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1969-70 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

EPA Larnaca

31 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

EPA Larnaca

6.79 points above expected

31 points · 24.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AEL Limassol

10.34 points below expected

19 points · 29.34 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 EPA Larnaca Champion 22 12 7 3 31 46 18 +28 24.21 +6.79
2 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 13 5 4 31 28 12 +16 26.39 +4.61
3 Omonia Nicosia 22 12 7 3 31 31 16 +15 27.56 +3.44
4 APOEL Nicosia 22 9 5 8 23 35 32 +3 22.95 +0.05
5 Anorthosis Famagusta* 22 8 7 7 22 27 25 +2 20.98 +1.02
6 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 6 9 7 21 26 24 +2 19.39 +1.61
7 AEL Limassol 22 5 9 8 19 24 25 -1 29.34 -10.34
8 Apollon Limassol* 22 6 8 8 19 23 25 -2 21.49 -2.49
9 ASIL Lysi 22 5 9 8 19 14 24 -10 18.52 +0.48
10 Enosis Neon Paralimni 22 7 4 11 18 20 32 -12 19.86 -1.86
11 Alki Larnaca 22 7 3 12 17 25 36 -11 17.10 -0.10
12 Aris Limassol 22 1 9 12 11 10 40 -30 14.21 -3.21

* Point deductions: Anorthosis Famagusta (-1 pts), Apollon Limassol (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 EPA Larnaca 31 24.21 +6.79
2 Pezoporikos Larnaca 31 26.39 +4.61
3 Omonia Nicosia 31 27.56 +3.44
4 Nea Salamis Famagusta 21 19.39 +1.61
5 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 20.98 +1.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AEL Limassol 19 29.34 -10.34
2 Aris Limassol 11 14.21 -3.21
3 Apollon Limassol 19 21.49 -2.49
4 Enosis Neon Paralimni 18 19.86 -1.86
5 Alki Larnaca 17 17.10 -0.10

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1025 31 +20 8 6.5 +1.5
EPA Larnaca 1043 31 +25 7 6.3 +0.7
Omonia Nicosia 1013 31 -22 4 6.5 -2.5
APOEL Nicosia 896 23 -72 4 6.0 -2.0
Anorthosis Famagusta 910 23 -8 4 5.2 -1.2
Nea Salamis Famagusta 892 21 +57 8 4.1 +3.9
Apollon Limassol 868 20 -36 2 4.5 -2.5
ASIL Lysi 825 19 +39 5 2.7 +2.3
AEL Limassol 958 19 -33 4 6.6 -2.6
Enosis Neon Paralimni 835 18 -15 4 4.1 -0.1
Alki Larnaca 806 17 -2 4 4.0 +0.0
Aris Limassol 684 11 -13 3 3.0 -0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AN AL AL AF AL AL EL ENP NSF ON PL
AEL Limassol —
0-1-1
3.31
0-2-0
3.96
1-0-1
4.13
1-0-1
3.86
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
4.32
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.75
0-1-1
3.88
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.35
APOEL Nicosia
1-1-0
2.06
—
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
3.24
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.14
ASIL Lysi
0-2-0
1.44
1-0-1
1.91
—
0-0-2
3.25
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
1.85
0-1-1
3.27
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.53
0-2-0
1.31
0-0-2
1.34
Alki Larnaca
1-0-1
1.29
0-1-1
2.13
2-0-0
2.10
—
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.58
Anorthosis Famagusta
1-0-1
1.54
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.45
—
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.99
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
1.91
Apollon Limassol
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.98
—
0-2-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.31
Aris Limassol
0-1-1
1.12
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
1.41
0-2-0
1.64
—
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
1.96
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
1.28
EPA Larnaca
1-1-0
1.91
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.47
—
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.98
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.55
Enosis Neon Paralimni
1-0-1
1.63
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.14
0-2-0
3.40
0-0-2
1.93
—
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.19
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1-1-0
1.50
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.37
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
1.41
1-1-0
2.58
—
0-0-2
1.68
0-2-0
1.91
Omonia Nicosia
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.29
0-2-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.48
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.69
—
1-0-1
2.89
Pezoporikos Larnaca
1-1-0
2.00
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.80
0-0-2
3.45
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.46
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +5.3
Allowed 0.77 -6.7
Differential 0.91 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.91%10.61%4.92%4.17%2.27%0.38%38.26%
110.61%7.58%6.44%1.52%1.52%—27.65%
24.92%6.44%6.06%1.89%——19.32%
34.17%1.52%1.89%1.52%0.38%0.38%9.85%
42.27%1.52%—0.38%——4.17%
5+0.38%——0.38%——0.76%
Total38.26%27.65%19.32%9.85%4.17%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.73
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%—9.09%——45.45%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%22.73%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.14 -0.05
SD 1.31 0.94 1.62
CV 1.20 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—9.09%——27.27%
1——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
218.18%4.55%13.64%———36.36%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.45 +0.14
SD 1.22 1.18 1.81
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
031.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%59.09%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%13.64%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.09 -0.45
SD 1.00 1.48 1.77
CV 1.57 1.35 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%18.18%—4.55%—40.91%
14.55%—9.09%13.64%——27.27%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.64 -0.50
SD 1.28 1.14 1.77
CV 1.13 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%——4.55%—40.91%
19.09%—9.09%———18.18%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.14 +0.09
SD 1.27 1.55 1.74
CV 1.03 1.37 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%9.09%——45.45%
14.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.14 -0.09
SD 1.43 1.08 1.66
CV 1.37 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%13.64%—63.64%
1—9.09%4.55%—13.64%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%18.18%4.55%27.27%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.45 1.82 -1.36
SD 0.67 1.59 1.62
CV 1.48 0.88 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
218.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
313.64%—4.55%9.09%——27.27%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+———————
Total50.00%27.27%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.82 +1.27
SD 1.27 1.01 1.70
CV 0.61 1.23 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%—45.45%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.45 -0.55
SD 1.06 1.18 1.90
CV 1.17 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%————31.82%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.09 +0.09
SD 1.05 1.06 1.06
CV 0.89 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%————27.27%
131.82%—————31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total63.64%13.64%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.73 +0.68
SD 1.22 1.12 1.21
CV 0.87 1.54 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
136.36%18.18%————54.55%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total59.09%31.82%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.55 +0.73
SD 1.24 0.80 1.58
CV 0.98 1.47 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
EPA Larnaca 1043 31 24.21 +6.79 99.0% 17 19 22 24 27 30 32
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1025 31 26.39 +4.61 97.0% 19 21 25 26 28 31 34
Omonia Nicosia 1013 31 27.56 +3.44 88.0% 18 21 25 28 30 32 36
AEL Limassol 958 19 29.34 -10.34 0.0% 21 24 27 29 31 35 37
Anorthosis Famagusta 910 22 20.98 +1.02 65.0% 12 16 18 21 23 26 29
APOEL Nicosia 896 23 22.95 +0.05 54.0% 14 17 21 23 25 29 31
Nea Salamis Famagusta 892 21 19.39 +1.61 71.0% 10 13 17 19 22 25 28
Apollon Limassol 868 19 21.49 -2.49 26.0% 13 15 19 22 24 27 29
Enosis Neon Paralimni 835 18 19.86 -1.86 33.0% 12 14 17 20 22 25 29
ASIL Lysi 825 19 18.52 +0.48 60.0% 7 13 16 19 20 24 28
Alki Larnaca 806 17 17.10 -0.10 55.0% 10 12 15 17 19 23 25
Aris Limassol 684 11 14.21 -3.21 24.0% 6 8 12 14 17 20 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Clear Edge
42.42%31.06%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 55.75 Elo pts.
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
9%
EPA Larnaca, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.73 * Some Luck: 2.73 to 4.1 * Lucky: 4.1 to 5.47 * Wild Swing: 5.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.35 * Close: 1.35 to 2.03 * Off: 2.03 to 2.71 * Way Off: 2.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.18 points
Lucky
03.429
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
01.694
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
EPA Larnaca
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
AEL Limassol
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 103.80
1.61
Coin-Flip Parity
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.62
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Weak Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.66
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
EPA Larnaca9.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%8.00%9.00%8.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—
Pezoporikos Larnaca13.00%22.00%25.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%————
Omonia Nicosia29.00%29.00%14.00%16.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%———
APOEL Nicosia3.00%7.00%7.00%17.00%17.00%21.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%—
Anorthosis Famagusta——7.00%7.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta—2.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%10.00%13.00%5.00%
AEL Limassol44.00%22.00%20.00%6.00%5.00%—2.00%1.00%————
Apollon Limassol1.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%20.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%
ASIL Lysi——1.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%12.00%10.00%19.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%
Enosis Neon Paralimni1.00%—2.00%8.00%3.00%9.00%15.00%14.00%15.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%
Alki Larnaca———1.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%24.00%18.00%
Aris Limassol—————1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%20.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
AEL Limassol 100% —
APOEL Nicosia 100% —
ASIL Lysi 89.00% 11.00%
Alki Larnaca 82.00% 18.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta 98.00% 2.00%
Apollon Limassol 97.00% 3.00%
Aris Limassol 44.00% 56.00%
EPA Larnaca 100% —
Enosis Neon Paralimni 95.00% 5.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 95.00% 5.00%
Omonia Nicosia 100% —
Pezoporikos Larnaca 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1969-09-17 ASIL Lysi D 0-047.8 1084 852 64.89% 28.06% 7.05%+1.42 -4.9 1
1969-09-17 @ AEL Limassol D 0-047.8 852 1084 7.05% 28.06% 64.89%-1.42 +4.9 1
1969-09-17 Omonia Nicosia L 0-141.4 839 958 29.39% 32.71% 37.90%-0.31 -10.7 0
1969-09-17 @ Alki Larnaca W 1-041.4 958 839 37.90% 32.71% 29.39%+0.31 +10.7 2
1969-09-17 Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-146.2 887 883 45.53% 32.69% 21.78%+0.29 -14.8 0
1969-09-17 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-046.2 883 887 21.78% 32.69% 45.53%-0.29 +14.8 2
1969-09-17 Anorthosis Famagusta W 6-340.6 924 890 48.82% 32.40% 18.78%+0.44 +14.4 2
1969-09-17 @ Apollon Limassol L 3-640.6 890 924 18.78% 32.40% 48.82%-0.44 -14.4 0
1969-09-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-046.3 790 859 36.28% 32.94% 30.79%-0.07 -0.4 1
1969-09-17 @ Aris Limassol D 0-046.3 859 790 30.79% 32.94% 36.28%+0.07 +0.4 1
1969-09-17 EPA Larnaca D 1-151.7 946 844 55.36% 31.34% 13.30%+0.78 -3.0 1
1969-09-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.7 844 946 13.30% 31.34% 55.36%-0.78 +3.0 1
1969-09-24 Omonia Nicosia L 0-142.5 876 968 32.93% 32.87% 34.20%-0.18 -11.6 0
1969-09-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-042.5 968 876 34.20% 32.87% 32.93%+0.18 +11.6 4
1969-09-24 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-143.5 872 942 36.08% 32.93% 30.99%-0.07 -12.4 0
1969-09-24 @ APOEL Nicosia W 1-043.5 942 872 30.99% 32.93% 36.08%+0.07 +12.4 3
1969-09-24 Alki Larnaca W 2-141.5 938 828 56.06% 31.18% 12.76%+0.82 +5.4 4
1969-09-24 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-241.5 828 938 12.76% 31.18% 56.06%-0.82 -5.4 0
1969-09-24 Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-151.2 790 898 30.84% 32.79% 36.37%-0.26 +0.3 2
1969-09-24 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.2 898 790 36.37% 32.79% 30.84%+0.26 -0.4 3
1969-09-24 ASIL Lysi D 0-046.3 847 857 43.83% 32.79% 23.37%+0.22 -1.5 2
1969-09-24 @ EPA Larnaca D 0-046.3 857 847 23.37% 32.79% 43.83%-0.22 +1.5 2
1969-09-24 AEL Limassol D 2-257.1 860 1079 18.34% 31.34% 50.32%-0.81 +1.6 2
1969-09-24 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-257.1 1079 860 50.32% 31.34% 18.34%+0.81 -1.6 2
1969-10-01 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-256.0 1078 864 63.72% 28.60% 7.68%+1.33 -18.8 2
1969-10-01 @ AEL Limassol W 2-156.0 864 1078 7.68% 28.60% 63.72%-1.33 +18.8 2
1969-10-01 EPA Larnaca L 0-242.0 823 845 42.35% 32.86% 24.80%+0.16 -26.3 0
1969-10-01 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-042.0 845 823 24.80% 32.86% 42.35%-0.16 +26.3 4
1969-10-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.6 943 861 53.61% 31.70% 14.69%+0.68 -2.8 5
1969-10-01 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-151.6 861 943 14.69% 31.70% 53.61%-0.68 +2.8 3
1969-10-01 ASIL Lysi D 0-046.3 790 859 36.34% 32.94% 30.72%-0.06 -0.4 3
1969-10-01 @ Aris Limassol D 0-046.3 859 790 30.72% 32.94% 36.34%+0.06 +0.4 3
1969-10-01 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 1-036.7 980 898 53.63% 31.69% 14.67%+0.68 +6.4 6
1969-10-01 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-136.7 898 980 14.67% 31.69% 53.63%-0.68 -6.4 3
1969-10-01 APOEL Nicosia W 2-141.9 955 860 54.78% 31.47% 13.76%+0.75 +5.7 5
1969-10-01 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-241.9 860 955 13.76% 31.47% 54.78%-0.75 -5.7 0
1969-10-08 EPA Larnaca D 1-152.3 1059 872 61.94% 29.34% 8.72%+1.20 -4.0 3
1969-10-08 @ AEL Limassol D 1-152.3 872 1059 8.72% 29.34% 61.94%-1.20 +4.0 5
1969-10-08 APOEL Nicosia L 0-240.7 796 854 37.80% 32.94% 29.26%-0.01 -24.1 0
1969-10-08 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-040.7 854 796 29.26% 32.94% 37.80%+0.01 +24.1 2
1969-10-08 Apollon Limassol D 1-151.3 790 941 25.43% 32.41% 42.16%-0.47 +1.1 4
1969-10-08 @ Aris Limassol D 1-151.3 941 790 42.16% 32.41% 25.43%+0.47 -1.1 6
1969-10-08 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.2 891 961 36.20% 32.94% 30.86%-0.07 -0.3 4
1969-10-08 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-151.2 961 891 30.86% 32.94% 36.20%+0.07 +0.3 6
1969-10-08 ASIL Lysi L 0-146.3 864 859 45.64% 32.68% 21.67%+0.30 -14.8 3
1969-10-08 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-046.3 859 864 21.67% 32.68% 45.64%-0.30 +14.8 5
1969-10-08 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.8 986 883 55.51% 31.30% 13.18%+0.79 -3.4 7
1969-10-08 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-046.8 883 986 13.18% 31.30% 55.51%-0.79 +3.4 3
1969-10-15 APOEL Nicosia D 2-257.6 1055 878 61.20% 29.63% 9.18%+1.15 -2.9 4
1969-10-15 @ AEL Limassol D 2-257.6 878 1055 9.18% 29.63% 61.20%-1.15 +2.9 3
1969-10-15 ASIL Lysi W 3-140.9 886 874 46.48% 32.62% 20.90%+0.34 +13.8 5
1969-10-15 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-340.9 874 886 20.90% 32.62% 46.48%-0.34 -13.8 5
1969-10-15 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-036.7 939 961 42.49% 32.85% 24.65%+0.17 +17.9 8
1969-10-15 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-236.7 961 939 24.65% 32.85% 42.49%-0.17 -17.9 6
1969-10-15 EPA Larnaca L 0-239.5 791 876 34.09% 32.90% 33.01%-0.14 -22.4 4
1969-10-15 @ Aris Limassol W 2-039.5 876 791 33.01% 32.90% 34.09%+0.14 +22.4 7
1969-10-15 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-046.5 891 849 49.67% 32.30% 18.03%+0.48 -2.4 5
1969-10-15 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 0-046.5 849 891 18.03% 32.30% 49.67%-0.48 +2.4 4
1969-10-15 Alki Larnaca W 3-135.8 983 772 63.53% 28.68% 7.79%+1.32 +5.8 9
1969-10-15 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-335.8 772 983 7.79% 28.68% 63.53%-1.32 -5.8 0
1969-10-22 Alki Larnaca W 3-134.4 1052 766 68.14% 26.37% 5.50%+1.69 +4.0 6
1969-10-22 @ AEL Limassol L 1-334.4 766 1052 5.50% 26.37% 68.14%-1.69 -4.0 0
1969-10-22 EPA Larnaca L 1-251.7 900 898 45.30% 32.71% 21.99%+0.29 -13.9 5
1969-10-22 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-151.7 898 900 21.99% 32.71% 45.30%-0.29 +13.9 9
1969-10-22 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-143.8 881 852 48.38% 32.45% 19.17%+0.42 +7.5 5
1969-10-22 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-243.8 852 881 19.17% 32.45% 48.38%-0.42 -7.5 4
1969-10-22 Aris Limassol D 0-047.4 957 769 62.06% 29.29% 8.65%+1.21 -4.5 9
1969-10-22 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-047.4 769 957 8.65% 29.29% 62.06%-1.21 +4.5 5
1969-10-22 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-145.8 860 888 41.64% 32.88% 25.47%+0.14 +9.2 7
1969-10-22 @ ASIL Lysi L 1-245.8 888 860 25.47% 32.88% 41.64%-0.14 -9.2 5
1969-10-22 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-147.5 989 943 50.09% 32.25% 17.66%+0.50 -16.1 9
1969-10-22 @ Omonia Nicosia W 1-047.5 943 989 17.66% 32.25% 50.09%-0.50 +16.1 8
1969-10-29 AEL Limassol L 0-139.4 886 1056 23.27% 32.17% 44.57%-0.56 -9.0 5
1969-10-29 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-039.4 1056 886 44.57% 32.17% 23.27%+0.56 +9.0 8
1969-10-29 EPA Larnaca D 1-151.2 869 912 39.81% 32.93% 27.26%+0.07 -0.8 8
1969-10-29 @ ASIL Lysi D 1-151.2 912 869 27.26% 32.93% 39.81%-0.07 +0.8 10
1969-10-29 Alki Larnaca W 2-141.3 879 762 56.63% 31.04% 12.33%+0.85 +5.2 7
1969-10-29 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 1-241.3 762 879 12.33% 31.04% 56.63%-0.85 -5.2 0
1969-10-29 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.2 844 959 29.91% 32.74% 37.35%-0.29 +0.5 5
1969-10-29 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.2 959 844 37.35% 32.74% 29.91%+0.29 -0.5 9
1969-10-29 APOEL Nicosia W 1-036.6 973 889 53.79% 31.66% 14.54%+0.69 +6.4 11
1969-10-29 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-136.6 889 973 14.54% 31.66% 53.79%-0.69 -6.3 5
1969-11-05 ASIL Lysi W 3-038.4 757 869 30.39% 32.77% 36.85%-0.28 +34.3 2
1969-11-05 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-338.4 869 757 36.85% 32.77% 30.39%+0.28 -34.3 8
1969-11-05 APOEL Nicosia W 2-145.0 877 882 44.46% 32.76% 22.78%+0.25 +8.5 7
1969-11-05 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-245.0 882 877 22.78% 32.76% 44.46%-0.25 -8.5 5
1969-11-05 AEL Limassol L 1-247.3 953 1065 30.31% 32.76% 36.93%-0.28 -10.3 9
1969-11-05 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-147.3 1065 953 36.93% 32.76% 30.31%+0.28 +10.3 10
1969-11-05 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-035.0 913 884 48.25% 32.46% 19.29%+0.42 +15.0 12
1969-11-05 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-235.0 884 913 19.29% 32.46% 48.25%-0.42 -15.0 7
1969-11-05 Aris Limassol W 2-142.5 845 773 52.63% 31.87% 15.50%+0.63 +6.3 7
1969-11-05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-242.5 773 845 15.50% 31.87% 52.63%-0.63 -6.3 5
1969-11-05 Omonia Nicosia L 2-355.5 959 979 42.62% 32.85% 24.53%+0.17 -12.5 9
1969-11-05 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 3-255.5 979 959 24.53% 32.85% 42.62%-0.17 +12.5 13
1969-11-12 Apollon Limassol W 2-038.6 874 943 36.28% 32.94% 30.78%-0.06 +20.9 7
1969-11-12 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-238.6 943 874 30.78% 32.94% 36.28%+0.06 -20.9 9
1969-11-12 Alki Larnaca L 0-147.4 834 792 49.78% 32.29% 17.93%+0.49 -16.0 8
1969-11-12 @ ASIL Lysi W 1-047.4 792 834 17.93% 32.29% 49.78%-0.49 +16.0 4
1969-11-12 Aris Limassol D 2-257.1 869 767 55.44% 31.32% 13.24%+0.78 -2.3 8
1969-11-12 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 2-257.1 767 869 13.24% 31.32% 55.44%-0.78 +2.3 6
1969-11-12 Anorthosis Famagusta W 4-032.3 928 885 49.72% 32.30% 17.98%+0.48 +27.0 14
1969-11-12 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-432.3 885 928 17.98% 32.30% 49.72%-0.48 -27.0 7
1969-11-12 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-140.8 992 851 58.54% 30.51% 10.95%+0.97 +4.7 15
1969-11-12 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-240.8 851 992 10.95% 30.51% 58.54%-0.97 -4.7 7
1969-11-12 AEL Limassol W 1-044.4 946 1075 28.07% 32.63% 39.30%-0.36 +13.1 11
1969-11-12 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-144.4 1075 946 39.30% 32.63% 28.07%+0.36 -13.1 10
1969-11-19 Apollon Limassol L 0-238.3 807 922 30.01% 32.75% 37.25%-0.29 -20.5 4
1969-11-19 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-038.3 922 807 37.25% 32.75% 30.01%+0.29 +20.5 11
1969-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta D 2-256.8 895 859 49.09% 32.37% 18.54%+0.45 -1.6 8
1969-11-19 @ APOEL Nicosia D 2-256.8 859 895 18.54% 32.37% 49.09%-0.45 +1.6 8
1969-11-19 AEL Limassol W 1-046.6 867 1062 20.65% 31.78% 47.57%-0.69 +15.2 10
1969-11-19 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-146.6 1062 867 47.57% 31.78% 20.65%+0.69 -15.2 10
1969-11-19 Aris Limassol W 4-028.7 955 769 61.83% 29.38% 8.78%+1.19 +14.4 16
1969-11-19 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-428.7 769 955 8.78% 29.38% 61.83%-1.19 -14.4 6
1969-11-19 ASIL Lysi D 0-047.3 996 818 61.30% 29.59% 9.11%+1.16 -4.4 16
1969-11-19 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-047.3 818 996 9.11% 29.59% 61.30%-1.16 +4.4 9
1969-11-19 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.7 959 846 56.31% 31.12% 12.57%+0.83 -3.2 12
1969-11-19 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.7 846 959 12.57% 31.12% 56.31%-0.83 +3.2 8
1969-11-26 Aris Limassol W 4-131.5 1047 755 68.53% 26.14% 5.33%+1.72 +5.5 12
1969-11-26 @ AEL Limassol L 1-431.5 755 1047 5.33% 26.14% 68.53%-1.72 -5.5 6
1969-11-26 EPA Larnaca D 3-360.0 893 969 35.31% 32.92% 31.77%-0.10 -0.1 9
1969-11-26 @ APOEL Nicosia D 3-360.0 969 893 31.77% 32.92% 35.31%+0.10 +0.1 17
1969-11-26 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.3 849 860 43.81% 32.79% 23.40%+0.22 -1.5 9
1969-11-26 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-046.3 860 849 23.40% 32.79% 43.81%-0.22 +1.5 9
1969-11-26 Apollon Limassol D 2-256.8 992 942 50.48% 32.20% 17.32%+0.52 -1.7 17
1969-11-26 @ Omonia Nicosia D 2-256.8 942 992 17.32% 32.20% 50.48%-0.52 +1.7 12
1969-11-26 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-033.6 956 882 52.82% 31.84% 15.34%+0.64 +12.5 14
1969-11-26 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-233.6 882 956 15.34% 31.84% 52.82%-0.64 -12.5 10
1969-12-03 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-043.5 862 969 30.98% 32.80% 36.23%-0.25 +12.4 11
1969-12-03 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-143.5 969 862 36.23% 32.80% 30.98%+0.25 -12.4 14
1969-12-03 APOEL Nicosia L 1-439.7 749 893 26.26% 32.48% 41.26%-0.44 -22.8 6
1969-12-03 @ Aris Limassol W 4-139.7 893 749 41.26% 32.48% 26.26%+0.44 +22.8 11
1969-12-03 Apollon Limassol D 0-046.4 823 944 29.07% 32.69% 38.23%-0.32 +0.6 10
1969-12-03 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-046.4 944 823 38.23% 32.69% 29.07%+0.32 -0.6 13
1969-12-03 Omonia Nicosia L 0-141.4 870 990 29.21% 32.70% 38.09%-0.32 -10.7 10
1969-12-03 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni W 1-041.4 990 870 38.09% 32.70% 29.21%+0.32 +10.7 19
1969-12-03 AEL Limassol W 3-037.3 969 1052 34.30% 32.91% 32.80%-0.14 +31.7 19
1969-12-03 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-337.3 1052 969 32.80% 32.91% 34.30%+0.14 -31.7 12
1969-12-03 Alki Larnaca W 3-139.4 848 787 51.61% 32.04% 16.35%+0.58 +11.4 11
1969-12-03 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-339.4 787 848 16.35% 32.04% 51.61%-0.58 -11.4 4
1969-12-10 Alki Larnaca D 0-046.8 874 776 55.07% 31.40% 13.53%+0.76 -3.3 12
1969-12-10 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.8 776 874 13.53% 31.40% 55.07%-0.76 +3.3 5
1969-12-10 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 3-031.4 943 859 53.79% 31.66% 14.55%+0.69 +17.4 15
1969-12-10 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-331.4 859 943 14.55% 31.66% 53.79%-0.69 -17.4 10
1969-12-10 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-040.6 823 859 40.65% 32.91% 26.44%+0.10 +10.0 12
1969-12-10 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-140.6 859 823 26.44% 32.91% 40.65%-0.10 -10.0 11
1969-12-10 APOEL Nicosia W 3-031.4 1001 916 53.88% 31.65% 14.48%+0.70 +17.3 21
1969-12-10 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-331.4 916 1001 14.48% 31.65% 53.88%-0.70 -17.3 11
1969-12-10 AEL Limassol W 1-040.0 1001 1021 42.70% 32.84% 24.45%+0.18 +9.5 21
1969-12-10 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-140.0 1021 1001 24.45% 32.84% 42.70%-0.18 -9.5 12
1969-12-10 Aris Limassol W 1-033.3 956 726 64.77% 28.12% 7.11%+1.41 +3.2 16
1969-12-10 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-133.3 726 956 7.11% 28.12% 64.77%-1.41 -3.2 6
1969-12-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-046.5 1011 959 50.69% 32.17% 17.14%+0.53 -2.6 13
1969-12-17 @ AEL Limassol D 0-046.5 959 1011 17.14% 32.17% 50.69%-0.53 +2.6 17
1969-12-17 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-147.2 779 842 37.10% 32.94% 29.96%-0.04 +10.3 7
1969-12-17 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-247.2 842 779 29.96% 32.94% 37.10%+0.04 -10.3 10
1969-12-17 Aris Limassol W 2-031.1 898 723 61.12% 29.65% 9.23%+1.14 +8.0 13
1969-12-17 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-231.1 723 898 9.23% 29.65% 61.12%-1.14 -8.0 6
1969-12-17 EPA Larnaca L 0-338.8 961 1018 37.83% 32.94% 29.23%-0.01 -35.0 15
1969-12-17 @ Apollon Limassol W 3-038.8 1018 961 29.23% 32.94% 37.83%+0.01 +35.0 23
1969-12-17 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.3 833 871 40.48% 32.91% 26.61%+0.09 -1.0 13
1969-12-17 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-046.3 871 833 26.61% 32.91% 40.48%-0.09 +1.0 13
1969-12-17 Omonia Nicosia L 0-139.7 849 1010 24.25% 32.28% 43.47%-0.52 -9.3 11
1969-12-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-039.7 1010 849 43.47% 32.28% 24.25%+0.52 +9.3 23
1970-01-14 AEL Limassol W 2-152.8 789 1008 18.36% 31.34% 50.30%-0.81 +15.1 9
1970-01-14 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-252.8 1008 789 50.30% 31.34% 18.36%+0.81 -15.1 13
1970-01-14 Apollon Limassol W 2-146.8 872 926 38.29% 32.94% 28.76%+0.01 +10.0 15
1970-01-14 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-246.8 926 872 28.76% 32.94% 38.29%-0.01 -10.0 15
1970-01-14 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-136.8 715 962 16.07% 30.77% 53.16%-0.95 -6.7 6
1970-01-14 @ Aris Limassol W 1-036.8 962 715 53.16% 30.77% 16.07%+0.95 +6.7 19
1970-01-14 ASIL Lysi W 1-039.3 832 832 44.99% 32.73% 22.28%+0.27 +8.8 12
1970-01-14 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-139.3 832 832 22.28% 32.73% 44.99%-0.27 -8.9 13
1970-01-14 Omonia Nicosia D 3-360.2 1053 1020 48.82% 32.40% 18.78%+0.44 -1.3 24
1970-01-14 @ EPA Larnaca D 3-360.2 1020 1053 18.78% 32.40% 48.82%-0.44 +1.3 24
1970-01-14 APOEL Nicosia L 2-353.8 840 906 36.62% 32.94% 30.44%-0.05 -11.2 11
1970-01-14 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-253.8 906 840 30.44% 32.94% 36.62%+0.05 +11.2 15
1970-01-21 Omonia Nicosia D 0-046.3 993 1021 41.74% 32.88% 25.38%+0.14 -1.2 14
1970-01-21 @ AEL Limassol D 0-046.3 1021 993 25.38% 32.88% 41.74%-0.14 +1.2 25
1970-01-21 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-236.3 804 969 23.85% 32.24% 43.91%-0.54 -17.4 9
1970-01-21 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-036.3 969 804 43.91% 32.24% 23.85%+0.54 +17.4 21
1970-01-21 Aris Limassol W 4-028.9 882 708 60.96% 29.71% 9.33%+1.13 +15.3 17
1970-01-21 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-428.9 708 882 9.33% 29.71% 60.96%-1.13 -15.3 6
1970-01-21 APOEL Nicosia L 0-239.1 823 918 32.74% 32.86% 34.40%-0.19 -21.8 13
1970-01-21 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-039.1 918 823 34.40% 32.86% 32.74%+0.19 +21.8 17
1970-01-21 Apollon Limassol W 3-036.9 840 916 35.40% 32.93% 31.68%-0.10 +31.0 14
1970-01-21 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-336.9 916 840 31.68% 32.93% 35.40%+0.10 -31.0 15
1970-01-21 EPA Larnaca W 2-152.9 829 1052 18.03% 31.27% 50.70%-0.83 +15.2 13
1970-01-21 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-252.9 1052 829 50.70% 31.27% 18.03%+0.83 -15.2 24
1970-01-28 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-353.8 787 844 37.88% 32.94% 29.18%-0.01 +9.3 11
1970-01-28 @ Alki Larnaca L 3-453.8 844 787 29.18% 32.94% 37.88%+0.01 -9.3 13
1970-01-28 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 3-033.2 897 871 47.95% 32.49% 19.56%+0.40 +22.0 19
1970-01-28 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-333.2 871 897 19.56% 32.49% 47.95%-0.40 -22.0 14
1970-01-28 Omonia Nicosia L 0-329.4 693 1022 10.84% 28.67% 60.49%-1.35 -12.9 6
1970-01-28 @ Aris Limassol W 3-029.4 1022 693 60.49% 28.67% 10.84%+1.35 +12.9 27
1970-01-28 AEL Limassol D 2-256.9 802 992 21.07% 31.85% 47.08%-0.67 +1.3 14
1970-01-28 @ ASIL Lysi D 2-256.9 992 802 47.08% 31.85% 21.07%+0.67 -1.3 15
1970-01-28 Apollon Limassol L 0-149.7 1037 885 59.41% 30.24% 10.35%+1.03 -18.8 24
1970-01-28 @ EPA Larnaca W 1-049.7 885 1037 10.35% 30.24% 59.41%-1.03 +18.8 17
1970-02-04 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-149.7 796 919 28.90% 32.68% 38.42%-0.33 +12.2 13
1970-02-04 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-249.7 919 796 38.42% 32.68% 28.90%+0.33 -12.2 19
1970-02-04 AEL Limassol W 3-036.0 939 991 38.62% 32.94% 28.44%+0.02 +28.8 19
1970-02-04 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-336.0 991 939 28.44% 32.94% 38.62%-0.02 -28.8 15
1970-02-04 Omonia Nicosia D 0-046.4 903 1035 27.77% 32.61% 39.62%-0.37 +0.8 18
1970-02-04 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-046.4 1035 903 39.62% 32.61% 27.77%+0.37 -0.8 28
1970-02-04 Aris Limassol L 1-254.7 803 680 57.12% 30.91% 11.97%+0.88 -17.1 14
1970-02-04 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-154.7 680 803 11.97% 30.91% 57.12%-0.88 +17.1 8
1970-02-04 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-257.7 1018 835 61.67% 29.45% 8.88%+1.18 -3.0 25
1970-02-04 @ EPA Larnaca D 2-257.7 835 1018 8.88% 29.45% 61.67%-1.18 +3.0 14
1970-02-11 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 4-030.3 962 849 56.30% 31.12% 12.58%+0.83 +20.1 17
1970-02-11 @ AEL Limassol L 0-430.3 849 962 12.58% 31.12% 56.30%-0.83 -20.1 14
1970-02-11 Aris Limassol W 4-135.3 808 697 56.15% 31.16% 12.69%+0.83 +13.1 15
1970-02-11 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-435.3 697 808 12.69% 31.16% 56.15%-0.83 -13.1 8
1970-02-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-046.6 907 838 52.39% 31.91% 15.70%+0.62 -2.9 20
1970-02-11 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.6 838 907 15.70% 31.91% 52.39%-0.62 +2.9 15
1970-02-11 APOEL Nicosia D 0-046.3 904 968 36.97% 32.94% 30.09%-0.04 -0.5 19
1970-02-11 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-046.3 968 904 30.09% 32.94% 36.97%+0.04 +0.5 20
1970-02-11 EPA Larnaca L 2-356.8 1034 1015 47.25% 32.56% 20.19%+0.37 -13.7 28
1970-02-11 @ Omonia Nicosia W 3-256.8 1015 1034 20.19% 32.56% 47.25%-0.37 +13.7 27
1970-02-11 ASIL Lysi W 6-029.5 986 786 62.84% 28.98% 8.18%+1.27 +19.6 23
1970-02-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-629.5 786 986 8.18% 28.98% 62.84%-1.27 -19.6 14
1970-02-18 Apollon Limassol D 1-151.5 982 904 53.27% 31.76% 14.97%+0.66 -2.7 18
1970-02-18 @ AEL Limassol D 1-151.5 904 982 14.97% 31.76% 53.27%-0.66 +2.7 20
1970-02-18 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-137.1 766 1006 16.65% 30.93% 52.42%-0.91 -6.9 14
1970-02-18 @ ASIL Lysi W 1-037.1 1006 766 52.42% 30.93% 16.65%+0.91 +6.9 25
1970-02-18 APOEL Nicosia W 3-039.5 829 969 26.79% 32.53% 40.68%-0.41 +36.9 16
1970-02-18 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-339.5 969 829 40.68% 32.53% 26.79%+0.41 -36.9 20
1970-02-18 Alki Larnaca W 4-028.2 1029 821 63.30% 28.78% 7.92%+1.30 +13.0 29
1970-02-18 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-428.2 821 1029 7.92% 28.78% 63.30%-1.30 -13.0 15
1970-02-18 Aris Limassol W 4-025.9 1020 684 70.99% 24.65% 4.36%+1.94 +6.7 30
1970-02-18 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-425.9 684 1020 4.36% 24.65% 70.99%-1.94 -6.7 8
1970-02-25 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-149.5 980 840 58.42% 30.55% 11.03%+0.96 -18.5 18
1970-02-25 @ AEL Limassol W 1-049.5 840 980 11.03% 30.55% 58.42%-0.96 +18.5 17
1970-02-25 Alki Larnaca D 2-257.2 932 808 57.17% 30.90% 11.94%+0.89 -2.4 21
1970-02-25 @ APOEL Nicosia D 2-257.2 808 932 11.94% 30.90% 57.17%-0.89 +2.5 16
1970-02-25 Omonia Nicosia D 0-047.1 759 1027 14.52% 30.29% 55.19%-1.05 +3.2 15
1970-02-25 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-047.1 1027 759 55.19% 30.29% 14.52%+1.05 -3.2 31
1970-02-25 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-250.8 866 904 40.44% 32.91% 26.64%+0.09 +9.0 18
1970-02-25 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 2-350.8 904 866 26.64% 32.91% 40.44%-0.09 -9.0 20
1970-02-25 Apollon Limassol W 2-032.7 1013 907 55.73% 31.25% 13.01%+0.80 +10.9 27
1970-02-25 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-232.7 907 1013 13.01% 31.25% 55.73%-0.80 -10.9 20
1970-03-04 Omonia Nicosia W 3-253.1 929 1024 32.68% 32.86% 34.46%-0.19 +10.7 23
1970-03-04 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-353.1 1024 929 34.46% 32.86% 32.68%+0.19 -10.7 31
1970-03-04 ASIL Lysi L 0-149.4 896 762 57.95% 30.68% 11.36%+0.93 -18.4 20
1970-03-04 @ Apollon Limassol W 1-049.4 762 896 11.36% 30.68% 57.95%-0.93 +18.4 17
1970-03-04 AEL Limassol D 0-047.2 678 961 13.46% 29.90% 56.63%-1.13 +3.5 9
1970-03-04 @ Aris Limassol D 0-047.2 961 678 56.63% 29.90% 13.46%+1.13 -3.5 19
1970-03-04 EPA Larnaca L 0-236.2 875 1042 23.62% 32.21% 44.17%-0.55 -17.3 18
1970-03-04 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-036.2 1042 875 44.17% 32.21% 23.62%+0.55 +17.3 31
1970-03-04 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-149.3 1024 895 57.60% 30.78% 11.61%+0.91 -18.3 27
1970-03-04 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-049.3 895 1024 11.61% 30.78% 57.60%-0.91 +18.3 22
1970-03-11 ASIL Lysi L 1-449.1 940 781 59.94% 30.07% 9.99%+1.06 -43.8 23
1970-03-11 @ APOEL Nicosia W 4-149.1 781 940 9.99% 30.07% 59.94%-1.06 +43.8 19
1970-03-11 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-046.9 681 913 17.26% 31.09% 51.65%-0.87 +2.7 10
1970-03-11 @ Aris Limassol D 0-046.9 913 681 51.65% 31.09% 17.26%+0.87 -2.7 23
1970-03-11 Apollon Limassol W 1-039.9 859 877 42.89% 32.84% 24.28%+0.19 +9.4 19
1970-03-11 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-139.9 877 859 24.28% 32.84% 42.89%-0.19 -9.4 20
1970-03-11 Alki Larnaca W 1-034.0 1005 811 62.44% 29.14% 8.42%+1.24 +3.9 29
1970-03-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-134.0 811 1005 8.42% 29.14% 62.44%-1.24 -3.9 16
1970-03-18 Alki Larnaca D 0-046.4 684 807 28.80% 32.68% 38.53%-0.33 +0.7 11
1970-03-18 @ Aris Limassol D 0-046.4 807 684 38.53% 32.68% 28.80%+0.33 -0.7 17
1970-03-18 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-147.6 1059 1009 50.49% 32.20% 17.31%+0.52 -16.2 31
1970-03-18 @ EPA Larnaca W 1-047.6 1009 1059 17.31% 32.20% 50.49%-0.52 +16.2 31
1970-03-18 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 3-033.7 868 858 46.29% 32.64% 21.07%+0.33 +23.3 21
1970-03-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-333.7 858 868 21.07% 32.64% 46.29%-0.33 -23.2 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1969-10-01 7.68% Anorthosis Famagusta 864 2 @ AEL Limassol 1078 1
2 1970-03-11 9.99% ASIL Lysi 781 4 @ APOEL Nicosia 940 1
3 1970-01-28 10.35% Apollon Limassol 885 1 @ EPA Larnaca 1037 0
4 1970-02-25 11.03% Nea Salamis Famagusta 840 1 @ AEL Limassol 980 0
5 1970-03-04 11.36% ASIL Lysi 762 1 @ Apollon Limassol 896 0
6 1970-03-04 11.61% Anorthosis Famagusta 895 1 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1024 0
7 1970-02-04 11.97% Aris Limassol 680 2 @ ASIL Lysi 803 1
8 1970-03-18 17.31% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1009 1 @ EPA Larnaca 1059 0
9 1969-10-22 17.66% Pezoporikos Larnaca 943 1 @ Omonia Nicosia 989 0
10 1969-11-12 17.93% Alki Larnaca 792 1 @ ASIL Lysi 834 0
11 1970-01-21 18.03% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 829 2 EPA Larnaca 1052 1
12 1970-01-14 18.36% @ Alki Larnaca 789 2 AEL Limassol 1008 1
13 1970-02-11 20.19% EPA Larnaca 1015 3 @ Omonia Nicosia 1034 2
14 1969-11-19 20.65% @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 867 1 AEL Limassol 1062 0
15 1969-10-08 21.67% ASIL Lysi 859 1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 864 0
16 1969-09-17 21.78% Enosis Neon Paralimni 883 1 @ APOEL Nicosia 887 0
17 1969-10-22 21.99% EPA Larnaca 898 2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 900 1
18 1969-11-05 24.53% Omonia Nicosia 979 3 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 959 2
19 1969-10-01 24.80% EPA Larnaca 845 2 @ Alki Larnaca 823 0
20 1970-02-18 26.79% @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 829 3 APOEL Nicosia 969 0
21 1969-11-12 28.07% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 946 1 AEL Limassol 1075 0
22 1970-02-04 28.90% @ Alki Larnaca 796 2 Anorthosis Famagusta 919 1
23 1969-12-17 29.23% EPA Larnaca 1018 3 @ Apollon Limassol 961 0
24 1969-10-08 29.26% APOEL Nicosia 854 2 @ Alki Larnaca 796 0
25 1969-11-05 30.39% @ Alki Larnaca 757 3 ASIL Lysi 869 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-03-11 43.76 ASIL Lysi 4 781 9.99% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 940 59.94% 30.07%
2 1970-02-18 36.88 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 3 829 26.79% APOEL Nicosia 0 969 40.68% 32.53%
3 1969-12-17 35.03 EPA Larnaca 3 1018 29.23% @ Apollon Limassol 0 961 37.83% 32.94%
4 1969-11-05 34.31 @ Alki Larnaca 3 757 30.39% ASIL Lysi 0 869 36.85% 32.77%
5 1969-12-03 31.69 @ EPA Larnaca 3 969 34.30% AEL Limassol 0 1052 32.80% 32.91%
6 1970-01-21 30.97 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 3 840 35.40% Apollon Limassol 0 916 31.68% 32.93%
7 1970-02-04 28.79 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 939 38.62% AEL Limassol 0 991 28.44% 32.94%
8 1969-11-12 26.95 @ EPA Larnaca 4 928 49.72% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 885 17.98% 32.30%
9 1969-10-01 26.31 EPA Larnaca 2 845 24.80% @ Alki Larnaca 0 823 42.35% 32.86%
10 1969-10-08 24.11 APOEL Nicosia 2 854 29.26% @ Alki Larnaca 0 796 37.80% 32.94%
11 1970-03-18 23.26 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 868 46.29% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 858 21.07% 32.64%
12 1969-12-03 22.84 APOEL Nicosia 4 893 41.26% @ Aris Limassol 1 749 26.26% 32.48%
13 1969-10-15 22.40 EPA Larnaca 2 876 33.01% @ Aris Limassol 0 791 34.09% 32.90%
14 1970-01-28 21.99 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 3 897 47.95% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 871 19.56% 32.49%
15 1970-01-21 21.79 APOEL Nicosia 2 918 34.40% @ ASIL Lysi 0 823 32.74% 32.86%
16 1969-11-12 20.92 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 874 36.28% Apollon Limassol 0 943 30.78% 32.94%
17 1969-11-19 20.52 Apollon Limassol 2 922 37.25% @ Alki Larnaca 0 807 30.01% 32.75%
18 1970-02-11 20.10 @ AEL Limassol 4 962 56.30% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 849 12.58% 31.12%
19 1970-02-11 19.64 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 6 986 62.84% ASIL Lysi 0 786 8.18% 28.98%
20 1969-10-01 18.84 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 864 7.68% @ AEL Limassol 1 1078 63.72% 28.60%
21 1970-01-28 18.79 Apollon Limassol 1 885 10.35% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1037 59.41% 30.24%
22 1970-02-25 18.51 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 840 11.03% @ AEL Limassol 0 980 58.42% 30.55%
23 1970-03-04 18.37 ASIL Lysi 1 762 11.36% @ Apollon Limassol 0 896 57.95% 30.68%
24 1970-03-04 18.27 Anorthosis Famagusta 1 895 11.61% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1024 57.60% 30.78%
25 1969-10-15 17.94 @ Apollon Limassol 2 939 42.49% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 961 24.65% 32.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-01-14 60.2 @ EPA Larnaca 3 1053 48.82% Omonia Nicosia 3 1020 18.78% 32.40%
2 1969-11-26 60.0 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 893 35.31% EPA Larnaca 3 969 31.77% 32.92%
3 1970-02-04 57.7 @ EPA Larnaca 2 1018 61.67% Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 835 8.88% 29.45%
4 1969-10-15 57.6 @ AEL Limassol 2 1055 61.20% APOEL Nicosia 2 878 9.18% 29.63%
5 1970-02-25 57.2 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 932 57.17% Alki Larnaca 2 808 11.94% 30.90%
6 1969-09-24 57.1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 860 18.34% AEL Limassol 2 1079 50.32% 31.34%
7 1969-11-12 57.1 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 869 55.44% Aris Limassol 2 767 13.24% 31.32%
8 1970-01-28 56.9 @ ASIL Lysi 2 802 21.07% AEL Limassol 2 992 47.08% 31.85%
9 1969-11-19 56.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 895 49.09% Anorthosis Famagusta 2 859 18.54% 32.37%
10 1969-11-26 56.8 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 992 50.48% Apollon Limassol 2 942 17.32% 32.20%
11 1970-02-11 56.8 EPA Larnaca 3 1015 20.19% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1034 47.25% 32.56%
12 1969-10-01 56.0 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 864 7.68% @ AEL Limassol 1 1078 63.72% 28.60%
13 1969-11-05 55.5 Omonia Nicosia 3 979 24.53% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 959 42.62% 32.85%
14 1970-02-04 54.7 Aris Limassol 2 680 11.97% @ ASIL Lysi 1 803 57.12% 30.91%
15 1970-01-14 53.8 APOEL Nicosia 3 906 30.44% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 840 36.62% 32.94%
16 1970-01-28 53.8 @ Alki Larnaca 4 787 37.88% Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 844 29.18% 32.94%
17 1970-03-04 53.1 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 929 32.68% Omonia Nicosia 2 1024 34.46% 32.86%
18 1970-01-21 52.9 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 829 18.03% EPA Larnaca 1 1052 50.70% 31.27%
19 1970-01-14 52.8 @ Alki Larnaca 2 789 18.36% AEL Limassol 1 1008 50.30% 31.34%
20 1969-10-08 52.3 @ AEL Limassol 1 1059 61.94% EPA Larnaca 1 872 8.72% 29.34%
21 1969-09-17 51.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 946 55.36% EPA Larnaca 1 844 13.30% 31.34%
22 1969-10-22 51.7 EPA Larnaca 2 898 21.99% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 900 45.30% 32.71%
23 1969-11-19 51.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 959 56.31% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 846 12.57% 31.12%
24 1969-10-01 51.6 @ Apollon Limassol 1 943 53.61% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 861 14.69% 31.70%
25 1970-02-18 51.5 @ AEL Limassol 1 982 53.27% Apollon Limassol 1 904 14.97% 31.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-02-18 25.9 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1020 70.99% Aris Limassol 0 684 4.36% 24.65%
2 1970-02-18 28.2 @ EPA Larnaca 4 1029 63.30% Alki Larnaca 0 821 7.92% 28.78%
3 1969-11-19 28.7 @ EPA Larnaca 4 955 61.83% Aris Limassol 0 769 8.78% 29.38%
4 1970-01-21 28.9 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 4 882 60.96% Aris Limassol 0 708 9.33% 29.71%
5 1970-01-28 29.4 Omonia Nicosia 3 1022 60.49% @ Aris Limassol 0 693 10.84% 28.67%
6 1970-02-11 29.5 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 6 986 62.84% ASIL Lysi 0 786 8.18% 28.98%
7 1970-02-11 30.3 @ AEL Limassol 4 962 56.30% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 849 12.58% 31.12%
8 1969-12-17 31.1 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 898 61.12% Aris Limassol 0 723 9.23% 29.65%
9 1969-12-10 31.4 @ Apollon Limassol 3 943 53.79% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 859 14.55% 31.66%
10 1969-12-10 31.4 @ EPA Larnaca 3 1001 53.88% APOEL Nicosia 0 916 14.48% 31.65%
11 1969-11-26 31.5 @ AEL Limassol 4 1047 68.53% Aris Limassol 1 755 5.33% 26.14%
12 1969-11-12 32.3 @ EPA Larnaca 4 928 49.72% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 885 17.98% 32.30%
13 1970-02-25 32.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1013 55.73% Apollon Limassol 0 907 13.01% 31.25%
14 1970-01-28 33.2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 3 897 47.95% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 871 19.56% 32.49%
15 1969-12-10 33.3 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 956 64.77% Aris Limassol 0 726 7.11% 28.12%
16 1969-11-26 33.6 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 956 52.82% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 882 15.34% 31.84%
17 1970-03-18 33.7 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 868 46.29% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 858 21.07% 32.64%
18 1970-03-11 34.0 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1005 62.44% Alki Larnaca 0 811 8.42% 29.14%
19 1969-10-22 34.4 @ AEL Limassol 3 1052 68.14% Alki Larnaca 1 766 5.50% 26.37%
20 1969-11-05 35.0 @ EPA Larnaca 2 913 48.25% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 884 19.29% 32.46%
21 1970-02-11 35.3 @ Alki Larnaca 4 808 56.15% Aris Limassol 1 697 12.69% 31.16%
22 1969-10-15 35.8 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 983 63.53% Alki Larnaca 1 772 7.79% 28.68%
23 1970-02-04 36.0 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 939 38.62% AEL Limassol 0 991 28.44% 32.94%
24 1970-03-04 36.2 EPA Larnaca 2 1042 44.17% @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 875 23.62% 32.21%
25 1970-01-21 36.3 Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 969 43.91% @ Alki Larnaca 0 804 23.85% 32.24%