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2014-15 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Viborg

65 pts

Aarhus GF · 61 pts

Relegated

Bronshoj

23 pts

AB Gladsaxe · 32 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Vendsyssel

7.59 points above expected

49 points · 41.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bronshoj

17.67 points below expected

23 points · 40.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viborg Promoted 33 17 14 2 65 47 20 +27 60.34 +4.66
2 Aarhus GF Promoted 33 17 10 6 61 59 33 +26 58.77 +2.23
3 Lyngby 33 14 9 10 51 49 37 +12 52.18 -1.18
4 Vendsyssel 33 13 10 10 49 35 29 +6 41.41 +7.59
5 Vejle BK 33 11 12 10 45 41 46 -5 42.37 +2.63
6 Horsens 33 10 12 11 42 43 42 +1 48.75 -6.75
7 HB Koge 33 10 12 11 42 33 35 -2 41.80 +0.20
8 Skive 33 8 17 8 41 40 42 -2 41.76 -0.76
9 FC Roskilde 33 10 8 15 38 40 38 +2 42.61 -4.61
10 Fredericia 33 6 16 11 34 28 40 -12 40.22 -6.22
11 AB Gladsaxe Relegated 33 8 8 17 32 35 61 -26 32.75 -0.75
12 Bronshoj Relegated 33 3 14 16 23 20 47 -27 40.67 -17.67

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vendsyssel 49 41.41 +7.59
2 Viborg 65 60.34 +4.66
3 Vejle BK 45 42.37 +2.63
4 Aarhus GF 61 58.77 +2.23
5 HB Koge 42 41.80 +0.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bronshoj 23 40.67 -17.67
2 Horsens 42 48.75 -6.75
3 Fredericia 34 40.22 -6.22
4 FC Roskilde 38 42.61 -4.61
5 Lyngby 51 52.18 -1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AB Gladsaxe 4 Nov 2 – Nov 23 1 in 176
2 Vendsyssel 3 Aug 10 – Aug 24 1 in 41
3 Aarhus GF 5 Nov 6 – Mar 15 1 in 34
4 Lyngby 4 Oct 15 – Nov 2 1 in 32
5 Horsens 3 Aug 31 – Sep 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Horsens 3 Nov 24 – Mar 15 1 in 75
2 Lyngby 3 Apr 2 – Apr 11 1 in 57
3 Vendsyssel 3 May 24 – Jun 6 1 in 42
4 Bronshoj 4 Nov 23 – Mar 21 1 in 39
5 FC Roskilde 3 Nov 2 – Nov 14 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bronshoj 9 Sep 13 – Nov 9 1 in 84
2 Viborg 16 Nov 2 – May 20 1 in 54
3 Aarhus GF 14 Nov 6 – May 7 1 in 52
4 Vejle BK 7 Apr 30 – Jun 6 1 in 46
5 Fredericia 6 Apr 19 – May 20 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bronshoj 20 Oct 24 – Jun 6 1 in 1,332
2 Fredericia 16 Sep 28 – Apr 19 1 in 542
3 Lyngby 10 Nov 23 – May 2 1 in 514
4 Vendsyssel 10 Nov 9 – Apr 16 1 in 152
5 Horsens 9 Apr 12 – May 30 1 in 87

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Viborg 1495 65 -1 8 10.4 -2.4
Aarhus GF 1486 61 -13 6 10.1 -4.1
Lyngby 1378 51 +9 8 7.5 +0.5
Vendsyssel 1332 49 -32 6 7.6 -1.6
Vejle BK 1340 45 +32 13 7.5 +5.5
HB Koge 1357 42 +37 8 6.1 +1.9
Horsens 1351 42 -9 6 7.6 -1.6
Skive 1330 41 +11 7 5.8 +1.2
FC Roskilde 1348 38 -22 3 6.5 -3.5
Fredericia 1287 34 +4 6 5.2 +0.8
AB Gladsaxe 1232 32 +8 6 3.6 +2.4
Bronshoj 1223 23 -23 2 4.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG AG BRO FR FRE HK HOR LYN SKI VB VEN VIB
AB Gladsaxe —
0-0-3
2.48
0-2-1
3.50
1-0-2
3.52
2-0-1
3.77
1-1-1
3.24
0-0-3
2.91
0-1-2
2.58
1-1-1
3.16
0-2-1
3.00
2-1-0
3.52
1-0-2
2.22
Aarhus GF
3-0-0
5.82
—
3-0-0
5.33
2-1-0
5.49
2-0-1
5.93
1-2-0
5.36
1-1-1
4.75
1-1-1
4.92
0-3-0
5.88
2-0-1
5.87
2-1-0
5.36
0-1-2
4.37
Bronshoj
1-2-0
4.72
0-0-3
2.95
—
0-2-1
4.05
0-3-0
3.86
1-0-2
3.80
0-2-1
3.45
0-2-1
2.66
1-2-0
3.37
0-0-3
3.63
0-1-2
4.06
0-0-3
2.58
FC Roskilde
2-0-1
4.70
0-1-2
2.77
1-2-0
4.15
—
2-0-1
4.47
0-1-2
4.42
1-0-2
3.90
0-1-2
3.12
1-0-2
4.44
2-1-0
4.19
1-0-2
3.92
0-2-1
2.58
Fredericia
1-0-2
4.44
1-0-2
2.38
0-3-0
4.36
1-0-2
3.75
—
0-3-0
4.06
0-3-0
3.28
2-1-0
3.05
1-2-0
4.07
0-1-2
4.19
0-2-1
3.61
0-1-2
2.46
HB Koge
1-1-1
4.98
0-2-1
2.90
2-0-1
4.41
2-1-0
3.79
0-3-0
4.14
—
1-1-1
3.89
1-0-2
2.95
1-2-0
3.70
1-1-1
3.79
1-1-1
3.92
0-0-3
2.91
Horsens
3-0-0
5.34
1-1-1
3.46
1-2-0
4.77
2-0-1
4.31
0-3-0
4.95
1-1-1
4.34
—
1-0-2
4.02
0-1-2
4.52
1-1-1
4.91
0-0-3
4.63
0-3-0
2.99
Lyngby
2-1-0
5.69
1-1-1
3.29
1-2-0
5.60
2-1-0
5.12
0-1-2
5.19
2-0-1
5.29
2-0-1
4.18
—
2-0-1
5.31
0-2-1
5.22
2-0-1
4.57
0-1-2
3.24
Skive
1-1-1
5.07
0-3-0
2.41
0-2-1
4.84
2-0-1
3.77
0-2-1
4.13
0-2-1
4.50
2-1-0
3.70
1-0-2
2.93
—
1-1-1
3.99
1-2-0
4.20
0-3-0
2.43
Vejle BK
1-2-0
5.25
1-0-2
2.42
3-0-0
4.61
0-1-2
4.01
2-1-0
4.02
1-1-1
4.42
1-1-1
3.30
1-2-0
3.01
1-1-1
4.21
—
0-1-2
4.43
0-2-1
2.25
Vendsyssel
0-1-2
4.72
0-1-2
2.88
2-1-0
4.15
2-0-1
4.28
1-2-0
4.60
1-1-1
4.30
3-0-0
3.59
1-0-2
3.65
0-2-1
4.01
2-1-0
3.78
—
1-1-1
2.73
Viborg
2-0-1
6.11
2-1-0
3.85
3-0-0
5.70
1-2-0
5.69
2-1-0
5.82
3-0-0
5.36
0-3-0
5.24
2-1-0
5.00
0-3-0
5.85
1-2-0
6.06
1-1-1
5.54
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +9.8
Allowed 0.57 -8.8
Differential 0.91 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.59%6.82%2.78%1.52%0.25%31.06%
18.59%17.68%7.32%2.27%—0.76%36.62%
26.82%7.32%5.56%0.76%0.25%0.25%20.96%
32.78%2.27%0.76%1.52%—0.25%7.58%
41.52%—0.25%——0.25%2.02%
5+0.25%0.76%0.25%0.25%0.25%—1.77%
Total31.06%36.62%20.96%7.58%2.02%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.62
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%3.03%9.09%3.03%—36.36%
16.06%12.12%3.03%6.06%—6.06%33.33%
29.09%6.06%3.03%——3.03%21.21%
3———3.03%—3.03%6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%33.33%12.12%18.18%3.03%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.85 -0.79
SD 1.06 1.62 1.82
CV 1.00 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
19.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
23.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
Total33.33%42.42%15.15%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.00 +0.79
SD 1.49 0.94 1.76
CV 0.84 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%48.48%
16.06%18.18%15.15%3.03%——42.42%
23.03%—6.06%———9.09%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%30.30%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.42 -0.82
SD 0.66 1.25 1.45
CV 1.09 0.88 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%12.12%———39.39%
13.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
212.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total30.30%36.36%24.24%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.15 +0.06
SD 1.29 1.03 1.71
CV 1.07 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
19.09%21.21%12.12%3.03%——45.45%
26.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.27%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.21 -0.36
SD 0.80 1.11 1.29
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%12.12%———39.39%
19.09%21.21%3.03%——3.03%36.36%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
33.03%6.06%————9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%45.45%15.15%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.06 -0.06
SD 1.09 1.32 1.77
CV 1.09 1.25 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
19.09%21.21%15.15%3.03%——48.48%
23.03%6.06%9.09%———18.18%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%39.39%30.30%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.27 +0.03
SD 0.95 0.91 1.40
CV 0.73 0.72 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%———33.33%
13.03%12.12%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
29.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+—6.06%——3.03%—9.09%
Total24.24%48.48%21.21%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.12 +0.36
SD 1.66 0.93 1.71
CV 1.12 0.83 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
19.09%27.27%9.09%———45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
33.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
4—————3.03%3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%39.39%27.27%6.06%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.27 -0.06
SD 1.02 1.10 1.09
CV 0.84 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%—27.27%
19.09%21.21%3.03%6.06%——39.39%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
3—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%42.42%18.18%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.39 -0.15
SD 1.09 1.14 1.77
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
115.15%9.09%12.12%———36.36%
212.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%24.24%21.21%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.88 +0.18
SD 1.00 1.05 1.61
CV 0.94 1.20 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%————15.15%
115.15%24.24%3.03%———42.42%
218.18%6.06%3.03%———27.27%
39.09%—3.03%3.03%——15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total54.55%33.33%9.09%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.61 +0.82
SD 0.94 0.79 1.10
CV 0.66 1.30 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Viborg 1495 65 60.34 +4.66 76.0% 33 49 55 60 65 73 76
Aarhus GF 1486 61 58.77 +2.23 62.0% 42 47 53 59 64 69 77
Lyngby 1378 51 52.18 -1.18 45.0% 34 41 46 52 58 64 68
HB Koge 1357 42 41.80 +0.20 51.0% 23 27 36 42 47 52 58
Horsens 1351 42 48.75 -6.75 16.0% 31 36 45 49 53 59 63
FC Roskilde 1348 38 42.61 -4.61 34.0% 28 30 37 42 48 54 60
Vejle BK 1340 45 42.37 +2.63 73.0% 27 33 37 43 46 53 57
Vendsyssel 1332 49 41.41 +7.59 90.0% 25 32 37 42 45 52 62
Skive 1330 41 41.76 -0.76 49.0% 28 30 36 42 47 53 57
Fredericia 1287 34 40.22 -6.22 22.0% 22 30 35 40 45 49 56
AB Gladsaxe 1232 32 32.75 -0.75 52.0% 15 22 29 32 37 44 49
Bronshoj 1223 23 40.67 -17.67 1.0% 22 29 36 39 44 55 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.52%
No Edge
32.83%35.86%31.31%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.02 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Viborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.61 * Some Luck: 5.61 to 8.41 * Lucky: 8.41 to 11.22 * Wild Swing: 11.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.32 * Way Off: 3.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.06 * A Surprise: 1.06 to 1.7 * Several Surprises: 1.7 to 2.33 * Many Surprises: 2.33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.30 points
Some Luck
07.0118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
Vendsyssel
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Bronshoj
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 82.74
1.68
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.67
Coin-Flip
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.86
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.101
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Viborg53.00%19.00%15.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———1.00%—
Aarhus GF32.00%34.00%17.00%11.00%1.00%—1.00%4.00%————
Lyngby9.00%24.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%—
Vendsyssel1.00%—5.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%13.00%3.00%
Vejle BK—4.00%2.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%3.00%
Horsens2.00%11.00%17.00%16.00%25.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
HB Koge1.00%—5.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%
Skive—1.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%
FC Roskilde—2.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%
Fredericia—2.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%
AB Gladsaxe———1.00%2.00%—8.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%55.00%
Bronshoj2.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%16.00%20.00%4.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Viborg 72.00% 27.00% 1.00%
Aarhus GF 66.00% 34.00% —
Lyngby 33.00% 66.00% 1.00%
Horsens 13.00% 84.00% 3.00%
Vejle BK 4.00% 85.00% 11.00%
FC Roskilde 2.00% 81.00% 17.00%
Vendsyssel 1.00% 83.00% 16.00%
HB Koge 1.00% 81.00% 18.00%
Skive 1.00% 81.00% 18.00%
Bronshoj 5.00% 71.00% 24.00%
Fredericia 2.00% 77.00% 21.00%
AB Gladsaxe — 30.00% 70.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-07-25 AB Gladsaxe W 1-037.4 1367 1298 52.95% 25.06% 22.00%+0.36 +5.0 3
2014-07-25 @ Lyngby L 0-137.4 1298 1367 22.00% 25.06% 52.95%-0.36 -5.0 0
2014-07-25 HB Koge D 1-154.1 1327 1341 42.15% 26.61% 31.25%-0.04 -0.4 1
2014-07-25 @ Skive D 1-154.1 1341 1327 31.25% 26.61% 42.15%+0.04 +0.4 1
2014-07-26 Bronshoj W 2-146.3 1363 1354 45.23% 26.33% 28.44%+0.07 +5.9 3
2014-07-26 @ Vejle BK L 1-246.3 1354 1363 28.44% 26.33% 45.23%-0.07 -5.8 0
2014-07-27 FC Roskilde D 2-261.5 1414 1327 54.99% 24.56% 20.45%+0.44 -1.1 1
2014-07-27 @ Aarhus GF D 2-261.5 1327 1414 20.45% 24.56% 54.99%-0.44 +1.1 1
2014-07-27 Horsens D 1-155.7 1395 1367 47.76% 26.01% 26.22%+0.16 -0.9 1
2014-07-27 @ Viborg D 1-155.7 1367 1395 26.22% 26.01% 47.76%-0.16 +0.9 1
2014-07-28 Fredericia W 2-148.1 1271 1334 35.22% 26.78% 38.00%-0.28 +7.3 3
2014-07-28 @ Vendsyssel L 1-248.1 1334 1271 38.00% 26.78% 35.22%+0.28 -7.3 0
2014-08-01 Skive L 2-355.1 1328 1327 44.25% 26.43% 29.32%+0.03 -7.8 1
2014-08-01 @ FC Roskilde W 3-255.1 1327 1328 29.32% 26.43% 44.25%-0.03 +7.8 4
2014-08-03 Aarhus GF L 0-539.1 1348 1413 34.97% 26.78% 38.25%-0.29 -32.1 0
2014-08-03 @ Bronshoj W 5-039.1 1413 1348 38.25% 26.78% 34.97%+0.29 +32.1 4
2014-08-03 Lyngby L 0-241.9 1368 1372 43.50% 26.50% 29.99%+0.01 -16.2 1
2014-08-03 @ Horsens W 2-041.9 1372 1368 29.99% 26.50% 43.50%-0.01 +16.2 6
2014-08-03 Vejle BK D 1-154.4 1327 1368 38.25% 26.78% 34.97%-0.18 -0.1 1
2014-08-03 @ Fredericia D 1-154.4 1368 1327 34.97% 26.78% 38.25%+0.18 +0.1 4
2014-08-03 Vendsyssel D 2-259.3 1293 1279 45.98% 26.25% 27.77%+0.09 -0.6 1
2014-08-03 @ AB Gladsaxe D 2-259.3 1279 1293 27.77% 26.25% 45.98%-0.09 +0.6 4
2014-08-03 Viborg L 2-353.9 1342 1395 36.61% 26.79% 36.60%-0.23 -6.7 1
2014-08-03 @ HB Koge W 3-253.9 1395 1342 36.60% 26.79% 36.61%+0.23 +6.7 4
2014-08-08 Bronshoj D 1-155.1 1388 1316 53.35% 24.96% 21.68%+0.38 -1.3 7
2014-08-08 @ Lyngby D 1-155.1 1316 1388 21.68% 24.96% 53.35%-0.38 +1.3 1
2014-08-08 HB Koge L 1-348.5 1369 1335 48.52% 25.90% 25.59%+0.19 -15.3 4
2014-08-08 @ Vejle BK W 3-148.5 1335 1369 25.59% 25.90% 48.52%-0.19 +15.3 4
2014-08-08 Horsens W 1-041.0 1335 1352 41.63% 26.64% 31.73%-0.06 +6.8 7
2014-08-08 @ Skive L 0-141.0 1352 1335 31.73% 26.64% 41.63%+0.06 -6.8 1
2014-08-10 FC Roskilde W 2-037.9 1279 1321 38.29% 26.78% 34.93%-0.17 +13.7 7
2014-08-10 @ Vendsyssel L 0-237.9 1321 1279 34.93% 26.78% 38.29%+0.17 -13.7 1
2014-08-10 Fredericia W 2-037.7 1293 1327 39.30% 26.75% 33.95%-0.14 +13.4 4
2014-08-10 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-237.7 1327 1293 33.95% 26.75% 39.30%+0.14 -13.4 1
2014-08-10 Viborg L 0-245.8 1445 1401 49.74% 25.70% 24.57%+0.23 -18.0 4
2014-08-10 @ Aarhus GF W 2-045.8 1401 1445 24.57% 25.70% 49.74%-0.23 +18.0 7
2014-08-14 Aarhus GF D 0-050.6 1350 1427 33.33% 26.73% 39.94%-0.34 +0.3 5
2014-08-14 @ HB Koge D 0-050.6 1427 1350 39.94% 26.73% 33.33%+0.34 -0.3 5
2014-08-16 Vendsyssel L 0-144.8 1317 1293 47.28% 26.08% 26.64%+0.14 -9.2 1
2014-08-16 @ Bronshoj W 1-044.8 1293 1317 26.64% 26.08% 47.28%-0.14 +9.2 10
2014-08-17 AB Gladsaxe W 1-038.4 1345 1306 49.24% 25.78% 24.98%+0.22 +5.6 4
2014-08-17 @ Horsens L 0-138.4 1306 1345 24.98% 25.78% 49.24%-0.22 -5.6 4
2014-08-17 Lyngby W 2-149.5 1313 1387 33.69% 26.74% 39.57%-0.33 +7.5 4
2014-08-17 @ Fredericia L 1-249.5 1387 1313 39.57% 26.74% 33.69%+0.33 -7.5 7
2014-08-17 Skive D 0-050.9 1419 1341 53.99% 24.81% 21.20%+0.40 -1.6 8
2014-08-17 @ Viborg D 0-050.9 1341 1419 21.20% 24.81% 53.99%-0.40 +1.6 8
2014-08-17 Vejle BK D 2-259.8 1307 1353 37.55% 26.79% 35.66%-0.20 -0.1 2
2014-08-17 @ FC Roskilde D 2-259.8 1353 1307 35.66% 26.79% 37.55%+0.20 +0.0 5
2014-08-22 HB Koge D 1-154.0 1307 1350 37.96% 26.78% 35.26%-0.18 -0.1 3
2014-08-22 @ FC Roskilde D 1-154.0 1350 1307 35.26% 26.78% 37.96%+0.18 +0.1 6
2014-08-23 Viborg L 1-246.6 1308 1418 29.06% 26.41% 44.53%-0.50 -6.0 1
2014-08-23 @ Bronshoj W 2-146.6 1418 1308 44.53% 26.41% 29.06%+0.50 +6.0 11
2014-08-24 Aarhus GF L 1-538.7 1300 1426 27.15% 26.16% 46.69%-0.58 -17.8 4
2014-08-24 @ AB Gladsaxe W 5-138.7 1426 1300 46.69% 26.16% 27.15%+0.58 +17.8 8
2014-08-24 Skive W 2-037.6 1321 1343 41.00% 26.68% 32.32%-0.08 +12.9 7
2014-08-24 @ Fredericia L 0-237.6 1343 1321 32.32% 26.68% 41.00%+0.08 -12.9 8
2014-08-24 Vejle BK D 0-050.0 1380 1353 47.55% 26.04% 26.41%+0.15 -1.0 8
2014-08-24 @ Lyngby D 0-050.0 1353 1380 26.41% 26.04% 47.55%-0.15 +1.0 6
2014-08-24 Vendsyssel L 0-145.9 1351 1302 50.43% 25.57% 24.00%+0.26 -9.7 4
2014-08-24 @ Horsens W 1-045.9 1302 1351 24.00% 25.57% 50.43%-0.26 +9.7 13
2014-08-28 Fredericia W 2-143.6 1444 1334 57.73% 23.80% 18.47%+0.56 +4.0 11
2014-08-28 @ Aarhus GF L 1-243.6 1334 1444 18.47% 23.80% 57.73%-0.56 -4.0 7
2014-08-29 AB Gladsaxe D 1-154.3 1354 1283 53.24% 24.99% 21.77%+0.37 -1.3 7
2014-08-29 @ Vejle BK D 1-154.3 1283 1354 21.77% 24.99% 53.24%-0.37 +1.3 5
2014-08-29 Lyngby L 1-247.9 1312 1379 34.65% 26.77% 38.58%-0.30 -6.8 13
2014-08-29 @ Vendsyssel W 2-147.9 1379 1312 38.58% 26.77% 34.65%+0.30 +6.8 11
2014-08-31 Bronshoj D 1-154.0 1330 1302 47.75% 26.01% 26.23%+0.16 -0.9 9
2014-08-31 @ Skive D 1-154.0 1302 1330 26.23% 26.01% 47.75%-0.16 +0.9 2
2014-08-31 FC Roskilde D 1-155.8 1424 1307 58.48% 23.57% 17.95%+0.59 -1.8 12
2014-08-31 @ Viborg D 1-155.8 1307 1424 17.95% 23.57% 58.48%-0.59 +1.8 4
2014-08-31 Horsens L 0-241.7 1350 1341 45.28% 26.33% 28.39%+0.07 -16.7 6
2014-08-31 @ HB Koge W 2-041.7 1341 1350 28.39% 26.33% 45.28%-0.07 +16.7 7
2014-09-04 Vendsyssel L 0-242.6 1353 1305 50.32% 25.59% 24.09%+0.26 -18.2 7
2014-09-04 @ Vejle BK W 2-042.6 1305 1353 24.09% 25.59% 50.32%-0.26 +18.2 16
2014-09-05 AB Gladsaxe D 3-363.2 1329 1284 49.97% 25.66% 24.38%+0.24 -0.7 10
2014-09-05 @ Skive D 3-363.2 1284 1329 24.38% 25.66% 49.97%-0.24 +0.7 6
2014-09-05 Bronshoj W 2-144.5 1334 1303 48.13% 25.96% 25.91%+0.17 +5.4 9
2014-09-05 @ HB Koge L 1-244.5 1303 1334 25.91% 25.96% 48.13%-0.17 -5.4 2
2014-09-07 Fredericia D 2-261.7 1422 1330 55.66% 24.39% 19.95%+0.47 -1.2 13
2014-09-07 @ Viborg D 2-261.7 1330 1422 19.95% 24.39% 55.66%-0.47 +1.2 8
2014-09-11 Aarhus GF L 0-336.0 1323 1448 27.27% 26.18% 46.56%-0.58 -16.4 16
2014-09-11 @ Vendsyssel W 3-036.0 1448 1323 46.56% 26.18% 27.27%+0.58 +16.4 14
2014-09-12 Viborg L 0-236.0 1285 1421 25.99% 25.97% 48.04%-0.63 -10.9 6
2014-09-12 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-036.0 1421 1285 48.04% 25.97% 25.99%+0.63 +10.9 16
2014-09-13 FC Roskilde D 1-153.6 1298 1308 42.56% 26.58% 30.86%-0.03 -0.5 3
2014-09-13 @ Bronshoj D 1-153.6 1308 1298 30.86% 26.58% 42.56%+0.03 +0.5 5
2014-09-13 Skive W 5-452.1 1385 1328 51.45% 25.37% 23.17%+0.30 +4.5 14
2014-09-13 @ Lyngby L 4-552.1 1328 1385 23.17% 25.37% 51.45%-0.30 -4.5 10
2014-09-14 HB Koge D 0-049.1 1331 1339 42.92% 26.55% 30.53%-0.01 -0.6 9
2014-09-14 @ Fredericia D 0-049.1 1339 1331 30.53% 26.55% 42.92%+0.01 +0.6 10
2014-09-14 Vejle BK W 3-034.6 1358 1335 47.15% 26.10% 26.75%+0.14 +16.2 10
2014-09-14 @ Horsens L 0-334.6 1335 1358 26.75% 26.10% 47.15%-0.14 -16.2 7
2014-09-17 Horsens L 0-142.0 1309 1374 34.87% 26.77% 38.35%-0.29 -7.3 5
2014-09-17 @ FC Roskilde W 1-042.0 1374 1309 38.35% 26.77% 34.87%+0.29 +7.3 13
2014-09-18 Vejle BK L 0-150.3 1464 1319 61.60% 22.51% 15.89%+0.73 -11.4 14
2014-09-18 @ Aarhus GF W 1-050.3 1319 1464 15.89% 22.51% 61.60%-0.73 +11.4 10
2014-09-19 AB Gladsaxe D 0-049.0 1340 1274 52.55% 25.14% 22.30%+0.34 -1.4 11
2014-09-19 @ HB Koge D 0-049.0 1274 1340 22.30% 25.14% 52.55%-0.34 +1.4 7
2014-09-19 Vendsyssel D 1-153.9 1324 1307 46.34% 26.20% 27.45%+0.11 -0.8 11
2014-09-19 @ Skive D 1-153.9 1307 1324 27.45% 26.20% 46.34%-0.11 +0.8 17
2014-09-20 Horsens D 1-154.2 1297 1381 32.28% 26.67% 41.04%-0.38 +0.4 4
2014-09-20 @ Bronshoj D 1-154.2 1381 1297 41.04% 26.67% 32.28%+0.38 -0.4 14
2014-09-21 Fredericia L 0-143.0 1302 1330 40.07% 26.72% 33.21%-0.11 -8.1 5
2014-09-21 @ FC Roskilde W 1-043.0 1330 1302 33.21% 26.72% 40.07%+0.11 +8.1 12
2014-09-21 Lyngby W 2-037.7 1432 1390 49.52% 25.73% 24.74%+0.23 +10.4 19
2014-09-21 @ Viborg L 0-237.7 1390 1432 24.74% 25.73% 49.52%-0.23 -10.4 14
2014-09-26 Skive L 1-250.5 1330 1323 44.97% 26.36% 28.67%+0.06 -8.3 10
2014-09-26 @ Vejle BK W 2-150.5 1323 1330 28.67% 26.36% 44.97%-0.06 +8.3 14
2014-09-26 Viborg L 0-140.1 1308 1442 26.18% 26.00% 47.82%-0.62 -5.8 17
2014-09-26 @ Vendsyssel W 1-040.1 1442 1308 47.82% 26.00% 26.18%+0.62 +5.8 22
2014-09-28 Aarhus GF L 1-250.4 1381 1453 33.94% 26.75% 39.31%-0.32 -6.7 14
2014-09-28 @ Horsens W 2-150.4 1453 1381 39.31% 26.75% 33.94%+0.32 +6.7 17
2014-09-28 Bronshoj D 0-049.0 1338 1297 49.44% 25.75% 24.82%+0.22 -1.1 13
2014-09-28 @ Fredericia D 0-049.0 1297 1338 24.82% 25.75% 49.44%-0.22 +1.1 5
2014-09-28 FC Roskilde L 0-438.2 1275 1294 41.51% 26.65% 31.84%-0.06 -29.6 7
2014-09-28 @ AB Gladsaxe W 4-038.2 1294 1275 31.84% 26.65% 41.51%+0.06 +29.6 8
2014-09-28 HB Koge W 2-035.7 1380 1338 49.47% 25.74% 24.79%+0.22 +10.4 17
2014-09-28 @ Lyngby L 0-235.7 1338 1380 24.79% 25.74% 49.47%-0.22 -10.4 11
2014-10-03 FC Roskilde W 3-140.5 1390 1323 52.65% 25.12% 22.23%+0.35 +8.2 20
2014-10-03 @ Lyngby L 1-340.5 1323 1390 22.23% 25.12% 52.65%-0.35 -8.2 8
2014-10-04 AB Gladsaxe W 1-037.1 1299 1246 50.95% 25.47% 23.57%+0.28 +5.3 8
2014-10-04 @ Bronshoj L 0-137.1 1246 1299 23.57% 25.47% 50.95%-0.28 -5.3 7
2014-10-05 Fredericia D 3-364.1 1374 1337 48.94% 25.83% 25.23%+0.20 -0.6 15
2014-10-05 @ Horsens D 3-364.1 1337 1374 25.23% 25.83% 48.94%-0.20 +0.6 14
2014-10-05 Skive D 0-052.0 1460 1331 59.72% 23.17% 17.12%+0.64 -2.1 18
2014-10-05 @ Aarhus GF D 0-052.0 1331 1460 17.12% 23.17% 59.72%-0.64 +2.1 15
2014-10-05 Vendsyssel L 0-145.0 1328 1302 47.52% 26.05% 26.43%+0.15 -9.2 11
2014-10-05 @ HB Koge W 1-045.0 1302 1328 26.43% 26.05% 47.52%-0.15 +9.2 20
2014-10-06 Vejle BK D 1-156.6 1448 1322 59.48% 23.24% 17.27%+0.63 -1.8 23
2014-10-06 @ Viborg D 1-156.6 1322 1448 17.27% 23.24% 59.48%-0.63 +1.8 11
2014-10-12 Bronshoj L 0-241.9 1334 1304 47.98% 25.98% 26.04%+0.17 -17.5 15
2014-10-12 @ Skive W 2-041.9 1304 1334 26.04% 25.98% 47.98%-0.17 +17.5 11
2014-10-12 Lyngby D 0-049.1 1240 1398 23.70% 25.50% 50.80%-0.74 +1.3 8
2014-10-12 @ AB Gladsaxe D 0-049.1 1398 1240 50.80% 25.50% 23.70%+0.74 -1.3 21
2014-10-12 Vejle BK D 1-153.9 1319 1324 43.38% 26.51% 30.11%+0.00 -0.5 12
2014-10-12 @ HB Koge D 1-153.9 1324 1319 30.11% 26.51% 43.38%+0.00 +0.5 12
2014-10-12 Viborg D 1-155.6 1315 1446 26.57% 26.07% 47.37%-0.61 +0.8 9
2014-10-12 @ FC Roskilde D 1-155.6 1446 1315 47.37% 26.07% 26.57%+0.61 -0.9 24
2014-10-15 Lyngby L 2-360.7 1458 1397 51.91% 25.28% 22.81%+0.32 -8.9 18
2014-10-15 @ Aarhus GF W 3-260.7 1397 1458 22.81% 25.28% 51.91%-0.32 +8.9 24
2014-10-17 Fredericia W 2-034.5 1445 1338 57.39% 23.90% 18.71%+0.54 +8.1 27
2014-10-17 @ Viborg L 0-234.5 1338 1445 18.71% 23.90% 57.39%-0.54 -8.1 14
2014-10-18 FC Roskilde L 0-241.1 1324 1316 45.16% 26.34% 28.50%+0.07 -16.7 12
2014-10-18 @ Vejle BK W 2-041.1 1316 1324 28.50% 26.34% 45.16%-0.07 +16.7 12
2014-10-18 HB Koge W 1-039.7 1321 1318 44.49% 26.41% 29.10%+0.04 +6.3 14
2014-10-18 @ Bronshoj L 0-139.7 1318 1321 29.10% 26.41% 44.49%-0.04 -6.3 12
2014-10-18 Skive W 2-143.3 1406 1316 55.38% 24.46% 20.16%+0.46 +4.3 27
2014-10-18 @ Lyngby L 1-243.3 1316 1406 20.16% 24.46% 55.38%-0.46 -4.3 15
2014-10-19 AB Gladsaxe W 3-137.2 1374 1242 60.14% 23.02% 16.84%+0.66 +6.3 18
2014-10-19 @ Horsens L 1-337.2 1242 1374 16.84% 23.02% 60.14%-0.66 -6.3 8
2014-10-19 Vendsyssel D 0-051.5 1449 1311 60.74% 22.81% 16.44%+0.69 -2.2 19
2014-10-19 @ Aarhus GF D 0-051.5 1311 1449 16.44% 22.81% 60.74%-0.69 +2.2 21
2014-10-23 Horsens L 1-255.3 1447 1380 52.63% 25.13% 22.25%+0.35 -9.4 19
2014-10-23 @ Aarhus GF W 2-155.3 1380 1447 22.25% 25.13% 52.63%-0.35 +9.5 21
2014-10-24 AB Gladsaxe W 2-142.2 1312 1235 53.81% 24.86% 21.33%+0.39 +4.6 18
2014-10-24 @ Skive L 1-242.2 1235 1312 21.33% 24.86% 53.81%-0.39 -4.6 8
2014-10-24 Bronshoj D 0-049.0 1332 1328 44.69% 26.39% 28.92%+0.05 -0.7 13
2014-10-24 @ FC Roskilde D 0-049.0 1328 1332 28.92% 26.39% 44.69%-0.05 +0.7 15
2014-10-24 Lyngby L 1-739.2 1312 1410 30.48% 26.55% 42.98%-0.45 -28.3 12
2014-10-24 @ HB Koge W 7-139.2 1410 1312 42.98% 26.55% 30.48%+0.45 +28.3 30
2014-10-24 Viborg W 1-047.1 1313 1453 25.57% 25.89% 48.54%-0.65 +9.4 24
2014-10-24 @ Vendsyssel L 0-147.1 1453 1313 48.54% 25.89% 25.57%+0.65 -9.4 27
2014-10-26 Vejle BK L 1-347.4 1330 1307 47.04% 26.11% 26.85%+0.13 -14.9 14
2014-10-26 @ Fredericia W 3-147.4 1307 1330 26.85% 26.11% 47.04%-0.13 +14.9 15
2014-11-01 Fredericia D 0-048.9 1328 1315 45.87% 26.26% 27.87%+0.09 -0.8 16
2014-11-01 @ Bronshoj D 0-048.9 1315 1328 27.87% 26.26% 45.87%-0.09 +0.8 15
2014-11-02 Aarhus GF W 3-039.2 1444 1437 44.94% 26.36% 28.69%+0.06 +17.1 30
2014-11-02 @ Viborg L 0-339.2 1437 1444 28.69% 26.36% 44.94%-0.06 -17.1 19
2014-11-02 FC Roskilde W 2-034.3 1438 1332 57.32% 23.92% 18.76%+0.54 +8.1 33
2014-11-02 @ Lyngby L 0-234.3 1332 1438 18.76% 23.92% 57.32%-0.54 -8.1 13
2014-11-02 HB Koge W 2-037.9 1231 1284 36.64% 26.79% 36.57%-0.23 +14.2 11
2014-11-02 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-237.9 1284 1231 36.57% 26.79% 36.64%+0.23 -14.2 12
2014-11-02 Skive D 2-260.9 1389 1316 53.42% 24.95% 21.63%+0.38 -1.0 22
2014-11-02 @ Horsens D 2-260.9 1316 1389 21.63% 24.95% 53.42%-0.38 +1.0 19
2014-11-02 Vendsyssel L 0-439.4 1322 1323 44.02% 26.46% 29.52%+0.02 -31.0 15
2014-11-02 @ Vejle BK W 4-039.4 1323 1322 29.52% 26.46% 44.02%-0.02 +31.0 27
2014-11-05 Horsens W 2-148.5 1354 1388 39.19% 26.75% 34.06%-0.14 +6.7 30
2014-11-05 @ Vendsyssel L 1-248.5 1388 1354 34.06% 26.75% 39.19%+0.14 -6.7 22
2014-11-06 Vejle BK W 4-031.1 1420 1291 59.77% 23.15% 17.08%+0.65 +14.0 22
2014-11-06 @ Aarhus GF L 0-431.1 1291 1420 17.08% 23.15% 59.77%-0.65 -14.0 15
2014-11-09 AB Gladsaxe L 2-452.1 1324 1245 54.09% 24.79% 21.12%+0.41 -15.0 13
2014-11-09 @ FC Roskilde W 4-252.1 1245 1324 21.12% 24.79% 54.09%-0.41 +15.0 14
2014-11-09 Bronshoj D 2-260.4 1360 1328 48.37% 25.92% 25.71%+0.18 -0.7 31
2014-11-09 @ Vendsyssel D 2-260.4 1328 1360 25.71% 25.92% 48.37%-0.18 +0.7 17
2014-11-09 Lyngby D 1-155.6 1316 1447 26.59% 26.07% 47.34%-0.61 +0.9 16
2014-11-09 @ Fredericia D 1-155.6 1447 1316 47.34% 26.07% 26.59%+0.61 -0.8 34
2014-11-09 Skive W 1-041.4 1269 1317 37.34% 26.79% 35.88%-0.21 +7.4 15
2014-11-09 @ HB Koge L 0-141.4 1317 1269 35.88% 26.79% 37.34%+0.21 -7.4 19
2014-11-10 Horsens D 1-157.8 1461 1382 54.14% 24.78% 21.08%+0.41 -1.4 31
2014-11-10 @ Viborg D 1-157.8 1382 1461 21.08% 24.78% 54.14%-0.41 +1.4 23
2014-11-14 FC Roskilde W 1-039.6 1310 1309 44.20% 26.44% 29.36%+0.03 +6.4 22
2014-11-14 @ Skive L 0-139.6 1309 1310 29.36% 26.44% 44.20%-0.03 -6.4 13
2014-11-15 Viborg L 0-138.1 1277 1460 21.37% 24.87% 53.77%-0.85 -4.8 15
2014-11-15 @ Vejle BK W 1-038.1 1460 1277 53.77% 24.87% 21.37%+0.85 +4.9 34
2014-11-16 Fredericia W 1-041.7 1260 1317 36.08% 26.79% 37.13%-0.25 +7.6 17
2014-11-16 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-141.7 1317 1260 37.13% 26.79% 36.08%+0.25 -7.6 16
2014-11-16 Vendsyssel W 2-145.0 1446 1360 54.96% 24.57% 20.47%+0.44 +4.4 37
2014-11-16 @ Lyngby L 1-245.0 1360 1446 20.47% 24.57% 54.96%-0.44 -4.4 31
2014-11-23 AB Gladsaxe L 0-146.8 1355 1267 55.14% 24.52% 20.33%+0.45 -10.4 31
2014-11-23 @ Vendsyssel W 1-046.8 1267 1355 20.33% 24.52% 55.14%-0.45 +10.4 20
2014-11-23 Bronshoj W 2-033.8 1464 1328 60.55% 22.88% 16.57%+0.68 +7.1 37
2014-11-23 @ Viborg L 0-233.8 1328 1464 16.57% 22.88% 60.55%-0.68 -7.1 17
2014-11-23 Lyngby W 1-045.1 1434 1450 41.85% 26.63% 31.52%-0.05 +6.7 25
2014-11-23 @ Aarhus GF L 0-145.1 1450 1434 31.52% 26.63% 41.85%+0.05 -6.7 37
2014-11-23 Skive D 1-153.7 1309 1316 43.05% 26.54% 30.41%-0.01 -0.5 17
2014-11-23 @ Fredericia D 1-153.7 1316 1309 30.41% 26.54% 43.05%+0.01 +0.5 23
2014-11-24 Horsens W 3-147.0 1272 1383 28.94% 26.39% 44.66%-0.51 +14.3 18
2014-11-24 @ Vejle BK L 1-347.0 1383 1272 44.66% 26.39% 28.94%+0.51 -14.3 23
2014-11-26 Aarhus GF L 1-246.8 1321 1441 27.87% 26.26% 45.87%-0.55 -5.8 17
2014-11-26 @ Bronshoj W 2-146.8 1441 1321 45.87% 26.26% 27.87%+0.55 +5.8 28
2014-11-30 Aarhus GF L 1-246.0 1308 1447 25.78% 25.93% 48.29%-0.64 -5.4 17
2014-11-30 @ Fredericia W 2-146.0 1447 1308 48.29% 25.93% 25.78%+0.64 +5.4 31
2014-11-30 HB Koge L 1-253.0 1369 1277 55.66% 24.39% 19.95%+0.47 -9.9 23
2014-11-30 @ Horsens W 2-153.0 1277 1369 19.95% 24.39% 55.66%-0.47 +9.9 18
2015-03-12 Viborg L 0-148.7 1443 1472 40.14% 26.72% 33.14%-0.11 -8.1 37
2015-03-12 @ Lyngby W 1-048.7 1472 1443 33.14% 26.72% 40.14%+0.11 +8.1 40
2015-03-13 Vendsyssel D 1-154.0 1317 1345 40.17% 26.72% 33.11%-0.11 -0.3 24
2015-03-13 @ Skive D 1-154.0 1345 1317 33.11% 26.72% 40.17%+0.11 +0.3 32
2015-03-14 Vejle BK L 0-144.9 1315 1287 47.85% 26.00% 26.15%+0.16 -9.3 17
2015-03-14 @ Bronshoj W 1-044.9 1287 1315 26.15% 26.00% 47.85%-0.16 +9.3 21
2015-03-15 Aarhus GF L 0-138.3 1278 1452 22.12% 25.09% 52.79%-0.81 -5.0 20
2015-03-15 @ AB Gladsaxe W 1-038.3 1452 1278 52.79% 25.09% 22.12%+0.81 +5.0 34
2015-03-15 FC Roskilde L 1-252.2 1359 1302 51.40% 25.38% 23.22%+0.30 -9.3 23
2015-03-15 @ Horsens W 2-152.2 1302 1359 23.22% 25.38% 51.40%-0.30 +9.3 16
2015-03-15 Fredericia D 0-048.4 1287 1303 41.79% 26.63% 31.58%-0.05 -0.5 19
2015-03-15 @ HB Koge D 0-048.4 1303 1287 31.58% 26.63% 41.79%+0.05 +0.5 18
2015-03-19 Lyngby D 1-155.2 1296 1435 25.66% 25.91% 48.43%-0.65 +1.0 22
2015-03-19 @ Vejle BK D 1-155.2 1435 1296 48.43% 25.91% 25.66%+0.65 -1.0 38
2015-03-20 AB Gladsaxe W 3-029.3 1480 1273 67.66% 20.02% 12.32%+1.02 +7.6 43
2015-03-20 @ Viborg L 0-329.3 1273 1480 12.32% 20.02% 67.66%-1.02 -7.5 20
2015-03-21 Horsens L 1-345.1 1306 1350 37.97% 26.78% 35.25%-0.18 -12.6 17
2015-03-21 @ Bronshoj W 3-145.1 1350 1306 35.25% 26.78% 37.97%+0.18 +12.6 26
2015-03-22 FC Roskilde L 0-338.8 1304 1312 42.94% 26.55% 30.51%-0.01 -23.3 18
2015-03-22 @ Fredericia W 3-038.8 1312 1304 30.51% 26.55% 42.94%+0.01 +23.3 19
2015-03-22 HB Koge D 0-049.0 1345 1286 51.67% 25.33% 23.00%+0.31 -1.3 33
2015-03-22 @ Vendsyssel D 0-049.0 1286 1345 23.00% 25.33% 51.67%-0.31 +1.3 20
2015-03-22 Skive D 2-262.7 1457 1316 61.03% 22.71% 16.26%+0.70 -1.5 35
2015-03-22 @ Aarhus GF D 2-262.7 1316 1457 16.26% 22.71% 61.03%-0.70 +1.5 25
2015-03-25 HB Koge L 0-145.6 1335 1288 50.24% 25.61% 24.15%+0.25 -9.6 19
2015-03-25 @ FC Roskilde W 1-045.6 1288 1335 24.15% 25.61% 50.24%-0.25 +9.7 23
2015-03-26 Bronshoj D 0-051.0 1434 1294 61.06% 22.70% 16.24%+0.70 -2.2 39
2015-03-26 @ Lyngby D 0-051.0 1294 1434 16.24% 22.70% 61.06%-0.70 +2.2 18
2015-03-27 Viborg D 0-051.7 1318 1487 22.58% 25.22% 52.20%-0.79 +1.4 26
2015-03-27 @ Skive D 0-051.7 1487 1318 52.20% 25.22% 22.58%+0.79 -1.4 44
2015-03-29 Fredericia D 1-154.4 1362 1280 54.48% 24.69% 20.83%+0.42 -1.4 27
2015-03-29 @ Horsens D 1-154.4 1280 1362 20.83% 24.69% 54.48%-0.42 +1.4 19
2015-03-29 Vendsyssel W 1-040.9 1325 1344 41.51% 26.65% 31.84%-0.06 +6.8 22
2015-03-29 @ FC Roskilde L 0-140.9 1344 1325 31.84% 26.65% 41.51%+0.06 -6.8 33
2015-04-02 AB Gladsaxe D 1-153.5 1296 1265 48.08% 25.96% 25.95%+0.17 -0.9 19
2015-04-02 @ Bronshoj D 1-153.5 1265 1296 25.95% 25.96% 48.08%-0.17 +0.9 21
2015-04-02 FC Roskilde W 1-037.4 1456 1332 59.19% 23.34% 17.47%+0.62 +4.0 38
2015-04-02 @ Aarhus GF L 0-137.4 1332 1456 17.47% 23.34% 59.19%-0.62 -4.0 22
2015-04-02 Fredericia D 0-048.9 1337 1282 51.22% 25.42% 23.36%+0.29 -1.3 34
2015-04-02 @ Vendsyssel D 0-048.9 1282 1337 23.36% 25.42% 51.22%-0.29 +1.3 20
2015-04-02 HB Koge W 2-031.9 1486 1297 65.92% 20.79% 13.29%+0.93 +5.7 47
2015-04-02 @ Viborg L 0-231.9 1297 1486 13.29% 20.79% 65.92%-0.93 -5.7 23
2015-04-02 Lyngby W 1-045.0 1361 1432 34.05% 26.75% 39.20%-0.32 +7.9 30
2015-04-02 @ Horsens L 0-145.0 1432 1361 39.20% 26.75% 34.05%+0.32 -7.9 39
2015-04-02 Skive W 2-146.5 1297 1319 40.97% 26.68% 32.35%-0.08 +6.5 25
2015-04-02 @ Vejle BK L 1-246.5 1319 1297 32.35% 26.68% 40.97%+0.08 -6.5 26
2015-04-05 Aarhus GF L 1-247.3 1336 1460 27.37% 26.19% 46.44%-0.57 -5.7 34
2015-04-05 @ Vendsyssel W 2-147.3 1460 1336 46.44% 26.19% 27.37%+0.57 +5.7 41
2015-04-06 Bronshoj W 1-039.5 1292 1295 43.60% 26.49% 29.91%+0.01 +6.5 26
2015-04-06 @ HB Koge L 0-139.5 1295 1292 29.91% 26.49% 43.60%-0.01 -6.5 19
2015-04-06 Horsens L 0-335.0 1266 1369 29.94% 26.50% 43.56%-0.47 -17.7 21
2015-04-06 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-035.0 1369 1266 43.56% 26.50% 29.94%+0.47 +17.7 33
2015-04-06 Lyngby W 1-045.6 1313 1424 28.86% 26.38% 44.75%-0.51 +8.8 29
2015-04-06 @ Skive L 0-145.6 1424 1313 44.75% 26.38% 28.86%+0.51 -8.8 39
2015-04-06 Vejle BK W 2-035.4 1328 1303 47.32% 26.08% 26.61%+0.14 +11.1 25
2015-04-06 @ FC Roskilde L 0-235.4 1303 1328 26.61% 26.08% 47.32%-0.14 -11.1 25
2015-04-06 Viborg L 1-243.8 1283 1491 19.11% 24.06% 56.82%-0.98 -4.1 20
2015-04-06 @ Fredericia W 2-143.8 1491 1283 56.82% 24.06% 19.11%+0.98 +4.1 50
2015-04-09 Vendsyssel D 0-053.2 1496 1330 63.63% 21.73% 14.63%+0.82 -2.4 51
2015-04-09 @ Viborg D 0-053.2 1330 1496 14.63% 21.73% 63.63%-0.82 +2.4 35
2015-04-11 FC Roskilde L 0-238.7 1288 1339 36.94% 26.79% 36.27%-0.22 -14.3 19
2015-04-11 @ Bronshoj W 2-038.7 1339 1288 36.27% 26.79% 36.94%+0.22 +14.3 28
2015-04-11 Fredericia W 4-034.0 1292 1279 45.86% 26.26% 27.88%+0.09 +21.8 28
2015-04-11 @ Vejle BK L 0-434.0 1279 1292 27.88% 26.26% 45.86%-0.09 -21.8 20
2015-04-11 HB Koge L 1-350.9 1415 1298 58.53% 23.55% 17.92%+0.59 -17.9 39
2015-04-11 @ Lyngby W 3-150.9 1298 1415 17.92% 23.55% 58.53%-0.59 +17.9 29
2015-04-12 Aarhus GF D 1-157.5 1386 1465 33.03% 26.71% 40.25%-0.35 +0.3 34
2015-04-12 @ Horsens D 1-157.5 1465 1386 40.25% 26.71% 33.03%+0.35 -0.3 42
2015-04-12 Skive W 2-148.3 1249 1322 33.79% 26.74% 39.46%-0.33 +7.5 24
2015-04-12 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-248.3 1322 1249 39.46% 26.74% 33.79%+0.33 -7.5 29
2015-04-16 Aarhus GF L 1-246.0 1316 1465 24.61% 25.70% 49.69%-0.69 -5.2 29
2015-04-16 @ HB Koge W 2-146.0 1465 1316 49.69% 25.70% 24.61%+0.69 +5.2 45
2015-04-16 Vejle BK D 0-048.9 1332 1314 46.47% 26.19% 27.34%+0.11 -0.9 36
2015-04-16 @ Vendsyssel D 0-048.9 1314 1332 27.34% 26.19% 46.47%-0.11 +0.9 29
2015-04-17 Horsens W 3-038.6 1314 1387 33.85% 26.75% 39.40%-0.32 +21.8 32
2015-04-17 @ Skive L 0-338.6 1387 1314 39.40% 26.75% 33.85%+0.32 -21.8 34
2015-04-17 Lyngby D 0-050.1 1353 1398 37.88% 26.78% 35.34%-0.19 -0.1 29
2015-04-17 @ FC Roskilde D 0-050.1 1398 1353 35.34% 26.78% 37.88%+0.19 +0.1 40
2015-04-19 AB Gladsaxe W 3-032.3 1311 1256 51.15% 25.43% 23.41%+0.29 +14.4 32
2015-04-19 @ HB Koge L 0-332.3 1256 1311 23.41% 25.43% 51.15%-0.29 -14.4 24
2015-04-19 Bronshoj D 0-048.0 1257 1274 41.71% 26.64% 31.66%-0.06 -0.4 21
2015-04-19 @ Fredericia D 0-048.0 1274 1257 31.66% 26.64% 41.71%+0.06 +0.5 20
2015-04-19 Viborg D 1-161.2 1470 1493 40.87% 26.68% 32.45%-0.09 -0.3 46
2015-04-19 @ Aarhus GF D 1-161.2 1493 1470 32.45% 26.68% 40.87%+0.09 +0.3 52
2015-04-22 Vejle BK D 1-153.2 1242 1315 33.74% 26.74% 39.52%-0.33 +0.2 25
2015-04-22 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-153.2 1315 1242 39.52% 26.74% 33.74%+0.33 -0.2 30
2015-04-24 HB Koge D 1-154.1 1336 1325 45.50% 26.30% 28.20%+0.08 -0.7 33
2015-04-24 @ Skive D 1-154.1 1325 1336 28.20% 26.30% 45.50%-0.08 +0.7 33
2015-04-25 Fredericia L 0-245.0 1398 1257 61.08% 22.69% 16.22%+0.71 -21.4 40
2015-04-25 @ Lyngby W 2-045.0 1257 1398 16.22% 22.69% 61.08%-0.71 +21.4 24
2015-04-25 Vendsyssel L 0-336.7 1275 1331 36.05% 26.79% 37.16%-0.25 -20.4 20
2015-04-25 @ Bronshoj W 3-036.7 1331 1275 37.16% 26.79% 36.05%+0.25 +20.4 39
2015-04-25 Viborg D 0-052.8 1365 1493 26.86% 26.11% 47.03%-0.59 +0.9 35
2015-04-25 @ Horsens D 0-052.8 1493 1365 47.03% 26.11% 26.86%+0.59 -0.9 53
2015-04-26 Aarhus GF L 1-342.4 1315 1470 24.01% 25.57% 50.42%-0.72 -8.8 30
2015-04-26 @ Vejle BK W 3-142.4 1470 1315 50.42% 25.57% 24.01%+0.72 +8.8 49
2015-04-26 FC Roskilde L 2-541.4 1242 1353 28.85% 26.38% 44.76%-0.51 -12.5 25
2015-04-26 @ AB Gladsaxe W 5-241.4 1353 1242 44.76% 26.38% 28.85%+0.51 +12.5 32
2015-04-30 Vejle BK D 3-367.2 1492 1306 65.70% 20.88% 13.41%+0.92 -1.4 54
2015-04-30 @ Viborg D 3-367.2 1306 1492 13.41% 20.88% 65.70%-0.92 +1.4 31
2015-05-02 Lyngby W 2-038.5 1352 1376 40.67% 26.69% 32.64%-0.09 +13.0 42
2015-05-02 @ Vendsyssel L 0-238.5 1376 1352 32.64% 26.69% 40.67%+0.09 -13.0 40
2015-05-03 AB Gladsaxe W 1-037.1 1278 1229 50.41% 25.57% 24.01%+0.26 +5.4 27
2015-05-03 @ Fredericia L 0-137.1 1229 1278 24.01% 25.57% 50.41%-0.26 -5.4 25
2015-05-03 Bronshoj W 4-028.6 1479 1254 69.30% 19.26% 11.45%+1.11 +9.1 52
2015-05-03 @ Aarhus GF L 0-428.6 1254 1479 11.45% 19.26% 69.30%-1.11 -9.1 20
2015-05-03 Horsens D 1-154.3 1326 1366 38.45% 26.77% 34.77%-0.17 -0.1 34
2015-05-03 @ HB Koge D 1-154.3 1366 1326 34.77% 26.77% 38.45%+0.17 +0.1 36
2015-05-03 Skive W 3-034.4 1366 1335 48.11% 25.96% 25.93%+0.17 +15.7 35
2015-05-03 @ FC Roskilde L 0-334.4 1335 1366 25.93% 25.96% 48.11%-0.17 -15.7 33
2015-05-07 Aarhus GF L 0-240.7 1382 1488 29.51% 26.45% 44.04%-0.49 -12.0 35
2015-05-07 @ FC Roskilde W 2-040.7 1488 1382 44.04% 26.45% 29.51%+0.49 +12.1 55
2015-05-08 Vejle BK D 1-153.8 1319 1308 45.65% 26.29% 28.06%+0.08 -0.7 34
2015-05-08 @ Skive D 1-153.8 1308 1319 28.06% 26.29% 45.65%-0.08 +0.7 32
2015-05-08 Viborg L 0-140.3 1326 1491 22.95% 25.32% 51.73%-0.77 -5.2 34
2015-05-08 @ HB Koge W 1-040.3 1491 1326 51.73% 25.32% 22.95%+0.77 +5.2 57
2015-05-10 Bronshoj D 1-152.9 1224 1245 41.13% 26.67% 32.20%-0.08 -0.4 26
2015-05-10 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-152.9 1245 1224 32.20% 26.67% 41.13%+0.08 +0.4 21
2015-05-10 Horsens W 2-146.9 1363 1366 43.66% 26.49% 29.85%+0.01 +6.1 43
2015-05-10 @ Lyngby L 1-246.9 1366 1363 29.85% 26.49% 43.66%-0.01 -6.1 36
2015-05-10 Vendsyssel D 1-153.9 1283 1365 32.66% 26.69% 40.64%-0.37 +0.3 28
2015-05-10 @ Fredericia D 1-153.9 1365 1283 40.64% 26.69% 32.66%+0.37 -0.3 43
2015-05-13 FC Roskilde W 1-039.3 1496 1370 59.55% 23.22% 17.23%+0.64 +4.0 60
2015-05-13 @ Viborg L 0-139.3 1370 1496 17.23% 23.22% 59.55%-0.64 -3.9 35
2015-05-14 AB Gladsaxe W 5-132.8 1369 1224 61.58% 22.51% 15.90%+0.73 +10.8 46
2015-05-14 @ Lyngby L 1-532.8 1224 1369 15.90% 22.51% 61.58%-0.73 -10.8 26
2015-05-14 Fredericia L 0-151.5 1500 1284 68.52% 19.62% 11.86%+1.07 -12.4 55
2015-05-14 @ Aarhus GF W 1-051.5 1284 1500 11.86% 19.62% 68.52%-1.07 +12.4 31
2015-05-14 HB Koge W 1-040.2 1308 1320 42.37% 26.59% 31.04%-0.03 +6.7 35
2015-05-14 @ Vejle BK L 0-140.2 1320 1308 31.04% 26.59% 42.37%+0.03 -6.7 34
2015-05-16 Skive D 0-048.2 1245 1319 33.76% 26.74% 39.50%-0.33 +0.2 22
2015-05-16 @ Bronshoj D 0-048.2 1319 1245 39.50% 26.74% 33.76%+0.33 -0.2 35
2015-05-17 Vendsyssel L 0-241.7 1360 1365 43.43% 26.51% 30.06%+0.00 -16.2 36
2015-05-17 @ Horsens W 2-041.7 1365 1360 30.06% 26.51% 43.43%+0.00 +16.2 46
2015-05-19 HB Koge D 1-157.8 1487 1314 64.42% 21.42% 14.16%+0.86 -2.2 56
2015-05-19 @ Aarhus GF D 1-157.8 1314 1487 14.16% 21.42% 64.42%-0.86 +2.2 35
2015-05-20 AB Gladsaxe W 3-137.7 1315 1213 56.81% 24.07% 19.12%+0.52 +7.1 38
2015-05-20 @ Vejle BK L 1-337.7 1213 1315 19.12% 24.07% 56.81%-0.52 -7.1 26
2015-05-20 FC Roskilde W 1-040.5 1381 1366 46.08% 26.24% 27.69%+0.10 +6.1 49
2015-05-20 @ Vendsyssel L 0-140.5 1366 1381 27.69% 26.24% 46.08%-0.10 -6.1 35
2015-05-20 Horsens D 1-153.8 1296 1344 37.37% 26.79% 35.84%-0.20 -0.1 32
2015-05-20 @ Fredericia D 1-153.8 1344 1296 35.84% 26.79% 37.37%+0.20 +0.1 37
2015-05-20 Lyngby L 1-244.5 1246 1380 26.18% 26.00% 47.82%-0.62 -5.5 22
2015-05-20 @ Bronshoj W 2-144.5 1380 1246 47.82% 26.00% 26.18%+0.62 +5.5 49
2015-05-20 Skive D 1-158.3 1500 1318 65.24% 21.08% 13.68%+0.90 -2.3 61
2015-05-20 @ Viborg D 1-158.3 1318 1500 13.68% 21.08% 65.24%-0.90 +2.3 36
2015-05-23 Aarhus GF D 1-156.7 1321 1485 23.07% 25.35% 51.59%-0.77 +1.2 37
2015-05-23 @ Skive D 1-156.7 1485 1321 51.59% 25.35% 23.07%+0.77 -1.2 57
2015-05-24 Bronshoj D 2-260.0 1344 1240 56.98% 24.02% 19.00%+0.53 -1.2 38
2015-05-24 @ Horsens D 2-260.0 1240 1344 19.00% 24.02% 56.98%-0.53 +1.2 23
2015-05-24 Fredericia W 2-034.2 1360 1296 52.24% 25.21% 22.55%+0.33 +9.6 38
2015-05-24 @ FC Roskilde L 0-234.2 1296 1360 22.55% 25.21% 52.24%-0.33 -9.6 32
2015-05-24 Vendsyssel W 4-038.7 1316 1387 34.12% 26.75% 39.13%-0.32 +28.3 38
2015-05-24 @ HB Koge L 0-438.7 1387 1316 39.13% 26.75% 34.12%+0.32 -28.3 49
2015-05-24 Viborg W 2-155.6 1206 1498 13.42% 20.89% 65.68%-1.38 +11.3 29
2015-05-24 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-255.6 1498 1206 65.68% 20.89% 13.42%+1.38 -11.3 61
2015-05-25 Vejle BK L 1-252.9 1386 1322 52.26% 25.21% 22.54%+0.33 -9.4 49
2015-05-25 @ Lyngby W 2-152.9 1322 1386 22.54% 25.21% 52.26%-0.33 +9.4 41
2015-05-30 Aarhus GF D 2-263.6 1376 1484 29.32% 26.44% 44.24%-0.49 +0.5 50
2015-05-30 @ Lyngby D 2-263.6 1484 1376 44.24% 26.44% 29.32%+0.49 -0.5 58
2015-05-30 FC Roskilde W 2-038.3 1344 1369 40.63% 26.70% 32.68%-0.09 +13.0 41
2015-05-30 @ HB Koge L 0-238.3 1369 1344 32.68% 26.70% 40.63%+0.09 -13.0 38
2015-05-30 Fredericia D 2-259.6 1322 1286 48.74% 25.86% 25.40%+0.20 -0.7 38
2015-05-30 @ Skive D 2-259.6 1286 1322 25.40% 25.86% 48.74%-0.20 +0.7 33
2015-05-30 Vejle BK D 2-260.1 1343 1331 45.56% 26.30% 28.14%+0.08 -0.5 39
2015-05-30 @ Horsens D 2-260.1 1331 1343 28.14% 26.30% 45.56%-0.08 +0.5 42
2015-05-30 Vendsyssel W 2-041.6 1217 1358 25.41% 25.86% 48.73%-0.66 +17.7 32
2015-05-30 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-241.6 1358 1217 48.73% 25.86% 25.41%+0.66 -17.7 49
2015-05-30 Viborg L 0-330.9 1241 1487 16.36% 22.77% 60.87%-1.16 -10.2 23
2015-05-30 @ Bronshoj W 3-030.9 1487 1241 60.87% 22.77% 16.36%+1.16 +10.2 64
2015-06-06 AB Gladsaxe W 5-339.7 1483 1235 71.47% 18.20% 10.34%+1.22 +3.1 61
2015-06-06 @ Aarhus GF L 3-539.7 1235 1483 10.34% 18.20% 71.47%-1.22 -3.1 32
2015-06-06 Bronshoj W 2-032.2 1332 1231 56.65% 24.11% 19.23%+0.51 +8.3 45
2015-06-06 @ Vejle BK L 0-232.2 1231 1332 19.23% 24.11% 56.65%-0.51 -8.3 23
2015-06-06 HB Koge D 1-153.8 1287 1357 34.18% 26.76% 39.06%-0.31 +0.2 34
2015-06-06 @ Fredericia D 1-153.8 1357 1287 39.06% 26.76% 34.18%+0.31 -0.2 42
2015-06-06 Horsens L 1-251.2 1356 1342 45.92% 26.26% 27.83%+0.09 -8.5 38
2015-06-06 @ FC Roskilde W 2-151.2 1342 1356 27.83% 26.26% 45.92%-0.09 +8.4 42
2015-06-06 Lyngby D 1-159.1 1497 1377 58.82% 23.46% 17.72%+0.60 -1.8 65
2015-06-06 @ Viborg D 1-159.1 1377 1497 17.72% 23.46% 58.82%-0.60 +1.8 51
2015-06-06 Skive L 1-251.0 1341 1321 46.65% 26.16% 27.18%+0.12 -8.5 49
2015-06-06 @ Vendsyssel W 2-151.0 1321 1341 27.18% 26.16% 46.65%-0.12 +8.6 41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-05-14 11.86% Fredericia 1284 1 @ Aarhus GF 1500 0
2 2015-05-24 13.42% @ AB Gladsaxe 1206 2 Viborg 1498 1
3 2014-09-18 15.89% Vejle BK 1319 1 @ Aarhus GF 1464 0
4 2015-04-25 16.22% Fredericia 1257 2 @ Lyngby 1398 0
5 2015-04-11 17.92% HB Koge 1298 3 @ Lyngby 1415 1
6 2014-11-30 19.95% HB Koge 1277 2 @ Horsens 1369 1
7 2014-11-23 20.33% AB Gladsaxe 1267 1 @ Vendsyssel 1355 0
8 2014-11-09 21.12% AB Gladsaxe 1245 4 @ FC Roskilde 1324 2
9 2014-10-23 22.25% Horsens 1380 2 @ Aarhus GF 1447 1
10 2015-05-25 22.54% Vejle BK 1322 2 @ Lyngby 1386 1
11 2014-10-15 22.81% Lyngby 1397 3 @ Aarhus GF 1458 2
12 2015-03-15 23.22% FC Roskilde 1302 2 @ Horsens 1359 1
13 2014-08-24 24.00% Vendsyssel 1302 1 @ Horsens 1351 0
14 2014-09-04 24.09% Vendsyssel 1305 2 @ Vejle BK 1353 0
15 2015-03-25 24.15% HB Koge 1288 1 @ FC Roskilde 1335 0
16 2014-08-10 24.57% Viborg 1401 2 @ Aarhus GF 1445 0
17 2015-05-30 25.41% @ AB Gladsaxe 1217 2 Vendsyssel 1358 0
18 2014-10-24 25.57% @ Vendsyssel 1313 1 Viborg 1453 0
19 2014-08-08 25.59% HB Koge 1335 3 @ Vejle BK 1369 1
20 2014-10-12 26.04% Bronshoj 1304 2 @ Skive 1334 0
21 2015-03-14 26.15% Vejle BK 1287 1 @ Bronshoj 1315 0
22 2014-10-05 26.43% Vendsyssel 1302 1 @ HB Koge 1328 0
23 2014-08-16 26.64% Vendsyssel 1293 1 @ Bronshoj 1317 0
24 2014-10-26 26.85% Vejle BK 1307 3 @ Fredericia 1330 1
25 2015-06-06 27.18% Skive 1321 2 @ Vendsyssel 1341 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-08-03 32.09 Aarhus GF 5 1413 38.25% @ Bronshoj 0 1348 34.97% 26.78%
2 2014-11-02 30.99 Vendsyssel 4 1323 29.52% @ Vejle BK 0 1322 44.02% 26.46%
3 2014-09-28 29.61 FC Roskilde 4 1294 31.84% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1275 41.51% 26.65%
4 2014-10-24 28.31 Lyngby 7 1410 42.98% @ HB Koge 1 1312 30.48% 26.55%
5 2015-05-24 28.30 @ HB Koge 4 1316 34.12% Vendsyssel 0 1387 39.13% 26.75%
6 2015-03-22 23.27 FC Roskilde 3 1312 30.51% @ Fredericia 0 1304 42.94% 26.55%
7 2015-04-11 21.83 @ Vejle BK 4 1292 45.86% Fredericia 0 1279 27.88% 26.26%
8 2015-04-17 21.78 @ Skive 3 1314 33.85% Horsens 0 1387 39.40% 26.75%
9 2015-04-25 21.39 Fredericia 2 1257 16.22% @ Lyngby 0 1398 61.08% 22.69%
10 2015-04-25 20.38 Vendsyssel 3 1331 37.16% @ Bronshoj 0 1275 36.05% 26.79%
11 2014-09-04 18.21 Vendsyssel 2 1305 24.09% @ Vejle BK 0 1353 50.32% 25.59%
12 2014-08-10 18.03 Viborg 2 1401 24.57% @ Aarhus GF 0 1445 49.74% 25.70%
13 2015-04-11 17.88 HB Koge 3 1298 17.92% @ Lyngby 1 1415 58.53% 23.55%
14 2014-08-24 17.80 Aarhus GF 5 1426 46.69% @ AB Gladsaxe 1 1300 27.15% 26.16%
15 2015-05-30 17.73 @ AB Gladsaxe 2 1217 25.41% Vendsyssel 0 1358 48.73% 25.86%
16 2015-04-06 17.70 Horsens 3 1369 43.56% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1266 29.94% 26.50%
17 2014-10-12 17.51 Bronshoj 2 1304 26.04% @ Skive 0 1334 47.98% 25.98%
18 2014-11-02 17.11 @ Viborg 3 1444 44.94% Aarhus GF 0 1437 28.69% 26.36%
19 2014-08-31 16.71 Horsens 2 1341 28.39% @ HB Koge 0 1350 45.28% 26.33%
20 2014-10-18 16.67 FC Roskilde 2 1316 28.50% @ Vejle BK 0 1324 45.16% 26.34%
21 2014-09-11 16.41 Aarhus GF 3 1448 46.56% @ Vendsyssel 0 1323 27.27% 26.18%
22 2014-08-03 16.18 Lyngby 2 1372 29.99% @ Horsens 0 1368 43.50% 26.50%
23 2014-09-14 16.16 @ Horsens 3 1358 47.15% Vejle BK 0 1335 26.75% 26.10%
24 2015-05-17 16.16 Vendsyssel 2 1365 30.06% @ Horsens 0 1360 43.43% 26.51%
25 2015-05-03 15.74 @ FC Roskilde 3 1366 48.11% Skive 0 1335 25.93% 25.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-04-30 67.2 @ Viborg 3 1492 65.70% Vejle BK 3 1306 13.41% 20.88%
2 2014-10-05 64.1 @ Horsens 3 1374 48.94% Fredericia 3 1337 25.23% 25.83%
3 2015-05-30 63.6 @ Lyngby 2 1376 29.32% Aarhus GF 2 1484 44.24% 26.44%
4 2014-09-05 63.2 @ Skive 3 1329 49.97% AB Gladsaxe 3 1284 24.38% 25.66%
5 2015-03-22 62.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1457 61.03% Skive 2 1316 16.26% 22.71%
6 2014-09-07 61.7 @ Viborg 2 1422 55.66% Fredericia 2 1330 19.95% 24.39%
7 2014-07-27 61.5 @ Aarhus GF 2 1414 54.99% FC Roskilde 2 1327 20.45% 24.56%
8 2015-04-19 61.2 @ Aarhus GF 1 1470 40.87% Viborg 1 1493 32.45% 26.68%
9 2014-11-02 60.9 @ Horsens 2 1389 53.42% Skive 2 1316 21.63% 24.95%
10 2014-10-15 60.7 Lyngby 3 1397 22.81% @ Aarhus GF 2 1458 51.91% 25.28%
11 2014-11-09 60.4 @ Vendsyssel 2 1360 48.37% Bronshoj 2 1328 25.71% 25.92%
12 2015-05-30 60.1 @ Horsens 2 1343 45.56% Vejle BK 2 1331 28.14% 26.30%
13 2015-05-24 60.0 @ Horsens 2 1344 56.98% Bronshoj 2 1240 19.00% 24.02%
14 2014-08-17 59.8 @ FC Roskilde 2 1307 37.55% Vejle BK 2 1353 35.66% 26.79%
15 2015-05-30 59.6 @ Skive 2 1322 48.74% Fredericia 2 1286 25.40% 25.86%
16 2014-08-03 59.3 @ AB Gladsaxe 2 1293 45.98% Vendsyssel 2 1279 27.77% 26.25%
17 2015-06-06 59.1 @ Viborg 1 1497 58.82% Lyngby 1 1377 17.72% 23.46%
18 2015-05-20 58.3 @ Viborg 1 1500 65.24% Skive 1 1318 13.68% 21.08%
19 2014-11-10 57.8 @ Viborg 1 1461 54.14% Horsens 1 1382 21.08% 24.78%
20 2015-05-19 57.8 @ Aarhus GF 1 1487 64.42% HB Koge 1 1314 14.16% 21.42%
21 2015-04-12 57.5 @ Horsens 1 1386 33.03% Aarhus GF 1 1465 40.25% 26.71%
22 2015-05-23 56.7 @ Skive 1 1321 23.07% Aarhus GF 1 1485 51.59% 25.35%
23 2014-10-06 56.6 @ Viborg 1 1448 59.48% Vejle BK 1 1322 17.27% 23.24%
24 2014-08-31 55.8 @ Viborg 1 1424 58.48% FC Roskilde 1 1307 17.95% 23.57%
25 2014-07-27 55.7 @ Viborg 1 1395 47.76% Horsens 1 1367 26.22% 26.01%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-05-03 28.6 @ Aarhus GF 4 1479 69.30% Bronshoj 0 1254 11.45% 19.26%
2 2015-03-20 29.3 @ Viborg 3 1480 67.66% AB Gladsaxe 0 1273 12.32% 20.02%
3 2015-05-30 30.9 Viborg 3 1487 60.87% @ Bronshoj 0 1241 16.36% 22.77%
4 2014-11-06 31.1 @ Aarhus GF 4 1420 59.77% Vejle BK 0 1291 17.08% 23.15%
5 2015-04-02 31.9 @ Viborg 2 1486 65.92% HB Koge 0 1297 13.29% 20.79%
6 2015-06-06 32.2 @ Vejle BK 2 1332 56.65% Bronshoj 0 1231 19.23% 24.11%
7 2015-04-19 32.3 @ HB Koge 3 1311 51.15% AB Gladsaxe 0 1256 23.41% 25.43%
8 2015-05-14 32.8 @ Lyngby 5 1369 61.58% AB Gladsaxe 1 1224 15.90% 22.51%
9 2014-11-23 33.8 @ Viborg 2 1464 60.55% Bronshoj 0 1328 16.57% 22.88%
10 2015-04-11 34.0 @ Vejle BK 4 1292 45.86% Fredericia 0 1279 27.88% 26.26%
11 2015-05-24 34.2 @ FC Roskilde 2 1360 52.24% Fredericia 0 1296 22.55% 25.21%
12 2014-11-02 34.3 @ Lyngby 2 1438 57.32% FC Roskilde 0 1332 18.76% 23.92%
13 2015-05-03 34.4 @ FC Roskilde 3 1366 48.11% Skive 0 1335 25.93% 25.96%
14 2014-10-17 34.5 @ Viborg 2 1445 57.39% Fredericia 0 1338 18.71% 23.90%
15 2014-09-14 34.6 @ Horsens 3 1358 47.15% Vejle BK 0 1335 26.75% 26.10%
16 2015-04-06 35.0 Horsens 3 1369 43.56% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1266 29.94% 26.50%
17 2015-04-06 35.4 @ FC Roskilde 2 1328 47.32% Vejle BK 0 1303 26.61% 26.08%
18 2014-09-28 35.7 @ Lyngby 2 1380 49.47% HB Koge 0 1338 24.79% 25.74%
19 2014-09-11 36.0 Aarhus GF 3 1448 46.56% @ Vendsyssel 0 1323 27.27% 26.18%
20 2014-09-12 36.0 Viborg 2 1421 48.04% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1285 25.99% 25.97%
21 2015-04-25 36.7 Vendsyssel 3 1331 37.16% @ Bronshoj 0 1275 36.05% 26.79%
22 2014-10-04 37.1 @ Bronshoj 1 1299 50.95% AB Gladsaxe 0 1246 23.57% 25.47%
23 2015-05-03 37.1 @ Fredericia 1 1278 50.41% AB Gladsaxe 0 1229 24.01% 25.57%
24 2014-10-19 37.2 @ Horsens 3 1374 60.14% AB Gladsaxe 1 1242 16.84% 23.02%
25 2014-07-25 37.4 @ Lyngby 1 1367 52.95% AB Gladsaxe 0 1298 22.00% 25.06%