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1968-69 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Olympiacos Nicosia

30 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1966-67

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

ASIL Lysi

5.06 points above expected

23 points · 17.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Evagoras Paphos

7.08 points below expected

10 points · 17.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olympiacos Nicosia Champion 22 12 6 4 30 51 18 +33 28.57 +1.43
2 Omonia Nicosia 22 12 6 4 30 41 18 +23 25.57 +4.43
3 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 12 4 6 28 35 25 +10 25.78 +2.22
4 EPA Larnaca 22 8 8 6 24 39 41 -2 19.61 +4.39
5 Apollon Limassol 22 8 7 7 23 40 33 +7 25.86 -2.86
6 ASIL Lysi 22 10 3 9 23 24 29 -5 17.94 +5.06
7 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 7 8 7 22 28 27 +1 24.10 -2.10
8 APOEL Nicosia 22 9 2 11 20 32 33 -1 24.82 -4.82
9 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 6 7 9 19 30 41 -11 19.31 -0.31
10 Aris Limassol 22 5 9 8 19 24 37 -13 14.41 +4.59
11 Alki Larnaca 22 3 10 9 16 24 34 -10 20.95 -4.95
12 Evagoras Paphos 22 2 6 14 10 19 51 -32 17.08 -7.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 ASIL Lysi 23 17.94 +5.06
2 Aris Limassol 19 14.41 +4.59
3 Omonia Nicosia 30 25.57 +4.43
4 EPA Larnaca 24 19.61 +4.39
5 Pezoporikos Larnaca 28 25.78 +2.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Evagoras Paphos 10 17.08 -7.08
2 Alki Larnaca 16 20.95 -4.95
3 APOEL Nicosia 20 24.82 -4.82
4 Apollon Limassol 23 25.86 -2.86
5 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 24.10 -2.10

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Omonia Nicosia 1099 30 +56 9 5.7 +3.3
Olympiacos Nicosia 1152 30 +5 7 6.6 +0.4
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1089 28 +36 10 6.9 +3.1
EPA Larnaca 907 24 +28 7 4.1 +2.9
ASIL Lysi 922 23 +24 6 4.3 +1.7
Apollon Limassol 1039 23 -8 4 5.7 -1.7
Anorthosis Famagusta 984 22 -3 5 4.6 +0.4
APOEL Nicosia 977 20 -31 2 6.4 -4.4
Nea Salamis Famagusta 933 19 +19 7 5.0 +2.0
Aris Limassol 817 19 +38 5 3.1 +1.9
Alki Larnaca 898 16 -50 1 4.5 -3.5
Evagoras Paphos 789 10 -61 0 3.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AN AL AL AF AL AL EL EP NSF ON ON PL
APOEL Nicosia —
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
2.55
1-1-0
3.98
0-0-2
3.39
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
2.55
ASIL Lysi
1-0-1
1.79
—
1-1-0
2.39
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.37
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
1.25
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
1.81
Alki Larnaca
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
3.01
—
1-1-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.99
Anorthosis Famagusta
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.24
—
0-2-0
2.39
2-0-0
3.83
0-2-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.51
Apollon Limassol
0-0-2
2.85
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.31
0-2-0
3.02
—
0-1-1
4.08
0-2-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.91
Aris Limassol
0-1-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
1.61
1-1-0
1.38
—
1-1-0
2.02
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.10
0-1-1
1.36
1-1-0
1.17
EPA Larnaca
2-0-0
2.03
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
1.76
0-1-1
3.40
—
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.90
1-1-0
2.09
Evagoras Paphos
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.31
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.94
0-2-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.56
—
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.23
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.50
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
1.75
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.75
—
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.08
Olympiacos Nicosia
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
4.23
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
4.27
1-0-1
3.96
—
0-2-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.19
Omonia Nicosia
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
2.31
—
0-0-2
3.03
Pezoporikos Larnaca
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
4.32
0-1-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +5.2
Allowed 0.75 -5.2
Differential 0.88 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%7.95%5.30%3.41%1.52%1.52%26.52%
17.95%15.91%6.82%3.03%1.89%0.38%35.98%
25.30%6.82%3.03%1.14%0.38%1.14%17.80%
33.41%3.03%1.14%2.27%—0.76%10.61%
41.52%1.89%0.38%—0.76%—4.55%
5+1.52%0.38%1.14%0.76%—0.76%4.55%
Total26.52%35.98%17.80%10.61%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 1.99
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—27.27%4.55%———31.82%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total13.64%54.55%18.18%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.50 -0.05
SD 1.47 1.34 1.43
CV 1.01 0.89 —
Max 6 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
118.18%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%22.73%9.09%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.32 -0.23
SD 0.81 1.43 1.95
CV 0.74 1.08 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
1—18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.55 -0.45
SD 1.27 1.50 1.97
CV 1.16 0.97 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
19.09%18.18%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.23 +0.05
SD 1.12 1.31 1.53
CV 0.88 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—4.55%———18.18%
19.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
2———————
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.62 1.57 1.76
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—31.82%4.55%———36.36%
24.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%45.45%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.68 -0.59
SD 0.97 1.43 1.99
CV 0.89 0.85 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%13.64%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.86 -0.09
SD 1.72 1.46 2.20
CV 0.97 0.78 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.32 -1.45
SD 0.94 1.64 1.71
CV 1.09 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
113.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
2—4.55%13.64%—4.55%9.09%31.82%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.86 -0.50
SD 1.00 1.75 2.09
CV 0.73 0.94 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%————22.73%
14.55%18.18%————22.73%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
Total36.36%45.45%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.82 +1.50
SD 2.01 0.73 2.20
CV 0.87 0.90 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
14.55%18.18%————22.73%
2—18.18%————18.18%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%59.09%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.82 +1.05
SD 1.81 0.73 2.03
CV 0.97 0.90 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
118.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%——4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%22.73%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.14 +0.45
SD 1.26 1.25 1.50
CV 0.79 1.10 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Olympiacos Nicosia 1152 30 28.57 +1.43 71.0% 20 23 26 29 31 33 37
Omonia Nicosia 1099 30 25.57 +4.43 92.0% 14 20 23 26 28 31 36
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1089 28 25.78 +2.22 76.0% 16 19 23 26 28 32 33
Apollon Limassol 1039 23 25.86 -2.86 26.0% 19 20 23 26 28 31 35
Anorthosis Famagusta 984 22 24.10 -2.10 32.0% 16 18 22 24 27 30 31
APOEL Nicosia 977 20 24.82 -4.82 15.0% 15 19 22 25 28 31 32
Nea Salamis Famagusta 933 19 19.31 -0.31 53.0% 11 14 17 19 21 25 26
ASIL Lysi 922 23 17.94 +5.06 94.0% 9 12 16 18 20 24 28
EPA Larnaca 907 24 19.61 +4.39 89.0% 8 14 17 20 22 26 28
Alki Larnaca 898 16 20.95 -4.95 12.0% 10 15 19 21 23 27 31
Aris Limassol 817 19 14.41 +4.59 93.0% 6 8 12 14 17 20 24
Evagoras Paphos 789 10 17.08 -7.08 4.0% 8 11 14 17 20 24 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.73%
Strong Edge
46.97%28.79%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
080.37400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Olympiacos Nicosia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.86 * Some Luck: 2.86 to 4.29 * Lucky: 4.29 to 5.72 * Wild Swing: 5.72 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.17 * Off: 2.17 to 2.9 * Way Off: 2.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.11 points
Some Luck
03.579
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
ASIL Lysi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Evagoras Paphos
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 112.06
1.47
Coin-Flip Parity
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.27
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Weak Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.35
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.56
Overconfident
0.4332641.001.56674
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Olympiacos Nicosia42.00%25.00%16.00%7.00%5.00%—3.00%2.00%————
Omonia Nicosia12.00%20.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Pezoporikos Larnaca15.00%13.00%20.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
EPA Larnaca—2.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%4.00%
Apollon Limassol16.00%14.00%13.00%17.00%19.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——
ASIL Lysi—1.00%1.00%—2.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%18.00%16.00%18.00%14.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta3.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%17.00%19.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%—
APOEL Nicosia12.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Nea Salamis Famagusta——2.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%9.00%19.00%19.00%16.00%4.00%
Aris Limassol———1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%16.00%22.00%50.00%
Alki Larnaca—2.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%19.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%
Evagoras Paphos———1.00%—6.00%6.00%13.00%11.00%17.00%23.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
APOEL Nicosia 100% —
ASIL Lysi 86.00% 14.00%
Alki Larnaca 95.00% 5.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta 100% —
Apollon Limassol 100% —
Aris Limassol 50.00% 50.00%
EPA Larnaca 96.00% 4.00%
Evagoras Paphos 77.00% 23.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 96.00% 4.00%
Olympiacos Nicosia 100% —
Omonia Nicosia 100% —
Pezoporikos Larnaca 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1968-09-17 Evagoras Paphos D 0-047.0 946 920 53.13% 29.74% 17.13%+0.67 -2.1 1
1968-09-17 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-047.0 920 946 17.13% 29.74% 53.13%-0.67 +2.1 1
1968-09-17 Apollon Limassol D 0-046.9 998 1037 46.14% 30.39% 23.47%+0.26 -1.3 1
1968-09-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.9 1037 998 23.47% 30.39% 46.14%-0.26 +1.3 1
1968-09-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 3-360.2 775 1062 16.96% 27.92% 55.11%-1.30 +1.2 1
1968-09-17 @ Aris Limassol D 3-360.2 1062 775 55.11% 27.92% 16.96%+1.30 -1.2 1
1968-09-17 APOEL Nicosia W 1-041.3 912 1010 38.62% 30.51% 30.88%-0.11 +8.3 2
1968-09-17 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-141.3 1010 912 30.88% 30.51% 38.62%+0.11 -8.3 0
1968-09-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-027.8 1097 949 63.37% 27.21% 9.42%+1.43 +13.6 2
1968-09-17 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-527.8 949 1097 9.42% 27.21% 63.37%-1.43 -13.6 0
1968-09-17 ASIL Lysi L 0-150.1 1027 874 63.68% 27.09% 9.22%+1.46 -15.0 0
1968-09-17 @ Omonia Nicosia W 1-050.1 874 1027 9.22% 27.09% 63.68%-1.46 +15.0 2
1968-09-24 APOEL Nicosia W 2-034.7 997 1001 50.01% 30.11% 19.88%+0.48 +11.3 3
1968-09-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-234.7 1001 997 19.88% 30.11% 50.01%-0.48 -11.3 0
1968-09-24 Olympiacos Nicosia D 0-046.8 1038 1111 41.99% 30.51% 27.50%+0.05 -0.8 2
1968-09-24 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-046.8 1111 1038 27.50% 30.51% 41.99%-0.05 +0.8 3
1968-09-24 ASIL Lysi W 3-138.5 920 889 53.61% 29.67% 16.72%+0.70 +8.5 4
1968-09-24 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-338.5 889 920 16.72% 29.67% 53.61%-0.70 -8.5 2
1968-09-24 Evagoras Paphos D 1-150.9 936 922 51.91% 29.90% 18.19%+0.59 -1.8 1
1968-09-24 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-150.9 922 936 18.19% 29.90% 51.91%-0.59 +1.8 2
1968-09-24 Alki Larnaca W 2-140.4 1012 944 57.09% 29.03% 13.88%+0.93 +4.2 2
1968-09-24 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-240.4 944 1012 13.88% 29.03% 57.09%-0.93 -4.2 1
1968-09-24 Aris Limassol L 0-248.2 1061 776 72.01% 23.00% 4.99%+2.29 -31.0 1
1968-09-24 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-048.2 776 1061 4.99% 23.00% 72.01%-2.29 +31.1 3
1968-10-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-032.4 1008 934 57.61% 28.92% 13.47%+0.97 +8.2 5
1968-10-01 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-232.4 934 1008 13.47% 28.92% 57.61%-0.97 -8.2 1
1968-10-01 Aris Limassol W 3-242.3 990 807 65.82% 26.22% 7.96%+1.66 +2.3 2
1968-10-01 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-342.3 807 990 7.96% 26.22% 65.82%-1.66 -2.3 3
1968-10-01 Evagoras Paphos W 1-034.6 1037 924 60.81% 28.07% 11.12%+1.22 +3.6 4
1968-10-01 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-134.6 924 1037 11.12% 28.07% 60.81%-1.22 -3.6 2
1968-10-01 Omonia Nicosia L 0-336.6 881 1016 33.50% 30.35% 36.15%-0.34 -24.0 2
1968-10-01 @ ASIL Lysi W 3-036.6 1016 881 36.15% 30.35% 33.50%+0.34 +24.0 4
1968-10-01 Alki Larnaca W 6-130.2 1112 939 65.07% 26.54% 8.39%+1.59 +10.0 5
1968-10-01 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-630.2 939 1112 8.39% 26.54% 65.07%-1.59 -10.0 1
1968-10-01 EPA Larnaca D 1-151.4 1030 928 59.83% 28.35% 11.81%+1.14 -2.7 2
1968-10-01 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.4 928 1030 11.81% 28.35% 59.83%-1.14 +2.7 5
1968-10-08 Aris Limassol L 1-254.4 929 805 61.68% 27.80% 10.53%+1.29 -13.7 1
1968-10-08 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-154.4 805 929 10.53% 27.80% 61.68%-1.29 +13.7 5
1968-10-08 EPA Larnaca D 4-462.1 1016 931 58.53% 28.70% 12.77%+1.04 -1.4 6
1968-10-08 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 4-462.1 931 1016 12.77% 28.70% 58.53%-1.04 +1.4 6
1968-10-08 ASIL Lysi W 3-027.7 1041 857 65.87% 26.20% 7.93%+1.66 +7.1 6
1968-10-08 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-327.7 857 1041 7.93% 26.20% 65.87%-1.66 -7.1 2
1968-10-08 APOEL Nicosia L 0-144.8 926 992 42.72% 30.50% 26.78%+0.09 -10.5 1
1968-10-08 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-044.8 992 926 26.78% 30.50% 42.72%-0.09 +10.5 4
1968-10-08 Omonia Nicosia D 1-151.3 1122 1040 58.24% 28.77% 12.99%+1.02 -2.5 6
1968-10-08 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-151.3 1040 1122 12.99% 28.77% 58.24%-1.02 +2.5 5
1968-10-08 Evagoras Paphos W 2-031.6 1027 920 60.27% 28.23% 11.50%+1.17 +7.1 4
1968-10-08 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-231.6 920 1027 11.50% 28.23% 60.27%-1.17 -7.1 2
1968-10-15 Omonia Nicosia D 1-150.8 1015 1042 47.46% 30.31% 22.23%+0.33 -1.3 7
1968-10-15 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.8 1042 1015 22.23% 30.31% 47.46%-0.33 +1.3 6
1968-10-15 Alki Larnaca D 1-151.3 1003 916 58.73% 28.65% 12.62%+1.05 -2.5 5
1968-10-15 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-151.3 916 1003 12.62% 28.65% 58.73%-1.05 +2.6 2
1968-10-15 Aris Limassol D 0-048.5 1048 818 68.79% 24.80% 6.41%+1.95 -4.0 7
1968-10-15 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-048.5 818 1048 6.41% 24.80% 68.79%-1.95 +4.0 6
1968-10-15 Olympiacos Nicosia W 1-047.3 850 1119 18.44% 28.34% 53.21%-1.19 +12.5 4
1968-10-15 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-147.3 1119 850 53.21% 28.34% 18.44%+1.19 -12.5 6
1968-10-15 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-041.4 932 1034 38.17% 30.50% 31.33%-0.13 +8.4 8
1968-10-15 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-141.4 1034 932 31.33% 30.50% 38.17%+0.13 -8.4 4
1968-10-15 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-255.8 913 915 50.30% 30.08% 19.62%+0.49 -1.2 3
1968-10-15 @ Evagoras Paphos D 2-255.8 915 913 19.62% 30.08% 50.30%-0.49 +1.2 2
1968-10-22 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-142.9 918 1014 38.96% 30.51% 30.52%-0.10 +13.4 4
1968-10-22 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-342.9 1014 918 30.52% 30.51% 38.96%+0.10 -13.4 7
1968-10-22 Olympiacos Nicosia D 2-255.8 941 1107 29.43% 30.08% 40.49%-0.54 +0.4 9
1968-10-22 @ EPA Larnaca D 2-255.8 1107 941 40.49% 30.08% 29.43%+0.54 -0.4 7
1968-10-22 Apollon Limassol L 0-336.7 912 1044 33.90% 30.37% 35.73%-0.32 -24.2 3
1968-10-22 @ Evagoras Paphos W 3-036.7 1044 912 35.73% 30.37% 33.90%+0.32 +24.2 9
1968-10-22 ASIL Lysi L 1-253.0 916 862 55.82% 29.29% 14.89%+0.84 -12.5 2
1968-10-22 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-153.0 862 916 14.89% 29.29% 55.82%-0.84 +12.5 6
1968-10-22 Aris Limassol W 6-027.0 1044 822 68.27% 25.07% 6.67%+1.90 +11.3 8
1968-10-22 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-627.0 822 1044 6.67% 25.07% 68.27%-1.90 -11.3 6
1968-10-22 APOEL Nicosia L 1-252.4 1026 1000 53.07% 29.75% 17.18%+0.66 -12.0 4
1968-10-22 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-152.4 1000 1026 17.18% 29.75% 53.07%-0.66 +12.0 7
1968-10-29 EPA Larnaca W 5-032.0 932 941 49.45% 30.16% 20.39%+0.44 +26.9 6
1968-10-29 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-532.0 941 932 20.39% 30.16% 49.45%-0.44 -26.9 9
1968-10-29 Omonia Nicosia D 1-151.2 811 1055 20.72% 28.88% 50.40%-1.03 +1.5 7
1968-10-29 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.2 1055 811 50.40% 28.88% 20.72%+1.03 -1.5 9
1968-10-29 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-039.8 875 1014 33.00% 30.32% 36.68%-0.37 +17.6 8
1968-10-29 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-239.8 1014 875 36.68% 30.32% 33.00%+0.37 -17.6 4
1968-10-29 APOEL Nicosia L 1-247.1 888 1012 34.96% 30.41% 34.63%-0.28 -8.5 3
1968-10-29 @ Evagoras Paphos W 2-147.1 1012 888 34.63% 30.41% 34.96%+0.28 +8.5 9
1968-10-29 Apollon Limassol W 2-148.6 904 1068 29.58% 30.09% 40.33%-0.53 +9.4 4
1968-10-29 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-248.6 1068 904 40.33% 30.09% 29.58%+0.53 -9.4 9
1968-10-29 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-244.0 1106 1000 60.22% 28.24% 11.53%+1.17 +3.4 9
1968-10-29 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-344.0 1000 1106 11.53% 28.24% 60.22%-1.17 -3.4 7
1968-11-05 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.8 997 1109 36.62% 30.47% 32.91%-0.20 -0.2 8
1968-11-05 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.8 1109 997 32.91% 30.47% 36.62%+0.20 +0.2 10
1968-11-05 ASIL Lysi W 3-136.0 1021 893 61.95% 27.71% 10.34%+1.31 +5.5 11
1968-11-05 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-336.0 893 1021 10.34% 27.71% 61.95%-1.31 -5.5 8
1968-11-05 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-343.5 1059 996 56.63% 29.13% 14.24%+0.90 +6.3 11
1968-11-05 @ Apollon Limassol L 3-543.5 996 1059 14.24% 29.13% 56.63%-0.90 -6.3 4
1968-11-05 EPA Larnaca D 1-150.8 813 914 38.11% 30.50% 31.39%-0.13 -0.3 8
1968-11-05 @ Aris Limassol D 1-150.8 914 813 31.39% 30.50% 38.11%+0.13 +0.3 10
1968-11-05 Alki Larnaca D 3-359.5 879 958 41.13% 30.52% 28.35%+0.01 -0.4 4
1968-11-05 @ Evagoras Paphos D 3-359.5 958 879 28.35% 30.52% 41.13%-0.01 +0.4 7
1968-11-05 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 6-233.7 1053 913 62.82% 27.41% 9.77%+1.39 +8.1 11
1968-11-05 @ Omonia Nicosia L 2-633.7 913 1053 9.77% 27.41% 62.82%-1.39 -8.1 4
1968-11-12 Evagoras Paphos W 3-135.5 1026 879 63.35% 27.22% 9.43%+1.43 +5.1 13
1968-11-12 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-335.5 879 1026 9.43% 27.22% 63.35%-1.43 -5.1 4
1968-11-12 Alki Larnaca W 4-133.9 1065 959 60.26% 28.23% 11.51%+1.17 +8.7 13
1968-11-12 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-433.9 959 1065 11.51% 28.23% 60.26%-1.17 -8.7 7
1968-11-12 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-244.6 812 997 27.12% 29.86% 43.02%-0.65 -7.1 8
1968-11-12 @ Aris Limassol W 2-144.6 997 812 43.02% 29.86% 27.12%+0.65 +7.1 10
1968-11-12 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-150.8 887 905 48.52% 30.24% 21.24%+0.39 -1.4 9
1968-11-12 @ ASIL Lysi D 1-150.8 905 887 21.24% 30.24% 48.52%-0.39 +1.4 5
1968-11-12 EPA Larnaca W 3-027.5 1110 915 66.59% 25.88% 7.54%+1.73 +6.7 12
1968-11-12 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-327.5 915 1110 7.54% 25.88% 66.59%-1.73 -6.7 10
1968-11-12 Omonia Nicosia W 3-034.8 990 1062 42.07% 30.51% 27.42%+0.05 +20.9 6
1968-11-12 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-334.8 1062 990 27.42% 30.51% 42.07%-0.05 -20.9 11
1968-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-151.2 1074 1004 57.26% 29.00% 13.75%+0.95 -2.4 14
1968-11-19 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-151.2 1004 1074 13.75% 29.00% 57.26%-0.95 +2.4 11
1968-11-19 APOEL Nicosia D 1-151.1 805 1032 22.46% 29.21% 48.33%-0.92 +1.3 9
1968-11-19 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.1 1032 805 48.33% 29.21% 22.46%+0.92 -1.3 14
1968-11-19 Alki Larnaca D 1-150.8 886 950 42.99% 30.50% 26.51%+0.10 -0.8 10
1968-11-19 @ ASIL Lysi D 1-150.8 950 886 26.51% 30.50% 42.99%-0.10 +0.8 8
1968-11-19 Olympiacos Nicosia W 1-046.6 874 1116 20.86% 28.90% 50.23%-1.02 +11.9 6
1968-11-19 @ Evagoras Paphos L 0-146.6 1116 874 50.23% 28.90% 20.86%+1.02 -11.9 12
1968-11-19 EPA Larnaca W 4-031.5 907 908 50.36% 30.07% 19.57%+0.50 +21.2 7
1968-11-19 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-431.5 908 907 19.57% 30.07% 50.36%-0.50 -21.2 10
1968-11-19 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-147.9 1041 1011 53.57% 29.67% 16.75%+0.69 -12.8 11
1968-11-19 @ Omonia Nicosia W 1-047.9 1011 1041 16.75% 29.67% 53.57%-0.69 +12.8 8
1968-11-26 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.9 951 1104 31.01% 30.20% 38.79%-0.46 +0.4 9
1968-11-26 @ Alki Larnaca D 1-150.9 1104 951 38.79% 30.20% 31.01%+0.46 -0.4 13
1968-11-26 ASIL Lysi W 1-034.5 1006 885 61.41% 27.88% 10.70%+1.27 +3.5 13
1968-11-26 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-134.5 885 1006 10.70% 27.88% 61.41%-1.27 -3.5 10
1968-11-26 APOEL Nicosia L 0-244.9 1071 1030 54.64% 29.50% 15.86%+0.76 -24.6 14
1968-11-26 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-044.9 1030 1071 15.86% 29.50% 54.64%-0.76 +24.6 16
1968-11-26 Omonia Nicosia D 0-046.9 887 1028 32.66% 30.31% 37.03%-0.38 +0.2 11
1968-11-26 @ EPA Larnaca D 0-046.9 1028 887 37.03% 30.31% 32.66%+0.38 -0.2 12
1968-11-26 Aris Limassol D 1-151.3 886 806 58.05% 28.82% 13.14%+1.00 -2.5 7
1968-11-26 @ Evagoras Paphos D 1-151.3 806 886 13.14% 28.82% 58.05%-1.00 +2.5 10
1968-11-26 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-240.6 1023 928 59.40% 28.47% 12.13%+1.11 +5.7 10
1968-11-26 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-440.6 928 1023 12.13% 28.47% 59.40%-1.11 -5.8 7
1968-12-03 Apollon Limassol L 1-345.4 951 1047 38.96% 30.51% 30.53%-0.10 -16.0 9
1968-12-03 @ Alki Larnaca W 3-145.4 1047 951 30.53% 30.51% 38.96%+0.10 +16.0 16
1968-12-03 Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-429.8 809 1104 16.35% 27.73% 55.92%-1.35 -17.6 10
1968-12-03 @ Aris Limassol W 4-029.8 1104 809 55.92% 27.73% 16.35%+1.35 +17.7 15
1968-12-03 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.8 881 1010 34.43% 30.39% 35.18%-0.30 +0.0 11
1968-12-03 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-046.8 1010 881 35.18% 30.39% 34.43%+0.30 -0.0 14
1968-12-03 EPA Larnaca L 3-650.4 883 887 50.11% 30.10% 19.79%+0.48 -22.3 7
1968-12-03 @ Evagoras Paphos W 6-350.4 887 883 19.79% 30.10% 50.11%-0.48 +22.3 13
1968-12-03 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 2-255.6 922 1029 37.39% 30.49% 32.13%-0.17 -0.2 8
1968-12-03 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-255.6 1029 922 32.13% 30.49% 37.39%+0.17 +0.2 11
1968-12-03 APOEL Nicosia W 2-143.3 1028 1055 47.50% 30.31% 22.19%+0.33 +6.1 14
1968-12-03 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-243.3 1055 1028 22.19% 30.31% 47.50%-0.33 -6.1 16
1968-12-10 Alki Larnaca D 0-047.3 1010 935 57.61% 28.92% 13.48%+0.97 -2.7 15
1968-12-10 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-047.3 935 1010 13.48% 28.92% 57.61%-0.97 +2.7 10
1968-12-10 Aris Limassol L 1-253.8 881 791 58.94% 28.59% 12.46%+1.07 -13.2 11
1968-12-10 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-153.8 791 881 12.46% 28.59% 58.94%-1.07 +13.2 12
1968-12-10 Evagoras Paphos W 4-135.4 909 861 55.29% 29.39% 15.32%+0.81 +11.2 15
1968-12-10 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-435.4 861 909 15.32% 29.39% 55.29%-0.81 -11.2 7
1968-12-10 APOEL Nicosia W 3-244.9 1122 1049 57.51% 28.94% 13.55%+0.96 +3.9 17
1968-12-10 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-344.9 1049 1122 13.55% 28.94% 57.51%-0.96 -3.9 16
1968-12-10 Apollon Limassol W 2-143.4 1034 1063 47.28% 30.32% 22.40%+0.32 +6.2 16
1968-12-10 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-243.4 1063 1034 22.40% 30.32% 47.28%-0.32 -6.2 16
1968-12-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-251.0 1007 1029 48.04% 30.27% 21.68%+0.36 -10.9 15
1968-12-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-151.0 1029 1007 21.68% 30.27% 48.04%-0.36 +11.0 13
1968-12-17 Apollon Limassol W 6-552.2 1045 1057 49.21% 30.18% 20.61%+0.43 +5.2 18
1968-12-17 @ APOEL Nicosia L 5-652.2 1057 1045 20.61% 30.18% 49.21%-0.43 -5.2 16
1968-12-17 Alki Larnaca D 1-150.8 804 938 33.69% 30.36% 35.95%-0.33 +0.1 13
1968-12-17 @ Aris Limassol D 1-150.8 938 804 35.95% 30.36% 33.69%+0.33 -0.1 11
1968-12-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-239.8 920 922 50.36% 30.07% 19.56%+0.50 +11.8 17
1968-12-17 @ EPA Larnaca L 2-539.8 922 920 19.56% 30.07% 50.36%-0.50 -11.8 8
1968-12-17 ASIL Lysi W 4-025.5 1126 868 70.44% 23.91% 5.65%+2.12 +6.4 19
1968-12-17 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-425.5 868 1126 5.65% 23.91% 70.44%-2.12 -6.4 11
1968-12-17 Evagoras Paphos W 2-137.6 1040 850 66.27% 26.02% 7.71%+1.70 +2.4 18
1968-12-17 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-237.6 850 1040 7.71% 26.02% 66.27%-1.70 -2.4 7
1969-01-14 Omonia Nicosia D 0-046.8 938 1042 37.76% 30.50% 31.74%-0.15 -0.3 12
1969-01-14 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-046.8 1042 938 31.74% 30.50% 37.76%+0.15 +0.3 19
1969-01-14 Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-546.3 1050 1132 40.76% 30.52% 28.72%-0.01 -20.3 18
1969-01-14 @ APOEL Nicosia W 5-246.3 1132 1050 28.72% 30.52% 40.76%+0.01 +20.3 21
1969-01-14 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.7 1051 910 62.91% 27.38% 9.71%+1.39 -3.0 17
1969-01-14 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-151.7 910 1051 9.71% 27.38% 62.91%-1.39 +3.0 9
1969-01-14 Evagoras Paphos D 1-150.8 805 847 45.65% 30.41% 23.93%+0.24 -1.1 14
1969-01-14 @ Aris Limassol D 1-150.8 847 805 23.93% 30.41% 45.65%-0.24 +1.1 8
1969-01-14 EPA Larnaca W 2-144.8 862 932 42.24% 30.51% 27.25%+0.06 +7.2 13
1969-01-14 @ ASIL Lysi L 1-244.8 932 862 27.25% 30.51% 42.24%-0.06 -7.2 17
1969-01-14 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-141.0 1040 996 54.93% 29.46% 15.62%+0.78 +4.6 15
1969-01-14 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-241.0 996 1040 15.62% 29.46% 54.93%-0.78 -4.6 15
1969-01-21 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-046.8 938 1045 37.37% 30.49% 32.14%-0.17 -0.3 13
1969-01-21 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-046.8 1045 938 32.14% 30.49% 37.37%+0.17 +0.3 16
1969-01-21 Aris Limassol W 2-029.8 991 803 66.11% 26.09% 7.80%+1.68 +4.8 17
1969-01-21 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-229.8 803 991 7.80% 26.09% 66.11%-1.68 -4.8 14
1969-01-21 Omonia Nicosia W 1-037.6 1048 1043 51.11% 29.99% 18.89%+0.54 +5.8 19
1969-01-21 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-137.6 1043 1048 18.89% 29.99% 51.11%-0.54 -5.8 19
1969-01-21 APOEL Nicosia W 1-043.9 869 1030 30.05% 30.13% 39.82%-0.51 +9.9 15
1969-01-21 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-143.9 1030 869 39.82% 30.13% 30.05%+0.51 -9.9 18
1969-01-21 Olympiacos Nicosia W 1-046.5 913 1152 21.17% 28.97% 49.86%-1.00 +11.9 11
1969-01-21 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-146.5 1152 913 49.86% 28.97% 21.17%+1.00 -11.9 21
1969-01-28 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-034.1 937 925 51.81% 29.91% 18.27%+0.58 +10.6 15
1969-01-28 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-234.1 925 937 18.27% 29.91% 51.81%-0.58 -10.6 11
1969-01-28 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-146.3 1020 1045 47.71% 30.30% 21.99%+0.35 -11.5 18
1969-01-28 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-046.3 1045 1020 21.99% 30.30% 47.71%-0.35 +11.5 18
1969-01-28 ASIL Lysi L 0-241.1 799 879 41.00% 30.52% 28.48%+0.00 -19.2 14
1969-01-28 @ Aris Limassol W 2-041.1 879 799 28.48% 30.52% 41.00%+0.00 +19.2 17
1969-01-28 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-148.0 849 996 31.80% 30.25% 37.94%-0.42 +9.0 10
1969-01-28 @ Evagoras Paphos L 1-248.0 996 849 37.94% 30.25% 31.80%+0.42 -9.0 17
1969-01-28 Apollon Limassol W 3-137.0 1140 1054 58.63% 28.67% 12.70%+1.05 +6.7 23
1969-01-28 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-337.0 1054 1140 12.70% 28.67% 58.63%-1.05 -6.7 19
1969-01-28 EPA Larnaca W 3-136.3 1037 925 60.68% 28.11% 11.21%+1.21 +6.0 21
1969-01-28 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-336.3 925 1037 11.21% 28.11% 60.68%-1.21 -6.0 17
1969-02-04 Evagoras Paphos W 4-133.4 987 858 62.03% 27.68% 10.29%+1.32 +7.8 19
1969-02-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-433.4 858 987 10.29% 27.68% 62.03%-1.32 -7.8 10
1969-02-04 Omonia Nicosia L 0-146.0 1008 1043 46.64% 30.36% 23.00%+0.29 -11.3 18
1969-02-04 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-046.0 1043 1008 23.00% 30.36% 46.64%-0.29 +11.3 23
1969-02-04 Apollon Limassol L 1-440.5 898 1048 31.54% 30.24% 38.23%-0.43 -19.4 17
1969-02-04 @ ASIL Lysi W 4-140.5 1048 898 38.23% 30.24% 31.54%+0.43 +19.4 21
1969-02-04 Aris Limassol L 0-344.5 919 779 62.78% 27.42% 9.79%+1.38 -40.5 17
1969-02-04 @ EPA Larnaca W 3-044.5 779 919 9.79% 27.42% 62.78%-1.38 +40.5 16
1969-02-04 Alki Larnaca D 2-255.7 914 948 46.75% 30.36% 22.89%+0.29 -0.9 12
1969-02-04 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-255.7 948 914 22.89% 30.36% 46.75%-0.29 +0.9 16
1969-02-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-035.2 1147 1057 58.97% 28.59% 12.44%+1.07 +4.0 25
1969-02-04 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-135.2 1057 1147 12.44% 28.59% 58.97%-1.07 -4.0 18
1969-02-11 APOEL Nicosia L 0-242.3 949 997 45.03% 30.44% 24.53%+0.20 -20.7 16
1969-02-11 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-042.3 997 949 24.53% 30.44% 45.03%-0.20 +20.7 20
1969-02-11 Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.8 879 995 36.13% 30.45% 33.42%-0.23 -0.1 18
1969-02-11 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-150.8 995 879 33.42% 30.45% 36.13%+0.23 +0.1 20
1969-02-11 Omonia Nicosia L 1-343.4 913 1054 32.70% 30.31% 36.99%-0.38 -14.1 12
1969-02-11 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-143.4 1054 913 36.99% 30.31% 32.70%+0.38 +14.1 25
1969-02-11 Aris Limassol W 2-027.3 1151 820 74.55% 21.41% 4.04%+2.59 +2.3 27
1969-02-11 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-227.3 820 1151 4.04% 21.41% 74.55%-2.59 -2.3 16
1969-02-11 ASIL Lysi W 2-138.0 1053 879 65.19% 26.49% 8.32%+1.60 +2.6 20
1969-02-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-238.0 879 1053 8.32% 26.49% 65.19%-1.60 -2.6 17
1969-02-18 EPA Larnaca L 1-254.6 1018 879 62.74% 27.44% 9.82%+1.38 -14.0 20
1969-02-18 @ APOEL Nicosia W 2-154.6 879 1018 9.82% 27.44% 62.74%-1.38 +14.0 20
1969-02-18 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-150.8 818 899 40.81% 30.52% 28.66%-0.01 -0.6 17
1969-02-18 @ Aris Limassol D 1-150.8 899 818 28.66% 30.52% 40.81%+0.01 +0.6 13
1969-02-18 Evagoras Paphos W 3-031.5 876 850 53.19% 29.73% 17.08%+0.67 +14.5 19
1969-02-18 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-331.5 850 876 17.08% 29.73% 53.19%-0.67 -14.5 10
1969-02-18 Anorthosis Famagusta W 4-029.4 1068 995 57.53% 28.94% 13.53%+0.97 +15.5 27
1969-02-18 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-429.4 995 1068 13.53% 28.94% 57.53%-0.97 -15.6 20
1969-02-18 Apollon Limassol W 4-137.2 1055 1067 49.24% 30.18% 20.58%+0.43 +14.2 22
1969-02-18 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-437.2 1067 1055 20.58% 30.18% 49.24%-0.43 -14.2 21
1969-02-25 EPA Larnaca D 3-360.6 1053 892 64.24% 26.87% 8.88%+1.51 -2.0 22
1969-02-25 @ Apollon Limassol D 3-360.6 892 1053 8.88% 26.87% 64.24%-1.51 +1.9 21
1969-02-25 Omonia Nicosia L 0-332.2 835 1084 20.29% 28.78% 50.92%-1.06 -16.3 10
1969-02-25 @ Evagoras Paphos W 3-032.2 1084 835 50.92% 28.78% 20.29%+1.06 +16.3 29
1969-02-25 Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-040.6 900 979 41.08% 30.52% 28.40%+0.01 +7.8 15
1969-02-25 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-140.6 979 900 28.40% 30.52% 41.08%-0.01 -7.8 20
1969-02-25 Alki Larnaca W 2-030.8 1069 928 62.90% 27.38% 9.72%+1.39 +6.0 24
1969-02-25 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-230.8 928 1069 9.72% 27.38% 62.90%-1.39 -6.0 16
1969-03-04 ASIL Lysi L 0-147.9 922 891 53.71% 29.65% 16.64%+0.70 -12.8 16
1969-03-04 @ Alki Larnaca W 1-047.9 891 922 16.64% 29.65% 53.71%-0.70 +12.8 21
1969-03-04 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-149.2 1004 908 59.43% 28.47% 12.11%+1.11 -14.1 20
1969-03-04 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-049.2 908 1004 12.11% 28.47% 59.43%-1.11 +14.1 17
1969-03-04 Apollon Limassol D 1-150.9 894 1051 30.64% 30.18% 39.19%-0.48 +0.4 22
1969-03-04 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-150.9 1051 894 39.19% 30.18% 30.64%+0.48 -0.4 23
1969-03-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-137.3 819 1075 19.57% 28.62% 51.81%-1.11 -5.8 10
1969-03-04 @ Evagoras Paphos W 1-037.3 1075 819 51.81% 28.62% 19.57%+1.11 +5.8 26
1969-03-04 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.8 1100 1153 44.39% 30.46% 25.14%+0.17 -1.0 30
1969-03-04 @ Omonia Nicosia D 1-150.8 1153 1100 25.14% 30.46% 44.39%-0.17 +1.0 28
1969-03-11 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-147.5 990 972 52.37% 29.84% 17.78%+0.62 -12.5 20
1969-03-11 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-047.5 972 990 17.78% 29.84% 52.37%-0.62 +12.5 22
1969-03-11 Apollon Limassol W 2-151.0 817 1050 21.78% 29.08% 49.14%-0.96 +11.0 19
1969-03-11 @ Aris Limassol L 1-251.0 1050 817 49.14% 29.08% 21.78%+0.96 -11.0 23
1969-03-11 Alki Larnaca W 2-035.0 895 909 48.93% 30.21% 20.86%+0.41 +11.7 24
1969-03-11 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-235.0 909 895 20.86% 30.21% 48.93%-0.41 -11.7 16
1969-03-11 ASIL Lysi L 0-240.7 813 903 39.68% 30.52% 29.80%-0.06 -18.7 10
1969-03-11 @ Evagoras Paphos W 2-040.7 903 813 29.80% 30.52% 39.68%+0.06 +18.7 23
1969-03-11 Olympiacos Nicosia W 1-040.4 1081 1154 41.90% 30.52% 27.59%+0.04 +7.7 28
1969-03-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-140.4 1154 1081 27.59% 30.52% 41.90%-0.04 -7.7 28
1969-03-18 Aris Limassol W 3-029.7 922 828 59.23% 28.52% 12.25%+1.09 +10.9 19
1969-03-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-329.7 828 922 12.25% 28.52% 59.23%-1.09 -10.9 19
1969-03-18 Evagoras Paphos W 6-024.8 1147 795 75.65% 20.68% 3.67%+2.72 +5.7 30
1969-03-18 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-624.8 795 1147 3.67% 20.68% 75.65%-2.72 -5.7 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1968-09-24 4.99% Aris Limassol 776 2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1061 0
2 1968-09-17 9.22% ASIL Lysi 874 1 @ Omonia Nicosia 1027 0
3 1969-02-04 9.79% Aris Limassol 779 3 @ EPA Larnaca 919 0
4 1969-02-18 9.82% EPA Larnaca 879 2 @ APOEL Nicosia 1018 1
5 1968-10-08 10.53% Aris Limassol 805 2 @ Alki Larnaca 929 1
6 1969-03-04 12.11% Nea Salamis Famagusta 908 1 @ APOEL Nicosia 1004 0
7 1968-12-10 12.46% Aris Limassol 791 2 @ ASIL Lysi 881 1
8 1968-10-22 14.89% ASIL Lysi 862 2 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 916 1
9 1968-11-26 15.86% APOEL Nicosia 1030 2 @ Apollon Limassol 1071 0
10 1969-03-04 16.64% ASIL Lysi 891 1 @ Alki Larnaca 922 0
11 1968-11-19 16.75% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1011 1 @ Omonia Nicosia 1041 0
12 1968-10-22 17.18% APOEL Nicosia 1000 2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1026 1
13 1969-03-11 17.78% Anorthosis Famagusta 972 1 @ APOEL Nicosia 990 0
14 1968-10-15 18.44% @ ASIL Lysi 850 1 Olympiacos Nicosia 1119 0
15 1968-12-03 19.79% EPA Larnaca 887 6 @ Evagoras Paphos 883 3
16 1968-11-19 20.86% @ Evagoras Paphos 874 1 Olympiacos Nicosia 1116 0
17 1969-01-21 21.17% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 913 1 Olympiacos Nicosia 1152 0
18 1968-12-17 21.68% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1029 2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1007 1
19 1969-03-11 21.78% @ Aris Limassol 817 2 Apollon Limassol 1050 1
20 1969-01-28 21.99% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1045 1 @ APOEL Nicosia 1020 0
21 1969-02-04 23.00% Omonia Nicosia 1043 1 @ APOEL Nicosia 1008 0
22 1969-02-11 24.53% APOEL Nicosia 997 2 @ Alki Larnaca 949 0
23 1968-10-08 26.78% APOEL Nicosia 992 1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 926 0
24 1969-01-28 28.48% ASIL Lysi 879 2 @ Aris Limassol 799 0
25 1969-01-14 28.72% Olympiacos Nicosia 1132 5 @ APOEL Nicosia 1050 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-02-04 40.55 Aris Limassol 3 779 9.79% @ EPA Larnaca 0 919 62.78% 27.42%
2 1968-09-24 31.05 Aris Limassol 2 776 4.99% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1061 72.01% 23.00%
3 1968-10-29 26.93 @ Alki Larnaca 5 932 49.45% EPA Larnaca 0 941 20.39% 30.16%
4 1968-11-26 24.57 APOEL Nicosia 2 1030 15.86% @ Apollon Limassol 0 1071 54.64% 29.50%
5 1968-10-22 24.22 Apollon Limassol 3 1044 35.73% @ Evagoras Paphos 0 912 33.90% 30.37%
6 1968-10-01 24.02 Omonia Nicosia 3 1016 36.15% @ ASIL Lysi 0 881 33.50% 30.35%
7 1968-12-03 22.31 EPA Larnaca 6 887 19.79% @ Evagoras Paphos 3 883 50.11% 30.10%
8 1968-11-19 21.17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 907 50.36% EPA Larnaca 0 908 19.57% 30.07%
9 1968-11-12 20.88 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 990 42.07% Omonia Nicosia 0 1062 27.42% 30.51%
10 1969-02-11 20.72 APOEL Nicosia 2 997 24.53% @ Alki Larnaca 0 949 45.03% 30.44%
11 1969-01-14 20.27 Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1132 28.72% @ APOEL Nicosia 2 1050 40.76% 30.52%
12 1969-02-04 19.39 Apollon Limassol 4 1048 38.23% @ ASIL Lysi 1 898 31.54% 30.24%
13 1969-01-28 19.20 ASIL Lysi 2 879 28.48% @ Aris Limassol 0 799 41.00% 30.52%
14 1969-03-11 18.72 ASIL Lysi 2 903 29.80% @ Evagoras Paphos 0 813 39.68% 30.52%
15 1968-12-03 17.65 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 1104 55.92% @ Aris Limassol 0 809 16.35% 27.73%
16 1968-10-29 17.62 @ ASIL Lysi 2 875 33.00% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1014 36.68% 30.32%
17 1969-02-25 16.30 Omonia Nicosia 3 1084 50.92% @ Evagoras Paphos 0 835 20.29% 28.78%
18 1968-12-03 15.99 Apollon Limassol 3 1047 30.53% @ Alki Larnaca 1 951 38.96% 30.51%
19 1969-02-18 15.55 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1068 57.53% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 995 13.53% 28.94%
20 1968-09-17 14.99 ASIL Lysi 1 874 9.22% @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1027 63.68% 27.09%
21 1969-02-18 14.52 @ ASIL Lysi 3 876 53.19% Evagoras Paphos 0 850 17.08% 29.73%
22 1969-02-18 14.21 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 1055 49.24% Apollon Limassol 1 1067 20.58% 30.18%
23 1969-03-04 14.09 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 908 12.11% @ APOEL Nicosia 0 1004 59.43% 28.47%
24 1969-02-11 14.07 Omonia Nicosia 3 1054 36.99% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 913 32.70% 30.31%
25 1969-02-18 13.95 EPA Larnaca 2 879 9.82% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1018 62.74% 27.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-10-08 62.1 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 4 1016 58.53% EPA Larnaca 4 931 12.77% 28.70%
2 1969-02-25 60.6 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1053 64.24% EPA Larnaca 3 892 8.88% 26.87%
3 1968-09-17 60.2 @ Aris Limassol 3 775 16.96% Pezoporikos Larnaca 3 1062 55.11% 27.92%
4 1968-11-05 59.5 @ Evagoras Paphos 3 879 41.13% Alki Larnaca 3 958 28.35% 30.52%
5 1968-10-15 55.8 @ Evagoras Paphos 2 913 50.30% Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 915 19.62% 30.08%
6 1968-10-22 55.8 @ EPA Larnaca 2 941 29.43% Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1107 40.49% 30.08%
7 1969-02-04 55.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 914 46.75% Alki Larnaca 2 948 22.89% 30.36%
8 1968-12-03 55.6 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 922 37.39% Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1029 32.13% 30.49%
9 1969-02-18 54.6 EPA Larnaca 2 879 9.82% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1018 62.74% 27.44%
10 1968-10-08 54.4 Aris Limassol 2 805 10.53% @ Alki Larnaca 1 929 61.68% 27.80%
11 1968-12-10 53.8 Aris Limassol 2 791 12.46% @ ASIL Lysi 1 881 58.94% 28.59%
12 1968-10-22 53.0 ASIL Lysi 2 862 14.89% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 916 55.82% 29.29%
13 1968-10-22 52.4 APOEL Nicosia 2 1000 17.18% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1026 53.07% 29.75%
14 1968-12-17 52.2 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1045 49.21% Apollon Limassol 5 1057 20.61% 30.18%
15 1969-01-14 51.7 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1051 62.91% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 910 9.71% 27.38%
16 1968-10-01 51.4 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1030 59.83% EPA Larnaca 1 928 11.81% 28.35%
17 1968-10-08 51.3 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1122 58.24% Omonia Nicosia 1 1040 12.99% 28.77%
18 1968-10-15 51.3 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1003 58.73% Alki Larnaca 1 916 12.62% 28.65%
19 1968-11-26 51.3 @ Evagoras Paphos 1 886 58.05% Aris Limassol 1 806 13.14% 28.82%
20 1968-10-29 51.2 @ Aris Limassol 1 811 20.72% Omonia Nicosia 1 1055 50.40% 28.88%
21 1968-11-19 51.2 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1074 57.26% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1004 13.75% 29.00%
22 1968-11-19 51.1 @ Aris Limassol 1 805 22.46% APOEL Nicosia 1 1032 48.33% 29.21%
23 1968-12-17 51.0 Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1029 21.68% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1007 48.04% 30.27%
24 1969-03-11 51.0 @ Aris Limassol 2 817 21.78% Apollon Limassol 1 1050 49.14% 29.08%
25 1968-09-24 50.9 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 936 51.91% Evagoras Paphos 1 922 18.19% 29.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-03-18 24.8 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1147 75.65% Evagoras Paphos 0 795 3.67% 20.68%
2 1968-12-17 25.5 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 4 1126 70.44% ASIL Lysi 0 868 5.65% 23.91%
3 1968-10-22 27.0 @ Omonia Nicosia 6 1044 68.27% Aris Limassol 0 822 6.67% 25.07%
4 1969-02-11 27.3 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1151 74.55% Aris Limassol 0 820 4.04% 21.41%
5 1968-11-12 27.5 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1110 66.59% EPA Larnaca 0 915 7.54% 25.88%
6 1968-10-08 27.7 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1041 65.87% ASIL Lysi 0 857 7.93% 26.20%
7 1968-09-17 27.8 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1097 63.37% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 949 9.42% 27.21%
8 1969-02-18 29.4 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1068 57.53% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 995 13.53% 28.94%
9 1969-03-18 29.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 922 59.23% Aris Limassol 0 828 12.25% 28.52%
10 1968-12-03 29.8 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 1104 55.92% @ Aris Limassol 0 809 16.35% 27.73%
11 1969-01-21 29.8 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 991 66.11% Aris Limassol 0 803 7.80% 26.09%
12 1968-10-01 30.2 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1112 65.07% Alki Larnaca 1 939 8.39% 26.54%
13 1969-02-25 30.8 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1069 62.90% Alki Larnaca 0 928 9.72% 27.38%
14 1968-11-19 31.5 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 907 50.36% EPA Larnaca 0 908 19.57% 30.07%
15 1969-02-18 31.5 @ ASIL Lysi 3 876 53.19% Evagoras Paphos 0 850 17.08% 29.73%
16 1968-10-08 31.6 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1027 60.27% Evagoras Paphos 0 920 11.50% 28.23%
17 1968-10-29 32.0 @ Alki Larnaca 5 932 49.45% EPA Larnaca 0 941 20.39% 30.16%
18 1969-02-25 32.2 Omonia Nicosia 3 1084 50.92% @ Evagoras Paphos 0 835 20.29% 28.78%
19 1968-10-01 32.4 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1008 57.61% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 934 13.47% 28.92%
20 1969-02-04 33.4 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 4 987 62.03% Evagoras Paphos 1 858 10.29% 27.68%
21 1968-11-05 33.7 @ Omonia Nicosia 6 1053 62.82% Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 913 9.77% 27.41%
22 1968-11-12 33.9 @ Apollon Limassol 4 1065 60.26% Alki Larnaca 1 959 11.51% 28.23%
23 1969-01-28 34.1 @ Alki Larnaca 2 937 51.81% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 925 18.27% 29.91%
24 1968-11-26 34.5 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1006 61.41% ASIL Lysi 0 885 10.70% 27.88%
25 1968-10-01 34.6 @ Apollon Limassol 1 1037 60.81% Evagoras Paphos 0 924 11.12% 28.07%