1950-51 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

AB Gladsaxe

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AB Gladsaxe

8.04 points above expected

28 points · 19.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KB Copenhagen

5.44 points below expected

14 points · 19.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	18	11	6	1	28	34	15	+19	20.0	+8.04
2	Odense	18	8	3	7	19	19	26	-7	17.3	+1.71
3	Aarhus GF	18	5	8	5	18	31	28	+3	18.8	-0.77
4	Koge BK	18	7	4	7	18	30	31	-1	18.3	-0.26
5	B 1903	18	7	3	8	17	25	24	+1	17.8	-0.81
6	Frem	18	5	7	6	17	24	24	0	18.1	-1.07
7	B.93	18	7	3	8	17	27	28	-1	17.4	-0.36
8	Esbjerg	18	7	2	9	16	32	37	-5	16.7	-0.66
9	B 1909	18	5	6	7	16	23	31	-8	16.4	-0.37
10	KB Copenhagen	18	4	6	8	14	24	25	-1	19.4	-5.44

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
AB Gladsaxe	1591	28	19.96	+8.04	99.6%	8	14	18	20	22	25	33
KB Copenhagen	1566	14	19.44	-5.44	7.7%	8	14	17	19	22	25	30
Aarhus GF	1550	18	18.77	-0.77	47.1%	6	13	16	19	21	24	31
Koge BK	1538	18	18.26	-0.26	52.9%	6	13	16	18	21	24	31
Frem	1534	17	18.07	-1.07	43.2%	4	13	16	18	20	24	30
Odense	1528	19	17.29	+1.71	73.7%	4	12	15	17	20	23	29
B 1903	1527	17	17.81	-0.81	46.4%	6	12	16	18	20	23	31
B.93	1519	17	17.36	-0.36	51.3%	5	12	15	17	20	23	30
Esbjerg	1502	16	16.66	-0.66	48.5%	5	11	14	17	19	22	29
B 1909	1495	16	16.37	-0.37	52.0%	4	11	14	16	19	22	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B1	B.9	ESB	FRE	KC	KB	ODE
AB Gladsaxe	—	0-1-1 2.93	2-0-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.00	0-2-0 3.16
Aarhus GF	1-1-0 2.58	—	0-0-2 2.92	1-1-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 3.08	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.67	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.95
B 1903	0-0-2 2.41	2-0-0 2.61	—	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.87
B 1909	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.56	—	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.65
B.93	0-0-2 2.37	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.93	—	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.75
Esbjerg	0-0-2 2.31	2-0-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.66	—	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.67
Frem	0-1-1 2.47	0-2-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 3.01	—	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.81	1-0-1 2.87
KB Copenhagen	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.97	—	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.11
Koge BK	0-1-1 2.54	0-2-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.59	—	2-0-0 2.85
Odense	0-2-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.56	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.76	2-0-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.68	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	6.11%	5.00%	3.33%	1.67%	1.67%	26.67%
1	6.11%	10.00%	5.00%	6.11%	3.33%	—	30.56%
2	5.00%	5.00%	5.56%	3.33%	0.56%	—	19.44%
3	3.33%	6.11%	3.33%	2.22%	0.56%	—	15.56%
4	1.67%	3.33%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	6.11%
5+	1.67%	—	—	—	—	—	1.67%
Total	26.67%	30.56%	19.44%	15.56%	6.11%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.49
Mean allowed	1.49
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.99
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.116
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	55.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.285
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	—	11.11%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	22.22%	33.33%	22.22%	—	—	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.042
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	44.44%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.490
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	27.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	—	5.56%	100%

B 1909 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	22.22%	27.78%	—	—	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.074
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
1	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	—	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	16.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Esbjerg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.398
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	22.22%	—	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	50.00%	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.083
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	—	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.054
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
2	—	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	16.67%	38.89%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.579
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	38.89%
1	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	16.67%	5.56%	—	22.22%	5.56%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.85
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.285
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	28	20.0	+8.04
2	Odense	19	17.3	+1.71
3	Koge BK	18	18.3	-0.26
4	B.93	17	17.4	-0.36
5	B 1909	16	16.4	-0.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	14	19.4	-5.44
2	Frem	17	18.1	-1.07
3	B 1903	17	17.8	-0.81
4	Aarhus GF	18	18.8	-0.77
5	Esbjerg	16	16.7	-0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	5	Nov 12 – Apr 11	1 in 342
2	Odense	3	Apr 22 – May 3	1 in 19
3	Frem	3	Aug 20 – Sep 16	1 in 13
4	B 1909	2	Sep 17 – Oct 1	1 in 12
5	Aarhus GF	2	Oct 8 – Oct 29	1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	2	Aug 31 – Sep 17	1 in 30
2	Odense	3	Aug 20 – Oct 1	1 in 15
3	B.93	3	Mar 22 – Apr 1	1 in 14
4	Frem	2	Dec 10 – Mar 26	1 in 9
5	B 1903	3	Aug 30 – Oct 1	1 in 6

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	12	Nov 12 – May 8	1 in 221
2	B 1909	6	Apr 15 – May 6	1 in 49
3	Aarhus GF	7	Oct 8 – Mar 26	1 in 41
4	Odense	5	Apr 22 – May 20	1 in 23
5	Frem	4	Oct 7 – Nov 26	1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frem	10	Nov 12 – May 3	1 in 246
2	Aarhus GF	6	Apr 15 – May 6	1 in 52
3	KB Copenhagen	5	Mar 25 – Apr 22	1 in 28
4	Odense	6	Aug 20 – Nov 12	1 in 17
5	B 1903	4	Apr 7 – Apr 26	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
AB Gladsaxe	25.02%	17.16%	13.47%	11.43%	8.78%	7.41%	6.02%	4.97%	3.49%	2.25%
Odense	5.35%	6.78%	8.57%	8.98%	9.60%	10.71%	11.28%	12.37%	12.79%	13.57%
Aarhus GF	13.28%	12.91%	11.78%	11.79%	10.78%	9.89%	9.28%	8.34%	6.75%	5.20%
Koge BK	9.99%	10.42%	11.12%	10.43%	11.07%	10.63%	10.15%	9.86%	8.87%	7.46%
B 1903	8.33%	9.34%	10.00%	10.49%	10.40%	11.01%	10.62%	10.59%	10.21%	9.01%
Frem	8.49%	10.44%	10.83%	10.54%	11.30%	10.83%	10.52%	9.64%	8.90%	8.51%
B.93	5.93%	8.17%	8.33%	9.99%	10.36%	10.75%	11.47%	11.39%	11.48%	12.13%
Esbjerg	3.72%	5.78%	6.73%	8.00%	8.88%	10.00%	11.52%	13.01%	14.78%	17.58%
B 1909	3.36%	4.57%	5.64%	6.98%	8.61%	9.71%	11.03%	13.03%	17.02%	20.05%
KB Copenhagen	16.53%	14.43%	13.53%	11.37%	10.22%	9.06%	8.11%	6.80%	5.71%	4.24%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AB Gladsaxe	97.8%	2.2%
KB Copenhagen	95.8%	4.2%
Aarhus GF	94.8%	5.2%
Koge BK	92.5%	7.5%
Frem	91.5%	8.5%
B 1903	91.0%	9.0%
B.93	87.9%	12.1%
Odense	86.4%	13.6%
Esbjerg	82.4%	17.6%
B 1909	80.0%	20.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1950-08-19	KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1518	1575	47.3%	26.9%	25.8%	-0.2	1
1950-08-19	@ B.93	D 0-0	1575	1518	25.8%	26.9%	47.3%	+0.2	1
1950-08-20	Esbjerg	W 5-0	1564	1507	62.9%	20.0%	17.1%	+3.9	3
1950-08-20	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-5	1507	1564	17.1%	20.0%	62.9%	-3.9	0
1950-08-20	Frem	L 0-3	1502	1532	50.9%	25.9%	23.1%	-6.5	0
1950-08-20	@ B 1909	W 3-0	1532	1502	23.1%	25.9%	50.9%	+6.5	3
1950-08-20	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	1530	1551	52.1%	25.5%	22.4%	+2.3	3
1950-08-20	@ B 1903	L 0-2	1551	1530	22.4%	25.5%	52.1%	-2.3	0
1950-08-20	Koge BK	L 0-4	1533	1539	54.1%	24.7%	21.2%	-8.8	0
1950-08-20	@ Odense	W 4-0	1539	1533	21.2%	24.7%	54.1%	+8.8	3
1950-08-30	B 1903	W 2-1	1539	1532	55.8%	23.9%	20.3%	+1.0	6
1950-08-30	@ Frem	L 1-2	1532	1539	20.3%	23.9%	55.8%	-1.0	3
1950-08-31	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1575	1568	55.9%	23.9%	20.2%	-4.1	1
1950-08-31	@ KB Copenhagen	W 3-1	1568	1575	20.2%	23.9%	55.9%	+4.1	6
1950-09-16	B.93	W 2-1	1540	1518	58.0%	22.8%	19.2%	+1.0	9
1950-09-16	@ Frem	L 1-2	1518	1540	19.2%	22.8%	58.0%	-1.0	1
1950-09-17	Odense	W 4-1	1549	1524	58.4%	22.6%	19.0%	+2.4	3
1950-09-17	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-4	1524	1549	19.0%	22.6%	58.4%	-2.4	0
1950-09-17	B 1903	W 2-1	1572	1531	60.6%	21.3%	18.1%	+0.9	9
1950-09-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1531	1572	18.1%	21.3%	60.6%	-0.9	3
1950-09-17	B 1909	L 0-1	1571	1496	65.3%	18.5%	16.2%	-2.8	1
1950-09-17	@ KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1496	1571	16.2%	18.5%	65.3%	+2.8	3
1950-09-17	Esbjerg	W 3-2	1548	1503	61.2%	21.0%	17.8%	+0.8	6
1950-09-17	@ Koge BK	L 2-3	1503	1548	17.8%	21.0%	61.2%	-0.8	0
1950-09-30	Koge BK	W 2-0	1568	1548	57.6%	23.0%	19.4%	+2.0	4
1950-09-30	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1548	1568	19.4%	23.0%	57.6%	-2.0	6
1950-10-01	Frem	W 4-3	1573	1541	59.5%	22.0%	18.5%	+0.9	12
1950-10-01	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 3-4	1541	1573	18.5%	22.0%	59.5%	-0.9	9
1950-10-01	B 1903	W 1-0	1499	1531	50.6%	26.0%	23.3%	+1.3	6
1950-10-01	@ B 1909	L 0-1	1531	1499	23.3%	26.0%	50.6%	-1.3	3
1950-10-01	Odense	W 4-1	1517	1521	54.3%	24.6%	21.1%	+2.7	4
1950-10-01	@ B.93	L 1-4	1521	1517	21.1%	24.6%	54.3%	-2.7	0
1950-10-01	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	1502	1551	48.3%	26.7%	25.0%	+2.2	3
1950-10-01	@ Esbjerg	L 1-3	1551	1502	25.0%	26.7%	48.3%	-2.2	3
1950-10-07	Frem	D 0-0	1570	1540	59.1%	22.2%	18.7%	-0.5	5
1950-10-07	@ KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1540	1570	18.7%	22.2%	59.1%	+0.5	10
1950-10-08	B 1909	W 6-0	1549	1500	61.7%	20.7%	17.6%	+4.8	6
1950-10-08	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-6	1500	1549	17.6%	20.7%	61.7%	-4.8	6
1950-10-08	Koge BK	W 2-0	1519	1547	51.3%	25.8%	22.9%	+2.4	7
1950-10-08	@ B.93	L 0-2	1547	1519	22.9%	25.8%	51.3%	-2.4	6
1950-10-08	Esbjerg	W 4-1	1529	1504	58.4%	22.6%	19.0%	+2.4	6
1950-10-08	@ B 1903	L 1-4	1504	1529	19.0%	22.6%	58.4%	-2.4	3
1950-10-08	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1519	1574	47.5%	26.9%	25.6%	-0.2	1
1950-10-08	@ Odense	D 0-0	1574	1519	25.6%	26.9%	47.5%	+0.2	13
1950-10-29	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1574	1554	57.8%	22.9%	19.3%	-2.6	13
1950-10-29	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 1-0	1554	1574	19.3%	22.9%	57.8%	+2.6	9
1950-10-29	B 1909	W 3-2	1522	1495	58.6%	22.5%	18.9%	+0.9	10
1950-10-29	@ B.93	L 2-3	1495	1522	18.9%	22.5%	58.6%	-0.9	6
1950-10-29	KB Copenhagen	W 4-2	1502	1569	45.9%	27.2%	27.0%	+2.1	6
1950-10-29	@ Esbjerg	L 2-4	1569	1502	27.0%	27.2%	45.9%	-2.1	5
1950-10-29	B 1903	W 3-1	1544	1532	56.7%	23.5%	19.8%	+1.8	9
1950-10-29	@ Koge BK	L 1-3	1532	1544	19.8%	23.5%	56.7%	-1.8	6
1950-10-29	Frem	L 1-4	1519	1540	52.0%	25.5%	22.4%	-5.5	1
1950-10-29	@ Odense	W 4-1	1540	1519	22.4%	25.5%	52.0%	+5.5	13
1950-11-12	B.93	D 3-3	1556	1522	59.6%	21.9%	18.5%	-0.3	10
1950-11-12	@ Aarhus GF	D 3-3	1522	1556	18.5%	21.9%	59.6%	+0.3	11
1950-11-12	Odense	D 0-0	1494	1513	52.4%	25.4%	22.2%	-0.3	7
1950-11-12	@ B 1909	D 0-0	1513	1494	22.2%	25.4%	52.4%	+0.4	2
1950-11-12	KB Copenhagen	W 3-1	1530	1567	49.9%	26.3%	23.9%	+2.1	9
1950-11-12	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1567	1530	23.9%	26.3%	49.9%	-2.1	5
1950-11-12	Esbjerg	D 1-1	1546	1504	60.7%	21.3%	18.0%	-0.5	14
1950-11-12	@ Frem	D 1-1	1504	1546	18.0%	21.3%	60.7%	+0.4	7
1950-11-12	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1546	1572	51.4%	25.8%	22.8%	-8.5	9
1950-11-12	@ Koge BK	W 4-0	1572	1546	22.8%	25.8%	51.4%	+8.5	16
1950-11-26	Koge BK	W 4-1	1494	1537	49.1%	26.5%	24.4%	+3.1	10
1950-11-26	@ B 1909	L 1-4	1537	1494	24.4%	26.5%	49.1%	-3.1	9
1950-11-26	B.93	W 1-0	1532	1523	56.2%	23.7%	20.1%	+1.1	12
1950-11-26	@ B 1903	L 0-1	1523	1532	20.1%	23.7%	56.2%	-1.1	11
1950-11-26	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1545	1556	53.5%	24.9%	21.5%	-0.2	15
1950-11-26	@ Frem	D 2-2	1556	1545	21.5%	24.9%	53.5%	+0.2	11
1950-11-26	Esbjerg	W 2-0	1513	1504	56.2%	23.7%	20.1%	+2.0	5
1950-11-26	@ Odense	L 0-2	1504	1513	20.1%	23.7%	56.2%	-2.1	7
1950-12-03	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1522	1580	47.0%	27.0%	26.0%	-3.6	11
1950-12-03	@ B.93	W 3-1	1580	1522	26.0%	27.0%	47.0%	+3.6	19
1950-12-03	B 1909	W 3-1	1502	1497	55.7%	23.9%	20.3%	+1.8	10
1950-12-03	@ Esbjerg	L 1-3	1497	1502	20.3%	23.9%	55.7%	-1.8	10
1950-12-03	Odense	W 5-0	1565	1515	61.8%	20.6%	17.5%	+4.1	8
1950-12-03	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-5	1515	1565	17.5%	20.6%	61.8%	-4.0	5
1950-12-03	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1534	1556	52.0%	25.6%	22.5%	-0.2	10
1950-12-03	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1556	1534	22.5%	25.6%	52.0%	+0.2	12
1950-12-10	KB Copenhagen	D 3-3	1556	1569	53.2%	25.1%	21.7%	-0.2	13
1950-12-10	@ Aarhus GF	D 3-3	1569	1556	21.7%	25.1%	53.2%	+0.2	9
1950-12-10	B.93	L 1-4	1504	1518	53.1%	25.1%	21.8%	-5.6	10
1950-12-10	@ Esbjerg	W 4-1	1518	1504	21.8%	25.1%	53.1%	+5.6	14
1950-12-10	Frem	W 3-0	1534	1545	53.5%	24.9%	21.6%	+3.2	13
1950-12-10	@ Koge BK	L 0-3	1545	1534	21.6%	24.9%	53.5%	-3.2	15
1951-03-18	B 1903	W 3-0	1499	1533	50.3%	26.1%	23.6%	+3.5	13
1951-03-18	@ Esbjerg	L 0-3	1533	1499	23.6%	26.1%	50.3%	-3.5	12
1951-03-18	KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1511	1569	47.1%	26.9%	25.9%	+1.4	8
1951-03-18	@ Odense	L 0-1	1569	1511	25.9%	26.9%	47.1%	-1.4	9
1951-03-22	KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1537	1568	50.8%	26.0%	23.2%	-2.1	13
1951-03-22	@ Koge BK	W 3-2	1568	1537	23.2%	26.0%	50.8%	+2.1	12
1951-03-22	B.93	W 3-1	1495	1524	51.1%	25.9%	23.0%	+2.1	13
1951-03-22	@ B 1909	L 1-3	1524	1495	23.0%	25.9%	51.1%	-2.1	14
1951-03-25	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-1	1502	1584	44.0%	27.3%	28.7%	-2.1	13
1951-03-25	@ Esbjerg	W 1-0	1584	1502	28.7%	27.3%	44.0%	+2.1	22
1951-03-25	B 1903	D 1-1	1570	1530	60.6%	21.4%	18.1%	-0.4	13
1951-03-25	@ KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1530	1570	18.1%	21.4%	60.6%	+0.4	13
1951-03-26	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1522	1556	50.3%	26.1%	23.6%	-2.3	14
1951-03-26	@ B.93	W 1-0	1556	1522	23.6%	26.1%	50.3%	+2.3	16
1951-03-26	B 1909	W 2-1	1513	1497	57.1%	23.2%	19.6%	+1.0	11
1951-03-26	@ Odense	L 1-2	1497	1513	19.6%	23.2%	57.1%	-1.0	13
1951-03-26	Koge BK	L 1-3	1542	1535	55.9%	23.9%	20.2%	-4.1	15
1951-03-26	@ Frem	W 3-1	1535	1542	20.2%	23.9%	55.9%	+4.1	16
1951-04-01	B 1903	L 0-2	1559	1530	58.9%	22.3%	18.8%	-4.9	16
1951-04-01	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-0	1530	1559	18.8%	22.3%	58.9%	+4.9	16
1951-04-01	B.93	W 3-0	1539	1519	57.7%	22.9%	19.3%	+2.9	19
1951-04-01	@ Koge BK	L 0-3	1519	1539	19.3%	22.9%	57.7%	-2.9	14
1951-04-07	Frem	D 1-1	1535	1538	54.6%	24.5%	20.9%	-0.3	17
1951-04-07	@ B 1903	D 1-1	1538	1535	20.9%	24.5%	54.6%	+0.3	16
1951-04-08	Koge BK	W 2-0	1500	1542	49.2%	26.4%	24.3%	+2.5	16
1951-04-08	@ Esbjerg	L 0-2	1542	1500	24.3%	26.4%	49.2%	-2.5	19
1951-04-08	B.93	L 0-2	1514	1516	54.6%	24.5%	20.9%	-4.7	11
1951-04-08	@ Odense	W 2-0	1516	1514	20.9%	24.5%	54.6%	+4.7	17
1951-04-08	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1496	1586	42.9%	27.4%	29.7%	-1.9	13
1951-04-08	@ B 1909	W 2-1	1586	1496	29.7%	27.4%	42.9%	+2.0	25
1951-04-08	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1570	1554	57.2%	23.2%	19.6%	-2.4	13
1951-04-08	@ KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1554	1570	19.6%	23.2%	57.2%	+2.4	19
1951-04-11	KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1588	1567	57.8%	22.9%	19.3%	+1.0	28
1951-04-11	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1567	1588	19.3%	22.9%	57.8%	-1.0	13
1951-04-14	Koge BK	D 2-2	1589	1540	61.8%	20.7%	17.6%	-0.3	29
1951-04-14	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1540	1589	17.6%	20.7%	61.8%	+0.3	20
1951-04-15	Odense	L 0-4	1535	1509	58.5%	22.5%	19.0%	-9.3	17
1951-04-15	@ B 1903	W 4-0	1509	1535	19.0%	22.5%	58.5%	+9.3	14
1951-04-15	KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	1494	1566	45.3%	27.2%	27.5%	-0.2	14
1951-04-15	@ B 1909	D 0-0	1566	1494	27.5%	27.2%	45.3%	+0.2	14
1951-04-15	Frem	D 1-1	1556	1538	57.5%	23.1%	19.5%	-0.4	20
1951-04-15	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1538	1556	19.5%	23.1%	57.5%	+0.4	17
1951-04-15	Esbjerg	W 3-2	1521	1502	57.5%	23.0%	19.4%	+0.9	20
1951-04-15	@ B.93	L 2-3	1502	1521	19.4%	23.0%	57.5%	-0.9	16
1951-04-20	Odense	W 1-0	1540	1518	57.9%	22.8%	19.2%	+1.0	23
1951-04-20	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	1518	1540	19.2%	22.8%	57.9%	-1.0	14
1951-04-20	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1494	1556	46.7%	27.0%	26.3%	-0.1	15
1951-04-20	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1556	1494	26.3%	27.0%	46.7%	+0.2	21
1951-04-20	Frem	W 3-1	1502	1538	50.0%	26.2%	23.8%	+2.1	19
1951-04-20	@ Esbjerg	L 1-3	1538	1502	23.8%	26.2%	50.0%	-2.1	17
1951-04-22	B 1909	D 0-0	1536	1494	60.8%	21.2%	18.0%	-0.5	18
1951-04-22	@ Frem	D 0-0	1494	1536	18.0%	21.2%	60.8%	+0.5	16
1951-04-22	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1556	1589	50.5%	26.1%	23.4%	-0.3	22
1951-04-22	@ Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1589	1556	23.4%	26.1%	50.5%	+0.3	30
1951-04-22	Esbjerg	D 1-1	1567	1504	63.6%	19.5%	16.9%	-0.5	15
1951-04-22	@ KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1504	1567	16.9%	19.5%	63.6%	+0.5	20
1951-04-22	B 1903	W 1-0	1517	1525	53.9%	24.8%	21.3%	+1.2	17
1951-04-22	@ Odense	L 0-1	1525	1517	21.3%	24.8%	53.9%	-1.2	17
1951-04-25	Frem	W 1-0	1522	1536	53.1%	25.1%	21.8%	+1.2	23
1951-04-25	@ B.93	L 0-1	1536	1522	21.8%	25.1%	53.1%	-1.2	18
1951-04-26	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1524	1589	46.2%	27.1%	26.7%	-2.1	17
1951-04-26	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1589	1524	26.7%	27.1%	46.2%	+2.1	33
1951-04-28	B.93	W 2-1	1591	1523	64.3%	19.1%	16.6%	+0.8	36
1951-04-28	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1523	1591	16.6%	19.1%	64.3%	-0.8	23
1951-04-29	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	1519	1555	50.0%	26.2%	23.8%	+2.5	20
1951-04-29	@ Odense	L 0-2	1555	1519	23.8%	26.2%	50.0%	-2.5	22
1951-04-29	Esbjerg	W 3-2	1494	1504	53.6%	24.9%	21.5%	+1.0	19
1951-04-29	@ B 1909	L 2-3	1504	1494	21.5%	24.9%	53.6%	-1.1	20
1951-04-30	Koge BK	W 3-0	1522	1541	52.4%	25.4%	22.2%	+3.3	20
1951-04-30	@ B 1903	L 0-3	1541	1522	22.2%	25.4%	52.4%	-3.3	23
1951-05-02	B.93	W 3-0	1566	1522	61.0%	21.1%	17.9%	+2.6	18
1951-05-02	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1522	1566	17.9%	21.1%	61.0%	-2.6	23
1951-05-03	B 1909	D 1-1	1592	1495	68.2%	16.6%	15.2%	-0.5	37
1951-05-03	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	1495	1592	15.2%	16.6%	68.2%	+0.5	20
1951-05-03	Odense	L 0-1	1535	1521	56.8%	23.4%	19.8%	-2.5	18
1951-05-03	@ Frem	W 1-0	1521	1535	19.8%	23.4%	56.8%	+2.6	23
1951-05-03	Koge BK	D 1-1	1553	1538	57.1%	23.3%	19.7%	-0.4	23
1951-05-03	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1538	1553	19.7%	23.3%	57.1%	+0.4	24
1951-05-05	B 1903	D 1-1	1520	1525	54.2%	24.6%	21.1%	-0.3	24
1951-05-05	@ B.93	D 1-1	1525	1520	21.1%	24.6%	54.2%	+0.3	21
1951-05-06	Esbjerg	L 2-3	1553	1503	61.8%	20.6%	17.6%	-2.4	23
1951-05-06	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1503	1553	17.6%	20.6%	61.8%	+2.4	23
1951-05-06	Odense	D 0-0	1591	1524	64.3%	19.1%	16.6%	-0.5	38
1951-05-06	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1524	1591	16.6%	19.1%	64.3%	+0.6	24
1951-05-06	KB Copenhagen	W 2-0	1532	1569	50.0%	26.2%	23.8%	+2.5	21
1951-05-06	@ Frem	L 0-2	1569	1532	23.8%	26.2%	50.0%	-2.4	18
1951-05-06	B 1909	D 2-2	1538	1496	60.8%	21.2%	18.0%	-0.3	25
1951-05-06	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1496	1538	18.0%	21.2%	60.8%	+0.3	21
1951-05-08	AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	1534	1591	47.4%	26.9%	25.7%	-0.2	22
1951-05-08	@ Frem	D 1-1	1591	1534	25.7%	26.9%	47.4%	+0.2	39
1951-05-12	B 1909	W 3-1	1526	1496	59.0%	22.2%	18.7%	+1.6	24
1951-05-12	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1496	1526	18.7%	22.2%	59.0%	-1.6	21
1951-05-20	Odense	L 1-3	1506	1524	52.4%	25.4%	22.2%	-3.9	23
1951-05-20	@ Esbjerg	W 3-1	1524	1506	22.2%	25.4%	52.4%	+3.9	27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1950-09-17	16.23%	B 1909	1496	1	@ KB Copenhagen	1571	0
2	1951-05-06	17.56%	Esbjerg	1503	3	@ Aarhus GF	1553	2
3	1951-04-01	18.80%	B 1903	1530	2	@ Aarhus GF	1559	0
4	1951-04-15	18.99%	Odense	1509	4	@ B 1903	1535	0
5	1950-10-29	19.29%	Aarhus GF	1554	1	@ AB Gladsaxe	1574	0
6	1951-04-08	19.59%	Aarhus GF	1554	2	@ KB Copenhagen	1570	1
7	1951-05-03	19.77%	Odense	1521	1	@ Frem	1535	0
8	1950-08-31	20.25%	AB Gladsaxe	1568	3	@ KB Copenhagen	1575	1
9	1951-03-26	20.25%	Koge BK	1535	3	@ Frem	1542	1
10	1951-04-08	20.92%	B.93	1516	2	@ Odense	1514	0
11	1950-08-20	21.19%	Koge BK	1539	4	@ Odense	1533	0
12	1950-12-10	21.79%	B.93	1518	4	@ Esbjerg	1504	1
13	1951-05-20	22.18%	Odense	1524	3	@ Esbjerg	1506	1
14	1950-10-29	22.43%	Frem	1540	4	@ Odense	1519	1
15	1950-11-12	22.80%	AB Gladsaxe	1572	4	@ Koge BK	1546	0
16	1950-08-20	23.14%	Frem	1532	3	@ B 1909	1502	0
17	1951-03-22	23.23%	KB Copenhagen	1568	3	@ Koge BK	1537	2
18	1951-03-26	23.59%	Aarhus GF	1556	1	@ B.93	1522	0
19	1950-12-03	26.00%	AB Gladsaxe	1580	3	@ B.93	1522	1
20	1951-04-26	26.68%	AB Gladsaxe	1589	2	@ B 1903	1524	1
21	1951-03-25	28.69%	AB Gladsaxe	1584	1	@ Esbjerg	1502	0
22	1951-04-08	29.71%	AB Gladsaxe	1586	2	@ B 1909	1496	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1951-04-15	9.33	Odense	4	1509	18.99%	@ B 1903	0	1535	58.48%
2	1950-08-20	8.83	Koge BK	4	1539	21.19%	@ Odense	0	1533	54.14%
3	1950-11-12	8.51	AB Gladsaxe	4	1572	22.80%	@ Koge BK	0	1546	51.45%
4	1950-08-20	6.46	Frem	3	1532	23.14%	@ B 1909	0	1502	50.93%
5	1950-12-10	5.62	B.93	4	1518	21.79%	@ Esbjerg	1	1504	53.08%
6	1950-10-29	5.54	Frem	4	1540	22.43%	@ Odense	1	1519	52.04%
7	1951-04-01	4.94	B 1903	2	1530	18.80%	@ Aarhus GF	0	1559	58.90%
8	1950-10-08	4.84	@ Aarhus GF	6	1549	61.70%	B 1909	0	1500	17.60%
9	1951-04-08	4.69	B.93	2	1516	20.92%	@ Odense	0	1514	54.62%
10	1950-08-31	4.13	AB Gladsaxe	3	1568	20.25%	@ KB Copenhagen	1	1575	55.88%
11	1951-03-26	4.12	Koge BK	3	1535	20.25%	@ Frem	1	1542	55.87%
12	1950-12-03	4.06	@ KB Copenhagen	5	1565	61.83%	Odense	0	1515	17.55%
13	1951-05-20	3.94	Odense	3	1524	22.18%	@ Esbjerg	1	1506	52.44%
14	1950-08-20	3.92	@ AB Gladsaxe	5	1564	62.91%	Esbjerg	0	1507	17.12%
15	1950-12-03	3.62	AB Gladsaxe	3	1580	26.00%	@ B.93	1	1522	47.04%
16	1951-03-18	3.53	@ Esbjerg	3	1499	50.28%	B 1903	0	1533	23.58%
17	1951-04-30	3.33	@ B 1903	3	1522	52.38%	Koge BK	0	1541	22.22%
18	1950-12-10	3.23	@ Koge BK	3	1534	53.49%	Frem	0	1545	21.56%
19	1950-11-26	3.08	@ B 1909	4	1494	49.07%	Koge BK	1	1537	24.44%
20	1951-04-01	2.86	@ Koge BK	3	1539	57.74%	B.93	0	1519	19.33%
21	1950-09-17	2.80	B 1909	1	1496	16.23%	@ KB Copenhagen	0	1571	65.30%
22	1950-10-01	2.66	@ B.93	4	1517	54.30%	Odense	1	1521	21.09%
23	1950-10-29	2.59	Aarhus GF	1	1554	19.29%	@ AB Gladsaxe	0	1574	57.83%
24	1951-05-02	2.59	@ KB Copenhagen	3	1566	60.98%	B.93	0	1522	17.90%
25	1951-05-03	2.56	Odense	1	1521	19.77%	@ Frem	0	1535	56.83%