1952-53 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KB Copenhagen

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KB Copenhagen

9.75 points above expected

30 points · 20.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B 1909

7.93 points below expected

9 points · 16.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	18	14	2	2	30	43	25	+18	20.2	+9.75
2	Skovshoved	18	9	5	4	23	38	24	+14	18.1	+4.92
3	Odense	18	7	7	4	21	40	29	+11	18.2	+2.84
4	AB Gladsaxe	18	8	4	6	20	38	38	0	18.7	+1.27
5	Koge BK	18	7	4	7	18	51	43	+8	18.1	-0.05
6	B.93	18	7	3	8	17	30	32	-2	17.5	-0.53
7	Esbjerg	18	6	3	9	15	32	37	-5	17.3	-2.34
8	Frem	18	6	3	9	15	25	36	-11	17.6	-2.57
9	B 1903	18	6	0	12	12	26	41	-15	17.4	-5.35
10	B 1909	18	2	5	11	9	27	45	-18	16.9	-7.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KB Copenhagen	1480	30	20.25	+9.75	99.9%	8	14	18	20	23	26	33
AB Gladsaxe	1441	20	18.73	+1.27	68.4%	5	13	16	19	21	25	32
Skovshoved	1437	23	18.08	+4.92	93.3%	5	12	16	18	21	24	31
Odense	1434	21	18.16	+2.84	82.1%	5	12	16	18	21	24	32
Koge BK	1433	18	18.05	-0.05	54.4%	5	12	16	18	21	24	33
B.93	1417	17	17.53	-0.53	49.7%	5	12	15	18	20	23	30
Frem	1414	15	17.57	-2.57	28.3%	5	12	15	18	20	24	31
Esbjerg	1408	15	17.34	-2.34	30.1%	4	11	15	17	20	23	31
B 1903	1401	12	17.35	-5.35	8.5%	5	12	15	17	20	23	32
B 1909	1395	9	16.93	-7.93	1.7%	5	11	14	17	19	23	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	B1	B1	B.9	ESB	FRE	KC	KB	ODE	SKO
AB Gladsaxe	—	2-0-0 2.95	0-1-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.98	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.86
B 1903	0-0-2 2.63	—	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.70	0-0-2 2.70
B 1909	1-1-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.75	—	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.65
B.93	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 2.87	—	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.80	0-0-2 2.42	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.70
Esbjerg	1-1-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.79	—	0-0-2 2.77	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.67
Frem	0-0-2 2.61	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.78	2-0-0 2.80	—	0-0-2 2.41	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.67
KB Copenhagen	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.18	—	1-0-1 3.15	0-2-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.10
Koge BK	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.43	—	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.79
Odense	0-1-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.90	1-1-0 2.89	0-2-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.84	—	0-1-1 2.83
Skovshoved	0-0-2 2.72	2-0-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.75	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.89%	3.33%	3.89%	2.22%	0.56%	13.89%
1	3.89%	8.89%	10.00%	3.89%	2.22%	0.56%	29.44%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.89%	1.67%	1.67%	27.22%
3	3.89%	3.89%	3.89%	2.22%	0.56%	1.67%	16.11%
4	2.22%	2.22%	1.67%	0.56%	2.22%	—	8.89%
5+	0.56%	0.56%	1.67%	1.67%	—	—	4.44%
Total	13.89%	29.44%	27.22%	16.11%	8.89%	4.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.94
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.89
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.017
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	—	22.22%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	—	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	2.11
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	4.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.036
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	16.67%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	11.11%	44.44%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	2.28
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.174
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	44.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	100%

B 1909 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.311
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	38.89%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.432
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	11.11%	—	—	11.11%
1	—	11.11%	22.22%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	33.33%	27.78%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Esbjerg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.071
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	—	11.11%	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	2.06
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.026
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.39
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	3.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
1	—	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
Total	11.11%	5.56%	38.89%	22.22%	22.22%	—	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.83
Mean allowed	2.39
StdDev scored	2.09
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	5.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.245
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
1	—	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	44.44%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.22
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.133
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	55.56%
2	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	16.67%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	44.44%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Skovshoved — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.188
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	30	20.2	+9.75
2	Skovshoved	23	18.1	+4.92
3	Odense	21	18.2	+2.84
4	AB Gladsaxe	20	18.7	+1.27
5	Koge BK	18	18.1	-0.05

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	B 1909	9	16.9	-7.93
2	B 1903	12	17.4	-5.35
3	Frem	15	17.6	-2.57
4	Esbjerg	15	17.3	-2.34
5	B.93	17	17.5	-0.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	12	Aug 28 – Apr 25	1 in 10,358
2	Odense	5	Sep 14 – Nov 2	1 in 90
3	Skovshoved	5	Oct 25 – Apr 3	1 in 44
4	AB Gladsaxe	3	Aug 24 – Sep 13	1 in 23
5	Frem	3	Apr 15 – Apr 26	1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B 1903	6	Mar 22 – Apr 25	1 in 259
2	B 1909	5	Aug 24 – Oct 12	1 in 196
3	Frem	4	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 50
4	Esbjerg	4	Sep 7 – Oct 25	1 in 20
5	B.93	3	Aug 24 – Sep 14	1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	14	Aug 16 – Apr 25	1 in 272
2	Skovshoved	9	Sep 27 – Apr 11	1 in 48
3	Esbjerg	5	Mar 29 – Apr 19	1 in 12
4	Odense	5	Sep 14 – Nov 2	1 in 10
5	AB Gladsaxe	3	Aug 24 – Sep 13	1 in 5

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B 1909	15	Aug 17 – Apr 26	1 in 1,146
2	B 1903	6	Mar 22 – Apr 25	1 in 19
3	B.93	4	Aug 24 – Sep 27	1 in 8
4	Frem	4	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 8
5	AB Gladsaxe	3	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KB Copenhagen	26.74%	17.54%	13.17%	10.27%	8.84%	7.05%	5.90%	4.66%	3.52%	2.31%
Skovshoved	10.94%	11.54%	10.92%	10.55%	10.60%	9.87%	9.94%	9.29%	8.57%	7.78%
Odense	11.14%	11.04%	11.26%	11.17%	10.24%	10.46%	9.61%	9.29%	8.51%	7.28%
AB Gladsaxe	12.00%	12.17%	11.94%	11.09%	11.01%	9.92%	9.26%	8.55%	7.88%	6.18%
Koge BK	10.07%	10.77%	11.15%	10.76%	10.34%	9.88%	9.58%	9.75%	9.01%	8.69%
B.93	6.79%	8.76%	8.96%	9.70%	9.66%	11.86%	10.77%	11.12%	11.17%	11.21%
Esbjerg	5.73%	7.90%	8.98%	9.37%	10.20%	10.41%	11.31%	11.21%	12.08%	12.81%
Frem	6.59%	7.93%	8.79%	9.63%	10.09%	10.38%	11.39%	11.16%	11.09%	12.95%
B 1903	5.69%	6.77%	7.92%	9.18%	9.76%	10.18%	11.33%	12.17%	13.35%	13.65%
B 1909	4.31%	5.58%	6.91%	8.28%	9.26%	9.99%	10.91%	12.80%	14.82%	17.14%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen	97.7%	2.3%
AB Gladsaxe	93.8%	6.2%
Odense	92.7%	7.3%
Skovshoved	92.2%	7.8%
Koge BK	91.3%	8.7%
B.93	88.8%	11.2%
Esbjerg	87.2%	12.8%
Frem	87.1%	13.0%
B 1903	86.4%	13.7%
B 1909	82.9%	17.1%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1952-08-16	KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1419	1458	48.1%	21.8%	30.1%	-2.0	0
1952-08-16	@ B 1903	W 3-2	1458	1419	30.1%	21.8%	48.1%	+2.0	3
1952-08-17	Esbjerg	L 2-4	1441	1412	57.0%	20.2%	22.8%	-3.7	0
1952-08-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-2	1412	1441	22.8%	20.2%	57.0%	+3.7	3
1952-08-17	B 1909	D 2-2	1422	1420	53.5%	21.0%	25.4%	-0.2	1
1952-08-17	@ Frem	D 2-2	1420	1422	25.4%	21.0%	53.5%	+0.2	1
1952-08-17	Skovshoved	D 1-1	1422	1418	53.8%	20.9%	25.2%	-0.3	1
1952-08-17	@ Odense	D 1-1	1418	1422	25.2%	20.9%	53.8%	+0.3	1
1952-08-17	B.93	L 1-3	1427	1418	54.5%	20.8%	24.7%	-4.0	0
1952-08-17	@ Koge BK	W 3-1	1418	1427	24.7%	20.8%	54.5%	+4.0	3
1952-08-23	Koge BK	D 2-2	1422	1423	53.2%	21.1%	25.8%	-0.2	2
1952-08-23	@ Frem	D 2-2	1423	1422	25.8%	21.1%	53.2%	+0.2	1
1952-08-24	B 1903	L 2-3	1421	1417	53.8%	21.0%	25.3%	-2.2	1
1952-08-24	@ B 1909	W 3-2	1417	1421	25.3%	21.0%	53.8%	+2.2	3
1952-08-24	B.93	W 2-1	1416	1422	52.6%	21.2%	26.2%	+1.3	6
1952-08-24	@ Esbjerg	L 1-2	1422	1416	26.2%	21.2%	52.6%	-1.3	3
1952-08-24	Odense	D 3-3	1460	1422	58.2%	19.8%	22.0%	-0.2	4
1952-08-24	@ KB Copenhagen	D 3-3	1422	1460	22.0%	19.8%	58.2%	+0.2	2
1952-08-24	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1418	1438	50.8%	21.5%	27.7%	-2.2	1
1952-08-24	@ Skovshoved	W 2-1	1438	1418	27.7%	21.5%	50.8%	+2.2	3
1952-08-28	Koge BK	W 2-0	1460	1423	58.0%	19.9%	22.1%	+2.1	7
1952-08-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1423	1460	22.1%	19.9%	58.0%	-2.2	1
1952-09-06	Frem	W 1-0	1462	1422	58.5%	19.7%	21.8%	+1.1	10
1952-09-06	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1422	1462	21.8%	19.7%	58.5%	-1.1	2
1952-09-07	B.93	W 2-0	1419	1421	53.1%	21.1%	25.8%	+2.5	6
1952-09-07	@ B 1903	L 0-2	1421	1419	25.8%	21.1%	53.1%	-2.5	3
1952-09-07	B 1909	W 4-0	1416	1418	53.0%	21.1%	25.9%	+4.8	4
1952-09-07	@ Skovshoved	L 0-4	1418	1416	25.9%	21.1%	53.0%	-4.8	1
1952-09-07	Esbjerg	W 5-3	1421	1417	53.8%	21.0%	25.2%	+1.8	4
1952-09-07	@ Koge BK	L 3-5	1417	1421	25.2%	21.0%	53.8%	-1.8	6
1952-09-07	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1422	1440	51.0%	21.5%	27.6%	-2.2	2
1952-09-07	@ Odense	W 2-1	1440	1422	27.6%	21.5%	51.0%	+2.2	6
1952-09-13	B 1903	W 3-0	1442	1422	55.9%	20.4%	23.6%	+3.3	9
1952-09-13	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1422	1442	23.6%	20.4%	55.9%	-3.3	6
1952-09-14	Odense	L 1-4	1414	1420	52.5%	21.2%	26.3%	-5.5	1
1952-09-14	@ B 1909	W 4-1	1420	1414	26.3%	21.2%	52.5%	+5.5	5
1952-09-14	Frem	L 0-3	1418	1421	53.0%	21.1%	25.9%	-6.6	3
1952-09-14	@ B.93	W 3-0	1421	1418	25.9%	21.1%	53.0%	+6.6	5
1952-09-14	Skovshoved	W 3-1	1463	1421	58.7%	19.7%	21.6%	+1.8	13
1952-09-14	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1421	1463	21.6%	19.7%	58.7%	-1.8	4
1952-09-27	Skovshoved	D 1-1	1411	1419	52.3%	21.2%	26.4%	-0.3	4
1952-09-27	@ B.93	D 1-1	1419	1411	26.4%	21.2%	52.3%	+0.3	5
1952-09-28	B 1903	L 1-2	1427	1418	54.5%	20.8%	24.7%	-2.3	5
1952-09-28	@ Frem	W 2-1	1418	1427	24.7%	20.8%	54.5%	+2.3	9
1952-09-28	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1465	1445	55.9%	20.5%	23.7%	+2.0	16
1952-09-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1445	1465	23.7%	20.5%	55.9%	-2.0	9
1952-09-28	B 1909	W 5-2	1423	1408	55.2%	20.6%	24.1%	+2.5	7
1952-09-28	@ Koge BK	L 2-5	1408	1423	24.1%	20.6%	55.2%	-2.5	1
1952-09-28	Esbjerg	W 3-0	1425	1416	54.5%	20.8%	24.7%	+3.5	8
1952-09-28	@ Odense	L 0-3	1416	1425	24.7%	20.8%	54.5%	-3.5	6
1952-10-11	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1425	1443	50.9%	21.5%	27.6%	-2.2	5
1952-10-11	@ Frem	W 2-1	1443	1425	27.6%	21.5%	50.9%	+2.2	12
1952-10-12	B.93	L 0-3	1406	1411	52.6%	21.2%	26.2%	-6.5	1
1952-10-12	@ B 1909	W 3-0	1411	1406	26.2%	21.2%	52.6%	+6.5	7
1952-10-12	KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1412	1467	46.0%	22.0%	32.0%	-2.0	6
1952-10-12	@ Esbjerg	W 2-1	1467	1412	32.0%	22.0%	46.0%	+2.0	19
1952-10-12	Odense	L 2-3	1421	1429	52.3%	21.3%	26.5%	-2.1	9
1952-10-12	@ B 1903	W 3-2	1429	1421	26.5%	21.3%	52.3%	+2.1	11
1952-10-12	Koge BK	D 4-4	1419	1426	52.5%	21.2%	26.3%	-0.1	6
1952-10-12	@ Skovshoved	D 4-4	1426	1419	26.3%	21.2%	52.5%	+0.1	8
1952-10-25	KB Copenhagen	L 2-5	1418	1469	46.5%	21.9%	31.6%	-4.3	7
1952-10-25	@ B.93	W 5-2	1469	1418	31.6%	21.9%	46.5%	+4.3	22
1952-10-25	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1419	1410	54.5%	20.8%	24.7%	+1.2	9
1952-10-25	@ Skovshoved	L 1-2	1410	1419	24.7%	20.8%	54.5%	-1.2	6
1952-10-26	B 1909	D 4-4	1446	1399	59.2%	19.5%	21.3%	-0.2	13
1952-10-26	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 4-4	1399	1446	21.3%	19.5%	59.2%	+0.2	2
1952-10-26	B 1903	W 7-3	1426	1419	54.2%	20.9%	24.9%	+3.0	11
1952-10-26	@ Koge BK	L 3-7	1419	1426	24.9%	20.9%	54.2%	-3.0	9
1952-10-26	Frem	W 8-2	1431	1423	54.3%	20.8%	24.8%	+4.6	14
1952-10-26	@ Odense	L 2-8	1423	1431	24.8%	20.8%	54.3%	-4.6	5
1952-11-02	B.93	L 1-2	1445	1413	57.4%	20.1%	22.6%	-2.4	13
1952-11-02	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	1413	1445	22.6%	20.1%	57.4%	+2.4	10
1952-11-02	B 1909	W 2-1	1409	1399	54.5%	20.8%	24.7%	+1.2	9
1952-11-02	@ Esbjerg	L 1-2	1399	1409	24.7%	20.8%	54.5%	-1.2	2
1952-11-02	Koge BK	W 3-1	1435	1429	54.2%	20.9%	24.9%	+2.1	17
1952-11-02	@ Odense	L 1-3	1429	1435	24.9%	20.9%	54.2%	-2.1	11
1952-11-02	Frem	W 6-1	1420	1418	53.6%	21.0%	25.4%	+4.8	12
1952-11-02	@ Skovshoved	L 1-6	1418	1420	25.4%	21.0%	53.6%	-4.8	5
1952-11-16	KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	1398	1474	43.3%	22.0%	34.7%	-2.0	2
1952-11-16	@ B 1909	W 1-0	1474	1398	34.7%	22.0%	43.3%	+2.0	25
1952-11-16	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1413	1410	53.7%	21.0%	25.3%	+1.2	8
1952-11-16	@ Frem	L 1-2	1410	1413	25.3%	21.0%	53.7%	-1.2	9
1952-11-23	Odense	W 3-1	1416	1437	50.5%	21.5%	28.0%	+2.3	13
1952-11-23	@ B.93	L 1-3	1437	1416	28.0%	21.5%	50.5%	-2.3	17
1952-11-23	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1427	1443	51.2%	21.4%	27.4%	+2.3	14
1952-11-23	@ Koge BK	L 1-3	1443	1427	27.4%	21.4%	51.2%	-2.3	13
1952-11-23	B 1903	L 2-3	1409	1416	52.4%	21.2%	26.3%	-2.1	9
1952-11-23	@ Esbjerg	W 3-2	1416	1409	26.3%	21.2%	52.4%	+2.1	12
1953-03-22	Skovshoved	L 1-2	1418	1425	52.3%	21.2%	26.4%	-2.2	12
1953-03-22	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1425	1418	26.4%	21.2%	52.3%	+2.2	15
1953-03-28	B.93	W 2-0	1476	1418	60.5%	19.0%	20.4%	+2.0	28
1953-03-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1418	1476	20.4%	19.0%	60.5%	-2.0	13
1953-03-29	Esbjerg	L 1-2	1396	1407	51.9%	21.3%	26.8%	-2.2	2
1953-03-29	@ B 1909	W 2-1	1407	1396	26.8%	21.3%	51.9%	+2.2	12
1953-03-29	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1415	1441	50.0%	21.6%	28.4%	-2.2	12
1953-03-29	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1441	1415	28.4%	21.6%	50.0%	+2.2	16
1953-03-29	Frem	W 3-0	1429	1415	55.1%	20.6%	24.2%	+3.4	17
1953-03-29	@ Koge BK	L 0-3	1415	1429	24.2%	20.6%	55.1%	-3.4	8
1953-03-29	Odense	W 4-0	1427	1435	52.3%	21.2%	26.4%	+4.8	18
1953-03-29	@ Skovshoved	L 0-4	1435	1427	26.4%	21.2%	52.3%	-4.9	17
1953-04-02	Koge BK	D 2-2	1416	1432	51.2%	21.4%	27.3%	-0.2	14
1953-04-02	@ B.93	D 2-2	1432	1416	27.3%	21.4%	51.2%	+0.2	18
1953-04-02	AB Gladsaxe	D 3-3	1409	1443	48.9%	21.7%	29.4%	-0.1	13
1953-04-02	@ Esbjerg	D 3-3	1443	1409	29.4%	21.7%	48.9%	+0.1	17
1953-04-02	KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1411	1478	44.5%	22.0%	33.5%	-3.9	8
1953-04-02	@ Frem	W 2-0	1478	1411	33.5%	22.0%	44.5%	+3.9	31
1953-04-02	B 1909	D 2-2	1430	1394	57.9%	19.9%	22.2%	-0.3	18
1953-04-02	@ Odense	D 2-2	1394	1430	22.2%	19.9%	57.9%	+0.3	3
1953-04-03	B 1903	W 1-0	1432	1413	55.8%	20.5%	23.8%	+1.2	21
1953-04-03	@ Skovshoved	L 0-1	1413	1432	23.8%	20.5%	55.8%	-1.2	12
1953-04-06	Skovshoved	D 1-1	1394	1434	48.1%	21.8%	30.0%	-0.2	4
1953-04-06	@ B 1909	D 1-1	1434	1394	30.0%	21.8%	48.1%	+0.2	22
1953-04-06	Odense	D 1-1	1409	1430	50.6%	21.5%	27.9%	-0.2	14
1953-04-06	@ Esbjerg	D 1-1	1430	1409	27.9%	21.5%	50.6%	+0.2	19
1953-04-11	B.93	W 4-0	1434	1416	55.6%	20.5%	23.9%	+4.4	25
1953-04-11	@ Skovshoved	L 0-4	1416	1434	23.9%	20.5%	55.6%	-4.4	14
1953-04-12	Frem	W 3-2	1443	1407	57.8%	19.9%	22.2%	+1.0	20
1953-04-12	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1407	1443	22.2%	19.9%	57.8%	-1.0	8
1953-04-12	Koge BK	W 4-0	1409	1432	50.2%	21.6%	28.2%	+5.1	17
1953-04-12	@ Esbjerg	L 0-4	1432	1409	28.2%	21.6%	50.2%	-5.1	18
1953-04-12	B 1903	W 3-0	1430	1412	55.6%	20.5%	23.8%	+3.4	22
1953-04-12	@ Odense	L 0-3	1412	1430	23.8%	20.5%	55.6%	-3.4	12
1953-04-12	B 1909	W 5-3	1482	1394	64.2%	17.6%	18.2%	+1.3	34
1953-04-12	@ KB Copenhagen	L 3-5	1394	1482	18.2%	17.6%	64.2%	-1.3	4
1953-04-15	B.93	W 1-0	1406	1412	52.6%	21.2%	26.2%	+1.3	11
1953-04-15	@ Frem	L 0-1	1412	1406	26.2%	21.2%	52.6%	-1.3	14
1953-04-16	KB Copenhagen	L 1-4	1444	1483	48.2%	21.8%	30.0%	-5.1	20
1953-04-16	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-1	1483	1444	30.0%	21.8%	48.2%	+5.1	37
1953-04-18	Skovshoved	W 4-1	1408	1438	49.3%	21.7%	29.0%	+3.4	14
1953-04-18	@ Frem	L 1-4	1438	1408	29.0%	21.7%	49.3%	-3.4	25
1953-04-18	Odense	W 3-2	1427	1434	52.5%	21.2%	26.3%	+1.2	21
1953-04-18	@ Koge BK	L 2-3	1434	1427	26.3%	21.2%	52.5%	-1.2	22
1953-04-19	B 1909	W 3-2	1410	1393	55.6%	20.5%	23.9%	+1.1	17
1953-04-19	@ B.93	L 2-3	1393	1410	23.9%	20.5%	55.6%	-1.1	4
1953-04-19	Esbjerg	L 1-2	1409	1414	52.6%	21.2%	26.2%	-2.3	12
1953-04-19	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1414	1409	26.2%	21.2%	52.6%	+2.3	20
1953-04-25	B 1903	W 2-0	1488	1406	63.5%	17.9%	18.6%	+1.8	40
1953-04-25	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	1406	1488	18.6%	17.9%	63.5%	-1.8	12
1953-04-26	Odense	D 1-1	1439	1432	54.1%	20.9%	25.0%	-0.3	21
1953-04-26	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	1432	1439	25.0%	20.9%	54.1%	+0.3	23
1953-04-26	Frem	L 0-1	1392	1411	50.8%	21.5%	27.7%	-2.3	4
1953-04-26	@ B 1909	W 1-0	1411	1392	27.7%	21.5%	50.8%	+2.3	17
1953-04-26	Esbjerg	W 3-0	1411	1416	52.7%	21.2%	26.1%	+3.7	20
1953-04-26	@ B.93	L 0-3	1416	1411	26.1%	21.2%	52.7%	-3.7	20
1953-04-26	Skovshoved	L 1-2	1428	1435	52.5%	21.2%	26.3%	-2.2	21
1953-04-26	@ Koge BK	W 2-1	1435	1428	26.3%	21.2%	52.5%	+2.2	28
1953-04-30	Frem	W 1-0	1405	1413	52.2%	21.3%	26.6%	+1.4	15
1953-04-30	@ B 1903	L 0-1	1413	1405	26.6%	21.3%	52.2%	-1.4	17
1953-05-01	B.93	W 2-1	1433	1415	55.6%	20.5%	23.9%	+1.2	26
1953-05-01	@ Odense	L 1-2	1415	1433	23.9%	20.5%	55.6%	-1.2	20
1953-05-03	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	1389	1439	46.8%	21.9%	31.3%	+1.5	7
1953-05-03	@ B 1909	L 1-2	1439	1389	31.3%	21.9%	46.8%	-1.5	21
1953-05-03	Skovshoved	D 1-1	1412	1437	50.1%	21.6%	28.3%	-0.2	21
1953-05-03	@ Esbjerg	D 1-1	1437	1412	28.3%	21.6%	50.1%	+0.2	29
1953-05-03	KB Copenhagen	W 7-0	1426	1490	44.9%	22.0%	33.1%	+10.0	24
1953-05-03	@ Koge BK	L 0-7	1490	1426	33.1%	22.0%	44.9%	-10.0	40
1953-05-08	B 1903	W 4-1	1414	1406	54.3%	20.8%	24.8%	+2.9	23
1953-05-08	@ B.93	L 1-4	1406	1414	24.8%	20.8%	54.3%	-3.0	15
1953-05-09	Skovshoved	W 3-1	1437	1437	53.3%	21.1%	25.7%	+2.2	24
1953-05-09	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1437	1437	25.7%	21.1%	53.3%	-2.2	29
1953-05-10	Koge BK	D 2-2	1391	1436	47.3%	21.9%	30.8%	-0.1	8
1953-05-10	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1436	1391	30.8%	21.9%	47.3%	+0.1	25
1953-05-10	Odense	D 1-1	1412	1434	50.4%	21.6%	28.0%	-0.2	18
1953-05-10	@ Frem	D 1-1	1434	1412	28.0%	21.6%	50.4%	+0.2	27
1953-05-10	Esbjerg	W 4-2	1480	1412	61.8%	18.6%	19.6%	+1.5	43
1953-05-10	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-4	1412	1480	19.6%	18.6%	61.8%	-1.5	21
1953-05-13	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1417	1439	50.4%	21.6%	28.1%	-0.2	24
1953-05-13	@ B.93	D 2-2	1439	1417	28.1%	21.6%	50.4%	+0.2	25
1953-05-14	Koge BK	W 4-2	1403	1436	48.9%	21.7%	29.3%	+2.2	18
1953-05-14	@ B 1903	L 2-4	1436	1403	29.3%	21.7%	48.9%	-2.2	25
1953-05-14	KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1435	1481	47.2%	21.9%	30.9%	+1.5	32
1953-05-14	@ Skovshoved	L 0-1	1481	1435	30.9%	21.9%	47.2%	-1.5	43
1953-05-17	Koge BK	W 4-3	1439	1434	54.0%	20.9%	25.1%	+1.1	28
1953-05-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 3-4	1434	1439	25.1%	20.9%	54.0%	-1.1	25
1953-05-17	Frem	L 1-2	1411	1412	53.2%	21.1%	25.7%	-2.3	21
1953-05-17	@ Esbjerg	W 2-1	1412	1411	25.7%	21.1%	53.2%	+2.3	21
1953-05-17	B 1909	L 0-2	1405	1391	55.2%	20.6%	24.2%	-4.7	18
1953-05-17	@ B 1903	W 2-0	1391	1405	24.2%	20.6%	55.2%	+4.7	11
1953-05-17	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1434	1480	47.3%	21.9%	30.8%	-0.2	28
1953-05-17	@ Odense	D 1-1	1480	1434	30.8%	21.9%	47.3%	+0.2	44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-11-02	22.57%	B.93	1413	2	@ AB Gladsaxe	1445	1
2	1952-08-17	22.84%	Esbjerg	1412	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1441	2
3	1953-05-17	24.18%	B 1909	1391	2	@ B 1903	1405	0
4	1952-08-17	24.68%	B.93	1418	3	@ Koge BK	1427	1
5	1952-09-28	24.73%	B 1903	1418	2	@ Frem	1427	1
6	1952-08-24	25.26%	B 1903	1417	3	@ B 1909	1421	2
7	1953-05-17	25.74%	Frem	1412	2	@ Esbjerg	1411	1
8	1952-09-14	25.91%	Frem	1421	3	@ B.93	1418	0
9	1953-04-19	26.17%	Esbjerg	1414	2	@ B 1903	1409	1
10	1952-10-12	26.21%	B.93	1411	3	@ B 1909	1406	0
11	1952-09-14	26.26%	Odense	1420	4	@ B 1909	1414	1
12	1953-04-26	26.29%	Skovshoved	1435	2	@ Koge BK	1428	1
13	1952-11-23	26.33%	B 1903	1416	3	@ Esbjerg	1409	2
14	1953-03-22	26.42%	Skovshoved	1425	2	@ B 1903	1418	1
15	1952-10-12	26.47%	Odense	1429	3	@ B 1903	1421	2
16	1953-03-29	26.76%	Esbjerg	1407	2	@ B 1909	1396	1
17	1952-09-07	27.56%	AB Gladsaxe	1440	2	@ Odense	1422	1
18	1952-10-11	27.61%	AB Gladsaxe	1443	2	@ Frem	1425	1
19	1952-08-24	27.70%	AB Gladsaxe	1438	2	@ Skovshoved	1418	1
20	1953-04-26	27.72%	Frem	1411	1	@ B 1909	1392	0
21	1953-03-29	28.38%	AB Gladsaxe	1441	2	@ B 1903	1415	1
22	1953-04-16	29.98%	KB Copenhagen	1483	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1444	1
23	1952-08-16	30.06%	KB Copenhagen	1458	3	@ B 1903	1419	2
24	1952-10-25	31.56%	KB Copenhagen	1469	5	@ B.93	1418	2
25	1952-10-12	32.01%	KB Copenhagen	1467	2	@ Esbjerg	1412	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-05-03	9.95	@ Koge BK	7	1426	44.88%	KB Copenhagen	0	1490	33.12%
2	1952-09-14	6.59	Frem	3	1421	25.91%	@ B.93	0	1418	52.96%
3	1952-10-12	6.55	B.93	3	1411	26.21%	@ B 1909	0	1406	52.59%
4	1952-09-14	5.52	Odense	4	1420	26.26%	@ B 1909	1	1414	52.53%
5	1953-04-12	5.14	@ Esbjerg	4	1409	50.21%	Koge BK	0	1432	28.21%
6	1953-04-16	5.13	KB Copenhagen	4	1483	29.98%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1444	48.21%
7	1953-03-29	4.85	@ Skovshoved	4	1427	52.31%	Odense	0	1435	26.44%
8	1952-11-02	4.77	@ Skovshoved	6	1420	53.60%	Frem	1	1418	25.40%
9	1952-09-07	4.75	@ Skovshoved	4	1416	53.02%	B 1909	0	1418	25.87%
10	1953-05-17	4.69	B 1909	2	1391	24.18%	@ B 1903	0	1405	55.18%
11	1952-10-26	4.58	@ Odense	8	1431	54.34%	Frem	2	1423	24.82%
12	1953-04-11	4.41	@ Skovshoved	4	1434	55.58%	B.93	0	1416	23.88%
13	1952-10-25	4.32	KB Copenhagen	5	1469	31.56%	@ B.93	2	1418	46.50%
14	1952-08-17	4.03	B.93	3	1418	24.68%	@ Koge BK	1	1427	54.52%
15	1953-04-02	3.92	KB Copenhagen	2	1478	33.50%	@ Frem	0	1411	44.50%
16	1952-08-17	3.74	Esbjerg	4	1412	22.84%	@ AB Gladsaxe	2	1441	57.00%
17	1953-04-26	3.67	@ B.93	3	1411	52.70%	Esbjerg	0	1416	26.13%
18	1952-09-28	3.48	@ Odense	3	1425	54.53%	Esbjerg	0	1416	24.68%
19	1953-03-29	3.42	@ Koge BK	3	1429	55.13%	Frem	0	1415	24.22%
20	1953-04-18	3.40	@ Frem	4	1408	49.31%	Skovshoved	1	1438	28.99%
21	1953-04-12	3.37	@ Odense	3	1430	55.64%	B 1903	0	1412	23.84%
22	1952-09-13	3.34	@ AB Gladsaxe	3	1442	55.92%	B 1903	0	1422	23.63%
23	1952-10-26	2.96	@ Koge BK	7	1426	54.23%	B 1903	3	1419	24.91%
24	1953-05-08	2.95	@ B.93	4	1414	54.32%	B 1903	1	1406	24.84%
25	1952-09-07	2.49	@ B 1903	2	1419	53.13%	B.93	0	1421	25.77%