1951-52 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

AB Gladsaxe

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AB Gladsaxe

4.73 points above expected

26 points · 21.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aarhus GF

6.65 points below expected

12 points · 18.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	18	11	4	3	26	40	21	+19	21.3	+4.73
2	Koge BK	18	10	1	7	21	40	33	+7	18.7	+2.32
3	B 1909	18	9	2	7	20	34	28	+6	17.0	+3.03
4	Odense	18	8	4	6	20	29	29	0	17.9	+2.06
5	Skovshoved	18	7	4	7	18	36	34	+2	15.4	+2.62
6	B.93	18	7	3	8	17	18	24	-6	17.4	-0.44
7	Frem	18	6	4	8	16	20	23	-3	18.3	-2.29
8	B 1903	18	6	4	8	16	26	34	-8	18.4	-2.42
9	Esbjerg	18	6	2	10	14	34	46	-12	17.0	-2.96
10	Aarhus GF	18	4	4	10	12	22	27	-5	18.6	-6.65

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
AB Gladsaxe	1517	26	21.27	+4.73	93.3%	9	15	19	21	24	27	32
Koge BK	1478	21	18.68	+2.32	78.2%	6	13	16	19	21	25	32
Aarhus GF	1470	12	18.65	-6.65	4.5%	6	13	16	19	21	25	32
Odense	1466	20	17.94	+2.06	75.9%	5	12	15	18	20	24	31
Frem	1463	16	18.29	-2.29	31.1%	5	12	16	18	21	24	31
B 1909	1458	20	16.97	+3.03	83.3%	5	11	15	17	19	23	30
B 1903	1456	16	18.42	-2.42	29.9%	7	13	16	18	21	24	31
B.93	1454	17	17.44	-0.44	50.4%	3	11	15	17	20	23	30
Skovshoved	1452	18	15.38	+2.62	82.1%	3	10	13	15	18	21	29
Esbjerg	1437	14	16.96	-2.96	24.8%	3	11	15	17	19	23	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B1	B.9	ESB	FRE	KB	ODE	SKO
AB Gladsaxe	—	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.19	2-0-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.17
Aarhus GF	1-0-1 2.42	—	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.96	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.96
B 1903	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.58	—	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.63	1-1-0 2.67	2-0-0 2.78
B 1909	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.69	—	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.53	2-0-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.72
B.93	0-1-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.50	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.80	—	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.64	1-0-1 2.80
Esbjerg	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.62	—	0-0-2 2.59	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.67
Frem	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.87	—	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.80	0-1-1 2.85
Koge BK	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.70	2-0-0 2.83	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.96
Odense	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.59	—	0-1-1 2.84
Skovshoved	1-0-1 2.31	0-2-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.62	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	7.22%	4.44%	3.89%	0.56%	—	21.67%
1	7.22%	4.44%	5.56%	7.22%	1.67%	—	26.11%
2	4.44%	5.56%	4.44%	2.78%	2.78%	1.67%	21.67%
3	3.89%	7.22%	2.78%	3.33%	1.11%	1.11%	19.44%
4	0.56%	1.67%	2.78%	1.11%	—	—	6.11%
5+	—	—	1.67%	1.11%	—	2.22%	5.00%
Total	21.67%	26.11%	21.67%	19.44%	6.11%	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.196
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.145
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	—	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	44.44%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.147
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	22.22%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
Total	16.67%	22.22%	16.67%	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.502
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	16.67%	44.44%	16.67%	—	—	100%

B 1909 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.147
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	55.56%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.105
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%
3	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	50.00%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Esbjerg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	2.56
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	4.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.034
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	16.67%	38.89%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.101
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
2	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	44.44%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	27.78%	11.11%	—	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.22
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	4.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.067
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	5.56%	33.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	—	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.174
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	16.67%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	22.22%	22.22%	—	22.22%	100%

Skovshoved — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.507
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	26	21.3	+4.73
2	B 1909	20	17.0	+3.03
3	Skovshoved	18	15.4	+2.62
4	Koge BK	21	18.7	+2.32
5	Odense	20	17.9	+2.06

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aarhus GF	12	18.6	-6.65
2	Esbjerg	14	17.0	-2.96
3	B 1903	16	18.4	-2.42
4	Frem	16	18.3	-2.29
5	B.93	17	17.4	-0.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	6	Aug 26 – Oct 28	1 in 168
2	B 1909	4	Mar 30 – Apr 14	1 in 78
3	B 1903	4	Apr 14 – May 1	1 in 70
4	Skovshoved	4	Oct 28 – Mar 15	1 in 67
5	Koge BK	4	Aug 26 – Oct 6	1 in 48

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aarhus GF	5	Oct 28 – Mar 16	1 in 192
2	B.93	5	Sep 23 – Nov 11	1 in 131
3	Esbjerg	4	Mar 30 – Apr 13	1 in 46
4	B 1903	4	Oct 7 – Nov 11	1 in 45
5	Skovshoved	4	Aug 26 – Sep 23	1 in 37

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	13	Aug 26 – Apr 11	1 in 112
2	Skovshoved	6	Oct 7 – Mar 15	1 in 19
3	Odense	5	Apr 6 – Apr 27	1 in 9
4	B.93	4	Mar 30 – Apr 14	1 in 8
5	B 1909	4	Mar 30 – Apr 14	1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B 1903	8	Sep 9 – Mar 16	1 in 33
2	AB Gladsaxe	5	Mar 30 – Apr 20	1 in 21
3	Aarhus GF	6	Oct 14 – Mar 16	1 in 19
4	B.93	6	Sep 23 – Nov 25	1 in 14
5	Frem	5	Apr 11 – Apr 30	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
AB Gladsaxe	35.14%	19.33%	13.18%	9.94%	6.77%	5.61%	4.03%	3.02%	2.01%	0.97%
Koge BK	11.99%	13.07%	12.36%	11.98%	10.64%	10.23%	9.04%	8.25%	7.41%	5.03%
B 1909	5.66%	7.73%	8.61%	9.49%	9.83%	10.53%	11.83%	12.17%	12.26%	11.89%
Odense	7.98%	9.78%	10.80%	11.00%	10.95%	10.78%	10.24%	10.17%	9.24%	9.06%
Skovshoved	1.71%	3.18%	5.06%	5.81%	8.53%	9.87%	11.71%	14.25%	17.49%	22.39%
B.93	5.34%	8.19%	8.88%	9.95%	10.75%	10.95%	10.62%	11.51%	11.98%	11.83%
Frem	9.12%	10.77%	11.33%	10.86%	10.78%	10.71%	9.96%	9.74%	8.68%	8.05%
B 1903	8.43%	10.79%	10.45%	11.17%	10.82%	10.67%	10.90%	9.78%	9.23%	7.76%
Esbjerg	4.12%	6.04%	7.23%	8.59%	10.06%	10.40%	11.78%	11.99%	13.51%	16.28%
Aarhus GF	10.51%	11.12%	12.10%	11.21%	10.87%	10.25%	9.89%	9.12%	8.19%	6.74%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AB Gladsaxe	99.0%	1.0%
Koge BK	95.0%	5.0%
Aarhus GF	93.3%	6.7%
B 1903	92.2%	7.8%
Frem	92.0%	8.1%
Odense	90.9%	9.1%
B.93	88.2%	11.8%
B 1909	88.1%	11.9%
Esbjerg	83.7%	16.3%
Skovshoved	77.6%	22.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1951-08-26	Skovshoved	W —-—	1495	1448	43.4%	26.2%	30.4%	+0.0	3
1951-08-26	@ AB Gladsaxe	L —-—	1448	1495	30.4%	26.2%	43.4%	+0.0	0
1951-08-26	Esbjerg	D 2-2	1448	1452	35.9%	27.0%	37.1%	+0.0	1
1951-08-26	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1452	1448	37.1%	27.0%	35.9%	-0.0	1
1951-08-26	B 1903	D 0-0	1462	1466	35.8%	27.0%	37.2%	+0.0	1
1951-08-26	@ B.93	D 0-0	1466	1462	37.2%	27.0%	35.8%	-0.0	1
1951-08-26	Odense	L 1-2	1470	1462	37.6%	27.0%	35.4%	-1.7	0
1951-08-26	@ Frem	W 2-1	1462	1470	35.4%	27.0%	37.6%	+1.7	3
1951-08-26	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1470	1478	35.4%	27.0%	37.7%	+1.7	3
1951-08-26	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1478	1470	37.7%	27.0%	35.4%	-1.7	0
1951-08-29	B 1903	L —-—	1448	1466	33.9%	26.9%	39.2%	+0.0	0
1951-08-29	@ Skovshoved	W —-—	1466	1448	39.2%	26.9%	33.9%	+0.0	4
1951-09-08	B.93	L 2-3	1448	1462	34.5%	26.9%	38.5%	-1.5	0
1951-09-08	@ Skovshoved	W 3-2	1462	1448	38.5%	26.9%	34.5%	+1.5	4
1951-09-09	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1452	1495	30.9%	26.3%	42.7%	-2.5	1
1951-09-09	@ Esbjerg	W 3-1	1495	1452	42.7%	26.3%	30.9%	+2.5	6
1951-09-09	Koge BK	L 0-2	1466	1472	35.7%	27.0%	37.3%	-3.2	4
1951-09-09	@ B 1903	W 2-0	1472	1466	37.3%	27.0%	35.7%	+3.2	6
1951-09-09	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1468	1477	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	+0.0	1
1951-09-09	@ Frem	D 0-0	1477	1468	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	-0.0	1
1951-09-09	B 1909	D 0-0	1464	1448	38.8%	26.9%	34.3%	-0.0	4
1951-09-09	@ Odense	D 0-0	1448	1464	34.3%	26.9%	38.8%	+0.0	2
1951-09-22	Frem	W 2-0	1497	1468	40.7%	26.7%	32.6%	+3.0	9
1951-09-22	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-2	1468	1497	32.6%	26.7%	40.7%	-3.0	1
1951-09-23	B 1909	W 2-0	1477	1448	40.7%	26.7%	32.6%	+3.0	4
1951-09-23	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1448	1477	32.6%	26.7%	40.7%	-3.0	2
1951-09-23	Esbjerg	L 0-1	1463	1450	38.5%	26.9%	34.6%	-1.8	4
1951-09-23	@ B.93	W 1-0	1450	1463	34.6%	26.9%	38.5%	+1.8	4
1951-09-23	Skovshoved	W 5-2	1475	1446	40.8%	26.7%	32.6%	+3.2	9
1951-09-23	@ Koge BK	L 2-5	1446	1475	32.6%	26.7%	40.8%	-3.2	0
1951-09-23	B 1903	D 3-3	1464	1463	36.6%	27.0%	36.4%	-0.0	5
1951-09-23	@ Odense	D 3-3	1463	1464	36.4%	27.0%	36.6%	+0.0	5
1951-10-06	Koge BK	L 1-2	1461	1479	34.1%	26.9%	39.0%	-1.6	4
1951-10-06	@ B.93	W 2-1	1479	1461	39.0%	26.9%	34.1%	+1.6	12
1951-10-07	B 1903	W 3-0	1480	1463	38.9%	26.9%	34.2%	+4.6	7
1951-10-07	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	1463	1480	34.2%	26.9%	38.9%	-4.6	5
1951-10-07	Odense	W 4-1	1500	1464	41.8%	26.5%	31.7%	+3.6	12
1951-10-07	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-4	1464	1500	31.7%	26.5%	41.8%	-3.6	5
1951-10-07	Frem	L 0-2	1445	1465	33.7%	26.9%	39.5%	-3.1	2
1951-10-07	@ B 1909	W 2-0	1465	1445	39.5%	26.9%	33.7%	+3.1	4
1951-10-07	Skovshoved	L 3-4	1451	1443	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	-1.6	4
1951-10-07	@ Esbjerg	W 4-3	1443	1451	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	+1.6	3
1951-10-13	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-4	1459	1504	30.6%	26.2%	43.1%	-2.2	5
1951-10-13	@ B 1903	W 4-2	1504	1459	43.1%	26.2%	30.6%	+2.2	15
1951-10-14	B 1909	L 1-3	1460	1442	39.1%	26.9%	34.0%	-3.0	4
1951-10-14	@ B.93	W 3-1	1442	1460	34.0%	26.9%	39.1%	+3.0	5
1951-10-14	Frem	L 0-1	1450	1468	34.0%	26.9%	39.2%	-1.7	4
1951-10-14	@ Esbjerg	W 1-0	1468	1450	39.2%	26.9%	34.0%	+1.7	7
1951-10-14	Odense	L 1-3	1480	1460	39.4%	26.9%	33.7%	-3.0	12
1951-10-14	@ Koge BK	W 3-1	1460	1480	33.7%	26.9%	39.4%	+3.0	8
1951-10-14	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1444	1484	31.3%	26.4%	42.3%	+0.1	4
1951-10-14	@ Skovshoved	D 1-1	1484	1444	42.3%	26.4%	31.3%	-0.1	8
1951-10-27	Frem	L 0-1	1456	1470	34.6%	26.9%	38.5%	-1.7	5
1951-10-27	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1470	1456	38.5%	26.9%	34.6%	+1.7	10
1951-10-28	Skovshoved	L 1-2	1445	1445	36.5%	27.0%	36.5%	-1.7	5
1951-10-28	@ B 1909	W 2-1	1445	1445	36.5%	27.0%	36.5%	+1.7	7
1951-10-28	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1457	1506	30.2%	26.1%	43.7%	-2.5	4
1951-10-28	@ B.93	W 3-1	1506	1457	43.7%	26.1%	30.2%	+2.5	18
1951-10-28	Koge BK	L 2-4	1448	1477	32.6%	26.7%	40.7%	-2.4	4
1951-10-28	@ Esbjerg	W 4-2	1477	1448	40.7%	26.7%	32.6%	+2.4	15
1951-10-28	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	1463	1484	33.6%	26.8%	39.6%	+1.9	11
1951-10-28	@ Odense	L 0-1	1484	1463	39.6%	26.8%	33.6%	-1.9	8
1951-11-11	Esbjerg	L 1-3	1482	1446	41.9%	26.5%	31.6%	-3.2	8
1951-11-11	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-1	1446	1482	31.6%	26.5%	41.9%	+3.2	7
1951-11-11	B 1909	L 1-3	1455	1443	38.2%	27.0%	34.8%	-3.0	5
1951-11-11	@ B 1903	W 3-1	1443	1455	34.8%	27.0%	38.2%	+3.0	8
1951-11-11	Skovshoved	L 0-1	1472	1446	40.2%	26.8%	33.1%	-1.9	10
1951-11-11	@ Frem	W 1-0	1446	1472	33.1%	26.8%	40.2%	+1.9	10
1951-11-11	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1479	1508	32.6%	26.7%	40.7%	+0.0	16
1951-11-11	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1508	1479	40.7%	26.7%	32.6%	-0.1	19
1951-11-11	B.93	W 2-0	1465	1454	38.0%	27.0%	35.0%	+3.2	14
1951-11-11	@ Odense	L 0-2	1454	1465	35.0%	27.0%	38.0%	-3.2	4
1951-11-25	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1508	1479	40.8%	26.7%	32.6%	+1.5	22
1951-11-25	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1479	1508	32.6%	26.7%	40.8%	-1.5	8
1951-11-25	Koge BK	W 3-2	1446	1479	32.0%	26.6%	41.4%	+1.7	11
1951-11-25	@ B 1909	L 2-3	1479	1446	41.4%	26.6%	32.0%	-1.7	16
1951-11-25	Odense	W 4-3	1449	1468	33.9%	26.9%	39.3%	+1.6	10
1951-11-25	@ Esbjerg	L 3-4	1468	1449	39.3%	26.9%	33.9%	-1.6	14
1951-11-25	B.93	D 1-1	1470	1451	39.2%	26.9%	33.9%	-0.0	11
1951-11-25	@ Frem	D 1-1	1451	1470	33.9%	26.9%	39.2%	+0.1	5
1951-12-02	B.93	L 0-1	1478	1451	40.4%	26.7%	32.9%	-1.9	8
1951-12-02	@ Aarhus GF	W 1-0	1451	1478	32.9%	26.7%	40.4%	+1.9	8
1951-12-02	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1448	1510	28.8%	25.6%	45.7%	-2.4	11
1951-12-02	@ B 1909	W 3-1	1510	1448	45.7%	25.6%	28.8%	+2.4	25
1951-12-02	Esbjerg	D 3-3	1452	1451	36.7%	27.0%	36.3%	+0.0	6
1951-12-02	@ B 1903	D 3-3	1451	1452	36.3%	27.0%	36.7%	+0.0	11
1951-12-02	Frem	L 2-3	1478	1470	37.7%	27.0%	35.4%	-1.6	16
1951-12-02	@ Koge BK	W 3-2	1470	1478	35.4%	27.0%	37.7%	+1.6	14
1951-12-02	Odense	W 5-2	1448	1466	34.0%	26.9%	39.2%	+3.7	13
1951-12-02	@ Skovshoved	L 2-5	1466	1448	39.2%	26.9%	34.0%	-3.7	14
1952-03-15	Skovshoved	L 1-4	1453	1452	36.7%	27.0%	36.3%	-4.1	8
1952-03-15	@ B.93	W 4-1	1452	1453	36.3%	27.0%	36.7%	+4.0	16
1952-03-16	Koge BK	L 0-1	1476	1476	36.4%	27.0%	36.5%	-1.8	8
1952-03-16	@ Aarhus GF	W 1-0	1476	1476	36.5%	27.0%	36.4%	+1.8	19
1952-03-16	B 1909	W 3-0	1512	1445	46.4%	25.3%	28.3%	+3.9	28
1952-03-16	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1445	1512	28.3%	25.3%	46.4%	-3.9	11
1952-03-16	B 1903	W 3-1	1451	1452	36.3%	27.0%	36.7%	+2.9	14
1952-03-16	@ Esbjerg	L 1-3	1452	1451	36.7%	27.0%	36.3%	-2.9	6
1952-03-16	Frem	W 2-1	1463	1471	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	+1.7	17
1952-03-16	@ Odense	L 1-2	1471	1463	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	-1.7	14
1952-03-29	Skovshoved	W 2-1	1449	1456	35.5%	27.0%	37.5%	+1.7	9
1952-03-29	@ B 1903	L 1-2	1456	1449	37.5%	27.0%	35.5%	-1.7	16
1952-03-30	B.93	D 2-2	1516	1449	46.4%	25.3%	28.2%	-0.1	29
1952-03-30	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1449	1516	28.2%	25.3%	46.4%	+0.1	9
1952-03-30	Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1453	1474	33.7%	26.9%	39.5%	-2.7	14
1952-03-30	@ Esbjerg	W 3-1	1474	1453	39.5%	26.9%	33.7%	+2.7	11
1952-03-30	B 1909	L 0-3	1470	1441	40.6%	26.7%	32.7%	-5.2	14
1952-03-30	@ Frem	W 3-0	1441	1470	32.7%	26.7%	40.6%	+5.2	14
1952-03-30	Koge BK	L 1-4	1465	1478	34.6%	26.9%	38.4%	-3.9	17
1952-03-30	@ Odense	W 4-1	1478	1465	38.4%	26.9%	34.6%	+3.9	22
1952-04-05	B 1903	D 1-1	1516	1451	46.2%	25.4%	28.4%	-0.2	30
1952-04-05	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	1451	1516	28.4%	25.4%	46.2%	+0.2	10
1952-04-06	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	1449	1477	32.8%	26.7%	40.5%	+1.9	12
1952-04-06	@ B.93	L 0-1	1477	1449	40.5%	26.7%	32.8%	-1.9	11
1952-04-06	Esbjerg	W 3-0	1464	1451	38.5%	26.9%	34.6%	+4.6	17
1952-04-06	@ Frem	L 0-3	1451	1464	34.6%	26.9%	38.5%	-4.6	14
1952-04-06	B 1909	L 2-4	1482	1447	41.6%	26.5%	31.8%	-2.8	22
1952-04-06	@ Koge BK	W 4-2	1447	1482	31.8%	26.5%	41.6%	+2.8	17
1952-04-06	Skovshoved	D 0-0	1461	1454	37.4%	27.0%	35.6%	-0.0	18
1952-04-06	@ Odense	D 0-0	1454	1461	35.6%	27.0%	37.4%	+0.0	17
1952-04-10	Odense	D 1-1	1475	1461	38.6%	26.9%	34.5%	-0.0	12
1952-04-10	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1461	1475	34.5%	26.9%	38.6%	+0.0	19
1952-04-10	B 1909	L 2-5	1446	1449	36.0%	27.0%	37.0%	-3.5	14
1952-04-10	@ Esbjerg	W 5-2	1449	1446	37.0%	27.0%	36.0%	+3.5	20
1952-04-10	B.93	L 0-1	1451	1451	36.5%	27.0%	36.5%	-1.8	10
1952-04-10	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1451	1451	36.5%	27.0%	36.5%	+1.8	15
1952-04-10	Koge BK	W 3-1	1454	1479	33.1%	26.8%	40.1%	+3.1	20
1952-04-10	@ Skovshoved	L 1-3	1479	1454	40.1%	26.8%	33.1%	-3.1	22
1952-04-11	AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1469	1516	30.4%	26.2%	43.4%	+0.1	18
1952-04-11	@ Frem	D 0-0	1516	1469	43.4%	26.2%	30.4%	-0.1	31
1952-04-13	Esbjerg	W 3-0	1461	1443	39.1%	26.9%	34.0%	+4.5	22
1952-04-13	@ Odense	L 0-3	1443	1461	34.0%	26.9%	39.1%	-4.6	14
1952-04-14	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1453	1475	33.5%	26.8%	39.7%	+1.8	23
1952-04-14	@ B 1909	L 1-2	1475	1453	39.7%	26.8%	33.5%	-1.8	12
1952-04-14	B 1903	L 0-2	1469	1449	39.4%	26.9%	33.7%	-3.5	18
1952-04-14	@ Frem	W 2-0	1449	1469	33.7%	26.9%	39.4%	+3.5	13
1952-04-14	B.93	L 0-1	1476	1453	39.9%	26.8%	33.3%	-1.9	22
1952-04-14	@ Koge BK	W 1-0	1453	1476	33.3%	26.8%	39.9%	+1.9	18
1952-04-14	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-2	1457	1516	29.2%	25.7%	45.1%	+1.8	23
1952-04-14	@ Skovshoved	L 2-3	1516	1457	45.1%	25.7%	29.2%	-1.8	31
1952-04-19	Odense	L 0-2	1455	1465	35.0%	27.0%	38.0%	-3.2	18
1952-04-19	@ B.93	W 2-0	1465	1455	38.0%	27.0%	35.0%	+3.2	25
1952-04-19	Koge BK	L 0-2	1466	1474	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	-3.2	18
1952-04-19	@ Frem	W 2-0	1474	1466	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	+3.2	25
1952-04-20	Skovshoved	D 2-2	1473	1459	38.5%	26.9%	34.5%	-0.0	13
1952-04-20	@ Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1459	1473	34.5%	26.9%	38.5%	+0.0	24
1952-04-20	Esbjerg	L 1-3	1514	1438	47.7%	24.9%	27.4%	-3.5	31
1952-04-20	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1438	1514	27.4%	24.9%	47.7%	+3.5	17
1952-04-20	B 1903	L 2-3	1455	1453	36.8%	27.0%	36.2%	-1.6	23
1952-04-20	@ B 1909	W 3-2	1453	1455	36.2%	27.0%	36.8%	+1.6	16
1952-04-23	B.93	W 1-0	1453	1451	36.8%	27.0%	36.2%	+1.7	26
1952-04-23	@ B 1909	L 0-1	1451	1453	36.2%	27.0%	36.8%	-1.8	18
1952-04-23	Esbjerg	W 3-0	1477	1442	41.7%	26.5%	31.8%	+4.3	28
1952-04-23	@ Koge BK	L 0-3	1442	1477	31.8%	26.5%	41.7%	-4.3	17
1952-04-23	Frem	D 3-3	1459	1462	36.0%	27.0%	37.0%	+0.0	25
1952-04-23	@ Skovshoved	D 3-3	1462	1459	37.0%	27.0%	36.0%	+0.0	19
1952-04-27	Koge BK	W 4-0	1510	1482	40.7%	26.7%	32.6%	+5.8	34
1952-04-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1482	1510	32.6%	26.7%	40.7%	-5.8	28
1952-04-27	Odense	L 1-2	1455	1468	34.6%	26.9%	38.5%	-1.6	26
1952-04-27	@ B 1909	W 2-1	1468	1455	38.5%	26.9%	34.6%	+1.6	28
1952-04-27	Aarhus GF	W 4-2	1454	1473	33.9%	26.9%	39.2%	+2.7	19
1952-04-27	@ B 1903	L 2-4	1473	1454	39.2%	26.9%	33.9%	-2.7	13
1952-04-27	Esbjerg	L 3-5	1459	1437	39.7%	26.8%	33.5%	-2.6	25
1952-04-27	@ Skovshoved	W 5-3	1437	1459	33.5%	26.8%	39.7%	+2.6	20
1952-04-30	Frem	W 1-0	1450	1462	34.7%	27.0%	38.3%	+1.8	21
1952-04-30	@ B.93	L 0-1	1462	1450	38.3%	27.0%	34.7%	-1.8	19
1952-05-01	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	1470	1516	30.6%	26.2%	43.2%	+1.9	16
1952-05-01	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1516	1470	43.2%	26.2%	30.6%	-1.9	34
1952-05-01	Odense	W 1-0	1457	1470	34.6%	26.9%	38.4%	+1.8	22
1952-05-01	@ B 1903	L 0-1	1470	1457	38.4%	26.9%	34.6%	-1.8	28
1952-05-04	Frem	L 2-4	1472	1461	38.2%	27.0%	34.9%	-2.7	16
1952-05-04	@ Aarhus GF	W 4-2	1461	1472	34.9%	27.0%	38.2%	+2.7	22
1952-05-04	B.93	L 1-3	1440	1451	34.9%	27.0%	38.2%	-2.8	20
1952-05-04	@ Esbjerg	W 3-1	1451	1440	38.2%	27.0%	34.9%	+2.8	24
1952-05-04	B 1903	W 5-3	1476	1459	39.0%	26.9%	34.1%	+2.3	31
1952-05-04	@ Koge BK	L 3-5	1459	1476	34.1%	26.9%	39.0%	-2.3	22
1952-05-04	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1468	1514	30.5%	26.2%	43.3%	-2.5	28
1952-05-04	@ Odense	W 3-1	1514	1468	43.3%	26.2%	30.5%	+2.5	37
1952-05-04	B 1909	L 0-3	1457	1453	37.0%	27.0%	36.0%	-4.8	25
1952-05-04	@ Skovshoved	W 3-0	1453	1457	36.0%	27.0%	37.0%	+4.8	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-04-20	27.39%	Esbjerg	1438	3	@ AB Gladsaxe	1514	1
2	1952-04-14	29.16%	@ Skovshoved	1457	3	AB Gladsaxe	1516	2
3	1952-05-01	30.56%	@ Aarhus GF	1470	2	AB Gladsaxe	1516	1
4	1951-11-11	31.65%	Esbjerg	1446	3	@ Aarhus GF	1482	1
5	1952-04-06	31.82%	B 1909	1447	4	@ Koge BK	1482	2
6	1951-11-25	32.03%	@ B 1909	1446	3	Koge BK	1479	2
7	1952-03-30	32.70%	B 1909	1441	3	@ Frem	1470	0
8	1952-04-06	32.76%	@ B.93	1449	1	Aarhus GF	1477	0
9	1951-12-02	32.89%	B.93	1451	1	@ Aarhus GF	1478	0
10	1951-11-11	33.05%	Skovshoved	1446	1	@ Frem	1472	0
11	1952-04-10	33.12%	@ Skovshoved	1454	3	Koge BK	1479	1
12	1952-04-14	33.32%	B.93	1453	1	@ Koge BK	1476	0
13	1952-04-14	33.50%	@ B 1909	1453	2	Aarhus GF	1475	1
14	1952-04-27	33.50%	Esbjerg	1437	5	@ Skovshoved	1459	3
15	1951-10-28	33.59%	@ Odense	1463	1	Aarhus GF	1484	0
16	1952-04-14	33.72%	B 1903	1449	2	@ Frem	1469	0
17	1951-10-14	33.73%	Odense	1460	3	@ Koge BK	1480	1
18	1951-11-25	33.85%	@ Esbjerg	1449	4	Odense	1468	3
19	1952-04-27	33.88%	@ B 1903	1454	4	Aarhus GF	1473	2
20	1951-12-02	33.96%	@ Skovshoved	1448	5	Odense	1466	2
21	1951-10-14	33.99%	B 1909	1442	3	@ B.93	1460	1
22	1951-09-23	34.59%	Esbjerg	1450	1	@ B.93	1463	0
23	1952-05-01	34.65%	@ B 1903	1457	1	Odense	1470	0
24	1952-04-30	34.71%	@ B.93	1450	1	Frem	1462	0
25	1951-11-11	34.85%	B 1909	1443	3	@ B 1903	1455	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1952-04-27	5.75	@ AB Gladsaxe	4	1510	40.70%	Koge BK	0	1482	32.61%
2	1952-03-30	5.18	B 1909	3	1441	32.70%	@ Frem	0	1470	40.59%
3	1952-05-04	4.84	B 1909	3	1453	36.03%	@ Skovshoved	0	1457	36.97%
4	1952-04-06	4.61	@ Frem	3	1464	38.48%	Esbjerg	0	1451	34.59%
5	1951-10-07	4.56	@ Aarhus GF	3	1480	38.90%	B 1903	0	1463	34.20%
6	1952-04-13	4.55	@ Odense	3	1461	39.11%	Esbjerg	0	1443	34.01%
7	1952-04-23	4.31	@ Koge BK	3	1477	41.72%	Esbjerg	0	1442	31.76%
8	1952-03-15	4.06	Skovshoved	4	1452	36.32%	@ B.93	1	1453	36.67%
9	1952-03-30	3.89	Koge BK	4	1478	38.44%	@ Odense	1	1465	34.62%
10	1952-03-16	3.88	@ AB Gladsaxe	3	1512	46.38%	B 1909	0	1445	28.28%
11	1951-12-02	3.69	@ Skovshoved	5	1448	33.96%	Odense	2	1466	39.16%
12	1951-10-07	3.62	@ AB Gladsaxe	4	1500	41.84%	Odense	1	1464	31.66%
13	1952-04-14	3.49	B 1903	2	1449	33.72%	@ Frem	0	1469	39.42%
14	1952-04-20	3.48	Esbjerg	3	1438	27.39%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1514	47.72%
15	1952-04-10	3.47	B 1909	5	1449	36.98%	@ Esbjerg	2	1446	36.02%
16	1951-09-09	3.25	Koge BK	2	1472	37.30%	@ B 1903	0	1466	35.70%
17	1952-04-19	3.23	Koge BK	2	1474	37.71%	@ Frem	0	1466	35.31%
18	1951-09-23	3.21	@ Koge BK	5	1475	40.76%	Skovshoved	2	1446	32.56%
19	1951-11-11	3.20	@ Odense	2	1465	38.03%	B.93	0	1454	35.00%
20	1952-04-19	3.20	Odense	2	1465	38.02%	@ B.93	0	1455	35.01%
21	1951-11-11	3.16	Esbjerg	3	1446	31.65%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1482	41.85%
22	1951-10-07	3.11	Frem	2	1465	39.45%	@ B 1909	0	1445	33.70%
23	1952-04-10	3.07	@ Skovshoved	3	1454	33.12%	Koge BK	1	1479	40.10%
24	1951-09-22	3.03	@ AB Gladsaxe	2	1497	40.72%	Frem	0	1468	32.59%
25	1951-09-23	3.03	@ Aarhus GF	2	1477	40.71%	B 1909	0	1448	32.60%