1973 1st Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Hvidovre

27 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1966

Relegated

Aarhus GF

17 pts

AB Gladsaxe · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KB Copenhagen

6.07 points above expected

26 points · 19.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AB Gladsaxe

3.80 points below expected

19 points · 22.80 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hvidovre Champion	22	10	7	5	27	52	33	+19	24.24	+2.76
2	Randers	22	10	6	6	26	35	26	+9	22.71	+3.29
3	KB Copenhagen	22	10	6	6	26	43	43	0	19.93	+6.07
4	Vejle BK	22	10	3	9	23	40	31	+9	25.45	-2.45
5	Koge BK	22	10	3	9	23	29	28	+1	21.19	+1.81
6	Aalborg	22	6	9	7	21	32	30	+2	22.88	-1.88
7	Naestved	22	8	5	9	21	36	40	-4	22.05	-1.05
8	B 1901	22	8	5	9	21	45	54	-9	21.93	-0.93
9	B 1903	22	6	8	8	20	25	28	-3	22.04	-2.04
10	Frem	22	6	8	8	20	38	45	-7	21.19	-1.19
11	AB Gladsaxe Relegated	22	7	5	10	19	34	40	-6	22.80	-3.80
12	Aarhus GF Relegated	22	5	7	10	17	25	36	-11	17.59	-0.59

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KB Copenhagen	26	19.93	+6.07
2	Randers	26	22.71	+3.29
3	Hvidovre	27	24.24	+2.76
4	Koge BK	23	21.19	+1.81
5	Aarhus GF	17	17.59	-0.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	19	22.80	-3.80
2	Vejle BK	23	25.45	-2.45
3	B 1903	20	22.04	-2.04
4	Aalborg	21	22.88	-1.88
5	Frem	20	21.19	-1.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hvidovre	5	Aug 16 – Sep 16	1 in 285
2	Randers	4	Sep 2 – Oct 7	1 in 57
3	Vejle BK	4	May 20 – Jun 10	1 in 23
4	B 1903	3	Aug 26 – Sep 16	1 in 18
5	B 1901	3	May 6 – May 20	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frem	4	Aug 25 – Sep 30	1 in 148
2	Aarhus GF	6	Aug 20 – Oct 7	1 in 108
3	B 1903	3	May 6 – May 20	1 in 50
4	Vejle BK	3	Apr 29 – May 13	1 in 41
5	Naestved	3	Apr 15 – Apr 29	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Frem	8	Apr 29 – Jun 17	1 in 48
2	Randers	8	Sep 2 – Nov 11	1 in 25
3	Hvidovre	8	Aug 16 – Oct 20	1 in 23
4	Aalborg	6	Apr 8 – May 13	1 in 17
5	Naestved	5	Jun 13 – Aug 26	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B 1903	8	Apr 22 – Jun 13	1 in 45
2	Aalborg	7	Sep 16 – Nov 11	1 in 31
3	Hvidovre	7	May 6 – Jun 17	1 in 27
4	Frem	6	Aug 25 – Oct 21	1 in 19
5	Aarhus GF	9	Jun 14 – Oct 7	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hvidovre	1415	27	+20	7	5.9	+1.1
Randers	1382	26	+29	8	5.2	+2.8
KB Copenhagen	1314	26	+2	6	4.1	+1.9
Koge BK	1320	23	-3	5	4.2	+0.8
Vejle BK	1403	23	+8	5	5.5	-0.5
Naestved	1324	21	-6	5	5.3	-0.3
B 1901	1331	21	-5	5	5.5	-0.5
Aalborg	1338	21	-9	4	5.1	-1.1
Frem	1299	20	-5	5	4.9	+0.1
B 1903	1345	20	-6	4	5.0	-1.0
AB Gladsaxe	1306	19	-20	2	5.2	-3.2
Aarhus GF	1240	17	-4	4	4.0	-0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AAL	AG	B1	B1	FRE	HVI	KC	KB	NAE	RAN	VB
AB Gladsaxe	—	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 3.32	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.84	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.30
Aalborg	0-1-1 2.81	—	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.72	0-2-0 2.93	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.41
Aarhus GF	2-0-0 2.12	0-1-1 2.22	—	1-1-0 2.09	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.40	0-1-1 1.86	0-2-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 1.96
B 1901	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 3.36	—	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.63	0-0-2 3.01	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.36
B 1903	1-1-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 3.28	0-0-2 2.76	—	2-0-0 2.82	0-2-0 2.56	0-0-2 3.01	0-0-2 3.01	0-1-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.38
Frem	2-0-0 2.59	0-2-0 2.50	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.61	—	0-1-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.72	0-2-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.21
Hvidovre	1-1-0 2.71	0-2-0 2.98	1-1-0 3.59	2-0-0 2.80	0-2-0 2.87	1-1-0 3.06	—	0-0-2 3.33	2-0-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.59
KB Copenhagen	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.42	2-0-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.10	—	0-0-2 2.73	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.10
Koge BK	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.52	2-0-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.53	2-0-0 2.43	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.35	2-0-0 2.70	—	0-0-2 2.63	1-1-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.17
Naestved	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 2.80	—	0-0-2 2.52	0-1-1 2.37
Randers	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.99	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.28
Vejle BK	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.50	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.06	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 3.34	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.15	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.41	+2.4
Allowed	0.06	-0.9
Differential	0.69	+2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.27%	8.33%	4.17%	3.79%	1.14%	0.38%	20.08%
1	8.33%	12.88%	5.68%	3.41%	2.27%	1.14%	33.71%
2	4.17%	5.68%	9.85%	1.89%	0.76%	1.14%	23.48%
3	3.79%	3.41%	1.89%	1.52%	1.52%	0.76%	12.88%
4	1.14%	2.27%	0.76%	1.52%	—	—	5.68%
5+	0.38%	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	—	0.76%	4.17%
Total	20.08%	33.71%	23.48%	12.88%	5.68%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	1.87
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	7	7	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	36.36%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.82	-0.27
SD	1.34	1.37	2.03
CV	0.86	0.75	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	27.27%	—	—	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	54.55%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.36	+0.09
SD	1.34	0.95	1.66
CV	0.92	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	50.00%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.64	-0.50
SD	1.21	1.43	1.85
CV	1.06	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	22.73%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	4.55%	36.36%	9.09%	31.82%	—	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	2.45	-0.41
SD	1.17	1.65	1.76
CV	0.57	0.67	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	1	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	40.91%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.27	-0.14
SD	0.83	0.88	1.04
CV	0.73	0.69	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
2	—	13.64%	27.27%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	—	36.36%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.05	-0.32
SD	1.52	1.36	1.89
CV	0.88	0.67	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	1	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	1.50	+0.86
SD	1.81	1.41	2.27
CV	0.77	0.94	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	22.73%	31.82%	27.27%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.95	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	1.80
CV	0.70	0.70	—
Max	5	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	45.45%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.27	+0.05
SD	1.43	1.24	2.08
CV	1.08	0.98	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	22.73%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	4.55%	31.82%	13.64%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.82	-0.18
SD	1.33	1.50	1.92
CV	0.81	0.83	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.18	+0.41
SD	1.22	1.33	1.99
CV	0.77	1.13	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.41	+0.41
SD	1.40	1.44	1.94
CV	0.77	1.02	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Hvidovre	1415	27	24.24	+2.76	84.0%	15	18	22	25	26	29	31
Vejle BK	1403	23	25.45	-2.45	29.0%	16	20	23	26	28	31	33
Randers	1382	26	22.71	+3.29	85.0%	15	17	20	23	25	29	31
B 1903	1345	20	22.04	-2.04	44.0%	15	17	19	21	25	29	30
Aalborg	1338	21	22.88	-1.88	40.0%	12	17	20	23	26	29	33
B 1901	1331	21	21.93	-0.93	49.0%	14	16	20	22	24	27	29
Naestved	1324	21	22.05	-1.05	42.0%	12	14	19	22	25	29	31
Koge BK	1320	23	21.19	+1.81	77.0%	13	14	19	22	23	26	29
KB Copenhagen	1314	26	19.93	+6.07	96.0%	9	11	18	20	22	26	30
AB Gladsaxe	1306	19	22.80	-3.80	16.0%	11	17	20	23	25	28	32
Frem	1299	20	21.19	-1.19	41.0%	10	16	19	21	24	26	30
Aarhus GF	1240	17	17.59	-0.59	54.0%	12	13	15	17	20	24	28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.18%

Strong Edge

45.45%27.27%27.27%

Elo Value

Home Edge

219 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

063.88600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Neutral

-2+0.29+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.9

Open

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

17%

Hvidovre, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.93 * Some Luck: 2.93 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.3 * Close: 2.3 to 3.46 * Off: 3.46 to 4.61 * Way Off: 4.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.18 * A Surprise: 1.18 to 1.89 * Several Surprises: 1.89 to 2.6 * Many Surprises: 2.6 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.75 points

As Expected

03.669

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.75

02.886

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

KB Copenhagen

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

16.00%

AB Gladsaxe

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.07

Balanced

00.120.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 48.08

0.77

Coin-Flip Parity

0.651.351.61.92.5

Interquartile Edge

56%

Even

50%59%69%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

73%

Even

50%72%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.65

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Notable Separation

00.280.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.54

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.26

Weak Carryover

00.30.50.631

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.62

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.29

Overconfident

0.07601571.001.92398

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.056

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Hvidovre	17.00%	16.00%	17.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Randers	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	2.00%	3.00%	9.00%	2.00%
KB Copenhagen	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	21.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Vejle BK	32.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Koge BK	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	12.00%	6.00%	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Aalborg	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Naestved	6.00%	6.00%	17.00%	7.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	9.00%
B 1901	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	6.00%	14.00%	6.00%	5.00%
B 1903	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	2.00%
Frem	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%
AB Gladsaxe	6.00%	11.00%	12.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Aarhus GF	1.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	16.00%	10.00%	47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Vejle BK	99.00%	1.00%
Hvidovre	95.00%	5.00%
Aalborg	90.00%	10.00%
B 1901	89.00%	11.00%
Randers	89.00%	11.00%
AB Gladsaxe	88.00%	12.00%
B 1903	86.00%	14.00%
Koge BK	85.00%	15.00%
Frem	84.00%	16.00%
Naestved	77.00%	23.00%
KB Copenhagen	75.00%	25.00%
Aarhus GF	43.00%	57.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1973-04-07	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	48.9	1353	1260	58.60%	26.64%	14.76%	+0.72	-1.4	1
1973-04-07	@ Hvidovre	D 0-0	48.9	1260	1353	14.76%	26.64%	58.60%	-0.72	+1.4	1
1973-04-08	Koge BK	L 0-2	44.6	1362	1303	55.17%	27.49%	17.33%	+0.56	-12.7	0
1973-04-08	@ B 1903	W 2-0	44.6	1303	1362	17.33%	27.49%	55.17%	-0.56	+12.7	2
1973-04-08	Frem	L 1-2	50.2	1304	1327	45.94%	28.75%	25.31%	+0.19	-5.4	0
1973-04-08	@ KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	50.2	1327	1304	25.31%	28.75%	45.94%	-0.19	+5.4	2
1973-04-08	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-0	35.1	1344	1336	49.67%	28.40%	21.93%	+0.33	+6.2	2
1973-04-08	@ Naestved	L 0-2	35.1	1336	1344	21.93%	28.40%	49.67%	-0.33	-6.2	0
1973-04-08	Aalborg	D 1-1	52.6	1345	1338	49.50%	28.42%	22.08%	+0.32	-0.7	1
1973-04-08	@ Randers	D 1-1	52.6	1338	1345	22.08%	28.42%	49.50%	-0.32	+0.7	1
1973-04-08	B 1901	W 2-1	43.5	1388	1356	52.35%	28.03%	19.62%	+0.44	+2.8	2
1973-04-08	@ Vejle BK	L 1-2	43.5	1356	1388	19.62%	28.03%	52.35%	-0.44	-2.8	0
1973-04-14	B 1903	L 0-1	46.5	1333	1349	46.75%	28.69%	24.56%	+0.22	-5.8	2
1973-04-14	@ Frem	W 1-0	46.5	1349	1333	24.56%	28.69%	46.75%	-0.22	+5.8	2
1973-04-15	Naestved	W 2-0	35.9	1339	1351	47.30%	28.64%	24.06%	+0.24	+6.6	3
1973-04-15	@ Aalborg	L 0-2	35.9	1351	1339	24.06%	28.64%	47.30%	-0.24	-6.6	2
1973-04-15	B 1901	W 3-1	43.2	1261	1354	36.78%	28.87%	34.35%	-0.13	+7.5	3
1973-04-15	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	43.2	1354	1261	34.35%	28.87%	36.78%	+0.13	-7.5	0
1973-04-15	Randers	W 1-0	39.6	1330	1344	47.03%	28.67%	24.30%	+0.23	+3.5	2
1973-04-15	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 0-1	39.6	1344	1330	24.30%	28.67%	47.03%	-0.23	-3.5	1
1973-04-15	Vejle BK	W 2-1	47.4	1299	1391	36.77%	28.87%	34.36%	-0.13	+4.3	2
1973-04-15	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	47.4	1391	1299	34.36%	28.87%	36.77%	+0.13	-4.3	2
1973-04-15	Hvidovre	L 0-1	45.6	1316	1352	44.26%	28.84%	26.90%	+0.13	-5.6	2
1973-04-15	@ Koge BK	W 1-0	45.6	1352	1316	26.90%	28.84%	44.26%	-0.13	+5.6	3
1973-04-19	AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	57.7	1357	1334	51.45%	28.16%	20.38%	+0.40	-0.6	4
1973-04-19	@ Hvidovre	D 2-2	57.7	1334	1357	20.38%	28.16%	51.45%	-0.40	+0.6	3
1973-04-22	Aalborg	D 2-2	57.8	1355	1345	49.81%	28.39%	21.81%	+0.33	-0.6	3
1973-04-22	@ B 1903	D 2-2	57.8	1345	1355	21.81%	28.39%	49.81%	-0.33	+0.6	4
1973-04-22	Aarhus GF	L 1-3	49.4	1344	1269	56.83%	27.11%	16.06%	+0.63	-11.3	2
1973-04-22	@ Naestved	W 3-1	49.4	1269	1344	16.06%	27.11%	56.83%	-0.63	+11.3	5
1973-04-22	KB Copenhagen	D 3-3	61.5	1340	1303	52.91%	27.93%	19.16%	+0.46	-0.6	2
1973-04-22	@ Randers	D 3-3	61.5	1303	1340	19.16%	27.93%	52.91%	-0.46	+0.6	3
1973-04-22	Frem	W 2-0	33.8	1387	1327	55.31%	27.46%	17.22%	+0.57	+5.0	4
1973-04-22	@ Vejle BK	L 0-2	33.8	1327	1387	17.22%	27.46%	55.31%	-0.57	-5.0	2
1973-04-23	Koge BK	W 1-0	37.7	1346	1310	52.78%	27.95%	19.27%	+0.46	+3.0	2
1973-04-23	@ B 1901	L 0-1	37.7	1310	1346	19.27%	27.95%	52.78%	-0.46	-3.0	2
1973-04-28	B 1901	W 5-2	40.9	1357	1349	49.63%	28.41%	21.96%	+0.33	+6.6	6
1973-04-28	@ Hvidovre	L 2-5	40.9	1349	1357	21.96%	28.41%	49.63%	-0.33	-6.6	2
1973-04-29	Vejle BK	W 1-0	41.7	1346	1392	43.01%	28.89%	28.10%	+0.08	+4.0	6
1973-04-29	@ Aalborg	L 0-1	41.7	1392	1346	28.10%	28.89%	43.01%	-0.08	-4.0	4
1973-04-29	Frem	L 1-2	49.3	1280	1322	43.56%	28.87%	27.57%	+0.10	-5.2	5
1973-04-29	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	49.3	1322	1280	27.57%	28.87%	43.56%	-0.10	+5.2	4
1973-04-29	B 1903	D 0-0	48.9	1334	1354	46.29%	28.72%	24.98%	+0.20	-0.6	4
1973-04-29	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 0-0	48.9	1354	1334	24.98%	28.72%	46.29%	-0.20	+0.6	4
1973-04-29	Naestved	W 3-2	49.1	1304	1333	45.20%	28.79%	26.01%	+0.16	+3.4	5
1973-04-29	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	49.1	1333	1304	26.01%	28.79%	45.20%	-0.16	-3.4	2
1973-04-29	Randers	W 1-0	40.1	1307	1340	44.70%	28.82%	26.48%	+0.14	+3.8	4
1973-04-29	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	40.1	1340	1307	26.48%	28.82%	44.70%	-0.14	-3.8	2
1973-05-06	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	43.3	1342	1334	49.74%	28.39%	21.86%	+0.33	+3.1	4
1973-05-06	@ B 1901	L 1-2	43.3	1334	1342	21.86%	28.39%	49.74%	-0.33	-3.1	4
1973-05-06	KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	52.6	1355	1307	54.03%	27.73%	18.24%	+0.51	-6.2	4
1973-05-06	@ B 1903	W 2-1	52.6	1307	1355	18.24%	27.73%	54.03%	-0.51	+6.2	7
1973-05-06	Aalborg	D 1-1	52.5	1327	1350	45.94%	28.75%	25.31%	+0.19	-0.5	5
1973-05-06	@ Frem	D 1-1	52.5	1350	1327	25.31%	28.75%	45.94%	-0.19	+0.5	7
1973-05-06	Naestved	L 0-1	46.0	1311	1329	46.50%	28.71%	24.80%	+0.21	-5.8	4
1973-05-06	@ Koge BK	W 1-0	46.0	1329	1311	24.80%	28.71%	46.50%	-0.21	+5.8	4
1973-05-06	Hvidovre	W 1-0	40.4	1336	1363	45.39%	28.78%	25.83%	+0.17	+3.7	4
1973-05-06	@ Randers	L 0-1	40.4	1363	1336	25.83%	28.78%	45.39%	-0.17	-3.7	6
1973-05-06	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	54.1	1388	1275	60.43%	26.08%	13.48%	+0.81	-6.9	4
1973-05-06	@ Vejle BK	W 2-1	54.1	1275	1388	13.48%	26.08%	60.43%	-0.81	+6.9	7
1973-05-13	KB Copenhagen	W 3-2	47.0	1350	1313	52.90%	27.93%	19.17%	+0.46	+2.6	9
1973-05-13	@ Aalborg	L 2-3	47.0	1313	1350	19.17%	27.93%	52.90%	-0.46	-2.6	7
1973-05-13	Koge BK	L 0-2	41.5	1282	1305	45.88%	28.75%	25.37%	+0.18	-10.8	7
1973-05-13	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-0	41.5	1305	1282	25.37%	28.75%	45.88%	-0.18	+10.8	6
1973-05-13	Vejle BK	W 4-1	39.9	1330	1381	42.41%	28.90%	28.69%	+0.06	+9.3	6
1973-05-13	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-4	39.9	1381	1330	28.69%	28.90%	42.41%	-0.06	-9.3	4
1973-05-13	Randers	W 2-1	43.5	1345	1340	49.37%	28.44%	22.19%	+0.32	+3.1	6
1973-05-13	@ B 1901	L 1-2	43.5	1340	1345	22.19%	28.44%	49.37%	-0.32	-3.1	4
1973-05-13	B 1903	W 1-0	39.7	1335	1349	47.09%	28.66%	24.25%	+0.23	+3.5	6
1973-05-13	@ Naestved	L 0-1	39.7	1349	1335	24.25%	28.66%	47.09%	-0.23	-3.5	4
1973-05-15	Frem	D 2-2	57.7	1360	1326	52.48%	28.00%	19.51%	+0.44	-0.7	7
1973-05-15	@ Hvidovre	D 2-2	57.7	1326	1360	19.51%	28.00%	52.48%	-0.44	+0.7	6
1973-05-19	Naestved	D 2-2	57.3	1327	1339	47.33%	28.64%	24.03%	+0.24	-0.4	7
1973-05-19	@ Frem	D 2-2	57.3	1339	1327	24.03%	28.64%	47.33%	-0.24	+0.5	7
1973-05-20	Randers	D 1-1	51.8	1271	1337	40.40%	28.93%	30.67%	-0.01	-0.2	8
1973-05-20	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	51.8	1337	1271	30.67%	28.93%	40.40%	+0.01	+0.2	5
1973-05-20	B 1901	L 1-2	51.5	1345	1349	48.29%	28.55%	23.15%	+0.28	-5.6	4
1973-05-20	@ B 1903	W 2-1	51.5	1349	1345	23.15%	28.55%	48.29%	-0.28	+5.6	8
1973-05-20	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	39.3	1311	1340	45.18%	28.79%	26.03%	+0.16	-15.5	7
1973-05-20	@ KB Copenhagen	W 3-0	39.3	1340	1311	26.03%	28.79%	45.18%	-0.16	+15.5	8
1973-05-20	Aalborg	W 1-0	40.4	1316	1353	44.15%	28.85%	27.00%	+0.12	+3.8	8
1973-05-20	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	40.4	1353	1316	27.00%	28.85%	44.15%	-0.12	-3.8	9
1973-05-20	Hvidovre	W 4-1	37.8	1372	1359	50.19%	28.34%	21.47%	+0.35	+7.4	6
1973-05-20	@ Vejle BK	L 1-4	37.8	1359	1372	21.47%	28.34%	50.19%	-0.35	-7.4	7
1973-05-27	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	52.4	1349	1271	57.17%	27.03%	15.81%	+0.65	-1.2	10
1973-05-27	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	52.4	1271	1349	15.81%	27.03%	57.17%	-0.65	+1.1	9
1973-05-27	Koge BK	W 3-1	39.0	1355	1320	52.73%	27.96%	19.31%	+0.45	+4.8	10
1973-05-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	39.0	1320	1355	19.31%	27.96%	52.73%	-0.45	-4.8	8
1973-05-27	Vejle BK	L 0-4	39.0	1339	1379	43.77%	28.86%	27.37%	+0.11	-19.7	7
1973-05-27	@ Naestved	W 4-0	39.0	1379	1339	27.37%	28.86%	43.77%	-0.11	+19.7	8
1973-05-27	B 1903	D 2-2	57.4	1337	1339	48.42%	28.54%	23.04%	+0.28	-0.5	6
1973-05-27	@ Randers	D 2-2	57.4	1339	1337	23.04%	28.54%	48.42%	-0.28	+0.5	5
1973-05-28	Frem	D 2-2	57.6	1354	1327	51.86%	28.10%	20.04%	+0.42	-0.6	9
1973-05-28	@ B 1901	D 2-2	57.6	1327	1354	20.04%	28.10%	51.86%	-0.42	+0.6	8
1973-05-29	KB Copenhagen	L 2-4	53.4	1352	1295	54.93%	27.54%	17.52%	+0.55	-9.8	7
1973-05-29	@ Hvidovre	W 4-2	53.4	1295	1352	17.52%	27.54%	54.93%	-0.55	+9.8	9
1973-05-31	AB Gladsaxe	W 3-0	35.8	1272	1360	37.33%	28.89%	33.78%	-0.11	+12.4	11
1973-05-31	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	35.8	1360	1272	33.78%	28.89%	37.33%	+0.11	-12.4	10
1973-06-02	Koge BK	D 2-2	57.2	1327	1315	50.14%	28.34%	21.51%	+0.35	-0.6	9
1973-06-02	@ Frem	D 2-2	57.2	1315	1327	21.51%	28.34%	50.14%	-0.35	+0.6	9
1973-06-03	Aalborg	D 1-1	52.7	1342	1348	47.97%	28.58%	23.45%	+0.26	-0.6	8
1973-06-03	@ Hvidovre	D 1-1	52.7	1348	1342	23.45%	28.58%	47.97%	-0.26	+0.6	11
1973-06-03	B 1901	W 5-3	48.4	1305	1354	42.67%	28.90%	28.43%	+0.07	+5.5	11
1973-06-03	@ KB Copenhagen	L 3-5	48.4	1354	1305	28.43%	28.90%	42.67%	-0.07	-5.5	9
1973-06-03	Naestved	W 4-1	36.8	1336	1319	50.68%	28.27%	21.04%	+0.37	+7.3	8
1973-06-03	@ Randers	L 1-4	36.8	1319	1336	21.04%	28.27%	50.68%	-0.37	-7.3	7
1973-06-03	B 1903	W 1-0	38.1	1399	1340	55.21%	27.49%	17.31%	+0.56	+2.7	10
1973-06-03	@ Vejle BK	L 0-1	38.1	1340	1399	17.31%	27.49%	55.21%	-0.56	-2.7	5
1973-06-10	Koge BK	W 4-1	35.3	1402	1316	57.91%	26.83%	15.26%	+0.68	+5.5	12
1973-06-10	@ Vejle BK	L 1-4	35.3	1316	1402	15.26%	26.83%	57.91%	-0.68	-5.5	9
1973-06-12	Randers	W 5-1	36.8	1327	1344	46.66%	28.70%	24.64%	+0.21	+10.7	11
1973-06-12	@ Frem	L 1-5	36.8	1344	1327	24.64%	28.70%	46.66%	-0.21	-10.7	8
1973-06-13	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-3	40.8	1349	1348	48.83%	28.50%	22.67%	+0.30	-16.5	11
1973-06-13	@ Aalborg	W 3-0	40.8	1348	1349	22.67%	28.50%	48.83%	-0.30	+16.5	12
1973-06-13	Hvidovre	D 2-2	57.5	1337	1341	48.25%	28.56%	23.20%	+0.27	-0.5	6
1973-06-13	@ B 1903	D 2-2	57.5	1341	1337	23.20%	28.56%	48.25%	-0.27	+0.5	9
1973-06-13	B 1901	W 6-2	39.8	1312	1348	44.29%	28.84%	26.87%	+0.13	+9.7	9
1973-06-13	@ Naestved	L 2-6	39.8	1348	1312	26.87%	28.84%	44.29%	-0.13	-9.7	9
1973-06-14	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	48.3	1311	1284	51.72%	28.13%	20.16%	+0.41	-1.0	12
1973-06-14	@ KB Copenhagen	D 0-0	48.3	1284	1311	20.16%	28.13%	51.72%	-0.41	+1.0	12
1973-06-17	Frem	L 3-4	60.6	1364	1337	51.77%	28.12%	20.11%	+0.41	-5.5	12
1973-06-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-3	60.6	1337	1364	20.11%	28.12%	51.77%	-0.41	+5.5	13
1973-06-17	Aalborg	L 1-3	48.1	1338	1332	49.44%	28.43%	22.13%	+0.32	-10.0	9
1973-06-17	@ B 1901	W 3-1	48.1	1332	1338	22.13%	28.43%	49.44%	-0.32	+10.0	13
1973-06-17	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	36.9	1337	1285	54.44%	27.65%	17.92%	+0.53	+2.8	8
1973-06-17	@ B 1903	L 0-1	36.9	1285	1337	17.92%	27.65%	54.44%	-0.53	-2.8	12
1973-06-17	KB Copenhagen	W 6-1	35.4	1310	1310	48.76%	28.51%	22.74%	+0.29	+12.3	11
1973-06-17	@ Koge BK	L 1-6	35.4	1310	1310	22.74%	28.51%	48.76%	-0.29	-12.3	12
1973-06-17	Hvidovre	W 3-0	33.4	1322	1342	46.31%	28.72%	24.97%	+0.20	+9.9	11
1973-06-17	@ Naestved	L 0-3	33.4	1342	1322	24.97%	28.72%	46.31%	-0.20	-9.9	9
1973-06-17	Vejle BK	W 3-0	36.5	1333	1407	39.27%	28.93%	31.80%	-0.05	+11.9	10
1973-06-17	@ Randers	L 0-3	36.5	1407	1333	31.80%	28.93%	39.27%	+0.05	-11.9	12
1973-08-12	Koge BK	W 3-0	32.0	1342	1322	50.99%	28.23%	20.78%	+0.38	+8.6	15
1973-08-12	@ Aalborg	L 0-3	32.0	1322	1342	20.78%	28.23%	50.99%	-0.38	-8.6	11
1973-08-14	Naestved	D 2-2	57.4	1340	1332	49.62%	28.41%	21.97%	+0.33	-0.5	9
1973-08-14	@ B 1903	D 2-2	57.4	1332	1340	21.97%	28.41%	49.62%	-0.33	+0.5	12
1973-08-15	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	51.7	1282	1297	46.93%	28.67%	24.39%	+0.22	-0.6	13
1973-08-15	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	51.7	1297	1282	24.39%	28.67%	46.93%	-0.22	+0.6	13
1973-08-15	B 1901	L 1-4	45.7	1343	1328	50.40%	28.31%	21.29%	+0.36	-14.3	13
1973-08-15	@ Frem	W 4-1	45.7	1328	1343	21.29%	28.31%	50.40%	-0.36	+14.3	11
1973-08-15	Randers	W 1-0	38.3	1395	1345	54.30%	27.67%	18.02%	+0.52	+2.8	14
1973-08-15	@ Vejle BK	L 0-1	38.3	1345	1395	18.02%	27.67%	54.30%	-0.52	-2.8	10
1973-08-16	Hvidovre	L 0-5	41.4	1359	1332	51.79%	28.11%	20.10%	+0.41	-28.0	12
1973-08-16	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 5-0	41.4	1332	1359	20.10%	28.11%	51.79%	-0.41	+28.0	11
1973-08-19	AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	52.2	1314	1331	46.68%	28.69%	24.63%	+0.21	-0.6	12
1973-08-19	@ Koge BK	D 1-1	52.2	1331	1314	24.63%	28.69%	46.68%	-0.21	+0.6	13
1973-08-19	Aalborg	W 1-0	39.9	1332	1351	46.49%	28.71%	24.80%	+0.21	+3.6	14
1973-08-19	@ Naestved	L 0-1	39.9	1351	1332	24.80%	28.71%	46.49%	-0.21	-3.6	15
1973-08-20	Vejle BK	L 0-2	38.6	1282	1398	33.45%	28.71%	37.84%	-0.24	-8.5	13
1973-08-20	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-0	38.6	1398	1282	37.84%	28.71%	33.45%	+0.24	+8.5	16
1973-08-23	Hvidovre	L 1-3	47.8	1343	1360	46.67%	28.70%	24.64%	+0.21	-9.5	11
1973-08-23	@ B 1901	W 3-1	47.8	1360	1343	24.64%	28.70%	46.67%	-0.21	+9.5	13
1973-08-23	B 1903	W 1-0	40.3	1298	1339	43.64%	28.87%	27.49%	+0.10	+3.9	15
1973-08-23	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-1	40.3	1339	1298	27.49%	28.87%	43.64%	-0.10	-3.9	9
1973-08-25	Aarhus GF	W 5-2	38.3	1329	1273	54.82%	27.57%	17.61%	+0.54	+5.4	15
1973-08-25	@ Frem	L 2-5	38.3	1273	1329	17.61%	27.57%	54.82%	-0.54	-5.4	13
1973-08-25	Frem	W 3-0	32.5	1342	1334	49.65%	28.40%	21.94%	+0.33	+9.0	12
1973-08-25	@ Randers	L 0-3	32.5	1334	1342	21.94%	28.40%	49.65%	-0.33	-9.0	15
1973-08-26	B 1903	L 0-1	47.4	1347	1335	50.11%	28.35%	21.54%	+0.35	-6.2	15
1973-08-26	@ Aalborg	W 1-0	47.4	1335	1347	21.54%	28.35%	50.11%	-0.35	+6.2	11
1973-08-26	KB Copenhagen	L 0-2	43.5	1331	1302	52.06%	28.07%	19.87%	+0.43	-12.0	13
1973-08-26	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 2-0	43.5	1302	1331	19.87%	28.07%	52.06%	-0.43	+12.0	17
1973-08-26	Randers	W 4-0	32.0	1369	1351	50.80%	28.26%	20.94%	+0.37	+11.3	15
1973-08-26	@ Hvidovre	L 0-4	32.0	1351	1369	20.94%	28.26%	50.80%	-0.37	-11.3	12
1973-08-26	B 1901	L 1-2	50.4	1313	1333	46.29%	28.72%	24.99%	+0.20	-5.5	12
1973-08-26	@ Koge BK	W 2-1	50.4	1333	1313	24.99%	28.72%	46.29%	-0.20	+5.4	13
1973-08-26	Naestved	D 1-1	53.8	1406	1336	56.39%	27.22%	16.39%	+0.61	-1.1	17
1973-08-26	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	53.8	1336	1406	16.39%	27.22%	56.39%	-0.61	+1.1	15
1973-09-02	Aalborg	L 1-5	40.8	1268	1341	39.43%	28.93%	31.65%	-0.04	-15.1	13
1973-09-02	@ Aarhus GF	W 5-1	40.8	1341	1268	31.65%	28.93%	39.43%	+0.04	+15.1	17
1973-09-02	Frem	W 2-0	34.6	1341	1325	50.58%	28.29%	21.13%	+0.36	+6.0	13
1973-09-02	@ B 1903	L 0-2	34.6	1325	1341	21.13%	28.29%	50.58%	-0.36	-6.0	15
1973-09-02	Vejle BK	W 3-2	51.0	1381	1405	45.70%	28.76%	25.54%	+0.18	+3.3	17
1973-09-02	@ Hvidovre	L 2-3	51.0	1405	1381	25.54%	28.76%	45.70%	-0.18	-3.3	17
1973-09-02	B 1901	W 3-1	40.2	1340	1339	48.85%	28.50%	22.66%	+0.30	+5.5	14
1973-09-02	@ Randers	L 1-3	40.2	1339	1340	22.66%	28.50%	48.85%	-0.30	-5.5	13
1973-09-03	Naestved	W 4-3	52.1	1319	1337	46.57%	28.70%	24.73%	+0.21	+3.1	15
1973-09-03	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 3-4	52.1	1337	1319	24.73%	28.70%	46.57%	-0.21	-3.1	15
1973-09-05	Koge BK	L 1-2	51.1	1314	1308	49.42%	28.43%	22.14%	+0.32	-5.8	17
1973-09-05	@ KB Copenhagen	W 2-1	51.1	1308	1314	22.14%	28.43%	49.42%	-0.32	+5.8	14
1973-09-16	Randers	L 0-1	47.6	1356	1345	49.96%	28.37%	21.68%	+0.34	-6.2	17
1973-09-16	@ Aalborg	W 1-0	47.6	1345	1356	21.68%	28.37%	49.96%	-0.34	+6.2	16
1973-09-16	Vejle BK	D 5-5	65.7	1333	1402	39.98%	28.93%	31.09%	-0.02	-0.1	14
1973-09-16	@ B 1901	D 5-5	65.7	1402	1333	31.09%	28.93%	39.98%	+0.02	+0.1	18
1973-09-16	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	42.7	1347	1322	51.57%	28.15%	20.29%	+0.41	+2.9	15
1973-09-16	@ B 1903	L 1-2	42.7	1322	1347	20.29%	28.15%	51.57%	-0.41	-2.9	15
1973-09-16	Hvidovre	L 3-7	45.4	1319	1384	40.54%	28.93%	30.53%	+0.00	-12.0	15
1973-09-16	@ Frem	W 7-3	45.4	1384	1319	30.53%	28.93%	40.54%	+0.00	+12.0	19
1973-09-16	Aarhus GF	W 4-1	34.7	1313	1253	55.38%	27.45%	17.17%	+0.57	+6.1	16
1973-09-16	@ Koge BK	L 1-4	34.7	1253	1313	17.17%	27.45%	55.38%	-0.57	-6.1	13
1973-09-16	KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	57.2	1334	1308	51.66%	28.13%	20.21%	+0.41	-0.6	16
1973-09-16	@ Naestved	D 2-2	57.2	1308	1334	20.21%	28.13%	51.66%	-0.41	+0.6	18
1973-09-27	Naestved	W 4-3	51.6	1333	1333	48.70%	28.51%	22.79%	+0.29	+3.0	16
1973-09-27	@ B 1901	L 3-4	51.6	1333	1333	22.79%	28.51%	48.70%	-0.29	-3.0	16
1973-09-30	B 1903	D 1-1	53.7	1396	1350	53.82%	27.77%	18.41%	+0.50	-1.0	20
1973-09-30	@ Hvidovre	D 1-1	53.7	1350	1396	18.41%	27.77%	53.82%	-0.50	+1.0	16
1973-09-30	Aalborg	W 3-2	49.8	1309	1350	43.63%	28.87%	27.50%	+0.10	+3.5	20
1973-09-30	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	49.8	1350	1309	27.50%	28.87%	43.63%	-0.10	-3.5	17
1973-09-30	Frem	W 1-0	38.2	1320	1307	50.16%	28.34%	21.50%	+0.35	+3.2	18
1973-09-30	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	38.2	1307	1320	21.50%	28.34%	50.16%	-0.35	-3.2	15
1973-09-30	Aarhus GF	W 1-0	35.2	1351	1247	59.68%	26.32%	14.00%	+0.77	+2.2	18
1973-09-30	@ Randers	L 0-1	35.2	1247	1351	14.00%	26.32%	59.68%	-0.77	-2.2	13
1973-09-30	AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	54.2	1402	1319	57.59%	26.92%	15.50%	+0.67	-6.6	18
1973-09-30	@ Vejle BK	W 2-1	54.2	1319	1402	15.50%	26.92%	57.59%	-0.67	+6.6	17
1973-10-06	B 1901	D 1-1	52.3	1326	1336	47.51%	28.63%	23.86%	+0.25	-0.6	18
1973-10-06	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 1-1	52.3	1336	1326	23.86%	28.63%	47.51%	-0.25	+0.6	17
1973-10-07	Frem	D 1-1	52.5	1346	1304	53.48%	27.83%	18.69%	+0.49	-1.0	18
1973-10-07	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	52.5	1304	1346	18.69%	27.83%	53.48%	-0.49	+0.9	16
1973-10-07	Hvidovre	L 0-3	34.2	1244	1395	29.04%	28.29%	42.68%	-0.39	-11.1	13
1973-10-07	@ Aarhus GF	W 3-0	34.2	1395	1244	42.68%	28.29%	29.04%	+0.39	+11.1	22
1973-10-07	Vejle BK	W 3-2	51.1	1351	1396	43.20%	28.88%	27.91%	+0.09	+3.5	18
1973-10-07	@ B 1903	L 2-3	51.1	1396	1351	27.91%	28.88%	43.20%	-0.09	-3.5	18
1973-10-07	Randers	L 0-3	39.0	1312	1354	43.59%	28.87%	27.54%	+0.10	-15.1	20
1973-10-07	@ KB Copenhagen	W 3-0	39.0	1354	1312	27.54%	28.87%	43.59%	-0.10	+15.1	20
1973-10-07	Koge BK	W 1-0	38.7	1330	1323	49.58%	28.41%	22.01%	+0.33	+3.3	18
1973-10-07	@ Naestved	L 0-1	38.7	1323	1330	22.01%	28.41%	49.58%	-0.33	-3.3	18
1973-10-20	Naestved	W 2-0	33.8	1406	1334	56.56%	27.18%	16.26%	+0.62	+4.8	24
1973-10-20	@ Hvidovre	L 0-2	33.8	1334	1406	16.26%	27.18%	56.56%	-0.62	-4.8	18
1973-10-21	Aarhus GF	L 2-4	53.6	1325	1233	58.47%	26.68%	14.85%	+0.71	-10.3	18
1973-10-21	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 4-2	53.6	1233	1325	14.85%	26.68%	58.47%	-0.71	+10.3	15
1973-10-21	B 1903	W 3-1	41.0	1337	1355	46.55%	28.70%	24.75%	+0.21	+5.9	19
1973-10-21	@ B 1901	L 1-3	41.0	1355	1337	24.75%	28.70%	46.55%	-0.21	-5.9	18
1973-10-21	KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	56.8	1305	1297	49.61%	28.41%	21.98%	+0.33	-0.5	17
1973-10-21	@ Frem	D 2-2	56.8	1297	1305	21.98%	28.41%	49.61%	-0.33	+0.6	21
1973-10-21	Koge BK	D 1-1	52.9	1369	1320	54.19%	27.69%	18.11%	+0.52	-1.0	21
1973-10-21	@ Randers	D 1-1	52.9	1320	1369	18.11%	27.69%	54.19%	-0.52	+1.0	19
1973-10-21	Aalborg	W 3-0	32.0	1392	1345	53.92%	27.75%	18.33%	+0.50	+7.7	20
1973-10-21	@ Vejle BK	L 0-3	32.0	1345	1392	18.33%	27.75%	53.92%	-0.50	-7.7	18
1973-10-27	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-1	43.5	1304	1315	47.43%	28.63%	23.94%	+0.24	+3.3	19
1973-10-27	@ Frem	L 1-2	43.5	1315	1304	23.94%	28.63%	47.43%	-0.24	-3.3	18
1973-10-28	B 1901	D 3-3	61.6	1338	1343	48.14%	28.57%	23.29%	+0.27	-0.4	19
1973-10-28	@ Aalborg	D 3-3	61.6	1343	1338	23.29%	28.57%	48.14%	-0.27	+0.4	20
1973-10-28	B 1903	D 1-1	51.7	1244	1349	34.98%	28.80%	36.22%	-0.19	+0.0	16
1973-10-28	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	51.7	1349	1244	36.22%	28.80%	34.98%	+0.19	-0.0	19
1973-10-28	Hvidovre	W 4-3	56.5	1298	1411	33.88%	28.73%	37.39%	-0.22	+4.2	23
1973-10-28	@ KB Copenhagen	L 3-4	56.5	1411	1298	37.39%	28.73%	33.88%	+0.22	-4.2	24
1973-10-28	Vejle BK	W 1-0	42.8	1321	1400	38.57%	28.92%	32.52%	-0.07	+4.4	21
1973-10-28	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	42.8	1400	1321	32.52%	28.92%	38.57%	+0.07	-4.4	20
1973-10-28	Randers	L 1-3	46.9	1329	1368	43.91%	28.86%	27.23%	+0.11	-9.0	18
1973-10-28	@ Naestved	W 3-1	46.9	1368	1329	27.23%	28.86%	43.91%	-0.11	+9.0	23
1973-11-03	Koge BK	W 4-0	30.2	1406	1325	57.46%	26.95%	15.59%	+0.66	+8.7	26
1973-11-03	@ Hvidovre	L 0-4	30.2	1325	1406	15.59%	26.95%	57.46%	-0.66	-8.7	21
1973-11-03	Frem	D 2-2	57.0	1320	1308	50.12%	28.35%	21.54%	+0.35	-0.6	19
1973-11-03	@ Naestved	D 2-2	57.0	1308	1320	21.54%	28.35%	50.12%	-0.35	+0.6	20
1973-11-04	Aalborg	D 2-2	57.1	1312	1337	45.61%	28.77%	25.62%	+0.17	-0.4	19
1973-11-04	@ AB Gladsaxe	D 2-2	57.1	1337	1312	25.62%	28.77%	45.61%	-0.17	+0.4	20
1973-11-04	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	52.4	1343	1244	59.15%	26.48%	14.37%	+0.74	-1.3	21
1973-11-04	@ B 1901	D 1-1	52.4	1244	1343	14.37%	26.48%	59.15%	-0.74	+1.3	17
1973-11-04	Randers	D 1-1	53.1	1349	1377	45.30%	28.79%	25.92%	+0.16	-0.5	20
1973-11-04	@ B 1903	D 1-1	53.1	1377	1349	25.92%	28.79%	45.30%	-0.16	+0.5	24
1973-11-04	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	53.3	1395	1302	58.61%	26.64%	14.75%	+0.72	-1.2	21
1973-11-04	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	53.3	1302	1395	14.75%	26.64%	58.61%	-0.72	+1.2	24
1973-11-11	Hvidovre	D 1-1	53.5	1338	1415	38.81%	28.92%	32.27%	-0.06	-0.2	21
1973-11-11	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	53.5	1415	1338	32.27%	28.92%	38.81%	+0.06	+0.2	27
1973-11-11	Naestved	L 0-1	43.3	1245	1319	39.27%	28.93%	31.81%	-0.05	-5.1	17
1973-11-11	@ Aarhus GF	W 1-0	43.3	1319	1245	31.81%	28.93%	39.27%	+0.05	+5.1	21
1973-11-11	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	48.8	1342	1303	53.05%	27.91%	19.04%	+0.47	-10.6	21
1973-11-11	@ B 1901	W 3-1	48.8	1303	1342	19.04%	27.91%	53.05%	-0.47	+10.6	26
1973-11-11	Vejle BK	L 0-2	40.2	1308	1394	37.64%	28.90%	33.46%	-0.10	-9.2	20
1973-11-11	@ Frem	W 2-0	40.2	1394	1308	33.46%	28.90%	37.64%	+0.10	+9.2	23
1973-11-11	B 1903	W 2-1	44.7	1316	1348	44.80%	28.81%	26.38%	+0.15	+3.6	23
1973-11-11	@ Koge BK	L 1-2	44.7	1348	1316	26.38%	28.81%	44.80%	-0.15	-3.6	20
1973-11-11	AB Gladsaxe	W 2-0	33.3	1377	1311	55.92%	27.33%	16.75%	+0.59	+4.9	26
1973-11-11	@ Randers	L 0-2	33.3	1311	1377	16.75%	27.33%	55.92%	-0.59	-4.9	19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1973-05-06	13.48%	Aarhus GF	1275	2	@ Vejle BK	1388	1
2	1973-10-21	14.85%	Aarhus GF	1233	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1325	2
3	1973-09-30	15.50%	AB Gladsaxe	1319	2	@ Vejle BK	1402	1
4	1973-04-22	16.06%	Aarhus GF	1269	3	@ Naestved	1344	1
5	1973-04-08	17.33%	Koge BK	1303	2	@ B 1903	1362	0
6	1973-05-29	17.52%	KB Copenhagen	1295	4	@ Hvidovre	1352	2
7	1973-05-06	18.24%	KB Copenhagen	1307	2	@ B 1903	1355	1
8	1973-11-11	19.04%	KB Copenhagen	1303	3	@ B 1901	1342	1
9	1973-08-26	19.87%	KB Copenhagen	1302	2	@ AB Gladsaxe	1331	0
10	1973-08-16	20.10%	Hvidovre	1332	5	@ AB Gladsaxe	1359	0
11	1973-06-17	20.11%	Frem	1337	4	@ AB Gladsaxe	1364	3
12	1973-08-15	21.29%	B 1901	1328	4	@ Frem	1343	1
13	1973-08-26	21.54%	B 1903	1335	1	@ Aalborg	1347	0
14	1973-09-16	21.68%	Randers	1345	1	@ Aalborg	1356	0
15	1973-06-17	22.13%	Aalborg	1332	3	@ B 1901	1338	1
16	1973-09-05	22.14%	Koge BK	1308	2	@ KB Copenhagen	1314	1
17	1973-06-13	22.67%	AB Gladsaxe	1348	3	@ Aalborg	1349	0
18	1973-05-20	23.15%	B 1901	1349	2	@ B 1903	1345	1
19	1973-04-14	24.56%	B 1903	1349	1	@ Frem	1333	0
20	1973-08-23	24.64%	Hvidovre	1360	3	@ B 1901	1343	1
21	1973-05-06	24.80%	Naestved	1329	1	@ Koge BK	1311	0
22	1973-08-26	24.99%	B 1901	1333	2	@ Koge BK	1313	1
23	1973-04-08	25.31%	Frem	1327	2	@ KB Copenhagen	1304	1
24	1973-05-13	25.37%	Koge BK	1305	2	@ Aarhus GF	1282	0
25	1973-05-20	26.03%	AB Gladsaxe	1340	3	@ KB Copenhagen	1311	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-08-16	28.04	Hvidovre	5	1332	20.10%	@ AB Gladsaxe	0	1359	51.79%	28.11%
2	1973-05-27	19.73	Vejle BK	4	1379	27.37%	@ Naestved	0	1339	43.77%	28.86%
3	1973-06-13	16.54	AB Gladsaxe	3	1348	22.67%	@ Aalborg	0	1349	48.83%	28.50%
4	1973-05-20	15.50	AB Gladsaxe	3	1340	26.03%	@ KB Copenhagen	0	1311	45.18%	28.79%
5	1973-09-02	15.14	Aalborg	5	1341	31.65%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1268	39.43%	28.93%
6	1973-10-07	15.06	Randers	3	1354	27.54%	@ KB Copenhagen	0	1312	43.59%	28.87%
7	1973-08-15	14.33	B 1901	4	1328	21.29%	@ Frem	1	1343	50.40%	28.31%
8	1973-04-08	12.68	Koge BK	2	1303	17.33%	@ B 1903	0	1362	55.17%	27.49%
9	1973-05-31	12.42	@ Aarhus GF	3	1272	37.33%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1360	33.78%	28.89%
10	1973-06-17	12.31	@ Koge BK	6	1310	48.76%	KB Copenhagen	1	1310	22.74%	28.51%
11	1973-08-26	12.04	KB Copenhagen	2	1302	19.87%	@ AB Gladsaxe	0	1331	52.06%	28.07%
12	1973-09-16	11.99	Hvidovre	7	1384	30.53%	@ Frem	3	1319	40.54%	28.93%
13	1973-06-17	11.90	@ Randers	3	1333	39.27%	Vejle BK	0	1407	31.80%	28.93%
14	1973-08-26	11.29	@ Hvidovre	4	1369	50.80%	Randers	0	1351	20.94%	28.26%
15	1973-04-22	11.27	Aarhus GF	3	1269	16.06%	@ Naestved	1	1344	56.83%	27.11%
16	1973-10-07	11.05	Hvidovre	3	1395	42.68%	@ Aarhus GF	0	1244	29.04%	28.29%
17	1973-05-13	10.81	Koge BK	2	1305	25.37%	@ Aarhus GF	0	1282	45.88%	28.75%
18	1973-06-12	10.71	@ Frem	5	1327	46.66%	Randers	1	1344	24.64%	28.70%
19	1973-11-11	10.60	KB Copenhagen	3	1303	19.04%	@ B 1901	1	1342	53.05%	27.91%
20	1973-10-21	10.33	Aarhus GF	4	1233	14.85%	@ AB Gladsaxe	2	1325	58.47%	26.68%
21	1973-06-17	9.97	Aalborg	3	1332	22.13%	@ B 1901	1	1338	49.44%	28.43%
22	1973-06-17	9.94	@ Naestved	3	1322	46.31%	Hvidovre	0	1342	24.97%	28.72%
23	1973-05-29	9.78	KB Copenhagen	4	1295	17.52%	@ Hvidovre	2	1352	54.93%	27.54%
24	1973-06-13	9.71	@ Naestved	6	1312	44.29%	B 1901	2	1348	26.87%	28.84%
25	1973-08-23	9.49	Hvidovre	3	1360	24.64%	@ B 1901	1	1343	46.67%	28.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-09-16	65.7	@ B 1901	5	1333	39.98%	Vejle BK	5	1402	31.09%	28.93%
2	1973-10-28	61.6	@ Aalborg	3	1338	48.14%	B 1901	3	1343	23.29%	28.57%
3	1973-04-22	61.5	@ Randers	3	1340	52.91%	KB Copenhagen	3	1303	19.16%	27.93%
4	1973-06-17	60.6	Frem	4	1337	20.11%	@ AB Gladsaxe	3	1364	51.77%	28.12%
5	1973-04-22	57.8	@ B 1903	2	1355	49.81%	Aalborg	2	1345	21.81%	28.39%
6	1973-04-19	57.7	@ Hvidovre	2	1357	51.45%	AB Gladsaxe	2	1334	20.38%	28.16%
7	1973-05-15	57.7	@ Hvidovre	2	1360	52.48%	Frem	2	1326	19.51%	28.00%
8	1973-05-28	57.6	@ B 1901	2	1354	51.86%	Frem	2	1327	20.04%	28.10%
9	1973-06-13	57.5	@ B 1903	2	1337	48.25%	Hvidovre	2	1341	23.20%	28.56%
10	1973-05-27	57.4	@ Randers	2	1337	48.42%	B 1903	2	1339	23.04%	28.54%
11	1973-08-14	57.4	@ B 1903	2	1340	49.62%	Naestved	2	1332	21.97%	28.41%
12	1973-05-19	57.3	@ Frem	2	1327	47.33%	Naestved	2	1339	24.03%	28.64%
13	1973-06-02	57.2	@ Frem	2	1327	50.14%	Koge BK	2	1315	21.51%	28.34%
14	1973-09-16	57.2	@ Naestved	2	1334	51.66%	KB Copenhagen	2	1308	20.21%	28.13%
15	1973-11-04	57.1	@ AB Gladsaxe	2	1312	45.61%	Aalborg	2	1337	25.62%	28.77%
16	1973-11-03	57.0	@ Naestved	2	1320	50.12%	Frem	2	1308	21.54%	28.35%
17	1973-10-21	56.8	@ Frem	2	1305	49.61%	KB Copenhagen	2	1297	21.98%	28.41%
18	1973-10-28	56.5	@ KB Copenhagen	4	1298	33.88%	Hvidovre	3	1411	37.39%	28.73%
19	1973-09-30	54.2	AB Gladsaxe	2	1319	15.50%	@ Vejle BK	1	1402	57.59%	26.92%
20	1973-05-06	54.1	Aarhus GF	2	1275	13.48%	@ Vejle BK	1	1388	60.43%	26.08%
21	1973-08-26	53.8	@ Vejle BK	1	1406	56.39%	Naestved	1	1336	16.39%	27.22%
22	1973-09-30	53.7	@ Hvidovre	1	1396	53.82%	B 1903	1	1350	18.41%	27.77%
23	1973-10-21	53.6	Aarhus GF	4	1233	14.85%	@ AB Gladsaxe	2	1325	58.47%	26.68%
24	1973-11-11	53.5	@ Aalborg	1	1338	38.81%	Hvidovre	1	1415	32.27%	28.92%
25	1973-05-29	53.4	KB Copenhagen	4	1295	17.52%	@ Hvidovre	2	1352	54.93%	27.54%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-11-03	30.2	@ Hvidovre	4	1406	57.46%	Koge BK	0	1325	15.59%	26.95%
2	1973-08-12	32.0	@ Aalborg	3	1342	50.99%	Koge BK	0	1322	20.78%	28.23%
3	1973-08-26	32.0	@ Hvidovre	4	1369	50.80%	Randers	0	1351	20.94%	28.26%
4	1973-10-21	32.0	@ Vejle BK	3	1392	53.92%	Aalborg	0	1345	18.33%	27.75%
5	1973-08-25	32.5	@ Randers	3	1342	49.65%	Frem	0	1334	21.94%	28.40%
6	1973-11-11	33.3	@ Randers	2	1377	55.92%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1311	16.75%	27.33%
7	1973-06-17	33.4	@ Naestved	3	1322	46.31%	Hvidovre	0	1342	24.97%	28.72%
8	1973-04-22	33.8	@ Vejle BK	2	1387	55.31%	Frem	0	1327	17.22%	27.46%
9	1973-10-20	33.8	@ Hvidovre	2	1406	56.56%	Naestved	0	1334	16.26%	27.18%
10	1973-10-07	34.2	Hvidovre	3	1395	42.68%	@ Aarhus GF	0	1244	29.04%	28.29%
11	1973-09-02	34.6	@ B 1903	2	1341	50.58%	Frem	0	1325	21.13%	28.29%
12	1973-09-16	34.7	@ Koge BK	4	1313	55.38%	Aarhus GF	1	1253	17.17%	27.45%
13	1973-04-08	35.1	@ Naestved	2	1344	49.67%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1336	21.93%	28.40%
14	1973-09-30	35.2	@ Randers	1	1351	59.68%	Aarhus GF	0	1247	14.00%	26.32%
15	1973-06-10	35.3	@ Vejle BK	4	1402	57.91%	Koge BK	1	1316	15.26%	26.83%
16	1973-06-17	35.4	@ Koge BK	6	1310	48.76%	KB Copenhagen	1	1310	22.74%	28.51%
17	1973-05-31	35.8	@ Aarhus GF	3	1272	37.33%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1360	33.78%	28.89%
18	1973-04-15	35.9	@ Aalborg	2	1339	47.30%	Naestved	0	1351	24.06%	28.64%
19	1973-06-17	36.5	@ Randers	3	1333	39.27%	Vejle BK	0	1407	31.80%	28.93%
20	1973-06-03	36.8	@ Randers	4	1336	50.68%	Naestved	1	1319	21.04%	28.27%
21	1973-06-12	36.8	@ Frem	5	1327	46.66%	Randers	1	1344	24.64%	28.70%
22	1973-06-17	36.9	@ B 1903	1	1337	54.44%	Aarhus GF	0	1285	17.92%	27.65%
23	1973-04-23	37.7	@ B 1901	1	1346	52.78%	Koge BK	0	1310	19.27%	27.95%
24	1973-05-20	37.8	@ Vejle BK	4	1372	50.19%	Hvidovre	1	1359	21.47%	28.34%
25	1973-06-03	38.1	@ Vejle BK	1	1399	55.21%	B 1903	0	1340	17.31%	27.49%