1954-55 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Aarhus GF

25 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aarhus GF

6.03 points above expected

25 points · 18.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Odense

4.39 points below expected

13 points · 17.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aarhus GF	18	12	1	5	25	38	24	+14	19.0	+6.03
2	AB Gladsaxe	18	10	3	5	23	42	28	+14	19.0	+4.03
3	Frem	18	8	5	5	21	34	27	+7	18.3	+2.70
4	KB Copenhagen	18	6	6	6	18	31	27	+4	19.0	-1.00
5	Esbjerg	18	7	4	7	18	38	37	+1	18.0	+0.02
6	Koge BK	18	6	5	7	17	32	37	-5	18.2	-1.24
7	B 1909	18	6	4	8	16	28	33	-5	15.9	+0.07
8	B 1903	18	6	3	9	15	21	28	-7	17.4	-2.43
9	Skovshoved	18	4	6	8	14	26	37	-11	17.8	-3.78
10	Odense	18	6	1	11	13	30	42	-12	17.4	-4.39

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
AB Gladsaxe	1463	23	18.97	+4.03	89.8%	5	13	17	19	21	25	32
Aarhus GF	1463	25	18.97	+6.03	97.0%	5	13	17	19	21	25	33
KB Copenhagen	1452	18	19.00	-1.00	44.0%	7	13	17	19	21	25	31
Frem	1442	21	18.30	+2.70	81.5%	6	13	16	18	21	24	32
Koge BK	1435	17	18.24	-1.24	41.8%	6	12	16	18	21	24	30
Esbjerg	1432	18	17.98	+0.02	55.8%	6	12	16	18	20	24	32
Skovshoved	1424	14	17.78	-3.78	17.6%	4	12	15	18	20	23	31
B 1903	1423	15	17.43	-2.43	29.8%	5	12	15	17	20	23	29
Odense	1420	13	17.39	-4.39	13.2%	4	12	15	17	20	23	29
B 1909	1399	16	15.93	+0.07	56.4%	3	10	13	16	18	22	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AG	B1	B1	ESB	FRE	KC	KB	ODE	SKO
AB Gladsaxe	—	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.97	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.79	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.83	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 2.88
Aarhus GF	2-0-0 2.68	—	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.22	2-0-0 2.83	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.90
B 1903	1-1-0 2.44	0-0-2 2.50	—	0-0-2 2.96	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.65
B 1909	0-0-2 2.27	1-0-1 2.22	2-0-0 2.45	—	0-1-1 2.41	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.29	0-2-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.53	2-0-0 2.37
Esbjerg	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 3.00	—	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.81	0-2-0 2.73
Frem	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.61	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.76	—	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.70	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.76
KB Copenhagen	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.79	—	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.99	0-1-1 2.91
Koge BK	0-0-2 2.58	2-0-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.60	—	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.77
Odense	0-0-2 2.45	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.61	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.57	—	1-0-1 2.64
Skovshoved	0-0-2 2.53	2-0-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 3.04	0-2-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.50	0-2-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.77	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.22%	6.67%	2.22%	3.33%	0.56%	—	15.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	8.89%	3.89%	1.67%	1.67%	32.78%
2	2.22%	8.89%	7.78%	3.89%	2.78%	2.22%	27.78%
3	3.33%	3.89%	3.89%	1.11%	1.67%	—	13.89%
4	0.56%	1.67%	2.78%	1.67%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	1.67%	2.22%	—	—	—	3.89%
Total	15.00%	32.78%	27.78%	13.89%	6.67%	3.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.56
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.037
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	38.89%	5.56%	27.78%	—	—	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.077
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	44.44%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	22.22%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.018
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	16.67%	—	100%

B 1909 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.059
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	33.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	44.44%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Esbjerg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.11
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.208
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	38.89%	27.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.131
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	—	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
3	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	55.56%	22.22%	—	5.56%	5.56%	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.063
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	16.67%	44.44%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.162
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	—	11.11%	11.11%	50.00%
2	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	27.78%	27.78%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	2.33
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.211
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	11.11%	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	27.78%	11.11%	—	11.11%	100%

Skovshoved — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	2.06
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.107
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aarhus GF	25	19.0	+6.03
2	AB Gladsaxe	23	19.0	+4.03
3	Frem	21	18.3	+2.70
4	B 1909	16	15.9	+0.07
5	Esbjerg	18	18.0	+0.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Odense	13	17.4	-4.39
2	Skovshoved	14	17.8	-3.78
3	B 1903	15	17.4	-2.43
4	Koge BK	17	18.2	-1.24
5	KB Copenhagen	18	19.0	-1.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	6	Sep 12 – Nov 7	1 in 312
2	Aarhus GF	5	Aug 22 – Oct 3	1 in 125
3	Skovshoved	3	Oct 3 – Oct 24	1 in 28
4	Esbjerg	3	Aug 22 – Sep 12	1 in 21
5	B 1909	2	Oct 24 – Nov 7	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odense	6	Aug 29 – Oct 24	1 in 425
2	KB Copenhagen	4	May 22 – Jun 5	1 in 102
3	Aarhus GF	3	Apr 7 – May 1	1 in 34
4	AB Gladsaxe	3	Nov 21 – Apr 7	1 in 29
5	B 1903	3	Oct 16 – Nov 7	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	6	Aug 22 – Oct 16	1 in 11
2	AB Gladsaxe	6	Sep 12 – Nov 7	1 in 10
3	Frem	5	Apr 7 – May 1	1 in 8
4	Aarhus GF	5	Aug 22 – Oct 3	1 in 7
5	Esbjerg	4	Nov 21 – Apr 7	1 in 5

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skovshoved	6	Nov 7 – Apr 24	1 in 15
2	Odense	6	Aug 29 – Oct 24	1 in 12
3	B 1903	6	Apr 7 – May 22	1 in 11
4	AB Gladsaxe	5	Nov 21 – Apr 24	1 in 11
5	B 1909	6	Aug 22 – Oct 17	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Aarhus GF	16.51%	14.04%	12.26%	11.36%	10.11%	9.24%	8.30%	7.30%	6.11%	4.77%
AB Gladsaxe	16.29%	13.82%	12.37%	11.89%	9.81%	9.41%	8.46%	7.13%	6.16%	4.66%
Frem	11.34%	11.31%	11.44%	10.97%	10.65%	9.49%	9.97%	9.10%	9.07%	6.66%
KB Copenhagen	15.27%	13.39%	12.56%	11.15%	10.25%	8.89%	8.86%	7.93%	6.68%	5.02%
Esbjerg	9.05%	9.85%	9.91%	10.45%	11.12%	10.84%	10.12%	10.53%	9.35%	8.78%
Koge BK	9.61%	10.44%	10.28%	10.33%	10.48%	10.06%	10.26%	9.97%	9.70%	8.87%
B 1909	3.06%	4.17%	5.57%	6.28%	7.94%	9.63%	10.83%	12.60%	16.37%	23.55%
B 1903	6.14%	7.54%	8.75%	8.83%	9.64%	11.01%	11.13%	11.53%	12.61%	12.82%
Skovshoved	6.95%	8.17%	8.96%	9.76%	10.49%	10.66%	10.71%	11.43%	11.58%	11.29%
Odense	5.78%	7.27%	7.90%	8.98%	9.51%	10.77%	11.36%	12.48%	12.37%	13.58%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AB Gladsaxe	95.3%	4.7%
Aarhus GF	95.2%	4.8%
KB Copenhagen	95.0%	5.0%
Frem	93.3%	6.7%
Esbjerg	91.2%	8.8%
Koge BK	91.1%	8.9%
Skovshoved	88.7%	11.3%
B 1903	87.2%	12.8%
Odense	86.4%	13.6%
B 1909	76.4%	23.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1954-08-21	Koge BK	D 2-2	1438	1443	34.5%	29.8%	35.7%	+0.0	1
1954-08-21	@ Skovshoved	D 2-2	1443	1438	35.7%	29.8%	34.5%	-0.0	1
1954-08-22	B 1909	W 1-0	1430	1401	39.4%	29.4%	31.2%	+1.6	3
1954-08-22	@ Esbjerg	L 0-1	1401	1430	31.2%	29.4%	39.4%	-1.6	0
1954-08-22	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1435	1445	33.6%	29.8%	36.6%	-1.6	0
1954-08-22	@ Frem	W 2-1	1445	1435	36.6%	29.8%	33.6%	+1.6	3
1954-08-22	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1447	1446	35.1%	29.9%	35.0%	+0.0	1
1954-08-22	@ KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	1446	1447	35.0%	29.9%	35.1%	+0.0	1
1954-08-22	B 1903	W 2-1	1436	1432	35.6%	29.8%	34.6%	+1.6	3
1954-08-22	@ Odense	L 1-2	1432	1436	34.6%	29.8%	35.6%	-1.6	0
1954-08-29	AB Gladsaxe	W 4-3	1447	1446	35.2%	29.9%	35.0%	+1.5	6
1954-08-29	@ Aarhus GF	L 3-4	1446	1447	35.0%	29.9%	35.2%	-1.5	1
1954-08-29	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1399	1447	29.1%	28.7%	42.2%	-2.5	0
1954-08-29	@ B 1909	W 3-1	1447	1399	42.2%	28.7%	29.1%	+2.5	4
1954-08-29	Esbjerg	L 2-3	1430	1431	34.9%	29.9%	35.2%	-1.6	0
1954-08-29	@ B 1903	W 3-2	1431	1430	35.2%	29.9%	34.9%	+1.6	6
1954-08-29	Skovshoved	W 3-1	1433	1438	34.4%	29.8%	35.8%	+2.9	3
1954-08-29	@ Frem	L 1-3	1438	1433	35.8%	29.8%	34.4%	-2.9	1
1954-08-29	Odense	W 2-1	1443	1437	35.9%	29.8%	34.3%	+1.6	4
1954-08-29	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	1437	1443	34.3%	29.8%	35.9%	-1.6	3
1954-09-11	Skovshoved	W 2-0	1429	1435	34.1%	29.8%	36.0%	+3.4	3
1954-09-11	@ B 1903	L 0-2	1435	1429	36.0%	29.8%	34.1%	-3.4	1
1954-09-12	B 1909	W 4-2	1445	1397	42.3%	28.7%	29.0%	+2.2	4
1954-09-12	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-4	1397	1445	29.0%	28.7%	42.3%	-2.2	0
1954-09-12	Frem	W 3-1	1433	1436	34.6%	29.9%	35.5%	+2.9	9
1954-09-12	@ Esbjerg	L 1-3	1436	1433	35.5%	29.9%	34.6%	-2.9	3
1954-09-12	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1444	1449	34.4%	29.8%	35.8%	+0.0	5
1954-09-12	@ Koge BK	D 1-1	1449	1444	35.8%	29.8%	34.4%	-0.0	5
1954-09-12	Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1436	1449	33.3%	29.8%	37.0%	-3.2	3
1954-09-12	@ Odense	W 2-0	1449	1436	37.0%	29.8%	33.3%	+3.2	9
1954-09-25	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1432	1447	33.0%	29.8%	37.2%	-4.6	1
1954-09-25	@ Skovshoved	W 3-0	1447	1432	37.2%	29.8%	33.0%	+4.6	7
1954-09-26	B 1903	W 3-0	1452	1432	37.9%	29.7%	32.4%	+4.5	12
1954-09-26	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	1432	1452	32.4%	29.7%	37.9%	-4.5	3
1954-09-26	Koge BK	D 2-2	1394	1444	28.9%	28.6%	42.5%	+0.1	1
1954-09-26	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1444	1394	42.5%	28.6%	28.9%	-0.1	6
1954-09-26	Odense	W 5-1	1433	1432	35.2%	29.9%	34.9%	+5.2	6
1954-09-26	@ Frem	L 1-5	1432	1433	34.9%	29.9%	35.2%	-5.2	3
1954-09-26	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1449	1436	37.0%	29.8%	33.2%	+1.6	8
1954-09-26	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1436	1449	33.2%	29.8%	37.0%	-1.6	9
1954-10-02	Frem	D 1-1	1451	1439	36.8%	29.8%	33.4%	-0.0	9
1954-10-02	@ KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1439	1451	33.4%	29.8%	36.8%	+0.0	7
1954-10-03	B 1909	W 1-0	1456	1394	44.4%	27.9%	27.7%	+1.4	15
1954-10-03	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1394	1456	27.7%	27.9%	44.4%	-1.4	1
1954-10-03	Esbjerg	W 2-1	1452	1434	37.6%	29.7%	32.7%	+1.6	10
1954-10-03	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1434	1452	32.7%	29.7%	37.6%	-1.6	9
1954-10-03	B 1903	L 0-2	1444	1428	37.5%	29.7%	32.8%	-3.5	6
1954-10-03	@ Koge BK	W 2-0	1428	1444	32.8%	29.7%	37.5%	+3.5	6
1954-10-03	Skovshoved	L 1-4	1427	1427	35.0%	29.9%	35.1%	-4.0	3
1954-10-03	@ Odense	W 4-1	1427	1427	35.1%	29.9%	35.0%	+4.0	4
1954-10-16	KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1431	1451	32.4%	29.7%	37.9%	-4.5	6
1954-10-16	@ B 1903	W 3-0	1451	1431	37.9%	29.7%	32.4%	+4.5	12
1954-10-17	Odense	W 2-1	1453	1423	39.5%	29.4%	31.1%	+1.5	13
1954-10-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1423	1453	31.1%	29.4%	39.5%	-1.5	3
1954-10-17	Frem	L 2-4	1393	1439	29.3%	28.8%	41.9%	-2.2	1
1954-10-17	@ B 1909	W 4-2	1439	1393	41.9%	28.8%	29.3%	+2.2	10
1954-10-17	Koge BK	L 3-4	1433	1441	33.9%	29.8%	36.2%	-1.5	9
1954-10-17	@ Esbjerg	W 4-3	1441	1433	36.2%	29.8%	33.9%	+1.5	9
1954-10-17	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1432	1458	31.6%	29.5%	38.9%	+1.7	7
1954-10-17	@ Skovshoved	L 2-3	1458	1432	38.9%	29.5%	31.6%	-1.7	15
1954-10-23	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-1	1441	1455	33.1%	29.8%	37.1%	-1.7	10
1954-10-23	@ Frem	W 1-0	1455	1441	37.1%	29.8%	33.1%	+1.7	16
1954-10-24	Koge BK	L 2-3	1456	1442	37.1%	29.8%	33.1%	-1.6	15
1954-10-24	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1442	1456	33.1%	29.8%	37.1%	+1.6	12
1954-10-24	B 1909	L 1-2	1427	1391	40.4%	29.2%	30.4%	-1.8	6
1954-10-24	@ B 1903	W 2-1	1391	1427	30.4%	29.2%	40.4%	+1.8	4
1954-10-24	Skovshoved	L 1-2	1455	1433	38.3%	29.6%	32.1%	-1.8	12
1954-10-24	@ KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1433	1455	32.1%	29.6%	38.3%	+1.8	10
1954-10-24	Esbjerg	L 1-5	1422	1431	33.8%	29.8%	36.4%	-5.1	3
1954-10-24	@ Odense	W 5-1	1431	1422	36.4%	29.8%	33.8%	+5.1	12
1954-11-07	Skovshoved	W 5-2	1393	1435	29.7%	28.9%	41.4%	+3.9	7
1954-11-07	@ B 1909	L 2-5	1435	1393	41.4%	28.9%	29.7%	-3.9	10
1954-11-07	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1436	1454	32.6%	29.7%	37.7%	-1.6	12
1954-11-07	@ Esbjerg	W 2-1	1454	1436	37.7%	29.7%	32.6%	+1.6	18
1954-11-07	Frem	L 2-4	1425	1439	33.1%	29.8%	37.2%	-2.5	6
1954-11-07	@ B 1903	W 4-2	1439	1425	37.2%	29.8%	33.1%	+2.4	13
1954-11-07	Odense	L 2-4	1453	1417	40.5%	29.2%	30.3%	-2.8	12
1954-11-07	@ KB Copenhagen	W 4-2	1417	1453	30.3%	29.2%	40.5%	+2.8	6
1954-11-07	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1444	1456	33.3%	29.8%	36.9%	-1.6	12
1954-11-07	@ Koge BK	W 2-1	1456	1444	36.9%	29.8%	33.3%	+1.6	19
1954-11-21	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1456	1451	35.9%	29.8%	34.3%	-0.0	19
1954-11-21	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1451	1456	34.3%	29.8%	35.9%	+0.0	13
1954-11-21	B 1903	L 1-2	1458	1422	40.4%	29.2%	30.4%	-1.8	19
1954-11-21	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	1422	1458	30.4%	29.2%	40.4%	+1.8	9
1954-11-21	Frem	L 2-4	1442	1442	35.2%	29.9%	35.0%	-2.6	12
1954-11-21	@ Koge BK	W 4-2	1442	1442	35.0%	29.9%	35.2%	+2.6	16
1954-11-21	B 1909	W 4-1	1419	1396	38.4%	29.6%	32.0%	+3.8	9
1954-11-21	@ Odense	L 1-4	1396	1419	32.0%	29.6%	38.4%	-3.8	7
1954-11-21	Esbjerg	D 2-2	1431	1435	34.6%	29.8%	35.6%	+0.0	11
1954-11-21	@ Skovshoved	D 2-2	1435	1431	35.6%	29.8%	34.6%	-0.0	13
1955-03-20	Skovshoved	D 1-1	1435	1431	35.6%	29.8%	34.6%	-0.0	14
1955-03-20	@ Esbjerg	D 1-1	1431	1435	34.6%	29.8%	35.6%	+0.0	12
1955-04-03	Frem	W 2-1	1456	1444	36.8%	29.8%	33.4%	+1.6	22
1955-04-03	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1444	1456	33.4%	29.8%	36.8%	-1.6	16
1955-04-03	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1456	1451	35.9%	29.8%	34.3%	-2.9	19
1955-04-03	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1451	1456	34.3%	29.8%	35.9%	+2.9	16
1955-04-03	Esbjerg	D 2-2	1393	1435	29.7%	29.0%	41.3%	+0.1	8
1955-04-03	@ B 1909	D 2-2	1435	1393	41.3%	29.0%	29.7%	-0.1	15
1955-04-03	Odense	W 1-0	1424	1423	35.2%	29.9%	34.9%	+1.7	12
1955-04-03	@ B 1903	L 0-1	1423	1424	34.9%	29.9%	35.2%	-1.7	9
1955-04-07	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-2	1435	1453	32.5%	29.7%	37.8%	+1.7	18
1955-04-07	@ Esbjerg	L 2-3	1453	1435	37.8%	29.7%	32.5%	-1.7	19
1955-04-07	B 1903	D 0-0	1443	1426	37.5%	29.7%	32.8%	-0.0	17
1955-04-07	@ Frem	D 0-0	1426	1443	32.8%	29.7%	37.5%	+0.0	13
1955-04-07	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	1440	1458	32.6%	29.7%	37.7%	+1.8	15
1955-04-07	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	1458	1440	37.7%	29.7%	32.6%	-1.8	22
1955-04-08	KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1421	1453	30.9%	29.3%	39.8%	-1.4	9
1955-04-08	@ Odense	W 3-2	1453	1421	39.8%	29.3%	30.9%	+1.4	19
1955-04-08	B 1909	L 0-1	1431	1393	40.8%	29.1%	30.1%	-1.9	12
1955-04-08	@ Skovshoved	W 1-0	1393	1431	30.1%	29.1%	40.8%	+1.9	11
1955-04-10	Koge BK	W 3-1	1442	1442	35.2%	29.9%	34.9%	+2.9	20
1955-04-10	@ Frem	L 1-3	1442	1442	34.9%	29.9%	35.2%	-2.8	15
1955-04-16	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1429	1455	31.6%	29.5%	38.9%	+0.1	13
1955-04-16	@ Skovshoved	D 1-1	1455	1429	38.9%	29.5%	31.6%	-0.1	20
1955-04-17	Frem	D 0-0	1452	1445	36.0%	29.8%	34.2%	-0.0	20
1955-04-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	1445	1452	34.2%	29.8%	36.0%	+0.0	21
1955-04-17	Aarhus GF	W 3-0	1395	1456	27.7%	28.0%	44.3%	+5.6	14
1955-04-17	@ B 1909	L 0-3	1456	1395	44.3%	28.0%	27.7%	-5.6	22
1955-04-17	Odense	L 3-4	1436	1420	37.4%	29.7%	32.9%	-1.6	18
1955-04-17	@ Esbjerg	W 4-3	1420	1436	32.9%	29.7%	37.4%	+1.6	12
1955-04-17	Koge BK	L 0-1	1426	1439	33.3%	29.8%	36.9%	-1.7	13
1955-04-17	@ B 1903	W 1-0	1439	1426	36.9%	29.8%	33.3%	+1.7	18
1955-04-24	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	1424	1452	31.4%	29.5%	39.1%	+0.1	14
1955-04-24	@ B 1903	D 2-2	1452	1424	39.1%	29.5%	31.4%	-0.0	21
1955-04-24	Skovshoved	D 2-2	1440	1429	36.7%	29.8%	33.5%	-0.0	19
1955-04-24	@ Koge BK	D 2-2	1429	1440	33.5%	29.8%	36.7%	+0.0	14
1955-04-24	Esbjerg	D 3-3	1445	1435	36.6%	29.8%	33.6%	-0.0	22
1955-04-24	@ Frem	D 3-3	1435	1445	33.6%	29.8%	36.6%	+0.0	19
1955-05-01	Skovshoved	L 1-3	1450	1429	38.1%	29.6%	32.2%	-3.0	22
1955-05-01	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-1	1429	1450	32.2%	29.6%	38.1%	+3.0	17
1955-05-01	B 1909	W 1-0	1445	1400	41.8%	28.8%	29.4%	+1.5	25
1955-05-01	@ Frem	L 0-1	1400	1445	29.4%	28.8%	41.8%	-1.5	14
1955-05-01	B 1903	D 1-1	1455	1424	39.6%	29.4%	31.1%	-0.1	21
1955-05-01	@ KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1424	1455	31.1%	29.4%	39.6%	+0.1	15
1955-05-01	Esbjerg	L 1-2	1440	1435	35.9%	29.8%	34.2%	-1.7	19
1955-05-01	@ Koge BK	W 2-1	1435	1440	34.2%	29.8%	35.9%	+1.7	22
1955-05-01	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1422	1452	31.1%	29.4%	39.5%	-4.4	12
1955-05-01	@ Odense	W 3-0	1452	1422	39.5%	29.4%	31.1%	+4.4	24
1955-05-11	Odense	D 1-1	1399	1417	32.6%	29.7%	37.8%	+0.0	15
1955-05-11	@ B 1909	D 1-1	1417	1399	37.8%	29.7%	32.6%	-0.0	13
1955-05-18	KB Copenhagen	L 0-4	1447	1455	34.0%	29.8%	36.2%	-6.1	25
1955-05-18	@ Frem	W 4-0	1455	1447	36.2%	29.8%	34.0%	+6.1	24
1955-05-19	Esbjerg	W 6-2	1447	1436	36.6%	29.8%	33.6%	+4.3	25
1955-05-19	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-6	1436	1447	33.6%	29.8%	36.6%	-4.3	22
1955-05-19	Koge BK	W 3-2	1456	1439	37.6%	29.7%	32.7%	+1.5	27
1955-05-19	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1439	1456	32.7%	29.7%	37.6%	-1.5	19
1955-05-19	B 1903	W 3-2	1399	1424	31.6%	29.5%	38.8%	+1.7	18
1955-05-19	@ B 1909	L 2-3	1424	1399	38.8%	29.5%	31.6%	-1.7	15
1955-05-19	Odense	L 0-1	1432	1417	37.3%	29.7%	33.0%	-1.8	17
1955-05-19	@ Skovshoved	W 1-0	1417	1432	33.0%	29.7%	37.3%	+1.8	16
1955-05-22	Skovshoved	W 7-2	1457	1430	39.1%	29.5%	31.5%	+4.9	30
1955-05-22	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-7	1430	1457	31.5%	29.5%	39.1%	-4.9	17
1955-05-22	KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1432	1461	31.2%	29.4%	39.3%	+1.9	25
1955-05-22	@ Esbjerg	L 0-1	1461	1432	39.3%	29.4%	31.2%	-1.9	24
1955-05-22	Aarhus GF	L 0-2	1423	1451	31.3%	29.4%	39.3%	-3.0	15
1955-05-22	@ B 1903	W 2-0	1451	1423	39.3%	29.4%	31.3%	+3.0	28
1955-05-22	B 1909	D 1-1	1437	1401	40.5%	29.2%	30.3%	-0.1	20
1955-05-22	@ Koge BK	D 1-1	1401	1437	30.3%	29.2%	40.5%	+0.1	19
1955-05-22	Frem	L 1-2	1419	1441	32.1%	29.6%	38.2%	-1.5	16
1955-05-22	@ Odense	W 2-1	1441	1419	38.2%	29.6%	32.1%	+1.5	28
1955-05-25	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1459	1454	35.7%	29.8%	34.4%	-1.8	24
1955-05-25	@ KB Copenhagen	W 1-0	1454	1459	34.4%	29.8%	35.7%	+1.8	31
1955-05-29	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	1401	1462	27.7%	28.0%	44.4%	-4.0	19
1955-05-29	@ B 1909	W 3-0	1462	1401	44.4%	28.0%	27.7%	+4.0	33
1955-05-30	Odense	W 4-1	1456	1418	40.8%	29.1%	30.1%	+3.6	34
1955-05-30	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-4	1418	1456	30.1%	29.1%	40.8%	-3.6	16
1955-05-30	Koge BK	L 2-5	1457	1437	38.0%	29.6%	32.3%	-3.7	24
1955-05-30	@ KB Copenhagen	W 5-2	1437	1457	32.3%	29.6%	38.0%	+3.7	23
1955-05-30	B 1903	L 0-1	1425	1420	35.9%	29.8%	34.2%	-1.8	17
1955-05-30	@ Skovshoved	W 1-0	1420	1425	34.2%	29.8%	35.9%	+1.8	18
1955-06-04	Frem	D 1-1	1424	1442	32.5%	29.7%	37.8%	+0.0	18
1955-06-04	@ Skovshoved	D 1-1	1442	1424	37.8%	29.7%	32.5%	-0.0	29
1955-06-05	Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1466	1460	36.0%	29.8%	34.1%	-2.9	33
1955-06-05	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1460	1466	34.1%	29.8%	36.0%	+2.9	37
1955-06-05	B 1903	L 1-2	1434	1421	36.9%	29.8%	33.3%	-1.7	25
1955-06-05	@ Esbjerg	W 2-1	1421	1434	33.3%	29.8%	36.9%	+1.7	21
1955-06-05	B 1909	L 1-2	1453	1397	43.6%	28.2%	28.2%	-1.9	24
1955-06-05	@ KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	1397	1453	28.2%	28.2%	43.6%	+1.9	22
1955-06-05	Koge BK	W 5-1	1414	1441	31.5%	29.5%	39.0%	+5.6	19
1955-06-05	@ Odense	L 1-5	1441	1414	39.0%	29.5%	31.5%	-5.6	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1955-04-17	27.74%	@ B 1909	1395	3	Aarhus GF	1456	0
2	1955-06-05	28.16%	B 1909	1397	2	@ KB Copenhagen	1453	1
3	1954-11-07	29.67%	@ B 1909	1393	5	Skovshoved	1435	2
4	1955-04-08	30.14%	B 1909	1393	1	@ Skovshoved	1431	0
5	1954-11-07	30.31%	Odense	1417	4	@ KB Copenhagen	1453	2
6	1954-10-24	30.41%	B 1909	1391	2	@ B 1903	1427	1
7	1954-11-21	30.44%	B 1903	1422	2	@ AB Gladsaxe	1458	1
8	1955-05-22	31.24%	@ Esbjerg	1432	1	KB Copenhagen	1461	0
9	1955-06-05	31.49%	@ Odense	1414	5	Koge BK	1441	1
10	1954-10-17	31.57%	@ Skovshoved	1432	3	Aarhus GF	1458	2
11	1955-05-19	31.65%	@ B 1909	1399	3	B 1903	1424	2
12	1954-10-24	32.11%	Skovshoved	1433	2	@ KB Copenhagen	1455	1
13	1955-05-01	32.23%	Skovshoved	1429	3	@ Aarhus GF	1450	1
14	1955-05-30	32.33%	Koge BK	1437	5	@ KB Copenhagen	1457	2
15	1955-04-07	32.52%	@ Esbjerg	1435	3	AB Gladsaxe	1453	2
16	1955-04-07	32.62%	@ Koge BK	1440	1	Aarhus GF	1458	0
17	1954-10-03	32.80%	B 1903	1428	2	@ Koge BK	1444	0
18	1955-04-17	32.85%	Odense	1420	4	@ Esbjerg	1436	3
19	1955-05-19	33.00%	Odense	1417	1	@ Skovshoved	1432	0
20	1954-10-24	33.15%	Koge BK	1442	3	@ Aarhus GF	1456	2
21	1955-06-05	33.34%	B 1903	1421	2	@ Esbjerg	1434	1
22	1954-09-11	34.14%	@ B 1903	1429	2	Skovshoved	1435	0
23	1955-06-05	34.14%	Aarhus GF	1460	3	@ AB Gladsaxe	1466	1
24	1955-05-01	34.25%	Esbjerg	1435	2	@ Koge BK	1440	1
25	1955-05-30	34.25%	B 1903	1420	1	@ Skovshoved	1425	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1955-05-18	6.12	KB Copenhagen	4	1455	36.20%	@ Frem	0	1447	33.97%
2	1955-04-17	5.63	@ B 1909	3	1395	27.74%	Aarhus GF	0	1456	44.27%
3	1955-06-05	5.63	@ Odense	5	1414	31.49%	Koge BK	1	1441	39.03%
4	1954-09-26	5.21	@ Frem	5	1433	35.20%	Odense	1	1432	34.94%
5	1954-10-24	5.08	Esbjerg	5	1431	36.43%	@ Odense	1	1422	33.75%
6	1955-05-22	4.94	@ AB Gladsaxe	7	1457	39.05%	Skovshoved	2	1430	31.47%
7	1954-09-25	4.59	AB Gladsaxe	3	1447	37.25%	@ Skovshoved	0	1432	33.01%
8	1954-09-26	4.53	@ Aarhus GF	3	1452	37.93%	B 1903	0	1432	32.41%
9	1954-10-16	4.53	KB Copenhagen	3	1451	37.91%	@ B 1903	0	1431	32.43%
10	1955-05-01	4.38	AB Gladsaxe	3	1452	39.47%	@ Odense	0	1422	31.12%
11	1955-05-19	4.30	@ Aarhus GF	6	1447	36.64%	Esbjerg	2	1436	33.56%
12	1954-10-03	4.04	Skovshoved	4	1427	35.10%	@ Odense	1	1427	35.04%
13	1955-05-29	3.95	AB Gladsaxe	3	1462	44.37%	@ B 1909	0	1401	27.68%
14	1954-11-07	3.93	@ B 1909	5	1393	29.67%	Skovshoved	2	1435	41.39%
15	1954-11-21	3.78	@ Odense	4	1419	38.44%	B 1909	1	1396	31.97%
16	1955-05-30	3.71	Koge BK	5	1437	32.33%	@ KB Copenhagen	2	1457	38.01%
17	1955-05-30	3.60	@ Aarhus GF	4	1456	40.82%	Odense	1	1418	30.09%
18	1954-10-03	3.46	B 1903	2	1428	32.80%	@ Koge BK	0	1444	37.48%
19	1954-09-11	3.37	@ B 1903	2	1429	34.14%	Skovshoved	0	1435	36.02%
20	1954-09-12	3.18	Aarhus GF	2	1449	36.95%	@ Odense	0	1436	33.28%
21	1955-05-01	3.04	Skovshoved	3	1429	32.23%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1450	38.13%
22	1955-05-22	3.04	Aarhus GF	2	1451	39.29%	@ B 1903	0	1423	31.28%
23	1955-04-03	2.91	KB Copenhagen	3	1451	34.27%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1456	35.88%
24	1955-06-05	2.91	Aarhus GF	3	1460	34.14%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1466	36.02%
25	1954-08-29	2.90	@ Frem	3	1433	34.36%	Skovshoved	1	1438	35.79%