026-05-02 @ Jarun W 2-150.9 1400 1340 36.05% 27.70% 36.25%-0.12 +6.5 36
2026-05-02 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-148.1 1377 1290 55.66% 24.76% 19.58%+0.73 -9.7 32
2026-05-02 @ Orijent W 1-048.1 1290 1377 19.58% 24.76% 55.66%-0.73 +9.7 29
2026-05-02 Dubrava D 1-157.3 1433 1308 59.96% 23.26% 16.78%+0.88 -1.7 56
2026-05-02 @ Rudes D 1-157.3 1308 1433 16.78% 23.26% 59.96%-0.88 +1.7 35
2026-05-02 Opatija D 0-050.5 1376 1359 46.80% 26.86% 26.33%+0.43 -0.9 36
2026-05-02 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo D 0-050.5 1359 1376 26.33% 26.86% 46.80%-0.43 +0.9 31
2026-05-04 Cibalia W 2-152.0 1399 1439 39.09% 27.64% 33.27%+0.20 +6.1 51
2026-05-04 @ Dugopolje L 1-252.0 1439 1399 33.27% 27.64% 39.09%-0.20 -6.1 48
2026-05-08 Rudes L 0-340.2 1371 1431 36.22% 27.70% 36.07%+0.12 -19.0 39
2026-05-08 @ Karlovac W 3-040.2 1431 1371 36.07% 27.70% 36.22%-0.12 +19.0 59
2026-05-09 Sesvete W 2-043.5 1433 1469 39.54% 27.62% 32.84%+0.21 +12.2 51
2026-05-09 @ Cibalia L 0-243.5 1469 1433 32.84% 27.62% 39.54%-0.21 -12.2 54
2026-05-09 Orijent W 1-043.1 1310 1368 36.57% 27.70% 35.73%+0.13 +6.9 38
2026-05-09 @ Dubrava L 0-143.1 1368 1310 35.73% 27.70% 36.57%-0.13 -6.9 32
2026-05-09 BSK Bijelo Brdo L 1-255.0 1405 1375 48.60% 26.54% 24.86%+0.49 -8.2 51
2026-05-09 @ Dugopolje W 2-155.0 1375 1405 24.86% 26.54% 48.60%-0.49 +8.2 39
2026-05-10 Jarun L 1-250.7 1300 1333 40.01% 27.60% 32.39%+0.23 -7.0 29
2026-05-10 @ Croatia Zmijavci W 2-150.7 1333 1300 32.39% 27.60% 40.01%-0.23 +7.0 32
2026-05-10 Opatija L 0-244.8 1406 1360 50.62% 26.12% 23.26%+0.56 -16.9 36
2026-05-10 @ Hrvace W 2-044.8 1360 1406 23.26% 26.12% 50.62%-0.56 +16.9 34
2026-05-15 Croatia Zmijavci W 3-140.4 1377 1293 55.35% 24.86% 19.80%+0.72 +6.8 37
2026-05-15 @ Opatija L 1-340.4 1293 1377 19.80% 24.86% 55.35%-0.72 -6.9 29
2026-05-15 Cibalia L 2-362.3 1450 1445 45.33% 27.08% 27.59%+0.39 -7.4 59
2026-05-15 @ Rudes W 3-262.3 1445 1450 27.59% 27.08% 45.33%-0.39 +7.3 54
2026-05-16 Hrvace W 1-042.4 1383 1389 43.79% 27.28% 28.93%+0.34 +5.8 42
2026-05-16 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo L 0-142.4 1389 1383 28.93% 27.28% 43.79%-0.34 -5.9 36
2026-05-16 Karlovac W 1-040.8 1361 1352 45.78% 27.02% 27.20%+0.40 +5.6 35
2026-05-16 @ Orijent L 0-140.8 1352 1361 27.20% 27.02% 45.78%-0.40 -5.6 39
2026-05-16 Dugopolje L 1-257.7 1457 1397 52.43% 25.68% 21.88%+0.62 -8.7 54
2026-05-16 @ Sesvete W 2-157.7 1397 1457 21.88% 25.68% 52.43%-0.62 +8.7 54
2026-05-17 Dubrava L 0-242.6 1340 1317 47.74% 26.70% 25.55%+0.46 -16.1 32
2026-05-17 @ Jarun W 2-042.6 1317 1340 25.55% 26.70% 47.74%-0.46 +16.1 41
2026-05-22 Jarun W 2-146.5 1346 1324 47.59% 26.73% 25.68%+0.46 +5.0 42
2026-05-22 @ Karlovac L 1-246.5 1324 1346 25.68% 26.73% 47.59%-0.46 -5.0 32
2026-05-22 BSK Bijelo Brdo W 2-148.1 1448 1389 52.32% 25.71% 21.97%+0.61 +4.4 57
2026-05-22 @ Sesvete L 1-248.1 1389 1448 21.97% 25.71% 52.32%-0.61 -4.4 42
2026-05-23 Orijent W 3-251.7 1452 1366 55.52% 24.80% 19.68%+0.72 +3.7 57
2026-05-23 @ Cibalia L 2-351.7 1366 1452 19.68% 24.80% 55.52%-0.72 -3.7 35
2026-05-23 Opatija W 3-255.2 1333 1384 37.49% 27.69% 34.82%+0.15 +6.0 44
2026-05-23 @ Dubrava L 2-355.2 1384 1333 34.82% 27.69% 37.49%-0.15 -6.0 37
2026-05-23 Rudes L 0-342.3 1405 1443 39.47% 27.63% 32.90%+0.21 -20.2 54
2026-05-23 @ Dugopolje W 3-042.3 1443 1405 32.90% 27.63% 39.47%-0.21 +20.2 62
2026-05-24 Hrvace W 3-039.5 1286 1383 31.12% 27.51% 41.37%-0.04 +21.0 32
2026-05-24 @ Croatia Zmijavci L 0-339.5 1383 1286 41.37% 27.51% 31.12%+0.04 -20.9 36
2026-05-29 Karlovac W 3-143.3 1378 1352 48.15% 26.63% 25.22%+0.48 +8.5 40
2026-05-29 @ Opatija L 1-343.3 1352 1378 25.22% 26.63% 48.15%-0.48 -8.5 42
2026-05-29 Sesvete W 3-148.6 1463 1453 45.98% 26.99% 27.03%+0.41 +9.0 65
2026-05-29 @ Rudes L 1-348.6 1453 1463 27.03% 26.99% 45.98%-0.41 -9.0 57
2026-05-30 Croatia Zmijavci L 0-148.1 1385 1307 54.54% 25.10% 20.36%+0.69 -9.5 42
2026-05-30 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo W 1-048.1 1307 1385 20.36% 25.10% 54.54%-0.69 +9.5 35
2026-05-30 Dubrava L 1-253.5 1362 1339 47.73% 26.70% 25.56%+0.46 -8.1 36
2026-05-30 @ Hrvace W 2-153.5 1339 1362 25.56% 26.70% 47.73%-0.46 +8.1 47
2026-05-30 Cibalia D 1-156.8 1319 1456 26.40% 26.88% 46.72%-0.20 +0.8 33
2026-05-30 @ Jarun D 1-156.8 1456 1319 46.72% 26.88% 26.40%+0.20 -0.8 58
2026-05-30 Dugopolje W 3-037.5 1363 1385 41.50% 27.50% 31.01%+0.27 +16.9 38
2026-05-30 @ Orijent L 0-337.5 1385 1363 31.01% 27.50% 41.50%-0.27 -16.9 54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-10-11 18.62% Cibalia 1365 1 @ Karlovac 1464 0
2 2025-11-22 19.33% Opatija 1325 1 @ Orijent 1415 0
3 2026-05-02 19.58% Croatia Zmijavci 1290 1 @ Orijent 1377 0
4 2026-05-30 20.36% Croatia Zmijavci 1307 1 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1385 0
5 2025-10-03 20.58% Sesvete 1399 1 @ Karlovac 1474 0
6 2026-02-21 20.90% Croatia Zmijavci 1321 1 @ Orijent 1392 0
7 2026-05-16 21.88% Dugopolje 1397 2 @ Sesvete 1457 1
8 2026-05-10 23.26% Opatija 1360 2 @ Hrvace 1406 0
9 2025-10-04 23.45% Croatia Zmijavci 1332 3 @ Rudes 1376 0
10 2026-03-13 23.50% Orijent 1389 3 @ Karlovac 1432 0
11 2025-11-29 23.52% Dugopolje 1367 1 @ Hrvace 1410 0
12 2025-09-27 23.91% Rudes 1367 1 @ Hrvace 1406 0
13 2026-02-14 24.30% Opatija 1334 1 @ Dubrava 1370 0
14 2025-10-03 24.44% Dugopolje 1343 1 @ Opatija 1377 0
15 2026-03-20 24.51% Hrvace 1374 1 @ Karlovac 1408 0
16 2026-04-24 24.66% Dugopolje 1375 3 @ Karlovac 1407 0
17 2026-05-09 24.86% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1375 2 @ Dugopolje 1405 1
18 2025-08-16 24.99% Croatia Zmijavci 1336 3 @ Dubrava 1365 0
19 2025-10-24 25.19% Rudes 1381 1 @ Sesvete 1408 0
20 2025-09-20 25.24% Dubrava 1358 2 @ Opatija 1384 1
21 2026-05-17 25.55% Dubrava 1317 2 @ Jarun 1340 0
22 2026-05-30 25.56% Dubrava 1339 2 @ Hrvace 1362 1
23 2026-03-14 26.50% Jarun 1345 3 @ Dubrava 1359 1
24 2026-05-15 27.59% Cibalia 1445 3 @ Rudes 1450 2
25 2025-10-25 28.00% @ Jarun 1332 3 Karlovac 1455 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-10-04 24.48 Croatia Zmijavci 3 1332 23.45% @ Rudes 0 1376 50.37% 26.18%
2 2025-08-16 24.46 Orijent 4 1402 36.75% @ Dugopolje 0 1337 35.55% 27.70%
3 2026-03-13 24.45 Orijent 3 1389 23.50% @ Karlovac 0 1432 50.31% 26.19%
4 2025-08-16 24.16 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 4 1371 37.35% Opatija 0 1423 34.95% 27.69%
5 2026-04-24 23.88 Dugopolje 3 1375 24.66% @ Karlovac 0 1407 48.85% 26.49%
6 2025-08-16 23.72 Croatia Zmijavci 3 1336 24.99% @ Dubrava 0 1365 48.44% 26.57%
7 2026-04-02 22.42 @ Karlovac 5 1384 49.11% Dubrava 0 1350 24.44% 26.44%
8 2026-04-25 22.00 @ Hrvace 4 1378 41.65% Orijent 0 1399 30.87% 27.49%
9 2025-10-10 21.83 @ Rudes 4 1351 42.00% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1370 30.55% 27.46%
10 2025-11-05 21.45 BSK Bijelo Brdo 3 1367 29.96% @ Opatija 0 1352 42.64% 27.40%
11 2026-05-24 20.95 @ Croatia Zmijavci 3 1286 31.12% Hrvace 0 1383 41.37% 27.51%
12 2026-03-07 20.46 @ Jarun 4 1324 44.69% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1324 28.14% 27.17%
13 2026-05-23 20.22 Rudes 3 1443 32.90% @ Dugopolje 0 1405 39.47% 27.63%
14 2026-05-08 18.98 Rudes 3 1431 36.07% @ Karlovac 0 1371 36.22% 27.70%
15 2025-11-15 18.77 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 3 1377 36.64% Orijent 0 1434 35.66% 27.70%
16 2026-02-27 18.41 @ Sesvete 3 1392 37.58% Karlovac 0 1443 34.73% 27.69%
17 2026-03-27 17.70 @ Opatija 3 1334 39.44% Dugopolje 0 1371 32.94% 27.63%
18 2026-04-04 17.61 @ Dugopolje 3 1353 39.66% Hrvace 0 1389 32.72% 27.62%
19 2026-05-10 16.92 Opatija 2 1360 23.26% @ Hrvace 0 1406 50.62% 26.12%
20 2026-05-30 16.90 @ Orijent 3 1363 41.50% Dugopolje 0 1385 31.01% 27.50%
21 2025-11-30 16.37 @ Cibalia 4 1393 52.66% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1331 21.72% 25.62%
22 2026-05-17 16.14 Dubrava 2 1317 25.55% @ Jarun 0 1340 47.74% 26.70%
23 2025-09-26 14.63 Sesvete 2 1384 30.43% @ Dubrava 0 1366 42.13% 27.45%
24 2026-03-28 14.54 @ Croatia Zmijavci 2 1299 30.76% Karlovac 0 1399 41.77% 27.48%
25 2025-08-24 14.48 @ Dubrava 2 1341 30.94% Karlovac 0 1440 41.57% 27.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-10-17 64.4 @ Sesvete 2 1408 43.22% Hrvace 2 1418 29.44% 27.34%
2 2025-10-24 63.7 @ Cibalia 2 1380 39.27% Hrvace 2 1419 33.09% 27.63%
3 2025-10-11 63.4 @ Dubrava 2 1352 32.78% Orijent 2 1437 39.60% 27.62%
4 2025-11-09 63.4 @ Croatia Zmijavci 2 1336 29.63% Karlovac 2 1446 43.01% 27.36%
5 2026-04-11 62.7 @ Dubrava 2 1321 30.34% Cibalia 2 1425 42.22% 27.44%
6 2025-11-22 62.5 @ Jarun 2 1345 37.47% BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1396 34.84% 27.69%
7 2026-05-15 62.3 Cibalia 3 1445 27.59% @ Rudes 2 1450 45.33% 27.08%
8 2025-10-12 62.1 @ Croatia Zmijavci 2 1356 47.89% Jarun 2 1332 25.44% 26.68%
9 2025-10-18 59.6 @ Orijent 1 1436 42.18% Karlovac 1 1454 30.38% 27.44%
10 2025-09-26 59.4 @ Karlovac 1 1475 57.09% Opatija 1 1376 18.61% 24.29%
11 2026-02-15 59.3 Cibalia 3 1415 30.05% @ Orijent 2 1399 42.54% 27.41%
12 2025-11-07 58.3 @ Orijent 1 1435 49.89% Rudes 1 1395 23.83% 26.28%
13 2025-09-06 58.0 @ Orijent 1 1429 49.12% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1 1395 24.44% 26.44%
14 2025-09-14 57.8 @ Opatija 1 1398 40.53% Orijent 1 1428 31.90% 27.57%
15 2026-04-18 57.8 @ Sesvete 1 1450 62.86% Croatia Zmijavci 1 1299 15.06% 22.08%
16 2025-09-17 57.7 @ Orijent 1 1428 51.15% Sesvete 1 1378 22.85% 26.00%
17 2026-05-16 57.7 Dugopolje 2 1397 21.88% @ Sesvete 1 1457 52.43% 25.68%
18 2025-10-24 57.6 @ Orijent 1 1436 55.91% Dugopolje 1 1347 19.41% 24.68%
19 2026-05-02 57.3 @ Rudes 1 1433 59.96% Dubrava 1 1308 16.78% 23.26%
20 2026-04-04 57.0 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 1 1379 39.79% Orijent 1 1414 32.60% 27.61%
21 2025-11-22 56.9 @ Dubrava 4 1363 40.26% Rudes 3 1395 32.16% 27.58%
22 2026-05-30 56.8 @ Jarun 1 1319 26.40% Cibalia 1 1456 46.72% 26.88%
23 2025-08-22 56.6 @ Sesvete 1 1376 42.06% BSK Bijelo Brdo 1 1395 30.49% 27.45%
24 2025-09-21 56.6 @ Hrvace 1 1408 55.44% Croatia Zmijavci 1 1322 19.73% 24.83%
25 2026-04-19 56.6 @ Orijent 1 1400 51.51% Opatija 1 1347 22.58% 25.91%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-04 32.7 @ Cibalia 4 1410 56.85% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1313 18.78% 24.38%
2 2025-11-30 33.9 @ Cibalia 4 1393 52.66% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1331 21.72% 25.62%
3 2025-08-15 35.2 @ Karlovac 2 1432 56.02% Jarun 0 1342 19.33% 24.65%
4 2025-09-13 35.2 @ BSK Bijelo Brdo 2 1395 53.15% Jarun 0 1329 21.35% 25.49%
5 2026-03-07 35.4 @ Jarun 4 1324 44.69% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1324 28.14% 27.17%
6 2025-10-11 35.6 @ Hrvace 3 1405 49.35% Opatija 0 1369 24.26% 26.39%
7 2026-03-21 35.6 @ Cibalia 2 1408 53.11% Opatija 0 1342 21.38% 25.50%
8 2026-05-01 35.7 @ Sesvete 3 1457 54.14% Karlovac 0 1383 20.64% 25.22%
9 2026-03-07 35.9 @ Sesvete 3 1420 50.01% Dugopolje 0 1379 23.73% 26.25%
10 2026-04-02 36.0 @ Karlovac 5 1384 49.11% Dubrava 0 1350 24.44% 26.44%
11 2026-03-15 36.3 @ Rudes 2 1399 50.85% Opatija 0 1351 23.08% 26.07%
12 2026-03-03 37.0 @ Sesvete 2 1411 50.27% Dubrava 0 1368 23.53% 26.20%
13 2025-10-10 37.1 @ Rudes 4 1351 42.00% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1370 30.55% 27.46%
14 2025-12-05 37.1 @ Karlovac 3 1431 48.65% Hrvace 0 1401 24.81% 26.53%
15 2026-03-27 37.4 @ Opatija 3 1334 39.44% Dugopolje 0 1371 32.94% 27.63%
16 2025-09-06 37.5 @ Karlovac 1 1436 59.00% Dugopolje 0 1320 17.38% 23.62%
17 2026-04-24 37.5 @ Opatija 2 1349 44.33% Jarun 0 1351 28.45% 27.21%
18 2026-05-30 37.5 @ Orijent 3 1363 41.50% Dugopolje 0 1385 31.01% 27.50%
19 2026-04-25 37.7 @ Cibalia 2 1429 50.45% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1385 23.39% 26.16%
20 2026-04-26 37.7 Rudes 2 1422 44.61% @ Croatia Zmijavci 0 1301 28.21% 27.18%
21 2025-09-13 37.9 @ Dugopolje 2 1316 41.15% Croatia Zmijavci 0 1341 31.32% 27.52%
22 2026-04-04 37.9 @ Dugopolje 3 1353 39.66% Hrvace 0 1389 32.72% 27.62%
23 2026-04-25 38.2 @ Hrvace 4 1378 41.65% Orijent 0 1399 30.87% 27.49%
24 2026-03-21 38.3 @ Rudes 2 1408 47.18% BSK Bijelo Brdo 0 1389 26.02% 26.80%
25 2025-10-04 38.4 @ Orijent 1 1433 56.82% Jarun 0 1336 18.80% 24.39%