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2004-05 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Brondby

69 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Randers

24 pts

Herfolge · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Midtjylland

6.75 points above expected

57 points · 50.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Herfolge

6.95 points below expected

25 points · 31.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Brondby Champion 33 20 9 4 69 61 23 +38 62.66 +6.34
2 FC Copenhagen 33 16 9 8 57 53 39 +14 60.00 -3.00
3 Midtjylland 33 17 6 10 57 49 40 +9 50.25 +6.75
4 Aalborg 33 15 8 10 53 59 45 +14 51.63 +1.37
5 Esbjerg 33 13 10 10 49 61 47 +14 52.03 -3.03
6 Odense 33 13 9 11 48 61 41 +20 51.82 -3.82
7 Viborg 33 13 9 11 48 43 45 -2 47.74 +0.26
8 Silkeborg 33 13 8 12 47 50 52 -2 41.26 +5.74
9 Aarhus GF 33 11 6 16 39 47 53 -6 38.73 +0.27
10 Nordsjaelland 33 8 6 19 30 36 59 -23 32.97 -2.97
11 Herfolge Relegated 33 6 7 20 25 29 71 -42 31.95 -6.95
12 Randers Relegated 33 5 9 19 24 30 64 -34 27.74 -3.74

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Midtjylland 57 50.25 +6.75
2 Brondby 69 62.66 +6.34
3 Silkeborg 47 41.26 +5.74
4 Aalborg 53 51.63 +1.37
5 Aarhus GF 39 38.73 +0.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Herfolge 25 31.95 -6.95
2 Odense 48 51.82 -3.82
3 Randers 24 27.74 -3.74
4 Esbjerg 49 52.03 -3.03
5 FC Copenhagen 57 60.00 -3.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Copenhagen 7 Mar 13 – May 1 1 in 87
2 Nordsjaelland 3 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 67
3 Viborg 3 Sep 26 – Oct 17 1 in 24
4 Aalborg 5 Apr 24 – May 19 1 in 20
5 Odense 3 Sep 12 – Sep 22 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Silkeborg 6 Aug 29 – Oct 3 1 in 222
2 Midtjylland 3 Apr 24 – May 8 1 in 88
3 Esbjerg 3 Sep 22 – Oct 3 1 in 49
4 Odense 3 Sep 26 – Oct 16 1 in 33
5 Aalborg 3 Aug 8 – Aug 29 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brondby 19 Aug 1 – Mar 20 1 in 132
2 Silkeborg 7 Apr 2 – May 8 1 in 108
3 Viborg 7 Sep 22 – Nov 3 1 in 42
4 FC Copenhagen 10 Nov 14 – May 1 1 in 19
5 Randers 4 Apr 3 – Apr 17 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odense 9 Nov 27 – May 8 1 in 162
2 Viborg 5 Nov 3 – Nov 28 1 in 26
3 Nordsjaelland 11 Sep 19 – Nov 25 1 in 26
4 FC Copenhagen 4 Jul 24 – Aug 15 1 in 18
5 Brondby 4 Mar 13 – Apr 10 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Brondby 1748 69 +24 13 10.3 +2.7
Midtjylland 1637 57 +20 10 6.9 +3.1
FC Copenhagen 1693 57 -2 8 9.1 -1.1
Aalborg 1637 53 -11 5 6.6 -1.6
Esbjerg 1636 49 -14 5 7.2 -2.2
Odense 1627 48 +9 9 8.2 +0.8
Viborg 1572 48 -3 9 9.0 +0.0
Silkeborg 1548 47 +15 11 7.4 +3.6
Aarhus GF 1508 39 -21 1 5.4 -4.4
Nordsjaelland 1467 30 +12 9 5.8 +3.2
Herfolge 1417 25 -10 2 3.5 -1.5
Randers 1383 24 -19 1 3.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL AG BRO ESB FC HER MID NOR ODE RAN SIL VIB
Aalborg —
1-1-1
4.77
0-3-0
3.34
1-1-1
3.63
0-1-2
3.23
2-0-1
5.52
1-0-2
4.51
3-0-0
5.95
2-1-0
3.64
2-1-0
6.39
2-0-1
5.50
1-0-2
4.85
Aarhus GF
1-1-1
3.50
—
0-1-2
2.43
1-0-2
2.91
1-0-2
2.31
2-0-1
5.28
2-1-0
3.47
1-1-1
4.32
1-1-1
2.82
2-0-1
4.97
0-1-2
3.77
0-0-3
3.86
Brondby
0-3-0
4.93
2-1-0
5.91
—
1-2-0
4.89
2-0-1
3.87
3-0-0
6.51
1-0-2
5.57
2-1-0
6.70
1-1-1
5.36
3-0-0
7.14
2-1-0
6.13
3-0-0
5.60
Esbjerg
1-1-1
4.63
2-0-1
5.38
0-2-1
3.37
—
0-2-1
3.18
2-1-0
6.10
1-1-1
4.49
2-0-1
5.32
2-0-1
4.43
1-2-0
6.18
1-0-2
4.92
1-1-1
4.32
FC Copenhagen
2-1-0
5.05
2-0-1
6.05
1-0-2
4.38
1-2-0
5.10
—
2-1-0
6.65
1-0-2
4.60
3-0-0
5.93
1-2-0
5.16
2-1-0
6.71
0-1-2
5.69
1-1-1
5.13
Herfolge
1-0-2
2.79
1-0-2
3.01
0-0-3
1.93
0-1-2
2.27
0-1-2
1.81
—
0-0-3
2.77
1-1-1
4.25
0-0-3
2.13
2-1-0
4.32
1-1-1
2.87
0-2-1
3.07
Midtjylland
2-0-1
3.74
0-1-2
4.80
2-0-1
2.74
1-1-1
3.77
2-0-1
3.65
3-0-0
5.55
—
1-1-1
5.76
1-1-1
4.32
3-0-0
6.52
2-1-0
5.18
0-1-2
4.79
Nordsjaelland
0-0-3
2.39
1-1-1
3.94
0-1-2
1.76
1-0-2
2.99
0-0-3
2.43
1-1-1
4.01
1-1-1
2.56
—
0-1-2
2.46
1-1-1
5.11
0-0-3
3.87
3-0-0
2.70
Odense
0-1-2
4.62
1-1-1
5.49
1-1-1
2.93
1-0-2
3.84
0-2-1
3.13
3-0-0
6.26
1-1-1
3.93
2-1-0
5.88
—
2-1-0
6.45
2-0-1
4.67
0-1-2
4.83
Randers
0-1-2
2.03
1-0-2
3.31
0-0-3
1.40
0-2-1
2.19
0-1-2
1.75
0-1-2
3.94
0-0-3
1.91
1-1-1
3.18
0-1-2
1.97
—
2-1-0
3.11
1-1-1
2.12
Silkeborg
1-0-2
2.80
2-1-0
4.51
0-1-2
2.24
2-0-1
3.35
2-1-0
2.64
1-1-1
5.42
0-1-2
3.12
3-0-0
4.37
1-0-2
3.59
0-1-2
5.17
—
1-2-0
3.14
Viborg
2-0-1
3.42
3-0-0
4.39
0-0-3
2.71
1-1-1
3.92
1-1-1
3.14
1-2-0
5.23
2-1-0
3.48
0-0-3
5.62
2-1-0
3.44
1-1-1
6.27
0-2-1
5.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +9.9
Allowed 0.93 -10.3
Differential 0.90 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%7.32%5.05%2.27%2.53%0.76%25.00%
17.32%10.61%9.34%3.28%1.01%0.76%32.32%
25.05%9.34%5.56%3.54%1.01%0.25%24.75%
32.27%3.28%3.54%1.01%0.51%0.25%10.86%
42.53%1.01%1.01%0.51%——5.05%
5+0.76%0.76%0.25%0.25%——2.02%
Total25.00%32.32%24.75%10.86%5.05%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.89
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%——3.03%—12.12%
16.06%15.15%15.15%—3.03%—39.39%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
36.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.36 +0.42
SD 1.27 1.14 1.71
CV 0.71 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—18.18%
13.03%3.03%21.21%12.12%——39.39%
26.06%12.12%9.09%———27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%33.33%18.18%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.61 -0.18
SD 1.03 1.09 1.70
CV 0.72 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%—3.03%——18.18%
112.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
218.18%12.12%3.03%———33.33%
3—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total54.55%30.30%6.06%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.70 +1.15
SD 1.58 0.95 1.95
CV 0.86 1.37 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
112.12%9.09%12.12%———33.33%
2——12.12%3.03%3.03%—18.18%
33.03%6.06%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
Total27.27%24.24%36.36%3.03%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.42 +0.42
SD 1.60 1.20 1.89
CV 0.87 0.84 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
19.09%15.15%—3.03%3.03%—30.30%
29.09%12.12%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%33.33%15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.18 +0.42
SD 1.17 1.29 1.92
CV 0.73 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%12.12%6.06%—6.06%39.39%
19.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%42.42%
2—3.03%—3.03%3.03%3.03%12.12%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%27.27%27.27%12.12%6.06%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.15 -1.27
SD 0.96 1.84 2.00
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%—3.03%3.03%—18.18%
115.15%6.06%12.12%6.06%——39.39%
26.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
33.03%9.09%————12.12%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%15.15%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.21 +0.27
SD 1.12 1.17 1.63
CV 0.76 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%15.15%—3.03%—36.36%
13.03%3.03%12.12%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
26.06%9.09%6.06%12.12%——33.33%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%21.21%39.39%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.79 -0.70
SD 0.98 1.41 1.63
CV 0.90 0.79 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%———21.21%
13.03%15.15%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
23.03%6.06%—3.03%3.03%—15.15%
36.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%6.06%————9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%24.24%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.24 +0.61
SD 1.72 1.06 2.08
CV 0.93 0.85 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%12.12%9.09%9.09%—45.45%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%—3.03%30.30%
2—3.03%12.12%3.03%——18.18%
3———————
43.03%——3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total12.12%27.27%30.30%18.18%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.94 -1.03
SD 1.10 1.27 1.79
CV 1.21 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%—3.03%6.06%—27.27%
16.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
2—9.09%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
33.03%6.06%9.09%—3.03%—21.21%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%24.24%6.06%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.58 -0.06
SD 1.28 1.20 1.71
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
13.03%12.12%3.03%—3.03%—21.21%
26.06%27.27%6.06%6.06%——45.45%
3——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%48.48%21.21%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.36 -0.06
SD 0.95 1.14 1.25
CV 0.73 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Brondby 1748 69 62.66 +6.34 86.0% 44 52 58 63 67 72 84
FC Copenhagen 1693 57 60.00 -3.00 36.0% 42 46 54 60 66 72 78
Midtjylland 1637 57 50.25 +6.75 84.0% 36 39 45 50 54 61 69
Aalborg 1637 53 51.63 +1.37 62.0% 37 40 48 51 55 62 68
Esbjerg 1636 49 52.03 -3.03 37.0% 35 38 46 53 57 63 73
Odense 1627 48 51.82 -3.82 33.0% 33 40 47 52 56 63 69
Viborg 1572 48 47.74 +0.26 52.0% 29 35 43 48 53 58 64
Silkeborg 1548 47 41.26 +5.74 78.0% 28 30 36 40 47 54 62
Aarhus GF 1508 39 38.73 +0.27 58.0% 25 28 33 38 43 52 63
Nordsjaelland 1467 30 32.97 -2.97 44.0% 18 24 28 33 37 44 52
Herfolge 1417 25 31.95 -6.95 16.0% 16 20 27 33 36 41 49
Randers 1383 24 27.74 -3.74 35.0% 13 17 23 27 33 38 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.21%
Strong Edge
48.48%24.24%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
074.83400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.61 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Brondby, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.35 * Lucky: 8.35 to 11.14 * Wild Swing: 11.14 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.18 * Close: 1.18 to 1.77 * Off: 1.77 to 2.36 * Way Off: 2.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.79 * A Surprise: 0.79 to 1.26 * Several Surprises: 1.26 to 1.74 * Many Surprises: 1.74 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.32 points
As Expected
06.9617
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.483
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
86.00%
Brondby
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
Herfolge
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.82

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 111.54
1.80
Strong Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Wide Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Dominant
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Lopsided
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.40
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Brondby46.00%32.00%14.00%6.00%1.00%——1.00%————
FC Copenhagen31.00%30.00%10.00%13.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%————
Midtjylland3.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%21.00%13.00%19.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%——
Aalborg3.00%9.00%17.00%12.00%20.00%21.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%——
Esbjerg7.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%———
Odense6.00%9.00%20.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%——
Viborg1.00%1.00%10.00%16.00%13.00%17.00%17.00%15.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%—
Silkeborg1.00%—1.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%20.00%18.00%15.00%10.00%—
Aarhus GF2.00%—1.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%25.00%11.00%16.00%6.00%
Nordsjaelland————1.00%3.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%25.00%30.00%15.00%
Herfolge——————3.00%11.00%10.00%26.00%25.00%25.00%
Randers—————2.00%—2.00%8.00%17.00%17.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aalborg 100% —
Brondby 100% —
Esbjerg 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
Odense 100% —
Viborg 98.00% 2.00%
Silkeborg 90.00% 10.00%
Aarhus GF 78.00% 22.00%
Nordsjaelland 55.00% 45.00%
Herfolge 50.00% 50.00%
Randers 29.00% 71.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-07-24 FC Copenhagen D 2-274.9 1536 1696 26.57% 24.73% 48.69%-0.55 +0.5 1
2004-07-24 @ Silkeborg D 2-274.9 1696 1536 48.69% 24.73% 26.57%+0.55 -0.5 1
2004-07-25 Aarhus GF D 2-267.9 1498 1504 47.14% 24.98% 27.88%+0.45 -0.4 1
2004-07-25 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-267.9 1504 1498 27.88% 24.98% 47.14%-0.45 +0.4 1
2004-07-25 Midtjylland L 1-266.1 1612 1613 47.87% 24.87% 27.26%+0.48 -6.4 0
2004-07-25 @ Aalborg W 2-166.1 1613 1612 27.26% 24.87% 47.87%-0.48 +6.4 3
2004-07-25 Odense L 1-269.1 1678 1618 55.55% 23.18% 21.28%+0.87 -7.3 0
2004-07-25 @ Brondby W 2-169.1 1618 1678 21.28% 23.18% 55.55%-0.87 +7.3 3
2004-07-25 Viborg D 0-060.2 1491 1573 36.42% 25.70% 37.88%-0.05 +0.0 1
2004-07-25 @ Herfolge D 0-060.2 1573 1491 37.88% 25.70% 36.42%+0.05 -0.0 1
2004-07-31 Odense W 2-160.5 1619 1625 47.10% 24.99% 27.91%+0.45 +4.2 6
2004-07-31 @ Midtjylland L 1-260.5 1625 1619 27.91% 24.99% 47.10%-0.45 -4.2 3
2004-08-01 Aarhus GF W 3-150.3 1536 1504 52.06% 24.06% 23.87%+0.69 +6.4 4
2004-08-01 @ Silkeborg L 1-350.3 1504 1536 23.87% 24.06% 52.06%-0.69 -6.4 1
2004-08-01 Esbjerg D 2-276.9 1696 1626 56.64% 22.86% 20.50%+0.93 -0.9 2
2004-08-01 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-276.9 1626 1696 20.50% 22.86% 56.64%-0.93 +0.9 1
2004-08-01 Herfolge L 0-148.7 1428 1491 39.21% 25.68% 35.12%+0.08 -5.8 0
2004-08-01 @ Randers W 1-048.7 1491 1428 35.12% 25.68% 39.21%-0.08 +5.8 4
2004-08-01 Nordsjaelland W 2-044.2 1606 1498 61.19% 21.33% 17.48%+1.18 +5.4 3
2004-08-01 @ Aalborg L 0-244.2 1498 1606 17.48% 21.33% 61.19%-1.18 -5.4 1
2004-08-01 Viborg W 2-048.1 1670 1573 59.97% 21.77% 18.26%+1.12 +5.7 3
2004-08-01 @ Brondby L 0-248.1 1573 1670 18.26% 21.77% 59.97%-1.12 -5.7 1
2004-08-07 FC Copenhagen W 3-271.0 1567 1695 30.41% 25.34% 44.25%-0.34 +5.7 4
2004-08-07 @ Viborg L 2-371.0 1695 1567 44.25% 25.34% 30.41%+0.34 -5.7 2
2004-08-08 Aalborg W 2-161.7 1497 1611 32.01% 25.50% 42.49%-0.26 +5.9 7
2004-08-08 @ Herfolge L 1-261.7 1611 1497 42.49% 25.50% 32.01%+0.26 -5.9 3
2004-08-08 Brondby D 0-064.0 1498 1676 24.67% 24.29% 51.04%-0.67 +0.9 2
2004-08-08 @ Aarhus GF D 0-064.0 1676 1498 51.04% 24.29% 24.67%+0.67 -0.9 4
2004-08-08 Midtjylland W 3-049.7 1627 1623 48.43% 24.78% 26.79%+0.51 +11.8 4
2004-08-08 @ Esbjerg L 0-349.7 1623 1627 26.79% 24.78% 48.43%-0.51 -11.8 6
2004-08-08 Randers W 5-140.9 1621 1422 70.60% 17.27% 12.13%+1.77 +5.7 6
2004-08-08 @ Odense L 1-540.9 1422 1621 12.13% 17.27% 70.60%-1.77 -5.7 0
2004-08-08 Silkeborg L 2-363.8 1492 1543 40.97% 25.60% 33.43%+0.16 -5.4 1
2004-08-08 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-263.8 1543 1492 33.43% 25.60% 40.97%-0.16 +5.4 7
2004-08-14 Aarhus GF L 0-342.4 1417 1499 36.43% 25.70% 37.87%-0.05 -15.1 0
2004-08-14 @ Randers W 3-042.4 1499 1417 37.87% 25.70% 36.43%+0.05 +15.1 5
2004-08-15 Esbjerg W 2-162.9 1548 1639 35.17% 25.68% 39.15%-0.11 +5.5 10
2004-08-15 @ Silkeborg L 1-262.9 1639 1548 39.15% 25.68% 35.17%+0.11 -5.5 4
2004-08-15 Midtjylland W 2-158.5 1675 1611 56.00% 23.05% 20.95%+0.90 +3.2 7
2004-08-15 @ Brondby L 1-258.5 1611 1675 20.95% 23.05% 56.00%-0.90 -3.2 6
2004-08-15 Nordsjaelland L 0-250.8 1503 1487 49.95% 24.51% 25.55%+0.59 -13.3 7
2004-08-15 @ Herfolge W 2-050.8 1487 1503 25.55% 24.51% 49.95%-0.59 +13.3 4
2004-08-15 Odense D 1-171.1 1689 1626 55.85% 23.09% 21.06%+0.89 -1.1 3
2004-08-15 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.1 1626 1689 21.06% 23.09% 55.85%-0.89 +1.1 7
2004-08-15 Viborg L 1-266.1 1606 1573 52.12% 24.05% 23.83%+0.69 -6.9 3
2004-08-15 @ Aalborg W 2-166.1 1573 1606 23.83% 24.05% 52.12%-0.69 +6.9 7
2004-08-29 Aalborg W 3-262.7 1688 1599 59.01% 22.10% 18.89%+1.06 +2.8 6
2004-08-29 @ FC Copenhagen L 2-362.7 1599 1688 18.89% 22.10% 59.01%-1.06 -2.8 3
2004-08-29 Aarhus GF L 0-258.6 1628 1514 61.79% 21.11% 17.10%+1.22 -15.8 7
2004-08-29 @ Odense W 2-058.6 1514 1628 17.10% 21.11% 61.79%-1.22 +15.8 8
2004-08-29 Herfolge W 7-245.9 1634 1489 65.14% 19.76% 15.10%+1.42 +7.5 7
2004-08-29 @ Esbjerg L 2-745.9 1489 1634 15.10% 19.76% 65.14%-1.42 -7.5 7
2004-08-29 Nordsjaelland L 0-159.2 1580 1500 57.90% 22.47% 19.63%+1.00 -8.0 7
2004-08-29 @ Viborg W 1-059.2 1500 1580 19.63% 22.47% 57.90%-1.00 +8.0 7
2004-08-29 Randers W 3-143.4 1608 1402 71.39% 16.88% 11.73%+1.82 +3.0 9
2004-08-29 @ Midtjylland L 1-343.4 1402 1608 11.73% 16.88% 71.39%-1.82 -3.0 0
2004-08-29 Silkeborg W 1-050.3 1678 1554 63.04% 20.62% 16.34%+1.29 +2.7 10
2004-08-29 @ Brondby L 0-150.3 1554 1678 16.34% 20.62% 63.04%-1.29 -2.7 10
2004-09-11 FC Copenhagen D 0-062.7 1399 1691 15.50% 20.05% 64.45%-1.41 +1.8 1
2004-09-11 @ Randers D 0-062.7 1691 1399 64.45% 20.05% 15.50%+1.41 -1.8 7
2004-09-12 Brondby D 1-169.8 1596 1681 35.99% 25.70% 38.32%-0.07 +0.1 4
2004-09-12 @ Aalborg D 1-169.8 1681 1596 38.32% 25.70% 35.99%+0.07 -0.1 11
2004-09-12 Esbjerg W 2-163.6 1508 1641 29.73% 25.26% 45.00%-0.38 +6.1 10
2004-09-12 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-263.6 1641 1508 45.00% 25.26% 29.73%+0.38 -6.1 7
2004-09-12 Midtjylland L 0-152.2 1482 1611 30.16% 25.32% 44.53%-0.35 -4.8 7
2004-09-12 @ Herfolge W 1-052.2 1611 1482 44.53% 25.32% 30.16%+0.35 +4.8 12
2004-09-12 Odense L 1-262.4 1551 1612 39.48% 25.67% 34.85%+0.09 -5.5 10
2004-09-12 @ Silkeborg W 2-162.4 1612 1551 34.85% 25.67% 39.48%-0.09 +5.5 10
2004-09-12 Viborg L 1-261.3 1530 1572 42.11% 25.53% 32.36%+0.21 -5.8 8
2004-09-12 @ Aarhus GF W 2-161.3 1572 1530 32.36% 25.53% 42.11%-0.21 +5.8 10
2004-09-18 Silkeborg W 2-155.8 1616 1545 56.82% 22.81% 20.38%+0.94 +3.2 15
2004-09-18 @ Midtjylland L 1-255.8 1545 1616 20.38% 22.81% 56.82%-0.94 -3.2 10
2004-09-19 Aalborg W 1-053.3 1635 1596 52.95% 23.86% 23.20%+0.74 +3.8 10
2004-09-19 @ Esbjerg L 0-153.3 1596 1635 23.20% 23.86% 52.95%-0.74 -3.8 4
2004-09-19 Brondby L 1-365.3 1689 1681 48.92% 24.70% 26.39%+0.53 -11.3 7
2004-09-19 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-165.3 1681 1689 26.39% 24.70% 48.92%-0.53 +11.3 14
2004-09-19 Herfolge W 2-042.7 1524 1477 53.93% 23.61% 22.46%+0.79 +7.0 11
2004-09-19 @ Aarhus GF L 0-242.7 1477 1524 22.46% 23.61% 53.93%-0.79 -6.9 7
2004-09-19 Nordsjaelland W 4-042.8 1617 1514 60.58% 21.56% 17.87%+1.15 +10.5 13
2004-09-19 @ Odense L 0-442.8 1514 1617 17.87% 21.56% 60.58%-1.15 -10.5 10
2004-09-19 Randers L 0-157.4 1578 1400 68.55% 18.24% 13.21%+1.63 -9.1 10
2004-09-19 @ Viborg W 1-057.4 1400 1578 13.21% 18.24% 68.55%-1.63 +9.1 4
2004-09-22 Aarhus GF W 2-154.3 1678 1531 65.38% 19.66% 14.96%+1.43 +2.3 10
2004-09-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-254.3 1531 1678 14.96% 19.66% 65.38%-1.43 -2.3 11
2004-09-22 Herfolge L 2-462.9 1542 1470 57.00% 22.75% 20.25%+0.95 -11.5 10
2004-09-22 @ Silkeborg W 4-262.9 1470 1542 20.25% 22.75% 57.00%-0.95 +11.5 10
2004-09-22 Nordsjaelland D 0-066.5 1692 1504 69.65% 17.73% 12.63%+1.70 -2.1 15
2004-09-22 @ Brondby D 0-066.5 1504 1692 12.63% 17.73% 69.65%-1.70 +2.1 11
2004-09-22 Odense L 2-468.3 1639 1628 49.35% 24.62% 26.03%+0.56 -10.2 10
2004-09-22 @ Esbjerg W 4-268.3 1628 1639 26.03% 24.62% 49.35%-0.56 +10.2 16
2004-09-22 Randers W 3-036.2 1592 1410 69.07% 18.00% 12.93%+1.67 +5.6 7
2004-09-22 @ Aalborg L 0-336.2 1410 1592 12.93% 18.00% 69.07%-1.67 -5.6 4
2004-09-22 Viborg D 1-168.8 1619 1569 54.36% 23.50% 22.14%+0.81 -1.0 16
2004-09-22 @ Midtjylland D 1-168.8 1569 1619 22.14% 23.50% 54.36%-0.81 +1.0 11
2004-09-25 Brondby L 1-451.2 1482 1690 21.76% 23.36% 54.88%-0.87 -8.3 10
2004-09-25 @ Herfolge W 4-151.2 1690 1482 54.88% 23.36% 21.76%+0.87 +8.3 18
2004-09-26 Aalborg L 1-364.6 1638 1598 53.09% 23.82% 23.09%+0.74 -12.1 16
2004-09-26 @ Odense W 3-164.6 1598 1638 23.09% 23.82% 53.09%-0.74 +12.1 10
2004-09-26 Esbjerg W 2-053.2 1570 1629 39.76% 25.66% 34.59%+0.10 +10.0 14
2004-09-26 @ Viborg L 0-253.2 1629 1570 34.59% 25.66% 39.76%-0.10 -10.0 10
2004-09-26 FC Copenhagen L 1-258.3 1506 1680 25.13% 24.40% 50.47%-0.64 -3.8 11
2004-09-26 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-158.3 1680 1506 50.47% 24.40% 25.13%+0.64 +3.9 13
2004-09-26 Midtjylland W 3-158.8 1529 1618 35.40% 25.68% 38.92%-0.09 +9.5 14
2004-09-26 @ Aarhus GF L 1-358.8 1618 1529 38.92% 25.68% 35.40%+0.09 -9.5 16
2004-09-26 Silkeborg W 4-363.9 1404 1531 30.47% 25.35% 44.18%-0.34 +5.6 7
2004-09-26 @ Randers L 3-463.9 1531 1404 44.18% 25.35% 30.47%+0.34 -5.6 10
2004-10-02 Herfolge W 2-042.6 1684 1473 71.74% 16.71% 11.55%+1.85 +3.4 16
2004-10-02 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-242.6 1473 1684 11.55% 16.71% 71.74%-1.85 -3.4 10
2004-10-03 Aarhus GF L 1-266.8 1619 1538 57.99% 22.44% 19.57%+1.01 -7.5 10
2004-10-03 @ Esbjerg W 2-166.8 1538 1619 19.57% 22.44% 57.99%-1.01 +7.5 17
2004-10-03 Nordsjaelland D 1-167.3 1609 1502 60.99% 21.41% 17.60%+1.17 -1.4 17
2004-10-03 @ Midtjylland D 1-167.3 1502 1609 17.60% 21.41% 60.99%-1.17 +1.4 12
2004-10-03 Randers W 2-039.1 1699 1409 78.58% 13.12% 8.30%+2.36 +2.3 21
2004-10-03 @ Brondby L 0-239.1 1409 1699 8.30% 13.12% 78.58%-2.36 -2.3 7
2004-10-03 Silkeborg W 1-049.3 1610 1525 58.50% 22.27% 19.23%+1.03 +3.2 13
2004-10-03 @ Aalborg L 0-149.3 1525 1610 19.23% 22.27% 58.50%-1.03 -3.2 10
2004-10-03 Viborg L 0-258.6 1626 1580 53.83% 23.64% 22.53%+0.78 -14.2 16
2004-10-03 @ Odense W 2-058.6 1580 1626 22.53% 23.64% 53.83%-0.78 +14.2 17
2004-10-16 Odense W 2-158.0 1701 1612 59.02% 22.10% 18.88%+1.06 +2.9 24
2004-10-16 @ Brondby L 1-258.0 1612 1701 18.88% 22.10% 59.02%-1.06 -2.9 16
2004-10-17 Aalborg D 2-273.0 1546 1613 38.53% 25.69% 35.78%+0.05 -0.1 18
2004-10-17 @ Aarhus GF D 2-273.0 1613 1546 35.78% 25.69% 38.53%-0.05 +0.1 14
2004-10-17 Esbjerg L 2-364.1 1504 1611 32.94% 25.57% 41.48%-0.21 -4.6 12
2004-10-17 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-264.1 1611 1504 41.48% 25.57% 32.94%+0.21 +4.6 13
2004-10-17 FC Copenhagen W 4-160.7 1522 1687 26.05% 24.62% 49.33%-0.58 +16.2 13
2004-10-17 @ Silkeborg L 1-460.7 1687 1522 49.33% 24.62% 26.05%+0.58 -16.1 16
2004-10-17 Midtjylland W 2-160.0 1594 1607 46.10% 25.13% 28.77%+0.40 +4.3 20
2004-10-17 @ Viborg L 1-260.0 1607 1594 28.77% 25.13% 46.10%-0.40 -4.3 17
2004-10-17 Randers W 3-251.5 1470 1407 55.88% 23.08% 21.04%+0.89 +3.1 13
2004-10-17 @ Herfolge L 2-351.5 1407 1470 21.04% 23.08% 55.88%-0.89 -3.1 7
2004-10-20 Esbjerg D 1-163.5 1404 1616 21.51% 23.27% 55.22%-0.88 +1.1 8
2004-10-20 @ Randers D 1-163.5 1616 1404 55.22% 23.27% 21.51%+0.88 -1.1 14
2004-10-23 Brondby L 0-243.2 1405 1704 15.09% 19.76% 65.16%-1.45 -4.6 8
2004-10-23 @ Randers W 2-043.2 1704 1405 65.16% 19.76% 15.09%+1.45 +4.6 27
2004-10-24 Aarhus GF W 3-152.8 1615 1546 56.63% 22.86% 20.51%+0.93 +5.5 17
2004-10-24 @ Esbjerg L 1-352.8 1546 1615 20.51% 22.86% 56.63%-0.93 -5.5 18
2004-10-24 Herfolge W 3-040.6 1613 1473 64.69% 19.95% 15.36%+1.39 +6.8 17
2004-10-24 @ Aalborg L 0-340.6 1473 1613 15.36% 19.95% 64.69%-1.39 -6.8 13
2004-10-24 Nordsjaelland W 2-044.3 1603 1499 60.70% 21.51% 17.79%+1.16 +5.5 20
2004-10-24 @ Midtjylland L 0-244.3 1499 1603 17.79% 21.51% 60.70%-1.16 -5.5 12
2004-10-24 Silkeborg W 3-044.8 1609 1538 56.82% 22.80% 20.37%+0.94 +9.2 19
2004-10-24 @ Odense L 0-344.8 1538 1609 20.37% 22.80% 56.82%-0.94 -9.2 13
2004-10-24 Viborg D 0-066.3 1671 1598 57.07% 22.73% 20.20%+0.95 -1.3 17
2004-10-24 @ FC Copenhagen D 0-066.3 1598 1671 20.20% 22.73% 57.07%-0.95 +1.3 21
2004-10-30 FC Copenhagen L 2-362.8 1493 1670 24.89% 24.34% 50.77%-0.66 -3.6 12
2004-10-30 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-262.8 1670 1493 50.77% 24.34% 24.89%+0.66 +3.6 20
2004-10-30 Midtjylland D 2-272.7 1540 1608 38.40% 25.69% 35.90%+0.04 -0.1 19
2004-10-30 @ Aarhus GF D 2-272.7 1608 1540 35.90% 25.69% 38.40%-0.04 +0.1 21
2004-10-31 Brondby L 0-153.9 1529 1708 24.54% 24.25% 51.20%-0.68 -4.0 13
2004-10-31 @ Silkeborg W 1-053.9 1708 1529 51.20% 24.25% 24.54%+0.68 +4.0 30
2004-10-31 Esbjerg D 1-165.4 1466 1620 27.28% 24.87% 47.85%-0.51 +0.6 14
2004-10-31 @ Herfolge D 1-165.4 1620 1466 47.85% 24.87% 27.28%+0.51 -0.6 18
2004-10-31 Odense W 1-055.3 1600 1618 45.41% 25.22% 29.38%+0.37 +4.7 24
2004-10-31 @ Viborg L 0-155.3 1618 1600 29.38% 25.22% 45.41%-0.37 -4.7 19
2004-10-31 Randers D 1-165.7 1620 1401 72.60% 16.28% 11.12%+1.90 -2.0 18
2004-10-31 @ Aalborg D 1-165.7 1401 1620 11.12% 16.28% 72.60%-1.90 +2.0 9
2004-11-03 Aalborg W 2-161.6 1540 1618 37.02% 25.70% 37.27%-0.02 +5.3 22
2004-11-03 @ Aarhus GF L 1-261.6 1618 1540 37.27% 25.70% 37.02%+0.02 -5.3 18
2004-11-03 Brondby D 2-276.1 1619 1712 34.91% 25.67% 39.42%-0.12 +0.1 19
2004-11-03 @ Esbjerg D 2-276.1 1712 1619 39.42% 25.67% 34.91%+0.12 -0.1 31
2004-11-03 FC Copenhagen W 2-055.0 1608 1673 38.92% 25.68% 35.40%+0.07 +10.2 24
2004-11-03 @ Midtjylland L 0-255.0 1673 1608 35.40% 25.68% 38.92%-0.07 -10.2 20
2004-11-03 Herfolge W 5-040.3 1613 1467 65.36% 19.67% 14.97%+1.43 +10.7 22
2004-11-03 @ Odense L 0-540.3 1467 1613 14.97% 19.67% 65.36%-1.43 -10.7 14
2004-11-03 Randers D 2-264.9 1490 1403 58.80% 22.18% 19.03%+1.05 -1.0 13
2004-11-03 @ Nordsjaelland D 2-264.9 1403 1490 19.03% 22.18% 58.80%-1.05 +1.0 10
2004-11-03 Silkeborg D 1-167.5 1604 1525 57.85% 22.48% 19.66%+1.00 -1.2 25
2004-11-03 @ Viborg D 1-167.5 1525 1604 19.66% 22.48% 57.85%-1.00 +1.2 14
2004-11-06 Aalborg L 2-371.6 1620 1613 48.80% 24.72% 26.49%+0.53 -6.2 19
2004-11-06 @ Esbjerg W 3-271.6 1613 1620 26.49% 24.72% 48.80%-0.53 +6.2 21
2004-11-06 Viborg W 1-052.1 1712 1603 61.32% 21.29% 17.40%+1.19 +2.9 34
2004-11-06 @ Brondby L 0-152.1 1603 1712 17.40% 21.29% 61.32%-1.19 -2.9 25
2004-11-07 Aarhus GF L 2-374.0 1663 1545 62.25% 20.93% 16.82%+1.25 -7.6 20
2004-11-07 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-274.0 1545 1663 16.82% 20.93% 62.25%-1.25 +7.6 25
2004-11-07 Herfolge W 1-044.8 1619 1456 67.03% 18.94% 14.03%+1.54 +2.2 27
2004-11-07 @ Midtjylland L 0-144.8 1456 1619 14.03% 18.94% 67.03%-1.54 -2.3 14
2004-11-07 Nordsjaelland W 7-144.5 1624 1489 64.15% 20.18% 15.68%+1.36 +11.0 25
2004-11-07 @ Odense L 1-744.5 1489 1624 15.68% 20.18% 64.15%-1.36 -11.0 13
2004-11-07 Silkeborg W 4-044.6 1404 1526 30.99% 25.41% 43.60%-0.31 +22.7 13
2004-11-07 @ Randers L 0-444.6 1526 1404 43.60% 25.41% 30.99%+0.31 -22.7 14
2004-11-13 Midtjylland W 2-160.3 1619 1621 47.62% 24.91% 27.47%+0.47 +4.2 24
2004-11-13 @ Aalborg L 1-260.3 1621 1619 27.47% 24.91% 47.62%-0.47 -4.2 27
2004-11-13 Silkeborg D 1-166.9 1600 1504 59.87% 21.81% 18.32%+1.11 -1.3 26
2004-11-13 @ Viborg D 1-166.9 1504 1600 18.32% 21.81% 59.87%-1.11 +1.3 15
2004-11-14 Brondby L 0-150.9 1478 1715 19.35% 22.34% 58.31%-1.05 -3.2 13
2004-11-14 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-050.9 1715 1478 58.31% 22.34% 19.35%+1.05 +3.2 37
2004-11-14 FC Copenhagen L 0-149.9 1454 1655 22.41% 23.60% 53.99%-0.82 -3.7 14
2004-11-14 @ Herfolge W 1-049.9 1655 1454 53.99% 23.60% 22.41%+0.82 +3.7 23
2004-11-14 Odense D 3-377.8 1553 1635 36.43% 25.70% 37.87%-0.05 +0.0 26
2004-11-14 @ Aarhus GF D 3-377.8 1635 1553 37.87% 25.70% 36.43%+0.05 -0.0 26
2004-11-14 Randers W 1-042.8 1613 1426 69.52% 17.79% 12.69%+1.70 +2.0 22
2004-11-14 @ Esbjerg L 0-142.8 1426 1613 12.69% 17.79% 69.52%-1.70 -2.0 13
2004-11-20 Esbjerg W 4-368.0 1617 1615 48.07% 24.84% 27.09%+0.49 +3.8 30
2004-11-20 @ Midtjylland L 3-468.0 1615 1617 27.09% 24.84% 48.07%-0.49 -3.8 22
2004-11-20 Herfolge W 2-041.2 1635 1450 69.27% 17.90% 12.82%+1.68 +3.8 29
2004-11-20 @ Odense L 0-241.2 1450 1635 12.82% 17.90% 69.27%-1.68 -3.8 14
2004-11-21 Aalborg W 4-048.5 1659 1623 52.57% 23.95% 23.48%+0.72 +13.7 26
2004-11-21 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-448.5 1623 1659 23.48% 23.95% 52.57%-0.72 -13.7 24
2004-11-21 Aarhus GF W 4-043.9 1718 1553 67.34% 18.80% 13.86%+1.56 +8.0 40
2004-11-21 @ Brondby L 0-443.9 1553 1718 13.86% 18.80% 67.34%-1.56 -8.0 26
2004-11-25 Nordsjaelland W 2-151.1 1505 1475 51.82% 24.12% 24.06%+0.68 +3.7 18
2004-11-25 @ Silkeborg L 1-251.1 1475 1505 24.06% 24.12% 51.82%-0.68 -3.7 13
2004-11-25 Viborg D 2-268.9 1424 1599 25.04% 24.38% 50.58%-0.65 +0.6 14
2004-11-25 @ Randers D 2-268.9 1599 1424 50.58% 24.38% 25.04%+0.65 -0.6 27
2004-11-27 FC Copenhagen D 1-169.9 1612 1673 39.41% 25.67% 34.92%+0.09 -0.1 23
2004-11-27 @ Esbjerg D 1-169.9 1673 1612 34.92% 25.67% 39.41%-0.09 +0.1 27
2004-11-27 Odense D 1-169.5 1609 1639 43.88% 25.38% 30.74%+0.29 -0.4 25
2004-11-27 @ Aalborg D 1-169.5 1639 1609 30.74% 25.38% 43.88%-0.29 +0.4 30
2004-11-28 Brondby L 1-254.2 1446 1726 16.28% 20.58% 63.14%-1.33 -2.5 14
2004-11-28 @ Herfolge W 2-154.2 1726 1446 63.14% 20.58% 16.28%+1.33 +2.5 43
2004-11-28 Randers W 2-148.0 1621 1425 70.36% 17.39% 12.25%+1.75 +1.8 33
2004-11-28 @ Midtjylland L 1-248.0 1425 1621 12.25% 17.39% 70.36%-1.75 -1.8 14
2004-11-28 Silkeborg L 1-359.4 1545 1509 52.62% 23.94% 23.45%+0.72 -12.0 26
2004-11-28 @ Aarhus GF W 3-159.4 1509 1545 23.45% 23.94% 52.62%-0.72 +12.0 21
2004-11-28 Viborg W 3-265.9 1471 1598 30.42% 25.35% 44.23%-0.34 +5.7 16
2004-11-28 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-365.9 1598 1471 44.23% 25.35% 30.42%+0.34 -5.7 27
2005-03-12 Aarhus GF W 2-155.2 1592 1533 55.49% 23.19% 21.32%+0.87 +3.3 30
2005-03-12 @ Viborg L 1-255.2 1533 1592 21.32% 23.19% 55.49%-0.87 -3.3 26
2005-03-13 Aalborg D 1-172.0 1729 1609 62.50% 20.84% 16.67%+1.26 -1.5 44
2005-03-13 @ Brondby D 1-172.0 1609 1729 16.67% 20.84% 62.50%-1.26 +1.5 26
2005-03-13 Esbjerg L 0-162.2 1639 1611 51.52% 24.19% 24.30%+0.66 -7.2 30
2005-03-13 @ Odense W 1-062.2 1611 1639 24.30% 24.19% 51.52%-0.66 +7.2 26
2005-03-13 Midtjylland W 4-048.2 1673 1622 54.39% 23.49% 22.12%+0.81 +13.0 30
2005-03-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-448.2 1622 1673 22.12% 23.49% 54.39%-0.81 -13.0 33
2005-03-19 Silkeborg W 3-151.3 1610 1521 59.09% 22.08% 18.84%+1.07 +5.1 29
2005-03-19 @ Aalborg L 1-351.3 1521 1610 18.84% 22.08% 59.09%-1.07 -5.1 21
2005-03-19 Viborg D 1-163.8 1444 1596 27.50% 24.92% 47.59%-0.50 +0.6 15
2005-03-19 @ Herfolge D 1-163.8 1596 1444 47.59% 24.92% 27.50%+0.50 -0.6 31
2005-03-20 Brondby D 0-066.5 1619 1727 32.79% 25.56% 41.65%-0.22 +0.3 27
2005-03-20 @ Esbjerg D 0-066.5 1727 1619 41.65% 25.56% 32.79%+0.22 -0.3 45
2005-03-20 Nordsjaelland W 2-151.3 1530 1477 54.67% 23.42% 21.91%+0.83 +3.4 29
2005-03-20 @ Aarhus GF L 1-251.3 1477 1530 21.91% 23.42% 54.67%-0.83 -3.4 16
2005-03-20 Odense D 0-065.1 1609 1632 44.84% 25.28% 29.88%+0.34 -0.5 34
2005-03-20 @ Midtjylland D 0-065.1 1632 1609 29.88% 25.28% 44.84%-0.34 +0.5 31
2005-03-20 Randers W 4-037.4 1686 1423 76.45% 14.27% 9.27%+2.19 +5.0 33
2005-03-20 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-437.4 1423 1686 9.27% 14.27% 76.45%-2.19 -5.0 14
2005-04-02 Esbjerg W 2-162.0 1516 1619 33.48% 25.61% 40.91%-0.19 +5.7 24
2005-04-02 @ Silkeborg L 1-262.0 1619 1516 40.91% 25.61% 33.48%+0.19 -5.7 27
2005-04-02 Midtjylland L 0-165.7 1727 1609 62.30% 20.91% 16.78%+1.25 -8.5 45
2005-04-02 @ Brondby W 1-065.7 1609 1727 16.78% 20.91% 62.30%-1.25 +8.5 37
2005-04-03 Aalborg W 2-160.5 1595 1615 45.15% 25.25% 29.61%+0.35 +4.4 34
2005-04-03 @ Viborg L 1-260.5 1615 1595 29.61% 25.25% 45.15%-0.35 -4.4 29
2005-04-03 Aarhus GF W 1-050.8 1418 1533 31.96% 25.50% 42.54%-0.26 +6.2 17
2005-04-03 @ Randers L 0-150.8 1533 1418 42.54% 25.50% 31.96%+0.26 -6.2 29
2005-04-03 FC Copenhagen L 1-265.4 1632 1691 39.81% 25.66% 34.54%+0.11 -5.6 31
2005-04-03 @ Odense W 2-165.4 1691 1632 34.54% 25.66% 39.81%-0.11 +5.6 36
2005-04-03 Herfolge D 0-055.3 1473 1445 51.65% 24.16% 24.19%+0.67 -0.9 17
2005-04-03 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-055.3 1445 1473 24.19% 24.16% 51.65%-0.67 +1.0 16
2005-04-06 Herfolge W 3-038.4 1521 1445 57.43% 22.62% 19.95%+0.97 +9.0 27
2005-04-06 @ Silkeborg L 0-338.4 1445 1521 19.95% 22.62% 57.43%-0.97 -9.0 16
2005-04-09 Nordsjaelland W 2-042.5 1611 1472 64.53% 20.02% 15.45%+1.38 +4.7 32
2005-04-09 @ Aalborg L 0-242.5 1472 1611 15.45% 20.02% 64.53%-1.38 -4.7 17
2005-04-09 Silkeborg D 0-063.9 1617 1530 58.78% 22.18% 19.04%+1.05 -1.4 38
2005-04-09 @ Midtjylland D 0-063.9 1530 1617 19.04% 22.18% 58.78%-1.05 +1.4 28
2005-04-10 Aarhus GF W 1-050.2 1436 1527 35.27% 25.68% 39.05%-0.10 +5.8 19
2005-04-10 @ Herfolge L 0-150.2 1527 1436 39.05% 25.68% 35.27%+0.10 -5.8 29
2005-04-10 Brondby W 3-052.5 1697 1719 44.90% 25.27% 29.83%+0.34 +12.9 39
2005-04-10 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-352.5 1719 1697 29.83% 25.27% 44.90%-0.34 -12.9 45
2005-04-10 Odense D 1-164.6 1424 1627 22.31% 23.56% 54.13%-0.83 +1.0 18
2005-04-10 @ Randers D 1-164.6 1627 1424 54.13% 23.56% 22.31%+0.83 -1.0 32
2005-04-10 Viborg W 4-153.7 1613 1600 49.69% 24.55% 25.75%+0.57 +9.6 30
2005-04-10 @ Esbjerg L 1-453.7 1600 1613 25.75% 24.55% 49.69%-0.57 -9.6 34
2005-04-13 Nordsjaelland W 2-151.0 1425 1468 42.07% 25.53% 32.39%+0.21 +4.8 21
2005-04-13 @ Randers L 1-251.0 1468 1425 32.39% 25.53% 42.07%-0.21 -4.8 17
2005-04-16 Brondby L 0-254.1 1590 1706 31.88% 25.49% 42.63%-0.26 -9.4 34
2005-04-16 @ Viborg W 2-054.1 1706 1590 42.63% 25.49% 31.88%+0.26 +9.4 48
2005-04-16 Esbjerg D 0-065.1 1616 1623 46.93% 25.01% 28.06%+0.44 -0.6 33
2005-04-16 @ Aalborg D 0-065.1 1623 1616 28.06% 25.01% 46.93%-0.44 +0.6 31
2005-04-17 FC Copenhagen L 1-258.7 1521 1709 23.65% 24.00% 52.35%-0.74 -3.6 29
2005-04-17 @ Aarhus GF W 2-158.7 1709 1521 52.35% 24.00% 23.65%+0.74 +3.6 42
2005-04-17 Midtjylland L 1-351.4 1442 1616 25.14% 24.41% 50.45%-0.64 -6.7 19
2005-04-17 @ Herfolge W 3-151.4 1616 1442 50.45% 24.41% 25.14%+0.64 +6.7 41
2005-04-17 Odense D 0-061.3 1463 1626 26.27% 24.67% 49.06%-0.57 +0.8 18
2005-04-17 @ Nordsjaelland D 0-061.3 1626 1463 49.06% 24.67% 26.27%+0.57 -0.8 33
2005-04-17 Randers D 2-267.4 1532 1430 60.45% 21.60% 17.95%+1.14 -1.0 29
2005-04-17 @ Silkeborg D 2-267.4 1430 1532 17.95% 21.60% 60.45%-1.14 +1.0 22
2005-04-23 Nordsjaelland W 2-042.1 1713 1464 75.29% 14.89% 9.82%+2.10 +2.8 45
2005-04-23 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-242.1 1464 1713 9.82% 14.89% 75.29%-2.10 -2.8 18
2005-04-24 Aalborg L 0-442.6 1431 1615 24.07% 24.12% 51.80%-0.71 -14.1 22
2005-04-24 @ Randers W 4-042.6 1615 1431 51.80% 24.12% 24.07%+0.71 +14.1 36
2005-04-24 Aarhus GF L 0-161.7 1623 1517 60.86% 21.46% 17.69%+1.17 -8.3 41
2005-04-24 @ Midtjylland W 1-061.7 1517 1623 17.69% 21.46% 60.86%-1.17 +8.3 32
2005-04-24 Herfolge W 5-141.8 1624 1436 69.59% 17.75% 12.65%+1.70 +6.0 34
2005-04-24 @ Esbjerg L 1-541.8 1436 1624 12.65% 17.75% 69.59%-1.70 -6.0 19
2005-04-24 Silkeborg D 0-067.4 1715 1531 69.25% 17.92% 12.83%+1.68 -2.1 49
2005-04-24 @ Brondby D 0-067.4 1531 1715 12.83% 17.92% 69.25%-1.68 +2.1 30
2005-04-24 Viborg D 0-064.9 1625 1581 53.63% 23.69% 22.68%+0.77 -1.1 34
2005-04-24 @ Odense D 0-064.9 1581 1625 22.68% 23.69% 53.63%-0.77 +1.1 35
2005-04-30 Randers W 2-039.6 1713 1417 79.13% 12.82% 8.05%+2.40 +2.2 52
2005-04-30 @ Brondby L 0-239.6 1417 1713 8.05% 12.82% 79.13%-2.40 -2.2 22
2005-05-01 Aalborg L 2-454.6 1430 1629 22.60% 23.66% 53.74%-0.81 -5.4 19
2005-05-01 @ Herfolge W 4-254.6 1629 1430 53.74% 23.66% 22.60%+0.81 +5.4 39
2005-05-01 Esbjerg L 0-155.1 1526 1630 33.42% 25.60% 40.97%-0.19 -5.2 32
2005-05-01 @ Aarhus GF W 1-055.1 1630 1526 40.97% 25.60% 33.42%+0.19 +5.2 37
2005-05-01 FC Copenhagen L 0-253.4 1582 1716 29.56% 25.24% 45.20%-0.38 -8.8 35
2005-05-01 @ Viborg W 2-053.4 1716 1582 45.20% 25.24% 29.56%+0.38 +8.8 48
2005-05-01 Midtjylland W 3-267.1 1461 1614 27.33% 24.88% 47.79%-0.51 +6.1 21
2005-05-01 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-367.1 1614 1461 47.79% 24.88% 27.33%+0.51 -6.1 41
2005-05-01 Odense W 4-263.3 1533 1624 35.13% 25.68% 39.19%-0.11 +8.5 33
2005-05-01 @ Silkeborg L 2-463.3 1624 1533 39.19% 25.68% 35.13%+0.11 -8.5 34
2005-05-07 Aarhus GF W 3-151.1 1635 1520 61.85% 21.08% 17.06%+1.22 +4.6 42
2005-05-07 @ Aalborg L 1-351.1 1520 1635 17.06% 21.08% 61.85%-1.22 -4.6 32
2005-05-08 Brondby D 1-170.5 1615 1715 33.98% 25.63% 40.38%-0.16 +0.2 35
2005-05-08 @ Odense D 1-170.5 1715 1615 40.38% 25.63% 33.98%+0.16 -0.2 53
2005-05-08 Herfolge D 1-156.9 1415 1424 46.61% 25.06% 28.33%+0.42 -0.5 23
2005-05-08 @ Randers D 1-156.9 1424 1415 28.33% 25.06% 46.61%-0.42 +0.6 20
2005-05-08 Nordsjaelland W 3-147.8 1635 1467 67.57% 18.69% 13.73%+1.57 +3.6 40
2005-05-08 @ Esbjerg L 1-347.8 1467 1635 13.73% 18.69% 67.57%-1.57 -3.6 21
2005-05-08 Silkeborg L 0-165.9 1725 1541 69.16% 17.96% 12.88%+1.67 -9.2 48
2005-05-08 @ FC Copenhagen W 1-065.9 1541 1725 12.88% 17.96% 69.16%-1.67 +9.2 36
2005-05-08 Viborg L 1-266.3 1608 1573 52.48% 23.97% 23.55%+0.71 -6.9 41
2005-05-08 @ Midtjylland W 2-166.3 1573 1608 23.55% 23.97% 52.48%-0.71 +6.9 38
2005-05-15 Midtjylland L 0-157.3 1550 1601 40.88% 25.61% 33.51%+0.15 -6.0 36
2005-05-15 @ Silkeborg W 1-057.3 1601 1550 33.51% 25.61% 40.88%-0.15 +6.0 44
2005-05-16 Aalborg L 0-150.6 1463 1639 24.92% 24.35% 50.73%-0.65 -4.0 21
2005-05-16 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-050.6 1639 1463 50.73% 24.35% 24.92%+0.65 +4.0 45
2005-05-16 Esbjerg D 2-274.4 1580 1638 39.80% 25.66% 34.54%+0.11 -0.1 39
2005-05-16 @ Viborg D 2-274.4 1638 1580 34.54% 25.66% 39.80%-0.11 +0.1 41
2005-05-16 FC Copenhagen W 5-051.9 1715 1716 47.81% 24.88% 27.31%+0.48 +19.4 56
2005-05-16 @ Brondby L 0-551.9 1716 1715 27.31% 24.88% 47.81%-0.48 -19.3 48
2005-05-16 Herfolge W 2-147.5 1516 1425 59.24% 22.03% 18.74%+1.07 +2.9 35
2005-05-16 @ Aarhus GF L 1-247.5 1425 1516 18.74% 22.03% 59.24%-1.07 -2.9 20
2005-05-16 Randers W 1-042.0 1616 1414 70.91% 17.12% 11.97%+1.79 +1.9 38
2005-05-16 @ Odense L 0-142.0 1414 1616 11.97% 17.12% 70.91%-1.79 -1.9 23
2005-05-19 Brondby W 3-163.9 1607 1734 30.44% 25.35% 44.22%-0.34 +10.5 47
2005-05-19 @ Midtjylland L 1-363.9 1734 1607 44.22% 25.35% 30.44%+0.34 -10.5 56
2005-05-19 Nordsjaelland W 1-045.2 1422 1459 42.78% 25.48% 31.74%+0.24 +5.0 23
2005-05-19 @ Herfolge L 0-145.2 1459 1422 31.74% 25.48% 42.78%-0.24 -5.0 21
2005-05-19 Odense D 1-171.3 1696 1618 57.78% 22.51% 19.71%+0.99 -1.2 49
2005-05-19 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.3 1618 1696 19.71% 22.51% 57.78%-0.99 +1.2 39
2005-05-19 Randers W 4-035.6 1519 1412 61.00% 21.40% 17.60%+1.17 +10.3 38
2005-05-19 @ Aarhus GF L 0-435.6 1412 1519 17.60% 21.40% 61.00%-1.17 -10.3 23
2005-05-19 Silkeborg W 4-044.5 1638 1544 59.58% 21.91% 18.51%+1.09 +10.9 44
2005-05-19 @ Esbjerg L 0-444.5 1544 1638 18.51% 21.91% 59.58%-1.09 -10.9 36
2005-05-19 Viborg W 5-360.5 1643 1580 55.98% 23.05% 20.97%+0.90 +4.8 48
2005-05-19 @ Aalborg L 3-560.5 1580 1643 20.97% 23.05% 55.98%-0.90 -4.8 39
2005-05-22 Aalborg W 1-058.5 1533 1648 32.02% 25.50% 42.47%-0.26 +6.2 39
2005-05-22 @ Silkeborg L 0-158.5 1648 1533 42.47% 25.50% 32.02%+0.26 -6.2 48
2005-05-22 Aarhus GF W 2-155.6 1454 1529 37.48% 25.70% 36.82%+0.00 +5.2 24
2005-05-22 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-255.6 1529 1454 36.82% 25.70% 37.48%+0.00 -5.2 38
2005-05-22 Esbjerg W 4-048.1 1724 1649 57.30% 22.66% 20.04%+0.97 +11.8 59
2005-05-22 @ Brondby L 0-448.1 1649 1724 20.04% 22.66% 57.30%-0.97 -11.8 44
2005-05-22 FC Copenhagen L 0-146.3 1402 1695 15.43% 20.01% 64.56%-1.41 -2.5 23
2005-05-22 @ Randers W 1-046.3 1695 1402 64.56% 20.01% 15.43%+1.41 +2.5 52
2005-05-22 Herfolge W 2-147.8 1575 1427 65.53% 19.60% 14.87%+1.44 +2.3 42
2005-05-22 @ Viborg L 1-247.8 1427 1575 14.87% 19.60% 65.53%-1.44 -2.3 23
2005-05-22 Midtjylland W 3-157.1 1619 1618 48.02% 24.85% 27.13%+0.49 +7.1 42
2005-05-22 @ Odense L 1-357.1 1618 1619 27.13% 24.85% 48.02%-0.49 -7.1 47
2005-05-28 Brondby D 3-380.6 1642 1736 34.77% 25.66% 39.56%-0.12 +0.1 49
2005-05-28 @ Aalborg D 3-380.6 1736 1642 39.56% 25.66% 34.77%+0.12 -0.1 60
2005-05-29 FC Copenhagen W 1-059.6 1611 1698 35.75% 25.69% 38.56%-0.08 +5.8 50
2005-05-29 @ Midtjylland L 0-159.6 1698 1611 38.56% 25.69% 35.75%+0.08 -5.8 52
2005-05-29 Odense W 3-265.3 1638 1626 49.42% 24.61% 25.97%+0.56 +3.8 47
2005-05-29 @ Esbjerg L 2-365.3 1626 1638 25.97% 24.61% 49.42%-0.56 -3.8 42
2005-05-29 Randers W 2-037.3 1460 1399 55.56% 23.17% 21.26%+0.87 +6.6 27
2005-05-29 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-237.3 1399 1460 21.26% 23.17% 55.56%-0.87 -6.6 23
2005-05-29 Silkeborg D 1-160.8 1425 1540 31.96% 25.50% 42.54%-0.26 +0.3 24
2005-05-29 @ Herfolge D 1-160.8 1540 1425 42.54% 25.50% 31.96%+0.26 -0.3 40
2005-05-29 Viborg L 1-260.9 1524 1577 40.55% 25.62% 33.83%+0.14 -5.7 38
2005-05-29 @ Aarhus GF W 2-160.9 1577 1524 33.83% 25.62% 40.55%-0.14 +5.6 45
2005-06-11 Herfolge W 7-039.9 1736 1425 80.25% 12.20% 7.55%+2.50 +6.6 63
2005-06-11 @ Brondby L 0-739.9 1425 1736 7.55% 12.20% 80.25%-2.50 -6.6 24
2005-06-12 Aalborg L 1-266.1 1622 1642 45.22% 25.24% 29.54%+0.36 -6.2 42
2005-06-12 @ Odense W 2-166.1 1642 1622 29.54% 25.24% 45.22%-0.36 +6.2 52
2005-06-12 Aarhus GF D 1-164.6 1539 1518 50.65% 24.37% 24.98%+0.62 -0.8 41
2005-06-12 @ Silkeborg D 1-164.6 1518 1539 24.98% 24.37% 50.65%-0.62 +0.8 39
2005-06-12 Esbjerg W 1-054.3 1692 1641 54.38% 23.50% 22.13%+0.81 +3.6 55
2005-06-12 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-154.3 1641 1692 22.13% 23.50% 54.38%-0.81 -3.6 47
2005-06-12 Midtjylland L 0-340.2 1393 1616 20.48% 22.85% 56.68%-0.96 -9.2 23
2005-06-12 @ Randers W 3-040.2 1616 1393 56.68% 22.85% 20.48%+0.96 +9.2 53
2005-06-12 Nordsjaelland L 1-264.2 1583 1466 62.13% 20.98% 16.89%+1.24 -8.0 45
2005-06-12 @ Viborg W 2-164.2 1466 1583 16.89% 20.98% 62.13%-1.24 +8.0 30
2005-06-15 Brondby L 1-258.0 1519 1742 20.51% 22.86% 56.63%-0.96 -3.2 39
2005-06-15 @ Aarhus GF W 2-158.0 1742 1519 56.63% 22.86% 20.51%+0.96 +3.2 66
2005-06-15 FC Copenhagen D 1-170.7 1648 1695 41.38% 25.58% 33.04%+0.18 -0.2 53
2005-06-15 @ Aalborg D 1-170.7 1695 1648 33.04% 25.58% 41.38%-0.18 +0.2 56
2005-06-15 Midtjylland D 0-065.7 1638 1626 49.48% 24.60% 25.93%+0.56 -0.8 48
2005-06-15 @ Esbjerg D 0-065.7 1626 1638 25.93% 24.60% 49.48%-0.56 +0.8 54
2005-06-15 Odense L 2-357.8 1418 1616 22.77% 23.72% 53.51%-0.80 -3.3 24
2005-06-15 @ Herfolge W 3-257.8 1616 1418 53.51% 23.72% 22.77%+0.80 +3.3 45
2005-06-15 Randers W 2-144.9 1575 1384 69.92% 17.60% 12.48%+1.72 +1.9 48
2005-06-15 @ Viborg L 1-244.9 1384 1575 12.48% 17.60% 69.92%-1.72 -1.8 23
2005-06-15 Silkeborg L 2-362.4 1474 1539 38.97% 25.68% 35.35%+0.07 -5.2 30
2005-06-15 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-262.4 1539 1474 35.35% 25.68% 38.97%-0.07 +5.2 44
2005-06-19 Aalborg W 4-156.2 1626 1648 45.00% 25.26% 29.74%+0.35 +10.9 57
2005-06-19 @ Midtjylland L 1-456.2 1648 1626 29.74% 25.26% 45.00%-0.35 -10.9 53
2005-06-19 Aarhus GF W 3-043.3 1619 1516 60.65% 21.53% 17.82%+1.15 +8.0 48
2005-06-19 @ Odense L 0-343.3 1516 1619 17.82% 21.53% 60.65%-1.15 -8.0 39
2005-06-19 Esbjerg D 2-269.6 1382 1637 18.00% 21.63% 60.36%-1.17 +1.0 24
2005-06-19 @ Randers D 2-269.6 1637 1382 60.36% 21.63% 18.00%+1.17 -1.0 49
2005-06-19 Herfolge D 1-169.6 1696 1415 77.90% 13.49% 8.60%+2.30 -2.2 57
2005-06-19 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-169.6 1415 1696 8.60% 13.49% 77.90%-2.30 +2.2 25
2005-06-19 Nordsjaelland W 2-042.2 1745 1469 77.56% 13.68% 8.76%+2.27 +2.4 69
2005-06-19 @ Brondby L 0-242.2 1469 1745 8.76% 13.68% 77.56%-2.27 -2.4 30
2005-06-19 Viborg W 3-263.7 1544 1577 43.40% 25.43% 31.18%+0.27 +4.4 47
2005-06-19 @ Silkeborg L 2-363.7 1577 1544 31.18% 25.43% 43.40%-0.27 -4.4 48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-05-08 12.88% Silkeborg 1541 1 @ FC Copenhagen 1725 0
2 2004-09-19 13.21% Randers 1400 1 @ Viborg 1578 0
3 2005-04-02 16.78% Midtjylland 1609 1 @ Brondby 1727 0
4 2004-11-07 16.82% Aarhus GF 1545 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1663 2
5 2005-06-12 16.89% Nordsjaelland 1466 2 @ Viborg 1583 1
6 2004-08-29 17.10% Aarhus GF 1514 2 @ Odense 1628 0
7 2005-04-24 17.69% Aarhus GF 1517 1 @ Midtjylland 1623 0
8 2004-10-03 19.57% Aarhus GF 1538 2 @ Esbjerg 1619 1
9 2004-08-29 19.63% Nordsjaelland 1500 1 @ Viborg 1580 0
10 2004-09-22 20.25% Herfolge 1470 4 @ Silkeborg 1542 2
11 2004-07-25 21.28% Odense 1618 2 @ Brondby 1678 1
12 2004-10-03 22.53% Viborg 1580 2 @ Odense 1626 0
13 2004-09-26 23.09% Aalborg 1598 3 @ Odense 1638 1
14 2004-11-28 23.45% Silkeborg 1509 3 @ Aarhus GF 1545 1
15 2005-05-08 23.55% Viborg 1573 2 @ Midtjylland 1608 1
16 2004-08-15 23.83% Viborg 1573 2 @ Aalborg 1606 1
17 2005-03-13 24.30% Esbjerg 1611 1 @ Odense 1639 0
18 2004-08-15 25.55% Nordsjaelland 1487 2 @ Herfolge 1503 0
19 2004-09-22 26.03% Odense 1628 4 @ Esbjerg 1639 2
20 2004-10-17 26.05% @ Silkeborg 1522 4 FC Copenhagen 1687 1
21 2004-09-19 26.39% Brondby 1681 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1689 1
22 2004-11-06 26.49% Aalborg 1613 3 @ Esbjerg 1620 2
23 2004-07-25 27.26% Midtjylland 1613 2 @ Aalborg 1612 1
24 2005-05-01 27.33% @ Nordsjaelland 1461 3 Midtjylland 1614 2
25 2005-06-12 29.54% Aalborg 1642 2 @ Odense 1622 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-11-07 22.66 @ Randers 4 1404 30.99% Silkeborg 0 1526 43.60% 25.41%
2 2005-05-16 19.35 @ Brondby 5 1715 47.81% FC Copenhagen 0 1716 27.31% 24.88%
3 2004-10-17 16.15 @ Silkeborg 4 1522 26.05% FC Copenhagen 1 1687 49.33% 24.62%
4 2004-08-29 15.84 Aarhus GF 2 1514 17.10% @ Odense 0 1628 61.79% 21.11%
5 2004-08-14 15.13 Aarhus GF 3 1499 37.87% @ Randers 0 1417 36.43% 25.70%
6 2004-10-03 14.17 Viborg 2 1580 22.53% @ Odense 0 1626 53.83% 23.64%
7 2005-04-24 14.06 Aalborg 4 1615 51.80% @ Randers 0 1431 24.07% 24.12%
8 2004-11-21 13.74 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1659 52.57% Aalborg 0 1623 23.48% 23.95%
9 2004-08-15 13.32 Nordsjaelland 2 1487 25.55% @ Herfolge 0 1503 49.95% 24.51%
10 2005-03-13 12.99 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1673 54.39% Midtjylland 0 1622 22.12% 23.49%
11 2005-04-10 12.94 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1697 44.90% Brondby 0 1719 29.83% 25.27%
12 2004-09-26 12.13 Aalborg 3 1598 23.09% @ Odense 1 1638 53.09% 23.82%
13 2004-11-28 12.04 Silkeborg 3 1509 23.45% @ Aarhus GF 1 1545 52.62% 23.94%
14 2004-08-08 11.83 @ Esbjerg 3 1627 48.43% Midtjylland 0 1623 26.79% 24.78%
15 2005-05-22 11.81 @ Brondby 4 1724 57.30% Esbjerg 0 1649 20.04% 22.66%
16 2004-09-22 11.49 Herfolge 4 1470 20.25% @ Silkeborg 2 1542 57.00% 22.75%
17 2004-09-19 11.34 Brondby 3 1681 26.39% @ FC Copenhagen 1 1689 48.92% 24.70%
18 2004-11-07 11.03 @ Odense 7 1624 64.15% Nordsjaelland 1 1489 15.68% 20.18%
19 2005-05-19 10.90 @ Esbjerg 4 1638 59.58% Silkeborg 0 1544 18.51% 21.91%
20 2005-06-19 10.89 @ Midtjylland 4 1626 45.00% Aalborg 1 1648 29.74% 25.26%
21 2004-11-03 10.69 @ Odense 5 1613 65.36% Herfolge 0 1467 14.97% 19.67%
22 2004-09-19 10.50 @ Odense 4 1617 60.58% Nordsjaelland 0 1514 17.87% 21.56%
23 2005-05-19 10.46 @ Midtjylland 3 1607 30.44% Brondby 1 1734 44.22% 25.35%
24 2005-05-19 10.34 @ Aarhus GF 4 1519 61.00% Randers 0 1412 17.60% 21.40%
25 2004-09-22 10.22 Odense 4 1628 26.03% @ Esbjerg 2 1639 49.35% 24.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-28 80.6 @ Aalborg 3 1642 34.77% Brondby 3 1736 39.56% 25.66%
2 2004-11-14 77.8 @ Aarhus GF 3 1553 36.43% Odense 3 1635 37.87% 25.70%
3 2004-08-01 76.9 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1696 56.64% Esbjerg 2 1626 20.50% 22.86%
4 2004-11-03 76.1 @ Esbjerg 2 1619 34.91% Brondby 2 1712 39.42% 25.67%
5 2004-07-24 74.9 @ Silkeborg 2 1536 26.57% FC Copenhagen 2 1696 48.69% 24.73%
6 2005-05-16 74.4 @ Viborg 2 1580 39.80% Esbjerg 2 1638 34.54% 25.66%
7 2004-11-07 74.0 Aarhus GF 3 1545 16.82% @ FC Copenhagen 2 1663 62.25% 20.93%
8 2004-10-17 73.0 @ Aarhus GF 2 1546 38.53% Aalborg 2 1613 35.78% 25.69%
9 2004-10-30 72.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1540 38.40% Midtjylland 2 1608 35.90% 25.69%
10 2005-03-13 72.0 @ Brondby 1 1729 62.50% Aalborg 1 1609 16.67% 20.84%
11 2004-11-06 71.6 Aalborg 3 1613 26.49% @ Esbjerg 2 1620 48.80% 24.72%
12 2005-05-19 71.3 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1696 57.78% Odense 1 1618 19.71% 22.51%
13 2004-08-15 71.1 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1689 55.85% Odense 1 1626 21.06% 23.09%
14 2004-08-07 71.0 @ Viborg 3 1567 30.41% FC Copenhagen 2 1695 44.25% 25.34%
15 2005-06-15 70.7 @ Aalborg 1 1648 41.38% FC Copenhagen 1 1695 33.04% 25.58%
16 2005-05-08 70.5 @ Odense 1 1615 33.98% Brondby 1 1715 40.38% 25.63%
17 2004-11-27 69.9 @ Esbjerg 1 1612 39.41% FC Copenhagen 1 1673 34.92% 25.67%
18 2004-09-12 69.8 @ Aalborg 1 1596 35.99% Brondby 1 1681 38.32% 25.70%
19 2005-06-19 69.6 @ Randers 2 1382 18.00% Esbjerg 2 1637 60.36% 21.63%
20 2005-06-19 69.6 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1696 77.90% Herfolge 1 1415 8.60% 13.49%
21 2004-11-27 69.5 @ Aalborg 1 1609 43.88% Odense 1 1639 30.74% 25.38%
22 2004-07-25 69.1 Odense 2 1618 21.28% @ Brondby 1 1678 55.55% 23.18%
23 2004-11-25 68.9 @ Randers 2 1424 25.04% Viborg 2 1599 50.58% 24.38%
24 2004-09-22 68.8 @ Midtjylland 1 1619 54.36% Viborg 1 1569 22.14% 23.50%
25 2004-09-22 68.3 Odense 4 1628 26.03% @ Esbjerg 2 1639 49.35% 24.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-19 35.6 @ Aarhus GF 4 1519 61.00% Randers 0 1412 17.60% 21.40%
2 2004-09-22 36.2 @ Aalborg 3 1592 69.07% Randers 0 1410 12.93% 18.00%
3 2005-05-29 37.3 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1460 55.56% Randers 0 1399 21.26% 23.17%
4 2005-03-20 37.4 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1686 76.45% Randers 0 1423 9.27% 14.27%
5 2005-04-06 38.4 @ Silkeborg 3 1521 57.43% Herfolge 0 1445 19.95% 22.62%
6 2004-10-03 39.1 @ Brondby 2 1699 78.58% Randers 0 1409 8.30% 13.12%
7 2005-04-30 39.6 @ Brondby 2 1713 79.13% Randers 0 1417 8.05% 12.82%
8 2005-06-11 39.9 @ Brondby 7 1736 80.25% Herfolge 0 1425 7.55% 12.20%
9 2005-06-12 40.2 Midtjylland 3 1616 56.68% @ Randers 0 1393 20.48% 22.85%
10 2004-11-03 40.3 @ Odense 5 1613 65.36% Herfolge 0 1467 14.97% 19.67%
11 2004-10-24 40.6 @ Aalborg 3 1613 64.69% Herfolge 0 1473 15.36% 19.95%
12 2004-08-08 40.9 @ Odense 5 1621 70.60% Randers 1 1422 12.13% 17.27%
13 2004-11-20 41.2 @ Odense 2 1635 69.27% Herfolge 0 1450 12.82% 17.90%
14 2005-04-24 41.8 @ Esbjerg 5 1624 69.59% Herfolge 1 1436 12.65% 17.75%
15 2005-05-16 42.0 @ Odense 1 1616 70.91% Randers 0 1414 11.97% 17.12%
16 2005-04-23 42.1 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1713 75.29% Nordsjaelland 0 1464 9.82% 14.89%
17 2005-06-19 42.2 @ Brondby 2 1745 77.56% Nordsjaelland 0 1469 8.76% 13.68%
18 2004-08-14 42.4 Aarhus GF 3 1499 37.87% @ Randers 0 1417 36.43% 25.70%
19 2005-04-09 42.5 @ Aalborg 2 1611 64.53% Nordsjaelland 0 1472 15.45% 20.02%
20 2004-10-02 42.6 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1684 71.74% Herfolge 0 1473 11.55% 16.71%
21 2005-04-24 42.6 Aalborg 4 1615 51.80% @ Randers 0 1431 24.07% 24.12%
22 2004-09-19 42.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1524 53.93% Herfolge 0 1477 22.46% 23.61%
23 2004-09-19 42.8 @ Odense 4 1617 60.58% Nordsjaelland 0 1514 17.87% 21.56%
24 2004-11-14 42.8 @ Esbjerg 1 1613 69.52% Randers 0 1426 12.69% 17.79%
25 2004-10-23 43.2 Brondby 2 1704 65.16% @ Randers 0 1405 15.09% 19.76%