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1974 1st Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KB Copenhagen

33 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1968

Relegated

Hvidovre

13 pts

Biggest Overachiever

KB Copenhagen

8.95 points above expected

33 points · 24.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hvidovre

7.46 points below expected

13 points · 20.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KB Copenhagen Champion 22 15 3 4 33 48 24 +24 24.05 +8.95
2 Vejle BK 22 11 3 8 25 47 35 +12 22.35 +2.65
3 B 1903 22 9 6 7 24 37 28 +9 23.20 +0.80
4 Holbaek B&I 22 9 6 7 24 33 30 +3 21.96 +2.04
5 B 1901 22 9 5 8 23 40 38 +2 21.21 +1.79
6 Randers 22 8 7 7 23 34 36 -2 23.34 -0.34
7 Frem 22 10 2 10 22 37 36 +1 21.77 +0.23
8 Naestved 22 8 5 9 21 40 38 +2 21.48 -0.48
9 Koge BK 22 7 6 9 20 31 42 -11 21.24 -1.24
10 Aalborg 22 6 7 9 19 35 41 -6 20.91 -1.91
11 Slagelse B&I 22 6 5 11 17 29 38 -9 22.03 -5.03
12 Hvidovre Relegated 22 4 5 13 13 24 49 -25 20.46 -7.46

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KB Copenhagen 33 24.05 +8.95
2 Vejle BK 25 22.35 +2.65
3 Holbaek B&I 24 21.96 +2.04
4 B 1901 23 21.21 +1.79
5 B 1903 24 23.20 +0.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hvidovre 13 20.46 -7.46
2 Slagelse B&I 17 22.03 -5.03
3 Aalborg 19 20.91 -1.91
4 Koge BK 20 21.24 -1.24
5 Naestved 21 21.48 -0.48

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vejle BK 5 Sep 22 – Oct 27 1 in 73
2 KB Copenhagen 5 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 60
3 Naestved 2 Apr 21 – Apr 28 1 in 28
4 B 1903 3 Mar 31 – Apr 14 1 in 16
5 B 1901 3 Sep 8 – Sep 23 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slagelse B&I 5 Aug 19 – Sep 15 1 in 155
2 Aalborg 3 Apr 21 – May 5 1 in 44
3 Naestved 3 Mar 31 – Apr 15 1 in 31
4 Randers 3 Sep 1 – Sep 15 1 in 23
5 Hvidovre 3 May 19 – May 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naestved 7 Apr 21 – May 29 1 in 54
2 B 1901 7 May 5 – Aug 19 1 in 38
3 Frem 5 Apr 7 – May 5 1 in 24
4 B 1903 6 Mar 31 – May 5 1 in 19
5 KB Copenhagen 7 May 30 – Sep 15 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slagelse B&I 10 Aug 19 – Oct 27 1 in 93
2 Randers 7 Apr 7 – May 19 1 in 46
3 Naestved 7 May 26 – Sep 8 1 in 37
4 Koge BK 6 Apr 21 – May 26 1 in 24
5 Holbaek B&I 5 Apr 7 – May 5 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KB Copenhagen 1439 33 +17 7 6.4 +0.6
Vejle BK 1405 25 +53 8 5.2 +2.8
Holbaek B&I 1374 24 +12 6 5.4 +0.6
B 1903 1354 24 -13 3 4.8 -1.8
Randers 1318 23 -36 6 4.9 +1.1
B 1901 1368 23 +0 4 4.6 -0.6
Frem 1354 22 +29 4 5.4 -1.4
Naestved 1344 21 +23 7 4.8 +2.2
Koge BK 1274 20 -40 4 5.1 -1.1
Aalborg 1319 19 +9 6 4.8 +1.2
Slagelse B&I 1303 17 -23 4 4.5 -0.5
Hvidovre 1251 13 -30 1 4.1 -3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL B1 B1 FRE HB HVI KC KB NAE RAN SB VB
Aalborg —
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.60
B 1901
1-0-1
2.85
—
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.82
B 1903
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.01
—
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.57
Frem
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.54
—
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.65
Holbaek B&I
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.83
—
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.92
Hvidovre
0-2-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
2.48
—
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.67
KB Copenhagen
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.36
—
2-0-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.08
Koge BK
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-2
2.51
—
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.59
Naestved
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.84
—
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.41
Randers
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.96
—
1-0-1
2.95
0-2-0
3.06
Slagelse B&I
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.58
—
0-0-2
2.55
Vejle BK
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
3.11
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
2.97
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +5.9
Allowed 0.79 -6.5
Differential 0.91 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%5.68%4.17%2.65%3.03%1.14%23.48%
15.68%7.58%7.58%3.79%1.52%1.14%27.27%
24.17%7.58%6.82%3.41%2.65%1.14%25.76%
32.65%3.79%3.41%1.52%0.76%—12.12%
43.03%1.52%2.65%0.76%——7.95%
5+1.14%1.14%1.14%———3.41%
Total23.48%27.27%25.76%12.12%7.95%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.65 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.06
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
14.55%18.18%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
2——9.09%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.86 -0.27
SD 1.01 1.36 1.64
CV 0.63 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
29.09%9.09%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.73 +0.09
SD 1.30 1.52 2.00
CV 0.71 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
413.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.27 +0.41
SD 1.67 1.03 2.02
CV 0.99 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
29.09%———9.09%—18.18%
3—13.64%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%13.64%4.55%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.64 +0.05
SD 1.59 1.65 2.61
CV 0.94 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.36 +0.14
SD 1.50 1.26 1.96
CV 1.00 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%13.64%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%40.91%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 2.23 -1.14
SD 0.92 1.38 1.67
CV 0.84 0.62 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
113.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%31.82%13.64%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.09 +1.09
SD 1.37 1.31 2.00
CV 0.63 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%——9.09%4.55%31.82%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.91 -0.50
SD 1.26 1.66 2.41
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%9.09%27.27%———40.91%
24.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%——9.09%——13.64%
4——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%45.45%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.73 +0.09
SD 1.22 1.03 1.38
CV 0.67 0.60 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
19.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.64 -0.09
SD 1.65 1.47 2.33
CV 1.07 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
19.09%4.55%4.55%18.18%——36.36%
24.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%—40.91%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%13.64%36.36%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.73 -0.41
SD 0.84 1.35 1.50
CV 0.64 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
1———4.55%——4.55%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.59 +0.55
SD 1.78 1.37 2.46
CV 0.83 0.86 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KB Copenhagen 1439 33 24.05 +8.95 99.0% 12 17 21 24 27 30 34
Vejle BK 1405 25 22.35 +2.65 79.0% 15 16 20 22 25 29 32
Holbaek B&I 1374 24 21.96 +2.04 74.0% 14 15 19 22 25 29 31
B 1901 1368 23 21.21 +1.79 70.0% 14 15 19 21 24 27 29
B 1903 1354 24 23.20 +0.80 68.0% 15 17 20 23 26 30 37
Frem 1354 22 21.77 +0.23 53.0% 14 16 19 22 24 28 31
Naestved 1344 21 21.48 -0.48 53.0% 13 15 18 21 24 29 32
Aalborg 1319 19 20.91 -1.91 37.0% 12 15 18 21 23 28 32
Randers 1318 23 23.34 -0.34 54.0% 15 17 21 23 25 29 32
Slagelse B&I 1303 17 22.03 -5.03 11.0% 11 16 20 22 25 28 34
Koge BK 1274 20 21.24 -1.24 42.0% 13 15 19 21 23 27 29
Hvidovre 1251 13 20.46 -7.46 3.0% 12 15 18 20 22 27 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.76%
Strong Edge
51.52%22.73%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
091.55400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
8.1
Wide Open
134611
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
KB Copenhagen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.04 * Some Luck: 3.04 to 4.56 * Lucky: 4.56 to 6.08 * Wild Swing: 6.08 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.69 * Close: 2.69 to 4.04 * Off: 4.04 to 5.38 * Way Off: 5.38 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.83 * A Surprise: 0.83 to 1.33 * Several Surprises: 1.33 to 1.83 * Many Surprises: 1.83 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.89 points
Some Luck
03.809
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
03.368
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
KB Copenhagen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Hvidovre
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.81

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 53.07
1.18
Coin-Flip Parity
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Even
50%74%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.22
Weak Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.25
Overconfident
0.02177661.001.97822
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.103
Well Within Noise
00.1060.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
KB Copenhagen24.00%18.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%
Vejle BK12.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%
B 190314.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%3.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%
Holbaek B&I7.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%
B 19015.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%
Randers10.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%
Frem5.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%16.00%4.00%
Naestved7.00%6.00%13.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%13.00%
Koge BK5.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%
Aalborg4.00%3.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%17.00%
Slagelse B&I6.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%
Hvidovre1.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen 98.00% 2.00%
Randers 98.00% 2.00%
B 1903 96.00% 4.00%
Frem 96.00% 4.00%
Slagelse B&I 95.00% 5.00%
Vejle BK 95.00% 5.00%
Holbaek B&I 92.00% 8.00%
Koge BK 89.00% 11.00%
B 1901 87.00% 13.00%
Naestved 87.00% 13.00%
Hvidovre 84.00% 16.00%
Aalborg 83.00% 17.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1974-03-30 Randers L 0-440.8 1327 1348 52.97% 23.89% 23.14%+0.47 -32.2 0
1974-03-30 @ Frem W 4-040.8 1348 1327 23.14% 23.89% 52.97%-0.47 +32.2 2
1974-03-31 Hvidovre D 2-259.4 1337 1357 53.13% 23.88% 22.99%+0.48 -0.8 1
1974-03-31 @ Aalborg D 2-259.4 1357 1337 22.99% 23.88% 53.13%-0.48 +0.9 1
1974-03-31 B 1901 W 2-034.2 1331 1335 54.78% 23.78% 21.44%+0.58 +8.1 2
1974-03-31 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-234.2 1335 1331 21.44% 23.78% 54.78%-0.58 -8.2 0
1974-03-31 Vejle BK W 3-248.2 1333 1354 52.96% 23.89% 23.15%+0.47 +4.1 2
1974-03-31 @ Koge BK L 2-348.2 1354 1333 23.15% 23.89% 52.96%-0.47 -4.1 0
1974-03-31 Holbaek B&I L 0-147.3 1334 1355 52.92% 23.89% 23.19%+0.46 -9.0 0
1974-03-31 @ Naestved W 1-047.3 1355 1334 23.19% 23.89% 52.92%-0.46 +9.0 2
1974-03-31 B 1903 L 2-358.4 1355 1339 56.92% 23.61% 19.47%+0.71 -8.6 0
1974-03-31 @ Slagelse B&I W 3-258.4 1339 1355 19.47% 23.61% 56.92%-0.71 +8.6 2
1974-04-07 Aalborg W 2-142.4 1327 1336 54.29% 23.81% 21.90%+0.55 +4.2 2
1974-04-07 @ B 1901 L 1-242.4 1336 1327 21.90% 23.81% 54.29%-0.55 -4.2 1
1974-04-07 Naestved W 2-141.5 1347 1325 57.57% 23.55% 18.88%+0.76 +3.7 4
1974-04-07 @ B 1903 L 1-241.5 1325 1347 18.88% 23.55% 57.57%-0.76 -3.7 0
1974-04-07 KB Copenhagen L 2-358.7 1364 1339 57.78% 23.53% 18.70%+0.77 -8.7 2
1974-04-07 @ Holbaek B&I W 3-258.7 1339 1364 18.70% 23.53% 57.78%-0.77 +8.7 4
1974-04-07 Frem L 1-351.1 1357 1295 61.26% 23.11% 15.63%+1.02 -16.9 1
1974-04-07 @ Hvidovre W 3-151.1 1295 1357 15.63% 23.11% 61.26%-1.02 +16.9 2
1974-04-07 Koge BK D 1-154.5 1380 1337 59.59% 23.33% 17.08%+0.89 -1.7 3
1974-04-07 @ Randers D 1-154.5 1337 1380 17.08% 23.33% 59.59%-0.89 +1.7 3
1974-04-07 Slagelse B&I W 4-244.0 1349 1346 55.56% 23.72% 20.72%+0.63 +6.1 2
1974-04-07 @ Vejle BK L 2-444.0 1346 1349 20.72% 23.72% 55.56%-0.63 -6.1 0
1974-04-14 Vejle BK W 4-031.7 1351 1356 54.77% 23.78% 21.45%+0.58 +15.5 6
1974-04-14 @ B 1903 L 0-431.7 1356 1351 21.45% 23.78% 54.77%-0.58 -15.5 2
1974-04-14 Randers W 1-039.4 1340 1379 50.94% 23.98% 25.07%+0.35 +4.9 2
1974-04-14 @ Slagelse B&I L 0-139.4 1379 1340 25.07% 23.98% 50.94%-0.35 -4.9 3
1974-04-15 Holbaek B&I W 3-032.8 1332 1355 52.70% 23.90% 23.40%+0.45 +12.7 3
1974-04-15 @ Aalborg L 0-332.8 1355 1332 23.40% 23.90% 52.70%-0.45 -12.7 2
1974-04-15 B 1901 W 5-240.7 1312 1331 53.13% 23.88% 22.99%+0.48 +9.2 4
1974-04-15 @ Frem L 2-540.7 1331 1312 22.99% 23.88% 53.13%-0.48 -9.2 2
1974-04-15 Hvidovre W 2-034.3 1338 1341 55.02% 23.76% 21.22%+0.59 +8.1 5
1974-04-15 @ Koge BK L 0-234.3 1341 1338 21.22% 23.76% 55.02%-0.59 -8.1 1
1974-04-15 KB Copenhagen L 1-251.6 1321 1348 52.28% 23.92% 23.79%+0.43 -8.4 0
1974-04-15 @ Naestved W 2-151.6 1348 1321 23.79% 23.92% 52.28%-0.43 +8.4 6
1974-04-21 Koge BK D 0-050.0 1322 1347 52.59% 23.91% 23.50%+0.45 -1.2 3
1974-04-21 @ B 1901 D 0-050.0 1347 1322 23.50% 23.91% 52.59%-0.45 +1.2 6
1974-04-21 Frem D 0-050.0 1343 1321 57.44% 23.56% 19.00%+0.75 -1.7 3
1974-04-21 @ Holbaek B&I D 0-050.0 1321 1343 19.00% 23.56% 57.44%-0.75 +1.7 5
1974-04-21 Slagelse B&I W 3-247.9 1332 1345 53.86% 23.84% 22.30%+0.52 +4.0 3
1974-04-21 @ Hvidovre L 2-347.9 1345 1332 22.30% 23.84% 53.86%-0.52 -4.0 2
1974-04-21 Aalborg W 4-243.8 1356 1345 56.45% 23.65% 19.90%+0.68 +5.9 8
1974-04-21 @ KB Copenhagen L 2-443.8 1345 1356 19.90% 23.65% 56.45%-0.68 -5.9 3
1974-04-21 B 1903 D 0-051.0 1374 1367 56.01% 23.69% 20.31%+0.65 -1.5 4
1974-04-21 @ Randers D 0-051.0 1367 1374 20.31% 23.69% 56.01%-0.65 +1.6 7
1974-04-21 Naestved L 3-461.5 1340 1313 58.03% 23.50% 18.47%+0.79 -8.6 2
1974-04-21 @ Vejle BK W 4-361.5 1313 1340 18.47% 23.50% 58.03%-0.79 +8.6 2
1974-04-28 Naestved L 2-454.5 1339 1321 57.06% 23.59% 19.34%+0.72 -14.1 3
1974-04-28 @ Aalborg W 4-254.5 1321 1339 19.34% 23.59% 57.06%-0.72 +14.1 4
1974-04-28 Hvidovre W 4-030.5 1368 1336 58.45% 23.46% 18.09%+0.82 +13.3 9
1974-04-28 @ B 1903 L 0-430.5 1336 1368 18.09% 23.46% 58.45%-0.82 -13.4 3
1974-04-28 KB Copenhagen D 1-153.9 1323 1362 50.83% 23.99% 25.18%+0.35 -1.0 6
1974-04-28 @ Frem D 1-153.9 1362 1323 25.18% 23.99% 50.83%-0.35 +1.0 9
1974-04-28 Holbaek B&I D 2-259.3 1348 1341 55.96% 23.69% 20.35%+0.65 -1.0 7
1974-04-28 @ Koge BK D 2-259.3 1341 1348 20.35% 23.69% 55.96%-0.65 +1.0 4
1974-04-28 B 1901 W 1-036.7 1341 1321 57.32% 23.57% 19.11%+0.74 +3.9 4
1974-04-28 @ Slagelse B&I L 0-136.7 1321 1341 19.11% 23.57% 57.32%-0.74 -3.9 3
1974-04-28 Randers D 0-050.4 1332 1372 50.67% 23.99% 25.34%+0.34 -1.1 3
1974-04-28 @ Vejle BK D 0-050.4 1372 1332 25.34% 23.99% 50.67%-0.34 +1.1 5
1974-05-05 Frem L 0-147.6 1325 1322 55.54% 23.72% 20.74%+0.62 -9.4 3
1974-05-05 @ Aalborg W 1-047.6 1322 1325 20.74% 23.72% 55.54%-0.62 +9.4 8
1974-05-05 B 1903 D 1-154.1 1317 1381 47.80% 24.07% 28.13%+0.18 -0.7 4
1974-05-05 @ B 1901 D 1-154.1 1381 1317 28.13% 24.07% 47.80%-0.18 +0.7 10
1974-05-05 Slagelse B&I D 0-050.2 1342 1345 54.90% 23.77% 21.33%+0.58 -1.5 5
1974-05-05 @ Holbaek B&I D 0-050.2 1345 1342 21.33% 23.77% 54.90%-0.58 +1.4 5
1974-05-05 Vejle BK W 1-037.5 1323 1330 54.45% 23.80% 21.75%+0.56 +4.4 5
1974-05-05 @ Hvidovre L 0-137.5 1330 1323 21.75% 23.80% 54.45%-0.56 -4.4 3
1974-05-05 Koge BK W 1-037.4 1363 1347 56.96% 23.60% 19.44%+0.72 +4.0 11
1974-05-05 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-137.4 1347 1363 19.44% 23.60% 56.96%-0.72 -4.0 7
1974-05-05 Randers D 3-363.9 1335 1373 51.00% 23.98% 25.02%+0.35 -0.6 5
1974-05-05 @ Naestved D 3-363.9 1373 1335 25.02% 23.98% 51.00%-0.35 +0.6 6
1974-05-12 Holbaek B&I L 0-246.2 1382 1341 59.40% 23.35% 17.25%+0.88 -18.9 10
1974-05-12 @ B 1903 W 2-046.2 1341 1382 17.25% 23.35% 59.40%-0.88 +18.9 7
1974-05-12 Naestved L 1-252.3 1331 1335 54.88% 23.77% 21.35%+0.58 -8.8 8
1974-05-12 @ Frem W 2-152.3 1335 1331 21.35% 23.77% 54.88%-0.58 +8.8 7
1974-05-12 Aalborg D 2-259.1 1343 1315 58.03% 23.50% 18.47%+0.79 -1.2 8
1974-05-12 @ Koge BK D 2-259.1 1315 1343 18.47% 23.50% 58.03%-0.79 +1.2 4
1974-05-12 Hvidovre D 2-259.6 1374 1327 59.85% 23.30% 16.85%+0.91 -1.3 7
1974-05-12 @ Randers D 2-259.6 1327 1374 16.85% 23.30% 59.85%-0.91 +1.3 6
1974-05-12 KB Copenhagen W 2-035.3 1347 1367 52.99% 23.89% 23.12%+0.47 +8.7 7
1974-05-12 @ Slagelse B&I L 0-235.3 1367 1347 23.12% 23.89% 52.99%-0.47 -8.7 11
1974-05-12 B 1901 D 2-258.9 1326 1316 56.25% 23.67% 20.08%+0.67 -1.0 4
1974-05-12 @ Vejle BK D 2-258.9 1316 1326 20.08% 23.67% 56.25%-0.67 +1.0 5
1974-05-19 Slagelse B&I D 1-153.8 1317 1355 50.91% 23.98% 25.11%+0.35 -1.0 5
1974-05-19 @ Aalborg D 1-153.8 1355 1317 25.11% 23.98% 50.91%-0.35 +1.0 8
1974-05-19 Randers D 2-259.3 1317 1373 48.93% 24.05% 27.02%+0.24 -0.6 6
1974-05-19 @ B 1901 D 2-259.3 1373 1317 27.02% 24.05% 48.93%-0.24 +0.6 8
1974-05-19 Koge BK W 3-140.0 1323 1342 53.18% 23.88% 22.95%+0.48 +7.5 10
1974-05-19 @ Frem L 1-340.0 1342 1323 22.95% 23.88% 53.18%-0.48 -7.5 8
1974-05-19 Vejle BK L 1-253.6 1359 1325 58.71% 23.43% 17.86%+0.83 -9.4 7
1974-05-19 @ Holbaek B&I W 2-153.6 1325 1359 17.86% 23.43% 58.71%-0.83 +9.4 6
1974-05-19 B 1903 W 3-140.2 1359 1363 54.74% 23.78% 21.48%+0.57 +7.1 13
1974-05-19 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-340.2 1363 1359 21.48% 23.78% 54.74%-0.57 -7.1 10
1974-05-19 Hvidovre W 3-031.4 1344 1329 56.78% 23.62% 19.60%+0.70 +11.0 9
1974-05-19 @ Naestved L 0-331.4 1329 1344 19.60% 23.62% 56.78%-0.70 -11.0 6
1974-05-26 Aalborg W 2-141.0 1356 1316 59.31% 23.36% 17.33%+0.87 +3.4 12
1974-05-26 @ B 1903 L 1-241.0 1316 1356 17.33% 23.36% 59.31%-0.87 -3.4 5
1974-05-26 B 1901 L 0-244.1 1318 1317 55.34% 23.74% 20.92%+0.61 -17.7 6
1974-05-26 @ Hvidovre W 2-044.1 1317 1318 20.92% 23.74% 55.34%-0.61 +17.7 8
1974-05-26 Naestved D 1-154.0 1334 1355 53.02% 23.89% 23.09%+0.47 -1.1 9
1974-05-26 @ Koge BK D 1-154.0 1355 1334 23.09% 23.89% 53.02%-0.47 +1.1 10
1974-05-26 Holbaek B&I W 1-037.4 1373 1350 57.63% 23.54% 18.83%+0.76 +3.9 10
1974-05-26 @ Randers L 0-137.4 1350 1373 18.83% 23.54% 57.63%-0.76 -3.9 7
1974-05-26 Frem W 3-031.2 1356 1330 57.92% 23.51% 18.57%+0.78 +10.5 10
1974-05-26 @ Slagelse B&I L 0-331.2 1330 1356 18.57% 23.51% 57.92%-0.78 -10.5 10
1974-05-26 KB Copenhagen W 3-140.8 1334 1366 51.78% 23.95% 24.27%+0.40 +7.8 8
1974-05-26 @ Vejle BK L 1-340.8 1366 1334 24.27% 23.95% 51.78%-0.40 -7.8 13
1974-05-29 Vejle BK W 3-140.3 1312 1342 51.92% 23.94% 24.14%+0.41 +7.8 7
1974-05-29 @ Aalborg L 1-340.3 1342 1312 24.14% 23.94% 51.92%-0.41 -7.8 8
1974-05-29 B 1903 W 1-038.9 1320 1360 50.76% 23.99% 25.25%+0.34 +5.0 12
1974-05-29 @ Frem L 0-138.9 1360 1320 25.25% 23.99% 50.76%-0.34 -4.9 12
1974-05-29 Hvidovre W 1-035.8 1346 1300 59.81% 23.30% 16.89%+0.91 +3.5 9
1974-05-29 @ Holbaek B&I L 0-135.8 1300 1346 16.89% 23.30% 59.81%-0.91 -3.5 6
1974-05-29 B 1901 D 3-363.8 1356 1335 57.41% 23.56% 19.03%+0.75 -0.9 11
1974-05-29 @ Naestved D 3-363.8 1335 1356 19.03% 23.56% 57.41%-0.75 +0.9 9
1974-05-30 Randers W 3-033.3 1358 1377 53.14% 23.88% 22.98%+0.48 +12.5 15
1974-05-30 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-333.3 1377 1358 22.98% 23.88% 53.14%-0.48 -12.5 10
1974-05-30 Slagelse B&I W 3-140.9 1333 1367 51.50% 23.96% 24.54%+0.38 +7.9 11
1974-05-30 @ Koge BK L 1-340.9 1367 1333 24.54% 23.96% 51.50%-0.38 -7.9 10
1974-06-09 Koge BK W 4-136.8 1355 1341 56.68% 23.63% 19.69%+0.70 +9.3 14
1974-06-09 @ B 1903 L 1-436.8 1341 1355 19.69% 23.63% 56.68%-0.70 -9.3 11
1974-06-09 KB Copenhagen D 1-153.7 1297 1370 46.60% 24.09% 29.31%+0.12 -0.6 7
1974-06-09 @ Hvidovre D 1-153.7 1370 1297 29.31% 24.09% 46.60%-0.12 +0.6 16
1974-06-09 Aalborg W 5-134.3 1365 1320 59.68% 23.32% 17.00%+0.90 +10.5 12
1974-06-09 @ Randers L 1-534.3 1320 1365 17.00% 23.32% 59.68%-0.90 -10.5 7
1974-06-09 Naestved W 2-142.6 1359 1355 55.68% 23.71% 20.61%+0.63 +3.9 12
1974-06-09 @ Slagelse B&I L 1-242.6 1355 1359 20.61% 23.71% 55.68%-0.63 -3.9 11
1974-06-09 Frem L 0-244.6 1334 1325 56.28% 23.66% 20.06%+0.67 -18.0 8
1974-06-09 @ Vejle BK W 2-044.6 1325 1334 20.06% 23.66% 56.28%-0.67 +18.0 14
1974-06-10 Holbaek B&I W 4-137.6 1335 1350 53.71% 23.85% 22.45%+0.51 +10.4 11
1974-06-10 @ B 1901 L 1-437.6 1350 1335 22.45% 23.85% 53.71%-0.51 -10.4 9
1974-08-18 Koge BK W 2-142.0 1339 1332 56.06% 23.68% 20.26%+0.66 +3.9 11
1974-08-18 @ Holbaek B&I L 1-242.0 1332 1339 20.26% 23.68% 56.06%-0.66 -3.9 11
1974-08-18 B 1903 D 2-258.9 1296 1364 47.34% 24.08% 28.58%+0.16 -0.5 8
1974-08-18 @ Hvidovre D 2-258.9 1364 1296 28.58% 24.08% 47.34%-0.16 +0.5 15
1974-08-18 Frem W 5-031.2 1371 1343 58.14% 23.49% 18.37%+0.79 +16.7 18
1974-08-18 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-531.2 1343 1371 18.37% 23.49% 58.14%-0.79 -16.7 14
1974-08-18 Aalborg D 1-153.8 1351 1309 59.37% 23.35% 17.28%+0.88 -1.7 12
1974-08-18 @ Naestved D 1-153.8 1309 1351 17.28% 23.35% 59.37%-0.88 +1.7 8
1974-08-18 Vejle BK D 0-050.5 1375 1316 60.96% 23.15% 15.89%+0.99 -2.0 13
1974-08-18 @ Randers D 0-050.5 1316 1375 15.89% 23.15% 60.96%-0.99 +2.0 9
1974-08-19 Slagelse B&I W 3-140.4 1346 1363 53.41% 23.86% 22.73%+0.49 +7.4 13
1974-08-19 @ B 1901 L 1-340.4 1363 1346 22.73% 23.86% 53.41%-0.49 -7.4 12
1974-08-25 B 1901 W 4-350.9 1364 1353 56.41% 23.65% 19.93%+0.68 +3.5 17
1974-08-25 @ B 1903 L 3-450.9 1353 1364 19.93% 23.65% 56.41%-0.68 -3.5 13
1974-08-25 Aalborg L 0-147.8 1326 1311 56.77% 23.62% 19.61%+0.70 -9.6 14
1974-08-25 @ Frem W 1-047.8 1311 1326 19.61% 23.62% 56.77%-0.70 +9.6 10
1974-08-25 KB Copenhagen L 0-440.0 1328 1388 48.34% 24.06% 27.59%+0.21 -29.7 11
1974-08-25 @ Koge BK W 4-040.0 1388 1328 27.59% 24.06% 48.34%-0.21 +29.7 20
1974-08-25 Naestved W 2-142.1 1373 1349 57.71% 23.53% 18.76%+0.76 +3.6 15
1974-08-25 @ Randers L 1-242.1 1349 1373 18.76% 23.53% 57.71%-0.76 -3.6 12
1974-08-25 Holbaek B&I L 1-253.2 1355 1343 56.51% 23.64% 19.85%+0.69 -9.0 12
1974-08-25 @ Slagelse B&I W 2-153.2 1343 1355 19.85% 23.64% 56.51%-0.69 +9.0 13
1974-08-25 Hvidovre W 3-246.1 1318 1295 57.61% 23.54% 18.85%+0.76 +3.5 11
1974-08-25 @ Vejle BK L 2-346.1 1295 1318 18.85% 23.54% 57.61%-0.76 -3.5 8
1974-09-01 Koge BK L 2-357.8 1321 1298 57.57% 23.55% 18.89%+0.76 -8.7 10
1974-09-01 @ Aalborg W 3-257.8 1298 1321 18.89% 23.55% 57.57%-0.76 +8.7 13
1974-09-01 Vejle BK L 1-253.3 1350 1322 58.07% 23.50% 18.43%+0.79 -9.2 13
1974-09-01 @ B 1901 W 2-153.3 1322 1350 18.43% 23.50% 58.07%-0.79 +9.2 13
1974-09-01 B 1903 D 0-050.6 1352 1368 53.53% 23.86% 22.61%+0.50 -1.3 14
1974-09-01 @ Holbaek B&I D 0-050.6 1368 1352 22.61% 23.86% 53.53%-0.50 +1.3 18
1974-09-01 Randers W 2-145.2 1292 1377 45.17% 24.10% 30.72%+0.04 +5.5 10
1974-09-01 @ Hvidovre L 1-245.2 1377 1292 30.72% 24.10% 45.17%-0.04 -5.5 15
1974-09-01 Slagelse B&I W 1-036.8 1417 1346 62.03% 22.99% 14.98%+1.08 +3.2 22
1974-09-01 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-136.8 1346 1417 14.98% 22.99% 62.03%-1.08 -3.1 12
1974-09-01 Frem L 0-245.1 1345 1316 58.21% 23.48% 18.30%+0.80 -18.5 12
1974-09-01 @ Naestved W 2-045.1 1316 1345 18.30% 23.48% 58.21%-0.80 +18.5 16
1974-09-08 KB Copenhagen L 0-147.9 1369 1421 49.42% 24.03% 26.54%+0.27 -8.5 18
1974-09-08 @ B 1903 W 1-047.9 1421 1369 26.54% 24.03% 49.42%-0.27 +8.5 24
1974-09-08 Naestved W 2-142.8 1297 1327 51.98% 23.94% 24.08%+0.41 +4.5 12
1974-09-08 @ Hvidovre L 1-242.8 1327 1297 24.08% 23.94% 51.98%-0.41 -4.5 12
1974-09-08 Frem W 4-137.6 1307 1335 52.15% 23.93% 23.91%+0.42 +10.9 15
1974-09-08 @ Koge BK L 1-437.6 1335 1307 23.91% 23.93% 52.15%-0.42 -10.9 16
1974-09-08 B 1901 L 0-245.8 1371 1340 58.38% 23.47% 18.16%+0.81 -18.6 15
1974-09-08 @ Randers W 2-045.8 1340 1371 18.16% 23.47% 58.38%-0.81 +18.6 15
1974-09-08 Aalborg L 2-358.3 1343 1312 58.40% 23.46% 18.13%+0.81 -8.8 12
1974-09-08 @ Slagelse B&I W 3-258.3 1312 1343 18.13% 23.46% 58.40%-0.81 +8.8 12
1974-09-08 Holbaek B&I W 4-031.9 1331 1351 53.10% 23.88% 23.02%+0.48 +16.4 15
1974-09-08 @ Vejle BK L 0-431.9 1351 1331 23.02% 23.88% 53.10%-0.48 -16.4 14
1974-09-15 B 1903 D 1-153.9 1321 1361 50.75% 23.99% 25.26%+0.34 -1.0 13
1974-09-15 @ Aalborg D 1-153.9 1361 1321 25.26% 23.99% 50.75%-0.34 +1.0 19
1974-09-15 Hvidovre W 2-140.4 1359 1302 60.82% 23.17% 16.01%+0.98 +3.2 17
1974-09-15 @ B 1901 L 1-240.4 1302 1359 16.01% 23.17% 60.82%-0.98 -3.2 12
1974-09-15 Slagelse B&I W 3-139.6 1324 1334 54.11% 23.82% 22.06%+0.54 +7.2 18
1974-09-15 @ Frem L 1-339.6 1334 1324 22.06% 23.82% 54.11%-0.54 -7.2 12
1974-09-15 Randers W 4-137.8 1335 1353 53.26% 23.87% 22.87%+0.48 +10.5 16
1974-09-15 @ Holbaek B&I L 1-437.8 1353 1335 22.87% 23.87% 53.26%-0.48 -10.5 15
1974-09-15 Vejle BK W 2-033.4 1429 1348 62.90% 22.85% 14.24%+1.14 +5.7 26
1974-09-15 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-233.4 1348 1429 14.24% 22.85% 62.90%-1.14 -5.7 15
1974-09-15 Koge BK W 1-037.0 1322 1318 55.75% 23.71% 20.55%+0.64 +4.2 14
1974-09-15 @ Naestved L 0-137.0 1318 1322 20.55% 23.71% 55.75%-0.64 -4.2 15
1974-09-22 Frem W 4-243.1 1362 1331 58.36% 23.47% 18.17%+0.81 +5.5 21
1974-09-22 @ B 1903 L 2-443.1 1331 1362 18.17% 23.47% 58.36%-0.81 -5.5 18
1974-09-22 Holbaek B&I L 2-548.8 1299 1345 50.01% 24.02% 25.97%+0.30 -17.1 12
1974-09-22 @ Hvidovre W 5-248.8 1345 1299 25.97% 24.02% 50.01%-0.30 +17.1 18
1974-09-22 KB Copenhagen W 5-245.2 1342 1435 44.18% 24.11% 31.72%-0.01 +11.9 17
1974-09-22 @ Randers L 2-545.2 1435 1342 31.72% 24.11% 44.18%+0.01 -11.9 26
1974-09-22 Koge BK D 2-258.9 1327 1314 56.66% 23.63% 19.71%+0.70 -1.1 13
1974-09-22 @ Slagelse B&I D 2-258.9 1314 1327 19.71% 23.63% 56.66%-0.70 +1.1 16
1974-09-22 Aalborg W 3-031.1 1342 1320 57.51% 23.55% 18.94%+0.75 +10.6 17
1974-09-22 @ Vejle BK L 0-331.1 1320 1342 18.94% 23.55% 57.51%-0.75 -10.6 13
1974-09-23 Naestved W 4-242.9 1362 1327 58.83% 23.42% 17.76%+0.84 +5.4 19
1974-09-23 @ B 1901 L 2-442.9 1327 1362 17.76% 23.42% 58.83%-0.84 -5.4 14
1974-09-29 Randers L 2-356.1 1309 1354 50.18% 24.01% 25.81%+0.31 -7.7 13
1974-09-29 @ Aalborg W 3-256.1 1354 1309 25.81% 24.01% 50.18%-0.31 +7.7 19
1974-09-29 Vejle BK L 2-453.3 1326 1353 52.28% 23.92% 23.80%+0.43 -13.0 18
1974-09-29 @ Frem W 4-253.3 1353 1326 23.80% 23.92% 52.28%-0.43 +13.0 19
1974-09-29 B 1901 W 5-136.4 1362 1368 54.66% 23.79% 21.55%+0.57 +12.9 20
1974-09-29 @ Holbaek B&I L 1-536.4 1368 1362 21.55% 23.79% 54.66%-0.57 -12.9 19
1974-09-29 Hvidovre W 5-132.2 1423 1282 67.45% 21.90% 10.65%+1.54 +6.8 28
1974-09-29 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-532.2 1282 1423 10.65% 21.90% 67.45%-1.54 -6.8 12
1974-09-29 B 1903 W 3-033.8 1315 1367 49.23% 24.04% 26.73%+0.26 +14.2 18
1974-09-29 @ Koge BK L 0-333.8 1367 1315 26.73% 24.04% 49.23%-0.26 -14.2 21
1974-09-29 Slagelse B&I D 2-258.9 1321 1326 54.73% 23.78% 21.49%+0.57 -1.0 15
1974-09-29 @ Naestved D 2-258.9 1326 1321 21.49% 23.78% 54.73%-0.57 +1.0 14
1974-10-06 KB Copenhagen L 0-243.6 1355 1430 46.46% 24.09% 29.45%+0.11 -15.1 19
1974-10-06 @ B 1901 W 2-043.6 1430 1355 29.45% 24.09% 46.46%-0.11 +15.1 30
1974-10-06 Slagelse B&I D 0-050.2 1353 1327 57.91% 23.51% 18.58%+0.78 -1.7 22
1974-10-06 @ B 1903 D 0-050.2 1327 1353 18.58% 23.51% 57.91%-0.78 +1.7 15
1974-10-06 Naestved L 1-254.2 1375 1320 60.61% 23.20% 16.20%+0.97 -9.6 20
1974-10-06 @ Holbaek B&I W 2-154.2 1320 1375 16.20% 23.20% 60.61%-0.97 +9.6 17
1974-10-06 Aalborg D 0-049.2 1275 1302 52.31% 23.92% 23.77%+0.43 -1.2 13
1974-10-06 @ Hvidovre D 0-049.2 1302 1275 23.77% 23.92% 52.31%-0.43 +1.2 14
1974-10-06 Frem L 0-543.1 1362 1313 60.09% 23.26% 16.64%+0.93 -44.7 19
1974-10-06 @ Randers W 5-043.1 1313 1362 16.64% 23.26% 60.09%-0.93 +44.7 20
1974-10-06 Koge BK W 7-032.3 1366 1329 58.94% 23.40% 17.66%+0.85 +22.1 21
1974-10-06 @ Vejle BK L 0-732.3 1329 1366 17.66% 23.40% 58.94%-0.85 -22.1 18
1974-10-19 B 1903 W 2-034.9 1330 1351 52.90% 23.89% 23.21%+0.46 +8.7 19
1974-10-19 @ Naestved L 0-234.9 1351 1330 23.21% 23.89% 52.90%-0.46 -8.7 22
1974-10-20 B 1901 W 3-140.4 1303 1340 51.14% 23.98% 24.88%+0.36 +8.0 16
1974-10-20 @ Aalborg L 1-340.4 1340 1303 24.88% 23.98% 51.14%-0.36 -8.0 19
1974-10-20 Hvidovre W 4-028.4 1357 1274 63.10% 22.82% 14.09%+1.16 +10.7 22
1974-10-20 @ Frem L 0-428.4 1274 1357 14.09% 22.82% 63.10%-1.16 -10.7 13
1974-10-20 Holbaek B&I D 1-156.4 1445 1365 62.73% 22.88% 14.39%+1.13 -2.0 31
1974-10-20 @ KB Copenhagen D 1-156.4 1365 1445 14.39% 22.88% 62.73%-1.13 +2.0 21
1974-10-20 Randers L 0-147.0 1307 1317 54.12% 23.82% 22.06%+0.54 -9.2 18
1974-10-20 @ Koge BK W 1-047.0 1317 1307 22.06% 23.82% 54.12%-0.54 +9.2 21
1974-10-20 Vejle BK L 0-340.7 1329 1388 48.47% 24.06% 27.47%+0.22 -22.8 15
1974-10-20 @ Slagelse B&I W 3-040.7 1388 1329 27.47% 24.06% 48.47%-0.22 +22.8 23
1974-10-27 Frem W 1-039.0 1332 1368 51.18% 23.97% 24.84%+0.36 +4.9 21
1974-10-27 @ B 1901 L 0-139.0 1368 1332 24.84% 23.97% 51.18%-0.36 -4.9 22
1974-10-27 Aalborg D 1-154.1 1367 1311 60.77% 23.18% 16.05%+0.98 -1.8 22
1974-10-27 @ Holbaek B&I D 1-154.1 1311 1367 16.05% 23.18% 60.77%-0.98 +1.8 17
1974-10-27 Koge BK L 1-250.6 1263 1297 51.41% 23.96% 24.62%+0.38 -8.3 13
1974-10-27 @ Hvidovre W 2-150.6 1297 1263 24.62% 23.96% 51.41%-0.38 +8.3 20
1974-10-27 Naestved W 2-141.1 1443 1339 64.73% 22.51% 12.75%+1.29 +2.6 33
1974-10-27 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-241.1 1339 1443 12.75% 22.51% 64.73%-1.29 -2.6 19
1974-10-27 Slagelse B&I W 3-138.4 1326 1306 57.33% 23.57% 19.10%+0.74 +6.4 23
1974-10-27 @ Randers L 1-338.4 1306 1326 19.10% 23.57% 57.33%-0.74 -6.4 15
1974-10-27 B 1903 W 2-141.4 1410 1343 61.75% 23.03% 15.21%+1.05 +3.0 25
1974-10-27 @ Vejle BK L 1-241.4 1343 1410 15.21% 23.03% 61.75%-1.05 -3.0 22
1974-11-03 KB Copenhagen W 3-253.6 1313 1445 38.64% 24.03% 37.33%-0.27 +6.0 19
1974-11-03 @ Aalborg L 2-353.6 1445 1313 37.33% 24.03% 38.64%+0.27 -6.0 33
1974-11-03 Randers W 4-030.9 1340 1333 55.99% 23.69% 20.33%+0.65 +14.8 24
1974-11-03 @ B 1903 L 0-430.9 1333 1340 20.33% 23.69% 55.99%-0.65 -14.8 23
1974-11-03 Holbaek B&I L 1-253.2 1363 1366 54.98% 23.76% 21.26%+0.59 -8.8 22
1974-11-03 @ Frem W 2-153.2 1366 1363 21.26% 23.76% 54.98%-0.59 +8.8 24
1974-11-03 B 1901 L 0-440.1 1306 1336 51.84% 23.95% 24.21%+0.40 -31.6 20
1974-11-03 @ Koge BK W 4-040.1 1336 1306 24.21% 23.95% 51.84%-0.40 +31.6 23
1974-11-03 Vejle BK W 4-247.6 1336 1413 46.14% 24.10% 29.76%+0.09 +8.2 21
1974-11-03 @ Naestved L 2-447.6 1413 1336 29.76% 24.10% 46.14%-0.09 -8.2 25
1974-11-03 Hvidovre W 2-140.0 1300 1255 59.70% 23.31% 16.99%+0.90 +3.3 17
1974-11-03 @ Slagelse B&I L 1-240.0 1255 1300 16.99% 23.31% 59.70%-0.90 -3.3 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1974-04-07 15.63% Frem 1295 3 @ Hvidovre 1357 1
2 1974-10-06 16.20% Naestved 1320 2 @ Holbaek B&I 1375 1
3 1974-10-06 16.64% Frem 1313 5 @ Randers 1362 0
4 1974-05-12 17.25% Holbaek B&I 1341 2 @ B 1903 1382 0
5 1974-05-19 17.86% Vejle BK 1325 2 @ Holbaek B&I 1359 1
6 1974-09-08 18.13% Aalborg 1312 3 @ Slagelse B&I 1343 2
7 1974-09-08 18.16% B 1901 1340 2 @ Randers 1371 0
8 1974-09-01 18.30% Frem 1316 2 @ Naestved 1345 0
9 1974-09-01 18.43% Vejle BK 1322 2 @ B 1901 1350 1
10 1974-04-21 18.47% Naestved 1313 4 @ Vejle BK 1340 3
11 1974-04-07 18.70% KB Copenhagen 1339 3 @ Holbaek B&I 1364 2
12 1974-09-01 18.89% Koge BK 1298 3 @ Aalborg 1321 2
13 1974-04-28 19.34% Naestved 1321 4 @ Aalborg 1339 2
14 1974-03-31 19.47% B 1903 1339 3 @ Slagelse B&I 1355 2
15 1974-08-25 19.61% Aalborg 1311 1 @ Frem 1326 0
16 1974-08-25 19.85% Holbaek B&I 1343 2 @ Slagelse B&I 1355 1
17 1974-06-09 20.06% Frem 1325 2 @ Vejle BK 1334 0
18 1974-05-05 20.74% Frem 1322 1 @ Aalborg 1325 0
19 1974-05-26 20.92% B 1901 1317 2 @ Hvidovre 1318 0
20 1974-11-03 21.26% Holbaek B&I 1366 2 @ Frem 1363 1
21 1974-05-12 21.35% Naestved 1335 2 @ Frem 1331 1
22 1974-10-20 22.06% Randers 1317 1 @ Koge BK 1307 0
23 1974-03-30 23.14% Randers 1348 4 @ Frem 1327 0
24 1974-03-31 23.19% Holbaek B&I 1355 1 @ Naestved 1334 0
25 1974-04-15 23.79% KB Copenhagen 1348 2 @ Naestved 1321 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-10-06 44.72 Frem 5 1313 16.64% @ Randers 0 1362 60.09% 23.26%
2 1974-03-30 32.21 Randers 4 1348 23.14% @ Frem 0 1327 52.97% 23.89%
3 1974-11-03 31.59 B 1901 4 1336 24.21% @ Koge BK 0 1306 51.84% 23.95%
4 1974-08-25 29.67 KB Copenhagen 4 1388 27.59% @ Koge BK 0 1328 48.34% 24.06%
5 1974-10-20 22.77 Vejle BK 3 1388 27.47% @ Slagelse B&I 0 1329 48.47% 24.06%
6 1974-10-06 22.15 @ Vejle BK 7 1366 58.94% Koge BK 0 1329 17.66% 23.40%
7 1974-05-12 18.91 Holbaek B&I 2 1341 17.25% @ B 1903 0 1382 59.40% 23.35%
8 1974-09-08 18.60 B 1901 2 1340 18.16% @ Randers 0 1371 58.38% 23.47%
9 1974-09-01 18.55 Frem 2 1316 18.30% @ Naestved 0 1345 58.21% 23.48%
10 1974-06-09 17.96 Frem 2 1325 20.06% @ Vejle BK 0 1334 56.28% 23.66%
11 1974-05-26 17.68 B 1901 2 1317 20.92% @ Hvidovre 0 1318 55.34% 23.74%
12 1974-09-22 17.10 Holbaek B&I 5 1345 25.97% @ Hvidovre 2 1299 50.01% 24.02%
13 1974-04-07 16.87 Frem 3 1295 15.63% @ Hvidovre 1 1357 61.26% 23.11%
14 1974-08-18 16.68 @ KB Copenhagen 5 1371 58.14% Frem 0 1343 18.37% 23.49%
15 1974-09-08 16.40 @ Vejle BK 4 1331 53.10% Holbaek B&I 0 1351 23.02% 23.88%
16 1974-04-14 15.46 @ B 1903 4 1351 54.77% Vejle BK 0 1356 21.45% 23.78%
17 1974-10-06 15.11 KB Copenhagen 2 1430 29.45% @ B 1901 0 1355 46.46% 24.09%
18 1974-11-03 14.77 @ B 1903 4 1340 55.99% Randers 0 1333 20.33% 23.69%
19 1974-09-29 14.19 @ Koge BK 3 1315 49.23% B 1903 0 1367 26.73% 24.04%
20 1974-04-28 14.10 Naestved 4 1321 19.34% @ Aalborg 2 1339 57.06% 23.59%
21 1974-04-28 13.36 @ B 1903 4 1368 58.45% Hvidovre 0 1336 18.09% 23.46%
22 1974-09-29 13.00 Vejle BK 4 1353 23.80% @ Frem 2 1326 52.28% 23.92%
23 1974-09-29 12.94 @ Holbaek B&I 5 1362 54.66% B 1901 1 1368 21.55% 23.79%
24 1974-04-15 12.73 @ Aalborg 3 1332 52.70% Holbaek B&I 0 1355 23.40% 23.90%
25 1974-05-30 12.54 @ KB Copenhagen 3 1358 53.14% Randers 0 1377 22.98% 23.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-05-05 63.9 @ Naestved 3 1335 51.00% Randers 3 1373 25.02% 23.98%
2 1974-05-29 63.8 @ Naestved 3 1356 57.41% B 1901 3 1335 19.03% 23.56%
3 1974-04-21 61.5 Naestved 4 1313 18.47% @ Vejle BK 3 1340 58.03% 23.50%
4 1974-05-12 59.6 @ Randers 2 1374 59.85% Hvidovre 2 1327 16.85% 23.30%
5 1974-03-31 59.4 @ Aalborg 2 1337 53.13% Hvidovre 2 1357 22.99% 23.88%
6 1974-04-28 59.3 @ Koge BK 2 1348 55.96% Holbaek B&I 2 1341 20.35% 23.69%
7 1974-05-19 59.3 @ B 1901 2 1317 48.93% Randers 2 1373 27.02% 24.05%
8 1974-05-12 59.1 @ Koge BK 2 1343 58.03% Aalborg 2 1315 18.47% 23.50%
9 1974-05-12 58.9 @ Vejle BK 2 1326 56.25% B 1901 2 1316 20.08% 23.67%
10 1974-08-18 58.9 @ Hvidovre 2 1296 47.34% B 1903 2 1364 28.58% 24.08%
11 1974-09-22 58.9 @ Slagelse B&I 2 1327 56.66% Koge BK 2 1314 19.71% 23.63%
12 1974-09-29 58.9 @ Naestved 2 1321 54.73% Slagelse B&I 2 1326 21.49% 23.78%
13 1974-04-07 58.7 KB Copenhagen 3 1339 18.70% @ Holbaek B&I 2 1364 57.78% 23.53%
14 1974-03-31 58.4 B 1903 3 1339 19.47% @ Slagelse B&I 2 1355 56.92% 23.61%
15 1974-09-08 58.3 Aalborg 3 1312 18.13% @ Slagelse B&I 2 1343 58.40% 23.46%
16 1974-09-01 57.8 Koge BK 3 1298 18.89% @ Aalborg 2 1321 57.57% 23.55%
17 1974-10-20 56.4 @ KB Copenhagen 1 1445 62.73% Holbaek B&I 1 1365 14.39% 22.88%
18 1974-09-29 56.1 Randers 3 1354 25.81% @ Aalborg 2 1309 50.18% 24.01%
19 1974-04-07 54.5 @ Randers 1 1380 59.59% Koge BK 1 1337 17.08% 23.33%
20 1974-04-28 54.5 Naestved 4 1321 19.34% @ Aalborg 2 1339 57.06% 23.59%
21 1974-10-06 54.2 Naestved 2 1320 16.20% @ Holbaek B&I 1 1375 60.61% 23.20%
22 1974-05-05 54.1 @ B 1901 1 1317 47.80% B 1903 1 1381 28.13% 24.07%
23 1974-10-27 54.1 @ Holbaek B&I 1 1367 60.77% Aalborg 1 1311 16.05% 23.18%
24 1974-05-26 54.0 @ Koge BK 1 1334 53.02% Naestved 1 1355 23.09% 23.89%
25 1974-04-28 53.9 @ Frem 1 1323 50.83% KB Copenhagen 1 1362 25.18% 23.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1974-10-20 28.4 @ Frem 4 1357 63.10% Hvidovre 0 1274 14.09% 22.82%
2 1974-04-28 30.5 @ B 1903 4 1368 58.45% Hvidovre 0 1336 18.09% 23.46%
3 1974-11-03 30.9 @ B 1903 4 1340 55.99% Randers 0 1333 20.33% 23.69%
4 1974-09-22 31.1 @ Vejle BK 3 1342 57.51% Aalborg 0 1320 18.94% 23.55%
5 1974-05-26 31.2 @ Slagelse B&I 3 1356 57.92% Frem 0 1330 18.57% 23.51%
6 1974-08-18 31.2 @ KB Copenhagen 5 1371 58.14% Frem 0 1343 18.37% 23.49%
7 1974-05-19 31.4 @ Naestved 3 1344 56.78% Hvidovre 0 1329 19.60% 23.62%
8 1974-04-14 31.7 @ B 1903 4 1351 54.77% Vejle BK 0 1356 21.45% 23.78%
9 1974-09-08 31.9 @ Vejle BK 4 1331 53.10% Holbaek B&I 0 1351 23.02% 23.88%
10 1974-09-29 32.2 @ KB Copenhagen 5 1423 67.45% Hvidovre 1 1282 10.65% 21.90%
11 1974-10-06 32.3 @ Vejle BK 7 1366 58.94% Koge BK 0 1329 17.66% 23.40%
12 1974-04-15 32.8 @ Aalborg 3 1332 52.70% Holbaek B&I 0 1355 23.40% 23.90%
13 1974-05-30 33.3 @ KB Copenhagen 3 1358 53.14% Randers 0 1377 22.98% 23.88%
14 1974-09-15 33.4 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1429 62.90% Vejle BK 0 1348 14.24% 22.85%
15 1974-09-29 33.8 @ Koge BK 3 1315 49.23% B 1903 0 1367 26.73% 24.04%
16 1974-03-31 34.2 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1331 54.78% B 1901 0 1335 21.44% 23.78%
17 1974-04-15 34.3 @ Koge BK 2 1338 55.02% Hvidovre 0 1341 21.22% 23.76%
18 1974-06-09 34.3 @ Randers 5 1365 59.68% Aalborg 1 1320 17.00% 23.32%
19 1974-10-19 34.9 @ Naestved 2 1330 52.90% B 1903 0 1351 23.21% 23.89%
20 1974-05-12 35.3 @ Slagelse B&I 2 1347 52.99% KB Copenhagen 0 1367 23.12% 23.89%
21 1974-05-29 35.8 @ Holbaek B&I 1 1346 59.81% Hvidovre 0 1300 16.89% 23.30%
22 1974-09-29 36.4 @ Holbaek B&I 5 1362 54.66% B 1901 1 1368 21.55% 23.79%
23 1974-04-28 36.7 @ Slagelse B&I 1 1341 57.32% B 1901 0 1321 19.11% 23.57%
24 1974-06-09 36.8 @ B 1903 4 1355 56.68% Koge BK 1 1341 19.69% 23.63%
25 1974-09-01 36.8 @ KB Copenhagen 1 1417 62.03% Slagelse B&I 0 1346 14.98% 22.99%