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1970-71 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Olympiacos Nicosia

31 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1968-69

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

APOEL Nicosia

4.36 points above expected

26 points · 21.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

ASIL Lysi

7.42 points below expected

8 points · 15.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olympiacos Nicosia Champion 22 11 9 2 31 40 22 +18 28.32 +2.68
2 Digenis Morphou 22 9 9 4 27 21 15 +6 23.81 +3.19
3 APOEL Nicosia 22 8 10 4 26 30 19 +11 21.64 +4.36
4 Omonia Nicosia 22 11 3 8 25 33 20 +13 27.07 -2.07
5 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 9 7 6 25 26 17 +9 26.06 -1.06
6 Apollon Limassol 22 8 8 6 24 30 20 +10 21.25 +2.75
7 Enosis Neon Paralimni 22 8 8 6 24 24 18 +6 21.17 +2.83
8 Anorthosis Famagusta 22 7 6 9 20 23 31 -8 19.83 +0.17
9 Alki Larnaca 22 4 11 7 19 25 29 -4 18.83 +0.17
10 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 7 5 10 19 24 36 -12 20.04 -1.04
11 AEL Limassol 22 6 4 12 16 12 27 -15 20.56 -4.56
12 ASIL Lysi 22 1 6 15 8 7 41 -34 15.42 -7.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 APOEL Nicosia 26 21.64 +4.36
2 Digenis Morphou 27 23.81 +3.19
3 Enosis Neon Paralimni 24 21.17 +2.83
4 Apollon Limassol 24 21.25 +2.75
5 Olympiacos Nicosia 31 28.32 +2.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 ASIL Lysi 8 15.42 -7.42
2 AEL Limassol 16 20.56 -4.56
3 Omonia Nicosia 25 27.07 -2.07
4 Pezoporikos Larnaca 25 26.06 -1.06
5 Nea Salamis Famagusta 19 20.04 -1.04

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Olympiacos Nicosia 1096 31 +27 7 7.0 -0.0
Digenis Morphou 995 27 +23 8 5.7 +2.3
APOEL Nicosia 987 26 +36 8 5.0 +3.0
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1005 25 -9 4 6.3 -2.3
Omonia Nicosia 1008 25 -46 3 6.6 -3.6
Apollon Limassol 969 24 +24 7 4.8 +2.2
Enosis Neon Paralimni 933 24 +4 5 4.8 +0.2
Anorthosis Famagusta 910 20 +12 6 4.7 +1.3
Nea Salamis Famagusta 873 19 -10 5 4.4 +0.6
Alki Larnaca 876 19 -8 3 4.1 -1.1
AEL Limassol 867 16 -10 3 4.2 -1.2
ASIL Lysi 741 8 -21 2 3.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AN AL AL AF AL DM ENP NSF ON ON PL
AEL Limassol —
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
3.52
0-2-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
1.95
APOEL Nicosia
2-0-0
2.82
—
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.52
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.09
ASIL Lysi
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.92
—
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
1.20
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
1.52
Alki Larnaca
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
3.49
—
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.33
0-1-1
1.59
0-2-0
1.77
Anorthosis Famagusta
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.92
—
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
2.00
Apollon Limassol
0-0-2
2.80
0-2-0
2.72
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.79
—
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.18
Digenis Morphou
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.04
—
1-1-0
3.03
0-2-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.24
2-0-0
2.04
0-2-0
2.46
Enosis Neon Paralimni
2-0-0
2.56
0-2-0
2.55
2-0-0
3.44
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.29
—
1-0-1
2.75
0-2-0
1.85
1-1-0
1.78
0-0-2
2.09
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.37
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.56
—
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
1.89
Olympiacos Nicosia
1-1-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
4.26
1-1-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.08
0-2-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.56
—
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
2.82
Omonia Nicosia
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.48
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.18
—
1-0-1
2.80
Pezoporikos Larnaca
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.85
0-2-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.14
0-2-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +5.9
Allowed 0.70 -6.2
Differential 0.94 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%10.61%5.30%2.65%0.76%1.89%34.85%
110.61%15.15%7.58%2.65%0.38%—36.36%
25.30%7.58%3.79%0.76%0.76%—18.18%
32.65%2.65%0.76%——0.38%6.44%
40.76%0.38%0.76%———1.89%
5+1.89%——0.38%——2.27%
Total34.85%36.36%18.18%6.44%1.89%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.74
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%31.82%—9.09%—4.55%59.09%
118.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%45.45%4.55%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.55 1.23 -0.68
SD 0.74 1.45 1.67
CV 1.35 1.18 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%———31.82%
14.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total40.91%31.82%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.86 +0.50
SD 1.29 0.83 1.47
CV 0.95 0.97 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%22.73%9.09%13.64%—9.09%68.18%
14.55%13.64%—13.64%——31.82%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%9.09%27.27%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.32 1.86 -1.55
SD 0.48 1.61 1.71
CV 1.50 0.87 —
Max 1 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
1—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.32 -0.18
SD 1.04 1.17 1.10
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.41 -0.36
SD 0.84 1.18 1.65
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—31.82%
19.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.91 +0.45
SD 1.50 1.06 2.09
CV 1.10 1.17 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—4.55%———27.27%
127.27%13.64%13.64%———54.55%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total54.55%22.73%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 0.68 +0.27
SD 0.79 0.84 0.98
CV 0.82 1.23 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%9.09%———36.36%
14.55%22.73%4.55%———31.82%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%54.55%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.82 +0.27
SD 1.06 0.66 1.35
CV 0.98 0.81 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
113.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.64 -0.55
SD 0.92 1.40 1.79
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
14.55%36.36%————40.91%
213.64%13.64%————27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total31.82%54.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.00 +0.82
SD 1.62 1.15 2.11
CV 0.89 1.15 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
118.18%—9.09%———27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total50.00%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.91 +0.59
SD 1.37 1.15 1.89
CV 0.91 1.27 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%4.55%———36.36%
113.64%9.09%13.64%———36.36%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%31.82%22.73%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.77 +0.41
SD 1.37 0.81 1.50
CV 1.16 1.05 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Olympiacos Nicosia 1096 31 28.32 +2.68 81.0% 19 23 26 28 31 34 36
Omonia Nicosia 1008 25 27.07 -2.07 29.0% 16 21 24 27 29 32 33
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1005 25 26.06 -1.06 44.0% 17 19 23 26 29 32 34
Digenis Morphou 995 27 23.81 +3.19 81.0% 12 18 21 24 26 30 32
APOEL Nicosia 987 26 21.64 +4.36 95.0% 11 16 19 22 24 26 32
Apollon Limassol 969 24 21.25 +2.75 83.0% 13 14 19 21 24 27 28
Enosis Neon Paralimni 933 24 21.17 +2.83 85.0% 13 14 19 21 24 27 32
Anorthosis Famagusta 910 20 19.83 +0.17 55.0% 12 13 17 20 22 26 31
Alki Larnaca 876 19 18.83 +0.17 52.0% 10 12 16 19 22 25 27
Nea Salamis Famagusta 873 19 20.04 -1.04 46.0% 11 14 18 20 22 27 30
AEL Limassol 867 16 20.56 -4.56 17.0% 12 14 18 21 23 27 31
ASIL Lysi 741 8 15.42 -7.42 3.0% 8 9 13 16 17 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.36%
No Edge
39.39%32.58%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.65 Elo pts.
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Olympiacos Nicosia, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.84 * Wild Swing: 5.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.69 * Close: 1.69 to 2.53 * Off: 2.53 to 3.38 * Way Off: 3.38 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.35 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.115
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
APOEL Nicosia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
ASIL Lysi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 92.25
1.57
Coin-Flip Parity
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
67%
Even
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Some Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1580.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Olympiacos Nicosia41.00%28.00%12.00%13.00%—3.00%2.00%1.00%————
Digenis Morphou4.00%16.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
APOEL Nicosia1.00%3.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%
Omonia Nicosia34.00%17.00%18.00%9.00%12.00%4.00%—4.00%—1.00%—1.00%
Pezoporikos Larnaca13.00%24.00%17.00%17.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%6.00%——
Apollon Limassol1.00%5.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%
Enosis Neon Paralimni1.00%2.00%8.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%16.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta1.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%
Alki Larnaca——4.00%3.00%3.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%19.00%13.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta3.00%—3.00%—6.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%8.00%
AEL Limassol1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%
ASIL Lysi—————4.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%24.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
AEL Limassol 90.00% 10.00%
APOEL Nicosia 97.00% 3.00%
ASIL Lysi 54.00% 46.00%
Alki Larnaca 87.00% 13.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta 91.00% 9.00%
Apollon Limassol 97.00% 3.00%
Digenis Morphou 98.00% 2.00%
Enosis Neon Paralimni 95.00% 5.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 92.00% 8.00%
Olympiacos Nicosia 100% —
Omonia Nicosia 99.00% 1.00%
Pezoporikos Larnaca 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-09-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 1-038.9 953 920 44.88% 33.97% 21.15%+0.46 +5.9 2
1970-09-17 @ AEL Limassol L 0-138.9 920 953 21.15% 33.97% 44.88%-0.46 -5.9 0
1970-09-17 Digenis Morphou D 1-150.5 928 972 34.94% 34.54% 30.52%-0.03 -0.2 1
1970-09-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.5 972 928 30.52% 34.54% 34.94%+0.03 +0.2 1
1970-09-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-045.2 921 986 32.00% 34.47% 33.53%-0.16 +0.1 1
1970-09-17 @ APOEL Nicosia D 0-045.2 986 921 33.53% 34.47% 32.00%+0.16 -0.1 1
1970-09-17 Apollon Limassol D 1-150.5 882 908 37.29% 34.52% 28.19%+0.08 -0.4 1
1970-09-17 @ ASIL Lysi D 1-150.5 908 882 28.19% 34.52% 37.29%-0.08 +0.4 1
1970-09-17 Alki Larnaca W 3-142.7 889 877 42.26% 34.26% 23.49%+0.32 +10.4 2
1970-09-17 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 1-342.7 877 889 23.49% 34.26% 42.26%-0.32 -10.4 0
1970-09-17 Omonia Nicosia W 3-248.6 1045 978 48.68% 33.34% 17.98%+0.67 +4.7 2
1970-09-17 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-348.6 978 1045 17.98% 33.34% 48.68%-0.67 -4.6 0
1970-09-24 ASIL Lysi W 1-037.4 959 881 49.88% 33.08% 17.04%+0.74 +5.0 4
1970-09-24 @ AEL Limassol L 0-137.4 881 959 17.04% 33.08% 49.88%-0.74 -5.0 1
1970-09-24 Digenis Morphou W 2-150.5 867 973 26.67% 34.07% 39.26%-0.42 +8.5 2
1970-09-24 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-250.5 973 867 39.26% 34.07% 26.67%+0.42 -8.5 1
1970-09-24 APOEL Nicosia D 1-150.6 928 921 41.72% 34.30% 23.98%+0.30 -0.8 2
1970-09-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.6 921 928 23.98% 34.30% 41.72%-0.30 +0.8 2
1970-09-24 Apollon Limassol D 1-150.6 914 909 41.44% 34.32% 24.23%+0.28 -0.8 1
1970-09-24 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-150.6 909 914 24.23% 34.32% 41.44%-0.28 +0.8 2
1970-09-24 Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-151.6 1049 899 57.04% 30.88% 12.08%+1.20 -2.2 3
1970-09-24 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-151.6 899 1049 12.08% 30.88% 57.04%-1.20 +2.2 3
1970-09-24 Omonia Nicosia L 0-145.4 986 974 42.32% 34.25% 23.43%+0.33 -9.6 1
1970-09-24 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-045.4 974 986 23.43% 34.25% 42.32%-0.33 +9.6 2
1970-10-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-144.7 875 913 35.81% 34.54% 29.65%+0.01 +12.2 4
1970-10-01 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-344.7 913 875 29.65% 34.54% 35.81%-0.01 -12.2 1
1970-10-01 AEL Limassol W 3-037.6 922 964 35.23% 34.54% 30.23%-0.01 +20.7 4
1970-10-01 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-337.6 964 922 30.23% 34.54% 35.23%+0.01 -20.7 4
1970-10-01 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-036.6 909 928 38.44% 34.49% 27.07%+0.14 +19.2 4
1970-10-01 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-336.6 928 909 27.07% 34.49% 38.44%-0.14 -19.2 2
1970-10-01 Digenis Morphou D 0-045.2 876 964 28.90% 34.29% 36.81%-0.30 +0.4 2
1970-10-01 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-045.2 964 876 36.81% 34.29% 28.90%+0.30 -0.4 2
1970-10-01 Olympiacos Nicosia W 5-038.8 983 1047 32.13% 34.48% 33.40%-0.15 +35.5 4
1970-10-01 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-538.8 1047 983 33.40% 34.48% 32.13%+0.15 -35.5 3
1970-10-01 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 1-037.5 976 901 49.58% 33.15% 17.27%+0.72 +5.0 3
1970-10-01 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-137.5 901 976 17.27% 33.15% 49.58%-0.72 -5.0 3
1970-10-08 ASIL Lysi D 0-045.3 908 877 44.72% 33.99% 21.29%+0.45 -1.2 3
1970-10-08 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-045.3 877 908 21.29% 33.99% 44.72%-0.45 +1.2 3
1970-10-08 Alki Larnaca W 2-035.9 929 888 45.81% 33.84% 20.35%+0.51 +10.8 6
1970-10-08 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-235.9 888 929 20.35% 33.84% 45.81%-0.51 -10.8 4
1970-10-08 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-045.2 964 981 38.51% 34.49% 27.00%+0.14 -0.5 3
1970-10-08 @ Digenis Morphou D 0-045.2 981 964 27.00% 34.49% 38.51%-0.14 +0.5 4
1970-10-08 Omonia Nicosia D 0-045.4 896 1019 24.69% 33.80% 41.50%-0.52 +0.8 4
1970-10-08 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 0-045.4 1019 896 41.50% 33.80% 24.69%+0.52 -0.8 5
1970-10-08 AEL Limassol W 3-252.6 901 943 35.18% 34.54% 30.28%-0.02 +6.8 3
1970-10-08 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 2-352.6 943 901 30.28% 34.54% 35.18%+0.02 -6.8 4
1970-10-08 APOEL Nicosia W 2-034.9 1012 942 48.99% 33.28% 17.74%+0.69 +9.7 5
1970-10-08 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-234.9 942 1012 17.74% 33.28% 48.99%-0.69 -9.7 4
1970-10-15 Alki Larnaca W 2-145.1 907 877 44.54% 34.01% 21.44%+0.44 +5.6 5
1970-10-15 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-245.1 877 907 21.44% 34.01% 44.54%-0.44 -5.6 4
1970-10-15 APOEL Nicosia D 2-256.4 939 933 41.64% 34.31% 24.06%+0.29 -0.6 7
1970-10-15 @ Apollon Limassol D 2-256.4 933 939 24.06% 34.31% 41.64%-0.29 +0.6 5
1970-10-15 AEL Limassol W 3-037.5 897 936 35.62% 34.54% 29.84%+0.00 +20.5 6
1970-10-15 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-337.5 936 897 29.84% 34.54% 35.62%+0.00 -20.5 4
1970-10-15 Digenis Morphou D 1-150.8 1021 963 47.78% 33.51% 18.71%+0.62 -1.3 6
1970-10-15 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.8 963 1021 18.71% 33.51% 47.78%-0.62 +1.3 4
1970-10-15 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-142.5 1018 908 53.26% 32.19% 14.55%+0.95 +4.1 7
1970-10-15 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-242.5 908 1018 14.55% 32.19% 53.26%-0.95 -4.1 3
1970-10-15 ASIL Lysi W 5-032.7 982 878 52.62% 32.38% 15.00%+0.91 +19.7 6
1970-10-15 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-532.7 878 982 15.00% 32.38% 52.62%-0.91 -19.7 3
1970-10-22 Alki Larnaca D 0-045.4 916 871 46.21% 33.78% 20.01%+0.53 -1.3 5
1970-10-22 @ AEL Limassol D 0-045.4 871 916 20.01% 33.78% 46.21%-0.53 +1.3 5
1970-10-22 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-150.6 913 904 41.97% 34.28% 23.75%+0.31 -0.8 6
1970-10-22 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-150.6 904 913 23.75% 34.28% 41.97%-0.31 +0.8 4
1970-10-22 Olympiacos Nicosia D 0-045.2 939 1020 29.77% 34.35% 35.88%-0.26 +0.3 8
1970-10-22 @ Apollon Limassol D 0-045.2 1020 939 35.88% 34.35% 29.77%+0.26 -0.3 7
1970-10-22 Omonia Nicosia L 0-334.1 858 1022 20.36% 32.90% 46.74%-0.78 -15.4 3
1970-10-22 @ ASIL Lysi W 3-034.1 1022 858 46.74% 32.90% 20.36%+0.78 +15.4 9
1970-10-22 APOEL Nicosia D 1-150.5 918 933 38.77% 34.48% 26.76%+0.15 -0.5 7
1970-10-22 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-150.5 933 918 26.76% 34.48% 38.77%-0.15 +0.5 6
1970-10-22 Digenis Morphou D 1-150.7 1001 964 45.34% 33.91% 20.75%+0.48 -1.1 7
1970-10-22 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-150.7 964 1001 20.75% 33.91% 45.34%-0.48 +1.1 5
1970-10-29 Anorthosis Famagusta D 2-256.3 873 912 35.57% 34.54% 29.89%+0.00 -0.2 6
1970-10-29 @ Alki Larnaca D 2-256.3 912 873 29.89% 34.54% 35.57%+0.00 +0.2 7
1970-10-29 AEL Limassol L 1-251.9 939 914 43.88% 34.09% 22.03%+0.41 -9.3 8
1970-10-29 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-151.9 914 939 22.03% 34.09% 43.88%-0.41 +9.3 7
1970-10-29 ASIL Lysi W 3-140.5 917 843 49.57% 33.15% 17.28%+0.72 +8.2 9
1970-10-29 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 1-340.5 843 917 17.28% 33.15% 49.57%-0.72 -8.2 3
1970-10-29 APOEL Nicosia W 2-038.5 904 934 36.90% 34.53% 28.57%+0.06 +13.7 6
1970-10-29 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-238.5 934 904 28.57% 34.53% 36.90%-0.06 -13.7 6
1970-10-29 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-036.6 1020 1000 43.23% 34.16% 22.61%+0.37 +11.6 9
1970-10-29 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-236.6 1000 1020 22.61% 34.16% 43.23%-0.37 -11.6 7
1970-10-29 Digenis Morphou L 0-147.2 1037 966 49.28% 33.21% 17.51%+0.70 -10.8 9
1970-10-29 @ Omonia Nicosia W 1-047.2 966 1037 17.51% 33.21% 49.28%-0.70 +10.8 7
1970-11-05 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-142.3 924 989 31.97% 34.47% 33.56%-0.16 -7.8 7
1970-11-05 @ AEL Limassol W 1-042.3 989 924 33.56% 34.47% 31.97%+0.16 +7.8 9
1970-11-05 Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-150.5 872 925 33.66% 34.52% 31.82%-0.08 -0.1 7
1970-11-05 @ Alki Larnaca D 1-150.5 925 872 31.82% 34.52% 33.66%+0.08 +0.1 10
1970-11-05 Apollon Limassol D 2-256.3 920 930 39.55% 34.44% 26.01%+0.19 -0.4 7
1970-11-05 @ APOEL Nicosia D 2-256.3 930 920 26.01% 34.44% 39.55%-0.19 +0.4 9
1970-11-05 Olympiacos Nicosia W 1-047.2 834 1031 17.47% 31.97% 50.56%-0.99 +10.9 5
1970-11-05 @ ASIL Lysi L 0-147.2 1031 834 50.56% 31.97% 17.47%+0.99 -10.9 9
1970-11-05 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-244.2 976 912 48.45% 33.39% 18.17%+0.66 -20.1 7
1970-11-05 @ Digenis Morphou W 2-044.2 912 976 18.17% 33.39% 48.45%-0.66 +20.1 9
1970-11-05 Omonia Nicosia L 0-237.7 918 1027 26.30% 34.03% 39.68%-0.44 -12.9 6
1970-11-05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-037.7 1027 918 39.68% 34.03% 26.30%+0.44 +12.9 11
1970-11-12 Apollon Limassol W 1-040.7 916 930 38.92% 34.47% 26.61%+0.16 +6.9 9
1970-11-12 @ AEL Limassol L 0-140.7 930 916 26.61% 34.47% 38.92%-0.16 -6.9 9
1970-11-12 APOEL Nicosia L 0-337.7 845 920 30.69% 34.41% 34.90%-0.22 -20.8 5
1970-11-12 @ ASIL Lysi W 3-037.7 920 845 34.90% 34.41% 30.69%+0.22 +20.8 9
1970-11-12 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-256.6 956 905 46.98% 33.65% 19.37%+0.57 -0.9 8
1970-11-12 @ Digenis Morphou D 2-256.6 905 956 19.37% 33.65% 46.98%-0.57 +0.9 7
1970-11-12 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.6 926 1020 27.99% 34.21% 37.80%-0.35 +0.4 11
1970-11-12 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-150.6 1020 926 37.80% 34.21% 27.99%+0.35 -0.4 10
1970-11-12 Alki Larnaca D 2-257.6 1040 872 58.56% 30.25% 11.18%+1.31 -1.8 12
1970-11-12 @ Omonia Nicosia D 2-257.6 872 1040 11.18% 30.25% 58.56%-1.31 +1.8 8
1970-11-12 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-140.9 996 932 48.45% 33.39% 18.17%+0.66 +8.5 11
1970-11-12 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-340.9 932 996 18.17% 33.39% 48.45%-0.66 -8.5 9
1970-11-19 ASIL Lysi W 6-033.3 923 825 52.10% 32.53% 15.37%+0.87 +23.9 11
1970-11-19 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-633.3 825 923 15.37% 32.53% 52.10%-0.87 -23.9 5
1970-11-19 APOEL Nicosia W 1-039.6 955 941 42.65% 34.22% 23.13%+0.34 +6.3 10
1970-11-19 @ Digenis Morphou L 0-139.6 941 955 23.13% 34.22% 42.65%-0.34 -6.3 9
1970-11-19 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-247.8 926 1005 30.05% 34.37% 35.58%-0.25 -7.1 11
1970-11-19 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-147.8 1005 926 35.58% 34.37% 30.05%+0.25 +7.1 13
1970-11-19 Alki Larnaca W 2-145.1 906 874 44.75% 33.99% 21.27%+0.45 +5.6 9
1970-11-19 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-245.1 874 906 21.27% 33.99% 44.75%-0.45 -5.6 8
1970-11-19 AEL Limassol D 1-151.1 1020 923 51.94% 32.57% 15.49%+0.86 -1.7 11
1970-11-19 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-151.1 923 1020 15.49% 32.57% 51.94%-0.86 +1.7 10
1970-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-032.1 1038 924 53.63% 32.08% 14.29%+0.97 +11.7 14
1970-11-19 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-332.1 924 1038 14.29% 32.08% 53.63%-0.97 -11.7 9
1970-11-26 Enosis Neon Paralimni L 1-250.8 912 919 39.91% 34.42% 25.67%+0.21 -8.6 9
1970-11-26 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-150.8 919 912 25.67% 34.42% 39.91%-0.21 +8.6 13
1970-11-26 Alki Larnaca L 1-253.1 934 869 48.62% 33.35% 18.03%+0.67 -10.1 9
1970-11-26 @ APOEL Nicosia W 2-153.1 869 934 18.03% 33.35% 48.62%-0.67 +10.1 10
1970-11-26 ASIL Lysi W 3-138.0 962 801 58.01% 30.49% 11.50%+1.27 +5.7 12
1970-11-26 @ Digenis Morphou L 1-338.0 801 962 11.50% 30.49% 58.01%-1.27 -5.7 5
1970-11-26 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-447.1 912 1012 27.29% 34.14% 38.57%-0.38 -10.2 9
1970-11-26 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-247.1 1012 912 38.57% 34.14% 27.29%+0.38 +10.2 15
1970-11-26 Apollon Limassol W 2-143.7 1018 947 49.19% 33.23% 17.58%+0.70 +4.8 13
1970-11-26 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-243.7 947 1018 17.58% 33.23% 49.19%-0.70 -4.8 11
1970-11-26 AEL Limassol L 0-148.3 1049 924 54.69% 31.74% 13.58%+1.04 -11.8 14
1970-11-26 @ Omonia Nicosia W 1-048.3 924 1049 13.58% 31.74% 54.69%-1.04 +11.8 12
1970-12-03 Omonia Nicosia L 1-244.7 879 1038 20.82% 33.03% 46.15%-0.75 -5.4 10
1970-12-03 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-144.7 1038 879 46.15% 33.03% 20.82%+0.75 +5.4 16
1970-12-03 Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-236.8 795 927 23.56% 33.61% 42.83%-0.59 -11.9 5
1970-12-03 @ ASIL Lysi W 2-036.8 927 795 42.83% 33.61% 23.56%+0.59 +11.9 15
1970-12-03 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-248.8 967 1023 33.27% 34.51% 32.21%-0.10 -7.6 12
1970-12-03 @ Digenis Morphou W 2-148.8 1023 967 32.21% 34.51% 33.27%+0.10 +7.6 15
1970-12-03 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-143.2 901 903 40.55% 34.39% 25.07%+0.24 +10.9 11
1970-12-03 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-343.2 903 901 25.07% 34.39% 40.55%-0.24 -10.9 9
1970-12-03 APOEL Nicosia L 1-253.9 1022 924 52.03% 32.54% 15.42%+0.87 -10.7 15
1970-12-03 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-153.9 924 1022 15.42% 32.54% 52.03%-0.87 +10.7 11
1970-12-10 ASIL Lysi W 3-140.0 873 783 51.21% 32.76% 16.03%+0.82 +7.7 12
1970-12-10 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-340.0 783 873 16.03% 32.76% 51.21%-0.82 -7.7 5
1970-12-10 AEL Limassol W 1-039.3 960 936 43.72% 34.11% 22.17%+0.40 +6.1 14
1970-12-10 @ Digenis Morphou L 0-139.3 936 960 22.17% 34.11% 43.72%-0.40 -6.1 12
1970-12-10 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-146.5 939 892 46.49% 33.73% 19.78%+0.55 -10.3 15
1970-12-10 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni W 1-046.5 892 939 19.78% 33.73% 46.49%-0.55 +10.3 11
1970-12-10 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-246.2 912 1031 25.14% 33.87% 40.99%-0.50 -6.2 11
1970-12-10 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-146.2 1031 912 40.99% 33.87% 25.14%+0.50 +6.2 17
1970-12-10 Apollon Limassol W 4-032.3 1043 942 52.29% 32.47% 15.24%+0.89 +16.2 18
1970-12-10 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-432.3 942 1043 15.24% 32.47% 52.29%-0.89 -16.2 11
1970-12-17 Omonia Nicosia L 0-139.7 930 1059 23.94% 33.68% 42.38%-0.56 -6.4 12
1970-12-17 @ AEL Limassol W 1-039.7 1059 930 42.38% 33.68% 23.94%+0.56 +6.4 20
1970-12-17 Apollon Limassol D 0-045.1 881 926 34.74% 34.54% 30.72%-0.04 -0.2 13
1970-12-17 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-045.1 926 881 30.72% 34.54% 34.74%+0.04 +0.2 12
1970-12-17 ASIL Lysi W 2-032.2 935 775 57.88% 30.54% 11.58%+1.26 +6.6 13
1970-12-17 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-232.2 775 935 11.58% 30.54% 57.88%-1.26 -6.6 5
1970-12-17 Digenis Morphou D 0-045.2 906 966 32.71% 34.50% 32.80%-0.13 +0.0 12
1970-12-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-045.2 966 906 32.80% 34.50% 32.71%+0.13 -0.0 15
1970-12-17 Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-144.0 1012 1037 37.49% 34.52% 27.99%+0.09 -8.7 15
1970-12-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 1-044.0 1037 1012 27.99% 34.52% 37.49%-0.09 +8.7 19
1971-01-14 AEL Limassol W 1-041.0 903 924 38.05% 34.50% 27.45%+0.12 +7.1 13
1971-01-14 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-141.0 924 903 27.45% 34.50% 38.05%-0.12 -7.1 12
1971-01-14 Enosis Neon Paralimni D 0-045.2 942 929 42.37% 34.24% 23.38%+0.33 -0.9 14
1971-01-14 @ APOEL Nicosia D 0-045.2 929 942 23.38% 34.24% 42.37%-0.33 +0.9 16
1971-01-14 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-136.0 769 1003 14.74% 30.71% 54.55%-1.23 -4.3 5
1971-01-14 @ ASIL Lysi W 1-036.0 1003 769 54.55% 30.71% 14.74%+1.23 +4.2 17
1971-01-14 Apollon Limassol W 1-038.7 966 926 45.62% 33.87% 20.51%+0.50 +5.8 17
1971-01-14 @ Digenis Morphou L 0-138.7 926 966 20.51% 33.87% 45.62%-0.50 -5.8 12
1971-01-14 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-031.6 1046 906 56.07% 31.25% 12.68%+1.13 +16.9 21
1971-01-14 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-531.6 906 1046 12.68% 31.25% 56.07%-1.13 -16.9 12
1971-01-21 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-035.5 941 889 47.02% 33.65% 19.33%+0.58 +10.4 16
1971-01-21 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-235.5 889 941 19.33% 33.65% 47.02%-0.58 -10.4 12
1971-01-21 Enosis Neon Paralimni D 1-150.5 921 930 39.59% 34.44% 25.97%+0.19 -0.6 13
1971-01-21 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-150.5 930 921 25.97% 34.44% 39.59%-0.19 +0.6 17
1971-01-21 AEL Limassol D 0-045.5 765 917 21.49% 33.19% 45.32%-0.71 +1.2 6
1971-01-21 @ ASIL Lysi D 0-045.5 917 765 45.32% 33.19% 21.49%+0.71 -1.2 13
1971-01-21 Omonia Nicosia W 2-150.1 972 1066 28.10% 34.22% 37.69%-0.34 +8.2 19
1971-01-21 @ Digenis Morphou L 1-250.1 1066 972 37.69% 34.22% 28.10%+0.34 -8.2 20
1971-01-21 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-032.4 1063 910 57.27% 30.79% 11.94%+1.21 +6.8 23
1971-01-21 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-232.4 910 1063 11.94% 30.79% 57.27%-1.21 -6.8 13
1971-01-21 Alki Larnaca D 0-046.0 1007 881 54.83% 31.69% 13.48%+1.05 -2.2 18
1971-01-21 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-046.0 881 1007 13.48% 31.69% 54.83%-1.05 +2.2 14
1971-01-28 Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-144.4 916 931 38.85% 34.47% 26.68%+0.16 -9.0 13
1971-01-28 @ AEL Limassol W 1-044.4 931 916 26.68% 34.47% 38.85%-0.16 +9.0 19
1971-01-28 APOEL Nicosia D 1-150.5 883 951 31.56% 34.45% 33.99%-0.18 +0.1 15
1971-01-28 @ Alki Larnaca D 1-150.5 951 883 33.99% 34.45% 31.56%+0.18 -0.1 17
1971-01-28 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-151.0 903 1069 20.13% 32.84% 47.03%-0.80 +1.2 14
1971-01-28 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-151.0 1069 903 47.03% 32.84% 20.13%+0.80 -1.2 24
1971-01-28 Digenis Morphou W 2-148.7 920 980 32.72% 34.50% 32.78%-0.13 +7.5 15
1971-01-28 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-248.7 980 920 32.78% 34.50% 32.72%+0.13 -7.5 19
1971-01-28 ASIL Lysi W 1-036.3 879 766 53.52% 32.11% 14.37%+0.96 +4.3 14
1971-01-28 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-136.3 766 879 14.37% 32.11% 53.52%-0.96 -4.3 6
1971-01-28 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-252.7 1057 1005 47.13% 33.63% 19.25%+0.58 -9.8 20
1971-01-28 @ Omonia Nicosia W 2-152.7 1005 1057 19.25% 33.63% 47.13%-0.58 +9.8 20
1971-02-04 Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-635.0 907 1068 20.59% 32.96% 46.45%-0.77 -29.7 13
1971-02-04 @ AEL Limassol W 6-035.0 1068 907 46.45% 32.96% 20.59%+0.77 +29.7 26
1971-02-04 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-045.4 883 1015 23.65% 33.63% 42.72%-0.58 +0.9 16
1971-02-04 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-045.4 1015 883 42.72% 33.63% 23.65%+0.58 -0.9 21
1971-02-04 Omonia Nicosia L 0-139.2 904 1048 22.41% 33.39% 44.20%-0.65 -6.1 14
1971-02-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-039.2 1048 904 44.20% 33.39% 22.41%+0.65 +6.1 22
1971-02-04 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-140.0 761 883 24.77% 33.82% 41.41%-0.52 -6.5 6
1971-02-04 @ ASIL Lysi W 1-040.0 883 761 41.41% 33.82% 24.77%+0.52 +6.5 16
1971-02-04 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-036.2 972 940 44.84% 33.97% 21.19%+0.46 +11.1 21
1971-02-04 @ Digenis Morphou L 0-236.2 940 972 21.19% 33.97% 44.84%-0.46 -11.1 19
1971-02-11 Digenis Morphou L 0-140.6 877 983 26.55% 34.06% 39.39%-0.42 -6.9 13
1971-02-11 @ AEL Limassol W 1-040.6 983 877 39.39% 34.06% 26.55%+0.42 +6.9 23
1971-02-11 Omonia Nicosia D 0-045.3 951 1054 27.01% 34.11% 38.88%-0.40 +0.6 18
1971-02-11 @ APOEL Nicosia D 0-045.3 1054 951 38.88% 34.11% 27.01%+0.40 -0.6 23
1971-02-11 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-334.9 755 898 22.40% 33.39% 44.21%-0.65 -16.6 6
1971-02-11 @ ASIL Lysi W 3-034.9 898 755 44.21% 33.39% 22.40%+0.65 +16.6 16
1971-02-11 Apollon Limassol L 0-242.2 928 928 40.91% 34.36% 24.73%+0.26 -17.6 19
1971-02-11 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni W 2-042.2 928 928 24.73% 34.36% 40.91%-0.26 +17.6 17
1971-02-11 Alki Larnaca W 5-341.1 1098 884 62.53% 28.36% 9.11%+1.60 +3.8 28
1971-02-11 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 3-541.1 884 1098 9.11% 28.36% 62.53%-1.60 -3.8 16
1971-02-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-151.3 1014 890 54.62% 31.76% 13.62%+1.04 -2.0 22
1971-02-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-151.3 890 1014 13.62% 31.76% 54.62%-1.04 +2.0 17
1971-02-18 APOEL Nicosia L 0-141.6 870 951 29.74% 34.35% 35.91%-0.26 -7.5 13
1971-02-18 @ AEL Limassol W 1-041.6 951 870 35.91% 34.35% 29.74%+0.26 +7.5 20
1971-02-18 Alki Larnaca W 1-036.4 990 880 53.23% 32.20% 14.57%+0.95 +4.4 25
1971-02-18 @ Digenis Morphou L 0-136.4 880 990 14.57% 32.20% 53.23%-0.95 -4.4 16
1971-02-18 Enosis Neon Paralimni W 1-040.9 892 911 38.28% 34.50% 27.23%+0.13 +7.0 19
1971-02-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-140.9 911 892 27.23% 34.50% 38.28%-0.13 -7.0 19
1971-02-18 ASIL Lysi D 1-154.4 1102 738 73.66% 21.46% 4.88%+2.54 -3.4 29
1971-02-18 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-154.4 738 1102 4.88% 21.46% 73.66%-2.54 +3.5 7
1971-02-18 Apollon Limassol D 0-045.5 1012 945 48.72% 33.33% 17.95%+0.67 -1.6 23
1971-02-18 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-045.5 945 1012 17.95% 33.33% 48.72%-0.67 +1.6 18
1971-02-25 AEL Limassol D 0-045.2 876 863 42.48% 34.23% 23.28%+0.33 -0.9 17
1971-02-25 @ Alki Larnaca D 0-045.2 863 876 23.28% 34.23% 42.48%-0.33 +1.0 14
1971-02-25 Anorthosis Famagusta W 4-139.0 959 915 46.16% 33.78% 20.05%+0.53 +13.0 22
1971-02-25 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-439.0 915 959 20.05% 33.78% 46.16%-0.53 -13.1 16
1971-02-25 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 0-239.6 947 1010 32.18% 34.48% 33.34%-0.15 -14.8 18
1971-02-25 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-039.6 1010 947 33.34% 34.48% 32.18%+0.15 +14.8 25
1971-02-25 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-146.1 904 899 41.46% 34.32% 24.21%+0.28 +6.1 21
1971-02-25 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni L 1-246.1 899 904 24.21% 34.32% 41.46%-0.28 -6.1 19
1971-02-25 ASIL Lysi W 1-031.4 1053 742 70.03% 23.92% 6.05%+2.22 +1.7 25
1971-02-25 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-131.4 742 1053 6.05% 23.92% 70.03%-2.22 -1.7 7
1971-03-04 Digenis Morphou D 0-045.2 972 995 37.83% 34.51% 27.67%+0.11 -0.5 23
1971-03-04 @ APOEL Nicosia D 0-045.2 995 972 27.67% 34.51% 37.83%-0.11 +0.5 26
1971-03-04 Omonia Nicosia W 1-045.0 932 1055 24.64% 33.79% 41.57%-0.53 +9.4 20
1971-03-04 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-145.0 1055 932 41.57% 33.79% 24.64%+0.53 -9.4 25
1971-03-04 Alki Larnaca D 1-150.8 740 875 23.29% 33.57% 43.14%-0.60 +0.9 8
1971-03-04 @ ASIL Lysi D 1-150.8 875 740 43.14% 33.57% 23.29%+0.60 -0.9 18
1971-03-04 AEL Limassol L 1-255.1 1025 864 58.07% 30.46% 11.47%+1.27 -11.7 25
1971-03-04 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-155.1 864 1025 11.47% 30.46% 58.07%-1.27 +11.7 16
1971-03-11 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-250.0 875 902 37.31% 34.52% 28.17%+0.08 -8.2 16
1971-03-11 @ AEL Limassol W 2-150.0 902 875 28.17% 34.52% 37.31%-0.08 +8.2 18
1971-03-11 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-151.5 874 1098 15.43% 31.07% 53.51%-1.16 +1.8 19
1971-03-11 @ Alki Larnaca D 1-151.5 1098 874 53.51% 31.07% 15.43%+1.16 -1.8 30
1971-03-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-034.0 941 892 46.71% 33.70% 19.59%+0.56 +19.8 22
1971-03-11 @ Apollon Limassol L 0-434.0 892 941 19.59% 33.70% 46.71%-0.56 -19.9 19
1971-03-11 Enosis Neon Paralimni L 0-245.7 1045 910 55.68% 31.39% 12.93%+1.11 -22.6 25
1971-03-11 @ Omonia Nicosia W 2-045.7 910 1045 12.93% 31.39% 55.68%-1.11 +22.6 23
1971-03-18 Apollon Limassol L 0-142.9 910 961 33.92% 34.53% 31.55%-0.07 -8.1 18
1971-03-18 @ Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-042.9 961 910 31.55% 34.53% 33.92%+0.07 +8.1 24
1971-03-18 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-150.7 971 1096 24.39% 33.76% 41.85%-0.54 +0.8 24
1971-03-18 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-150.7 1096 971 41.85% 33.76% 24.39%+0.54 -0.8 31
1971-03-18 Digenis Morphou D 0-045.2 933 995 32.32% 34.48% 33.20%-0.14 +0.0 24
1971-03-18 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni D 0-045.2 995 933 33.20% 34.48% 32.32%+0.14 -0.1 27
1971-03-25 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 2-150.7 902 1013 25.95% 33.98% 40.07%-0.45 +8.6 20
1971-03-25 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-250.7 1013 902 40.07% 33.98% 25.95%+0.45 -8.6 25
1971-03-25 APOEL Nicosia L 2-452.8 1023 972 46.91% 33.66% 19.42%+0.57 -15.2 25
1971-03-25 @ Omonia Nicosia W 4-252.8 972 1023 19.42% 33.66% 46.91%-0.57 +15.2 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-03-04 11.47% AEL Limassol 864 2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1025 1
2 1971-03-11 12.93% Enosis Neon Paralimni 910 2 @ Omonia Nicosia 1045 0
3 1970-11-26 13.58% AEL Limassol 924 1 @ Omonia Nicosia 1049 0
4 1970-12-03 15.42% APOEL Nicosia 924 2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1022 1
5 1970-11-05 17.47% @ ASIL Lysi 834 1 Olympiacos Nicosia 1031 0
6 1970-10-29 17.51% Digenis Morphou 966 1 @ Omonia Nicosia 1037 0
7 1970-11-26 18.03% Alki Larnaca 869 2 @ APOEL Nicosia 934 1
8 1970-11-05 18.17% Anorthosis Famagusta 912 2 @ Digenis Morphou 976 0
9 1971-01-28 19.25% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1005 2 @ Omonia Nicosia 1057 1
10 1971-03-25 19.42% APOEL Nicosia 972 4 @ Omonia Nicosia 1023 2
11 1970-12-10 19.78% Anorthosis Famagusta 892 1 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 939 0
12 1970-10-29 22.03% AEL Limassol 914 2 @ Apollon Limassol 939 1
13 1970-09-24 23.43% Omonia Nicosia 974 1 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 986 0
14 1971-03-04 24.64% @ Apollon Limassol 932 1 Omonia Nicosia 1055 0
15 1971-02-11 24.73% Apollon Limassol 928 2 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 928 0
16 1970-11-26 25.67% Enosis Neon Paralimni 919 2 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 912 1
17 1971-03-25 25.95% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 902 2 Pezoporikos Larnaca 1013 1
18 1970-09-24 26.67% @ Alki Larnaca 867 2 Digenis Morphou 973 1
19 1971-01-28 26.68% Enosis Neon Paralimni 931 1 @ AEL Limassol 916 0
20 1970-12-17 27.99% Olympiacos Nicosia 1037 1 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1012 0
21 1971-01-21 28.10% @ Digenis Morphou 972 2 Omonia Nicosia 1066 1
22 1971-03-11 28.17% Anorthosis Famagusta 902 2 @ AEL Limassol 875 1
23 1971-03-18 31.55% Apollon Limassol 961 1 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 910 0
24 1970-10-01 32.13% @ Omonia Nicosia 983 5 Olympiacos Nicosia 1047 0
25 1970-12-03 32.21% Olympiacos Nicosia 1023 2 @ Digenis Morphou 967 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-10-01 35.50 @ Omonia Nicosia 5 983 32.13% Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1047 33.40% 34.48%
2 1971-02-04 29.74 Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1068 46.45% @ AEL Limassol 0 907 20.59% 32.96%
3 1970-11-19 23.88 @ Apollon Limassol 6 923 52.10% ASIL Lysi 0 825 15.37% 32.53%
4 1971-03-11 22.62 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 910 12.93% @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1045 55.68% 31.39%
5 1970-11-12 20.84 APOEL Nicosia 3 920 34.90% @ ASIL Lysi 0 845 30.69% 34.41%
6 1970-10-01 20.66 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 922 35.23% AEL Limassol 0 964 30.23% 34.54%
7 1970-10-15 20.49 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 3 897 35.62% AEL Limassol 0 936 29.84% 34.54%
8 1970-11-05 20.11 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 912 18.17% @ Digenis Morphou 0 976 48.45% 33.39%
9 1971-03-11 19.85 @ Apollon Limassol 4 941 46.71% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 892 19.59% 33.70%
10 1970-10-15 19.68 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 5 982 52.62% ASIL Lysi 0 878 15.00% 32.38%
11 1970-10-01 19.19 @ Apollon Limassol 3 909 38.44% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 928 27.07% 34.49%
12 1971-02-11 17.57 Apollon Limassol 2 928 24.73% @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 928 40.91% 34.36%
13 1971-01-14 16.91 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1046 56.07% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 906 12.68% 31.25%
14 1971-02-11 16.62 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 898 44.21% @ ASIL Lysi 0 755 22.40% 33.39%
15 1970-12-10 16.19 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1043 52.29% Apollon Limassol 0 942 15.24% 32.47%
16 1970-10-22 15.42 Omonia Nicosia 3 1022 46.74% @ ASIL Lysi 0 858 20.36% 32.90%
17 1971-03-25 15.17 APOEL Nicosia 4 972 19.42% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1023 46.91% 33.66%
18 1971-02-25 14.82 Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1010 33.34% @ Apollon Limassol 0 947 32.18% 34.48%
19 1970-10-29 13.70 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 904 36.90% APOEL Nicosia 0 934 28.57% 34.53%
20 1971-02-25 13.05 @ APOEL Nicosia 4 959 46.16% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 915 20.05% 33.78%
21 1970-11-05 12.88 Omonia Nicosia 2 1027 39.68% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 918 26.30% 34.03%
22 1970-10-01 12.16 @ Alki Larnaca 3 875 35.81% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 913 29.65% 34.54%
23 1970-12-03 11.89 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 927 42.83% @ ASIL Lysi 0 795 23.56% 33.61%
24 1970-11-26 11.82 AEL Limassol 1 924 13.58% @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1049 54.69% 31.74%
25 1970-11-19 11.72 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1038 53.63% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 924 14.29% 32.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-11-12 57.6 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1040 58.56% Alki Larnaca 2 872 11.18% 30.25%
2 1970-11-12 56.6 @ Digenis Morphou 2 956 46.98% Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 905 19.37% 33.65%
3 1970-10-15 56.4 @ Apollon Limassol 2 939 41.64% APOEL Nicosia 2 933 24.06% 34.31%
4 1970-10-29 56.3 @ Alki Larnaca 2 873 35.57% Anorthosis Famagusta 2 912 29.89% 34.54%
5 1970-11-05 56.3 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 920 39.55% Apollon Limassol 2 930 26.01% 34.44%
6 1971-03-04 55.1 AEL Limassol 2 864 11.47% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1025 58.07% 30.46%
7 1971-02-18 54.4 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1102 73.66% ASIL Lysi 1 738 4.88% 21.46%
8 1970-12-03 53.9 APOEL Nicosia 2 924 15.42% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1022 52.03% 32.54%
9 1970-11-26 53.1 Alki Larnaca 2 869 18.03% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 934 48.62% 33.35%
10 1971-03-25 52.8 APOEL Nicosia 4 972 19.42% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1023 46.91% 33.66%
11 1971-01-28 52.7 Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1005 19.25% @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1057 47.13% 33.63%
12 1970-10-08 52.6 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 901 35.18% AEL Limassol 2 943 30.28% 34.54%
13 1970-10-29 51.9 AEL Limassol 2 914 22.03% @ Apollon Limassol 1 939 43.88% 34.09%
14 1970-09-24 51.6 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1049 57.04% Enosis Neon Paralimni 1 899 12.08% 30.88%
15 1971-03-11 51.5 @ Alki Larnaca 1 874 15.43% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1098 53.51% 31.07%
16 1971-02-11 51.3 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1014 54.62% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 890 13.62% 31.76%
17 1970-11-19 51.1 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1020 51.94% AEL Limassol 1 923 15.49% 32.57%
18 1971-01-28 51.0 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 903 20.13% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1069 47.03% 32.84%
19 1970-10-15 50.8 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1021 47.78% Digenis Morphou 1 963 18.71% 33.51%
20 1970-11-26 50.8 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 919 25.67% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 912 39.91% 34.42%
21 1971-03-04 50.8 @ ASIL Lysi 1 740 23.29% Alki Larnaca 1 875 43.14% 33.57%
22 1970-10-22 50.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1001 45.34% Digenis Morphou 1 964 20.75% 33.91%
23 1971-03-18 50.7 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 971 24.39% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1096 41.85% 33.76%
24 1971-03-25 50.7 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 902 25.95% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1013 40.07% 33.98%
25 1970-09-24 50.6 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 928 41.72% APOEL Nicosia 1 921 23.98% 34.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-02-25 31.4 @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1053 70.03% ASIL Lysi 0 742 6.05% 23.92%
2 1971-01-14 31.6 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 5 1046 56.07% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 906 12.68% 31.25%
3 1970-11-19 32.1 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1038 53.63% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 924 14.29% 32.08%
4 1970-12-17 32.2 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 935 57.88% ASIL Lysi 0 775 11.58% 30.54%
5 1970-12-10 32.3 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1043 52.29% Apollon Limassol 0 942 15.24% 32.47%
6 1971-01-21 32.4 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1063 57.27% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 910 11.94% 30.79%
7 1970-10-15 32.7 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 5 982 52.62% ASIL Lysi 0 878 15.00% 32.38%
8 1970-11-19 33.3 @ Apollon Limassol 6 923 52.10% ASIL Lysi 0 825 15.37% 32.53%
9 1971-03-11 34.0 @ Apollon Limassol 4 941 46.71% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 892 19.59% 33.70%
10 1970-10-22 34.1 Omonia Nicosia 3 1022 46.74% @ ASIL Lysi 0 858 20.36% 32.90%
11 1970-10-08 34.9 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1012 48.99% APOEL Nicosia 0 942 17.74% 33.28%
12 1971-02-11 34.9 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 898 44.21% @ ASIL Lysi 0 755 22.40% 33.39%
13 1971-02-04 35.0 Olympiacos Nicosia 6 1068 46.45% @ AEL Limassol 0 907 20.59% 32.96%
14 1971-01-21 35.5 @ APOEL Nicosia 2 941 47.02% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 889 19.33% 33.65%
15 1970-10-08 35.9 @ Apollon Limassol 2 929 45.81% Alki Larnaca 0 888 20.35% 33.84%
16 1971-01-14 36.0 Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1003 54.55% @ ASIL Lysi 0 769 14.74% 30.71%
17 1971-02-04 36.2 @ Digenis Morphou 2 972 44.84% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 940 21.19% 33.97%
18 1971-01-28 36.3 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 879 53.52% ASIL Lysi 0 766 14.37% 32.11%
19 1971-02-18 36.4 @ Digenis Morphou 1 990 53.23% Alki Larnaca 0 880 14.57% 32.20%
20 1970-10-01 36.6 @ Apollon Limassol 3 909 38.44% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 928 27.07% 34.49%
21 1970-10-29 36.6 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1020 43.23% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1000 22.61% 34.16%
22 1970-12-03 36.8 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 927 42.83% @ ASIL Lysi 0 795 23.56% 33.61%
23 1970-09-24 37.4 @ AEL Limassol 1 959 49.88% ASIL Lysi 0 881 17.04% 33.08%
24 1970-10-01 37.5 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 976 49.58% Enosis Neon Paralimni 0 901 17.27% 33.15%
25 1970-10-15 37.5 @ Enosis Neon Paralimni 3 897 35.62% AEL Limassol 0 936 29.84% 34.54%