1948-49 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KB Copenhagen

27 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KB Copenhagen

6.89 points above expected

27 points · 20.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B.93

5.32 points below expected

12 points · 17.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	18	12	3	3	27	37	17	+20	20.1	+6.89
2	AB Gladsaxe	18	9	4	5	22	46	32	+14	19.3	+2.73
3	Aarhus GF	18	8	3	7	19	36	31	+5	18.2	+0.79
4	Koge BK	18	8	3	7	19	37	34	+3	17.6	+1.44
5	Odense	18	9	1	8	19	49	51	-2	18.3	+0.67
6	B 1903	18	7	4	7	18	32	29	+3	18.0	-0.01
7	Osterbros	18	7	4	7	18	34	39	-5	19.0	-1.00
8	Frem	18	8	1	9	17	32	35	-3	19.2	-2.25
9	B.93	18	3	6	9	12	20	31	-11	17.3	-5.32
10	B 1909	18	3	3	12	9	18	42	-24	12.9	-3.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KB Copenhagen	1721	27	20.11	+6.89	98.0%	6	14	18	20	23	26	35
AB Gladsaxe	1687	22	19.27	+2.73	81.3%	6	13	17	19	22	25	32
Osterbros	1682	18	19.00	-1.00	44.3%	5	13	16	19	22	25	32
Frem	1678	17	19.25	-2.25	31.4%	4	13	17	19	22	25	33
Odense	1673	19	18.33	+0.67	62.5%	4	12	16	18	21	24	32
Aarhus GF	1673	19	18.21	+0.79	63.5%	5	12	16	18	21	24	32
B 1903	1665	18	18.01	-0.01	54.9%	4	12	16	18	20	24	31
Koge BK	1662	19	17.56	+1.44	69.7%	5	11	15	18	20	24	30
B.93	1646	12	17.32	-5.32	9.2%	2	11	15	17	20	23	32
B 1909	1551	9	12.93	-3.93	17.0%	2	7	10	13	15	19	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B1	B.9	FRE	KC	KB	ODE	OST
AB Gladsaxe	—	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.78	0-2-0 2.69	0-0-2 3.05	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.88
Aarhus GF	0-1-1 2.67	—	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.62	0-2-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.68
B 1903	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.74	—	1-1-0 3.56	0-1-1 2.92	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.89	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.67
B 1909	0-0-2 1.87	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.07	—	2-0-0 2.15	0-1-1 1.86	0-0-2 1.80	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.00	0-0-2 1.94
B.93	0-0-2 2.56	0-2-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.68	0-0-2 3.48	—	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.64	0-2-0 2.54
Frem	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.96	0-0-2 3.00	1-1-0 3.79	1-0-1 3.09	—	0-0-2 2.68	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.83
KB Copenhagen	0-2-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.87	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 2.92	—	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 2.95
Koge BK	2-0-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 3.49	1-0-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 2.43	—	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.59
Odense	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.64	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 2.93	—	1-0-1 2.70
Osterbros	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.92	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 3.70	0-2-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.77	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.90	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	2.22%	3.33%	2.22%	2.78%	0.56%	16.67%
1	2.22%	5.56%	7.78%	8.33%	3.89%	1.67%	29.44%
2	3.33%	7.78%	5.56%	4.44%	1.11%	1.11%	23.33%
3	2.22%	8.33%	4.44%	1.11%	0.56%	0.56%	17.22%
4	2.78%	3.89%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	8.33%
5+	0.56%	1.67%	1.11%	0.56%	—	1.11%	5.00%
Total	16.67%	29.44%	23.33%	17.22%	8.33%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.79
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.113
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	—	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
Total	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.56
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	2.20
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	4.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.094
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.302
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.058
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	11.11%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	—	100%

B 1909 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.354
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	44.44%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	44.44%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	—	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.120
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	22.22%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	27.78%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.618
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	38.89%	27.78%	—	—	—	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.06
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.214
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	38.89%	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.06
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.472
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
1	—	—	—	11.11%	—	—	11.11%
2	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	44.44%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
Total	5.56%	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	5.56%	22.22%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.72
Mean allowed	2.83
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	5.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Osterbros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	2.17
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	2.01
Mean total goals/game	4.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	27	20.1	+6.89
2	AB Gladsaxe	22	19.3	+2.73
3	Koge BK	19	17.6	+1.44
4	Aarhus GF	19	18.2	+0.79
5	Odense	19	18.3	+0.67

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	B.93	12	17.3	-5.32
2	B 1909	9	12.9	-3.93
3	Frem	17	19.2	-2.25
4	Osterbros	18	19.0	-1.00
5	B 1903	18	18.0	-0.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	5	Apr 10 – May 1	1 in 70
2	Aarhus GF	4	Oct 31 – Dec 5	1 in 53
3	AB Gladsaxe	5	Sep 19 – Nov 14	1 in 35
4	Frem	3	Aug 29 – Sep 18	1 in 20
5	Odense	3	Oct 31 – Nov 21	1 in 9

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frem	5	Apr 10 – Apr 30	1 in 189
2	B 1903	5	Oct 16 – Dec 12	1 in 92
3	Koge BK	4	Oct 3 – Nov 14	1 in 34
4	B.93	3	Oct 31 – Nov 28	1 in 14
5	AB Gladsaxe	2	May 1 – May 6	1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	9	Sep 19 – Mar 27	1 in 76
2	KB Copenhagen	7	Apr 10 – May 8	1 in 17
3	B 1903	5	Mar 20 – Apr 22	1 in 14
4	Aarhus GF	4	Oct 31 – Dec 5	1 in 9
5	Koge BK	4	Nov 28 – Apr 3	1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B.93	7	Aug 26 – Nov 28	1 in 44
2	Frem	5	Apr 10 – Apr 30	1 in 19
3	Koge BK	5	Sep 19 – Nov 14	1 in 18
4	B 1903	5	Oct 16 – Dec 12	1 in 12
5	Odense	5	Aug 29 – Oct 17	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KB Copenhagen	22.94%	16.85%	13.22%	11.25%	9.56%	8.11%	7.11%	5.25%	3.95%	1.76%
AB Gladsaxe	15.31%	14.99%	12.94%	11.77%	10.40%	9.55%	8.63%	7.61%	5.87%	2.93%
Aarhus GF	9.02%	10.05%	11.22%	11.30%	10.74%	11.01%	11.33%	10.47%	9.41%	5.45%
Koge BK	6.50%	8.09%	9.46%	10.11%	11.17%	11.22%	11.43%	12.38%	11.70%	7.94%
Odense	8.66%	9.80%	10.46%	10.78%	11.24%	11.52%	11.15%	10.95%	9.81%	5.63%
B 1903	7.89%	9.10%	10.56%	10.88%	11.13%	11.46%	11.60%	11.36%	9.67%	6.35%
Osterbros	11.55%	11.89%	11.62%	11.09%	11.60%	10.70%	9.82%	8.95%	8.33%	4.45%
Frem	13.28%	12.24%	12.08%	11.52%	11.18%	10.70%	10.02%	8.20%	7.14%	3.64%
B.93	4.53%	6.33%	7.36%	9.24%	9.96%	11.65%	12.56%	14.08%	15.29%	9.00%
B 1909	0.32%	0.66%	1.08%	2.06%	3.02%	4.08%	6.35%	10.75%	18.83%	52.85%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen	98.2%	1.8%
AB Gladsaxe	97.1%	2.9%
Frem	96.4%	3.6%
Osterbros	95.5%	4.5%
Aarhus GF	94.5%	5.5%
Odense	94.4%	5.6%
B 1903	93.7%	6.3%
Koge BK	92.1%	7.9%
B.93	91.0%	9.0%
B 1909	47.1%	52.8%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1948-08-26	Koge BK	L 1-4	1659	1653	51.8%	19.9%	28.3%	-4.5	0
1948-08-26	@ B.93	W 4-1	1653	1659	28.3%	19.9%	51.8%	+4.5	3
1948-08-29	KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1570	1700	33.6%	19.6%	46.8%	-2.5	0
1948-08-29	@ B 1909	W 2-0	1700	1570	46.8%	19.6%	33.6%	+2.5	3
1948-08-29	Aarhus GF	W 4-0	1686	1668	53.4%	19.6%	26.9%	+4.0	3
1948-08-29	@ Frem	L 0-4	1668	1686	26.9%	19.6%	53.4%	-4.0	0
1948-08-29	Odense	W 5-3	1688	1674	52.9%	19.7%	27.3%	+1.6	3
1948-08-29	@ Osterbros	L 3-5	1674	1688	27.3%	19.7%	52.9%	-1.6	0
1948-09-01	KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1662	1702	45.6%	20.6%	33.9%	+1.3	3
1948-09-01	@ B 1903	L 1-2	1702	1662	33.9%	20.6%	45.6%	-1.3	3
1948-09-05	B.93	D 1-1	1664	1654	52.2%	19.9%	27.9%	-0.2	1
1948-09-05	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1654	1664	27.9%	19.9%	52.2%	+0.2	1
1948-09-05	B 1909	W 4-0	1664	1568	63.3%	16.7%	20.0%	+2.9	6
1948-09-05	@ B 1903	L 0-4	1568	1664	20.0%	16.7%	63.3%	-3.0	0
1948-09-05	Osterbros	W 2-1	1701	1690	52.5%	19.8%	27.7%	+1.1	6
1948-09-05	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1690	1701	27.7%	19.8%	52.5%	-1.1	3
1948-09-05	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1658	1677	48.4%	20.4%	31.2%	+2.1	6
1948-09-05	@ Koge BK	L 1-3	1677	1658	31.2%	20.4%	48.4%	-2.1	0
1948-09-05	Frem	L 1-3	1672	1690	48.5%	20.4%	31.1%	-3.0	0
1948-09-05	@ Odense	W 3-1	1690	1672	31.1%	20.4%	48.5%	+3.0	6
1948-09-18	Frem	L 1-3	1689	1693	50.4%	20.2%	29.4%	-3.1	3
1948-09-18	@ Osterbros	W 3-1	1693	1689	29.4%	20.2%	50.4%	+3.1	9
1948-09-19	Aarhus GF	W 5-1	1675	1663	52.5%	19.8%	27.7%	+3.4	3
1948-09-19	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-5	1663	1675	27.7%	19.8%	52.5%	-3.4	1
1948-09-19	B 1909	D 0-0	1660	1565	63.2%	16.8%	20.0%	-0.4	7
1948-09-19	@ Koge BK	D 0-0	1565	1660	20.0%	16.8%	63.2%	+0.4	1
1948-09-19	B 1903	D 3-3	1669	1667	51.3%	20.0%	28.7%	-0.1	1
1948-09-19	@ Odense	D 3-3	1667	1669	28.7%	20.0%	51.3%	+0.1	7
1948-10-02	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-4	1655	1678	47.8%	20.4%	31.8%	-4.2	1
1948-10-02	@ B.93	W 4-1	1678	1655	31.8%	20.4%	47.8%	+4.2	6
1948-10-03	Odense	W 3-1	1660	1669	49.8%	20.2%	30.0%	+2.0	4
1948-10-03	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1669	1660	30.0%	20.2%	49.8%	-2.0	1
1948-10-03	Osterbros	L 0-3	1565	1686	34.7%	19.8%	45.5%	-3.8	1
1948-10-03	@ B 1909	W 3-0	1686	1565	45.5%	19.8%	34.7%	+3.8	6
1948-10-03	B 1903	L 0-2	1696	1667	54.9%	19.3%	25.8%	-3.9	9
1948-10-03	@ Frem	W 2-0	1667	1696	25.8%	19.3%	54.9%	+3.9	10
1948-10-03	Koge BK	W 3-0	1702	1659	56.6%	18.9%	24.5%	+2.8	9
1948-10-03	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1659	1702	24.5%	18.9%	56.6%	-2.8	7
1948-10-16	B 1903	W 2-0	1682	1671	52.5%	19.8%	27.7%	+2.2	9
1948-10-16	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-2	1671	1682	27.7%	19.8%	52.5%	-2.2	10
1948-10-17	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1562	1662	37.2%	20.2%	42.5%	+1.6	4
1948-10-17	@ B 1909	L 1-2	1662	1562	42.5%	20.2%	37.2%	-1.5	4
1948-10-17	Osterbros	D 1-1	1650	1689	45.7%	20.6%	33.7%	-0.1	2
1948-10-17	@ B.93	D 1-1	1689	1650	33.7%	20.6%	45.7%	+0.1	7
1948-10-17	Odense	W 3-2	1705	1667	56.0%	19.1%	24.9%	+0.9	12
1948-10-17	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1667	1705	24.9%	19.1%	56.0%	-0.9	1
1948-10-17	Frem	L 2-4	1656	1692	46.1%	20.6%	33.3%	-2.6	7
1948-10-17	@ Koge BK	W 4-2	1692	1656	33.3%	20.6%	46.1%	+2.6	12
1948-10-30	B 1903	W 3-1	1689	1668	53.8%	19.6%	26.7%	+1.8	10
1948-10-30	@ Osterbros	L 1-3	1668	1689	26.7%	19.6%	53.8%	-1.8	10
1948-10-31	KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1660	1706	44.8%	20.6%	34.6%	+1.4	7
1948-10-31	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1706	1660	34.6%	20.6%	44.8%	-1.4	12
1948-10-31	B 1909	W 4-0	1684	1563	66.4%	15.5%	18.1%	+2.7	12
1948-10-31	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1563	1684	18.1%	15.5%	66.4%	-2.7	4
1948-10-31	B.93	W 2-0	1695	1650	56.9%	18.8%	24.3%	+1.9	15
1948-10-31	@ Frem	L 0-2	1650	1695	24.3%	18.8%	56.9%	-1.9	2
1948-10-31	Koge BK	W 3-2	1666	1654	52.6%	19.8%	27.6%	+1.0	4
1948-10-31	@ Odense	L 2-3	1654	1666	27.6%	19.8%	52.6%	-1.0	7
1948-11-14	Frem	W 3-2	1687	1697	49.7%	20.2%	30.1%	+1.1	15
1948-11-14	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1697	1687	30.1%	20.2%	49.7%	-1.1	15
1948-11-14	Aarhus GF	L 1-4	1653	1662	49.8%	20.2%	30.0%	-4.3	7
1948-11-14	@ Koge BK	W 4-1	1662	1653	30.0%	20.2%	49.8%	+4.3	10
1948-11-14	B 1909	W 3-2	1667	1560	64.6%	16.2%	19.2%	+0.7	7
1948-11-14	@ Odense	L 2-3	1560	1667	19.2%	16.2%	64.6%	-0.7	4
1948-11-20	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1704	1688	53.1%	19.7%	27.2%	-0.2	13
1948-11-20	@ KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	1688	1704	27.2%	19.7%	53.1%	+0.2	16
1948-11-21	Osterbros	W 5-1	1666	1691	47.6%	20.5%	31.9%	+3.9	13
1948-11-21	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-5	1691	1666	31.9%	20.5%	47.6%	-3.9	10
1948-11-21	Odense	L 1-2	1648	1668	48.4%	20.4%	31.2%	-1.7	2
1948-11-21	@ B.93	W 2-1	1668	1648	31.2%	20.4%	48.4%	+1.7	10
1948-11-21	B 1909	D 2-2	1696	1560	68.2%	14.7%	17.1%	-0.3	16
1948-11-21	@ Frem	D 2-2	1560	1696	17.1%	14.7%	68.2%	+0.3	5
1948-11-28	B.93	W 3-1	1560	1647	39.1%	20.4%	40.5%	+2.6	8
1948-11-28	@ B 1909	L 1-3	1647	1560	40.5%	20.4%	39.1%	-2.6	2
1948-11-28	Frem	W 3-0	1704	1695	52.2%	19.9%	28.0%	+3.2	16
1948-11-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1695	1704	28.0%	19.9%	52.2%	-3.2	16
1948-11-28	B 1903	W 2-1	1648	1667	48.5%	20.4%	31.1%	+1.2	10
1948-11-28	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1667	1648	31.1%	20.4%	48.5%	-1.2	10
1948-11-28	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-8	1687	1688	50.8%	20.1%	29.1%	-6.9	10
1948-11-28	@ Osterbros	W 8-2	1688	1687	29.1%	20.1%	50.8%	+6.9	19
1948-12-05	Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1665	1670	50.3%	20.2%	29.5%	-1.7	10
1948-12-05	@ B 1903	W 3-2	1670	1665	29.5%	20.2%	50.3%	+1.7	16
1948-12-05	AB Gladsaxe	L 5-6	1669	1695	47.5%	20.5%	32.0%	-1.5	10
1948-12-05	@ Odense	W 6-5	1695	1669	32.0%	20.5%	47.5%	+1.5	22
1948-12-05	Koge BK	D 2-2	1681	1650	55.1%	19.3%	25.7%	-0.2	11
1948-12-05	@ Osterbros	D 2-2	1650	1681	25.7%	19.3%	55.1%	+0.2	11
1948-12-12	B.93	L 1-4	1664	1644	53.6%	19.6%	26.8%	-4.6	10
1948-12-12	@ B 1903	W 4-1	1644	1664	26.8%	19.6%	53.6%	+4.6	5
1949-03-20	B 1903	L 1-2	1672	1659	52.7%	19.8%	27.5%	-1.9	16
1949-03-20	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1659	1672	27.5%	19.8%	52.7%	+1.9	13
1949-03-20	Frem	L 1-2	1563	1692	33.6%	19.6%	46.9%	-1.3	8
1949-03-20	@ B 1909	W 2-1	1692	1563	46.9%	19.6%	33.6%	+1.3	19
1949-03-20	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1649	1707	43.0%	20.6%	36.4%	-1.7	5
1949-03-20	@ B.93	W 1-0	1707	1649	36.4%	20.6%	43.0%	+1.7	19
1949-03-20	Osterbros	W 4-2	1668	1680	49.3%	20.3%	30.4%	+1.8	13
1949-03-20	@ Odense	L 2-4	1680	1668	30.4%	20.3%	49.3%	-1.8	11
1949-03-27	Frem	W 2-0	1670	1693	47.8%	20.4%	31.8%	+2.5	19
1949-03-27	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1693	1670	31.8%	20.4%	47.8%	-2.5	19
1949-03-27	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1697	1709	49.3%	20.3%	30.4%	-0.1	23
1949-03-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	1709	1697	30.4%	20.3%	49.3%	+0.2	20
1949-03-27	Koge BK	L 1-4	1561	1650	38.8%	20.4%	40.8%	-3.5	8
1949-03-27	@ B 1909	W 4-1	1650	1561	40.8%	20.4%	38.8%	+3.5	14
1949-03-27	B 1903	D 0-0	1647	1661	49.1%	20.3%	30.6%	-0.2	6
1949-03-27	@ B.93	D 0-0	1661	1647	30.6%	20.3%	49.1%	+0.2	14
1949-04-03	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1691	1697	50.2%	20.2%	29.6%	+2.0	22
1949-04-03	@ Frem	L 1-3	1697	1691	29.6%	20.2%	50.2%	-2.0	23
1949-04-03	KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1653	1709	43.4%	20.6%	36.0%	+1.4	17
1949-04-03	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1709	1653	36.0%	20.6%	43.4%	-1.4	20
1949-04-03	B.93	W 3-2	1670	1647	54.0%	19.5%	26.5%	+1.0	16
1949-04-03	@ Odense	L 2-3	1647	1670	26.5%	19.5%	54.0%	-1.0	6
1949-04-03	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1679	1672	51.8%	19.9%	28.3%	+1.1	14
1949-04-03	@ Osterbros	L 2-3	1672	1679	28.3%	19.9%	51.8%	-1.0	19
1949-04-10	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1671	1695	47.8%	20.4%	31.7%	-0.2	20
1949-04-10	@ Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1695	1671	31.7%	20.4%	47.8%	+0.1	24
1949-04-10	B 1903	D 2-2	1558	1661	36.9%	20.2%	43.0%	+0.0	9
1949-04-10	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1661	1558	43.0%	20.2%	36.9%	-0.0	15
1949-04-10	Odense	L 1-4	1693	1671	53.9%	19.5%	26.5%	-4.7	22
1949-04-10	@ Frem	W 4-1	1671	1693	26.5%	19.5%	53.9%	+4.7	19
1949-04-10	B.93	L 1-2	1655	1646	52.2%	19.9%	28.0%	-1.8	17
1949-04-10	@ Koge BK	W 2-1	1646	1655	28.0%	19.9%	52.2%	+1.8	9
1949-04-10	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1680	1708	47.1%	20.5%	32.4%	-2.9	14
1949-04-10	@ Osterbros	W 3-1	1708	1680	32.4%	20.5%	47.1%	+2.9	23
1949-04-14	Odense	W 4-3	1661	1675	49.0%	20.3%	30.6%	+1.1	18
1949-04-14	@ B 1903	L 3-4	1675	1661	30.6%	20.3%	49.0%	-1.1	19
1949-04-15	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1648	1671	47.8%	20.4%	31.8%	-0.1	10
1949-04-15	@ B.93	D 2-2	1671	1648	31.8%	20.4%	47.8%	+0.1	21
1949-04-15	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1688	1711	47.9%	20.4%	31.6%	-3.0	22
1949-04-15	@ Frem	W 3-1	1711	1688	31.6%	20.4%	47.9%	+3.0	26
1949-04-15	B 1909	W 2-1	1677	1558	66.1%	15.6%	18.3%	+0.7	17
1949-04-15	@ Osterbros	L 1-2	1558	1677	18.3%	15.6%	66.1%	-0.7	9
1949-04-18	Koge BK	W 6-1	1671	1653	53.4%	19.6%	26.9%	+4.1	24
1949-04-18	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-6	1653	1671	26.9%	19.6%	53.4%	-4.1	17
1949-04-18	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1557	1695	32.6%	19.3%	48.0%	-2.2	9
1949-04-18	@ B 1909	W 3-1	1695	1557	48.0%	19.3%	32.6%	+2.1	27
1949-04-18	B.93	D 1-1	1677	1648	54.9%	19.3%	25.8%	-0.2	18
1949-04-18	@ Osterbros	D 1-1	1648	1677	25.8%	19.3%	54.9%	+0.2	11
1949-04-21	Osterbros	D 0-0	1697	1677	53.6%	19.6%	26.8%	-0.3	28
1949-04-21	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1677	1697	26.8%	19.6%	53.6%	+0.3	19
1949-04-22	Frem	W 3-0	1662	1685	47.8%	20.4%	31.7%	+3.6	21
1949-04-22	@ B 1903	L 0-3	1685	1662	31.7%	20.4%	47.8%	-3.6	22
1949-04-24	Koge BK	L 0-4	1697	1649	57.3%	18.7%	24.0%	-7.6	28
1949-04-24	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-0	1649	1697	24.0%	18.7%	57.3%	+7.6	20
1949-04-24	B 1909	L 0-1	1648	1555	63.0%	16.9%	20.2%	-2.3	11
1949-04-24	@ B.93	W 1-0	1555	1648	20.2%	16.9%	63.0%	+2.3	12
1949-04-24	KB Copenhagen	L 2-6	1674	1714	45.6%	20.6%	33.8%	-4.4	19
1949-04-24	@ Odense	W 6-2	1714	1674	33.8%	20.6%	45.6%	+4.4	29
1949-04-26	Osterbros	L 1-4	1682	1677	51.6%	20.0%	28.4%	-4.5	22
1949-04-26	@ Frem	W 4-1	1677	1682	28.4%	20.0%	51.6%	+4.5	22
1949-04-27	B.93	W 3-1	1689	1646	56.7%	18.9%	24.4%	+1.7	31
1949-04-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1646	1689	24.4%	18.9%	56.7%	-1.7	11
1949-04-28	B 1903	W 2-1	1718	1666	57.9%	18.5%	23.6%	+0.9	32
1949-04-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1666	1718	23.6%	18.5%	57.9%	-0.9	21
1949-04-30	Frem	W 2-1	1644	1677	46.5%	20.5%	33.0%	+1.3	14
1949-04-30	@ B.93	L 1-2	1677	1644	33.0%	20.5%	46.5%	-1.3	22
1949-04-30	Osterbros	W 2-1	1656	1682	47.5%	20.5%	32.0%	+1.2	23
1949-04-30	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1682	1656	32.0%	20.5%	47.5%	-1.2	22
1949-05-01	Odense	L 2-3	1691	1670	53.8%	19.6%	26.7%	-1.8	31
1949-05-01	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 3-2	1670	1691	26.7%	19.6%	53.8%	+1.8	22
1949-05-01	B 1909	W 2-1	1719	1557	71.1%	13.3%	15.5%	+0.6	35
1949-05-01	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1557	1719	15.5%	13.3%	71.1%	-0.6	12
1949-05-03	Koge BK	D 1-1	1665	1658	51.9%	19.9%	28.1%	-0.2	22
1949-05-03	@ B 1903	D 1-1	1658	1665	28.1%	19.9%	51.9%	+0.2	24
1949-05-04	B.93	D 0-0	1720	1645	60.7%	17.7%	21.6%	-0.4	36
1949-05-04	@ KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1645	1720	21.6%	17.7%	60.7%	+0.4	15
1949-05-06	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1665	1689	47.7%	20.4%	31.9%	+2.1	25
1949-05-06	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1689	1665	31.9%	20.4%	47.7%	-2.1	31
1949-05-08	Odense	L 0-4	1557	1672	35.4%	19.9%	44.7%	-5.1	12
1949-05-08	@ B 1909	W 4-0	1672	1557	44.7%	19.9%	35.4%	+5.0	25
1949-05-08	Koge BK	W 3-1	1676	1658	53.4%	19.6%	27.0%	+1.8	25
1949-05-08	@ Frem	L 1-3	1658	1676	27.0%	19.6%	53.4%	-1.8	24
1949-05-08	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	1719	1675	56.8%	18.9%	24.4%	+1.9	39
1949-05-08	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1675	1719	24.4%	18.9%	56.8%	-1.9	24
1949-05-10	Osterbros	L 0-1	1667	1681	49.1%	20.3%	30.6%	-1.9	25
1949-05-10	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1681	1667	30.6%	20.3%	49.1%	+1.9	25
1949-05-13	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	1677	1674	51.4%	20.0%	28.6%	+1.9	28
1949-05-13	@ Odense	L 1-3	1674	1677	28.6%	20.0%	51.4%	-1.9	24
1949-05-15	B 1909	W 3-1	1672	1552	66.2%	15.5%	18.2%	+1.2	27
1949-05-15	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1552	1672	18.2%	15.5%	66.2%	-1.2	12
1949-05-15	Odense	W 5-0	1656	1679	47.9%	20.4%	31.6%	+5.7	27
1949-05-15	@ Koge BK	L 0-5	1679	1656	31.6%	20.4%	47.9%	-5.7	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-04-24	20.19%	B 1909	1555	1	@ B.93	1648	0
2	1949-04-24	24.00%	Koge BK	1649	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1697	0
3	1948-10-03	25.79%	B 1903	1667	2	@ Frem	1696	0
4	1949-04-10	26.53%	Odense	1671	4	@ Frem	1693	1
5	1949-05-01	26.67%	Odense	1670	3	@ AB Gladsaxe	1691	2
6	1948-12-12	26.81%	B.93	1644	4	@ B 1903	1664	1
7	1949-03-20	27.53%	B 1903	1659	2	@ Aarhus GF	1672	1
8	1949-04-10	27.96%	B.93	1646	2	@ Koge BK	1655	1
9	1948-08-26	28.29%	Koge BK	1653	4	@ B.93	1659	1
10	1949-04-26	28.45%	Osterbros	1677	4	@ Frem	1682	1
11	1948-11-28	29.07%	AB Gladsaxe	1688	8	@ Osterbros	1687	2
12	1948-09-18	29.45%	Frem	1693	3	@ Osterbros	1689	1
13	1948-12-05	29.50%	Aarhus GF	1670	3	@ B 1903	1665	2
14	1948-11-14	30.00%	Aarhus GF	1662	4	@ Koge BK	1653	1
15	1949-05-10	30.58%	Osterbros	1681	1	@ B 1903	1667	0
16	1948-09-05	31.07%	Frem	1690	3	@ Odense	1672	1
17	1948-11-21	31.24%	Odense	1668	2	@ B.93	1648	1
18	1949-04-15	31.63%	KB Copenhagen	1711	3	@ Frem	1688	1
19	1948-10-02	31.75%	AB Gladsaxe	1678	4	@ B.93	1655	1
20	1948-12-05	32.05%	AB Gladsaxe	1695	6	@ Odense	1669	5
21	1949-04-10	32.36%	KB Copenhagen	1708	3	@ Osterbros	1680	1
22	1948-10-17	33.33%	Frem	1692	4	@ Koge BK	1656	2
23	1949-04-24	33.81%	KB Copenhagen	1714	6	@ Odense	1674	2
24	1949-03-20	36.42%	KB Copenhagen	1707	1	@ B.93	1649	0
25	1948-10-17	37.22%	@ B 1909	1562	2	Aarhus GF	1662	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-04-24	7.58	Koge BK	4	1649	24.00%	@ AB Gladsaxe	0	1697	57.29%
2	1948-11-28	6.87	AB Gladsaxe	8	1688	29.07%	@ Osterbros	2	1687	50.85%
3	1949-05-15	5.73	@ Koge BK	5	1656	47.92%	Odense	0	1679	31.65%
4	1949-05-08	5.06	Odense	4	1672	44.69%	@ B 1909	0	1557	35.37%
5	1949-04-10	4.66	Odense	4	1671	26.53%	@ Frem	1	1693	53.95%
6	1948-12-12	4.62	B.93	4	1644	26.81%	@ B 1903	1	1664	53.59%
7	1948-08-26	4.50	Koge BK	4	1653	28.29%	@ B.93	1	1659	51.77%
8	1949-04-26	4.48	Osterbros	4	1677	28.45%	@ Frem	1	1682	51.58%
9	1949-04-24	4.43	KB Copenhagen	6	1714	33.81%	@ Odense	2	1674	45.60%
10	1948-11-14	4.35	Aarhus GF	4	1662	30.00%	@ Koge BK	1	1653	49.76%
11	1948-10-02	4.21	AB Gladsaxe	4	1678	31.75%	@ B.93	1	1655	47.80%
12	1949-04-18	4.11	@ Aarhus GF	6	1671	53.44%	Koge BK	1	1653	26.93%
13	1948-08-29	4.03	@ Frem	4	1686	53.43%	Aarhus GF	0	1668	26.94%
14	1948-11-21	3.90	@ Aarhus GF	5	1666	47.59%	Osterbros	1	1691	31.95%
15	1948-10-03	3.86	B 1903	2	1667	25.79%	@ Frem	0	1696	54.89%
16	1948-10-03	3.80	Osterbros	3	1686	45.49%	@ B 1909	0	1565	34.70%
17	1949-04-22	3.56	@ B 1903	3	1662	47.84%	Frem	0	1685	31.72%
18	1949-03-27	3.54	Koge BK	4	1650	40.76%	@ B 1909	1	1561	38.83%
19	1948-09-19	3.44	@ AB Gladsaxe	5	1675	52.48%	Aarhus GF	1	1663	27.70%
20	1948-11-28	3.19	@ KB Copenhagen	3	1704	52.17%	Frem	0	1695	27.96%
21	1948-09-18	3.11	Frem	3	1693	29.45%	@ Osterbros	1	1689	50.40%
22	1948-09-05	3.01	Frem	3	1690	31.07%	@ Odense	1	1672	48.55%
23	1949-04-15	2.98	KB Copenhagen	3	1711	31.63%	@ Frem	1	1688	47.94%
24	1948-09-05	2.96	@ B 1903	4	1664	63.32%	B 1909	0	1568	19.97%
25	1949-04-10	2.94	KB Copenhagen	3	1708	32.36%	@ Osterbros	1	1680	47.14%