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2019-20 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Vejle BK

68 pts

Relegated

Naestved

26 pts

FC Roskilde · 31 pts

Nyboking · 33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Skive

13.80 points above expected

48 points · 34.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Naestved

15.05 points below expected

26 points · 41.05 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vejle BK Promoted 33 20 8 5 68 63 31 +32 59.42 +8.58
2 Viborg 33 17 8 8 59 66 44 +22 59.39 -0.39
3 Fredericia 33 15 7 11 52 61 52 +9 48.83 +3.17
4 Fremad Amager 33 13 10 10 49 45 45 0 44.40 +4.60
5 Skive 33 13 9 11 48 46 46 0 34.20 +13.80
6 Kolding IF 33 13 8 12 47 50 49 +1 49.44 -2.44
7 Vendsyssel 33 12 8 13 44 35 40 -5 47.68 -3.68
8 Hvidovre 33 10 11 12 41 46 46 0 39.99 +1.01
9 HB Koge 33 9 13 11 40 43 47 -4 45.17 -5.17
10 Nykobing 33 7 12 14 33 47 64 -17 40.64 -7.64
11 FC Roskilde Relegated 33 8 7 18 31 44 61 -17 38.28 -7.28
12 Naestved Relegated 33 5 11 17 26 29 50 -21 41.05 -15.05

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skive 48 34.20 +13.80
2 Vejle BK 68 59.42 +8.58
3 Fremad Amager 49 44.40 +4.60
4 Fredericia 52 48.83 +3.17
5 Hvidovre 41 39.99 +1.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Naestved 26 41.05 -15.05
2 Nykobing 33 40.64 -7.64
3 FC Roskilde 31 38.28 -7.28
4 HB Koge 40 45.17 -5.17
5 Vendsyssel 44 47.68 -3.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skive 3 Jul 16 – Jul 25 1 in 47
2 Fredericia 3 Aug 4 – Aug 14 1 in 29
3 Kolding IF 4 Jul 28 – Aug 16 1 in 27
4 Vejle BK 5 Aug 25 – Sep 29 1 in 26
5 Fremad Amager 3 Jun 28 – Jul 4 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vendsyssel 5 Aug 4 – Aug 24 1 in 385
2 Fredericia 4 Jun 23 – Jul 5 1 in 95
3 FC Roskilde 4 Aug 21 – Sep 8 1 in 41
4 Naestved 4 Jul 3 – Jul 19 1 in 36
5 Nykobing 5 Jul 1 – Jul 19 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vejle BK 18 Aug 21 – Jun 5 1 in 229
2 Fredericia 8 Aug 4 – Sep 13 1 in 58
3 Fremad Amager 7 Jun 28 – Jul 25 1 in 51
4 Nykobing 6 Nov 3 – May 31 1 in 37
5 Skive 5 Jul 5 – Jul 25 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naestved 11 Jun 10 – Jul 25 1 in 59
2 Nykobing 10 Sep 8 – Nov 7 1 in 53
3 HB Koge 6 Aug 30 – Oct 6 1 in 28
4 Vendsyssel 5 Aug 4 – Aug 24 1 in 22
5 FC Roskilde 8 Jun 11 – Jul 12 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vejle BK 1596 68 -3 10 9.8 +0.2
Viborg 1554 59 -6 8 8.7 -0.7
Fredericia 1482 52 -3 7 8.8 -1.8
Fremad Amager 1479 49 +34 11 5.5 +5.5
Skive 1413 48 +37 13 5.6 +7.4
Kolding IF 1467 47 -2 7 6.7 +0.3
Vendsyssel 1459 44 -23 3 7.0 -4.0
Hvidovre 1439 41 +10 8 7.5 +0.5
HB Koge 1450 40 -8 5 7.7 -2.7
Nykobing 1373 33 -20 1 4.6 -3.6
FC Roskilde 1397 31 +16 8 5.4 +2.6
Naestved 1359 26 -34 1 6.0 -5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR FRE FA HK HVI KI NAE NYK SKI VB VEN VIB
FC Roskilde —
1-0-2
3.44
1-0-2
3.50
0-1-2
3.97
0-1-2
3.97
1-1-1
3.08
2-0-1
3.66
1-2-0
4.01
1-2-0
4.82
0-0-3
2.30
1-0-2
3.51
0-0-3
2.67
Fredericia
2-0-1
4.86
—
1-0-2
4.94
1-2-0
4.28
2-0-1
5.24
3-0-0
4.29
2-1-0
5.17
1-2-0
5.10
0-1-2
5.46
1-0-2
2.97
1-0-2
4.42
1-1-1
3.18
Fremad Amager
2-0-1
4.79
2-0-1
3.36
—
1-1-1
3.87
0-1-2
4.46
0-3-0
3.74
3-0-0
4.53
1-1-1
4.52
0-2-1
5.35
1-1-1
3.09
3-0-0
3.36
0-1-2
3.25
HB Koge
2-1-0
4.32
0-2-1
4.02
1-1-1
4.41
—
0-3-0
4.47
2-0-1
3.99
0-2-1
4.93
1-0-2
4.56
0-1-2
4.97
1-1-1
2.90
1-1-1
3.67
1-1-1
2.76
Hvidovre
2-1-0
4.33
1-0-2
3.07
2-1-0
3.83
0-3-0
3.82
—
1-0-2
3.27
2-1-0
3.83
1-2-0
3.70
1-0-2
4.90
0-0-3
2.28
0-2-1
3.30
0-1-2
2.83
Kolding IF
1-1-1
5.23
0-0-3
4.00
0-3-0
4.55
1-0-2
4.29
2-0-1
5.03
—
2-1-0
4.62
1-1-1
4.56
3-0-0
5.47
0-1-2
3.63
0-1-2
4.08
3-0-0
2.91
Naestved
1-0-2
4.63
0-1-2
3.14
0-0-3
3.76
1-2-0
3.37
0-1-2
4.46
0-1-2
3.68
—
1-1-1
3.71
1-0-2
4.81
0-2-1
2.65
1-2-0
3.89
0-1-2
2.72
Nykobing
0-2-1
4.28
0-2-1
3.21
1-1-1
3.77
2-0-1
3.74
0-2-1
4.60
1-1-1
3.73
1-1-1
4.58
—
1-1-1
4.64
1-1-1
2.41
0-1-2
3.73
0-0-3
2.47
Skive
0-2-1
3.48
2-1-0
2.88
1-2-0
2.97
2-1-0
3.34
2-0-1
3.40
0-0-3
2.86
2-0-1
3.49
1-1-1
3.65
—
1-1-1
2.04
2-0-1
2.95
0-1-2
2.40
Vejle BK
3-0-0
6.08
2-0-1
5.35
1-1-1
5.23
1-1-1
5.43
3-0-0
6.10
2-1-0
4.67
1-2-0
5.70
1-1-1
5.97
1-1-1
6.37
—
3-0-0
4.73
2-1-0
4.45
Vendsyssel
2-0-1
4.79
2-0-1
3.87
0-0-3
4.94
1-1-1
4.62
1-2-0
5.00
2-1-0
4.21
0-2-1
4.39
2-1-0
4.58
1-0-2
5.37
0-0-3
3.58
—
1-1-1
2.85
Viborg
3-0-0
5.67
1-1-1
5.13
2-1-0
5.05
1-1-1
5.57
2-1-0
5.50
0-0-3
5.42
2-1-0
5.62
3-0-0
5.88
2-1-0
5.97
0-1-2
3.84
1-1-1
5.48
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +8.8
Allowed 0.53 -9.9
Differential 0.95 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%7.32%7.07%2.27%1.01%0.51%24.24%
17.32%10.61%6.82%3.54%1.26%—29.55%
27.07%6.82%11.11%2.78%2.02%—29.80%
32.27%3.54%2.78%0.51%1.01%0.25%10.35%
41.01%1.26%2.02%1.01%——5.30%
5+0.51%——0.25%——0.76%
Total24.24%29.55%29.80%10.35%5.30%0.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.45 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.16 1.61
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%18.18%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
16.06%3.03%9.09%—3.03%—21.21%
26.06%3.03%15.15%9.09%3.03%—36.36%
3—6.06%——3.03%—9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%15.15%42.42%12.12%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.85 -0.52
SD 1.11 1.23 1.73
CV 0.83 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
16.06%3.03%12.12%3.03%——24.24%
29.09%6.06%18.18%—6.06%—39.39%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total18.18%24.24%45.45%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.58 +0.27
SD 1.15 1.06 1.59
CV 0.62 0.67 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
118.18%3.03%9.09%6.06%——36.36%
23.03%6.06%15.15%3.03%——27.27%
33.03%—————3.03%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total39.39%12.12%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.37 1.90
CV 0.86 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
16.06%18.18%9.09%6.06%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%33.33%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.42 -0.12
SD 0.85 1.00 1.17
CV 0.65 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
13.03%21.21%9.09%—3.03%—36.36%
212.12%3.03%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%——3.03%12.12%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.22 1.48
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%12.12%3.03%——27.27%
13.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
29.09%15.15%15.15%3.03%——42.42%
3—6.06%——3.03%—9.09%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%36.36%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.48 +0.03
SD 1.18 0.97 1.40
CV 0.78 0.65 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%12.12%—3.03%—33.33%
19.09%21.21%6.06%12.12%——48.48%
2—3.03%6.06%6.06%——15.15%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%24.24%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.52 -0.64
SD 0.78 1.09 1.32
CV 0.89 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%36.36%
1—3.03%3.03%6.06%——12.12%
23.03%3.03%21.21%3.03%——30.30%
3—3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%—15.15%
4——6.06%———6.06%
5+———————
Total12.12%21.21%39.39%18.18%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.94 -0.52
SD 1.30 1.20 1.66
CV 0.91 0.62 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
19.09%9.09%6.06%6.06%——30.30%
212.12%9.09%6.06%—9.09%—36.36%
3—3.03%6.06%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%27.27%24.24%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 0.97 1.27 1.37
CV 0.69 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%————12.12%
115.15%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—36.36%
29.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
46.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total48.48%27.27%12.12%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.94 +0.97
SD 1.38 1.20 1.65
CV 0.72 1.27 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%9.09%9.09%——42.42%
16.06%15.15%——3.03%—24.24%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%45.45%18.18%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.21 -0.15
SD 1.14 1.02 1.66
CV 1.08 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
26.06%9.09%9.09%———24.24%
36.06%6.06%——3.03%—15.15%
4—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%27.27%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.33 +0.67
SD 1.37 1.11 1.78
CV 0.68 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vejle BK 1596 68 59.42 +8.58 84.0% 38 45 54 60 65 71 78
Viborg 1554 59 59.39 -0.39 49.0% 42 46 55 60 64 71 74
Fredericia 1482 52 48.83 +3.17 66.0% 32 37 44 49 54 59 75
Fremad Amager 1479 49 44.40 +4.60 77.0% 26 34 40 44 49 55 62
Kolding IF 1467 47 49.44 -2.44 46.0% 28 37 44 49 54 63 67
Vendsyssel 1459 44 47.68 -3.68 33.0% 29 34 43 48 54 60 67
HB Koge 1450 40 45.17 -5.17 26.0% 30 33 40 46 49 56 69
Hvidovre 1439 41 39.99 +1.01 59.0% 22 27 35 40 44 53 61
Skive 1413 48 34.20 +13.80 99.0% 20 25 31 34 38 42 57
FC Roskilde 1397 31 38.28 -7.28 17.0% 21 26 34 38 42 49 52
Nykobing 1373 33 40.64 -7.64 16.0% 22 28 35 41 45 51 59
Naestved 1359 26 41.05 -15.05 2.0% 22 30 36 41 45 54 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.07%
No Edge
39.39%28.28%32.32%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 24.61 Elo pts.
242 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.19 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Vejle BK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.91 * Some Luck: 5.91 to 8.87 * Lucky: 8.87 to 11.82 * Wild Swing: 11.82 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 * Close: 1.64 to 2.46 * Off: 2.46 to 3.29 * Way Off: 3.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.32 * A Surprise: 1.32 to 2.11 * Several Surprises: 2.11 to 2.9 * Many Surprises: 2.9 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.48 points
Some Luck
07.3918
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.055
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Skive
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Naestved
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 69.02
1.60
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.123
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vejle BK45.00%24.00%14.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%———
Viborg40.00%29.00%16.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%—————
Fredericia3.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%17.00%15.00%7.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%—3.00%
Fremad Amager1.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%19.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%
Skive—1.00%———2.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%17.00%27.00%33.00%
Kolding IF6.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%15.00%4.00%—2.00%1.00%
Vendsyssel2.00%10.00%17.00%17.00%8.00%14.00%5.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%
Hvidovre1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%7.00%18.00%
HB Koge1.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%17.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%
Nykobing——6.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%
FC Roskilde——1.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%21.00%16.00%
Naestved1.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Vejle BK 45.00% 55.00% —
Viborg 40.00% 60.00% —
Kolding IF 6.00% 91.00% 3.00%
Fredericia 3.00% 89.00% 8.00%
Vendsyssel 2.00% 85.00% 13.00%
Fremad Amager 1.00% 83.00% 16.00%
HB Koge 1.00% 83.00% 16.00%
Nykobing — 63.00% 37.00%
Naestved 1.00% 60.00% 39.00%
Hvidovre 1.00% 59.00% 40.00%
FC Roskilde — 49.00% 51.00%
Skive — 23.00% 77.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-07-26 FC Roskilde W 3-036.8 1521 1440 55.65% 22.23% 22.12%+0.44 +10.8 3
2019-07-26 @ Viborg L 0-336.8 1440 1521 22.12% 22.23% 55.65%-0.44 -10.8 0
2019-07-27 Vejle BK D 2-267.4 1455 1509 37.70% 24.00% 38.30%-0.12 +0.0 1
2019-07-27 @ Fremad Amager D 2-267.4 1509 1455 38.30% 24.00% 37.70%+0.12 -0.0 1
2019-07-28 HB Koge W 3-147.2 1446 1470 41.97% 23.92% 34.11%+0.00 +9.4 3
2019-07-28 @ Nykobing L 1-347.2 1470 1446 34.11% 23.92% 41.97%+0.00 -9.4 0
2019-07-28 Hvidovre W 2-146.3 1473 1404 54.21% 22.53% 23.27%+0.39 +3.9 3
2019-07-28 @ Kolding IF L 1-246.3 1404 1473 23.27% 22.53% 54.21%-0.39 -3.9 0
2019-07-28 Naestved W 3-147.9 1343 1462 29.19% 23.54% 47.27%-0.39 +12.1 3
2019-07-28 @ Skive L 1-347.9 1462 1343 47.27% 23.54% 29.19%+0.39 -12.1 0
2019-07-28 Vendsyssel L 1-253.6 1449 1495 38.87% 24.00% 37.13%-0.09 -6.0 0
2019-07-28 @ Fredericia W 2-153.6 1495 1449 37.13% 24.00% 38.87%+0.09 +6.0 3
2019-08-03 Viborg L 0-144.2 1400 1532 27.65% 23.35% 49.00%-0.44 -4.8 0
2019-08-03 @ Hvidovre W 1-044.2 1532 1400 49.00% 23.35% 27.65%+0.44 +4.8 6
2019-08-04 Fredericia L 1-350.7 1461 1443 47.65% 23.50% 28.84%+0.17 -12.2 0
2019-08-04 @ HB Koge W 3-150.7 1443 1461 28.84% 23.50% 47.65%-0.17 +12.2 3
2019-08-04 Fremad Amager L 0-152.0 1501 1455 51.28% 23.03% 25.69%+0.29 -7.9 3
2019-08-04 @ Vendsyssel W 1-052.0 1455 1501 25.69% 23.03% 51.28%-0.29 +7.9 4
2019-08-04 Kolding IF L 0-244.0 1449 1477 41.44% 23.94% 34.62%-0.01 -12.6 0
2019-08-04 @ Naestved W 2-044.0 1477 1449 34.62% 23.94% 41.44%+0.01 +12.6 6
2019-08-04 Nykobing L 2-458.2 1509 1455 52.32% 22.87% 24.81%+0.32 -11.8 1
2019-08-04 @ Vejle BK W 4-258.2 1455 1509 24.81% 22.87% 52.32%-0.32 +11.8 6
2019-08-04 Skive D 1-156.7 1429 1355 54.77% 22.42% 22.81%+0.41 -1.1 1
2019-08-04 @ FC Roskilde D 1-156.7 1355 1429 22.81% 22.42% 54.77%-0.41 +1.1 4
2019-08-10 Vejle BK L 0-345.1 1493 1497 44.66% 23.77% 31.57%+0.08 -19.4 3
2019-08-10 @ Vendsyssel W 3-045.1 1497 1493 31.57% 23.77% 44.66%-0.08 +19.4 4
2019-08-11 FC Roskilde W 4-356.0 1490 1428 53.32% 22.69% 23.99%+0.36 +3.7 9
2019-08-11 @ Kolding IF L 3-456.0 1428 1490 23.99% 22.69% 53.32%-0.36 -3.7 1
2019-08-11 HB Koge D 0-058.6 1537 1448 56.49% 22.05% 21.46%+0.47 -1.4 7
2019-08-11 @ Viborg D 0-058.6 1448 1537 21.46% 22.05% 56.49%-0.47 +1.4 1
2019-08-11 Hvidovre D 2-264.5 1467 1395 54.53% 22.46% 23.01%+0.40 -0.8 7
2019-08-11 @ Nykobing D 2-264.5 1395 1467 23.01% 22.46% 54.53%-0.40 +0.8 1
2019-08-11 Naestved W 3-144.7 1455 1437 47.75% 23.49% 28.76%+0.18 +8.2 6
2019-08-11 @ Fredericia L 1-344.7 1437 1455 28.76% 23.49% 47.75%-0.18 -8.2 0
2019-08-11 Skive D 0-053.4 1463 1356 58.63% 21.54% 19.83%+0.54 -1.5 5
2019-08-11 @ Fremad Amager D 0-053.4 1356 1463 19.83% 21.54% 58.63%-0.54 +1.5 5
2019-08-14 Fredericia L 0-153.2 1517 1463 52.28% 22.87% 24.85%+0.32 -8.1 4
2019-08-14 @ Vejle BK W 1-053.2 1463 1517 24.85% 22.87% 52.28%-0.32 +8.1 9
2019-08-16 Kolding IF L 1-253.7 1450 1493 39.17% 24.00% 36.83%-0.08 -6.0 1
2019-08-16 @ HB Koge W 2-153.7 1493 1450 36.83% 24.00% 39.17%+0.08 +6.0 12
2019-08-16 Nykobing L 2-360.0 1462 1466 44.64% 23.77% 31.59%+0.08 -6.3 5
2019-08-16 @ Fremad Amager W 3-260.0 1466 1462 31.59% 23.77% 44.64%-0.08 +6.3 10
2019-08-16 Viborg L 0-236.8 1358 1535 22.83% 22.42% 54.76%-0.63 -7.7 5
2019-08-16 @ Skive W 2-036.8 1535 1358 54.76% 22.42% 22.83%+0.63 +7.7 10
2019-08-18 Hvidovre D 1-157.4 1429 1396 49.61% 23.27% 27.12%+0.24 -0.8 1
2019-08-18 @ Naestved D 1-157.4 1396 1429 27.12% 23.27% 49.61%-0.24 +0.8 2
2019-08-18 Vendsyssel W 2-041.9 1424 1473 38.37% 24.00% 37.63%-0.10 +11.7 4
2019-08-18 @ FC Roskilde L 0-241.9 1473 1424 37.63% 24.00% 38.37%+0.10 -11.7 3
2019-08-21 Fredericia D 2-269.7 1543 1471 54.50% 22.47% 23.03%+0.40 -0.8 11
2019-08-21 @ Viborg D 2-269.7 1471 1543 23.03% 22.47% 54.50%-0.40 +0.8 10
2019-08-21 Fremad Amager D 0-053.5 1397 1455 37.08% 24.00% 38.92%-0.14 +0.1 3
2019-08-21 @ Hvidovre D 0-053.5 1455 1397 38.92% 24.00% 37.08%+0.14 -0.1 6
2019-08-21 HB Koge L 2-358.3 1436 1444 44.20% 23.80% 32.00%+0.07 -6.3 4
2019-08-21 @ FC Roskilde W 3-258.3 1444 1436 32.00% 23.80% 44.20%-0.07 +6.3 4
2019-08-21 Naestved L 0-150.1 1473 1428 51.18% 23.05% 25.78%+0.29 -7.9 10
2019-08-21 @ Nykobing W 1-050.1 1428 1473 25.78% 23.05% 51.18%-0.29 +7.9 4
2019-08-21 Skive L 0-149.5 1462 1350 59.16% 21.40% 19.44%+0.56 -9.0 3
2019-08-21 @ Vendsyssel W 1-049.5 1350 1462 19.44% 21.40% 59.16%-0.56 +9.0 8
2019-08-21 Vejle BK D 1-163.3 1499 1509 44.02% 23.81% 32.16%+0.06 -0.4 13
2019-08-21 @ Kolding IF D 1-163.3 1509 1499 32.16% 23.81% 44.02%-0.06 +0.4 5
2019-08-24 Vendsyssel W 3-038.1 1436 1453 42.95% 23.88% 33.17%+0.03 +15.4 7
2019-08-24 @ Naestved L 0-338.1 1453 1436 33.17% 23.88% 42.95%-0.03 -15.4 3
2019-08-25 FC Roskilde W 3-254.1 1397 1430 40.77% 23.96% 35.27%-0.03 +5.3 6
2019-08-25 @ Hvidovre L 2-354.1 1430 1397 35.27% 23.96% 40.77%+0.03 -5.3 4
2019-08-25 Fremad Amager W 3-146.1 1450 1455 44.57% 23.78% 31.65%+0.08 +8.8 7
2019-08-25 @ HB Koge L 1-346.1 1455 1450 31.65% 23.78% 44.57%-0.08 -8.8 6
2019-08-25 Kolding IF W 4-361.4 1472 1499 41.56% 23.94% 34.50%-0.01 +5.0 13
2019-08-25 @ Fredericia L 3-461.4 1499 1472 34.50% 23.94% 41.56%+0.01 -5.0 13
2019-08-25 Nykobing W 3-038.7 1542 1465 55.21% 22.33% 22.47%+0.42 +11.0 14
2019-08-25 @ Viborg L 0-338.7 1465 1542 22.47% 22.33% 55.21%-0.42 -11.0 10
2019-08-25 Skive W 2-143.3 1509 1359 63.30% 20.18% 16.52%+0.72 +2.8 8
2019-08-25 @ Vejle BK L 1-243.3 1359 1509 16.52% 20.18% 63.30%-0.72 -2.8 8
2019-08-29 Viborg W 4-150.8 1512 1553 39.52% 23.99% 36.49%-0.07 +14.0 11
2019-08-29 @ Vejle BK L 1-450.8 1553 1512 36.49% 23.99% 39.52%+0.07 -14.0 14
2019-08-30 HB Koge D 1-157.0 1356 1459 31.15% 23.74% 45.12%-0.32 +0.5 9
2019-08-30 @ Skive D 1-157.0 1459 1356 45.12% 23.74% 31.15%+0.32 -0.5 8
2019-08-30 Kolding IF W 3-258.3 1454 1494 39.65% 23.99% 36.36%-0.06 +5.4 13
2019-08-30 @ Nykobing L 2-358.3 1494 1454 36.36% 23.99% 39.65%+0.06 -5.4 13
2019-08-30 Naestved W 1-044.3 1446 1451 44.62% 23.77% 31.60%+0.08 +5.4 9
2019-08-30 @ Fremad Amager L 0-144.3 1451 1446 31.60% 23.77% 44.62%-0.08 -5.4 7
2019-09-01 Fredericia L 1-251.8 1424 1477 37.84% 24.00% 38.16%-0.12 -5.9 4
2019-09-01 @ FC Roskilde W 2-151.8 1477 1424 38.16% 24.00% 37.84%+0.12 +5.9 16
2019-09-01 Hvidovre W 1-041.0 1437 1402 49.94% 23.22% 26.83%+0.25 +4.7 6
2019-09-01 @ Vendsyssel L 0-141.0 1402 1437 26.83% 23.22% 49.94%-0.25 -4.7 6
2019-09-06 Skive W 4-244.5 1398 1357 50.68% 23.12% 26.20%+0.27 +6.7 9
2019-09-06 @ Hvidovre L 2-444.5 1357 1398 26.20% 23.12% 50.68%-0.27 -6.7 9
2019-09-08 FC Roskilde W 1-042.0 1446 1418 48.95% 23.35% 27.70%+0.22 +4.8 10
2019-09-08 @ Naestved L 0-142.0 1418 1446 27.70% 23.35% 48.95%-0.22 -4.8 4
2019-09-08 Fremad Amager D 0-056.6 1489 1452 50.17% 23.19% 26.64%+0.25 -0.9 14
2019-09-08 @ Kolding IF D 0-056.6 1452 1489 26.64% 23.19% 50.17%-0.25 +0.9 10
2019-09-08 Nykobing D 2-266.8 1483 1459 48.50% 23.41% 28.09%+0.20 -0.5 17
2019-09-08 @ Fredericia D 2-266.8 1459 1483 28.09% 23.41% 48.50%-0.20 +0.5 14
2019-09-13 Fredericia D 2-263.4 1350 1483 27.54% 23.33% 49.13%-0.45 +0.5 10
2019-09-13 @ Skive D 2-263.4 1483 1350 49.13% 23.33% 27.54%+0.45 -0.5 18
2019-09-14 Viborg L 1-253.6 1453 1539 33.22% 23.88% 42.90%-0.26 -5.3 10
2019-09-14 @ Fremad Amager W 2-153.6 1539 1453 42.90% 23.88% 33.22%+0.26 +5.3 17
2019-09-15 Hvidovre W 3-034.3 1526 1404 60.26% 21.10% 18.64%+0.60 +9.2 14
2019-09-15 @ Vejle BK L 0-334.3 1404 1526 18.64% 21.10% 60.26%-0.60 -9.2 9
2019-09-15 Kolding IF W 2-042.8 1442 1488 38.89% 24.00% 37.11%-0.09 +11.5 9
2019-09-15 @ Vendsyssel L 0-242.8 1488 1442 37.11% 24.00% 38.89%+0.09 -11.5 14
2019-09-15 Naestved D 1-159.8 1458 1451 46.33% 23.63% 30.04%+0.13 -0.5 9
2019-09-15 @ HB Koge D 1-159.8 1451 1458 30.04% 23.63% 46.33%-0.13 +0.5 11
2019-09-15 Nykobing W 3-146.8 1414 1460 38.83% 24.00% 37.17%-0.09 +10.0 7
2019-09-15 @ FC Roskilde L 1-346.8 1460 1414 37.17% 24.00% 38.83%+0.09 -10.0 14
2019-09-19 FC Roskilde W 2-037.8 1535 1424 59.15% 21.40% 19.45%+0.56 +6.6 17
2019-09-19 @ Vejle BK L 0-237.8 1424 1535 19.45% 21.40% 59.15%-0.56 -6.6 7
2019-09-19 Vendsyssel D 1-163.5 1544 1454 56.79% 21.98% 21.23%+0.48 -1.3 18
2019-09-19 @ Viborg D 1-163.5 1454 1544 21.23% 21.98% 56.79%-0.48 +1.2 10
2019-09-20 HB Koge D 2-263.7 1395 1458 36.46% 23.99% 39.55%-0.16 +0.1 10
2019-09-20 @ Hvidovre D 2-263.7 1458 1395 39.55% 23.99% 36.46%+0.16 -0.1 10
2019-09-22 Fremad Amager L 1-256.2 1482 1447 49.89% 23.23% 26.88%+0.24 -7.3 18
2019-09-22 @ Fredericia W 2-156.2 1447 1482 26.88% 23.23% 49.89%-0.24 +7.3 13
2019-09-22 Skive W 4-243.1 1476 1351 60.71% 20.97% 18.32%+0.62 +4.8 17
2019-09-22 @ Kolding IF L 2-443.1 1351 1476 18.32% 20.97% 60.71%-0.62 -4.8 10
2019-09-22 Vendsyssel L 0-342.0 1450 1455 44.56% 23.78% 31.66%+0.08 -19.4 14
2019-09-22 @ Nykobing W 3-042.0 1455 1450 31.66% 23.78% 44.56%-0.08 +19.3 13
2019-09-28 Kolding IF L 1-260.5 1543 1481 53.36% 22.68% 23.95%+0.36 -7.7 18
2019-09-28 @ Viborg W 2-160.5 1481 1543 23.95% 22.68% 53.36%-0.36 +7.7 20
2019-09-28 Nykobing D 3-366.1 1346 1430 33.48% 23.89% 42.62%-0.25 +0.2 11
2019-09-28 @ Skive D 3-366.1 1430 1346 42.62% 23.89% 33.48%+0.25 -0.2 15
2019-09-29 FC Roskilde W 2-147.3 1455 1417 50.29% 23.18% 26.54%+0.26 +4.4 16
2019-09-29 @ Fremad Amager L 1-247.3 1417 1455 26.54% 23.18% 50.29%-0.26 -4.4 7
2019-09-29 HB Koge W 2-150.1 1474 1458 47.51% 23.52% 28.97%+0.17 +4.7 16
2019-09-29 @ Vendsyssel L 1-250.1 1458 1474 28.97% 23.52% 47.51%-0.17 -4.7 10
2019-09-29 Hvidovre W 3-250.9 1475 1395 55.46% 22.27% 22.27%+0.43 +3.6 21
2019-09-29 @ Fredericia L 2-350.9 1395 1475 22.27% 22.27% 55.46%-0.43 -3.6 10
2019-09-29 Vejle BK L 2-358.8 1451 1542 32.70% 23.85% 43.45%-0.27 -5.0 11
2019-09-29 @ Naestved W 3-258.8 1542 1451 43.45% 23.85% 32.70%+0.27 +5.0 20
2019-10-02 Vejle BK D 0-058.6 1453 1547 32.29% 23.82% 43.89%-0.29 +0.4 11
2019-10-02 @ HB Koge D 0-058.6 1547 1453 43.89% 23.82% 32.29%+0.29 -0.4 21
2019-10-03 Fredericia L 1-256.7 1489 1478 46.70% 23.60% 29.70%+0.14 -6.9 20
2019-10-03 @ Kolding IF W 2-156.7 1478 1489 29.70% 23.60% 46.70%-0.14 +6.9 24
2019-10-05 Naestved W 3-146.1 1392 1446 37.61% 24.00% 38.39%-0.12 +10.3 13
2019-10-05 @ Hvidovre L 1-346.1 1446 1392 38.39% 24.00% 37.61%+0.12 -10.3 11
2019-10-06 Fremad Amager D 2-264.8 1430 1459 41.25% 23.95% 34.80%-0.02 -0.2 16
2019-10-06 @ Nykobing D 2-264.8 1459 1430 34.80% 23.95% 41.25%+0.02 +0.2 17
2019-10-06 Skive L 0-244.8 1453 1346 58.70% 21.52% 19.78%+0.55 -16.8 11
2019-10-06 @ HB Koge W 2-044.8 1346 1453 19.78% 21.52% 58.70%-0.55 +16.8 14
2019-10-06 Vendsyssel W 1-046.1 1546 1479 53.97% 22.57% 23.46%+0.38 +4.2 24
2019-10-06 @ Vejle BK L 0-146.1 1479 1546 23.46% 22.57% 53.97%-0.38 -4.2 16
2019-10-06 Viborg L 0-240.8 1413 1535 28.66% 23.48% 47.86%-0.41 -9.4 7
2019-10-06 @ FC Roskilde W 2-040.8 1535 1413 47.86% 23.48% 28.66%+0.41 +9.4 21
2019-10-11 Nykobing W 3-144.0 1482 1430 52.09% 22.90% 25.01%+0.32 +7.2 23
2019-10-11 @ Kolding IF L 1-344.0 1430 1482 25.01% 22.90% 52.09%-0.32 -7.2 16
2019-10-12 Hvidovre W 2-147.8 1363 1402 39.82% 23.99% 36.19%-0.06 +5.7 17
2019-10-12 @ Skive L 1-247.8 1402 1363 36.19% 23.99% 39.82%+0.06 -5.7 13
2019-10-13 Naestved D 1-160.0 1475 1436 50.43% 23.16% 26.42%+0.26 -0.8 17
2019-10-13 @ Vendsyssel D 1-160.0 1436 1475 26.42% 23.16% 50.43%-0.26 +0.8 12
2019-10-18 Fremad Amager W 5-039.7 1545 1459 56.18% 22.12% 21.70%+0.46 +17.2 24
2019-10-18 @ Viborg L 0-539.7 1459 1545 21.70% 22.12% 56.18%-0.46 -17.1 17
2019-10-18 Vendsyssel D 1-158.5 1396 1474 34.38% 23.93% 41.68%-0.22 +0.2 14
2019-10-18 @ Hvidovre D 1-158.5 1474 1396 41.68% 23.93% 34.38%+0.22 -0.2 18
2019-10-19 Kolding IF W 3-040.5 1550 1489 53.25% 22.70% 24.04%+0.35 +11.7 27
2019-10-19 @ Vejle BK L 0-340.5 1489 1550 24.04% 22.70% 53.25%-0.35 -11.7 23
2019-10-20 FC Roskilde W 2-146.5 1437 1403 49.73% 23.25% 27.01%+0.24 +4.5 14
2019-10-20 @ HB Koge L 1-246.5 1403 1437 27.01% 23.25% 49.73%-0.24 -4.5 7
2019-10-20 Fredericia L 0-541.2 1423 1485 36.48% 23.99% 39.53%-0.16 -26.6 16
2019-10-20 @ Nykobing W 5-041.2 1485 1423 39.53% 23.99% 36.48%+0.16 +26.6 27
2019-10-20 Skive W 1-038.9 1437 1368 54.12% 22.54% 23.34%+0.38 +4.2 15
2019-10-20 @ Naestved L 0-138.9 1368 1437 23.34% 22.54% 54.12%-0.38 -4.2 17
2019-10-24 HB Koge D 2-267.5 1512 1441 54.41% 22.49% 23.10%+0.39 -0.8 28
2019-10-24 @ Fredericia D 2-267.5 1441 1512 23.10% 22.49% 54.41%-0.39 +0.8 15
2019-10-24 Viborg L 1-348.7 1441 1562 28.88% 23.51% 47.61%-0.40 -8.2 15
2019-10-24 @ Naestved W 3-148.7 1562 1441 47.61% 23.51% 28.88%+0.40 +8.2 27
2019-10-25 Hvidovre L 0-243.9 1442 1397 51.29% 23.03% 25.68%+0.29 -15.0 17
2019-10-25 @ Fremad Amager W 2-043.9 1397 1442 25.68% 23.03% 51.29%-0.29 +15.0 17
2019-10-25 Vejle BK D 0-056.5 1364 1562 20.94% 21.89% 57.17%-0.72 +1.4 18
2019-10-25 @ Skive D 0-056.5 1562 1364 57.17% 21.89% 20.94%+0.72 -1.4 28
2019-10-25 Vendsyssel L 1-255.8 1477 1474 45.77% 23.68% 30.54%+0.12 -6.8 23
2019-10-25 @ Kolding IF W 2-155.8 1474 1477 30.54% 23.68% 45.77%-0.12 +6.8 21
2019-10-27 Naestved W 4-037.4 1399 1433 40.54% 23.97% 35.49%-0.04 +21.2 10
2019-10-27 @ FC Roskilde L 0-437.4 1433 1399 35.49% 23.97% 40.54%+0.04 -21.2 15
2019-10-27 Viborg L 1-249.2 1396 1570 23.14% 22.50% 54.37%-0.62 -3.9 16
2019-10-27 @ Nykobing W 2-149.2 1570 1396 54.37% 22.50% 23.14%+0.62 +3.9 30
2019-11-01 FC Roskilde L 1-344.7 1366 1420 37.67% 24.00% 38.33%-0.12 -10.1 18
2019-11-01 @ Skive W 3-144.7 1420 1366 38.33% 24.00% 37.67%+0.12 +10.1 13
2019-11-01 Kolding IF L 1-251.0 1412 1471 36.97% 24.00% 39.03%-0.14 -5.8 17
2019-11-01 @ Hvidovre W 2-151.0 1471 1412 39.03% 24.00% 36.97%+0.14 +5.8 26
2019-11-02 Fremad Amager W 4-036.3 1561 1427 61.57% 20.72% 17.71%+0.65 +11.4 31
2019-11-02 @ Vejle BK L 0-436.3 1427 1561 17.71% 20.72% 61.57%-0.65 -11.4 17
2019-11-02 Viborg W 2-159.1 1442 1574 27.58% 23.34% 49.08%-0.44 +7.2 18
2019-11-02 @ HB Koge L 1-259.1 1574 1442 49.08% 23.34% 27.58%+0.44 -7.2 30
2019-11-03 Fredericia D 1-160.2 1412 1511 31.53% 23.77% 44.70%-0.31 +0.4 16
2019-11-03 @ Naestved D 1-160.2 1511 1412 44.70% 23.77% 31.53%+0.31 -0.4 29
2019-11-03 Nykobing D 0-054.7 1481 1392 56.51% 22.04% 21.44%+0.47 -1.4 22
2019-11-03 @ Vendsyssel D 0-054.7 1392 1481 21.44% 22.04% 56.51%-0.47 +1.4 17
2019-11-06 FC Roskilde W 2-038.2 1511 1430 55.59% 22.25% 22.16%+0.43 +7.5 32
2019-11-06 @ Fredericia L 0-238.2 1430 1511 22.16% 22.25% 55.59%-0.43 -7.5 13
2019-11-07 Vejle BK D 0-057.8 1394 1572 22.71% 22.39% 54.90%-0.64 +1.3 18
2019-11-07 @ Nykobing D 0-057.8 1572 1394 54.90% 22.39% 22.71%+0.64 -1.3 32
2019-11-08 Naestved W 2-146.9 1567 1412 63.81% 20.01% 16.18%+0.74 +2.8 33
2019-11-08 @ Viborg L 1-246.9 1412 1567 16.18% 20.01% 63.81%-0.74 -2.7 16
2019-11-10 HB Koge L 0-246.0 1476 1449 48.92% 23.36% 27.73%+0.21 -14.4 26
2019-11-10 @ Kolding IF W 2-046.0 1449 1476 27.73% 23.36% 48.92%-0.21 +14.4 21
2019-11-10 Hvidovre L 0-242.7 1423 1406 47.55% 23.51% 28.94%+0.17 -14.0 13
2019-11-10 @ FC Roskilde W 2-042.7 1406 1423 28.94% 23.51% 47.55%-0.17 +14.0 20
2019-11-10 Skive L 0-247.9 1518 1356 64.60% 19.75% 15.66%+0.77 -18.2 32
2019-11-10 @ Fredericia W 2-047.9 1356 1518 15.66% 19.75% 64.60%-0.77 +18.2 21
2019-11-10 Vendsyssel W 3-040.3 1416 1479 36.35% 23.99% 39.66%-0.16 +17.6 20
2019-11-10 @ Fremad Amager L 0-340.3 1479 1416 39.66% 23.99% 36.35%+0.16 -17.6 22
2019-11-15 Fredericia L 2-356.6 1420 1500 34.06% 23.92% 42.02%-0.23 -5.1 20
2019-11-15 @ Hvidovre W 3-256.6 1500 1420 42.02% 23.92% 34.06%+0.23 +5.1 35
2019-11-15 Nykobing L 0-245.2 1464 1395 54.16% 22.53% 23.30%+0.39 -15.7 21
2019-11-15 @ HB Koge W 2-045.2 1395 1464 23.30% 22.53% 54.16%-0.39 +15.7 21
2019-11-17 Fremad Amager L 0-145.9 1409 1433 41.96% 23.92% 34.12%+0.00 -6.7 16
2019-11-17 @ Naestved W 1-045.9 1433 1409 34.12% 23.92% 41.96%+0.00 +6.7 23
2019-11-17 Kolding IF L 0-238.6 1374 1462 33.00% 23.87% 43.13%-0.26 -10.5 21
2019-11-17 @ Skive W 2-038.6 1462 1374 43.13% 23.87% 33.00%+0.26 +10.5 29
2019-11-21 HB Koge D 1-159.0 1440 1448 44.22% 23.80% 31.98%+0.07 -0.4 24
2019-11-21 @ Fremad Amager D 1-159.0 1448 1440 31.98% 23.80% 44.22%-0.07 +0.4 22
2019-11-23 Vejle BK L 0-438.5 1409 1571 24.32% 22.76% 52.92%-0.57 -15.5 13
2019-11-23 @ FC Roskilde W 4-038.5 1571 1409 52.92% 22.76% 24.32%+0.57 +15.5 35
2019-11-23 Viborg W 1-053.4 1462 1570 30.45% 23.67% 45.87%-0.34 +7.2 25
2019-11-23 @ Vendsyssel L 0-153.4 1570 1462 45.87% 23.67% 30.45%+0.34 -7.2 33
2019-11-28 Vejle BK L 3-469.8 1562 1586 41.98% 23.92% 34.10%+0.00 -5.9 33
2019-11-28 @ Viborg W 4-369.8 1586 1562 34.10% 23.92% 41.98%+0.00 +5.9 38
2020-02-28 Hvidovre D 1-162.9 1556 1415 62.46% 20.45% 17.09%+0.69 -1.6 34
2020-02-28 @ Viborg D 1-162.9 1415 1556 17.09% 20.45% 62.46%-0.69 +1.6 21
2020-02-29 Fredericia W 4-254.1 1440 1505 36.09% 23.98% 39.93%-0.17 +9.5 27
2020-02-29 @ Fremad Amager L 2-454.1 1505 1440 39.93% 23.98% 36.09%+0.17 -9.5 35
2020-02-29 Naestved D 1-159.0 1472 1403 54.30% 22.51% 23.19%+0.39 -1.1 30
2020-02-29 @ Kolding IF D 1-159.0 1403 1472 23.19% 22.51% 54.30%-0.39 +1.1 17
2020-03-01 FC Roskilde W 2-035.8 1469 1393 55.01% 22.37% 22.62%+0.41 +7.6 28
2020-03-01 @ Vendsyssel L 0-235.8 1393 1469 22.62% 22.37% 55.01%-0.41 -7.6 13
2020-03-01 HB Koge W 1-044.1 1592 1448 62.67% 20.38% 16.95%+0.70 +3.1 41
2020-03-01 @ Vejle BK L 0-144.1 1448 1592 16.95% 20.38% 62.67%-0.70 -3.0 22
2020-03-01 Skive W 4-244.6 1410 1363 51.49% 23.00% 25.51%+0.30 +6.6 24
2020-03-01 @ Nykobing L 2-444.6 1363 1410 25.51% 23.00% 51.49%-0.30 -6.6 21
2020-03-06 Kolding IF W 1-046.5 1385 1471 33.28% 23.88% 42.83%-0.25 +6.8 16
2020-03-06 @ FC Roskilde L 0-146.5 1471 1385 42.83% 23.88% 33.28%+0.25 -6.9 30
2020-03-06 Vendsyssel W 2-041.9 1445 1476 40.95% 23.96% 35.10%-0.03 +11.1 25
2020-03-06 @ HB Koge L 0-241.9 1476 1445 35.10% 23.96% 40.95%+0.03 -11.1 28
2020-03-07 Vejle BK L 0-145.3 1416 1595 22.68% 22.38% 54.94%-0.64 -4.0 21
2020-03-07 @ Hvidovre W 1-045.3 1595 1416 54.94% 22.38% 22.68%+0.64 +4.0 44
2020-03-07 Viborg L 1-353.0 1496 1555 36.94% 24.00% 39.06%-0.14 -10.0 35
2020-03-07 @ Fredericia W 3-153.0 1555 1496 39.06% 24.00% 36.94%+0.14 +10.0 37
2020-03-08 Fremad Amager W 2-150.9 1357 1449 32.43% 23.83% 43.74%-0.28 +6.6 24
2020-03-08 @ Skive L 1-250.9 1449 1357 43.74% 23.83% 32.43%+0.28 -6.6 27
2020-03-08 Nykobing D 0-052.8 1404 1417 43.45% 23.85% 32.71%+0.05 -0.4 18
2020-03-08 @ Naestved D 0-052.8 1417 1404 32.71% 23.85% 43.45%-0.05 +0.4 25
2020-05-29 Skive D 1-162.0 1565 1363 68.41% 18.33% 13.26%+0.93 -2.0 38
2020-05-29 @ Viborg D 1-162.0 1363 1565 13.26% 18.33% 68.41%-0.93 +2.0 25
2020-05-30 Hvidovre D 1-158.7 1456 1412 51.09% 23.06% 25.85%+0.28 -0.9 26
2020-05-30 @ HB Koge D 1-158.7 1412 1456 25.85% 23.06% 51.09%-0.28 +0.9 22
2020-05-30 Kolding IF D 2-265.4 1443 1465 42.25% 23.91% 33.84%+0.01 -0.2 28
2020-05-30 @ Fremad Amager D 2-265.4 1465 1443 33.84% 23.91% 42.25%-0.01 +0.2 31
2020-05-31 FC Roskilde D 2-262.8 1417 1392 48.66% 23.39% 27.95%+0.21 -0.5 26
2020-05-31 @ Nykobing D 2-262.8 1392 1417 27.95% 23.39% 48.66%-0.21 +0.5 17
2020-05-31 Fredericia L 0-149.5 1465 1486 42.49% 23.90% 33.61%+0.02 -6.8 28
2020-05-31 @ Vendsyssel W 1-049.5 1486 1465 33.61% 23.90% 42.49%-0.02 +6.8 38
2020-05-31 Naestved D 1-164.7 1599 1403 67.88% 18.54% 13.58%+0.91 -2.0 45
2020-05-31 @ Vejle BK D 1-164.7 1403 1599 13.58% 18.54% 67.88%-0.91 +2.0 19
2020-06-05 Vejle BK L 1-256.4 1492 1597 30.85% 23.71% 45.44%-0.33 -5.0 38
2020-06-05 @ Fredericia W 2-156.4 1597 1492 45.44% 23.71% 30.85%+0.33 +5.0 48
2020-06-05 Vendsyssel L 1-343.9 1365 1459 32.33% 23.82% 43.85%-0.28 -9.0 25
2020-06-05 @ Skive W 3-143.9 1459 1365 43.85% 23.82% 32.33%+0.28 +9.0 31
2020-06-05 Viborg W 3-154.4 1465 1563 31.71% 23.78% 44.51%-0.30 +11.5 34
2020-06-05 @ Kolding IF L 1-354.4 1563 1465 44.51% 23.78% 31.71%+0.30 -11.5 38
2020-06-06 Fremad Amager W 2-149.8 1393 1442 38.32% 24.00% 37.67%-0.10 +5.8 20
2020-06-06 @ FC Roskilde L 1-249.8 1442 1393 37.67% 24.00% 38.32%+0.10 -5.8 28
2020-06-06 Nykobing W 1-042.3 1413 1417 44.76% 23.76% 31.48%+0.09 +5.4 25
2020-06-06 @ Hvidovre L 0-142.3 1417 1413 31.48% 23.76% 44.76%-0.09 -5.4 26
2020-06-07 HB Koge W 2-150.5 1405 1455 38.25% 24.00% 37.75%-0.11 +5.8 22
2020-06-07 @ Naestved L 1-250.5 1455 1405 37.75% 24.00% 38.25%+0.11 -5.9 26
2020-06-09 Hvidovre D 1-159.2 1468 1418 51.73% 22.96% 25.31%+0.30 -0.9 32
2020-06-09 @ Vendsyssel D 1-159.2 1418 1468 25.31% 22.96% 51.73%-0.30 +0.9 26
2020-06-09 Kolding IF D 2-264.8 1412 1476 36.17% 23.99% 39.84%-0.17 +0.1 27
2020-06-09 @ Nykobing D 2-264.8 1476 1412 39.84% 23.99% 36.17%+0.17 -0.1 35
2020-06-09 Skive L 1-262.0 1602 1356 72.40% 16.64% 10.96%+1.12 -10.0 48
2020-06-09 @ Vejle BK W 2-162.0 1356 1602 10.96% 16.64% 72.40%-1.12 +10.0 28
2020-06-10 Fredericia D 2-266.4 1450 1487 40.00% 23.98% 36.02%-0.05 -0.1 27
2020-06-10 @ HB Koge D 2-266.4 1487 1450 36.02% 23.98% 40.00%+0.05 +0.1 39
2020-06-10 Naestved W 1-041.6 1437 1411 48.69% 23.39% 27.92%+0.21 +4.9 31
2020-06-10 @ Fremad Amager L 0-141.6 1411 1437 27.92% 23.39% 48.69%-0.21 -4.9 22
2020-06-11 FC Roskilde W 4-246.0 1551 1399 63.59% 20.09% 16.32%+0.73 +4.3 41
2020-06-11 @ Viborg L 2-446.0 1399 1551 16.32% 20.09% 63.59%-0.73 -4.3 20
2020-06-12 Nykobing W 3-253.6 1366 1412 38.93% 24.00% 37.07%-0.09 +5.5 31
2020-06-12 @ Skive L 2-353.6 1412 1366 37.07% 24.00% 38.93%+0.09 -5.5 27
2020-06-13 Fremad Amager W 3-144.8 1488 1441 51.35% 23.02% 25.63%+0.29 +7.4 42
2020-06-13 @ Fredericia L 1-344.8 1441 1488 25.63% 23.02% 51.35%-0.29 -7.4 31
2020-06-13 Vejle BK L 0-149.8 1476 1592 29.47% 23.57% 46.96%-0.38 -5.1 35
2020-06-13 @ Kolding IF W 1-049.8 1592 1476 46.96% 23.57% 29.47%+0.38 +5.1 51
2020-06-13 Vendsyssel D 0-054.1 1406 1467 36.78% 24.00% 39.22%-0.15 +0.1 23
2020-06-13 @ Naestved D 0-054.1 1467 1406 39.22% 24.00% 36.78%+0.15 -0.1 33
2020-06-14 HB Koge D 2-263.5 1394 1449 37.53% 24.00% 38.46%-0.13 +0.0 21
2020-06-14 @ FC Roskilde D 2-263.5 1449 1394 38.46% 24.00% 37.53%+0.13 -0.0 28
2020-06-14 Viborg L 1-444.4 1419 1556 27.12% 23.27% 49.61%-0.46 -11.0 26
2020-06-14 @ Hvidovre W 4-144.4 1556 1419 49.61% 23.27% 27.12%+0.46 +11.0 44
2020-06-19 FC Roskilde D 2-264.6 1471 1394 55.13% 22.34% 22.53%+0.42 -0.8 36
2020-06-19 @ Kolding IF D 2-264.6 1394 1471 22.53% 22.34% 55.13%-0.42 +0.8 22
2020-06-19 Fredericia L 0-252.4 1567 1495 54.52% 22.47% 23.02%+0.40 -15.8 44
2020-06-19 @ Viborg W 2-052.4 1495 1567 23.02% 22.47% 54.52%-0.40 +15.8 45
2020-06-19 HB Koge D 1-160.0 1467 1449 47.59% 23.51% 28.90%+0.17 -0.6 34
2020-06-19 @ Vendsyssel D 1-160.0 1449 1467 28.90% 23.51% 47.59%-0.17 +0.6 29
2020-06-20 Skive D 0-052.8 1434 1372 53.38% 22.68% 23.94%+0.36 -1.1 32
2020-06-20 @ Fremad Amager D 0-052.8 1372 1434 23.94% 22.68% 53.38%-0.36 +1.1 32
2020-06-21 Hvidovre W 5-348.8 1597 1408 67.21% 18.80% 13.99%+0.88 +3.4 54
2020-06-21 @ Vejle BK L 3-548.8 1408 1597 13.99% 18.80% 67.21%-0.88 -3.4 26
2020-06-21 Naestved W 2-147.2 1406 1406 45.26% 23.72% 31.01%+0.10 +5.0 30
2020-06-21 @ Nykobing L 1-247.2 1406 1406 31.01% 23.72% 45.26%-0.10 -5.0 23
2020-06-23 Kolding IF W 1-045.7 1450 1470 42.50% 23.90% 33.60%+0.02 +5.7 32
2020-06-23 @ HB Koge L 0-145.7 1470 1450 33.60% 23.90% 42.50%-0.02 -5.7 36
2020-06-23 Vendsyssel L 2-458.4 1511 1466 51.18% 23.05% 25.77%+0.29 -11.6 45
2020-06-23 @ Fredericia W 4-258.4 1466 1511 25.77% 23.05% 51.18%-0.29 +11.6 37
2020-06-24 Vejle BK D 1-163.7 1401 1601 20.78% 21.85% 57.37%-0.72 +1.3 24
2020-06-24 @ Naestved D 1-163.7 1601 1401 57.37% 21.85% 20.78%+0.72 -1.3 55
2020-06-24 Viborg L 0-142.2 1373 1551 22.77% 22.41% 54.82%-0.63 -4.1 32
2020-06-24 @ Skive W 1-042.2 1551 1373 54.82% 22.41% 22.77%+0.63 +4.1 47
2020-06-25 Fremad Amager W 3-037.1 1405 1433 41.41% 23.94% 34.65%-0.01 +15.9 29
2020-06-25 @ Hvidovre L 0-337.1 1433 1405 34.65% 23.94% 41.41%+0.01 -15.9 32
2020-06-25 Nykobing D 2-262.6 1395 1411 43.09% 23.87% 33.05%+0.04 -0.2 23
2020-06-25 @ FC Roskilde D 2-262.6 1411 1395 33.05% 23.87% 43.09%-0.04 +0.2 31
2020-06-26 Kolding IF D 2-266.7 1477 1465 47.03% 23.57% 29.40%+0.16 -0.4 38
2020-06-26 @ Vendsyssel D 2-266.7 1465 1477 29.40% 23.57% 47.03%-0.16 +0.4 37
2020-06-27 Fredericia W 2-043.2 1600 1499 57.91% 21.72% 20.38%+0.52 +6.9 58
2020-06-27 @ Vejle BK L 0-243.2 1499 1600 20.38% 21.72% 57.91%-0.52 -6.9 45
2020-06-27 HB Koge W 4-250.0 1555 1456 57.76% 21.75% 20.49%+0.51 +5.4 50
2020-06-27 @ Viborg L 2-450.0 1456 1555 20.49% 21.75% 57.76%-0.51 -5.4 32
2020-06-27 Naestved W 2-037.9 1369 1403 40.58% 23.97% 35.45%-0.04 +11.2 35
2020-06-27 @ Skive L 0-237.9 1403 1369 35.45% 23.97% 40.58%+0.04 -11.1 24
2020-06-28 FC Roskilde W 2-036.5 1417 1395 48.24% 23.44% 28.32%+0.19 +9.3 35
2020-06-28 @ Fremad Amager L 0-236.5 1395 1417 28.32% 23.44% 48.24%-0.19 -9.3 23
2020-06-28 Hvidovre D 1-157.4 1411 1421 43.99% 23.82% 32.20%+0.06 -0.4 32
2020-06-28 @ Nykobing D 1-157.4 1421 1411 32.20% 23.82% 43.99%-0.06 +0.4 30
2020-06-30 Skive W 2-144.7 1465 1380 56.12% 22.13% 21.75%+0.45 +3.7 40
2020-06-30 @ Kolding IF L 1-244.7 1380 1465 21.75% 22.13% 56.12%-0.45 -3.7 35
2020-06-30 Vejle BK W 2-161.4 1450 1606 24.96% 22.89% 52.14%-0.54 +7.6 35
2020-06-30 @ HB Koge L 1-261.4 1606 1450 52.14% 22.89% 24.96%+0.54 -7.6 58
2020-06-30 Viborg D 2-267.4 1391 1560 23.67% 22.62% 53.71%-0.60 +0.8 25
2020-06-30 @ Naestved D 2-267.4 1560 1391 53.71% 22.62% 23.67%+0.60 -0.8 51
2020-07-01 Nykobing W 4-035.5 1426 1411 47.34% 23.54% 29.12%+0.16 +18.0 38
2020-07-01 @ Fremad Amager L 0-435.5 1411 1426 29.12% 23.54% 47.34%-0.16 -18.0 32
2020-07-01 Vendsyssel L 2-354.3 1386 1477 32.57% 23.84% 43.59%-0.28 -5.0 23
2020-07-01 @ FC Roskilde W 3-254.3 1477 1386 43.59% 23.84% 32.57%+0.28 +5.0 41
2020-07-02 Hvidovre L 1-256.8 1492 1421 54.43% 22.48% 23.09%+0.39 -7.9 45
2020-07-02 @ Fredericia W 2-156.8 1421 1492 23.09% 22.48% 54.43%-0.39 +7.9 33
2020-07-03 Kolding IF L 0-144.1 1392 1469 34.56% 23.94% 41.50%-0.21 -5.8 25
2020-07-03 @ Naestved W 1-044.1 1469 1392 41.50% 23.94% 34.56%+0.21 +5.8 43
2020-07-04 Fremad Amager L 0-150.7 1482 1444 50.27% 23.18% 26.55%+0.26 -7.8 41
2020-07-04 @ Vendsyssel W 1-050.7 1444 1482 26.55% 23.18% 50.27%-0.26 +7.8 41
2020-07-05 Fredericia W 1-047.4 1376 1484 30.46% 23.67% 45.87%-0.34 +7.2 38
2020-07-05 @ Skive L 0-147.4 1484 1376 45.87% 23.67% 30.46%+0.34 -7.2 45
2020-07-05 HB Koge D 1-159.0 1429 1458 41.29% 23.95% 34.76%-0.02 -0.2 34
2020-07-05 @ Hvidovre D 1-159.0 1458 1429 34.76% 23.95% 41.29%+0.02 +0.2 36
2020-07-06 FC Roskilde W 4-138.5 1599 1381 69.94% 17.71% 12.35%+1.00 +5.0 61
2020-07-06 @ Vejle BK L 1-438.5 1381 1599 12.35% 17.71% 69.94%-1.00 -5.0 23
2020-07-06 Nykobing W 4-353.7 1559 1393 65.00% 19.61% 15.39%+0.79 +2.4 54
2020-07-06 @ Viborg L 3-453.7 1393 1559 15.39% 19.61% 65.00%-0.79 -2.4 32
2020-07-10 Naestved W 3-250.3 1477 1386 56.77% 21.99% 21.24%+0.48 +3.4 48
2020-07-10 @ Fredericia L 2-350.3 1386 1477 21.24% 21.99% 56.77%-0.48 -3.4 25
2020-07-10 Vejle BK L 0-245.3 1474 1604 27.86% 23.38% 48.76%-0.43 -9.2 41
2020-07-10 @ Vendsyssel W 2-045.3 1604 1474 48.76% 23.38% 27.86%+0.43 +9.2 64
2020-07-10 Viborg D 2-269.4 1452 1562 30.25% 23.65% 46.10%-0.35 +0.4 42
2020-07-10 @ Fremad Amager D 2-269.4 1562 1452 46.10% 23.65% 30.25%+0.35 -0.4 55
2020-07-11 HB Koge L 0-144.2 1391 1458 35.78% 23.98% 40.25%-0.18 -5.9 32
2020-07-11 @ Nykobing W 1-044.2 1458 1391 40.25% 23.98% 35.78%+0.18 +5.9 39
2020-07-11 Hvidovre L 0-245.9 1474 1429 51.28% 23.03% 25.68%+0.29 -15.0 43
2020-07-11 @ Kolding IF W 2-045.9 1429 1474 25.68% 23.03% 51.28%-0.29 +15.0 37
2020-07-12 Skive D 2-261.6 1376 1384 44.21% 23.80% 31.99%+0.07 -0.3 24
2020-07-12 @ FC Roskilde D 2-261.6 1384 1376 31.99% 23.80% 44.21%-0.07 +0.3 39
2020-07-14 Kolding IF W 2-040.4 1480 1460 48.10% 23.45% 28.45%+0.19 +9.3 51
2020-07-14 @ Fredericia L 0-240.4 1460 1480 28.45% 23.45% 48.10%-0.19 -9.3 43
2020-07-14 Nykobing W 1-040.0 1613 1385 70.87% 17.32% 11.82%+1.05 +2.1 67
2020-07-14 @ Vejle BK L 0-140.0 1385 1613 11.82% 17.32% 70.87%-1.05 -2.1 32
2020-07-14 Vendsyssel W 4-144.0 1561 1465 57.45% 21.83% 20.72%+0.50 +8.6 58
2020-07-14 @ Viborg L 1-444.0 1465 1561 20.72% 21.83% 57.45%-0.50 -8.6 41
2020-07-15 Fremad Amager L 0-149.5 1464 1453 46.85% 23.58% 29.57%+0.15 -7.4 39
2020-07-15 @ HB Koge W 1-049.5 1453 1464 29.57% 23.58% 46.85%-0.15 +7.4 45
2020-07-16 FC Roskilde L 0-240.8 1383 1375 46.32% 23.63% 30.04%+0.13 -13.8 25
2020-07-16 @ Naestved W 2-040.8 1375 1383 30.04% 23.63% 46.32%-0.13 +13.8 27
2020-07-16 Skive L 0-244.1 1444 1384 53.10% 22.73% 24.17%+0.35 -15.4 37
2020-07-16 @ Hvidovre W 2-044.1 1384 1444 24.17% 22.73% 53.10%-0.35 +15.4 42
2020-07-19 Fredericia W 1-047.7 1389 1490 31.38% 23.75% 44.87%-0.31 +7.1 30
2020-07-19 @ FC Roskilde L 0-147.7 1490 1389 44.87% 23.75% 31.38%+0.31 -7.1 51
2020-07-19 Fremad Amager D 2-265.6 1450 1460 43.95% 23.82% 32.23%+0.06 -0.3 44
2020-07-19 @ Kolding IF D 2-265.6 1460 1450 32.23% 23.82% 43.95%-0.06 +0.3 46
2020-07-19 HB Koge W 3-256.0 1399 1457 37.19% 24.00% 38.81%-0.14 +5.7 45
2020-07-19 @ Skive L 2-356.0 1457 1399 38.81% 24.00% 37.19%+0.14 -5.7 39
2020-07-19 Hvidovre L 0-238.9 1369 1428 36.95% 24.00% 39.05%-0.14 -11.5 25
2020-07-19 @ Naestved W 2-038.9 1428 1369 39.05% 24.00% 36.95%+0.14 +11.5 40
2020-07-19 Vendsyssel L 0-239.3 1383 1456 34.91% 23.95% 41.14%-0.20 -11.0 32
2020-07-19 @ Nykobing W 2-039.3 1456 1383 41.14% 23.95% 34.91%+0.20 +11.0 44
2020-07-19 Viborg D 1-169.2 1615 1570 51.22% 23.04% 25.74%+0.29 -0.9 68
2020-07-19 @ Vejle BK D 1-169.2 1570 1615 25.74% 23.04% 51.22%-0.29 +0.9 59
2020-07-23 Nykobing D 2-264.6 1483 1372 59.12% 21.41% 19.47%+0.56 -1.0 52
2020-07-23 @ Fredericia D 2-264.6 1372 1483 19.47% 21.41% 59.12%-0.56 +1.0 33
2020-07-25 FC Roskilde D 0-053.4 1440 1396 51.05% 23.07% 25.88%+0.28 -1.0 41
2020-07-25 @ Hvidovre D 0-053.4 1396 1440 25.88% 23.07% 51.05%-0.28 +1.0 31
2020-07-25 Kolding IF L 0-252.2 1571 1450 60.22% 21.11% 18.67%+0.60 -17.2 59
2020-07-25 @ Viborg W 2-052.2 1450 1571 18.67% 21.11% 60.22%-0.60 +17.2 47
2020-07-25 Naestved D 2-263.2 1451 1358 57.08% 21.91% 21.00%+0.49 -0.9 40
2020-07-25 @ HB Koge D 2-263.2 1358 1451 21.00% 21.91% 57.08%-0.49 +0.9 26
2020-07-25 Skive L 0-149.8 1467 1405 53.40% 22.68% 23.92%+0.36 -8.2 44
2020-07-25 @ Vendsyssel W 1-049.8 1405 1467 23.92% 22.68% 53.40%-0.36 +8.2 48
2020-07-25 Vejle BK W 4-155.4 1460 1614 25.18% 22.94% 51.89%-0.53 +18.5 49
2020-07-25 @ Fremad Amager L 1-455.4 1614 1460 51.89% 22.94% 25.18%+0.53 -18.5 68

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-06-09 10.96% Skive 1356 2 @ Vejle BK 1602 1
2 2019-11-10 15.66% Skive 1356 2 @ Fredericia 1518 0
3 2020-07-25 18.67% Kolding IF 1450 2 @ Viborg 1571 0
4 2019-08-21 19.44% Skive 1350 1 @ Vendsyssel 1462 0
5 2019-10-06 19.78% Skive 1346 2 @ HB Koge 1453 0
6 2020-06-19 23.02% Fredericia 1495 2 @ Viborg 1567 0
7 2020-07-02 23.09% Hvidovre 1421 2 @ Fredericia 1492 1
8 2019-11-15 23.30% Nykobing 1395 2 @ HB Koge 1464 0
9 2020-07-25 23.92% Skive 1405 1 @ Vendsyssel 1467 0
10 2019-09-28 23.95% Kolding IF 1481 2 @ Viborg 1543 1
11 2020-07-16 24.17% Skive 1384 2 @ Hvidovre 1444 0
12 2019-08-04 24.81% Nykobing 1455 4 @ Vejle BK 1509 2
13 2019-08-14 24.85% Fredericia 1463 1 @ Vejle BK 1517 0
14 2020-06-30 24.96% @ HB Koge 1450 2 Vejle BK 1606 1
15 2020-07-25 25.18% @ Fremad Amager 1460 4 Vejle BK 1614 1
16 2019-10-25 25.68% Hvidovre 1397 2 @ Fremad Amager 1442 0
17 2020-07-11 25.68% Hvidovre 1429 2 @ Kolding IF 1474 0
18 2019-08-04 25.69% Fremad Amager 1455 1 @ Vendsyssel 1501 0
19 2020-06-23 25.77% Vendsyssel 1466 4 @ Fredericia 1511 2
20 2019-08-21 25.78% Naestved 1428 1 @ Nykobing 1473 0
21 2020-07-04 26.55% Fremad Amager 1444 1 @ Vendsyssel 1482 0
22 2019-09-22 26.88% Fremad Amager 1447 2 @ Fredericia 1482 1
23 2019-11-02 27.58% @ HB Koge 1442 2 Viborg 1574 1
24 2019-11-10 27.73% HB Koge 1449 2 @ Kolding IF 1476 0
25 2019-08-04 28.84% Fredericia 1443 3 @ HB Koge 1461 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-10-20 26.64 Fredericia 5 1485 39.53% @ Nykobing 0 1423 36.48% 23.99%
2 2019-10-27 21.16 @ FC Roskilde 4 1399 40.54% Naestved 0 1433 35.49% 23.97%
3 2019-08-10 19.39 Vejle BK 3 1497 31.57% @ Vendsyssel 0 1493 44.66% 23.77%
4 2019-09-22 19.35 Vendsyssel 3 1455 31.66% @ Nykobing 0 1450 44.56% 23.78%
5 2020-07-25 18.52 @ Fremad Amager 4 1460 25.18% Vejle BK 1 1614 51.89% 22.94%
6 2019-11-10 18.21 Skive 2 1356 15.66% @ Fredericia 0 1518 64.60% 19.75%
7 2020-07-01 18.04 @ Fremad Amager 4 1426 47.34% Nykobing 0 1411 29.12% 23.54%
8 2019-11-10 17.64 @ Fremad Amager 3 1416 36.35% Vendsyssel 0 1479 39.66% 23.99%
9 2020-07-25 17.17 Kolding IF 2 1450 18.67% @ Viborg 0 1571 60.22% 21.11%
10 2019-10-18 17.15 @ Viborg 5 1545 56.18% Fremad Amager 0 1459 21.70% 22.12%
11 2019-10-06 16.80 Skive 2 1346 19.78% @ HB Koge 0 1453 58.70% 21.52%
12 2020-06-25 15.90 @ Hvidovre 3 1405 41.41% Fremad Amager 0 1433 34.65% 23.94%
13 2020-06-19 15.77 Fredericia 2 1495 23.02% @ Viborg 0 1567 54.52% 22.47%
14 2019-11-15 15.68 Nykobing 2 1395 23.30% @ HB Koge 0 1464 54.16% 22.53%
15 2019-11-23 15.45 Vejle BK 4 1571 52.92% @ FC Roskilde 0 1409 24.32% 22.76%
16 2020-07-16 15.41 Skive 2 1384 24.17% @ Hvidovre 0 1444 53.10% 22.73%
17 2019-08-24 15.37 @ Naestved 3 1436 42.95% Vendsyssel 0 1453 33.17% 23.88%
18 2019-10-25 14.97 Hvidovre 2 1397 25.68% @ Fremad Amager 0 1442 51.29% 23.03%
19 2020-07-11 14.97 Hvidovre 2 1429 25.68% @ Kolding IF 0 1474 51.28% 23.03%
20 2019-11-10 14.38 HB Koge 2 1449 27.73% @ Kolding IF 0 1476 48.92% 23.36%
21 2019-11-10 14.05 Hvidovre 2 1406 28.94% @ FC Roskilde 0 1423 47.55% 23.51%
22 2019-08-29 13.96 @ Vejle BK 4 1512 39.52% Viborg 1 1553 36.49% 23.99%
23 2020-07-16 13.75 FC Roskilde 2 1375 30.04% @ Naestved 0 1383 46.32% 23.63%
24 2019-08-04 12.57 Kolding IF 2 1477 34.62% @ Naestved 0 1449 41.44% 23.94%
25 2019-08-04 12.19 Fredericia 3 1443 28.84% @ HB Koge 1 1461 47.65% 23.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-11-28 69.8 Vejle BK 4 1586 34.10% @ Viborg 3 1562 41.98% 23.92%
2 2019-08-21 69.7 @ Viborg 2 1543 54.50% Fredericia 2 1471 23.03% 22.47%
3 2020-07-10 69.4 @ Fremad Amager 2 1452 30.25% Viborg 2 1562 46.10% 23.65%
4 2020-07-19 69.2 @ Vejle BK 1 1615 51.22% Viborg 1 1570 25.74% 23.04%
5 2019-10-24 67.5 @ Fredericia 2 1512 54.41% HB Koge 2 1441 23.10% 22.49%
6 2019-07-27 67.4 @ Fremad Amager 2 1455 37.70% Vejle BK 2 1509 38.30% 24.00%
7 2020-06-30 67.4 @ Naestved 2 1391 23.67% Viborg 2 1560 53.71% 22.62%
8 2019-09-08 66.8 @ Fredericia 2 1483 48.50% Nykobing 2 1459 28.09% 23.41%
9 2020-06-26 66.7 @ Vendsyssel 2 1477 47.03% Kolding IF 2 1465 29.40% 23.57%
10 2020-06-10 66.4 @ HB Koge 2 1450 40.00% Fredericia 2 1487 36.02% 23.98%
11 2019-09-28 66.1 @ Skive 3 1346 33.48% Nykobing 3 1430 42.62% 23.89%
12 2020-07-19 65.6 @ Kolding IF 2 1450 43.95% Fremad Amager 2 1460 32.23% 23.82%
13 2020-05-30 65.4 @ Fremad Amager 2 1443 42.25% Kolding IF 2 1465 33.84% 23.91%
14 2019-10-06 64.8 @ Nykobing 2 1430 41.25% Fremad Amager 2 1459 34.80% 23.95%
15 2020-06-09 64.8 @ Nykobing 2 1412 36.17% Kolding IF 2 1476 39.84% 23.99%
16 2020-05-31 64.7 @ Vejle BK 1 1599 67.88% Naestved 1 1403 13.58% 18.54%
17 2020-06-19 64.6 @ Kolding IF 2 1471 55.13% FC Roskilde 2 1394 22.53% 22.34%
18 2020-07-23 64.6 @ Fredericia 2 1483 59.12% Nykobing 2 1372 19.47% 21.41%
19 2019-08-11 64.5 @ Nykobing 2 1467 54.53% Hvidovre 2 1395 23.01% 22.46%
20 2019-09-20 63.7 @ Hvidovre 2 1395 36.46% HB Koge 2 1458 39.55% 23.99%
21 2020-06-24 63.7 @ Naestved 1 1401 20.78% Vejle BK 1 1601 57.37% 21.85%
22 2019-09-19 63.5 @ Viborg 1 1544 56.79% Vendsyssel 1 1454 21.23% 21.98%
23 2020-06-14 63.5 @ FC Roskilde 2 1394 37.53% HB Koge 2 1449 38.46% 24.00%
24 2019-09-13 63.4 @ Skive 2 1350 27.54% Fredericia 2 1483 49.13% 23.33%
25 2019-08-21 63.3 @ Kolding IF 1 1499 44.02% Vejle BK 1 1509 32.16% 23.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-15 34.3 @ Vejle BK 3 1526 60.26% Hvidovre 0 1404 18.64% 21.10%
2 2020-07-01 35.5 @ Fremad Amager 4 1426 47.34% Nykobing 0 1411 29.12% 23.54%
3 2020-03-01 35.8 @ Vendsyssel 2 1469 55.01% FC Roskilde 0 1393 22.62% 22.37%
4 2019-11-02 36.3 @ Vejle BK 4 1561 61.57% Fremad Amager 0 1427 17.71% 20.72%
5 2020-06-28 36.5 @ Fremad Amager 2 1417 48.24% FC Roskilde 0 1395 28.32% 23.44%
6 2019-07-26 36.8 @ Viborg 3 1521 55.65% FC Roskilde 0 1440 22.12% 22.23%
7 2019-08-16 36.8 Viborg 2 1535 54.76% @ Skive 0 1358 22.83% 22.42%
8 2020-06-25 37.1 @ Hvidovre 3 1405 41.41% Fremad Amager 0 1433 34.65% 23.94%
9 2019-10-27 37.4 @ FC Roskilde 4 1399 40.54% Naestved 0 1433 35.49% 23.97%
10 2019-09-19 37.8 @ Vejle BK 2 1535 59.15% FC Roskilde 0 1424 19.45% 21.40%
11 2020-06-27 37.9 @ Skive 2 1369 40.58% Naestved 0 1403 35.45% 23.97%
12 2019-08-24 38.1 @ Naestved 3 1436 42.95% Vendsyssel 0 1453 33.17% 23.88%
13 2019-11-06 38.2 @ Fredericia 2 1511 55.59% FC Roskilde 0 1430 22.16% 22.25%
14 2019-11-23 38.5 Vejle BK 4 1571 52.92% @ FC Roskilde 0 1409 24.32% 22.76%
15 2020-07-06 38.5 @ Vejle BK 4 1599 69.94% FC Roskilde 1 1381 12.35% 17.71%
16 2019-11-17 38.6 Kolding IF 2 1462 43.13% @ Skive 0 1374 33.00% 23.87%
17 2019-08-25 38.7 @ Viborg 3 1542 55.21% Nykobing 0 1465 22.47% 22.33%
18 2019-10-20 38.9 @ Naestved 1 1437 54.12% Skive 0 1368 23.34% 22.54%
19 2020-07-19 38.9 Hvidovre 2 1428 39.05% @ Naestved 0 1369 36.95% 24.00%
20 2020-07-19 39.3 Vendsyssel 2 1456 41.14% @ Nykobing 0 1383 34.91% 23.95%
21 2019-10-18 39.7 @ Viborg 5 1545 56.18% Fremad Amager 0 1459 21.70% 22.12%
22 2020-07-14 40.0 @ Vejle BK 1 1613 70.87% Nykobing 0 1385 11.82% 17.32%
23 2019-11-10 40.3 @ Fremad Amager 3 1416 36.35% Vendsyssel 0 1479 39.66% 23.99%
24 2020-07-14 40.4 @ Fredericia 2 1480 48.10% Kolding IF 0 1460 28.45% 23.45%
25 2019-10-19 40.5 @ Vejle BK 3 1550 53.25% Kolding IF 0 1489 24.04% 22.70%