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1967-68 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

AEL Limassol

37 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1955-56

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AEL Limassol

9.48 points above expected

37 points · 27.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

APOEL Nicosia

8.57 points below expected

18 points · 26.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AEL Limassol Champion 22 17 3 2 37 65 20 +45 27.52 +9.48
2 Omonia Nicosia 22 15 3 4 33 50 28 +22 29.94 +3.06
3 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 13 4 5 30 46 19 +27 23.31 +6.69
4 Apollon Limassol 22 12 5 5 29 48 26 +22 28.50 +0.50
5 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 9 5 8 23 48 35 +13 25.97 -2.97
6 Alki Larnaca 22 10 2 10 22 56 50 +6 21.68 +0.32
7 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 8 4 10 20 47 49 -2 24.61 -4.61
8 EPA Larnaca 22 7 6 9 20 43 36 +7 20.12 -0.12
9 APOEL Nicosia 22 6 6 10 18 55 44 +11 26.57 -8.57
10 ASIL Lysi 22 7 2 13 16 31 58 -27 16.87 -0.87
11 Aris Limassol 22 5 1 16 11 32 81 -49 9.80 +1.20
12 APOP Paphos 22 2 1 19 5 15 90 -75 9.11 -4.11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AEL Limassol 37 27.52 +9.48
2 Pezoporikos Larnaca 30 23.31 +6.69
3 Omonia Nicosia 33 29.94 +3.06
4 Aris Limassol 11 9.80 +1.20
5 Apollon Limassol 29 28.50 +0.50

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 APOEL Nicosia 18 26.57 -8.57
2 Nea Salamis Famagusta 20 24.61 -4.61
3 APOP Paphos 5 9.11 -4.11
4 Anorthosis Famagusta 23 25.97 -2.97
5 ASIL Lysi 16 16.87 -0.87

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AEL Limassol 1334 37 +99 10 7.4 +2.6
Omonia Nicosia 1221 33 +7 8 7.6 +0.4
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1249 30 +53 10 8.0 +2.0
Apollon Limassol 1217 29 -44 4 7.8 -3.8
Anorthosis Famagusta 1145 23 +19 6 3.4 +2.6
Alki Larnaca 1065 22 +6 5 4.2 +0.8
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1071 20 -84 2 4.7 -2.7
EPA Larnaca 1009 20 -61 1 3.3 -2.3
APOEL Nicosia 1150 18 -4 5 6.5 -1.5
ASIL Lysi 951 16 -2 4 3.6 +0.4
Aris Limassol 784 11 -10 2 2.1 -0.1
APOP Paphos 702 5 +6 2 1.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AN AP AL AL AF AL AL EL NSF ON PL
AEL Limassol —
2-0-0
2.39
2-0-0
5.08
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.79
2-0-0
4.80
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.43
APOEL Nicosia
0-0-2
3.27
—
1-0-1
5.02
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
4.72
0-0-2
3.59
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
3.05
APOP Paphos
0-0-2
0.61
1-0-1
0.67
—
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
0.69
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.14
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
0.71
ASIL Lysi
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
4.26
—
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
1.48
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
1.11
0-0-2
1.42
Alki Larnaca
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
1.78
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
3.73
—
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.60
2-0-0
4.51
0-2-0
3.40
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
3.07
Anorthosis Famagusta
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
4.17
1-0-1
3.49
—
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
4.90
1-1-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
3.93
Apollon Limassol
1-1-0
2.87
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
5.00
1-0-1
4.18
1-0-1
4.07
1-0-1
3.27
—
2-0-0
4.89
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
3.86
Aris Limassol
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
0.96
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.16
1-0-1
0.78
0-0-2
0.79
—
1-0-1
1.23
1-0-1
1.10
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.05
EPA Larnaca
0-1-1
1.81
2-0-0
2.08
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
3.68
0-2-0
2.26
0-1-1
1.96
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
4.44
—
0-1-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
1.70
Nea Salamis Famagusta
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
4.57
1-1-0
3.58
—
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
2.78
Omonia Nicosia
1-0-1
3.46
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
5.15
1-0-1
4.56
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.59
—
2-0-0
3.94
Pezoporikos Larnaca
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
1.74
1-1-0
1.80
2-0-0
4.63
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.73
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +5.6
Allowed 0.87 -3.8
Differential 0.87 +2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.41%5.68%3.79%3.03%4.17%23.11%
13.41%7.58%4.92%3.41%1.52%2.65%23.48%
25.68%4.92%3.79%3.03%1.89%2.65%21.97%
33.79%3.41%3.03%1.52%1.14%0.38%13.26%
43.03%1.52%1.89%1.14%——7.58%
5+4.17%2.65%2.65%0.38%—0.76%10.61%
Total23.11%23.48%21.97%13.26%7.58%10.61%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 2.03 +0.00
SD 1.93 1.93 3.06
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
418.18%——4.55%——22.73%
5+9.09%—9.09%———18.18%
Total50.00%22.73%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 0.91 +2.05
SD 2.10 1.11 2.34
CV 0.71 1.22 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
1—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
24.55%—9.09%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
34.55%———9.09%—13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
Total13.64%31.82%31.82%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.00 +0.50
SD 2.56 1.69 3.17
CV 1.02 0.85 —
Max 11 6 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%9.09%18.18%18.18%54.55%
14.55%—9.09%4.55%—13.64%31.82%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%—22.73%18.18%22.73%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 4.09 -3.41
SD 0.95 2.37 2.68
CV 1.39 0.58 —
Max 3 11 +1
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——18.18%4.55%9.09%9.09%40.91%
14.55%——4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%9.09%31.82%13.64%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.64 -1.23
SD 1.47 1.76 2.81
CV 1.04 0.67 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total4.55%36.36%18.18%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 2.27 +0.27
SD 1.90 1.45 2.78
CV 0.74 0.64 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
Total27.27%18.18%36.36%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.59 +0.59
SD 2.02 1.37 2.58
CV 0.92 0.86 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%———4.55%18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+9.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
Total45.45%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.18 +1.00
SD 1.92 1.47 2.43
CV 0.88 1.24 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%9.09%—13.64%31.82%
1———4.55%4.55%9.09%18.18%
24.55%—4.55%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%13.64%18.18%27.27%4.55%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 3.68 -2.23
SD 1.26 2.70 3.41
CV 0.87 0.73 —
Max 4 11 +3
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
1—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
24.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.64 +0.32
SD 2.59 1.50 3.33
CV 1.33 0.92 —
Max 11 6 +11
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—4.55%————4.55%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.23 -0.09
SD 1.98 1.74 2.76
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
213.64%9.09%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
39.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.27 +1.00
SD 1.32 1.39 1.93
CV 0.58 1.09 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
213.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total40.91%40.91%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.86 +1.23
SD 1.77 0.99 2.14
CV 0.85 1.15 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AEL Limassol 1334 37 27.52 +9.48 100.0% 19 21 25 27 31 34 35
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1249 30 23.31 +6.69 98.0% 13 18 21 23 26 28 32
Omonia Nicosia 1221 33 29.94 +3.06 82.0% 20 24 27 30 32 37 41
Apollon Limassol 1217 29 28.50 +0.50 61.0% 18 23 26 29 31 34 39
APOEL Nicosia 1150 18 26.57 -8.57 2.0% 18 21 24 26 29 33 35
Anorthosis Famagusta 1145 23 25.97 -2.97 23.0% 16 20 24 26 28 32 34
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1071 20 24.61 -4.61 17.0% 13 18 22 25 27 30 34
Alki Larnaca 1065 22 21.68 +0.32 58.0% 11 15 19 22 24 27 31
EPA Larnaca 1009 20 20.12 -0.12 60.0% 14 15 18 19 22 26 29
ASIL Lysi 951 16 16.87 -0.87 49.0% 9 11 14 17 19 22 26
Aris Limassol 784 11 9.80 +1.20 71.0% 2 5 8 9 12 15 19
APOP Paphos 702 5 9.11 -4.11 10.0% 2 5 7 9 11 14 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.94%
Clear Edge
51.52%15.91%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
066.61400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.79 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
AEL Limassol, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.93 * Some Luck: 2.93 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.72 points
Lucky
03.669
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
AEL Limassol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
APOEL Nicosia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 188.96
2.14
Strong Separation
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Few
0%37%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Notable Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.59
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.36
Weak Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.11
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
AEL Limassol16.00%20.00%16.00%9.00%18.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%—1.00%——
Omonia Nicosia39.00%19.00%11.00%17.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%————
Pezoporikos Larnaca2.00%2.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%20.00%10.00%19.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—
Apollon Limassol22.00%22.00%12.00%19.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Anorthosis Famagusta8.00%9.00%11.00%22.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%——
Alki Larnaca—1.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%22.00%19.00%20.00%10.00%——
Nea Salamis Famagusta5.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%1.00%——
EPA Larnaca—1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%22.00%30.00%19.00%1.00%—
APOEL Nicosia8.00%17.00%15.00%8.00%15.00%12.00%16.00%3.00%6.00%———
ASIL Lysi———1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%17.00%54.00%8.00%2.00%
Aris Limassol———————1.00%2.00%5.00%50.00%42.00%
APOP Paphos—————————4.00%40.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
AEL Limassol 100% —
APOEL Nicosia 100% —
APOP Paphos 44.00% 56.00%
ASIL Lysi 98.00% 2.00%
Alki Larnaca 100% —
Anorthosis Famagusta 100% —
Apollon Limassol 100% —
Aris Limassol 58.00% 42.00%
EPA Larnaca 100% —
Nea Salamis Famagusta 100% —
Omonia Nicosia 100% —
Pezoporikos Larnaca 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1967-09-17 ASIL Lysi W 5-033.9 1047 1103 47.72% 16.88% 35.41%+0.08 +61.5 2
1967-09-17 @ AEL Limassol L 0-533.9 1103 1047 35.41% 16.88% 47.72%-0.08 -61.5 0
1967-09-17 Omonia Nicosia L 2-346.9 1045 1202 33.71% 16.82% 49.47%-0.67 -12.0 0
1967-09-17 @ Alki Larnaca W 3-246.9 1202 1045 49.47% 16.82% 33.71%+0.67 +12.0 2
1967-09-17 APOEL Nicosia L 0-242.2 1180 1222 49.59% 16.87% 33.53%+0.18 -35.0 0
1967-09-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-042.2 1222 1180 33.53% 16.87% 49.59%-0.18 +35.0 2
1967-09-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-050.8 1147 1030 66.81% 16.66% 16.53%+1.37 -5.1 1
1967-09-17 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-050.8 1030 1147 16.53% 16.66% 66.81%-1.37 +5.1 1
1967-09-17 Aris Limassol W 11-027.7 1028 834 72.27% 16.45% 11.27%+1.95 +46.5 2
1967-09-17 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-1127.7 834 1028 11.27% 16.45% 72.27%-1.95 -46.5 0
1967-09-17 APOP Paphos W 6-025.2 1161 897 75.98% 16.20% 7.82%+2.47 +18.4 2
1967-09-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-625.2 897 1161 7.82% 16.20% 75.98%-2.47 -18.4 0
1967-09-24 APOEL Nicosia W 6-248.3 1033 1257 25.49% 16.72% 57.79%-1.18 +54.2 2
1967-09-24 @ Alki Larnaca L 2-648.3 1257 1033 57.79% 16.72% 25.49%+1.18 -54.2 2
1967-09-24 AEL Limassol D 1-153.7 1142 1109 58.73% 16.81% 24.46%+0.75 -3.0 2
1967-09-24 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-153.7 1109 1142 24.46% 16.81% 58.73%-0.75 +3.0 3
1967-09-24 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-238.8 879 1145 21.09% 16.63% 62.29%-1.49 -8.3 0
1967-09-24 @ APOP Paphos W 2-138.8 1145 879 62.29% 16.63% 21.09%+1.49 +8.3 2
1967-09-24 Aris Limassol W 3-239.0 1042 788 75.54% 16.24% 8.22%+2.40 +3.3 2
1967-09-24 @ ASIL Lysi L 2-339.0 788 1042 8.22% 16.24% 75.54%-2.40 -3.3 0
1967-09-24 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-050.8 1074 1179 40.81% 16.87% 42.33%-0.29 +0.1 3
1967-09-24 @ EPA Larnaca D 0-050.8 1179 1074 42.33% 16.87% 40.81%+0.29 -0.1 3
1967-09-24 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-032.6 1214 1035 71.37% 16.50% 12.13%+1.84 +5.3 4
1967-09-24 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-132.6 1035 1214 12.13% 16.50% 71.37%-1.84 -5.3 1
1967-10-01 EPA Larnaca D 2-257.7 1154 1074 63.47% 16.74% 19.79%+1.09 -2.9 3
1967-10-01 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 2-257.7 1074 1154 19.79% 16.74% 63.47%-1.09 +2.9 4
1967-10-01 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-153.8 1203 1030 71.01% 16.51% 12.48%+1.80 -5.4 3
1967-10-01 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-153.8 1030 1203 12.48% 16.51% 71.01%-1.80 +5.4 2
1967-10-01 ASIL Lysi W 3-030.8 1139 1045 64.80% 16.71% 18.48%+1.20 +21.6 4
1967-10-01 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-330.8 1045 1139 18.48% 16.71% 64.80%-1.20 -21.6 2
1967-10-01 Alki Larnaca L 1-733.9 871 1087 26.31% 16.73% 56.95%-1.12 -46.6 0
1967-10-01 @ APOP Paphos W 7-133.9 1087 871 56.95% 16.73% 26.31%+1.12 +46.6 4
1967-10-01 Aris Limassol L 1-453.2 1179 784 80.54% 15.59% 3.87%+3.45 -69.6 3
1967-10-01 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-153.2 784 1179 3.87% 15.59% 80.54%-3.45 +69.6 2
1967-10-01 AEL Limassol W 3-242.0 1219 1112 66.02% 16.68% 17.30%+1.30 +6.6 6
1967-10-01 @ Omonia Nicosia L 2-342.0 1112 1219 17.30% 16.68% 66.02%-1.30 -6.6 3
1967-10-08 APOEL Nicosia W 3-249.0 1105 1198 42.61% 16.87% 40.52%-0.19 +14.0 5
1967-10-08 @ AEL Limassol L 2-349.0 1198 1105 40.52% 16.87% 42.61%+0.19 -14.0 3
1967-10-08 ASIL Lysi W 4-028.6 1151 1023 67.64% 16.64% 15.72%+1.45 +24.3 5
1967-10-08 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-428.6 1023 1151 15.72% 16.64% 67.64%-1.45 -24.3 2
1967-10-08 APOP Paphos W 6-024.4 1160 824 78.81% 15.88% 5.31%+3.01 +12.5 6
1967-10-08 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-624.4 824 1160 5.31% 15.88% 78.81%-3.01 -12.6 0
1967-10-08 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-331.8 854 1110 22.14% 16.65% 61.21%-1.41 -25.3 2
1967-10-08 @ Aris Limassol W 3-031.8 1110 854 61.21% 16.65% 22.14%+1.41 +25.3 5
1967-10-08 EPA Larnaca W 2-031.3 1226 1077 69.29% 16.58% 14.12%+1.61 +11.6 8
1967-10-08 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-231.3 1077 1226 14.12% 16.58% 69.29%-1.61 -11.6 4
1967-10-08 Alki Larnaca W 4-141.9 1035 1134 41.71% 16.87% 41.42%-0.24 +36.7 4
1967-10-08 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-441.9 1134 1035 41.42% 16.87% 41.71%+0.24 -36.7 4
1967-10-15 APOP Paphos W 4-025.6 1119 812 77.79% 16.02% 6.19%+2.80 +10.0 7
1967-10-15 @ AEL Limassol L 0-425.6 812 1119 6.19% 16.02% 77.79%-2.80 -10.0 0
1967-10-15 ASIL Lysi W 4-134.9 1097 999 65.20% 16.70% 18.10%+1.23 +17.8 6
1967-10-15 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-434.9 999 1097 18.10% 16.70% 65.20%-1.23 -17.8 2
1967-10-15 Aris Limassol W 7-024.5 1175 829 79.14% 15.84% 5.03%+3.09 +13.8 7
1967-10-15 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-724.5 829 1175 5.03% 15.84% 79.14%-3.09 -13.8 2
1967-10-15 APOEL Nicosia W 2-145.9 1066 1184 38.96% 16.86% 44.18%-0.39 +15.8 6
1967-10-15 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-245.9 1184 1066 44.18% 16.86% 38.96%+0.39 -15.8 3
1967-10-15 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-153.7 1135 1072 61.88% 16.77% 21.35%+0.97 -3.6 6
1967-10-15 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-153.7 1072 1135 21.35% 16.77% 61.88%-0.97 +3.6 5
1967-10-15 Apollon Limassol L 1-251.4 1237 1173 62.04% 16.77% 21.19%+0.98 -21.7 8
1967-10-15 @ Omonia Nicosia W 2-151.4 1173 1237 21.19% 16.77% 62.04%-0.98 +21.7 8
1967-10-22 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-031.9 1189 1131 61.32% 16.78% 21.90%+0.93 +25.1 9
1967-10-22 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-331.9 1131 1189 21.90% 16.78% 61.32%-0.93 -25.1 6
1967-10-22 EPA Larnaca L 1-251.8 1168 1081 64.15% 16.73% 19.12%+1.15 -22.4 3
1967-10-22 @ APOEL Nicosia W 2-151.8 1081 1168 19.12% 16.73% 64.15%-1.15 +22.4 8
1967-10-22 Aris Limassol W 5-339.0 1195 815 80.13% 15.67% 4.20%+3.34 +2.6 10
1967-10-22 @ Apollon Limassol L 3-539.0 815 1195 4.20% 15.67% 80.13%-3.34 -2.6 2
1967-10-22 AEL Limassol L 0-237.6 981 1129 34.91% 16.83% 48.26%-0.61 -26.0 2
1967-10-22 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-037.6 1129 981 48.26% 16.83% 34.91%+0.61 +26.0 9
1967-10-22 Alki Larnaca W 5-238.5 1216 1115 65.42% 16.70% 17.88%+1.25 +15.3 10
1967-10-22 @ Omonia Nicosia L 2-538.5 1115 1216 17.88% 16.70% 65.42%-1.25 -15.3 6
1967-10-22 APOP Paphos W 6-025.1 1075 802 76.44% 16.16% 7.40%+2.55 +17.4 7
1967-10-22 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-625.1 802 1075 7.40% 16.16% 76.44%-2.55 -17.4 0
1967-10-29 Omonia Nicosia W 2-144.2 1155 1231 44.94% 16.88% 38.18%-0.07 +14.0 11
1967-10-29 @ AEL Limassol L 1-244.2 1231 1155 38.18% 16.88% 44.94%+0.07 -14.0 10
1967-10-29 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-050.9 1214 1093 67.15% 16.65% 16.20%+1.40 -5.2 10
1967-10-29 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-050.9 1093 1214 16.20% 16.65% 67.15%-1.40 +5.2 8
1967-10-29 APOP Paphos W 11-126.1 1146 784 79.60% 15.76% 4.63%+3.20 +14.7 5
1967-10-29 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-1126.1 784 1146 4.63% 15.76% 79.60%-3.20 -14.6 0
1967-10-29 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 2-454.5 1197 1106 64.56% 16.72% 18.72%+1.18 -34.9 10
1967-10-29 @ Apollon Limassol W 4-254.5 1106 1197 18.72% 16.72% 64.56%-1.18 +34.9 8
1967-10-29 EPA Larnaca W 3-150.4 812 1104 18.73% 16.56% 64.71%-1.68 +39.1 4
1967-10-29 @ Aris Limassol L 1-350.4 1104 812 64.71% 16.56% 18.73%+1.68 -39.1 8
1967-10-29 Alki Larnaca W 4-249.5 955 1100 35.34% 16.84% 47.83%-0.58 +26.3 4
1967-10-29 @ ASIL Lysi L 2-449.5 1100 955 47.83% 16.84% 35.34%+0.58 -26.3 6
1967-11-05 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-146.6 1074 1209 36.62% 16.85% 46.53%-0.51 +16.6 8
1967-11-05 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-246.6 1209 1074 46.53% 16.85% 36.62%+0.51 -16.5 10
1967-11-05 Omonia Nicosia D 1-153.8 1160 1217 47.59% 16.88% 35.54%+0.07 -1.0 6
1967-11-05 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-153.8 1217 1160 35.54% 16.88% 47.59%-0.07 +1.0 11
1967-11-05 Aris Limassol W 3-248.4 770 851 44.14% 16.87% 38.99%-0.11 +13.5 2
1967-11-05 @ APOP Paphos L 2-348.4 851 770 38.99% 16.87% 44.14%+0.11 -13.5 4
1967-11-05 ASIL Lysi W 4-029.8 1065 982 63.82% 16.73% 19.45%+1.12 +29.5 10
1967-11-05 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-429.8 982 1065 19.45% 16.73% 63.82%-1.12 -29.5 4
1967-11-05 Apollon Limassol D 1-153.7 1141 1162 52.29% 16.86% 30.84%+0.34 -1.8 9
1967-11-05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-153.7 1162 1141 30.84% 16.86% 52.29%-0.34 +1.8 11
1967-11-05 AEL Limassol L 0-142.8 1098 1169 45.66% 16.88% 37.46%-0.03 -17.3 8
1967-11-05 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-042.8 1169 1098 37.46% 16.88% 45.66%+0.03 +17.3 13
1967-11-12 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-032.3 1186 1081 65.84% 16.69% 17.47%+1.29 +14.1 15
1967-11-12 @ AEL Limassol L 0-232.3 1081 1186 17.47% 16.69% 65.84%-1.29 -14.1 8
1967-11-12 APOP Paphos W 6-127.5 1192 783 80.91% 15.51% 3.58%+3.56 +5.9 12
1967-11-12 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-627.5 783 1192 3.58% 15.51% 80.91%-3.56 -5.9 2
1967-11-12 Omonia Nicosia D 1-153.8 1164 1218 47.98% 16.87% 35.15%+0.09 -1.1 12
1967-11-12 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-153.8 1218 1164 35.15% 16.87% 47.98%-0.09 +1.1 12
1967-11-12 Alki Larnaca L 1-534.7 838 1090 22.47% 16.66% 60.87%-1.39 -27.9 4
1967-11-12 @ Aris Limassol W 5-134.7 1090 838 60.87% 16.66% 22.47%+1.39 +27.9 10
1967-11-12 EPA Larnaca W 3-039.5 952 1094 35.67% 16.84% 47.49%-0.56 +48.9 6
1967-11-12 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-339.5 1094 952 47.49% 16.84% 35.67%+0.56 -48.9 10
1967-11-12 APOEL Nicosia W 4-349.6 1139 1159 52.45% 16.86% 30.69%+0.35 +10.8 11
1967-11-12 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 3-449.6 1159 1139 30.69% 16.86% 52.45%-0.35 -10.8 6
1967-11-19 Aris Limassol W 2-027.9 1200 810 80.43% 15.61% 3.96%+3.42 +3.4 17
1967-11-19 @ AEL Limassol L 0-227.9 810 1200 3.96% 15.61% 80.43%-3.42 -3.4 4
1967-11-19 APOEL Nicosia W 2-035.1 1163 1148 56.64% 16.83% 26.53%+0.61 +20.5 14
1967-11-19 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-235.1 1148 1163 26.53% 16.83% 56.64%-0.61 -20.5 6
1967-11-19 ASIL Lysi D 3-361.7 777 1001 25.50% 16.72% 57.78%-1.18 +1.8 3
1967-11-19 @ APOP Paphos D 3-361.7 1001 777 57.78% 16.72% 25.50%+1.18 -1.8 7
1967-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-335.6 1045 1198 34.22% 16.83% 48.95%-0.65 -37.1 10
1967-11-19 @ EPA Larnaca W 3-035.6 1198 1045 48.95% 16.83% 34.22%+0.65 +37.1 14
1967-11-19 Alki Larnaca L 1-250.2 1150 1118 58.60% 16.81% 24.59%+0.74 -20.5 11
1967-11-19 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-150.2 1118 1150 24.59% 16.81% 58.60%-0.74 +20.5 12
1967-11-19 Omonia Nicosia L 1-242.9 1067 1219 34.26% 16.83% 48.91%-0.64 -12.8 8
1967-11-19 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-142.9 1219 1067 48.91% 16.83% 34.26%+0.64 +12.8 14
1967-11-26 Apollon Limassol L 0-342.6 1204 1183 57.29% 16.83% 25.88%+0.65 -58.2 17
1967-11-26 @ AEL Limassol W 3-042.6 1183 1204 25.88% 16.83% 57.29%-0.65 +58.2 16
1967-11-26 Aris Limassol W 4-130.8 1139 807 78.67% 15.90% 5.43%+2.98 +5.7 14
1967-11-26 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-430.8 807 1139 5.43% 15.90% 78.67%-2.98 -5.6 4
1967-11-26 ASIL Lysi W 6-027.7 1128 999 67.75% 16.64% 15.61%+1.46 +35.3 8
1967-11-26 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-627.7 999 1128 15.61% 16.64% 67.75%-1.46 -35.3 7
1967-11-26 APOP Paphos W 6-025.7 1008 779 74.31% 16.33% 9.36%+2.21 +21.8 12
1967-11-26 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-625.7 779 1008 9.36% 16.33% 74.31%-2.21 -21.8 3
1967-11-26 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-030.7 1232 1130 65.58% 16.70% 17.73%+1.27 +20.8 16
1967-11-26 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-330.7 1130 1232 17.73% 16.70% 65.58%-1.27 -20.8 11
1967-11-26 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-148.4 1054 1235 30.55% 16.79% 52.65%-0.86 +18.5 10
1967-11-26 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-248.4 1235 1054 52.65% 16.79% 30.55%+0.86 -18.5 14
1967-12-03 EPA Larnaca D 1-153.7 1146 1030 66.70% 16.67% 16.64%+1.36 -4.5 18
1967-12-03 @ AEL Limassol D 1-153.7 1030 1146 16.64% 16.67% 66.70%-1.36 +4.5 13
1967-12-03 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-347.6 1144 1109 58.99% 16.81% 24.20%+0.76 +8.8 16
1967-12-03 @ Alki Larnaca L 3-447.6 1109 1144 24.20% 16.81% 58.99%-0.76 -8.8 11
1967-12-03 Apollon Limassol L 2-436.9 757 1242 7.04% 15.81% 77.15%-3.13 -4.6 3
1967-12-03 @ APOP Paphos W 4-236.9 1242 757 77.15% 15.81% 7.04%+3.13 +4.6 18
1967-12-03 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-342.8 801 1072 20.58% 16.61% 62.81%-1.53 -7.8 4
1967-12-03 @ Aris Limassol W 3-242.8 1072 801 62.81% 16.61% 20.58%+1.53 +7.7 12
1967-12-03 APOEL Nicosia D 2-257.6 964 1163 28.35% 16.76% 54.89%-0.99 +1.7 8
1967-12-03 @ ASIL Lysi D 2-257.6 1163 964 54.89% 16.76% 28.35%+0.99 -1.7 9
1967-12-03 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-140.1 1253 1217 59.06% 16.81% 24.13%+0.77 +9.4 18
1967-12-03 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-240.1 1217 1253 24.13% 16.81% 59.06%-0.77 -9.4 14
1967-12-10 EPA Larnaca D 3-361.7 1153 1035 66.94% 16.66% 16.40%+1.39 -2.8 17
1967-12-10 @ Alki Larnaca D 3-361.7 1035 1153 16.40% 16.66% 66.94%-1.39 +2.8 14
1967-12-10 AEL Limassol L 3-457.6 1162 1141 57.32% 16.83% 25.85%+0.65 -18.5 9
1967-12-10 @ APOEL Nicosia W 4-357.6 1141 1162 25.85% 16.83% 57.32%-0.65 +18.6 20
1967-12-10 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-236.7 753 1100 14.27% 16.38% 69.35%-2.10 -5.8 3
1967-12-10 @ APOP Paphos W 2-136.7 1100 753 69.35% 16.38% 14.27%+2.10 +5.8 13
1967-12-10 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-258.6 793 1207 10.18% 16.13% 73.69%-2.60 +24.5 6
1967-12-10 @ Aris Limassol L 2-358.6 1207 793 73.69% 16.13% 10.18%+2.60 -24.5 14
1967-12-10 ASIL Lysi W 2-028.9 1262 966 77.37% 16.06% 6.56%+2.72 +5.6 20
1967-12-10 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-228.9 966 1262 6.56% 16.06% 77.37%-2.72 -5.6 8
1967-12-10 Apollon Limassol W 5-038.6 1080 1246 32.47% 16.81% 50.71%-0.75 +83.6 14
1967-12-10 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-538.6 1246 1080 50.71% 16.81% 32.47%+0.75 -83.6 18
1967-12-17 Alki Larnaca W 2-034.5 1183 1150 58.67% 16.81% 24.52%+0.74 +19.1 16
1967-12-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-234.5 1150 1183 24.52% 16.81% 58.67%-0.74 -19.1 17
1967-12-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-153.7 1143 1106 59.17% 16.81% 24.02%+0.78 -3.1 10
1967-12-17 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-153.7 1106 1143 24.02% 16.81% 59.17%-0.78 +3.1 14
1967-12-17 Omonia Nicosia L 1-332.4 747 1268 5.80% 15.63% 78.57%-3.40 -4.2 3
1967-12-17 @ APOP Paphos W 3-132.4 1268 747 78.57% 15.63% 5.80%+3.40 +4.2 22
1967-12-17 AEL Limassol L 2-931.0 818 1160 14.67% 16.40% 68.93%-2.06 -26.0 6
1967-12-17 @ Aris Limassol W 9-231.0 1160 818 68.93% 16.40% 14.67%+2.06 +26.0 22
1967-12-17 Apollon Limassol D 0-050.8 1037 1163 37.97% 16.85% 45.18%-0.44 +0.7 15
1967-12-17 @ EPA Larnaca D 0-050.8 1163 1037 45.18% 16.85% 37.97%+0.44 -0.7 19
1967-12-17 ASIL Lysi W 2-030.2 1164 960 72.89% 16.42% 10.69%+2.02 +8.9 16
1967-12-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-230.2 960 1164 10.69% 16.42% 72.89%-2.02 -8.9 8
1968-01-14 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-346.1 1131 1173 49.65% 16.87% 33.48%+0.19 -30.4 17
1968-01-14 @ Alki Larnaca W 3-146.1 1173 1131 33.48% 16.87% 49.65%-0.19 +30.4 18
1968-01-14 AEL Limassol D 1-153.8 1202 1186 56.83% 16.83% 26.34%+0.62 -2.7 17
1968-01-14 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-153.8 1186 1202 26.34% 16.83% 56.83%-0.62 +2.7 23
1968-01-14 Apollon Limassol L 2-646.7 1140 1162 52.17% 16.86% 30.97%+0.33 -49.2 10
1968-01-14 @ APOEL Nicosia W 6-246.7 1162 1140 30.97% 16.86% 52.17%-0.33 +49.2 21
1968-01-14 APOP Paphos W 4-026.9 951 742 73.19% 16.40% 10.41%+2.06 +16.5 10
1968-01-14 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-426.9 742 951 10.41% 16.40% 73.19%-2.06 -16.5 3
1968-01-14 Omonia Nicosia L 0-136.4 1038 1272 24.40% 16.70% 58.90%-1.25 -10.1 15
1968-01-14 @ EPA Larnaca W 1-036.4 1272 1038 58.90% 16.70% 24.40%+1.25 +10.1 24
1968-01-21 Alki Larnaca W 4-029.7 1188 1101 64.24% 16.73% 19.03%+1.15 +28.9 25
1968-01-21 @ AEL Limassol L 0-429.7 1101 1188 19.03% 16.73% 64.24%-1.15 -28.9 17
1968-01-21 Apollon Limassol L 0-243.3 1199 1211 53.43% 16.86% 29.71%+0.41 -37.5 17
1968-01-21 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-043.3 1211 1199 29.71% 16.86% 53.43%-0.41 +37.5 23
1968-01-21 Aris Limassol D 2-257.8 1091 792 77.47% 16.05% 6.48%+2.74 -5.0 11
1968-01-21 @ APOEL Nicosia D 2-257.8 792 1091 6.48% 16.05% 77.47%-2.74 +5.0 7
1968-01-21 EPA Larnaca L 0-232.3 726 1028 17.81% 16.53% 65.66%-1.76 -14.3 3
1968-01-21 @ APOP Paphos W 2-032.3 1028 726 65.66% 16.53% 17.81%+1.76 +14.3 17
1968-01-21 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-637.6 968 1109 35.78% 16.84% 47.38%-0.56 -51.3 10
1968-01-21 @ ASIL Lysi W 6-137.6 1109 968 47.38% 16.84% 35.78%+0.56 +51.3 16
1968-01-28 Apollon Limassol L 0-138.5 1072 1249 31.08% 16.80% 52.12%-0.83 -12.5 17
1968-01-28 @ Alki Larnaca W 1-038.5 1249 1072 52.12% 16.80% 31.08%+0.83 +12.5 25
1968-01-28 APOP Paphos W 2-032.8 797 712 64.01% 16.73% 19.26%+1.14 +15.4 9
1968-01-28 @ Aris Limassol L 0-232.8 712 797 19.26% 16.73% 64.01%-1.14 -15.4 3
1968-01-28 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-149.1 916 1162 23.19% 16.67% 60.14%-1.34 +36.3 12
1968-01-28 @ ASIL Lysi L 1-349.1 1162 916 60.14% 16.67% 23.19%+1.34 -36.3 17
1968-01-28 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 4-250.2 1042 1203 33.18% 16.82% 50.00%-0.70 +27.3 19
1968-01-28 @ EPA Larnaca L 2-450.2 1203 1042 50.00% 16.82% 33.18%+0.70 -27.3 18
1968-01-28 AEL Limassol L 0-143.5 1160 1217 47.59% 16.88% 35.53%+0.07 -17.9 16
1968-01-28 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-043.5 1217 1160 35.53% 16.88% 47.59%-0.07 +17.9 27
1968-01-28 APOEL Nicosia L 2-652.7 1282 1086 72.47% 16.44% 11.09%+1.97 -68.3 24
1968-01-28 @ Omonia Nicosia W 6-252.7 1086 1282 11.09% 16.44% 72.47%-1.97 +68.3 13
1968-02-04 APOP Paphos W 4-025.0 1059 696 79.66% 15.75% 4.59%+3.22 +7.4 19
1968-02-04 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-425.0 696 1059 4.59% 15.75% 79.66%-3.22 -7.4 3
1968-02-04 Omonia Nicosia D 2-257.7 1125 1214 43.20% 16.87% 39.93%-0.16 -0.2 18
1968-02-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 2-257.7 1214 1125 39.93% 16.87% 43.20%+0.16 +0.2 25
1968-02-04 APOEL Nicosia L 0-329.5 812 1154 14.67% 16.40% 68.92%-2.06 -17.4 9
1968-02-04 @ Aris Limassol W 3-029.5 1154 812 68.92% 16.40% 14.67%+2.06 +17.4 15
1968-02-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-234.7 953 1176 25.60% 16.72% 57.67%-1.17 -19.8 12
1968-02-04 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-034.7 1176 953 57.67% 16.72% 25.60%+1.17 +19.8 20
1968-02-04 AEL Limassol L 2-640.8 1070 1235 32.56% 16.81% 50.63%-0.74 -32.8 19
1968-02-04 @ EPA Larnaca W 6-240.8 1235 1070 50.63% 16.81% 32.56%+0.74 +32.8 29
1968-02-11 Anorthosis Famagusta W 4-028.4 1268 1125 68.85% 16.60% 14.55%+1.57 +22.6 31
1968-02-11 @ AEL Limassol L 0-428.4 1125 1268 14.55% 16.60% 68.85%-1.57 -22.6 18
1968-02-11 Alki Larnaca L 1-254.3 1261 1067 72.35% 16.45% 11.20%+1.95 -25.4 25
1968-02-11 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-154.3 1067 1261 11.20% 16.45% 72.35%-1.95 +25.4 21
1968-02-11 APOEL Nicosia W 1-051.8 689 1171 7.12% 15.82% 77.06%-3.11 +28.7 5
1968-02-11 @ APOP Paphos L 0-151.8 1171 689 77.06% 15.82% 7.12%+3.11 -28.7 15
1968-02-11 Omonia Nicosia W 3-150.1 933 1214 19.66% 16.59% 63.75%-1.61 +38.5 14
1968-02-11 @ ASIL Lysi L 1-350.1 1214 933 63.75% 16.59% 19.66%+1.61 -38.5 25
1968-02-11 EPA Larnaca W 3-136.3 1142 1037 65.85% 16.69% 17.46%+1.29 +12.2 18
1968-02-11 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-336.3 1037 1142 17.46% 16.69% 65.85%-1.29 -12.2 19
1968-02-11 Aris Limassol W 3-131.8 1195 795 80.70% 15.56% 3.74%+3.50 +2.8 22
1968-02-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-331.8 795 1195 3.74% 15.56% 80.70%-3.50 -2.8 9
1968-02-18 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-028.0 1291 1155 68.33% 16.62% 15.05%+1.52 +28.8 33
1968-02-18 @ AEL Limassol L 0-528.0 1155 1291 15.05% 16.62% 68.33%-1.52 -28.8 18
1968-02-18 Alki Larnaca W 5-239.9 1143 1092 60.60% 16.79% 22.61%+0.88 +18.9 17
1968-02-18 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-539.9 1092 1143 22.61% 16.79% 60.60%-0.88 -18.9 21
1968-02-18 Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-357.2 1236 1102 68.13% 16.62% 15.25%+1.50 -22.6 25
1968-02-18 @ Apollon Limassol W 3-257.2 1102 1236 15.25% 16.62% 68.13%-1.50 +22.6 20
1968-02-18 Aris Limassol W 6-127.7 1175 792 80.24% 15.65% 4.11%+3.37 +6.8 27
1968-02-18 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-627.7 792 1175 4.11% 15.65% 80.24%-3.37 -6.8 9
1968-02-18 EPA Larnaca W 2-030.8 1198 1025 71.03% 16.51% 12.46%+1.80 +10.3 24
1968-02-18 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-230.8 1025 1198 12.46% 16.51% 71.03%-1.80 -10.3 19
1968-02-25 Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-153.7 1161 1125 59.09% 16.81% 24.10%+0.77 -3.1 18
1968-02-25 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-153.7 1125 1161 24.10% 16.81% 59.09%-0.77 +3.1 21
1968-02-25 EPA Larnaca W 1-032.3 1213 1014 72.62% 16.43% 10.95%+1.99 +4.8 27
1968-02-25 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-132.3 1014 1213 10.95% 16.43% 72.62%-1.99 -4.8 19
1968-02-25 AEL Limassol L 0-424.6 718 1319 3.75% 15.18% 81.07%-4.01 -6.0 5
1968-02-25 @ APOP Paphos W 4-024.6 1319 718 81.07% 15.18% 3.75%+4.01 +6.0 35
1968-02-25 ASIL Lysi W 3-147.0 785 971 29.94% 16.79% 53.27%-0.89 +32.4 11
1968-02-25 @ Aris Limassol L 1-347.0 971 785 53.27% 16.79% 29.94%+0.89 -32.4 14
1968-02-25 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-133.9 1209 1126 63.80% 16.73% 19.47%+1.12 +24.6 26
1968-02-25 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-533.9 1126 1209 19.47% 16.73% 63.80%-1.12 -24.6 18
1968-03-04 AEL Limassol L 1-239.4 1073 1325 22.48% 16.66% 60.86%-1.39 -8.8 21
1968-03-04 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-139.4 1325 1073 60.86% 16.66% 22.48%+1.39 +8.8 37
1968-03-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-326.6 712 1233 5.78% 15.62% 78.60%-3.41 -7.1 5
1968-03-04 @ APOP Paphos W 3-026.6 1233 712 78.60% 15.62% 5.78%+3.41 +7.1 28
1968-03-04 Omonia Nicosia L 0-230.8 818 1182 13.09% 16.32% 70.59%-2.23 -10.8 11
1968-03-04 @ Aris Limassol W 2-030.8 1182 818 70.59% 16.32% 13.09%+2.23 +10.8 29
1968-03-04 Apollon Limassol W 1-048.1 939 1218 19.86% 16.59% 63.55%-1.59 +23.5 16
1968-03-04 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-148.1 1218 939 63.55% 16.59% 19.86%+1.59 -23.5 27
1968-03-04 Anorthosis Famagusta L 5-659.3 1101 1128 51.55% 16.87% 31.59%+0.30 -16.4 18
1968-03-04 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 6-559.3 1128 1101 31.59% 16.87% 51.55%-0.30 +16.4 23
1968-03-11 Apollon Limassol L 0-526.6 807 1195 11.65% 16.24% 72.11%-2.40 -22.5 11
1968-03-11 @ Aris Limassol W 5-026.6 1195 807 72.11% 16.24% 11.65%+2.40 +22.5 29
1968-03-11 Alki Larnaca D 2-257.6 1009 1064 47.86% 16.87% 35.26%+0.09 -0.8 20
1968-03-11 @ EPA Larnaca D 2-257.6 1064 1009 35.26% 16.87% 47.86%-0.09 +0.8 22
1968-03-11 Omonia Nicosia L 1-343.3 1085 1193 40.37% 16.86% 42.76%-0.31 -25.4 18
1968-03-11 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-143.3 1193 1085 42.76% 16.86% 40.37%+0.31 +25.4 31
1968-03-11 APOEL Nicosia W 1-035.1 1240 1158 63.71% 16.74% 19.55%+1.11 +8.3 30
1968-03-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-135.1 1158 1240 19.55% 16.74% 63.71%-1.11 -8.3 18
1968-03-18 ASIL Lysi W 4-240.5 1059 962 65.08% 16.71% 18.21%+1.22 +11.4 20
1968-03-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 2-440.5 962 1059 18.21% 16.71% 65.08%-1.22 -11.4 16
1968-03-18 APOP Paphos W 3-025.3 1218 704 83.08% 14.90% 2.01%+4.35 +2.5 33
1968-03-18 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-325.3 704 1218 2.01% 14.90% 83.08%-4.35 -2.5 5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1967-10-01 3.87% Aris Limassol 784 4 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1179 1
2 1968-02-11 7.12% @ APOP Paphos 689 1 APOEL Nicosia 1171 0
3 1967-12-10 10.18% @ Aris Limassol 793 3 Anorthosis Famagusta 1207 2
4 1968-01-28 11.09% APOEL Nicosia 1086 6 @ Omonia Nicosia 1282 2
5 1968-02-11 11.20% Alki Larnaca 1067 2 @ Apollon Limassol 1261 1
6 1968-02-18 15.25% Anorthosis Famagusta 1102 3 @ Apollon Limassol 1236 2
7 1967-10-29 18.72% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1106 4 @ Apollon Limassol 1197 2
8 1967-10-29 18.73% @ Aris Limassol 812 3 EPA Larnaca 1104 1
9 1967-10-22 19.12% EPA Larnaca 1081 2 @ APOEL Nicosia 1168 1
10 1968-02-11 19.66% @ ASIL Lysi 933 3 Omonia Nicosia 1214 1
11 1968-03-04 19.86% @ ASIL Lysi 939 1 Apollon Limassol 1218 0
12 1967-10-15 21.19% Apollon Limassol 1173 2 @ Omonia Nicosia 1237 1
13 1968-01-28 23.19% @ ASIL Lysi 916 3 Anorthosis Famagusta 1162 1
14 1967-11-19 24.59% Alki Larnaca 1118 2 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1150 1
15 1967-09-24 25.49% @ Alki Larnaca 1033 6 APOEL Nicosia 1257 2
16 1967-12-10 25.85% AEL Limassol 1141 4 @ APOEL Nicosia 1162 3
17 1967-11-26 25.88% Apollon Limassol 1183 3 @ AEL Limassol 1204 0
18 1968-01-21 29.71% Apollon Limassol 1211 2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1199 0
19 1968-02-25 29.94% @ Aris Limassol 785 3 ASIL Lysi 971 1
20 1967-11-26 30.55% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1054 2 Anorthosis Famagusta 1235 1
21 1968-01-14 30.97% Apollon Limassol 1162 6 @ APOEL Nicosia 1140 2
22 1968-03-04 31.59% Anorthosis Famagusta 1128 6 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1101 5
23 1967-12-10 32.47% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1080 5 Apollon Limassol 1246 0
24 1968-01-28 33.18% @ EPA Larnaca 1042 4 Pezoporikos Larnaca 1203 2
25 1968-01-14 33.48% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1173 3 @ Alki Larnaca 1131 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-12-10 83.56 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 5 1080 32.47% Apollon Limassol 0 1246 50.71% 16.81%
2 1967-10-01 69.61 Aris Limassol 4 784 3.87% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1179 80.54% 15.59%
3 1968-01-28 68.28 APOEL Nicosia 6 1086 11.09% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1282 72.47% 16.44%
4 1967-09-17 61.47 @ AEL Limassol 5 1047 47.72% ASIL Lysi 0 1103 35.41% 16.88%
5 1967-11-26 58.20 Apollon Limassol 3 1183 25.88% @ AEL Limassol 0 1204 57.29% 16.83%
6 1967-09-24 54.17 @ Alki Larnaca 6 1033 25.49% APOEL Nicosia 2 1257 57.79% 16.72%
7 1968-01-21 51.34 Nea Salamis Famagusta 6 1109 47.38% @ ASIL Lysi 1 968 35.78% 16.84%
8 1968-01-14 49.23 Apollon Limassol 6 1162 30.97% @ APOEL Nicosia 2 1140 52.17% 16.86%
9 1967-11-12 48.94 @ ASIL Lysi 3 952 35.67% EPA Larnaca 0 1094 47.49% 16.84%
10 1967-10-01 46.58 Alki Larnaca 7 1087 56.95% @ APOP Paphos 1 871 26.31% 16.73%
11 1967-09-17 46.54 @ EPA Larnaca 11 1028 72.27% Aris Limassol 0 834 11.27% 16.45%
12 1967-10-29 39.10 @ Aris Limassol 3 812 18.73% EPA Larnaca 1 1104 64.71% 16.56%
13 1968-02-11 38.51 @ ASIL Lysi 3 933 19.66% Omonia Nicosia 1 1214 63.75% 16.59%
14 1968-01-21 37.51 Apollon Limassol 2 1211 29.71% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1199 53.43% 16.86%
15 1967-11-19 37.08 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1198 48.95% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1045 34.22% 16.83%
16 1967-10-08 36.72 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 1035 41.71% Alki Larnaca 1 1134 41.42% 16.87%
17 1968-01-28 36.34 @ ASIL Lysi 3 916 23.19% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1162 60.14% 16.67%
18 1967-11-26 35.35 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1128 67.75% ASIL Lysi 0 999 15.61% 16.64%
19 1967-09-17 35.04 APOEL Nicosia 2 1222 33.53% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1180 49.59% 16.87%
20 1967-10-29 34.94 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1106 18.72% @ Apollon Limassol 2 1197 64.56% 16.72%
21 1968-02-04 32.82 AEL Limassol 6 1235 50.63% @ EPA Larnaca 2 1070 32.56% 16.81%
22 1968-02-25 32.38 @ Aris Limassol 3 785 29.94% ASIL Lysi 1 971 53.27% 16.79%
23 1968-01-14 30.37 Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 1173 33.48% @ Alki Larnaca 1 1131 49.65% 16.87%
24 1967-11-05 29.51 @ EPA Larnaca 4 1065 63.82% ASIL Lysi 0 982 19.45% 16.73%
25 1968-01-21 28.94 @ AEL Limassol 4 1188 64.24% Alki Larnaca 0 1101 19.03% 16.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-11-19 61.7 @ APOP Paphos 3 777 25.50% ASIL Lysi 3 1001 57.78% 16.72%
2 1967-12-10 61.7 @ Alki Larnaca 3 1153 66.94% EPA Larnaca 3 1035 16.40% 16.66%
3 1968-03-04 59.3 Anorthosis Famagusta 6 1128 31.59% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 5 1101 51.55% 16.87%
4 1967-12-10 58.6 @ Aris Limassol 3 793 10.18% Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1207 73.69% 16.13%
5 1968-01-21 57.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 1091 77.47% Aris Limassol 2 792 6.48% 16.05%
6 1967-10-01 57.7 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1154 63.47% EPA Larnaca 2 1074 19.79% 16.74%
7 1968-02-04 57.7 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1125 43.20% Omonia Nicosia 2 1214 39.93% 16.87%
8 1967-12-03 57.6 @ ASIL Lysi 2 964 28.35% APOEL Nicosia 2 1163 54.89% 16.76%
9 1967-12-10 57.6 AEL Limassol 4 1141 25.85% @ APOEL Nicosia 3 1162 57.32% 16.83%
10 1968-03-11 57.6 @ EPA Larnaca 2 1009 47.86% Alki Larnaca 2 1064 35.26% 16.87%
11 1968-02-18 57.2 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1102 15.25% @ Apollon Limassol 2 1236 68.13% 16.62%
12 1967-10-29 54.5 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1106 18.72% @ Apollon Limassol 2 1197 64.56% 16.72%
13 1968-02-11 54.3 Alki Larnaca 2 1067 11.20% @ Apollon Limassol 1 1261 72.35% 16.45%
14 1967-10-01 53.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1203 71.01% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1030 12.48% 16.51%
15 1967-11-05 53.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1160 47.59% Omonia Nicosia 1 1217 35.54% 16.88%
16 1967-11-12 53.8 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1164 47.98% Omonia Nicosia 1 1218 35.15% 16.87%
17 1968-01-14 53.8 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1202 56.83% AEL Limassol 1 1186 26.34% 16.83%
18 1967-09-24 53.7 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1142 58.73% AEL Limassol 1 1109 24.46% 16.81%
19 1967-10-15 53.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1135 61.88% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1072 21.35% 16.77%
20 1967-11-05 53.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1141 52.29% Apollon Limassol 1 1162 30.84% 16.86%
21 1967-12-03 53.7 @ AEL Limassol 1 1146 66.70% EPA Larnaca 1 1030 16.64% 16.67%
22 1967-12-17 53.7 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1143 59.17% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1106 24.02% 16.81%
23 1968-02-25 53.7 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1161 59.09% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1125 24.10% 16.81%
24 1967-10-01 53.2 Aris Limassol 4 784 3.87% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1179 80.54% 15.59%
25 1968-01-28 52.7 APOEL Nicosia 6 1086 11.09% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1282 72.47% 16.44%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1967-10-08 24.4 @ Apollon Limassol 6 1160 78.81% APOP Paphos 0 824 5.31% 15.88%
2 1967-10-15 24.5 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 7 1175 79.14% Aris Limassol 0 829 5.03% 15.84%
3 1968-02-25 24.6 AEL Limassol 4 1319 81.07% @ APOP Paphos 0 718 3.75% 15.18%
4 1968-02-04 25.0 @ Alki Larnaca 4 1059 79.66% APOP Paphos 0 696 4.59% 15.75%
5 1967-10-22 25.1 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 6 1075 76.44% APOP Paphos 0 802 7.40% 16.16%
6 1967-09-17 25.2 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 6 1161 75.98% APOP Paphos 0 897 7.82% 16.20%
7 1968-03-18 25.3 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1218 83.08% APOP Paphos 0 704 2.01% 14.90%
8 1967-10-15 25.6 @ AEL Limassol 4 1119 77.79% APOP Paphos 0 812 6.19% 16.02%
9 1967-11-26 25.7 @ EPA Larnaca 6 1008 74.31% APOP Paphos 0 779 9.36% 16.33%
10 1967-10-29 26.1 @ APOEL Nicosia 11 1146 79.60% APOP Paphos 1 784 4.63% 15.76%
11 1968-03-04 26.6 Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 1233 78.60% @ APOP Paphos 0 712 5.78% 15.62%
12 1968-03-11 26.6 Apollon Limassol 5 1195 72.11% @ Aris Limassol 0 807 11.65% 16.24%
13 1968-01-14 26.9 @ ASIL Lysi 4 951 73.19% APOP Paphos 0 742 10.41% 16.40%
14 1967-11-12 27.5 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 6 1192 80.91% APOP Paphos 1 783 3.58% 15.51%
15 1967-09-17 27.7 @ EPA Larnaca 11 1028 72.27% Aris Limassol 0 834 11.27% 16.45%
16 1967-11-26 27.7 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1128 67.75% ASIL Lysi 0 999 15.61% 16.64%
17 1968-02-18 27.7 @ Omonia Nicosia 6 1175 80.24% Aris Limassol 1 792 4.11% 15.65%
18 1967-11-19 27.9 @ AEL Limassol 2 1200 80.43% Aris Limassol 0 810 3.96% 15.61%
19 1968-02-18 28.0 @ AEL Limassol 5 1291 68.33% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 1155 15.05% 16.62%
20 1968-02-11 28.4 @ AEL Limassol 4 1268 68.85% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1125 14.55% 16.60%
21 1967-10-08 28.6 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 4 1151 67.64% ASIL Lysi 0 1023 15.72% 16.64%
22 1967-12-10 28.9 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1262 77.37% ASIL Lysi 0 966 6.56% 16.06%
23 1968-02-04 29.5 APOEL Nicosia 3 1154 68.92% @ Aris Limassol 0 812 14.67% 16.40%
24 1968-01-21 29.7 @ AEL Limassol 4 1188 64.24% Alki Larnaca 0 1101 19.03% 16.73%
25 1967-11-05 29.8 @ EPA Larnaca 4 1065 63.82% ASIL Lysi 0 982 19.45% 16.73%