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2015-16 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Lyngby

64 pts

Silkeborg · 63 pts

Horsens · 60 pts

Relegated

Vestsjaelland

withdrew

Biggest Overachiever

Silkeborg

11.92 points above expected

63 points · 51.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vestsjaelland

13.16 points below expected

7 points · 20.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lyngby Promoted 33 19 7 7 64 56 37 +19 55.72 +8.28
2 Silkeborg Promoted 33 18 9 6 63 53 29 +24 51.08 +11.92
3 Horsens Promoted 33 18 6 9 60 46 34 +12 53.20 +6.80
4 Vendsyssel 33 16 8 9 56 38 33 +5 47.74 +8.26
5 Vejle BK 33 16 5 12 53 50 46 +4 52.45 +0.55
6 Fredericia 33 12 11 10 47 42 45 -3 45.28 +1.72
7 Helsingor 33 14 5 14 47 34 42 -8 53.70 -6.70
8 HB Koge 33 13 6 14 45 31 35 -4 44.99 +0.01
9 FC Roskilde 33 10 9 14 39 48 58 -10 43.20 -4.20
10 Naestved 33 10 4 19 34 34 48 -14 40.51 -6.51
11 Skive 33 8 7 18 31 34 50 -16 39.82 -8.82
12 Vestsjaelland* Withdrew 33 2 7 24 7 19 28 -9 20.16 -13.16

* Point deductions: Vestsjaelland (-6 pts)

Notes

  • FC Vestsjaelland went bankrupt in the middle of the season, causing their 15 remaining matches to be forfeit losses. Their license was subsequently used as an amateur club in the Zealand Series.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Silkeborg 63 51.08 +11.92
2 Lyngby 64 55.72 +8.28
3 Vendsyssel 56 47.74 +8.26
4 Horsens 60 53.20 +6.80
5 Fredericia 47 45.28 +1.72

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vestsjaelland 7 20.16 -13.16
2 Skive 31 39.82 -8.82
3 Helsingor 47 53.70 -6.70
4 Naestved 34 40.51 -6.51
5 FC Roskilde 39 43.20 -4.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Koge 5 Nov 8 – Mar 13 1 in 277
2 Vendsyssel 5 Apr 24 – May 16 1 in 160
3 Horsens 5 Aug 16 – Sep 20 1 in 92
4 Silkeborg 5 Mar 28 – Apr 24 1 in 90
5 Naestved 2 Nov 29 – Mar 13 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vestsjaelland 16 Nov 29 – May 28 1 in 1,239,039
2 FC Roskilde 6 Oct 4 – Nov 13 1 in 112
3 Naestved 5 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 74
4 Vendsyssel 4 Nov 29 – Mar 17 1 in 73
5 HB Koge 4 Oct 18 – Nov 1 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vendsyssel 12 Aug 30 – Nov 12 1 in 213
2 Horsens 9 Aug 16 – Oct 9 1 in 84
3 Fredericia 7 Jul 26 – Sep 10 1 in 42
4 Silkeborg 7 Mar 20 – Apr 24 1 in 22
5 Lyngby 8 Sep 18 – Nov 5 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vestsjaelland 16 Nov 29 – May 28 1 in 1,222
2 Vendsyssel 10 Nov 12 – Apr 20 1 in 178
3 FC Roskilde 9 Sep 18 – Nov 18 1 in 52
4 Fredericia 6 Sep 10 – Oct 14 1 in 25
5 Naestved 6 Aug 2 – Sep 6 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lyngby 1465 61 -11 7 9.3 -2.3
Silkeborg 1497 57 +62 15 8.5 +6.5
Horsens 1432 54 -40 6 9.2 -3.2
Vendsyssel 1393 53 +30 12 6.9 +5.1
Vejle BK 1385 47 -16 7 7.0 +0.0
Fredericia 1338 44 -3 6 5.8 +0.2
HB Koge 1366 42 -23 4 6.2 -2.2
Helsingor 1371 41 +4 9 6.9 +2.1
FC Roskilde 1339 36 -10 5 6.6 -1.6
Naestved 1325 31 +31 7 5.6 +1.4
Skive 1288 28 -20 1 4.6 -3.6
Vestsjaelland 1354 13 -19 5 7.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR FRE HK HEL HOR LYN NAE SIL SKI VB VEN VES
FC Roskilde —
0-2-1
4.13
2-1-0
4.12
1-0-2
3.81
0-0-3
3.46
1-1-1
3.41
1-1-1
4.16
0-1-2
4.09
2-1-0
4.35
1-0-2
3.67
1-0-2
3.40
1-2-0
3.63
Fredericia
1-2-0
4.20
—
0-1-2
4.74
2-1-0
3.85
0-1-2
3.30
2-0-1
3.44
2-1-0
4.41
1-1-1
3.84
1-1-1
4.58
0-2-1
3.57
1-0-2
3.75
2-1-0
3.84
HB Koge
0-1-2
4.21
2-1-0
3.59
—
1-0-2
4.01
0-0-3
3.68
0-1-2
3.31
2-0-1
4.63
0-1-2
3.71
1-2-0
4.72
1-0-2
3.41
3-0-0
3.90
3-0-0
4.28
Helsingor
2-0-1
4.52
0-1-2
4.48
2-0-1
4.32
—
0-2-1
4.38
0-0-3
3.86
2-0-1
5.16
0-1-2
4.40
3-0-0
5.31
2-0-1
4.41
1-1-1
4.36
2-0-1
4.53
Horsens
3-0-0
4.89
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
4.65
1-2-0
3.95
—
1-1-1
4.18
0-0-3
5.00
1-1-1
4.23
3-0-0
4.83
0-0-3
4.30
1-1-1
4.36
3-0-0
5.15
Lyngby
1-1-1
4.92
1-0-2
4.91
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
4.49
1-1-1
4.15
—
3-0-0
5.42
2-0-1
4.80
1-2-0
5.76
3-0-0
4.74
1-0-2
4.68
1-2-0
4.85
Naestved
1-1-1
4.16
0-1-2
3.92
1-0-2
3.70
1-0-2
3.18
3-0-0
3.35
0-0-3
2.93
—
0-1-2
3.24
1-0-2
4.42
1-0-2
2.89
0-1-2
3.81
2-0-1
3.40
Silkeborg
2-1-0
4.25
1-1-1
4.50
2-1-0
4.63
2-1-0
3.93
1-1-1
4.09
1-0-2
3.54
2-1-0
5.11
—
2-1-0
5.26
2-0-1
4.47
0-2-1
4.41
3-0-0
4.71
Skive
0-1-2
3.98
1-1-1
3.75
0-2-1
3.62
0-0-3
3.04
0-0-3
3.53
0-2-1
2.61
2-0-1
3.92
0-1-2
3.09
—
1-0-2
3.22
1-0-2
3.75
3-0-0
3.72
Vejle BK
2-0-1
4.67
1-2-0
4.76
2-0-1
4.93
1-0-2
3.93
3-0-0
4.04
0-0-3
3.59
2-0-1
5.47
1-0-2
3.87
2-0-1
5.12
—
0-2-1
4.46
2-1-0
4.15
Vendsyssel
2-0-1
4.94
2-0-1
4.58
0-0-3
4.43
1-1-1
3.98
1-1-1
3.97
2-0-1
3.66
2-1-0
4.53
1-2-0
3.92
2-0-1
4.59
1-2-0
3.88
—
2-1-0
4.55
Vestsjaelland
0-2-1
4.70
0-1-2
4.50
0-0-3
4.05
1-0-2
3.80
0-0-3
3.18
0-2-1
3.48
1-0-2
4.94
0-0-3
3.63
0-0-3
4.61
0-1-2
4.19
0-1-2
3.77
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +12.5
Allowed 0.02 -2.6
Differential 0.62 +9.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%10.10%5.81%3.03%0.51%0.25%26.77%
110.10%9.60%6.06%4.04%0.51%0.25%30.56%
25.81%6.06%3.03%2.78%1.26%0.25%19.19%
33.03%4.04%2.78%0.51%0.76%—11.11%
40.51%0.51%1.26%0.76%1.01%—4.04%
5+0.25%0.25%0.25%——7.58%8.33%
Total26.77%30.56%19.19%11.11%4.04%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.15 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.54
CV 1.13 1.13 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
16.06%9.09%9.09%6.06%——30.30%
26.06%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———3.03%3.03%—6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%24.24%21.21%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.73 -0.30
SD 1.23 1.55 1.57
CV 0.86 0.90 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%6.06%6.06%——30.30%
19.09%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—27.27%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
43.03%———3.03%—6.06%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total30.30%27.27%18.18%12.12%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.33 -0.09
SD 1.25 1.36 1.53
CV 1.01 1.02 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%3.03%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
112.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total33.33%36.36%15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.03 -0.12
SD 0.98 1.13 1.63
CV 1.08 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%3.03%12.12%——39.39%
112.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
23.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
3—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total24.24%33.33%18.18%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.21 -0.24
SD 1.26 1.24 1.71
CV 1.30 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
112.12%12.12%3.03%6.06%—3.03%36.36%
215.15%6.06%——3.03%—24.24%
312.12%—3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
4———————
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total45.45%24.24%6.06%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.97 +0.36
SD 1.14 1.49 1.76
CV 0.85 1.54 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%———15.15%
118.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
29.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4—3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total36.36%24.24%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.09 +0.58
SD 1.38 1.18 1.37
CV 0.83 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
16.06%6.06%9.09%9.09%——30.30%
23.03%9.09%—6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
Total15.15%36.36%27.27%18.18%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 1.27 1.06 1.56
CV 1.27 0.75 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
19.09%18.18%3.03%———30.30%
23.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—3.03%——6.06%12.12%
Total24.24%51.52%18.18%——6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.82 +0.73
SD 1.62 0.81 1.59
CV 1.05 0.99 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%——33.33%
16.06%15.15%9.09%6.06%——36.36%
23.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
3—6.06%3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
4———————
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total12.12%42.42%24.24%12.12%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.48 -0.48
SD 1.06 1.15 1.28
CV 1.06 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%——3.03%21.21%
19.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
23.03%9.09%3.03%9.09%——24.24%
39.09%6.06%——3.03%—18.18%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+—————6.06%6.06%
Total27.27%27.27%15.15%18.18%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.33 +0.12
SD 1.35 1.45 1.75
CV 0.93 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
121.21%12.12%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—————3.03%3.03%
Total39.39%24.24%24.24%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.97 +0.15
SD 1.05 1.07 1.28
CV 0.94 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
1—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
2——3.03%—3.03%—6.06%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+—————45.45%45.45%
Total12.12%15.15%18.18%3.03%6.06%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.12 0.39 -0.27
SD 1.39 1.58 0.94
CV 11.44 4.01 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Silkeborg 1497 63 51.08 +11.92 94.0% 35 40 46 50 56 64 66
Lyngby 1465 64 55.72 +8.28 84.0% 34 42 50 55 61 67 76
Horsens 1432 60 53.20 +6.80 84.0% 36 41 47 54 58 65 70
Vendsyssel 1393 56 47.74 +8.26 89.0% 25 36 42 48 53 58 67
Vejle BK 1385 53 52.45 +0.55 59.0% 33 40 48 52 57 63 67
Helsingor 1371 47 53.70 -6.70 26.0% 37 41 47 53 59 68 75
HB Koge 1366 45 44.99 +0.01 50.0% 30 33 39 45 50 59 62
Vestsjaelland 1354 7 20.16 -13.16 1.0% 7 11 16 20 24 29 31
FC Roskilde 1339 39 43.20 -4.20 30.0% 26 31 39 43 48 55 58
Fredericia 1338 47 45.28 +1.72 62.0% 29 31 39 45 51 59 62
Naestved 1325 34 40.51 -6.51 16.0% 23 30 36 39 45 53 59
Skive 1288 31 39.82 -8.82 10.0% 22 29 35 40 44 50 56

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.04%
No Edge
41.41%21.21%37.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 12.29 Elo pts.
356 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Lyngby, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.8 * Some Luck: 5.8 to 8.71 * Lucky: 8.71 to 11.61 * Wild Swing: 11.61 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.43 * Off: 2.43 to 3.25 * Way Off: 3.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.55 points
Some Luck
07.2518
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.035
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Silkeborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Vestsjaelland
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected 0.0
0 of 1
As Expected
01

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 60.08
2.10
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
77%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.21
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.08
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
37%
Very Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Shaky
0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Lyngby29.00%20.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Silkeborg10.00%15.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%——
Horsens19.00%20.00%14.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%—
Vendsyssel2.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Vejle BK15.00%11.00%10.00%21.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%—
Fredericia5.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%1.00%
Helsingor17.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
HB Koge2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%—
FC Roskilde—2.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%14.00%11.00%20.00%15.00%—
Naestved1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%12.00%8.00%15.00%28.00%21.00%—
Skive—1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%19.00%16.00%18.00%28.00%—
Vestsjaelland——————————2.00%98.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Lyngby 63.00% 37.00% —
Horsens 53.00% 47.00% —
Helsingor 43.00% 57.00% —
Silkeborg 39.00% 61.00% —
Vejle BK 36.00% 64.00% —
Vendsyssel 23.00% 76.00% 1.00%
HB Koge 15.00% 85.00% —
Fredericia 15.00% 84.00% 1.00%
FC Roskilde 6.00% 94.00% —
Naestved 4.00% 96.00% —
Skive 3.00% 97.00% —
Vestsjaelland — 2.00% 98.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-07-23 HB Koge W 1-041.3 1386 1374 46.76% 22.26% 30.98%+0.07 +6.2 3
2015-07-23 @ Lyngby L 0-141.3 1374 1386 30.98% 22.26% 46.76%-0.07 -6.2 0
2015-07-25 Vestsjaelland W 2-149.6 1384 1421 39.96% 22.50% 37.54%-0.07 +6.8 3
2015-07-25 @ Silkeborg L 1-249.6 1421 1384 37.54% 22.50% 39.96%+0.07 -6.8 0
2015-07-26 Fredericia D 1-156.8 1365 1336 49.03% 22.10% 28.87%+0.12 -0.8 1
2015-07-26 @ Vejle BK D 1-156.8 1336 1365 28.87% 22.10% 49.03%-0.12 +0.8 1
2015-07-26 Helsingor W 3-039.5 1369 1452 33.56% 22.40% 44.04%-0.20 +22.4 3
2015-07-26 @ FC Roskilde L 0-339.5 1452 1369 44.04% 22.40% 33.56%+0.20 -22.4 0
2015-07-26 Horsens W 2-146.8 1373 1371 45.57% 22.33% 32.10%+0.04 +6.0 3
2015-07-26 @ Naestved L 1-246.8 1371 1373 32.10% 22.33% 45.57%-0.04 -6.0 0
2015-07-26 Vendsyssel L 0-240.2 1359 1361 45.02% 22.36% 32.62%+0.03 -15.7 0
2015-07-26 @ Skive W 2-040.2 1361 1359 32.62% 22.36% 45.02%-0.03 +15.7 3
2015-08-01 Vejle BK D 2-263.6 1414 1364 51.77% 21.84% 26.39%+0.18 -0.8 1
2015-08-01 @ Vestsjaelland D 2-263.6 1364 1414 26.39% 21.84% 51.77%-0.18 +0.8 2
2015-08-02 FC Roskilde W 4-036.5 1337 1391 37.54% 22.50% 39.97%-0.12 +27.1 4
2015-08-02 @ Fredericia L 0-436.5 1391 1337 39.97% 22.50% 37.54%+0.12 -27.1 3
2015-08-02 Lyngby L 2-449.0 1365 1392 41.40% 22.48% 36.13%-0.04 -11.4 0
2015-08-02 @ Horsens W 4-249.0 1392 1365 36.13% 22.48% 41.40%+0.04 +11.4 6
2015-08-02 Naestved W 2-146.2 1430 1379 51.82% 21.83% 26.35%+0.18 +5.1 3
2015-08-02 @ Helsingor L 1-246.2 1379 1430 26.35% 21.83% 51.82%-0.18 -5.1 3
2015-08-02 Silkeborg D 1-157.8 1376 1391 43.24% 22.43% 34.33%-0.01 -0.3 4
2015-08-02 @ Vendsyssel D 1-157.8 1391 1376 34.33% 22.43% 43.24%+0.01 +0.4 4
2015-08-02 Skive D 1-156.9 1368 1344 48.47% 22.14% 29.39%+0.10 -0.8 1
2015-08-02 @ HB Koge D 1-156.9 1344 1368 29.39% 22.14% 48.47%-0.10 +0.8 1
2015-08-07 HB Koge W 1-041.4 1364 1367 44.80% 22.37% 32.84%+0.03 +6.5 6
2015-08-07 @ FC Roskilde L 0-141.4 1367 1364 32.84% 22.37% 44.80%-0.03 -6.5 1
2015-08-07 Horsens W 3-033.5 1365 1353 46.79% 22.26% 30.95%+0.07 +16.9 5
2015-08-07 @ Vejle BK L 0-333.5 1353 1365 30.95% 22.26% 46.79%-0.07 -16.9 0
2015-08-07 Vestsjaelland W 3-145.4 1344 1414 35.46% 22.46% 42.08%-0.16 +12.9 4
2015-08-07 @ Skive L 1-345.4 1414 1344 42.08% 22.46% 35.46%+0.16 -12.9 1
2015-08-09 Helsingor W 1-045.6 1364 1435 35.25% 22.46% 42.30%-0.16 +7.9 7
2015-08-09 @ Fredericia L 0-145.6 1435 1364 42.30% 22.46% 35.25%+0.16 -7.9 3
2015-08-09 Silkeborg W 1-042.0 1403 1391 46.88% 22.25% 30.86%+0.07 +6.2 9
2015-08-09 @ Lyngby L 0-142.0 1391 1403 30.86% 22.25% 46.88%-0.07 -6.2 4
2015-08-09 Vendsyssel L 0-145.4 1374 1376 44.96% 22.36% 32.68%+0.03 -8.3 3
2015-08-09 @ Naestved W 1-045.4 1376 1374 32.68% 22.36% 44.96%-0.03 +8.3 7
2015-08-15 Fredericia D 0-053.4 1401 1372 49.02% 22.10% 28.88%+0.11 -0.9 2
2015-08-15 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-053.4 1372 1401 28.88% 22.10% 49.02%-0.11 +0.9 8
2015-08-16 FC Roskilde W 1-042.4 1336 1371 40.38% 22.49% 37.13%-0.06 +7.2 3
2015-08-16 @ Horsens L 0-142.4 1371 1336 37.13% 22.49% 40.38%+0.06 -7.2 6
2015-08-16 Lyngby W 2-148.9 1384 1410 41.70% 22.47% 35.83%-0.04 +6.6 10
2015-08-16 @ Vendsyssel L 1-248.9 1410 1384 35.83% 22.47% 41.70%+0.04 -6.6 9
2015-08-16 Naestved W 2-036.7 1361 1366 44.49% 22.38% 33.13%+0.02 +12.3 4
2015-08-16 @ HB Koge L 0-236.7 1366 1361 33.13% 22.38% 44.49%-0.02 -12.3 3
2015-08-16 Skive W 2-145.7 1385 1357 48.87% 22.11% 29.02%+0.11 +5.5 7
2015-08-16 @ Silkeborg L 1-245.7 1357 1385 29.02% 22.11% 48.87%-0.11 -5.5 4
2015-08-16 Vejle BK W 3-141.8 1427 1382 51.14% 21.90% 26.95%+0.16 +9.0 6
2015-08-16 @ Helsingor L 1-341.8 1382 1427 26.95% 21.90% 51.14%-0.16 -9.0 5
2015-08-19 Silkeborg W 2-038.6 1343 1390 38.62% 22.50% 38.88%-0.10 +14.0 6
2015-08-19 @ Horsens L 0-238.6 1390 1343 38.88% 22.50% 38.62%+0.10 -14.0 7
2015-08-20 Naestved W 1-040.5 1373 1354 47.79% 22.19% 30.01%+0.09 +6.0 8
2015-08-20 @ Vejle BK L 0-140.5 1354 1373 30.01% 22.19% 47.79%-0.09 -6.0 3
2015-08-23 FC Roskilde D 0-053.3 1400 1364 49.99% 22.02% 27.99%+0.14 -1.0 3
2015-08-23 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-053.3 1364 1400 27.99% 22.02% 49.99%-0.14 +1.0 7
2015-08-23 Lyngby W 3-144.1 1373 1403 41.03% 22.48% 36.49%-0.05 +11.5 11
2015-08-23 @ Fredericia L 1-344.1 1403 1373 36.49% 22.48% 41.03%+0.05 -11.5 9
2015-08-23 Skive W 1-039.1 1436 1352 55.89% 21.30% 22.80%+0.27 +4.8 9
2015-08-23 @ Helsingor L 0-139.1 1352 1436 22.80% 21.30% 55.89%-0.27 -4.8 4
2015-08-23 Vendsyssel W 2-037.9 1373 1391 42.74% 22.44% 34.82%-0.02 +12.8 7
2015-08-23 @ HB Koge L 0-237.9 1391 1373 34.82% 22.44% 42.74%+0.02 -12.8 10
2015-08-26 HB Koge D 0-053.1 1376 1386 43.87% 22.41% 33.72%+0.01 -0.4 8
2015-08-26 @ Silkeborg D 0-053.1 1386 1376 33.72% 22.41% 43.87%-0.01 +0.4 8
2015-08-28 Helsingor W 4-143.2 1391 1441 38.25% 22.50% 39.25%-0.10 +17.2 12
2015-08-28 @ Lyngby L 1-443.2 1441 1391 39.25% 22.50% 38.25%+0.10 -17.2 9
2015-08-28 Horsens L 0-239.6 1347 1357 43.76% 22.41% 33.83%+0.01 -15.4 4
2015-08-28 @ Skive W 2-039.6 1357 1347 33.83% 22.41% 43.76%-0.01 +15.4 9
2015-08-30 Fredericia L 0-238.9 1348 1385 40.03% 22.50% 37.47%-0.07 -14.3 3
2015-08-30 @ Naestved W 2-038.9 1385 1348 37.47% 22.50% 40.03%+0.07 +14.3 14
2015-08-30 Vestsjaelland W 4-247.5 1378 1399 42.32% 22.45% 35.22%-0.02 +10.0 13
2015-08-30 @ Vendsyssel L 2-447.5 1399 1378 35.22% 22.45% 42.32%+0.02 -10.0 3
2015-08-30 Vejle BK L 1-250.1 1365 1379 43.23% 22.43% 34.34%-0.01 -7.6 7
2015-08-30 @ FC Roskilde W 2-150.1 1379 1365 34.34% 22.43% 43.23%+0.01 +7.6 11
2015-09-06 FC Roskilde D 1-156.6 1333 1357 41.90% 22.47% 35.63%-0.03 -0.2 4
2015-09-06 @ Naestved D 1-156.6 1357 1333 35.63% 22.47% 41.90%+0.03 +0.2 8
2015-09-06 Vestsjaelland W 2-147.5 1386 1389 44.87% 22.36% 32.77%+0.03 +6.1 11
2015-09-06 @ HB Koge L 1-247.5 1389 1386 32.77% 22.36% 44.87%-0.03 -6.1 3
2015-09-06 Vejle BK W 3-251.8 1409 1387 48.17% 22.17% 29.66%+0.10 +5.3 15
2015-09-06 @ Lyngby L 2-351.8 1387 1409 29.66% 22.17% 48.17%-0.10 -5.3 11
2015-09-07 Helsingor W 1-044.6 1376 1424 38.49% 22.50% 39.01%-0.10 +7.4 11
2015-09-07 @ Silkeborg L 0-144.6 1424 1376 39.01% 22.50% 38.49%+0.10 -7.4 9
2015-09-10 Lyngby W 2-039.7 1357 1414 37.21% 22.49% 40.30%-0.12 +14.4 11
2015-09-10 @ FC Roskilde L 0-239.7 1414 1357 40.30% 22.49% 37.21%+0.12 -14.4 15
2015-09-10 Silkeborg D 1-158.1 1399 1383 47.30% 22.23% 30.47%+0.08 -0.7 15
2015-09-10 @ Fredericia D 1-158.1 1383 1399 30.47% 22.23% 47.30%-0.08 +0.7 12
2015-09-13 HB Koge W 3-035.6 1373 1392 42.48% 22.45% 35.07%-0.02 +18.7 12
2015-09-13 @ Horsens L 0-335.6 1392 1373 35.07% 22.45% 42.48%+0.02 -18.7 11
2015-09-13 Naestved L 0-242.0 1383 1333 51.71% 21.85% 26.45%+0.17 -17.7 3
2015-09-13 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-042.0 1333 1383 26.45% 21.85% 51.71%-0.17 +17.7 7
2015-09-13 Skive W 3-139.8 1381 1332 51.70% 21.85% 26.46%+0.17 +8.8 14
2015-09-13 @ Vejle BK L 1-339.8 1332 1381 26.46% 21.85% 51.70%-0.17 -8.9 4
2015-09-13 Vendsyssel D 2-264.1 1416 1388 48.94% 22.11% 28.95%+0.11 -0.6 10
2015-09-13 @ Helsingor D 2-264.1 1388 1416 28.95% 22.11% 48.94%-0.11 +0.6 14
2015-09-17 Vejle BK L 0-240.9 1384 1390 44.36% 22.39% 33.25%+0.02 -15.5 12
2015-09-17 @ Silkeborg W 2-040.9 1390 1384 33.25% 22.39% 44.36%-0.02 +15.5 17
2015-09-18 FC Roskilde D 1-156.6 1323 1372 38.32% 22.50% 39.18%-0.10 +0.0 5
2015-09-18 @ Skive D 1-156.6 1372 1323 39.18% 22.50% 38.32%+0.10 -0.0 12
2015-09-18 Fredericia W 3-252.9 1389 1398 43.90% 22.40% 33.70%+0.01 +5.9 17
2015-09-18 @ Vendsyssel L 2-352.9 1398 1389 33.70% 22.40% 43.90%-0.01 -5.9 15
2015-09-18 Naestved W 3-140.5 1400 1351 51.61% 21.86% 26.53%+0.17 +8.9 18
2015-09-18 @ Lyngby L 1-340.5 1351 1400 26.53% 21.86% 51.61%-0.17 -8.9 7
2015-09-20 Helsingor L 0-437.4 1374 1416 39.34% 22.50% 38.16%-0.08 -26.8 11
2015-09-20 @ HB Koge W 4-037.4 1416 1374 38.16% 22.50% 39.34%+0.08 +26.8 13
2015-09-20 Vestsjaelland W 1-040.7 1392 1365 48.75% 22.12% 29.13%+0.11 +5.9 15
2015-09-20 @ Horsens L 0-140.7 1365 1392 29.13% 22.12% 48.75%-0.11 -5.9 3
2015-09-26 Vendsyssel D 1-158.5 1406 1395 46.68% 22.27% 31.05%+0.07 -0.6 18
2015-09-26 @ Vejle BK D 1-158.5 1395 1406 31.05% 22.27% 46.68%-0.07 +0.6 18
2015-09-27 HB Koge D 0-052.9 1392 1347 51.16% 21.90% 26.94%+0.16 -1.1 16
2015-09-27 @ Fredericia D 0-052.9 1347 1392 26.94% 21.90% 51.16%-0.16 +1.1 12
2015-09-27 Horsens D 1-159.6 1442 1397 51.10% 21.91% 26.99%+0.16 -1.0 14
2015-09-27 @ Helsingor D 1-159.6 1397 1442 26.99% 21.91% 51.10%-0.16 +1.0 16
2015-09-27 Lyngby D 1-157.7 1359 1409 38.25% 22.50% 39.25%-0.10 +0.0 4
2015-09-27 @ Vestsjaelland D 1-157.7 1409 1359 39.25% 22.50% 38.25%+0.10 -0.0 19
2015-09-27 Silkeborg D 2-262.8 1372 1368 45.64% 22.33% 32.03%+0.04 -0.4 13
2015-09-27 @ FC Roskilde D 2-262.8 1368 1372 32.03% 22.33% 45.64%-0.04 +0.4 13
2015-09-27 Skive L 0-145.0 1342 1323 47.76% 22.20% 30.04%+0.09 -8.8 7
2015-09-27 @ Naestved W 1-045.0 1323 1342 30.04% 22.20% 47.76%-0.09 +8.8 8
2015-09-30 Fredericia W 2-039.0 1332 1391 36.80% 22.49% 40.71%-0.13 +14.5 11
2015-09-30 @ Skive L 0-239.0 1391 1332 40.71% 22.49% 36.80%+0.13 -14.5 16
2015-09-30 Horsens D 1-158.3 1395 1398 44.77% 22.37% 32.87%+0.03 -0.5 19
2015-09-30 @ Vendsyssel D 1-158.3 1398 1395 32.87% 22.37% 44.77%-0.03 +0.5 17
2015-10-03 Fredericia D 1-158.0 1399 1377 48.18% 22.17% 29.66%+0.10 -0.7 18
2015-10-03 @ Horsens D 1-158.0 1377 1399 29.66% 22.17% 48.18%-0.10 +0.7 17
2015-10-04 FC Roskilde W 1-041.0 1395 1371 48.35% 22.15% 29.50%+0.10 +5.9 22
2015-10-04 @ Vendsyssel L 0-141.0 1371 1395 29.50% 22.15% 48.35%-0.10 -5.9 13
2015-10-04 HB Koge L 0-147.5 1405 1348 52.60% 21.75% 25.65%+0.19 -9.5 18
2015-10-04 @ Vejle BK W 1-047.5 1348 1405 25.65% 21.75% 52.60%-0.19 +9.5 15
2015-10-04 Helsingor W 3-039.0 1359 1441 33.72% 22.41% 43.88%-0.20 +22.4 7
2015-10-04 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-339.0 1441 1359 43.88% 22.41% 33.72%+0.20 -22.4 14
2015-10-04 Skive W 1-039.3 1408 1346 53.28% 21.66% 25.06%+0.21 +5.2 22
2015-10-04 @ Lyngby L 0-139.3 1346 1408 25.06% 21.66% 53.28%-0.21 -5.2 11
2015-10-05 Naestved D 1-156.8 1369 1333 49.93% 22.02% 28.05%+0.13 -0.9 14
2015-10-05 @ Silkeborg D 1-156.8 1333 1369 28.05% 22.02% 49.93%-0.13 +0.9 8
2015-10-09 Horsens L 0-238.2 1341 1398 37.14% 22.49% 40.37%-0.13 -13.5 11
2015-10-09 @ Skive W 2-038.2 1398 1341 40.37% 22.49% 37.14%+0.13 +13.5 21
2015-10-11 Lyngby L 0-147.4 1419 1414 45.93% 22.31% 31.76%+0.05 -8.5 14
2015-10-11 @ Helsingor W 1-047.4 1414 1419 31.76% 22.31% 45.93%-0.05 +8.5 25
2015-10-14 Vejle BK L 0-145.1 1377 1395 42.70% 22.44% 34.85%-0.02 -8.0 17
2015-10-14 @ Fredericia W 1-045.1 1395 1377 34.85% 22.44% 42.70%+0.02 +8.0 21
2015-10-17 Helsingor D 0-053.4 1368 1410 39.23% 22.50% 38.27%-0.08 -0.0 15
2015-10-17 @ Silkeborg D 0-053.4 1410 1368 38.27% 22.50% 39.23%+0.08 +0.0 15
2015-10-18 FC Roskilde W 3-140.9 1422 1365 52.59% 21.75% 25.66%+0.19 +8.6 28
2015-10-18 @ Lyngby L 1-340.9 1365 1422 25.66% 21.75% 52.59%-0.19 -8.6 13
2015-10-18 Fredericia L 0-145.9 1382 1369 46.84% 22.26% 30.90%+0.07 -8.6 7
2015-10-18 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-045.9 1369 1382 30.90% 22.26% 46.84%-0.07 +8.6 20
2015-10-18 HB Koge W 1-041.7 1334 1358 41.92% 22.46% 35.61%-0.03 +6.9 11
2015-10-18 @ Naestved L 0-141.7 1358 1334 35.61% 22.46% 41.92%+0.03 -6.9 15
2015-10-18 Skive L 2-357.9 1403 1327 54.91% 21.45% 23.64%+0.25 -8.9 21
2015-10-18 @ Vejle BK W 3-257.9 1327 1403 23.64% 21.45% 54.91%-0.25 +8.8 14
2015-10-18 Vendsyssel L 0-147.1 1412 1401 46.68% 22.27% 31.06%+0.07 -8.6 21
2015-10-18 @ Horsens W 1-047.1 1401 1412 31.06% 22.27% 46.68%-0.07 +8.6 25
2015-10-21 Silkeborg L 1-249.6 1351 1368 42.82% 22.44% 34.74%-0.01 -7.5 15
2015-10-21 @ HB Koge W 2-149.6 1368 1351 34.74% 22.44% 42.82%+0.01 +7.5 18
2015-10-22 Vestsjaelland D 4-469.6 1431 1373 52.72% 21.73% 25.55%+0.20 -0.6 29
2015-10-22 @ Lyngby D 4-469.6 1373 1431 25.55% 21.73% 52.72%-0.20 +0.6 8
2015-10-22 Vejle BK W 2-037.4 1409 1395 47.19% 22.23% 30.58%+0.08 +11.5 28
2015-10-22 @ Vendsyssel L 0-237.4 1395 1409 30.58% 22.23% 47.19%-0.08 -11.5 21
2015-10-23 Fredericia L 1-248.5 1336 1378 39.34% 22.50% 38.16%-0.08 -7.1 14
2015-10-23 @ Skive W 2-148.5 1378 1336 38.16% 22.50% 39.34%+0.08 +7.0 23
2015-10-25 Horsens L 0-142.9 1343 1403 36.76% 22.49% 40.76%-0.13 -7.1 15
2015-10-25 @ HB Koge W 1-042.9 1403 1343 40.76% 22.49% 36.76%+0.13 +7.1 24
2015-10-25 Naestved W 1-039.0 1411 1341 54.15% 21.55% 24.30%+0.23 +5.0 18
2015-10-25 @ Helsingor L 0-139.0 1341 1411 24.30% 21.55% 54.15%-0.23 -5.0 11
2015-10-25 Silkeborg L 2-354.6 1357 1375 42.61% 22.45% 34.94%-0.02 -7.1 13
2015-10-25 @ FC Roskilde W 3-254.6 1375 1357 34.94% 22.45% 42.61%+0.02 +7.1 21
2015-10-28 Naestved D 0-053.4 1421 1336 55.96% 21.29% 22.74%+0.27 -1.5 29
2015-10-28 @ Vendsyssel D 0-053.4 1336 1421 22.74% 21.29% 55.96%-0.27 +1.5 12
2015-10-31 Lyngby L 1-250.1 1383 1430 38.51% 22.50% 38.99%-0.10 -6.9 21
2015-10-31 @ Silkeborg W 2-150.1 1430 1383 38.99% 22.50% 38.51%+0.10 +6.9 32
2015-11-01 FC Roskilde W 2-146.6 1337 1350 43.53% 22.42% 34.05%+0.00 +6.3 15
2015-11-01 @ Naestved L 1-246.6 1350 1337 34.05% 22.42% 43.53%+0.00 -6.3 13
2015-11-01 HB Koge W 3-140.0 1383 1336 51.38% 21.88% 26.74%+0.17 +8.9 24
2015-11-01 @ Vejle BK L 1-340.0 1336 1383 26.74% 21.88% 51.38%-0.17 -8.9 15
2015-11-01 Helsingor D 0-054.5 1410 1416 44.46% 22.38% 33.16%+0.02 -0.5 25
2015-11-01 @ Horsens D 0-054.5 1416 1410 33.16% 22.38% 44.46%-0.02 +0.5 19
2015-11-01 Skive L 0-146.3 1374 1329 51.03% 21.92% 27.05%+0.16 -9.3 8
2015-11-01 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-046.3 1329 1374 27.05% 21.92% 51.03%-0.16 +9.3 17
2015-11-01 Vendsyssel L 1-250.5 1385 1419 40.42% 22.49% 37.09%-0.06 -7.2 23
2015-11-01 @ Fredericia W 2-150.5 1419 1385 37.09% 22.49% 40.42%+0.06 +7.2 32
2015-11-05 Naestved W 2-034.0 1437 1344 56.93% 21.14% 21.93%+0.30 +8.6 35
2015-11-05 @ Lyngby L 0-234.0 1344 1437 21.93% 21.14% 56.93%-0.30 -8.6 15
2015-11-06 Horsens L 0-142.7 1343 1410 35.86% 22.47% 41.67%-0.15 -7.0 13
2015-11-06 @ FC Roskilde W 1-042.7 1410 1343 41.67% 22.47% 35.86%+0.15 +7.0 28
2015-11-08 Fredericia W 2-148.4 1327 1378 38.05% 22.50% 39.45%-0.11 +7.1 18
2015-11-08 @ HB Koge L 1-248.4 1378 1327 39.45% 22.50% 38.05%+0.11 -7.1 23
2015-11-08 Skive W 1-038.6 1427 1338 56.32% 21.24% 22.44%+0.28 +4.7 35
2015-11-08 @ Vendsyssel L 0-138.6 1338 1427 22.44% 21.24% 56.32%-0.28 -4.7 17
2015-11-08 Vejle BK L 0-340.4 1416 1392 48.42% 22.15% 29.43%+0.10 -24.3 19
2015-11-08 @ Helsingor W 3-040.4 1392 1416 29.43% 22.15% 48.42%-0.10 +24.3 27
2015-11-12 Vendsyssel D 0-053.8 1364 1431 35.78% 22.47% 41.75%-0.15 +0.3 9
2015-11-12 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-053.8 1431 1364 41.75% 22.47% 35.78%+0.15 -0.3 36
2015-11-13 FC Roskilde W 4-243.1 1416 1336 55.38% 21.38% 23.24%+0.26 +7.1 30
2015-11-13 @ Vejle BK L 2-443.1 1336 1416 23.24% 21.38% 55.38%-0.26 -7.1 13
2015-11-15 Helsingor D 2-263.1 1371 1392 42.30% 22.46% 35.25%-0.02 -0.2 24
2015-11-15 @ Fredericia D 2-263.1 1392 1371 35.25% 22.46% 42.30%+0.02 +0.2 20
2015-11-15 Silkeborg L 1-343.9 1335 1376 39.52% 22.50% 37.98%-0.08 -12.3 15
2015-11-15 @ Naestved W 3-143.9 1376 1335 37.98% 22.50% 39.52%+0.08 +12.3 24
2015-11-16 Lyngby W 2-150.8 1417 1446 41.15% 22.48% 36.37%-0.05 +6.6 31
2015-11-16 @ Horsens L 1-250.8 1446 1417 36.37% 22.48% 41.15%+0.05 -6.6 35
2015-11-18 Vestsjaelland D 1-156.6 1329 1365 40.27% 22.49% 37.23%-0.06 -0.1 14
2015-11-18 @ FC Roskilde D 1-156.6 1365 1329 37.23% 22.49% 40.27%+0.06 +0.1 10
2015-11-19 Vejle BK W 1-043.6 1439 1423 47.32% 22.23% 30.45%+0.08 +6.1 38
2015-11-19 @ Lyngby L 0-143.6 1423 1439 30.45% 22.23% 47.32%-0.08 -6.1 30
2015-11-22 Vestsjaelland L 2-353.0 1323 1365 39.34% 22.50% 38.16%-0.08 -6.7 15
2015-11-22 @ Naestved W 3-253.0 1365 1323 38.16% 22.50% 39.34%+0.08 +6.7 13
2015-11-25 HB Koge L 0-144.3 1334 1334 45.15% 22.35% 32.50%+0.03 -8.4 17
2015-11-25 @ Skive W 1-044.3 1334 1334 32.50% 22.35% 45.15%-0.03 +8.4 21
2015-11-28 Silkeborg L 1-348.4 1417 1388 49.11% 22.09% 28.80%+0.12 -14.7 30
2015-11-28 @ Vejle BK W 3-148.4 1388 1417 28.80% 22.09% 49.11%-0.12 +14.6 27
2015-11-29 FC Roskilde L 0-144.0 1325 1329 44.69% 22.37% 32.93%+0.02 -8.3 17
2015-11-29 @ Skive W 1-044.0 1329 1325 32.93% 22.37% 44.69%-0.02 +8.3 17
2015-11-29 HB Koge L 0-241.2 1371 1343 49.04% 22.10% 28.86%+0.12 -16.9 13
2015-11-29 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-041.2 1343 1371 28.86% 22.10% 49.04%-0.12 +16.9 24
2015-11-29 Helsingor L 2-358.6 1431 1392 50.35% 21.98% 27.66%+0.14 -8.2 36
2015-11-29 @ Vendsyssel W 3-258.6 1392 1431 27.66% 21.98% 50.35%-0.14 +8.2 23
2015-11-29 Lyngby L 2-448.2 1371 1445 34.74% 22.44% 42.82%-0.17 -9.9 24
2015-11-29 @ Fredericia W 4-248.2 1445 1371 42.82% 22.44% 34.74%+0.17 +9.9 41
2015-11-29 Naestved L 1-349.6 1423 1316 58.47% 20.87% 20.65%+0.33 -17.1 31
2015-11-29 @ Horsens W 3-149.6 1316 1423 20.65% 20.87% 58.47%-0.33 +17.1 18
2015-12-03 Fredericia D 4-467.6 1337 1361 41.97% 22.46% 35.56%-0.03 -0.1 18
2015-12-03 @ FC Roskilde D 4-467.6 1361 1337 35.56% 22.46% 41.97%+0.03 +0.1 25
2015-12-03 Horsens D 1-158.7 1403 1406 44.70% 22.37% 32.92%+0.02 -0.5 28
2015-12-03 @ Silkeborg D 1-158.7 1406 1403 32.92% 22.37% 44.70%-0.02 +0.5 32
2016-03-06 Skive W 2-143.3 1400 1317 55.74% 21.33% 22.93%+0.27 +4.5 26
2016-03-06 @ Helsingor L 1-243.3 1317 1400 22.93% 21.33% 55.74%-0.27 -4.5 17
2016-03-06 Vendsyssel W 1-044.9 1359 1423 36.28% 22.48% 41.24%-0.14 +7.8 27
2016-03-06 @ HB Koge L 0-144.9 1423 1359 41.24% 22.48% 36.28%+0.14 -7.8 36
2016-03-10 Vestsjaelland FW50.9 1402 1354 51.45% 21.87% 26.67%+0.17 +0.0 31
2016-03-10 @ Silkeborg FL50.9 1354 1402 26.67% 21.87% 51.45%-0.17 +0.0 13
2016-03-10 Fredericia L 0-147.2 1402 1361 50.64% 21.95% 27.40%+0.15 -9.2 31
2016-03-10 @ Silkeborg W 1-047.2 1361 1402 27.40% 21.95% 50.64%-0.15 +9.2 28
2016-03-13 Vestsjaelland FW51.0 1407 1354 52.02% 21.81% 26.17%+0.18 +0.0 35
2016-03-13 @ Horsens FL51.0 1354 1407 26.17% 21.81% 52.02%-0.18 +0.0 13
2016-03-13 HB Koge L 1-348.0 1405 1367 50.16% 22.00% 27.84%+0.14 -14.9 26
2016-03-13 @ Helsingor W 3-148.0 1367 1405 27.84% 22.00% 50.16%-0.14 +14.9 30
2016-03-13 Naestved L 1-253.0 1403 1333 54.12% 21.56% 24.32%+0.23 -9.2 30
2016-03-13 @ Vejle BK W 2-153.0 1333 1403 24.32% 21.56% 54.12%-0.23 +9.2 21
2016-03-13 Skive D 1-158.5 1455 1313 62.22% 20.09% 17.68%+0.43 -1.9 42
2016-03-13 @ Lyngby D 1-158.5 1313 1455 17.68% 20.09% 62.22%-0.43 +1.9 18
2016-03-13 Vendsyssel W 3-145.7 1337 1415 34.32% 22.43% 43.26%-0.18 +13.2 21
2016-03-13 @ FC Roskilde L 1-345.7 1415 1337 43.26% 22.43% 34.32%+0.18 -13.2 36
2016-03-17 Lyngby L 0-241.0 1402 1453 37.96% 22.50% 39.54%-0.11 -13.7 36
2016-03-17 @ Vendsyssel W 2-041.0 1453 1402 39.54% 22.50% 37.96%+0.11 +13.7 45
2016-03-20 Helsingor FL50.5 1354 1390 40.26% 22.49% 37.24%-0.06 +0.0 13
2016-03-20 @ Vestsjaelland FW50.5 1390 1354 37.24% 22.49% 40.26%+0.06 +0.0 29
2016-03-20 FC Roskilde L 1-251.7 1382 1350 49.41% 22.07% 28.52%+0.12 -8.5 30
2016-03-20 @ HB Koge W 2-151.7 1350 1382 28.52% 22.07% 49.41%-0.12 +8.5 24
2016-03-20 Horsens W 4-355.9 1393 1407 43.37% 22.42% 34.21%+0.00 +5.9 33
2016-03-20 @ Vejle BK L 3-455.9 1407 1393 34.21% 22.42% 43.37%+0.00 -5.9 35
2016-03-20 Naestved W 2-145.3 1370 1342 48.89% 22.11% 29.00%+0.11 +5.5 31
2016-03-20 @ Fredericia L 1-245.3 1342 1370 29.00% 22.11% 48.89%-0.11 -5.5 21
2016-03-20 Silkeborg D 1-156.8 1315 1393 34.23% 22.42% 43.34%-0.19 +0.4 19
2016-03-20 @ Skive D 1-156.8 1393 1315 43.34% 22.42% 34.23%+0.19 -0.4 32
2016-03-23 Vendsyssel D 1-158.1 1393 1388 45.80% 22.32% 31.88%+0.05 -0.5 33
2016-03-23 @ Silkeborg D 1-158.1 1388 1393 31.88% 22.32% 45.80%-0.05 +0.6 37
2016-03-24 Vejle BK FL50.7 1354 1399 38.91% 22.50% 38.59%-0.09 +0.0 13
2016-03-24 @ Vestsjaelland FW50.7 1399 1354 38.59% 22.50% 38.91%+0.09 +0.0 36
2016-03-24 Fredericia W 3-034.0 1401 1376 48.57% 22.14% 29.29%+0.11 +16.2 38
2016-03-24 @ Horsens L 0-334.0 1376 1401 29.29% 22.14% 48.57%-0.11 -16.2 31
2016-03-24 HB Koge D 1-159.8 1467 1374 56.92% 21.14% 21.94%+0.30 -1.5 46
2016-03-24 @ Lyngby D 1-159.8 1374 1467 21.94% 21.14% 56.92%-0.30 +1.5 31
2016-03-24 Helsingor L 0-239.5 1359 1390 40.91% 22.48% 36.60%-0.05 -14.5 24
2016-03-24 @ FC Roskilde W 2-039.5 1390 1359 36.60% 22.48% 40.91%+0.05 +14.5 32
2016-03-24 Skive L 1-345.7 1337 1315 48.15% 22.17% 29.68%+0.10 -14.4 21
2016-03-24 @ Naestved W 3-145.7 1315 1337 29.68% 22.17% 48.15%-0.10 +14.4 22
2016-03-28 Vestsjaelland FW50.1 1359 1354 45.88% 22.31% 31.81%+0.05 +0.0 34
2016-03-28 @ Fredericia FL50.1 1354 1359 31.81% 22.31% 45.88%-0.05 +0.0 13
2016-03-28 Lyngby D 0-054.2 1344 1465 28.81% 22.09% 49.10%-0.31 +0.9 25
2016-03-28 @ FC Roskilde D 0-054.2 1465 1344 49.10% 22.09% 28.81%+0.31 -0.9 47
2016-03-28 Naestved W 2-034.1 1375 1322 52.07% 21.81% 26.12%+0.18 +10.1 34
2016-03-28 @ HB Koge L 0-234.1 1322 1375 26.12% 21.81% 52.07%-0.18 -10.1 21
2016-03-28 Silkeborg L 0-146.8 1404 1392 46.87% 22.25% 30.88%+0.07 -8.6 32
2016-03-28 @ Helsingor W 1-046.8 1392 1404 30.88% 22.25% 46.87%-0.07 +8.6 36
2016-03-28 Vejle BK L 0-335.1 1329 1399 35.37% 22.46% 42.17%-0.16 -18.9 22
2016-03-28 @ Skive W 3-035.1 1399 1329 42.17% 22.46% 35.37%+0.16 +18.9 39
2016-03-31 Vendsyssel D 0-054.2 1418 1389 49.13% 22.09% 28.78%+0.12 -0.9 40
2016-03-31 @ Vejle BK D 0-054.2 1389 1418 28.78% 22.09% 49.13%-0.12 +0.9 38
2016-04-03 Lyngby FL52.1 1354 1465 30.13% 22.20% 47.67%-0.27 +0.0 13
2016-04-03 @ Vestsjaelland FW52.1 1465 1354 47.67% 22.20% 30.13%+0.27 +0.0 50
2016-04-03 FC Roskilde W 6-237.7 1401 1345 52.40% 21.77% 25.83%+0.19 +13.4 39
2016-04-03 @ Silkeborg L 2-637.7 1345 1401 25.83% 21.77% 52.40%-0.19 -13.4 25
2016-04-03 HB Koge W 2-036.7 1417 1385 49.43% 22.07% 28.51%+0.12 +10.9 41
2016-04-03 @ Horsens L 0-236.7 1385 1417 28.51% 22.07% 49.43%-0.12 -10.9 34
2016-04-03 Helsingor W 1-044.5 1312 1396 33.57% 22.40% 44.03%-0.20 +8.2 24
2016-04-03 @ Naestved L 0-144.5 1396 1312 44.03% 22.40% 33.57%+0.20 -8.2 32
2016-04-03 Skive D 0-052.0 1359 1310 51.62% 21.86% 26.53%+0.17 -1.1 35
2016-04-03 @ Fredericia D 0-052.0 1310 1359 26.53% 21.86% 51.62%-0.17 +1.1 23
2016-04-07 Silkeborg L 0-245.6 1465 1414 51.82% 21.83% 26.35%+0.18 -17.7 50
2016-04-07 @ Lyngby W 2-045.6 1414 1465 26.35% 21.83% 51.82%-0.18 +17.7 42
2016-04-10 Vestsjaelland FW49.4 1312 1354 39.19% 22.50% 38.31%-0.09 +0.0 26
2016-04-10 @ Skive FL49.4 1354 1312 38.31% 22.50% 39.19%+0.09 +0.0 13
2016-04-10 Fredericia L 1-251.9 1390 1358 49.36% 22.07% 28.57%+0.12 -8.5 38
2016-04-10 @ Vendsyssel W 2-151.9 1358 1390 28.57% 22.07% 49.36%-0.12 +8.5 38
2016-04-10 Horsens L 0-338.0 1388 1428 39.55% 22.50% 37.95%-0.08 -20.6 32
2016-04-10 @ Helsingor W 3-038.0 1428 1388 37.95% 22.50% 39.55%+0.08 +20.6 44
2016-04-10 Naestved W 3-250.0 1332 1321 46.74% 22.26% 31.00%+0.07 +5.5 28
2016-04-10 @ FC Roskilde L 2-350.0 1321 1332 31.00% 22.26% 46.74%-0.07 -5.5 24
2016-04-10 Vejle BK L 1-249.8 1374 1417 39.18% 22.50% 38.32%-0.09 -7.0 34
2016-04-10 @ HB Koge W 2-149.8 1417 1374 38.32% 22.50% 39.18%+0.09 +7.0 43
2016-04-14 Helsingor L 2-358.5 1424 1367 52.65% 21.74% 25.61%+0.20 -8.5 43
2016-04-14 @ Vejle BK W 3-258.5 1367 1424 25.61% 21.74% 52.65%-0.20 +8.5 35
2016-04-17 Silkeborg FL51.3 1354 1432 34.37% 22.43% 43.20%-0.18 +0.0 13
2016-04-17 @ Vestsjaelland FW51.3 1432 1354 43.20% 22.43% 34.37%+0.18 +0.0 45
2016-04-17 FC Roskilde W 2-143.5 1448 1337 58.90% 20.79% 20.31%+0.35 +4.0 47
2016-04-17 @ Horsens L 1-243.5 1337 1448 20.31% 20.79% 58.90%-0.35 -4.0 28
2016-04-17 HB Koge L 0-338.1 1367 1367 45.13% 22.35% 32.52%+0.03 -22.9 38
2016-04-17 @ Fredericia W 3-038.1 1367 1367 32.52% 22.35% 45.13%-0.03 +22.9 37
2016-04-17 Lyngby L 0-235.5 1315 1447 27.54% 21.97% 50.49%-0.34 -10.6 24
2016-04-17 @ Naestved W 2-035.5 1447 1315 50.49% 21.97% 27.54%+0.34 +10.6 53
2016-04-17 Vendsyssel W 2-149.0 1312 1381 35.44% 22.46% 42.10%-0.16 +7.5 29
2016-04-17 @ Skive L 1-249.0 1381 1312 42.10% 22.46% 35.44%+0.16 -7.5 38
2016-04-20 Horsens L 0-336.7 1374 1452 34.16% 22.42% 43.42%-0.19 -18.3 38
2016-04-20 @ Vendsyssel W 3-036.7 1452 1374 43.42% 22.42% 34.16%+0.19 +18.3 50
2016-04-21 Vejle BK W 2-040.3 1333 1416 33.71% 22.40% 43.89%-0.20 +15.4 31
2016-04-21 @ FC Roskilde L 0-240.3 1416 1333 43.89% 22.40% 33.71%+0.20 -15.4 43
2016-04-24 Vestsjaelland FW50.0 1355 1354 45.31% 22.34% 32.35%+0.04 +0.0 41
2016-04-24 @ Vendsyssel FL50.0 1354 1355 32.35% 22.34% 45.31%-0.04 +0.0 13
2016-04-24 Fredericia L 1-251.5 1375 1344 49.40% 22.07% 28.53%+0.12 -8.5 35
2016-04-24 @ Helsingor W 2-151.5 1344 1375 28.53% 22.07% 49.40%-0.12 +8.5 41
2016-04-24 Horsens D 0-057.6 1457 1471 43.36% 22.42% 34.22%+0.00 -0.4 54
2016-04-24 @ Lyngby D 0-057.6 1471 1457 34.22% 22.42% 43.36%+0.00 +0.4 51
2016-04-24 Naestved W 3-029.7 1432 1304 60.65% 20.44% 18.91%+0.39 +10.9 48
2016-04-24 @ Silkeborg L 0-329.7 1304 1432 18.91% 20.44% 60.65%-0.39 -10.9 24
2016-04-24 Skive D 1-157.1 1390 1319 54.33% 21.53% 24.14%+0.23 -1.2 38
2016-04-24 @ HB Koge D 1-157.1 1319 1390 24.14% 21.53% 54.33%-0.23 +1.2 30
2016-04-28 Silkeborg W 1-046.2 1355 1443 33.02% 22.38% 44.60%-0.21 +8.3 44
2016-04-28 @ Vendsyssel L 0-146.2 1443 1355 44.60% 22.38% 33.02%+0.21 -8.3 48
2016-05-01 Vestsjaelland FW50.9 1400 1354 51.23% 21.90% 26.88%+0.16 +0.0 46
2016-05-01 @ Vejle BK FL50.9 1354 1400 26.88% 21.90% 51.23%-0.16 +0.0 13
2016-05-01 FC Roskilde W 3-141.1 1367 1349 47.63% 22.20% 30.16%+0.09 +9.9 38
2016-05-01 @ Helsingor L 1-341.1 1349 1367 30.16% 22.20% 47.63%-0.09 -9.9 31
2016-05-01 Horsens L 0-237.4 1352 1471 29.07% 22.12% 48.81%-0.30 -11.1 41
2016-05-01 @ Fredericia W 2-037.4 1471 1352 48.81% 22.12% 29.07%+0.30 +11.1 54
2016-05-01 Lyngby L 0-337.6 1389 1457 35.62% 22.46% 41.91%-0.16 -19.0 38
2016-05-01 @ HB Koge W 3-037.6 1457 1389 41.91% 22.46% 35.62%+0.16 +19.0 57
2016-05-01 Naestved L 2-449.3 1320 1294 48.77% 22.12% 29.11%+0.11 -13.0 30
2016-05-01 @ Skive W 4-249.3 1294 1320 29.11% 22.12% 48.77%-0.11 +13.0 27
2016-05-05 Fredericia D 0-053.0 1400 1341 52.86% 21.72% 25.43%+0.20 -1.2 47
2016-05-05 @ Vejle BK D 0-053.0 1341 1400 25.43% 21.72% 52.86%-0.20 +1.3 42
2016-05-08 FC Roskilde FL49.8 1354 1339 47.29% 22.23% 30.49%+0.08 +0.0 13
2016-05-08 @ Vestsjaelland FW49.8 1339 1354 30.49% 22.23% 47.29%-0.08 +0.0 34
2016-05-08 HB Koge W 1-040.2 1434 1370 53.53% 21.63% 24.84%+0.22 +5.1 51
2016-05-08 @ Silkeborg L 0-140.2 1370 1434 24.84% 21.63% 53.53%-0.22 -5.1 38
2016-05-08 Helsingor W 1-040.2 1476 1377 57.59% 21.03% 21.38%+0.31 +4.5 60
2016-05-08 @ Lyngby L 0-140.2 1377 1476 21.38% 21.03% 57.59%-0.31 -4.5 38
2016-05-08 Skive W 3-246.5 1482 1307 65.42% 19.28% 15.31%+0.53 +2.9 57
2016-05-08 @ Horsens L 2-346.5 1307 1482 15.31% 19.28% 65.42%-0.53 -2.9 30
2016-05-08 Vendsyssel L 0-142.0 1307 1364 37.18% 22.49% 40.33%-0.13 -7.2 27
2016-05-08 @ Naestved W 1-042.0 1364 1307 40.33% 22.49% 37.18%+0.13 +7.2 47
2016-05-11 Vestsjaelland FW50.3 1372 1354 47.61% 22.21% 30.18%+0.08 +0.0 41
2016-05-11 @ Helsingor FL50.3 1354 1372 30.18% 22.21% 47.61%-0.08 +0.0 13
2016-05-11 Fredericia D 0-051.5 1299 1343 39.14% 22.50% 38.35%-0.09 -0.0 28
2016-05-11 @ Naestved D 0-051.5 1343 1299 38.35% 22.50% 39.14%+0.09 +0.0 43
2016-05-11 HB Koge D 2-262.2 1339 1365 41.61% 22.47% 35.92%-0.04 -0.2 35
2016-05-11 @ FC Roskilde D 2-262.2 1365 1339 35.92% 22.47% 41.61%+0.04 +0.2 39
2016-05-11 Skive W 3-137.4 1440 1304 61.47% 20.26% 18.26%+0.41 +6.3 54
2016-05-11 @ Silkeborg L 1-337.4 1304 1440 18.26% 20.26% 61.47%-0.41 -6.3 30
2016-05-11 Vejle BK L 0-151.6 1485 1399 56.10% 21.27% 22.63%+0.28 -10.1 57
2016-05-11 @ Horsens W 1-051.6 1399 1485 22.63% 21.27% 56.10%-0.28 +10.1 50
2016-05-11 Vendsyssel L 0-151.3 1480 1371 58.77% 20.82% 20.42%+0.34 -10.5 60
2016-05-11 @ Lyngby W 1-051.3 1371 1480 20.42% 20.82% 58.77%-0.34 +10.5 50
2016-05-16 Horsens FL52.4 1354 1475 28.85% 22.10% 49.05%-0.30 +0.0 13
2016-05-16 @ Vestsjaelland FW52.4 1475 1354 49.05% 22.10% 28.85%+0.30 +0.0 60
2016-05-16 FC Roskilde W 3-249.6 1381 1339 50.79% 21.94% 27.27%+0.15 +5.0 53
2016-05-16 @ Vendsyssel L 2-349.6 1339 1381 27.27% 21.94% 50.79%-0.15 -5.0 35
2016-05-16 Helsingor L 0-144.9 1365 1372 44.19% 22.39% 33.42%+0.01 -8.2 39
2016-05-16 @ HB Koge W 1-044.9 1372 1365 33.42% 22.39% 44.19%-0.01 +8.2 44
2016-05-16 Lyngby D 2-263.6 1298 1470 23.22% 21.38% 55.40%-0.45 +1.0 31
2016-05-16 @ Skive D 2-263.6 1470 1298 55.40% 21.38% 23.22%+0.45 -1.0 61
2016-05-16 Naestved W 2-142.3 1409 1299 58.76% 20.82% 20.42%+0.34 +4.1 53
2016-05-16 @ Vejle BK L 1-242.3 1299 1409 20.42% 20.82% 58.76%-0.34 -4.0 28
2016-05-16 Silkeborg L 1-439.6 1343 1446 30.99% 22.26% 46.75%-0.26 -14.3 43
2016-05-16 @ Fredericia W 4-139.6 1446 1343 46.75% 22.26% 30.99%+0.26 +14.3 57
2016-05-22 Naestved FL49.5 1354 1295 52.87% 21.71% 25.41%+0.20 +0.0 13
2016-05-22 @ Vestsjaelland FW49.5 1295 1354 25.41% 21.71% 52.87%-0.20 +0.0 31
2016-05-22 FC Roskilde D 3-365.5 1328 1334 44.44% 22.38% 33.18%+0.02 -0.3 44
2016-05-22 @ Fredericia D 3-365.5 1334 1328 33.18% 22.38% 44.44%-0.02 +0.3 36
2016-05-22 HB Koge L 0-146.4 1386 1357 49.12% 22.09% 28.79%+0.12 -9.0 53
2016-05-22 @ Vendsyssel W 1-046.4 1357 1386 28.79% 22.09% 49.12%-0.12 +9.0 42
2016-05-22 Helsingor L 0-141.0 1299 1381 33.80% 22.41% 43.79%-0.19 -6.6 31
2016-05-22 @ Skive W 1-041.0 1381 1299 43.79% 22.41% 33.80%+0.19 +6.7 47
2016-05-22 Lyngby L 3-459.1 1413 1469 37.33% 22.49% 40.17%-0.12 -6.3 53
2016-05-22 @ Vejle BK W 4-359.1 1469 1413 40.17% 22.49% 37.33%+0.12 +6.3 64
2016-05-22 Silkeborg L 1-351.7 1475 1460 47.22% 22.23% 30.55%+0.08 -14.2 60
2016-05-22 @ Horsens W 3-151.7 1460 1475 30.55% 22.23% 47.22%-0.08 +14.2 60
2016-05-28 Vestsjaelland FW50.2 1366 1354 46.73% 22.26% 31.00%+0.07 +0.0 45
2016-05-28 @ HB Koge FL50.2 1354 1366 31.00% 22.26% 46.73%-0.07 +0.0 13
2016-05-28 Fredericia L 2-361.2 1475 1328 62.71% 19.98% 17.32%+0.45 -10.0 64
2016-05-28 @ Lyngby W 3-261.2 1328 1475 17.32% 19.98% 62.71%-0.45 +10.0 47
2016-05-28 Horsens W 5-144.8 1295 1461 23.87% 21.49% 54.65%-0.43 +29.4 34
2016-05-28 @ Naestved L 1-544.8 1461 1295 54.65% 21.49% 23.87%+0.43 -29.4 60
2016-05-28 Skive W 4-351.2 1334 1292 50.70% 21.95% 27.35%+0.15 +4.9 39
2016-05-28 @ FC Roskilde L 3-451.2 1292 1334 27.35% 21.95% 50.70%-0.15 -4.9 31
2016-05-28 Vejle BK W 5-036.2 1474 1407 53.88% 21.59% 24.53%+0.22 +22.3 63
2016-05-28 @ Silkeborg L 0-536.2 1407 1474 24.53% 21.59% 53.88%-0.22 -22.3 53
2016-05-28 Vendsyssel L 0-241.4 1387 1377 46.55% 22.27% 31.17%+0.06 -16.2 47
2016-05-28 @ Helsingor W 2-041.4 1377 1387 31.17% 22.27% 46.55%-0.06 +16.2 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-05-28 17.32% Fredericia 1328 3 @ Lyngby 1475 2
2 2016-05-11 20.42% Vendsyssel 1371 1 @ Lyngby 1480 0
3 2015-11-29 20.65% Naestved 1316 3 @ Horsens 1423 1
4 2016-05-11 22.63% Vejle BK 1399 1 @ Horsens 1485 0
5 2015-10-18 23.64% Skive 1327 3 @ Vejle BK 1403 2
6 2016-05-28 23.87% @ Naestved 1295 5 Horsens 1461 1
7 2016-03-13 24.32% Naestved 1333 2 @ Vejle BK 1403 1
8 2016-04-14 25.61% Helsingor 1367 3 @ Vejle BK 1424 2
9 2015-10-04 25.65% HB Koge 1348 1 @ Vejle BK 1405 0
10 2016-04-07 26.35% Silkeborg 1414 2 @ Lyngby 1465 0
11 2015-09-13 26.45% Naestved 1333 2 @ Vestsjaelland 1383 0
12 2015-11-01 27.05% Skive 1329 1 @ Vestsjaelland 1374 0
13 2016-03-10 27.40% Fredericia 1361 1 @ Silkeborg 1402 0
14 2015-11-29 27.66% Helsingor 1392 3 @ Vendsyssel 1431 2
15 2016-03-13 27.84% HB Koge 1367 3 @ Helsingor 1405 1
16 2016-03-20 28.52% FC Roskilde 1350 2 @ HB Koge 1382 1
17 2016-04-24 28.53% Fredericia 1344 2 @ Helsingor 1375 1
18 2016-04-10 28.57% Fredericia 1358 2 @ Vendsyssel 1390 1
19 2016-05-22 28.79% HB Koge 1357 1 @ Vendsyssel 1386 0
20 2015-11-28 28.80% Silkeborg 1388 3 @ Vejle BK 1417 1
21 2015-11-29 28.86% HB Koge 1343 2 @ Vestsjaelland 1371 0
22 2016-05-01 29.11% Naestved 1294 4 @ Skive 1320 2
23 2015-11-08 29.43% Vejle BK 1392 3 @ Helsingor 1416 0
24 2016-03-24 29.68% Skive 1315 3 @ Naestved 1337 1
25 2015-09-27 30.04% Skive 1323 1 @ Naestved 1342 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-05-28 29.37 @ Naestved 5 1295 23.87% Horsens 1 1461 54.65% 21.49%
2 2015-08-02 27.11 @ Fredericia 4 1337 37.54% FC Roskilde 0 1391 39.97% 22.50%
3 2015-09-20 26.78 Helsingor 4 1416 38.16% @ HB Koge 0 1374 39.34% 22.50%
4 2015-11-08 24.28 Vejle BK 3 1392 29.43% @ Helsingor 0 1416 48.42% 22.15%
5 2016-04-17 22.89 HB Koge 3 1367 32.52% @ Fredericia 0 1367 45.13% 22.35%
6 2015-07-26 22.44 @ FC Roskilde 3 1369 33.56% Helsingor 0 1452 44.04% 22.40%
7 2015-10-04 22.37 @ Vestsjaelland 3 1359 33.72% Helsingor 0 1441 43.88% 22.41%
8 2016-05-28 22.35 @ Silkeborg 5 1474 53.88% Vejle BK 0 1407 24.53% 21.59%
9 2016-04-10 20.59 Horsens 3 1428 37.95% @ Helsingor 0 1388 39.55% 22.50%
10 2016-05-01 18.97 Lyngby 3 1457 41.91% @ HB Koge 0 1389 35.62% 22.46%
11 2016-03-28 18.86 Vejle BK 3 1399 42.17% @ Skive 0 1329 35.37% 22.46%
12 2015-09-13 18.74 @ Horsens 3 1373 42.48% HB Koge 0 1392 35.07% 22.45%
13 2016-04-20 18.34 Horsens 3 1452 43.42% @ Vendsyssel 0 1374 34.16% 22.42%
14 2016-04-07 17.73 Silkeborg 2 1414 26.35% @ Lyngby 0 1465 51.82% 21.83%
15 2015-09-13 17.69 Naestved 2 1333 26.45% @ Vestsjaelland 0 1383 51.71% 21.85%
16 2015-08-28 17.25 @ Lyngby 4 1391 38.25% Helsingor 1 1441 39.25% 22.50%
17 2015-11-29 17.08 Naestved 3 1316 20.65% @ Horsens 1 1423 58.47% 20.87%
18 2015-08-07 16.93 @ Vejle BK 3 1365 46.79% Horsens 0 1353 30.95% 22.26%
19 2015-11-29 16.91 HB Koge 2 1343 28.86% @ Vestsjaelland 0 1371 49.04% 22.10%
20 2016-05-28 16.18 Vendsyssel 2 1377 31.17% @ Helsingor 0 1387 46.55% 22.27%
21 2016-03-24 16.17 @ Horsens 3 1401 48.57% Fredericia 0 1376 29.29% 22.14%
22 2015-07-26 15.73 Vendsyssel 2 1361 32.62% @ Skive 0 1359 45.02% 22.36%
23 2015-09-17 15.54 Vejle BK 2 1390 33.25% @ Silkeborg 0 1384 44.36% 22.39%
24 2016-04-21 15.41 @ FC Roskilde 2 1333 33.71% Vejle BK 0 1416 43.89% 22.40%
25 2015-08-28 15.37 Horsens 2 1357 33.83% @ Skive 0 1347 43.76% 22.41%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-10-22 69.6 @ Lyngby 4 1431 52.72% Vestsjaelland 4 1373 25.55% 21.73%
2 2015-12-03 67.6 @ FC Roskilde 4 1337 41.97% Fredericia 4 1361 35.56% 22.46%
3 2016-05-22 65.5 @ Fredericia 3 1328 44.44% FC Roskilde 3 1334 33.18% 22.38%
4 2015-09-13 64.1 @ Helsingor 2 1416 48.94% Vendsyssel 2 1388 28.95% 22.11%
5 2015-08-01 63.6 @ Vestsjaelland 2 1414 51.77% Vejle BK 2 1364 26.39% 21.84%
6 2016-05-16 63.6 @ Skive 2 1298 23.22% Lyngby 2 1470 55.40% 21.38%
7 2015-11-15 63.1 @ Fredericia 2 1371 42.30% Helsingor 2 1392 35.25% 22.46%
8 2015-09-27 62.8 @ FC Roskilde 2 1372 45.64% Silkeborg 2 1368 32.03% 22.33%
9 2016-05-11 62.2 @ FC Roskilde 2 1339 41.61% HB Koge 2 1365 35.92% 22.47%
10 2016-05-28 61.2 Fredericia 3 1328 17.32% @ Lyngby 2 1475 62.71% 19.98%
11 2016-03-24 59.8 @ Lyngby 1 1467 56.92% HB Koge 1 1374 21.94% 21.14%
12 2015-09-27 59.6 @ Helsingor 1 1442 51.10% Horsens 1 1397 26.99% 21.91%
13 2016-05-22 59.1 Lyngby 4 1469 40.17% @ Vejle BK 3 1413 37.33% 22.49%
14 2015-12-03 58.7 @ Silkeborg 1 1403 44.70% Horsens 1 1406 32.92% 22.37%
15 2015-11-29 58.6 Helsingor 3 1392 27.66% @ Vendsyssel 2 1431 50.35% 21.98%
16 2015-09-26 58.5 @ Vejle BK 1 1406 46.68% Vendsyssel 1 1395 31.05% 22.27%
17 2016-03-13 58.5 @ Lyngby 1 1455 62.22% Skive 1 1313 17.68% 20.09%
18 2016-04-14 58.5 Helsingor 3 1367 25.61% @ Vejle BK 2 1424 52.65% 21.74%
19 2015-09-30 58.3 @ Vendsyssel 1 1395 44.77% Horsens 1 1398 32.87% 22.37%
20 2015-09-10 58.1 @ Fredericia 1 1399 47.30% Silkeborg 1 1383 30.47% 22.23%
21 2016-03-23 58.1 @ Silkeborg 1 1393 45.80% Vendsyssel 1 1388 31.88% 22.32%
22 2015-10-03 58.0 @ Horsens 1 1399 48.18% Fredericia 1 1377 29.66% 22.17%
23 2015-10-18 57.9 Skive 3 1327 23.64% @ Vejle BK 2 1403 54.91% 21.45%
24 2015-08-02 57.8 @ Vendsyssel 1 1376 43.24% Silkeborg 1 1391 34.33% 22.43%
25 2015-09-27 57.7 @ Vestsjaelland 1 1359 38.25% Lyngby 1 1409 39.25% 22.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-04-24 29.7 @ Silkeborg 3 1432 60.65% Naestved 0 1304 18.91% 20.44%
2 2015-08-07 33.5 @ Vejle BK 3 1365 46.79% Horsens 0 1353 30.95% 22.26%
3 2015-11-05 34.0 @ Lyngby 2 1437 56.93% Naestved 0 1344 21.93% 21.14%
4 2016-03-24 34.0 @ Horsens 3 1401 48.57% Fredericia 0 1376 29.29% 22.14%
5 2016-03-28 34.1 @ HB Koge 2 1375 52.07% Naestved 0 1322 26.12% 21.81%
6 2016-03-28 35.1 Vejle BK 3 1399 42.17% @ Skive 0 1329 35.37% 22.46%
7 2016-04-17 35.5 Lyngby 2 1447 50.49% @ Naestved 0 1315 27.54% 21.97%
8 2015-09-13 35.6 @ Horsens 3 1373 42.48% HB Koge 0 1392 35.07% 22.45%
9 2016-05-28 36.2 @ Silkeborg 5 1474 53.88% Vejle BK 0 1407 24.53% 21.59%
10 2015-08-02 36.5 @ Fredericia 4 1337 37.54% FC Roskilde 0 1391 39.97% 22.50%
11 2015-08-16 36.7 @ HB Koge 2 1361 44.49% Naestved 0 1366 33.13% 22.38%
12 2016-04-03 36.7 @ Horsens 2 1417 49.43% HB Koge 0 1385 28.51% 22.07%
13 2016-04-20 36.7 Horsens 3 1452 43.42% @ Vendsyssel 0 1374 34.16% 22.42%
14 2015-09-20 37.4 Helsingor 4 1416 38.16% @ HB Koge 0 1374 39.34% 22.50%
15 2015-10-22 37.4 @ Vendsyssel 2 1409 47.19% Vejle BK 0 1395 30.58% 22.23%
16 2016-05-01 37.4 Horsens 2 1471 48.81% @ Fredericia 0 1352 29.07% 22.12%
17 2016-05-11 37.4 @ Silkeborg 3 1440 61.47% Skive 1 1304 18.26% 20.26%
18 2016-05-01 37.6 Lyngby 3 1457 41.91% @ HB Koge 0 1389 35.62% 22.46%
19 2016-04-03 37.7 @ Silkeborg 6 1401 52.40% FC Roskilde 2 1345 25.83% 21.77%
20 2015-08-23 37.9 @ HB Koge 2 1373 42.74% Vendsyssel 0 1391 34.82% 22.44%
21 2016-04-10 38.0 Horsens 3 1428 37.95% @ Helsingor 0 1388 39.55% 22.50%
22 2016-04-17 38.1 HB Koge 3 1367 32.52% @ Fredericia 0 1367 45.13% 22.35%
23 2015-10-09 38.2 Horsens 2 1398 40.37% @ Skive 0 1341 37.14% 22.49%
24 2015-08-19 38.6 @ Horsens 2 1343 38.62% Silkeborg 0 1390 38.88% 22.50%
25 2015-11-08 38.6 @ Vendsyssel 1 1427 56.32% Skive 0 1338 22.44% 21.24%