1949-50 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KB Copenhagen

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AB Gladsaxe

7.47 points above expected

27 points · 19.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Osterbros

9.53 points below expected

8 points · 17.53 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	18	12	4	2	28	36	11	+25	20.7	+7.30
2	AB Gladsaxe	18	12	3	3	27	48	18	+30	19.5	+7.47
3	Aarhus GF	18	12	2	4	26	44	24	+20	18.8	+7.23
4	Koge BK	18	9	3	6	21	34	29	+5	18.2	+2.82
5	B 1903	18	6	3	9	15	20	27	-7	17.6	-2.57
6	Frem	18	4	7	7	15	21	29	-8	18.0	-3.03
7	Odense	18	6	2	10	14	33	42	-9	17.4	-3.44
8	B.93	18	5	4	9	14	25	41	-16	16.7	-2.67
9	Esbjerg	18	5	2	11	12	23	37	-14	15.6	-3.57
10	Osterbros	18	2	4	12	8	16	42	-26	17.5	-9.53

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KB Copenhagen	1683	28	20.70	+7.30	98.9%	7	15	18	21	23	26	32
AB Gladsaxe	1666	27	19.53	+7.47	98.8%	5	14	17	20	22	26	33
Aarhus GF	1649	26	18.77	+7.23	98.5%	6	13	16	19	21	25	32
Koge BK	1624	21	18.18	+2.82	81.8%	4	12	16	18	21	24	32
Frem	1610	15	18.03	-3.03	23.8%	5	12	16	18	20	24	31
Odense	1608	14	17.44	-3.44	20.7%	5	12	15	17	20	23	30
B 1903	1606	15	17.57	-2.57	28.7%	4	12	15	18	20	24	32
Osterbros	1588	8	17.53	-9.53	0.6%	4	12	15	18	20	23	31
B.93	1584	14	16.67	-2.67	27.5%	4	11	14	17	19	23	30
Esbjerg	1561	12	15.57	-3.57	19.7%	2	10	13	16	18	22	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B.9	ESB	FRE	KC	KB	ODE	OST
AB Gladsaxe	—	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.38	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.60	0-0-2 3.03	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.06
Aarhus GF	0-1-1 2.69	—	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.92
B 1903	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.57	—	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.37	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.81
B.93	0-0-2 2.34	0-0-2 2.48	0-1-1 2.67	—	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 2.57	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.64
Esbjerg	1-0-1 2.20	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.60	—	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.98	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.52
Frem	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-2 3.00	1-1-0 3.14	—	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.86
KB Copenhagen	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.14	—	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.34	2-0-0 3.28
Koge BK	2-0-0 2.54	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.86	1-1-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.18	1-1-0 2.80	0-0-2 2.45	—	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.86
Odense	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.65	2-0-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.63	—	0-1-1 2.82
Osterbros	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.31	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.74	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.44%	6.67%	4.44%	2.78%	3.89%	0.56%	22.78%
1	6.67%	7.78%	8.89%	4.44%	1.67%	2.22%	31.67%
2	4.44%	8.89%	6.67%	1.11%	1.11%	1.11%	23.33%
3	2.78%	4.44%	1.11%	—	0.56%	1.11%	10.00%
4	3.89%	1.67%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	7.22%
5+	0.56%	2.22%	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	5.00%
Total	22.78%	31.67%	23.33%	10.00%	7.22%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.136
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	44.44%	22.22%	27.78%	—	5.56%	—	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.67
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	2.33
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.089
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%	—	22.22%
1	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
Total	38.89%	22.22%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.44
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.98
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.393
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	22.22%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	2.28
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.093
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	38.89%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	16.67%	50.00%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Esbjerg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	50.00%
2	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	33.33%	22.22%	—	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	0.71
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	55.56%	27.78%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	0.61
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.152
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	38.89%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	44.44%	16.67%	5.56%	16.67%	—	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.422
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	5.56%	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	22.22%	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.020
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.22%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	11.11%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Osterbros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.89
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	27	19.5	+7.47
2	KB Copenhagen	28	20.7	+7.30
3	Aarhus GF	26	18.8	+7.23
4	Koge BK	21	18.2	+2.82
5	B 1903	15	17.6	-2.57

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Osterbros	8	17.5	-9.53
2	Esbjerg	12	15.6	-3.57
3	Odense	14	17.4	-3.44
4	Frem	15	18.0	-3.03
5	B.93	14	16.7	-2.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aarhus GF	6	Aug 21 – Oct 30	1 in 231
2	Koge BK	5	Sep 25 – Nov 13	1 in 95
3	KB Copenhagen	5	Aug 22 – Oct 15	1 in 78
4	AB Gladsaxe	5	Apr 6 – May 4	1 in 72
5	B 1903	2	May 5 – May 8	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Esbjerg	5	Oct 16 – Nov 27	1 in 44
2	Osterbros	4	Aug 20 – Oct 2	1 in 39
3	Odense	4	Apr 16 – May 5	1 in 19
4	B.93	3	Sep 25 – Oct 15	1 in 10
5	Frem	2	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 8

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Koge BK	8	Sep 25 – Mar 19	1 in 62
2	KB Copenhagen	9	Mar 18 – May 9	1 in 27
3	AB Gladsaxe	6	Apr 6 – May 9	1 in 19
4	Aarhus GF	6	Aug 21 – Oct 30	1 in 17
5	Esbjerg	3	Apr 16 – Apr 30	1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Osterbros	12	Nov 5 – May 8	1 in 338
2	B 1903	6	Sep 3 – Nov 19	1 in 20
3	Frem	6	Aug 22 – Oct 30	1 in 16
4	Esbjerg	5	Oct 16 – Nov 27	1 in 7
5	Koge BK	3	Apr 6 – Apr 23	1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KB Copenhagen	28.11%	18.50%	13.66%	11.11%	8.39%	6.56%	4.89%	4.09%	2.88%	1.81%
AB Gladsaxe	18.85%	15.70%	13.54%	11.53%	10.71%	8.37%	7.27%	5.92%	4.95%	3.16%
Aarhus GF	12.63%	13.32%	12.72%	11.64%	10.81%	10.24%	8.99%	7.42%	7.25%	4.98%
Koge BK	9.01%	10.62%	11.13%	11.35%	11.44%	11.53%	10.21%	9.65%	8.17%	6.89%
B 1903	6.42%	8.33%	9.57%	10.29%	10.45%	10.74%	11.88%	11.22%	11.21%	9.89%
Frem	7.83%	9.68%	9.83%	10.77%	11.04%	11.27%	11.58%	10.66%	9.42%	7.92%
Odense	5.96%	7.41%	9.19%	10.03%	10.47%	11.31%	11.01%	12.15%	11.49%	10.98%
B.93	3.97%	5.37%	6.87%	8.40%	9.02%	9.91%	11.73%	13.05%	14.96%	16.72%
Esbjerg	2.00%	3.82%	5.01%	5.82%	7.41%	8.90%	10.88%	13.64%	17.55%	24.97%
Osterbros	5.22%	7.25%	8.48%	9.06%	10.26%	11.17%	11.56%	12.20%	12.12%	12.68%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen	98.2%	1.8%
AB Gladsaxe	96.8%	3.2%
Aarhus GF	95.0%	5.0%
Koge BK	93.1%	6.9%
Frem	92.1%	7.9%
B 1903	90.1%	9.9%
Odense	89.0%	11.0%
Osterbros	87.3%	12.7%
B.93	83.3%	16.7%
Esbjerg	75.0%	25.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1949-08-20	Osterbros	W 8-1	1630	1625	50.0%	21.6%	28.4%	+7.0	3
1949-08-20	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-8	1625	1630	28.4%	21.6%	50.0%	-7.0	0
1949-08-21	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1602	1577	52.7%	21.1%	26.2%	+1.2	3
1949-08-21	@ B.93	L 1-2	1577	1602	26.2%	21.1%	52.7%	-1.2	0
1949-08-21	Koge BK	W 2-1	1616	1613	49.8%	21.6%	28.6%	+1.3	3
1949-08-21	@ B 1903	L 1-2	1613	1616	28.6%	21.6%	49.8%	-1.3	0
1949-08-21	Aarhus GF	L 3-6	1619	1621	49.2%	21.7%	29.1%	-4.1	0
1949-08-21	@ Odense	W 6-3	1621	1619	29.1%	21.7%	49.2%	+4.1	3
1949-08-22	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1624	1652	45.5%	22.1%	32.4%	-3.4	0
1949-08-22	@ Frem	W 3-1	1652	1624	32.4%	22.1%	45.5%	+3.4	3
1949-09-03	B 1903	D 1-1	1604	1617	47.6%	21.9%	30.5%	-0.2	4
1949-09-03	@ B.93	D 1-1	1617	1604	30.5%	21.9%	47.6%	+0.2	4
1949-09-04	Odense	W 5-0	1637	1615	52.3%	21.2%	26.5%	+5.8	6
1949-09-04	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-5	1615	1637	26.5%	21.2%	52.3%	-5.9	0
1949-09-04	Frem	D 2-2	1576	1620	43.4%	22.2%	34.4%	-0.1	1
1949-09-04	@ Esbjerg	D 2-2	1620	1576	34.4%	22.2%	43.4%	+0.1	1
1949-09-04	KB Copenhagen	L 1-4	1611	1656	43.4%	22.2%	34.4%	-4.6	0
1949-09-04	@ Koge BK	W 4-1	1656	1611	34.4%	22.2%	43.4%	+4.6	6
1949-09-04	Aarhus GF	L 1-5	1618	1625	48.5%	21.8%	29.7%	-6.5	0
1949-09-04	@ Osterbros	W 5-1	1625	1618	29.7%	21.8%	48.5%	+6.5	6
1949-09-25	Frem	W 2-1	1631	1620	50.9%	21.4%	27.7%	+1.3	9
1949-09-25	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1620	1631	27.7%	21.4%	50.9%	-1.3	1
1949-09-25	Esbjerg	W 4-2	1643	1576	58.2%	19.6%	22.3%	+1.6	9
1949-09-25	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-4	1576	1643	22.3%	19.6%	58.2%	-1.6	1
1949-09-25	B 1903	W 3-2	1660	1617	55.1%	20.5%	24.4%	+1.1	9
1949-09-25	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1617	1660	24.4%	20.5%	55.1%	-1.1	4
1949-09-25	Osterbros	W 2-1	1607	1612	48.7%	21.8%	29.5%	+1.4	3
1949-09-25	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1612	1607	29.5%	21.8%	48.7%	-1.4	0
1949-09-25	B.93	W 5-3	1609	1603	50.2%	21.6%	28.2%	+1.9	3
1949-09-25	@ Odense	L 3-5	1603	1609	28.2%	21.6%	50.2%	-1.9	4
1949-10-01	Frem	D 2-2	1616	1619	49.0%	21.8%	29.2%	-0.1	5
1949-10-01	@ B 1903	D 2-2	1619	1616	29.2%	21.8%	49.0%	+0.2	2
1949-10-02	Aarhus GF	L 2-6	1601	1633	45.1%	22.1%	32.7%	-5.2	4
1949-10-02	@ B.93	W 6-2	1633	1601	32.7%	22.1%	45.1%	+5.2	12
1949-10-02	Odense	W 6-2	1575	1611	44.4%	22.2%	33.4%	+4.1	4
1949-10-02	@ Esbjerg	L 2-6	1611	1575	33.4%	22.2%	44.4%	-4.1	3
1949-10-02	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-0	1608	1644	44.5%	22.2%	33.4%	+3.0	6
1949-10-02	@ Koge BK	L 0-2	1644	1608	33.4%	22.2%	44.5%	-3.0	9
1949-10-02	KB Copenhagen	L 0-4	1610	1661	42.4%	22.2%	35.4%	-7.0	0
1949-10-02	@ Osterbros	W 4-0	1661	1610	35.4%	22.2%	42.4%	+7.0	12
1949-10-15	B.93	W 3-0	1668	1596	58.9%	19.3%	21.8%	+3.0	15
1949-10-15	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1596	1668	21.8%	19.3%	58.9%	-3.0	4
1949-10-16	Esbjerg	W 2-0	1638	1579	57.2%	19.9%	22.9%	+2.2	15
1949-10-16	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1579	1638	22.9%	19.9%	57.2%	-2.2	4
1949-10-16	Koge BK	L 1-3	1619	1611	50.4%	21.5%	28.0%	-3.7	2
1949-10-16	@ Frem	W 3-1	1611	1619	28.0%	21.5%	50.4%	+3.7	9
1949-10-16	Osterbros	L 1-4	1607	1603	49.9%	21.6%	28.5%	-5.2	3
1949-10-16	@ Odense	W 4-1	1603	1607	28.5%	21.6%	49.9%	+5.2	3
1949-10-29	KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1641	1671	45.3%	22.1%	32.6%	+1.6	12
1949-10-29	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-1	1671	1641	32.6%	22.1%	45.3%	-1.6	15
1949-10-30	B 1903	W 4-0	1640	1616	52.6%	21.1%	26.3%	+4.7	18
1949-10-30	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-4	1616	1640	26.3%	21.1%	52.6%	-4.7	5
1949-10-30	Frem	W 3-1	1593	1615	46.4%	22.1%	31.6%	+2.5	7
1949-10-30	@ B.93	L 1-3	1615	1593	31.6%	22.1%	46.4%	-2.5	2
1949-10-30	Odense	W 2-1	1615	1602	51.1%	21.4%	27.5%	+1.3	12
1949-10-30	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1602	1615	27.5%	21.4%	51.1%	-1.3	3
1949-10-30	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1609	1576	53.7%	20.8%	25.5%	+1.2	6
1949-10-30	@ Osterbros	L 1-2	1576	1609	25.5%	20.8%	53.7%	-1.2	4
1949-11-05	Osterbros	W 1-0	1613	1610	49.8%	21.6%	28.5%	+1.4	5
1949-11-05	@ Frem	L 0-1	1610	1613	28.5%	21.6%	49.8%	-1.4	6
1949-11-12	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-7	1596	1643	42.9%	22.2%	34.9%	-8.5	7
1949-11-12	@ B.93	W 7-1	1643	1596	34.9%	22.2%	42.9%	+8.5	15
1949-11-13	Koge BK	L 0-4	1575	1616	43.8%	22.2%	34.0%	-7.2	4
1949-11-13	@ Esbjerg	W 4-0	1616	1575	34.0%	22.2%	43.8%	+7.2	15
1949-11-13	Odense	L 1-2	1611	1601	50.8%	21.5%	27.7%	-2.1	5
1949-11-13	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1601	1611	27.7%	21.5%	50.8%	+2.1	6
1949-11-13	Aarhus GF	W 4-0	1670	1645	52.7%	21.1%	26.2%	+4.7	18
1949-11-13	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-4	1645	1670	26.2%	21.1%	52.7%	-4.7	18
1949-11-19	Osterbros	D 1-1	1609	1608	49.5%	21.7%	28.8%	-0.2	6
1949-11-19	@ B 1903	D 1-1	1608	1609	28.8%	21.7%	49.5%	+0.2	7
1949-11-20	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1640	1652	47.9%	21.9%	30.2%	-0.2	19
1949-11-20	@ Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1652	1640	30.2%	21.9%	47.9%	+0.2	16
1949-11-20	Odense	D 0-0	1614	1603	50.9%	21.4%	27.6%	-0.3	6
1949-11-20	@ Frem	D 0-0	1603	1614	27.6%	21.4%	50.9%	+0.3	7
1949-11-20	Esbjerg	W 2-0	1674	1568	63.1%	17.7%	19.2%	+1.8	21
1949-11-20	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1568	1674	19.2%	17.7%	63.1%	-1.8	4
1949-11-20	B.93	D 2-2	1623	1587	54.2%	20.7%	25.1%	-0.2	16
1949-11-20	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1587	1623	25.1%	20.7%	54.2%	+0.2	8
1949-11-27	Koge BK	L 1-2	1640	1623	51.6%	21.3%	27.1%	-2.2	19
1949-11-27	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1623	1640	27.1%	21.3%	51.6%	+2.2	19
1949-11-27	B 1903	L 1-2	1566	1609	43.6%	22.2%	34.2%	-1.9	4
1949-11-27	@ Esbjerg	W 2-1	1609	1566	34.2%	22.2%	43.6%	+1.9	9
1949-11-27	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1614	1652	44.2%	22.2%	33.6%	-0.1	7
1949-11-27	@ Frem	D 2-2	1652	1614	33.6%	22.2%	44.2%	+0.1	17
1949-11-27	B.93	D 1-1	1609	1587	52.2%	21.2%	26.6%	-0.3	8
1949-11-27	@ Osterbros	D 1-1	1587	1609	26.6%	21.2%	52.2%	+0.3	9
1949-12-18	KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1603	1676	39.3%	22.1%	38.6%	+1.7	10
1949-12-18	@ Odense	L 1-2	1676	1603	38.6%	22.1%	39.3%	-1.7	21
1950-03-12	B 1903	W 1-0	1652	1611	54.9%	20.6%	24.6%	+1.2	20
1950-03-12	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-1	1611	1652	24.6%	20.6%	54.9%	-1.2	9
1950-03-18	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1610	1674	40.5%	22.2%	37.4%	-1.9	9
1950-03-18	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1674	1610	37.4%	22.2%	40.5%	+1.9	24
1950-03-19	Osterbros	W 3-0	1638	1608	53.3%	20.9%	25.7%	+3.5	22
1950-03-19	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	1608	1638	25.7%	20.9%	53.3%	-3.5	8
1950-03-19	Koge BK	L 1-4	1653	1625	53.1%	21.0%	25.9%	-5.4	20
1950-03-19	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-1	1625	1653	25.9%	21.0%	53.1%	+5.4	22
1950-03-19	B.93	W 2-1	1564	1588	46.2%	22.1%	31.7%	+1.5	7
1950-03-19	@ Esbjerg	L 1-2	1588	1564	31.7%	22.1%	46.2%	-1.5	9
1950-03-19	Frem	L 1-2	1605	1614	48.1%	21.9%	30.0%	-2.0	10
1950-03-19	@ Odense	W 2-1	1614	1605	30.0%	21.9%	48.1%	+2.0	10
1950-03-25	Frem	W 2-0	1648	1616	53.6%	20.9%	25.5%	+2.4	23
1950-03-25	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-2	1616	1648	25.5%	20.9%	53.6%	-2.4	10
1950-03-25	B 1903	L 0-1	1631	1608	52.5%	21.1%	26.4%	-2.3	22
1950-03-25	@ Koge BK	W 1-0	1608	1631	26.4%	21.1%	52.5%	+2.3	12
1950-03-26	KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1641	1676	44.6%	22.2%	33.2%	-0.1	23
1950-03-26	@ Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1676	1641	33.2%	22.2%	44.6%	+0.1	25
1950-03-26	Osterbros	W 1-0	1586	1605	46.9%	22.0%	31.1%	+1.5	12
1950-03-26	@ B.93	L 0-1	1605	1586	31.1%	22.0%	46.9%	-1.5	8
1950-03-26	Esbjerg	W 5-1	1603	1566	54.3%	20.7%	25.0%	+3.7	13
1950-03-26	@ Odense	L 1-5	1566	1603	25.0%	20.7%	54.3%	-3.7	7
1950-04-01	Koge BK	L 1-3	1603	1629	46.0%	22.1%	32.0%	-3.4	8
1950-04-01	@ Osterbros	W 3-1	1629	1603	32.0%	22.1%	46.0%	+3.4	25
1950-04-02	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1588	1676	37.2%	21.9%	40.9%	+0.0	13
1950-04-02	@ B.93	D 1-1	1676	1588	40.9%	21.9%	37.2%	-0.0	26
1950-04-02	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	1562	1650	37.3%	21.9%	40.8%	+1.8	10
1950-04-02	@ Esbjerg	L 1-2	1650	1562	40.8%	21.9%	37.3%	-1.8	23
1950-04-02	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1614	1641	45.6%	22.1%	32.2%	+1.5	13
1950-04-02	@ Frem	L 1-2	1641	1614	32.2%	22.1%	45.6%	-1.5	23
1950-04-06	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1610	1648	44.2%	22.2%	33.7%	-7.2	12
1950-04-06	@ B 1903	W 4-0	1648	1610	33.7%	22.2%	44.2%	+7.2	26
1950-04-06	Koge BK	W 3-0	1676	1632	55.3%	20.4%	24.3%	+3.3	29
1950-04-06	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1632	1676	24.3%	20.4%	55.3%	-3.3	25
1950-04-07	B.93	W 2-0	1640	1588	56.3%	20.2%	23.6%	+2.2	26
1950-04-07	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1588	1640	23.6%	20.2%	56.3%	-2.2	13
1950-04-07	Esbjerg	W 2-0	1615	1564	56.2%	20.2%	23.6%	+2.2	16
1950-04-07	@ Frem	L 0-2	1564	1615	23.6%	20.2%	56.2%	-2.2	10
1950-04-07	Odense	D 2-2	1600	1606	48.5%	21.8%	29.7%	-0.1	9
1950-04-07	@ Osterbros	D 2-2	1606	1600	29.7%	21.8%	48.5%	+0.1	14
1950-04-10	B 1903	W 1-0	1607	1603	49.9%	21.6%	28.5%	+1.4	17
1950-04-10	@ Odense	L 0-1	1603	1607	28.5%	21.6%	49.9%	-1.4	12
1950-04-15	B.93	W 3-1	1601	1586	51.5%	21.3%	27.2%	+2.2	15
1950-04-15	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1586	1601	27.2%	21.3%	51.5%	-2.2	13
1950-04-16	Aarhus GF	W 4-0	1655	1642	51.2%	21.4%	27.4%	+4.9	29
1950-04-16	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1642	1655	27.4%	21.4%	51.2%	-4.9	26
1950-04-16	Osterbros	W 1-0	1562	1600	44.2%	22.2%	33.6%	+1.6	13
1950-04-16	@ Esbjerg	L 0-1	1600	1562	33.6%	22.2%	44.2%	-1.6	9
1950-04-16	Odense	W 4-2	1680	1608	58.8%	19.3%	21.8%	+1.6	32
1950-04-16	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-4	1608	1680	21.8%	19.3%	58.8%	-1.6	17
1950-04-16	Frem	D 1-1	1629	1617	50.9%	21.4%	27.7%	-0.2	26
1950-04-16	@ Koge BK	D 1-1	1617	1629	27.7%	21.4%	50.9%	+0.2	17
1950-04-19	B.93	W 3-2	1660	1583	59.5%	19.1%	21.4%	+1.0	32
1950-04-19	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1583	1660	21.4%	19.1%	59.5%	-1.0	13
1950-04-21	Osterbros	W 1-0	1681	1598	60.3%	18.8%	20.9%	+1.1	35
1950-04-21	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1598	1681	20.9%	18.8%	60.3%	-1.0	9
1950-04-22	B.93	L 1-3	1618	1582	54.1%	20.8%	25.2%	-3.9	17
1950-04-22	@ Frem	W 3-1	1582	1618	25.2%	20.8%	54.1%	+3.9	16
1950-04-23	Aarhus GF	L 0-3	1604	1637	44.8%	22.1%	33.0%	-5.6	15
1950-04-23	@ B 1903	W 3-0	1637	1604	33.0%	22.1%	44.8%	+5.6	29
1950-04-23	Esbjerg	D 2-2	1628	1563	58.0%	19.6%	22.4%	-0.3	27
1950-04-23	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1563	1628	22.4%	19.6%	58.0%	+0.3	14
1950-04-23	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1606	1661	41.9%	22.2%	35.9%	-1.8	17
1950-04-23	@ Odense	W 2-1	1661	1606	35.9%	22.2%	41.9%	+1.8	35
1950-04-25	Frem	D 1-1	1682	1614	58.4%	19.5%	22.1%	-0.4	36
1950-04-25	@ KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1614	1682	22.1%	19.5%	58.4%	+0.4	18
1950-04-30	Odense	W 2-1	1643	1605	54.5%	20.7%	24.9%	+1.2	32
1950-04-30	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1605	1643	24.9%	20.7%	54.5%	-1.2	17
1950-04-30	Koge BK	L 0-2	1586	1628	43.7%	22.2%	34.1%	-3.8	16
1950-04-30	@ B.93	W 2-0	1628	1586	34.1%	22.2%	43.7%	+3.8	30
1950-04-30	Esbjerg	L 0-1	1598	1564	54.0%	20.8%	25.2%	-2.4	15
1950-04-30	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1564	1598	25.2%	20.8%	54.0%	+2.4	17
1950-05-01	Frem	D 1-1	1597	1614	47.1%	22.0%	30.9%	-0.2	10
1950-05-01	@ Osterbros	D 1-1	1614	1597	30.9%	22.0%	47.1%	+0.2	19
1950-05-04	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1597	1663	40.3%	22.2%	37.5%	-3.1	10
1950-05-04	@ Osterbros	W 3-1	1663	1597	37.5%	22.2%	40.3%	+3.1	38
1950-05-05	Odense	W 1-0	1583	1603	46.6%	22.0%	31.4%	+1.5	19
1950-05-05	@ B.93	L 0-1	1603	1583	31.4%	22.0%	46.6%	-1.5	17
1950-05-05	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1566	1682	33.7%	21.3%	45.0%	-1.6	17
1950-05-05	@ Esbjerg	W 1-0	1682	1566	45.0%	21.3%	33.7%	+1.6	39
1950-05-05	B 1903	L 0-2	1614	1596	51.9%	21.2%	26.9%	-4.3	19
1950-05-05	@ Frem	W 2-0	1596	1614	26.9%	21.2%	51.9%	+4.4	18
1950-05-05	Aarhus GF	L 3-4	1632	1644	47.8%	21.9%	30.3%	-1.9	30
1950-05-05	@ Koge BK	W 4-3	1644	1632	30.3%	21.9%	47.8%	+1.9	35
1950-05-08	B 1903	L 0-3	1594	1600	48.6%	21.8%	29.6%	-6.0	10
1950-05-08	@ Osterbros	W 3-0	1600	1594	29.6%	21.8%	48.6%	+6.0	21
1950-05-09	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1684	1666	51.7%	21.3%	27.0%	-0.3	40
1950-05-09	@ KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1666	1684	27.0%	21.3%	51.7%	+0.3	39
1950-05-14	Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1564	1646	38.2%	22.0%	39.8%	-2.9	17
1950-05-14	@ Esbjerg	W 3-1	1646	1564	39.8%	22.0%	38.2%	+2.9	38
1950-05-14	Koge BK	W 4-0	1602	1630	45.6%	22.1%	32.3%	+5.6	20
1950-05-14	@ Odense	L 0-4	1630	1602	32.3%	22.1%	45.6%	-5.6	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1950-04-22	25.16%	B.93	1582	3	@ Frem	1618	1
2	1950-04-30	25.25%	Esbjerg	1564	1	@ B 1903	1598	0
3	1950-03-19	25.92%	Koge BK	1625	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1653	1
4	1950-03-25	26.38%	B 1903	1608	1	@ Koge BK	1631	0
5	1950-05-05	26.85%	B 1903	1596	2	@ Frem	1614	0
6	1949-11-27	27.06%	Koge BK	1623	2	@ Aarhus GF	1640	1
7	1949-11-13	27.73%	Odense	1601	2	@ B 1903	1611	1
8	1949-10-16	28.02%	Koge BK	1611	3	@ Frem	1619	1
9	1949-10-16	28.49%	Osterbros	1603	4	@ Odense	1607	1
10	1949-08-21	29.10%	Aarhus GF	1621	6	@ Odense	1619	3
11	1950-05-08	29.62%	B 1903	1600	3	@ Osterbros	1594	0
12	1949-09-04	29.69%	Aarhus GF	1625	5	@ Osterbros	1618	1
13	1950-03-19	30.00%	Frem	1614	2	@ Odense	1605	1
14	1950-05-05	30.32%	Aarhus GF	1644	4	@ Koge BK	1632	3
15	1950-04-01	31.97%	Koge BK	1629	3	@ Osterbros	1603	1
16	1949-08-22	32.39%	KB Copenhagen	1652	3	@ Frem	1624	1
17	1949-10-02	32.74%	Aarhus GF	1633	6	@ B.93	1601	2
18	1950-04-23	33.02%	Aarhus GF	1637	3	@ B 1903	1604	0
19	1950-04-06	33.65%	AB Gladsaxe	1648	4	@ B 1903	1610	0
20	1949-11-13	34.02%	Koge BK	1616	4	@ Esbjerg	1575	0
21	1950-04-30	34.13%	Koge BK	1628	2	@ B.93	1586	0
22	1949-11-27	34.23%	B 1903	1609	2	@ Esbjerg	1566	1
23	1949-09-04	34.44%	KB Copenhagen	1656	4	@ Koge BK	1611	1
24	1949-11-12	34.87%	AB Gladsaxe	1643	7	@ B.93	1596	1
25	1949-10-02	35.37%	KB Copenhagen	1661	4	@ Osterbros	1610	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-11-12	8.53	AB Gladsaxe	7	1643	34.87%	@ B.93	1	1596	42.92%
2	1950-04-06	7.23	AB Gladsaxe	4	1648	33.65%	@ B 1903	0	1610	44.17%
3	1949-11-13	7.18	Koge BK	4	1616	34.02%	@ Esbjerg	0	1575	43.79%
4	1949-08-20	7.03	@ AB Gladsaxe	8	1630	50.02%	Osterbros	1	1625	28.39%
5	1949-10-02	7.00	KB Copenhagen	4	1661	35.37%	@ Osterbros	0	1610	42.42%
6	1949-09-04	6.51	Aarhus GF	5	1625	29.69%	@ Osterbros	1	1618	48.49%
7	1950-05-08	5.99	B 1903	3	1600	29.62%	@ Osterbros	0	1594	48.56%
8	1949-09-04	5.85	@ AB Gladsaxe	5	1637	52.32%	Odense	0	1615	26.52%
9	1950-05-14	5.64	@ Odense	4	1602	45.56%	Koge BK	0	1630	32.33%
10	1950-04-23	5.61	Aarhus GF	3	1637	33.02%	@ B 1903	0	1604	44.82%
11	1950-03-19	5.43	Koge BK	4	1625	25.92%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1653	53.09%
12	1949-10-02	5.21	Aarhus GF	6	1633	32.74%	@ B.93	2	1601	45.12%
13	1949-10-16	5.16	Osterbros	4	1603	28.49%	@ Odense	1	1607	49.90%
14	1950-04-16	4.89	@ AB Gladsaxe	4	1655	51.21%	Aarhus GF	0	1642	27.40%
15	1949-10-30	4.70	@ Aarhus GF	4	1640	52.63%	B 1903	0	1616	26.27%
16	1949-11-13	4.68	@ KB Copenhagen	4	1670	52.72%	Aarhus GF	0	1645	26.20%
17	1949-09-04	4.60	KB Copenhagen	4	1656	34.44%	@ Koge BK	1	1611	43.35%
18	1950-05-05	4.36	B 1903	2	1596	26.85%	@ Frem	0	1614	51.90%
19	1949-10-02	4.10	@ Esbjerg	6	1575	44.38%	Odense	2	1611	33.44%
20	1949-08-21	4.09	Aarhus GF	6	1621	29.10%	@ Odense	3	1619	49.17%
21	1950-04-22	3.91	B.93	3	1582	25.16%	@ Frem	1	1618	54.09%
22	1950-04-30	3.78	Koge BK	2	1628	34.13%	@ B.93	0	1586	43.68%
23	1950-03-26	3.74	@ Odense	5	1603	54.30%	Esbjerg	1	1566	25.00%
24	1949-10-16	3.69	Koge BK	3	1611	28.02%	@ Frem	1	1619	50.45%
25	1950-03-19	3.53	@ Aarhus GF	3	1638	53.33%	Osterbros	0	1608	25.73%