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1966-67 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Olympiacos Nicosia

33 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Apollon Limassol

4.22 points above expected

28 points · 23.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

APOP Paphos

6.02 points below expected

4 points · 10.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olympiacos Nicosia Champion 22 14 5 3 33 74 26 +48 30.61 +2.39
2 APOEL Nicosia 22 15 3 4 33 89 33 +56 29.95 +3.05
3 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 14 4 4 32 55 29 +26 29.02 +2.98
4 Omonia Nicosia 22 10 11 1 31 48 17 +31 28.66 +2.34
5 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 12 5 5 29 37 21 +16 25.39 +3.61
6 Apollon Limassol 22 11 6 5 28 50 26 +24 23.78 +4.22
7 Alki Larnaca 22 9 1 12 19 44 43 +1 20.90 -1.90
8 AEL Limassol 22 7 5 10 19 40 43 -3 20.09 -1.09
9 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 6 4 12 16 41 53 -12 19.02 -3.02
10 EPA Larnaca 22 6 3 13 15 36 53 -17 16.89 -1.89
11 Aris Limassol 22 1 3 18 5 17 102 -85 9.67 -4.67
12 APOP Paphos 22 1 2 19 4 22 107 -85 10.02 -6.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Apollon Limassol 28 23.78 +4.22
2 Nea Salamis Famagusta 29 25.39 +3.61
3 APOEL Nicosia 33 29.95 +3.05
4 Anorthosis Famagusta 32 29.02 +2.98
5 Olympiacos Nicosia 33 30.61 +2.39

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 APOP Paphos 4 10.02 -6.02
2 Aris Limassol 5 9.67 -4.67
3 Pezoporikos Larnaca 16 19.02 -3.02
4 Alki Larnaca 19 20.90 -1.90
5 EPA Larnaca 15 16.89 -1.89

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
APOEL Nicosia 1310 33 +41 10 8.0 +2.0
Olympiacos Nicosia 1329 33 +20 8 7.5 +0.5
Anorthosis Famagusta 1247 32 -28 6 6.9 -0.9
Omonia Nicosia 1266 31 +22 8 6.8 +1.2
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1206 29 +63 8 6.1 +1.9
Apollon Limassol 1178 28 +55 6 4.6 +1.4
AEL Limassol 1007 19 -8 4 4.1 -0.1
Alki Larnaca 1001 19 -41 3 3.8 -0.8
Pezoporikos Larnaca 974 16 -24 3 4.2 -1.2
EPA Larnaca 971 15 +25 4 3.5 +0.5
Aris Limassol 642 5 -104 1 2.9 -1.9
APOP Paphos 737 4 +26 3 3.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AN AP AL AF AL AL EL NSF ON ON PL
AEL Limassol —
1-0-1
1.51
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.58
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.34
0-2-0
1.37
1-0-1
3.02
APOEL Nicosia
1-0-1
4.09
—
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.43
2-0-0
5.00
1-1-0
4.46
2-0-0
3.16
0-0-2
3.06
0-2-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.82
APOP Paphos
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
0.53
—
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
0.82
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.55
0-0-2
0.79
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
0.80
0-0-2
1.46
Alki Larnaca
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.25
2-0-0
3.19
—
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
1.43
2-0-0
3.33
Anorthosis Famagusta
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
3.71
—
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.51
0-0-2
3.33
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
4.41
Apollon Limassol
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.15
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
1.80
—
2-0-0
4.52
1-0-1
3.84
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
1.69
0-2-0
2.05
1-1-0
3.48
Aris Limassol
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
0.64
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.09
—
0-1-1
1.17
1-0-1
0.89
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
0.70
0-0-2
1.50
EPA Larnaca
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.15
1-1-0
4.04
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
1.09
1-0-1
1.75
1-1-0
4.43
—
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
2.34
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
4.83
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.26
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
4.73
1-0-1
3.77
—
1-1-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.69
Olympiacos Nicosia
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
5.19
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.90
2-0-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.42
0-1-1
3.51
—
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
4.16
Omonia Nicosia
0-2-0
4.23
0-2-0
2.85
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.95
0-2-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.93
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.16
0-2-0
2.93
—
1-1-0
3.59
Pezoporikos Larnaca
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.77
2-0-0
4.14
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
1.18
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
1.99
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.67 +4.3
Allowed 0.87 -3.3
Differential 0.94 +2.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%4.55%3.79%1.89%1.89%4.92%20.83%
14.55%9.09%7.20%2.27%2.65%4.55%30.30%
23.79%7.20%4.55%1.14%3.03%1.14%20.83%
31.89%2.27%1.14%2.27%—1.14%8.71%
41.89%2.65%3.03%———7.58%
5+4.92%4.55%1.14%1.14%——11.74%
Total20.83%30.30%20.83%8.71%7.58%11.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 2.25 2.25 3.54
CV 1.07 1.07 —
Max 17 17 +16
Min 0 0 -16

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%—31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total13.64%40.91%13.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.95 -0.14
SD 2.11 1.70 3.06
CV 1.16 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—9.09%4.55%36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
Total18.18%50.00%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.05 1.50 +2.55
SD 3.84 1.37 4.22
CV 0.95 0.91 —
Max 17 5 +16
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%31.82%
1—9.09%4.55%—13.64%27.27%54.55%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%22.73%50.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 4.86 -3.86
SD 1.15 2.78 3.27
CV 1.15 0.57 —
Max 5 10 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%—9.09%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3——9.09%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.95 +0.05
SD 2.05 1.36 2.85
CV 1.02 0.70 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
4——13.64%———13.64%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%40.91%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.32 +1.18
SD 1.74 0.99 1.68
CV 0.70 0.75 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
2—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total22.73%45.45%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.18 +1.09
SD 2.16 0.91 2.49
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 9 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%31.82%54.55%
1—9.09%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%
2——4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%9.09%13.64%13.64%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 4.64 -3.86
SD 1.07 3.66 4.02
CV 1.38 0.79 —
Max 4 17 +4
Min 0 0 -16

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
1—9.09%9.09%——9.09%27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%————9.09%13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.41 -0.77
SD 1.56 2.58 3.05
CV 0.95 1.07 —
Max 7 10 +7
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
218.18%9.09%4.55%———31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total40.91%36.36%13.64%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.95 +0.73
SD 1.36 1.09 1.96
CV 0.81 1.14 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+13.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.36 1.18 +2.18
SD 2.72 0.96 3.08
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 10 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%————27.27%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
3———————
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+13.64%——4.55%——18.18%
Total50.00%27.27%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.77 +1.41
SD 2.38 0.92 2.42
CV 1.09 1.19 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%———9.09%4.55%18.18%
3———9.09%——9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%31.82%9.09%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.41 -0.55
SD 1.73 1.79 2.81
CV 0.93 0.74 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Olympiacos Nicosia 1329 33 30.61 +2.39 78.0% 22 25 28 31 33 36 38
APOEL Nicosia 1310 33 29.95 +3.05 87.0% 22 25 28 30 32 36 39
Omonia Nicosia 1266 31 28.66 +2.34 80.0% 19 23 27 28 31 34 42
Anorthosis Famagusta 1247 32 29.02 +2.98 86.0% 21 23 27 29 31 36 37
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1206 29 25.39 +3.61 84.0% 16 18 23 25 28 31 34
Apollon Limassol 1178 28 23.78 +4.22 91.0% 14 18 21 24 26 29 34
AEL Limassol 1007 19 20.09 -1.09 49.0% 11 13 18 20 22 27 32
Alki Larnaca 1001 19 20.90 -1.90 35.0% 11 13 19 21 24 28 29
Pezoporikos Larnaca 974 16 19.02 -3.02 27.0% 7 12 16 19 22 26 28
EPA Larnaca 971 15 16.89 -1.89 29.0% 6 10 15 17 18 23 29
APOP Paphos 737 4 10.02 -6.02 3.0% 1 6 8 10 12 15 19
Aris Limassol 642 5 9.67 -4.67 7.0% 4 5 8 10 11 14 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.03%
No Edge
41.67%19.70%38.64%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 10.53 Elo pts.
97 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
0250
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
37%
Olympiacos Nicosia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.91 * Some Luck: 2.91 to 4.37 * Lucky: 4.37 to 5.83 * Wild Swing: 5.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.03 * Close: 1.03 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.06 * Way Off: 2.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.36 points
Some Luck
03.649
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.17
Pinpoint
01.293
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.00%
Apollon Limassol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
APOP Paphos
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 222.73
2.51
Wide Separation
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%33%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%48%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.49
Very Underconfident
0.3627411.001.63726
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.102
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Olympiacos Nicosia37.00%25.00%22.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%—————
APOEL Nicosia27.00%29.00%17.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Anorthosis Famagusta14.00%22.00%22.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%—————
Omonia Nicosia15.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%16.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Nea Salamis Famagusta4.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%21.00%18.00%6.00%4.00%———
Apollon Limassol2.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%20.00%25.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%——
Alki Larnaca——2.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%22.00%24.00%13.00%13.00%——
AEL Limassol1.00%—1.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%17.00%26.00%20.00%14.00%2.00%—
Pezoporikos Larnaca———3.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%27.00%17.00%4.00%2.00%
EPA Larnaca——1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%15.00%27.00%40.00%5.00%4.00%
Aris Limassol—————————8.00%41.00%51.00%
APOP Paphos———————1.00%2.00%6.00%48.00%43.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
AEL Limassol 100%
APOEL Nicosia 100%
APOP Paphos 100%
Alki Larnaca 100%
Anorthosis Famagusta 100%
Apollon Limassol 100%
Aris Limassol 100%
EPA Larnaca 100%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 100%
Olympiacos Nicosia 100%
Omonia Nicosia 100%
Pezoporikos Larnaca 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1966-09-17 APOP Paphos W 6-037.7 1003 1029 38.08% 20.88% 41.04%-0.16 +78.1 2
1966-09-17 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-637.7 1029 1003 41.04% 20.88% 38.08%+0.16 -78.1 0
1966-09-17 Apollon Limassol W 2-036.2 1144 1042 54.88% 20.72% 24.40%+1.17 +18.4 2
1966-09-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-236.2 1042 1144 24.40% 20.72% 54.88%-1.17 -18.4 0
1966-09-17 Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-528.2 852 1185 9.21% 19.57% 71.23%-3.34 -17.7 0
1966-09-17 @ Aris Limassol W 5-028.2 1185 852 71.23% 19.57% 9.21%+3.34 +17.7 2
1966-09-17 AEL Limassol L 1-541.2 1001 1033 37.25% 20.88% 41.87%-0.22 -41.2 0
1966-09-17 @ EPA Larnaca W 5-141.2 1033 1001 41.87% 20.88% 37.25%+0.22 +41.2 2
1966-09-17 APOEL Nicosia L 0-240.7 1154 1173 39.16% 20.89% 39.96%-0.08 -27.1 0
1966-09-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-040.7 1173 1154 39.96% 20.89% 39.16%+0.08 +27.1 2
1966-09-17 Omonia Nicosia D 1-151.9 1074 1178 27.88% 20.77% 51.35%-0.96 +1.9 1
1966-09-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.9 1178 1074 51.35% 20.77% 27.88%+0.96 -1.9 1
1966-09-24 Apollon Limassol L 1-445.7 1074 1024 48.58% 20.84% 30.58%+0.63 -39.7 2
1966-09-24 @ AEL Limassol W 4-145.7 1024 1074 30.58% 20.84% 48.58%-0.63 +39.7 2
1966-09-24 Aris Limassol W 3-134.3 1163 835 72.57% 19.43% 7.99%+3.51 +5.7 4
1966-09-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-334.3 835 1163 7.99% 19.43% 72.57%-3.51 -5.7 0
1966-09-24 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-038.7 1200 1127 51.43% 20.80% 27.77%+0.86 +10.9 4
1966-09-24 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-138.7 1127 1200 27.77% 20.80% 51.43%-0.86 -10.9 0
1966-09-24 Alki Larnaca L 0-433.9 951 1081 24.82% 20.70% 54.48%-1.24 -35.4 0
1966-09-24 @ APOP Paphos W 4-033.9 1081 951 54.48% 20.70% 24.82%+1.24 +35.4 4
1966-09-24 EPA Larnaca W 1-033.8 1203 960 67.59% 20.05% 12.35%+2.63 +5.3 4
1966-09-24 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-133.8 960 1203 12.35% 20.05% 67.59%-2.63 -5.3 0
1966-09-24 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-036.3 1176 1076 54.63% 20.73% 24.65%+1.14 +18.5 3
1966-09-24 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-236.3 1076 1176 24.65% 20.73% 54.63%-1.14 -18.5 1
1966-10-01 EPA Larnaca L 1-249.0 1034 954 52.30% 20.78% 26.92%+0.94 -17.3 2
1966-10-01 @ AEL Limassol W 2-149.0 954 1034 26.92% 20.78% 52.30%-0.94 +17.3 2
1966-10-01 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-247.8 1211 1168 47.60% 20.85% 31.55%+0.55 -15.9 4
1966-10-01 @ APOEL Nicosia W 2-147.8 1168 1211 31.55% 20.85% 47.60%-0.55 +15.9 6
1966-10-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-232.1 829 1117 11.60% 19.90% 68.50%-2.87 -9.4 0
1966-10-01 @ Aris Limassol W 2-032.1 1117 829 68.50% 19.90% 11.60%+2.87 +9.5 2
1966-10-01 Alki Larnaca W 3-244.7 1208 1116 53.74% 20.75% 25.51%+1.06 +9.0 6
1966-10-01 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-344.7 1116 1208 25.51% 20.75% 53.74%-1.06 -9.1 4
1966-10-01 APOP Paphos W 6-028.2 1194 915 69.89% 19.81% 10.29%+3.00 +23.5 5
1966-10-01 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-628.2 915 1194 10.29% 19.81% 69.89%-3.00 -23.5 0
1966-10-01 Apollon Limassol L 1-245.7 1057 1064 40.94% 20.89% 38.17%+0.05 -14.0 1
1966-10-01 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-145.7 1064 1057 38.17% 20.89% 40.94%-0.05 +14.0 4
1966-10-08 Omonia Nicosia W 1-043.1 1184 1218 37.05% 20.88% 42.07%-0.24 +15.2 8
1966-10-08 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-143.1 1218 1184 42.07% 20.88% 37.05%+0.24 -15.2 5
1966-10-08 Alki Larnaca W 1-042.8 1078 1107 37.61% 20.88% 41.50%-0.20 +15.0 6
1966-10-08 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-142.8 1107 1078 41.50% 20.88% 37.61%+0.20 -15.0 4
1966-10-08 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-437.8 892 1043 22.51% 20.62% 56.87%-1.46 -21.0 0
1966-10-08 @ APOP Paphos W 4-137.8 1043 892 56.87% 20.62% 22.51%+1.46 +21.0 3
1966-10-08 AEL Limassol D 1-151.9 819 1017 18.15% 20.43% 61.42%-1.93 +3.6 1
1966-10-08 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.9 1017 819 61.42% 20.43% 18.15%+1.93 -3.6 3
1966-10-08 APOEL Nicosia D 1-152.0 972 1195 15.98% 20.30% 63.72%-2.21 +4.0 3
1966-10-08 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-152.0 1195 972 63.72% 20.30% 15.98%+2.21 -4.0 5
1966-10-08 Olympiacos Nicosia D 2-255.3 1126 1217 29.38% 20.80% 49.82%-0.84 +1.2 3
1966-10-08 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-255.3 1217 1126 49.82% 20.80% 29.38%+0.84 -1.2 7
1966-10-15 AEL Limassol L 1-249.0 1092 1013 52.15% 20.78% 27.07%+0.92 -17.3 4
1966-10-15 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-149.0 1013 1092 27.07% 20.78% 52.15%-0.92 +17.3 5
1966-10-15 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-240.9 1191 1064 57.55% 20.64% 21.81%+1.42 +17.7 7
1966-10-15 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-540.9 1064 1191 21.81% 20.64% 57.55%-1.42 -17.7 3
1966-10-15 Aris Limassol W 1-033.2 1093 823 69.31% 19.88% 10.81%+2.90 +4.7 8
1966-10-15 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-133.2 823 1093 10.81% 19.88% 69.31%-2.90 -4.7 1
1966-10-15 EPA Larnaca L 0-733.5 871 976 27.73% 20.77% 51.50%-0.98 -65.8 0
1966-10-15 @ APOP Paphos W 7-033.5 976 871 51.50% 20.77% 27.73%+0.98 +65.8 5
1966-10-15 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-348.4 1216 1127 53.36% 20.76% 25.88%+1.03 -30.6 7
1966-10-15 @ Olympiacos Nicosia W 3-148.4 1127 1216 25.88% 20.76% 53.36%-1.03 +30.6 5
1966-10-15 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-144.7 1203 1200 42.23% 20.88% 36.89%+0.14 +12.9 7
1966-10-15 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-244.7 1200 1203 36.89% 20.88% 42.23%-0.14 -12.9 8
1966-10-22 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-437.8 1031 1185 22.16% 20.61% 57.22%-1.50 -20.7 5
1966-10-22 @ AEL Limassol W 4-137.8 1185 1031 57.22% 20.61% 22.16%+1.50 +20.7 9
1966-10-22 APOEL Nicosia L 1-245.2 1187 1209 38.65% 20.89% 40.46%-0.12 -13.4 8
1966-10-22 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-145.2 1209 1187 40.46% 20.89% 38.65%+0.12 +13.4 9
1966-10-22 Apollon Limassol L 0-429.9 818 1097 12.12% 19.96% 67.92%-2.78 -18.7 1
1966-10-22 @ Aris Limassol W 4-029.9 1097 818 67.92% 19.96% 12.12%+2.78 +18.7 10
1966-10-22 Alki Larnaca L 2-348.1 1041 1075 37.07% 20.88% 42.05%-0.24 -12.3 5
1966-10-22 @ EPA Larnaca W 3-248.1 1075 1041 42.05% 20.88% 37.07%+0.24 +12.3 6
1966-10-22 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-049.3 1216 1158 49.57% 20.83% 29.60%+0.71 -1.8 8
1966-10-22 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-049.3 1158 1216 29.60% 20.83% 49.57%-0.71 +1.8 6
1966-10-22 APOP Paphos W 7-131.7 1047 805 67.48% 20.06% 12.46%+2.61 +23.2 5
1966-10-22 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-731.7 805 1047 12.46% 20.06% 67.48%-2.61 -23.2 0
1966-10-29 Aris Limassol W 7-029.4 1010 800 65.16% 20.25% 14.59%+2.28 +37.6 7
1966-10-29 @ AEL Limassol L 0-729.4 800 1010 14.59% 20.25% 65.16%-2.28 -37.6 1
1966-10-29 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-246.6 1173 1159 43.74% 20.88% 35.38%+0.25 -14.8 8
1966-10-29 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-146.6 1159 1173 35.38% 20.88% 43.74%-0.25 +14.8 8
1966-10-29 Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-449.3 1222 1206 44.04% 20.88% 35.09%+0.27 -23.1 9
1966-10-29 @ APOEL Nicosia W 4-249.3 1206 1222 35.09% 20.88% 44.04%-0.27 +23.1 11
1966-10-29 Apollon Limassol L 1-929.5 782 1116 9.14% 19.56% 71.30%-3.35 -22.6 0
1966-10-29 @ APOP Paphos W 9-129.5 1116 782 71.30% 19.56% 9.14%+3.35 +22.6 12
1966-10-29 Omonia Nicosia L 2-441.5 1029 1214 19.28% 20.49% 60.23%-1.80 -11.6 5
1966-10-29 @ EPA Larnaca W 4-241.5 1214 1029 60.23% 20.49% 19.28%+1.80 +11.6 10
1966-10-29 Alki Larnaca L 1-245.2 1070 1087 39.36% 20.89% 39.75%-0.07 -13.6 5
1966-10-29 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-145.2 1087 1070 39.75% 20.89% 39.36%+0.07 +13.6 8
1966-11-05 APOP Paphos W 4-133.7 1047 759 70.43% 19.75% 9.83%+3.09 +9.9 9
1966-11-05 @ AEL Limassol L 1-433.7 759 1047 9.83% 19.75% 70.43%-3.09 -9.9 0
1966-11-05 EPA Larnaca W 2-140.0 1139 1017 56.96% 20.66% 22.38%+1.36 +8.5 14
1966-11-05 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-240.0 1017 1139 22.38% 20.66% 56.96%-1.36 -8.5 5
1966-11-05 Alki Larnaca L 2-339.2 762 1101 8.94% 19.52% 71.54%-3.40 -3.5 1
1966-11-05 @ Aris Limassol W 3-239.2 1101 762 71.54% 19.52% 8.94%+3.40 +3.5 10
1966-11-05 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-347.8 1229 1158 51.19% 20.80% 28.01%+0.84 -29.4 11
1966-11-05 @ Olympiacos Nicosia W 3-147.8 1158 1229 28.01% 20.80% 51.19%-0.84 +29.4 10
1966-11-05 APOEL Nicosia D 1-152.0 1225 1199 45.44% 20.87% 33.69%+0.38 -0.9 11
1966-11-05 @ Omonia Nicosia D 1-152.0 1199 1225 33.69% 20.87% 45.44%-0.38 +0.9 10
1966-11-05 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 3-358.8 1056 1174 26.17% 20.73% 53.09%-1.11 +1.3 6
1966-11-05 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 3-358.8 1174 1056 53.09% 20.73% 26.17%+1.11 -1.3 9
1966-11-12 Anorthosis Famagusta D 3-358.8 1057 1188 24.76% 20.70% 54.55%-1.24 +1.5 10
1966-11-12 @ AEL Limassol D 3-358.8 1188 1057 54.55% 20.70% 24.76%+1.24 -1.5 11
1966-11-12 EPA Larnaca W 2-140.9 1104 1009 54.09% 20.74% 25.17%+1.09 +9.4 12
1966-11-12 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-240.9 1009 1104 25.17% 20.74% 54.09%-1.09 -9.4 5
1966-11-12 APOP Paphos W 6-130.0 1147 749 75.63% 18.82% 5.55%+4.23 +9.0 16
1966-11-12 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-630.0 749 1147 5.55% 18.82% 75.63%-4.23 -8.9 0
1966-11-12 Aris Limassol L 0-448.7 1173 759 76.25% 18.66% 5.08%+4.40 -95.6 9
1966-11-12 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-048.7 759 1173 5.08% 18.66% 76.25%-4.40 +95.6 3
1966-11-12 Omonia Nicosia D 0-049.4 1200 1224 38.29% 20.88% 40.82%-0.15 +0.2 12
1966-11-12 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 0-049.4 1224 1200 40.82% 20.88% 38.29%+0.15 -0.2 12
1966-11-12 APOEL Nicosia L 1-636.0 1058 1200 23.47% 20.66% 55.87%-1.37 -34.4 6
1966-11-12 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 6-136.0 1200 1058 55.87% 20.66% 23.47%+1.37 +34.4 12
1966-11-19 APOEL Nicosia W 4-253.6 1059 1234 20.13% 20.53% 59.34%-1.71 +30.3 12
1966-11-19 @ AEL Limassol L 2-453.6 1234 1059 59.34% 20.53% 20.13%+1.71 -30.3 12
1966-11-19 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-528.1 740 1077 9.01% 19.53% 71.46%-3.38 -17.4 0
1966-11-19 @ APOP Paphos W 5-028.1 1077 740 71.46% 19.53% 9.01%+3.38 +17.4 11
1966-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-733.7 854 1186 9.23% 19.57% 71.20%-3.33 -12.3 3
1966-11-19 @ Aris Limassol W 7-233.7 1186 854 71.20% 19.57% 9.23%+3.33 +12.3 13
1966-11-19 Apollon Limassol D 2-255.4 1224 1156 50.87% 20.80% 28.32%+0.82 -1.3 13
1966-11-19 @ Omonia Nicosia D 2-255.4 1156 1224 28.32% 20.80% 50.87%-0.82 +1.3 17
1966-11-19 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-437.1 1023 1200 20.00% 20.52% 59.47%-1.72 -19.0 6
1966-11-19 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 4-137.1 1200 1023 59.47% 20.52% 20.00%+1.72 +19.0 14
1966-11-26 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.8 1089 1095 41.00% 20.89% 38.11%+0.05 -0.2 13
1966-11-26 @ AEL Limassol D 1-151.8 1095 1089 38.11% 20.89% 41.00%-0.05 +0.2 12
1966-11-26 Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-444.9 1113 1199 30.13% 20.81% 49.05%-0.77 -17.0 12
1966-11-26 @ Alki Larnaca W 4-244.9 1199 1113 49.05% 20.81% 30.13%+0.77 +17.0 15
1966-11-26 Apollon Limassol W 3-141.7 1204 1157 48.16% 20.84% 31.00%+0.59 +19.4 14
1966-11-26 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-341.7 1157 1204 31.00% 20.84% 48.16%-0.59 -19.4 17
1966-11-26 Omonia Nicosia L 0-527.4 842 1223 7.16% 19.16% 73.67%-3.84 -13.9 3
1966-11-26 @ Aris Limassol W 5-027.4 1223 842 73.67% 19.16% 7.16%+3.84 +13.9 15
1966-11-26 APOP Paphos D 1-152.1 999 723 69.74% 19.83% 10.43%+2.97 -5.1 6
1966-11-26 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-152.1 723 999 10.43% 19.83% 69.74%-2.97 +5.1 1
1966-11-26 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 6-029.5 1219 1004 65.52% 20.23% 14.25%+2.33 +31.8 16
1966-11-26 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-629.5 1004 1219 14.25% 20.23% 65.52%-2.33 -31.8 6
1966-12-03 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 4-242.4 1097 972 57.28% 20.65% 22.07%+1.39 +13.1 14
1966-12-03 @ Alki Larnaca L 2-442.4 972 1097 22.07% 20.65% 57.28%-1.39 -13.1 6
1966-12-03 AEL Limassol W 3-034.1 1216 1089 57.57% 20.64% 21.79%+1.42 +24.2 17
1966-12-03 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-334.1 1089 1216 21.79% 20.64% 57.57%-1.42 -24.2 13
1966-12-03 Aris Limassol W 17-127.4 1224 828 75.55% 18.84% 5.61%+4.21 +27.3 16
1966-12-03 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-1727.4 828 1224 5.61% 18.84% 75.55%-4.21 -27.3 3
1966-12-03 Omonia Nicosia L 1-431.3 728 1237 3.66% 17.91% 78.43%-5.16 -3.7 1
1966-12-03 @ APOP Paphos W 4-131.3 1237 728 78.43% 17.91% 3.66%+5.16 +3.7 17
1966-12-03 EPA Larnaca L 1-249.8 1095 994 54.71% 20.72% 24.57%+1.15 -18.1 12
1966-12-03 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-149.8 994 1095 24.57% 20.72% 54.71%-1.15 +18.1 8
1966-12-03 Apollon Limassol L 1-250.3 1251 1138 56.07% 20.69% 23.24%+1.28 -18.5 16
1966-12-03 @ Olympiacos Nicosia W 2-150.3 1138 1251 23.24% 20.69% 56.07%-1.28 +18.5 19
1966-12-10 APOP Paphos W 6-336.6 1240 724 79.42% 17.60% 2.98%+5.45 +2.4 19
1966-12-10 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 3-636.6 724 1240 2.98% 17.60% 79.42%-5.45 -2.4 1
1966-12-10 AEL Limassol W 7-133.1 1251 1065 63.21% 20.38% 16.41%+2.04 +29.8 18
1966-12-10 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-733.1 1065 1251 16.41% 20.38% 63.21%-2.04 -29.8 13
1966-12-10 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 3-358.9 1156 959 64.11% 20.32% 15.56%+2.15 -2.5 20
1966-12-10 @ Apollon Limassol D 3-358.9 959 1156 15.56% 20.32% 64.11%-2.15 +2.5 7
1966-12-10 Aris Limassol D 2-255.4 1012 801 65.28% 20.24% 14.48%+2.30 -3.2 9
1966-12-10 @ EPA Larnaca D 2-255.4 801 1012 14.48% 20.24% 65.28%-2.30 +3.2 4
1966-12-10 Alki Larnaca W 3-144.9 1077 1110 37.15% 20.88% 41.96%-0.23 +24.8 14
1966-12-10 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-344.9 1110 1077 41.96% 20.88% 37.15%+0.23 -24.8 14
1966-12-10 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-152.1 1241 1232 42.96% 20.88% 36.16%+0.19 -0.5 18
1966-12-10 @ Omonia Nicosia D 1-152.1 1232 1241 36.16% 20.88% 42.96%-0.19 +0.5 17
1966-12-17 Omonia Nicosia D 0-049.4 1035 1240 17.47% 20.39% 62.14%-2.02 +4.2 14
1966-12-17 @ AEL Limassol D 0-049.4 1240 1035 62.14% 20.39% 17.47%+2.02 -4.2 19
1966-12-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.8 1154 1102 48.86% 20.83% 30.31%+0.65 -1.4 21
1966-12-17 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-151.8 1102 1154 30.31% 20.83% 48.86%-0.65 +1.4 15
1966-12-17 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-233.3 1009 1242 15.24% 20.24% 64.51%-2.30 -12.2 9
1966-12-17 @ EPA Larnaca W 2-033.3 1242 1009 64.51% 20.24% 15.24%+2.30 +12.2 21
1966-12-17 APOEL Nicosia W 5-248.1 1233 1281 35.06% 20.87% 44.07%-0.39 +31.6 19
1966-12-17 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-548.1 1281 1233 44.07% 20.87% 35.06%+0.39 -31.6 18
1966-12-17 Aris Limassol W 4-032.0 962 804 60.66% 20.51% 18.82%+1.74 +27.9 9
1966-12-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-432.0 804 962 18.82% 20.51% 60.66%-1.74 -27.9 4
1967-01-14 Alki Larnaca L 0-140.9 1039 1085 35.33% 20.87% 43.80%-0.37 -13.2 14
1967-01-14 @ AEL Limassol W 1-040.9 1085 1039 43.80% 20.87% 35.33%+0.37 +13.2 16
1967-01-14 Omonia Nicosia D 2-255.6 1249 1236 43.64% 20.88% 35.48%+0.25 -0.5 19
1967-01-14 @ APOEL Nicosia D 2-255.6 1236 1249 35.48% 20.88% 43.64%-0.25 +0.5 20
1967-01-14 Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-435.8 722 1255 3.23% 17.65% 79.12%-5.40 -2.1 1
1967-01-14 @ APOP Paphos W 4-235.8 1255 722 79.12% 17.65% 3.23%+5.40 +2.1 23
1967-01-14 Apollon Limassol W 2-150.5 997 1152 22.12% 20.61% 57.27%-1.50 +18.9 11
1967-01-14 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-250.5 1152 997 57.27% 20.61% 22.12%+1.50 -18.9 21
1967-01-14 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-035.8 1103 990 56.13% 20.68% 23.18%+1.28 +17.6 17
1967-01-14 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-235.8 990 1103 23.18% 20.68% 56.13%-1.28 -17.6 9
1967-01-14 Aris Limassol W 5-025.9 1264 776 78.66% 17.90% 3.44%+5.17 +6.6 21
1967-01-14 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-525.9 776 1264 3.44% 17.90% 78.66%-5.17 -6.6 4
1967-01-21 Alki Larnaca W 3-033.2 1257 1098 60.72% 20.51% 18.77%+1.75 +21.3 25
1967-01-21 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-333.2 1098 1257 18.77% 20.51% 60.72%-1.75 -21.3 16
1967-01-21 APOEL Nicosia L 0-327.6 720 1249 3.29% 17.69% 79.01%-5.36 -3.9 1
1967-01-21 @ APOP Paphos W 3-027.6 1249 720 79.01% 17.69% 3.29%+5.36 +3.9 21
1967-01-21 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-440.9 769 972 17.69% 20.40% 61.91%-1.99 -10.8 4
1967-01-21 @ Aris Limassol W 4-240.9 972 769 61.91% 20.40% 17.69%+1.99 +10.8 11
1967-01-21 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-1030.8 1016 1271 13.66% 20.11% 66.23%-2.53 -36.9 11
1967-01-21 @ EPA Larnaca W 10-130.8 1271 1016 66.23% 20.11% 13.66%+2.53 +36.9 23
1967-01-21 Apollon Limassol W 2-145.2 1121 1134 39.98% 20.89% 39.14%-0.02 +13.5 19
1967-01-21 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-245.2 1134 1121 39.14% 20.89% 39.98%+0.02 -13.5 21
1967-01-21 AEL Limassol D 0-049.4 1236 1026 65.19% 20.25% 14.56%+2.29 -4.8 21
1967-01-21 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-049.4 1026 1236 14.56% 20.25% 65.19%-2.29 +4.8 15
1967-01-28 Alki Larnaca W 4-136.3 1253 1077 62.29% 20.43% 17.28%+1.93 +16.7 23
1967-01-28 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-436.3 1077 1253 17.28% 20.43% 62.29%-1.93 -16.7 16
1967-01-28 Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-152.0 1120 1278 21.88% 20.60% 57.52%-1.52 +2.9 22
1967-01-28 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-152.0 1278 1120 57.52% 20.60% 21.88%+1.52 -2.9 26
1967-01-28 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-232.9 716 1308 2.35% 16.97% 80.68%-6.02 -1.0 1
1967-01-28 @ APOP Paphos W 2-132.9 1308 716 80.68% 16.97% 2.35%+6.02 +1.0 25
1967-01-28 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-136.9 979 1134 22.14% 20.61% 57.25%-1.50 -9.0 11
1967-01-28 @ EPA Larnaca W 1-036.9 1134 979 57.25% 20.61% 22.14%+1.50 +9.0 21
1967-01-28 Aris Limassol W 9-025.7 1232 759 78.20% 18.07% 3.73%+5.01 +12.6 23
1967-01-28 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-925.7 759 1232 3.73% 18.07% 78.20%-5.01 -12.6 4
1967-01-28 AEL Limassol W 1-043.5 983 1031 35.09% 20.87% 44.05%-0.38 +15.8 13
1967-01-28 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-143.5 1031 983 44.05% 20.87% 35.09%+0.38 -15.8 15
1967-02-04 Olympiacos Nicosia D 2-256.0 1275 1309 36.97% 20.88% 42.15%-0.24 +0.3 27
1967-02-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 2-256.0 1309 1275 42.15% 20.88% 36.97%+0.24 -0.3 26
1967-02-04 AEL Limassol W 2-140.5 1123 1015 55.57% 20.70% 23.73%+1.23 +9.0 24
1967-02-04 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-240.5 1015 1123 23.73% 20.70% 55.57%-1.23 -9.0 15
1967-02-04 APOEL Nicosia L 0-625.5 746 1269 3.39% 17.75% 78.86%-5.31 -7.8 4
1967-02-04 @ Aris Limassol W 6-025.5 1269 746 78.86% 17.75% 3.39%+5.31 +7.8 25
1967-02-04 APOP Paphos W 2-029.6 1143 715 76.75% 18.53% 4.73%+4.54 +3.9 23
1967-02-04 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-229.6 715 1143 4.73% 18.53% 76.75%-4.54 -3.9 1
1967-02-04 Alki Larnaca W 1-035.2 1244 1060 63.02% 20.39% 16.59%+2.02 +7.0 25
1967-02-04 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-135.2 1060 1244 16.59% 20.39% 63.02%-2.02 -7.0 16
1967-02-04 EPA Larnaca W 2-038.9 999 970 45.76% 20.87% 33.38%+0.41 +23.8 15
1967-02-04 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-238.9 970 999 33.38% 20.87% 45.76%-0.41 -23.8 11
1967-02-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-139.0 1053 1147 29.04% 20.79% 50.17%-0.86 -11.3 16
1967-02-11 @ Alki Larnaca W 1-039.0 1147 1053 50.17% 20.79% 29.04%+0.86 +11.3 25
1967-02-11 EPA Larnaca W 1-032.3 1275 946 72.62% 19.43% 7.95%+3.52 +3.5 29
1967-02-11 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-132.3 946 1275 7.95% 19.43% 72.62%-3.52 -3.5 11
1967-02-11 Omonia Nicosia D 0-049.4 1132 1251 26.04% 20.73% 53.23%-1.13 +2.4 25
1967-02-11 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-049.4 1251 1132 53.23% 20.73% 26.04%+1.13 -2.4 26
1967-02-11 Aris Limassol W 5-038.1 711 738 37.94% 20.88% 41.17%-0.17 +65.9 3
1967-02-11 @ APOP Paphos L 0-538.1 738 711 41.17% 20.88% 37.94%+0.17 -65.9 4
1967-02-11 AEL Limassol W 3-030.0 1309 1006 71.26% 19.63% 9.11%+3.25 +10.9 28
1967-02-11 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-330.0 1006 1309 9.11% 19.63% 71.26%-3.25 -10.9 15
1967-02-18 Omonia Nicosia D 2-255.4 1042 1249 17.33% 20.38% 62.28%-2.03 +2.8 17
1967-02-18 @ Alki Larnaca D 2-255.4 1249 1042 62.28% 20.38% 17.33%+2.03 -2.8 27
1967-02-18 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-152.2 1134 1320 19.23% 20.49% 60.28%-1.81 +3.4 26
1967-02-18 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-152.2 1320 1134 60.28% 20.49% 19.23%+1.81 -3.4 29
1967-02-18 AEL Limassol L 1-633.8 777 995 16.44% 20.33% 63.23%-2.15 -25.2 3
1967-02-18 @ APOP Paphos W 6-133.8 995 777 63.23% 20.33% 16.44%+2.15 +25.2 17
1967-02-18 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-043.4 943 1023 30.83% 20.82% 48.35%-0.72 +32.3 13
1967-02-18 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-243.4 1023 943 48.35% 20.82% 30.83%+0.72 -32.3 15
1967-02-18 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-045.1 1158 1279 25.92% 20.73% 53.35%-1.14 +35.3 27
1967-02-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-245.1 1279 1158 53.35% 20.73% 25.92%+1.14 -35.3 29
1967-02-25 Apollon Limassol L 0-534.5 1045 1138 29.15% 20.80% 50.05%-0.85 -49.9 17
1967-02-25 @ Alki Larnaca W 5-034.5 1138 1045 50.05% 20.80% 29.15%+0.85 +49.9 28
1967-02-25 APOP Paphos D 1-151.8 672 752 30.85% 20.82% 48.32%-0.71 +1.4 5
1967-02-25 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.8 752 672 48.32% 20.82% 30.85%+0.71 -1.4 4
1967-02-25 AEL Limassol W 4-031.7 1194 1020 62.11% 20.44% 17.45%+1.91 +26.0 29
1967-02-25 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-431.7 1020 1194 17.45% 20.44% 62.11%-1.91 -26.0 17
1967-02-25 EPA Larnaca W 5-341.6 1246 975 69.40% 19.87% 10.73%+2.91 +6.4 29
1967-02-25 @ Omonia Nicosia L 3-541.6 975 1246 10.73% 19.87% 69.40%-2.91 -6.4 13
1967-02-25 Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-152.0 990 1243 13.80% 20.12% 66.08%-2.51 +4.4 16
1967-02-25 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-152.0 1243 990 66.08% 20.12% 13.80%+2.51 -4.4 30
1967-03-04 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-335.0 995 1316 9.76% 19.65% 70.59%-3.22 -6.9 17
1967-03-04 @ Alki Larnaca W 3-135.0 1316 995 70.59% 19.65% 9.76%+3.22 +7.0 31
1967-03-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 4-239.3 1239 995 67.66% 20.05% 12.29%+2.64 +7.7 32
1967-03-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-439.3 995 1239 12.29% 20.05% 67.66%-2.64 -7.7 16
1967-03-04 APOP Paphos W 10-126.6 1277 751 79.71% 17.48% 2.81%+5.56 +7.7 27
1967-03-04 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-1026.6 751 1277 2.81% 17.48% 79.71%-5.56 -7.7 4
1967-03-04 EPA Larnaca L 0-330.6 674 969 11.18% 19.85% 68.97%-2.94 -13.2 5
1967-03-04 @ Aris Limassol W 3-030.6 969 674 68.97% 19.85% 11.18%+2.94 +13.2 15
1967-03-04 Omonia Nicosia L 0-141.8 1220 1252 37.17% 20.88% 41.95%-0.23 -13.8 29
1967-03-04 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-041.8 1252 1220 41.95% 20.88% 37.17%+0.23 +13.8 31
1967-03-11 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-144.3 994 987 42.79% 20.88% 36.33%+0.18 +12.8 19
1967-03-11 @ AEL Limassol L 1-244.3 987 994 36.33% 20.88% 42.79%-0.18 -12.8 16
1967-03-11 APOEL Nicosia L 1-236.5 988 1285 11.07% 19.83% 69.10%-2.96 -4.5 17
1967-03-11 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-136.5 1285 988 69.10% 19.83% 11.07%+2.96 +4.5 29
1967-03-11 APOP Paphos W 10-126.2 1323 743 81.03% 16.86% 2.11%+6.12 +5.7 33
1967-03-11 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-1026.2 743 1323 2.11% 16.86% 81.03%-6.12 -5.7 4
1967-03-18 Aris Limassol W 8-129.6 983 660 72.31% 19.48% 8.21%+3.45 +18.0 19
1967-03-18 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-829.6 660 983 8.21% 19.48% 72.31%-3.45 -18.0 5
1967-03-18 EPA Larnaca W 8-335.1 1289 982 71.50% 19.60% 8.90%+3.29 +10.8 31
1967-03-18 @ APOEL Nicosia L 3-835.1 982 1289 8.90% 19.60% 71.50%-3.29 -10.8 15
1967-03-25 APOEL Nicosia L 1-241.8 1188 1300 26.84% 20.75% 52.41%-1.05 -10.0 28
1967-03-25 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-141.8 1300 1188 52.41% 20.75% 26.84%+1.05 +10.0 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1966-11-12 5.08% Aris Limassol 759 4 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1173 0
2 1966-11-19 20.13% @ AEL Limassol 1059 4 APOEL Nicosia 1234 2
3 1967-01-14 22.12% @ EPA Larnaca 997 2 Apollon Limassol 1152 1
4 1966-12-03 23.24% Apollon Limassol 1138 2 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1251 1
5 1966-12-03 24.57% EPA Larnaca 994 2 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1095 1
6 1966-10-15 25.88% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1127 3 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1216 1
7 1967-02-18 25.92% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1158 2 Anorthosis Famagusta 1279 0
8 1966-10-01 26.92% EPA Larnaca 954 2 @ AEL Limassol 1034 1
9 1966-10-15 27.07% AEL Limassol 1013 2 @ Alki Larnaca 1092 1
10 1966-11-05 28.01% Anorthosis Famagusta 1158 3 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1229 1
11 1966-09-24 30.58% Apollon Limassol 1024 4 @ AEL Limassol 1074 1
12 1967-02-18 30.83% @ EPA Larnaca 943 2 Pezoporikos Larnaca 1023 0
13 1966-10-01 31.55% Anorthosis Famagusta 1168 2 @ APOEL Nicosia 1211 1
14 1966-12-17 35.06% @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1233 5 APOEL Nicosia 1281 2
15 1966-10-29 35.09% Olympiacos Nicosia 1206 4 @ APOEL Nicosia 1222 2
16 1967-01-28 35.09% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 983 1 AEL Limassol 1031 0
17 1966-10-29 35.38% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1159 2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1173 1
18 1966-10-08 37.05% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1184 1 Omonia Nicosia 1218 0
19 1966-12-10 37.15% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1077 3 Alki Larnaca 1110 1
20 1966-10-08 37.61% @ Apollon Limassol 1078 1 Alki Larnaca 1107 0
21 1967-02-11 37.94% @ APOP Paphos 711 5 Aris Limassol 738 0
22 1966-09-17 38.08% @ Alki Larnaca 1003 6 APOP Paphos 1029 0
23 1966-10-01 38.17% Apollon Limassol 1064 2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1057 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-11-12 95.59 Aris Limassol 4 759 5.08% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 1173 76.25% 18.66%
2 1966-09-17 78.11 @ Alki Larnaca 6 1003 38.08% APOP Paphos 0 1029 41.04% 20.88%
3 1967-02-11 65.94 @ APOP Paphos 5 711 37.94% Aris Limassol 0 738 41.17% 20.88%
4 1966-10-15 65.79 EPA Larnaca 7 976 51.50% @ APOP Paphos 0 871 27.73% 20.77%
5 1967-02-25 49.88 Apollon Limassol 5 1138 50.05% @ Alki Larnaca 0 1045 29.15% 20.80%
6 1966-09-17 41.16 AEL Limassol 5 1033 41.87% @ EPA Larnaca 1 1001 37.25% 20.88%
7 1966-09-24 39.71 Apollon Limassol 4 1024 30.58% @ AEL Limassol 1 1074 48.58% 20.84%
8 1966-10-29 37.59 @ AEL Limassol 7 1010 65.16% Aris Limassol 0 800 14.59% 20.25%
9 1967-01-21 36.88 Olympiacos Nicosia 10 1271 66.23% @ EPA Larnaca 1 1016 13.66% 20.11%
10 1966-09-24 35.36 Alki Larnaca 4 1081 54.48% @ APOP Paphos 0 951 24.82% 20.70%
11 1967-02-18 35.29 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 1158 25.92% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1279 53.35% 20.73%
12 1966-11-12 34.42 APOEL Nicosia 6 1200 55.87% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1058 23.47% 20.66%
13 1967-02-18 32.29 @ EPA Larnaca 2 943 30.83% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1023 48.35% 20.82%
14 1966-11-26 31.79 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1219 65.52% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1004 14.25% 20.23%
15 1966-12-17 31.63 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1233 35.06% APOEL Nicosia 2 1281 44.07% 20.87%
16 1966-10-15 30.57 Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1127 25.88% @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1216 53.36% 20.76%
17 1966-11-19 30.26 @ AEL Limassol 4 1059 20.13% APOEL Nicosia 2 1234 59.34% 20.53%
18 1966-12-10 29.79 @ APOEL Nicosia 7 1251 63.21% AEL Limassol 1 1065 16.41% 20.38%
19 1966-11-05 29.43 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1158 28.01% @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1229 51.19% 20.80%
20 1966-12-17 27.87 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 962 60.66% Aris Limassol 0 804 18.82% 20.51%
21 1966-12-03 27.26 @ APOEL Nicosia 17 1224 75.55% Aris Limassol 1 828 5.61% 18.84%
22 1966-09-17 27.09 APOEL Nicosia 2 1173 39.96% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 1154 39.16% 20.89%
23 1967-02-25 26.05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1194 62.11% AEL Limassol 0 1020 17.45% 20.44%
24 1967-02-18 25.19 AEL Limassol 6 995 63.23% @ APOP Paphos 1 777 16.44% 20.33%
25 1966-12-10 24.80 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1077 37.15% Alki Larnaca 1 1110 41.96% 20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1966-12-10 58.9 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1156 64.11% Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 959 15.56% 20.32%
2 1966-11-05 58.8 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 1056 26.17% Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1174 53.09% 20.73%
3 1966-11-12 58.8 @ AEL Limassol 3 1057 24.76% Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1188 54.55% 20.70%
4 1967-02-04 56.0 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1275 36.97% Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1309 42.15% 20.88%
5 1967-01-14 55.6 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 1249 43.64% Omonia Nicosia 2 1236 35.48% 20.88%
6 1966-11-19 55.4 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1224 50.87% Apollon Limassol 2 1156 28.32% 20.80%
7 1966-12-10 55.4 @ EPA Larnaca 2 1012 65.28% Aris Limassol 2 801 14.48% 20.24%
8 1967-02-18 55.4 @ Alki Larnaca 2 1042 17.33% Omonia Nicosia 2 1249 62.28% 20.38%
9 1966-10-08 55.3 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 1126 29.38% Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1217 49.82% 20.80%
10 1966-11-19 53.6 @ AEL Limassol 4 1059 20.13% APOEL Nicosia 2 1234 59.34% 20.53%
11 1967-02-18 52.2 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1134 19.23% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1320 60.28% 20.49%
12 1966-11-26 52.1 @ EPA Larnaca 1 999 69.74% APOP Paphos 1 723 10.43% 19.83%
13 1966-12-10 52.1 @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1241 42.96% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1232 36.16% 20.88%
14 1966-10-08 52.0 @ EPA Larnaca 1 972 15.98% APOEL Nicosia 1 1195 63.72% 20.30%
15 1966-11-05 52.0 @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1225 45.44% APOEL Nicosia 1 1199 33.69% 20.87%
16 1967-01-28 52.0 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1120 21.88% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1278 57.52% 20.60%
17 1967-02-25 52.0 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 990 13.80% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1243 66.08% 20.12%
18 1966-09-17 51.9 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1074 27.88% Omonia Nicosia 1 1178 51.35% 20.77%
19 1966-10-08 51.9 @ Aris Limassol 1 819 18.15% AEL Limassol 1 1017 61.42% 20.43%
20 1966-11-26 51.8 @ AEL Limassol 1 1089 41.00% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1095 38.11% 20.89%
21 1966-12-17 51.8 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1154 48.86% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1102 30.31% 20.83%
22 1967-02-25 51.8 @ Aris Limassol 1 672 30.85% APOP Paphos 1 752 48.32% 20.82%
23 1967-01-14 50.5 @ EPA Larnaca 2 997 22.12% Apollon Limassol 1 1152 57.27% 20.61%
24 1966-12-03 50.3 Apollon Limassol 2 1138 23.24% @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1251 56.07% 20.69%
25 1966-12-03 49.8 EPA Larnaca 2 994 24.57% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1095 54.71% 20.72%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-02-04 25.5 APOEL Nicosia 6 1269 78.86% @ Aris Limassol 0 746 3.39% 17.75%
2 1967-01-28 25.7 @ Omonia Nicosia 9 1232 78.20% Aris Limassol 0 759 3.73% 18.07%
3 1967-01-14 25.9 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1264 78.66% Aris Limassol 0 776 3.44% 17.90%
4 1967-03-11 26.2 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 10 1323 81.03% APOP Paphos 1 743 2.11% 16.86%
5 1967-03-04 26.6 @ APOEL Nicosia 10 1277 79.71% APOP Paphos 1 751 2.81% 17.48%
6 1966-11-26 27.4 Omonia Nicosia 5 1223 73.67% @ Aris Limassol 0 842 7.16% 19.16%
7 1966-12-03 27.4 @ APOEL Nicosia 17 1224 75.55% Aris Limassol 1 828 5.61% 18.84%
8 1967-01-21 27.6 APOEL Nicosia 3 1249 79.01% @ APOP Paphos 0 720 3.29% 17.69%
9 1966-11-19 28.1 Nea Salamis Famagusta 5 1077 71.46% @ APOP Paphos 0 740 9.01% 19.53%
10 1966-09-17 28.2 Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1185 71.23% @ Aris Limassol 0 852 9.21% 19.57%
11 1966-10-01 28.2 @ Omonia Nicosia 6 1194 69.89% APOP Paphos 0 915 10.29% 19.81%
12 1966-10-29 29.4 @ AEL Limassol 7 1010 65.16% Aris Limassol 0 800 14.59% 20.25%
13 1966-10-29 29.5 Apollon Limassol 9 1116 71.30% @ APOP Paphos 1 782 9.14% 19.56%
14 1966-11-26 29.5 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1219 65.52% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1004 14.25% 20.23%
15 1967-02-04 29.6 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 1143 76.75% APOP Paphos 0 715 4.73% 18.53%
16 1967-03-18 29.6 @ Alki Larnaca 8 983 72.31% Aris Limassol 1 660 8.21% 19.48%
17 1966-10-22 29.9 Apollon Limassol 4 1097 67.92% @ Aris Limassol 0 818 12.12% 19.96%
18 1966-11-12 30.0 @ Apollon Limassol 6 1147 75.63% APOP Paphos 1 749 5.55% 18.82%
19 1967-02-11 30.0 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1309 71.26% AEL Limassol 0 1006 9.11% 19.63%
20 1967-03-04 30.6 EPA Larnaca 3 969 68.97% @ Aris Limassol 0 674 11.18% 19.85%
21 1967-01-21 30.8 Olympiacos Nicosia 10 1271 66.23% @ EPA Larnaca 1 1016 13.66% 20.11%
22 1966-12-03 31.3 Omonia Nicosia 4 1237 78.43% @ APOP Paphos 1 728 3.66% 17.91%
23 1966-10-22 31.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 7 1047 67.48% APOP Paphos 1 805 12.46% 20.06%
24 1967-02-25 31.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1194 62.11% AEL Limassol 0 1020 17.45% 20.44%
25 1966-12-17 32.0 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 962 60.66% Aris Limassol 0 804 18.82% 20.51%